WEBVTT - Everything You Need to Know About the AFC North 0:00:00.720 --> 0:00:04.440 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.559 --> 0:00:09.920 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:10.200 --> 0:00:14.600 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:14.760 --> 0:00:18.319 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:18.360 --> 0:00:24.040 here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I 0:00:24.079 --> 0:00:27.480 am Paul Chargie and my co host is Brian Johnson. 0:00:27.800 --> 0:00:31.160 What's up, Charge, Good to talk to you. It's a 0:00:31.200 --> 0:00:35.720 beautiful summer day. It's now summertime. It's taken a while, 0:00:35.760 --> 0:00:39.360 but we're finally at summer. The depressing part, especially for 0:00:39.360 --> 0:00:42.559 those of us in the northern parts of North America, 0:00:43.159 --> 0:00:47.320 the days are gonna start getting shorter. Come on already, 0:00:47.360 --> 0:00:51.080 that's not cool. And for those who don't know, Minnesota 0:00:51.159 --> 0:00:54.040 in the summertime is the absolute best. At its peak, 0:00:54.120 --> 0:00:57.800 it's the suns up at nine thirty at night. Still. Yes, yeah, yeah, 0:00:58.080 --> 0:01:03.520 it's awesome. Yeah, it's an art. It is great. In 0:01:03.640 --> 0:01:06.959 January it's dark at four. Uh so you know, we 0:01:07.000 --> 0:01:10.000 pay the price for it. Other times, I'll take Minnesota 0:01:10.040 --> 0:01:13.520 winters over living in Florida or Arizona in the summer 0:01:13.720 --> 0:01:16.120 all day. I can't take Florida, I know, I can't 0:01:16.160 --> 0:01:18.400 take the humidity. I used to live in Northern Virginia, 0:01:18.480 --> 0:01:22.400 d C. And those summers were intolerable. Yeah, I can 0:01:22.440 --> 0:01:25.120 do Arizona, even though I I just you know, I 0:01:25.160 --> 0:01:28.040 know it's literally hundred and twenty degrees some days in 0:01:28.080 --> 0:01:30.440 the summer. But to me, that whole the whole dry 0:01:30.480 --> 0:01:33.480 heat thing, it works way better than humidity. It is. 0:01:33.840 --> 0:01:36.160 We're gonna dive into the a f C North and 0:01:36.200 --> 0:01:37.800 a little bit like we did with the a f 0:01:37.880 --> 0:01:40.320 C East last week. The goal here is to tell 0:01:40.360 --> 0:01:44.960 you not what this each team did last year. She 0:01:44.959 --> 0:01:48.640 already know that, but it's really forward looking, Brian, as 0:01:48.680 --> 0:01:51.240 to what each team is going to do this year. 0:01:51.720 --> 0:01:54.160 Which players we've identified that we like, how we think 0:01:54.240 --> 0:01:57.360 this offense is gonna work, Coaching changes, personnel changes, all 0:01:57.360 --> 0:01:58.919 the stuff you need to know for the four teams 0:01:58.920 --> 0:02:01.080 of the a f C North. And before we get 0:02:01.120 --> 0:02:05.520 to that, let's mention guilloteen Leagues dot Com. Okay, we 0:02:05.520 --> 0:02:08.720 are not open for business for the season. If you've 0:02:08.720 --> 0:02:10.800 always wanted to try a guillotine league, this is your chance. 0:02:10.919 --> 0:02:14.000 You We support private leagues. If you've got seventeen other people, 0:02:14.160 --> 0:02:15.880 well actually or less, you can have a private league 0:02:15.880 --> 0:02:17.880 with as few as eight UH. If you've got friends 0:02:17.880 --> 0:02:20.760 you want to play with, you can join a private league, 0:02:20.880 --> 0:02:23.080 or if you don't have friends you want to play with, 0:02:23.120 --> 0:02:24.960 then you can join one of our public leagues, available 0:02:24.960 --> 0:02:26.920 at a wide variety of price points depending on the 0:02:26.960 --> 0:02:30.520 prizing you would like to win. So we hear you 0:02:30.560 --> 0:02:33.680 to check that out. Encourage you to join both, especially 0:02:33.840 --> 0:02:36.480 the brand new super Chop super job. Tell people about 0:02:36.480 --> 0:02:40.280 the super Chop format, Bryan. When the big books, uh quickly. 