Speaker 1: You found Fantasy Football Weekly Micro a deep dive on
Speaker 1: one player in just five.
Speaker 2: To ten minutes.
Speaker 3: Now here's your host, Paul Chargian. Hey, welcome to Fantasy
Speaker 3: Football Weekly Micro. Addition, this is where we do a
Speaker 3: deep dive on one player. I am Paul Charchie and
Speaker 3: my cost as usual for these Tyler Cannable.
Speaker 2: Hey, buddy, Hey, let's get it going.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm excited for this week. We've got three receivers
Speaker 3: in one running back and two of the receivers have
Speaker 3: got a lot in common but maybe heading different directions.
Speaker 3: Who are we going to break down today?
Speaker 2: We got Garrett Wilson, ap Rookie of the Year last year.
Speaker 1: Yeah, he finished as the wide receiver twenty one in
Speaker 1: and then wide receiver thirty one in average points per game,
Speaker 1: but you wouldn't know it by his twenty twenty three
Speaker 1: ADPU wide receiver nine currently.
Speaker 3: Yeah, there's a there's a lot of momentum behind Garrett Wilson,
Speaker 3: and understandably so. Second your receiver, the edition of Aaron Rodgers.
Speaker 3: I think are the are the lead stories here, but
Speaker 3: there's there's still a lot to like here. Let's spend
Speaker 3: a little bit of time talking about how Zach Wilson
Speaker 3: practically torpedoed his rookie season.
Speaker 1: It's actually insane because it's like the Elijah Moore story
Speaker 1: all over again kind of how going into last season
Speaker 1: it was, oh, like all the games without Zach Wilson,
Speaker 1: Elijah Moore like went off, And it's the exact same
Speaker 1: story this season with Gary Wilson. So, I mean Gary
Speaker 1: Wilson had a catchable target rate of sixty four percent,
Speaker 1: which ranked ninety second and terrible.
Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely that was a full season percent. Yeah, so
Speaker 2: it definitely has place something to do with the other quarterbacks.
Speaker 1: But when you dive in deeper to kind of the
Speaker 1: splits with and without Zack Wilson, Yeah, with Zack Wilson,
Speaker 1: they played nine games and then he averaged six targets,
Speaker 1: three catches, forty nine yards and zero touchdowns.
Speaker 2: Zero touchdowns and he was wide receiver.
Speaker 1: Sixty one was his average brutal without Zach Wilson, So
Speaker 1: this is like Joe Flacko at the beginning of the
Speaker 1: season and then Mike White kind of filling in time
Speaker 1: here and there. Yeah, six games, ten targets, six catches,
Speaker 1: ninety one yards, had four touchdowns in six games.
Speaker 2: So effectively everything doubled and was the wide receiver seven.
Speaker 3: Receiver seven with Joe Flacco and Mike White. Now here
Speaker 3: comes Aaron Rodgers, who, really, even at this stage of
Speaker 3: his career, should be a lot better than Joe Flacco
Speaker 3: and Mike White. So there's a plenty of reason for
Speaker 3: optimism there. So let's talk about how much Aaron Rodgers
Speaker 3: improves the Jets total offense and Garrett Wilson in particular.
Speaker 3: This is this is going to be a fascinating opportunity.
Speaker 3: Here is Wilson going to be the new Devanta Adams
Speaker 3: for Aaron Rodgers. I think that's the you know, he's
Speaker 3: going off the bard of wide receiver nine. So a
Speaker 3: lot of people think so Rogers had doubled the touchdown
Speaker 3: efficiency as the Jets quarterbacks, throwing scores on almost five
Speaker 3: percent of his passes compared to around two percent for
Speaker 3: the Jets, so touchdowns should bump up. He only had
Speaker 3: the four touchdowns last year. That number goes to what
Speaker 3: this year for Garrett Wilson? What do you think he.
Speaker 2: Had four last year?
Speaker 1: I mean, I think with Aaron Rodgers, double dig like
Speaker 1: touchdowns is not out of the question.
Speaker 2: I would say, Renfields, right, Yeah, yeah, I'm with you.
Speaker 3: Okay, Rogers brings a staggering fourteen percent higher completion percentage
Speaker 3: than the judge quarterbacks did last year. That's a humuck.
Speaker 2: It's different. And is that the Aaron Those stats from
Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers last year?
Speaker 3: Last year, Yah, Sara Rogers, We've hurt all that exactly,
Speaker 3: played exactly.
Speaker 1: It's not even like the Aaron Rodgers at his best,
Speaker 1: like healthy Aaron Rodgers exactly.
Speaker 3: And last year's quarterback limitations turned Garrett Wilson's route running.
