Speaker 1: Do I a move going deep Speedways Pass From the
Speaker 1: Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.
Speaker 2: This is Drivetime with Travis Wingfield.
Speaker 1: He's got my hands in the playoffs. What is up,
Speaker 1: Dolphans And welcome to the Draft Time Podcast. I am
Speaker 1: your host, Travis Wingfield. And on today's show, well, it's
Speaker 1: Bills Week once again, and we're gonna break down a
Speaker 1: game that we thought might be a big one for
Speaker 1: the division right now, it kind of feels like an
Speaker 1: attempt to keep the season afloat. At two and five,
Speaker 1: we'll break down the matchups, tell you about this Bill's team,
Speaker 1: how they got to where they are, all of that
Speaker 1: much more from the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist.
Speaker 2: Help May Gaffs.
Speaker 1: Here we go again for Buffalo Bills Week. And also
Speaker 1: I have another new microphone, so you will listen to
Speaker 1: every damn word I have to say. No, I'm just kidding,
Speaker 1: I just I want to make you guys aware of
Speaker 1: when I'm trying out new equipment. I found a new
Speaker 1: USB mic that actually provides the same recording quality as
Speaker 1: an XLR mic, which I won't bore you with the details,
Speaker 1: but that's essentially what is the industry standard. And I
Speaker 1: found this pretty expensive, nice little USB mic, and so
Speaker 1: I want to let you guys know that in case
Speaker 1: the audio quality sounds different, we're trying it out. I
Speaker 1: think it sounds pretty good, but we'll find out. And
Speaker 1: the reason I say here we go again is because,
Speaker 1: well it's the damn Bills once more from high Mark
Speaker 1: Stadium in Buffalo, Week number nine at the Bills a
Speaker 1: one o'clock kickoff on CBS. The Kevin Harlan Crue has
Speaker 1: this one. Will that be enough magic for the Dolphins
Speaker 1: to overcome their arch nemesis, their daddy.
Speaker 2: Let's call it what it is.
Speaker 1: It's going to be a fifty five degree day in
Speaker 1: not so beautiful western New York.
Speaker 2: Why would you ever live in Buffalo?
Speaker 1: Partly cloudy, tiny chance of rain, and minimal chance of
Speaker 1: some wind. Is a rather minimal wind gust, I should say.
Speaker 1: But plenty of changed this year for the Bills as
Speaker 1: we introduced this team, but the results they haven't been
Speaker 1: any different. And that's largely thanks to the constants in
Speaker 1: the organization in Josh Allen and Sean McDermott. And McDermott
Speaker 1: came one year prior to Allen, which was a playoff
Speaker 1: season with Tyrod Taylor. They go to Josh Allen four
Speaker 1: games into twenty eighteen. They missed the playoffs that year,
Speaker 1: really the first of two years where Josh Allen wasn't
Speaker 1: Josh Allen just yet, And as I say that, they
Speaker 1: have not missed the postseason since that time. Ten wins,
Speaker 1: thirteen wins, eleven wins, thirteen wins, eleven more last year,
Speaker 1: one more trip to the AFC Title Game in twenty twenty,
Speaker 1: the brutal thirteen seconds game against those same Chiefs in
Speaker 1: the Divisional round one year later, and make it three
Speaker 1: straight division round losses. Now with the Bengals in twenty
Speaker 1: twenty two, and then once again those Chiefs. The Chiefs
Speaker 1: are to the Bills what the Bills are to the Dolphins,
Speaker 1: as they beat them again, this time at home in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. But a lot of the mainstays from
Speaker 1: those clubs. They don't year is here, Trojan horsing Us,
Speaker 1: Micah Hyde retired, Trey White is in Los Angeles, to
Speaker 1: Fon Diggs is in Houston despite a torn ACL He's
Speaker 1: gone either way, and he arrived back in twenty and
Speaker 1: twenty when that team really took off. Mitch Morse is
Speaker 1: in Jacksonville and earned Floyd with the Niners and Matt
Speaker 1: mclonald's down for the Earth injury. It's a lot of
Speaker 1: change there and entirely looking different looking Bills team. And
Speaker 1: again yet here we are six and damn two, Alan
Speaker 1: playing some of the most efficient ball of his career.
Speaker 1: He's not turned the ball over. They've paired that with
Speaker 1: a running game and defense that despite whoever is in
Speaker 1: the lineup, just continues to produce. Here reminds me of
Speaker 1: the freaking Bilichick Patriots, which once again here I am
Speaker 1: finding myself like resigned to the fact that we have
Speaker 1: a superpower in our division that is not us and
Speaker 1: cannot be overcome until there's, you know, significant change. That's
Speaker 1: kind of how it feels. You've had this division dominated
Speaker 1: by two separate clubs. And granted the Patriots was two
Speaker 1: decades for twenty five years now so fun fun times
Speaker 1: being a Dolphin and a Jets fan, and we bick
Speaker 1: growth the Jets so much, and it's like we eventually
Speaker 1: wind up back in the same place. Now we have
Speaker 1: had more success. But I digress, And speaking of that
Speaker 1: lineup that has all these changes and talking about the
Speaker 1: constant number five in scoring offense, number six and scoring defense,
Speaker 1: When will it ever end? That's a Coheaton Cambria Lyric
Speaker 1: Bill's offense. It has changed entirely. We heard this from
Speaker 1: Joe Marino on the show yesterday. And they went from
Speaker 1: this site adjustment based passing attack where you have in
Speaker 1: route reads based upon coverage and leverage, and I think
Speaker 1: that produced more picks because there was more of a
Speaker 1: freestyler in their offense and Stefan Diggs and Josh Allen
Speaker 1: who can be scattershot at times, and where I think
Speaker 1: they found themselves in some slogs a year ago.
