1
00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,280
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast pot all right,

2
00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:14,120
Speaker 1: here we go fifteen Cunny, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty,

3
00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:18,520
Speaker 1: forty five, fifty and the kicks block Look college fuckball,

4
00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:21,040
Speaker 1: Laura stunder.

5
00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:26,200
Speaker 2: God, Oh my godness, he stumbled the football.

6
00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:29,800
Speaker 1: The lateral turn a carter on.

7
00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:35,400
Speaker 2: The job, don't you The lad came off the veil

8
00:00:35,520 --> 00:00:35,920
Speaker 2: to night.

9
00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,400
Speaker 1: It's not the sage of the dog in the fight.

10
00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:48,040
Speaker 1: It's the sage of the fight in the Welcome to

11
00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:49,960
Speaker 1: the Big Bets on Campus Podcast, brought to you by

12
00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:52,879
Speaker 1: bet MGM The Circuit five deep dive on Mike Calvary's

13
00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:56,240
Speaker 1: joined as always by Mike Ianello. We're back after a

14
00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:59,279
Speaker 1: not so hot Week five. But this is you know,

15
00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:03,320
Speaker 1: the heart part of Conference USA season MAX season. Shout

16
00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:06,280
Speaker 1: outs to them playing games during the week like this

17
00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:08,920
Speaker 1: is not the time to pull off on the accelerator.

18
00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:10,679
Speaker 1: It's time to get right back up on that horse.

19
00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:12,840
Speaker 1: As I mentioned, I took it on the chin in

20
00:01:12,880 --> 00:01:15,880
Speaker 1: week five, but I actually really enjoyed this slate. You know,

21
00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:19,000
Speaker 1: going through there was multiple games. You know, I felt

22
00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:22,400
Speaker 1: that there's a few pesky underdogs that could win outright.

23
00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:23,920
Speaker 1: I felt that way A couple of weeks ago. It

24
00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:25,800
Speaker 1: was one of the biggest weeks of the entire season.

25
00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:28,360
Speaker 1: So I'm coming back with confidence here. But I'll kick

26
00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:30,200
Speaker 1: it to you first. I l in terms of where

27
00:01:30,240 --> 00:01:32,240
Speaker 1: your head's at. I know that you basically treaded water

28
00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:35,240
Speaker 1: in the action app there in week five. How do

29
00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:38,560
Speaker 1: you view Week six now that we get into really

30
00:01:38,600 --> 00:01:41,160
Speaker 1: in earnest conference play across the board. No more of

31
00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:44,479
Speaker 1: these little sisters, the poor catching thirty plus points against

32
00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:47,160
Speaker 1: the big dogs. Now every single game feels like, you know,

33
00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:50,120
Speaker 1: it's within let's call it, three to eleven points on

34
00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:52,320
Speaker 1: the board in G five land. What do you think

35
00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:52,720
Speaker 1: about that?

36
00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:56,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the Titanus almost makes me makes the

37
00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:58,520
Speaker 2: plays less obvious. You know, normally I would say we

38
00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:01,880
Speaker 2: record this Tuesday night. You know, normally by this point

39
00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:05,360
Speaker 2: I probably have eight, nine, ten bets on the boy

40
00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:09,840
Speaker 2: ready that just seem off immediately upon open eers, you know,

41
00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:13,360
Speaker 2: I got. I have three bets on my card that

42
00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,560
Speaker 2: I've actually placed so far. I'll probably the ones I

43
00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:19,000
Speaker 2: give out today. I'll probably bet them later tonight. But

44
00:02:19,080 --> 00:02:21,160
Speaker 2: like I bet Texas on opener, and that was pretty

45
00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:23,640
Speaker 2: much the only thing I bet Sunday so I actually

46
00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:26,480
Speaker 2: I don't love this like the card first glance, because

47
00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:28,840
Speaker 2: I do think the lines tend to be more accurate.

48
00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:31,000
Speaker 2: As we get further in, They're a little sharper and

49
00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:33,959
Speaker 2: I'm finding less of an obvious edge. So we'll see,

50
00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:35,640
Speaker 2: We'll see how it goes. Like you said, my my

51
00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:37,359
Speaker 2: hot streak did come to a close. I went ten

52
00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:39,880
Speaker 2: and eleven, So yeah, treaded water could have been worse.

53
00:02:39,960 --> 00:02:42,120
Speaker 2: But the fuegnis is officially gone.

54
00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:44,200
Speaker 1: Well, I know it can always get you into good mood.

55
00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,240
Speaker 1: Who is your group of five hero from week five?

56
00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:48,799
Speaker 1: I know you like to spin a good yard and

57
00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:53,400
Speaker 1: a good taale, whether it's an administrator, a referee, you know,

58
00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:56,639
Speaker 1: a special teams coordinator, Like who are you going with here?

59
00:02:56,760 --> 00:03:12,080
Speaker 1: Or is it a player on the field.

60
00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:16,080
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with a player in the field. You

61
00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:19,040
Speaker 2: may own apology because my g five here of the

62
00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:23,679
Speaker 2: week Arkansas State quarterback Jalen Rainer. We have gone from

63
00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:26,400
Speaker 2: Butch don't kill my vibe to Butch better have my

64
00:03:26,440 --> 00:03:29,520
Speaker 2: money because he's about to get himself an extension breeze.

65
00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:30,920
Speaker 2: They've won three games in a row.

66
00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:35,320
Speaker 1: Money they had one three games. They have won three

67
00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:38,040
Speaker 1: games in a row. It looked really dynamic and offense,

68
00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:43,400
Speaker 1: and I nearly pulled the absolute reverse jinks. I almost

69
00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:45,960
Speaker 1: wanted to parlay this together. Am I gonna play Dilfer

70
00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:49,360
Speaker 1: and Butch Butch Jones in the same week because both

71
00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:52,000
Speaker 1: of them are catching points and I don't really see that.

72
00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:54,240
Speaker 1: I think the UA B line should be closer to

73
00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:56,040
Speaker 1: a pick him. I'm not actually gonna pull the trigger

74
00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:59,360
Speaker 1: on the Blazers, but like I don't know, Arkansas State

75
00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:02,320
Speaker 1: catching what is it seventeen against Troy. This quarterback has

76
00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,640
Speaker 1: totally changed their entire identity. At someone we talked about

77
00:04:05,720 --> 00:04:09,000
Speaker 1: year over year when JT. Shroud came in for James Blackman.

78
00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:11,280
Speaker 1: I know that Blackman didn't set the world on fire

79
00:04:11,360 --> 00:04:14,280
Speaker 1: last year, but the drop off was so significant. And

80
00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:16,479
Speaker 1: now this kid comes out of nowhere. He's their white

81
00:04:16,560 --> 00:04:18,719
Speaker 1: Knight to save, you know, their entire season for the

82
00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:20,160
Speaker 1: red Wolves. I don't know. I think this is a

83
00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:21,560
Speaker 1: great pick for your G five hero.

84
00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:25,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, true freshman. He's made two starts Smoke Southern mess

85
00:04:25,120 --> 00:04:28,000
Speaker 2: smoked mass. He does six touchdowns against the mass Less,

86
00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:30,200
Speaker 2: so he completed eighty percent of his passes and his

87
00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:33,599
Speaker 2: two stars he's accounted for eleven touchdowns. And to your point,

88
00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:35,960
Speaker 2: I'm not betting against Troy because I think Troy is

89
00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:38,880
Speaker 2: starting to wake up. But I just pulled out their schedule.

90
00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:40,680
Speaker 2: I will be back into Arkansas State and the inner

91
00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:43,320
Speaker 2: future if Rainer keeps looking like this. Next week they're

92
00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:45,720
Speaker 2: at home against Coastal, who does not look good, and

93
00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:48,480
Speaker 2: they'll probably be catching a similar double digit number there.

94
00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:51,119
Speaker 2: And then after that they got Ulm, which will probably

95
00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:54,479
Speaker 2: be a closer line. Those are two games I could

96
00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:57,200
Speaker 2: be looking to back the Red Wolves, my G five hero.

97
00:04:57,240 --> 00:05:00,000
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Judy McClain, the Commissioner of confidence.

98
00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:03,200
Speaker 1: You know, they got rid of the dash, the hyphen

99
00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:06,320
Speaker 1: in cusa. That's not the reason why I'm picking her here.

100
00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:10,479
Speaker 1: She brought Conference USA football to Tuesdays and Wednesdays. I

101
00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:14,120
Speaker 1: love this. I love when the G five commissioners get

102
00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:16,719
Speaker 1: the school presidence together and it's like, let's be innovative.

103
00:05:16,839 --> 00:05:19,880
Speaker 1: And she's clear about this, she didn't create this, she's

104
00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:22,040
Speaker 1: stealing this from the MAC. But she can look at

105
00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:24,920
Speaker 1: TV ratings, she can look at exposure. They bring in,

106
00:05:24,960 --> 00:05:27,000
Speaker 1: you know, all kinds of consulting firms to sit down

107
00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:29,680
Speaker 1: with them. It worked for the Mac, they got a bump.

