WEBVTT - FFW Micro - Garrett Wilson

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<v Speaker 1>You found Fantasy Football Weekly Micro a deep dive on

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<v Speaker 1>one player in just five.

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<v Speaker 2>To ten minutes.

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<v Speaker 3>Now here's your host, Paul Chargian. Hey, welcome to Fantasy

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<v Speaker 3>Football Weekly Micro. Addition, this is where we do a

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<v Speaker 3>deep dive on one player. I am Paul Charchie and

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<v Speaker 3>my cost as usual for these Tyler Cannable.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, buddy, Hey, let's get it going.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I'm excited for this week. We've got three receivers

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<v Speaker 3>in one running back and two of the receivers have

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<v Speaker 3>got a lot in common but maybe heading different directions.

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<v Speaker 3>Who are we going to break down today?

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<v Speaker 2>We got Garrett Wilson, ap Rookie of the Year last year.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, he finished as the wide receiver twenty one in

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<v Speaker 1>and then wide receiver thirty one in average points per game,

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<v Speaker 1>but you wouldn't know it by his twenty twenty three

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<v Speaker 1>ADPU wide receiver nine currently.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, there's a there's a lot of momentum behind Garrett Wilson,

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<v Speaker 3>and understandably so. Second your receiver, the edition of Aaron Rodgers.

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<v Speaker 3>I think are the are the lead stories here, but

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<v Speaker 3>there's there's still a lot to like here. Let's spend

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<v Speaker 3>a little bit of time talking about how Zach Wilson

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<v Speaker 3>practically torpedoed his rookie season.

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<v Speaker 1>It's actually insane because it's like the Elijah Moore story

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<v Speaker 1>all over again kind of how going into last season

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<v Speaker 1>it was, oh, like all the games without Zach Wilson,

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<v Speaker 1>Elijah Moore like went off, And it's the exact same

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<v Speaker 1>story this season with Gary Wilson. So, I mean Gary

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<v Speaker 1>Wilson had a catchable target rate of sixty four percent,

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<v Speaker 1>which ranked ninety second and terrible.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, definitely that was a full season percent. Yeah, so

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<v Speaker 2>it definitely has place something to do with the other quarterbacks.

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<v Speaker 1>But when you dive in deeper to kind of the

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<v Speaker 1>splits with and without Zack Wilson, Yeah, with Zack Wilson,

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<v Speaker 1>they played nine games and then he averaged six targets,

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<v Speaker 1>three catches, forty nine yards and zero touchdowns.

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<v Speaker 2>Zero touchdowns and he was wide receiver.

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<v Speaker 1>Sixty one was his average brutal without Zach Wilson, So

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<v Speaker 1>this is like Joe Flacko at the beginning of the

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<v Speaker 1>season and then Mike White kind of filling in time

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<v Speaker 1>here and there. Yeah, six games, ten targets, six catches,

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<v Speaker 1>ninety one yards, had four touchdowns in six games.

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<v Speaker 2>So effectively everything doubled and was the wide receiver seven.

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<v Speaker 3>Receiver seven with Joe Flacco and Mike White. Now here

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<v Speaker 3>comes Aaron Rodgers, who, really, even at this stage of

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<v Speaker 3>his career, should be a lot better than Joe Flacco

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<v Speaker 3>and Mike White. So there's a plenty of reason for

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<v Speaker 3>optimism there. So let's talk about how much Aaron Rodgers

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<v Speaker 3>improves the Jets total offense and Garrett Wilson in particular.

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<v Speaker 3>This is this is going to be a fascinating opportunity.

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<v Speaker 3>Here is Wilson going to be the new Devanta Adams

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<v Speaker 3>for Aaron Rodgers. I think that's the you know, he's

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<v Speaker 3>going off the bard of wide receiver nine. So a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of people think so Rogers had doubled the touchdown

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<v Speaker 3>efficiency as the Jets quarterbacks, throwing scores on almost five

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<v Speaker 3>percent of his passes compared to around two percent for

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<v Speaker 3>the Jets, so touchdowns should bump up. He only had

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<v Speaker 3>the four touchdowns last year. That number goes to what

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<v Speaker 3>this year for Garrett Wilson? What do you think he.

