1 00:00:00,720 --> 00:00:04,440 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 2 00:00:06,559 --> 00:00:09,920 Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 3 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:14,600 Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 4 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:18,319 Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 5 00:00:18,360 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 1: here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I 6 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:27,480 Speaker 1: am Paul Chargie and my co host is Brian Johnson. 7 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:31,160 Speaker 1: What's up, Charge, Good to talk to you. It's a 8 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 1: beautiful summer day. It's now summertime. It's taken a while, 9 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 1: but we're finally at summer. The depressing part, especially for 10 00:00:39,360 --> 00:00:42,559 Speaker 1: those of us in the northern parts of North America, 11 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:47,320 Speaker 1: the days are gonna start getting shorter. Come on already, 12 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 1: that's not cool. And for those who don't know, Minnesota 13 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 1: in the summertime is the absolute best. At its peak, 14 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:57,800 Speaker 1: it's the suns up at nine thirty at night. Still. Yes, yeah, yeah, 15 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 1: it's awesome. Yeah, it's an art. It is great. In 16 00:01:03,640 --> 00:01:06,959 Speaker 1: January it's dark at four. Uh so you know, we 17 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 1: pay the price for it. Other times, I'll take Minnesota 18 00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:13,520 Speaker 1: winters over living in Florida or Arizona in the summer 19 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:16,120 Speaker 1: all day. I can't take Florida, I know, I can't 20 00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:18,400 Speaker 1: take the humidity. I used to live in Northern Virginia, 21 00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:22,400 Speaker 1: d C. And those summers were intolerable. Yeah, I can 22 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 1: do Arizona, even though I I just you know, I 23 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 1: know it's literally hundred and twenty degrees some days in 24 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 1: the summer. But to me, that whole the whole dry 25 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:33,480 Speaker 1: heat thing, it works way better than humidity. It is. 26 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: We're gonna dive into the a f C North and 27 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 1: a little bit like we did with the a f 28 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:40,320 Speaker 1: C East last week. The goal here is to tell 29 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:44,960 Speaker 1: you not what this each team did last year. She 30 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 1: already know that, but it's really forward looking, Brian, as 31 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: to what each team is going to do this year. 32 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 1: Which players we've identified that we like, how we think 33 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:57,360 Speaker 1: this offense is gonna work, Coaching changes, personnel changes, all 34 00:01:57,360 --> 00:01:58,919 Speaker 1: the stuff you need to know for the four teams 35 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 1: of the a f C North. And before we get 36 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 1: to that, let's mention guilloteen Leagues dot Com. Okay, we 37 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 1: are not open for business for the season. If you've 38 00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:10,800 Speaker 1: always wanted to try a guillotine league, this is your chance. 39 00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:14,000 Speaker 1: You We support private leagues. If you've got seventeen other people, 40 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:15,880 Speaker 1: well actually or less, you can have a private league 41 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 1: with as few as eight UH. If you've got friends 42 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 1: you want to play with, you can join a private league, 43 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:23,080 Speaker 1: or if you don't have friends you want to play with, 44 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 1: then you can join one of our public leagues, available 45 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:26,920 Speaker 1: at a wide variety of price points depending on the 46 00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:30,520 Speaker 1: prizing you would like to win. So we hear you 47 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 1: to check that out. Encourage you to join both, especially 48 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: the brand new super Chop super job. Tell people about 49 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:40,280 Speaker 1: the super Chop format, Bryan. When the big books, uh quickly. 50 00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:44,400 Speaker 1: It starts out as a regular guillotine league, but less teams, 51 00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 1: twelve twelve team league, twelve team league, twelve teams twelve 52 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 1: leagues with twelve teams in each league. UH start week one, 53 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 1: of course, and just like standard UH guillotine um execution, 54 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:00,679 Speaker 1: UH team eliminated every week. But come when you're the 55 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 1: last man standing, you join the other west men or 56 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: women standing for a brand new draft, sort of brand 57 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:14,799 Speaker 1: new league. After week eleven, when you win your league playoffs, yes, 58 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:17,520 Speaker 1: all the league's. All the league winners get together for 59 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 1: a fresh draft of players, and then you play out 60 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:22,880 Speaker 1: the playoffs. Last team standing wins the whole thing. Up 61 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:25,960 Speaker 1: to fifteen thousand dollars. You do this kind of format 62 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:27,639 Speaker 1: so you can have the big bucks at the end. 63 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 1: It's very exact, up to fifteen thousand dollars with the 64 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 1: super chop at guillotea leagues dot com. Brian, Let's begin 65 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:38,640 Speaker 1: the a f C North with the Cincinnati Bengals. Now, 66 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,480 Speaker 1: for regular listeners, they may know that this is your 67 00:03:41,480 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 1: new adopted favorite team. You were previously on the Giants, 68 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 1: you gave up on them, and they still pay dave yentleman, 69 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 1: so I refuse to give them. Let's let's go to 70 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 1: a team you're following very closely and has I think 71 00:03:56,920 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 1: maybe if you know you'd if you asked me to 72 00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:01,120 Speaker 1: pick the team in the a f C that's going 73 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 1: to improve the most by wins, I might just pick 74 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 1: the Bengals were not for the fact that there's two 75 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 1: other really good teams in that division. But I think 76 00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 1: the Bengals get so much better this year. I do 77 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 1: as well, and reality football aside, they're gonna be one 78 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:18,120 Speaker 1: of the most full and fantasy football teams in that 79 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:21,839 Speaker 1: in that division. UM real quick to recap last year. 80 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:24,479 Speaker 1: UM Zach Taylor is returning as the head coach. He 81 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 1: also acts as the offensive coordinator for the Bengals. I 82 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 1: believe this will be his second year, maybe his third year, 83 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 1: still a still very young coach. Last year, Bengals finished 84 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 1: thirty in yards per game twenty nine points per game. Obviously, 85 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:40,960 Speaker 1: things went way south when Joe Burrow went down in 86 00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 1: Week eleven with the knee injury. He was posting pretty 87 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:47,160 Speaker 1: good numbers. The Bengals weren't really necessarily winning games, but 88 00:04:47,640 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 1: Burrows also just getting murdered behind that offensive line, which 89 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 1: will which we'll get into. But the Bengals passed the 90 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:55,880 Speaker 1: ball a lot. They passed the ball over six at 91 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 1: the time last year, that was thirteen most in the league. 