1 00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:08,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:13,720 Speaker 2: Hello and welcome to The Money Stuff Podcast, your weekly 3 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 2: podcast where we talk about stuff related to money. I'm 4 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 2: Matt Levin, all right, the Money Stuff Colm for Bloomberg. 5 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:23,319 Speaker 3: Opinion, And I'm Katie Greifeld, a reporter for Bloomberg News 6 00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:24,960 Speaker 3: and an anchor for Bloomberg Television. 7 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:27,040 Speaker 2: What are you at today, Katie? 8 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:28,800 Speaker 1: Death bets, death bets. 9 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 3: We're going to talk about Apollo, and we're going to 10 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 3: talk about a really interesting asset class. 11 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 2: Death death, the final asset class. 12 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 3: We're also going to talk about a messy merger. We're 13 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:44,599 Speaker 3: talking about Paramount and Sherry Redstone and what is going 14 00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 3: to happen there. 15 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,880 Speaker 2: And we're going to talk about Bill Wang and Archagis 16 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:49,920 Speaker 2: and how money. 17 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:51,120 Speaker 1: Failed him Money failed. 18 00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 2: And we might talk about reader mail. 19 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: We have a lot of it. 20 00:00:56,720 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 2: We have a certain amount of reader mail. 21 00:01:01,200 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 1: Death bets. 22 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:04,920 Speaker 3: Specifically, you said that Apollo had some death bets, really 23 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 3: interesting case. I'm going to need you to just give 24 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:10,039 Speaker 3: us a quick summary here. 25 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:13,400 Speaker 2: Okay, So you can buy life insurance. If you buy 26 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:16,920 Speaker 2: life insurance, you can sell that life insurance if you 27 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:19,080 Speaker 2: have like a twenty year life insurance policy, and after 28 00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:20,720 Speaker 2: five years you're like, I don't need this life insurance 29 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 2: policy anymore. They're investors who will buy it from you. 30 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:27,040 Speaker 2: One of the biggest investors that owns these policies is Apollo, 31 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 2: or it's funds run by Apollo, and when you do this, 32 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:34,400 Speaker 2: then they take over the policy and then if you die, 33 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:38,120 Speaker 2: they get the money, but the estate the sun. I 34 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 2: think of a woman who died well Apollo owned her 35 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:45,759 Speaker 2: life insurance policy, sued Apollo saying you shouldn't get that money, 36 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:48,560 Speaker 2: and he actually won, and now he's suing Apollo some more. 37 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 1: Which is crazy. We're going to get into the specifics, 38 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 1: all the bits of it occurred that case. 39 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 3: I have to say before you even wrote about this, 40 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:58,280 Speaker 3: because I think the original story was from April twenty six, 41 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 3: and there were a imediately so many memes on Twitter 42 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 3: about like how this is the perfect money stuff story. 43 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:08,240 Speaker 3: There is a meme of Matt Levine reading this headline 44 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 3: and it was like this cartoon guy like being reanimated. 45 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 3: I really enjoyed it, and then you did write about it. 46 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:17,400 Speaker 2: I did write about it. There is a sense in 47 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:20,359 Speaker 2: which it is not news. This is a trade that 48 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 2: happened in two thousand and six. The women died several 49 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 2: years ago. The lawsuit they won against the polo last year, 50 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 2: but it burbled up into consciousness this week when they 51 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 2: filed this other lawsuit. And although it is not very newsy, 52 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:33,720 Speaker 2: it is very money stuff. 53 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 3: It is very money stuff. And I'm going to need 54 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 3: you to just explain to me what they're alleging that 55 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 3: Apollo did wrong here, because, as you lay out in 56 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 3: your column, you can sell your life insurance policy. If 57 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 3: you have one, you can sell it. And it seems 58 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:49,639 Speaker 3: like that is somewhat common. 59 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 2: Somewhat common, it's common. It's a very small fraction of 60 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:54,799 Speaker 2: the life insurance market, but it does happen a lot. 61 00:02:55,040 --> 00:02:58,040 Speaker 2: So they're actually not saying Apolo did anything wrong. Weirdly, 62 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 2: I mean they are because like they're trying to be inflammatory. 63 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:04,079 Speaker 2: But what happened here is that for a long time 64 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 2: you could sell your life insurance policies, and at some 65 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 2: point in the early two thousands, people realize, hey, this 66 00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:11,080 Speaker 2: could be a big business, so they started funds so 67 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:13,080 Speaker 2: they'd raise money from investors saying we're going to go 68 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:16,160 Speaker 2: buy all these life insurance policies from people, and they 69 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 2: raise all this money and then they're like, oh, we 70 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 2: got to go find all this life insurance. It's actually 71 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:22,799 Speaker 2: not that easy. All these people have life insurance and 72 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:24,639 Speaker 2: they don't want to keep paying the premiums. It's hard 73 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 2: to find them. Like they don't know that there's a 74 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:29,560 Speaker 2: secondary market where they can sell their life insurance. And 75 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:31,959 Speaker 2: so what happened in the early to mid two thousands 76 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:35,400 Speaker 2: is that there is a boom in insurance brokers saying, 77 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 2: wait a minute, there's all these investors looking to buy 78 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 2: life insurance policies. I'm trying to sell life insurance policies 79 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 2: to people. There's a trade here where I sell a 80 00:03:44,200 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 2: five million dollar life insurance policy to like an older person. 81 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 2: I get my commission for selling the life insurance policy. 82 00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 2: She turns around and immediately sells the policy to an investor, 83 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:58,000 Speaker 2: and she gets cash for selling the policy. I get 84 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 2: cash for originating the policy, and the investors get life 85 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 2: insurance policies that they want to invest in. So this 86 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:07,840 Speaker 2: became a big business in the early mid two thousands. 87 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:12,160 Speaker 2: And it's called stolely, which is stranger originated life insurance. 88 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 2: And so this policy came into being, like an insurance 89 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:17,240 Speaker 2: agent went to this woman and said, hey, I've got 90 00:04:17,279 --> 00:04:18,760 Speaker 2: a trade for you. You can get paid one hundred 91 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 2: and fifty thousand dollars to sign your name to some papers, 92 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:25,599 Speaker 2: and then I'll sell the life insurance to investors. The 93 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:29,360 Speaker 2: investors were not Apollo. Yeah, Apollo like several years later 94 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:32,040 Speaker 2: bought this policy in a big pool of policies from 95 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:35,719 Speaker 2: other investors. So Pollow didn't have anything to do with 96 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:39,719 Speaker 2: the apparently illegal origination of this policy. Because it turns 97 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:42,080 Speaker 2: out that if you're a person and you take out 98 00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:45,479 Speaker 2: life insurance and you then change your mind years later 99 00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 2: and decide to sell it, you can do that. There's 100 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 2: a secondary market. It's sometimes controversial, but basically it works 101 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 2: and it's legal. But if you do this, if you 102 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 2: do the thing where you just take out a policy, 103 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,920 Speaker 2: planning from day one to sell it to investors, and 104 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 2: you're not paying the premium, the investors are sponsoring the 105 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:06,320 Speaker 2: premium from day one, then that doesn't work. 106 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 4: Why not? 107 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:11,520 Speaker 1: Is it just because the insurance company doesn't like that? 108 00:05:11,640 --> 00:05:14,040 Speaker 2: Because insurance companies don't like it, and so like states 109 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:17,479 Speaker 2: regulate it. I don't have a good answer to why not. Yeah, 110 00:05:17,800 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 2: But the rough answer is that insurance is supposed to 111 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:26,279 Speaker 2: be insurance. You're supposed to be buying it for what 112 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:28,800 Speaker 2: they call insurance purposes, which is this kind of vague term, 113 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 2: but it means like, you're trying to protect your family 114 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:33,040 Speaker 2: if you die, you're trying to do some estate planning, 115 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 2: you have some sort of personal reason for buying the insurance. 