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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the corn ten seconds

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Speaker 2: or maining.

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Speaker 1: He just go throw up to the basket. Under the basket.

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Speaker 2: It's the troup for the wind God.

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Speaker 1: A miracle. I'm just sup the water hit that one

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Speaker 1: from the parking lot. What's up the general nation? Welcome

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Speaker 1: to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. This is the

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Speaker 1: College Basketball Conference Tournament Betting Preview, Part eight. I'm stucky

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Speaker 1: in joining me today is my friend and member of

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Speaker 1: three Man. We've none other than mister Jim Root. Today

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Speaker 1: we are going to cover the SEC Conference USA Big

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Speaker 1: West in the A ten Jim, how goes it? We

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Speaker 1: just got done. It's funny. In the last podcast, last episode,

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Speaker 1: Kai and I were talking about trying to get Furman home,

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Speaker 1: and now this is the podcast. After we survived a

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Speaker 1: all time heater from huff that I thought. I was like,

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Speaker 1: it's done. This guy's not missing and he was cooking

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Speaker 1: they somehow he didn't. Luckily, he didn't get the ball

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Speaker 1: at the end of regulation because I feel like it

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Speaker 1: was going to be over.

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Speaker 3: He didn't touch much in overtime either, So yeah, survived.

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Speaker 3: Now we focused on the week.

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Speaker 1: Ahead Yeah, let's get right into it. Let's start off

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Speaker 1: with some A ten for words worth. Tomorrow, we're going

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Speaker 1: to talk with Greg and Mike. I'm going to talk

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Speaker 1: some A ten again with Mike, so I won't go

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Speaker 1: too far in depth on this one. I'll let you

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Speaker 1: share your thoughts. Tomorrow. We're also going to cover nak

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Speaker 1: Swack and Big ten and ivy Uh Jim Earlier. I'll

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Speaker 1: do a quick two minute drill with you earlier with

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Speaker 1: your the other members of the Weave. I'm just gonna

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Speaker 1: say a league that we did. You tell me a

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Speaker 1: team if you have one that you like. Acc I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is any point.

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Speaker 2: It's got to be Duke.

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Speaker 3: But like maybe Clemson could beat them, but nobody else

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Speaker 3: is touching them.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's what I said. And Bluehill might not be

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Speaker 1: fully healthy and Clemeson at least will slow the game

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Speaker 1: down and already beat them. How do you beat Duke

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Speaker 1: by the way slow down and hit threes?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's that's kind of the the formula.

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Speaker 3: It's not gonna be perfect and it's tough to execute.

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Speaker 3: They can still beat you even if you do slow

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Speaker 3: it down and hit three.

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Speaker 1: Is the only way you have a shot.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Clemson like beat them to every lose ball. Kind

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Speaker 3: of dominated the paint in the game at Clemson, So

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Speaker 3: maybe that's a little bit of a recipe physicality and

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Speaker 3: winning offensive rebounding. So that might be something Mountain West

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Speaker 3: West off the top of my head, hmm.

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Speaker 2: I think San Diego State makes a run at it.

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Speaker 3: Honestly, Colorado State's the hot one, but I don't fully

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Speaker 3: trust them.

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Speaker 1: American we barely touched this because the bracket and the

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Speaker 1: odds weren't available yet. With the argument that I was,

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Speaker 1: the discussion I was having with Matt was who do

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Speaker 1: we who do we trust more to beat Memphis North

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Speaker 1: Texas in a grinder to make them uncomfortable even though

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Speaker 1: their offense isn't doesn't have the same upside as U

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Speaker 1: A B or UAB in an up and down game,

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Speaker 1: even though they might not be able to get stops

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Speaker 1: and big big the acts will probably fell out.

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Speaker 3: I think I trust North Texas more in the grinder.

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Speaker 3: They got close at Memphis and the two UAB games,

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Speaker 3: like they just couldn't get any stops, and I don't

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Speaker 3: think you can play transition with Memphis if you're not

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Speaker 3: definitively better than them, and UAB is not definitively better,

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Speaker 3: like they can be on some nights and they have

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Speaker 3: the talent up side, But I think you've got to

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Speaker 3: be like a power conference team to run with Memphis.

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Speaker 3: So I like the idea of slowing them down like

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Speaker 3: North Texas would.

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Speaker 1: North Texas lost the Temple to that christ.

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Speaker 2: With meetingless game, meetingless game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I know. Uh, the North Texas they could lose

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Speaker 1: to anyone. That's a scary thing with them, with the

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Speaker 1: way that they play. Like, who did they lose too?

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Speaker 1: That was they lost the UTSA at home. That was

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Speaker 1: a real head scratcher. Yes, the mac are you on

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Speaker 1: board with our Kent State love or no? An act?

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Speaker 2: Really?

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Speaker 3: I'm more of an act guy. But the price isn't

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Speaker 3: like mega appealing.

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Speaker 1: Uh what else did we do? Big twelve? We went Kan,

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Speaker 1: I went Texas Tech.

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Speaker 3: Same, That's exactly where I'd go. They can beat Houston,

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Speaker 3: and they can. They've got enough depth that I think

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Speaker 3: the three games in three days works for them.

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Speaker 1: Big East Xavier guy, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I already bet Savior twelve to one, so I will

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Speaker 2: join you.

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Speaker 1: The funny thing is that that those odds are priced

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Speaker 1: as if those teams are flipped. Like since January first,

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Speaker 1: Xavier has been so much better than Marquette, Like Marquet

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Speaker 1: should be the team almost it's price ten to one

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Speaker 1: and Xavier five to one. The Whack. I'm kind of

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Speaker 1: thinking about taking a shot in Seattle.

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Speaker 3: Wow, Okay, Yeah, I mean I'm I think Grand Canyon's

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Speaker 3: gonna win it. I haven't even looked at the odds

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Speaker 3: for the Whack to be quite honest, So I don't

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Speaker 3: know if they're like absurd absurdly favored or what.

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Speaker 1: Why is why is Grand Canyon's offense not as good

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Speaker 1: as it was last year? Is it mcglofflin. Is that

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Speaker 1: like for spacing and shooting? Is it just are they're

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Speaker 1: just not making shots this year? Yeah?

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Speaker 3: And I think Cole's is like a good player, but

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Speaker 3: he's not like a connector ball over the way McLoughlin was.

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Speaker 2: I think that has hurt them a little bit.

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Speaker 3: He's more of like a scorer and that fits awkwardly

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Speaker 3: around Grant Foster.

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Speaker 1: And lastly the Mac to throw a dart, you could

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Speaker 1: make a case for any team in this league. I

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Speaker 1: was laughing at that. I I've filtered on Tourvick for

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Speaker 1: since February first. Maris is like the worst team in

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Speaker 1: the league. They're like three hundred and fiftieth in the

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Speaker 1: country and they're like the three seed. They didn't need

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Speaker 1: to keep piece back, but they are one of the

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Speaker 1: worst teams in the country over the past five weeks,

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Speaker 1: and the best team of that time is Iona. Ah.

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Speaker 1: How do you pick anyone? I said, A Sacred Heart

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Speaker 1: is a long shot.

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Speaker 2: Yep, ballsy.

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Speaker 3: I think I would just go Iona six to one.

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Speaker 3: And the fact that they're playing well, and I think

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Speaker 3: the talent's there, but I don't know. After that one

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Speaker 3: run with Farley Dickinson when they didn't even win their

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Speaker 3: conference tournament, Tobin Anderson's lost a little luster, so maybe

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Speaker 3: he's not quite the genius we thought he was.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, any but anyone could beat anyone in that league.

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Speaker 1: I mean it is. It is gross. But if you

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Speaker 1: haven't already listened to those episodes, make sure you checked

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Speaker 1: them out. We go in depth in all of them.

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Speaker 1: But let's get to the A ten here. A ten

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Speaker 1: will take place between Wednesday and Sunday in Washington, d C.

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Speaker 1: This when it was in Atlantic City. First round. There's

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Speaker 1: three first round games Davidson, Richmond, Right, Island, fordham U,

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Speaker 1: Mass Lesal. Five teams get byes to the second round

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Speaker 1: Saint Jose, GW, Saint Louis Duquane, Saint Bonaventure, and four

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Speaker 1: teams get byes to the quarters VCU, George May, Dayton

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Speaker 1: and Loyal Chicago. I My first thought, my first question

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Speaker 1: is I think this is a one big league. Would

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Speaker 1: you agree?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, And I think some VCU people are going to

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Speaker 3: get upset if if they hear that. But I was

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Speaker 3: looking through some of the resume stuff before getting on here, and.

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Speaker 2: The metrics aren't that great.

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Speaker 3: They don't have the high end wins, Like if you

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Speaker 3: add another loss that's not too Dayton in the final.

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Speaker 3: I just don't think it's going to be there for them.

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Speaker 1: Unfortunately, Dayton actually might have like a better resume case

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Speaker 1: than DC.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, but the problem for Dayton is like it really

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Speaker 3: helped to beat VCU again, but they can't do that

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Speaker 3: till the final, so they don't have like the possibility

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Speaker 3: of adding that.

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Speaker 1: Well. VCU is the favorite minus one ten Dayton's plus

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Speaker 1: three seventy. You just saw Dayton win at VCU VCU

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Speaker 1: one early in the season at Dayton, George Mason seven

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Speaker 1: to one. Now here's something funny. George Mason the two

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Speaker 1: seeds seven to one. This is on fandle t Saint

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Speaker 1: Joe's plus eight fifty. Who has to win a game

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Speaker 1: and then beat Dayton? I get the talent on Saint

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Speaker 1: Joe's and the market loves them. I mean, what do

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Speaker 1: they steam out against lasal like they're thirteen points and

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Speaker 1: they lose by like twenty. I don't trust their coach.

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Speaker 1: I get that there's the semi high variants team which

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Speaker 1: you want as a long shot, but not at that

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Speaker 1: price at plus eight fifty. You know who like is

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Speaker 1: basically metrics will like around the same like basically the

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Speaker 1: same team that I trust atle bit More by Alma

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Speaker 1: Mater GW. But you can get a fifty to one

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Speaker 1: and they are they should. They could have beat Mason

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Speaker 1: twice already, like they were right there. They went to

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Speaker 1: double overtime one game and then they they were up

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Speaker 1: and gave up like a five run in the final minute.

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Speaker 1: The other they also smoke Dayton, like I don't understand

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Speaker 1: what GW is fifty to one against a Mason offense

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Speaker 1: and then they're going to play a Mason offense. Assuming

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Speaker 1: they get by Rude Island Reford them and Saint Jose's

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Speaker 1: plus eight fifty, that's crazy. That's It's sort of like

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Speaker 1: the Furman Samford price. Yeah, we were talking about this.

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Speaker 2: I think is a pretty open league.

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Speaker 3: Like I the GW price, the Saint Louis price kind

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Speaker 3: of appeals to me. I know their death is going

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Speaker 3: to be a problem in a win four games in

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Speaker 3: four days situation for them, But I don't know.

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Speaker 2: The Saint Joe's thing.

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Speaker 3: I sort of get like they played up really well

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Speaker 3: against better teams. They typically do that. They're kind of

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Speaker 3: like Memphis in that regard. But I like them as

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Speaker 3: an underdog and I like them when I know they're

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Speaker 3: focused and in the postseason, I know they will be.

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Speaker 3: Like last year in this event they made it to

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Speaker 3: the final.

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Speaker 2: You got the best.

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Speaker 3: Version of Eric Reynolds for three days. Ragia Flemings a monster.

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Speaker 3: They've got a great shot blocker in azuc Bow. Xavier

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Speaker 3: Brown was not even good in the A ten tournament

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Speaker 3: last year and they still went to the fight. I

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Speaker 3: know if you could potentially get a better version of him,

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Speaker 3: and the talent upside is there, but I'm with you.

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Speaker 2: The coach spooks me. Their penchant for some letdown efforts.

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Speaker 3: Spooks me, and that could happen in their first game

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Speaker 3: before they even get to potentially dating in the quarterfinals.

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Speaker 3: So it's not like an overly appealing price to me.

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Speaker 3: I lean more towards that long shot. Like you said, GW,

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Speaker 3: I already have a little fifty to one, and I

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Speaker 3: have some twenty to one on Saint Louis too.

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Speaker 1: What's you're thinking, guy, I'm as far as the bottom

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Speaker 1: halflets is erned. George Mason is very vulnerable. Yeah, Like

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Speaker 1: their defense is excellent, their offense is far from it,

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Speaker 1: and they're gonna play grinders and they're going to be

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Speaker 1: in games like they were both times against GW that

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Speaker 1: are it's like fifty two to fifty with forty five

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Speaker 1: seconds to go.

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Speaker 2: And then they won a lot of close games this year,

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Speaker 2: a lot.