92 00:04:58,000 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 1: They only ran the ball thirty nine point five for 93 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:02,440 Speaker 1: and that was bottom twelve in the NFL. So they 94 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:04,960 Speaker 1: were much more of a past friendly team. That's because 95 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 1: they were behind a lot and don't expect that to 96 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:12,719 Speaker 1: change a whole lot. Not a ton of draftable players 97 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:15,359 Speaker 1: for the Bengals. Uh, it's really starting with the highest 98 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: drafted guy, Joe Mixing, Jamaar, Chase te Higgins, Tyler Boyd, 99 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:21,920 Speaker 1: and then Joe Burrow. Um, we won't even really talk 100 00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 1: about the tight ends and help to to follow the 101 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:28,160 Speaker 1: script from last week. We'll start with the the riskiest 102 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:31,400 Speaker 1: guy based on a DP and I think most people 103 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:33,960 Speaker 1: with lean Joe Mixon off the top of their head, 104 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,039 Speaker 1: just based on last year. Only played six games, totally 105 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:39,560 Speaker 1: lost season. But he's not the riskiest guy for me. 106 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:44,000 Speaker 1: It's it's Jamaar Chase, who one of the three elite 107 00:05:44,080 --> 00:05:47,360 Speaker 1: Bengals wide receivers. Amazing talent coming out of l s U. 108 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 1: As we all know, first wide receiver drafted in the 109 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:54,240 Speaker 1: NFL Draft. Did not play last year though, but uh, 110 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 1: right now for L s U. That is so I'm 111 00:05:56,880 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 1: a little concerned there. Um, you can have a slower ramp, 112 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:02,719 Speaker 1: but it's possible. Certainly Kenvia right now, he's going off 113 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:09,159 Speaker 1: the board wide receiver overall. That's that's so high and 114 00:06:09,279 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 1: the highest of the Bengals wide receivers. But Tee Higgins 115 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:19,400 Speaker 1: has proven himself to be a very good player like 116 00:06:19,440 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 1: we thought he was going to be. And I don't 117 00:06:21,880 --> 00:06:24,159 Speaker 1: think there's suddenly going to get I don't think there's 118 00:06:24,160 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 1: suddenly going to change the whole scheme just to fit 119 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 1: a rookie receiver. No, and don't forget Tyler Boyd who 120 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:36,600 Speaker 1: is going wide receiver thirty three, not far behind these guys. 121 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 1: Strictly talking wide receivers, I'm going with the cheapest guy 122 00:06:39,960 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 1: in Boyd who is a proven contributor with very high 123 00:06:44,200 --> 00:06:48,039 Speaker 1: upside on the in most weeks, at least when Joe 124 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 1: Burrow is healthy. So for me, Jamaar Chase, I'm out 125 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 1: in redraft. Of course I like his long term prospects 126 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:56,600 Speaker 1: a lot more than this year, but wide receiver twenty six, 127 00:06:56,600 --> 00:06:59,719 Speaker 1: when I can take a more proven guy like Chase Claypool, 128 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 1: Juju Smith, Schuster even and Odell Beckham a little sketchy, 129 00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 1: I'd rather take my chances on those somewhat proven commodities 130 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:11,120 Speaker 1: over Jamar Chase, who, again a rookie, sat out last year. 131 00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 1: Maybe Joe Burrow isn't after last year, Well, the line 132 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:19,000 Speaker 1: keep him alive again. It is a fair question because 133 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: the line continues to be ranked. I think Pro Football 134 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 1: Focus ranked the Bengals coming into this year, so the 135 00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 1: you know, current the current offensive line, I think they 136 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 1: ranked them thirtieth. The Bengals did draft Jackson Carmen, offensive 137 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 1: tackle lot of Clemson in the second round, so they 138 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: bolstered that line a little bit. But yeah, I'm just 139 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:45,080 Speaker 1: out on Jamaar Chase and and Redraft this year. Um, 140 00:07:45,120 --> 00:07:47,280 Speaker 1: again two very good wide receivers in the room with them. 141 00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 1: And also the guy with the most upside is there 142 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 1: who could soak up significant targets and touchdowns, and that 143 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 1: is Joe Mixon who I am going with as the 144 00:07:57,440 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 1: player with the most upside. UM. He's going, uh mid 145 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 1: second most leagues like RB twelve, which feels just about 146 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 1: right for me for for mixing. UM. People just remember 147 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 1: last year he played six games, didn't do much when 148 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 1: he played just a total total loss season, But the 149 00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 1: years before mixing was seeing Bell cow usage two two 150 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 1: opportunities in and that's cards and targets, uh, than in 151 00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:30,840 Speaker 1: three twenty three opportunities. Uh, it wasn't really racking up 152 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 1: the touchdowns then, but that was John Kittena and I 153 00:08:33,920 --> 00:08:37,560 Speaker 1: don't know what other MESSI or not. John I didn't 154 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:40,400 Speaker 1: do that on purpose and Dton they're essentially the same 155 00:08:40,480 --> 00:08:44,480 Speaker 1: person at this point. Um. One had no hair and 156 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:48,400 Speaker 1: one had red hair. That's a key distinguishing feature right there. 157 00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 1: My bad anyway, Yeah, basically the same player. Geo Bernard's gone, 158 00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:55,559 Speaker 1: and so there's a lot of people think mixing could 159 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:58,440 Speaker 1: be sitting on a bigger PPR season than he's had 160 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:01,880 Speaker 1: in recent years, and that might be another factor in 161 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 1: the case of Mixing. I'm surprised he's going where he's going. 162 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 1: I really thought after last year and the fact that 163 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 1: Mixings never been a gigantic fantasy producer. You know, he's 164 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:15,920 Speaker 1: never been like a top five fantasy producer. He's always 165 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:19,720 Speaker 1: been like RB ten, RB twelve, RB eight. I thought 166 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 1: that coming off this this last season, that he would 167 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 1: fall farther than RB twelve, that he'd be more like 168 00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:27,959 Speaker 1: fifteen sixteen seventeen. You get him in the middle of 169 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:30,320 Speaker 1: the third round. I don't think you know, the middle 170 00:09:30,320 --> 00:09:33,839 Speaker 1: of the second round. To me, for Mixing, feels like 171 00:09:33,880 --> 00:09:37,080 Speaker 1: you said, it feels about right. But again, he stays healthy. 172 00:09:37,160 --> 00:09:42,960 Speaker 1: Burrows stays healthy, that receiving group fully clicks that line level. 173 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:46,959 Speaker 1: If the line is not awful, there's there's top five 174 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:52,319 Speaker 1: upside saying he'll get there. But the upside exists. Burrows fascinating. 175 00:09:52,360 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 1: Just so many ways for him to win. Right now 176 00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:57,680 Speaker 1: with the three receivers, Mixing catching the ball, I just 177 00:09:57,720 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 1: feel like and Burrow looks so good. He was clearly 178 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:05,120 Speaker 1: a candidate for highest upside to quarterback is this is 179 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:09,760 Speaker 1: like the deepest class of quarterbacks I can remember said 180 00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:13,120 Speaker 1: at quarterback, it's there is certainly upside for Joe Burrow 181 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:17,960 Speaker 1: as well. Let's let's move over to the Cleveland Browns. Uh. 182 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:20,559 Speaker 1: And this is an offense that took a massive step 183 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,959 Speaker 1: forward under who would ultimately become NFL Coach of the Year, 184 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:30,199 Speaker 1: Kevin Stefanski. In many ways, Stefanski emulates his former employer 185 00:10:30,679 --> 00:10:34,280 Speaker 1: Minnesota with a run heavy attack that ads its quarterbacks 186 00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 1: to execute a handful of key plays rather than asking 187 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:40,679 Speaker 1: their quarterback to go, like, win every game with your 188 00:10:40,800 --> 00:10:43,360 Speaker 1: arm um, which I think is very smart. And it 189 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:46,400 Speaker 1: it turned and Baker Mayfield turned in a very good 190 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:50,079 Speaker 1: season last year. Cleveland was top five in rushing attempts 191 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:54,120 Speaker 1: and bottom five in passing attempts last year. And that's 192 00:10:54,160 --> 00:10:57,840 Speaker 1: because they've got Nick Chubb, who's awesome, Kareem Hunt who's 193 00:10:57,960 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 1: very good, and um and again, and I just think philosophically, 194 00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:06,000 Speaker 1: this is what Kevin Stefanski was raised in. And look 195 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:08,120 Speaker 1: what it got them to last year through the playoffs. 