Speaker 2: I keep thinking about this.
Speaker 1: God last year was the year they would have games
Speaker 1: where they would go like five six drives without points,
Speaker 1: without first downs, and they would lose games to bad
Speaker 1: teams like Denver, like Jacksonville last year, and some of
Speaker 1: those long droughts with offensive production I think was a
Speaker 1: result of that. And I think that some of the
Speaker 1: feeling or sort of feeling out period in terms of
Speaker 1: you know, Joe Brady working newly with Josh Allen to
Speaker 1: further read out the middle of the field and be
Speaker 1: a bit more of an anticipator. That was kind of
Speaker 1: what you saw at the end of the year, and
Speaker 1: they grew into that, and I think they took that
Speaker 1: and over the course of the offseason evolved their offense
Speaker 1: to better tailor offense to alan strengths and also incorporate
Speaker 1: a better running game and be more widespread. And the
Speaker 1: Bills I think came to the conclusion they could pivot
Speaker 1: off of the you know, funnel the ball to a
Speaker 1: superstar receiver offense with this you know, successful pivot within
Speaker 1: the offensive structure to accentuate Allen's ability as a visual thrower,
Speaker 1: which he's probably the most capable in the entire NFL
Speaker 1: of doing that because of his rare physical traits, i e.
Speaker 1: The exceptional arm strength. I feel like arm strength is
Speaker 1: so overblown until you get to a certain point, like
Speaker 1: Jordan Love has this, Allen has this, Patrick Mahomes has this.
Speaker 1: There are unicorn arms out there that separate themselves from
Speaker 1: the rest of the pack, and I think that's where
Speaker 1: the discussion comes into play. And everybody else that doesn't
Speaker 1: have that has to be great in other areas, and
Speaker 1: they usually are if they get to this level. That's
Speaker 1: helped this Buffalo team, all of that stuff really develop
Speaker 1: their identity to play on schedule with Josh Allen and
Speaker 1: then that along with the run game, has only extended
Speaker 1: the number of plays where he can create and be
Speaker 1: a playmaker. And just when you thought they might slow down,
Speaker 1: they've reimagined this offense and done it for the better.
Speaker 1: Their personnel groupings, it's changed this year. Eleven personnels fifty
Speaker 1: four percent, twelve personnel's nineteen. They have a variation of
Speaker 1: a bunch of other groupings as well, and it's interesting
Speaker 1: because they do roll out some heavy personnel that allows
Speaker 1: them to add multiple gaps in the running game, like
Speaker 1: twelve heavy, which is one tight end or one running back,
Speaker 1: two tight ends, and then an extra offensive lineman which
Speaker 1: means one receiver, and so you get two more tight
Speaker 1: ends attached to the formation with an extra offensive lineman, Boom,
Speaker 1: three more gaps. And I was looking at the week
Speaker 1: two preview notes in the offensive deployment was a forty
Speaker 1: thirty split between those two groupings, so that has shifted
Speaker 1: as the year has gone on. But the real takeaway
Speaker 1: from that is they are adaptable to the defense they're
Speaker 1: going to face. Which is interesting because the defense is
Speaker 1: not that way. More on that in just a moment.
Speaker 1: When they played US, it was a lot of those
Speaker 1: twelve personnel groupings. But I also think the addition of
Speaker 1: Amari Cooper expands their ability to run more receiver groupings,
Speaker 1: more receiver heavy groupings. I should say, like, I know
Speaker 1: they're pretty happy and comfortable with Khalil Shaker being this
Speaker 1: premier slot receiver. Keon Coleman is producing at a nice level,
Speaker 1: but I still think that that's a limited player, I
Speaker 1: will say. And then they get a lot more run
Speaker 1: here with Amari Cooper, I think, who is flexible across
Speaker 1: multiple positions the more he gets familiar with the offense.
Speaker 1: But that's kind of their base eleven personnel package with
Speaker 1: Curtis Samuel providing the ability to spell those guys, to
Speaker 1: get creative with backfield alignments and nasty alignments and play
Speaker 1: flinker and the slot. It's just a lot they went
Speaker 1: deeper opposed to being top heavy, and it's working out
Speaker 1: for them. Teams played too high against this offense fifty
Speaker 1: percent compared to forty three percent after the coaching change.
Speaker 1: There was a little bit of zero coverage in there
Speaker 1: as well, but don't do that against Josh Allen because
Speaker 1: we I mean, we did that in the it was
Speaker 1: it the playoff game or was it the week when
Speaker 1: was it the playoff game? I think we zeroed him
Speaker 1: up a lot and he like missed a bunch of
Speaker 1: downfield shots which kind of kept us in that game.