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Speaker 1: And you know it's in DC, So who cares if

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Speaker 1: it's Mason or GW. If defense is solid, they run

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Speaker 1: good stuff on offense. If they can just catch lightning

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Speaker 1: in a bottle from three for a couple then now

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Speaker 1: they're not a good shooting team. But if they could

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Speaker 1: just hit some threes like they did against Dayton when

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Speaker 1: they went I don't know fifty percent and beat Dayton

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Speaker 1: by twenty. This team could make a run. Fifty to

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Speaker 1: one is crazy to me. I show value in that

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Speaker 1: number Saint Joe's. I would need like twelve to one,

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Speaker 1: which would be like a more reasonable number, and then

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Speaker 1: I would take a shot, but not at eight, not

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Speaker 1: at plus eight fifty. So yeah, I think GW is

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Speaker 1: to look in the bottom half, in the top half,

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Speaker 1: which you're thinking with Saint looks because lool is playing

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Speaker 1: better of late and they dealt with injuries during the season,

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Speaker 1: which is in order to get down a lot to

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Speaker 1: beat either Davidson or Richmond.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I just I'm not really too scared of Richmond

239
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Speaker 3: at all, and Davidson maybe could like execute well.

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Speaker 2: But I just think the high.

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Speaker 3: End ability of Saint Louis is way up there when

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Speaker 3: they have their best five on the four, which they

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Speaker 3: should for pretty much the entirety of this tournament. The

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Speaker 3: SWAPEA Jimerson trio is really really tough to stop. I mean,

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Speaker 3: they lasted Loyola like two weeks ago home game, beat

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Speaker 3: him by thirty.

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Speaker 2: It was never a contest.

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Speaker 3: Then they went to Dayton and followed it up when

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Speaker 3: we're up at halftime, and kind of an unfortunate collapse there,

250
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Speaker 3: but I think at least seeing that effort to back

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Speaker 3: that up, they probably ran out of gas, which could

252
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Speaker 3: definitely happen in this tournament because they have no bench.

253
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Speaker 3: But the three top guys are really good. I think

254
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Speaker 3: Josh Shurtz is an amazing coach, and VCU is obviously

255
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Speaker 3: a thorn the side on that path since they're on

256
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Speaker 3: VCU's half.

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Speaker 2: But I don't know what the.

258
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Speaker 3: Deal is with Philip Brussels health, if he's going to

259
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Speaker 3: be there for VCU, because I think he's kind of

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Speaker 3: a spark for them. He's a shit talker, he gets

261
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Speaker 3: in people's faces, he pisses off the other team, but

262
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Speaker 3: I think he fires up his own team, and so

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Speaker 3: if he's not all the way healthier or even playing

264
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Speaker 3: at all, they could be a little more vulnerable than

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Speaker 3: being odds on favorite in this event suggests. So I

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Speaker 3: don't mind taking a shot with SLEW at twenty.

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Speaker 1: My problem with say it's not in addition to their depth,

268
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Speaker 1: is their their shot volume clowns. That's what scares me

269
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Speaker 1: about them. And yeah, they beat Loyola when it didn't

270
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Speaker 1: matter when you go eighteen of thirty four from three,

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Speaker 1: which helps. But that's there's a couple of things that

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Speaker 1: scare me about Saint Louis before. I don't see I

273
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Speaker 1: don't see any value with taking BCU minus one, den Right,

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Speaker 1: would you agree there?

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Speaker 2: No, that's I can't believe their minus money to win CRASIS.

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Speaker 2: That's shocking.

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Speaker 1: Way any interest in any of the first round or

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Speaker 1: projected future matchups that could happen.

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Speaker 3: HM, just looking at it off the top, like nothing

280
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Speaker 3: immediately jumps out. But I think Davidson out execute Richmond.

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Speaker 2: I don't know exactly what the price will be.

282
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Speaker 3: In that game, but I've always believed in Davidson's upside

283
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Speaker 3: a little more in the offense, actually, it can be

284
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Speaker 3: pretty good occasionally. But their last four games were SLEW VCU,

285
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Speaker 3: Loyal Bonnies like kind of a tough stretch there, got

286
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Speaker 3: blown out at VCU, And the problem is that they

287
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Speaker 3: lost Sean Logan early in the season, who's the big

288
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Speaker 3: shot locker, and so the defense has been a real

289
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Speaker 3: problem without him. But against Richmond, who's young and has

290
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Speaker 3: never really put it together with Chris Mooney's offense, which

291
00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:27,920
Speaker 3: really requires a lot of continuity, which they didn't.

292
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Speaker 2: Have as much this season. I think that's a good

293
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Speaker 2: look first round.

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Speaker 1: I also said one. I already mentioned taking the points

295
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Speaker 1: with GW. If they get there against Mason, where points

296
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Speaker 1: will be at a premium, I will most likely be

297
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Speaker 1: on that one. All right, let's move on to let's

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Speaker 1: go to the Conference USA. Let's head down to Huntsville, Alabama,

299
00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:56,680
Speaker 1: where all ten teams will compete in the turn The

300
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Speaker 1: top six teams receive a buye to the quarter finals.

301
00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:03,760
Speaker 1: The first round games will be played between UTEP and

302
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Speaker 1: SAM Houston in addition to Western Kentucky and FIU on Tuesday.

303
00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:13,280
Speaker 1: Quarterfinals are on Wednesday and Thursday, Championship on Saturday, Semis

304
00:16:13,280 --> 00:16:17,440
Speaker 1: on Friday. Your top six seeds who receive Dubie. Liberty

305
00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:21,200
Speaker 1: is the top seed, two seed Jacksonville State, three seed

306
00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:24,040
Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee, four seed, Kennessall five seed New Mexico State,

307
00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:33,720
Speaker 1: six seed, lottech very bizarre league all year, and right

308
00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:39,120
Speaker 1: off the bat, if you told me any one of

309
00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:45,600
Speaker 1: these teams besides FIU won it, I wouldn't be floored.

310
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Speaker 1: I mean, FIU is just bad. I mean they can

311
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Speaker 1: get some they can get some offensive rebounds, they can

312
00:16:52,160 --> 00:16:56,200
Speaker 1: turn some teams over, but that's about it. Throwing them

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Speaker 1: out the window. Sam Houston State, like over the past

314
00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:02,040
Speaker 1: month and a half, it's been like the third or

315
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Speaker 1: fourth best team in the league. They were, they were

316
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Speaker 1: the unlucky duck of the They lost so many close

317
00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:10,680
Speaker 1: games and they easily could have been like a top

318
00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:13,560
Speaker 1: four seed. But they're the nine seed. And they have

319
00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:17,119
Speaker 1: some talent like Wake and Wilkerson. They can make some noise.

320
00:17:17,160 --> 00:17:20,800
Speaker 1: They can beat anybody in this league. On any given night.

321
00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:24,120
Speaker 1: You have UTEP at twenty five to one. They want

322
00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:26,960
Speaker 1: to run, forced turnovers, get to the line. They have

323
00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:30,680
Speaker 1: no rim production, they can't rebound. I just they play

324
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Speaker 1: like chaos ball. They just want to create, make their

325
00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:38,720
Speaker 1: games chaotic. They ended the season pretty poorly, but on

326
00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:43,320
Speaker 1: a good day, I mean they won at Liberty Western Kentucky.

327
00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:47,640
Speaker 1: They want to run, they'll press, they get There's nothing

328
00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:49,040
Speaker 1: at the rim on either end. You're not gonna get

329
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Speaker 1: to the rim on them. They're not going to score

330
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Speaker 1: at the rim. Their offense is ugly though. It's like

331
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Speaker 1: does Donal mckenry go off or not? Uh La Tech

332
00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:05,119
Speaker 1: twelve to one y interesting high major talent, maddeningly inconsistent.

333
00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:07,760
Speaker 1: I haven't been able to figure out this team for

334
00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:11,480
Speaker 1: one single day all year that they're I guess they're

335
00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:14,400
Speaker 1: they're kind of shot volume clowns. They turn it over

336
00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:15,600
Speaker 1: way too much.

337
00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:16,879
Speaker 2: Guards are bad.

338
00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:22,680
Speaker 1: Guards are bad. The guards can't defend. Uh. They did

339
00:18:22,760 --> 00:18:25,920
Speaker 1: sweet They played Middle Tennessee, Middle Tennessee and a team

340
00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:30,840
Speaker 1: with a lot of upside as well. Latch swept Middle Tennessee,

341
00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:35,320
Speaker 1: who's another kind of shot volume loser, and Middle Tennessee

342
00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:37,159
Speaker 1: won't really turn them over, which I think is what

343
00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:43,399
Speaker 1: helped LA Tech in those matchups. Let me start there, Well,

344
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:44,520
Speaker 1: let me just go through the rest of teams. I

345
00:18:44,520 --> 00:18:48,239
Speaker 1: guess New Mexico State the five seed, I think they're like,

346
00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:51,040
Speaker 1: by some metches, are the second best team in the league.

347
00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:55,720
Speaker 1: They're plus five hundred, great defense, although no one can

348
00:18:55,760 --> 00:18:58,040
Speaker 1: make a three against them since February first, the one

349
00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:00,680
Speaker 1: high high high volume teams are shooting twenty six percent

350
00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:05,159
Speaker 1: three but ugly offense, like just bad mid range jumpers,

351
00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:11,400
Speaker 1: Like yeah, it's it's gross. Kennesall State there. They want

352
00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:14,120
Speaker 1: to play faster. They're rebounders who can't shoot but still

353
00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:17,320
Speaker 1: attempt a bunch, but they get rebounds. But they also

354
00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:20,000
Speaker 1: have turnover issues. But they can play up and beat anyone.

355
00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:25,840
Speaker 1: They just won at Liberty. Jacksonville State probably overseeded here,

356
00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:27,840
Speaker 1: but there's not much difference between a lot of these teams.

357
00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:30,159
Speaker 1: But they they were running well from three for a while,

358
00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:33,200
Speaker 1: and they just have they have a backcourt and Pierre

359
00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:35,560
Speaker 1: and House who can just cook on any given night

360
00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:37,879
Speaker 1: and go off. I mean Pierre could go for like

361
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:41,399
Speaker 1: thirty eight on any nights. And then Liberty is the

362
00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:47,760
Speaker 1: best team nationally. Lead offense, great motion, They're gonna win

363
00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:52,000
Speaker 1: the three point math every night, great shooters, but they

364
00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:54,600
Speaker 1: everything that they do on offense is just beautifully run.

365
00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:56,200
Speaker 1: And then no one can make a three against them.

366
00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:58,359
Speaker 1: But I think it's real. I don't know, it's like

367
00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 1: every month it happens. I know this league is a

368
00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:05,359
Speaker 1: great shooting league. But so let's start at the top

369
00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:10,400
Speaker 1: with Liberty plus one fifteen. How good is this team indoor?

370
00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:13,080
Speaker 1: Are they vulnerable to some of the athletic teams in

371
00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:13,600
Speaker 1: this league?

372
00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:15,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think they're overpriced.

373
00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:18,520
Speaker 3: I know they're like they've grayed out really well analytically

374
00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:21,000
Speaker 3: and are separate from the pack. But plus one fifteen

375
00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:23,359
Speaker 3: for a team that lost at home three times, Like,

376
00:20:24,040 --> 00:20:26,080
Speaker 3: I don't know if they they're okay, and they lost

377
00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:29,120
Speaker 3: five times in the league. This isn't some two way

378
00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:32,760
Speaker 3: dominant force that's untouchable. Plus one fifteen is shocking to

379
00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:34,840
Speaker 3: me because I think anybody can beat them. They can

380
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:37,879
Speaker 3: lose to everybody. They play slow, so they're going to

381
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:40,479
Speaker 3: be a lot of low scoring games that are you know,

382
00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:43,240
Speaker 3: not letting their talent edge bear out. They're really well coached,

383
00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:46,040
Speaker 3: though they don't beat themselves. They've got good guards. They're

384
00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:48,640
Speaker 3: tiny in the back court, like five nine, five to ten,

385
00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:52,359
Speaker 3: but they're good. They're talented, and the Aquino the beast

386
00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:54,919
Speaker 3: upfront Juco transfer, he's everywhere.

387
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:56,679
Speaker 2: I love watching him play.

388
00:20:57,440 --> 00:20:59,639
Speaker 3: I just I don't like that number for them because

389
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:02,080
Speaker 3: I think this league is mega wide open.

390
00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:04,600
Speaker 1: So I have an off shooting night and they're not

391
00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:05,920
Speaker 1: going to get any rebounds.

392
00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:09,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's all get yeah.

393
00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:15,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, Jacksonville State kind of I so ball with super

394
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:16,320
Speaker 1: talented backcourt.

395
00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 2: Uh.

396
00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:21,080
Speaker 1: Any thoughts on the Cox.

397
00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:24,720
Speaker 3: I mean, if you're like the person that you say,

398
00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:27,440
Speaker 3: I want the best player in the tournament, that would

399
00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:28,160
Speaker 3: be Pierre.

400
00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 2: I mean, he is just a ridiculous scorer.

