WEBVTT - Jim O'Shaughnessy on How AI Will Change Everything From Arts to Stocks

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. This is Master's in

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<v Speaker 1>Business with Barry Ridholts on Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 2>Radio this week on the podcast, Boy Do I have

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<v Speaker 2>an extra special guest.

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<v Speaker 1>I know Jim O'Shaughnessy.

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<v Speaker 2>For I don't know, maybe twenty plus years something like that.

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<v Speaker 2>We actually first met in the green room at CMBC

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<v Speaker 2>like early two thousands and found we shared some similar

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<v Speaker 2>likes and philosophies. And I've been a fan of his

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<v Speaker 2>book What Works on Wall Street pretty much from when

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<v Speaker 2>it came out. This is a fascinating conversation about a

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<v Speaker 2>person who has worked through multiple locales and seats in finance,

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<v Speaker 2>not just running a systematic investing at bear Stearn's, but

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<v Speaker 2>creating O'Shaughnessy asset management, creating a unique custom index product

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<v Speaker 2>that ended up attracting the attention of Franklin Templeton, who

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<v Speaker 2>paid some undisclosed and ungodly amount of money for the

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<v Speaker 2>whole firm, and now in a later phase of his

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<v Speaker 2>career doing O'shaughnessee ventures and the O'shaughnessee Fellowship. I first

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<v Speaker 2>know him from really the first pant book What Works

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<v Speaker 2>on Wall Street? That was a half a century of

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<v Speaker 2>data analysis. Really was never accessible to.

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<v Speaker 1>The public before.

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<v Speaker 2>I found the conversation to be fascinating and I think

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<v Speaker 2>you will also. And at this point I am obligated

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<v Speaker 2>to do a disclosure. My firm Retults Wealth Management has

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<v Speaker 2>been working with O'Shaughnessey on their direct Index platform. Really

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<v Speaker 2>we were one of the first beta testers. We now

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<v Speaker 2>have over a billion dollars on that platform, maybe coming

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<v Speaker 2>even closer to another big round number with no further ado.

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<v Speaker 2>My discussion with O'Shaughnessy ventures Jim O'Shaughnessy.

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<v Speaker 1>It's great to see you, Berry and congratulations. Wow, that's a.

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<v Speaker 2>Well congratulations to you. I'm still My firm just had

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<v Speaker 2>its tenth anniversary. You guys, anytime I see the phrase

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<v Speaker 2>for an undisclosed amount, my brain automatically says.

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<v Speaker 1>Wow, that has to be a lot of money. If

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<v Speaker 1>it's if.

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<v Speaker 2>They're not disclosing it, it's material, but undisclosed, that's a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of casts.

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<v Speaker 1>Or it could be like trading places and the normal

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<v Speaker 1>bet of a dollar.

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<v Speaker 2>The usual bet Mortimer one dollar. So we know each

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<v Speaker 2>other from way back when you first came into my

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<v Speaker 2>orbit from the book What Works on Wall Street. I

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<v Speaker 2>read it from cover to cover. I was on a

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<v Speaker 2>trading desk when that came out, and I'm like, huh,

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<v Speaker 2>so there's some science and math behind this. It's not

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<v Speaker 2>just rumors and whatever happens to cross TV that day.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm intrigued.

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<v Speaker 2>Before we get there, let's talk a little bit about

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<v Speaker 2>what you were doing prior. Tell us about the early

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<v Speaker 2>Jim O'Shaughnessy.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, I was always fascinated about the markets in general,

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<v Speaker 1>which stemmed from a very angry conversation between my uncle

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<v Speaker 1>and father about IBM. And I had just been allowed

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<v Speaker 1>to go to the adult table, and I was sitting

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<v Speaker 1>next to my dad and he and my uncle John

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<v Speaker 1>were going hammer and tong about whether IBM was a

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<v Speaker 1>good company or not. And I was listening, and it

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<v Speaker 1>was all about the chairman. It was all about, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>things that I looked at as kind of soft intelligence,

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<v Speaker 1>squishy squishy, and so I just thought I asked at

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<v Speaker 1>the dinner, I said, well, would it make more sense

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<v Speaker 1>to like look at how much money they're making and

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<v Speaker 1>what their earnings are and how much you have to

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<v Speaker 1>pay for that? And they both just literally glared at me.

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<v Speaker 1>That's hilarious kids. They don't know anything exactly exactly. It's

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<v Speaker 1>the chairman. How tall is he? I like to cut

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<v Speaker 1>his gips. It's almost as if you were there that

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<v Speaker 1>bug got implanted, that mind worm got implanted in my brain.