116 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:38,640 Speaker 2: If you're just doing it as a bet on your mortality, 117 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 2: then it's frowned upon. And this trade where it's just 118 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:46,839 Speaker 2: an investor buying life insurance for you is just a 119 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:49,040 Speaker 2: pure bet on your mortality, and so they don't like it. 120 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:50,600 Speaker 2: It's kind of illegal, by which I mean not that 121 00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:53,320 Speaker 2: you go to jail necessarily. But the result here is 122 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 2: that the investors bought this policy for this one. They 123 00:05:57,600 --> 00:05:59,480 Speaker 2: gave her money, They paid her like one hundred and 124 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 2: fifty to sign the papers and do this thing. They 125 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 2: paid all the premiums on the policy for her entire life, 126 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 2: and then she died and the policy paid out five 127 00:06:07,720 --> 00:06:09,599 Speaker 2: million dollars and the investors were like, Okay, that's the 128 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:12,279 Speaker 2: insurance we paid for, and her estate was like, no, no, 129 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 2: we get that money because you weren't allowed to do 130 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:17,279 Speaker 2: this in the first place. And turns out the estate 131 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:19,279 Speaker 2: is right, and so the estate gets the money she 132 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 2: got paid to take out the insurance, and then she 133 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 2: got the proceeds of the insurance. It seems kind of unfair. 134 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:25,160 Speaker 3: I have two points to make here, the first being 135 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:28,760 Speaker 3: on like why insurance companies don't like this. I mean, 136 00:06:28,760 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 3: you make the point that this is an insurance product, 137 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:34,719 Speaker 3: it's not necessarily supposed to be financialized in the way 138 00:06:34,760 --> 00:06:36,520 Speaker 3: that it has been. But I was talking to someone 139 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:39,880 Speaker 3: in the insurance industry and they also said that these 140 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:43,040 Speaker 3: insurance companies count on there's going to be a certain 141 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 3: percentage of people who let their life insurance laughs, like 142 00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:50,320 Speaker 3: they're not going to pay the premiums, they can't keep 143 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 3: up with it, and then obviously they don't have to 144 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:56,279 Speaker 3: pay it out the insurance company, and this whole model 145 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:57,560 Speaker 3: that we're talking about removes that. 146 00:06:57,880 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's exactly right. That's sort of what it means 147 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 2: to say, shouldn't be financialized. Like the insurance companies sell 148 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:06,920 Speaker 2: you the insurance understanding that you're a person, and like 149 00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 2: your circumstances can change. You might forget to pay the premiums, 150 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 2: you might not be able to afford to pay the premiums. 151 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:15,320 Speaker 2: You might decide, actually, I don't need this life insurance 152 00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 2: anymore because my kids grew up or whatever. And if 153 00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 2: you do that, you will stop paying the premiums, and 154 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 2: so they can price that and the insurance is cheaper 155 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 2: because they know some people won't pay the premiums and 156 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:31,520 Speaker 2: will then die and won't get the death benefit. But 157 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,080 Speaker 2: if you sell your insurance to a financial investor, the 158 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 2: financial investor is just going to make a rational calculation 159 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:39,160 Speaker 2: about what the expected value of the policy is and 160 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:40,880 Speaker 2: they're going to keep paying the premiums as long as 161 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:43,680 Speaker 2: it has positive expected value. And so the insurance company 162 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 2: is underpricing its insurance. Like that's why this trade worked, 163 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 2: because you could go to all these people and buy 164 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 2: underpriced insurance because the insurance companies were pricing it expecting 165 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:55,320 Speaker 2: the policies with lapse. But they didn't know or they 166 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:57,640 Speaker 2: didn't think about the fact that they're selling it to 167 00:07:57,680 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 2: financial investors. 168 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:01,200 Speaker 3: I have to say, from the investors, you seems like 169 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 3: a great trade. I mean you thinking about uncorrelated returns, 170 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 3: how much more uncorrelated can you get? 171 00:08:06,440 --> 00:08:08,680 Speaker 2: That's how this worked. People were like realized that this 172 00:08:08,840 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 2: was a asset class that first of all, there's tons 173 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 2: of life insurance out there, and sandly it's uncorrelated, and 174 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:16,240 Speaker 2: so it's a great product to pitch to investors. I 175 00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 2: would say that my understanding is that the size of 176 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:20,200 Speaker 2: the market is limited by the fact that a lot 177 00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:22,880 Speaker 2: of investors in a lot of investors everywhere, but particularly 178 00:08:22,880 --> 00:08:26,400 Speaker 2: the United States, find this cross like, yeah, I don't 179 00:08:26,400 --> 00:08:27,720 Speaker 2: want to buy life. I don't want to if you 180 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:28,520 Speaker 2: can grow up. 181 00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:28,960 Speaker 4: Yeah. 182 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 2: Well. The reason I use the word death bets is 183 00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 2: because like it's funny. Well, yeah, because it's funny, but 184 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:37,560 Speaker 2: also because the estate suing Apollo in their complaint they 185 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:40,760 Speaker 2: had a lot of rhetoric about how Apollo is secretly 186 00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:43,720 Speaker 2: betting on people's deaths and people don't know who has 187 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 2: an incentive to have them dead, and it's like, this 188 00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:48,679 Speaker 2: is true. The reason for a lot of these like 189 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 2: rules is it's called the insurable interest treament. It's like, 190 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 2: you can only take out insurance on someone who you 191 00:08:55,080 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 2: have some connection to, you have some incentive, you have 192 00:08:57,440 --> 00:08:58,960 Speaker 2: some reason to want them to stay a lot. Right, 193 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 2: So you're gonna have insurance on your parents because like 194 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:02,679 Speaker 2: hopefully you're not going to kill your parents, right, you 195 00:09:02,760 --> 00:09:05,559 Speaker 2: get have insurance on your employee because like, you care 196 00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 2: about your employee's production, right, and if your employee dies, 197 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:10,320 Speaker 2: you'll be sad and the insurance will compensate you for that. 198 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:12,640 Speaker 2: But you can have insurance on a stranger because if 199 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:15,000 Speaker 2: you go and try to take out insurance on a stranger, 200 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 2: why are you doing that? Is it because you're trying 201 00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:19,360 Speaker 2: to kill them? The insurance law is really based in 202 00:09:19,400 --> 00:09:22,200 Speaker 2: part in like not creating incentives to murder people. And 203 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:25,080 Speaker 2: as when Investor pointed out, there are no cases o 204 00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:29,079 Speaker 2: case we know financial investors killing the insurance on their 205 00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:34,400 Speaker 2: contracts to get the payout. There are many cases of husbands, wives, 206 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 2: children killing their loved ones to get insurance parents, So like, 207 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:40,200 Speaker 2: really this is not that gross at all, Right, yeah, 208 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:42,520 Speaker 2: really this is like sure they're betting on depths, but 209 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:44,719 Speaker 2: they're like more more morell than the sort of tail 210 00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:46,360 Speaker 2: end of the spouse distribution. 211 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 3: I was wondering how quickly we would get to the 212 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:52,000 Speaker 3: fact that this does create incentive for murder. 213 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:53,520 Speaker 2: I mean, when I wrote about it, I think I 214 00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:55,719 Speaker 2: got to it immediately. It's the most sense to talk 215 00:09:55,760 --> 00:09:57,079 Speaker 2: about it insurance. 216 00:09:57,320 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 3: I mean, I have the entire column in front of 217 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 3: me and yeah, you're right, murder did get brought up 218 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 3: pretty quickly. 219 00:10:04,760 --> 00:10:06,440 Speaker 2: Did you not think about murder when you think about 220 00:10:06,440 --> 00:10:06,960 Speaker 2: life insurance. 221 00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:10,080 Speaker 1: Let's talk a little bit though, about this actual case. 222 00:10:10,320 --> 00:10:10,800 Speaker 1: Her name. 223 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:12,920 Speaker 3: I feel like we've referenced her a few different times, 224 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:16,800 Speaker 3: Martha Barotes. I'm saying it correctly. She died in twenty eighteen. 225 00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:19,319 Speaker 3: Like you said, the estate wants. 226 00:10:19,040 --> 00:10:19,880 Speaker 1: The payout back. 227 00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:23,360 Speaker 3: They got it, and I don't know is that entirely 228 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:25,800 Speaker 3: fair because Martha knew what she was doing. 