1 00:00:02,720 --> 00:00:14,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:21,320 Speaker 2: Hello and welcome to another episode of the Allbots podcast. 3 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 2: I'm Tracy Alloway. 4 00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:23,680 Speaker 3: And I'm Joe Whysenthal. 5 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:26,799 Speaker 2: Joe, one of the big topics of discussion. There are 6 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 2: a lot of topics of discussion nowadays, but when it 7 00:00:29,280 --> 00:00:34,600 Speaker 2: comes to the recent takeover of Venezuela, the Trump administration's 8 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:37,600 Speaker 2: takeover of Venezuela, I don't know how physician acquisition, I 9 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 2: don't know how to describe it, but the action in Venezuela. 10 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:45,240 Speaker 2: One of the themes or things that you saw people 11 00:00:45,280 --> 00:00:48,239 Speaker 2: talking about was this idea that well, even if the 12 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:53,519 Speaker 2: goal is to get more oil, Venezuela's oil industry is 13 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 2: a mess. 14 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 3: It's in shambles. 15 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 2: Yeah. So you hear things about, you know, ships that 16 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 2: are rusting in the dock and pumps that don't work 17 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 2: and whatever. People talking about really creaky infrastructure and also 18 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:08,640 Speaker 2: just a bad environment for doing business. 19 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:12,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, this is the thing. And so in 20 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 4: the Venezuela specific context, we know that the oil infrastructure 21 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 4: has been degraded for years, which is why there's all 22 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:22,760 Speaker 4: these numbers about the massive amounts of upfront investment that 23 00:01:22,800 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 4: would be required to get the oil started. 24 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:28,520 Speaker 3: But then there's this other phenomenon that's global, which. 25 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:30,320 Speaker 4: Is that there's really not much of a connection per 26 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:34,199 Speaker 4: se between the existence of natural resources in the ground 27 00:01:34,600 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 4: and some way to get them out commercially anywhere. This 28 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 4: also happens to be the case in Greenland, it happens 29 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:41,520 Speaker 4: to be the case in Western Australia, which is a 30 00:01:41,600 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 4: very well run country, which is that assets in the 31 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:48,080 Speaker 4: ground are anywhere mean nothing without the sort of rule 32 00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 4: of law, refining, processing, shipping, infrastructure. 33 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 3: Et cetera. 34 00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:55,240 Speaker 4: So all these places of various different degrees, the actual 35 00:01:55,280 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 4: existence of some asset, in Venezuela's case, oil, that's part 36 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:01,880 Speaker 4: of the story absolutely. 37 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 2: So this got me thinking, what is it like to 38 00:02:04,800 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 2: actually do some sort of industrial business, Yeah, in a 39 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 2: place like Venezuela, And I always wanted to do more 40 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 2: on the Venezuelan economy. I think it's pretty interesting and 41 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 2: more interesting now. So that is exactly what we're going 42 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:20,639 Speaker 2: to do today. We're also going to talk about doing 43 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 2: business in another hotspot hot spot hotspot is a good 44 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:26,640 Speaker 2: way of putting it, which is Ukraine. 45 00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 5: Right. 46 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 4: We did a number of episodes immediately after Russia's invasion 47 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 4: of Ukraine talk about the effects on the grain business. 48 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:37,839 Speaker 4: But the important thing, which we didn't get into that much, 49 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 4: although I think we did a little bit, is like, well, 50 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:42,639 Speaker 4: the grain business, the weed export business, it still exists, 51 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 4: was impaired, but that the day to day business of 52 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:49,240 Speaker 4: running a commercial operation in that intense environment, how that 53 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 4: changes and so forth and so forth? How does that 54 00:02:52,600 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 4: change under the new competitive strains? And I just want 55 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:57,480 Speaker 4: to say one more thing, which is you know when 56 00:02:57,480 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 4: you talked about, well, what is the right word now 57 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 4: to describe our relationship with Venezuela, it's I've been thinking 58 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 4: about a lot of this too, because I have a word. No, 59 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:09,640 Speaker 4: I don't, because it's very contact dependent. Right, if you 60 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:12,720 Speaker 4: were to listen to the administration, it's like Maduro was arrested, 61 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 4: right if you believe this was a flagrant violation of 62 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 4: international law, you'd say he was kidnapped, etc. There's almost 63 00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:22,360 Speaker 4: no words to describe it. You saw the president talking 64 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 4: about or already selling Venezuelan oil. 65 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 3: So whose oil is this already? It's just a it's 66 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:30,280 Speaker 3: a very odd situation to say they'll leave definitely. 67 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:31,079 Speaker 6: Okay. 68 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 2: So speaking of odd situations, we have the perfect guests 69 00:03:34,920 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 2: to talk about them, and. 70 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 4: I just got to say I got a headline US 71 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 4: seek's immediate talks on a Claire in Greenland. Trump says, 72 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 4: So at some point we will have another conversation about 73 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:47,520 Speaker 4: weird relationships with parts of the world that we didn't 74 00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 4: think about as much. 75 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:52,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, the Greenland economy episode is to come, inevitably going 76 00:03:52,920 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 2: to arrive. Okay, So we're going to be speaking with 77 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 2: Jeff Kazen. He is the co founder of Agris Academy 78 00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 2: and also the other co founder, Mike Rolfson. So, Jeff 79 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 2: and Mike, thank you so much for coming on all thoughts, 80 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 2: really appreciate it. 81 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 7: Thanks for having us. 82 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:09,480 Speaker 8: Yeah, thanks for having us. 83 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 2: So first of all, why don't you give us a 84 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:16,080 Speaker 2: sort of nutshell summary of your career history, because this 85 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 2: is why we're talking to you. Both of you had 86 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:23,359 Speaker 2: very long, interesting careers at Cargill, which is, you know, 87 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:27,800 Speaker 2: one of the massive, massive agricultural conglomerates, among other things. 88 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:31,040 Speaker 2: So talk to us about why why we're talking to you. 89 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 8: I guess, yeah, I guess I'll start out. This is 90 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 8: Jeff Kason. I did a full career in Cargio thirty 91 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 8: years and you know, started at the ground up, you know, 92 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:43,280 Speaker 8: at the bat and Ruge Louisiana Port's buying grain to 93 00:04:43,320 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 8: go to export, was ahead of wheat trading to a 94 00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 8: lot of wheat trading. At some point, spent some time 95 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:51,960 Speaker 8: in their Murders acquisition shop around the world looking at 96 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:55,320 Speaker 8: various businesses. Ended up as a CEO of a joint 97 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:58,719 Speaker 8: venture between Cargio and Monsanto at the time, switched over 98 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 8: into the vegetable oil, particularly the refined vegetable oils. Was 99 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:05,560 Speaker 8: the head of trading for what we call the West, 100 00:05:05,600 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 8: so the Western hemisphere on the refined oils side, and 101 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:13,119 Speaker 8: that's actually where my time with Venezuela was connected. Cargo 102 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:16,880 Speaker 8: had a very large oils business there, actually packaged oils business, 103 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:20,279 Speaker 8: and I finished up my career in the feed side. 104 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 8: A lot of the aquaculture, very large salmon feeders around 105 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:27,719 Speaker 8: the world, shrimp, all kinds of various aquaculture. And then 106 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:32,160 Speaker 8: really the western side, south Latin America on the feedside 107 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 8: all the way to Argentina. So a typical, highly varied 108 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:36,839 Speaker 8: cargo career. 109 00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 9: Similar story with me back then when Jeff and I started, 110 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 9: you know, cargo intentionally threw you around to many different places. So, yeah, 111 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:47,600 Speaker 9: I had three different domestic roles in the early to 112 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 9: mid nineties that got your feet wet in different markets 113 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 9: in the United States. And I also was involved in 114 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 9: the export side out of Houston, you know, similar to 115 00:05:55,560 --> 00:05:57,919 Speaker 9: what Jeff did. And then about five years in I 116 00:05:57,920 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 9: got tapped on the shoulder to go to Ukraine. 117 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:02,920 Speaker 7: There was no real commercial presence for cargile. 118 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:04,279 Speaker 3: Then was what year we talking about? 119 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:05,719 Speaker 7: This would have been. 120 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:09,800 Speaker 9: April of nineteen ninety five. Okay, Yeah, so I was 121 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:12,960 Speaker 9: I was young, I was single, I spoke Russian, I 122 00:06:13,080 --> 00:06:15,239 Speaker 9: was perhaps tongue in cheeks. 123 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:16,600 Speaker 2: You ticked all the boxes. 