WEBVTT - Early Look at Week 13 NFL Lines (Ep. 135) 0:00:13.480 --> 0:00:16.239 Hey everybody, Welcome back to the Betting Crows Podcast, brought 0:00:16.280 --> 0:00:18.520 to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris. 0:00:18.520 --> 0:00:20.560 You can find me on Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. 0:00:20.720 --> 0:00:24.200 It is entering week thirteen of the NFL season, which 0:00:24.239 --> 0:00:26.640 is crazy. We are here to take an early look 0:00:26.920 --> 0:00:29.159 at the week thirteen NFL lines. Here to do that 0:00:29.200 --> 0:00:31.720 with me is the co host I will call you 0:00:31.800 --> 0:00:35.440 Bogman of our college football podcast. Here. It is Scott 0:00:35.479 --> 0:00:37.680 Bogman again, you know him from the College Football podcast. 0:00:37.800 --> 0:00:41.360 Is also co host of the Great in This League podcast. 0:00:41.440 --> 0:00:45.000 You can find him on Twitter at Bogman Sports. Bogman. 0:00:45.040 --> 0:00:47.000 Thank you for joining me today. How you doing, Thank 0:00:47.040 --> 0:00:47.559 you for having me. 0:00:47.560 --> 0:00:48.200 I'm doing good. 0:00:48.240 --> 0:00:51.479 I mean, you know, I'm a Longhorns fan and there 0:00:51.520 --> 0:00:54.920 four and seven nine you are, Yeah, yeah exactly. 0:00:55.120 --> 0:00:58.960 That's like the hot tub time machine. What's that about? Yeah? 0:00:59.120 --> 0:01:03.280 The and then Steelers fan. You know, my dad's I'm 0:01:03.280 --> 0:01:05.720 from Texas. My dad's will say, by side of the 0:01:05.760 --> 0:01:08.600 family's from Pittsburgh and they were miserable. So you know, 0:01:08.760 --> 0:01:11.080 but it's okay because the NFL is still playing and 0:01:11.120 --> 0:01:12.200 is still like watching football. 0:01:12.280 --> 0:01:14.440 So that's all I can do. As a Jets fan, 0:01:14.520 --> 0:01:17.039 I can say that you know you can still watch 0:01:17.080 --> 0:01:19.479 the NFL even when everything is going wrong. By the way, 0:01:19.480 --> 0:01:21.120 the joke about Bagman is I hope you're watching this 0:01:21.240 --> 0:01:23.880 on our YouTube channel YouTube dot com Slash Betting Pros, which, 0:01:23.880 --> 0:01:25.640 by the way, you can win a free Saquon Barkley 0:01:25.920 --> 0:01:29.120 helmet by subscribing and then going to Betting Pros like 0:01:29.120 --> 0:01:31.440 Complash helmet. That's all you need to do, just subscribe. 0:01:31.440 --> 0:01:34.400 And I was joking because Bagman is decked out head 0:01:34.400 --> 0:01:37.679 to take out, that's right. And Longhorns gear right now, 0:01:37.920 --> 0:01:40.120 which I'm decked out. You had to tell in like 0:01:40.160 --> 0:01:42.360 fantas pros and betting pros gear. So that's how I roll. 0:01:42.480 --> 0:01:45.160 But whatever doesn't matter all right. Early, look at the 0:01:45.160 --> 0:01:47.640 week thirteen NFL lines. This is at halftime. Actually we 0:01:47.640 --> 0:01:50.040 were recording this of the Monday night game between Seattle 0:01:50.040 --> 0:01:53.000 and Washington, so we'll obviously have to do a little 0:01:53.000 --> 0:01:54.840 bit of guesswork here when it comes to those teams 0:01:54.840 --> 0:01:57.360 next week. First, let me remind you about the latest 0:01:57.360 --> 0:02:01.400 offer from our sponsor that MGM new customers can bet 0:02:01.440 --> 0:02:03.720 ten dollars and win two hundred dollars if your team 0:02:03.920 --> 0:02:07.080 scores a touchdown when you use the code juice one hundred, 0:02:07.240 --> 0:02:09.280 that's it bet ten dollars and then the NFL team 0:02:09.320 --> 0:02:11.120 to win the game, you win two hundred dollars if 0:02:11.160 --> 0:02:14.080 your team scores a touchdown in free bets that is 0:02:14.080 --> 0:02:19.480 available in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, West Virginia, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia, Iowa, Washington, 0:02:19.560 --> 0:02:25.560 d C, Arizona, and Wyoming. All right, bogwin