Speaker 1: But that game could have been a fifty burger if
Speaker 1: he just was a little a little bit more accurate
Speaker 1: on those. And his time to throw is twenty six
Speaker 1: amongst starters and thirty first overall. He's got a two
Speaker 1: point eight eight time to throw this year, which is
Speaker 1: a strange dichotomy versus their RPO popitt offense that Joe
Speaker 1: Brady ran at LSU. So it's like this marriage of
Speaker 1: multiple offenses. And then just some further stats here for you.
Speaker 1: Josh Allen versus the blitz in twenty twenty four, thirty
Speaker 1: five percent of his dropbacks eight point six yards per
Speaker 1: attempt at sixty four completion, eight touchdowns and no picks,
Speaker 1: just four sacks compared to six sacks when not blitzed, Like,
Speaker 1: don't blitz him, don't don't do it. He saw this
Speaker 1: team bliss Anthony Richardson and they were successful as hell
Speaker 1: doing that, and Kyler Murray to a certain extent as well,
Speaker 1: and Richardson, you created bad throws down the field because
Speaker 1: that guy just hasn't hit the broad side of a
Speaker 1: bar in his entire career so far, and that's a
Speaker 1: discussion for a different day about his development. But you
Speaker 1: can't have that same plan because Josh, like Anthony Richardson
Speaker 1: he did against us, will make you miss.
Speaker 2: He just will.
Speaker 1: He's too big and strong and fast and knows where
Speaker 1: his vulnerabilities are against the pass rush, and he gets
Speaker 1: the ball out too fast.
Speaker 2: So don't do that.
Speaker 1: Because he will beat you because he can run it
Speaker 1: and he also can rip it with his arm and
Speaker 1: defeat you that way. So you have to find a
Speaker 1: way to get home with four and play coverage. Do
Speaker 1: we have the guns to do that? I don't think so.
Speaker 1: But how do you attack it? You're gonna have to
Speaker 1: have some different rush games and do some sim pressures.
Speaker 1: And I got into it a little bit there, but I
Speaker 1: think you have to have a sort of static plan,
Speaker 1: and by that I mean just sort of react to
Speaker 1: what they're doing. We saw in the second half against
Speaker 1: the Cardinals, and what do the Cardinals do but score
Speaker 1: on four five possessions. But their quick game and your
Speaker 1: rush does you no good if Josh just pulls it
Speaker 1: back and fires it in behind you, which he can
Speaker 1: do that too, But also if you rush and he
Speaker 1: tucks it, then you're chasing him on the back foot.
Speaker 1: But if you're mirroring him, and maybe you even utilize
Speaker 1: a spy here or there, but that also removes a
Speaker 1: body from coverage, like you have to pick your poison.
Speaker 1: If you do that, though, you get a little bit
Speaker 1: more ability to match him, opposed to showing him your move.
Speaker 1: He adjusts and if he beats you, you're out of
Speaker 1: the play. And that's where Chopp has lived most of
Speaker 1: the year. Behind the quarterback. It's the worst place in
Speaker 1: the football field to be. And the reason I think
Speaker 1: the receiving corps desperately needed a vertical threat like Amari
Speaker 1: Cooper is that I think you can commit an extra
Speaker 1: hat into the box and contend with that. So as
Speaker 1: I say don't blitz him, don't zero him, I do
Speaker 1: kind of feel like you need to show him the
Speaker 1: opportunity for a deep ball, like because that's the best
Speaker 1: place to get incompletions and get them behind the chains,
Speaker 1: So how do you do that? Lots of cover one,
Speaker 1: challenge them to throw those deep shots. Mug your linebackers
Speaker 1: up in the A gap, keep a spy and or
Speaker 1: rush contain on Allen on any given snap. You know,
Speaker 1: if they hit one, maybe you get out of it.
Speaker 1: But I think they have to prove they can hit it.
Speaker 1: It's not that far off from that Ravens game in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty one against Lamar Jackson. They just never got
Speaker 1: a deep ball over the top, and we kept showing
Speaker 1: the same look and they couldn't do it, and it
Speaker 1: was one of their worst offensive showings in the Lamar
Speaker 1: Jackson era. The Big Three versus the Bills offense kicks
Speaker 1: off with number one, do not let Superman don his cape.
Speaker 1: It's the exact same key from Week two. Everything is
Speaker 1: centered around the quarterback. If they didn't have Josh Allen,
Speaker 1: it's probably a five win football team. And if he's
Speaker 1: off with his accuracy, they can go through some lolls
Speaker 1: for a quarter, sometimes a full half at time. We
Speaker 1: saw it in the Week eighteen game last year, and
Speaker 1: that's where you have to go to put up points offensively.
Speaker 1: If he's on, you just have to try to outscore him,
Speaker 1: which is kind of the nature of the Beast against
Speaker 1: all the top quarterbacks in the league. So how do
Speaker 1: you force him into the off night?
Speaker 2: That's the key.
Speaker 1: It starts with how you generate pressure and force him
Speaker 1: out of rhythm and out of his one hitch timing.
Speaker 1: We covered his blitzes. I went back and looked at
Speaker 1: his blitz blitz in good games are bad, and there
Speaker 1: wasn't really a clear outlier. It was inconsistent across game plans.