108
00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:33,160
Speaker 1: It is difficult logistically, but she walked through every athletic department,

109
00:05:33,200 --> 00:05:36,479
Speaker 1: every school president, made assurances, tried to balance out the schedule,

110
00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:39,000
Speaker 1: and she got it done and we're the beneficiaries. Like,

111
00:05:39,200 --> 00:05:40,960
Speaker 1: the fact of the matter is, I'm gonna be sitting

112
00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:43,920
Speaker 1: down Tuesdays and Wednesdays now with twice as much football

113
00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:46,400
Speaker 1: to watch, you know, once we get into action, and

114
00:05:46,440 --> 00:05:48,280
Speaker 1: that's a great thing. I love it, and I think

115
00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:50,360
Speaker 1: it gives the proper spotlight to some of these teams,

116
00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:51,839
Speaker 1: and one of them I'm going to talk about in

117
00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:54,760
Speaker 1: a second, with Jacksonville State, Like I'm excited that they're

118
00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:56,400
Speaker 1: going to be on national television. I think it's a

119
00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:59,080
Speaker 1: great get for Conference USA, and it's really all because

120
00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:02,440
Speaker 1: of her. She's one of, you know, the trailblazers from

121
00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:05,000
Speaker 1: a you know, a female and power perspective in college

122
00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:07,120
Speaker 1: sports in general, and I think she deserves to be

123
00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:07,400
Speaker 1: a hero.

124
00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:10,320
Speaker 2: I think if these comments were smart too, like yeah,

125
00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:12,520
Speaker 2: they kind of vote day to day, like the way

126
00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:14,720
Speaker 2: Mac owned. When you think mak the MAC, you think

127
00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:17,280
Speaker 2: Tuesday nights. I think it would be so awesome if

128
00:06:17,400 --> 00:06:20,080
Speaker 2: we get to a point where it's like Mac owns Tuesday,

129
00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:24,440
Speaker 2: CUSA owns Wednesday, Sumbell owns Thursday, and you just like

130
00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:26,760
Speaker 2: that's what the Pac twelve screw up is. They kind

131
00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:28,400
Speaker 2: of had a good thing going with those like late

132
00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:30,920
Speaker 2: night Friday night games and then they kind of got

133
00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:32,680
Speaker 2: away with it because their good teams keple losing on

134
00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:35,480
Speaker 2: Friday nights. But like, that's what the Pack telps are done.

135
00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:37,800
Speaker 2: They should just play Oregon Washington State Friday night every

136
00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:38,760
Speaker 2: single week next year.

137
00:06:38,960 --> 00:06:41,080
Speaker 1: The last thing I just want to kind of speak

138
00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:45,120
Speaker 1: into existence from an innovation standpoint, there's these rumors that

139
00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:48,400
Speaker 1: the remaining Pack twelve schools, all two of them, and

140
00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:51,200
Speaker 1: the Mountain West, if they came together, why don't we

141
00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:54,080
Speaker 1: try to put together some kind of relegation and you know,

142
00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:58,440
Speaker 1: demotion promotion kind of situation, just like English Premier League soccer.

143
00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:01,080
Speaker 1: That's the kind of outside the thinking that I want

144
00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:03,719
Speaker 1: from a Chief five conference that may be aspiring to

145
00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:05,839
Speaker 1: you know, the Power six. The way that the AAC

146
00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:08,479
Speaker 1: got in there. Yeah, I mean, why not two years

147
00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:10,520
Speaker 1: ago we played so bad we had to drop down

148
00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:13,200
Speaker 1: from the Premier League to a lower league that was

149
00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:16,080
Speaker 1: called the Championship, so that don't make sense. Now this

150
00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:18,320
Speaker 1: year we played so well we qualified to get into

151
00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:21,360
Speaker 1: another league, and that one's called the Champions League.

152
00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:23,400
Speaker 2: Entirely different league pretty much sage name though.

153
00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:25,600
Speaker 1: That don't make sense. And now y'all are telling me

154
00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:28,280
Speaker 1: that to get into the Champions League you can finish

155
00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:31,640
Speaker 1: as low as fourth place. That don't make no sense.

156
00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:34,880
Speaker 1: Let's get into the best bets. You've been trending better

157
00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:36,800
Speaker 1: here in the last three weeks. We'll start with you.

158
00:07:36,840 --> 00:07:38,000
Speaker 1: What's your best bet for Week six?

159
00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:40,880
Speaker 2: So spoiler alert, this isn't my favorite bet of the week,

160
00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:43,800
Speaker 2: but I'm trying to reverse psychology myself once again. I

161
00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:46,080
Speaker 2: put it here because I want to talk about it first,

162
00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:48,280
Speaker 2: because it's the first game of the week. I'm going

163
00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:50,400
Speaker 2: jackson State plus three and a half. As Breeze says,

164
00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:53,200
Speaker 2: this game is Wednesday night, so bet it now, bet

165
00:07:53,240 --> 00:07:56,520
Speaker 2: as you're listening hopefully Wednesday morning. Jacksonville State is quietly

166
00:07:57,040 --> 00:08:00,280
Speaker 2: form one to begin their time at FPS play. Yes,

167
00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:04,160
Speaker 2: they've played five teams at stink, but Middle Tennessee stinks,

168
00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:07,160
Speaker 2: so it's kind of the point. I think this team

169
00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:11,800
Speaker 2: profiles very similar to James Madison when you're looking at

170
00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:14,760
Speaker 2: what they do well. They're currently eighth in the country

171
00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:18,679
Speaker 2: in success right on defense, they're twenty fourth at preventing

172
00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:23,320
Speaker 2: finishing drives, the thirty seventh at limiting explosiveness. They're excellent

173
00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:26,800
Speaker 2: against the run, and they have the sixth highest rushing

174
00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:29,880
Speaker 2: rate in the nation. Run the ball, play, good defense.

175
00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:32,080
Speaker 2: That's exactly what James Madison has been doing for two years.

176
00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:33,880
Speaker 2: The only difference is they do it at the fastest

177
00:08:33,880 --> 00:08:36,920
Speaker 2: pace in the entire country, so it looks different, but

178
00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:39,600
Speaker 2: it's the same concept of just run the ball, play

179
00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:41,800
Speaker 2: d I know you were high on zion Web coming

180
00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:43,920
Speaker 2: into the air, but I've really liked what I've seen

181
00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:46,640
Speaker 2: from Logan' Smothers. He took over week one. I guess

182
00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:49,160
Speaker 2: zion Web started Week one. They've kind of alternated. Web

183
00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:53,280
Speaker 2: started one, Smothers started two, zion Web started three, Smothers

184
00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:56,120
Speaker 2: started four. I think they're going with Smothers moving forward,

185
00:08:56,120 --> 00:08:58,240
Speaker 2: at least I hope they are. He threw three touchdowns

186
00:08:58,280 --> 00:09:01,000
Speaker 2: last week against the Sam Houston's defense. It looked pretty good.

187
00:09:01,240 --> 00:09:03,959
Speaker 2: His five touchdowns no picks on the aar. He's added

188
00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:04,959
Speaker 2: five touchdowns.

189
00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:05,040
Speaker 1: On the ground.

190
00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:06,480
Speaker 2: I kind of thought Webb was more of than dual

191
00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:08,920
Speaker 2: threats mothers can he can scoop too. He's also a

192
00:09:08,960 --> 00:09:11,760
Speaker 2: former four star recruit. He spent three years at Nebraska.

193
00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:14,559
Speaker 2: He's no slouch. That's coming from, you know, the FCS level.

194
00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:17,480
Speaker 2: He's coming from Nebraska. We've seen Malik Jackson run the

195
00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:20,520
Speaker 2: ball great the ULM transfer. He's averaging six point five

196
00:09:20,640 --> 00:09:23,199
Speaker 2: yards per carry. Annawar Lewis, who was their leading back

197
00:09:23,320 --> 00:09:25,559
Speaker 2: last year. He made a season debut last week, really

198
00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:27,559
Speaker 2: didn't do much, but I think he's gonna get more

199
00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:30,720
Speaker 2: involved moving forward. And Midlitence's offense terrible. I talked about

200
00:09:30,800 --> 00:09:33,040
Speaker 2: him every week. They sucked. Their defense is even worse.

201
00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:35,679
Speaker 2: They're one hundred and tenth in success rate, one hundred

202
00:09:35,679 --> 00:09:38,160
Speaker 2: and eleventh against the run, which, as I said, is

203
00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:40,000
Speaker 2: kind of all the game Poks want to do. And

204
00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:43,079
Speaker 2: Middle Tennessee can't stop the run. And Middle tenn See

205
00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:45,920
Speaker 2: ranks one hundred and thirty third dead last in the

206
00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:49,600
Speaker 2: country at preventing finishing drives. So all Jacksonville State needs

207
00:09:49,640 --> 00:09:52,320
Speaker 2: to do is get past the forty and they should

208
00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:56,280
Speaker 2: expect points. Jacksonville State plus three and a hook, I

209
00:09:56,360 --> 00:09:58,400
Speaker 2: don't get it. They should be favored in this game.

