1 00:00:05,720 --> 00:00:07,640 Speaker 1: Hey, you welcome to stuff to blow your mind. My 2 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:10,400 Speaker 1: name is Robert Lamb and I'm Joe McCormick, and we 3 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:13,239 Speaker 1: are going down down into the vault to revisit an 4 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:16,759 Speaker 1: episode from Days of Old. That's right, this uh, this week, 5 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: we have an episode that originally published July two thousand 6 00:00:20,560 --> 00:00:23,480 Speaker 1: and fifteen, and it has to do a little bit 7 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 1: with old P. T. Barnum, who's in the well sort 8 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 1: of in the news again because there's a movie out 9 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 1: about his life. Right. Oh, I didn't even know that. 10 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: What's the movie? The Greatest Showman? The Greatest Showman, The 11 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 1: Greatest Showman that's in the greatest show on Earth but 12 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 1: making it Showman? Who's in it? Hugh Jackman, Old Wolverine himself, 13 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:43,440 Speaker 1: Nice Barnum with claws. I have no idea. It's a musical, 14 00:00:43,479 --> 00:00:46,080 Speaker 1: so I probably will never see it. But at any rate, 15 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:49,320 Speaker 1: his name is back in the ether again, so we 16 00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:51,920 Speaker 1: thought it a good opportunity to bust this episode out again. 17 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 1: What do you think about all you're singing? Oh, I 18 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:57,279 Speaker 1: think he's fine. It's not necessarily my thing. Did you 19 00:00:57,360 --> 00:01:00,960 Speaker 1: see him in Lama's Rob No, No, you didn't see it. No, 20 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 1: I've only heard like clips of him singing. I generally 21 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 1: prefer him to you know, to be killing people with 22 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 1: claws or or bawling, uh, you know, emotionally. Yeah, he's okay, 23 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: he's okay singing anyway. Uh So I had no idea 24 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: about that. But there's your tie in. That's why this 25 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:20,840 Speaker 1: is airing now. So I hope you enjoyed this episode 26 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 1: on the horror Effect. Welcome to Stuff to Blow Your 27 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:36,480 Speaker 1: Mind from how Stuff Works dot com. Hey, welcome to 28 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 1: Stuff to Blow your Mind. My name is Robert Lamb 29 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:40,919 Speaker 1: and I'm Joe McCormick. In. Today we're gonna be talking 30 00:01:41,080 --> 00:01:46,640 Speaker 1: about the science of personality assessments. Uh and full disclosure. 31 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: We wanted to let you know that the reason we 32 00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:51,559 Speaker 1: thought to do this topic today was that How Stuff 33 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 1: Works actually hired an audience research firm to study our 34 00:01:56,120 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: podcast audiences through surveys and statistical filing. Yeah, so you 35 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: took that survey that we put up on Facebook. That's 36 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 1: what that was all about. Yeah, unless you think that 37 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 1: this was just out of curiosity, you should always keep 38 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:11,680 Speaker 1: in mind that marketers and advertisers want to know everything 39 00:02:11,720 --> 00:02:14,920 Speaker 1: about you, not because you're so interesting, but because it 40 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 1: helps them sell you snack boxes and underwear. Yes, but anyway, 41 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:23,800 Speaker 1: they offered a personalized psychometric inventory for each of the 42 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 1: individual podcast audiences, so each podcast got their own and 43 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:31,240 Speaker 1: it was based on a test originally compiled by the 44 00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:34,920 Speaker 1: Society for Personality and Social Psychology subdivision of the A 45 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 1: p A. And I thought this was really cool, Like 46 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 1: they came up with a psychological profile was basically a 47 00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:45,679 Speaker 1: personality sketch that listed key personality traits that were characteristics 48 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:49,760 Speaker 1: unique to each podcast audience. And so I picked like 49 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 1: five of the traits they listed as unique to the 50 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 1: archetypical stuff to blow your mind listener. So I thought 51 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:57,799 Speaker 1: you guys might be interested in this. Yeah, yeah, let's 52 00:02:57,840 --> 00:02:59,680 Speaker 1: roll these out and then as we do, you can 53 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:02,359 Speaker 1: just think, well, to think to yourself, does that jive 54 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 1: with my outlook on life and how I view myself? Yeah, 55 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:09,840 Speaker 1: so here we go. Number One, you tend to be 56 00:03:09,880 --> 00:03:13,640 Speaker 1: independent thinkers, hesitant to accept the statements of others without 57 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 1: adequate proof. Number two, you prefer a certain amount of 58 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 1: change and variety and become dissatisfied when himmed in by 59 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:25,360 Speaker 1: restrictions and limitations. Three. At times, you experience varying degrees 60 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:28,080 Speaker 1: of social anxiety. Number four, you were motivated by a 61 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:33,400 Speaker 1: strong desire for fairness and reciprocity in social situations. Five. 62 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 1: At times, you have serious doubts as to whether you've 63 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 1: made the right decision or done the right thing. So, 64 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 1: before we get into the meat of today's episode, I 65 00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 1: just wanted to mention that if you're a regular listener 66 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:46,520 Speaker 1: and you want to let us know how accurately this 67 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 1: profile describes you, you can email us at blow the 68 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 1: Mind at how stuff works dot com and give us 69 00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: feedback on on the sketch. And unfortunately, everything I just 70 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:59,560 Speaker 1: said was made up. Yes, yes, this is a little 71 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:02,680 Speaker 1: slice of fiction, a slice of necessary fiction to get 72 00:04:02,720 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 1: into our topic today. Yeah. So there was no audience survey, 73 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:11,119 Speaker 1: no survey data. We just threw together that sketch from 74 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 1: a few pre existing generic descriptions. Hopefully nobody's upset about it, 75 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 1: but if you are, you can contact how Stuff Works 76 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:21,560 Speaker 1: chief legal consultant, Richard W. Glazer. That's right. Uh, but 77 00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 1: be honest, now, were you thinking for a second, Yeah, 78 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 1: that sounds like me, I have to admit, when I've 79 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:31,000 Speaker 1: read through them, even knowing that that we had just 80 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:32,800 Speaker 1: made this up, I was thinking, Yeah, that's how I 81 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: view it. As a co host of the show. Yeah, 82 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 1: I am completely susceptible to this effect we're going to 83 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 1: talk about today. I think if I had been in 84 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: the audience's position here, I would have been like, Yep, 85 00:04:42,839 --> 00:04:45,720 Speaker 1: that describes me. I think, at least in the kind 86 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 1: of egotistical, self absorbed, self congratulatory way we sometimes all 87 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 1: tend to be. I'm sure that I tend to be 88 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:57,039 Speaker 1: on the inside. Uh. If you weren't convinced, congratulations for 89 00:04:57,080 --> 00:04:59,719 Speaker 1: being a skeptical no at all. But if you work 90 00:04:59,760 --> 00:05:04,360 Speaker 1: and vinced, don't feel ashamed because you just displayed susceptibility 91 00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:07,160 Speaker 1: to an effect that shows up in most humans, no 92 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 1: matter how smart we are. And this is known as 93 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:15,040 Speaker 1: the former effect fo r e er or the Barnum effect. 94 00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:17,680 Speaker 1: Both names refer to the exact same thing, and we'll 95 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 1: probably use the terms interchangeably today, but mainly we're gonna 96 00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 1: use Barnum effect in the podcast because that's easier to 97 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 1: say out loud. So the Barnum version of the name 98 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 1: comes from the circus kingpin P. T. Barnum, and I'm 99 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:35,160 Speaker 1: thinking it could be ascribed to two different quotes attributed 100 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:38,560 Speaker 1: to Barnum either that there's a sucker born every minute, 101 00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:44,120 Speaker 1: which apparently he did not actually say, or that Barnum 102 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:47,360 Speaker 1: had something for everybody. And I think that latter one 103 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 1: might be what's key here. And if he didn't have 104 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 1: something for everybody, he wanted to sell a product, right, 105 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 1: the circus product is intended for a wide audience, and 106 00:05:57,480 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 1: he wants to draw in as many people's poss Yeah, 107 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:01,599 Speaker 1: he's got a he's got to push those jugglers, you know. 108 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 1: But the former title comes from the American psychologist Bertram R. Forwer, 109 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:10,839 Speaker 1: and he noticed this effect in a classic paper he 110 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 1: published in the Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology in 111 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:18,039 Speaker 1: nineteen forty nine, and this paper was called the Fallacy 112 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 1: of Personal Validation, A classroom demonstration of gullibility. Now to 113 00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:26,800 Speaker 1: give you a little background on four Bertram R. Four 114 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: He was born in nineteen fourteen died in two thousand. 