Thursday night game, 0:02:25.720 --> 0:02:29.720 we have the Cowboys visiting the Saints. The spread right 0:02:29.760 --> 0:02:33.880 now is the Cowboys laying five. That's the consensus, but 0:02:33.960 --> 0:02:35.519 there is four and a half. There are five and 0:02:35.520 --> 0:02:37.400 a half's out there, but right now it's five and 0:02:37.480 --> 0:02:40.520 the total is forty seven and a half. Any thoughts 0:02:40.600 --> 0:02:41.160 on this one? 0:02:41.440 --> 0:02:43.800 I mean, my instant thought is Dallas in the under 0:02:43.960 --> 0:02:49.320 because what we saw offensively from New Orleans on Thanksgiving 0:02:49.600 --> 0:02:53.160 was not great. And Taysom Hill is getting first team 0:02:53.160 --> 0:02:54.959 reps now, so are they going to go to Taysom Hill? 0:02:55.160 --> 0:02:58.160 Is that gonna work? Are we getting Comarica be worse? 0:02:58.240 --> 0:02:59.240 Man, it can't be worse. 0:02:59.280 --> 0:03:01.959 It can't be worse. Yeah? Are we getting Kamara back? 0:03:01.960 --> 0:03:03.720 Are we getting Ingram back or is it gonna be 0:03:03.760 --> 0:03:05.480 Tony Jones again, who I thought was going to have 0:03:05.520 --> 0:03:08.480 a pretty decent game and was horrific. So it looked 0:03:08.520 --> 0:03:11.760 like David Johnson out there. You know, maybe the Cowboys 0:03:11.760 --> 0:03:13.359 are going to be down Zeke, but Paullard is a 0:03:13.360 --> 0:03:16.000 great backup. That offense is good, the defense can play 0:03:16.040 --> 0:03:19.080 a little bit. Obviously, got a little job done Thanksgiving, 0:03:19.360 --> 0:03:21.239 so they're going to come in a little bit hot 0:03:21.280 --> 0:03:24.720 in this game too. So I like the Cowboys going 0:03:24.760 --> 0:03:26.160 away even in New Orleans. 0:03:26.360 --> 0:03:28.519 So it's it's obviously Monday, so we don't have everything. 0:03:28.520 --> 0:03:30.680 Here's what I can say. What we heard today. Zeke 0:03:30.720 --> 0:03:33.400 apparently practiced in full, which was surprising given that we 0:03:33.440 --> 0:03:34.679 heard that he was going to be in danger of 0:03:34.720 --> 0:03:37.120 missing this game. Obviously, the Cowboys are going to be 0:03:37.120 --> 0:03:40.000 without Mike McCarthy because he tested positive for COVID. We 0:03:40.080 --> 0:03:42.240 Expectedee Lamb to be able to come back, of course, 0:03:42.240 --> 0:03:44.480 and Maari Cooper should be back, and as you mentioned, 0:03:44.520 --> 0:03:47.240 it should be Taysom Hill. Mark Ingram practiced in full. 0:03:47.480 --> 0:03:51.000 Alvin Kamara returned to practice but was limited. So we 0:03:51.040 --> 0:03:53.480 don't know what is happening right now with this game 0:03:53.520 --> 0:03:56.480 whatsoever I get. I'm, you know, for a Thursday night game. 0:03:56.720 --> 0:04:00.360 I guess we'll end at you know, at five, around 0:04:00.360 --> 0:04:01.880 where it is right now. But I agree with you 0:04:01.920 --> 0:04:03.800 on the under like, that's what it strikes me. Especially 0:04:03.800 --> 0:04:05.800 with them going to Taysom Hill, there's gonna be a 0:04:05.800 --> 0:04:08.040 lot more running, a lot more bleeding the clock. I 0:04:08.040 --> 0:04:10.680 don't think Dallas needs to go crazy. You know. The 0:04:10.720 --> 0:04:14.240 Saints defense, despite what we saw from Buffalo's generally pretty strong. 0:04:14.280 --> 0:04:16.240 So I'm in agreement with you on that one. Let's 0:04:16.240 --> 0:04:18.359 go now into our Sunday games. Let's start with the 0:04:18.560 --> 0:04:22.479 wopping Giants visiting the Dolphins. The Dolphins are laying three. 