210
00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:01,120
Speaker 2: If Jacksonville State was my is two and a half,

211
00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:04,800
Speaker 2: it's still probably be on my card. So catching over

212
00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:08,440
Speaker 2: a field goal seems crazy to me. I bet Middle Tennessee.

213
00:10:08,960 --> 00:10:11,600
Speaker 2: I bet against them most of pretty much every episode,

214
00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:13,520
Speaker 2: and I don't think I've lost betting against them yet.

215
00:10:13,760 --> 00:10:16,000
Speaker 2: Give me the Game Cocks at three o'hwock, and honestly,

216
00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:17,679
Speaker 2: I thought about them for my money line. Dog. I

217
00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:18,400
Speaker 2: think they win the game.

218
00:10:18,520 --> 00:10:20,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's a great play. It's a part

219
00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:21,960
Speaker 1: of my round robin. So I'll save a little bit

220
00:10:22,000 --> 00:10:24,240
Speaker 1: of commentary there. But you know, the last two weeks,

221
00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:27,280
Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee's played Colorado State and Western Kentucky, not exactly

222
00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:30,480
Speaker 1: world beaters. Defensively, They've scored thirty three total points in

223
00:10:30,520 --> 00:10:33,200
Speaker 1: those two games. So one of the biggest shocks in

224
00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:36,120
Speaker 1: Conference USA. I thought that the game Cocks would come

225
00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:38,600
Speaker 1: in and be potent. We talked about their little Caesars

226
00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:39,520
Speaker 1: hot and ready offense.

227
00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:40,280
Speaker 2: Pizza Pizza.

228
00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:43,760
Speaker 1: It's been okay. Their defense has been incredible. I understand

229
00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:45,360
Speaker 1: that they played some bad teams and they've you know,

230
00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:47,360
Speaker 1: padded their stats in that regard. This is a bad

231
00:10:47,360 --> 00:10:50,040
Speaker 1: team to your point, So let's just go ahead and

232
00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:53,199
Speaker 1: use that defense that lives in you know, opponents backfields

233
00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:55,400
Speaker 1: against an offense that gives up a lot of havocs.

234
00:10:55,400 --> 00:10:57,760
Speaker 1: So I'll share some more thoughts on that in the

235
00:10:57,800 --> 00:11:01,319
Speaker 1: round robin. For my best I'm going back to the well.

236
00:11:01,440 --> 00:11:03,840
Speaker 1: Anyone watching here on YouTube, you can see the Colorado

237
00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:06,400
Speaker 1: State helmet, the shirt. We've been banging the drum. It

238
00:11:06,440 --> 00:11:08,360
Speaker 1: took a little time out of the gate. They got

239
00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:11,520
Speaker 1: smoked by Washington State, who now clearly is a legit team.

240
00:11:11,760 --> 00:11:14,240
Speaker 1: They lose in a thriller to Colorado. There's no shame

241
00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:16,280
Speaker 1: in that they're only laying a point and a half

242
00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:19,559
Speaker 1: in Logan Utah Againt Utah State, and I don't really

243
00:11:19,920 --> 00:11:23,480
Speaker 1: understand why, because this offense is rocket Braden Fowler Nicolosi

244
00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:28,040
Speaker 1: has been incredible ten tds through three starts. He's not perfect,

245
00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:31,760
Speaker 1: nor is the offensive line, but the offensive line has improved.

246
00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:34,360
Speaker 1: I would argue over you know, any metric, over one

247
00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:37,120
Speaker 1: hundred points. In terms of like their rank nationally, they're

248
00:11:37,160 --> 00:11:40,600
Speaker 1: now twenty third in sacks allowed per game. They were

249
00:11:40,760 --> 00:11:43,680
Speaker 1: dead last in the FBS last year. So they're finally

250
00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:47,000
Speaker 1: giving their quarterback time to operate, and they're up against

251
00:11:47,120 --> 00:11:50,600
Speaker 1: you know this Utah State team. Oh Man, Utah States defense.

252
00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:53,160
Speaker 1: I can't stress how bad they are. They're one hundred

253
00:11:53,160 --> 00:11:55,120
Speaker 1: and thirtieth in success rate, one hundred and tent in

254
00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:57,720
Speaker 1: sacks per game. They let Yukon drop thirty three on them.

255
00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:00,160
Speaker 1: They let James Mass and Newcomb for forty five points.

256
00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:02,840
Speaker 1: And here comes the best receiving cores in my opinion,

257
00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:05,680
Speaker 1: wide receivers and tight end and all of the group

258
00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:08,880
Speaker 1: of five. Tory Horden is a god. If he could

259
00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:11,119
Speaker 1: run off the field right into the arms of a

260
00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:13,080
Speaker 1: agent and just sign a contract right now, I think

261
00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:16,240
Speaker 1: you should. Jane Norvella has clearly righted the ship. So

262
00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:17,880
Speaker 1: I would play this all the way up to six

263
00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:19,520
Speaker 1: and a half. To be honest, I think it's that

264
00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:21,959
Speaker 1: far off for my projections. I'm going to play it

265
00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:23,520
Speaker 1: on the alternate line. I think you're gonna be able

266
00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:25,920
Speaker 1: to get plus one eighty five plus one seventy five

267
00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:28,679
Speaker 1: on your money teasing up right below a touchdown. So

268
00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:31,079
Speaker 1: that's why it's my best bet here. I know that

269
00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:34,480
Speaker 1: Uta State historically has been sometimes a difficult place to

270
00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:37,800
Speaker 1: play in the Mountain West, but the Rams offense is

271
00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:40,240
Speaker 1: by far the best unit on the field here, and

272
00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:44,120
Speaker 1: Utah State doesn't have any answers right now. So barring

273
00:12:44,200 --> 00:12:46,640
Speaker 1: something crazy, barring an injury, and you know, bring Millan

274
00:12:46,760 --> 00:12:49,600
Speaker 1: back in, I just see another huge performance. We'll call

275
00:12:49,640 --> 00:12:51,560
Speaker 1: it north of thirty five points for the Rams.

276
00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:54,839
Speaker 2: We might as well just hop right into the group

277
00:12:54,840 --> 00:12:58,440
Speaker 2: of five high five right here, the g five high

278
00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:00,920
Speaker 2: five high five high five.

279
00:13:01,960 --> 00:13:04,040
Speaker 1: We're gonna go ahead and give you five picks. Bundle

280
00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:06,920
Speaker 1: them together, five leg parlay, you know, do these round

281
00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:09,400
Speaker 1: robins by threes, by twos, try to put together in

282
00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:11,640
Speaker 1: a responsible way so that you can cash some money

283
00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:14,400
Speaker 1: even if they go four and one. Let's get started

284
00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:15,840
Speaker 1: with your pick here in week six.

285
00:13:16,400 --> 00:13:18,959
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going back to well same way I cashed

286
00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:21,679
Speaker 2: fade Midle Tennessee last week. I cashed faded in the

287
00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:24,400
Speaker 2: Utah State last week as well. Still don't think they're

288
00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:26,640
Speaker 2: any good. Yeah, last week was kind of that weird

289
00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:29,320
Speaker 2: catch twenty two because ukun stumped all the way back,

290
00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:32,920
Speaker 2: was about to force overtime. While the block pat did

291
00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:36,199
Speaker 2: secure our Yukon plus six and a half ticket, it

292
00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:39,560
Speaker 2: pretty much buried our Yukon window total. So rip to that,

293
00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:43,080
Speaker 2: but we did cash that ticket. Huskies outgained them in

294
00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:45,760
Speaker 2: that game. They outgained Utah State four seventy three to

295
00:13:45,800 --> 00:13:48,400
Speaker 2: four sixteen. We've talked about the problems with the Susky offense,

296
00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:51,439
Speaker 2: especially the passing game, like Doano got hurt, Yes, Roberson

297
00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:53,840
Speaker 2: had to come back in Roberson can't pass, and he

298
00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:56,360
Speaker 2: threw two hundred and fifty five yards. He also ran

299
00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:58,800
Speaker 2: all over Utah State. So you mentioned how bad this

300
00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:01,680
Speaker 2: defense is and you kind of tipped on it. Where

301
00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:04,640
Speaker 2: our biggest concern coming into the year was this Colorado

302
00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:07,560
Speaker 2: State offensive line. Not only have they been improved, but

303
00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:10,640
Speaker 2: as you said, Utah State has seven sacks all season,

304
00:14:10,840 --> 00:14:13,400
Speaker 2: They're one hundred and tenth in the country. They rank

305
00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:18,040
Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty second in the country in generating pressure.

306
00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:20,360
Speaker 2: They are gonna have all day to sit in the

307
00:14:20,400 --> 00:14:23,840
Speaker 2: pocket and find Horton, Ross, Simmons, Poker and all of

308
00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:28,400
Speaker 2: these weapons. And yeah, valer Nicolosi just he has such

309
00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:30,960
Speaker 2: a higher ceiling than Millin He's having three hundred and

310
00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:34,400
Speaker 2: eighty three yards per game. The one issue too many interceptions.