115 00:06:30,240 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 1: American psychologist, again famous for this ninety personality test and 116 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 1: his students. But he served as a psychologist and administrator 117 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:41,120 Speaker 1: in a military hospital in France during the Second World War, 118 00:06:41,640 --> 00:06:44,960 Speaker 1: and then he worked in l a at a veteran's 119 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: mental clinic. And also he had a private practice in Malibu. Yeah, 120 00:06:49,320 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 1: so what did forwer test with his students. Fourer had 121 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 1: previously discussed with his students a sort of proto personality 122 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:02,040 Speaker 1: quiz called the diagnot a stick interest blank, or d 123 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:07,120 Speaker 1: I B, and this was a qualitatively evaluated test that 124 00:07:07,200 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 1: he explained in the following language. He said quote. The 125 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 1: d IB consists of a list of hobbies, reading materials, 126 00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:18,800 Speaker 1: personal characteristics, job duties, and secret hopes and ambitions of 127 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:23,680 Speaker 1: one's ideal person. The test is interpreted qualitatively and personality 128 00:07:23,800 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 1: dynamics are inferred along line similar to projective tests. So 129 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 1: this is a it's supposed to be qualitatively evaluated by 130 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:35,920 Speaker 1: a perceptive and trained professional, somebody who knows what they're doing. 131 00:07:36,760 --> 00:07:39,000 Speaker 1: And some of his students, when they heard about the test, 132 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:41,160 Speaker 1: asked to take it. They wanted to take the d 133 00:07:41,240 --> 00:07:46,720 Speaker 1: IB and received these tailored personality evaluations because you know, 134 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 1: who doesn't want to take a personality quiz and learn 135 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 1: a little bit about themselves? Right? I mean, that's it 136 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 1: just speaks to our egos as well as you know, 137 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 1: most people's desires for self improvement. You know, we want 138 00:07:57,600 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 1: to we want we want to fill out that Dungeons 139 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 1: and Dagens character sheet with our own attributes and figure 140 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 1: out what we need. A tweak with a magical ring 141 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:08,120 Speaker 1: or two? Right, I am chaotic neutral for real. So 142 00:08:08,880 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 1: four acquiesced to their desire, and a group of thirty 143 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:15,080 Speaker 1: nine students all took the test and handed in their papers. 144 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: And then one week later Fourer met with the students 145 00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:22,640 Speaker 1: again for class and he handed back the individually tailored 146 00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:26,560 Speaker 1: personality vignettes, and each one was a list of thirteen 147 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: perceived personality attributes under the student's name, and the students 148 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 1: were instructed to keep the results private. That part was 149 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 1: important because, in fact, thirteen personality features listed on each 150 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 1: student's paper had nothing to do with what the students 151 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:45,320 Speaker 1: wrote on their test. Uh In fact, they were all 152 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 1: exactly the same for each one of the thirty nine students. 153 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 1: So there were thirteen statements listed on each of these 154 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 1: thirty nine identical personality sketches, and we're gonna read through 155 00:08:56,040 --> 00:08:58,560 Speaker 1: them real quick. Number one, you have a great need 156 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:01,080 Speaker 1: for other people to like and admire you. You have 157 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:03,240 Speaker 1: a tendency to be critical of yourself. You have a 158 00:09:03,280 --> 00:09:06,120 Speaker 1: great deal of unused capacity which you have not turned 159 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:09,600 Speaker 1: your advantage. While you have some personality weaknesses, you were 160 00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:13,320 Speaker 1: generally able to compensate for them. Your sexual adjustment has 161 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 1: presented problems for you. Disciplined and self controlled outside, you 162 00:09:17,679 --> 00:09:20,960 Speaker 1: tend to be worrisome and insecure inside. At times you 163 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 1: have serious doubts as to whether you've made the right 164 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:26,040 Speaker 1: decision or done the right thing. You prefer a certain 165 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:29,440 Speaker 1: amount of change and variety, and become dissatisfied when himmed 166 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:32,520 Speaker 1: in by restrictions and limitations. You pride yourself as an 167 00:09:32,520 --> 00:09:37,040 Speaker 1: independent thinker and do not accept other statements without satisfactory proof. 168 00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:39,280 Speaker 1: You have found it unwise to be too frank in 169 00:09:39,320 --> 00:09:43,720 Speaker 1: revealing yourself to others. At times you are extroverted, affable, sociable, 170 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 1: while at other times you were introverted, wary, reserved. Some 171 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 1: of your aspirations tend to be pretty unrealistic. Security is 172 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:55,240 Speaker 1: one of your major goals in life. So the brilliance 173 00:09:55,280 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 1: of these is that like just going through them there 174 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:01,840 Speaker 1: knowing a and these are false, that these are just 175 00:10:01,960 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 1: you know, could be thrown out to anybody. I found 176 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:07,200 Speaker 1: myself nodding my head and saying, yeah, I can, definitely 177 00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 1: I can. If I don't buy that statement, outright, I 178 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:14,559 Speaker 1: can at least pick some data from my own personal 179 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 1: history that could support that theory. Yeah, and that is 180 00:10:17,800 --> 00:10:21,319 Speaker 1: exactly what the test ends up relying on. So for 181 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:24,400 Speaker 1: reveals in a footnote of his paper that quote these 182 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:28,400 Speaker 1: statements came largely from a new stand astrology book, So 183 00:10:29,200 --> 00:10:32,959 Speaker 1: he just found a horoscope and and picked out random 184 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:36,959 Speaker 1: statements that could apply to a Capricorn, a sagittarius, whoever 185 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:40,640 Speaker 1: it is. And students were then asked to rate, on 186 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:43,560 Speaker 1: a scale of zero to five, with zero being poor 187 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:47,560 Speaker 1: and five being perfect, the accuracy of the d I 188 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:50,680 Speaker 1: B as a test, and then the accuracy of their 189 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:54,840 Speaker 1: own individual sketch as a portrayal of their personality. And 190 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:57,000 Speaker 1: then he also asked the students to go down the 191 00:10:57,040 --> 00:11:00,760 Speaker 1: list and mark each of the thirteen statements as true, false, 192 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:04,680 Speaker 1: or a question mark. Here were the results, as rated 193 00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:08,439 Speaker 1: by the students. The d I B got only one three, 194 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:12,719 Speaker 1: it got twenty five fours, and it got thirteen fives. 195 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:18,560 Speaker 1: So thirteen students thought it was perfect, thought it was 196 00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:23,040 Speaker 1: really good, and one thought it was okay. So all 197 00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:25,160 Speaker 1: of the students but one gave the test a four 198 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:27,640 Speaker 1: or five for accuracy, and then When it came to 199 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 1: the individual sketches, all but five students rated their sketch 200 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 1: of four or a five, So the students overwhelmingly thought 201 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:40,320 Speaker 1: the test was pretty good, too perfect, And an interesting 202 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:43,080 Speaker 1: thing for Or points out when comparing the student ratings 203 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:45,679 Speaker 1: of the test and the sketch against their item by 204 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 1: item breakdown, is this quote. For some individuals, the presence 205 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:54,839 Speaker 1: of eight true statements among the thirteen was considered sufficient 206 00:11:54,920 --> 00:12:00,160 Speaker 1: evidence for acceptance of the sketch as perfect. M Let 207 00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:03,040 Speaker 1: that sink in for a second, eight out of thirteen 208 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:07,559 Speaker 1: is sixty two per cent. So for some students, even 209 00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 1: with these extremely vague statements, just getting sixty two percent 210 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:15,199 Speaker 1: right about them was enough for the test to count 211 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:21,079 Speaker 1: as a perfect hit. Yeah, how does that does that work? 212 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: What's your definition of perfect in this? I don't know. Well, 213 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 1: I think it comes down to something four explains in 214 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 1: his paper later about the discrepancy between our sort of 215 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:34,200 Speaker 1: like qualitative or quantitative analysis of the results and then 216 00:12:34,480 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 1: the amount of confidence we're willing to attribute to a 217 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:41,199 Speaker 1: diagnostic tool as a whole. But what happened here? I mean, 218 00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 1: subsequent studies have repeatedly demonstrated the Barnum effect under various circumstances, 219 00:12:47,360 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 1: so it's pretty safe to assume that for students weren't 220 00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 1: just particularly gullible. In Art Carroll's entry in the Skeptics Dictionary, 221 00:12:55,600 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 1: he claims, quote, the test has been repeated hundreds of 222 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:02,079 Speaker 1: times with psychology students, and the average is still around 223 00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:06,480 Speaker 1: four point two out of five or eight accurate. So 224 00:13:06,920 --> 00:13:11,200 Speaker 1: why are we so eager to gobble up worthless effectively 225 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 1: random assessments of ourselves? Well as as we'll discuss the 226 00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:19,679 Speaker 1: you know, a lot of the answer lies in the presentation. 