401
00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:33,280
Speaker 3: He's evolved into an even better player this year than

402
00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:35,160
Speaker 3: he was in the past, and it's like completely taken

403
00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:38,080
Speaker 3: over that offense. But I don't I don't think there's

404
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:42,359
Speaker 3: enough depth there, enough consistency. And they kind of lost

405
00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 3: it down the stretch when they were nine to two

406
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:45,600
Speaker 3: in the league and then lost four to the final

407
00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,879
Speaker 3: seven and kind of fell out of contention for the

408
00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:51,120
Speaker 3: very top there, just lost it home to Kennesaw when

409
00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:54,520
Speaker 3: they had a chance to share the conference title. So

410
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:56,760
Speaker 3: I don't. I don't really trust them. There's not enough

411
00:21:56,800 --> 00:22:01,680
Speaker 3: beyond Pierre. If he's having an off night, yeah.

412
00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:09,040
Speaker 1: And then are we are we not giving enough credit

413
00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:14,240
Speaker 1: to so In Mexico State's plus five hundred keennessall's fourteen

414
00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:20,080
Speaker 1: to one at a book I'm looking at, they play

415
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:23,440
Speaker 1: each other in the first.

416
00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,800
Speaker 2: Round, close to a pick up.

417
00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:29,280
Speaker 1: It's a coin flip, right, What's what's the price discrepancy there?

418
00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:31,960
Speaker 3: I don't know if they like market things. In New

419
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,280
Speaker 3: Mexico State's under value. They played a couple of bad

420
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:37,400
Speaker 3: games when Philipovic was out. They're big guy transfer from Maine,

421
00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:41,879
Speaker 3: but and they played one bad game without him, I

422
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:42,239
Speaker 3: don't know.

423
00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:42,840
Speaker 2: I think.

424
00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:44,680
Speaker 1: I also don't think canal And in New Mexico State

425
00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:48,600
Speaker 1: can beat Liberty. They're too like in this undisciplined Like

426
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 1: I watched their their first two games where they lost.

427
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 1: They What was really telling to me is when they

428
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:59,120
Speaker 1: lost that game at home in like a super good

429
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:02,120
Speaker 1: spot like they were they were. They had Liberty going

430
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 1: all the way out there to Las Crusis. They were.

431
00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 1: It was their second home game, they had like six

432
00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:09,200
Speaker 1: days of rest, they lost the game before at home,

433
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,520
Speaker 1: and they lost by double digits. That was super talent

434
00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:16,920
Speaker 1: to me. Yeah, don't trust them like that. They're they're there,

435
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:19,200
Speaker 1: what they their structure of their offense is so bad

436
00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:20,040
Speaker 1: compared to Liberty.

437
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, well it's it's kind of UTEP's got that same

438
00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:26,479
Speaker 3: thing too, Like they're a little bit sloppy. Like Golding

439
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:29,920
Speaker 3: was pressure heavy at Dabbling Christian, he's been pressure heavy

440
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:33,600
Speaker 3: at UTEP. That's what he's relying on. And the offense

441
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:36,639
Speaker 3: just isn't pretty. Sometimes it's get after the offensive glass,

442
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,600
Speaker 3: but this UTEP team can't offensive rebound. New Exico State

443
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:43,880
Speaker 3: can't really either. So yeah, I'm not.

444
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:47,160
Speaker 1: Trust Cannisault like at this price to maybe make a run.

445
00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:50,159
Speaker 3: I think that the high end talent, like I think

446
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:52,639
Speaker 3: there's a good chance Adrian Wooley is playing for Alabama

447
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,880
Speaker 3: next year. He's from Tuscaloosa and he's awesome, So that's

448
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:57,960
Speaker 3: how good he is. I think he could potentially be

449
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:01,840
Speaker 3: in the sec ud stud freshman. And then Coddle's a

450
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:05,720
Speaker 3: big time shot maker, score creator in the backcourt. Their

451
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:09,199
Speaker 3: high end outcomes are pretty darn good. There was a

452
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:11,639
Speaker 3: point where they're number two in the league in two

453
00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 3: point offense, number one and two pointe defense, which I

454
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:18,960
Speaker 3: think is telling for sustainability of how good they actually are.

455
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:25,360
Speaker 1: And uh yeah, they're going to control the glass best

456
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:29,040
Speaker 1: rebounding team in the league, which is always helpful. The

457
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:32,199
Speaker 1: other thing is that the other price that kind of

458
00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:38,480
Speaker 1: confused me was Sam Houston. I'm looking at you, tap

459
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:42,320
Speaker 1: twenty five to one, Sam Houston sixty to one. Why

460
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:43,760
Speaker 1: that's a coin flip.

461
00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:47,520
Speaker 3: I think Sam Houston's better too. Like you said they

462
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:49,040
Speaker 3: were snake bit No, it's three games in o T

463
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 3: I think a couple of games by two. They won

464
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:54,560
Speaker 3: the league last year and brought back a couple of

465
00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:58,480
Speaker 3: guys from that team Wilkerson is the star. The high

466
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:02,320
Speaker 3: end ceiling is defin for them. Sixty to one when

467
00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:05,200
Speaker 3: I'm the price that I'm seeing right now, I don't

468
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:07,239
Speaker 3: mind that. I know they've got to go through the

469
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,800
Speaker 3: opening run game and then Liberty right away, but sixty

470
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:12,480
Speaker 3: to one's that's way up there.

471
00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:18,959
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, And yeah they would play if they

472
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:20,960
Speaker 1: beat Liberty, they would get a day off too, because

473
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:25,320
Speaker 1: Liberty would play on Wednesday, I believe. So if they

474
00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:29,639
Speaker 1: win too, they get a day off before the semis

475
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:38,399
Speaker 1: in the bottom half. Help me decide between, Like, so

476
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:40,320
Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee was a team that I was kind of

477
00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:42,679
Speaker 1: thinking about before the bracket, before the odds, before anything,

478
00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:46,000
Speaker 1: and then La Tech We I'm been able to figure

479
00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 1: out all year. I mean La Tech Middle Tennessee to

480
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:51,120
Speaker 1: me is a coin flip and LaTeX's twelve to one.

481
00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:54,400
Speaker 1: Am I gonna fall for this? The talent they have

482
00:25:54,480 --> 00:26:01,120
Speaker 1: like high major guys, you got Bacho, Like it's they're

483
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:05,160
Speaker 1: so inconsistent and they play slow and there is some

484
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:10,120
Speaker 1: talent there, Like you throw all that together. They start

485
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:14,000
Speaker 1: with the team they swept Jacksonville State, probably overseedd As

486
00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 1: the two like the path is, am I gonna fall

487
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,040
Speaker 1: for this and then they're gonna get truck by Middle Tennessee.

488
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:21,919
Speaker 2: It sounds like you're going to fall for it.

489
00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:24,600
Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean they did beat him twice, so

490
00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:28,239
Speaker 3: there's something to that a little bit. Bacho is the

491
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 3: best big man in the conference, great room protector score like,

492
00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:35,520
Speaker 3: he doesn't belong in this league. But we did the

493
00:26:35,560 --> 00:26:38,240
Speaker 3: OVC like on Monday, stuck And this is kind of

494
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 3: like a better more Head state to me, where I

495
00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:43,320
Speaker 3: just why aren't you better? Like it drives me nuts

496
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:46,760
Speaker 3: when I watch them. Yeah, so yeah, I wish you

497
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:49,239
Speaker 3: well if you trust him, but I'm not gonna do it.

498
00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:54,600
Speaker 1: I might set up with something small on it, just.

499
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:56,680
Speaker 2: To protect yourself in case they go on a run.

500
00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:57,439
Speaker 2: You'll feel like.

501
00:26:57,560 --> 00:27:02,199
Speaker 1: Thinking about it for like days. So what did you

502
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:04,639
Speaker 1: play here? What do you think is going to happen?

503
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,159
Speaker 1: What is your overall thoughts?

504
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:08,480
Speaker 3: If I had to play something, I would throw a

505
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:12,080
Speaker 3: little on Sam Houston. I haven't actually bet this conference yet.

506
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:16,439
Speaker 3: And then I like Kennesaw as a gamble on the

507
00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:19,760
Speaker 3: high end outcome with a younger team, just black consistency.

508
00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 3: But I think, like you talked about the glass and

509
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:23,440
Speaker 3: then the interior dominance.

510
00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 2: I think that matters.

511
00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:27,199
Speaker 1: March is the best month of the year, not just

512
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:30,919
Speaker 1: for sports, but also forgetting the best deal on Action Pro.

513
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:33,520
Speaker 1: You can get Action Pro for just over five dollars

514
00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:35,200
Speaker 1: a month for the entire year.

515
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:36,239
Speaker 2: End.

516
00:27:36,520 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 1: For the NCAA tournament, you'll get Sean Krener's bracket simulations,

517
00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 1: Nick Giffin's player props, which are an auto must follow,

518
00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:47,879
Speaker 1: and do you care my picks thirty minutes before they

519
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:50,880
Speaker 1: go out to everyone else? Go to actionnetwork dot com

520
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:56,520
Speaker 1: slash March now to get on board. Let's move on

521
00:27:56,760 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 1: to us. You see San Diego's league. I think it's

522
00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:07,320
Speaker 1: called the Big West. Some people refer to it as

523
00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:13,239
Speaker 1: you see. San Diego is a wagon, as many who

524
00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:16,399
Speaker 1: listen to this podcast know that I've been talking about

525
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:21,080
Speaker 1: for a long time. My fear is if they don't

526
00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:23,399
Speaker 1: win this league, they're not getting in because every Bubble

527
00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:25,879
Speaker 1: team wins every game. Now do you agree with that

528
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:27,080
Speaker 1: they're not going to get in if they don't win

529
00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:27,560
Speaker 1: this league.

530
00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:31,520
Speaker 3: I think if there's not like more bid Steelers, they

531
00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:34,280
Speaker 3: might get the Like what was it four or five

532
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:37,400
Speaker 3: years ago when Delmont got in and didn't fully make

533
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:39,120
Speaker 3: sense on resume and I guess it was.

534
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:41,240
Speaker 2: Rick Birds last year or so. Maybe there's some sentiment

535
00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:44,680
Speaker 2: out sentimentality to it. I hope they get in.

536
00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 3: I think there's a chance they get sent to Dayton

537
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:48,280
Speaker 3: and just kind of like a hey, look we sent

538
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:50,280
Speaker 3: him a major team there to give them a chance.

539
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:52,520
Speaker 2: But I don't know.

540
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,240
Speaker 3: Maybe the at Utah State win saves them, like, hey,

541
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,600
Speaker 3: they won at a large team and they're like big

542
00:28:57,600 --> 00:28:58,200
Speaker 3: shot at it.

543
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:00,040
Speaker 2: Maybe that that earns.

544
00:28:59,760 --> 00:29:02,760
Speaker 1: It for Are we sure you tas states in? Are

545
00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:03,920
Speaker 1: we sure San Diego State's in?

546
00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:06,760
Speaker 2: No? I'm not sure. We'll find out.

547
00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:10,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, if we have to get more, if we get

548
00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:12,560
Speaker 1: more Mountain West teams and you see San Diego gets

549
00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:15,720
Speaker 1: left out, I'm going to be I might just put

550
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:17,800
Speaker 1: a ton of money and you see Diantego minus one

551
00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 1: sixty to win it, because if they don't get in,

552
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:24,480
Speaker 1: they don't win this. I'm gonna be miserable, so mine

553
00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 1: as well be poor and miserable.

554
00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:29,960
Speaker 3: I did see just a general format you can bet

555
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:32,760
Speaker 3: on cal State, Fullerton, Hawaii or Long Beach if you want,

556
00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 3: even though they're.

557
00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:36,520
Speaker 2: Not in the tournament. I saw that hilarious available.

558
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:40,480
Speaker 1: Yes, for the big Westernhi to take place between March

559
00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:46,720
Speaker 1: twelfth and fifteenth. The top eight teams make it Hawaii.

560
00:29:46,840 --> 00:29:49,520
Speaker 1: That's sad wwai. I didn't make it. I did not

561
00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:51,400
Speaker 1: expect them to be one of the bottom three.

562
00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 2: Be better than Bakersfield, and.

563
00:29:54,640 --> 00:30:00,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, Beach and Fullerton are full cal State Fullerton man,

564
00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:03,800
Speaker 1: oh my god, dread flat year.

565
00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:06,200
Speaker 3: That might be the most rollover of a team we

566
00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 3: saw this year. I mean they were getting blitzed by

567
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:09,959
Speaker 3: everybody down the stretch.

568
00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:15,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, this format rewards the higher seeds. You see San

569
00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 1: Diego as the one, you see Irvine as the two.

570
00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,240
Speaker 1: They both get double buys at the semis on Friday,

571
00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:24,200
Speaker 1: although you see San Diego probably didn't get They probably

572
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:26,360
Speaker 1: got a tougher matchup with cal State Northridge is the

573
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:29,080
Speaker 1: four who's better than I think than the three. You

574
00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:32,080
Speaker 1: see Riverside's totally.

575
00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:34,600
Speaker 2: Matt Cox here you say that the Riversides is darling.