124 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:20,279 Speaker 9: Expendable and you know, with a with a blank slite 125 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:23,040 Speaker 9: that that not really knowing what was going on at 126 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:26,039 Speaker 9: the time, and probably rather difficult to find people to 127 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:26,400 Speaker 9: come there. 128 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:29,040 Speaker 7: Yeah, I had raised my hand already to. 129 00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:32,080 Speaker 9: Go and and and fortunately they circled back to me 130 00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:34,239 Speaker 9: and gave me the opportunity. And it was five wonderful 131 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 9: years there, taking it basically from a from a theoretical 132 00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 9: representative office to I think I think we had seven 133 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:43,520 Speaker 9: or eight business units and a couple hundred million dollars invested, 134 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 9: So it was a wonderful experience over those five years. 135 00:06:46,960 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 9: And I also was with Jeff in the merger and 136 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:54,640 Speaker 9: acquisition shop shortly after returning, and went into corporate ventures 137 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:56,360 Speaker 9: for a while after that, and left CARGI a little 138 00:06:56,400 --> 00:07:00,280 Speaker 9: earlier than Jeff did and went through agtech and at 139 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:03,599 Speaker 9: tech oriented venture Capital. Then about three years ago we 140 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 9: kicked us off. 141 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 4: I hope you guys are cool with us turning this 142 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:10,760 Speaker 4: into a five hour conversation now, because I imagine there's 143 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 4: an incredible number of stories and I already have a billion. 144 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 3: Question, so we're going to be doing a little bit 145 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 3: of that on the fly. 146 00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:20,200 Speaker 4: Jeff, talk to us about the years you did business 147 00:07:20,280 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 4: with Venezuela and maybe the difference in what years those were, 148 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:28,280 Speaker 4: and then the sort of different conditions from like the 149 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:29,960 Speaker 4: beginning to the end as you saw them. 150 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 5: Yeah. 151 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 8: So because of the oil's business, I was attached to that, 152 00:07:35,200 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 8: and I'd like to say that it was a varied 153 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 8: business and I ended up and I had a lot 154 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:43,000 Speaker 8: of grain experience too, so I ended up kind of 155 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:45,880 Speaker 8: the head of overseeing training for all of it. And 156 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 8: probably the biggest statement is I think when I started 157 00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 8: the boulevard at the currency was like one to eight 158 00:07:52,880 --> 00:07:56,400 Speaker 8: hundred and this is and I get my years right, 159 00:07:56,440 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 8: and I think, you know, three years later it was 160 00:07:58,480 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 8: like one to twelve thousand or something like that. You 161 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 8: ended up, We ended up in that period of super 162 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:09,200 Speaker 8: hyper inflation where the economy basically seizes up. And you know, 163 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 8: you watch from the capability. If you don't have a 164 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:16,240 Speaker 8: functioning currency and the government makes you sell in local 165 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 8: currency in order to go you have to have some 166 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:23,240 Speaker 8: way to exchange it, and we effectively became dependent on 167 00:08:23,280 --> 00:08:25,440 Speaker 8: the government to do the exchange to go out and 168 00:08:25,480 --> 00:08:29,640 Speaker 8: buy dollarized raw materials. Right now, eighty percent of global 169 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:31,760 Speaker 8: trade is still in dollars, and a lot of the 170 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 8: grain trade is and that probably is the most single 171 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 8: telling thing. 172 00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:38,000 Speaker 5: The currency ceased to. 173 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:42,840 Speaker 8: Function, and that really changed the game on the ground 174 00:08:42,960 --> 00:08:43,880 Speaker 8: in Venezuela. 175 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 2: I want to get into some of the currency complications 176 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,440 Speaker 2: in a little bit, but I was surprised that Cargol 177 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:53,960 Speaker 2: had any business at all in Venezuela. Can you just 178 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 2: tell us what exactly Cargol was doing over there? 179 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 8: Yeah, and mine, I'm currently a former employee and Cardio 180 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 8: does not own the business there anymore. Was reached out 181 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:08,960 Speaker 8: to by Cargio basically This is very typical of Cargil. 182 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:11,440 Speaker 8: They'll have females, they'll go in, they go out, They'll 183 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 8: start with feedmales. They'll they had the long term salt. 184 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:17,200 Speaker 8: Salt was a big play there. Caril is a large 185 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 8: producer globally of salt, a lot of things. Quietly, I 186 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:22,559 Speaker 8: think there was a lot of industrial use salt there. 187 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 9: They had. 188 00:09:22,840 --> 00:09:26,200 Speaker 8: The petrochemical business was using salt. I don't actually amount 189 00:09:26,200 --> 00:09:28,920 Speaker 8: an expert on the petrochemical side. And then there are 190 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 8: lots of food processing businesses around the world. In this case, 191 00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:38,120 Speaker 8: you know, they were natural flour millers, oil refineries, oil bottlers. 192 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 5: The rice I had not. 193 00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:42,560 Speaker 8: Seen anywhere else in the world. It was actually gone 194 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:46,720 Speaker 8: by the time I got there, pasta plants. So in 195 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:49,679 Speaker 8: this case, probably the more unique thing was that not 196 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 8: only were we doing primary processing, but we were going 197 00:09:52,360 --> 00:09:54,679 Speaker 8: all the way to consumer. They actually had a very 198 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:57,160 Speaker 8: I think the number one brand that they had bought 199 00:09:57,200 --> 00:09:59,959 Speaker 8: over time. I think there was an acquisition from Bunky 200 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 8: pre dates me in They're also so they were you know, 201 00:10:04,040 --> 00:10:07,560 Speaker 8: this was a very wealthy country and a place where 202 00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:10,560 Speaker 8: you could do some very good business and then repeat 203 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:13,800 Speaker 8: that model in multiple countries. All over the world, and 204 00:10:13,840 --> 00:10:16,599 Speaker 8: so yeah, that's how they got there. It was a 205 00:10:16,720 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 8: very natural flow and they had a very large investment there. 206 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:40,440 Speaker 4: Mike on Ukraine, you know, nineteen ninety five is stilled 207 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:44,280 Speaker 4: the early days of post Soviet optimism, right, and people 208 00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 4: hadn't become jaded yet, and they probably hadn't woken up 209 00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:50,400 Speaker 4: to sort of all the various pathologies and stuff that 210 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:52,960 Speaker 4: would occur in the wake of the dissolution of the 211 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:56,319 Speaker 4: Soviet Union, et cetera. Talk a little bit about the 212 00:10:56,320 --> 00:10:59,960 Speaker 4: calculation and the hopes for Ukraine and the degree to which, 213 00:11:00,360 --> 00:11:03,800 Speaker 4: you know, over the many years that you've paid attention 214 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:06,800 Speaker 4: to this market and worked in it, how they unfolded 215 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:11,720 Speaker 4: relative to say expectations. 216 00:11:10,040 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 9: Well, I almost would say you underestimated the optimism at 217 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:18,200 Speaker 9: the time. You know, in ninety five, there was a 218 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 9: tremendous amount of optimism there. We had a very dynamic team. 219 00:11:23,320 --> 00:11:28,000 Speaker 9: Quite frankly, even the older folks that we would find 220 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:31,040 Speaker 9: to help be a part of what we were doing commercially, 221 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 9: even though they all they had known is the system. 222 00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:39,000 Speaker 9: There were folks that were experienced and hard working and 223 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:42,960 Speaker 9: very excited to jump into the sort of things that 224 00:11:43,000 --> 00:11:46,199 Speaker 9: we were doing in a very differentiated way. So we 225 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:48,760 Speaker 9: had rock stars in our group that were twenty two 226 00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 9: and out of school, and we had rock stars that 227 00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:53,679 Speaker 9: were sixty years old that were probably had had some 228 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 9: sort of legacy experience in agriculture in the Soviet Union, 229 00:11:57,160 --> 00:12:00,720 Speaker 9: but was able to translate that to us. It was 230 00:12:00,720 --> 00:12:05,959 Speaker 9: an absolutely fantastic experience. Back then it was more than 231 00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:08,480 Speaker 9: just a job. It was you felt it was transformational. 232 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 9: It was you were changing the way business got done. 233 00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 5: There. 234 00:12:12,559 --> 00:12:15,080 Speaker 9: There was there was an insane amount of chaos, but 235 00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:20,240 Speaker 9: working in a regimented ethical way got you business by 236 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:22,959 Speaker 9: by you know, in another route. So, yeah, we made 237 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 9: it work. It was it was classic Cargile at the time, 238 00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:30,360 Speaker 9: sort of being sort of pioneering and entrepreneurial, and you know, 239 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 9: we made it work and started with the trading side 240 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:34,680 Speaker 9: and slowly but surely put assets on the ground and 241 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:37,280 Speaker 9: a lot of other more formal things that made it 242 00:12:37,320 --> 00:12:39,720 Speaker 9: look more and more like a regular geography by the time, 243 00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 9: you know, the year two thousand rolled around and when 244 00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:43,719 Speaker 9: I left, so. 245 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:46,480 Speaker 2: Mike you were on the ground in Ukraine and Jeff 246 00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:50,640 Speaker 2: you were managing the venezuela business. Remotely, what was that 247 00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 2: actually like, because I imagine, you know, we're talking about 248 00:12:55,880 --> 00:12:59,760 Speaker 2: a couple of decades back now, communication must have been 249 00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:02,640 Speaker 2: more difficult than it is even nowadays. 