311
00:14:34,640 --> 00:14:36,760
Speaker 2: For the love of God, if he protects the football,

312
00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:40,840
Speaker 2: they should shred this defense Another big story here is

313
00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:43,880
Speaker 2: someone who I made that Yukon bat a little bit

314
00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:47,400
Speaker 2: more nervous for me was McKay Hillstead had looked good

315
00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:50,359
Speaker 2: at quarterback. He left that Yukon game with a concussion.

316
00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:53,280
Speaker 2: As of Tuesday morning, he is still day to day.

317
00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:56,760
Speaker 2: The way they handle concussions nowadays, I mean it's more

318
00:14:56,800 --> 00:14:59,480
Speaker 2: the NFL. You almost never see a guy get a

319
00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:03,040
Speaker 2: concussion and play the following week. Cooper Laga sucks. We've

320
00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:06,520
Speaker 2: talked about it for two years. He stinks. He has

321
00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:10,120
Speaker 2: seventeen touchdowns in eleven interceptions in two years. But if

322
00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:12,600
Speaker 2: you flip it, he has eleven big time throws in

323
00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:15,800
Speaker 2: seventeen turnover worthy plays. So even the seventeen eleven, which

324
00:15:15,840 --> 00:15:18,640
Speaker 2: isn't good, is misleading. He's been way worse than that.

325
00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:21,880
Speaker 2: I completely agree with you everything you said. I think

326
00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:25,800
Speaker 2: Colbrodi State should shred this defense. And I don't trust

327
00:15:25,840 --> 00:15:27,960
Speaker 2: Cooper Laga to keep up with this offense because I

328
00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:28,240
Speaker 2: think he.

329
00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:31,280
Speaker 1: Thinks I'll go ahead and piggyback on your Jacksonville State

330
00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:34,400
Speaker 1: plus three and a half play here in midweg Mike,

331
00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:38,320
Speaker 1: you know, handshake emojis all over the place. You hit

332
00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:40,040
Speaker 1: on all the key points I just want to throw

333
00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:42,840
Speaker 1: in here. The Jacksonville State defense really stout against the run.

334
00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:45,600
Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee one hundred and first in run success rate,

335
00:15:45,680 --> 00:15:47,320
Speaker 1: so they can't run the ball. They're going to have

336
00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:49,680
Speaker 1: to abandon it. But really Middle Tennessee is going to

337
00:15:49,720 --> 00:15:52,400
Speaker 1: run into huge trouble because they allow havoc. This offensive

338
00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:54,360
Speaker 1: line is not good. They're one hundred and eighth in

339
00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:58,280
Speaker 1: allowing defensive havoc against a Jacksonville State defense that's fourteenth

340
00:15:58,400 --> 00:16:00,920
Speaker 1: nationally in TFLs per game. They're going to live in

341
00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,640
Speaker 1: this backfield. There's going to be turnovers off of it.

342
00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:06,320
Speaker 1: And I think, as you mentioned a great defense, we

343
00:16:06,360 --> 00:16:10,040
Speaker 1: know what we're getting offensively. Not only has Logan's Mothers

344
00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:13,040
Speaker 1: been really effective, and you know through three tds against

345
00:16:13,040 --> 00:16:16,320
Speaker 1: Sam Houston State, no picks. So basically what we're begging

346
00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,120
Speaker 1: for Fowler Nickelosi to do, he's already doing at the

347
00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:21,480
Speaker 1: G five level. So I really like that. I'm going

348
00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:23,840
Speaker 1: to stay in the Mountain West. We were just talking about.

349
00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:26,520
Speaker 1: It's Colorado State and Utah State for US no State

350
00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:31,160
Speaker 1: traveling to Wyoming, Wyoming catching six. This is just Laradie

351
00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:34,040
Speaker 1: is a place where favorites go to die. And I'm

352
00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:36,640
Speaker 1: just looking at this from a lot of different perspectives.

353
00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:39,240
Speaker 1: Let's start with this before kickoff boat an hour before,

354
00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:41,680
Speaker 1: it's gonna be sixty five degrees, kind of lowering that

355
00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:44,480
Speaker 1: California team into a false sense of security. By the

356
00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:47,680
Speaker 1: fourth quarter, according to weather underground dot com, it's going

357
00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:51,200
Speaker 1: to be thirty two degrees with fifteen mile an hour wins. Now,

358
00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:53,560
Speaker 1: let's look at something else. Since twenty nineteen, Wyoming is

359
00:16:53,600 --> 00:16:56,040
Speaker 1: eight and two against the closing number in their last

360
00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:58,800
Speaker 1: ten as a home dog. They love this spot. Craig

361
00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:01,320
Speaker 1: Bowle always gets his team up for spots like this.

362
00:17:01,360 --> 00:17:04,120
Speaker 1: They want six of those ten out right, and they

363
00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:05,600
Speaker 1: just do all the little things right. I mean, they

364
00:17:05,600 --> 00:17:08,160
Speaker 1: have great special teams. They're twentieth an SMP plus. They

365
00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:10,360
Speaker 1: can really run it now that Harrison Whaley is healthy.

366
00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:12,720
Speaker 1: The kids, averaging eight and a half yards per carry

367
00:17:12,840 --> 00:17:14,639
Speaker 1: over one hundred and fifty yards per game, found an

368
00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:17,000
Speaker 1: end zone in every game since coming back from injury,

369
00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:19,760
Speaker 1: and the defense makes you earn it in multiple ways.

370
00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:22,720
Speaker 1: They're twenty fifth in limiting explosives and they played a

371
00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:25,680
Speaker 1: really good schedule. They played Texas Tech Texas and app State,

372
00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:29,080
Speaker 1: so they're not playing doormats. They've been able to generate

373
00:17:29,119 --> 00:17:32,680
Speaker 1: a lot of these impressive defensive stats by playing quality

374
00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:35,520
Speaker 1: non conference opponents. Another thing that they make you really

375
00:17:35,560 --> 00:17:37,520
Speaker 1: earn it. They rarely turn the ball over, just one

376
00:17:37,560 --> 00:17:40,479
Speaker 1: per game. Thus far, teams are only converting fifty two

377
00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:42,520
Speaker 1: percent of the red zone trips into tds, which is

378
00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:45,480
Speaker 1: impressive given their opponents. And they don't kill themselves with penalties.

379
00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:49,680
Speaker 1: Twenty third fewest in yardage allowed through penalties this year.

380
00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:51,639
Speaker 1: So Craig Bowles a guy I always liked to bet,

381
00:17:51,800 --> 00:17:53,960
Speaker 1: I understand you got to hold your nose. This passing

382
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:56,440
Speaker 1: game is non existent. The Fresno defense looks to be

383
00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,560
Speaker 1: getting stronger, but I have questions about mikey Kean. This

384
00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:02,640
Speaker 1: offense certainly does not have the Jake Hayner pixie dust

385
00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:05,680
Speaker 1: sprinkled all over it. There's moments when the running game

386
00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:08,200
Speaker 1: looks a little bit out of whack. There's moments when

387
00:18:08,280 --> 00:18:10,400
Speaker 1: it looks like it's a dink and dunk passing game.

388
00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:13,000
Speaker 1: Eric Brooks had a hot start of the season, kind

389
00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:15,359
Speaker 1: of fell off last week. So to me, I'm going

390
00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:17,320
Speaker 1: to go ahead and take the points in a place

391
00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:20,240
Speaker 1: that has been very, very good to the Pokes in

392
00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:23,440
Speaker 1: terms of covering games. As a home underdog, I'll go

393
00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:25,520
Speaker 1: ahead and take the Pokes here, and really, if you

394
00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:27,639
Speaker 1: put a gun to my head. The reason why I'm

395
00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:31,560
Speaker 1: so confident on this is Harrison Whaley, like he needs

396
00:18:31,600 --> 00:18:33,200
Speaker 1: to play big and I think he's going to be

397
00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:34,720
Speaker 1: able to do it even running into one of the

398
00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:37,800
Speaker 1: better Mount West run defenses. What do you got next for.

399
00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:41,119
Speaker 2: My next play? A team that what we were talking

400
00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:44,800
Speaker 2: before the show, and you faded Bowing Green last week

401
00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:46,320
Speaker 2: and did worked.

402
00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:49,040
Speaker 1: Out great, unbelievable. Just I guess once a year just

403
00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:51,960
Speaker 1: Scott Leffler pulls out his you Can't Fire Me card

404
00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:56,680
Speaker 1: beats Toledo outright beats Georgia Tech. Just absolute frickin nonsense.

405
00:18:57,080 --> 00:19:01,120
Speaker 2: So yes, and I us this is a perfect spot

406
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:02,000
Speaker 2: to fade Bowling Green.

407
00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:03,360
Speaker 1: Yes, there you go.