576
00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:39,720
Speaker 1: And then the first round games where you see Santa Barbara,

577
00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:44,280
Speaker 1: cal State Bakerfield shout out. We were talking about all

578
00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:46,200
Speaker 1: the melts this weekend. Shout out to that melt by

579
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:49,400
Speaker 1: Santa Barbara against Irvine. I had another one last night

580
00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:52,160
Speaker 1: where they were up like sixteen with ten to go

581
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:54,680
Speaker 1: and lost and think up the eighty points to Irvine

582
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:56,720
Speaker 1: in the second half.

583
00:30:57,120 --> 00:30:58,440
Speaker 2: Can't score eighty points in the game.

584
00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:02,480
Speaker 1: It's insane, felt Swinton filed out and like he was

585
00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:04,680
Speaker 1: going nuts and filed out with like eighteen minutes to

586
00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:11,160
Speaker 1: go in the game. Santa Barbara is, you're they're just

587
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:14,280
Speaker 1: three point shooters. They've got sharp shooters all over, So

588
00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:18,960
Speaker 1: that's like what makes what oh what makes them intriguing. Uh,

589
00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:23,440
Speaker 1: they'll take on Bakersfield, who in the first round. Bakersfield

590
00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:27,040
Speaker 1: is just dinosaur offense.

591
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:29,240
Speaker 2: Uh mid range.

592
00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:32,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, d is bad too. I don't I don't know

593
00:31:32,760 --> 00:31:37,760
Speaker 1: how they're in this, so yeah, I would have anticipate

594
00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 1: Santa Barbara gets past Bakersfield to take on cal State Northridge. Uh,

595
00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:47,120
Speaker 1: Northridge wants to play fast. They're super athletic, good shot

596
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 1: volume team. They can't get burned from three. They fell

597
00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:52,680
Speaker 1: a little bit too much. But uh, this team, there's

598
00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:55,160
Speaker 1: a team that could make noise. I wouldn't be shocked

599
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:58,240
Speaker 1: if like they upset You see San Diego, Like, I

600
00:31:58,240 --> 00:31:59,800
Speaker 1: wouldn't be floored if that.

601
00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:02,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you see San Diego is beating everybody by.

602
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:05,760
Speaker 3: Twenty and then they came within two possessions of them,

603
00:32:05,760 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 3: which was shocking considering how well UCSD was playing.

604
00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:15,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, in so I assume we get but the Santa

605
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:18,040
Speaker 1: Barbara could beat Northwich because Northwich can get burned by threes,

606
00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:24,120
Speaker 1: and so I wouldn't be shocked if it's Santa Barbara either.

607
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,080
Speaker 1: Then Santa Barbara would get killed I think by uc

608
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:31,440
Speaker 1: San Diego. Yeah, in the bottom half, you see Davis

609
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:34,280
Speaker 1: taking on cal Poly cal Poly how about cal Poly?

610
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:38,200
Speaker 1: I love that team, did George one of the biggest

611
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:42,640
Speaker 1: coaching upgrades in the country from last year. They just

612
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:45,440
Speaker 1: like run and then just throw up a three. It's

613
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:46,840
Speaker 1: basically how you can describe them.

614
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:50,160
Speaker 3: Yep, the fastest possession length in the country. Zippity dude

615
00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:52,280
Speaker 3: die every game. They're trying to get to eighty possessions.

616
00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:55,280
Speaker 3: It's fun to watch. They were like, you know, everybody

617
00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:58,320
Speaker 3: loves Drake because they brought four starters with from Division

618
00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:00,240
Speaker 3: two team. That's kind of what to George did. They

619
00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:03,960
Speaker 3: brought three guys from Colorado Mesa and they just fire away.

620
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:05,400
Speaker 3: It's a fun team to watch.

621
00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:14,479
Speaker 1: Yeah, Polly's eighty to one. You see Davis is one

622
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:16,600
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty to one. That's who they'll play in

623
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:20,040
Speaker 1: the first one. You see, Davis did sweep them in

624
00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:26,480
Speaker 1: the regular season. You see Davis is It's the problem

625
00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:29,240
Speaker 1: with them is it's just t Y and nobody else.

626
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,560
Speaker 3: It's Ty taking mid range jumpers. Yeah, how many of

627
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:35,120
Speaker 3: these gonna throw in tonight?

628
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:42,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, so decent defense, but you can't trust the offense

629
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:48,440
Speaker 1: that Riverside is down there as well. I guess Maddie

630
00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 1: is a big Hargress guy. Is that?

631
00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, Harris and Moses. I really like that backcourt.

632
00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:56,000
Speaker 3: And they're the only team in this league that beat

633
00:33:56,440 --> 00:33:59,200
Speaker 3: San Diego and Irvine, and during the regular season those

634
00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:02,360
Speaker 3: are both at home. But I think they can kind

635
00:34:02,360 --> 00:34:03,960
Speaker 3: of play up because their guards are so good. I

636
00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:07,280
Speaker 3: think they're really well coached with Meg Payo, and they

637
00:34:07,280 --> 00:34:09,479
Speaker 3: have a little bit of size. If Arma Trading's playing.

638
00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:11,440
Speaker 3: He missed one game earlier this year and they got

639
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,279
Speaker 3: like shellacked in the paint. So as long as he's

640
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:16,120
Speaker 3: out there, they're good. I think they could compete with

641
00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 3: Irvine in the in the Semis, and that that would

642
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:21,560
Speaker 3: spook me if I was looking to back Irvine, because

643
00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 3: I think Riverside could could get them.

644
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:29,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, Irvine elite defense as always, especially in the paint,

645
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:33,440
Speaker 1: Big Bent, big German, it's a big part of that.

646
00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:36,600
Speaker 1: But it's Russell Turner in his defense. It's always going

647
00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:38,600
Speaker 1: to be well schemed. You're never going to get much

648
00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:42,319
Speaker 1: at the rim. Their offense still not a fan of.

649
00:34:43,200 --> 00:34:48,040
Speaker 1: They also might have lost Miles Cha who got hurt

650
00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:53,400
Speaker 1: and left the game against Barbara. Never returned and it

651
00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:56,960
Speaker 1: looked pretty bad. Haven't got an update there, but that's

652
00:34:57,000 --> 00:35:03,400
Speaker 1: worth noting. Oh, Revinds plus one seventy Sea Suns plus

653
00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:07,960
Speaker 1: twelve hundred riversides fourteen to one, Santa Barbara forty to one,

654
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:11,080
Speaker 1: Pally eighty to one, and you're getting into the deep

655
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:14,880
Speaker 1: long stots if you want to get crazy. Bakersfield is

656
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:17,960
Speaker 1: the same price as Why and Why He's not in

657
00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:18,520
Speaker 1: the tournament.

658
00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:22,160
Speaker 2: So at least they're participating.

659
00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:27,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, so what do you see here? Where would you look?

660
00:35:27,760 --> 00:35:31,080
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on? You see SD's week.

661
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:34,680
Speaker 3: I don't mind if like you wanted to parlay you

662
00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:36,920
Speaker 3: see San Diego with another favorite, and I did that

663
00:35:36,960 --> 00:35:39,040
Speaker 3: with a high point in the Big Southfecht was a

664
00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:42,560
Speaker 3: little scarier than it needed to be, but that that

665
00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:45,040
Speaker 3: got home, so I don't mind taking a look at that.

666
00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:47,800
Speaker 2: If you if, if you're in, I guess.

667
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:49,680
Speaker 1: That doesn't do anyone any good. You already that's already

668
00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:50,360
Speaker 1: already happened.

669
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:53,000
Speaker 2: Well that's I'm not saying that's who you.

670
00:35:53,040 --> 00:35:54,840
Speaker 3: I'm just saying I have done that already with a

671
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:57,680
Speaker 3: big favorite, and I think it is a functional strategy

672
00:35:57,719 --> 00:36:00,640
Speaker 3: with parlaying some of these futures. But the riverside is

673
00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:02,879
Speaker 3: the price I like. I know you're not a huge

674
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:03,799
Speaker 3: fan of them, but I just.

675
00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:05,480
Speaker 2: Love the backcourt. I love Magpayo.

676
00:36:05,920 --> 00:36:07,879
Speaker 3: I love that we've seen the high end outcomes from

677
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:10,440
Speaker 3: them where they've beaten both of the top contenders in

678
00:36:10,480 --> 00:36:14,239
Speaker 3: the league, some big time shot makers. And as much

679
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:15,600
Speaker 3: as I want to back Polly.

680
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 2: I can't do it because they don't play that much defense,

681
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:18,719
Speaker 2: So I won't.

682
00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:26,080
Speaker 3: I won't endorse my Polly boys, although.

683
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:25,879
Speaker 2: I will endorse them in that first round game.

684
00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:28,920
Speaker 3: I think they will take care of business against Davis,

685
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:31,479
Speaker 3: get the.

686
00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:33,399
Speaker 2: The monkey author back there after getting swept.

687
00:36:34,120 --> 00:36:38,120
Speaker 1: Duke or Yale, someone wanted the pair you see san

688
00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:42,759
Speaker 1: Diego with someone I would probably go more, but Duke's safer,

689
00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:43,480
Speaker 1: and I.

690
00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:46,160
Speaker 2: Think i'd go Yale because I don't know.

691
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:49,279
Speaker 3: They only have to win two, which helps, and I

692
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:50,880
Speaker 3: think they just kind of lost focus late in the

693
00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:52,960
Speaker 3: year after they'd already clinched the title and there's no

694
00:36:53,040 --> 00:36:56,160
Speaker 3: at large stuff to play for a seating. I think

695
00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:58,880
Speaker 3: I maybe I will just end up doing that Yale

696
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:01,560
Speaker 3: and Sandy go party. He talked me into it.

697
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:04,480
Speaker 1: I just asked the question. It sounds like you talk

698
00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:07,239
Speaker 1: yourself into it. But for instance, already showed that they

699
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:10,160
Speaker 1: can't play with Yale because they're good. Yale's gonna shoot

700
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:12,200
Speaker 1: sixty percent from two and Prince is gonna shoot twenty

701
00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:16,120
Speaker 1: four percent. That's what's gonna happen, just like the first

702
00:37:16,120 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 1: two meetings. Dartmouth stinks. Great story, but come on, they're

703
00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:24,520
Speaker 1: not beating Yale.

704
00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:27,239
Speaker 2: And Cornell's don't know what the could beat them.

705
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:31,600
Speaker 1: I think, yeah, just go fire flames from three. So yeah,

706
00:37:31,640 --> 00:37:33,719
Speaker 1: maybe that's the look. I don't I don't disagree it.

707
00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:38,719
Speaker 1: I just have I have Northridge just slightly power arated

708
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:40,920
Speaker 1: ahead of Riverside.

709
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:43,160
Speaker 2: It's all they're just on the wrong side of the draw.

710
00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:45,879
Speaker 3: If if Northridge was the three seed, I would I'd

711
00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:48,680
Speaker 3: recommend them. If they were on the Irvine side.

712
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:56,280
Speaker 1: Yep, all right, let's move on to our last league

713
00:37:56,320 --> 00:38:01,600
Speaker 1: that we'll talk about today. The s See it just

714
00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:05,280
Speaker 1: means more, will be held between March twelfth and sixteenth

715
00:38:05,280 --> 00:38:09,400
Speaker 1: at Bridgetone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. And this is the

716
00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:11,640
Speaker 1: first time we'll have this league since it expanded to

717
00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:17,640
Speaker 1: sixteen teams. And it's a bear of a bracket. It's huge.

718
00:38:17,680 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 1: You need a big poster board. Jim, I'll put you

719
00:38:20,680 --> 00:38:23,480
Speaker 1: on the spot first. How many of these teams are

720
00:38:23,480 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 1: getting into the tournament?

721
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:27,239
Speaker 2: Thirteen? That's what I'm gonna go with.

722
00:38:27,680 --> 00:38:30,319
Speaker 3: I think they've got like twelve locks right now, because

723
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:31,759
Speaker 3: I think Vandy and Georgia.

724
00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:33,319
Speaker 2: Are like both definitely gonna make it.

725
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:37,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, and a right.

726
00:38:37,040 --> 00:38:37,799
Speaker 2: Probably not a lock.

727
00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:40,120
Speaker 3: I think if they lost to South Carolina again, there'd

728
00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:43,560
Speaker 3: be some discussions about them. And obviously last time they

729
00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:46,439
Speaker 3: played them that was hideous, so they can certainly lose

730
00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:49,719
Speaker 3: to them, and then I think Oklaholma is going to

731
00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:51,880
Speaker 3: get in. I know the six and twelve sec records

732
00:38:51,880 --> 00:38:55,120
Speaker 3: are gonna mess people up and they don't like that,

733
00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:57,239
Speaker 3: but if you just took that off the team sheet,

734
00:38:57,239 --> 00:38:59,640
Speaker 3: which it's not on the team sheet, the quadrant wins,

735
00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:02,800
Speaker 3: six Q one wins, and like the overall record where

736
00:39:02,840 --> 00:39:05,879
Speaker 3: they got some of their wins like neutral sites and road.

737
00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:08,479
Speaker 3: I think Oklahoma should be a tournament team. So there's

738
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:13,279
Speaker 3: there's your thirteen apologies to Texas. No never mind, no, no, no,

739
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 3: I'm not apologizing to Texas.