0:04:22.560 --> 0:04:25.240 The total here is forty one and a half, so 0:04:25.279 --> 0:04:28.080 pretty low. Obviously, the Giants coming off the big win 0:04:28.279 --> 0:04:31.240 against Philadelphia. Not sure if it was the Eagles offense 0:04:31.360 --> 0:04:34.760 or the Giants defense, but obviously the the Eagles were 0:04:34.800 --> 0:04:37.800 held pretty much in check. The Dolphins meanwhile, riding high. 0:04:37.839 --> 0:04:40.400 They're up to five and seven. They're in the playoff 0:04:40.480 --> 0:04:43.160 chase somehow with this. Their defense is playing well. Two 0:04:43.200 --> 0:04:45.640 is playing well. Jayl'wadell's playing well. So what do you 0:04:45.680 --> 0:04:47.680 think here with the Dolphins laying a field goal at home. 0:04:47.839 --> 0:04:50.800 I gotta tell you, Dan, I disrespected the Dolphins last week. 0:04:50.839 --> 0:04:51.599 I said, if you. 0:04:51.680 --> 0:04:55.000 Blitz Cam like you blitz Lamar, he's gonna get you apart. 0:04:55.080 --> 0:04:57.320 He's a former MVP. He's gonna throw into the blitz, 0:04:57.560 --> 0:04:59.640 not gonna be able to take him down. Good Lord 0:04:59.800 --> 0:05:03.840 was wrong. He looked god awful. And the Dolphins defense 0:05:04.160 --> 0:05:07.279 looks great. And it seems like ever since they've started 0:05:07.320 --> 0:05:10.720 Javon Holland every single playback there and something that Joe 0:05:10.720 --> 0:05:12.240 and I have talked about on the IDP Show a 0:05:12.240 --> 0:05:16.760 little bit that you know, this team has gotten exponentially better. 0:05:16.839 --> 0:05:19.280 And Holland was a big part of the win against 0:05:19.320 --> 0:05:21.920 Cam Newton and the Panthers. He was the biggest part 0:05:22.000 --> 0:05:25.840 of the win against the Ravens. And this team blitzes 0:05:25.839 --> 0:05:29.200 more than anybody. Danny Dimes not great against the blitz. 0:05:29.640 --> 0:05:32.400 So I'm gonna go with Miami to carve up the 0:05:32.440 --> 0:05:33.160 Giants at home. 0:05:33.600 --> 0:05:35.920 It's gotta be right, I mean, And admittedly I thought 0:05:35.960 --> 0:05:37.480 the Eagles were going to be able to cover whether 0:05:37.480 --> 0:05:39.320 it was three or three and a half. So maybe 0:05:39.400 --> 0:05:42.840 I disrespected, right, I disrespected the Giants perhaps too much, 0:05:42.920 --> 0:05:44.640 or maybe I gave too much credit to the Eagles there. 0:05:44.720 --> 0:05:46.440 I think that's more of what it was because I 0:05:46.640 --> 0:05:49.400 picked the Eagles too, and and you know, our boy 0:05:49.400 --> 0:05:51.839 Bubba and I kind of said that, you know, we said, hey, 0:05:51.839 --> 0:05:54.320 look we're both picking the Eagles, so everybody gohe go 0:05:54.360 --> 0:05:57.120 out and get the Giants, right, So, and that's exactly 0:05:57.200 --> 0:05:57.920 how it worked out. 0:05:58.320 --> 0:06:00.279 Yeah, I agree, though I think the Dolphins all are 0:06:00.440 --> 0:06:02.919 you know, relatively legitimate with how well you're benching the 0:06:02.920 --> 0:06:05.400 defense playing. And again, you know Matt Parol, who owes 0:06:05.400 --> 0:06:07.080 to Daily Juice podcast, we do a last room. He 0:06:07.120 --> 0:06:08.720 makes fun of me because he calls me a huge 0:06:08.760 --> 0:06:11.400 to a defender I don't love too. It was just 0:06:11.480 --> 0:06:12.880 we were comparing it to what it looked like with 0:06:12.960 --> 0:06:15.320 Chakobe Brissett, and I said, Tua makes the offense at 0:06:15.400 --> 0:06:18.200 least a little more competent. Yes, he makes some horrible 0:06:18.240 --> 0:06:21.240 decisions and he makes some you know, bad interceptions, but overall, 0:06:21.240 --> 0:06:23.920 the offense certainly looks more competent with him back there. Yeah, 0:06:23.960 --> 0:06:26.800 I agree with you. At a field goal, certainly, I 0:06:26.880 --> 0:06:28.400 like it there, so I would go ahead and take 0:06:28.400 --> 0:06:30.080 it now because I don't see it going under afield 0:06:30.200 --> 0:06:32.120 I'd be surprised if there was heavy action on the Giants. 0:06:32.120 --> 0:06:33.839 If anything, I could see it moving up, so I 0:06:33.839 --> 0:06:35.840 would go ahead and go there. We just talked about 0:06:35.839 --> 0:06:38.360 the Eagles. They are visiting the New York Jets right now. 0:06:38.360 --> 0:06:40.960 They're laying six and a half points. The totals forty five. 0:06:41.080 --> 0:06:44.839 We do have obviously some question marks here both quarterbacks. Really, 0:06:45.120 --> 0:06:47.560 you know, Jalen Hurts is dealing with a quote sore ankle. 