227 00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 1: You know, where this test was was taken and who 228 00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:25,439 Speaker 1: was given it to them, and then the the language 229 00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:29,439 Speaker 1: in which it was administered. Right, it's a psychology professor, 230 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:33,080 Speaker 1: it's a you know, an authority figure administering this test 231 00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:36,559 Speaker 1: to the students in a classroom in a center of learning. Uh. 232 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 1: And it's wrapped in the expected psychological lingo. Yes, but 233 00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:44,520 Speaker 1: there's an even deeper issue going on with the nature 234 00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:47,240 Speaker 1: of these evaluations that makes them work. And it's based 235 00:13:47,240 --> 00:13:51,240 Speaker 1: on the interplay between two principles that four points out 236 00:13:51,280 --> 00:13:55,080 Speaker 1: in his paper. And uh he four is referring to 237 00:13:55,440 --> 00:13:58,720 Speaker 1: certain types of people like crystal gazers as one term 238 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:00,959 Speaker 1: he uses. I think that means like somebody looking into 239 00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:03,800 Speaker 1: a crystal ball, he's arning about the psychics of his day, 240 00:14:03,880 --> 00:14:06,120 Speaker 1: and and things like that. He says, they might even 241 00:14:06,200 --> 00:14:09,040 Speaker 1: unwittingly make use of these principles, but they are making 242 00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 1: use of them. And the principles are universal validity and 243 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 1: personal validation. That his term is personal validation. But today 244 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:21,200 Speaker 1: we might know this as subjective validation. And the idea 245 00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 1: of universal validity is that pretty much every single psychological 246 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:33,120 Speaker 1: trait can be observed in some degree in everybody. I mean, 247 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 1: think about it like if I say, at times you 248 00:14:36,520 --> 00:14:43,920 Speaker 1: experience varying degrees of social anxiety. Yeah, that's that's everybody. Yeah, yeah, 249 00:14:44,800 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 1: with it with a few just complete space aliens, you know, 250 00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 1: eliminated from the mix. Everybody deals with some level of anxiety. Right. 251 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:55,080 Speaker 1: So another way of thinking about this is casting a 252 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 1: wide net. And you can see a very similar parallel 253 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 1: practice if you watch a psychic front of a group 254 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 1: of people doing a cold reading on a crowd. So 255 00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:05,600 Speaker 1: the psychic might stand up in front of a crowd 256 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:09,240 Speaker 1: and say, okay, I'm getting something from a spirit, a 257 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:12,280 Speaker 1: spirit of someone known to someone in the room, it's 258 00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 1: an older person, an older person named John or Jack. 259 00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:19,760 Speaker 1: Does that mean anything to anyone? Something something starting with 260 00:15:19,960 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: John or Jack, something starting with the letter J. And 261 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 1: then one hand goes an uncle named Jefferson exactly, yeah, 262 00:15:25,840 --> 00:15:29,960 Speaker 1: oh man, my uncle Jehosaphat. And then uh. And then 263 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:33,520 Speaker 1: the psychic says, yes, that's right, Jehosaphat or Jefferson is 264 00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:35,720 Speaker 1: here with us, and and now we can talk to 265 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:39,520 Speaker 1: Jeffer Josaphat. And then the client later says, wow, the 266 00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:45,240 Speaker 1: psychic somehow knew something about Jehosaphen, when in fact the 267 00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:50,480 Speaker 1: client has supplied the relevant specifics themselves. The psychic was 268 00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:52,800 Speaker 1: just trawling with a very large net. It would be 269 00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:56,200 Speaker 1: extremely weird if nobody in the room knew of a 270 00:15:56,240 --> 00:16:00,120 Speaker 1: deceased family member whose name started with J. Yeah, to 271 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 1: the odds are with you that you're going to catch 272 00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:06,960 Speaker 1: somebody with that very vague, very general bit of bait. Yeah. 273 00:16:07,200 --> 00:16:10,520 Speaker 1: But then the other principle is this principle of personal 274 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:15,240 Speaker 1: or subjective validation. So how do you test the validity 275 00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:18,400 Speaker 1: of a diagnostic instrument, whether it's a horoscope or a 276 00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:23,440 Speaker 1: psychic or a supposedly professional and valid psychological personality. Test. 277 00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 1: You probably don't want to test it by using it 278 00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:30,840 Speaker 1: on somebody and then saying how accurately did this describe you? 279 00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 1: Because this is subject to what for would call the 280 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:38,600 Speaker 1: fallacy of personal validation. Because you are you, and because 281 00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:41,520 Speaker 1: you know the story of your own life so well, 282 00:16:41,920 --> 00:16:46,320 Speaker 1: you can always find autobiographical hooks to hang almost any 283 00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 1: statement on, especially vague and general statements. So we mentioned 284 00:16:51,560 --> 00:16:54,480 Speaker 1: the example a minute ago of social anxiety. Can you 285 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:57,880 Speaker 1: ever think of an instance where social anxiety had a 286 00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:04,160 Speaker 1: meaningful role in your life? Yeah? Of course, yeah, every day. 287 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 1: Even somebody who's not particularly anxious, who doesn't have many 288 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:11,240 Speaker 1: problems with social anxiety, can think of an instance that 289 00:17:11,320 --> 00:17:13,560 Speaker 1: was meaningful to them. Yeah. At the very least, they 290 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:15,280 Speaker 1: were once children, and there had to have been some 291 00:17:15,359 --> 00:17:18,000 Speaker 1: point in their life where they felt a little awkward. Yeah. 292 00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:21,840 Speaker 1: And so, simply put, subjective validation is when you find 293 00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:25,760 Speaker 1: personal and unique accuracy in statements that could apply to 294 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:28,679 Speaker 1: many or all people. Yeah. And part of this just 295 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:33,520 Speaker 1: gets into our our enormous capacity, uh to place ourselves 296 00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:36,199 Speaker 1: in any story too, just the fact that we are 297 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:41,040 Speaker 1: empathic organisms. Yeah yeah, Um, we're always seeking meaning that 298 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:43,280 Speaker 1: relates to us. This sort of ties into something we 299 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:46,400 Speaker 1: talked about a while back in the Science of Coincidence episode, 300 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:50,560 Speaker 1: where you know, we're pattern seeking creatures and we're constantly 301 00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:54,680 Speaker 1: trying to find the pattern that means something to me. Yeah, 302 00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:58,240 Speaker 1: you know, you're talking about our ability to even essentially 303 00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:01,720 Speaker 1: put ourselves in the shoes of extreme cases. Um. You 304 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:04,200 Speaker 1: know this this immediately makes me think of the popularity 305 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:07,320 Speaker 1: of uh, you know, any kind of fiction that deals 306 00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:12,280 Speaker 1: with individuals with mental illness or in extreme cases, um, 307 00:18:12,320 --> 00:18:15,440 Speaker 1: serial murderers. You know, because if you have a well 308 00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:20,520 Speaker 1: executed serial killer story, um, you can still you still 309 00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:24,359 Speaker 1: end up investing yourself in that person on some level. 310 00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:27,760 Speaker 1: You end up empathizing with at least some aspect of 311 00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:30,800 Speaker 1: their you know, ultimately broken psyche. Right. Yeah, so if 312 00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:34,680 Speaker 1: you if you can connect with the serial killers relationship 313 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:38,000 Speaker 1: with his mother or something like that, you're like, oh, no, 314 00:18:38,280 --> 00:18:42,359 Speaker 1: is this really the story of me? Yeah? Or like, uh, 315 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:47,040 Speaker 1: I'm obviously thinking of Hannibal. Yeah, Hannibal actually came up 316 00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:49,040 Speaker 1: a couple of times in my mind looking through the 317 00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:52,159 Speaker 1: research here. Um, I think it was Joyce Carol Oates 318 00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:56,800 Speaker 1: has a book called Zombie that's essentially a retelling of 319 00:18:56,800 --> 00:19:01,400 Speaker 1: of the Jeffrey dalmer Um case, but with a fictionalized account, 320 00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:03,639 Speaker 1: and so even in this year, you're reading in it 321 00:19:03,800 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 1: and you can't actually empathize with the murderous aspects of 322 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:12,320 Speaker 1: the main character. But ultimately it's about a guy who 323 00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 1: feels lost in life and doesn't exactly know where he fits. 324 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,720 Speaker 1: And you know who can't empathize on some level at 325 00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:22,320 Speaker 1: some point in their their timeline with an example like that, Right, Yeah, 326 00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 1: in a way, we're all that cannibal. Yeah. It makes 327 00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:28,240 Speaker 1: me wonder if you if you administered a test like 328 00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:32,760 Speaker 1: Forest Test and you had all of the personality statements 329 00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:37,520 Speaker 1: leaning more towards the darker and the insane, like, what 330 00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:41,000 Speaker 1: the acceptance level would be. Well, there actually is some 331 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:43,640 Speaker 1: commentary on that in the literature, and we can get 332 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,280 Speaker 1: to that in a bit. What are some other studies 333 00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:50,320 Speaker 1: that What have other studies revealed about this, uh, this property? Well, 334 00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:53,120 Speaker 1: there have been number one, It's just been reproduced many 335 00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:55,920 Speaker 1: many times. And the strength of the effect varies when 336 00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:58,000 Speaker 1: you change some of the test conditions, and we can 337 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:02,360 Speaker 1: talk about that later, but there's pretty consistent result that 338 00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:06,360 Speaker 1: the subjects of personality assessments tend to rate assessments as 339 00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 1: highly accurate in a way that's unique to them, even 340 00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:13,280 Speaker 1: though the statements within the assessment are vague in general, 341 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 1: and sometimes even when many of the individual statements in 342 00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:20,679 Speaker 1: the list are subjectively perceived as wrong by the client. 