408
00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:07,040
Speaker 2: After an upset win of three touchdowns, a three touchdown

409
00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:10,199
Speaker 2: underdogs in Georgia tack again. Luckily none of us were

410
00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:12,320
Speaker 2: dumb enough to bet on the Jackets. But I'm going

411
00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:14,840
Speaker 2: to fade the Falcons here. So as you mentioned, they've

412
00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:18,919
Speaker 2: done this before and they fall flat afterwards. You mentioned

413
00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:22,080
Speaker 2: they you know twenty nineteen, that terrible twenty nineteen team

414
00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:25,800
Speaker 2: that beat Toledo got trucked the next week to Central Michigan.

415
00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:29,359
Speaker 2: Twenty twenty one, beat Minnesota on the road, come back

416
00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:31,760
Speaker 2: loose to Kent State the following week. I it is

417
00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:34,560
Speaker 2: the perfect spot to fade them. And that game was weird.

418
00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,040
Speaker 2: Like I'm not saying you were on the right side,

419
00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:38,280
Speaker 2: but it was a weird game.

420
00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:41,760
Speaker 1: Georgiayah. When I was looking into the box score because

421
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:44,159
Speaker 1: I was at the Auburn Georgia game, and I was

422
00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:45,880
Speaker 1: just saying to myself, Oh, like, you know, they must

423
00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:48,240
Speaker 1: lost a bunch of fumbles. They must, you know, must

424
00:19:48,280 --> 00:19:50,439
Speaker 1: have got killed with penalties, Like where was it? I

425
00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:54,120
Speaker 1: was looking for, basically the murder weapon in the situation

426
00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 1: of Bowling Green taking them out, and I couldn't find it. Well,

427
00:19:57,480 --> 00:19:58,200
Speaker 1: Georgia Tack.

428
00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 2: Had had three turnovers, including with pick six, but it

429
00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:05,960
Speaker 2: was just like they never had the ball. They Georgia

430
00:20:06,040 --> 00:20:08,879
Speaker 2: Tech had a fifty one percent success rate in that game.

431
00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:11,520
Speaker 2: The Yellow Jackets had eight point two yards per play

432
00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:14,640
Speaker 2: compared to five point seven for Bowling Green. Bowling Green

433
00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:17,040
Speaker 2: had nine supposed to play this They first they forced

434
00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:19,040
Speaker 2: three turnovers. Like I said, one of them was pick six.

435
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,560
Speaker 2: The Yellow Jackets only had the ball for seventeen minutes

436
00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:25,480
Speaker 2: in this game, yet they had over four hundred yards

437
00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:27,760
Speaker 2: of offense. They threw a pick six, they turned it

438
00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:30,959
Speaker 2: over on downs at the fourteen yard line, and it

439
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,320
Speaker 2: was just a weird game. And I still don't think

440
00:20:33,320 --> 00:20:35,480
Speaker 2: Bowling Green's good. They're still one hundred and tenth in

441
00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:39,119
Speaker 2: success right on offense, they're ninety eight on defense. Connor

442
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:42,520
Speaker 2: Beazlak has like the yips. He looks terrified every time

443
00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:44,800
Speaker 2: he drops back to pass, like he doesn't got hit

444
00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:46,480
Speaker 2: that much, but he looks like he's like afraid to

445
00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:49,160
Speaker 2: get hit. He looks shaky and jittery, and he does

446
00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:51,960
Speaker 2: not look calm in the pocket. His four touchdowns five

447
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:54,840
Speaker 2: interceptions being fifty nine percent of his passes, and for

448
00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:57,520
Speaker 2: such a veteran quarterback, you'd think like this would be easy.

449
00:20:57,520 --> 00:20:59,320
Speaker 2: He was facing the Big ten last year. Now he

450
00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 2: like looks I don't know, he just looks off. Miami

451
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 2: Ohio hasn't played the toughest schedule, but I was hiding

452
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,600
Speaker 2: them coming in and I still am their fourteenth in

453
00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:11,400
Speaker 2: the country at creating explosiveness. Bret Gabbert's got nine touchdowns

454
00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:14,200
Speaker 2: this season. He's got an A dot of thirteen point six.

455
00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:18,680
Speaker 2: Big thing here is our boy Gauge. Larvadane was hurt

456
00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:22,199
Speaker 2: last week, but Chuck Martin said it seems like he

457
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:24,359
Speaker 2: should be back this week. He said he's pushing for

458
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:26,200
Speaker 2: him to come back, and he expects him to be back.

459
00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:29,320
Speaker 2: He's averaged one hundred and nine point five yards per game,

460
00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:34,160
Speaker 2: twenty four yards per catch. He is that fourteenth in explosiveness.

461
00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:36,800
Speaker 2: They need Larvindaane to do that, So him getting back

462
00:21:36,840 --> 00:21:40,120
Speaker 2: is obviously huge. And this defense is terrific against the run.

463
00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:43,280
Speaker 2: And they you know they've struggled. They're really good at

464
00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:45,600
Speaker 2: creating havoc, which is an area Bowling Green has struggled.

465
00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:47,080
Speaker 2: So I think they're gonna be able to get after

466
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:49,160
Speaker 2: bays Lack. They're gonna have to slow They're gonna slow

467
00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:50,840
Speaker 2: this running game down, which is kind of what Bowling

468
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:53,879
Speaker 2: Green's been decent at. I still don't trust their passing attack,

469
00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:55,679
Speaker 2: and I think this is a big leftdown spot for

470
00:21:55,720 --> 00:21:58,840
Speaker 2: Bowling Green. Coming off of a Power five win. Miami's

471
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:00,560
Speaker 2: had just one home game all year. It's kind of

472
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,000
Speaker 2: a weird schedule and that was against an FCS school,

473
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:05,240
Speaker 2: so they should get up with this one at home

474
00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:08,440
Speaker 2: kind of as much as MAC team can. Uh Yeah,

475
00:22:08,440 --> 00:22:10,119
Speaker 2: I just think I just like the spot here and

476
00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:12,640
Speaker 2: I'm I'm still going with the with Miami here.

477
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:14,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, I love it. I love the guts on it.

478
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,600
Speaker 1: You know you want to play those those letdown spots.

479
00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,520
Speaker 1: Gage Larbondine is the key for me, So I would

480
00:22:21,560 --> 00:22:23,800
Speaker 1: just you know, have it chambered until some news comes out.

481
00:22:23,840 --> 00:22:25,960
Speaker 1: Go ahead and follow on Twitter. There's great beat writers

482
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:28,840
Speaker 1: all across the country and certainly in MAC country. There's

483
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,359
Speaker 1: lots of different resources to be able to check in

484
00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:33,080
Speaker 1: on him. But as someone who I had him on

485
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:36,520
Speaker 1: my fantasy college roster, he got hurt against Delaware State,

486
00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:38,080
Speaker 1: there was a question could he come back in the game.

487
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:39,960
Speaker 1: You know that they were running away with it. So

488
00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:42,800
Speaker 1: hopefully he's a go because if he is, he's the

489
00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:45,119
Speaker 1: best big play threat in the MAC. All right, I'm

490
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 1: going to go to the Sun Belt And for those

491
00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:49,240
Speaker 1: of you watching online, I got my Sun Belts family

492
00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 1: photo here with all of the schools, one of my

493
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:55,000
Speaker 1: prize possessions. Now I'm going to go out in Lay

494
00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:56,600
Speaker 1: Texas State minus one.

495
00:22:56,760 --> 00:22:59,280
Speaker 2: Against this line makes no sense.

496
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:02,399
Speaker 1: I mean, this, I think is predicated on the fact

497
00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:04,640
Speaker 1: that if you just look at the win lost column

498
00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:06,880
Speaker 1: brag and Caagon's got three wins. I'm gonna go full

499
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:10,840
Speaker 1: Bill Murray and kingpinn Ooh Northwestern State, UAB Buffalo, I

500
00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:13,440
Speaker 1: don't care about that. I'm also gonna throw this out here.

501
00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:15,320
Speaker 1: You know, they lose to Old Dominion, who I think

502
00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:18,000
Speaker 1: is one of the worst FBS schools. But the old

503
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,439
Speaker 1: Bruce Feldman like body blow theory. It used to be.

504
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:23,119
Speaker 1: You know, if you play service academies. They just played Minnesota.

505
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:25,760
Speaker 1: They gave up over two hundred yards rushing. Minnesota ran

506
00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:27,720
Speaker 1: it ran it, ran it ran it. I think they're

507
00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:30,360
Speaker 1: going to be beat up in their front seven. And

508
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:33,879
Speaker 1: this is critical because here comes this Texas State offense.

509
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:37,040
Speaker 1: We had high hopes for GJ. Kenny's offense in year one,

510
00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:39,440
Speaker 1: at least to be entertaining. They've been a lot more

511
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:41,480
Speaker 1: than entertaining. They're four and one company of this game,

512
00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:44,359
Speaker 1: and they've been so well balanced offensively. Now they're up

513
00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:46,560
Speaker 1: against the raging Kajun's defense that's one hundred and first

514
00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:49,159
Speaker 1: and Havoc so they're not in the defensive backfield and

515
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:51,280
Speaker 1: not breaking up passes. They're one hundred and tenth and

516
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:54,120
Speaker 1: rushing success rate and one of the best kept secrets

517
00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:58,159
Speaker 1: in the entire country, Ishmael Mahadi, small running back, So

518
00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:01,560
Speaker 1: basically they were able to pluck from Houston Christian. He's

519
00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:04,439
Speaker 1: you know, under five ten. He's probably realistically like one

520
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:06,720
Speaker 1: hundred and sixty five hundred and seventy pounds. He was

521
00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:09,600
Speaker 1: a Jerry Rice Award Finals. What was the Jerry Rice Award?

522
00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:13,160
Speaker 1: It's the best freshman in the FCS. Since he's come up.

523
00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:15,600
Speaker 1: They basically worked him in a little bit against Baylor

524
00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:17,919
Speaker 1: in that upset. Since then, he's been killing it out

525
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,440
Speaker 1: of nowhere. He leads the nation in all purpose yards

526
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:23,320
Speaker 1: but over twenty yards per game over the next player

527
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,160
Speaker 1: in the country, like running, receiving, kick returns. This guy

528
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:28,719
Speaker 1: is incredible. The offense is red hot. They're just you know,

529
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:32,320
Speaker 1: dropping thirty forty to fifty point nuggets. Finley has been

530
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:35,320
Speaker 1: a revelation to somebody who struggled with accuracy at Auburn.

531
00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:37,880
Speaker 1: He comes in, he's looking really good running this offense that.

532
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,160
Speaker 2: You don't think Auburn, which is they add him right now,

533
00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:43,520
Speaker 2: though I mean certainly, I mean Auburn Beach Georgia. If

534
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 2: they have TJ.

535
00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:47,160
Speaker 1: Finley a quarterback, I don't think you're wrong, certainly if

536
00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:49,639
Speaker 1: he's running this offense at Texas State and not what

537
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:52,320
Speaker 1: Hugh Freeze was trying to do, you know, down there

538
00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:54,960
Speaker 1: on the planes. They also use Millie Cornsby and another

539
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 1: sec retread. They use him in the running game a

540
00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:00,439
Speaker 1: little bit from time to time. I say, think the

541
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:02,879
Speaker 1: fact that they're not favored by four to five points,

542
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 1: I don't think it's way off because it is a

543
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:07,520
Speaker 1: road game, but I think this is still predicated on

544
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:11,919
Speaker 1: that Billy Napier effect of Louisiana ran things in the

545
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:14,879
Speaker 1: sun Belt West for years. They're just not that team,

546
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:17,080
Speaker 1: and I think at this point they're a paper tiger

547
00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:20,040
Speaker 1: propped up by an FCS win, a win over Trent

548
00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:22,680
Speaker 1: Dilfer and a win over a Buffalo team that you

549
00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,560
Speaker 1: elcoent Lee said in one of the most recent episodes.

550
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:27,879
Speaker 1: They don't do anything well. So I'm gonna go ahead

551
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:30,399
Speaker 1: and take a team that is really dynamic on offense.

552
00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:33,120
Speaker 1: I think there's certainly a top ten group of five offense.

553
00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:35,600
Speaker 1: They have it all together, and Maddi is my guy,

554
00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:37,280
Speaker 1: so I'm gonna go ahead. He's probably gonna be my

555
00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:39,359
Speaker 1: G five hero next week when he pops off for

556
00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:42,640
Speaker 1: two hundred dollar purpose yards. I'll close out our group

557
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,399
Speaker 1: of five high five round robin here in week six

558
00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 1: with that one. The Big Bets on Campus podcast is

559
00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:51,760
Speaker 1: presented by Bett mgm use Bonus code Action went signing

560
00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:54,240
Speaker 1: up to get up to fifteen hundred dollars paid back

561
00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:57,040
Speaker 1: in bonus bets if your first bet loses. For new

562
00:25:57,119 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 1: users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

563
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:07,440
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming.

564
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,600
Speaker 1: Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one or older.

565
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:13,760
Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler, you know. For

566
00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:16,600
Speaker 1: my money line upset here, we like to put together

567
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:19,520
Speaker 1: two dogs are a group of five underdog money line

568
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 1: parlay in week six. I don't necessarily think that one

569
00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:25,120
Speaker 1: teams that much better than the other, but it's kind

570
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:27,640
Speaker 1: of predicated on the fact that, as you like to say,

571
00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:29,600
Speaker 1: if you close your eyes and you see New Mexico

572
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:33,200
Speaker 1: State lose to FIU, do you even pause for a moment.

573
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 1: The fact of the matter is they're plus two to

574
00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:37,240
Speaker 1: thirty five on the money line. FIU doesn't make a

575
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:39,359
Speaker 1: whole lot of sense to me because the Aggie's defense

576
00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:42,400
Speaker 1: is one hundred and thirtieth n SP plus our ten.

577
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:44,880
Speaker 1: That's the Action Network power rankings for in Mexico State

578
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,479
Speaker 1: is one hundred and twenty first. I believe FIU's one

579
00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:50,560
Speaker 1: twenty five, one twenty six, So they're it's definitely in

580
00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:52,560
Speaker 1: the realm of possibility for them to go in and

581
00:26:52,600 --> 00:26:55,200
Speaker 1: beat the Aggies in Las Cruzes. And this new Mexico

582
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:58,440
Speaker 1: State team, having watched a lot we talk about Diego Pavia,

583
00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:01,120
Speaker 1: we talk about their offensive exploit asoveness, and they can

584
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:04,000
Speaker 1: pop some big plays, but they're also inconsistent. They commit

585
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:06,479
Speaker 1: a lot of penalties. Offensively, they're awfull in the red

586
00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:09,880
Speaker 1: zone with the eleventh worst touchdown percentage in the entire country.

587
00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:14,560
Speaker 1: And I lea Keewan Jenkins, their quarterback for FIU running

588
00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:17,680
Speaker 1: this offense. I like them to regroup. They got absolutely

589
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:20,240
Speaker 1: blasted by Liberty after a three and one start, But

590
00:27:20,359 --> 00:27:22,639
Speaker 1: Liberty may be the best group of five team. They

591
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 1: may be competing for that New Year six Bowl game

592
00:27:24,960 --> 00:27:27,640
Speaker 1: by years end and being a top twenty five team.

593
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:30,919
Speaker 1: If so, that changes the dynamic. I believe they won

594
00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:34,040
Speaker 1: thirty eight to six over the Panthers. I don't hold

595
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:35,600
Speaker 1: that against them. I like the fact that they got

596
00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:37,560
Speaker 1: their bye week, they were able to lick their wounds.

597
00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:40,439
Speaker 1: And this is a critical game, a winnable game, So

598
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 1: I think plus two to thirty five is too generous.

599
00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:44,760
Speaker 1: Anything over you know, two to one, I think is

600
00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:47,040
Speaker 1: a must play for this spot for FIU.

601
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:49,280
Speaker 2: I mean, I can't believe you're faying your boy, Diego Diego.

602
00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 2: That's mildly really thought.

603
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:55,760
Speaker 1: I can't. I can't do it anymore. The guy is

604
00:27:56,200 --> 00:28:00,239
Speaker 1: so wildly inconsistent. And this defense is really what kind

605
00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 1: of made their runs special last year when they won

606
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,080
Speaker 1: what six of seven or five of six to finish

607
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:07,480
Speaker 1: the year. They were so good against the pass. They

608
00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:10,520
Speaker 1: had so many new faces, you know, this spring, and

609
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:13,120
Speaker 1: they were, you know, doing all the coaches speaking the positivity,

610
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 1: and it was Jerry kill I gave him his respect.

611
00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:18,760
Speaker 1: This guy, who I think, at the end of his career,

612
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:20,280
Speaker 1: has a chance to make an argument to be in

613
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:22,359
Speaker 1: the College Football Hall of fame like he's been so

614
00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:26,240
Speaker 1: impactful as a coach and certainly as a defensive mind.

615
00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:29,239
Speaker 1: This defense stinks. It stinks out loud. There's nothing they

616
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 1: can do from a personnel standpoint, and really just comes

617
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:35,440
Speaker 1: down to Jenkins taking care of the football and being efficient,

618
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:37,800
Speaker 1: something that he was doing earlier in the season when he,

619
00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 1: you know, took over as their QB one. I'm just

620
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:42,600
Speaker 1: hoping that they don't have any pause, they don't go

621
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:44,880
Speaker 1: back to Grayson James, and they stick with this kid

622
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 1: who's a true freshman, because I think he's a winner.

623
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,760
Speaker 1: I mentioned it before. He was a three time state champion,

624
00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:52,880
Speaker 1: Miami Dade High school Player of the Year, kids, a baller,

625
00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:55,280
Speaker 1: another guy that Alburn should have had at quarterback. He

626
00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:57,719
Speaker 1: was an Auburn d commit. They could have used him

627
00:28:57,760 --> 00:28:59,120
Speaker 1: on Saturday against the Bulldogs.

628
00:28:59,280 --> 00:29:01,600
Speaker 2: You gotta be careful of New Mexico State wins this game.

629
00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 2: Poby might come and pee on your carpet.

630
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:07,640
Speaker 1: Listen if he does, I Am not going to take

631
00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:09,800
Speaker 1: a video of it and then quote unquote leak it

632
00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:14,400
Speaker 1: out to the press. That'll just be between me and Diego, my.

633
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:17,880
Speaker 2: Money line underdog. We touched on it. I'm going Wyoming

634
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:20,960
Speaker 2: plus two hundred, and I'm I'm glad you did all

635
00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 2: the research and did all the notes. Let me be clear,

636
00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:26,080
Speaker 2: I think President State is really good. I'm a believer.

637
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:28,800
Speaker 2: This has nothing to do with President State. I have

638
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:31,640
Speaker 2: one sentence written down in my notes. Weird shit happens

639
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:33,960
Speaker 2: at night in Laramie. That's all I wrote down. And

640
00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:35,840
Speaker 2: as you were talking, I was pulling up some stats

641
00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:37,880
Speaker 2: to kind of back it up. Because unless unless you're

642
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:40,440
Speaker 2: statisfied with my aclamation being weird shit happens at night

643
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:42,080
Speaker 2: in Laramie, I think it's.

644
00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 1: A fair point there are you don't have to go

645
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:46,960
Speaker 1: back that far. Weird shit happened in that Texas Tech

646
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:49,320
Speaker 1: game Texas Tech whare they up? Seventeen to nothing the

647
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:51,720
Speaker 1: three scores in that game, and then all hell broke

648
00:29:51,800 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 1: loose because basically, when the sun goes down, it becomes

649
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:57,360
Speaker 1: like the Mountain West version of Death Valley with LSU.

650
00:29:57,400 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 1: It's just weird stuff starts going on.

651
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:02,120
Speaker 2: It's always like the you said, the fifteen mile hour

652
00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:04,600
Speaker 2: cross wins and you know, presence theate wants to throw

653
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:06,440
Speaker 2: the ball with Keene. That's hard to do in the win.

654
00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:09,240
Speaker 2: And since Craig Well, Craig Bowl took over in fourteen,

655
00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 2: but I kind of took him like two years see

656
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:13,160
Speaker 2: if things going. Since he's got things rolling over the

657
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:17,479
Speaker 2: last eight years. Since twenty sixteen, they are thirty two

658
00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 2: and twelve at home. They're eleven and ten straight up

659
00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:24,960
Speaker 2: as a home dog since twenty sixteen. That is the

660
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:28,080
Speaker 2: fifteenth best winning percentage as a home dog and the

661
00:30:28,120 --> 00:30:30,600
Speaker 2: most wins of any team in the country as a

662
00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:33,200
Speaker 2: home dog. Eleven wins straight up as a home dog.

663
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,160
Speaker 2: And you know, support your bet. They're fifteen and six

664
00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:39,200
Speaker 2: as against the spread as a home dog since twenty sixteen,

665
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:42,880
Speaker 2: seventy one point four percent covering. And I'm just gonna

666
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:44,720
Speaker 2: use mass my money like dog here because I think

667
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 2: it's like it's just one of those things where you

668
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 2: won't be even a little It's also like the perfect

669
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:53,240
Speaker 2: like President of State just finally got ranked. They go

670
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:56,920
Speaker 2: into Laramie and lose like that just seems almost too obvious.

671
00:30:57,160 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 2: I feel so weird. Shit happens at night in Ler.

672
00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:02,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is the part of the season where you

673
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:04,720
Speaker 1: know to just state the obvious. By the end of

674
00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:07,120
Speaker 1: the year, we'll know how exactly how good perdue in

675
00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:10,760
Speaker 1: Arizona State are if they're both non bowl teams. It's

676
00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:13,360
Speaker 1: nice that Fresno State beat them, but it doesn't seem

677
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:16,280
Speaker 1: quite as impressive. And that Arizona State game was totally

678
00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:18,920
Speaker 1: looney tunes. They had like eight or nine turnovers and

679
00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:22,960
Speaker 1: Fresno State still only scored twenty nine points. So we're

680
00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 1: BacT in play, right, So I think they certainly deserve

681
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:29,200
Speaker 1: to be ranked. Their defense is legitimate, but it's almost

682
00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:31,840
Speaker 1: like the floor is so low for the Wyoming offense.

683
00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:34,920
Speaker 1: I'm not banking on them picking up four hundred and

684
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:37,360
Speaker 1: fifty yards and scoring thirty five points. I'm banking on

685
00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:39,680
Speaker 1: them turning in this, turning this into a rock fight.

686
00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:42,720
Speaker 1: And I think if we squint a little bit, there's

687
00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:45,080
Speaker 1: something just off about this Fresno State offense. So I'm

688
00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:46,960
Speaker 1: with you, you may as well swing for the fence

689
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:48,960
Speaker 1: as we put this one together. This is going to be,

690
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:52,160
Speaker 1: you know, one of those money line parlays that pays

691
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:54,760
Speaker 1: off and pays you know, the whole season worth of red,

692
00:31:55,040 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 1: just washes it away and puts us in the black.

693
00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:59,040
Speaker 2: Part of my feeling, too, is even if you're high

694
00:31:59,040 --> 00:32:01,120
Speaker 2: on Fresno State and you believe in them, Like you

695
00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:03,320
Speaker 2: can tell me right now, President State's gonna win the

696
00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:05,480
Speaker 2: Mountain West, and I'd say I could see it, like

697
00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:07,640
Speaker 2: I honestly, if I had to pick right now, I

698
00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:09,720
Speaker 2: think Fresident of State plays air Force in the Mountain

699
00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:12,880
Speaker 2: West Championship game. And wouldn't it just make so much

700
00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 2: sense for the Mountain West Championship to lose in Laramie?

701
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 2: Like that happens every year. Miama's gonna go eight and

702
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 2: four and they're gonna beat, you know, the Mountain West

703
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:24,360
Speaker 2: champion in Laramie. That's just that's what they do every year.

704
00:32:24,760 --> 00:32:27,040
Speaker 1: Some programming notes before we get out of here. As

705
00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 1: always on Thursday, Colin and Stuck doing the full FBS card,

706
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:34,800
Speaker 1: going through every single game, their trash picks, the marquee matchups,

707
00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:39,280
Speaker 1: talking injuries, talking about quarterback changes. There's also the new

708
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:42,960
Speaker 1: BCS Show, which is already in your podcast feed. Tim Kalanowski,

709
00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:46,120
Speaker 1: Brett McMurphy, Colin and Stuck. It's been really entertaining if

710
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:47,520
Speaker 1: you want to just break up a little bit of

711
00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:51,200
Speaker 1: the pure picks, getting into the angles of the upcoming games.

712
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:53,400
Speaker 1: They do a good job of looking at college table

713
00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:56,480
Speaker 1: from that forty thousand foot view, some trivia questions always

714
00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:59,480
Speaker 1: some fun banner between those four and then on Saturday

715
00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 1: are BB Live show that brings McMurphy Colin stuck back together.

716
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 1: They go through all the last pieces of information, the

717
00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 1: steam movements, the last minute injury updates, the weather. That's

718
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:11,760
Speaker 1: the last thing that you want to look at before

719
00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 1: locking in your plays on Saturday. All right, let's close

720
00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:17,239
Speaker 1: out with some cutting room floor action. What games were

721
00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:19,080
Speaker 1: you almost there to pull the trigger on?

722
00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:21,480
Speaker 2: I mentioned Dexas State. I have it written down. You

723
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 2: also mentioned Old Dominion. Do we start buying back in

724
00:33:25,720 --> 00:33:29,200
Speaker 2: a Southern Miss? They've looked terribly, but laying one and

725
00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:32,240
Speaker 2: a half at home against Old Dominion, this feels like

726
00:33:32,320 --> 00:33:34,600
Speaker 2: if Southern Miss is gonna get right at any point,

727
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:36,680
Speaker 2: it feels like it's gonna be this week. So I

728
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:39,280
Speaker 2: may have to ride with Southern Myss. I know you're

729
00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:43,040
Speaker 2: probably on this South Florida. You mentioned maybe South Florida.

730
00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:45,000
Speaker 2: Mine is three and a half. I don't love laying

731
00:33:45,040 --> 00:33:47,280
Speaker 2: the three and a hook. If this gets to three

732
00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:50,640
Speaker 2: or under, I may have to ride with South Florida.

733
00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:53,600
Speaker 2: I also want to take this opportunity to justin I

734
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 2: know you've piled on a lot. I don't want to

735
00:33:55,280 --> 00:33:58,400
Speaker 2: seem like you're just the hater. Trent Dilfer is such

736
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:00,320
Speaker 2: a piece of shit. And I almost in my G

737
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:02,360
Speaker 2: five here of the Week the defensive coordinator that he

738
00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:05,520
Speaker 2: that's who was he was yelling at right, the defensive I.

739
00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:07,360
Speaker 1: Mean this may come as a surprise. I watched the

740
00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:11,439
Speaker 1: whole press conference on Monday. He said that he apologized.