229 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 2: Martha knew what she was doing. Yeah, she never paid 230 00:10:28,640 --> 00:10:30,840 Speaker 2: a penny for this insurance. She got paid to fill 231 00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:34,280 Speaker 2: out the forums, and then when she died, her children 232 00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:36,400 Speaker 2: were like, hey, we'd like the money. I would think 233 00:10:36,440 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 2: that if you decide that this policy is invalid because 234 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:41,400 Speaker 2: it was like a bad evil betting on lives, it 235 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:43,440 Speaker 2: didn't have an insurable interest whatever, I would think that 236 00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:46,120 Speaker 2: you would say, well, then the insurance company doesn't have 237 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 2: to pay. But in fact, the law seems to be 238 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 2: that if the insurance company pays, the estate can get 239 00:10:51,160 --> 00:10:53,679 Speaker 2: it back rather than giving it to the investors because 240 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 2: they want Basically, the law wants to punish the investors 241 00:10:56,040 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 2: so that the investors don't. 242 00:10:57,040 --> 00:10:59,920 Speaker 3: Do this one more point on investing, what do this do? 243 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:03,079 Speaker 3: The thoughts I had while reading this and thinking about 244 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:06,560 Speaker 3: this was to the point that this has become an 245 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 3: asset class. I feel like just the evolution of markets 246 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:14,320 Speaker 3: is that somehow this is gonna be an investable asset class. 247 00:11:14,320 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 3: On robin Hood, retail will be involved in It'll trade 248 00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:17,920 Speaker 3: twenty four to seven. 249 00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 2: So there I would worry more about murder. 250 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:25,720 Speaker 1: Murder, oh my god. 251 00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:29,679 Speaker 2: Because it's like there's a limited number of investors in 252 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:33,560 Speaker 2: this asset class. They're all institutional, they have careers, they 253 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:35,440 Speaker 2: don't want to go to jail, they care about the 254 00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:38,600 Speaker 2: reputation of the asset class, and they're doing it in scale, 255 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 2: so that like murdering one person wouldn't change the returns 256 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 2: that much. 257 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:45,400 Speaker 1: It I don't know, man, it have to be totally blind. 258 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:47,600 Speaker 2: If you invested in a big pool, then you wouldn't 259 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:48,520 Speaker 2: have much incentive together. 260 00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 1: Well, you'd want to diversify, obviously, but. 261 00:11:50,960 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 2: Unless you're planning to do murder, than you wouldn't want 262 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:53,520 Speaker 2: a diverse Well. 263 00:11:53,520 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 3: I feel like then it'd be easy to track, like 264 00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 3: who just has some really concentrated part of the playoffs 265 00:11:59,200 --> 00:11:59,560 Speaker 3: a lot. 266 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:01,560 Speaker 2: Of insider trading is pretty easier to track, and people 267 00:12:01,600 --> 00:12:04,080 Speaker 2: do it anyway, So if you had a lot of this, 268 00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:06,160 Speaker 2: you'd have at least one murder, I think. 269 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:09,199 Speaker 3: I think it'd be a really interesting psychological and market 270 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:10,240 Speaker 3: structure experiment. 271 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:23,360 Speaker 4: So maybe someone will do it. 272 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 3: Let's talk about a messy merger, potentially tricky, messy. I 273 00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:31,600 Speaker 3: don't know what word do you want to use. 274 00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 2: It's a classic boardroom battle. 275 00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:36,880 Speaker 1: That's a good one. 276 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 2: Why don't you tell that? 277 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:42,040 Speaker 3: What we're talking about Paramount and the fact that it's 278 00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:46,679 Speaker 3: in exclusive conversations with sky Dance, which is owned by 279 00:12:46,760 --> 00:12:50,800 Speaker 3: David Ellison, but there's a lot of investors who would 280 00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:54,360 Speaker 3: like them to consider also a deal coming from Apollo 281 00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:57,680 Speaker 3: and Sony as well. So that's one tricky element. Then 282 00:12:57,720 --> 00:13:00,120 Speaker 3: the other tricky element is, of course Sherry Redstone, who 283 00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:04,079 Speaker 3: owns seventy seven percent of the Class A shares, which 284 00:13:04,120 --> 00:13:07,320 Speaker 3: is what Skydance is after. And then you have the 285 00:13:07,640 --> 00:13:11,120 Speaker 3: vast majority of outstanding shares or Class B shares that 286 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:12,319 Speaker 3: have no voting power. 287 00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, so it's like this weird situation where Paramount is 288 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:18,360 Speaker 2: a big company with a lot of shares outstanding, most 289 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:23,080 Speaker 2: of which don't vote, and so basically Sharry Redstone controls 290 00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 2: about five percent of the stock, but that five percent 291 00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:28,000 Speaker 2: of the stock has seventy seven percent of the voting power, 292 00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:30,520 Speaker 2: which means that if you buy her five percent stake, 293 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:33,360 Speaker 2: you control the company, which creates a lot of incentives 294 00:13:33,400 --> 00:13:35,840 Speaker 2: for mischief. The other weird thing is that share Redson 295 00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:38,320 Speaker 2: doesn't actually own that stock, which she owns is a 296 00:13:38,360 --> 00:13:42,720 Speaker 2: company called National Amusements. National Amusements is a chain of 297 00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:45,839 Speaker 2: movie theaters that also owns this five percent one. 298 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:47,160 Speaker 1: Hundred and twenty four theaters on. 299 00:13:47,480 --> 00:13:49,920 Speaker 2: Four theaters, but they also own this chunk of class 300 00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:53,000 Speaker 2: A voting stock in Paramount. That company controls Paramount, and 301 00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:55,640 Speaker 2: shire redsn controls that company. And so if you want 302 00:13:55,679 --> 00:13:57,640 Speaker 2: to buy Paramount. One thing you could do is you 303 00:13:57,640 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 2: can go to the board of directors and say we'll 304 00:13:59,559 --> 00:14:01,800 Speaker 2: pay twelve dollars a share in cash for all the 305 00:14:01,800 --> 00:14:04,160 Speaker 2: shares of Paramounts in a merger. And that's kind of 306 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:06,160 Speaker 2: more or less what Apolo seems to have offered. Another 307 00:14:06,160 --> 00:14:07,320 Speaker 2: thing you can do is you get a share red 308 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:09,800 Speaker 2: Zone and say, hey, we'll take National Amusements off your 309 00:14:09,800 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 2: hands for like two billion dollars, which is like a 310 00:14:12,960 --> 00:14:15,560 Speaker 2: fraction of the price of Paramount. Paramount is equity value 311 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:17,720 Speaker 2: something like twelve billion dollars. This is what people seem 312 00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 2: to be talking about. If you could pay two billion 313 00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 2: dollars for National Amusements and then you control Paramount and 314 00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 2: then you can do what you want, and I don't 315 00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:26,600 Speaker 2: know what they want, but the deal structure is very complicated. Basically, 316 00:14:26,600 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 2: skid Ends wants to buy National Amusements and then have 317 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 2: Paramount buy Skuidens for stock and then put their own 318 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:34,480 Speaker 2: people in charge of Paramount, and they're like, this is 319 00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:36,520 Speaker 2: going to make Paramount be worth thirty dollars a share. 320 00:14:36,760 --> 00:14:39,080 Speaker 2: But it's like a complicated merger structure. But step one 321 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:41,320 Speaker 2: of the structures, we're going to buy National Amusements and 322 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:42,440 Speaker 2: then we'll control Paramount. 323 00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 3: So that was a gorgeous explanation. I don't know why 324 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:48,640 Speaker 3: I had to try. So that's very tricky. And I 325 00:14:48,680 --> 00:14:52,280 Speaker 3: have to say the disparity, the discrepancy in pricing between 326 00:14:52,280 --> 00:14:54,720 Speaker 3: the Class A and the Class B is interesting. 327 00:14:54,760 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 1: I mean, there's just a wide gap there. 328 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:58,360 Speaker 2: There's lots of companies that have dual class shares, but 329 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:01,520 Speaker 2: it's often like a founder compan where like Mark Zuckerberg 330 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:04,280 Speaker 2: isn't going to sell Facebook, right, Like here, you really 331 00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 2: can buy control of a twelve million dollar company by 332 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:09,960 Speaker 2: buying five percent of the stock. And it's like just 333 00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 2: an unusually sharp case of the difference in the value 334 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 2: of the two types of shares. 335 00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:16,680 Speaker 3: So that's tricky. That's one of the messy things. The 336 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,880 Speaker 3: other messy thing they fired the CEO. Now it's a 337 00:15:20,040 --> 00:15:22,000 Speaker 3: CEO committee run. 338 00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:26,120 Speaker 2: Office of COO. Right, it's like three guys. Yeah, yeah, 339 00:15:26,200 --> 00:15:28,320 Speaker 2: I was looking at the announcement. They say the Office 340 00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:30,200 Speaker 2: of the CEO is working with the board to develop 341 00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 2: a comprehensive long range plan to accelerate growth and develop 342 00:15:33,520 --> 00:15:36,160 Speaker 2: popular content. But you know they don't mean that, right. 