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<v Speaker 2>Had four last year?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think with Aaron Rodgers, double dig like

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<v Speaker 1>touchdowns is not out of the question.

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<v Speaker 2>I would say, Renfields, right, Yeah, yeah, I'm with you.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, Rogers brings a staggering fourteen percent higher completion percentage

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<v Speaker 3>than the judge quarterbacks did last year. That's a humuck.

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<v Speaker 2>It's different. And is that the Aaron Those stats from

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<v Speaker 2>Aaron Rodgers last year?

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<v Speaker 3>Last year, Yah, Sara Rogers, We've hurt all that exactly,

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<v Speaker 3>played exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not even like the Aaron Rodgers at his best,

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<v Speaker 1>like healthy Aaron Rodgers exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>And last year's quarterback limitations turned Garrett Wilson's route running.

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<v Speaker 3>Primarily he became an intermediary slant receiver because that's what

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<v Speaker 3>his quarterbacks could do. But when we looked at what

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<v Speaker 3>Garrett Wilson did in college, man, he was a beast

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<v Speaker 3>when he was attacking down field and especially at the boundaries.

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<v Speaker 3>Rogers is going to open up the full route tree

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<v Speaker 3>for Garrett Wilson.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I agree. I think, I honestly think. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>the easy thing to say is that Garret Wilson is

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<v Speaker 1>the new with Devanta Adams. But I'm fully in on

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that he is the new Devanta Adams just

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<v Speaker 1>because it's just their games feel so similar. They're both

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<v Speaker 1>like expert route runners. That's kind of what Gary Wilson

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<v Speaker 1>feels like. Yeah, they are both. I mean, Gara Wilson's

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<v Speaker 1>even like fast, a lot faster than DeVonta Adams ever was,

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<v Speaker 1>which is definitely good for just the big playability kind

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<v Speaker 1>of side of things.

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<v Speaker 2>But I don't know everything about Gary Wilson.

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<v Speaker 1>This year just feels like, I mean, like we said

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<v Speaker 1>he was want to see for seven with Mike White

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<v Speaker 1>last year and Joe Claco.

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<v Speaker 2>Right now he's got Aaron.

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<v Speaker 1>Rodgers, so I just I don't know. It feels like

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<v Speaker 1>he should be going around those guys with like aj

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<v Speaker 1>Brown and stuff like. That's that's how I feel about

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<v Speaker 1>Gary Wilson. I didn't think I'd beat this high on

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<v Speaker 1>him because I was like, oh, he's going up these

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<v Speaker 1>draft boards.

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<v Speaker 2>He's going his price is insanely high.

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<v Speaker 1>But I'm still in on him somehow, and I'm usually

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<v Speaker 1>not in on those type of guys.

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<v Speaker 3>So who competes with Garrett Wilson for looks in this offense?

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<v Speaker 3>And this is the other part of the story that

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<v Speaker 3>I think makes you feel really confident. So there's Alan

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<v Speaker 3>Wizard with Rogers and Green Bay last year, Lazzard averaged

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<v Speaker 3>four catches, fifty three yards and a third of a

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<v Speaker 3>touchdown per game. Who cares, Yeah, I don't care about it.

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<v Speaker 2>With DeVonta Adams was there, didn't matter.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, didn't matter. And actually, as a side note, I

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<v Speaker 3>think Lizzard's a sleeper candidate with Wilson pulling the best

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<v Speaker 3>coverage away a little bit like DeVonta Adam used to.

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<v Speaker 3>I think actually Lazzard could could be a serviceable flex

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<v Speaker 3>guy in this offense because Rogers is going to feed

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<v Speaker 3>more than one receiver probably, although DeVonta Adams was the

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<v Speaker 3>clear one a all the time in Green Bay. But

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<v Speaker 3>if there's somebody else that's going to do well here,

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<v Speaker 3>it's probably Lizard because the rest of the RUSS the

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<v Speaker 3>receiver group are proven under performers.