0:06:47.600 --> 0:06:50.239 I mean, he ran for seventy seven yards against the Giants. 0:06:50.240 --> 0:06:52.840 I don't know how sword could be necessarily, but you've 0:06:52.880 --> 0:06:54.520 got that. You've got some questions at running back for 0:06:54.560 --> 0:06:56.280 the Eagles, given that we don't know if Jordan Howard's 0:06:56.279 --> 0:06:58.640 going to come back. Miles Sanders suffered an ankle injury 0:06:58.640 --> 0:06:59.960 in that game, so he was kind of not really 0:07:00.120 --> 0:07:02.320 it was mostly Boston Scott for the Jets. They do 0:07:02.400 --> 0:07:05.080 beat the Texans, but you do have you know, Zach 0:07:05.120 --> 0:07:07.720 Wilson sort of, you know, limping around a little bit. 0:07:07.760 --> 0:07:09.840 Doesn't look like he's one hundred percent here. Maybe Corey 0:07:09.880 --> 0:07:12.520 Davis doesn't play, So some question marks abound. But under 0:07:12.520 --> 0:07:14.120 a touchdown here, six and a half of the Eagles 0:07:14.240 --> 0:07:15.160 visiting the Jets. 0:07:15.680 --> 0:07:16.720 I hate this game, doan. 0:07:18.040 --> 0:07:19.920 I would take the Eagles just because I don't think 0:07:19.920 --> 0:07:21.600 the Jets are a very good team and I think 0:07:21.680 --> 0:07:24.240 Zach Wilson actually makes them worse. I understand that you 0:07:24.320 --> 0:07:26.400 need to start him to get him experience if he's 0:07:26.440 --> 0:07:29.720 healthy enough to do it. I understand that way more 0:07:29.760 --> 0:07:31.880 than starting Joe Flacco. Well, I don't know what the 0:07:31.880 --> 0:07:33.880 hell everything and there. Even though Flacco didn't look bad. 0:07:33.720 --> 0:07:35.800 But doesn't make it, didn't he never does really what 0:07:35.880 --> 0:07:36.960 he's with the Jets go on. 0:07:37.000 --> 0:07:40.880 But he's but he's not your answer. So you know, start, 0:07:40.920 --> 0:07:43.240 try Mike White again. Let him go out there. You know, 0:07:43.720 --> 0:07:45.400 That's what I would have done, but you know, I'm not. 0:07:45.600 --> 0:07:47.080 Well, they both, to be fair, they were both on 0:07:47.120 --> 0:07:49.280 the COVID list, and so maybe the Jets even knew that, 0:07:49.600 --> 0:07:51.880 oh yeah at the time, but they named him the 0:07:51.880 --> 0:07:54.120 starter before that anyway, right right, yeah. 0:07:53.960 --> 0:07:56.560 That was my my whole thing, like, why has Joe 0:07:56.560 --> 0:07:58.560 Flacco started a game for the Jets? 0:07:58.560 --> 0:08:00.720 Oh that is one hundred percent truy, Yes, yes. 0:08:00.600 --> 0:08:03.040 Yeah, just go with your youth because you're not playing 0:08:03.080 --> 0:08:03.960 for this season anyway. 0:08:04.040 --> 0:08:06.520 But I don't Philly is such a mess. 0:08:06.560 --> 0:08:09.720 They don't like Jalen Hurts, which is weird because they 0:08:09.800 --> 0:08:13.440 drafted him. I know this coaching staff didn't. But you know, 0:08:13.720 --> 0:08:15.680 if you don't like him, why are you even giving 0:08:15.720 --> 0:08:16.239 him a shot? 0:08:16.400 --> 0:08:16.600 Right? 0:08:17.200 --> 0:08:21.080 Maybe to drive up his trade value for next season 0:08:21.160 --> 0:08:21.480 or something. 0:08:21.520 --> 0:08:21.920 I don't know. 0:08:22.040 --> 0:08:23.600 I just think the Jets are a bad team. So 0:08:23.680 --> 0:08:25.600 I'll take the Eagles and lay the points. 