343 00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 2: You don't install three guys as your office of CEO 344 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:43,040 Speaker 2: if you're planning to like have them run the company 345 00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:46,200 Speaker 2: for ten years and develop new content. Right. That's like, 346 00:15:46,280 --> 00:15:48,200 Speaker 2: we are selling this company in the next two weeks. 347 00:15:48,360 --> 00:15:50,080 Speaker 2: We don't really care he's running it for like two. 348 00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:51,080 Speaker 1: Weeks, right, yeah. 349 00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:54,240 Speaker 3: Yeah. As Blueberg Intelligence put it, the replacement of Bob 350 00:15:54,280 --> 00:15:57,440 Speaker 3: Backish puts Paramount a step closer to a deal with 351 00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 3: Skydance Media. Backish obviously the acquisition it feels like, there's 352 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:04,720 Speaker 3: a lot of people who vocally oppose this. 353 00:16:05,160 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, well so shareholders, Yes, some shareholders oppose it. Backers 354 00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:12,720 Speaker 2: seems to opposed that. Several directors step down last month 355 00:16:12,800 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 2: because they seem to be not super comfortable with the deal. 356 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:18,520 Speaker 2: One person who really opposes it is h Marrigabelly, who 357 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:22,920 Speaker 2: runs GAM who's the biggest holder of Class A shares 358 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:26,640 Speaker 2: other than National Amusements. He's in this weird position where like, 359 00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:29,280 Speaker 2: he has these shares that are like theoretically worth more 360 00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:33,000 Speaker 2: than the Class B shares, except that like Skydence doesn't 361 00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:34,680 Speaker 2: have to go buy up all the Class A shares, 362 00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:36,120 Speaker 2: They don't have to pay a premium for the Class 363 00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:37,800 Speaker 2: A shares. All they have to do is buy National 364 00:16:37,800 --> 00:16:40,240 Speaker 2: Amusements and then they get a majority of the vote 365 00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 2: and they're done. So they don't have to pay him 366 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:44,280 Speaker 2: any premium. Right, they don't have to pay the other 367 00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 2: Class A holders of premium. They just have to pay 368 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:48,560 Speaker 2: Shary Redstone for National Amusements. So he's in this weird 369 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:50,560 Speaker 2: position where he's like, I think I have these super 370 00:16:50,640 --> 00:16:53,280 Speaker 2: voting valuable shares, but actually they turn out not to 371 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:54,760 Speaker 2: be that valuable because they're a minority. 372 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 1: I mean, where does this go from here? Is this 373 00:16:56,560 --> 00:16:57,320 Speaker 1: like a done deal? 374 00:16:57,520 --> 00:17:00,200 Speaker 3: Is there any way that some of these vocal people 375 00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:02,280 Speaker 3: who don't like this deal could actually stop it? 376 00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:08,879 Speaker 2: Oh? Yeah, I mean you can't literally buy the seventy 377 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:14,120 Speaker 2: seven percent voting stock, fire the board and say okay, 378 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:16,239 Speaker 2: we're like taking over this company and we're not going 379 00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:19,879 Speaker 2: to give the public shareholders anything. There's a special committee 380 00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:23,400 Speaker 2: of Paramount directors who have to approve any transaction. Now 381 00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:27,200 Speaker 2: it's tricky because they don't have to approve any National 382 00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:30,720 Speaker 2: Amusements transaction. Yeah, they don't run National Amusements. The Class 383 00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:33,600 Speaker 2: A shares don't have to change hands, right Like National Amusements, 384 00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:35,879 Speaker 2: which is its own company, could just be acquired and 385 00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:38,399 Speaker 2: then National Amusements can come into the board meaning and say, okay, 386 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:40,920 Speaker 2: we're still we still have our seventy seven percent control. 387 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:44,720 Speaker 2: Nothing has changed except who owns National Amusements. It's also 388 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:47,239 Speaker 2: tricky because the Special Committee and thinking about paramount will 389 00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:50,680 Speaker 2: think about how much value did share Redstone get for 390 00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:52,840 Speaker 2: her Class A shares? How much value are the other 391 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,800 Speaker 2: shareholders getting for their Class P shares? But they don't 392 00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:57,720 Speaker 2: know how much value she's getting for her Class A 393 00:17:57,800 --> 00:18:00,919 Speaker 2: shares because Skydance will presumably right her a check for 394 00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:03,679 Speaker 2: National amusements. And you know, her Class A shares have 395 00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:05,960 Speaker 2: a market value seven hundred million dollars, and the check 396 00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:08,879 Speaker 2: for National amusemance is like supposedly the reporting is going 397 00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:11,320 Speaker 2: to be around two billion dollars. So that's a big premium. 398 00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:13,280 Speaker 2: But there's all those movie theaters. We don't know how 399 00:18:13,320 --> 00:18:14,120 Speaker 2: much they're worth. 400 00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:15,760 Speaker 1: Right, all one hundred and twenty four of them. 401 00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:19,200 Speaker 2: You can make like AMC memestock, like maybe movie theater 402 00:18:19,280 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 2: companies are really valuable, right, maybe they're paying her the 403 00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 2: two billion for the movie theaters. So like the Special 404 00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:26,520 Speaker 2: Committee of the Board has the job of making sure 405 00:18:26,520 --> 00:18:29,280 Speaker 2: that whatever deal is done for paramount is fair to 406 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:32,600 Speaker 2: the Class P shareholders, to like the regular public shareholders. 407 00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:34,720 Speaker 2: And so one thing you can do is say no 408 00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:38,840 Speaker 2: to any acquisition of sky Dance, for instance, that it 409 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,080 Speaker 2: thinks is not fair to shareholders. But what it can't 410 00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:43,159 Speaker 2: do is like say to share Redstone, you have to 411 00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:46,639 Speaker 2: sell to the person we pick. Right if they like 412 00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:48,800 Speaker 2: the Apollo deal and she doesn't like, they can't make 413 00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:51,240 Speaker 2: her sell, and she can block the Apolo deal because 414 00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:53,560 Speaker 2: she has seventy sum percent of the vote. So it 415 00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:55,480 Speaker 2: seems likely there's going to be a deal because they 416 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 2: have no CEO, and it seems like any deal would 417 00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:00,679 Speaker 2: have to be one that's acceptable to share Redstones. You 418 00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:02,560 Speaker 2: have to thread this needle of like, whoever's going to 419 00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:05,639 Speaker 2: buy the company has to give Shy Redstone enough that 420 00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:08,320 Speaker 2: she wants to take the deal, but it also has 421 00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:10,520 Speaker 2: to be fair enough to the public shareholders that the 422 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 2: Special Committee agrees to take the deal. And by the way, 423 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:17,680 Speaker 2: there's history here before it was Paramount, like the predecessor 424 00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:20,760 Speaker 2: Viacom CBS was also the structure where a Shay Redstone 425 00:19:20,760 --> 00:19:23,240 Speaker 2: and a majority of this voting stock through National Amusements, 426 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:26,880 Speaker 2: And at some point the board of Viacom CBS tried 427 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:30,199 Speaker 2: to take away her voting rights or like make it 428 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,240 Speaker 2: so that all the shares were voting to like block 429 00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:34,359 Speaker 2: her from doing some merger that they thought was bad. 430 00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:36,719 Speaker 2: Didn't work. They got in a lot of trouble for her, 431 00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:39,920 Speaker 2: but they were like, we can't have this dynamic where 432 00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:42,480 Speaker 2: like there's one shareholder who has a minority of the 433 00:19:42,520 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 2: economic interest, but who has a controlling voting stake and 434 00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:47,960 Speaker 2: who can like just force through a merger that we 435 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:49,800 Speaker 2: think is unfair to the shareolders. So they tried to 436 00:19:49,800 --> 00:19:51,640 Speaker 2: take away her super voting rights. Didn't work. 437 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:54,800 Speaker 1: Now they are I crave that kind of power. 438 00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:56,920 Speaker 2: Which kind of power the super voting rights or the 439 00:19:57,240 --> 00:19:57,960 Speaker 2: super board. 440 00:19:57,800 --> 00:20:00,040 Speaker 1: Tried to take away the super voting super voting right. 441 00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:03,680 Speaker 2: I know, it's good, it's really it's so unusual. Yeah, 442 00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:06,280 Speaker 2: it's so unusual. Like it's not that unusual to have 443 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:10,760 Speaker 2: super voting rights, but like usually people try to not 444 00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,880 Speaker 2: have so little of the economics and have so much 445 00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:16,680 Speaker 2: of the voting rights. Yeah, sort of looks weird. Many 446 00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:18,880 Speaker 2: of the companies that you talk about it a lot. 447 00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:22,080 Speaker 2: The founders are still around. They're still running things, you 448 00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:24,000 Speaker 2: know you think about like Facebook, they're huge companies are 449 00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:27,919 Speaker 2: unlikely to sell right. Like here it's like share Edstone 450 00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:29,719 Speaker 2: is an air to like the sort of mogul who 451 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:33,159 Speaker 2: ran it. She's interested in cashing out. You know, Usually 452 00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 2: the super voting shares people are like that's designed to 453 00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:40,160 Speaker 2: keep control with the people who care the most about 454 00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:43,119 Speaker 2: the company, even if they have a minority economic interest. 