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<v Speaker 2>None of these guys have done well.

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<v Speaker 3>Randall Cobb it's been I don't know six years since

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<v Speaker 3>he was a reliable fantasy starter. Mikole Hardman couldn't get

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<v Speaker 3>it done with Patrick Mahomes. Yeah, Corey Davis now just

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<v Speaker 3>as a journeyman, Denzel Mims last chance to make it

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<v Speaker 3>do anything in the NFL. And then the tight ends

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<v Speaker 3>are CJ. Zumann, Tyler Conklin, who Cares. Yeah, so for

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<v Speaker 3>Garrett Wilson clearly the go to receiver in this offense.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh, it's not even close. I don't wonder.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't see how Garret Wilson doesn't end up with

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<v Speaker 1>like one hundred over one hundred catches this season. Honestly,

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<v Speaker 1>it feels like one hundred catch season for Garrett Wilson.

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<v Speaker 2>It could be huge, huge.

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<v Speaker 3>So let's uh, let's talk about whether or not Garrett

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<v Speaker 3>Wilson is actually being underdrafted at eighty P nine.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so I tossed this in here.

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<v Speaker 1>I got I guess the ADP game as normal, but

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<v Speaker 1>I got their Redraft and Dynasty edition because I feel

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<v Speaker 1>like it'd be just a little bit more fun to

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<v Speaker 1>kind of dive into balls.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, Garrettan Garrett Wilson's dynasty exactly is awfully high. We'll

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<v Speaker 3>talk more about that in a second. Let's do uh,

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<v Speaker 3>let's talk about who's getting drafted around him in redraft.

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<v Speaker 1>So for redraft, gar Wilson's wide severe nine, Stefan Diggs

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<v Speaker 1>wide receiver five.

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<v Speaker 2>Who would you rather have? Because this feels interesting.

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<v Speaker 3>Look I'm taking upside. I'm going with Garrett Wilson. You know,

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<v Speaker 3>I love what Drake's is super super safe. You know

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<v Speaker 3>what you're gonna get from it, and it's going to

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<v Speaker 3>be really good numbers. He is a B plus a

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<v Speaker 3>minus receiver every year. Stefan Diggs is great Garrets. Garrett

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<v Speaker 3>Wilson has the upside to be like wide receiver two.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, that's exactly. He is a Devanta Adams upside.

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<v Speaker 3>It's literally like which one was a wide receiver one exactly. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>although different, I mean they're not stylistically they're pretty different.

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<v Speaker 1>But anyway, I did a couple of drafts last night,

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<v Speaker 1>and I I think I had like the eighth pick,

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<v Speaker 1>and Diggs and Wilson were wolf there and I took

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<v Speaker 1>Wilson both times.

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<v Speaker 2>That's all right.

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<v Speaker 1>Gar Wilson a mon Ros Saint Brown wide receiver ten,

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<v Speaker 1>so going right after him.

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<v Speaker 3>Love him tackled inside the five I think seven times

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<v Speaker 3>last year.

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<v Speaker 2>A lot of times.

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<v Speaker 3>So it's there's a lot of opportunity for Aman Ross

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<v Speaker 3>Saint Brown to be a much more efficient fantasy producer.

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<v Speaker 3>But Garrett Wilson's just the downfield vertical stretch that should

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<v Speaker 3>happen here with Garrett Wilson is I'm on Rob sat

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<v Speaker 3>Brown just isn't that guy. He's not you know, running

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<v Speaker 3>from the slot. He's not somebody that's going to give

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<v Speaker 3>you the big plays that spark gigantic fantasy numbers. So

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<v Speaker 3>I can't take him there. I'm taking Garrett Wilson.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Yeah, I'm with you too, and DeVante Adams

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<v Speaker 1>wide receiver eight.