0:02:40.720 --> 0:02:44.400 It starts out as a regular guillotine league, but less teams, 0:02:44.440 --> 0:02:48.320 twelve twelve team league, twelve team league, twelve teams twelve 0:02:48.440 --> 0:02:52.160 leagues with twelve teams in each league. UH start week one, 0:02:52.200 --> 0:02:57.440 of course, and just like standard UH guillotine um execution, 0:02:58.000 --> 0:03:00.679 UH team eliminated every week. But come when you're the 0:03:00.720 --> 0:03:05.400 last man standing, you join the other west men or 0:03:05.440 --> 0:03:09.200 women standing for a brand new draft, sort of brand 0:03:09.200 --> 0:03:14.799 new league. After week eleven, when you win your league playoffs, yes, 0:03:15.000 --> 0:03:17.520 all the league's. All the league winners get together for 0:03:17.600 --> 0:03:20.240 a fresh draft of players, and then you play out 0:03:20.240 --> 0:03:22.880 the playoffs. Last team standing wins the whole thing. Up 0:03:22.919 --> 0:03:25.960 to fifteen thousand dollars. You do this kind of format 0:03:26.080 --> 0:03:27.639 so you can have the big bucks at the end. 0:03:28.320 --> 0:03:31.200 It's very exact, up to fifteen thousand dollars with the 0:03:31.320 --> 0:03:35.240 super chop at guillotea leagues dot com. Brian, Let's begin 0:03:35.440 --> 0:03:38.640 the a f C North with the Cincinnati Bengals. Now, 0:03:38.720 --> 0:03:41.480 for regular listeners, they may know that this is your 0:03:41.480 --> 0:03:44.640 new adopted favorite team. You were previously on the Giants, 0:03:44.680 --> 0:03:49.320 you gave up on them, and they still pay dave yentleman, 0:03:49.360 --> 0:03:52.360 so I refuse to give them. Let's let's go to 0:03:52.400 --> 0:03:55.320 a team you're following very closely and has I think 0:03:56.920 --> 0:03:59.240 maybe if you know you'd if you asked me to 0:03:59.240 --> 0:04:01.120 pick the team in the a f C that's going 0:04:01.160 --> 0:04:04.640 to improve the most by wins, I might just pick 0:04:04.720 --> 0:04:07.280 the Bengals were not for the fact that there's two 0:04:07.280 --> 0:04:09.920 other really good teams in that division. But I think 0:04:09.920 --> 0:04:12.000 the Bengals get so much better this year. I do 0:04:12.160 --> 0:04:16.120 as well, and reality football aside, they're gonna be one 0:04:16.160 --> 0:04:18.120 of the most full and fantasy football teams in that 0:04:18.240 --> 0:04:21.839 in that division. UM real quick to recap last year. 0:04:22.000 --> 0:04:24.479 UM Zach Taylor is returning as the head coach. He 0:04:24.520 --> 0:04:27.880 also acts as the offensive coordinator for the Bengals. I 0:04:27.880 --> 0:04:30.360 believe this will be his second year, maybe his third year, 0:04:30.480 --> 0:04:34.760 still a still very young coach. Last year, Bengals finished 0:04:34.800 --> 0:04:38.400 thirty in yards per game twenty nine points per game. Obviously, 0:04:38.600 --> 0:04:40.960 things went way south when Joe Burrow went down in 0:04:40.960 --> 0:04:43.520 Week eleven with the knee injury. He was posting pretty 0:04:43.520 --> 0:04:47.160 good numbers. The Bengals weren't really necessarily winning games, but 0:04:47.640 --> 0:04:50.880 Burrows also just getting murdered behind that offensive line, which 0:04:50.920 --> 0:04:54.000 will which we'll get into. But the Bengals passed the 0:04:54.000 --> 0:04:55.880 ball a lot. They passed the ball over six at 0:04:55.920 --> 0:04:57.960 the time last year, that was thirteen most in the league. 0:04:58.000 --> 0:04:59.800 They only ran the ball thirty nine point five for 0:05:00.000 --> 0:05:02.440 and that was bottom twelve in the NFL. So they 0:05:02.480 --> 0:05:04.960 were much more of a past friendly team. That's because 0:05:05.000 --> 0:05:08.960 they were behind a lot and don't expect that to 0:05:09.080 --> 0:05:12.719 change a whole lot. Not a ton of draftable players 0:05:12.720 --> 0:05:15.359 for the Bengals. Uh, it's really starting with the highest 0:05:15.440 --> 0:05:18.760 drafted guy, Joe Mixing, Jamaar, Chase te Higgins, Tyler Boyd, 0:05:18.800 --> 0:05:21.920 and then Joe Burrow. Um, we won't even really talk 0:05:21.960 --> 0:05:25.080 about the tight ends and help to to follow the 0:05:25.080 --> 0:05:28.160 script from last week. We'll start with the the riskiest 0:05:28.160 --> 0:05:31.400 guy based on a DP and I think most people 0:05:31.640 --> 0:05:33.960 with lean Joe Mixon off the top of their head, 0:05:34.040 --> 0:05:37.039 just based on last year. Only played six games, totally 0:05:37.080 --> 0:05:39.560 lost season. But he's not the riskiest guy for me. 0:05:39.640 --> 0:05:44.000 It's it's Jamaar Chase, who one of the three elite 0:05:44.080 --> 0:05:47.360 Bengals wide receivers. Amazing talent coming out of l s U. 0:05:47.440 --> 0:05:50.440 As we all know, first wide receiver drafted in the 0:05:50.560 --> 0:05:54.240 NFL Draft. Did not play last year though, but uh, 0:05:54.600 --> 0:05:56.880 right now for L s U. That is so I'm 0:05:56.880 --> 0:05:59.960 a little concerned there. Um, you can have a slower ramp, 0:06:00.000 --> 0:06:02.719 but it's possible. Certainly Kenvia right now, he's going off 0:06:02.760 --> 0:06:09.159 the board wide receiver overall. That's that's so high and 0:06:09.279 --> 0:06:16.000 the highest of the Bengals wide receivers. But Tee Higgins 0:06:16.000 --> 0:06:19.400 has proven himself to be a very good player like 0:06:19.440 --> 0:06:21.880 we thought he was going to be. And I don't 0:06:21.880 --> 0:06:24.159 think there's suddenly going to get I don't think there's 0:06:24.160 --> 0:06:29.120 suddenly going to change the whole scheme just to fit 0:06:29.240 --> 0:06:32.320 a rookie receiver. No, and don't forget Tyler Boyd who 0:06:32.400 --> 0:06:36.600 is going wide receiver thirty three, not far behind these guys. 0:06:37.480 --> 0:06:39.960 Strictly talking wide receivers, I'm going with the cheapest guy 0:06:39.960 --> 0:06:44.120 in Boyd who is a proven contributor with very high 0:06:44.200 --> 0:06:48.039 upside on the in most weeks, at least when Joe 0:06:48.080 --> 0:06:51.440 Burrow is healthy. So for me, Jamaar Chase, I'm out 0:06:52.120 --> 0:06:54.560 in redraft. Of course I like his long term prospects 0:06:54.560 --> 0:06:56.600 a lot more than this year, but wide receiver twenty six, 0:06:56.600 --> 0:06:59.719 when I can take a more proven guy like Chase Claypool, 0:07:01.040 --> 0:07:04.000 Juju Smith, Schuster even and Odell Beckham a little sketchy, 0:07:04.120 --> 0:07:07.640 I'd rather take my chances on those somewhat proven commodities 0:07:07.720 --> 0:07:11.120 over Jamar Chase, who, again a rookie, sat out last year. 0:07:11.880 --> 0:07:15.880 Maybe Joe Burrow isn't after last year, Well, the line 0:07:15.960 --> 0:07:19.000 keep him alive again. It is a fair question because 0:07:19.040 --> 0:07:22.960 the line continues to be ranked. I think Pro Football 0:07:23.000 --> 0:07:27.240 Focus ranked the Bengals coming into this year, so the 0:07:27.360 --> 0:07:30.040 you know, current the current offensive line, I think they 0:07:30.120 --> 0:07:35.880 ranked them thirtieth. The Bengals did draft Jackson Carmen, offensive 0:07:35.880 --> 0:07:37.920 tackle lot of Clemson in the second round, so they 0:07:38.000 --> 0:07:41.520 bolstered that line a little bit. But yeah, I'm just 0:07:41.600 --> 0:07:45.080 out on Jamaar Chase and and Redraft this year. Um, 0:07:45.120 --> 0:07:47.280 again two very good wide receivers in the room with them. 0:07:47.320 --> 0:07:51.040 And also the guy with the most upside is there 0:07:51.120 --> 0:07:54.920 who could soak up significant targets and touchdowns, and that 0:07:55.000 --> 0:07:57.320 is Joe Mixon who I am going with as the 0:07:57.440 --> 0:08:02.360 player with the most upside. UM. He's going, uh mid 0:08:02.440 --> 0:08:06.280 second most leagues like RB twelve, which feels just about 0:08:06.560 --> 0:08:10.040 right for me for for mixing. UM. People just remember 0:08:10.120 --> 0:08:13.440 last year he played six games, didn't do much when 0:08:13.440 --> 0:08:16.720 he played just a total total loss season, But the 0:08:16.800 --> 0:08:20.440 years before mixing was seeing Bell cow usage two two 0:08:20.480 --> 0:08:25.280 opportunities in and that's cards and targets, uh, than in 0:08:26.800 --> 0:08:30.840 three twenty three opportunities. Uh, it wasn't really racking up 0:08:30.840 --> 0:08:33.920 the touchdowns then, but that was John Kittena and I 0:08:33.920 --> 0:08:37.560 don't know what other MESSI or not. John I didn't 0:08:37.559 --> 0:08:40.400 do that on purpose and Dton they're essentially the same 0:08:40.480 --> 0:08:44.480 person at this point. Um. One had no hair and 0:08:44.559 --> 0:08:48.400 one had red hair. That's a key distinguishing feature right there. 0:08:48.760 --> 0:08:53.760 My bad anyway, Yeah, basically the same player. Geo Bernard's gone, 0:08:53.840 --> 0:08:55.559 and so there's a lot of people think mixing could 0:08:55.600 --> 0:08:58.440 be sitting on a bigger PPR season than he's had 0:08:58.559 --> 0:09:01.880 in recent years, and that might be another factor in 0:09:02.040 --> 0:09:05.040 the case of Mixing. I'm surprised he's going where he's going. 0:09:05.080 --> 0:09:07.480 I really thought after last year and the fact that 0:09:07.600 --> 0:09:13.400 Mixings never been a gigantic fantasy producer. You know, he's 0:09:13.440 --> 0:09:15.920 never been like a top five fantasy producer. He's always 0:09:15.920 --> 0:09:19.720 been like RB ten, RB twelve, RB eight. I thought 0:09:19.800 --> 0:09:22.360 that coming off this this last season, that he would 0:09:22.400 --> 0:09:25.640 fall farther than RB twelve, that he'd be more like 0:09:25.679 --> 0:09:27.959 fifteen sixteen seventeen. You get him in the middle of 0:09:28.000 --> 0:09:30.320 the third round. I don't think you know, the middle 0:09:30.320 --> 0:09:33.839 of the second round. To me, for Mixing, feels like 0:09:33.880 --> 0:09:37.080 you said, it feels about right. But again, he stays healthy. 0:09:37.160 --> 0:09:42.960 Burrows stays healthy, that receiving group fully clicks that line level. 0:09:43.400 --> 0:09:46.959 If the line is not awful, there's there's top five 0:09:47.040 --> 0:09:52.319 upside saying he'll get there. But the upside exists. Burrows fascinating. 0:09:52.360 --> 0:09:54.480 Just so many ways for him to win. Right now 0:09:54.559 --> 0:09:57.680 with the three receivers, Mixing catching the ball, I just 0:09:57.720 --> 0:10:00.000 feel like and Burrow looks so good. He was clearly 0:10:00.040 --> 0:10:05.120 a candidate for highest upside to quarterback is this is 0:10:05.160 --> 0:10:09.760 like the deepest class of quarterbacks I can remember said 0:10:09.800 --> 0:10:13.120 at quarterback, it's there is certainly upside for Joe Burrow 0:10:13.200 --> 0:10:17.960 as well. Let's let's move over to the Cleveland Browns. Uh. 0:10:18.000 --> 0:10:20.559 And this is an offense that took a massive step 0:10:20.600 --> 0:10:23.959 forward under who would ultimately become NFL Coach of the Year, 0:10:24.080 --> 0:10:30.199 Kevin Stefanski. In many ways, Stefanski emulates his former employer 0:10:30.679 --> 0:10:34.280 Minnesota with a run heavy attack that ads its quarterbacks 0:10:34.320 --> 0:10:37.480 to execute a handful of key plays rather than asking 0:10:37.559 --> 0:10:40.679 their quarterback to go, like, win every game with your 0:10:40.800 --> 0:10:43.360 arm um, which I think is very smart. And it 0:10:43.480 --> 0:10:46.400 it turned and Baker Mayfield turned in a very good 0:10:46.400 --> 0:10:50.079 season last year. Cleveland was top five in rushing attempts 0:10:50.080 --> 0:10:54.120 and bottom five in passing attempts last year. And that's 0:10:54.160 --> 0:10:57.840 because they've got Nick Chubb, who's awesome, Kareem Hunt who's 0:10:57.960 --> 0:11:02.040 very good, and um and again, and I just think philosophically, 0:11:02.240 --> 0:11:06.000 this is what Kevin Stefanski was raised in. And look 0:11:06.040 --> 0:11:08.120 what it got them to last year through the playoffs. 0:11:08.160 --> 0:11:11.520 There's a good team. There was a quote from Travis 0:11:11.600 --> 0:11:16.240 Kelsey about two weeks ago in which he said, the 0:11:16.240 --> 0:11:18.640 biggest threat to the Chiefs, I'm paraphrasing, the biggest stretch 0:11:18.640 --> 0:11:21.560 to the Chiefs is the Cleveland Browns. And He's right. 0:11:22.040 --> 0:11:25.800 Defense massively improved in the in the off season. What 0:11:25.840 --> 0:11:28.880 was the There was a crucial play when the Browns 0:11:28.920 --> 0:11:31.320 and the Chiefs played in the a f C Championship, Right, 0:11:31.400 --> 0:11:34.040 I remember there was a Cleveland got jobbed on something. 0:11:34.320 --> 0:11:38.400 Um Rochard Higgins. Remember it was like the phone lot 0:11:38.400 --> 0:11:42.160 of bounds and that was yes. And that's definitely the 0:11:43.520 --> 0:11:49.119 end zone deal. So the stuff is tough. Baker Mayfield 0:11:49.480 --> 0:11:53.040 is um it doesn't like I said, doesn't have to 0:11:53.080 --> 0:11:55.839 throw off him. That doesn't mean that he was conservative 0:11:56.240 --> 0:11:59.319 in what they asked Baker Mayfield to do. So don't 0:11:59.320 --> 0:12:02.720 confuse a lot of volume with Mayfield into thinking that 0:12:02.760 --> 0:12:05.600 they didn't take shots sound Field with Mayfield, because they 0:12:05.640 --> 0:12:09.360 really did. They've got that powerful, effective running game that 0:12:09.440 --> 0:12:11.720 pinches the defense is up close to the line of 0:12:11.760 --> 0:12:16.240 scrimmage and then here comes Baker Mayfield over the top. Now, 0:12:17.400 --> 0:12:20.360 Nick Chubb Kareem Hunt were both in the top ten 0:12:20.880 --> 0:12:23.600 in seeing eight men in the box, which again I'm 0:12:23.640 --> 0:12:25.679 telling you, you know, defense has really stacked the line 0:12:25.720 --> 0:12:29.640 of scrimmage for Chubb and Hunt, so that Baker Mayfield's 0:12:29.880 --> 0:12:34.600 nine intended air yards was the NFL's fourth deepest last year. 0:12:34.840 --> 0:12:39.000 So he's throwing over the box and so he was 0:12:39.040 --> 0:12:43.280 throwing downfield. So even though he wasn't throwing for volume, 0:12:43.480 --> 0:12:46.600 he was executing the big plays that fantasy owners do 0:12:46.800 --> 0:12:49.640 want to have. And I love that about Makefield Mayfield 0:12:50.080 --> 0:12:54.120 and also blessed with the league's longest time to throw 0:12:54.520 --> 0:12:58.320 Baker Mayfield at three point zero five seconds. That's a 0:12:58.360 --> 0:13:02.280 full second law younger then Ben Roethlisberg, who will talk 0:13:02.280 --> 0:13:05.400 about in a minute his white outs. Odell Beckham returns 0:13:05.480 --> 0:13:07.599 from his Week seven a c L injury and is 0:13:07.720 --> 0:13:10.600 on track to be available in training camp and the 0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:14.800 start of the season. I saw someone tweet and it's 0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:16.800 probably true. I didn't I didn't verify it. But the 0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:19.280 last time Odell Beckham was a wide receiver on the 0:13:19.320 --> 0:13:22.800 top twelve wide receiver. So is Jordie Nielsen? Are you serious? 0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:26.080 That feels like a long time ago, doesn't it? Wow? 0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:30.160 Odell's first the six full games that he played last 0:13:30.240 --> 0:13:33.880 year in his first year with Kevin Stefanski. We're very inconsistent. 0:13:33.920 --> 0:13:35.640 He had two very good games, he had two very 0:13:35.720 --> 0:13:38.360 bad games, and two just right in the middle. Um 0:13:38.400 --> 0:13:41.199 Stefanski has been adamant that oh b J is part 0:13:41.240 --> 0:13:44.720 of the team's future, that they planned to use him significantly, 0:13:44.880 --> 0:13:46.559 and really, when you look at the rest of the 0:13:46.600 --> 0:13:48.920 Browns wide receivers, yeah, Odell Beckham is gonna be a 0:13:48.920 --> 0:13:51.920 big part of this because the only guys really aren't 0:13:51.960 --> 0:13:54.680 at all that promising. I don't think Jervis Landry, no 0:13:54.800 --> 0:13:57.319 love well, we'll get him. I did say all of them. 0:13:57.480 --> 0:14:03.360 Um troubling last or, Odell Beckham had the league's lowest 0:14:04.120 --> 0:14:09.240 yards after catch one point eight yards. You played six games. 0:14:09.240 --> 0:14:11.400 I mean that's not like a two game sample size. 0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:15.280 That's a six game sample size. One point eight yards 0:14:15.320 --> 0:14:17.959 after catch for Odell Beckham, and that should worry you. 0:14:17.960 --> 0:14:22.840 You can fall forward for forward for one point eight yards. Uh. 0:14:23.000 --> 0:14:25.480 Jarvis Landry is a known quantity who has been incredibly 0:14:25.480 --> 0:14:29.600 consistent throughout his career. You know the deal here, Short targets, 0:14:29.640 --> 0:14:32.160 short catches, a few touchdowns. You want like four or 0:14:32.200 --> 0:14:34.920 five six touchdowns in the season. Jeffers Slander is your guy. 0:14:35.560 --> 0:14:38.800 Um Donovan people Jones saw his snap count skyrocket in 0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:41.480 the second half of the season, and then later into 0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:44.920 the playoffs. He put together three really strong games in December, 0:14:45.800 --> 0:14:50.040 which gives you a suggestion that he will continue to 0:14:50.120 --> 0:14:54.200 get more use this year and in this his second season. 0:14:54.240 --> 0:14:58.440 Donovan People Jones, there there's a scenario here if you 0:14:58.520 --> 0:15:02.000 believe Odell is kind of hooked between the injuries and 0:15:02.080 --> 0:15:04.880 you know how long it's been you mentioned Jordy Nelson era, 0:15:05.200 --> 0:15:07.000 how long it's been since he was a really good 0:15:07.160 --> 0:15:11.400 wide receiver. There's a scenario where Donovan People's Jones gets 0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:14.280 a lot more time, and then that doesn't all have 0:15:14.320 --> 0:15:16.560 to come out of Odell Beckham. You know, you're outside 0:15:16.560 --> 0:15:19.840 receivers to start the season are gonna be Odell Beckham, 0:15:20.040 --> 0:15:24.640 Landry in the slot and and Donovan People's Jones. Chard 0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:27.040 Higgins is out of this thing. I think that they 0:15:27.040 --> 0:15:29.560 did draft and I'm not too concerned this year, but 0:15:29.760 --> 0:15:32.800 Anthony Schwartz in the third round as a speed guy, 0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:35.760 speed guy, I don't think he I don't think he 0:15:35.760 --> 0:15:38.880 will be a reliable factor this year. I like that 0:15:38.880 --> 0:15:40.800 they added a speed guy because, as I mentioned earlier, 0:15:40.840 --> 0:15:44.320 Baker mayfield these deep passes that he throws. They don't 0:15:44.360 --> 0:15:47.080 have speed at the receiver position until he came along, 0:15:47.200 --> 0:15:49.800 And so I think he's he's gonna be at all. 0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:52.080 He will splash with some big plays over the course 0:15:52.080 --> 0:15:54.000 of the season, but I don't expect him to be 0:15:54.120 --> 0:15:58.200 a sizeable factor throughout the year. Uh, Fantasy owners are 0:15:58.240 --> 0:16:01.160 gonna be frustrated again by the Oounds tight ends. This 0:16:01.240 --> 0:16:04.920 is a mess. Sophomore Harrison Bryant only posted one fantasy 0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:08.120 relevant game as a rookie last year, but on this show, 0:16:08.880 --> 0:16:11.520 that was very impressive. He had a two touchdown game 0:16:11.640 --> 0:16:14.800 last year and you called that um And I don't 0:16:14.800 --> 0:16:17.400 know if it was Hooper out that game. I don't. 0:16:17.440 --> 0:16:21.000 I don't think you know he wasn't. It was just 0:16:21.040 --> 0:16:24.160 a great matchup and it was And I remember rolling 0:16:24.240 --> 0:16:26.120 him hard on d K because he was like too 0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:30.760 grand yeah, and Beckham probably just got hurt and stuff 0:16:30.800 --> 0:16:34.240 like that. So anyway, so Bryant averaged about forty snaps 0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:37.160 per game, which is more than you want if you 0:16:37.200 --> 0:16:40.640 own Austin Hooper, but not enough if as you want 0:16:40.920 --> 0:16:44.600 if you own Harrison Bryants, So that parts a little 0:16:44.600 --> 0:16:48.200 bit troubling. Austin Hooper averaged fifty one snaps a game. 0:16:48.200 --> 0:16:51.160 That's only an eleventh snap difference. If you think Harrison 0:16:51.200 --> 0:16:54.720 Brian gets better this year his snaps, you go to fifty, 0:16:55.240 --> 0:16:57.880 Austin Hooper could regress down to closer to forty, and 0:16:57.920 --> 0:17:00.120 maybe those two swap for each other. And basically the 0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:03.320 long short of it is, neither one is all that 0:17:03.360 --> 0:17:06.560 fantasy viable. There's there's just too much competition at the 0:17:06.560 --> 0:17:09.320 tight end position, not in redraft. I like Bryant. Uh 0:17:11.080 --> 0:17:13.600 So Hooper's contract by the way, so let since you're 0:17:13.600 --> 0:17:16.800 talking about I looked it up. Um Hooper is getting 0:17:16.800 --> 0:17:20.600 cut at the end of this year. Two is his 0:17:20.760 --> 0:17:25.280 There's a there's a big jump in Hooper's salary. They're 0:17:25.280 --> 0:17:27.600 not going to pay him that. So Hooper will get 0:17:27.640 --> 0:17:29.480 restructured or cut at the end of this year, and 0:17:29.480 --> 0:17:32.160 then it's Harrison Bryant's job in two. All right, let's 0:17:32.160 --> 0:17:33.879 talk about the running backs. It's a contract here for 0:17:33.960 --> 0:17:36.200 Nick Chubb and he is going to get paid, and 0:17:36.240 --> 0:17:38.560 I think it'll probably be by Cleveland because this is 0:17:38.560 --> 0:17:40.440 a run first team and they know Jubb is great. 0:17:40.800 --> 0:17:42.720 Last year, as I mentioned earlier, you saw eight men 0:17:42.720 --> 0:17:44.879 in the box more than any other player with his 0:17:44.960 --> 0:17:47.560 number of carries. He had a d ninety carries and 0:17:47.760 --> 0:17:50.399 he saw more eight men in the box than anybody else. 0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:56.359 Yet he's somehow finished first in yards per carry over 0:17:56.480 --> 0:17:59.800 expectation at one point seven five yards per carry over 0:17:59.880 --> 0:18:03.119 x expectation according to next Gen Stats, and his five 0:18:03.200 --> 0:18:06.600 point six yards per carry was second only to J. K. Dobbins. 0:18:07.320 --> 0:18:09.840 We will talk about later. If Kareem Hunt wasn't in 0:18:09.880 --> 0:18:11.840 the picture, by the way, probably the two best running 0:18:11.840 --> 0:18:16.600 backs ever played together in NFL history. Possibly um Hunt's 0:18:16.640 --> 0:18:18.800 got his stains on his career, of course, But if 0:18:19.040 --> 0:18:20.920 Hunt was out of the picture, Chubby is right in 0:18:21.480 --> 0:18:24.880 one oh one oh yeah right, you know if you yeah, 0:18:24.920 --> 0:18:26.880 if you told me that caree months gonna go down 0:18:26.880 --> 0:18:29.920 in a freak dirigible accident in week one, Chubb could 0:18:29.920 --> 0:18:33.120 be the first player taken. For sure. As it stands, 0:18:34.119 --> 0:18:38.159 Hunts sipens off work. But I wonder if ultimately, in 0:18:38.200 --> 0:18:40.840 some ways it doesn't serve to keep Chubb healthy and 0:18:40.880 --> 0:18:44.160 efficient so that Chub doesn't hit the three touch mark, 0:18:44.240 --> 0:18:46.760 which we kind of love his fantasy guys. But on 0:18:46.800 --> 0:18:50.520 the other side of it, Chubb's always is always because 0:18:50.560 --> 0:18:53.439 the relatively modest volume that he gets. He's always fresh, 0:18:53.680 --> 0:18:57.720 and he runs so hard. Hunt did sign a contract 0:18:57.760 --> 0:19:02.880 extension last year. UM, but averages almost as many total 0:19:03.000 --> 0:19:07.000 touches as Chubb does, in part because he catches more passes. 0:19:07.560 --> 0:19:10.840 But Hunts receiving is weirdly underutilized in this offense and 0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:13.359 only throw to him three times a game. So I'm 0:19:13.400 --> 0:19:16.359 you know Hunt to me is Uh is a prototypical 0:19:16.880 --> 0:19:19.439 flex player. I don't think I want him as an 0:19:19.480 --> 0:19:21.520 RB one or two if I can avoid it. Uh. 0:19:21.560 --> 0:19:24.760 He feels like a flex style running back. So who's 0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:26.639 the riskiest player at his current ADP? I think it 0:19:26.720 --> 0:19:29.160 is Cream Hunt. He's going off the board running back 0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:33.639 twenty two, which is kind of a lot when you 0:19:33.760 --> 0:19:37.600 know that the best work goes to Chubb and Chub 0:19:37.640 --> 0:19:42.120 is so good. UM the player with the most upside 0:19:42.119 --> 0:19:45.080 compared to a DP. I really struggled with this, really 0:19:45.080 --> 0:19:48.639 struggled with this. UM. I ultimately settled on Odell Beckham, 0:19:48.680 --> 0:19:52.840 who's currently wide receiver twenty six going in the sixth round. UM, 0:19:52.880 --> 0:19:57.720 after Jamar Chase, give me Beckham Beckham over him all day? Right, 0:19:58.200 --> 0:20:00.720 Baker through twenty six touchdowns like last year, let's say 0:20:00.720 --> 0:20:04.080 Baker gets a little bit better this year, another year 0:20:04.119 --> 0:20:06.280 in this in the system, and Odell Beckham is healthy 0:20:06.320 --> 0:20:09.119 all season. You know what if he gets to thirty touchdowns, 0:20:09.720 --> 0:20:14.760 how many of those thirty go to Odell Beckham? Jarvislanders 0:20:14.840 --> 0:20:18.600 not a touchdown? Guy um Kareem Hunt might catch four, 0:20:19.160 --> 0:20:22.880 Chubb might catch two, tight Ends might catch eight. I mean, 0:20:22.960 --> 0:20:26.600 you know, ten could go to Odell Beckham. So I 0:20:26.640 --> 0:20:29.160 think he's the player with the most upside. Let's take 0:20:29.200 --> 0:20:32.040 a break. When we come back, we'll break down Baltimore 0:20:32.160 --> 0:20:38.120 and Pittsburgh are favorite players for versus ADP are riskiest 0:20:38.160 --> 0:20:41.320 players a DP will break down the offenses when we 0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:45.440 come back. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Jarchie and 0:20:45.480 --> 0:20:47.440 Brian Johnson with you. We're breaking down the a f 0:20:47.520 --> 0:20:51.760 C North and the Baltimore Ravens. Brian, Yeah, we just 0:20:51.800 --> 0:20:56.320 talked about a very run heavy team in the Browns, 0:20:56.400 --> 0:20:58.879 but no team was more run heavy than the Ravens 0:20:58.960 --> 0:21:01.400 last year, who ran the ball fifty percent. At the time, 0:21:01.520 --> 0:21:03.960 it was the highest clip in the league. Now, of course, 0:21:04.000 --> 0:21:06.160 they run their quarterback more than any team in the league, 0:21:06.200 --> 0:21:09.600 and that adds to the overall run total and it 0:21:09.720 --> 0:21:12.280 definitely does. And if you're the you have the highest 0:21:12.400 --> 0:21:14.760 run play percentage, that means you have the lowest pass 0:21:14.800 --> 0:21:17.720 play percentage in the league. Baltimore dead last there, of course, 0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:21.119 UM nine in points per game. Last year, the offense 0:21:21.200 --> 0:21:24.520 was very effective, but only nineteenth in yards In essencely 0:21:24.560 --> 0:21:27.080 it took a major step back from when it was 0:21:27.600 --> 0:21:31.520 most in the NFL. UM same coaches in play though 0:21:31.520 --> 0:21:34.240 from last year. In twenty nineteen, John harbaughd head coach 0:21:34.280 --> 0:21:37.920 Greg Roman and an offensive coordinators who know, big change there, 0:21:38.280 --> 0:21:41.000 Roman says, and he says, it's like every offseason we're 0:21:41.000 --> 0:21:44.080 gonna pass more. But you know what, do some degree. 0:21:44.119 --> 0:21:47.400 Greg Roman just is Greg Roman, and you know he 0:21:47.560 --> 0:21:50.639 is the guy who who you know, we've learned that 0:21:50.720 --> 0:21:53.640 Greg Roman is. He's he's uh, he is a run 0:21:53.680 --> 0:21:56.320 first offensive coordinator. Yeah, and uh, they've got some good 0:21:56.400 --> 0:21:59.400 running backs into with J. K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards who 0:21:59.400 --> 0:22:01.720 they like a lot, and even Justice Hill. Justice hillisn't 0:22:02.080 --> 0:22:04.680 Chopped Liver by any meating well, he's played like chopped 0:22:04.720 --> 0:22:07.240 Liver in in the smattering of work he's gotten in 0:22:07.280 --> 0:22:10.680 his career. Chopped Liver is the saying, though, right I 0:22:10.720 --> 0:22:12.399 don't know what it means other than who wants to 0:22:12.400 --> 0:22:15.920 eat chopped liver? Have you ever even eaten? I have, 0:22:16.000 --> 0:22:17.640 and I did not like it. I didn't like it either. 0:22:17.680 --> 0:22:21.320 I grew up in a household w my mom loved liver, 0:22:21.800 --> 0:22:26.480