740
00:39:15,560 --> 00:39:17,680
Speaker 1: Now, well everything that happened to see. How I want

741
00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:19,560
Speaker 1: to bet the SC tournament is I want to bet

742
00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:25,840
Speaker 1: Texas two and fifty to one, or actually, no, I

743
00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:28,920
Speaker 1: should bet. I should bet Texas two hundred and fifty to

744
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:32,239
Speaker 1: one in South Carolina five hundred to one because the

745
00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 1: SEC puppeteers are going to make sure that be at

746
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:40,920
Speaker 1: fifteen teams in somehow, so like Texas going to be

747
00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:47,479
Speaker 1: Texas to the semis against South Carolina. LSU also maybe

748
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:51,080
Speaker 1: get LSU wins it. I don't know, I'm just kidding.

749
00:39:52,600 --> 00:39:56,160
Speaker 1: So obviously Auburn is the favorite there plus one fifty

750
00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:59,360
Speaker 1: to the top overall seed. The top four seeds received

751
00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:03,040
Speaker 1: double byes of the quarters on Friday. The two seat

752
00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:06,160
Speaker 1: is Florida, three seat is Bama. In the bottom half

753
00:40:06,160 --> 00:40:09,880
Speaker 1: with them, Tennessee is the four. You know, keep in

754
00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:14,920
Speaker 1: mind this is played in Nashville. Four teams get a

755
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:18,880
Speaker 1: single bye of the second round Kentucky, Missouri, Texas A,

756
00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:20,799
Speaker 1: and M and Ole miss And then you have four

757
00:40:21,520 --> 00:40:24,920
Speaker 1: first round games, which illustrate the depth of this league

758
00:40:24,920 --> 00:40:31,360
Speaker 1: in that you have one, two, three, four probably locks

759
00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:36,320
Speaker 1: playing in the first round of the SEC tournament Alabama

760
00:40:36,320 --> 00:40:39,040
Speaker 1: plus four twenty five Tennessee six to one. Then you

761
00:40:39,080 --> 00:40:41,400
Speaker 1: get down into some longer shots Kentucky nineteen to one,

762
00:40:41,560 --> 00:40:44,800
Speaker 1: Texas A and M twenty five to one, Missouri twenty

763
00:40:44,840 --> 00:40:48,880
Speaker 1: five to one. We could go a million different ways here.

764
00:40:49,920 --> 00:40:53,200
Speaker 1: I guess we'll start at the very top. Well, actually,

765
00:40:53,200 --> 00:40:55,399
Speaker 1: I'll just ask you if you have an overarching thought

766
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:57,799
Speaker 1: or when you first look at this or anything that

767
00:40:57,800 --> 00:40:58,399
Speaker 1: comes to mind.

768
00:40:58,760 --> 00:41:02,640
Speaker 3: My big overarching thigh is what who wants to win it?

769
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:05,200
Speaker 3: And like what's the mindset of the elite teams? Where

770
00:41:05,239 --> 00:41:08,200
Speaker 3: like Auburn's locked into probably the number one overall seed

771
00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:12,200
Speaker 3: or definitely at least a one seed. Florida's Florida Auburn,

772
00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:14,880
Speaker 3: excuse me, Florida, Alabama, Tennessee are all ones or two's,

773
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:18,160
Speaker 3: and like last year, Alabama lost right away and made

774
00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:21,040
Speaker 3: the final four. Florida had a guy break his leg

775
00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:23,600
Speaker 3: last year like Todd Golden's head guys get hurt in

776
00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:27,840
Speaker 3: the conference tournament both at San Francisco and Florida.

777
00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:29,759
Speaker 2: Are they really going to go balls to the wall

778
00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:31,440
Speaker 2: even though I think they're awesome.

779
00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:34,719
Speaker 1: Set stuff, like h hinted at like it's not it

780
00:41:34,800 --> 00:41:35,720
Speaker 1: might be good to lose.

781
00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:41,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, he said that, And like Auburn has been experimenting

782
00:41:41,080 --> 00:41:42,720
Speaker 3: a little like they played much a zone at Texas

783
00:41:42,760 --> 00:41:45,839
Speaker 3: A and M, which they don't really ever do. And

784
00:41:45,960 --> 00:41:48,840
Speaker 3: obviously they weren't that sharp against Alabama this weekend.

785
00:41:49,520 --> 00:41:50,360
Speaker 2: So I don't know.

786
00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:53,400
Speaker 3: I don't like feel like the elites are as untouchable

787
00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:58,080
Speaker 3: as maybe the seeding resumes would indicate. So I wouldn't

788
00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:00,680
Speaker 3: mind digging a little further down. I know you're probably

789
00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:04,000
Speaker 3: gonna wax poetic about your aggies. I look forward to that.

790
00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:06,520
Speaker 1: I don't know if I can get there. So what

791
00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:11,560
Speaker 1: I'm worried about with Texas A and M is well,

792
00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:15,000
Speaker 1: like they're playing in Tennessee first of all, and they're

793
00:42:15,000 --> 00:42:17,759
Speaker 1: probably going to be bandy in Tennessee in back to

794
00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:22,879
Speaker 1: back games. I would like, like I do like their

795
00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:27,640
Speaker 1: matchups against Tennessee and Auburn. Like Tennessee, it's just going

796
00:42:27,680 --> 00:42:30,080
Speaker 1: to be a rock fight. In the first game that

797
00:42:30,120 --> 00:42:35,719
Speaker 1: they played, Tennessee went bananas from three and Texaana went

798
00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:38,640
Speaker 1: five of thirty and they had a chance to win,

799
00:42:39,280 --> 00:42:41,080
Speaker 1: like it was like tied with like two minutes ago.

800
00:42:41,320 --> 00:42:43,960
Speaker 1: TEXANAM is not a good shooting team, but they're not

801
00:42:44,080 --> 00:42:45,080
Speaker 1: five of thirty bad.

802
00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:47,040
Speaker 2: They're more six of thirty.

803
00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:52,200
Speaker 1: That one more three would have been big. Probably that

804
00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:54,799
Speaker 1: might have been all they needed. But probably I worry

805
00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:57,319
Speaker 1: about Bandy against them and Bandy shot making, which we

806
00:42:57,360 --> 00:43:00,480
Speaker 1: saw when Bandy played them.

807
00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:02,600
Speaker 2: But Andy's sleeping in their own beds in Nashville.

808
00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:04,960
Speaker 1: Come on, Yeah, But Deband is gonna get a max

809
00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:10,520
Speaker 1: super effort from Texas. So like this, that's second because

810
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:15,200
Speaker 1: about if I was confident, if I was super confident

811
00:43:15,239 --> 00:43:19,120
Speaker 1: texts AM could get to Auburn, I would like their price.

812
00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:23,680
Speaker 1: Because one the Auburn motivation Baker mass Are gets suspended.

813
00:43:23,680 --> 00:43:25,600
Speaker 1: Maybe it's some possibility.

814
00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:30,000
Speaker 2: If it doesn't get yeah kicked out.

815
00:43:31,000 --> 00:43:35,319
Speaker 1: But A and M legitimately matches up extremely well with

816
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:38,000
Speaker 1: Auburn because they how do they score, They get offensive

817
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:40,799
Speaker 1: rebounds and they get to the line Auburn fouls and

818
00:43:40,880 --> 00:43:44,719
Speaker 1: allows you to get offensive rebounds and Buzz Williams just

819
00:43:44,760 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 1: calls out Auburn's plays and they know how to adjust

820
00:43:47,920 --> 00:43:52,080
Speaker 1: every single possession, Like Buzz Williams owns Bruce Pearl. He's

821
00:43:52,200 --> 00:43:57,520
Speaker 1: going back five years. So it's a legitimately good matchup

822
00:43:57,520 --> 00:44:01,680
Speaker 1: for Texas A and M. But there's the Tennessee land

823
00:44:01,719 --> 00:44:08,080
Speaker 1: mines in there, so I don't know if I can

824
00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:10,520
Speaker 1: quite get there, And then you got to just trust it.

825
00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:18,560
Speaker 1: A and M goes four games in four days without

826
00:44:18,640 --> 00:44:26,640
Speaker 1: someone going bananas from three and you know, all playing

827
00:44:26,680 --> 00:44:28,880
Speaker 1: on the same rims in the same gym back to

828
00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:33,200
Speaker 1: back days. I don't know. Let's let's start on that

829
00:44:33,280 --> 00:44:35,320
Speaker 1: little section. Do you have any thoughts on Vandy, Texas

830
00:44:35,320 --> 00:44:36,200
Speaker 1: A and M Tennessee.

831
00:44:37,360 --> 00:44:40,000
Speaker 3: Well, yeah, so Vandy won the only meeting between them

832
00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:41,960
Speaker 3: and Texas this year, but that was at Vandy, so

833
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:43,160
Speaker 3: they didn't get the return game.

834
00:44:44,560 --> 00:44:47,120
Speaker 2: I just don't really trust Texas just the style.

835
00:44:47,239 --> 00:44:50,680
Speaker 3: It's kind of archaic, barbarian ball of mid range, like

836
00:44:50,680 --> 00:44:52,319
Speaker 3: they've got a bunch of one on one players. Trey

837
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:55,160
Speaker 3: Johnson's amazing, He's going to go in the first round

838
00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:57,760
Speaker 3: of the draft, but it's like him, Jordan Pope Traymond

839
00:44:57,800 --> 00:45:02,640
Speaker 3: Mark Kaluma just like kind of trading ioball taking tough

840
00:45:02,640 --> 00:45:04,240
Speaker 3: shots from.

841
00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:06,759
Speaker 1: Those down screens for Johnson, sometimes it works. Sometimes we'll

842
00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:08,000
Speaker 1: go for like thirty eight, but he just has to

843
00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:10,240
Speaker 1: hit like a million tough shots, which you can do sometimes.

844
00:45:10,640 --> 00:45:13,239
Speaker 3: Yes, that's why, like they're not sustainable because it's so

845
00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:16,239
Speaker 3: tough consistently. Vandy is so much more analytically savvy, Like

846
00:45:16,280 --> 00:45:18,799
Speaker 3: they their shot diets way better. They turn you over

847
00:45:18,840 --> 00:45:21,200
Speaker 3: and they don't turn it over, which is really helpful

848
00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:22,040
Speaker 3: for their shot volume.

849
00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:23,560
Speaker 2: I like Vandy there.

850
00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:27,080
Speaker 1: Then I just Vanny can get bullied by some teams,

851
00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:29,440
Speaker 1: but not Texas is not one of those teams that's

852
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:30,120
Speaker 1: going to bully them.

853
00:45:30,320 --> 00:45:30,560
Speaker 2: Yeah.

854
00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:32,960
Speaker 3: Then the Vandy versus Texas A and M is like

855
00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:36,319
Speaker 3: rock versus paper, where like the not even that like

856
00:45:37,280 --> 00:45:39,520
Speaker 3: text A and M can pound them inside. But Vandy

857
00:45:39,600 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 3: is one of the best shooting teams in the league,

858
00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:43,400
Speaker 3: and as you said, they're pretty prone to that with

859
00:45:43,440 --> 00:45:45,399
Speaker 3: the way they they're so compact on defense. It looks

860
00:45:45,400 --> 00:45:48,279
Speaker 3: like his own that that would concern me there for

861
00:45:48,520 --> 00:45:49,040
Speaker 3: for A and M.

862
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:54,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, so that's what worries me there in the

863
00:45:54,640 --> 00:45:58,319
Speaker 1: top half. I might be looking. I might bet South

864
00:45:58,360 --> 00:46:02,640
Speaker 1: Carolina again against Arkansas, see what number we get. But

865
00:46:02,680 --> 00:46:04,759
Speaker 1: I don't think it's a terrible matchup for South. We'll

866
00:46:04,760 --> 00:46:06,759
Speaker 1: see if THEO is the is THEO back?

867
00:46:08,000 --> 00:46:10,440
Speaker 3: I think still TVD. I would kind of expect him

868
00:46:10,440 --> 00:46:12,880
Speaker 3: to play, but I don't know. Maybe they're like, because

869
00:46:12,920 --> 00:46:14,360
Speaker 3: you can't say we're gonna hold him out to the

870
00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:16,040
Speaker 3: tournament because you don't know if you're gonna make the tournament.

871
00:46:16,640 --> 00:46:17,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I wouldn't do that.

872
00:46:18,000 --> 00:46:20,880
Speaker 1: It does matter. I think he's one of the most

873
00:46:20,920 --> 00:46:23,319
Speaker 1: important players. I mean, credit to Arkansas for what they've

874
00:46:23,320 --> 00:46:26,799
Speaker 1: done without him. I think South kinda can work through

875
00:46:26,840 --> 00:46:29,080
Speaker 1: Mary Boyles in this matchup like they did in the

876
00:46:29,120 --> 00:46:31,520
Speaker 1: first meeting. Now, granted, Arkansas is not going to start

877
00:46:31,560 --> 00:46:34,359
Speaker 1: one to twenty seven or whatever they did from the floor,

878
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:37,040
Speaker 1: but you might get an inflated number there with like, hey,

879
00:46:37,640 --> 00:46:40,960
Speaker 1: marketsall wins this game, they're going to the journey. I

880
00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:42,239
Speaker 1: might push back against that.