Speaker 3: Primarily he became an intermediary slant receiver because that's what
Speaker 3: his quarterbacks could do. But when we looked at what
Speaker 3: Garrett Wilson did in college, man, he was a beast
Speaker 3: when he was attacking down field and especially at the boundaries.
Speaker 3: Rogers is going to open up the full route tree
Speaker 3: for Garrett Wilson.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I think, I honestly think. I mean,
Speaker 1: the easy thing to say is that Garret Wilson is
Speaker 1: the new with Devanta Adams. But I'm fully in on
Speaker 1: the fact that he is the new Devanta Adams just
Speaker 1: because it's just their games feel so similar. They're both
Speaker 1: like expert route runners. That's kind of what Gary Wilson
Speaker 1: feels like. Yeah, they are both. I mean, Gara Wilson's
Speaker 1: even like fast, a lot faster than DeVonta Adams ever was,
Speaker 1: which is definitely good for just the big playability kind
Speaker 1: of side of things.
Speaker 2: But I don't know everything about Gary Wilson.
Speaker 1: This year just feels like, I mean, like we said
Speaker 1: he was want to see for seven with Mike White
Speaker 1: last year and Joe Claco.
Speaker 2: Right now he's got Aaron.
Speaker 1: Rodgers, so I just I don't know. It feels like
Speaker 1: he should be going around those guys with like aj
Speaker 1: Brown and stuff like. That's that's how I feel about
Speaker 1: Gary Wilson. I didn't think I'd beat this high on
Speaker 1: him because I was like, oh, he's going up these
Speaker 1: draft boards.
Speaker 2: He's going his price is insanely high.
Speaker 1: But I'm still in on him somehow, and I'm usually
Speaker 1: not in on those type of guys.
Speaker 3: So who competes with Garrett Wilson for looks in this offense?
Speaker 3: And this is the other part of the story that
Speaker 3: I think makes you feel really confident. So there's Alan
Speaker 3: Wizard with Rogers and Green Bay last year, Lazzard averaged
Speaker 3: four catches, fifty three yards and a third of a
Speaker 3: touchdown per game. Who cares, Yeah, I don't care about it.
Speaker 2: With DeVonta Adams was there, didn't matter.
Speaker 3: Right, didn't matter. And actually, as a side note, I
Speaker 3: think Lizzard's a sleeper candidate with Wilson pulling the best
Speaker 3: coverage away a little bit like DeVonta Adam used to.
Speaker 3: I think actually Lazzard could could be a serviceable flex
Speaker 3: guy in this offense because Rogers is going to feed
Speaker 3: more than one receiver probably, although DeVonta Adams was the
Speaker 3: clear one a all the time in Green Bay. But
Speaker 3: if there's somebody else that's going to do well here,
Speaker 3: it's probably Lizard because the rest of the RUSS the
Speaker 3: receiver group are proven under performers.
Speaker 2: None of these guys have done well.
Speaker 3: Randall Cobb it's been I don't know six years since
Speaker 3: he was a reliable fantasy starter. Mikole Hardman couldn't get
Speaker 3: it done with Patrick Mahomes. Yeah, Corey Davis now just
Speaker 3: as a journeyman, Denzel Mims last chance to make it
Speaker 3: do anything in the NFL. And then the tight ends
Speaker 3: are CJ. Zumann, Tyler Conklin, who Cares. Yeah, so for
Speaker 3: Garrett Wilson clearly the go to receiver in this offense.
Speaker 2: Oh, it's not even close. I don't wonder.
Speaker 1: I don't see how Garret Wilson doesn't end up with
Speaker 1: like one hundred over one hundred catches this season. Honestly,
Speaker 1: it feels like one hundred catch season for Garrett Wilson.
Speaker 2: It could be huge, huge.
Speaker 3: So let's uh, let's talk about whether or not Garrett
Speaker 3: Wilson is actually being underdrafted at eighty P nine.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so I tossed this in here.
Speaker 1: I got I guess the ADP game as normal, but
Speaker 1: I got their Redraft and Dynasty edition because I feel
Speaker 1: like it'd be just a little bit more fun to
Speaker 1: kind of dive into balls.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Garrettan Garrett Wilson's dynasty exactly is awfully high. We'll
Speaker 3: talk more about that in a second. Let's do uh,
Speaker 3: let's talk about who's getting drafted around him in redraft.
Speaker 1: So for redraft, gar Wilson's wide severe nine, Stefan Diggs
Speaker 1: wide receiver five.
Speaker 2: Who would you rather have? Because this feels interesting.