343 00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:23,080 Speaker 1: Remember when we talked about the people who got eight 344 00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:27,719 Speaker 1: out of thirteen right, said that the test described them perfectly. 345 00:20:28,640 --> 00:20:31,720 Speaker 1: So what's the impact of this in practice. Well, one 346 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:35,800 Speaker 1: of the things that Forror was personally worried about was 347 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:40,560 Speaker 1: that this could be used to validate or prop up 348 00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:45,480 Speaker 1: the accuracy of very bad tools. So let's say you're 349 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 1: an unscrupulous psychic or an unscrupulous psychotherapist. You can potentially 350 00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:55,639 Speaker 1: use a combination of subjective validation and universal validity to 351 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:59,920 Speaker 1: get a very unhealthy amount of leverage over another person's 352 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,560 Speaker 1: common sense. And the exchange might go something like this. 353 00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:07,840 Speaker 1: The psychic or unscrupulous psychologist makes a diagnosis of a 354 00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:11,720 Speaker 1: person's personality, taking advantage of these, you know, very vague 355 00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:15,360 Speaker 1: general traits, and then leaning on the client's tendency towards 356 00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 1: subjective validation of the test. The client reads these things 357 00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 1: like in the test we talked about and says, yep, 358 00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:25,560 Speaker 1: that's me, and then assumes that the psychic or the 359 00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:30,760 Speaker 1: unscrupulous psychologist has access to powerful and accurate skills or 360 00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:36,120 Speaker 1: diagnostic tools. Then the psychic or unscrupulous psychologist makes bolder, 361 00:21:36,240 --> 00:21:40,880 Speaker 1: more specific, less credible diagnoses or or predictions that might 362 00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:43,359 Speaker 1: not have been accepted on the first go around. But 363 00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:45,600 Speaker 1: at this point the client thinks, well, he knew what 364 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:48,320 Speaker 1: he was talking about the last time, so he must 365 00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:50,720 Speaker 1: know this time. I'm going to listen to him. Yeah, 366 00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:52,720 Speaker 1: I mean it's kind of a confidence trick, right, I mean, 367 00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:55,720 Speaker 1: it's a it's it's a matter of producing this sort 368 00:21:55,760 --> 00:22:01,200 Speaker 1: of magical trick, this illusion that proves to the patient 369 00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:03,800 Speaker 1: or the the mark or however you want to want 370 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:06,320 Speaker 1: to look at them, the customer, proves to them that 371 00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:09,080 Speaker 1: you have insight into who they are and what they're 372 00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,879 Speaker 1: all about. And then when they start making comments that 373 00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:15,199 Speaker 1: that don't jive as well, we just attribute it to 374 00:22:15,280 --> 00:22:18,040 Speaker 1: their they know more about us than we know about us. Yeah, 375 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:19,960 Speaker 1: I remember when I was right last time. It's also 376 00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:23,800 Speaker 1: very similar to the con maneuver. If you're trying to 377 00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:27,200 Speaker 1: con somebody out of a large amount of money, say like, hey, 378 00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:30,360 Speaker 1: invest in my pyramid scheme, it'll you know, I can 379 00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:33,080 Speaker 1: give give you a million dollars. First you ask for 380 00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:36,199 Speaker 1: a very small investment, and then you pay out what 381 00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:40,400 Speaker 1: you promised on that small investment, and then they say, wow, okay, 382 00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:42,879 Speaker 1: well it seems to work. And so then when you 383 00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:45,399 Speaker 1: ask for a bigger investment, you can fly off to 384 00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:47,920 Speaker 1: Hawaii with the money. You probably wouldn't fly to Hawaii. 385 00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:50,439 Speaker 1: Where would you fly to? Cayman Islands? Yeah? Or the 386 00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:53,200 Speaker 1: Far East I'm thinking? Or the halls of Deacon Yeah, 387 00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:55,639 Speaker 1: always a good place that it's tough to get the 388 00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 1: currency exchanged properly there, but but still still a good place. 389 00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:01,639 Speaker 1: A lot of kind and hanging out in the tests, right, 390 00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:04,320 Speaker 1: And this can be applied to more different types of 391 00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:07,240 Speaker 1: diagnostic tools and instruments than you might think. I mean, 392 00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:09,919 Speaker 1: so the obvious ones we've talked about are like the 393 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:13,160 Speaker 1: personal powers of a person who claims to be a psychic, 394 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 1: or a certain type of psychological test, any one of 395 00:23:17,080 --> 00:23:20,280 Speaker 1: these personality tests you can take. But other things might 396 00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:25,320 Speaker 1: be methods of discerning personalities like graphology. Have you ever 397 00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:29,440 Speaker 1: heard about graphology? Not until preparing this episode, now yes, 398 00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:32,879 Speaker 1: So so four claimed that he was prompted to perform 399 00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:36,160 Speaker 1: this experiment after he was accosted in a nightclub by 400 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:39,639 Speaker 1: a graphologist. And a graphologist as a person who believes 401 00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:42,000 Speaker 1: they can tell you all about your personality by looking 402 00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:45,000 Speaker 1: at your handwriting. You know, this makes me think that 403 00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:50,359 Speaker 1: this nightclub was either really cool are are really lame? 404 00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:52,800 Speaker 1: Like there's no in between there. If it involves being 405 00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:54,879 Speaker 1: approached by a grapholow, it sounds pretty cool to me. 406 00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:58,320 Speaker 1: I never get approached by graphologists when I'm out having 407 00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:01,160 Speaker 1: a you know, at a bar or somewhere. I wish 408 00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:03,920 Speaker 1: I would be, because that would be really interesting. But yeah, 409 00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 1: so graphology is widely considered a baseless pseudoscience, though I'm 410 00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,159 Speaker 1: sure some people still believe in it, and that's kind 411 00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:13,439 Speaker 1: of scary. But four wanted to demonstrate that he could, 412 00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:18,359 Speaker 1: with deliberately faulty techniques produce assessments that clients would find 413 00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:22,439 Speaker 1: just as accurate as those provided by a professional graphologist. 414 00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:25,640 Speaker 1: So repeat the same pattern I talked about a minute 415 00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:28,800 Speaker 1: ago with the with the psychic or the unscrupulous psychologist, 416 00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:32,439 Speaker 1: where they proved themselves and the and the accuracy of 417 00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:36,080 Speaker 1: their diagnostic tools with some very general vague statements just 418 00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:38,480 Speaker 1: relying on the fact that you're going to go, Wow, yeah, 419 00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:42,479 Speaker 1: it sounds like me and Bam, Now grophology works and 420 00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:46,760 Speaker 1: I can get you to give me all your money. 