881
00:46:43,080 --> 00:46:44,799
Speaker 3: It's only four on Ken Pond. I think that's going

882
00:46:44,840 --> 00:46:47,160
Speaker 3: to be like six in the market or something.

883
00:46:47,640 --> 00:46:51,000
Speaker 1: Hopefully, yeah, six seven would love to get that Ole Miss.

884
00:46:51,640 --> 00:46:54,920
Speaker 1: I'm like, here's the thing. I mean, unless Auburn just

885
00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:59,240
Speaker 1: really doesn't care. Ole Miss can't beat Auburn, Like I

886
00:46:59,320 --> 00:47:05,839
Speaker 1: schematically Alburn those matchups their defensive bar blowout this year. Yeah,

887
00:47:06,160 --> 00:47:09,640
Speaker 1: so like I don't know, I've Auburn gon to the

888
00:47:09,719 --> 00:47:13,359
Speaker 1: I have Alburn in the semis. There's just no one

889
00:47:13,680 --> 00:47:17,440
Speaker 1: that interests me among Arkansas South Carolina artsas one hundred

890
00:47:17,400 --> 00:47:21,839
Speaker 1: and fifty to one, you know, especially off the air,

891
00:47:21,880 --> 00:47:24,839
Speaker 1: they have no depth. You're asking them to win five

892
00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:29,200
Speaker 1: games in five days. No thanks, ole Miss. For what

893
00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:32,920
Speaker 1: it's worth is sixty five to one. So any prices

894
00:47:33,000 --> 00:47:35,000
Speaker 1: in the top are any matchups in the top half

895
00:47:35,040 --> 00:47:35,400
Speaker 1: interest you.

896
00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:39,120
Speaker 3: I's sort of like, of the top four teams, I

897
00:47:39,200 --> 00:47:42,080
Speaker 3: like Tennessee's price the most. I mean, they're the longest

898
00:47:42,120 --> 00:47:46,080
Speaker 3: odds of the Alabama, Auburn, Florida group, so all the

899
00:47:46,080 --> 00:47:48,960
Speaker 3: teams have to win three games. I kind of like Tennessee.

900
00:47:49,239 --> 00:47:51,840
Speaker 3: It doesn't I know you mentioned like Barnes has hinted

901
00:47:51,840 --> 00:47:54,360
Speaker 3: it maybe not that winning isn't the best idea, but

902
00:47:55,239 --> 00:47:57,240
Speaker 3: that team doesn't strike me as like having an off switch.

903
00:47:57,440 --> 00:48:00,439
Speaker 3: So like the Mayshack minds, that Ziggler mindset, like set

904
00:48:00,440 --> 00:48:03,600
Speaker 3: the tone crazy defenders. I think they'll be kind of

905
00:48:03,600 --> 00:48:06,839
Speaker 3: dialed in. But six to one in this league isn't

906
00:48:07,120 --> 00:48:10,960
Speaker 3: like great shakes anyways, So I'm not like strongly recommending that.

907
00:48:12,160 --> 00:48:17,680
Speaker 1: In the bottom half first round games Mississippi State against LSU,

908
00:48:18,520 --> 00:48:21,200
Speaker 1: I'm kind of out on this Mississippi State team. Big

909
00:48:21,239 --> 00:48:24,399
Speaker 1: picture wise, they're going to make the tournament, but it's

910
00:48:24,480 --> 00:48:29,000
Speaker 1: like they can't really shoot. It's like, does Hubbard go

911
00:48:29,080 --> 00:48:33,799
Speaker 1: for forty? That's like what they need to make a

912
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:34,680
Speaker 1: run in the tournament.

913
00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:36,760
Speaker 3: They can't really shoot, and they don't have the defensive

914
00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:39,560
Speaker 3: backbone that jams teams typically do. Like they're not quite

915
00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:41,080
Speaker 3: that great on that end.

916
00:48:41,800 --> 00:48:46,960
Speaker 1: Yep. The winner of Missippi State LS will take on

917
00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:51,719
Speaker 1: Missouri States State. By the way one, Missouri is a

918
00:48:52,120 --> 00:48:55,520
Speaker 1: how where do you legitimately? Where do you about Missouri

919
00:48:56,040 --> 00:48:59,200
Speaker 1: and their defense gates late late game stuff? Where do

920
00:48:59,200 --> 00:49:02,799
Speaker 1: you stand with Missouri? And is your hopes of a

921
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:04,840
Speaker 1: deep deep run have they been dashed?

922
00:49:05,280 --> 00:49:08,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm really worried. Some of the lineups are weird,

923
00:49:08,080 --> 00:49:08,880
Speaker 2: Like you can't play.

924
00:49:08,760 --> 00:49:11,040
Speaker 3: Trent Pierce and Jacob Cruz together because I can't defend,

925
00:49:11,200 --> 00:49:13,120
Speaker 3: and we see too many lineups with them sharing the

926
00:49:13,160 --> 00:49:16,160
Speaker 3: court the whole. Yeah, the defense is a problem. They

927
00:49:16,160 --> 00:49:19,120
Speaker 3: should be better on the ball with Perkins and Robinson

928
00:49:19,160 --> 00:49:22,359
Speaker 3: are two on ball defenders, but they get beat off

929
00:49:22,360 --> 00:49:24,680
Speaker 3: the bounce a lot, and the defensive rebounding has gotten

930
00:49:25,000 --> 00:49:27,840
Speaker 3: way worse. Like they competed on the defensive glass with

931
00:49:27,880 --> 00:49:30,480
Speaker 3: some teams in the first half of conference play and

932
00:49:30,800 --> 00:49:33,240
Speaker 3: have not been able to sustain it through the back half.

933
00:49:34,560 --> 00:49:38,480
Speaker 3: Vanderbilt grabbed over fifty percent of their missus against Missouri,

934
00:49:38,520 --> 00:49:43,120
Speaker 3: Like that is horrible. I am I am hovering over

935
00:49:43,160 --> 00:49:46,040
Speaker 3: the panic button with Miszoo because they just are trying

936
00:49:46,080 --> 00:49:47,719
Speaker 3: to outscore teams right now and they have to make

937
00:49:47,760 --> 00:49:50,239
Speaker 3: a ton of shots to do that, and I don't

938
00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:53,000
Speaker 3: trust them to do that more than once, like they

939
00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:55,399
Speaker 3: did it against Alabama one game and then they end

940
00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:56,840
Speaker 3: the season on three game losing streak.

941
00:49:58,000 --> 00:50:00,360
Speaker 1: Who shoots their team out of attorney first, Caleb Grill

942
00:50:00,560 --> 00:50:01,399
Speaker 1: or Caleb Love.

943
00:50:03,480 --> 00:50:04,680
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Love.

944
00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:07,880
Speaker 3: I thank Grills shooting like forty three that I can't

945
00:50:07,960 --> 00:50:09,120
Speaker 3: I can't dig him.

946
00:50:09,440 --> 00:50:10,960
Speaker 1: He just had that one. What was that game and

947
00:50:11,000 --> 00:50:12,799
Speaker 1: that he did he was horrendous in.

948
00:50:14,360 --> 00:50:18,160
Speaker 3: Uh he went two of twelve at Arkansas was the

949
00:50:18,280 --> 00:50:19,759
Speaker 3: in the second half he went ice cold.

950
00:50:19,760 --> 00:50:23,799
Speaker 1: Now he's been great all year. So most likely Mississippi

951
00:50:23,800 --> 00:50:29,200
Speaker 1: State Missouri winner will take on Florida, the two seed

952
00:50:29,840 --> 00:50:34,840
Speaker 1: who's been amazing and probably not talked enough about uh,

953
00:50:35,600 --> 00:50:41,680
Speaker 1: and maybe I'm not giving them I haven't talked about

954
00:50:41,719 --> 00:50:43,160
Speaker 1: him enough, like like I always sayd like, no one's

955
00:50:43,200 --> 00:50:44,719
Speaker 1: talking about him enough, and it's like, well I haven't really

956
00:50:44,800 --> 00:50:47,799
Speaker 1: Maybe I haven't talked about him enough yet. I think

957
00:50:47,800 --> 00:50:49,640
Speaker 1: the media part of that was like the Todd Golden

958
00:50:49,719 --> 00:50:51,759
Speaker 1: and all that stuff that was going on, so.

959
00:50:51,680 --> 00:50:53,399
Speaker 2: Like, yeah, we talk about them, we have to talk

960
00:50:53,440 --> 00:50:54,080
Speaker 2: about that.

961
00:50:54,560 --> 00:50:57,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, So like people didn't want to go there. But

962
00:50:58,000 --> 00:51:02,960
Speaker 1: I think that they're clearly one of the five best

963
00:51:02,960 --> 00:51:05,279
Speaker 1: teams in the country by the way, I have you

964
00:51:05,320 --> 00:51:06,680
Speaker 1: know who mine is. Maybe you agree with this, I

965
00:51:06,680 --> 00:51:08,600
Speaker 1: think I've seen you tweet about it, but you know

966
00:51:08,719 --> 00:51:10,640
Speaker 1: one of my five best teams in the country is

967
00:51:11,120 --> 00:51:11,759
Speaker 1: Texas Tech.

968
00:51:12,200 --> 00:51:16,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I love that team. Pick the final four

969
00:51:16,040 --> 00:51:17,759
Speaker 2: of the preseason. I'm riding that One.

970
00:51:19,040 --> 00:51:20,799
Speaker 1: I have Final four futures on them. Two let's let's

971
00:51:20,880 --> 00:51:23,879
Speaker 1: uh get it on Texas Tech. I'll be in Vegas.

972
00:51:23,960 --> 00:51:28,319
Speaker 1: Run of four played watching Texas Tech versus uc SAN

973
00:51:28,360 --> 00:51:34,279
Speaker 1: Diego if we could only Oh so, yeah, Missouri Mississippi

974
00:51:34,320 --> 00:51:38,600
Speaker 1: State winner takes on Florida. Is that just Florida advances,

975
00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:40,640
Speaker 1: So we can't even consider Missouri Mississippi State.

976
00:51:40,719 --> 00:51:45,400
Speaker 3: And yeah, I Missouri won at Florida this year and

977
00:51:45,440 --> 00:51:47,839
Speaker 3: they kind of like punked Florida early in the game

978
00:51:48,120 --> 00:51:50,440
Speaker 3: and it came came back with close down the stretch.

979
00:51:51,040 --> 00:51:53,839
Speaker 3: I think Florida would be really dialed for that game

980
00:51:54,040 --> 00:51:55,040
Speaker 3: for a little revenge.

981
00:51:56,320 --> 00:51:59,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, and get them on a back to back, you

982
00:51:59,080 --> 00:52:01,040
Speaker 1: get that staff prepared for that game too.

983
00:52:01,280 --> 00:52:04,240
Speaker 2: With the offensive rebounding would be murder in that game.

984
00:52:05,120 --> 00:52:09,520
Speaker 1: Yep, good point. So Florida, as you mentioned plus two seventy,

985
00:52:10,080 --> 00:52:11,840
Speaker 1: no interest in taking that price. But I don't have

986
00:52:11,840 --> 00:52:16,239
Speaker 1: any interest in taking them on with either of the

987
00:52:16,280 --> 00:52:20,040
Speaker 1: teams that precede them in the very bottom of the bracket,

988
00:52:21,160 --> 00:52:23,960
Speaker 1: we start with an eleven to fourteen game that might

989
00:52:24,000 --> 00:52:27,880
Speaker 1: be two tournament teams. Pretty wild to say, between Georgia

990
00:52:28,480 --> 00:52:33,920
Speaker 1: and Oklahoma. Georgia has been playing really well, like really

991
00:52:33,960 --> 00:52:37,960
Speaker 1: well lately. Yeah, I was all, I was completely off them.

992
00:52:39,000 --> 00:52:40,560
Speaker 1: I was like, yeah, I don't want this team anywhere

993
00:52:40,560 --> 00:52:41,839
Speaker 1: near the tournament, but I have to give them their

994
00:52:41,880 --> 00:52:45,520
Speaker 1: flowers for how they've played, how they backed up wins,

995
00:52:45,960 --> 00:52:50,080
Speaker 1: Like going to South Carolina might sound easy, but going

996
00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:55,399
Speaker 1: to South Calinda just handling business two big wins. Yeah, yeah,

997
00:52:55,920 --> 00:52:58,880
Speaker 1: trucking them then. Yeah, Like that road trip after the

998
00:52:58,920 --> 00:53:03,719
Speaker 1: Florida win was super impressive. I'm still very fearful of

999
00:53:03,800 --> 00:53:07,360
Speaker 1: like they're late, like they're gonna what's gonna happen in

1000
00:53:07,360 --> 00:53:12,000
Speaker 1: the tournament is they're gonna like whoever they play, if

1001
00:53:12,000 --> 00:53:15,279
Speaker 1: they play like if they were to play like a

1002
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:17,759
Speaker 1: mid major that can press pressure you, they'd be up

1003
00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:20,120
Speaker 1: to eight with like two ten to go and lose,

1004
00:53:20,239 --> 00:53:26,759
Speaker 1: like get getting pressed. So but I think I think

1005
00:53:26,800 --> 00:53:28,879
Speaker 1: in credit so Georgia and Oklahoma's playing a lot better

1006
00:53:29,239 --> 00:53:29,680
Speaker 1: as well.