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<v Speaker 3>As we have talked about before, I'm out on Devanta Adams.

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<v Speaker 3>This is just too many things going wrong in Las Vegas.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm worried they're playing for the first pick overall. There's

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<v Speaker 3>just I I don't like the whole situation in Las Vegas.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm out on Adams. I think you've currently got him.

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<v Speaker 3>I've got him at wide receiver eleven or twelve. He'll

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<v Speaker 3>he'll never drop that far in any draft. So will

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<v Speaker 3>I will have probably no shares of Devanta Adams this year.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Wilson for me, clean sleeve across the board.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, So we're Wilson, Wilson, Wilson, yep. All right,

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<v Speaker 3>Well let's talk about Dynasty. Where'sh where's Wilson going in Dynasty?

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<v Speaker 1>So according to Keith trade Cutt, he is wide receiver

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<v Speaker 1>three in Dynasty.

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<v Speaker 2>He's very surprised me. So he's very high.

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<v Speaker 3>So Jefferson is one.

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<v Speaker 2>For Jardson and Chase are one two, one and two.

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<v Speaker 1>And then it's Garret Wilson, which is kind of crazy

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<v Speaker 1>to just say out loud.

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<v Speaker 3>That is I mean, so that means guy like Cooper

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<v Speaker 3>Cup not in this conversation.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh definitely, he's too old, I think to be in

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<v Speaker 1>the conversation. Just for in terms of Dina, you're looking

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<v Speaker 1>very very long term, and.

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<v Speaker 3>The quarterback we don't have, we don't have. No, we

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<v Speaker 3>don't know who the quarterback.

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<v Speaker 2>Is going to be next year exactly. Yeah, not even.

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<v Speaker 3>Totally confident that Stafford's gonna go through this year.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>So for the sake of just this argument right here

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<v Speaker 1>for Dynasty, let's just do a three year outlook. Say

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<v Speaker 1>you're trying to win the championship within three years, who

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<v Speaker 1>would you rather have on your team? Okay, for these

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<v Speaker 1>next guys, right, all right? Ceedee lamb, whye deceiver four.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, if my time frame is short enough that I'm

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<v Speaker 3>talking the next three years, I should have Aaron Rodgers

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<v Speaker 3>for at least like two of those years. So I'm

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<v Speaker 3>gonna take Gerrett Wilson.

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<v Speaker 2>I am for City, Lamb. And I love Ceedee Lamb.

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<v Speaker 2>I ce Ceede Lamb's that explosive.

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<v Speaker 3>Like Garrett Wilson can be.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and Garrett Ceedee Lamb's more of like it's just

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<v Speaker 1>a slock guy. I feel like you're I mean, I

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<v Speaker 1>want to say you're limited because we saw I feel

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<v Speaker 1>like Coop in the Cooper Cup year, he was all

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<v Speaker 1>over the place. I don't want to call him just

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<v Speaker 1>a slack guy, but I feel like when you're primarily

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<v Speaker 1>in the slot, it's harder to be like wide receiver one.

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<v Speaker 1>In my opinion, Yeah, I think I take Garrett Garret

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<v Speaker 1>Wilson over Cee Lamb. I know with Ceedee Lamb that

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<v Speaker 1>Dak is going to be there for the next three years.

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<v Speaker 1>That helps, so that definitely helps. But yeah, uh, Jalen Wattle,

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<v Speaker 1>why is your six?

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<v Speaker 2>I'm pretty sure I know we're going on this.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I'm going with Garrett Wilson again. I love Jay,

0:10:15.800 --> 0:10:19.040
<v Speaker 3>I love Jayalen Wattle and the speed's crazy. I don't

0:10:19.040 --> 0:10:22.360
<v Speaker 3>know whose quarterback is going to be because to any

0:10:22.400 --> 0:10:24.240
<v Speaker 3>game could be to his last, and he snapped could

0:10:24.240 --> 0:10:26.679
<v Speaker 3>be his last of his career. And now now I'm

0:10:26.679 --> 0:10:28.640
<v Speaker 3>back to a Mike White conversation that I don't want

0:10:28.640 --> 0:10:28.760
<v Speaker 3>to have.