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<v Speaker 1>How old were you when that? I was seventeen. Oh

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<v Speaker 1>so you're just going into college? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 2>Absolutely, And you were a Minnesota kid, Is that right?

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<v Speaker 2>I grew up in Saint Paul, Minnesota and beautiful country.

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<v Speaker 2>Certainly in the summer anyway, gorgeous. The winter's tough.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah. Yeah. Well, if this were the old USSR, that

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<v Speaker 1>is where all the political prisoners would be of Minnesota.

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<v Speaker 1>But so I started doing research on essentially the Dow

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<v Speaker 1>thirty because it was manageable, thirty stocks I could list

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<v Speaker 1>by hand showing how old I am, because you literally

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<v Speaker 1>there were no computers that we could use at the time.

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<v Speaker 1>Simple things like like what's the price, what's the dividend,

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<v Speaker 1>what's the price to earnings, book value, etc. And I

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<v Speaker 1>found a definite trend, right. I found that buying the

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<v Speaker 1>ten stocks and the diw with the lowest pees from

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen like thirty five. I think I started through when

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<v Speaker 1>I was doing it, and this would have been about

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen eighty, absolutely decimated the ten highest PE stocks. So wow,

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<v Speaker 1>I love this. In the meantime, I had computers, and

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<v Speaker 1>the only reason I actually got to write What Works

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<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street was because Ben Graham didn't have computers.

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<v Speaker 1>If he had had them, I would have had no

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<v Speaker 1>chance because he would have done it. Basically, what I

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to see was, is there any rhyme or reason

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<v Speaker 1>to all of these reasons people say they like or

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<v Speaker 1>hate a stock? Right? Where is the proof? Where is

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<v Speaker 1>the empirical evidence that say, buying the low PE stocks

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<v Speaker 1>from the die works very well over many market cycles.

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<v Speaker 1>So I wrote a first book called invest Like the Best,

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<v Speaker 1>in which I basically showed you how you could clone

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<v Speaker 1>your favorite portfolio manager by taking his or her stocks,

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<v Speaker 1>putting them on a big database like Compustat, seeing how

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<v Speaker 1>they differed from the overall market, and then using those

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<v Speaker 1>as factor screens to get down to a portfolio that looked, acted,

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<v Speaker 1>and most importantly, performed like your favorite manager.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, the average investor typically didn't have access to Compustat,

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<v Speaker 2>to big data, to big computers, and so they relied

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<v Speaker 2>on you who did.

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<v Speaker 1>And if I recall what Works on Wall Street.

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<v Speaker 2>You back tested like half a century worth of data

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<v Speaker 2>something like that, and it was the full market, not

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<v Speaker 2>just the thirty dove stocks.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah. Absolutely. And also not just the full market, it

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<v Speaker 1>was also any company that had been but went bankrupt

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<v Speaker 1>or got taken over, the very very needed research database

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<v Speaker 1>on compustat. So no survivorship bias none, You back that out, Yeah, great, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>because some of the early academic studies were they had

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of survivorship bias. They didn't properly lag for

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<v Speaker 1>when you actually knew a number, so they just assumed, right, well,

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<v Speaker 1>there's the number on March thirty first, I'm going to

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<v Speaker 1>use that number. Well, you didn't really know that for

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<v Speaker 1>most of history until maybe May or June. Really interesting,

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<v Speaker 1>so you run these numbers. What sort of strategies do

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<v Speaker 1>you find perform best. Well, we found that on the

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<v Speaker 1>value side, smaller value stocks that had some catalysts and

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<v Speaker 1>had turned a corner and their prices had started to

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<v Speaker 1>go up. A beautiful strategy.

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<v Speaker 2>Small cap value with a touch of momentum.

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, okay. On the growth side, we found momentum works

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<v Speaker 1>really really well. As we continued the research, we found okay,

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<v Speaker 1>there's all sorts of caveats. So, for example, we learned

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<v Speaker 1>after a severe bear market i e. One in which

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<v Speaker 1>the market had declined by forty or more percent, not

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of those, not a lot, thank god, but

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<v Speaker 1>momentum inverted, and the stocks with the worst six or

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<v Speaker 1>twelve month momentum actually did vastly better than the ones

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<v Speaker 1>with the best. And if you think about it even

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<v Speaker 1>for a minute, it makes sense, right deepest value. But

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<v Speaker 1>what happened was a lot of really great stocks during

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<v Speaker 1>the bear market got pushed way low in price, and

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<v Speaker 1>so people when the market was recovering jumped on those stocks.