196 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:11,520 Speaker 1: There's a good team. There was a quote from Travis 197 00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:16,240 Speaker 1: Kelsey about two weeks ago in which he said, the 198 00:11:16,240 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 1: biggest threat to the Chiefs, I'm paraphrasing, the biggest stretch 199 00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:21,560 Speaker 1: to the Chiefs is the Cleveland Browns. And He's right. 200 00:11:22,040 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 1: Defense massively improved in the in the off season. What 201 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:28,880 Speaker 1: was the There was a crucial play when the Browns 202 00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:31,320 Speaker 1: and the Chiefs played in the a f C Championship, Right, 203 00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: I remember there was a Cleveland got jobbed on something. 204 00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 1: Um Rochard Higgins. Remember it was like the phone lot 205 00:11:38,400 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 1: of bounds and that was yes. And that's definitely the 206 00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:49,119 Speaker 1: end zone deal. So the stuff is tough. Baker Mayfield 207 00:11:49,480 --> 00:11:53,040 Speaker 1: is um it doesn't like I said, doesn't have to 208 00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:55,839 Speaker 1: throw off him. That doesn't mean that he was conservative 209 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:59,319 Speaker 1: in what they asked Baker Mayfield to do. So don't 210 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:02,720 Speaker 1: confuse a lot of volume with Mayfield into thinking that 211 00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:05,600 Speaker 1: they didn't take shots sound Field with Mayfield, because they 212 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 1: really did. They've got that powerful, effective running game that 213 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 1: pinches the defense is up close to the line of 214 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:16,240 Speaker 1: scrimmage and then here comes Baker Mayfield over the top. Now, 215 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:20,360 Speaker 1: Nick Chubb Kareem Hunt were both in the top ten 216 00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:23,600 Speaker 1: in seeing eight men in the box, which again I'm 217 00:12:23,640 --> 00:12:25,679 Speaker 1: telling you, you know, defense has really stacked the line 218 00:12:25,720 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 1: of scrimmage for Chubb and Hunt, so that Baker Mayfield's 219 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:34,600 Speaker 1: nine intended air yards was the NFL's fourth deepest last year. 220 00:12:34,840 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 1: So he's throwing over the box and so he was 221 00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:43,280 Speaker 1: throwing downfield. So even though he wasn't throwing for volume, 222 00:12:43,480 --> 00:12:46,600 Speaker 1: he was executing the big plays that fantasy owners do 223 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:49,640 Speaker 1: want to have. And I love that about Makefield Mayfield 224 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:54,120 Speaker 1: and also blessed with the league's longest time to throw 225 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:58,320 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield at three point zero five seconds. That's a 226 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:02,280 Speaker 1: full second law younger then Ben Roethlisberg, who will talk 227 00:13:02,280 --> 00:13:05,400 Speaker 1: about in a minute his white outs. Odell Beckham returns 228 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:07,599 Speaker 1: from his Week seven a c L injury and is 229 00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:10,600 Speaker 1: on track to be available in training camp and the 230 00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:14,800 Speaker 1: start of the season. I saw someone tweet and it's 231 00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 1: probably true. I didn't I didn't verify it. But the 232 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:19,280 Speaker 1: last time Odell Beckham was a wide receiver on the 233 00:13:19,320 --> 00:13:22,800 Speaker 1: top twelve wide receiver. So is Jordie Nielsen? Are you serious? 234 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:26,080 Speaker 1: That feels like a long time ago, doesn't it? Wow? 235 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:30,160 Speaker 1: Odell's first the six full games that he played last 236 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:33,880 Speaker 1: year in his first year with Kevin Stefanski. We're very inconsistent. 237 00:13:33,920 --> 00:13:35,640 Speaker 1: He had two very good games, he had two very 238 00:13:35,720 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 1: bad games, and two just right in the middle. Um 239 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:41,199 Speaker 1: Stefanski has been adamant that oh b J is part 240 00:13:41,240 --> 00:13:44,720 Speaker 1: of the team's future, that they planned to use him significantly, 241 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:46,559 Speaker 1: and really, when you look at the rest of the 242 00:13:46,600 --> 00:13:48,920 Speaker 1: Browns wide receivers, yeah, Odell Beckham is gonna be a 243 00:13:48,920 --> 00:13:51,920 Speaker 1: big part of this because the only guys really aren't 244 00:13:51,960 --> 00:13:54,680 Speaker 1: at all that promising. I don't think Jervis Landry, no 245 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:57,319 Speaker 1: love well, we'll get him. I did say all of them. 246 00:13:57,480 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 1: Um troubling last or, Odell Beckham had the league's lowest 247 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 1: yards after catch one point eight yards. You played six games. 248 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 1: I mean that's not like a two game sample size. 249 00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:15,280 Speaker 1: That's a six game sample size. One point eight yards 250 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:17,959 Speaker 1: after catch for Odell Beckham, and that should worry you. 251 00:14:17,960 --> 00:14:22,840 Speaker 1: You can fall forward for forward for one point eight yards. Uh. 252 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 1: Jarvis Landry is a known quantity who has been incredibly 253 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 1: consistent throughout his career. You know the deal here, Short targets, 254 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:32,160 Speaker 1: short catches, a few touchdowns. You want like four or 255 00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:34,920 Speaker 1: five six touchdowns in the season. Jeffers Slander is your guy. 256 00:14:35,560 --> 00:14:38,800 Speaker 1: Um Donovan people Jones saw his snap count skyrocket in 257 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 1: the second half of the season, and then later into 258 00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 1: the playoffs. He put together three really strong games in December, 259 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 1: which gives you a suggestion that he will continue to 260 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:54,200 Speaker 1: get more use this year and in this his second season. 261 00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:58,440 Speaker 1: Donovan People Jones, there there's a scenario here if you 262 00:14:58,520 --> 00:15:02,000 Speaker 1: believe Odell is kind of hooked between the injuries and 263 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:04,880 Speaker 1: you know how long it's been you mentioned Jordy Nelson era, 264 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,000 Speaker 1: how long it's been since he was a really good 265 00:15:07,160 --> 00:15:11,400 Speaker 1: wide receiver. There's a scenario where Donovan People's Jones gets 266 00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 1: a lot more time, and then that doesn't all have 267 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:16,560 Speaker 1: to come out of Odell Beckham. You know, you're outside 268 00:15:16,560 --> 00:15:19,840 Speaker 1: receivers to start the season are gonna be Odell Beckham, 269 00:15:20,040 --> 00:15:24,640 Speaker 1: Landry in the slot and and Donovan People's Jones. Chard 270 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:27,040 Speaker 1: Higgins is out of this thing. I think that they 271 00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:29,560 Speaker 1: did draft and I'm not too concerned this year, but 272 00:15:29,760 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 1: Anthony Schwartz in the third round as a speed guy, 273 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:35,760 Speaker 1: speed guy, I don't think he I don't think he 274 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:38,880 Speaker 1: will be a reliable factor this year. I like that 275 00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 1: they added a speed guy because, as I mentioned earlier, 276 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 1: Baker mayfield these deep passes that he throws. They don't 277 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 1: have speed at the receiver position until he came along, 278 