0:08:25.320 --> 0:08:25.720 On the road. 0:08:26.040 --> 0:08:29.440 Well, it did look like, you know, Hurts until this 0:08:29.560 --> 0:08:31.800 game had been playing very well, and I realized it was, 0:08:31.880 --> 0:08:34.200 you know, a very run heavy offense and everything like that. 0:08:34.240 --> 0:08:36.360 But he was making his throst count. But you know, 0:08:36.480 --> 0:08:38.800 the way I looked at it, bagman is his young quarterback, 0:08:38.840 --> 0:08:41.760 Like he's bound to have games like this, right, and again, 0:08:41.800 --> 0:08:44.120 they should have won that game had Jalen Rager been 0:08:44.120 --> 0:08:46.520 able to hold on to any of the touchdown well. 0:08:46.480 --> 0:08:49.240 And Smith was wide open on those last two plays too, 0:08:49.400 --> 0:08:50.720 so just throw him the ball. 0:08:50.840 --> 0:08:51.520 He's pretty good. 0:08:51.600 --> 0:08:54.239 He won a Heisman Trophy, so you know, yeah. 0:08:54.000 --> 0:08:57.160 So bizarre I would I would go under a touchdown 0:08:57.400 --> 0:08:59.520 with the Eagles here. Again, you know the fact that 0:08:59.520 --> 0:09:03.360 the Jets beat a crappy Texans team really obviously shouldn't 0:09:03.360 --> 0:09:04.840 mean much. They did not look good in the game, 0:09:04.960 --> 0:09:06.920 so I would go with Eagles, But I admit that 0:09:07.000 --> 0:09:10.000 I'm not running out to bet the Eals laying six 0:09:10.000 --> 0:09:11.400 and a half points at this game, but if I 0:09:11.400 --> 0:09:12.679 had to go one way, I would go there. Other 0:09:12.720 --> 0:09:14.240 than that, it's pretty much a stay away from me. 0:09:14.520 --> 0:09:17.280 How about the Cardinals here visiting the Bears. The Cardinals 0:09:17.320 --> 0:09:20.360 are off of bye. They should get Kyler Murray back. 0:09:20.800 --> 0:09:24.200 They hopefully will get DeAndre Hopkins back. Although Cliff Kingsbury 0:09:24.280 --> 0:09:27.600 was noncommittal on both, seemed to suggest optimism with it. 0:09:28.160 --> 0:09:30.360 I expect Andy Dalton to continue to start here for 0:09:30.400 --> 0:09:32.160 the Bears. I don't know if Justin Field is gonna 0:09:32.160 --> 0:09:33.959 be back. I don't know if Alon Robinson's going to 0:09:34.000 --> 0:09:36.199 be back. They obviously have a little bit of an extra, 0:09:36.480 --> 0:09:39.000 you know, layoff here because of the Thanksgiving game. So 0:09:39.240 --> 0:09:41.360 in this game they're laying against seven and a half 0:09:41.400 --> 0:09:44.200 the Cardinals and you've got the total at forty five 0:09:44.280 --> 0:09:45.720 and a half. Any feelings here. 0:09:45.800 --> 0:09:47.000 Yeah, Cardinals big. 0:09:47.520 --> 0:09:49.760 I think the Cardinals are a really really good team 0:09:49.800 --> 0:09:52.240 this year and the Bears are really really bad. 0:09:52.320 --> 0:09:53.360 I think that's. 0:09:53.040 --> 0:09:55.720 Simply what it comes down to I think I would 0:09:55.800 --> 0:09:59.640 lay the seven if Colt McCoy starts this game with 0:09:59.720 --> 0:10:02.120 two weeks of rest, you know, with the weapons that 0:10:02.160 --> 0:10:04.400 the Cardinals have against the weapons that the Bears have, 0:10:04.480 --> 0:10:07.360 and the Bears are a team that is seemingly packing 0:10:07.400 --> 0:10:11.440 it in. Yes, they barely beat They barely barely beat 0:10:11.440 --> 0:10:14.800 Detroit on Thanksgiving. That should have been a loss for 0:10:14.840 --> 0:10:18.400 them most likely. But the Cardinals, I mean, I don't 0:10:18.440 --> 0:10:20.079 believe any of these Kingsbury to. 0:10:20.040 --> 0:10:21.960 OEU like Kingsbury. 0:10:22.640 --> 0:10:26.120 Kingsbury has He's in the NFL and he has the 0:10:26.120 --> 0:10:29.600 best ou quarterback of the last ten years already, So 0:10:29.720 --> 0:10:31.880 why would he want to, you know, take a step down. 0:10:32.120 --> 0:10:35.280 So I guess maybe for job security and that type 0:10:35.320 --> 0:10:38.280 of stuff because the NFL, you know, not for long. 0:10:38.280 --> 0:10:39.320 It's what that stands for. 0:10:39.400 --> 0:10:42.600 But I'll take I'll take the Cardinals their defense too 0:10:42.640 --> 0:10:46.080 against Andy Dalton. I think just on that alone, I'm 0:10:46.080 --> 0:10:49.320 not really worried about what the offense is or how Hopkins, 0:10:49.320 --> 0:10:52.400 how healthy Hopkins or Murray are, because I think they 0:10:52.520 --> 0:10:55.760 beat the breaks off the Bears without Murray or Hopkins. 