250 00:13:04,240 --> 00:13:05,120 Speaker 5: It was very typical. 251 00:13:05,120 --> 00:13:07,160 Speaker 8: I wouldn't say, you know, there was we had leading 252 00:13:07,240 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 8: edge as four hundreds back in the day, and so 253 00:13:10,520 --> 00:13:13,040 Speaker 8: communication has always been a priority of a trading firm, 254 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 8: and so there was a lot of investment in that, right, 255 00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 8: you know, that was very typical that you would have one. 256 00:13:18,240 --> 00:13:20,400 Speaker 8: And then remember I'm a trading manager, not the overall 257 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 8: business manager, but I would have you know, we would 258 00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:26,959 Speaker 8: have local merchants and at each country, and you've got 259 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:29,760 Speaker 8: to connect and coordinate that. You know, think about if 260 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:32,480 Speaker 8: you're buying, say you're buying a multi grocery boat cargo, 261 00:13:32,920 --> 00:13:35,320 Speaker 8: You're going to load that cargo in New Orleans with 262 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 8: all kinds of different commodities and it's going to you know, 263 00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:40,520 Speaker 8: you're going to leverage that out to get your freat 264 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 8: costs down and create competitive advantage. And so you're coordinating 265 00:13:44,840 --> 00:13:47,640 Speaker 8: all your different trading groups in the region, and then 266 00:13:47,679 --> 00:13:51,000 Speaker 8: that actually goes out on a global basis, so you're 267 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:55,079 Speaker 8: constantly looking for that edge. So I played the coordination 268 00:13:55,280 --> 00:13:57,720 Speaker 8: role and then at the local level, like you have 269 00:13:57,800 --> 00:14:00,840 Speaker 8: to have local expertise on the ground, particularly in the 270 00:14:00,880 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 8: cases Venezuela started to become unstable. You need people to 271 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:08,199 Speaker 8: understand how to navigate the government, how to navigate the 272 00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:10,959 Speaker 8: various you know, channels to get things can continue to 273 00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:14,080 Speaker 8: get things done, and that takes local nohow. So that 274 00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:17,040 Speaker 8: was kind of that big picture role that I would 275 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 8: be filling, and of course the risk management side and 276 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,480 Speaker 8: then you have that very local execution side to make 277 00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 8: things happen. 278 00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:24,160 Speaker 5: And you got to have both. 279 00:14:24,760 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 9: Yeah, and the same proxy existed for us at least 280 00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 9: in our external communication and how we linked up. So 281 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:34,480 Speaker 9: my usual routes of communication went through our Geneva office 282 00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:37,760 Speaker 9: and then you know outward throughout the throughout the rest 283 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 9: of Cargil. So the external communication was world class. We 284 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:43,160 Speaker 9: had satellite phones through which we ran our modems and 285 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 9: that kind of thing. 286 00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:44,280 Speaker 7: Early on, at. 287 00:14:44,280 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 9: Least internal whole different story. I could probably waste forty 288 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 9: five minutes explaining just simple setting a fact type story 289 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 9: and things like that in nineteen ninety five, in nineteen 290 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:59,359 Speaker 9: ninety six, but before things got a little bit better integrated. 291 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:02,880 Speaker 9: But yeah, it was a dichotomy between internal and external, 292 00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 9: but manageable. 293 00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:06,400 Speaker 7: Nonetheless, one of my. 294 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 2: First journalism jobs was literally monitoring the facts machine and 295 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:13,000 Speaker 2: making sure if a fax came in that the newsroom 296 00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:15,120 Speaker 2: would be aware of it. Thrilling times. 297 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 4: We could easily do an hour on internal communications and 298 00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:22,160 Speaker 4: the sort of like pre email, pre slack, pre ib 299 00:15:22,920 --> 00:15:25,360 Speaker 4: the pre ib era. It's very long ago, but pre 300 00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 4: you know, pre digital document management in general, and how that. 301 00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:30,720 Speaker 3: Must have been. 302 00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 4: And maybe we'll have you back just to talk one 303 00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 4: day about that. Jeff, I remember I had a It's 304 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:40,160 Speaker 4: interesting enough. I forgot about this, but when my first 305 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:42,400 Speaker 4: year of college I had a roommate who I think 306 00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 4: had done some mission work for his church in Venezuela, 307 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:50,120 Speaker 4: and he was there when he by the time he 308 00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 4: was roommates, he was talking about this guy, Hugo Chavez 309 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:54,520 Speaker 4: looks like he's going to win. This is going to 310 00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:56,840 Speaker 4: be bad news, et cetera. And so should have taken 311 00:15:56,880 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 4: that more seriously and paid more attention. What was though, 312 00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 4: the point a lot of people were concerned about Java 313 00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:06,840 Speaker 4: is obviously, what was the point though, in which you 314 00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:09,760 Speaker 4: sort of saw like, okay, this is this is turning 315 00:16:09,800 --> 00:16:13,000 Speaker 4: down and what was it? What was the process by 316 00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:15,880 Speaker 4: which like, oh, we're starting to get serious inflation, We're 317 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:19,200 Speaker 4: starting to have a more difficult time doing business or 318 00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:22,280 Speaker 4: importing dollar denominated machinery. 319 00:16:22,280 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 3: When did that sort of sink in for the business? 320 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:28,680 Speaker 8: Yeah, so I arrived, we were already to Maduro, so 321 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:32,480 Speaker 8: we were already So Java is the time there had 322 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:36,480 Speaker 8: already passed. And you know, it's the it's the frog 323 00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:39,200 Speaker 8: in the boiling pot, right. It starts small, and then 324 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:41,400 Speaker 8: it starts to you know, and then you get all 325 00:16:41,400 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 8: these unintended consequences, and you're you're trying to and then 326 00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:48,080 Speaker 8: you know, there's a socialist regime. You're trying to plug holes, right, 327 00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:50,640 Speaker 8: and all these things that start to go on. And 328 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:53,320 Speaker 8: plus you know that you also have a government that 329 00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:58,520 Speaker 8: is healthfully paranoid about being overthrown. Right, there's a power 330 00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:01,240 Speaker 8: aspect that's going on. All all this at the same time, 331 00:17:01,640 --> 00:17:05,560 Speaker 8: I think it really really took a plunge. I mean, 332 00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:08,479 Speaker 8: it wasn't good at Chavez, but when the currency and 333 00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:12,320 Speaker 8: you know, as you said, the oil industry starts to deteriorate, 334 00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:15,879 Speaker 8: so that spickett of dollars is drop drying off, it 335 00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:20,520 Speaker 8: takes ever more dollars to pay off everybody in the system. Right, 336 00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:24,400 Speaker 8: it's a constant payoff system. And then you just don't 337 00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:27,120 Speaker 8: have enough money, so you just run the printing press, right. 338 00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:29,920 Speaker 8: And I remember this, there was a point it got 339 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:33,399 Speaker 8: it happened so fast. A couple of stories. One is 340 00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:36,800 Speaker 8: the BTU of a paper boulevar. The BTU value is 341 00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:39,280 Speaker 8: worth more than it could buy it. 342 00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:41,879 Speaker 5: You literally you can burn it for fuel. 343 00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:42,480 Speaker 3: That's crazy. 344 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:46,160 Speaker 8: And and there was a time where they were they 345 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:50,040 Speaker 8: were having the boulevards printed, but they didn't pay their 346 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:52,479 Speaker 8: printing bill and they were flying it and the printing 347 00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:56,480 Speaker 8: was being done in dollars outside the country. They didn't 348 00:17:56,520 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 8: have enough money to buy the boulevards to fly them in. 349 00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:03,119 Speaker 8: So he really started running out of currency on the ground, 350 00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 8: like just even if you wanted to work on it. 351 00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:08,080 Speaker 8: There's all kinds of these kind of stories, but it 352 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:11,160 Speaker 8: was right in that probably two years in the Maduro 353 00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:15,280 Speaker 8: space when when the currency stopped functioning, that was really 354 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:17,159 Speaker 8: when we knew we were in trouble. 355 00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:20,719 Speaker 4: Just to go back to something you said, so, an 356 00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:26,480 Speaker 4: American company working in any foreign country has to abide 357 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:31,720 Speaker 4: by American laws, particularly related to things like bribery and corruption, 358 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:35,119 Speaker 4: and maybe for both of you, and I imagine you 359 00:18:35,119 --> 00:18:38,960 Speaker 4: know that this is a very prominent issue in both 360 00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:42,200 Speaker 4: these countries, maybe more in Venezuela than Ukraine, et cetera, 361 00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:45,840 Speaker 4: but we know that there's significant corruption in Ukraine et cetera. 362 00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:50,159 Speaker 4: Can you talk a little bit about essentially how you 363 00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:54,320 Speaker 4: function in these environments where probably lots of people are 364 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:58,280 Speaker 4: getting paid off literally or in the bribery sense, and 365 00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:02,000 Speaker 4: how you have to navigate that from the perspective of 366 00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:04,760 Speaker 4: a multinational all start sure. 367 00:19:04,800 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 9: And going back again within the perspective of the mid nineties, 368 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:14,560 Speaker 9: there were two impediments, and I use the word impediment. 