Speaker 1: I do think if you squeeze the middle of the
Speaker 1: field and see if he has a deep threat that
Speaker 1: he can rely upon, because that used to be Diggs,
Speaker 1: they've sort of gotten Amari Cooper rolling in that regard.
Speaker 1: I think he is the guy that could be that
Speaker 1: fixed for them. But I think it will just keep
Speaker 1: getting better as they go along. In that connection, he
Speaker 1: had nineteen snaps his first game. Cooper did thirty eight
Speaker 1: last week. I imagine he's closer to a full time
Speaker 1: workload of fifty plus snaps in this one. As for
Speaker 1: the pressure ability, I don't think you concern yourself all
Speaker 1: that much with trying to confuse Dion Dawkins because he's
Speaker 1: seen everything he can squeeze to widen and to help
Speaker 1: pick up outside delays and cornerback blitzes. I would, however,
Speaker 1: test their interior, and I think with these mugged up
Speaker 1: a gap pressure looks we have, that's where you can
Speaker 1: challenge that and force them off script immediately or preferably
Speaker 1: into a rush contained out side. So with how Chopp
Speaker 1: gets off the football on the right side, with how
Speaker 1: we've seen them mix their rush and bluff looks, with
Speaker 1: how we've seen this team blitter defensive backs, I kind
Speaker 1: of feel like the best bet is to do it
Speaker 1: from the front side and force Alan to flee towards
Speaker 1: his left, towards his best pass protector and in a
Speaker 1: position where he you know, creatively it takes him to
Speaker 1: throws back to the middle across his body. It's why
Speaker 1: I think the addition of Jordan Brooks has been such
Speaker 1: a force multiplier in the middle of this defense for
Speaker 1: his ability to play coverage and to blitz. And then
Speaker 1: you've got all those safeties who I think you know
Speaker 1: are probably a major key here, which hasn't been a
Speaker 1: position of strength of the Dolphins this season at all.
Speaker 1: And we might have to do it without Javon Holland
Speaker 1: after he left last game with his knee injury. He
Speaker 1: had been a big part of some of those Josh
Speaker 1: Allen game plans. But it could be Poyer in May
Speaker 1: this week tasked with that, and Poyer versus Allen is
Speaker 1: a tough draw. It is just so so integral that
Speaker 1: you have good rush land integrity, and we have to
Speaker 1: have that.
Speaker 2: We have to have that mindset.
Speaker 1: I think if they try to rhythm one hitch passing
Speaker 1: game all day long, we'll do fine. It's when he
Speaker 1: gets off the spot where he can, you know, kind
Speaker 1: of put the game in his favor. Let's go ahead
Speaker 1: and take our first break right there, come back and
Speaker 1: finish the big keys two and three on the Bills offense.
Speaker 1: We'll also do the Bills defense and predict the game.
Speaker 1: What's at stake? All that much more. Draft Time Podcast,
Speaker 1: your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by Auto Nation.
Speaker 1: You can't let Superman don his cape, and you have
Speaker 1: to commit to stopping James Cook in both the run
Speaker 1: and the passing game. In fact, it was James Cook's
Speaker 1: forty nine yard touchdown rush to kind of put that
Speaker 1: game into the distance, right It wasn't out of reach yet,
Speaker 1: but it gave you the same old Dolphins and Bills feelings,
Speaker 1: which every like I remember watching that game, the freaking
Speaker 1: Grant Debo's shoulder pop up pick and then they go
Speaker 1: down the field to score on a fourth down play.
Speaker 1: It's like, here we go a game. Six minutes into
Speaker 1: the ballgame, it's seven to nothing and we already got
Speaker 1: the first possession of the half. It's just like, when
Speaker 1: will it ever change? And you know, I kind of
Speaker 1: went in on the James Cook stuff already, but I
Speaker 1: think this is done by adding additional hats into the fit,
Speaker 1: but also to be completely aware of Cook's ability as
Speaker 1: a pass receiver. They love to sneak him out onto
Speaker 1: the perimeter, pick a linebacker and get up over the top.
Speaker 1: And I'll be frank about it. We saw it in
Speaker 1: the game on Sunday. That's gonna be David Long. They're
Speaker 1: gonna try to isolate James Cook on David Long. He
Speaker 1: has to find a way to minimize the damage in
Speaker 1: that matchup, or Anthony Weaver has to find a way
Speaker 1: to not let that matchup happen. Gotta find a way
Speaker 1: to do it. And so if you if you do
Speaker 1: go into the game with man free, that's a tough
Speaker 1: route to cover from there, and with Josh's running ability,
Speaker 1: man coverage is like the most horrific proposition you can
Speaker 1: possibly present. You always want to mix it up, but
Speaker 1: I think you can get the run game sorted, Josh
Speaker 1: Allen scramble ability and those quick hits by playing that
Speaker 1: extra hat in the fit. What does that mean, Travis?
Speaker 1: It just means you're not playing shells. You're playing single
Speaker 1: high and you're bringing a guy down the box and
Speaker 1: then also zoning things off and very very committed to
Speaker 1: rush lane integrity, which is so hard, so much easier
Speaker 1: said than done, but you have to find a way
Speaker 1: to do it. All of that will allow you to
Speaker 1: control gaps in the running game, and that is just
Speaker 1: so paramount against this team. If you start forcing second Longs,
Speaker 1: you take away the running game. You make all the
Speaker 1: things we've already touched on so much harder to accomplish.