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:49,800 Speaker 1: And so I think he's he's gonna be at all. 279 00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:52,080 Speaker 1: He will splash with some big plays over the course 280 00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 1: of the season, but I don't expect him to be 281 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 1: a sizeable factor throughout the year. Uh, Fantasy owners are 282 00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 1: gonna be frustrated again by the Oounds tight ends. This 283 00:16:01,240 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 1: is a mess. Sophomore Harrison Bryant only posted one fantasy 284 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 1: relevant game as a rookie last year, but on this show, 285 00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:11,520 Speaker 1: that was very impressive. He had a two touchdown game 286 00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: last year and you called that um And I don't 287 00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:17,400 Speaker 1: know if it was Hooper out that game. I don't. 288 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:21,000 Speaker 1: I don't think you know he wasn't. It was just 289 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:24,160 Speaker 1: a great matchup and it was And I remember rolling 290 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 1: him hard on d K because he was like too 291 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:30,760 Speaker 1: grand yeah, and Beckham probably just got hurt and stuff 292 00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 1: like that. So anyway, so Bryant averaged about forty snaps 293 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 1: per game, which is more than you want if you 294 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 1: own Austin Hooper, but not enough if as you want 295 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:44,600 Speaker 1: if you own Harrison Bryants, So that parts a little 296 00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 1: bit troubling. Austin Hooper averaged fifty one snaps a game. 297 00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:51,160 Speaker 1: That's only an eleventh snap difference. If you think Harrison 298 00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:54,720 Speaker 1: Brian gets better this year his snaps, you go to fifty, 299 00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:57,880 Speaker 1: Austin Hooper could regress down to closer to forty, and 300 00:16:57,920 --> 00:17:00,120 Speaker 1: maybe those two swap for each other. And basically the 301 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 1: long short of it is, neither one is all that 302 00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:06,560 Speaker 1: fantasy viable. There's there's just too much competition at the 303 00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 1: tight end position, not in redraft. I like Bryant. Uh 304 00:17:11,080 --> 00:17:13,600 Speaker 1: So Hooper's contract by the way, so let since you're 305 00:17:13,600 --> 00:17:16,800 Speaker 1: talking about I looked it up. Um Hooper is getting 306 00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 1: cut at the end of this year. Two is his 307 00:17:20,760 --> 00:17:25,280 Speaker 1: There's a there's a big jump in Hooper's salary. They're 308 00:17:25,280 --> 00:17:27,600 Speaker 1: not going to pay him that. So Hooper will get 309 00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:29,480 Speaker 1: restructured or cut at the end of this year, and 310 00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:32,160 Speaker 1: then it's Harrison Bryant's job in two. All right, let's 311 00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:33,879 Speaker 1: talk about the running backs. It's a contract here for 312 00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 1: Nick Chubb and he is going to get paid, and 313 00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:38,560 Speaker 1: I think it'll probably be by Cleveland because this is 314 00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:40,440 Speaker 1: a run first team and they know Jubb is great. 315 00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:42,720 Speaker 1: Last year, as I mentioned earlier, you saw eight men 316 00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:44,879 Speaker 1: in the box more than any other player with his 317 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:47,560 Speaker 1: number of carries. He had a d ninety carries and 318 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:50,399 Speaker 1: he saw more eight men in the box than anybody else. 319 00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:56,359 Speaker 1: Yet he's somehow finished first in yards per carry over 320 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 1: expectation at one point seven five yards per carry over 321 00:17:59,880 --> 00:18:03,119 Speaker 1: x expectation according to next Gen Stats, and his five 322 00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:06,600 Speaker 1: point six yards per carry was second only to J. K. Dobbins. 323 00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:09,840 Speaker 1: We will talk about later. If Kareem Hunt wasn't in 324 00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:11,840 Speaker 1: the picture, by the way, probably the two best running 325 00:18:11,840 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 1: backs ever played together in NFL history. Possibly um Hunt's 326 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:18,800 Speaker 1: got his stains on his career, of course, But if 327 00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:20,920 Speaker 1: Hunt was out of the picture, Chubby is right in 328 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:24,880 Speaker 1: one oh one oh yeah right, you know if you yeah, 329 00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:26,880 Speaker 1: if you told me that caree months gonna go down 330 00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:29,920 Speaker 1: in a freak dirigible accident in week one, Chubb could 331 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:33,120 Speaker 1: be the first player taken. For sure. As it stands, 332 00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:38,159 Speaker 1: Hunts sipens off work. But I wonder if ultimately, in 333 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 1: some ways it doesn't serve to keep Chubb healthy and 334 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:44,160 Speaker 1: efficient so that Chub doesn't hit the three touch mark, 335 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,760 Speaker 1: which we kind of love his fantasy guys. But on 336 00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:50,520 Speaker 1: the other side of it, Chubb's always is always because 337 00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:53,439 Speaker 1: the relatively modest volume that he gets. He's always fresh, 338 00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:57,720 Speaker 1: and he runs so hard. Hunt did sign a contract 339 00:18:57,760 --> 00:19:02,880 Speaker 1: extension last year. UM, but averages almost as many total 340 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 1: touches as Chubb does, in part because he catches more passes. 341 00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:10,840 Speaker 1: But Hunts receiving is weirdly underutilized in this offense and 342 00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,359 Speaker 1: only throw to him three times a game. So I'm 343 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,359 Speaker 1: you know Hunt to me is Uh is a prototypical 344 00:19:16,880 --> 00:19:19,439 Speaker 1: flex player. I don't think I want him as an 345 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:21,520 Speaker 1: RB one or two if I can avoid it. Uh. 346 00:19:21,560 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 1: He feels like a flex style running back. So who's 347 00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:26,639 Speaker 1: the riskiest player at his current ADP? I think it 348 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:29,160 Speaker 1: is Cream Hunt. He's going off the board running back 349 00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:33,639 Speaker 1: twenty two, which is kind of a lot when you 350 00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:37,600 Speaker 1: know that the best work goes to Chubb and Chub 351 00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:42,120 Speaker 1: is so good. UM the player with the most upside 352 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:45,080 Speaker 1: compared to a DP. I really struggled with this, really 353 00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:48,639 Speaker 1: struggled with this. UM. I ultimately settled on Odell Beckham, 354 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:52,840 Speaker 1: who's currently wide receiver twenty six going in the sixth round. UM, 355 00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:57,720 Speaker 1: after Jamar Chase, give me Beckham Beckham over him all day? Right, 356 00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:00,720 Speaker 1: Baker through twenty six touchdowns like last year, let's say 357 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:04,080 Speaker 1: Baker gets a little bit better this year, another year 358 00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:06,280 Speaker 1: in this in the system, and Odell Beckham is healthy 359 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:09,119 Speaker 1: all season. You know what if he gets to thirty touchdowns, 360 00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 1: how many of those thirty go to Odell Beckham? Jarvislanders 361 00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:18,600 Speaker 1: not a touchdown? Guy um Kareem Hunt might catch four, 362 00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:22,880 Speaker 1: Chubb might catch two, tight Ends might catch eight. I mean, 363 00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:26,600 Speaker 1: you know, ten could go to Odell Beckham. So I 364 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:29,160 Speaker 1: think he's the player with the most upside. Let's take 365 00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:32,040 Speaker 1: a break. When we come back, we'll break down Baltimore 366 00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:38,120 Speaker 1: and Pittsburgh are favorite players for versus ADP are riskiest 367 00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:41,320 Speaker 1: players a DP will break down the offenses when we 368 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:45,440 Speaker 1: come back. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Jarchie and 369 00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:47,440 Speaker 1: Brian Johnson with you. We're breaking down the a f 370 00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:51,760 Speaker 1: C North and the Baltimore Ravens. Brian, Yeah, we just 371 00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:56,320 Speaker 1: talked about a very run heavy team in the Browns, 372 00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:58,879 Speaker 1: but no team was more run heavy than the Ravens 373 00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:01,400 Speaker 1: last year, who ran the ball fifty percent. At the time, 374 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:03,960 Speaker 1: it was the highest clip in the league. Now, of course, 375 00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:06,160 Speaker 1: they run their quarterback more than any team in the league, 376 00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:09,600 Speaker 1: and that adds to the overall run total and it 377 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,280 Speaker 1: definitely does. And if you're the you have the highest 378 00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:14,760 Speaker 1: run play percentage, that means you have the lowest pass 379 00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:17,720 Speaker 1: play percentage in the league. Baltimore dead last there, of course, 380 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:21,119 Speaker 1: UM nine in points per game. Last year, the offense 381 00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:24,520 Speaker 1: was very effective, but only nineteenth in yards In essencely 382 00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:27,080 Speaker 1: it took a major step back from when it was 383 00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 1: most in the NFL. UM same coaches in play though 384 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:34,240 Speaker 1: from last year. In twenty nineteen, John harbaughd head coach 385 00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:37,920 Speaker 1: Greg Roman and an offensive coordinators who know, big change there, 386 00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:41,000 Speaker 1: Roman says, and he says, it's like every offseason we're 387 00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:44,080 Speaker 1: gonna pass more. But you know what, do some degree. 388 00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:47,400 Speaker 1: Greg Roman just is Greg Roman, and you know he 389 00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:50,639 Speaker 1: is the guy who who you know, we've learned that 390 00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:53,640 Speaker 1: Greg Roman is. He's he's uh, he is a run 391 00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:56,320 Speaker 1: first offensive coordinator. Yeah, and uh, they've got some good 392 00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:59,400 Speaker 1: running backs into with J. K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards who 393 00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:01,720 Speaker 1: they like a lot, and even Justice Hill. Justice hillisn't 394 00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:04,680 Speaker 1: Chopped Liver by any meating well, he's played like chopped 395 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:07,240 Speaker 1: Liver in in the smattering of work he's gotten in 396 00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:10,680 Speaker 1: his career. Chopped Liver is the saying, though, right I 397 00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:12,399 Speaker 1: don't know what it means other than who wants to 398 00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:15,920 Speaker 1: eat chopped liver? Have you ever even eaten? I have, 399 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:17,640 Speaker 1: and I did not like it. I didn't like it either. 400 00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:21,320 Speaker 1: I grew up in a household w my mom loved liver, 401 00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:26,480 Speaker 1: cow tong Nope, thank god. Um. And when my dad 402 00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:28,560 Speaker 1: would go out of town, which he did all too 403 00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:32,520 Speaker 1: often for work, she would then use that as the 404 00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,560 Speaker 1: opportunity to cook the liver because she didn't have to 405 00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:37,840 Speaker 1: hear any flag from my dad. And that meant me 406 00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:41,240 Speaker 1: and my brother got stuck with the plate that shows 407 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:46,680 Speaker 1: up for dinner with liver and lima beans. You're like, oh, man, 408 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:48,840 Speaker 1: I don't know why I'm thinking of this, but have 409 00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:52,879 Speaker 1: you ever had octopus? Yeah? So like some of the 410 00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:57,360 Speaker 1: best meat I've ever had. I would that. Really, it's 411 00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:00,359 Speaker 1: so chilly. You didn't get the robbery. Maybe I didn't. 412 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:04,040 Speaker 1: I meant bad. Well he was in Minnesota. We don't 413 00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:08,280 Speaker 1: get done anyway. Part of it? What were we talking about? Well, 414 00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:12,240 Speaker 1: Greg Roman for a while. Um, well, we'll stick with 415 00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:16,000 Speaker 1: the running backs and I'll call out my riskiest player 416 00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,119 Speaker 1: for the Ravens, and that's J. K. Dobbins, who was 417 00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:22,120 Speaker 1: the highest raven drafted among all positions right now, He's 418 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:26,320 Speaker 1: going off the board at running back sixteen, right after 419 00:23:26,400 --> 00:23:30,720 Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift, Antonio Gibson, before guys like Clyde Edwards, A Lair, 420 00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:34,159 Speaker 1: Miles Sanders, Josh Jacobs. We don't really like him here 421 00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:36,399 Speaker 1: on this show. Guys, we do like Chris Carson right 422 00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:41,560 Speaker 1: after there. So looking at Dobbins, just worried about the volume. Again, 423 00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:44,800 Speaker 1: we saw it last year. Didn't get a ton Baltimore 424 00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:47,080 Speaker 1: didn't an though, you know at the end of the 425 00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:51,120 Speaker 1: year when he was getting just like twelve touches, touches 426 00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,000 Speaker 1: he was cashing on in those opportunities. He was. Yeah, 427 00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:56,600 Speaker 1: he scored in seven straight games from Week eleventh to 428 00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:59,400 Speaker 1: to the wild card game. He totaled eight touchdowns during 429 00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:01,199 Speaker 1: that span. But and that was when they started to 430 00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:04,080 Speaker 1: phase out mark Ingram at the you know, on the 431 00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:06,800 Speaker 1: second half of the season, and they they started ratcheting 432 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,680 Speaker 1: up his workload, not to like, you know, workhorse caliber, 433 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:11,720 Speaker 1: but it was still just like an even split with 434 00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:16,320 Speaker 1: with like you said, during that hot stretch, Uh, he'd 435 00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:19,399 Speaker 1: never topped fifteen carries, never had more than two catches. 436 00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 1: And again, the thing is he didn't need him mo. 437 00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:24,160 Speaker 1: He was still effective, but I don't. Yeah, he was effective, 438 00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:26,720 Speaker 1: but I don't care looking at his a DP where 439 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,080 Speaker 1: he's getting drafted. It's expensive for a guy who touches 440 00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:32,720 Speaker 1: the ball. I need more guaranteed touches. And I think 441 00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:36,720 Speaker 1: he has two hundred, two hundred and fifty opportunities carries 442 00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:40,639 Speaker 1: and targets this year, not the three D three that 443 00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:45,440 Speaker 1: I'd like to see from guys going right in his range. Again, um, 444 00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 1: I think c h gets that kind of volume. Antonio 445 00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:51,359 Speaker 1: give Gibson hopefully, and guys going after Chris Carson you 446 00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:54,479 Speaker 1: like a lot and way down the not way down 447 00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:58,520 Speaker 1: the list, but rby Miles Gascon. I would rather wait 448 00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:01,760 Speaker 1: around my gass and then take J. K. Dobbins. I 449 00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:05,639 Speaker 1: just think there's he he could live up to that ADP. 450 00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 1: I don't see him going higher than RB fourteen, but 451 00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:10,040 Speaker 1: I certainly can see him going lower, just based on 452 00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:13,600 Speaker 1: the volume. And of course Lamar Jackson steals touches at 453 00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:16,480 Speaker 1: the goal line and all everywhere everywhere else, so that 454 00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:20,000 Speaker 1: there's that. Uh, let's talk about Lamar Jackson really quick 455 00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:24,680 Speaker 1: two years ago led the NFL in passing touchdowns. Unbelievable 456 00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:30,440 Speaker 1: right passing touchdowns last year. Only six didn't have any 457 00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:33,000 Speaker 1: wide receivers last year, though his wide receivers were betting 458 00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:37,720 Speaker 1: better than um. Mark Andrews took a step back. Um. 459 00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:41,200 Speaker 1: Long story short, I think there's room for Lamar Jackson 460 00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:43,000 Speaker 1: to get better as a passer people who are writing 461 00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:45,040 Speaker 1: him off as of right now. They added a first 462 00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:46,919 Speaker 1: round pick to the wide receiver group, which I'm sure 463 00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:48,920 Speaker 1: you're gonna talk about in a minute. And that's promising. 