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<v Speaker 1>They were like, I can't believe I'm getting you know,

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<v Speaker 1>these earnings at six times earnings for an IBM or

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<v Speaker 1>a you know Qualcom, Right, that's the baby with the

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<v Speaker 1>bathwater strategy exactly. And so but we found, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>that value actually works now. It hasn't for a long time.

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<v Speaker 1>But we also found that large stocks with high shareholder

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<v Speaker 1>yield i e. Dividend yield plus buyback yield was an

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<v Speaker 1>excellent way to identify big stocks that are obviously much

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<v Speaker 1>more conservative than the smaller fry in the small cap world.

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<v Speaker 2>Interesting, So let's talk a little bit about your work

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<v Speaker 2>at bear Stearns. Really, where I first met you in

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<v Speaker 2>the two thousands, you were head of systematic Equity at

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<v Speaker 2>bear Stearn's asset management. I'm assuming you were applying a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of the lessons you learned in what works on

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<v Speaker 2>Wall Street to the Bear institutional and tel investing strategies.

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<v Speaker 1>Absolutely, and you know, let me just say Bear was

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<v Speaker 1>really a great company, very unfortunate what happened to it

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<v Speaker 1>during the financial crisis. But the reason I love Bear is,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a lot of big banks talk about being entrepreneurial.

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<v Speaker 1>Bear Stearns really was. And essentially, if you were doing

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<v Speaker 1>your thing and playing by the rules and doing well,

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<v Speaker 1>they let you alone. Which was pretty important for me

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<v Speaker 1>because when I got there, it was right after the

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<v Speaker 1>dot bomb, and a lot of the brokers had done

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<v Speaker 1>pretty poorly because they were in a lot of those names.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I convinced Steve Dantis, who was then head

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<v Speaker 1>of Private Client Services, that wouldn't it be better if

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<v Speaker 1>we did a packaged portfolio, a separately managed to count

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<v Speaker 1>and we offered at one time I think we were

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<v Speaker 1>all the way up to the brokers so that they

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<v Speaker 1>could use a more systematic time tested way of investing

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<v Speaker 1>for their clients.

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<v Speaker 2>Bringing a little discipline into what had been, at least

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<v Speaker 2>in the nineties very much a cowboy type of environment.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm not just for fron of Bear. The entire

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<v Speaker 2>retail stock brokerage was wild totally.

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<v Speaker 1>He was very open to it. We ended up putting

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<v Speaker 1>together a separately managed to count platform that they brokers embraced.

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<v Speaker 1>They loved it because literally they did what they did well,

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<v Speaker 1>which was calm the client during bad times, try to

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<v Speaker 1>keep them from getting too excited during great times. But

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<v Speaker 1>they also loved the idea that it had a very

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<v Speaker 1>explicit explanation for why they were putting that client in

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<v Speaker 1>that portfolio. So that was a lot of fun. By

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<v Speaker 1>the time I left Bear, my group controlled about seventy

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<v Speaker 1>percent of Bear Stearn's asset management long only, and that

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<v Speaker 1>was a lot of money, wasn't it. It was It

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<v Speaker 1>was about fourteen billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, so you mentioned you left Bear. Let's put a

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<v Speaker 2>little flesh on those bones. Your timing was perfect.

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<v Speaker 1>You exit Bear in two thousand and seven, Is that right?

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<v Speaker 2>To set up O'Shaughnessy's asset management was the thinking, Hey,

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<v Speaker 2>I want to do this out on my own shop,

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<v Speaker 2>or were you sniffing something out in O seven that's like, hey,

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<v Speaker 2>maybe I don't want to be attached to a giant

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<v Speaker 2>ocean liner taking on water.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, that's funny. I spent the next two years

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<v Speaker 1>after that trying to convince reporters that I really didn't

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<v Speaker 1>know anything. Why I left Bear was because I felt

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<v Speaker 1>that I really wanted to be on my own again.

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<v Speaker 1>I really wanted to be able to just talk about

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<v Speaker 1>quantitative investing. Bear was a boutique, so there were a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of different managers. Liked them all. I thought they

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<v Speaker 1>all were great, but I really really wanted to focus

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<v Speaker 1>just exclusively on quant And secondly, we had upgraded a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of our systems to the idea that would become canvas, right,

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<v Speaker 1>because remember Netfolio was our first try at that. That

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<v Speaker 1>was nineties or ninety nine. Yeah, really, well, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>you know the really funny story here is in April

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<v Speaker 1>of nineteen ninety nine, I wrote a piece called the

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<v Speaker 1>Internet Contrarian, and in that piece I said, eighty five

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<v Speaker 1>percent of the companies currently extant in the Internet space

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<v Speaker 1>are going to be carried out of the market. Feet First,

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<v Speaker 1>I've never seen a bubble like this in my history

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<v Speaker 1>of investing. And what did I do next? Berry? I

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<v Speaker 1>started an Internet company.