455 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:44,960 Speaker 2: But here that's not what it's doing. Here, it's like 456 00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:48,160 Speaker 2: just the cash benefit for someone who wants to get 457 00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:48,840 Speaker 2: rid of the company. 458 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:51,879 Speaker 3: What I find amusing about this episode is that we're 459 00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:55,320 Speaker 3: all so interested in sort of the theater and the 460 00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 3: drama of what this merger is actually going to be 461 00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:00,679 Speaker 3: that there hasn't, at least in my circle, has been 462 00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:03,959 Speaker 3: a lot of discussion on Okay, but what about the 463 00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:06,720 Speaker 3: future of Paramount, What about the actual business? Because they're 464 00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:09,920 Speaker 3: in a very tough industry, and it's funny that they 465 00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:13,600 Speaker 3: reported earnings this week paramounted and it was a total 466 00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:17,119 Speaker 3: non event. It was a complete afterthought the actual numbers. 467 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,680 Speaker 2: Because the stock is not going to train on earnings, right. Yeah, 468 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:22,840 Speaker 2: if you look at like the two bids, like it's unclear, 469 00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:25,960 Speaker 2: like what businesses stay with businesses go like, Yeah, it's 470 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:27,720 Speaker 2: in a bit of a limbo about what it's actually 471 00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:28,520 Speaker 2: going forward. 472 00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:30,160 Speaker 4: Business is going to be. 473 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:52,359 Speaker 1: Speaking of Viacom CBS, Bill Wang, what was that transition our. 474 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:57,720 Speaker 3: Chade goos okay, one of their physicians, was that. 475 00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:00,159 Speaker 2: What brought him down? I had forgotten about that. I 476 00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:03,800 Speaker 2: made a gorgeous That was a great transition. I am sorry, 477 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:08,560 Speaker 2: Bill Wang brought down by Viacom CBS. Go on, Bill Lang, 478 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:11,880 Speaker 2: he's a guy, he's a former Tiger Cub hedge fund 479 00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:15,440 Speaker 2: manager who then left headge fund managing after an insider 480 00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,560 Speaker 2: trading incident and then ran his own family office called 481 00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 2: our Kego's Capital Management. That briefly became like a thirty 482 00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:24,879 Speaker 2: billion dollar portfolio because he bought like twelve stocks on 483 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:28,719 Speaker 2: which is ViacomCBS. He bought them with like huge amounts 484 00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:31,439 Speaker 2: of bargin borrowing or like total return swaps from like 485 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:34,880 Speaker 2: a collection of banks. All these banks learned up lots 486 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:37,280 Speaker 2: of money to buy stock. He bought all the stock. 487 00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:39,160 Speaker 2: The stock went up because he was buying so much 488 00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:41,480 Speaker 2: of it. Then he had a profit. He was able 489 00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 2: to borrow more money against the profit from the banks 490 00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 2: to buy more stock, and this kept going in like 491 00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,000 Speaker 2: a sort of like virtuous cycle where the stocks went 492 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:49,360 Speaker 2: up and up and up, and he got to buy 493 00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:53,840 Speaker 2: more and more until Viacom CBS was like, car stock 494 00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:55,920 Speaker 2: price has gone in this incredible run, we should sell 495 00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:58,640 Speaker 2: some stock. So they sold some stock. The stock gap down. 496 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:02,159 Speaker 2: He had a loss. His banks issued margin calls. He's like, 497 00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:03,800 Speaker 2: I don't have any money. I put every penny I 498 00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 2: have into these twelve stocks, and they've let the stocks 499 00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:10,440 Speaker 2: all went down. He lost everything, and then he was 500 00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:13,119 Speaker 2: arrested and he's going on trial next week for market manipulation. 501 00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,280 Speaker 3: I am so interested in this trial. I feel like 502 00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:20,680 Speaker 3: that's going to be so interesting to follow. We also 503 00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:23,800 Speaker 3: have to talk about his charity as well. One of 504 00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:26,080 Speaker 3: the things actually that I was going to use to 505 00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:28,399 Speaker 3: lead into this was I have a new name for 506 00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:29,160 Speaker 3: your newsletter. 507 00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:31,800 Speaker 2: Oh, money fail, Yeah, which is. 508 00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:35,959 Speaker 1: A biblical reference. That's Genesis forty seven. Money failed, money failed. 509 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 2: Right. It's a biblical reference, but also not what you 510 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:41,119 Speaker 2: want when you're a headsprend manager or a family office manager. 511 00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:43,720 Speaker 2: That was your job was to not have money fail. Yeah, 512 00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:44,639 Speaker 2: money that fail. 513 00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:47,800 Speaker 3: Okay, money failed, but the word of God doesn't fail. 514 00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:51,000 Speaker 3: That is a quote that was used to describe the situation, 515 00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:54,160 Speaker 3: which we don't have to get into but the trial itself. 516 00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:56,639 Speaker 3: So the trial going on trial next week. I wanted 517 00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:59,560 Speaker 3: to talk a little bit about the judge, Judge Alvin 518 00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:03,639 Speaker 3: held Stein. He oversaw lawsuits arising from the nine to 519 00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:06,920 Speaker 3: eleven attacks. He's also ninety years old, which I found 520 00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:10,359 Speaker 3: extremely impressive. You know what I won't be doing at 521 00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:11,160 Speaker 3: ninety years old. 522 00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:14,639 Speaker 2: I feel like this is tying back to the life insurance. 523 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:18,680 Speaker 1: Right, but I will be selling my life insurance to Apollo. 524 00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:22,320 Speaker 2: I'll be doing at ninety years old, not podcasting. 525 00:24:22,520 --> 00:24:23,000 Speaker 4: Mm hmmm. 526 00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:23,440 Speaker 1: Yeah. 527 00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:27,640 Speaker 3: And I definitely won't be presiding over criminal trials. Yeah, 528 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 3: I mean this is going to be a big one. 529 00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:32,159 Speaker 3: Do you think about some of the charges that have 530 00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 3: been brought against him, including RICO charges. 531 00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:37,280 Speaker 2: There's two sort of types of charges against them. There's 532 00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:42,919 Speaker 2: market manipulation charges, which I think is fascinating because his 533 00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:46,640 Speaker 2: defense it seems like, is I just like these stocks. 534 00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:48,880 Speaker 2: I thought they were undervalued, so I bought as much 535 00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:50,720 Speaker 2: as I could of them, and then the stocks shot up, 536 00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 2: and then that all blew up. But they don't have 537 00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:56,040 Speaker 2: a lot of as far as I've seen so far 538 00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:58,359 Speaker 2: from like the charging documents, they don't seem to have 539 00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:01,520 Speaker 2: a lot of evidence against It's like a crime of intent, right, 540 00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:03,239 Speaker 2: Like if he bought these stocks because he thought they 541 00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:06,359 Speaker 2: were undervalued, then that's not market manipulation. If he bought 542 00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:10,000 Speaker 2: them because he wanted to push their prices up in 543 00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:13,240 Speaker 2: order to like get some benefit elsewhere, then it is 544 00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:15,440 Speaker 2: market manipulation. He didn't go around saying I'm going to 545 00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:17,000 Speaker 2: buy the stocks so I can push their prices up. 546 00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:18,840 Speaker 2: What would be the point of the market manipulation. I 547 00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:23,080 Speaker 2: think we talked on this podcast about the Mango markets guy. 548 00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:25,200 Speaker 1: It was hard first, oh yeah. 549 00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:28,480 Speaker 2: Last day of our lives. The Mango markets guy, he 550 00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:30,920 Speaker 2: like did some stuff in crypto where basically he pushed 551 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,000 Speaker 2: up the price of this token and then extracted like 552 00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:35,959 Speaker 2: one hundred million dollars from the token exchange and then 553 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:38,840 Speaker 2: ran away laughing right, Bill Wang pushed up the price 554 00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:41,120 Speaker 2: of these stocks and like borrowed more money against them 555 00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:42,800 Speaker 2: to push up the price of the stocks more and 556 00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:44,399 Speaker 2: then at the end it all collapsed and he ran 557 00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:47,000 Speaker 2: away with nothing more or less. He ran away with something. 558 00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:48,800 Speaker 2: But we'll get it to that. But the thing that 559 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 2: you do in market manipulation is one you push up 560 00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:52,560 Speaker 2: the price of the stock and then two you take 561 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:54,120 Speaker 2: the money out. And he didn't take the money out. 562 00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:56,679 Speaker 2: What was the market manipulation. It's a very strange case. 563 00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:59,159 Speaker 2: He's got a real defensive. I wasn't manipulating the market. 564 00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:01,560 Speaker 2: And the way you do that is because I didn't 565 00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:06,000 Speaker 2: make any money. Now, to be fair, he gave this 566 00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:09,199 Speaker 2: talk about how money failed with this incredible slide. The 567 00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,600 Speaker 2: Bloomberg story about this. There's a picture of him standing 568 00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:13,960 Speaker 2: in front of his charity talking about how money failed 569 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:15,640 Speaker 2: at the slide behind him, saying money failed. 570 00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:17,680 Speaker 1: Explanation but beauty and simplicity. 571 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 2: It's so good. It's like the level of PowerPoint that 572 00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,920 Speaker 2: I aspire to. He gave that talk at his charitable foundation, 573 00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:27,919 Speaker 2: which runs five hundred million dollars of assets, which is like, 574 00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,680 Speaker 2: it's a lot. He didn't walk away from Archagos with 575 00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:33,640 Speaker 2: no money. You worked away with five hundred million dollars 576 00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:36,240 Speaker 2: in this charitable foundation. And in fact, the Bloomberg Sorry 577 00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:38,960 Speaker 2: mentions that like several of the old traders from Archagos 578 00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:41,439 Speaker 2: are now working as traders at the charity foundation. So 579 00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:43,600 Speaker 2: it's like a little bit he like scrolled away part 580 00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:45,240 Speaker 2: of the hedge fund into the child of foundation. 581 00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:48,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, and apparently it's assets screws significantly in twenty twenty three. 582 00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:50,920 Speaker 2: Just is it it's run by some hedge fund traders. 583 00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:52,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, I want to know what they're doing. 584 00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:56,679 Speaker 2: Probably buying a concentrated portfolio stocks that are going up. 585 00:26:56,880 --> 00:26:57,440 Speaker 1: There you go. 586 00:26:57,720 --> 00:26:59,720 Speaker 2: I would say. The other charges against him, though, are 587 00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:02,639 Speaker 2: like about lying to banks, and that's much worse because 588 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:04,679 Speaker 2: there's like an email chain and it's mostly not from him. 589 00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,719 Speaker 2: It's mostly from his Like it's like underlings, but like 590 00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:08,480 Speaker 2: it's you know, saying, oh, no, we don't have a 591 00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:10,680 Speaker 2: concentrated portfolio of twelve stocks that we couldn't sell that 592 00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:12,840 Speaker 2: oft we're very diversified. And then like that's not true. 593 00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:15,760 Speaker 2: So there's some bad stuff there and the bad stuff 594 00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:17,600 Speaker 2: it's one like that's a crime, and lining to a 595 00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:18,840 Speaker 2: bank is a crime. You can get a jail for 596 00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:21,040 Speaker 2: a long time. But then also just like if you're 597 00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:24,439 Speaker 2: asking the question of was he manipulating the stock market? 598 00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:29,080 Speaker 2: Was he manipulating these stocks? Like just by the shape 599 00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:31,679 Speaker 2: of his trades, you'd be like maybe not, maybe just 600 00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:33,520 Speaker 2: like the stocks because he didn't throw any money. But 601 00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:34,639 Speaker 2: then you're like, oh, and I'll see he was lying 602 00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:36,520 Speaker 2: to the banks. It's like, okay, I was probably doing something. 603 00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:38,840 Speaker 3: And just to put some numbers on it when it 604 00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:42,240 Speaker 3: comes to how much the bank's actually lost, we're talking 605 00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:46,000 Speaker 3: about how Viacom CBS brought down our Chagos. 606 00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:47,680 Speaker 2: Well brought down see credit. 607 00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:49,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, it was one of the things that brought down 608 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,440 Speaker 3: Credit Sweee or in the chain of dominoes, it was 609 00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:54,440 Speaker 3: somewhere in there because Credit Sweee lost five and a 610 00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:57,320 Speaker 3: half billion dollars. No Mirror lost three billion dollars. Morgan 611 00:27:57,400 --> 00:28:00,440 Speaker 3: Stanley more than nine million dollars. So I mean it's 612 00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:03,399 Speaker 3: not chump change that we're talking about. This caused really 613 00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:04,880 Speaker 3: widespread damage. 614 00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:07,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean he had like a thirty six billion 615 00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:09,880 Speaker 2: dollar portfolio that went poof, and like he lost whatever 616 00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:11,560 Speaker 2: equity he had, but like a lot of banks lost 617 00:28:11,600 --> 00:28:12,320 Speaker 2: a lot of money too. 618 00:28:12,440 --> 00:28:14,560 Speaker 3: That was a wild moment in time. I mean it 619 00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:17,240 Speaker 3: was also what was that twenty twenty one, Yeah, March 620 00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:20,560 Speaker 3: twenty twenty one. That was just a very upside down 621 00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:21,400 Speaker 3: time for everyone. 622 00:28:21,560 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 2: It was a wild time that was like, hey, this 623 00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:28,840 Speaker 2: thing you've never heard of called Archagos is like the 624 00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:29,880 Speaker 2: biggest Dutch front in the world. 625 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,120 Speaker 3: For like a week, no one knew how to pronounce it. 626 00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:35,080 Speaker 3: I remember I would have to go on and do 627 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:38,840 Speaker 3: like telephone phoners for television and trying to be googling 628 00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:42,360 Speaker 3: and youtubing. How do I pronounce this? Archigos was something 629 00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:44,440 Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure I said a few different times. 630 00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:47,320 Speaker 2: I will understandable. Yeah, yeah, Like I'm always sort of 631 00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:49,720 Speaker 2: allergic to the financial trip of like this company you've 632 00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:52,320 Speaker 2: never heard of, controls the world right, because it's now 633 00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:54,880 Speaker 2: you've heard of Jane Street, you've heard of whatever, Like yeah, 634 00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:57,480 Speaker 2: I feel like really people had not heard of Archagos 635 00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:00,160 Speaker 2: because it really was like one guy's family office. And 636 00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:04,000 Speaker 2: then it was a gigantic hedge fund that or family office. 637 00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:05,640 Speaker 2: By the way, I would call it a hedge fund. 638 00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:08,520 Speaker 2: People from the hedge fund industry would be like, you're 639 00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:10,880 Speaker 2: slandering us. Okay, it's a hedge fund. It is not 640 00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:12,880 Speaker 2: a hedge fund. It is just a family office. It 641 00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:13,160 Speaker 2: is not. 642 00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:16,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, I can tell that you've been chewing on that, 643 00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:18,440 Speaker 3: like what to call it? Just in this conversation. 644 00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:21,680 Speaker 2: It's a thirty six billion dollar fund run by a 645 00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:23,880 Speaker 2: hedgehund manager. It feels like a hedge fund, even though 646 00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 2: it was only his money. 647 00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:26,840 Speaker 1: It was only his money. 648 00:29:41,520 --> 00:29:46,040 Speaker 2: Mail bag, mail bag, we need we need a musical cube. 649 00:29:46,120 --> 00:29:47,120 Speaker 1: We should just both sing. 650 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:49,040 Speaker 2: Perhaps only you should sing. 651 00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:52,400 Speaker 1: No, it could be cute if we harmonize. 652 00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:54,720 Speaker 2: It would it would be less cute if I harmon. 653 00:29:56,360 --> 00:30:02,280 Speaker 1: You go high, I'll go low. You did get a 654 00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:04,640 Speaker 1: lot of that's a mail this week. 655 00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:08,760 Speaker 2: We got emails at the money pod at Bloomberg dot 656 00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:12,160 Speaker 2: net email address. And now we will read some of them. 657 00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:15,200 Speaker 2: If you want your emails we read, send it to 658 00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:17,960 Speaker 2: money Pod at Bloomberg dot net and we'll see what 659 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:18,360 Speaker 2: we can do. 660 00:30:18,680 --> 00:30:21,560 Speaker 1: Phil the Jeweler had some facts for us. 661 00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:24,320 Speaker 2: I don't think he signed his name Phil the Jeweler's. 662 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:26,680 Speaker 3: But his name is Phil and he is a metals 663 00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:31,080 Speaker 3: and jewelry design professor. Okay, so Phil writes, I'm going 664 00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:32,800 Speaker 3: to imagine that you are going to get a lot 665 00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:35,360 Speaker 3: of this. But an ounce of gold does not weigh 666 00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:38,640 Speaker 3: an ounce, or more specifically, gold is typically described and 667 00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:41,280 Speaker 3: sold in Troy ounces and not the normal ounce we 668 00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:46,840 Speaker 3: were used to. I can't pronounce that word avoir dupois ounce. 