369 00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:18,200 Speaker 9: You know, not that it impeded us, but it did 370 00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:22,520 Speaker 9: create a headwind for should we sayd the ease of 371 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 9: doing business and the scale of doing business. Yeah, So 372 00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:30,640 Speaker 9: the two parts that created impediments for us is there 373 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:34,560 Speaker 9: still was a fair amount of governmental influence in the 374 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:36,959 Speaker 9: grain business in nineteen ninety five, and it really was 375 00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:40,120 Speaker 9: from a county perspective in a state, or what they 376 00:19:40,119 --> 00:19:42,600 Speaker 9: referred to as obelist perspective, all the way up to 377 00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:45,840 Speaker 9: the central government. So there were plenty of ways to 378 00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:49,240 Speaker 9: keep those people happy and quietly by grain at scale 379 00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:53,199 Speaker 9: that would also go through a state owned railroad system 380 00:19:53,720 --> 00:19:58,280 Speaker 9: and a state owned port system. So most of the infrastructure, 381 00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:01,600 Speaker 9: and there were gatekeepers is at various stages that could 382 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:05,960 Speaker 9: easily be catalyzed, shall we say, to get grain out 383 00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 9: the door at very reasonable numbers and trade at large scale, 384 00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 9: and I would I could name names, but you know 385 00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:15,639 Speaker 9: there's plenty of some of the global traders that don't 386 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:20,119 Speaker 9: have to apply to the US rules based system. So 387 00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:23,000 Speaker 9: what we basically did is did at old school. We 388 00:20:23,040 --> 00:20:28,040 Speaker 9: went straight to the farms in smaller quantities, in reasonable amounts, 389 00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:30,360 Speaker 9: with people we could trust, and just gutted it out 390 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:33,359 Speaker 9: through atypical ways of getting the grain out of the country, 391 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:36,920 Speaker 9: which ironically is some of the infrastructure that we built 392 00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:40,920 Speaker 9: on the Danube River system that it's very lumpy. It's 393 00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:45,159 Speaker 9: transhipment through cranes and evacuation systems and things like that 394 00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:47,800 Speaker 9: as opposed to a big, you know, high scale elevator. 395 00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:50,520 Speaker 9: Those are some of the things today that are getting 396 00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:52,360 Speaker 9: grain out of the country because some of the main 397 00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:55,120 Speaker 9: elevators have been destroyed or damaged in some way. 398 00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:57,120 Speaker 7: So that was our biggest problem. 399 00:20:57,240 --> 00:20:59,879 Speaker 9: You know, you could get around it, and quite frankly, 400 00:20:59,920 --> 00:21:02,160 Speaker 9: was more rewarding doing it that way because we saw 401 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:06,360 Speaker 9: our impact on the AC sector. But that was sort 402 00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:08,760 Speaker 9: of the big picture reality at the time when I 403 00:21:08,800 --> 00:21:09,480 Speaker 9: first got there. 404 00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:13,480 Speaker 8: I think in my case, it is comforting as operating 405 00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,080 Speaker 8: is to know you don't have to pay those type 406 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:19,920 Speaker 8: of bribes or facilitated payments. The company did a very 407 00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:23,359 Speaker 8: good job of instilling that. Everybody who joined trained on 408 00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:27,040 Speaker 8: it yearly and quite friendly backed it up. Right, if 409 00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,400 Speaker 8: you didn't make your numbers because you would have had 410 00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:32,240 Speaker 8: to pay the bribe to get there, it didn't hurt 411 00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:35,359 Speaker 8: you career wise. They knew you talk about it. You 412 00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:37,959 Speaker 8: tell them I'm not going to do this, and it happened, 413 00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:41,000 Speaker 8: and we had these stories that happened. But so on 414 00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:43,280 Speaker 8: that side, it made it very clear for your employees 415 00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:45,880 Speaker 8: to know how to operate. The other thing I want 416 00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:48,000 Speaker 8: you to think about in the global food space, right 417 00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:51,680 Speaker 8: is if you're a nest Slay or a freedom lay 418 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:54,520 Speaker 8: or one of that, and you're buying raw materials, so 419 00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:57,840 Speaker 8: you have a plant in Venezuela, Okay, you want to 420 00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:01,159 Speaker 8: make sure that you have food safe product US grade 421 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 8: and you know the standards, right, food safety. You want 422 00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:07,720 Speaker 8: to actually it actually draws business to you right. 423 00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:10,920 Speaker 2: Right, the brand value of American food, right, and. 424 00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:12,919 Speaker 8: That you're going to act honestly and they don't have 425 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:15,040 Speaker 8: to pay a bribe to get a truck you know, 426 00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,840 Speaker 8: to the plant on that day. Right, the things like that, 427 00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:20,840 Speaker 8: that the way you can do business. So, uh, at 428 00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:23,359 Speaker 8: that time, let's call them Western company. They're listen now today, 429 00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:26,080 Speaker 8: more modern companies they like to go to some of 430 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:30,199 Speaker 8: these early markets together. And because they knew that they 431 00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:32,359 Speaker 8: had a supplier that you know, if you were making 432 00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:34,920 Speaker 8: malt barley for the brewery and it's a you know, 433 00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 8: South African brewery, they knew that you were actually going 434 00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:41,480 Speaker 8: to you know, make a contract and stick to the contract. 435 00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:41,639 Speaker 5: No matter what. 436 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:44,280 Speaker 8: If we had to work it out there was crop failure, 437 00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 8: you would, you know, hold your word was your bond. 438 00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:48,920 Speaker 8: And you know, I'm going to tip a hat off 439 00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 8: to my former employee. They were very good about how 440 00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:55,640 Speaker 8: that operated. And I work with them in places basically 441 00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,280 Speaker 8: in any all the corners of the world and everything 442 00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:02,000 Speaker 8: from you know, fish meal to licening to wheat. That 443 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 8: brand helps out in these environments because you know, you 444 00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:11,280 Speaker 8: were the customers can count on you and in food 445 00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:14,199 Speaker 8: super important, right, because if you screw that up, you 446 00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:18,840 Speaker 8: can kill somebody and or tarnish the customer's brand. 447 00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:20,600 Speaker 5: Right, if something gets. 448 00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:23,199 Speaker 8: Through this that's the same way it is in the US, actually, 449 00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:26,040 Speaker 8: but not with the maybe the same criticality when you're 450 00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:28,200 Speaker 8: working in a remote location around the world. 451 00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:31,920 Speaker 2: So this actually leads into something I'm really curious about, 452 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:36,400 Speaker 2: which is, obviously Cargil is a private company operating at 453 00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:40,760 Speaker 2: that time under a socialist regime under Majiro. What was 454 00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:45,600 Speaker 2: the relationship like just between a private commercial enterprise and 455 00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:50,640 Speaker 2: a socialist government, especially for something as critical as food, Right, 456 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:54,159 Speaker 2: I imagine the government cared about the food supply. 457 00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:57,240 Speaker 8: We we had to follow both sets of laws. 458 00:23:57,320 --> 00:23:57,480 Speaker 7: Right. 459 00:23:57,520 --> 00:23:59,560 Speaker 8: You have to follow the local law too, right, So 460 00:23:59,600 --> 00:24:02,720 Speaker 8: if they say you must transact in boulevards, you have 461 00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:06,320 Speaker 8: to transact in boulevards. Now, we didn't have teather or 462 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:09,359 Speaker 8: pitcoin at this point, right, So the world's changing in 463 00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:10,560 Speaker 8: an interesting way. 464 00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:12,600 Speaker 5: You have to follow that. 465 00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:15,200 Speaker 8: I mean you you know you don't want to, I 466 00:24:15,240 --> 00:24:17,600 Speaker 8: don't know, poke the bear, right, And then you have 467 00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:20,639 Speaker 8: to have people to become experts and how whatever government 468 00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:23,920 Speaker 8: you're working with runs and we do and that's how 469 00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:26,639 Speaker 8: we But this was a very common still is common 470 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:30,119 Speaker 8: to operate in some of these places where you know, 471 00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,159 Speaker 8: you know places that have cocoa, right, you know some 472 00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:38,000 Speaker 8: of the African countries there, Zimbabwe, right South Africa. You 473 00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:41,280 Speaker 8: still have this situation you have to become there is 474 00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:46,760 Speaker 8: a competitive advantage of becoming experts at working in difficult places. 475 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:51,360 Speaker 2: Were you ever pressured though, for instance, to lower grocery prices? 476 00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:55,119 Speaker 8: Oh, absolutely all the time, right, And there were laws 477 00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:57,600 Speaker 8: on theoretically how much you could make and how the 478 00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:00,280 Speaker 8: counting was done on that. And you know, if we 479 00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 8: had a global rice shortage, it was not the fact 480 00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:05,640 Speaker 8: that we had a global rice shortage and prices rising. 