0:10:55.840 --> 0:10:57.640 So I'll lay the points. Take the cards here. 0:10:57.840 --> 0:10:59.560 So you did say seven, just to be clear, it's 0:10:59.559 --> 0:11:01.120 seven and a half. Doesn't matter to you though, right? 0:11:01.120 --> 0:11:01.200 No? 0:11:01.320 --> 0:11:01.480 Like what? 0:11:01.600 --> 0:11:01.680 No? 0:11:03.120 --> 0:11:06.800 So okay, very good. How about the Vikings visiting the Lions. 0:11:06.800 --> 0:11:09.199 The Vikings now are laying seven and the total is 0:11:09.240 --> 0:11:11.880 forty six and a half. The one thing we if 0:11:11.920 --> 0:11:14.760 we know something for sure, it's that the starting running 0:11:14.760 --> 0:11:16.440 backs for both teams are not going to play in 0:11:16.440 --> 0:11:18.040 this game. Dalvin Cook can have missed a few games 0:11:18.080 --> 0:11:20.959 here with the shoulder. DeAndre Swift almost certainly out here 0:11:21.240 --> 0:11:24.080 with the shoulder injury. So it's the backups that Shamal Williams, 0:11:24.120 --> 0:11:27.160 it's Alexander Madison. What do you think here? Divisional game? 0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:30.520 Obviously laying seven? But in fact, hold on, hold on, 0:11:30.559 --> 0:11:32.960 hold on, Bagwin. I think you've been on the show 0:11:33.000 --> 0:11:36.120 one time before, I think, and I think it was 0:11:36.160 --> 0:11:39.120 the Vikings, and I don't know if it was ten 0:11:39.280 --> 0:11:41.040 against the Lions or if it was seven, but I 0:11:41.080 --> 0:11:43.480 know you were all over the Vikings in that game, 0:11:43.559 --> 0:11:46.280 if memory serves, Is that right? Does that sound right? 0:11:46.320 --> 0:11:49.400 I mean that does sound like me? So okay, but 0:11:49.400 --> 0:11:53.720 but look the Lions. Uh, you know, the Lions play hard, 0:11:53.960 --> 0:11:56.880 so it's hard to pick against them. But it seems 0:11:56.920 --> 0:11:59.959 like every week it's one more piece of that team 0:12:00.080 --> 0:12:03.360 goes down, you know. And they haven't won a game, 0:12:03.760 --> 0:12:06.920 but they're pretty good against the spread. So and they're 0:12:06.960 --> 0:12:12.320 at home here and they had extra rest. So I'll 0:12:12.320 --> 0:12:14.440 say this, I ain't gonna be betting this game. I'll 0:12:14.480 --> 0:12:17.560 just say that just straight out. I will not be 0:12:17.640 --> 0:12:20.480 laying my money on this game at all. I'll take 0:12:20.520 --> 0:12:22.880 the Lions against the spread. Give me the Lions at 0:12:22.920 --> 0:12:25.079 home and the points against the Vikings. I think the 0:12:25.160 --> 0:12:28.640 Vikings are an exponentially better team, but for whatever reason, 0:12:29.080 --> 0:12:30.800 they you know, they're five and six for a reason. 0:12:30.800 --> 0:12:31.040 Two. 0:12:31.240 --> 0:12:34.480 You know, the Lions are zero to ten, but they've 0:12:34.520 --> 0:12:37.280 been in the last three games that they've played. I 0:12:37.320 --> 0:12:39.360 think I don't think they're gonna win this game, but 0:12:39.400 --> 0:12:42.680 I think they can not lose by more than seven, 0:12:42.840 --> 0:12:47.160 So let's get them. I think this is like a 0:12:47.200 --> 0:12:48.319 four or five point game. 0:12:50.720 --> 0:12:51.400 God. 0:12:51.760 --> 0:12:56.160 I the Vikings defense just doesn't do anything for me 0:12:56.280 --> 0:13:00.120 right now. The secondary is not great and the line, 0:13:00.120 --> 0:13:03.880 I mean, losing Hunter, losing Griffin, they're going to get 0:13:03.960 --> 0:13:06.520 run on. So Jamal Williams is healthy. I think they're 0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:07.880 going to get run on a little bit so I 0:13:07.880 --> 0:13:10.720 think this is a you know, under and take the 0:13:10.760 --> 0:13:11.440 home team. 