464 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,560 Speaker 1: Uh yeah, and and Jackson was a candidate for my 465 00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:56,800 Speaker 1: highest upside player. He could easily revert back to form 466 00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:58,440 Speaker 1: that whole team good. And if he does that, then 467 00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:00,960 Speaker 1: he's you know, he's the bell of the all over again. 468 00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:03,000 Speaker 1: But he's not your highest upside player because I know 469 00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:05,040 Speaker 1: who it's gonna be. I think, and I think you 470 00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:07,080 Speaker 1: and I are in lockstep on this lay the rouser, 471 00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:12,119 Speaker 1: the University of Minnesota rouser. Oh, you were thinking Mark Andrews, 472 00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:17,280 Speaker 1: Gus Edwards. God, nobody wants Gus Edwards and he gets 473 00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:20,240 Speaker 1: half the carrier run that must run heavy offense in 474 00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:22,600 Speaker 1: the NFL. That is. I do like the angle there, 475 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:25,720 Speaker 1: but I love that angle. I would rather pay Gus 476 00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:27,560 Speaker 1: Edwards a DP. We look with ADP, I don't have 477 00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:31,200 Speaker 1: in front of me, um Gus Edwards a DP than 478 00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:34,280 Speaker 1: J K. Dobbins ADP to me, it's and it's it's 479 00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:36,480 Speaker 1: not even all that close. Oh no, it won't be close. 480 00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:40,240 Speaker 1: Is gonna be RB thirty five. He's like round eight. 481 00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:44,720 Speaker 1: I'm still going with Rashod Bateman, whose wide receiver sixty 482 00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:47,879 Speaker 1: seven right now, and he is the best wide receiver 483 00:26:48,080 --> 00:26:50,080 Speaker 1: on the roster. He probably is the best receives the 484 00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:53,199 Speaker 1: best wide wide receiver on roster. Yes, he is a rookie, 485 00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 1: of course, um but polished route runner, great hands, not 486 00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:01,639 Speaker 1: a freak athlete, but he is a lion athlete, uh, 487 00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:04,200 Speaker 1: without a doubt. And when you look at the range 488 00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:08,840 Speaker 1: of guys going before Rashad Bateman, I want to barf 489 00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:15,240 Speaker 1: Henry Ruggs, t Y Hilton, Jalen reagor Nicole Hardman, Corey Davis. 490 00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:18,640 Speaker 1: Bateman is the number one wide receiver on the team. 491 00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:21,200 Speaker 1: Not the number one receiver. That's Mark Andrews, who was 492 00:27:21,280 --> 00:27:26,560 Speaker 1: also Canada downside downside from me, that tight end four. 493 00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,520 Speaker 1: He sees under a hundred targets going after you. Guys 494 00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:31,520 Speaker 1: like Hockinson and Pitts who are gonna see a hundred 495 00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:33,800 Speaker 1: plus targets in my mind, but I still think Uh 496 00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:36,880 Speaker 1: Andrews can live up to that. That ADP a tight 497 00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 1: end for But anyway, it's Rashad Bateman for me. I 498 00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:42,280 Speaker 1: think he leads the team at least the wide receivers 499 00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:47,000 Speaker 1: and targets catches yards. He's gonna be a safe seven 500 00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:49,080 Speaker 1: to eight targets per game guy. I feel four to 501 00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:52,159 Speaker 1: five catches UH with a significant upside a wide receiver 502 00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:55,480 Speaker 1: sixty two. There's plenty of room. There's plenty of room there. 503 00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:59,120 Speaker 1: Gus Edwards a d P. I'm gonna I as I recall, 504 00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:02,640 Speaker 1: it's round eight, But I I could be wrong about that, 505 00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:05,359 Speaker 1: and I think he's going off the board like running 506 00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:08,720 Speaker 1: back forty something in that ballpark. And to me, that's 507 00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:11,080 Speaker 1: just it's such a good value for a guy who 508 00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:14,320 Speaker 1: know is gonna get almost half of the work, and 509 00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:16,800 Speaker 1: they love to use him near the stripe. They you know, 510 00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:20,360 Speaker 1: they'll run Gus Edwards near the end zone. So RB, 511 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:27,919 Speaker 1: there we go. Pith, Yeah, that's right, I thought I 512 00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:30,040 Speaker 1: said eight earlier. It's like that it's right rounded left. 513 00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,159 Speaker 1: He's right in the right, like the kind of the 514 00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:37,120 Speaker 1: backup range. You expect the Tony Pollard, Naheem Himes, Jamal Williams. 515 00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:40,600 Speaker 1: But the difference is, I can I know Gus Edwards 516 00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:43,240 Speaker 1: is going to get a bunch of carries in every game, 517 00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:45,480 Speaker 1: and that I can't say that about those guys. Okay, 518 00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:48,480 Speaker 1: R B forty RB forty one, RB forty three. Which 519 00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:51,760 Speaker 1: one you pick in you got Zack Moss, Tony Pollard, 520 00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:56,000 Speaker 1: Gus Edwards. I like all three. I like all three guys, 521 00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:59,720 Speaker 1: but I would take Gus Edwards in most formats because 522 00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:03,840 Speaker 1: of this certainty of his role. You know, Tony Pollard 523 00:29:04,360 --> 00:29:07,160 Speaker 1: may he only had like two Fantasy relevant games last 524 00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 1: year and he he probably does. Or Zeke has to 525 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:12,880 Speaker 1: just get even worse than he was last year, which 526 00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:16,600 Speaker 1: is possible. Um and Zack Moss is you know, well, 527 00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:19,000 Speaker 1: I think there's a good opportunity by low on Zack Moss. 528 00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:21,760 Speaker 1: We still still plenty of questions about him. We'd we'd 529 00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:24,440 Speaker 1: be discussed him in detail in the last podcast last week, right, 530 00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:26,320 Speaker 1: so we got we had a co upside players of 531 00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:33,960 Speaker 1: the Ravens. I like it. Let's pivot to the Pittsburgh Steelers. First, 532 00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:37,840 Speaker 1: understand my predilection on the Steelers overall this year. I 533 00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:42,640 Speaker 1: see massive risk with this team, and I'm gonna outline 534 00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:45,080 Speaker 1: it for you over the course of our conversation here. 535 00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:48,960 Speaker 1: This is a team that in almost every scenario I 536 00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:52,880 Speaker 1: will not take a Steeler at his average draft position, 537 00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:58,040 Speaker 1: and I see a very possible significant real life regression 538 00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:01,000 Speaker 1: and fantasy regression for this Steelers. They have a great 539 00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:04,440 Speaker 1: defense and that's going to keep them I think at 540 00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:08,440 Speaker 1: around the five mark for total wins that defense. But 541 00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 1: I'm very nervous about the rest of the team. So 542 00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:16,360 Speaker 1: let's talk about beginning with the quarterback. In his eighteenth season, 543 00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:24,040 Speaker 1: Ben roethlis Burger is teetering on cooked cooked. He played 544 00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:28,320 Speaker 1: badly for stretches last year, and his arm was clearly 545 00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:32,880 Speaker 1: degraded from previous seasons. I felt, now remember the season 546 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:35,360 Speaker 1: before last, he missed the whole year. Then last year 547 00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:38,480 Speaker 1: he came in through a lot of passes because the 548 00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:41,840 Speaker 1: running game was terrible and um and at the end 549 00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:44,240 Speaker 1: of the day he ultimately got two decent stat lines. 