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<v Speaker 2>Well just because the stocks or a bubble, does I

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<v Speaker 2>mean this internet thing isn't going to catch on?

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<v Speaker 1>That's true, right, it's there are you know?

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<v Speaker 2>It's funny we forget in the thirties, forties, fifties there

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<v Speaker 2>was only ma bel Every company used telephones. Yep, the

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<v Speaker 2>way we describe internet companies, if you use the Internet

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<v Speaker 2>as a core part of your platform. There's difference between

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<v Speaker 2>the dot.

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<v Speaker 1>Coms and the nineties and people.

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<v Speaker 2>Who have just really integrated the technology into their business. Right,

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<v Speaker 2>So I think Netfolio is not a dot com but

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<v Speaker 2>a comm that used the net as a way to

0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:39.560
<v Speaker 2>reach more people and give them access to data.

0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:42.440
<v Speaker 1>Well, it's really funny because I made a couple well

0:14:42.440 --> 0:14:44.840
<v Speaker 1>I made more than a couple of mistakes, but one

0:14:44.880 --> 0:14:49.360
<v Speaker 1>of the big ones I made was we designed Netfolio

0:14:49.440 --> 0:14:53.600
<v Speaker 1>as a B two C company, so we called we

0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:56.800
<v Speaker 1>were taking on at the time mutual funds, which were dominant.

0:14:56.800 --> 0:14:59.520
<v Speaker 1>We didn't have ETFs while we had them, but they

0:14:59.520 --> 0:15:02.400
<v Speaker 1>were there very early day, very very early days.

0:15:03.480 --> 0:15:07.000
<v Speaker 2>And so what did the spiders just turned twenty five recently, Yeah,

0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:09.680
<v Speaker 2>I think of something like that. Yeah, So ninety nine

0:15:09.840 --> 0:15:13.280
<v Speaker 2>is like it was really the beginning.

0:15:12.880 --> 0:15:16.600
<v Speaker 1>Oh totally. And basically the idea was it was the

0:15:16.640 --> 0:15:22.200
<v Speaker 1>first online investment advisor. And the reason that we thought

0:15:22.240 --> 0:15:27.400
<v Speaker 1>it would work so well was personalization, tax management, all

0:15:27.440 --> 0:15:30.320
<v Speaker 1>of those things. So, for example, we would they were

0:15:30.360 --> 0:15:33.080
<v Speaker 1>all run by quant models that we had developed, right,

0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:37.720
<v Speaker 1>but it gave the user the ability to say, let's

0:15:37.720 --> 0:15:41.200
<v Speaker 1>say they're anti smoking, right, and Philip Morris is one

0:15:41.240 --> 0:15:44.560
<v Speaker 1>of these selections they could just check nope, don't want it.

0:15:45.120 --> 0:15:48.640
<v Speaker 1>Up comes the next stock that meets the criteria, and

0:15:48.720 --> 0:15:51.560
<v Speaker 1>so it had a lot of really great features, but

0:15:51.920 --> 0:15:54.080
<v Speaker 1>the tech was not quite there yet.

0:15:54.120 --> 0:15:57.800
<v Speaker 2>You were twenty years ahead of where you would end

0:15:57.920 --> 0:16:01.160
<v Speaker 2>up in the late tens, right.

0:16:01.360 --> 0:16:01.440
<v Speaker 1>I.

0:16:03.000 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 2>Was.

0:16:03.760 --> 0:16:07.080
<v Speaker 1>I really do have to give my son Patrick the

0:16:07.280 --> 0:16:12.480
<v Speaker 1>credit for resurrecting the idea because when we were at OSAM,

0:16:13.080 --> 0:16:16.960
<v Speaker 1>I said, listen, we left Bear right into the Great

0:16:17.000 --> 0:16:20.200
<v Speaker 1>Financial Crisis, and I put the team together and I'm like,

0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:22.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't think that we're going to be able to

0:16:22.280 --> 0:16:26.680
<v Speaker 1>sell many long only portfolios after the market has collapsed

0:16:26.680 --> 0:16:31.560
<v Speaker 1>by nearly fifty percent, So let's spend our time developing

0:16:32.000 --> 0:16:36.400
<v Speaker 1>internal technology that works the way we work. The office

0:16:36.440 --> 0:16:40.040
<v Speaker 1>shelf stuff really wasn't cutting it, and so the project

0:16:40.080 --> 0:16:44.200
<v Speaker 1>to get there was multi year and Patrick oversaw that,