0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:14.360 Interesting, okay, because I you know, for me, I thought, 0:13:14.440 --> 0:13:15.800 I do think that the lines are going to be 0:13:15.800 --> 0:13:17.600 able to put up some points here, and I realize 0:13:17.600 --> 0:13:19.000 I'll probably be able to run it, but I think 0:13:19.040 --> 0:13:20.880 they will be able to pass as well. So I 0:13:21.000 --> 0:13:22.800 kind of lean the over interesting because I do think 0:13:22.840 --> 0:13:24.200 that the Vikings are going to be able to put 0:13:24.240 --> 0:13:26.600 up points here. The Vikings are weird, man. They come 0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:28.760 out and half the time you're like, this team could 0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:31.240 put up forty five points if they wanted to right now. 0:13:31.320 --> 0:13:35.600 Right they got Kirks Kirk it is Kirk and they're 0:13:35.640 --> 0:13:37.960 putting up points. You get bad Kirk and they're in 0:13:38.040 --> 0:13:39.760 the game with whoever they're playing. 0:13:40.040 --> 0:13:42.720 But it's also something that like good Kirk isn't like 0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:44.840 I got good Kirk this game. It's like I got 0:13:44.840 --> 0:13:47.480 good Kirk on this drive. I got bad Kirk on 0:13:47.520 --> 0:13:49.800 the next time drive. Yeah, that's the problem that you 0:13:49.840 --> 0:13:51.800 can never really rely. That's why I can't take the 0:13:51.880 --> 0:13:53.839 Vikings at this point, because I just don't know who's 0:13:53.840 --> 0:13:55.720 going to try. I mean, the Vikings obviously are motivated. 0:13:55.760 --> 0:13:57.800 They're five and six. That is in the thick. Now, 0:13:57.880 --> 0:13:59.679 you know you got seven playoff teams, that's in the thick. 0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:02.280 They this win, you assume they'll come out. But yeah, 0:14:02.360 --> 0:14:04.360 the Lions just play hard wherever they are, Like, I 0:14:04.440 --> 0:14:06.600 root for them to get a win. So I actually 0:14:06.600 --> 0:14:08.319 do think there's going to be scoring in this game. 0:14:08.360 --> 0:14:10.439 So I actually kind of lean a little bit towards 0:14:10.480 --> 0:14:12.480 the overend this one. Not crazy, though, you lean a 0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:14.720 little bit towards the under How about the Colts visiting 0:14:14.760 --> 0:14:17.000 the Texans. Tough loss here for the Colts. They are 0:14:17.040 --> 0:14:19.440 laying eight and a half, the totals forty six. I 0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:22.000 imagine you're gonna see quite a few Jonathan Taylor carries 0:14:22.000 --> 0:14:24.600 in this game, given all the talk here about how 0:14:24.600 --> 0:14:27.240 Frank Rake coach that game. The Texans obviously coming off 0:14:27.240 --> 0:14:29.640 a bad loss to the Jets. Torod Taylor will start 0:14:29.640 --> 0:14:32.040 in this game, according to coach. So what do you 0:14:32.080 --> 0:14:33.920 think here? Bagwin? Eight and a half is a big number, 0:14:33.920 --> 0:14:35.480 but you think the Colts can cover it? 0:14:35.760 --> 0:14:36.520 I do not care. 0:14:36.640 --> 0:14:38.760 I think the Colts are the second best team in 0:14:38.800 --> 0:14:41.480 the AFC right now. They went toe to toe with 0:14:41.560 --> 0:14:44.080 Tampa Bay, and yes they lost, and they were at home, 0:14:44.080 --> 0:14:45.760 but Tampa Bay is the best team in the NFL, 0:14:45.840 --> 0:14:49.000 I think, so at least the most complete team. So 0:14:50.080 --> 0:14:52.480 I'll take the Colts. I'll lay the points. I think 0:14:52.520 --> 0:14:57.120 this is a stomping. You know, the Texans are uninspired 0:14:57.160 --> 0:14:59.840 right now. They've got nothing. They've released their best running back, 0:15:00.400 --> 0:15:03.400 you know, releasing Philip Lindsay. I think he was the 