550 00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:47,480 Speaker 1: But just the eye test, if you watched two Steelers games, 551 00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:50,160 Speaker 1: you know he didn't look the same. It was painful. Um, 552 00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 1: he didn't throw deep and that was the biggest change 553 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:57,760 Speaker 1: from last year. He used to be, you know, this 554 00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:04,080 Speaker 1: big statue figure in the pocket and slinging deep balls around. 555 00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:11,400 Speaker 1: He threw the fifth shortest average intended yards and in 556 00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 1: part because he had the fewest time in pocket, barely 557 00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:19,160 Speaker 1: two seconds to throw the ball. No starter had less 558 00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:24,120 Speaker 1: time in the pocket than Ben Roethlisberger. Um. Also with Ben, 559 00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:26,480 Speaker 1: you know, he offered the team an offseason pay cut, 560 00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:31,200 Speaker 1: which has this underlying suggestion that Ben believed that he 561 00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 1: might get replaced or cut or whatever. And he early 562 00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:36,920 Speaker 1: in the season went to the team and said, I'll 563 00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:40,080 Speaker 1: take a pay cut to play one more year. That 564 00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:43,960 Speaker 1: worries me a little syndrome. That's a great question. I 565 00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:46,840 Speaker 1: mean it feels that way, doesn't it. Um. You know, 566 00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:49,680 Speaker 1: I think just last year, I feel like he succeeded 567 00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:51,800 Speaker 1: from a fantasy standpoint more. It's just like grit and 568 00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:55,840 Speaker 1: volume than actual ability anymore. Um. He did score in 569 00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:58,480 Speaker 1: every game last year, and that part was great, But 570 00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:01,760 Speaker 1: I'm nervous about the volume coming back and some other things. 571 00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:05,680 Speaker 1: Last year through six eight passes, which was second most 572 00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:09,280 Speaker 1: of any of his seasons. And in addition to the 573 00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:15,040 Speaker 1: six eight passes, remember he threw sixty eight times in 574 00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:20,959 Speaker 1: the playoff loss one game, sixty eight passes. Um that 575 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:24,280 Speaker 1: I I worry about all of that volume on his 576 00:32:24,520 --> 00:32:28,440 Speaker 1: arm in this his eighteenth season. Um. The good news 577 00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:30,400 Speaker 1: is he's surrounded by weapons and weren't talk about them 578 00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:32,920 Speaker 1: in a second. The bad news for Ben Um is 579 00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:36,320 Speaker 1: the offensive line is ranked twenty nine by Pro Football 580 00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:39,800 Speaker 1: Focus for this coming season, and the team barely addressed 581 00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:42,440 Speaker 1: it in the off season. They've got three news starters, 582 00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:46,120 Speaker 1: none of whom look promising. They have one returning starter, 583 00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:52,080 Speaker 1: Chuck woma Okah four, and he's flipping from right to 584 00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:54,320 Speaker 1: left tackle. You know, I don't want a new left 585 00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:57,320 Speaker 1: tackle for Ben Roethlisberger and the fact that last year's 586 00:32:57,360 --> 00:32:59,280 Speaker 1: was terrible, but I don't want a guy who's not 587 00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:03,240 Speaker 1: familiar with the position going to left tackle. They only 588 00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:05,760 Speaker 1: drafted one lineman in in the draft, and that was 589 00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:11,680 Speaker 1: in the fourth round. Um, Dan More, Dan More, That's it, Um, 590 00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:14,680 Speaker 1: I just don't know how. You know, how does Ben 591 00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:20,600 Speaker 1: get better with a makeshift line that's being reconstructed on 592 00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:24,400 Speaker 1: the fly without obvious talent improvements. Remember they lost Markue's 593 00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:27,520 Speaker 1: Pouncey retired in the off season. This is is a 594 00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:30,920 Speaker 1: bad line, maybe the worst line in football. So let's 595 00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:33,520 Speaker 1: talk about receivers for a minute. Deante Johnson managed to 596 00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:35,880 Speaker 1: get himself benched from drop for drops last year, as 597 00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:40,520 Speaker 1: you probably remember, um, but he's a high volume guy. 598 00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:43,920 Speaker 1: He ranked sixth last year among all wide receivers and 599 00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:47,280 Speaker 1: targets even with the benching, and that allowed him to 600 00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:49,960 Speaker 1: leave the Steelers and targets and yards. He's now in 601 00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:51,480 Speaker 1: his third season. He could get even better and he 602 00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:53,960 Speaker 1: could pull away from the rest of the pack of 603 00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:57,280 Speaker 1: the Steelers wide outs, especially we can convert more of 604 00:33:57,320 --> 00:34:00,320 Speaker 1: those passes into touchdowns, which he was just a also 605 00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:04,440 Speaker 1: touchdown producer. Last year, Jujus miss Schuster resigned with the team. 606 00:34:04,520 --> 00:34:07,160 Speaker 1: And remember he went into free agency as a as 607 00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:10,040 Speaker 1: an unrestricted free agent and he had like no takers 608 00:34:10,840 --> 00:34:12,920 Speaker 1: and eventually, after I don't know, like ten days of 609 00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:15,680 Speaker 1: free agency, Juju just resigned with the team on a 610 00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:19,200 Speaker 1: very team friendly deal. I think the Patriots could have 611 00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:22,880 Speaker 1: gotten to Juju's for what they paid, like I know, 612 00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:27,560 Speaker 1: such a bad deal. Um. The issue for Juju and 613 00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:30,200 Speaker 1: what you need to know about him, the lack of 614 00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:34,040 Speaker 1: depth of target and yards after they catch Juju catch 615 00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:38,239 Speaker 1: his short passes and then gets tackled quickly. That's bad 616 00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:42,240 Speaker 1: for fantasy. He had the second shortest average depth of target, 617 00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:46,120 Speaker 1: just five point eight yards according to Next Gen Stats, 618 00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:49,279 Speaker 1: second shortest average depth of target and he turned one 619 00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:53,440 Speaker 1: targets which is plenty and only eighty one yards. That's it. 620 00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:57,640 Speaker 1: This is a major reversal from the big plays that 621 00:34:57,760 --> 00:34:59,759 Speaker 1: Juju was making in his first couple of seasons in 622 00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:02,399 Speaker 1: the league, and it's been this way for two years 623 00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:05,680 Speaker 1: with j Do silver lining. He did finish strong though 624 00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:08,000 Speaker 1: last year. He had touchdowns in seven of his last 625 00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:11,920 Speaker 1: ten games. After the touchdown totals were good for him 626 00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:13,920 Speaker 1: in the second half, but that was the only thing 627 00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:17,000 Speaker 1: that saved him and kept him fantasy relevant were the touchdowns. 