421 00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:53,480 Speaker 1: Now you don't have to go to a graphologist or 422 00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:55,320 Speaker 1: you know, or even listen to the intro to this 423 00:24:55,359 --> 00:25:00,280 Speaker 1: podcast to to have some introduction to the power of 424 00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:03,520 Speaker 1: the four effect um. And as we were chatting about this, 425 00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:07,800 Speaker 1: we kind of looked at at four different levels, like 426 00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:11,560 Speaker 1: at the very bottom level, you have essentially horoscopes and 427 00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:15,119 Speaker 1: fortune cookies. And it's worth noting on fortune cookies that 428 00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:18,000 Speaker 1: every time, even though we know those are just coming 429 00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:20,520 Speaker 1: from a crate in the back of the Chinese restaurant, 430 00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:25,919 Speaker 1: even though we really don't attribute any literal significance to 431 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 1: what's coming out of the cookie, they still resonate with 432 00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:31,040 Speaker 1: us because we still, at least for a second, we 433 00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:34,600 Speaker 1: just we suspend this belief just enough to engage in 434 00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:40,920 Speaker 1: a worldview where the future is more than mystery and chance. Right, absolutely, Yeah, 435 00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:43,480 Speaker 1: I have to ask, what's your favorite fortune cookie you've 436 00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:46,560 Speaker 1: ever gotten? Um, Years and years and years ago, I 437 00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:48,720 Speaker 1: got one that was said one day you'll write a book. 438 00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:50,520 Speaker 1: I was like, yeah, that's great, that's what I want 439 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:52,920 Speaker 1: to do anyway. So, um, so I kept that on. 440 00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:55,960 Speaker 1: It's like, now they predicted the age of self publishing 441 00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:57,639 Speaker 1: and then they were going to be right about no 442 00:25:57,680 --> 00:26:00,720 Speaker 1: matter who opened that cookie, that's true, but uh, you 443 00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:03,040 Speaker 1: know it, um it was you know, even though I 444 00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:04,679 Speaker 1: knew it was a vague statement, it's kind of like, 445 00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:07,160 Speaker 1: on some level, I took it as encouragement, right, yeah, yeah, 446 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:09,560 Speaker 1: Oh I'm if I had gotten a fortune cookie that 447 00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 1: said you will write a book, I would still have 448 00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:13,479 Speaker 1: that in my wallet and be like, yep, I'm going 449 00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:16,360 Speaker 1: to be a writer someday, that's how important I am. 450 00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 1: Uh No, my favorite fortune cookie I ever got was 451 00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:22,720 Speaker 1: the one that said constant grinding will wear the iron 452 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:27,320 Speaker 1: rod down to a needle. Huh what does it mean? 453 00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:30,679 Speaker 1: I'm not quite sure. Like it's telling you not to 454 00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:33,400 Speaker 1: file yourself with the file you wear a mouth card 455 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,719 Speaker 1: at night. Because if I if I had gotten that one, 456 00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:38,760 Speaker 1: I would think, oh, well that was clearly forecasting that 457 00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:40,560 Speaker 1: I grind my teeth and would need to wear a 458 00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:42,879 Speaker 1: night card. Yeah well it could have been that, but 459 00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:44,960 Speaker 1: look to it. Take that fortune if you still have 460 00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:47,800 Speaker 1: it to your dentist and say look into it, and 461 00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:52,320 Speaker 1: I don't know, my dentist is moderately humorless. But okay, yeah, 462 00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:54,399 Speaker 1: so you have you have fortune cookies, which, like you 463 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:57,520 Speaker 1: point out, they're especially funny because we give them the 464 00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:01,120 Speaker 1: significance even though, like let's say you're a person who 465 00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:05,359 Speaker 1: believes in astrology, the fortune cookie doesn't even aspire to 466 00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:08,600 Speaker 1: the astrology level because you know, they're all just pre 467 00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:12,040 Speaker 1: printed ahead of time and they're they're in a box. Yeah, 468 00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:15,720 Speaker 1: so at least the horoscope is the is the higher 469 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:19,960 Speaker 1: end of this level because it's at least rooted in 470 00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:23,880 Speaker 1: this system. It's a system that doesn't have any validity 471 00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:27,240 Speaker 1: to it. But if you suspend disbelief or engage in 472 00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:29,479 Speaker 1: a little magical thinking, you can buy into the system 473 00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,800 Speaker 1: and then buy into the results of the system. But 474 00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,159 Speaker 1: that was the first level. What's the next level? Then 475 00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:39,000 Speaker 1: the next level we think, uh? Then the next level 476 00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,840 Speaker 1: we think is, uh, the which X men character are you? 477 00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,639 Speaker 1: And and not necessarily just the wich X men character, 478 00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:49,879 Speaker 1: but any of these various pseudo personality quizzes based in 479 00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:53,040 Speaker 1: fiction U that end up. You know, it seems like 480 00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:55,000 Speaker 1: for a while they were always rolling out on Facebook. 481 00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:56,720 Speaker 1: It is like every day it was a new one 482 00:27:56,760 --> 00:28:00,800 Speaker 1: and you take this little, generally poorly x acuted quiz 483 00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:05,000 Speaker 1: and generally with very leading questions to determine which X 484 00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:08,719 Speaker 1: Men character, which Twilight character are you? Which which house 485 00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:11,520 Speaker 1: and Harry Potter would you be in? That's right? I 486 00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:14,959 Speaker 1: am gambit, yeah, yeah, And they would have questions like 487 00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:18,239 Speaker 1: what would be your preferred weapon in a fight at 488 00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:21,840 Speaker 1: amantium clause or exploding playing cards, And that's just cheating 489 00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:25,640 Speaker 1: because then the person is basically choosing which X Men 490 00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,399 Speaker 1: character they want to be and just picking Yeah. I 491 00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:30,199 Speaker 1: think one of the problems was there ended up being 492 00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:32,640 Speaker 1: websites where you could build your own, so people would 493 00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:36,280 Speaker 1: just build them without any any thought into what makes 494 00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:38,440 Speaker 1: you know, makes it seem like they work. The better ones, 495 00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:40,920 Speaker 1: and I think the ones that were not user generated 496 00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:44,240 Speaker 1: tended to feel a little more like a personality test 497 00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:46,600 Speaker 1: and it should be a surprise when it tells you 498 00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:51,240 Speaker 1: that you are joke or not. And from from there 499 00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:53,440 Speaker 1: we get into the next level, which, of course site 500 00:28:53,600 --> 00:28:58,000 Speaker 1: involves psychic readings cold readings, where there's an actual intellect 501 00:28:58,080 --> 00:29:00,400 Speaker 1: on the other side of the test drawing you in, 502 00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:03,080 Speaker 1: conning you with that, you know, with that with that 503 00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:08,040 Speaker 1: little bit of generally appliable uh data and then making 504 00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:13,800 Speaker 1: more specific hum revelations visible about your your personal history 505 00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:16,840 Speaker 1: and your future and uh your departed loved ones in 506 00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:20,160 Speaker 1: the afterlife. Yeah. There, it's interactive and it's smart. The 507 00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:23,080 Speaker 1: person knows what they're doing and they're working you. You know, 508 00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:27,000 Speaker 1: it's not just like a kind of blank dumb statement 509 00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:30,320 Speaker 1: that you have to read into. They're helping you read 510 00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:33,720 Speaker 1: into it actively. And then, of course, in the level 511 00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:38,680 Speaker 1: beyond that, you have the quote professional personality test. This is, 512 00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:40,720 Speaker 1: of course, like Myers Briggs, the kind of test that 513 00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:44,800 Speaker 1: a professional might come into your workplace and actually administer 514 00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:47,480 Speaker 1: the test to everyone. Yeah, and we're certainly not saying 515 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:52,440 Speaker 1: that all professionally administered psychological tests are bunk. That that's 516 00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:55,360 Speaker 1: not the case. What we are saying is that it's 517 00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:59,720 Speaker 1: very possible for a psychologist to design a personality assessment 518 00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:02,560 Speaker 1: that is bunk, and you might very well not know 519 00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:04,840 Speaker 1: it right. And you know, I would go even even 520 00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:09,320 Speaker 1: further and say that I believe that people can use 521 00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:13,840 Speaker 1: the cold reading techniques and psychic reading techniques for an 522 00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:16,880 Speaker 1: overall positive experience with a person. But it kind of 523 00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:18,680 Speaker 1: comes down to that the question you know, it's like, 524 00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:21,120 Speaker 1: if you let somebody go through the drawers in your house, 525 00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:23,200 Speaker 1: are you going to trust them not to steal your silver? 