0:10:29.120 --> 0:10:30.520
<v Speaker 2>Ye, so, and.

0:10:30.480 --> 0:10:33.119
<v Speaker 3>While I had too many games where he just totally

0:10:33.160 --> 0:10:36.959
<v Speaker 3>disappeared last year, he was a guillotine league nightmare, getting

0:10:36.960 --> 0:10:40.800
<v Speaker 3>guys chopped all the time. So yeah, uh, let's uh lamp,

0:10:41.040 --> 0:10:42.240
<v Speaker 3>I'm sticking with Garrett Wilson.

0:10:42.240 --> 0:10:45.320
<v Speaker 2>You Yeah, Garrett Wilson for me, and then A J. Brown?

0:10:45.360 --> 0:10:46.200
<v Speaker 2>Whyeed three or five?

0:10:46.400 --> 0:10:50.640
<v Speaker 3>Love AJ Brown. We spent a lot of time talking

0:10:50.679 --> 0:10:55.280
<v Speaker 3>about him last week. The consistency is fantastic.

0:10:54.559 --> 0:10:55.600
<v Speaker 2>And I love that part.

0:10:57.640 --> 0:10:58.920
<v Speaker 3>I think I go Garrett Wilson.

0:10:58.960 --> 0:10:59.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna go A J. Brown.

0:11:00.080 --> 0:11:01.800
<v Speaker 1>This is the only one where I'm not going to

0:11:01.840 --> 0:11:03.600
<v Speaker 1>go Garret Wilson, just because, like I said, you get

0:11:03.600 --> 0:11:05.760
<v Speaker 1>the you know, you have Jone hurts for a while,

0:11:06.320 --> 0:11:07.760
<v Speaker 1>and I feel like a good point. I feel like

0:11:07.800 --> 0:11:09.319
<v Speaker 1>Agent Brown can even have a better season than he

0:11:09.360 --> 0:11:09.920
<v Speaker 1>had last year.

0:11:10.000 --> 0:11:11.760
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you talked me into it. I'm going Brown, all right,

0:11:11.800 --> 0:11:14.600
<v Speaker 3>You're right, I'm going Brown. Every honesty as well. It's close.

0:11:14.760 --> 0:11:17.320
<v Speaker 3>Still young Brown's still very young. I mean, yeah, the

0:11:17.360 --> 0:11:20.439
<v Speaker 3>young quarterback, the whole thing. You're right, absolutely right, absolutely right.

0:11:20.920 --> 0:11:22.760
<v Speaker 3>So we love Garrett Wilson. I bumped them up my

0:11:22.800 --> 0:11:24.800
<v Speaker 3>cheat sheet. By the way, my cheat sheets are available now.

0:11:25.040 --> 0:11:28.440
<v Speaker 3>Guillotine leagues dot Com got the free cheat sheet for

0:11:28.760 --> 0:11:31.000
<v Speaker 3>just your people are looking for my rankings, they're there.

0:11:31.280 --> 0:11:33.480
<v Speaker 3>But if you want the deep dive data and Tyler,

0:11:33.480 --> 0:11:36.000
<v Speaker 3>you've you've been essential to helping me with the the

0:11:36.120 --> 0:11:39.680
<v Speaker 3>massive undertaking that is that spreadsheet, all the data diving,

0:11:40.280 --> 0:11:43.880
<v Speaker 3>so much great stuff specific to not just Guillotine Leagues,

0:11:43.920 --> 0:11:47.319
<v Speaker 3>but anybody who just wants more metrics with which to evaluate.

0:11:47.520 --> 0:11:51.400
<v Speaker 3>If you want the most enhanced cheat sheet out there, Guillotine.

0:11:51.000 --> 0:11:51.559
<v Speaker 2>Leagues dot com.