481 00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:07,960 Speaker 8: It was Cargil that was doing it too. You know, 482 00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:11,160 Speaker 8: to the people. You had to have an escapegoat effectively. 483 00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:13,919 Speaker 8: And you know, at some point you just know that 484 00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:16,840 Speaker 8: you can't import at price X and sell it for 485 00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 8: X minus, you know, a bunch and you'll just bleed 486 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:25,560 Speaker 8: out and quite frankly, at some point and several geographies, 487 00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:28,440 Speaker 8: we'd get a situation where corporation says. 488 00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:30,120 Speaker 5: We will put no more dollars in the country. 489 00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:33,679 Speaker 8: And we were there and I can still remember that. 490 00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:37,199 Speaker 8: So if we wanted to import something, we had to 491 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:40,320 Speaker 8: get dollars either from the government or figure out how 492 00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:44,879 Speaker 8: to export something. They created dollars. So that's where you 493 00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:47,320 Speaker 8: really start to struggle because you're basically relying on the 494 00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:51,399 Speaker 8: government to exchange boulevards for dollars. And that's where we 495 00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:53,959 Speaker 8: tried all kinds of things to try to export. I mean, 496 00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:57,760 Speaker 8: there was salt there, we tried palletts, but every time 497 00:25:57,800 --> 00:26:00,159 Speaker 8: you tried to do something, somebody in the accounty it 498 00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,440 Speaker 8: was like grabbing that. Oh no, if you really want 499 00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:05,199 Speaker 8: to move that, you know, to the port, that's going 500 00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:09,399 Speaker 8: to require some facilitation payment or something like that. It 501 00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:12,639 Speaker 8: just and the team down there was desperately trying it 502 00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,280 Speaker 8: because the other thing we needed beyond just the raw 503 00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:18,440 Speaker 8: materials that we needed spare parts. And this maybe lies 504 00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,520 Speaker 8: to your question about what's the situation there. You know, 505 00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:24,320 Speaker 8: if you need to buy some electrical equipment from Semens, 506 00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:27,480 Speaker 8: they're not going to want bulevards and they want euros 507 00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:29,359 Speaker 8: or dollars. So we were having to try to figure 508 00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:33,000 Speaker 8: out how to generate enough dollars just to get spare parts. 509 00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:36,560 Speaker 8: And you know, I'm not sure how I can only 510 00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:39,000 Speaker 8: speak for my situation is now the team is really 511 00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:41,399 Speaker 8: focused instead of kind of on their day to day 512 00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:44,800 Speaker 8: job of running logistics and parts you on getting things 513 00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:48,440 Speaker 8: in their jobs, switched to how do we originate dollars? 514 00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:50,080 Speaker 8: So you have you know, a couple of people that 515 00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:53,560 Speaker 8: are just expert in government and maybe like camp out 516 00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:57,119 Speaker 8: of government offices for long periods of time trying to 517 00:26:57,160 --> 00:27:00,280 Speaker 8: figure out winding through the red tape. And then you 518 00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:02,880 Speaker 8: have people trying to figure out, you know, hey, can 519 00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:06,800 Speaker 8: we put one ton, one kilo bag or one metric 520 00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:09,320 Speaker 8: ton bags together of salt that's sitting in this pile 521 00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:11,760 Speaker 8: and get them out of the country and sell them 522 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:15,160 Speaker 8: to generate dollars. So now you have a dollar generation 523 00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:19,040 Speaker 8: team and that can play out all over Argentina. Before Mala, 524 00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:22,200 Speaker 8: I don't know what the situation is now, was like that. Also, 525 00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:26,000 Speaker 8: when you have hyper inflation, you get into the situation 526 00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:28,720 Speaker 8: where you have to have a team it's just hunting dollars. 527 00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:31,960 Speaker 4: I wasn't expecting the conversation to go in this but 528 00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:35,199 Speaker 4: for either one of you and Jeff, you mentioned the 529 00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:38,879 Speaker 4: non I wasn't expecting to talk about tether in this episode, 530 00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:43,639 Speaker 4: but in today twenty twenty six, when you think about 531 00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:49,119 Speaker 4: sort of these currency bottlenecks that exist, do cryptocurrencies or 532 00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:52,960 Speaker 4: whether it's stable coins or something truly decentralized like bitcoin, 533 00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:58,320 Speaker 4: are people seriously either implementing or thinking about how some 534 00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:02,840 Speaker 4: of these new financial technologies can solve pain points within 535 00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:04,520 Speaker 4: the global egg trade. 536 00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:05,600 Speaker 5: Like this is your specialty? 537 00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:10,040 Speaker 9: Yeah, well, again, I can't speak to the specificity maybe 538 00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:13,919 Speaker 9: country by country, but certainly if you look maybe in 539 00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:17,679 Speaker 9: the big picture, the average producer somewhere in the world 540 00:28:17,680 --> 00:28:20,960 Speaker 9: that has a currency issue where it impedes them and 541 00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:25,440 Speaker 9: maybe the quality of their bank, their access to capital, 542 00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:28,760 Speaker 9: their access to foreign currency to. 543 00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:31,480 Speaker 7: Upgrade whatever it is. 544 00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:34,359 Speaker 9: Absolutely, the tethers of the world and things like that 545 00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:38,240 Speaker 9: are going to fundamentally change and the access to that. 546 00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:41,080 Speaker 7: Sort of thing where when you compare it to the. 547 00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:44,320 Speaker 9: Way it was before, for sure, and I will maybe 548 00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:47,640 Speaker 9: add a little half answer to what you through out 549 00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:50,480 Speaker 9: there too. There's a lot of great stories for folks 550 00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:55,880 Speaker 9: looking for something to entertain themselves around bitcoin, especially the 551 00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:59,280 Speaker 9: early bitcoin mining that was going on in Venezuela, for 552 00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,960 Speaker 9: people that were concerned about where the country was going, 553 00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:05,280 Speaker 9: where they would you know, tap into a small hydro plant. 554 00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:08,840 Speaker 9: It maybe a family's place out in the woods somewhere, 555 00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:11,680 Speaker 9: and mind bitcoin put it on a wallet and had 556 00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:13,880 Speaker 9: it as their escape valve in case they needed it. 557 00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:15,920 Speaker 7: And sure enough there. 558 00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:18,360 Speaker 9: Was a night where they traped through the jungle and 559 00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:20,560 Speaker 9: went to another country and had it on their wallet 560 00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:24,440 Speaker 9: and started another life. So yeah, there was some very 561 00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:28,240 Speaker 9: interesting early pioneering bitcoin stories around with. 562 00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:30,120 Speaker 7: The ball of our force folks to. 563 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:31,400 Speaker 5: Move early on. 564 00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:50,920 Speaker 2: Talk to us about people actually leaving Venezuela, because this 565 00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:53,280 Speaker 2: is also something that you hear a lot about, which is, 566 00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:57,880 Speaker 2: you know, if you were a Venezuelan with some amount 567 00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:02,240 Speaker 2: of means in the past, you were very incentivized to leave, 568 00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:06,080 Speaker 2: especially if you're working in certain businesses that the government 569 00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:09,480 Speaker 2: was targeting. Did you experience that at Cargill as well? 570 00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:12,320 Speaker 2: This sort of brain drain happened. 571 00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:12,520 Speaker 5: All the time. 572 00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:14,680 Speaker 8: First, I want to set the scene, right, we have 573 00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:18,400 Speaker 8: a at the time, we had an office in Caracas, 574 00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:20,920 Speaker 8: very nice, right, A lot of employees there, not just 575 00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:23,560 Speaker 8: kind of because we haven't a brand business, right, we 576 00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:27,400 Speaker 8: had people that were label designers, and I mean it 577 00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:30,680 Speaker 8: was the full on think of it. I don't know more, 578 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,400 Speaker 8: maybe the Proctor and Gain all the retail side of things. 579 00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:39,320 Speaker 8: So big office nice. We had a satellite communications there. 580 00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:43,360 Speaker 8: There was no star link yet, and so the office 581 00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:45,240 Speaker 8: was a nice place, right, And people actually, you know, 582 00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:46,960 Speaker 8: they're like, oh, yeah, I was there on Saturday, and 583 00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:49,320 Speaker 8: I'm like, you know, and the problem is when you 584 00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:53,920 Speaker 8: left that office, you zipped to your dated community, more 585 00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:57,680 Speaker 8: likely an apartment complex. You just had to go from 586 00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:02,360 Speaker 8: secured compound to secure concound. And then it became you know, 587 00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:04,480 Speaker 8: you didn't know if you were having water that week 588 00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:08,959 Speaker 8: or hot water. You might not have electricity for several days, 589 00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:13,080 Speaker 8: you might not have access, there might not be anything 590 00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:16,560 Speaker 8: to buy in a grocery store. Now, our employees were 591 00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:20,440 Speaker 8: getting some food from us because we made some basics, right, 592 00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:22,600 Speaker 8: you know, every week we would make sure that we 593 00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,400 Speaker 8: got something transferred from the plants and and put this 594 00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:30,640 Speaker 8: stuff together. So the life style that people lived was 595 00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:33,560 Speaker 8: not easy, even for those who theoretically had you know, 596 00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:39,040 Speaker 8: we're well educated, had good jobs. And eventually even our 597 00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:42,840 Speaker 8: business course, the business is slowing down and they leave. 