Speaker 3: Look I'm taking upside. I'm going with Garrett Wilson. You know,
Speaker 3: I love what Drake's is super super safe. You know
Speaker 3: what you're gonna get from it, and it's going to
Speaker 3: be really good numbers. He is a B plus a
Speaker 3: minus receiver every year. Stefan Diggs is great Garrets. Garrett
Speaker 3: Wilson has the upside to be like wide receiver two.
Speaker 2: You know, that's exactly. He is a Devanta Adams upside.
Speaker 3: It's literally like which one was a wide receiver one exactly. Yeah,
Speaker 3: although different, I mean they're not stylistically they're pretty different.
Speaker 1: But anyway, I did a couple of drafts last night,
Speaker 1: and I I think I had like the eighth pick,
Speaker 1: and Diggs and Wilson were wolf there and I took
Speaker 1: Wilson both times.
Speaker 2: That's all right.
Speaker 1: Gar Wilson a mon Ros Saint Brown wide receiver ten,
Speaker 1: so going right after him.
Speaker 3: Love him tackled inside the five I think seven times
Speaker 3: last year.
Speaker 2: A lot of times.
Speaker 3: So it's there's a lot of opportunity for Aman Ross
Speaker 3: Saint Brown to be a much more efficient fantasy producer.
Speaker 3: But Garrett Wilson's just the downfield vertical stretch that should
Speaker 3: happen here with Garrett Wilson is I'm on Rob sat
Speaker 3: Brown just isn't that guy. He's not you know, running
Speaker 3: from the slot. He's not somebody that's going to give
Speaker 3: you the big plays that spark gigantic fantasy numbers. So
Speaker 3: I can't take him there. I'm taking Garrett Wilson.
Speaker 1: All right, Yeah, I'm with you too, and DeVante Adams
Speaker 1: wide receiver eight.
Speaker 3: As we have talked about before, I'm out on Devanta Adams.
Speaker 3: This is just too many things going wrong in Las Vegas.
Speaker 3: I'm worried they're playing for the first pick overall. There's
Speaker 3: just I I don't like the whole situation in Las Vegas.
Speaker 3: I'm out on Adams. I think you've currently got him.
Speaker 3: I've got him at wide receiver eleven or twelve. He'll
Speaker 3: he'll never drop that far in any draft. So will
Speaker 3: I will have probably no shares of Devanta Adams this year.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Wilson for me, clean sleeve across the board.
Speaker 3: All right, So we're Wilson, Wilson, Wilson, yep. All right,
Speaker 3: Well let's talk about Dynasty. Where'sh where's Wilson going in Dynasty?
Speaker 1: So according to Keith trade Cutt, he is wide receiver
Speaker 1: three in Dynasty.
Speaker 2: He's very surprised me. So he's very high.
Speaker 3: So Jefferson is one.
Speaker 2: For Jardson and Chase are one two, one and two.
Speaker 1: And then it's Garret Wilson, which is kind of crazy
Speaker 1: to just say out loud.
Speaker 3: That is I mean, so that means guy like Cooper
Speaker 3: Cup not in this conversation.
Speaker 1: Oh definitely, he's too old, I think to be in
Speaker 1: the conversation. Just for in terms of Dina, you're looking
Speaker 1: very very long term, and.
Speaker 3: The quarterback we don't have, we don't have. No, we
Speaker 3: don't know who the quarterback.
Speaker 2: Is going to be next year exactly. Yeah, not even.
Speaker 3: Totally confident that Stafford's gonna go through this year.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: So for the sake of just this argument right here
Speaker 1: for Dynasty, let's just do a three year outlook. Say
Speaker 1: you're trying to win the championship within three years, who
Speaker 1: would you rather have on your team? Okay, for these
Speaker 1: next guys, right, all right? Ceedee lamb, whye deceiver four.
Speaker 3: Well, if my time frame is short enough that I'm
Speaker 3: talking the next three years, I should have Aaron Rodgers
Speaker 3: for at least like two of those years. So I'm
Speaker 3: gonna take Gerrett Wilson.
Speaker 2: I am for City, Lamb. And I love Ceedee Lamb.
Speaker 2: I ce Ceede Lamb's that explosive.
Speaker 3: Like Garrett Wilson can be.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and Garrett Ceedee Lamb's more of like it's just
Speaker 1: a slock guy. I feel like you're I mean, I
Speaker 1: want to say you're limited because we saw I feel
Speaker 1: like Coop in the Cooper Cup year, he was all
Speaker 1: over the place. I don't want to call him just
Speaker 1: a slack guy, but I feel like when you're primarily
Speaker 1: in the slot, it's harder to be like wide receiver one.