1007
00:53:30,400 --> 00:53:34,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, even like have been really really tight with good teams.

1008
00:53:35,080 --> 00:53:39,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, he easily could have beat Kentucky, Mississippi came down

1009
00:53:39,960 --> 00:53:43,160
Speaker 1: with Ole miss These games came right down to the wire.

1010
00:53:43,680 --> 00:53:46,719
Speaker 1: Any thoughts on that particular matchup Georgia Oklahoma.

1011
00:53:47,440 --> 00:53:50,440
Speaker 3: I like Oklahoma, maybe they're gonna struggle on the boards.

1012
00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:52,800
Speaker 3: I guess I should probably make sure if Sam Godwin's

1013
00:53:52,800 --> 00:53:55,359
Speaker 3: status because he's their best rebounder and you want him

1014
00:53:55,360 --> 00:53:58,160
Speaker 3: back against that super physical, deep Georgia front line.

1015
00:53:58,840 --> 00:54:01,520
Speaker 2: But I love those guys wards and seems like Fears

1016
00:54:01,520 --> 00:54:01,879
Speaker 2: got through.

1017
00:54:01,920 --> 00:54:04,160
Speaker 3: He hit a fresh freshman wall for a little bit,

1018
00:54:04,440 --> 00:54:07,120
Speaker 3: and he's way out of that funk. He's been really

1019
00:54:07,160 --> 00:54:10,440
Speaker 3: good lately, handling the ball a little bit more, and

1020
00:54:10,480 --> 00:54:14,279
Speaker 3: they've got shooting speed. I like that perimeter a lot,

1021
00:54:14,320 --> 00:54:17,239
Speaker 3: and Moser's been a pretty good tournament coach in his in.

1022
00:54:17,160 --> 00:54:19,680
Speaker 2: His day, so I would lean towards the Sooners.

1023
00:54:20,080 --> 00:54:23,560
Speaker 1: Well, Oklahoma's two hundred and fifty to one, anyone can

1024
00:54:23,560 --> 00:54:28,719
Speaker 1: be Kentucky, so like Duky is, I mean, they're not

1025
00:54:28,880 --> 00:54:33,440
Speaker 1: going to play much defense, probably going to be a shootout. Georgia,

1026
00:54:33,440 --> 00:54:35,120
Speaker 1: by the ways, one hundred and ten to one, Kentucky

1027
00:54:35,800 --> 00:54:40,160
Speaker 1: is nineteen to one. Entucky like plays up so well

1028
00:54:40,200 --> 00:54:43,520
Speaker 1: and then like against the mid pack, they just they

1029
00:54:43,520 --> 00:54:48,080
Speaker 1: play down on them. It's an interesting team. Interesting how

1030
00:54:48,080 --> 00:54:50,360
Speaker 1: that would profile to the tournament because they're going to

1031
00:54:50,400 --> 00:54:55,600
Speaker 1: be like they fit all of the characteristics of a

1032
00:54:55,680 --> 00:54:57,920
Speaker 1: high seed that gets upset, which is so sad for

1033
00:54:58,080 --> 00:55:02,040
Speaker 1: Lexington because this just always happens. Now we got a

1034
00:55:02,040 --> 00:55:05,280
Speaker 1: new great coach and it's like, well, the team profile

1035
00:55:05,360 --> 00:55:06,200
Speaker 1: is kind of the same way.

1036
00:55:06,760 --> 00:55:08,759
Speaker 3: The pitchforks would come out for Pope because like the

1037
00:55:08,840 --> 00:55:10,319
Speaker 3: knock on him when they hired him was he hasn't

1038
00:55:10,320 --> 00:55:12,640
Speaker 3: won a tournament game, and if he immediately got upset

1039
00:55:12,640 --> 00:55:14,160
Speaker 3: in the first round, people like, we knew it, this

1040
00:55:14,280 --> 00:55:16,799
Speaker 3: guy's are fraud. I don't think he's a fraud. For

1041
00:55:16,880 --> 00:55:18,800
Speaker 3: the record, Kentucky fans, I think he's a great coach.

1042
00:55:19,480 --> 00:55:22,399
Speaker 1: Yes, agreed, I've set up from the jump that I've

1043
00:55:22,719 --> 00:55:25,799
Speaker 1: love to hire. Hopefully we can just get a run.

1044
00:55:25,840 --> 00:55:28,399
Speaker 1: I mean Kentucky can beat anyone, but they can get

1045
00:55:28,440 --> 00:55:31,880
Speaker 1: upset in the first round very easily. Winner of Kentucky

1046
00:55:31,920 --> 00:55:34,879
Speaker 1: versus Oklahoma, Georgia will take on Alabama fresh off they're

1047
00:55:34,920 --> 00:55:42,840
Speaker 1: upset win at Auburn. I'm still I'm off the tide

1048
00:55:44,360 --> 00:55:47,600
Speaker 1: as national champion contenders. Maybe it's op take. I get

1049
00:55:47,600 --> 00:55:52,719
Speaker 1: the upside. I don't trust their defense. So you know,

1050
00:55:52,840 --> 00:55:56,399
Speaker 1: if they're flaming hot from three all the way through

1051
00:55:56,400 --> 00:55:58,279
Speaker 1: the tournament, I mean they don't have to be all

1052
00:55:58,320 --> 00:56:00,400
Speaker 1: the way through the tournament. At the very back end

1053
00:56:00,440 --> 00:56:04,560
Speaker 1: of the tournament, yeah, I can see it, But like

1054
00:56:04,600 --> 00:56:06,719
Speaker 1: I'm picturing them playing they in order to win the

1055
00:56:06,760 --> 00:56:10,360
Speaker 1: national title I'm picturing them playing the other elite teams

1056
00:56:11,200 --> 00:56:15,160
Speaker 1: and I can't trust the pushbacks. Well, they just won

1057
00:56:16,120 --> 00:56:20,759
Speaker 1: at Auburn. Well, yeah, it helps that Alburn's beat up

1058
00:56:21,040 --> 00:56:24,479
Speaker 1: one of their best guards gets thrown out of the game.

1059
00:56:25,320 --> 00:56:27,360
Speaker 1: So I don't know where do you staying on Alabama.

1060
00:56:28,560 --> 00:56:31,759
Speaker 3: I'm the same with the defense, it's leaky. I don't

1061
00:56:31,760 --> 00:56:34,720
Speaker 3: think they're really very good at keeping the ball in front,

1062
00:56:34,800 --> 00:56:38,160
Speaker 3: which makes their interior defense get even further stressed than

1063
00:56:38,200 --> 00:56:40,760
Speaker 3: when Cliff's not out there. They've got no room protection,

1064
00:56:41,000 --> 00:56:43,239
Speaker 3: not a ton of like vertical athleticism. And then I

1065
00:56:43,239 --> 00:56:47,040
Speaker 3: think the sneaky part with them is that they're not that.

1066
00:56:47,400 --> 00:56:48,399
Speaker 2: Good of a shooting team.

1067
00:56:48,440 --> 00:56:51,719
Speaker 3: They have three really good shooters Sears, young Blood, Holloway,

1068
00:56:52,200 --> 00:56:54,360
Speaker 3: but then they let a bunch of bad shooters fire away,

1069
00:56:54,480 --> 00:56:56,320
Speaker 3: and I think that can shoot them out of games.

1070
00:56:56,400 --> 00:56:59,080
Speaker 3: Like people see, oh Alabama had a bad shooting game,

1071
00:56:59,160 --> 00:57:02,880
Speaker 3: It's like, well, because Aiden Sheryl and Jared Stevenson and

1072
00:57:02,880 --> 00:57:05,479
Speaker 3: Grant Nelson took a combined fifteen threes and made two,

1073
00:57:05,640 --> 00:57:09,680
Speaker 3: they're bad shooters. So that that's what along with the defense,

1074
00:57:10,120 --> 00:57:11,920
Speaker 3: the fact that they can be prone to having bad

1075
00:57:11,960 --> 00:57:14,560
Speaker 3: shooting games because everyone has a green light is a problem.

1076
00:57:14,920 --> 00:57:17,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're shooting forty percent over the last ten. There

1077
00:57:17,720 --> 00:57:19,760
Speaker 1: are stretches of ten they were shooting like thirty two

1078
00:57:19,760 --> 00:57:23,280
Speaker 1: percent and everything didn't look as pretty. I was anw

1079
00:57:23,280 --> 00:57:25,600
Speaker 1: Alabama fan, I'd be worried that a stretch of those

1080
00:57:25,640 --> 00:57:32,640
Speaker 1: games might be coming. So Alabama is priced that well,

1081
00:57:32,680 --> 00:57:37,160
Speaker 1: Kentucky is priced at twenty oh. I just lost my

1082
00:57:37,200 --> 00:57:42,680
Speaker 1: Monts out. Kentucky is nineteen to one, Alabama is around

1083
00:57:42,800 --> 00:57:45,520
Speaker 1: four to one. I mean.

1084
00:57:47,400 --> 00:57:48,920
Speaker 2: I prefer Kentucky for sure.

1085
00:57:49,560 --> 00:57:53,240
Speaker 1: That piques my interest for Kentucky because that the Alabama

1086
00:57:53,320 --> 00:57:56,680
Speaker 1: Kentucky is a legit. It just looks like an NBA

1087
00:57:56,800 --> 00:58:00,959
Speaker 1: game and it's like it's it's it's fun to watch.

1088
00:58:00,960 --> 00:58:04,400
Speaker 1: But I'm like, all right, the team's up twelve, who cares? Yeah,

1089
00:58:05,440 --> 00:58:09,040
Speaker 1: like it does. Oh I'm catching twelve and I'm up four.

1090
00:58:09,080 --> 00:58:10,880
Speaker 1: Who cares like they can go on an eighteen oh

1091
00:58:10,960 --> 00:58:17,920
Speaker 1: run in the next three minutes. But Kentucky, with their upside,

1092
00:58:18,680 --> 00:58:20,000
Speaker 1: they're gonna have a big fan there, always have a

1093
00:58:20,040 --> 00:58:25,040
Speaker 1: big fan presence there. Am I crazy for talking myself

1094
00:58:25,040 --> 00:58:25,400
Speaker 1: into that?

1095
00:58:26,000 --> 00:58:26,400
Speaker 2: No?

1096
00:58:26,400 --> 00:58:29,160
Speaker 3: No, I don't think so we know that the high

1097
00:58:29,240 --> 00:58:31,960
Speaker 3: end ceiling, like they're up there in the country in

1098
00:58:32,120 --> 00:58:36,000
Speaker 3: quad one wins because they play really well against great competition.

1099
00:58:36,160 --> 00:58:39,400
Speaker 3: Just sometimes their defense is a little leaky against lower

1100
00:58:39,640 --> 00:58:42,080
Speaker 3: caliber teams. Are you worried about no Jackson Robinson or

1101
00:58:42,080 --> 00:58:43,840
Speaker 3: are you kind of like I think we've seen them

1102
00:58:43,840 --> 00:58:47,200
Speaker 3: without him look good enough that I'm not as worried.

1103
00:58:47,240 --> 00:58:48,600
Speaker 3: They've got a bunch of shooting.

1104
00:58:49,080 --> 00:58:52,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, and he's not bringing anything defensively to the table. Yeah,

1105
00:58:52,920 --> 00:58:57,440
Speaker 1: not particularly worried. But uh, the path is like they

1106
00:58:57,440 --> 00:59:00,360
Speaker 1: could lose Oklahoma and then you're probably going to be Alabama,

1107
00:59:00,440 --> 00:59:02,960
Speaker 1: then Florida, then Auburn or Tennessee.

1108
00:59:03,560 --> 00:59:06,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, I guess that's that's that's not happening, and that's

1109
00:59:06,480 --> 00:59:08,120
Speaker 3: like why the prices are what they are. Like the

1110
00:59:08,400 --> 00:59:11,360
Speaker 3: cutoff after the top four is so crazy because you're like, oh,

1111
00:59:11,360 --> 00:59:13,760
Speaker 3: you have to beat two or three of these elite teams.

1112
00:59:13,840 --> 00:59:14,720
Speaker 2: That's so hard to do.

1113
00:59:15,480 --> 00:59:20,160
Speaker 1: Yeah. So I think ultimately my at the end of

1114
00:59:20,200 --> 00:59:22,000
Speaker 1: the day, my recommendation if you want to bet this

1115
00:59:23,400 --> 00:59:24,880
Speaker 1: justa Taylor Wait.