669 00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 1: I don't know. 670 00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:48,640 Speaker 2: This is pretty good. 671 00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,880 Speaker 3: So an ounce of gold weighs almost one point one ounces. 672 00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:54,760 Speaker 3: I'm guessing you probably already know this, but just because 673 00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:56,560 Speaker 3: you mentioned that an ounce of gold weight an ounce, 674 00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:59,040 Speaker 3: I thought I would just send it in case. So 675 00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:02,120 Speaker 3: I can't remember remember exactly how this originated. 676 00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:04,640 Speaker 2: Okay, So you were talking about how gold is heavy, yeah, 677 00:31:04,680 --> 00:31:06,240 Speaker 2: and you were like, it costs like forty dollars to 678 00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:09,200 Speaker 2: mail an ounce of gold, and I was like, that's 679 00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:12,040 Speaker 2: not that heavy, Like it's dense, but an ounce of 680 00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:15,480 Speaker 2: gold weighs an ounce, And now we have received a 681 00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:17,600 Speaker 2: reader correction pointing out that anounce of gold does not 682 00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:18,760 Speaker 2: weigh an ounce, which is really wild. 683 00:31:19,040 --> 00:31:22,160 Speaker 3: Let me clarify what I'm What I was trying to 684 00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:25,320 Speaker 3: say is that it's expensive to mail gold. 685 00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:28,120 Speaker 1: I know, do you want to talk about old fashions. 686 00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:31,160 Speaker 2: A little bit? So getting a correction from a reader 687 00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,200 Speaker 2: that announce of gold does not weigh announces one of 688 00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:35,640 Speaker 2: my better corrections. But it reminds me of my very 689 00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:39,360 Speaker 2: favorite probably reader mail bag of all time, which is it? 690 00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:43,120 Speaker 2: Years ago I was writing about some article that described 691 00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:45,800 Speaker 2: like a quantity of sugar and they were like, that's 692 00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:48,920 Speaker 2: enough to fill three thousand Olympic sized swimming pools. And 693 00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:51,960 Speaker 2: I was like, how is that a helpful description? 694 00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:52,600 Speaker 3: Yeah? 695 00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:55,080 Speaker 2: Who puts sugar in swimming pools? And so I wrote 696 00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:57,800 Speaker 2: jokingly like, if you combine three thousand Olympic sized swimming 697 00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:00,520 Speaker 2: pools of sugar with three thousand swimming pools of to 698 00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:02,960 Speaker 2: form six thousand Olympics sized swimming pools of simple syrup, 699 00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,040 Speaker 2: having Katie that ike, you swim through them and then 700 00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:08,280 Speaker 2: use the syrup to make three trillion old fashioned cocktails. 701 00:32:08,800 --> 00:32:11,720 Speaker 2: And I got so many emails. 702 00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:12,880 Speaker 1: I mean, that's just bait. 703 00:32:13,040 --> 00:32:15,360 Speaker 2: I got emails that were like, actually, if you combine 704 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,480 Speaker 2: three thousand pools of sugar with three thousand pools of water, 705 00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:20,320 Speaker 2: you wouldn't get six thousand pools because the sugar dissolves 706 00:32:20,320 --> 00:32:23,400 Speaker 2: in the water. The syrup that it makes is denser 707 00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:25,160 Speaker 2: than the water, So you'd only be able to fill 708 00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:27,800 Speaker 2: about forty five hundred pools with the combination of those 709 00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:28,760 Speaker 2: three thousand. 710 00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:30,520 Speaker 1: And kind of shocked that you would make such an 711 00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:31,240 Speaker 1: error like that. 712 00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:34,600 Speaker 2: In retrospect, it seemed obvious and I was embarrassed. I 713 00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:36,760 Speaker 2: also got to read your emails. It was around the 714 00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:38,640 Speaker 2: time of the Olympics. Kitty that Ichi was in the news. 715 00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:41,120 Speaker 2: I read about her swimming through these pools of syrup, 716 00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:43,000 Speaker 2: and I said something like it would probably take her 717 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:45,320 Speaker 2: longer than her usual time to swim through a pool 718 00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:46,760 Speaker 2: of syrup because it's. 719 00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:48,520 Speaker 1: Thick and gooey, And you were kind of wrong on that. 720 00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:51,600 Speaker 2: I was wrong on that too. Apparently Isaac Newton wrote 721 00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:54,080 Speaker 2: about this because it's like it's harder to get through 722 00:32:54,120 --> 00:32:56,640 Speaker 2: the pools. I'm making swimming motions that you can't see 723 00:32:56,720 --> 00:32:57,280 Speaker 2: on this audio. 724 00:32:57,280 --> 00:32:58,880 Speaker 1: On the podcast they're very convincing. 725 00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:01,600 Speaker 2: It's hard. It's harder to move through the pool because 726 00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,960 Speaker 2: it's thick, but you also get more forced because you're 727 00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:06,680 Speaker 2: pushing off on thicker stuff and they cancel out. And 728 00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:09,840 Speaker 2: actually professors had done experiments and it turns out to 729 00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:11,800 Speaker 2: be true. You can serve just as fast and syrup 730 00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:12,880 Speaker 2: as you can in water. 731 00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:16,880 Speaker 3: So one of my like rich person fantasies is a 732 00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:19,960 Speaker 3: sort of uh is to fill up a pool with 733 00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 3: pudding or jell o and see what that would be like. 734 00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:26,440 Speaker 3: But a little worried about suffocating, right, I. 735 00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:28,560 Speaker 2: Don't want to give you any advice. Yeah, but it 736 00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:30,880 Speaker 2: does seem like you could swim as fast through putting 737 00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:33,640 Speaker 2: as you could through water. But I don't know what 738 00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:36,240 Speaker 2: the sinking situation that is. We're going to get email 739 00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:37,080 Speaker 2: about that too good. 740 00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:40,240 Speaker 3: No, please someone write in about that, because obviously in 741 00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:42,720 Speaker 3: water you float. I don't think you float and pudding. 742 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:44,840 Speaker 2: I'm not trying to speculate, but our readers will. 743 00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:49,880 Speaker 3: On one, you learned your lessons, Okay, moving swiftly along, 744 00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:52,640 Speaker 3: so Alex writes in a version of the Great Consumer 745 00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:56,600 Speaker 3: Financial Arbitrage I've heard goes as follow one get a 746 00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:59,200 Speaker 3: no limit credit card from a bank, two using that 747 00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:02,720 Speaker 3: card by the three have the bank forgive your credit 748 00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:06,080 Speaker 3: card debt for profit question mark you own a bank now, 749 00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:06,920 Speaker 3: can't be that hard. 750 00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:08,839 Speaker 2: So why can't you buy a bank of a credit card? 751 00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:12,120 Speaker 2: Because merchants have to agree to accept credit cards, right, 752 00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:14,120 Speaker 2: because it costs money to accept the credit card. Right, 753 00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:15,759 Speaker 2: every time you do a credit card transaction, you have 754 00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:17,320 Speaker 2: to pay the credit card company like one and a 755 00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:20,200 Speaker 2: half percent or two percent of the transaction. So a 756 00:34:20,200 --> 00:34:22,600 Speaker 2: lot of businesses want to accept credit cards so they 757 00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:24,520 Speaker 2: can increase their seals. But M and A bankers are 758 00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:26,520 Speaker 2: not one of those businesses, right, They're like not going 759 00:34:26,560 --> 00:34:29,120 Speaker 2: to pay two percent to the credit card company. And also, 760 00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:32,040 Speaker 2: like if you get a credit card to buy a bank, 761 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:34,560 Speaker 2: the credit card is not going to have a sufficient 762 00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:36,279 Speaker 2: limit to buy the bank. You're not going to have 763 00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:39,200 Speaker 2: like a one hundred million dollar ten billion dollar credit 764 00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:42,640 Speaker 2: limit on your credit card. That said, the basic idea 765 00:34:43,040 --> 00:34:46,760 Speaker 2: of like step one, borrow money, step two, buy a bank, 766 00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:49,560 Speaker 2: step three forgive the loan is like kind of a 767 00:34:49,600 --> 00:34:52,480 Speaker 2: really deep one. A lot of finance, a lot of 768 00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,240 Speaker 2: financial companies work this way where you have a giant 769 00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:57,960 Speaker 2: pool of assets that is very levered. So at bank 770 00:34:58,280 --> 00:35:01,359 Speaker 2: with ten billion dollars of ho assets will probably have 771 00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:04,560 Speaker 2: stock that's worth one billion dollars or less. Right, it 772 00:35:04,600 --> 00:35:07,800 Speaker 2: will be like ten to oneish ratio of assets to stock. 773 00:35:08,080 --> 00:35:10,160 Speaker 2: If you could get a billion dollars and buy the stock, 774 00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:13,000 Speaker 2: then you would control ten billion dollars of assets. Then 775 00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:14,960 Speaker 2: you could just lend it all to yourself and forgive 776 00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:17,200 Speaker 2: the loan, and then you have a huge profit. This 777 00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:20,640 Speaker 2: works financially. It's a good idea, except that it's like 778 00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:23,360 Speaker 2: wildly illegal because you're stealing the money from the bank's customers. 