526 00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:26,520 Speaker 1: Were right? So I'm positive they are individuals. I know 527 00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:29,160 Speaker 1: their individuals who have had the experience with psychics and 528 00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:33,040 Speaker 1: UH and cold readers, and individuals using this technique where 529 00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:36,120 Speaker 1: they at least feel that there is some sort of temporary, 530 00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:39,320 Speaker 1: at least positive result from the experience. Oh yeah, Well, 531 00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:42,200 Speaker 1: as I said earlier in this episode, despite the fact 532 00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:44,400 Speaker 1: that I'm aware of it and I'm gonna try to 533 00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:47,280 Speaker 1: be cautious about it, I think I'm very susceptible to this. 534 00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:50,240 Speaker 1: I think I could easily naturally be the kind of 535 00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:54,120 Speaker 1: person that falls for it. If you tell me, at 536 00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:58,120 Speaker 1: times you experience social anxiety, but also you're an independent thinker, 537 00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:02,240 Speaker 1: I'm like, yeah, yeah, you know that is me. So 538 00:31:02,320 --> 00:31:04,520 Speaker 1: here's a big here's a big question that emerges. Are 539 00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:09,160 Speaker 1: there ways to make generic assessments feel more accurate to 540 00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:12,560 Speaker 1: people to make sure that they're not instantly being called 541 00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:17,000 Speaker 1: out for for the kind of generalities that that are 542 00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:19,959 Speaker 1: that are hallmark of this kind of manipulation. Yeah, I 543 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:24,120 Speaker 1: think the first number one key principle is keep the 544 00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:28,520 Speaker 1: descriptions as vague and generally applicable as possible without it 545 00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:31,959 Speaker 1: being too obvious that they're meaningless. And this is a 546 00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:34,960 Speaker 1: fine line that that you have to walk with language 547 00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:36,880 Speaker 1: if you're going to try to be a deceptive no 548 00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:41,760 Speaker 1: good diagnostician. Um, so you wouldn't say, for example, you 549 00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:45,920 Speaker 1: are an extrovert or an introvert. I mean, obviously you're 550 00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:48,200 Speaker 1: one of the two, right, But you can say that 551 00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:50,880 Speaker 1: without it being so clear. I think it needs a 552 00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:54,440 Speaker 1: little careful use of language. So you would try something 553 00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:57,800 Speaker 1: like you're often able to find fulfillment in social events 554 00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:00,320 Speaker 1: and relationships, but at times you feel like you need 555 00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:04,320 Speaker 1: to be by yourself. Now, another possibility here comes to 556 00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:06,239 Speaker 1: mind with the with the psychic, we're talking like if 557 00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:08,400 Speaker 1: a psychic were to say there's somebody in the room 558 00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:11,360 Speaker 1: here who knew an old person who died, like that 559 00:32:11,600 --> 00:32:13,880 Speaker 1: sounds just really fake. But if you were to phrase 560 00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:18,440 Speaker 1: it more like somebody here lost an individual, they were 561 00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:20,600 Speaker 1: really just a strong presence in their life. They were 562 00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:23,320 Speaker 1: a real you know, a personal hero, a kind of 563 00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:26,240 Speaker 1: a mentor a rock for you. Yeah, like you you 564 00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:29,040 Speaker 1: change the way you're describing, you change the language of 565 00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:31,240 Speaker 1: it and uh, and then you might think, yeah, well, 566 00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:33,320 Speaker 1: you know, my uncle Ben was kind of like that 567 00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:36,120 Speaker 1: without it just being like, who's an old person I 568 00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:38,440 Speaker 1: know that died. Oh, I can choose from six, you know, 569 00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:42,040 Speaker 1: but it's still general enough that you could you could 570 00:32:42,040 --> 00:32:43,840 Speaker 1: just throw that out there and see what you catch. Yeah, 571 00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:47,560 Speaker 1: you're you're creating the illusion that you're narrowing the scope 572 00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:51,520 Speaker 1: without really narrowing it by much. So choose your words carefully. 573 00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:53,880 Speaker 1: In fact, I wanted to highlight it's in the spirit 574 00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:56,840 Speaker 1: of one of my favorite quotes from Calvin and Hobbes, 575 00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:59,560 Speaker 1: which is when Calvin's he's talking about how he used 576 00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:02,160 Speaker 1: to hate writing assignments for school, but then he decides 577 00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:05,120 Speaker 1: he loves them because he says, quote, the purpose of 578 00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:08,680 Speaker 1: writing is to inflate weak ideas, obscure poor reasoning, and 579 00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:14,880 Speaker 1: inhibit clarity. That's kind of true. So there are some 580 00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:17,960 Speaker 1: specific words that will be very useful to you, useful 581 00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:22,560 Speaker 1: modifiers like some. Isn't that a great word because some 582 00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:28,040 Speaker 1: could mean anything from one percent to it includes all 583 00:33:28,080 --> 00:33:31,920 Speaker 1: options except none or all. Yeah, it's like saying if 584 00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:34,160 Speaker 1: you were to say you're a real dirt bag, and 585 00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,000 Speaker 1: you're like I don't know if the psychic really knows me. 586 00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:38,200 Speaker 1: Sometimes you're a real dirt bag, and then you have 587 00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:41,520 Speaker 1: to think, well, maybe I am, you know, whether you're 588 00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:44,640 Speaker 1: mostly a dirt bag or only occasionally a dirt bag. 589 00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:46,400 Speaker 1: That's true. Yeah, there's got to be at least some 590 00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:48,600 Speaker 1: moment in your personal history where you're like I was 591 00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:52,120 Speaker 1: kind of sliding towards the dirt bag level of the one. Yeah, 592 00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:55,840 Speaker 1: So that sometimes some and then at times that's a 593 00:33:55,840 --> 00:33:59,560 Speaker 1: great one because at times that that sounds like psychological 594 00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:08,440 Speaker 1: test language. At the same time, you want to convince 595 00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:12,799 Speaker 1: the mark here that the Barnum profile is unique, right, uh. 596 00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:16,080 Speaker 1: And this was key and for his experiment, um uh. 597 00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:19,000 Speaker 1: And he actually described the following scene after he had 598 00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:21,799 Speaker 1: collected feedback on the test. He said he was going 599 00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:24,239 Speaker 1: to read a list of selected traits out loud, and 600 00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:27,040 Speaker 1: if the students had the trade on their profile, they 601 00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:30,200 Speaker 1: needed to raise their hand. After four read the first trade, 602 00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:32,400 Speaker 1: every hand in the room went up and then the 603 00:34:32,400 --> 00:34:35,520 Speaker 1: students burst out laughing. The moment the students realized their 604 00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:38,920 Speaker 1: profiles were not unique, that's when they instantly knew the 605 00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,920 Speaker 1: personality sketch was bunk. So in this we get into 606 00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:44,200 Speaker 1: the whole fortune cookie scenario, Like, if you know all 607 00:34:44,200 --> 00:34:46,759 Speaker 1: the fortune cookies are the same, the only way you're 608 00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:48,920 Speaker 1: gonna get into it is if you suspend disbelief or 609 00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:51,719 Speaker 1: even just you know, it's hard to even have the 610 00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:55,920 Speaker 1: magical thinking cranked up high enough to buy a fortune cookie. 611 00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:58,680 Speaker 1: It's amazing how much that works. I mean, even knowing 612 00:34:58,719 --> 00:35:01,560 Speaker 1: what we know about fortune co he's not thinking they're magical. 613 00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:04,200 Speaker 1: Imagine if you were sitting at a table and everybody 614 00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:06,600 Speaker 1: opened their fortune cookie at the Chinese restaurant and they 615 00:35:06,640 --> 00:35:09,960 Speaker 1: all had the same fortune on them, Like it wouldn't 616 00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:12,759 Speaker 1: even feel as significant to you as it normally does 617 00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:15,200 Speaker 1: when you normally know it's not significant, right, But if 618 00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:17,719 Speaker 1: you have the at least the illusion that has been 619 00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:20,480 Speaker 1: personally prepared for you, like nobody does this. But what 620 00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:23,680 Speaker 1: if the fortune cookie chef came to your table as 621 00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:26,439 Speaker 1: if they were going to you know, customer poportulary. Yeah, 622 00:35:26,480 --> 00:35:28,719 Speaker 1: and you know, did some sort of you know, I 623 00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:32,160 Speaker 1: don't know, some sort of ritual right, or you know, 624 00:35:32,239 --> 00:35:34,759 Speaker 1: did something scanned you with some sort of device and 625 00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:36,640 Speaker 1: then read it out on a meter and then wrote 626 00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:40,880 Speaker 1: it down. If you had table preparation side fortune cookie preparation. 627 00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:43,799 Speaker 1: This could be big. This would allow you to to 628 00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:48,200 Speaker 1: perceive it as an individualized exercise, and then you would say, 629 00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:50,319 Speaker 1: of course you would buy it, even if it's like 630 00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:53,160 Speaker 1: one of those really horrible fortune cookies that just throws 631 00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:57,280 Speaker 1: out some little adage rather than even attempting to forecast 632 00:35:57,320 --> 00:36:02,000 Speaker 1: your future. Yeah, so here's another one. Be flattering, flatter 633 00:36:02,160 --> 00:36:05,400 Speaker 1: the person. One of the findings of a nineteen literature 634 00:36:05,440 --> 00:36:09,320 Speaker 1: review by Dixon and Kelly was that there's some evidence 635 00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:14,960 Speaker 1: that positive or favorable assessments are more readily accepted as accurate. 636 00:36:15,040 --> 00:36:17,759 Speaker 1: So if you're reading a list of traits that are 637 00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:20,759 Speaker 1: your feedback from the personality test you took, if they're 638 00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:24,640 Speaker 1: mostly negative, you're less likely to say this is very accurate. 