Speaker 1: And that's where I think you have to get a
Speaker 1: lot out of David Long as far as a mesh
Speaker 1: point disruptor. Jordan Brooks is a spot drop, middle of
Speaker 1: the field expander, and both of them on blitzes to
Speaker 1: show the Bills those A and B gaps are not
Speaker 1: open with the run. And if it's if d Long
Speaker 1: is in the same place he was against the Cardinals
Speaker 1: and not ready to do it, then get Anthony Walker up.
Speaker 1: That's why I want to see in that position, maybe
Speaker 1: even changing tendall.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 1: Let's go crazy and if we win rushes off the perimeter,
Speaker 1: then there are no escape patches. When you can do
Speaker 1: that with A and B gaps, It's crazy how intertwined
Speaker 1: I think this plan has to be to stop these guys,
Speaker 1: and we've done it. What the Josh Boyer twenty twenty
Speaker 1: two Week three game plan was the only time it
Speaker 1: ever happened, besides like his rookie year when he was
Speaker 1: skipping passes all over the field.
Speaker 2: God, I'm so tired of this guy. Man.
Speaker 1: If we can play lighter, which calls upon Zach Seeler,
Speaker 1: who if he can play like that's a big boost
Speaker 1: of the defense. Without him, I have zero faith in
Speaker 1: stopping this offense. But you need him and Kalayas to
Speaker 1: do their jobs of two gapping not getting washed against
Speaker 1: that newer look interior offensive line.
Speaker 2: Then I like our chances.
Speaker 1: To get all that accomplished, but that is like twelve
Speaker 1: things and they have to do like one thing. So
Speaker 1: that's where the mismatch kind of comes from. And I
Speaker 1: just really, I really hope of all things. Number one,
Speaker 1: I'm kind of beyond the belief that Tua can figure
Speaker 1: out this defense because he just hasn't really done it.
Speaker 2: I mean, the twenty twenty two season was good.
Speaker 1: He played two really good games against that Bill's defense,
Speaker 1: but last year was like a quarter of a good
Speaker 1: game and then the last game was horrific for him.
Speaker 1: But I'm kind of like, I feel like that ship
Speaker 1: has already left the station, Like you know, I just
Speaker 1: don't think like the Week two game was when it
Speaker 1: was gonna happen, and it didn't happen. So but what
Speaker 1: I want to see is can Weaver because he's put
Speaker 1: down some bad offenses. But the test of a good
Speaker 1: defense is how do you fare against one of these
Speaker 1: elite quarterbacks. And I don't think anybody can stop elite
Speaker 1: quarterbacks when they're on, but can you limit them enough
Speaker 1: to keep you in the game.
Speaker 2: That's what I want to see.
Speaker 1: All last year, the elite quarterbacks stomped all over Vic
Speaker 1: Fangio's bare naked butt, but you have to find a
Speaker 1: way to do it. Number three tight end centric offense.
Speaker 1: I think their best options are the back I mentioned
Speaker 1: the two tight ends as well, Dawson Knox and Dalton
Speaker 1: king Kid and James Cook are the three that I
Speaker 1: worry about the most, though I do think Khalil Shakur
Speaker 1: could be right there, and then Amari Cooper will be
Speaker 1: as well when he gets up to full speed. But
Speaker 1: those are my top four or five priorities. And their
Speaker 1: ability to get to heavier personnel and operate from condensed
Speaker 1: formations and add those gaps in the running game because
Speaker 1: of that is what makes this offense so damn challenging
Speaker 1: to contend with, especially when operated by the cyborg quarterback.
Speaker 1: But Knox and King Kaid are one of the more
Speaker 1: unique tight end tandems in the entire game. I don't
Speaker 1: think either of them are plus run blockers, but I
Speaker 1: think they're good enough when you consider their receiving skill sets.
Speaker 1: King k can really stretch in the middle of the field,
Speaker 1: and that's why I feel like the Cover one and
Speaker 1: Cover three variations are your best options. Trying to limit
Speaker 1: those guys by capping them with trail defenders and linebackers underneath.
Speaker 1: I keep coming back to the same players in the
Speaker 1: game in this game, like down the middle with the
Speaker 1: safety's factoring in here too with Brooks and David Long
Speaker 1: and Anthony Walker. But I also think Jalen Ramsey as
Speaker 1: a tight end eraser isn't a crazy idea by any stretch.
Speaker 1: We saw him get Kelsey a lot last year in
Speaker 1: the Chiefs game Hunter Henry in the Patriots game this year.
Speaker 1: I think you can solve some of your issues from
Speaker 1: their balanced twelve personnel looks by doing some of that
Speaker 1: with Jalen Ramsey. Ultimately, I like to have both options
Speaker 1: because options means you can mix it up, and that's
Speaker 1: the best way to get a quarterback playing out of rhythm.
Speaker 1: The additional parts on their offense, Dion Dawkins and Spencer
Speaker 1: Brown are really good bookend tackles. We talked about just briefly,
Speaker 1: And remember last year when I said the Bills won't
Speaker 1: have the same injury look on the offens line. Again, well,
Speaker 1: between Dawkins, Edwards McGovern, Torrens, and Brown, the lowest snap
Speaker 1: total among those guys this year is ninety three percent.