Speaker 1: In my opinion, Yeah, I think I take Garrett Garret
Speaker 1: Wilson over Cee Lamb. I know with Ceedee Lamb that
Speaker 1: Dak is going to be there for the next three years.
Speaker 1: That helps, so that definitely helps. But yeah, uh, Jalen Wattle,
Speaker 1: why is your six?
Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure I know we're going on this.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going with Garrett Wilson again. I love Jay,
Speaker 3: I love Jayalen Wattle and the speed's crazy. I don't
Speaker 3: know whose quarterback is going to be because to any
Speaker 3: game could be to his last, and he snapped could
Speaker 3: be his last of his career. And now now I'm
Speaker 3: back to a Mike White conversation that I don't want
Speaker 3: to have.
Speaker 2: Ye, so, and.
Speaker 3: While I had too many games where he just totally
Speaker 3: disappeared last year, he was a guillotine league nightmare, getting
Speaker 3: guys chopped all the time. So yeah, uh, let's uh lamp,
Speaker 3: I'm sticking with Garrett Wilson.
Speaker 2: You Yeah, Garrett Wilson for me, and then A J. Brown?
Speaker 2: Whyeed three or five?
Speaker 3: Love AJ Brown. We spent a lot of time talking
Speaker 3: about him last week. The consistency is fantastic.
Speaker 2: And I love that part.
Speaker 3: I think I go Garrett Wilson.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go A J. Brown.
Speaker 1: This is the only one where I'm not going to
Speaker 1: go Garret Wilson, just because, like I said, you get
Speaker 1: the you know, you have Jone hurts for a while,
Speaker 1: and I feel like a good point. I feel like
Speaker 1: Agent Brown can even have a better season than he
Speaker 1: had last year.
Speaker 3: Yeah, you talked me into it. I'm going Brown, all right,
Speaker 3: You're right, I'm going Brown. Every honesty as well. It's close.
Speaker 3: Still young Brown's still very young. I mean, yeah, the
Speaker 3: young quarterback, the whole thing. You're right, absolutely right, absolutely right.
Speaker 3: So we love Garrett Wilson. I bumped them up my
Speaker 3: cheat sheet. By the way, my cheat sheets are available now.
Speaker 3: Guillotine leagues dot Com got the free cheat sheet for
Speaker 3: just your people are looking for my rankings, they're there.
Speaker 3: But if you want the deep dive data and Tyler,
Speaker 3: you've you've been essential to helping me with the the
Speaker 3: massive undertaking that is that spreadsheet, all the data diving,
Speaker 3: so much great stuff specific to not just Guillotine Leagues,
Speaker 3: but anybody who just wants more metrics with which to evaluate.
Speaker 3: If you want the most enhanced cheat sheet out there, Guillotine.
Speaker 2: Leagues dot com.
Speaker 3: And then of course we also have guillotine leagues for me.
Speaker 3: You're in guillotine leagues. I'm in a lot of guillotine leagues.
Speaker 3: We love the format. If you want to try one,
Speaker 3: this is your great chance right now, private league starting,
Speaker 3: public leagues available.
Speaker 2: We did a We've.
Speaker 3: Got slow drafts, live drafts. We got a bunch of
Speaker 3: slow drafts going, many slow drafts going right now. We're
Speaker 3: doing live drafts many evenings as well, So all that
Speaker 3: available in league second.
Speaker 2: Our final. The danger.
Speaker 3: The one thing I want to mention myot Garrett Wilson,
Speaker 3: just the danger here is we didn't say anything bad
Speaker 3: about him the whole show. Yeah, if Aaron Rodgers arm
Speaker 3: is what we saw last year, the end is here
Speaker 3: for Aaron Rodgers. Yeah, and that's a possibility.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 3: He had the thumb injury, and so I blamed a
Speaker 3: lot of those bad throws on the thumb. But if
Speaker 3: that wasn't it, then it might be that the end
Speaker 3: is here for Aaron Rodgers.
Speaker 1: I'm not even willing to go down that road just
Speaker 1: because I think we counted them out three years ago.
Speaker 1: There's that whole thing where like right before he won
Speaker 1: the MVPs, I always watched yea, he looked bad, and
Speaker 1: then he came back and won two MVP So.
Speaker 3: I was I was on the wash side of that
Speaker 3: not correct wishful thinking from a Viking.
Speaker 2: Tom Brady's gonna fall off a cliff that famous quote.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, well I got my own famous quote for
Speaker 3: Tom Brady. All right, thank you for listening to Fantasy
Speaker 3: Football Weekly Micro edition. We'll be back tomorrow with another
Speaker 3: receiver with a lot of similarities but not the same
Speaker 3: kind of outcome. Coming tomorrow. We'll talk to you then, everybody.
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