779 00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:26,440 Speaker 2: But like much of bank regulation is cured around preventing 780 00:35:26,520 --> 00:35:28,880 Speaker 2: people from doing that, right, like the rules regulating related 781 00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:31,120 Speaker 2: party loans, so that the president of a bank who 782 00:35:31,160 --> 00:35:34,160 Speaker 2: controls the one billion dollars of bank stock doesn't lend 783 00:35:34,200 --> 00:35:36,840 Speaker 2: himself ten billion dollars and then forgive it. There's rules 784 00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:39,680 Speaker 2: around that. Because it is a good idea, you don't 785 00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:41,160 Speaker 2: see it that much in banking, but you see it 786 00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:45,000 Speaker 2: a lot in insurance, where smart investors will. 787 00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:48,879 Speaker 1: Say, let's buy life insurance policies so that but. 788 00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:51,160 Speaker 2: No, what I was thinking of is smart investors will 789 00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:53,480 Speaker 2: say I have a million dollars. I would like to 790 00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:56,320 Speaker 2: make investments. I'm really good at making investments. I'd like 791 00:35:56,360 --> 00:35:58,319 Speaker 2: to make ten million dollars of investments. How can I 792 00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:00,480 Speaker 2: do that? I only have one million dollars. Will buy 793 00:36:00,520 --> 00:36:03,359 Speaker 2: a life insurance company for one million dollars, and then 794 00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:05,160 Speaker 2: I will have the life insurance comp You know, life 795 00:36:05,160 --> 00:36:07,680 Speaker 2: insurance also a very levered company, right, it has all 796 00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:11,000 Speaker 2: this policyholder assets that it can invest. I will buy 797 00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:13,399 Speaker 2: the life insurance company stock for a million dollars. I'll 798 00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:16,000 Speaker 2: take over the life insurance company, and then I'll have 799 00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:18,600 Speaker 2: ten million dollars to invest in all my other good ideas. Right. 800 00:36:19,760 --> 00:36:22,800 Speaker 2: Sometimes people get arrested for this when like they're good ideas, 801 00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:26,040 Speaker 2: are like they're other weird companies that they are making 802 00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:29,560 Speaker 2: concentrated risky bets that sort of run a foul of 803 00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:32,319 Speaker 2: life insurance standards. Other times, people who do this are 804 00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:35,799 Speaker 2: Warren Buffett, Like Warren Buffett, right, Like buy a life 805 00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:37,680 Speaker 2: insurance company and now he like controls a life insurance 806 00:36:37,680 --> 00:36:39,799 Speaker 2: company and gets to make investments. And everyone's like, oh, 807 00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:41,759 Speaker 2: he's so good at making investments. It's good that he 808 00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:43,920 Speaker 2: has this giant pool of life insurance money to invest 809 00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:48,240 Speaker 2: and that's true, But like taking over a levered financial 810 00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:50,960 Speaker 2: institution in order to control the money of that levered 811 00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:54,000 Speaker 2: financial institution is a great idea, and people do it sometimes. 812 00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:56,600 Speaker 1: So Alex sounds like you're on the right. 813 00:36:56,440 --> 00:36:59,480 Speaker 2: Track, except for the illegality, right. 814 00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:02,640 Speaker 3: For sure, keep thinking, so, Steve writes in with some 815 00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:05,719 Speaker 3: stern words for you. He says, from time to time 816 00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:09,520 Speaker 3: you mentioned dentists in your commentaries, certainly with more frequency 817 00:37:09,560 --> 00:37:13,000 Speaker 3: than one would expect from a financial writer. Sometimes use 818 00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:17,840 Speaker 3: dentists as the archetypal rubes getting scammed for an unsophisticated 819 00:37:17,880 --> 00:37:20,719 Speaker 3: financial crime. I want to be shocked and offended by 820 00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:24,680 Speaker 3: such a portrayal, perhaps having the American Dental Association brand 821 00:37:24,760 --> 00:37:28,520 Speaker 3: you as an anti dentype. My discussions with colleagues seem 822 00:37:28,560 --> 00:37:31,080 Speaker 3: to bear that out, that sure enough, dentists are greater 823 00:37:31,160 --> 00:37:34,920 Speaker 3: rubes than the average well educated professional. Could you comment 824 00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:38,400 Speaker 3: on what you think uniquely qualifies dentists to be such rubes, 825 00:37:38,640 --> 00:37:42,680 Speaker 3: and more generally, what makes a good target for financial criminals. 826 00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:45,120 Speaker 2: I'm sorry to the dentists. I don't think I ever 827 00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:49,000 Speaker 2: really thought about it much as like dentists specifically. In fact, 828 00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:50,880 Speaker 2: I think I once wrote that The general rule of 829 00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:53,400 Speaker 2: US securities law is that you're not allowed to invest 830 00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:56,759 Speaker 2: in risky, weird private companies unless you're a dentist. But 831 00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:59,640 Speaker 2: then I qualified it and said or a radiologist or 832 00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:02,799 Speaker 2: a retired professional football player. I mean. The point is 833 00:38:02,840 --> 00:38:08,919 Speaker 2: that there are rules that say only qualified investors, any 834 00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:12,959 Speaker 2: accredited investors they called, can invest in certain private offerings. Right. 835 00:38:13,080 --> 00:38:20,000 Speaker 2: Private offerings typically have less disclosure, weirder financials, more fees, 836 00:38:20,280 --> 00:38:23,560 Speaker 2: more hidden fees than like public market investments. And so 837 00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:25,320 Speaker 2: there are a lot of people in the world whose 838 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:28,160 Speaker 2: job it is to find people to invest in not 839 00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:32,279 Speaker 2: very good privately marketed investments. And so those people are 840 00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:35,080 Speaker 2: looking for accredited investors. Right. They're looking for people who 841 00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:38,200 Speaker 2: make more than a certain amount of money, and dentists 842 00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:41,040 Speaker 2: are a nice target because they all pretty much make 843 00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:43,520 Speaker 2: more than the accredited investor threshold, which I think is 844 00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:46,480 Speaker 2: like two hundred thousand dollars a year. But they're not 845 00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:50,480 Speaker 2: typically millionaires, so they don't have like a family office 846 00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:53,840 Speaker 2: that devets investments for them. They're not like tech startup 847 00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:57,560 Speaker 2: people who've exited Tech startups are good targets for private investments, 848 00:38:57,560 --> 00:39:00,520 Speaker 2: but they're like connected to venture capitalists. It's a good 849 00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:02,840 Speaker 2: venture capital investments. If you're just like a dentist in 850 00:39:02,840 --> 00:39:04,920 Speaker 2: the middle of the country, you have no like necessary 851 00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:08,800 Speaker 2: like connections to high finance, but you have enough money 852 00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:11,879 Speaker 2: to be put into really bad investment decisions. So people 853 00:39:11,920 --> 00:39:14,319 Speaker 2: are targeting you. It's not that you're bad, it's that 854 00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:16,920 Speaker 2: you're in that like narrow band of rich enough to 855 00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:19,640 Speaker 2: have access to like the worst possible investments, but also 856 00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:21,239 Speaker 2: not so rich that you have access to the best 857 00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:23,600 Speaker 2: possible investments. So I think that's the main reason. 858 00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:24,520 Speaker 1: Well, thank you for that. 859 00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:29,920 Speaker 2: Sorry dentists, no bad. Yeah, you can send you know 860 00:39:30,080 --> 00:39:32,680 Speaker 2: through money pot at Bloomberg dot net if you want 861 00:39:32,760 --> 00:39:36,360 Speaker 2: to be a participant in a future mail bag segments. 862 00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:39,319 Speaker 3: So you did sing, We're going to get that out there, 863 00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:44,200 Speaker 3: mash them together like the harmonize. 864 00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:47,279 Speaker 1: You did go high, So that was perfect. Should I 865 00:39:47,320 --> 00:39:49,240 Speaker 1: go low? Anyway? 866 00:39:49,239 --> 00:39:50,400 Speaker 2: That was the Many Stuff podcasts. 867 00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:52,560 Speaker 1: I'm Matt Levin and I'm Katie Greefeld. 868 00:39:52,840 --> 00:39:54,680 Speaker 2: You can find my work by subscribing to the Money 869 00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:55,600 Speaker 2: Stuff newsletter on. 870 00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:58,240 Speaker 3: Bloomberg dot com, and you can find me on Bloomberg 871 00:39:58,280 --> 00:40:01,839 Speaker 3: TV every day between ten to eleven am Eastern we'd 872 00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:02,800 Speaker 3: love to hear from you. 873 00:40:02,800 --> 00:40:05,399 Speaker 2: You can send an email to Moneypod at bloomberg dot net, 874 00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:07,719 Speaker 2: ask us a question and we might answer it on 875 00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:08,160 Speaker 2: the air. 876 00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:11,440 Speaker 3: You can also subscribe to our show wherever you're listening 877 00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:13,759 Speaker 3: right now and leave us a review. It helps more 878 00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:14,680 Speaker 3: people find the show. 879 00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:18,120 Speaker 2: The Money Stuff Podcast is produced by Ana Mazerakus and 880 00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:19,279 Speaker 2: Roses adam Our. 881 00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:21,280 Speaker 1: Theme music was composed by Blake Maples. 882 00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:24,440 Speaker 2: Brandon Francis Newnham is our executive producer. 883 00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:26,520 Speaker 1: And Sage Bauman is Bloomberg's head of Podcasts. 884 00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:29,239 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to The Money Stuff Podcast. We'll be 885 00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:30,720 Speaker 2: back next week with more stuff.