1116
00:59:24,800 --> 00:59:28,840
Speaker 2: I just say it. I knew that's where it was going.

1117
00:59:30,760 --> 00:59:34,160
Speaker 1: I'm worried about the bandy game, but I assume they're

1118
00:59:34,160 --> 00:59:36,120
Speaker 1: going to be focused there. Buzz Williams is a great coach,

1119
00:59:36,760 --> 00:59:39,800
Speaker 1: don't have time to prepare for that, and tennis you

1120
00:59:39,800 --> 00:59:41,600
Speaker 1: will be a rock fight. They match up well with Auburn,

1121
00:59:41,880 --> 00:59:46,120
Speaker 1: who knows it's going on with Auburn, and then uh yeah,

1122
00:59:46,280 --> 00:59:48,840
Speaker 1: you make money if they get to the final. The

1123
00:59:48,880 --> 00:59:50,320
Speaker 1: good thing about text A and M, though, is that

1124
00:59:50,320 --> 00:59:52,240
Speaker 1: they are high arrant team, Like they just have a

1125
00:59:52,280 --> 00:59:55,560
Speaker 1: couple of games where everyone's cold. They're going to beat

1126
00:59:55,560 --> 00:59:57,200
Speaker 1: you up on the boards, and they have been running

1127
00:59:57,200 --> 01:00:01,640
Speaker 1: bad from three for quite some time. So at twenty

1128
01:00:01,680 --> 01:00:06,160
Speaker 1: five to one, I like their path better than Kentucky's

1129
01:00:08,120 --> 01:00:11,560
Speaker 1: just given the matchups. I don't know, but uh.

1130
01:00:12,280 --> 01:00:17,640
Speaker 3: Yeah a second, I'm picking Tennessee just I feel like

1131
01:00:17,720 --> 01:00:20,120
Speaker 3: they're the one I know for sure, or I at

1132
01:00:20,160 --> 01:00:22,240
Speaker 3: least feel most confident of that top group that's like

1133
01:00:22,320 --> 01:00:25,200
Speaker 3: we I think they want to win this tournament relative

1134
01:00:25,200 --> 01:00:28,560
Speaker 3: to the Florida and Alabama that we discussed earlier, and

1135
01:00:28,600 --> 01:00:32,200
Speaker 3: even Auburn. So I'll go with Tennessee. But five or

1136
01:00:32,240 --> 01:00:34,200
Speaker 3: six to one isn't like a home run price here.

1137
01:00:34,400 --> 01:00:37,280
Speaker 3: I don't think there's like a uber amount of value

1138
01:00:37,280 --> 01:00:39,320
Speaker 3: on this on this league agreed.

1139
01:00:40,560 --> 01:00:42,960
Speaker 1: I wouldn't follow anyone for taking Kentucky, but that path

1140
01:00:43,040 --> 01:00:47,480
Speaker 1: is brutal, and I wouldn't follow anyone for taking a

1141
01:00:47,520 --> 01:00:49,400
Speaker 1: shot on Texam. You know, I'll have a little bit

1142
01:00:49,400 --> 01:00:52,800
Speaker 1: on text a M. I'd be disappointed if if they

1143
01:00:52,840 --> 01:00:56,000
Speaker 1: win this, then they're definitely gonna lose in the first round.

1144
01:00:56,760 --> 01:00:58,880
Speaker 1: If they're going through this goal and everyone misses threes,

1145
01:00:58,920 --> 01:01:00,600
Speaker 1: and then they'll get upset in the first rounds. I

1146
01:01:00,640 --> 01:01:05,280
Speaker 1: gotta get my text an M run money. But all right,

1147
01:01:05,360 --> 01:01:09,320
Speaker 1: let's recap one sentence each just on the we just

1148
01:01:09,320 --> 01:01:11,160
Speaker 1: talked about the SEC, so we can skip that one

1149
01:01:11,160 --> 01:01:14,400
Speaker 1: sentence each on the three conferences we already talked about.

1150
01:01:14,400 --> 01:01:16,400
Speaker 1: You can just say, hey, I like a team. I

1151
01:01:16,440 --> 01:01:18,240
Speaker 1: think this team wins it. But this is where the

1152
01:01:18,320 --> 01:01:25,040
Speaker 1: value is. Let's start with the A ten me personally

1153
01:01:25,320 --> 01:01:28,760
Speaker 1: George Washington's price. This price is crazy compared to Saint Jose.

1154
01:01:29,160 --> 01:01:32,680
Speaker 1: I don't think that those two teams are that far apart.

1155
01:01:32,720 --> 01:01:40,360
Speaker 1: And you're getting four what six times the price on

1156
01:01:41,000 --> 01:01:44,280
Speaker 1: GW who can easily beat George Mason and they already

1157
01:01:44,280 --> 01:01:49,640
Speaker 1: beat Dayton. I think the long shot play in the

1158
01:01:49,680 --> 01:01:54,000
Speaker 1: A ten is easily GW. What are your thoughts on

1159
01:01:54,040 --> 01:01:54,400
Speaker 1: the eight ten.

1160
01:01:55,040 --> 01:01:58,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, vulnerable two seed with Mason because the style they

1161
01:01:58,360 --> 01:02:00,320
Speaker 3: play and the close games are in so taking a

1162
01:02:00,360 --> 01:02:02,080
Speaker 3: shot on GW makes a ton of sense to me.

1163
01:02:02,280 --> 01:02:05,240
Speaker 3: I did it, so I can definitely recommend that. And

1164
01:02:05,280 --> 01:02:08,200
Speaker 3: then I also like SLEW just the high end outcomes

1165
01:02:08,200 --> 01:02:10,880
Speaker 3: and the top part of their roster is so strong

1166
01:02:10,920 --> 01:02:13,320
Speaker 3: that if those three guys play a bunch of good

1167
01:02:13,360 --> 01:02:16,440
Speaker 3: games Avula, Jimmerson and Swope, then I think they can

1168
01:02:16,480 --> 01:02:16,720
Speaker 3: make a.

1169
01:02:16,760 --> 01:02:22,920
Speaker 1: Run Big West parlay you see San Diego or about them,

1170
01:02:23,000 --> 01:02:25,320
Speaker 1: But that's you know, my recommision. But do you think

1171
01:02:27,360 --> 01:02:29,040
Speaker 1: a little something on Riverside makes sense?

1172
01:02:29,600 --> 01:02:31,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I guess that's kind of This is what it's

1173
01:02:31,920 --> 01:02:34,439
Speaker 3: going to mirror my or my Big South approach where

1174
01:02:34,440 --> 01:02:36,840
Speaker 3: I had high point in parlays, but I also had

1175
01:02:36,840 --> 01:02:39,640
Speaker 3: a little on Winthrop on the other side. So I

1176
01:02:39,680 --> 01:02:42,480
Speaker 3: thoroughly enjoyed the final being able to have both those

1177
01:02:42,520 --> 01:02:44,320
Speaker 3: teams with something on them.

1178
01:02:44,440 --> 01:02:45,440
Speaker 2: That's probably what I'll do here.

1179
01:02:45,480 --> 01:02:46,800
Speaker 3: I think we talked to you see San Diego and

1180
01:02:46,880 --> 01:02:50,280
Speaker 3: Yale as a parlay, and then I like Riverside being

1181
01:02:50,320 --> 01:02:53,000
Speaker 3: on the Irvine end of the bracket.

1182
01:02:53,440 --> 01:02:54,919
Speaker 2: They're capable of beating them with their.

1183
01:02:54,840 --> 01:03:01,160
Speaker 1: Guards and then finally conference to USA. For me, expect

1184
01:03:01,200 --> 01:03:03,760
Speaker 1: the unexpected in this league. This is kind of like

1185
01:03:03,880 --> 01:03:09,000
Speaker 1: mac Ish mac Ish Liberty. I guess is merri Mack

1186
01:03:09,200 --> 01:03:13,360
Speaker 1: and the rest of the teams are like anyone can

1187
01:03:13,400 --> 01:03:16,240
Speaker 1: beat anybody, and anyone can also beat Liberty, just like

1188
01:03:16,280 --> 01:03:18,480
Speaker 1: anyone could beat Merrimack. Even though they're the best team

1189
01:03:18,520 --> 01:03:24,600
Speaker 1: probably in that league. So they play slow threes like that.

1190
01:03:26,000 --> 01:03:28,280
Speaker 1: I don't know. I think that I'm gonna end up

1191
01:03:28,280 --> 01:03:31,040
Speaker 1: talking myself into law Tech at twelve, the one they

1192
01:03:31,040 --> 01:03:33,480
Speaker 1: already swept Middle Tennessee. Middle Tennessee won't really turn them over.

1193
01:03:34,720 --> 01:03:36,680
Speaker 1: They've been an inconsistent team all year and they play

1194
01:03:36,720 --> 01:03:41,920
Speaker 1: slow that they have some talent that just hasn't lived

1195
01:03:42,000 --> 01:03:43,720
Speaker 1: up there. Can they put it together for three games?

1196
01:03:44,120 --> 01:03:46,080
Speaker 1: The good thing is, like I said, they get Middle Tennessee.

1197
01:03:46,120 --> 01:03:50,280
Speaker 1: They swept Jacksonville State, probably overseeded as the two just

1198
01:03:50,320 --> 01:03:52,920
Speaker 1: get me to the championship. So I'm probably gonna end

1199
01:03:53,000 --> 01:03:56,720
Speaker 1: up talking to myself in to LA Tech. How about you?

1200
01:03:57,400 --> 01:03:57,600
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1201
01:03:57,640 --> 01:03:59,360
Speaker 3: The first note I wrote when I was prepping for

1202
01:03:59,360 --> 01:04:03,000
Speaker 3: this was driven league, expect chaos. So we're on the

1203
01:04:03,000 --> 01:04:05,120
Speaker 3: same page here. I don't think you want to go

1204
01:04:05,160 --> 01:04:07,520
Speaker 3: for the favorite at plus one fifteen of liberty, so

1205
01:04:07,560 --> 01:04:09,800
Speaker 3: you can kind of find the underdog you like most.

1206
01:04:10,800 --> 01:04:13,800
Speaker 3: I'm I'll probably put a little bit on Sam Houston

1207
01:04:13,920 --> 01:04:16,360
Speaker 3: sixty to one, just because I think they're so much

1208
01:04:16,400 --> 01:04:17,000
Speaker 3: better than that.

1209
01:04:17,560 --> 01:04:19,400
Speaker 2: Tough path, but I still like that.

1210
01:04:19,440 --> 01:04:23,320
Speaker 3: And then Kennesaw fourteen to one, high end outcomes dominance

1211
01:04:23,320 --> 01:04:25,160
Speaker 3: of the rim and the glass. I think that makes

1212
01:04:25,160 --> 01:04:27,440
Speaker 3: sense for a fourteen to one shot as well.

1213
01:04:27,560 --> 01:04:30,280
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff there. That'll do it for us

1214
01:04:30,600 --> 01:04:34,000
Speaker 1: and for party of the College Basketball Conference tournament. Adding

1215
01:04:34,040 --> 01:04:37,040
Speaker 1: previous my voice is I cook, my brain is fried.

1216
01:04:38,200 --> 01:04:41,720
Speaker 1: We have one more to go. Tomorrow will cover iv

1217
01:04:42,800 --> 01:04:46,320
Speaker 1: swhack MIAC Big ten, and talk a little bit more

1218
01:04:46,320 --> 01:04:50,840
Speaker 1: A ten with Mike and Greg. Thanks to Jim for

1219
01:04:50,960 --> 01:04:55,800
Speaker 1: joining me. By the way, Chicago lead eight Saturday. We'll

1220
01:04:55,800 --> 01:04:59,880
Speaker 1: put the invite link in the description. Joe's on we

1221
01:05:00,080 --> 01:05:03,240
Speaker 1: H Street. We'll have a quick preview and hang out

1222
01:05:03,280 --> 01:05:06,480
Speaker 1: watch games, have some drinks, so look forward to seeing

1223
01:05:06,520 --> 01:05:08,760
Speaker 1: some of you guys in the Chicago area. But thanks

1224
01:05:08,760 --> 01:05:10,280
Speaker 1: again to the gym, thanks to perusing the back and most

1225
01:05:10,280 --> 01:05:12,080
Speaker 1: ply thanks to all of You for tuning in. Make

1226
01:05:12,080 --> 01:05:14,560
Speaker 1: sure you subscribe on a Scribetel friend. Tell Endemy you

1227
01:05:14,600 --> 01:05:16,680
Speaker 1: know the drill leave five star of you really helps

1228
01:05:16,720 --> 01:05:18,840
Speaker 1: us out, especially this time of the year. I'll be

1229
01:05:18,920 --> 01:05:24,800
Speaker 1: back tomorrow with part nine. Part eight. I have no

1230
01:05:24,880 --> 01:05:38,440
Speaker 1: idea at this point they catch you all. An cheers

1231
01:05:39,560 --> 01:05:44,080
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1232
01:05:44,120 --> 01:05:46,880
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1233
01:05:46,920 --> 01:05:50,080
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler