WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 6) 0:00:00.840 --> 0:00:05.480 Ka Boom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes 0:00:05.519 --> 0:00:08.680 a week was enough, I think again. He's the last 0:00:08.840 --> 0:00:12.440 remnants of the Old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. 0:00:12.520 --> 0:00:15.520 He treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as 0:00:15.560 --> 0:00:19.760 the rich pill poppers in the penthouse, to clearinghouse of 0:00:19.760 --> 0:00:23.560 hot takes. Break free for something special. The Fifth Hour 0:00:23.720 --> 0:00:32.720 with Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere. 0:00:32.760 --> 0:00:37.839 Welcome into another special edition of The Fifth Hour with 0:00:38.080 --> 0:00:43.159 Ben Maller and Danny G Radio. It is Benny versus 0:00:43.240 --> 0:00:48.440 the Penny, week number six of the NFL season, as 0:00:48.440 --> 0:00:52.839 we handicap every single game. It's NFL handicapping for the 0:00:52.880 --> 0:00:56.800 regular Guy and Danny G. We are back at it again. 0:00:56.880 --> 0:01:00.240 A little bit of a twist this week in in 0:01:00.280 --> 0:01:04.200 the NFL because not everyone is playing Danny this weekend. 0:01:04.280 --> 0:01:08.200 Not everyone is playing. The NFL bye weeks kicking in 0:01:08.240 --> 0:01:10.960 this week, so there are some teams that will not 0:01:11.040 --> 0:01:13.600 be playing. But we are back at it here. The 0:01:13.720 --> 0:01:18.880 bye weeks go between Week six and Week fourteen, so 0:01:19.080 --> 0:01:23.600 for the next eight weeks we're gonna have at least 0:01:23.640 --> 0:01:25.679 a couple of teams every week that will not be 0:01:25.720 --> 0:01:31.360 playing this week. The Lions, the Texans, the Titans, and 0:01:31.600 --> 0:01:35.520 your Raiders are not playing. So those are the teams 0:01:35.560 --> 0:01:37.880 that are out this weekend. So yeah, and you know 0:01:37.920 --> 0:01:41.000 I'm the Pennies representative so far this season. It asked 0:01:41.040 --> 0:01:44.640 me when it's bye week, is yes, well, the no 0:01:44.880 --> 0:01:49.440 days off for the Penny. No days off. It's like 0:01:49.800 --> 0:01:52.360 Tony Romo and Jim Nance. They have to do every 0:01:52.400 --> 0:01:55.680 game every week for CBS. So before we get to 0:01:55.720 --> 0:02:01.680 the card today, onto the next podcast, the players. You're welcome. 0:02:05.480 --> 0:02:13.520 It's time now Penny versus the Penny. Before we get 0:02:13.560 --> 0:02:15.760 to the car today, we must look back at what 0:02:15.800 --> 0:02:20.040 we did last week. Week five, Banny versus the Penny. 0:02:20.200 --> 0:02:23.360 The Penny sixteen games on the card, the Penny went 0:02:23.639 --> 0:02:27.320 eight seven and one, so a winning week, but only 0:02:27.440 --> 0:02:31.640 by one for the Penny. So that's kind of where 0:02:31.639 --> 0:02:34.120 you expect the Penny to be every week, within a 0:02:34.200 --> 0:02:38.160 game or two, because you're just flipping a an inanomant object. Now. 0:02:38.320 --> 0:02:42.720 I went ten five and one against the spread, did 0:02:42.840 --> 0:02:46.519 very well in the early games, struggled in the late 0:02:46.600 --> 0:02:49.399 television window. I got burned. The Eagles had a two 0:02:49.440 --> 0:02:52.239 touchdown lead, failed to cover. There were a couple of 0:02:52.280 --> 0:02:54.360 other things that did not go my way in the 0:02:54.440 --> 0:02:57.200 late television windows. So but ten five and one, all 0:02:57.240 --> 0:02:59.760 of this is documented. I want you to know, Danny. 0:02:59.800 --> 0:03:03.880 We've got Robin, Vegas, David and Florida along with Roscoe 0:03:03.960 --> 0:03:07.160 the Parrot, and these guys are the ambassadors of Benny 0:03:07.280 --> 0:03:09.359 versus the Penny, along with some other people, and they're 0:03:09.440 --> 0:03:12.080 keeping track to make sure that I am not giving 0:03:12.120 --> 0:03:16.000 any kind of erroneous information, all right, So that's that's 0:03:16.040 --> 0:03:18.519 the way it is. Yeah, Well, you've never been known 0:03:18.520 --> 0:03:23.440 to cheat at anything involving radio. I don't know why 0:03:23.480 --> 0:03:25.760 they need to check your work. Well, there's no You're 0:03:25.760 --> 0:03:28.400 absolutely right on that. Uh. Eddie is the one that 0:03:28.480 --> 0:03:31.160 does the cheating. He's not on this podcast, so I 0:03:31.160 --> 0:03:33.600 don't need to worry about that. How about shut up? 0:03:34.400 --> 0:03:39.800 Overall season totals. Now, the overall season totals the Penny 0:03:39.840 --> 0:03:42.840 thirty seven, forty one and two. That's a four seventy 0:03:42.880 --> 0:03:46.480 four winning percentage. Four games under. The Penny had that 0:03:46.800 --> 0:03:51.000 dreadful Week three, Danny, where the Penny went three and thirteen, 0:03:51.160 --> 0:03:54.640 the single worst week I've ever seen since I've been 0:03:54.640 --> 0:03:58.880 doing this bit for over fifteen years longer than that. 0:03:58.960 --> 0:04:02.520 Now three and thirteen in week three, so the penny 0:04:02.560 --> 0:04:05.880 is still under five over five hundred outside of that week, 0:04:05.920 --> 0:04:08.640 but you can't make up for that week very quickly. 0:04:08.760 --> 0:04:15.240 And I I overall and forty five thirty two and three, 0:04:15.280 --> 0:04:18.200 So penny forty two and three. That's a five eight 0:04:18.440 --> 0:04:22.520 four winning percentage. Now, if you're a gambler, and chances 0:04:22.520 --> 0:04:24.719 are you are if you're listening to this, in order 0:04:24.760 --> 0:04:27.599 to win money as a sports better, there's a magic 0:04:27.760 --> 0:04:30.599 number that you have to hit. You have to win 0:04:30.839 --> 0:04:36.400 more than fifty two point four of your bets. So 0:04:36.600 --> 0:04:40.000 I am ahead of where I need to be, not 0:04:40.120 --> 0:04:44.360 by a ton, but enough. The penny is under five hundred, 0:04:44.440 --> 0:04:47.800 so you gotta have a chit chat with the penny there, Danny. Yeah, 0:04:47.880 --> 0:04:51.440 penny is underpaid as it is. All right, Well, we'll 0:04:51.480 --> 0:04:54.720 see what happens this weekend in a week number six, 0:04:54.720 --> 0:04:57.880 and we'll get started with the early games Tampa Bay 0:04:57.920 --> 0:05:03.000 three and two, Pittsburgh in four. It's on Fox. Now. 0:05:03.080 --> 0:05:05.919 The play by play lineup for foxes up in the 0:05:05.920 --> 0:05:08.479 air because of the Baseball playoffs. This game will either 0:05:08.520 --> 0:05:12.800 have Joe Davis or Brandon Gotten, who as the play 0:05:12.839 --> 0:05:15.560 by play guy along with Darryl moose Johnston. The Bucks 0:05:15.600 --> 0:05:17.960 opened a six and a half point favorite. They are 0:05:18.000 --> 0:05:21.279 favored by nine. The handle on this game a heavy 0:05:21.400 --> 0:05:25.400 lean towards the Buccaneers. The public thinks this is a 0:05:25.400 --> 0:05:30.000 free money situation here and temperatures in the low sixties 0:05:30.000 --> 0:05:33.960 that kick off at the stadium formerly known as Hines Field. 0:05:34.120 --> 0:05:35.920 Some of the numbers, some of the trends on this game. 0:05:36.000 --> 0:05:39.440 Tampa Bay. They're six and nine against the spread their 0:05:39.520 --> 0:05:42.520 last fifteen is a road favorite of more than seven, 0:05:43.200 --> 0:05:47.280 But the Buccaneers are five and two their last seven 0:05:47.320 --> 0:05:50.760 games against the spread on the road. With Tom Brady 0:05:50.839 --> 0:05:53.520 and the numbers on Pittsburgh, it's hard to really go 0:05:53.720 --> 0:05:56.320 by any of the trends because the Steelers have never 0:05:56.360 --> 0:05:59.960 been this bad, not under Mike Tomlin. But the Steeler 0:06:00.080 --> 0:06:03.799 as a home underdog when they had decent teams eleven 0:06:03.960 --> 0:06:08.040 five and four their last games has been a great wager. Now, 0:06:08.080 --> 0:06:12.920 the Pittsburgh defense allowing four hundred sixteen yards per game, 0:06:13.680 --> 0:06:16.080 and that is thirty in total defense. But I am 0:06:16.120 --> 0:06:18.640 taking the Steelers in this game, and I'll tell you why. 0:06:18.800 --> 0:06:21.640 The Buccaneers have yet to play a complete game. They 0:06:21.640 --> 0:06:24.960 have played very well for a quarter here, a quarter there, 0:06:25.080 --> 0:06:27.000 or a half here and a half there, but they 0:06:27.040 --> 0:06:32.279 have yet to go full throttle for four quarters and 0:06:32.560 --> 0:06:35.680 just blow someone away. Now the Steelers. I'm not gonna 0:06:35.680 --> 0:06:38.040 sit here an upsell the Steelers. The Steelers have been horrific, 0:06:38.440 --> 0:06:42.920 but Kenny Pikett had some promise in the game against Buffalo. 0:06:42.960 --> 0:06:45.680 So how you're talking out of You took us, it 0:06:45.839 --> 0:06:48.360 was thirty eight to three. What are you talking about? Listen, 0:06:48.600 --> 0:06:50.680 there were several drops you saw that game. There was 0:06:50.760 --> 0:06:53.920 some misplays by the white outse for Pittsburgh. That's stuff 0:06:53.960 --> 0:06:57.520 that can be corrected. And it's hard to imagine a 0:06:57.640 --> 0:07:01.000 Mike Tomlin team, no matter how how bad the Steelers 0:07:01.000 --> 0:07:04.680 are getting their doors blown out in back to back games, 0:07:04.680 --> 0:07:08.320 this game has backdoor cover written all over because Tampa Bay, 0:07:08.360 --> 0:07:11.280 even last week against Atlanta, we saw them play a 0:07:11.320 --> 0:07:13.520 good first half, not a good second half. So I'm 0:07:13.560 --> 0:07:16.720 gonna take the Buccaneers to win, but not cover that 0:07:16.920 --> 0:07:21.400 nine point line. Bucks twenty three and the Steelers sixteen 0:07:26.480 --> 0:07:29.520 and early on the penny is cheating off of your paper. 0:07:29.640 --> 0:07:32.400 Going with the Steelers, alright, So agreement on that Next 0:07:32.480 --> 0:07:37.000 up Cincinnati at New Orleans in the Buyou, both teams 0:07:37.040 --> 0:07:40.600 two and three. It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel and 0:07:40.720 --> 0:07:45.200 Adam Archiletta. Gumble hates sports radio factor that in don't 0:07:45.200 --> 0:07:48.080 have any handle information on this game for some reason. 0:07:48.120 --> 0:07:50.960 But the temperature in New Orleans giving the eighties. It's 0:07:51.000 --> 0:07:54.000 a dome, so it doesn't matter. Cincinnati check this out. 0:07:54.040 --> 0:07:58.040 With Joe Burrow starting their last ten games on the road, 0:07:58.040 --> 0:08:02.480 They've gone eight and two, but they have not done 0:08:02.520 --> 0:08:05.600 well in this spot coming off a Sunday night game. 0:08:05.640 --> 0:08:09.520 The Bengals lost on a late field goal against the 0:08:09.600 --> 0:08:13.120 Ravens last week. Cincinnati just two and six against the 0:08:13.160 --> 0:08:16.480 spread their last eight after playing on Sunday night. But 0:08:16.560 --> 0:08:19.000 I am taking the Bengals in this game. Rarely does 0:08:19.040 --> 0:08:20.880 since he have back to back stinkers. They didn't have 0:08:20.880 --> 0:08:23.400 a stinket last week, but they were down most of 0:08:23.440 --> 0:08:26.400 that game that came back. The Bengals are eleven and 0:08:26.560 --> 0:08:30.800 three against the spread with Joe Burrow coming off a loss, 0:08:31.640 --> 0:08:34.160 and I am not a believer in New Orleans. They 0:08:34.200 --> 0:08:38.320 are a middling team. Jamis Winston maybe back, probably not. 0:08:38.559 --> 0:08:43.560 Andy Dalton, the Gadget Guy doesn't matter who's out there. 0:08:43.559 --> 0:08:46.439 I'm gonna take the Bengals in a nip and tuck game. 0:08:47.080 --> 0:08:50.240 Since Sinnati they're only favorite body one. They'll win this game. 0:08:50.280 --> 0:08:53.800 Bengals twenty four and the Saints twenty two at the 0:08:53.840 --> 0:09:00.880 super Dome. The final penny is the only one who 0:09:00.880 --> 0:09:03.680 doesn't want to punch Dennis Allen in the face going 0:09:03.760 --> 0:09:06.920 with the Saints. Dennis Allen so far looking very much 0:09:06.920 --> 0:09:10.079 like the Dennis Allen that coached the Oakland Raiders back 0:09:10.360 --> 0:09:12.880 in the in the day. Yeah, talk about a punchable 0:09:12.960 --> 0:09:15.959 face and not and not the good and Dennis Allen 0:09:16.000 --> 0:09:18.160 one of the coaches responsible for the Raiders no longer 0:09:18.200 --> 0:09:20.160 being in Oakland. They were so bad for so long 0:09:20.679 --> 0:09:23.360 they couldn't generate any revenue to build a stadium, and 0:09:23.400 --> 0:09:25.440 they moved to we know where they ended up in. 0:09:26.080 --> 0:09:30.120 I don't know, Nevada, all right. Jacksonville two and three 0:09:30.320 --> 0:09:33.199 at Indianapolis to two and one. That's the next game 0:09:33.240 --> 0:09:36.760 on the card. It's on CBS with Andrew Catalan and 0:09:36.880 --> 0:09:41.640 James lofton the game match up here. The Colts opened 0:09:41.679 --> 0:09:45.880 a one point favorite. They are favored by two inside 0:09:45.920 --> 0:09:49.440 the Dome, the friendly Confines at Lucas Oil Stadium, Sonny 0:09:49.520 --> 0:09:54.480 in fifty seven degrees a kickoff, but it's indoors. Jacksonville 0:09:54.480 --> 0:09:56.199 has been a terrible team in October. They've been a 0:09:56.240 --> 0:09:58.800 terrible team the last couple of weeks three and twelve 0:09:58.840 --> 0:10:02.600 against the spread, their last fifteen one in six against 0:10:02.640 --> 0:10:05.520 the spread, their last seven with Trevor Lawrence starting on 0:10:05.559 --> 0:10:08.160 the road. They did win earlier this year in Los 0:10:08.240 --> 0:10:12.800 Angeles in the Hood in Inglewood against the Chargers, a 0:10:13.120 --> 0:10:17.199 big win early on. But Jacksonville six and one against 0:10:17.200 --> 0:10:21.160 the spread the seven matchups against Frank Reich as coach 0:10:21.280 --> 0:10:26.400 of the Colts and Indianapolis. It goes further back than that. 0:10:26.520 --> 0:10:30.360 Indianapolis is one thirteen and one against the spread their 0:10:30.480 --> 0:10:35.040 last fifteen against Jacksonville. That is a trend that has 0:10:35.080 --> 0:10:38.800 gone through multiple coaches, multiple quarterbacks, and no matter what, 0:10:38.960 --> 0:10:43.160 Indianapolis has problems even you know, forget winning they won 0:10:43.240 --> 0:10:45.760 some of those games but covering the spread. So I'm 0:10:45.800 --> 0:10:47.800 taking Jacksonville in this game. Jacksonville has had a couple 0:10:47.840 --> 0:10:51.679 of clunkers in a row. Indian doesn't really do anything 0:10:51.720 --> 0:10:54.959 that well. Matt Ryan is a fossil. He's got eleven 0:10:55.000 --> 0:10:58.040 fumbles already this season. The defense does not generate a 0:10:58.040 --> 0:11:01.560 lot of pressure in Indie and this should be a 0:11:01.640 --> 0:11:05.120 boomerang game for Trevor Lawrence. I expect him to bounce 0:11:05.160 --> 0:11:09.400 back this week and have a sparkling stat line. It 0:11:09.480 --> 0:11:12.960 should be a clean pocket and you limit the mistakes 0:11:12.960 --> 0:11:17.360 here Jacksonville. They will pull this one out as a 0:11:17.440 --> 0:11:23.080 small road underdog. Jags and the Colts twenty three the 0:11:23.120 --> 0:11:30.320 final and the penny is kicking it with the Colts 0:11:31.120 --> 0:11:33.240 alright to have bad job there. Next up, this is 0:11:33.360 --> 0:11:36.360 game I like a lot New England two and three 0:11:36.600 --> 0:11:40.680 at Cleveland two and three US on CBS with Kevin 0:11:40.720 --> 0:11:43.760 Harlan and Trent Green. They have to call the game. 0:11:43.840 --> 0:11:45.959 Opened up the Browns by three and a half. It's 0:11:46.000 --> 0:11:49.440 been bent down. Brown's favored by two and a half 0:11:50.320 --> 0:11:53.400 in this game. Temperatures getting a little cooler in Cleveland. 0:11:53.440 --> 0:11:58.240 Temperatures in the low fifties at First Energy Stadium. And 0:11:58.480 --> 0:12:01.600 some numbers on this game to Patriots eleven and four 0:12:01.679 --> 0:12:04.079 against the spread of the last fifteen on the road 0:12:04.160 --> 0:12:08.160 in October and Bill Belichick. You go way back with 0:12:08.280 --> 0:12:12.559 Belichick as an underdog and he is in his last 0:12:13.280 --> 0:12:16.559 games as an underdog. He's twenty three games above five 0:12:17.679 --> 0:12:21.120 and Cleveland cannot get out of their own way. The Browns, 0:12:21.160 --> 0:12:25.360 it's very bizarre when they've been favored by seven or less. 0:12:25.440 --> 0:12:30.600 They are one eight and one against the spread, and 0:12:30.640 --> 0:12:34.360 the Browns two and eight at home on Sunday against 0:12:34.400 --> 0:12:36.640 the spread. I'm taking the Patriots in this game, and 0:12:36.920 --> 0:12:39.440 I like this match up a lot. They say that 0:12:39.520 --> 0:12:43.400 styles make fights, they also make football games. Ramandre Stevenson, 0:12:45.080 --> 0:12:46.959 that's the guy I'm putting my money on here. The 0:12:47.000 --> 0:12:49.360 Patriots were able to ground in pound. We expect New 0:12:49.400 --> 0:12:53.000 England to chew up the clock, take advantage of the 0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:57.679 real blind spot in the Browns attack their run defense. 0:12:58.480 --> 0:13:00.680 A couple of guys got hurt and they have gone 0:13:01.280 --> 0:13:03.920 up in flames. There defensively is stopping the run the 0:13:04.000 --> 0:13:07.480 last month or so. Now, Mac Jones may come back 0:13:07.760 --> 0:13:09.959 at the time we're we're doing Penny versus de Penny, 0:13:09.960 --> 0:13:12.440 But to me, it doesn't matter. I mean, and Bailey 0:13:12.559 --> 0:13:17.120 Zappy can stand there and hand off to Ramandre Stevenson 0:13:17.160 --> 0:13:20.840 as well as the next guy, and the Patriots, whether 0:13:20.840 --> 0:13:23.520 it's mac Jones or Zappy, are not gonna throw the 0:13:23.559 --> 0:13:27.480 ball all that much. They're gonna play it conservative, close 0:13:27.520 --> 0:13:30.960 to the events, the rudimentary attack, ground and pound, all 0:13:30.960 --> 0:13:35.240 that and I say a close game, but the wrong 0:13:35.360 --> 0:13:41.000 team is favorite here Patriots twenty and the Brownies seventeen 0:13:41.120 --> 0:13:49.000 the final. The penny is going with the Browns, all right, 0:13:49.120 --> 0:13:54.520 Penny's asking for more trouble here. Next up the j 0:13:54.840 --> 0:13:58.600 E t S Jets, Jets, Jets, they don't suck right 0:13:58.640 --> 0:14:01.240 now at three and two in Green Bay at three 0:14:01.280 --> 0:14:05.760 and two. It's on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen. 0:14:05.880 --> 0:14:09.760 The Packers opened up a ten point favorite. Green Bay 0:14:09.800 --> 0:14:14.040 favored by seven and about sixty percent of the money 0:14:14.120 --> 0:14:16.960 is on the side of the Packers. Temperature at kickoff 0:14:17.440 --> 0:14:22.480 right at fifty degrees at Lambo Field, and the numbers 0:14:22.520 --> 0:14:25.480 on this with Matt la Fleur. The Packers are twenty 0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:30.120 and ten against the spread in the thirty games they 0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:33.520 played at home, last thirty games at home, and the Jets, 0:14:33.520 --> 0:14:37.400 though they've they've shown some some fighting. I'm Zach Wilson. 0:14:38.440 --> 0:14:40.880 His last seven games, the Jets are five and two 0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:44.200 and the last ten games the Jets have played against 0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:48.280 teams that have a winning record, they are seven at 0:14:48.360 --> 0:14:50.920 two and one seven two and one their last ten 0:14:51.040 --> 0:14:53.440 against teams that have a winning record against the spread. 0:14:54.280 --> 0:14:56.720 So I'm gonna take the Jets. Not a lot to 0:14:56.760 --> 0:14:59.160 break down on this game. Both these teams are challenged 0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:04.280 at stopping the on the Giants and Ravens. The Giants 0:15:04.280 --> 0:15:08.600 and Ravens teams that the Packers and the Jets have 0:15:08.680 --> 0:15:13.160 matched up against here having some issues. Aaron Rodgers, you 0:15:13.200 --> 0:15:16.360 can tell he's scuffling. He's awful. Little bit. The receivers 0:15:16.360 --> 0:15:20.480 aren't really working for Green Bay, and the Jets have 0:15:20.720 --> 0:15:23.360 been able to to come up with a little bit, 0:15:23.520 --> 0:15:26.920 uh not Razmataz, but they've been able to scratch and claw, 0:15:27.640 --> 0:15:30.040 and that's a good sign, especially when you're getting a touchdown. 0:15:30.640 --> 0:15:32.960 And almost always when I get a touchdown or more, 0:15:32.960 --> 0:15:35.080 i'm gonna take the underdog. Very rarely do I go 0:15:35.200 --> 0:15:37.600 the other direction. So I'm gonna take the Packers to win, 0:15:38.160 --> 0:15:41.480 but the Jets to cover. Packers twenty four and the 0:15:41.600 --> 0:15:49.040 Jets twenty the final, and the Penny agrees about the 0:15:49.120 --> 0:15:52.360 Jets covering going with New York all right, next up 0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:55.360 Baltimore three and two at the Giants just mentioned them 0:15:55.360 --> 0:15:58.080 a couple of teams that are played. The Jets and 0:15:58.680 --> 0:16:02.120 the Green Bay Packers played in London. The Green Bay 0:16:02.160 --> 0:16:05.760 Giants game was last week in London. Baltimore three and two, 0:16:05.760 --> 0:16:10.200 the Giants four and one on CBS with Iron Eagle 0:16:10.280 --> 0:16:13.240 and Charles Davis. They have to call. The Ravens opened 0:16:13.240 --> 0:16:15.960 a six point favorite. They're favored by five and a half. 0:16:16.480 --> 0:16:20.160 Over of the handle is on the side of the Ravens. 0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:25.440 Temperatures in the mid sixties at kickoff at MetLife Stadium, 0:16:25.480 --> 0:16:28.200 and the numbers on this one. Baltimore has been amazing 0:16:28.400 --> 0:16:31.360 on the road with Lamar Jackson. If you're a gambler, 0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:34.880 they're eighteen eight and two last twenty eight games with 0:16:34.960 --> 0:16:38.280 Lamar Jackson the road. The Ravens, though, I have not 0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:42.720 done particularly well after playing on Sunday Night football. From 0:16:42.720 --> 0:16:46.720 a gambling standpoint, there's six and nine against the spread 0:16:46.840 --> 0:16:50.680 following Sunday Night Giants. Off of that four and one 0:16:50.760 --> 0:16:55.560 start against the spread also with Brian Davil and with 0:16:55.680 --> 0:16:59.440 Daniel Jones starting and his last ten starts, they're eight 0:16:59.440 --> 0:17:02.480 and two. I'm taking the Giants here. I'm going against 0:17:02.480 --> 0:17:04.320 the Ravens. The Ravens have not been able to get 0:17:04.440 --> 0:17:07.560 much separation from teams this season. They played so many 0:17:07.560 --> 0:17:10.399 close games the Giants while they are dinged up still 0:17:11.000 --> 0:17:14.359 they continue to play with a little gusto. And this 0:17:14.440 --> 0:17:16.959 is a good matchup for the Giants to get another 0:17:17.040 --> 0:17:19.040 notch in their belt and show people that they're at 0:17:19.080 --> 0:17:21.800 least a mid level team, not a terrible team, and 0:17:21.920 --> 0:17:25.240 keep this game close. That that said, I I look 0:17:25.280 --> 0:17:28.640 into my crystal ball and I see Justin Tucker doing 0:17:28.640 --> 0:17:32.040 it one more time that lethal leg and New York 0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:34.080 can to cover the spread, but to lose the game. 0:17:34.200 --> 0:17:42.919 Ravens thirty Giants seven will be your final. And the 0:17:43.000 --> 0:17:47.439 penny is also a Justin Tucker fan going with the Ravens. Alright, 0:17:47.440 --> 0:17:48.959 so the penny, But the Ravens have to win by 0:17:49.000 --> 0:17:50.880 more than a Justin Tucker field goal to win the bets. 0:17:50.920 --> 0:17:54.560 So that's the thing, all right. Next up, Minnesota, the 0:17:54.600 --> 0:17:59.920 penny said five of them? Oh wow, alright, Minnesota four 0:18:00.040 --> 0:18:03.760 and one at Miami three and two. It's on Fox, 0:18:04.560 --> 0:18:06.679 so you might want to watch Kenny Albert, Friend of 0:18:06.720 --> 0:18:13.400 the Show, and Jonathan Vilma have the call who vikings exactly? 0:18:13.600 --> 0:18:16.760 The vikings? Vilma? Come on now, can everyone knows canny happen? 0:18:17.000 --> 0:18:20.600 The Vikings opened up a one point under duck. Dolphins 0:18:20.600 --> 0:18:23.000 were originally favored in the early line, but the Vikings 0:18:23.040 --> 0:18:25.639 are a three and a half point favorite because of injuries. 0:18:26.200 --> 0:18:28.560 In this game, temperatures in the mid eighties at hard 0:18:28.640 --> 0:18:32.119 Rock Stadium in South Florida, and you look at some 0:18:32.160 --> 0:18:35.159 of the numbers here and you get a little scary. 0:18:35.200 --> 0:18:38.960 It gets a little scary for you and Minnesota. This 0:18:39.040 --> 0:18:42.480 is a game where you just expect them to go out. 0:18:42.920 --> 0:18:44.880 You know, this is an easy game. Dolphins are starting 0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:48.280 their third string quarterback in this game. What could possibly 0:18:48.320 --> 0:18:54.520 go wrong? Well, Minnesota their last twenty five games when favored, 0:18:54.560 --> 0:18:58.400 They're just eight wins in that last eight and seventeen 0:18:58.440 --> 0:19:02.119 against the spread. That is embarrassing in Minnesota, despite a 0:19:02.119 --> 0:19:07.040 four and one record overall. For our purposes the gambling world, 0:19:07.080 --> 0:19:10.639 the Vikings are one in four against the spread, and 0:19:10.680 --> 0:19:14.800 the Dolphins, going back to the previous coaching regime, eleven 0:19:14.840 --> 0:19:18.480 and four against the spread their last fifteen games at 0:19:18.520 --> 0:19:21.760 home as an underdog and just at home in general. 0:19:21.760 --> 0:19:24.400 I'm taking the Dolphins in this game. I'm gonna take 0:19:24.400 --> 0:19:28.120 the Dolphins here. The Dolphins defense should be able to 0:19:28.200 --> 0:19:30.679 get to Kirk Cousins. I believe they will. With the 0:19:30.720 --> 0:19:35.119 blitz Cousins when he's been blitzed two touchdowns, two interceptions, 0:19:35.119 --> 0:19:37.959 He's completed less than fifty percent of his passes, and 0:19:38.000 --> 0:19:41.360 the Minnesota secondary has had some issues when they've gone 0:19:41.359 --> 0:19:44.600 against really talented receivers. Now Miami has got a bunch 0:19:44.640 --> 0:19:46.480 of guys dinged up, but they are supposed to play 0:19:46.760 --> 0:19:48.800 at the time we're doing this Tyreek kill and whatnot. 0:19:49.400 --> 0:19:52.000 So I I just simply don't trust the Purple people Eaters, 0:19:52.040 --> 0:19:55.800 even with a third string quarterback Skyler Thompson, who didn't 0:19:55.800 --> 0:19:59.520 do that well last week. Starting this week, Teddy Bridgewater 0:19:59.800 --> 0:20:02.240 is expected to get in the game at some point. 0:20:02.320 --> 0:20:05.880 He's going to be the backup, it would appear. And 0:20:05.920 --> 0:20:08.840 the Dolphins, they got rid of the ping pong tables 0:20:08.840 --> 0:20:11.200 in their locker rooms and they will get a victory. 0:20:11.480 --> 0:20:17.080 They will be rewarded. Upset City Dolphins thirty and the 0:20:17.200 --> 0:20:19.320 Vikings twenty six. Both of these teams will have the 0:20:19.359 --> 0:20:27.359 same record by the end of play on Sunday. Penny 0:20:27.440 --> 0:20:30.000 would like some job security kissing up to our boss 0:20:30.000 --> 0:20:33.800 Scott Shapiro. Going with the Vikings. Yes, one of the 0:20:33.800 --> 0:20:37.119 big Bosses, their loves the Minnesota to Vikings. Next up 0:20:37.160 --> 0:20:41.560 San Francisco three and two at Atlanta two and three. 0:20:41.600 --> 0:20:47.160 It's on Fox with Adam Amen or Chris Myers on 0:20:47.200 --> 0:20:50.680 the call, Mark slay Rith we'll do the color commentary. Now. 0:20:50.720 --> 0:20:54.439 Adam Amine has been doing the National League Divisional Series 0:20:54.440 --> 0:20:56.920 on Fox, and so if that goes to a Game 0:20:56.960 --> 0:21:01.040 five on Sunday, then Adam and will not be available. 0:21:01.080 --> 0:21:06.520 Chris Myers will call this game exactly. The forty Niners 0:21:07.080 --> 0:21:10.320 opened up a six and a half point favorite. This 0:21:10.400 --> 0:21:14.639 line has stayed flat. That means San Francisco slash Santa 0:21:14.640 --> 0:21:16.560 Clara is still favored by six and a half. At 0:21:16.560 --> 0:21:20.639 the time we're doing this. The handle over sevent in 0:21:20.760 --> 0:21:24.200 favor of the Forts. We love to fade the public, 0:21:24.640 --> 0:21:26.399 and it seems like a good opportunity to do that 0:21:26.440 --> 0:21:30.560 at Mercedes Bend Stadium in Georgia. Now the numbers indicate 0:21:30.640 --> 0:21:33.000 that you bet on Jimmy Garoppolo, you win money. He's 0:21:33.000 --> 0:21:36.600 twenty and nine against the spread in San Francisco, last 0:21:37.240 --> 0:21:41.880 nine on the road, and the Niners eight and two 0:21:41.920 --> 0:21:44.880 their last ten playing on the road, where they've gone 0:21:44.960 --> 0:21:47.879 two thousand miles or more away from the West Coast. 0:21:48.359 --> 0:21:51.880 The Niners have the number one defense in the NFL statistically, 0:21:52.640 --> 0:21:55.960 they they've done very well defensively across the board. But 0:21:56.359 --> 0:22:00.000 check this out. The Falcons with Marcus Mariota starting this year, 0:22:00.119 --> 0:22:03.480 are five and oh against the spread. And I say 0:22:03.520 --> 0:22:05.400 that goes to six and oh. I am gonna take 0:22:05.480 --> 0:22:09.119 Atlanta in this game. The war of attrition catching up 0:22:09.119 --> 0:22:12.800 to the Niners. Emmanuel Moseley defensive back torn a c 0:22:13.000 --> 0:22:15.720 l he's out. Jimmy Ward defensive back broke his hand, 0:22:15.760 --> 0:22:18.320 he might play. Nick bose had a growing injury. Even 0:22:18.400 --> 0:22:22.200 the kicker, Robbie Gold injured his knee in the game 0:22:22.280 --> 0:22:26.520 last week. So how will the forty Niners do? All 0:22:26.640 --> 0:22:30.479 dinged up? And remember they played so far? They played 0:22:30.520 --> 0:22:35.399 four bad offensive teams the Niners, Chicago's dreadful, They actually 0:22:35.400 --> 0:22:39.200 lost that game in the Raid Carolina, the Rams are 0:22:39.400 --> 0:22:42.560 debacle on offense right now, and Denver's got their issues. 0:22:42.600 --> 0:22:45.119 So those are the four teams, four of the five 0:22:45.920 --> 0:22:49.240 that San Francisco has played. Not a great resume there 0:22:49.240 --> 0:22:52.600 in Atlanta, even with Cordarold Patterson out and Kyle Pitt's 0:22:52.640 --> 0:22:55.920 injured with a bad hammy the Falcons the only team 0:22:55.920 --> 0:22:58.520 that's five and oh against the spread, and I expect 0:22:58.560 --> 0:23:00.439 them to hang around. Their three losses have been by 0:23:00.440 --> 0:23:03.600 a total of eleven points. Even when they're mismatched, they 0:23:03.640 --> 0:23:06.760 still hang around. So I'm gonna take the forty Niners 0:23:06.800 --> 0:23:09.600 to win, but the Falcons to win the money getting 0:23:09.600 --> 0:23:13.320 six and a half forty Niners twenty four and the 0:23:13.359 --> 0:23:20.959 Falcons twenty You and the penny are both living on 0:23:21.000 --> 0:23:23.919 the edge, going with the Falcons alright, so we are 0:23:23.960 --> 0:23:25.919 in agreement on that. Next up, we get to the 0:23:26.040 --> 0:23:32.159 late television window Carolina at Los Angeles and Carolina one 0:23:32.359 --> 0:23:34.840 four the r Ams at two and three. It's on 0:23:35.040 --> 0:23:38.800 Fox with Kevin Coogler Mark Sanchez. They have the call. 0:23:38.920 --> 0:23:43.800 The Rams opened up a nine and a half point favorite. 0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:47.360 They are favorite anywhere from ten to eleven, and we've 0:23:47.359 --> 0:23:49.119 got the number of ten here, so that's not the 0:23:49.200 --> 0:23:51.920 number we're gonna use. And the handle in this game 0:23:52.560 --> 0:23:56.520 a little over sixty in favor of the l A 0:23:56.680 --> 0:23:59.640 Rams at so Fi Stadium. The Rams have the NFL's 0:23:59.680 --> 0:24:03.520 all been best total defense, but their offense right near 0:24:03.600 --> 0:24:06.760 the bottom of the end of a very un Sean 0:24:06.840 --> 0:24:10.359 McVeigh like Carolina has been terrible in just about every 0:24:10.440 --> 0:24:14.560 phase of the game. They're owing seven against the spread 0:24:14.600 --> 0:24:17.840 their last seven against teams that have a losing record, 0:24:18.240 --> 0:24:21.679 two and thirteen against the spread on non grass fields. 0:24:21.680 --> 0:24:25.919 They have that fake grass in l A. But I'm 0:24:25.960 --> 0:24:29.080 gonna take the Panthers anyway that the Rams have shown 0:24:29.119 --> 0:24:33.080