598 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:46,200 Speaker 8: And then of course, in our case, we had a 599 00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:51,400 Speaker 8: plant that got nationalized at gunpoint. Well, if you're you know, 600 00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:55,280 Speaker 8: a highly skilled manager operator. You don't want to stick 601 00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:59,320 Speaker 8: around and start to have to do your job at gunpoint, right, 602 00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:01,200 Speaker 8: because they don't have any expertise and how to run 603 00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:03,960 Speaker 8: the planet. So the big wave, the first wave, the 604 00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:09,040 Speaker 8: first so we said several million Venezuelans were the most educated, 605 00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:12,479 Speaker 8: the most skilled, and it compounded itself, right because you know, 606 00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:16,000 Speaker 8: now nobody knows how to run the electric generation station, right, 607 00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:19,520 Speaker 8: that nobody knows, you know, obviously the petrochemical industry, right, 608 00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:22,640 Speaker 8: you can go get re employed around the world. You know, 609 00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:27,160 Speaker 8: if you're a you know, petro engineer, no problem. And 610 00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:30,040 Speaker 8: so those people went all over the place. And the 611 00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:32,680 Speaker 8: beauty of working for a multinational as we picked up 612 00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:35,440 Speaker 8: as many as we could, and that is you know, 613 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:39,320 Speaker 8: in that conversation to bring you. You have an employee 614 00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:42,840 Speaker 8: they call, they're very nationalistic, they know they're doing important work. 615 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:46,240 Speaker 8: They've had enough and you get that call and they go, 616 00:32:46,320 --> 00:32:49,280 Speaker 8: you know, they're they're they it's kind of sheepish. They're 617 00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:52,719 Speaker 8: like they feel like they're abandoning you, and you know, 618 00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:56,640 Speaker 8: we go and find them. My story was, you know, employee, 619 00:32:56,720 --> 00:32:59,160 Speaker 8: one of my last employees just says, I'm going to 620 00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:03,160 Speaker 8: Mexico City. I think his wife had was working for 621 00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:05,920 Speaker 8: Sony at the time and had some type of employment. 622 00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:08,040 Speaker 8: And I said, what are you going to do? And 623 00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:09,800 Speaker 8: he goes, I don't know, but I'm not going to 624 00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:13,040 Speaker 8: be here anymore, you know. I mailed my I mailed 625 00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:16,120 Speaker 8: my big screen TV and a couple of things DHL 626 00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:18,600 Speaker 8: and I'm going to take my guitars on the plane 627 00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:21,280 Speaker 8: and I'm done. And I said, well, I know what 628 00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:22,560 Speaker 8: you're going to do. You're going to go to this 629 00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:25,400 Speaker 8: address and you're going to work for me in Mexico. 630 00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:30,160 Speaker 8: And that played out hundreds of times inside my employer. 631 00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:33,720 Speaker 8: You'd go to a meeting in Mexico City. I still 632 00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:36,840 Speaker 8: remember a management meeting. They run a very large crush 633 00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:40,720 Speaker 8: refine facility north of Mexico City, and half the people 634 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:45,840 Speaker 8: in the room are Venezuelan's talented, smart educated, and that 635 00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:48,240 Speaker 8: you know that played out. I know you know if 636 00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:50,720 Speaker 8: from my social media, you know that happened in lots 637 00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:54,240 Speaker 8: of Western companies. They were very My experience working with 638 00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:58,520 Speaker 8: Venezuelans was it was fantastic. They had a good education system, 639 00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:04,000 Speaker 8: smart business abby and we gladly re employed them around. 640 00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:07,440 Speaker 4: The world, sticking with Venezuela for a moment. And we've 641 00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:10,120 Speaker 4: heard all the numbers about the oil industry and the 642 00:34:10,120 --> 00:34:13,040 Speaker 4: amount of upfront capital it would take to sort of 643 00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:18,440 Speaker 4: profitably begin shipping oil at scale or selling oil at scale. 644 00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:21,560 Speaker 4: What is your understanding like right now of the equivalent 645 00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:24,799 Speaker 4: within the realms that you're working in grains like, is 646 00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:28,840 Speaker 4: they're the same sort of view that all the infrastructure 647 00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:30,759 Speaker 4: that was being used during the days when it was 648 00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:35,239 Speaker 4: working profitably would need a significant amount of capital for 649 00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:38,160 Speaker 4: an entity like Cargill or the sort of family of 650 00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:42,040 Speaker 4: global food companies to want to re enter that business. 651 00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:45,600 Speaker 8: Look, I am not a Venezuela and expert. Our business 652 00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:48,680 Speaker 8: as actually an education and risk management around supply chains, 653 00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:50,800 Speaker 8: and we do a lot of work with US growers. 654 00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:53,640 Speaker 8: So this was a bit of an accidental experience to 655 00:34:55,040 --> 00:34:58,640 Speaker 8: from what happened to bring me here today. We do 656 00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:01,080 Speaker 8: know we were struggling to keep them plants maintained. These 657 00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:03,759 Speaker 8: are but there, and I'm sure there's a lot of 658 00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:05,439 Speaker 8: work that has to be done. I think the number 659 00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:08,000 Speaker 8: one thing you have to have is security, right, you 660 00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:10,680 Speaker 8: have to be able. You're going to need some promises. 661 00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:13,000 Speaker 8: There's a lot of companies that lost a lot of 662 00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:17,200 Speaker 8: money in Venezuela right with the assets they had, because 663 00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:19,960 Speaker 8: a second you walk away from an asset there, try 664 00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:24,359 Speaker 8: to even say, mothball it. Everything gets stolen, okay, that 665 00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:26,520 Speaker 8: you don't expect there's you walk into a plant that 666 00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:29,600 Speaker 8: you shut down five years ago, that there'll be anything there. 667 00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:34,080 Speaker 8: You have to defend it couple times. Otherwise if somebody's 668 00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:35,400 Speaker 8: going to go in there and you know, sell the 669 00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:37,879 Speaker 8: parts in the black market and scrap the rest because 670 00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:42,120 Speaker 8: scrap byron trades and dollars and so you can't expect 671 00:35:42,160 --> 00:35:46,759 Speaker 8: that there's unless the whatever it is is running, you 672 00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:49,040 Speaker 8: can't expect much. And I know that there they were 673 00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:52,880 Speaker 8: started as strange again, strange things that happen as the 674 00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:56,560 Speaker 8: domestic situation got worse. They actually had to increase imports 675 00:35:56,840 --> 00:35:59,319 Speaker 8: of finished goods because you couldn't finish them in the 676 00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:03,160 Speaker 8: country anymore. But there was still demand and you had remittances. Right, 677 00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,640 Speaker 8: SAME's like Mexico, right, so there is some dollars floating 678 00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:08,920 Speaker 8: even into people that stay. I know, you know, we 679 00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:11,239 Speaker 8: had some employees that talk about sending money to their 680 00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:15,040 Speaker 8: families in Venezuela and easier to do now probably, but 681 00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:17,880 Speaker 8: that was you know, the Miami banking connection and some 682 00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:22,120 Speaker 8: things like that. So I best suspect that there's a 683 00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:24,240 Speaker 8: tremendous amount of work, but I am not an expert 684 00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,359 Speaker 8: on the current situation. I think it can be done 685 00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:31,560 Speaker 8: in the basic staples. Those plants are not that hard. 686 00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:35,759 Speaker 8: Flour mills, oil refineries. Yeah, you know, there's no doubt 687 00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:38,440 Speaker 8: if the world put their mind to it. And I 688 00:36:38,520 --> 00:36:41,440 Speaker 8: just saw we sold three hundred million dollars worth of 689 00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:44,960 Speaker 8: oil here this morning. They went apparently to buy the currency, 690 00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:48,160 Speaker 8: and then we talked about currency stabilization. Apparently they must 691 00:36:48,160 --> 00:36:49,520 Speaker 8: have used a lot of that to buy boll of 692 00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:52,600 Speaker 8: ours and create a more stable exchange so you can 693 00:36:52,640 --> 00:36:55,880 Speaker 8: get the economy floating. So, you know, hats off to 694 00:36:55,920 --> 00:36:59,480 Speaker 8: the current administration for somebody's obviously paying attention. But yeah, 695 00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:02,160 Speaker 8: it's going to take security, it's going to take some 696 00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:06,120 Speaker 8: promises stability, because you know, you're talking about putting hundreds 697 00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:08,560 Speaker 8: of millions of dollars on the ground into a place 698 00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:12,000 Speaker 8: where effectively those those type. 699 00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:13,080 Speaker 5: Of investments were lost. 700 00:37:14,000 --> 00:37:16,120 Speaker 8: And I don't think that's going to be an easy 701 00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:18,840 Speaker 8: sell to the multinational world. 702 00:37:20,239 --> 00:37:24,600 Speaker 2: What was it like just moving stuff within Venezuela. Because 703 00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:28,760 Speaker 2: you describe how an empty plant wou would be gutted 704 00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:32,680 Speaker 2: fairly quickly. I imagine if people saw an opportunity, you know, 705 00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:36,040 Speaker 2: a truckload of something that could be valuable on the road, 706 00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:39,359 Speaker 2: they probably seized on that as well. 707 00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:42,759 Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean it doesn't matter what you know. Venezuela was. 708 00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:47,200 Speaker 8: You know, we had security experts that work for us, 709 00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:49,200 Speaker 8: that understood what they had to ground, you know, do 710 00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:51,640 Speaker 8: on the ground to get shipments like safe from the 711 00:37:51,680 --> 00:37:54,640 Speaker 8: port to the plant, or from the plant to a 712 00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,279 Speaker 8: grocery store right or something like that, or some kind 713 00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:02,640 Speaker 8: of distribution. Very it's very difficult. My more recently, you 714 00:38:02,719 --> 00:38:05,960 Speaker 8: think this doesn't go on in Mexico. You know, we 715 00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:10,840 Speaker 8: were losing a lot of trucks. Sometimes we'd get the 716 00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:14,360 Speaker 8: trucks back, sometimes we lost the cargo in the trucks. 717 00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:19,319 Speaker 8: That still goes on right today. And you sit there 718 00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:21,359 Speaker 8: and try to understand what is the cost of doing 719 00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:24,200 Speaker 8: business right, and you will lose some along the way, 720 00:38:24,800 --> 00:38:30,800 Speaker 8: and sometimes you hire local companies that are more able 721 00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:33,920 Speaker 8: to navigate how to get things moved from point A 722 00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:36,719 Speaker 8: to point B, and you effectively have to work from 723 00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:41,280 Speaker 8: inside your compound. You also have to secure from theft 724 00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:45,640 Speaker 8: right at the compound. Right, It's just all these drags 725 00:38:45,680 --> 00:38:48,640 Speaker 8: on the economy when you get into these situations, right, 726 00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:52,320 Speaker 8: it's just dragging the entire country down in hyper inflation. 727 00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:54,399 Speaker 8: I think if you studied in it. You know, Mike 728 00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:57,879 Speaker 8: and I both have some economics theories. There's all these 729 00:38:58,000 --> 00:39:02,800 Speaker 8: dragging taxes on people. You know, your employee gets paid 730 00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:04,640 Speaker 8: today and they just as soon as they get paid, 731 00:39:04,640 --> 00:39:07,000 Speaker 8: they run out and spend it like they're done for 732 00:39:07,040 --> 00:39:11,200 Speaker 8: the rest of the day. Right, they shoe leather tacks, right, 733 00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:14,319 Speaker 8: and you know, now everything has to be secured with 734 00:39:14,800 --> 00:39:18,400 Speaker 8: you know, multi fences and barbed wire and constant guards 735 00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:21,719 Speaker 8: and guards and trucks and all that stuff. And if 736 00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:24,680 Speaker 8: you can remove that burden from the economy, it's just 737 00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:29,480 Speaker 8: a huge you know, you know, in boost the economy. 738 00:39:29,600 --> 00:39:32,120 Speaker 8: Mike and I are you know, watching things in Argentina. 739 00:39:32,520 --> 00:39:35,280 Speaker 8: I love going there. It's a beautiful place and highly 740 00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:38,719 Speaker 8: recommend but you know, let's see how that goes, because 741 00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:41,080 Speaker 8: it feels like the country is starting to lose some 742 00:39:41,120 --> 00:39:42,440 Speaker 8: of those shackles. 743 00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:45,320 Speaker 3: Tracy, I just have a warning to by the way, 744 00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:47,960 Speaker 3: to me specifically, Okay, Yeah, you're not gonna like it. 745 00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:52,359 Speaker 4: I've been watching the show Landman CBS, and so when 746 00:39:52,400 --> 00:39:54,279 Speaker 4: we do commodity episodes, I'm going to make a start 747 00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:56,520 Speaker 4: referencing a lot of things that I observe. But one 748 00:39:56,560 --> 00:39:59,040 Speaker 4: of the themes is one of the plot lines very 749 00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:02,560 Speaker 4: early on the is the phenomenon of both trucks that 750 00:40:02,640 --> 00:40:05,759 Speaker 4: disappear because the cartail is still them and then magically 751 00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:09,200 Speaker 4: reappear a month later. And it's not worth asking any 752 00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:11,800 Speaker 4: questions because then you have to get the FBI involved. 753 00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:12,320 Speaker 3: And yeah, et cetera. 754 00:40:12,480 --> 00:40:16,000 Speaker 4: So that the idea, what what Jeff was saying about 755 00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:19,520 Speaker 4: the truck suddenly coming back is something that I'm I'm 756 00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:21,799 Speaker 4: familiar with because I'm a viewer of TV. 757 00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:24,760 Speaker 2: Stood up by the television. I'm going to steal myself 758 00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:25,480 Speaker 2: for all the land Man. 759 00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:27,360 Speaker 4: Yeah, you're gonna get a lot, especially when we do 760 00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:32,000 Speaker 4: oil episodes. Yeah, Mike, talk to us the give us 761 00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:35,480 Speaker 4: a sort of your sense of Ukraine now and versus 762 00:40:35,520 --> 00:40:38,200 Speaker 4: before the war. And obviously there's still weave flowing out, 763 00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:40,360 Speaker 4: but we talked about the impairments, et cetera. 764 00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:43,359 Speaker 3: What is the sort of scale of. 765 00:40:43,280 --> 00:40:46,319 Speaker 4: The impairment and the damage, et cetera, and what sort 766 00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:48,600 Speaker 4: of levels are coming out of Ukraine and sort of 767 00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:50,680 Speaker 4: give us your sense of where things so these days 768 00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:53,000 Speaker 4: versus at the end of twenty twenty one. 769 00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:58,000 Speaker 9: Sure, and again I'm gonna say something fairly similar to 770 00:40:58,040 --> 00:41:00,640 Speaker 9: what Jeff is. I'm not as on the around there, though, 771 00:41:00,680 --> 00:41:02,960 Speaker 9: I'm very close with a lot of friends that are 772 00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:06,479 Speaker 9: still farming at scale and UH and trying to make 773 00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:08,920 Speaker 9: whatever it is they're doing work. 774 00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:12,839 Speaker 7: I would I would sort of start off with a theme. 775 00:41:12,880 --> 00:41:16,120 Speaker 9: I'm sure you've heard that. You know, they're incredibly resilient people. 776 00:41:16,360 --> 00:41:19,760 Speaker 9: They've been through similar things like this before, and perhaps 777 00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:22,560 Speaker 9: not this generation, but certainly in the not too distant past, 778 00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:27,480 Speaker 9: whether it be the Helota more and you know, post 779 00:41:27,480 --> 00:41:32,160 Speaker 9: Soviet UH situation and in some of the starvation that 780 00:41:32,239 --> 00:41:34,359 Speaker 9: came out of that, and then the World Wars one 781 00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:37,719 Speaker 9: and two, and so it isn't like it's that distant 782 00:41:37,560 --> 00:41:41,360 Speaker 9: in their past, and they're figuring it out in a 783 00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:45,560 Speaker 9: in a relatively simplified way. And I think that the 784 00:41:45,920 --> 00:41:49,719 Speaker 9: the two biggest changes as it pertains to the grain 785 00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:54,680 Speaker 9: side is a simplification. So instead of some of the 786 00:41:54,719 --> 00:41:58,520 Speaker 9: more complex to grow or expensive to grow crops like 787 00:41:58,560 --> 00:41:59,840 Speaker 9: sunflowers and corn. 788 00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:02,120 Speaker 7: They're pivoting more. 789 00:42:02,200 --> 00:42:06,000 Speaker 9: Back to the basics of of wheat and barley and 790 00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:07,439 Speaker 9: and things like that. 791 00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:09,120 Speaker 7: That just went in doubt. 792 00:42:09,520 --> 00:42:11,480 Speaker 9: Put that out there and and and see if we 793 00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:14,080 Speaker 9: can get at it in the spring. The human the 794 00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:17,719 Speaker 9: human capital pieces is an enormous problem right now. They 795 00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:21,279 Speaker 9: you know, just to find people that can can be 796 00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:23,279 Speaker 9: part of your work teams, whether it be driving the 797 00:42:23,320 --> 00:42:26,719 Speaker 9: trucks or driving the combines and tractors and are overseeing 798 00:42:26,719 --> 00:42:30,919 Speaker 9: the grain elevator operations is really really hard. And then, 799 00:42:31,080 --> 00:42:34,359 Speaker 9: as I alluded to earlier, the some of the main 800 00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:39,240 Speaker 9: horsepower export points have either been damaged or eliminated entirely 801 00:42:39,360 --> 00:42:41,720 Speaker 9: or disrupted in terms of them being kind of graysed 802 00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:44,960 Speaker 9: to where they're located relative to this this current you know, 803 00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:48,920 Speaker 9: fighting front sort of where it's located. But they're limping along, 804 00:42:49,040 --> 00:42:51,560 Speaker 9: and you know, I've been kind of surprised, to be 805 00:42:51,600 --> 00:42:53,520 Speaker 9: honest with you, as a total amount of grain that's 806 00:42:53,560 --> 00:42:57,400 Speaker 9: been grown. It's just the mix has changed the directions 807 00:42:57,440 --> 00:43:00,040 Speaker 9: through which they're exported or changed, and certainly that that 808 00:43:00,680 --> 00:43:03,240 Speaker 9: ultimately changes the price that comes back to the producer. 809 00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:06,640 Speaker 9: There So I'm sure they're not doing particularly well, but 810 00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:09,520 Speaker 9: they're you know, to their credit, they're still they're still 811 00:43:09,560 --> 00:43:11,160 Speaker 9: giving it a hard swing. 812 00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:14,560 Speaker 4: Just real quickly. So that a thing I would like 813 00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:16,960 Speaker 4: to learn today. What is it about wheat that makes 814 00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:20,960 Speaker 4: it a sort of simpler crop to process and export 815 00:43:21,160 --> 00:43:22,360 Speaker 4: than corn. 816 00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:29,440 Speaker 9: Well, the seed is materially less expensive, the fertility required 817 00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:33,200 Speaker 9: is materially less expensive, you know, per acre in their 818 00:43:33,239 --> 00:43:34,480 Speaker 9: world world per hectare. 819 00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:36,239 Speaker 7: The other thing that's just. 820 00:43:36,239 --> 00:43:39,520 Speaker 9: Circumstantially supportive in that part of the world is the 821 00:43:40,239 --> 00:43:44,879 Speaker 9: organic matter and the richness of the soil there is incredible. 822 00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:48,560 Speaker 9: You can kind of get away with it with lesser 823 00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:52,759 Speaker 9: intensive agronomic crops like wheat to still eke out a 824 00:43:52,760 --> 00:43:57,239 Speaker 9: pretty darn good crop. So that's the circumstance there. It's 825 00:43:57,239 --> 00:44:00,520 Speaker 9: also fairly easy to recycle your wheat and youtize it 826 00:44:00,520 --> 00:44:04,960 Speaker 9: as seed, where that's not a straightforward with with other crops. 