639 00:36:24,680 --> 00:36:27,200 Speaker 1: Then if they're mostly positive, and it doesn't have to 640 00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:29,719 Speaker 1: mean that they're all positive. In fact, I would think 641 00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:32,760 Speaker 1: that might not work if they're all just glowing reviews 642 00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:34,880 Speaker 1: of you. So what I would do if I was 643 00:36:34,960 --> 00:36:37,600 Speaker 1: designing one of these is make it eighty to nine 644 00:36:37,680 --> 00:36:40,400 Speaker 1: deep percent really nice things about you and then a 645 00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:44,279 Speaker 1: couple of harmless criticisms. Yeah, you want to have it, 646 00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:46,759 Speaker 1: you know, it's kind of like buying a character in fiction, right, 647 00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:48,440 Speaker 1: they need to have some flaws, they need to have 648 00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:50,920 Speaker 1: some some some strengths. You need to be able to 649 00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:53,120 Speaker 1: get behind the the idea that is the real person. 650 00:36:53,200 --> 00:36:55,560 Speaker 1: But they have to be overall likable or nobody's going 651 00:36:55,600 --> 00:36:59,600 Speaker 1: to buy them as the protagonist. Well, I don't know 652 00:36:59,640 --> 00:37:02,319 Speaker 1: if that's true for fiction, because well, who doesn't love 653 00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:07,480 Speaker 1: Snake Pliskin. He has positive attributes. You know, he's he 654 00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:10,440 Speaker 1: stands up for what he believes in. He's true to himself. Yeah, 655 00:37:10,560 --> 00:37:14,279 Speaker 1: and you know he's uh, he's he's also true to 656 00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:16,560 Speaker 1: his crew. That's important too. You know, like when he 657 00:37:16,600 --> 00:37:19,319 Speaker 1: gets out and he finally talks to the president, you know, 658 00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:21,400 Speaker 1: the first thing he says is, like, these people, well 659 00:37:21,480 --> 00:37:23,040 Speaker 1: some of these people died for you. You know, you 660 00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:25,840 Speaker 1: gotta gotta stand by them. And the president's too busy prepping, 661 00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:27,600 Speaker 1: and that's what he decides to tear up the tape. 662 00:37:27,640 --> 00:37:31,200 Speaker 1: So but but yeah, when a character is just too 663 00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:35,960 Speaker 1: unlikable instantly comes to mind that show Last Minute on Earth. 664 00:37:35,960 --> 00:37:39,440 Speaker 1: I don't know if you watched this Will Forte in 665 00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:42,640 Speaker 1: the League playing the this uh, this man who survived 666 00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:46,080 Speaker 1: after the apocalypse, and it's and then he starts encountering 667 00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:50,480 Speaker 1: random survivors, but he's the center of it and it's 668 00:37:50,480 --> 00:37:54,080 Speaker 1: a good show. But the character is so unlikable that 669 00:37:54,200 --> 00:37:57,280 Speaker 1: I ended up one of the last episode I watched. 670 00:37:57,280 --> 00:37:59,320 Speaker 1: I think I spent the whole thing just hoping Cannibal 671 00:37:59,719 --> 00:38:02,000 Speaker 1: while drors would show up and eat him, because it's like, 672 00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:05,359 Speaker 1: I can't really get behind him because he's so despicable. 673 00:38:05,520 --> 00:38:08,120 Speaker 1: Oh man, I think of this because just a couple 674 00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:10,759 Speaker 1: of weeks ago, on July four, we in our house 675 00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:14,520 Speaker 1: watched Jaws, which we do everywhere on July four. Yeah, 676 00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:17,520 Speaker 1: but have you ever read the book? No, I haven't. 677 00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:22,360 Speaker 1: Every single character is detestable there. There's not a single 678 00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:26,480 Speaker 1: even remotely likable character that I don't know. I have 679 00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:28,880 Speaker 1: no idea whether that was intentional or not. But you 680 00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:31,680 Speaker 1: just want the shark to eat them all weird, and 681 00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:33,560 Speaker 1: they had to change it for the movie. It's hard 682 00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:36,160 Speaker 1: to imagine that now with as like lovable as Quint 683 00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:39,000 Speaker 1: is in the movie. Yeah, that's weird. No I read. 684 00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:42,600 Speaker 1: I read Peter Benchley's Beast about the Giant Squid, But 685 00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:46,560 Speaker 1: that's the only Benchley book I've ever read. Yeah, I've 686 00:38:46,600 --> 00:38:50,400 Speaker 1: never ventured into the Benchley deep cuts. That's that's that's 687 00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:53,040 Speaker 1: the only cut I've listened to. But it was fun 688 00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:55,879 Speaker 1: in the day. Somebody fights a giant scud of the chainsaw. Right, 689 00:38:56,200 --> 00:38:58,839 Speaker 1: oh wait, let's get back. Yes, yeah, we have one more, 690 00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:01,640 Speaker 1: and this one is pretty simple. Project high status and 691 00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:04,200 Speaker 1: scientific authority. It kind of like if you put this 692 00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:08,160 Speaker 1: in the guise of the psychic reader or the magician, 693 00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:11,440 Speaker 1: like we're a fancy cloak, have a cool beard, right, Like, 694 00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:14,799 Speaker 1: drape yourself in the authority of the station you're in. 695 00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:17,759 Speaker 1: And if you're trying to, uh to to pull this off, 696 00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:20,759 Speaker 1: it's like a personality assessment thing, like, have some sort 697 00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:23,560 Speaker 1: of scientific authority to you throw out some scientific lingo, 698 00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:26,040 Speaker 1: have some sort of gadget that you will whip out 699 00:39:26,080 --> 00:39:29,120 Speaker 1: at your table side fortune cookie preparation, right. I. I 700 00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:32,000 Speaker 1: actually tried to incorporate this into the little deception I 701 00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:33,919 Speaker 1: used at the beginning of the episode when I said 702 00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:37,600 Speaker 1: that the test we used was a survey created by 703 00:39:37,640 --> 00:39:41,200 Speaker 1: the Society for Personality and Social Psychology subdivision of the 704 00:39:41,239 --> 00:39:43,759 Speaker 1: A p A, which is a real subdivision. Don't know 705 00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:47,200 Speaker 1: if they've ever created a test, but yeah, it sounded 706 00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:50,319 Speaker 1: accurate because you're throwing out some some some jargon, throwing 707 00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:52,520 Speaker 1: out the name of an organization, and your mind kind 708 00:39:52,520 --> 00:39:54,640 Speaker 1: of stops listening and just sort of checks it off, like, yeah, 709 00:39:54,680 --> 00:39:57,439 Speaker 1: that sounds that sounds accurate. Yeah. Now, there of course 710 00:39:57,440 --> 00:39:59,760 Speaker 1: a number of positives here. As we was, we touched 711 00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:01,640 Speaker 1: on you know, you can have fun with a fortune cookie, 712 00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:04,879 Speaker 1: you can enjoy your horoscope, you can people love these 713 00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:08,960 Speaker 1: online personality quizzes. Yeah, you can appreciate the you know, 714 00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:11,239 Speaker 1: some sort of personal satisfaction in finding out that you're 715 00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:15,080 Speaker 1: Wolverine um. And in some cases I maintain you can 716 00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:19,920 Speaker 1: you know, and the right kind of psychic can can 717 00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:21,799 Speaker 1: get inside your head a little bit and have a 718 00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:23,640 Speaker 1: positive effect on you. I mean you could argue that 719 00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:27,080 Speaker 1: to a certain extent, therapists you're using the same the 720 00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:30,160 Speaker 1: same devices, they're just using it with some sort of 721 00:40:30,200 --> 00:40:33,560 Speaker 1: ethical um structure in place. Oh yeah, this is a 722 00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:36,640 Speaker 1: thing that is I've read pointed out about some psychics before, 723 00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:38,799 Speaker 1: like it doesn't have to be true that they have 724 00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:42,440 Speaker 1: psychic powers, like the paranormal doesn't have to exist for 725 00:40:42,480 --> 00:40:45,160 Speaker 1: them to perhaps have insights that are useful to you. 726 00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:48,120 Speaker 1: So there's an actually a really good article on this 727 00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:49,480 Speaker 1: and I'll link to this in the landing page of 728 00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:52,880 Speaker 1: this episode. Susan Krauss of Whitburn's when it comes to 729 00:40:53,000 --> 00:40:55,680 Speaker 1: personality test, a dose of skepticism is a good thing. 730 00:40:55,719 --> 00:40:58,520 Speaker 1: And this is from Psychology Today, and she presents first 731 00:40:58,520 --> 00:41:01,480 Speaker 1: of all, the dark side of the for effect um 732 00:41:01,600 --> 00:41:05,000 Speaker 1: as as really coming down to key three key things. One, 733 00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:07,239 Speaker 1: it allows others to scam you out of money, right 734 00:41:07,280 --> 00:41:10,239 Speaker 1: because because of the thing for mentioned where if if 735 00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:12,960 Speaker 1: it works on you once, now you have logged in 736 00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:16,640 Speaker 1: your brain. Okay, this device is worth trusting. And that 737 00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:20,879 Speaker 1: device could be a particular test, could be apology, could 738 00:41:20,880 --> 00:41:25,360 Speaker 1: be a psychic on TV, could be an advertising UM slogan, 739 00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:27,719 Speaker 1: you know, like, oh, they really kind of got into 740 00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:29,760 Speaker 1: who I am. They know who I am. I should 741 00:41:29,760 --> 00:41:33,399 Speaker 1: buy their shampoo. Um. Number two, it makes you more 742 00:41:33,480 --> 00:41:36,440 Speaker 1: susceptible to bad advice. You kind of touched them that already, 743 00:41:36,440 --> 00:41:39,160 Speaker 1: but yeah, they're they're they're in your head. You're you're 744 00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:41,680 Speaker 1: trusting them, and now they can start telling you all 745 00:41:41,680 --> 00:41:44,839 Speaker 1: sorts of horrible things. And then number three, it makes 746 00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:48,399 Speaker 1: you less susceptible to good advice that isn't as lubricated. 