741
00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:14,360
Speaker 1: He didn't like how he acted. He was ashamed of it,

742
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:18,319
Speaker 1: but he wanted to He was yelling at everybody because

743
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:20,680
Speaker 1: he was yelling on the mic, so he had the

744
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:23,520
Speaker 1: headset on. And yes that was the guy closest to him,

745
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:25,879
Speaker 1: but he wouldn't get in the specifics. But something big

746
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:28,359
Speaker 1: got screwed up and that's why he was so mad.

747
00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 2: And they got called for an a legal substitution, and

748
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:34,000
Speaker 2: he like lost it. They were down like twenty at

749
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:36,439
Speaker 2: the time. He lost his mind. If a grown man

750
00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:39,040
Speaker 2: he yells at it. I almost gave him the defensive

751
00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 2: coordia of my G five here of the week for

752
00:34:40,760 --> 00:34:43,120
Speaker 2: not slapping the taste out of his mouth, because if

753
00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 2: a grown man yells at you like that in public,

754
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:47,520
Speaker 2: you have no choice but to hit him and I

755
00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:49,120
Speaker 2: almost made him my G five here the week for

756
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:51,000
Speaker 2: not hitting him. But I may have to play South

757
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:53,120
Speaker 2: Florida if this number gets to three or below, and

758
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:54,719
Speaker 2: then the last one. I don't know if I'm gonna play.

759
00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:55,640
Speaker 2: I just wanted to bring it up to you to

760
00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:58,359
Speaker 2: float it out there. We mentioned, you know, the will

761
00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:01,319
Speaker 2: you be surprised at this result on Sunday morning? Would

762
00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 2: you be surprised if Marshall beats inc State?

763
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,880
Speaker 1: If Brennan Armstrong was still the quarterback? I'd be interested

764
00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:09,440
Speaker 1: because he stinks and he's just not working in this

765
00:35:09,600 --> 00:35:12,920
Speaker 1: Robert and I reunion is ill fated. But I actually

766
00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:15,759
Speaker 1: like MJ. Morris, and I think that's be Yeah.

767
00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:19,319
Speaker 2: I'm still traumatized from betting on him in the Mayo Bowl,

768
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:23,479
Speaker 2: and it was like they were actively trying to lose

769
00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:28,120
Speaker 2: that game. I am dead serious. I think Dave Dorian

770
00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:30,359
Speaker 2: wanted so badly not to get Mayo dumped on him

771
00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:33,680
Speaker 2: that he the Mayo Bawl. I will go to my

772
00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:35,840
Speaker 2: grave believe in that, because I watched every snap of

773
00:35:35,880 --> 00:35:38,360
Speaker 2: that game, and Dave Dorn did everything he could not

774
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:38,960
Speaker 2: win that game.

775
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:39,319
Speaker 1: And MJ.

776
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:42,640
Speaker 2: Moore started in that game and I'm a little traumatized

777
00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:42,880
Speaker 2: from that.

778
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:45,520
Speaker 1: I know you're not one to swing for the fences

779
00:35:45,560 --> 00:35:48,040
Speaker 1: on your money line, underdog, and you have a lot

780
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:50,520
Speaker 1: more wins over the last two three years than I

781
00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:52,800
Speaker 1: do in that department. So I'm not going to critique,

782
00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:56,360
Speaker 1: but UTSA at this point, Frank Harris is still in

783
00:35:56,520 --> 00:35:59,760
Speaker 1: that like what's wrong with his foot situation? Doctor Frank

784
00:36:00,480 --> 00:36:03,800
Speaker 1: their fourteen point favorite at Temple this season. If he

785
00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:07,160
Speaker 1: doesn't play, Temple is absolutely right.

786
00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:09,920
Speaker 2: No, no, no, no, Temple is garbage. I've been on

787
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:13,960
Speaker 2: Temple like maybe every week they stink Temple might be

788
00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:14,520
Speaker 2: in podcast.

789
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:17,080
Speaker 1: Jail, right to jail right away? All right, then I

790
00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:19,799
Speaker 1: will finish it with I'll take your words for that one.

791
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:25,400
Speaker 1: That's fair. San Jose State is catching ten against Poise State.

792
00:36:25,480 --> 00:36:28,320
Speaker 1: I know that Santose States broken. We had our fears

793
00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:31,120
Speaker 1: in the preseason. They lose what two defensive players of

794
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:33,399
Speaker 1: the year and back to back years on their defensive line.

795
00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:36,040
Speaker 1: It's clear that they can't stop anybody. That air force

796
00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:39,640
Speaker 1: offense is ruthlessly efficient. They I mean, if you read

797
00:36:39,680 --> 00:36:43,040
Speaker 1: Bill Connley's worked for ESPN, he gets into the remaining

798
00:36:43,080 --> 00:36:45,480
Speaker 1: undefeated teams. He just wrote a love letter to the

799
00:36:45,520 --> 00:36:47,360
Speaker 1: Air Force offense, and they deserve it. Think in the

800
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:50,120
Speaker 1: red zone, they score touchdowns, they are always ahead of

801
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:53,080
Speaker 1: the sticks. But I still like the San Jose State offense.

802
00:36:53,280 --> 00:36:57,000
Speaker 1: I think ten maybe a little much, And really I

803
00:36:57,040 --> 00:37:00,000
Speaker 1: think this is it. This is their last stance situation,

804
00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:02,080
Speaker 1: because if they start the season one and five, I

805
00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:03,480
Speaker 1: think it's going to be too much of a hole

806
00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:05,239
Speaker 1: to dig out of. So I think you're at least

807
00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:07,839
Speaker 1: going to get an inspired effort. Maybe I would lean,

808
00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:09,520
Speaker 1: you know, if you can catch him plus five plus

809
00:37:09,600 --> 00:37:11,440
Speaker 1: five and a half in the first half against a

810
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:15,319
Speaker 1: Boise State offense that certainly now with genet Is they're

811
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 1: running it through him. But I still think they know

812
00:37:17,640 --> 00:37:21,160
Speaker 1: properly how to use Taylor Green, even though they look

813
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:23,840
Speaker 1: good in defeat against Memphis. But ten just feels like

814
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:24,839
Speaker 1: a lot. What are your thoughts there?

815
00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:28,040
Speaker 2: I agree, I that not written down, but like it was,

816
00:37:28,320 --> 00:37:30,400
Speaker 2: I thought about it just because you look at Yes,

817
00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:32,560
Speaker 2: you know Santase State one and four. It's like they

818
00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:35,439
Speaker 2: lost the USC, they lost to Oregon State, they lost

819
00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:37,400
Speaker 2: to Toledo. Who's gonna win the MAC They lost the

820
00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:39,680
Speaker 2: Air Force is probably win the Mountain West so it's like,

821
00:37:40,160 --> 00:37:44,040
Speaker 2: I'm not like totally out on San Jose State. I

822
00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:46,279
Speaker 2: wouldn't play him as a dot like a money line dog.

823
00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:47,200
Speaker 1: I agree with you.

824
00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:49,319
Speaker 2: Ten tends a lot of points, especially when you said

825
00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:52,279
Speaker 2: Boise's like really leaning into that running game, and I

826
00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:54,000
Speaker 2: agree with you that tends a lot all right.

827
00:37:54,080 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 1: For Mike I Andello on Mike Calibery's This has been

828
00:37:56,160 --> 00:37:59,120
Speaker 1: the Big Bets on Campus podcast presented by Bett mgm

829
00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:02,879
Speaker 1: Aru five D Dive Now in the books, absolutely reach

830
00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:06,680
Speaker 1: out on reviews, shoot us some notes. Five star reviews

831
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:09,120
Speaker 1: are always appreciated. I'm happy to throw out some free

832
00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:11,920
Speaker 1: ten dollars parlays of your choosing if you do so.

833
00:38:12,800 --> 00:38:14,600
Speaker 1: Our YouTube channel as well is where you can find

834
00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:17,359
Speaker 1: all of our shorts and full episodes. Comment there. We'd

835
00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:19,520
Speaker 1: love to chop it up with you as well. And

836
00:38:19,640 --> 00:38:21,759
Speaker 1: over on Twitter, I'm at ees Breeze. That's e A

837
00:38:21,960 --> 00:38:24,760
Speaker 1: S T b R E E S E on Twitter.

838
00:38:25,200 --> 00:38:27,920
Speaker 2: X whatd that one guy on YouTube today? The other

839
00:38:28,000 --> 00:38:30,640
Speaker 2: day we talked about how gross all the games were,

840
00:38:30,719 --> 00:38:33,040
Speaker 2: and he goes, I wouldn't watch these games if they

841
00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:33,840
Speaker 2: were in my kitchen.

842
00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:37,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that that was absolutely hilarious. If he

843
00:38:37,040 --> 00:38:39,520
Speaker 1: wants to reach out, I'm happy to just hit me

844
00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:41,279
Speaker 1: up on Twitter. I'm happy to give you a ten

845
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:43,560
Speaker 1: dollars parlay just for that one. All right, that's it

846
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:46,200
Speaker 1: for us. I'll see you next week. Best of luck

847
00:38:46,239 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 1: on Saturday. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If

848
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:05,800
Speaker 1: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

849
00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:08,719
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

850
00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:09,560
Speaker 1: hundred gambler