827 00:44:06,960 --> 00:44:09,120 Speaker 2: I have one last question, and this is to both 828 00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:13,319 Speaker 2: of you, but what would be your major piece of 829 00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:18,960 Speaker 2: advice or message to a multinational company that's considering either 830 00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:21,960 Speaker 2: you know, maybe they're looking at Venezuela and going there's 831 00:44:21,960 --> 00:44:25,080 Speaker 2: an opportunity there. I want in or maybe they're thinking 832 00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:29,200 Speaker 2: about post war Ukraine and expansion there. What would you 833 00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:31,400 Speaker 2: tell those companies. 834 00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:35,120 Speaker 8: Well, I mean you have to have some expertise if 835 00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:37,080 Speaker 8: you're going to go into these places. So if you 836 00:44:37,120 --> 00:44:39,920 Speaker 8: don't have it with you, you need to find it and 837 00:44:40,000 --> 00:44:42,640 Speaker 8: find people you trust. Security is going to be your 838 00:44:42,719 --> 00:44:46,439 Speaker 8: number one part of it, and start, you know, start 839 00:44:46,480 --> 00:44:50,239 Speaker 8: with a small business right to learn how things actually work. 840 00:44:50,520 --> 00:44:51,840 Speaker 8: We used to start with feed mills. 841 00:44:51,880 --> 00:44:52,279 Speaker 5: They're relet. 842 00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:55,520 Speaker 8: You can put up a caistmeill relatively small portable feed 843 00:44:55,520 --> 00:44:58,279 Speaker 8: mills and start to learn how things actually work on 844 00:44:58,320 --> 00:45:00,520 Speaker 8: the ground. We have hundreds of stores is where we 845 00:45:00,560 --> 00:45:03,680 Speaker 8: bought businesses, thought we knew what was going on even 846 00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:06,120 Speaker 8: after we'd been there, only to find up on first 847 00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:09,640 Speaker 8: day that, oh, you know, you weren't. You're supposed to 848 00:45:09,640 --> 00:45:12,680 Speaker 8: pay a bride to the meat inspector or something like that. 849 00:45:12,719 --> 00:45:15,279 Speaker 8: So my advice is find a small business that you 850 00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:17,960 Speaker 8: can run there with a reasonable investment and treat that 851 00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:21,000 Speaker 8: as a learning curve or learn, you know, paying tuition 852 00:45:21,600 --> 00:45:25,360 Speaker 8: before you jump in and make it make those big 853 00:45:26,160 --> 00:45:28,200 Speaker 8: hard capital asset investments. 854 00:45:28,600 --> 00:45:30,920 Speaker 7: Yeah, and Ukraine has slightly different context. 855 00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:33,719 Speaker 9: I think the blueprint is there is if you look 856 00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:37,320 Speaker 9: at the I would kind of describe the glory days 857 00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:41,799 Speaker 9: of the grain business in the late nineties when the 858 00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:46,560 Speaker 9: infrastructure really got built back back up in a way 859 00:45:46,560 --> 00:45:48,720 Speaker 9: that served the global markets with a lot of value 860 00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:53,440 Speaker 9: added processing, tremendous amount of investment that went through the oughts, 861 00:45:53,520 --> 00:45:57,200 Speaker 9: you know, probably five or six eight right around there. 862 00:45:57,480 --> 00:46:00,440 Speaker 9: So the blueprint is there. I just think it's going 863 00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:07,040 Speaker 9: to take resilient people, patients attempting to maintain your teams 864 00:46:07,760 --> 00:46:11,480 Speaker 9: there within the reality of the things that are going 865 00:46:11,520 --> 00:46:13,480 Speaker 9: to be personal decisions for them, for their safety, for 866 00:46:13,520 --> 00:46:17,400 Speaker 9: their family, for whatever. You're just going to have to 867 00:46:17,440 --> 00:46:19,759 Speaker 9: go with that flow for the foreseeable future and see 868 00:46:19,760 --> 00:46:20,759 Speaker 9: how this all plays out. 869 00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:24,960 Speaker 2: All right, Mike and Jeff, thank you so much for 870 00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:27,719 Speaker 2: coming on add thoughts. That was fascinating. We could go 871 00:46:27,800 --> 00:46:30,600 Speaker 2: on for another hour or two or three and listen 872 00:46:30,640 --> 00:46:33,440 Speaker 2: to all your stories of doing business in these places, 873 00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:34,840 Speaker 2: but we're going to have to leave it there, so 874 00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:35,719 Speaker 2: thank you so much. 875 00:46:36,480 --> 00:46:37,279 Speaker 8: Thanks for having us on. 876 00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:50,960 Speaker 6: Thank you, Joe. 877 00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:54,080 Speaker 2: That was super interesting, super interesting both from an agricultural 878 00:46:54,120 --> 00:46:58,200 Speaker 2: perspective and then obviously Venezuela and Ukrainian perspective. One thing 879 00:46:58,200 --> 00:47:01,400 Speaker 2: that stood out to me was this idea of large 880 00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:05,920 Speaker 2: companies multinationals coming together they enter a new market like 881 00:47:05,960 --> 00:47:09,520 Speaker 2: that because it becomes easier to operate I guess at 882 00:47:09,520 --> 00:47:13,080 Speaker 2: the legal and cultural level that they're used to. That 883 00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:13,960 Speaker 2: was really interesting. 884 00:47:14,040 --> 00:47:15,839 Speaker 3: Yeah, I hadn't thought about that at all. 885 00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:19,640 Speaker 4: Right, So it's like global multinationals, even setting aside law, 886 00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:22,360 Speaker 4: you know, they have certain norms you just sort of expect, 887 00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:27,760 Speaker 4: and so someone from Nessley talks to someone from whatever, 888 00:47:27,840 --> 00:47:30,560 Speaker 4: and they're like, oh, have a shipment here at this time, 889 00:47:30,600 --> 00:47:33,040 Speaker 4: and they can more or less expect that that entity 890 00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:38,080 Speaker 4: will do that and without too much translation or whatever. 891 00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:40,680 Speaker 4: And so the idea that that is really important is 892 00:47:40,680 --> 00:47:41,680 Speaker 4: something I hadn't thought. 893 00:47:41,480 --> 00:47:44,200 Speaker 3: Of also on this, and it's something I've. 894 00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:49,000 Speaker 4: Thought about even working at a large multinational ourselves. Is 895 00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:52,560 Speaker 4: this way that like large companies are sort of we 896 00:47:52,680 --> 00:47:56,239 Speaker 4: call them multinationals, but they're also like nations unto themselves 897 00:47:56,280 --> 00:47:58,799 Speaker 4: in this sense. Like think about the fact that when 898 00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:01,839 Speaker 4: you move from New York to Abu Dhabi to Hong 899 00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:04,400 Speaker 4: Kong and back to New York, that there is a 900 00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:09,080 Speaker 4: team that facilitates all of these processes of like visas 901 00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:12,959 Speaker 4: and stuff like that and so forth. And I thought 902 00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:16,240 Speaker 4: about that when he described the phenomenon of the workers 903 00:48:16,239 --> 00:48:19,359 Speaker 4: being more comfortable in the office than back home, that like, 904 00:48:20,239 --> 00:48:23,719 Speaker 4: the corporate office in this environment is like this like 905 00:48:24,080 --> 00:48:27,640 Speaker 4: pocket of sort of I guess you would say developed 906 00:48:27,760 --> 00:48:30,880 Speaker 4: world ease and comfort, right, and that the moment you 907 00:48:31,000 --> 00:48:33,719 Speaker 4: leave that office, you are out of that then you 908 00:48:33,760 --> 00:48:35,440 Speaker 4: suddenly have to worry about electricity. 909 00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:37,280 Speaker 3: Then you sort of have to worry about maybe. 910 00:48:37,080 --> 00:48:40,440 Speaker 4: Running water and security and how big companies sort of 911 00:48:40,680 --> 00:48:44,879 Speaker 4: create these security and legal environments within themselves that are 912 00:48:44,880 --> 00:48:47,719 Speaker 4: these like cross border pockets, but that will be the 913 00:48:47,800 --> 00:48:50,680 Speaker 4: same from one office to another, regardless of what country 914 00:48:50,680 --> 00:48:51,440 Speaker 4: they're operating in. 915 00:48:51,640 --> 00:48:51,879 Speaker 9: Yeah. 916 00:48:51,920 --> 00:48:54,400 Speaker 2: Absolutely. The other thing that I was thinking about was 917 00:48:54,480 --> 00:48:57,239 Speaker 2: the currency question. Yeahen it comes to Venezuela. I mean 918 00:48:57,280 --> 00:49:01,480 Speaker 2: you would assume with maybe this new relationship with the US, 919 00:49:01,520 --> 00:49:05,080 Speaker 2: access to dollars, maybe we'll get a little bit easier. 920 00:49:05,080 --> 00:49:07,799 Speaker 2: But it was fascinating to hear from Jeff just how 921 00:49:07,920 --> 00:49:11,520 Speaker 2: creative they got when it came to securing dollars. So 922 00:49:11,560 --> 00:49:15,000 Speaker 2: for instance, you know, trying to export wooden palettes in 923 00:49:15,040 --> 00:49:18,960 Speaker 2: exchange for US currency and things like that. Basically bartering, right. 924 00:49:19,080 --> 00:49:21,640 Speaker 4: Yeah, it does sound like it basically comes down to 925 00:49:21,680 --> 00:49:24,000 Speaker 4: bartering or like here some sacks of. 926 00:49:24,000 --> 00:49:25,680 Speaker 3: Salt that can be used. 927 00:49:25,680 --> 00:49:28,040 Speaker 4: And then you have this issue, which is that you 928 00:49:28,080 --> 00:49:30,960 Speaker 4: can have all of the talents in the country, although 929 00:49:31,040 --> 00:49:33,200 Speaker 4: much of it's left in many of these cases. But 930 00:49:33,200 --> 00:49:34,799 Speaker 4: you have all this talent and you have all those 931 00:49:34,880 --> 00:49:37,640 Speaker 4: raw commodities, but you need a part, and you need 932 00:49:37,640 --> 00:49:41,279 Speaker 4: it from some advanced specialty maker of an industrial part 933 00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:45,959 Speaker 4: for refinery or whatever, and that's sold by European multinational 934 00:49:45,960 --> 00:49:48,560 Speaker 4: and you need a hard currency for that. And so 935 00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:52,280 Speaker 4: there is no getting around this fact that like true 936 00:49:52,280 --> 00:49:56,080 Speaker 4: self sufficiency is very rare. It almost doesn't exist anywhere 937 00:49:56,080 --> 00:49:59,279 Speaker 4: in the world so long as any one component. And 938 00:49:59,320 --> 00:50:01,520 Speaker 4: of course we know the what China shot all for. 939 00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:05,160 Speaker 4: They want to have every aspect of the entire supply 940 00:50:05,360 --> 00:50:09,360 Speaker 4: chain in house such that there is no possibility of 941 00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:11,960 Speaker 4: them not being able to access one part and grinding 942 00:50:12,000 --> 00:50:13,160 Speaker 4: a whole industry to a hall. 943 00:50:13,360 --> 00:50:15,960 Speaker 6: Yeah, all right, we could go on. 944 00:50:16,160 --> 00:50:17,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, shall we leave it there? 945 00:50:17,200 --> 00:50:17,879 Speaker 3: Let's see it there. 946 00:50:18,080 --> 00:50:20,799 Speaker 2: This has been another episode of the Authoughts podcast. I'm 947 00:50:20,840 --> 00:50:23,920 Speaker 2: Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy alloway. 948 00:50:23,680 --> 00:50:24,920 Speaker 3: And I'm Joe Wisenthal. 949 00:50:24,960 --> 00:50:27,399 Speaker 4: You can follow me at The Stalwart, follow our guests 950 00:50:27,440 --> 00:50:30,279 Speaker 4: Jeff and Mike and their work at Agris Academy at 951 00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:34,359 Speaker 4: Agris Academy, follow our producers Carmen Rodriguez at Carmen Arman, 952 00:50:34,440 --> 00:50:37,400 Speaker 4: dash A Bennett at Dashbot, and Kelbrooks at Keil Brooks. 953 00:50:37,680 --> 00:50:39,879 Speaker 4: And for more odd Laws content, go to Bloomberg dot 954 00:50:39,920 --> 00:50:42,480 Speaker 4: com slash odd Lots with the daily newsletter and all 955 00:50:42,520 --> 00:50:44,640 Speaker 4: of our episodes, and you can chout about all of 956 00:50:44,680 --> 00:50:47,800 Speaker 4: these topics twenty four to seven in our discord discord 957 00:50:48,160 --> 00:50:49,440 Speaker 4: gg slash hot Lots. 958 00:50:49,680 --> 00:50:51,839 Speaker 2: And if you enjoy ad thoughts, if you like it 959 00:50:51,960 --> 00:50:54,319 Speaker 2: when we talk about what it was really like to 960 00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:57,920 Speaker 2: do business in places like Venezuela and Ukraine, then please 961 00:50:58,000 --> 00:51:01,319 Speaker 2: leave us a positive review on your favorite podcast platform. 962 00:51:01,440 --> 00:51:04,200 Speaker 2: And remember, if you are a Bloomberg subscriber, you can 963 00:51:04,239 --> 00:51:07,600 Speaker 2: listen to all of our episodes absolutely ad free. All 964 00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:09,680 Speaker 2: you need to do is find the Bloomberg channel on 965 00:51:09,760 --> 00:51:29,000 Speaker 2: Apple Podcasts and follow the instructions there. Thanks for listening