747 00:41:48,520 --> 00:41:51,280 Speaker 1: Oh man, So if somebody. So let's say you take 748 00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:55,520 Speaker 1: a very well designed psychology test that gives you a 749 00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:58,759 Speaker 1: good profile of your personality that has all kinds of 750 00:41:58,760 --> 00:42:02,360 Speaker 1: specifics that aren't as packaged as these vague generalities. You 751 00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:05,400 Speaker 1: would get another test, you might actually not trust the 752 00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:09,239 Speaker 1: good feedback. Yeah, Or imagine the pyramid scheme guy, you know, 753 00:42:09,320 --> 00:42:11,399 Speaker 1: like he's coming up, he's buying your drinks, he's really 754 00:42:11,480 --> 00:42:13,480 Speaker 1: laying it on thick. You're really buying into what he's 755 00:42:13,520 --> 00:42:16,480 Speaker 1: selling because he's selling it so well, and he's he's 756 00:42:16,480 --> 00:42:20,560 Speaker 1: already gained your trust. Meanwhile, your actual accountant is saying, hey, 757 00:42:20,600 --> 00:42:23,040 Speaker 1: you really need to be careful about these investments. But 758 00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:26,680 Speaker 1: your actual accountants kind of boring and make yourself and 759 00:42:26,719 --> 00:42:30,200 Speaker 1: he doesn't. His information isn't as well lubricated as that 760 00:42:30,280 --> 00:42:35,560 Speaker 1: of the charlatan. So she has four key recommendations to 761 00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:37,799 Speaker 1: avoid the pitfalls, just to you know, just to keep 762 00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:41,000 Speaker 1: it in your mind as you're moving through life. Number one, 763 00:42:41,200 --> 00:42:44,200 Speaker 1: No a fortune cookie when you see one. Obviously, that's 764 00:42:44,239 --> 00:42:47,680 Speaker 1: that's my summation of this particular one. But yeah, like 765 00:42:48,040 --> 00:42:50,640 Speaker 1: you know what you're dealing with. Yeah, beyond the lookout 766 00:42:50,680 --> 00:42:54,680 Speaker 1: for statements that are universally valid and recognize them as such. Right, Yeah, 767 00:42:54,760 --> 00:42:57,160 Speaker 1: that's the second way you look for evidence of validity. 768 00:42:57,320 --> 00:42:59,799 Speaker 1: Read between the lines, look for that ambiguity we've been 769 00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:02,080 Speaker 1: talking thinking about is this a statement that could apply 770 00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:05,239 Speaker 1: to anyone? And I'm just grabbing onto the bait and 771 00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:11,279 Speaker 1: then finally trust actual professionals as opposed to advertisements and 772 00:43:11,400 --> 00:43:15,320 Speaker 1: TV psychics. No, no, no, wait no, maybe you haven't 773 00:43:15,400 --> 00:43:20,399 Speaker 1: encountered my favorite TV psychic. Uh, doctor You're so great? Now, 774 00:43:20,480 --> 00:43:24,120 Speaker 1: Doctor you're so great? Has some really interesting things to 775 00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:29,280 Speaker 1: say about how smart I am. Yeah, dr You're so Yeah. 776 00:43:29,320 --> 00:43:31,040 Speaker 1: Well they can they can be very convincing. I you know, 777 00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:33,560 Speaker 1: I don't watch as much TV these days, and not 778 00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:35,040 Speaker 1: like you know in the old days, you turn on 779 00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:36,840 Speaker 1: the TV and you just had to absorb what it 780 00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:39,080 Speaker 1: gave you. So I don't even know what's out there. 781 00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:41,400 Speaker 1: Are there other YouTube psychics the way there used to 782 00:43:41,400 --> 00:43:44,080 Speaker 1: be TV psychics? I would hope so. But like there 783 00:43:44,120 --> 00:43:45,800 Speaker 1: was the guy with the gray plastic hair. Do you 784 00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:48,959 Speaker 1: remember him? No? What is that? Oh goodness, I should 785 00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:51,160 Speaker 1: have I should have thought to look him up before 786 00:43:51,360 --> 00:43:53,600 Speaker 1: the podcast episode, but he had it was like this 787 00:43:53,719 --> 00:43:57,000 Speaker 1: just normal looking, kind of Doughey dude, and he had 788 00:43:57,239 --> 00:43:59,440 Speaker 1: hair that was seemingly made out of plastic. I just 789 00:43:59,480 --> 00:44:02,440 Speaker 1: googled psychic gray plastic hare and the first result is 790 00:44:02,520 --> 00:44:07,320 Speaker 1: Dorian Gray syndrome. M Well, now I'm even more intrigued 791 00:44:08,239 --> 00:44:10,759 Speaker 1: that he may have this man they have suffered from 792 00:44:10,800 --> 00:44:14,240 Speaker 1: some sort of disorder that involved in aging painting. But 793 00:44:14,239 --> 00:44:16,279 Speaker 1: but certainly there was just a whole world's gallery of 794 00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:19,120 Speaker 1: TV psychics back in the day. Certainly, but you know 795 00:44:19,160 --> 00:44:23,359 Speaker 1: they're each unique one and all. Yeah, but again there's 796 00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:26,800 Speaker 1: still the other positive side to this is that allows 797 00:44:26,880 --> 00:44:29,239 Speaker 1: us to really get into our music, right, Oh yeah, 798 00:44:29,239 --> 00:44:31,160 Speaker 1: of course. We were talking about this the other day 799 00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:36,080 Speaker 1: with the the general lyrical themes of pop music, and 800 00:44:36,120 --> 00:44:39,640 Speaker 1: I was thinking about this in contrast to the way 801 00:44:39,760 --> 00:44:43,959 Speaker 1: you handle specificity versus generality and fiction. If you're writing 802 00:44:43,960 --> 00:44:46,120 Speaker 1: a short story or a novel or something like that, 803 00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:48,879 Speaker 1: you don't want to sketch characters in a general way. 804 00:44:48,920 --> 00:44:50,800 Speaker 1: You want to sketch them in a specific way, to 805 00:44:50,840 --> 00:44:53,560 Speaker 1: have interesting, unique details that make them who they are. 806 00:44:53,920 --> 00:44:57,360 Speaker 1: For some reason, in fiction we connect better with specifically 807 00:44:57,440 --> 00:45:01,000 Speaker 1: drawn characters. But in pop music, very often, if you 808 00:45:01,040 --> 00:45:04,839 Speaker 1: look at the lyrics, they are utterly devoid of specifics. 809 00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:08,720 Speaker 1: They are they're they're doing this game where you paint 810 00:45:08,760 --> 00:45:12,760 Speaker 1: in extremely vague generalities that could apply to almost any 811 00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:16,200 Speaker 1: person at any time, and people do seem to respond 812 00:45:16,200 --> 00:45:18,560 Speaker 1: to that. Yeah, because often the generalities are you know, 813 00:45:18,640 --> 00:45:21,160 Speaker 1: kind of mantras that you can get behind, uh, you know, 814 00:45:21,239 --> 00:45:24,880 Speaker 1: statements of power, like like I remember, like when I 815 00:45:24,880 --> 00:45:27,280 Speaker 1: would listen to like nine h Nails in high school, 816 00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:29,160 Speaker 1: there would be you know, it seems like in more 817 00:45:29,160 --> 00:45:31,160 Speaker 1: than one song he would throw in that line nothing 818 00:45:31,200 --> 00:45:33,239 Speaker 1: could stop me now, you know, and you know kind 819 00:45:33,239 --> 00:45:35,360 Speaker 1: of a you know, a dark gothy nine inch Nails la. 820 00:45:35,400 --> 00:45:37,080 Speaker 1: But you listen to you like, yeah, nothing could stop 821 00:45:37,080 --> 00:45:38,480 Speaker 1: me now you kind of pumping yourself up with it. 822 00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:41,800 Speaker 1: This is about my life, yeah, because I am facing 823 00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:44,839 Speaker 1: a challenge that I should not be stopped from. How 824 00:45:44,840 --> 00:45:47,640 Speaker 1: did he know so much about me? Trend just knows Trent. 825 00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:51,359 Speaker 1: Trent is a man of insight. Um. Likewise, another one 826 00:45:51,400 --> 00:45:55,360 Speaker 1: for me several years back, like a definite pop example, 827 00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:59,840 Speaker 1: the band Larou had to track Bulletproof, where the chorus 828 00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:02,279 Speaker 1: next time, baby, I'll be bulletproof and I don't know 829 00:46:02,320 --> 00:46:05,960 Speaker 1: what's even possibly it was specifically about but even you know, 830 00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:07,720 Speaker 1: I would listen to and it was a catchy tune 831 00:46:07,760 --> 00:46:10,040 Speaker 1: and I would think, yeah, I'm gonna be bulletproof, you 832 00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:12,640 Speaker 1: can't stop me. Yeah, the same kind of it's the same. Yeah, 833 00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:16,319 Speaker 1: it's it's the trend principle, the tread principle. How about yourself, 834 00:46:17,560 --> 00:46:20,839 Speaker 1: any pop songs that resonate with you? Yeah, just looking 835 00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:23,279 Speaker 1: back in my history in my music player app, I 836 00:46:23,280 --> 00:46:26,120 Speaker 1: think it's funny looking at the contrast between different types 837 00:46:26,120 --> 00:46:28,480 Speaker 1: of lyrics. Like one of the things I see is 838 00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:31,960 Speaker 1: Lauretta Lens Don't come Home and drinking with Loving on 839 00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:35,920 Speaker 1: your Mind, which I mean that's pretty specific song, like 840 00:46:35,960 --> 00:46:38,640 Speaker 1: that tells a specific story. On the other hand, You've 841 00:46:38,640 --> 00:46:42,480 Speaker 1: got don't stop thinking about Tomorrow. Yeah, I mean that's 842 00:46:42,560 --> 00:46:46,160 Speaker 1: how much more general could it be? You could be like, wow, 843 00:46:46,200 --> 00:46:48,919 Speaker 1: they really, they really got me because I'm thinking about 844 00:46:48,960 --> 00:46:51,200 Speaker 1: the weekend or that you know, I'm going to get 845 00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:54,000 Speaker 1: something done tomorrow. The MAC knows, the mac knows how 846 00:46:54,040 --> 00:46:56,400 Speaker 1: we think, right, and of course that that that does 847 00:46:56,520 --> 00:46:59,000 Speaker 1: underligne like the two big trends in song, right, you 848 00:46:59,040 --> 00:47:02,080 Speaker 1: have those those ultras cific songs or even narrative songs. Yeah, 849 00:47:02,160 --> 00:47:05,080 Speaker 1: like I'm thinking like Gordon Lightfoot type of vibe where 850 00:47:05,080 --> 00:47:08,240 Speaker 1: you're telling a very definite story about a particular scenario 851 00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:10,640 Speaker 1: and with its own ups and downs, and then on 852 00:47:10,680 --> 00:47:14,480 Speaker 1: the other side, don't stop thinking about tomorrow. The generic 853 00:47:14,560 --> 00:47:18,840 Speaker 1: anthems that you can just copy and paste your life onto. Indeed, 854 00:47:18,840 --> 00:47:23,120 Speaker 1: the classification of anthems is key, al right, so that 855 00:47:23,280 --> 00:47:27,040 Speaker 1: you have it, the for effect, the Barnum effect, whatever 856 00:47:27,080 --> 00:47:29,799 Speaker 1: you want to call it. It's all around us. It's uh, 857 00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:32,360 Speaker 1: it's in our it's in our religious lives, it's in 858 00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:35,319 Speaker 1: our secular lives. It's in our advertising, it's in UH, 859 00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:38,719 Speaker 1: it's in our our culinary taste. So we know that 860 00:47:38,760 --> 00:47:42,480 Speaker 1: everyone has has something to share on this particular topic. 861 00:47:42,560 --> 00:47:44,600 Speaker 1: So we'd love to hear from you. In the meantime, 862 00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:46,360 Speaker 1: check out Stuff to Blow your Mind dot com. That 863 00:47:46,480 --> 00:47:48,839 Speaker 1: is the mothership. That's where you will find all the episodes. 864 00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:52,080 Speaker 1: You'll find blog post videos, you'll find links out to 865 00:47:52,080 --> 00:47:55,120 Speaker 1: our social media account. We're on Facebook, Twitter, and Tumbler. 866 00:47:55,320 --> 00:47:56,799 Speaker 1: And if you want to let us know how you 867 00:47:56,880 --> 00:48:00,120 Speaker 1: reacted initially to our story about the audience surveyor or 868 00:48:00,160 --> 00:48:01,600 Speaker 1: if you want to tell us a story you have 869 00:48:01,719 --> 00:48:05,280 Speaker 1: about somebody falling for the horror effect or the Barnum effect. 870 00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:07,520 Speaker 1: You can let us know at blow the Mind at 871 00:48:07,560 --> 00:48:14,239 Speaker 1: how stuff works dot com for more on this and 872 00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:16,879 Speaker 1: thousands of other topics. Is it how stuff works dot 873 00:48:16,920 --> 00:48:23,000 Speaker 1: com