0:15:03.440 --> 0:15:07.680 best RB on that roster left, So I don't know 0:15:07.720 --> 0:15:11.880 what the hell they're doing right now. In terms of 0:15:11.880 --> 0:15:14.040 fantasy there's just no one to start on this team either, 0:15:14.080 --> 0:15:16.600 Like even Brandon Cooks is getting less targets, which brought 0:15:16.640 --> 0:15:19.360 out there. So I got to take the Colts and 0:15:19.360 --> 0:15:21.520 I'll lay the points and I'll take the under two. 0:15:22.440 --> 0:15:24.320 I will. I will also go with the Colts. The cult. 0:15:24.440 --> 0:15:26.880 The issue with the Cults that they have this incredible 0:15:26.880 --> 0:15:29.560 ability just to not put away games like that, like 0:15:29.920 --> 0:15:33.000 absolutely ridiculous. How they they just can't finish skims. There 0:15:33.040 --> 0:15:35.560 are times you watch them and they're winning a game 0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:37.320 by you know, two touchdowns, and then they just take 0:15:37.320 --> 0:15:39.560 their foot off the gas, which I would worry about 0:15:39.560 --> 0:15:42.240 here if the Texans weren't so terrible. And I think 0:15:42.240 --> 0:15:44.760 that they can do that, and you know, not put 0:15:44.800 --> 0:15:47.080 their foot on the throat and still in the end 0:15:47.600 --> 0:15:49.480 cover this game, you know at eight and a half, 0:15:49.560 --> 0:15:51.320 So I like it there as well. How about the 0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:54.840 Bucks visiting the Falcons. They are laying eleven. The total 0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:58.000 is fifty and a half on the spread, so you've 0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:01.120 got obviously the Bucks. You know, they come back, they 0:16:01.160 --> 0:16:04.040 win this game. The running game looks great, Gronk looks great. 0:16:04.120 --> 0:16:07.040 They probably will get Antonio Brown back here, although there's 0:16:07.040 --> 0:16:09.040 obviously a little bit of a question mark for the Falcons. 0:16:09.080 --> 0:16:11.760 They get back Cordero Patterson. That certainly helps the way 0:16:11.760 --> 0:16:14.520 their you know, offense looks as a whole. Not a 0:16:14.520 --> 0:16:17.560 dominant performance against Jacksonville or anything like that. Kyle Pitts 0:16:17.560 --> 0:16:20.560 hasn't done anything in five weeks, so you know, who knows. 0:16:20.880 --> 0:16:23.000 But a divisional game, Falcons hanging on to the edge 0:16:23.000 --> 0:16:25.120 of the playoff race, eleven points, bot win. What do 0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:26.320 you think I'm laying it? 0:16:28.280 --> 0:16:30.880 This is not a week of great games, right, This 0:16:30.960 --> 0:16:33.320 is a betting week. So you got to pick a 0:16:33.440 --> 0:16:35.880 side and roll with it. That's what you have to 0:16:35.880 --> 0:16:38.160 do this week because there are a lot of lopsided 0:16:38.200 --> 0:16:41.120 games it looks like, and this is definitely the biggest 0:16:41.160 --> 0:16:44.080 one of them. I'm going to take Tampa Bay lay 0:16:44.080 --> 0:16:45.480 the points. And I know people are going to point 0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:48.560 out that look earlier in the year, Atlanta played Tampa 0:16:48.600 --> 0:16:50.600 Bay Hart and came back on them and put up 0:16:50.600 --> 0:16:53.720 some points, and I understand that, but they also that 0:16:54.120 --> 0:17:00.400 Calvin Ridley they had a healthier team. This the Bucks 0:17:00.960 --> 0:17:03.880 coming off that buy and putting up thirty eight on 0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:06.600 the Colts is just showing me that they're at their 0:17:06.640 --> 0:17:10.880 peak right now. So, especially if Antonio Brown comes back, 0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:12.960 I think they're gonna steamroll Atlanta. 0:17:13.320 --> 0:17:14.480