628 00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:18,920 Speaker 1: Didn't didn't have over a hundred yards until that that 629 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:23,720 Speaker 1: playoff game when he had nineteen targets, sixty passes past attempts. 630 00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:27,680 Speaker 1: Ben jujus one eight targets and I said only turned 631 00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:31,640 Speaker 1: into eight hundred thirty one yards. Justin Jefferson turned one 632 00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:37,040 Speaker 1: hundred twenty targets into almost double the yards fourteen hundred. 633 00:35:37,680 --> 00:35:39,920 Speaker 1: So then let's go to Chase Claypool, who became the 634 00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:44,200 Speaker 1: Steelers downfield. Thready average thirteen point two yards per target, 635 00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:47,440 Speaker 1: which was among the deepest in the NFL. He's now 636 00:35:47,440 --> 00:35:49,040 Speaker 1: in his second year and he's got room to get 637 00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:51,239 Speaker 1: a lot better, which is a scary proposition for a 638 00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,760 Speaker 1: guy with his build and ability to win contested catches. 639 00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:58,759 Speaker 1: But behind this terrible offensive line, does Ben have the 640 00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:03,600 Speaker 1: time to target it? Chase Claypool downfield? Chase Claypool. Give 641 00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:08,520 Speaker 1: you a little bit of a Kelvin Benjamin vibe. No, no, no, no, 642 00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:13,200 Speaker 1: he is I I do not see Kelvin Benjamin. Yeah. 643 00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:15,279 Speaker 1: I got burned so bad on that hot start that 644 00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:19,880 Speaker 1: Kelvin Benjamin had six years ago, and I'm Kelvin Benjamin 645 00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:23,359 Speaker 1: is going to be awesome. I did not pan out 646 00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:28,000 Speaker 1: at all. Um behind you know again, I worry about 647 00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:31,040 Speaker 1: setting up Claypool downfield. Mind a bad offensive line and 648 00:36:31,040 --> 00:36:34,799 Speaker 1: that provides the downside for Claypool only. Other receivers of 649 00:36:34,840 --> 00:36:36,799 Speaker 1: note here, Eric Ebron will be the focal point of 650 00:36:36,800 --> 00:36:39,719 Speaker 1: the tight ends until Pat friar Muth is ready to 651 00:36:39,719 --> 00:36:42,680 Speaker 1: take over next season. Abron's on the last year of 652 00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:45,319 Speaker 1: his deal. Friar Muth will be the starter next year. 653 00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:47,839 Speaker 1: For those of you in Dynasty, and Empire leagues. Um, 654 00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:50,400 Speaker 1: you know the deal on Ebron medium to low volume 655 00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:52,839 Speaker 1: and you're hoping for you get one of his four 656 00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,879 Speaker 1: or five touchdowns this season. And this division is so 657 00:36:57,160 --> 00:37:00,400 Speaker 1: each team is so muddled at almost every Asian you 658 00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:04,759 Speaker 1: know what I mean, like a lot of a lot 659 00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:10,520 Speaker 1: of wide receivers ends. It's an issue. You know. Where 660 00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:14,239 Speaker 1: the Steelers aren't muddled. Running back Nag Harris. It will 661 00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:17,560 Speaker 1: be the Week one starter and likely a workhorse back. 662 00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:21,640 Speaker 1: He is a true three down back, particularly if if 663 00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:24,000 Speaker 1: his past blocking improves. And it's not bad, but it's 664 00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:27,960 Speaker 1: got plenty of him to get better. Harris has no 665 00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:32,000 Speaker 1: threat on roster to take meaningful carries away from him whatsoever. 666 00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:36,000 Speaker 1: He has built for goal line use. He will get 667 00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:40,000 Speaker 1: carries inside the five and that is a huge ticket 668 00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:47,000 Speaker 1: to fantasy success. But there are dangers here. First, um, 669 00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:50,160 Speaker 1: they need a far more balanced attack than last year 670 00:37:50,440 --> 00:37:53,440 Speaker 1: when the Steelers through the ball the most times in 671 00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:57,319 Speaker 1: the NFL and they ran the third fewest times. So 672 00:37:57,560 --> 00:37:59,239 Speaker 1: they need to have more of a commitment to the 673 00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:01,680 Speaker 1: run clear lead and I'm sure they'd like to get 674 00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:04,160 Speaker 1: back to being more of a balanced attack, but they 675 00:38:04,200 --> 00:38:06,319 Speaker 1: have to for Nagi Harris to be as effective as 676 00:38:06,320 --> 00:38:08,120 Speaker 1: he could be. And then again, and I hate to 677 00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:11,640 Speaker 1: keep pounding on this, the offensive line is horrible. Harris 678 00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:13,680 Speaker 1: is going to have to make his own yards a 679 00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:16,759 Speaker 1: lot and he's not going to get a lot of help. 680 00:38:17,040 --> 00:38:21,000 Speaker 1: Harris can catch, but will they throw to him. Pittsburgh 681 00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:24,520 Speaker 1: targeted its runners just eighty one times last year and 682 00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:28,960 Speaker 1: James Conner was twenty seven among runners last season in targets. 683 00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:31,560 Speaker 1: So how much will they throw to Harris is an 684 00:38:31,600 --> 00:38:35,080 Speaker 1: open question. You don't want to get too excited about 685 00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:39,680 Speaker 1: the offseason O t a practice videos, but some of 686 00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:43,880 Speaker 1: the Harris footwork it looks good. He looks different than most. 687 00:38:44,040 --> 00:38:46,319 Speaker 1: For sure, he is a good player, and if he 688 00:38:46,400 --> 00:38:50,279 Speaker 1: had landed someplace else, we'd be talking about. Harris is 689 00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:53,000 Speaker 1: potentially a first rounder had he picked you like a 690 00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:56,839 Speaker 1: perfect landing spot, um, But as it stands, I'm not 691 00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:59,479 Speaker 1: sure that this is it riskiest player at his current 692 00:38:59,520 --> 00:39:02,320 Speaker 1: ADP to me is Juju Smith Schuster. He's wide receiver 693 00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:05,840 Speaker 1: thirty two in the seventh round, and as I mentioned earlier, 694 00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:08,120 Speaker 1: hard to be a reliable fantasy producer and you're catching 695 00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:09,880 Speaker 1: the ball at or near the line of scrimmage and 696 00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:12,080 Speaker 1: doing nothing with it afterwards. And the player with the 697 00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:15,719 Speaker 1: most upside compared to a DP probably Chase Claypool at 698 00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:18,799 Speaker 1: wide receiver twenty nine in the sixth round. And he's 699 00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:22,680 Speaker 1: got special traits, he's got a big body, contested catches. 700 00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:26,120 Speaker 1: And if Benn has still got a thirty touchdown season 701 00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:28,239 Speaker 1: left in that arm, or even like a twenty six 702 00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:31,600 Speaker 1: touchdown season left in that arm, Chase Claypool to me 703 00:39:31,719 --> 00:39:34,719 Speaker 1: is the odds on favor to catch the most touchdowns 704 00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:39,360 Speaker 1: on the team. I dig it. Thank you for listening. 705 00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:42,200 Speaker 1: We've broken down the a f C North next week. 706 00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:47,640 Speaker 1: A f C what do you want to do? West South? 707 00:39:47,719 --> 00:39:51,040 Speaker 1: Did you say, AMC? No, you hear what you want 708 00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:54,160 Speaker 1: to hear? AMC, AMC to the moon. Not financial advice 709 00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:57,520 Speaker 1: out there, unless you A f C South sounds good 710 00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:01,160 Speaker 1: because traditionally it goes east north, alf I think west whatever. 711 00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:03,719 Speaker 1: Uh So we'll do a f C South next week. 712 00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:07,080 Speaker 1: We appreciate everybody who listened. Remember to go to Guillotine 713 00:40:07,160 --> 00:40:09,000 Speaker 1: leagues dot com. We encourage you to check that out 714 00:40:09,040 --> 00:40:12,239 Speaker 1: as well. We'll talk to you next week, everybody, Bye bye. 715 00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:16,520 Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of I heart Radio. 716 00:40:16,680 --> 00:40:18,799 Speaker 1: For more podcasts from My heart Radio, visit the i 717 00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:22,080 Speaker 1: heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to 718 00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:23,000 Speaker 1: your favorite shows.