Speaker 1: They've all been in every single game, so I guess
Speaker 1: that prediction that was a lie Mari povic Bill's defense.
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and pivot over here without a break
Speaker 1: and talk about this scheme. We know how this goes, right.
Speaker 1: I mean, it's the same thing every year. They never
Speaker 1: leave nickel. This year they play a lot more dime,
Speaker 1: so it's always five plus defensive backs. They want to
Speaker 1: play variations of zone and try to disrupt early and
Speaker 1: run into cap looks and remove the vertical game, and
Speaker 1: that invites the run a lot. But they also have
Speaker 1: terrific interior defensive line play with Ed Oliver and Daikwan Jones.
Speaker 1: There is no Matt Mlano, but you heard Joe talk
Speaker 1: about it yesterday. They believe that they can, over the
Speaker 1: course of an eight to ten play drive, can force
Speaker 1: you into a mistake and then unleash their long down
Speaker 1: in distance defenses and rush games and good coverage, and
Speaker 1: that's where they always get the Dolphins. The pick on
Speaker 1: Grant de Bo's is the third and long play. The
Speaker 1: sack horrible flip to the sideline play that turned into
Speaker 1: a pick six on Tua was a third down play.
Speaker 1: You have to say out of those situations, and you
Speaker 1: do that by running the ball and being as efficient
Speaker 1: as you can be in your quick game and early
Speaker 1: passing downs, and so that's what they have to do.
Speaker 1: The Bills play eighty five percent of their first and
Speaker 1: second downs and nickel, and it's an even split between
Speaker 1: nickel and dime.
Speaker 2: On third downs.
Speaker 1: There is no down in which they play four to
Speaker 1: three more than three percent of the time. It's nickel
Speaker 1: and dime. They're playing the twenty percent dime this year,
Speaker 1: but that's again a lot of those third and long positions.
Speaker 1: They're too high on sixty percent of their snaps thirty
Speaker 1: six percent single high, and they do run some zero
Speaker 1: coverage at four percent. They just do a fantastic job
Speaker 1: of mixing their coverages. They have a terrific spread against two,
Speaker 1: Cover two, Cover three, Cover four, all around twenty percent,
Speaker 1: the small drop off to Cover one and Cover six
Speaker 1: at fifteen percent. They run the occasional two man in
Speaker 1: zero coverage. They just have a deep playbook and they
Speaker 1: coach the guys have to play Buffalo Bills football. And
Speaker 1: that's like the answer to why we can never beat
Speaker 1: these guys. It's not because of Taron Johnson. Being a
Speaker 1: great player, or Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer or Shredavius
Speaker 1: Whye or Matt Mulono or Greg Russau. It's because they
Speaker 1: have this this deep playbook that beats us and it
Speaker 1: doesn't matter who's in the game, and it just it.
Speaker 2: That's what it is.
Speaker 1: And that's why I've like said Week two was my
Speaker 1: last hope for two in the offense to overcome it.
Speaker 1: If they do it, great, I'm just not going to
Speaker 1: predict it because they've literally never done it. Now, we
Speaker 1: do run the ball well and that's where they can
Speaker 1: be had, so that has to be their approach. We'll
Speaker 1: talk more about eighth chan most startin right here and
Speaker 1: how to attack this defense. I think you start with
Speaker 1: the running game. By nature of their pre snap presentation,
Speaker 1: you get a size advantage and sometimes a hats advantage
Speaker 1: when you do that. And again we saw it in
Speaker 1: the twenty twenty two game up there, we saw it
Speaker 1: in the first half of the finale last year. We
Speaker 1: saw it in the first quarter of the Week four
Speaker 1: game last year. I actually think you can play a
Speaker 1: lot like that Week eighteen game where on third downs
Speaker 1: that you face, you know, you know, maybe you didn't
Speaker 1: have early down success and you face like we you know,
Speaker 1: we have the full compliment this time with all the pieces,
Speaker 1: including John hu Smith who is fully integrated into the offense,
Speaker 1: and then Devon a Chan who's even more versed in
Speaker 1: the offense to get options as a runner and passer,
Speaker 1: along with the inclusion of Jilen Wright. I hope we
Speaker 1: see more of that. Do I think we will? I
Speaker 1: don't know, but I think you have to make them
Speaker 1: come down and play the run. I think you motion
Speaker 1: the crap out of them, and nobody runs more motion
Speaker 1: than us, right, So get Tua as much pre snap
Speaker 1: information as he can get, and I wonder how well
Speaker 1: they'll be able to disguise that was such a strength
Speaker 1: of their unit with all the stability they had back
Speaker 1: there without those guys, and they've done a good job
Speaker 1: of it this year. But can Miami force him into
Speaker 1: some miscommunications like the long waddle touchdown back in twenty
Speaker 1: twenty two. I feel crazy cause I'm talking about all
Speaker 1: these successful plays we had against this defense, but it
Speaker 1: was like two years ago, So give us some fresh
Speaker 1: stuff to be excited about. I mean, I know, the
Speaker 1: whole even if they win this game, is gonna be like, well,
Speaker 1: you blew the other games, so it's not important. But
Speaker 1: just get me to three and five against the Rams
Speaker 1: and then if you win that game, it's like, oh,
Speaker 1: we're back where we needed to be after these two games.
Speaker 1: I don't I'm not banking on it, but that's like
Speaker 1: the hope, right I don't know, So let's go ahead
Speaker 1: and get into the keys here with this Bill's defense
Speaker 1: number one, run them out of their light boxes and
Speaker 1: Nickel and Diame looks. I always go back to that
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two damn game again up in December when
Speaker 1: it was at will alec Ingold Raheem Moster, just going
Speaker 1: downhill at those guys, and that is before you had,
Speaker 1: you know, good rap blockers like a like a Julian
Speaker 1: Hill or a John hu Smith, who I think can
Speaker 1: expand what you do in the running game. Despite all
Speaker 1: of Julian Hill's negatives this year, there still are some
Speaker 1: good blocks on tape where he gets that executed. But
Speaker 1: in general, tight ends just have to be better. And
Speaker 1: it really really starts like to like on this game.
Speaker 1: You have to get it better to this game otherwise
Speaker 1: season might be over. I suspect they'll congest that area
Speaker 1: of the field by flashing robbers down the middle. I
Speaker 1: thought we expanded the offense on Sunday in a way
Speaker 1: we haven't seen before where I thought teams and you
Speaker 1: go back to the Titans game last year where Mike
Speaker 1: Frable would take his weak side cornerback and basically bump
Speaker 1: him into the will position because he saw tendancy on
Speaker 1: tape where we just wouldn't throw that short back side
Speaker 1: out route or short outside expansion of the passing game.
Speaker 1: And you know, we did it in the game against
Speaker 1: the Cardinals to attack that part of the field. And
Speaker 1: I think there's some opportunities there against this Buffalo defense
Speaker 1: to take the short game outside the numbers and really
Speaker 1: go after him there. We also saw them try to
Speaker 1: vacate safety help in the game against Tyreek and he
Speaker 1: want to press with for a long touchdown pass from
Speaker 1: Tua in that game up in Buffalo few years back.
Speaker 1: We also had the deep cross concept in the game
Speaker 1: that produced a sixty five yard touchdown from Waddle. I
Speaker 1: think we're best equipped to get back to that in
Speaker 1: this game that we've been since twenty twenty two. And
Speaker 1: if you can get to the perimeter early. That works
Speaker 1: really well and bleeds into our next point, which is
Speaker 1: number two. Take shots against bump man free. They don't
Speaker 1: play a ton of man coverage. They don't play a
Speaker 1: ton of bump, but when they do it's almost always
Speaker 1: in like third and four, like third and three, in
Speaker 1: that range short medium. They want you to threaten them deep.
Speaker 1: They want to drive downhill on those plays. It's a
Speaker 1: lot like how the Jets plays with Sauce and Reed,
Speaker 1: and we hit those guys up top for big plays
Speaker 1: every time we see them, and if you get it once,
Speaker 1: especially early, it changes the way they defend you. Now,
Speaker 1: I think Rasseull Douglas is awesome, and I really like
Speaker 1: Christian Benford too, But you have to love wreaking wattle
Speaker 1: against anybody, despite how you know how bad it's been
Speaker 1: this year, Right, you got to go into every game
Speaker 1: thinking they can beat anybody, because if they can't, you're
Speaker 1: not gonna win football games. I mean, again, we've seen
Speaker 1: them beat the Jets guys consistently. Can we just do
Speaker 1: it against these damn Bills for once? I just think
Speaker 1: you if you have third and two from your own
Speaker 1: thirty two and they roll that coverage up tight and
Speaker 1: don't give safety help on Wattle or hill. It's like
Speaker 1: the game against the Cardinals. Like that third and short,
Speaker 1: we're two hit Tyreek for thirty two yards. Like do
Speaker 1: that because if you're wrong, it can be a long
Speaker 1: touchdown for the for them to try to press those guys.
Speaker 1: And last year we saw them squat and drive on
Speaker 1: those on those out routes and break them up. And
Speaker 1: if they play that way, I am more than happy
Speaker 1: to let Tua go after it and try to try
Speaker 1: to hear like, let's let's go for the win. Be aggressive,
Speaker 1: do something you don't you I've been asking for for
Speaker 1: the last few weeks. Be aggressive and go after them.
Speaker 1: But getting around that physical coverage and bumping of Douglas
Speaker 1: Johnson and Benford are big keys. And that's why the
Speaker 1: run game, the motion and misdirection are all big keys.
Speaker 1: Here last break right there, come back on the other
Speaker 1: side to the third big key. Also talk about what's
Speaker 1: at stake and the range of outcomes and keys of
Speaker 1: victory on the Draft Time podcast your host Travis Wingfield,
Speaker 1: brought to you by Auto Nation. My third big key
Speaker 1: against the Buffalo defense is to always have a plan
Speaker 1: for Ed Oliver and Dake one Jones. I think that
Speaker 1: the Douglas Johnson Benford combination in the backfield is the
Speaker 1: strength of this defense, and this would be the one
Speaker 1: b to that one a strength. I love the way
Speaker 1: both Tistad and Austin can handle their business off the
Speaker 1: edge in one on one matchups. Again, I'm glad that
Speaker 1: Leonard Floyd's gone because he I thought was the best one.
Speaker 1: But if you can consistently erase their new best and
Speaker 1: Greg Russau with one of those tackles, then everything else
Speaker 1: becomes a little bit more simple, a little bit more
Speaker 1: black and white, and quite frankly, I'm excited to watch
Speaker 1: this offensive line get a crack against a good front
Speaker 1: that has a good scheme and good coaching, good fundamentals,
Speaker 1: and good technique because they've been playing really damn well
Speaker 1: the last few weeks, and I really think all year long.
Speaker 1: But I think that the reason they've gotten so good
Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks is because of the fortification
Speaker 1: of the chemistry and playing time together, and they're developing
Speaker 1: that all year long, and that could provide not just
Speaker 1: a boost this year, but in the twenty twenty five
Speaker 1: as well. Another reason I love the option to run
Speaker 1: the football from two receiver sets, beat an extra back
Speaker 1: or tight end or f then you can call for
Speaker 1: more six man protections, you can keep your back end more,
Speaker 1: and you can do this do with this offense is
Speaker 1: best at in creating backfield option, misdirection and play action
Speaker 1: to get those guys moving sideways, especially with your outside
Speaker 1: running game. And that's why I think Raheem, Devon Jalen
Speaker 1: are all big parts of this game, all three of them.
Speaker 1: You can stay in that package and just stretch these dudes, boss,
Speaker 1: especially if you can sustain drives with another seventy five
Speaker 1: percent day converting third downs, and do it by consistently
Speaker 1: making these guys run wind sprints of the perimeter in
Speaker 1: the running game, which only serves to magnify those things
Speaker 1: we mentioned before, right with the direction in the play
Speaker 1: pass and if you keep it in third manageable, they
Speaker 1: never get to pin their ears back, but they will
Speaker 1: get a couple of those chances unless you play the
Speaker 1: rare perfect game. And that's where I like to sneak
Speaker 1: your tailback up into the A gap a slide with
Speaker 1: help on one bringing a split flow way.
Speaker 2: I'm action in there.
Speaker 1: With the aforementioned tight ends and f And this is
Speaker 1: why I'm I've was so damn bullish on the Dolphins
Speaker 1: this year. They just have so many options they have
Speaker 1: to find a way to get them all incorporated in
Speaker 1: this offense. We didn't mention Von Miller, but he's back,
Speaker 1: I think after a four game suspension. I think River
Speaker 1: Craycraft could be back this week as well, possibly, so
Speaker 1: it could be some nice additions.
Speaker 2: What's at stake in this game?
Speaker 1: I guess the entire season two and six is pretty
Speaker 1: much it, right, but it's three and five any different?
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 1: I guess just play the games and we'll see from there.
Speaker 1: Like I used to always have, like this is what's
Speaker 1: best for the Dolphins, and this is why I think that,
Speaker 1: and why this is what I want to happen, Like,
Speaker 1: I just don't have that right now, So we'll see
Speaker 1: what happens.
Speaker 2: That's kind of where I'm at right now.
Speaker 1: As far as the range of outcomes, I don't think
Speaker 1: this is a guaranteed loss by any stretch.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: I do expect us to go three and out and
Speaker 1: or turn it over and then they take the ball
Speaker 1: down the field and score, because it always freaking happens
Speaker 1: every time we play these guys. The blowout is always
Speaker 1: in play against this team, and that's the top end
Speaker 1: of the range, something like Buffalo forty one to twenty.
Speaker 2: I think there's an outside shot. It's close if you
Speaker 2: catch them.
Speaker 1: Maybe not is fired up for you because this is
Speaker 1: the first time in like three years that this game
Speaker 1: doesn't have a ton.
Speaker 2: Riding on it.
Speaker 1: They've kind of already wrapped the division up in some
Speaker 1: st in some respects. Maybe you catch them sleep in
Speaker 1: that way. In that instance, I still trust them to
Speaker 1: close it out late, even though that hasn't been a
Speaker 1: strength of theirs. I guess that would be like a
Speaker 1: twenty seven twenty four game. I'm going to land in
Speaker 1: the middle Buffalo thirty four, Miami twenty four. My keys
Speaker 1: to victory stay ahead of the chains on offense. This
Speaker 1: defense loves to feast on long down distances. You cannot
Speaker 1: let them do that. Number two, win the defensive matchups
Speaker 1: down the middle and create chaos in the interior pocket
Speaker 1: for Allen and against the running game. And number three,
Speaker 1: your proficiency in the quick game on the perimeter has
Speaker 1: to be sharp from the jump to set up the
Speaker 1: rest of the offense. You all please be sure to
Speaker 1: Dialoado the podcast tomorrow for Kickball Dad and Kyle Krabs.
Speaker 1: You can also subscribe to the podcast, leave us a
Speaker 1: riading and leave us a review. Please go ahead and
Speaker 1: give me a follow on social at Wingfield, NFL and
Speaker 1: the team at Miami Dolphins. Check out my guys, Seth
Speaker 1: and Juice on the fish Tank podcast. Check out the
Speaker 1: YouTube channel for a brand new episode of Dolphins HQ
Speaker 1: as well as all the media availabilities all just anybody
Speaker 1: watched Barry the Show on HBO. The guys want to
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Speaker 1: call on and Cameron Daddy. You