0:11:51.600 --> 0:11:54.199
<v Speaker 3>And then of course we also have guillotine leagues for me.

0:11:55.200 --> 0:11:57.800
<v Speaker 3>You're in guillotine leagues. I'm in a lot of guillotine leagues.

0:11:57.800 --> 0:11:59.679
<v Speaker 3>We love the format. If you want to try one,

0:11:59.720 --> 0:12:03.040
<v Speaker 3>this is your great chance right now, private league starting,

0:12:03.320 --> 0:12:04.319
<v Speaker 3>public leagues available.

0:12:04.360 --> 0:12:05.520
<v Speaker 2>We did a We've.

0:12:05.320 --> 0:12:07.280
<v Speaker 3>Got slow drafts, live drafts. We got a bunch of

0:12:07.280 --> 0:12:10.439
<v Speaker 3>slow drafts going, many slow drafts going right now. We're

0:12:10.440 --> 0:12:13.680
<v Speaker 3>doing live drafts many evenings as well, So all that

0:12:13.679 --> 0:12:15.440
<v Speaker 3>available in league second.

0:12:17.160 --> 0:12:18.800
<v Speaker 2>Our final. The danger.

0:12:18.800 --> 0:12:20.400
<v Speaker 3>The one thing I want to mention myot Garrett Wilson,

0:12:20.400 --> 0:12:23.760
<v Speaker 3>just the danger here is we didn't say anything bad

0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:26.680
<v Speaker 3>about him the whole show. Yeah, if Aaron Rodgers arm

0:12:26.920 --> 0:12:30.720
<v Speaker 3>is what we saw last year, the end is here

0:12:31.640 --> 0:12:35.400
<v Speaker 3>for Aaron Rodgers. Yeah, and that's a possibility.

0:12:35.440 --> 0:12:35.560
<v Speaker 2>Now.

0:12:35.559 --> 0:12:37.719
<v Speaker 3>He had the thumb injury, and so I blamed a

0:12:37.720 --> 0:12:40.559
<v Speaker 3>lot of those bad throws on the thumb. But if

0:12:40.559 --> 0:12:44.559
<v Speaker 3>that wasn't it, then it might be that the end

0:12:44.600 --> 0:12:45.600
<v Speaker 3>is here for Aaron Rodgers.

0:12:45.640 --> 0:12:47.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm not even willing to go down that road just

0:12:47.360 --> 0:12:49.880
<v Speaker 1>because I think we counted them out three years ago.

0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:51.679
<v Speaker 1>There's that whole thing where like right before he won

0:12:51.720 --> 0:12:54.880
<v Speaker 1>the MVPs, I always watched yea, he looked bad, and

0:12:55.320 --> 0:12:56.880
<v Speaker 1>then he came back and won two MVP So.

0:12:56.920 --> 0:12:58.760
<v Speaker 3>I was I was on the wash side of that

0:12:58.960 --> 0:13:01.320
<v Speaker 3>not correct wishful thinking from a Viking.

0:13:02.440 --> 0:13:04.640
<v Speaker 2>Tom Brady's gonna fall off a cliff that famous quote.

0:13:04.800 --> 0:13:07.480
<v Speaker 3>Oh yeah, well I got my own famous quote for

0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:10.480
<v Speaker 3>Tom Brady. All right, thank you for listening to Fantasy

0:13:10.520 --> 0:13:14.160
<v Speaker 3>Football Weekly Micro edition. We'll be back tomorrow with another

0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:18.640
<v Speaker 3>receiver with a lot of similarities but not the same

0:13:18.760 --> 0:13:22.800
<v Speaker 3>kind of outcome. Coming tomorrow. We'll talk to you then, everybody.

0:13:23.600 --> 0:13:27.199
<v Speaker 3>Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of iHeartRadio. For more

0:13:27.240 --> 0:13:31.319
<v Speaker 3>podcasts from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcasts, or

0:13:31.360 --> 0:13:33.240
<v Speaker 3>wherever you listen to your favorite shows.