0:16:44.400 --> 0:16:46.680
<v Speaker 1>and then he walked into my office one day and

0:16:46.720 --> 0:16:49.960
<v Speaker 1>he goes, you know, Dad, we've been using the desk

0:16:50.000 --> 0:16:52.800
<v Speaker 1>star to kill a mouse. And I'm like, okay, I

0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:55.840
<v Speaker 1>like the metaphor, but what do you mean? And he

0:16:56.000 --> 0:16:59.840
<v Speaker 1>started talking about AWS, talking about netfolio and he's like,

0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:05.360
<v Speaker 1>we have the perfect tech now that our clients results

0:17:05.440 --> 0:17:09.280
<v Speaker 1>being one of them, could use and I'm like, brilliant,

0:17:09.440 --> 0:17:10.199
<v Speaker 1>let's go with it.

0:17:10.800 --> 0:17:13.480
<v Speaker 2>So we're going to talk a little more about Canvas,

0:17:13.640 --> 0:17:16.800
<v Speaker 2>but I want to stay with the launch of O

0:17:16.960 --> 0:17:20.399
<v Speaker 2>SM and O seven. So A, you don't need to

0:17:20.480 --> 0:17:23.000
<v Speaker 2>disclose this, but I'm going to assume you had a

0:17:23.000 --> 0:17:25.200
<v Speaker 2>lot of bear Stern stock options that you had a

0:17:25.320 --> 0:17:28.840
<v Speaker 2>vest on your exit, so you probably had a pretty

0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:33.840
<v Speaker 2>good sale, pretty good print on those when you first

0:17:33.920 --> 0:17:39.040
<v Speaker 2>set up O'Shaughnessy, you're running your traditional models, things like

0:17:39.280 --> 0:17:43.320
<v Speaker 2>Cornerstone value and Cornerstone growth, and I'm a big fan

0:17:43.520 --> 0:17:49.800
<v Speaker 2>of your microcap sleeve, which really operates parallel to venture

0:17:49.840 --> 0:17:53.000
<v Speaker 2>capital returns, only using public stocks.

0:17:53.200 --> 0:17:55.159
<v Speaker 1>Am I getting that more or less right? Actually we

0:17:55.760 --> 0:17:59.040
<v Speaker 1>use that also. Yeah, we wrote a paper saying that

0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:01.919
<v Speaker 1>it was the poor man's way to get exposure to

0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:05.840
<v Speaker 1>private equity. Private equity or venture capital are both both

0:18:05.920 --> 0:18:10.840
<v Speaker 1>really private equity closer because the the microcap I love

0:18:11.119 --> 0:18:14.639
<v Speaker 1>microcap investing. The only real reason that we offered that

0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:17.600
<v Speaker 1>was because I loved it so much. Well, and the

0:18:17.720 --> 0:18:22.640
<v Speaker 1>data backs it up, Oh, totally, totally it is. Microcap

0:18:23.000 --> 0:18:27.760
<v Speaker 1>is an amazing place if you've got the right tools

0:18:27.800 --> 0:18:31.920
<v Speaker 1>to sort through the thousands of names in the microcap universe,

0:18:32.040 --> 0:18:36.479
<v Speaker 1>because you would not want to buy an index of

0:18:36.600 --> 0:18:40.960
<v Speaker 1>microcap stocks. For the most part, there are microcaps because

0:18:41.080 --> 0:18:46.040
<v Speaker 1>they kind of suck. However, there are so many diamonds

0:18:46.080 --> 0:18:50.040
<v Speaker 1>in the rough in microcap that if you have a strategy,

0:18:50.440 --> 0:18:54.480
<v Speaker 1>like a quant strategy that can sort through these thousands

0:18:54.520 --> 0:18:58.439
<v Speaker 1>of names, you can do extraordinarily well. I love the

0:18:58.680 --> 0:18:59.879
<v Speaker 1>strategy and I know.

0:19:00.000 --> 0:19:04.040
<v Speaker 2>Oh the OSAM microcap sleeve is what I call. It

0:19:04.080 --> 0:19:08.120
<v Speaker 2>has just really shot the lights out, especially last year

0:19:08.160 --> 0:19:09.440
<v Speaker 2>when the market was having.

0:19:09.240 --> 0:19:11.959
<v Speaker 1>A pretty good year. They did pretty well, didn't they

0:19:12.040 --> 0:19:14.800
<v Speaker 1>They did? They did. Now, remember you introduced me as

0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:17.919
<v Speaker 1>chairman of o SAM, I'm no longer no longer. Yeah,

0:19:17.960 --> 0:19:23.600
<v Speaker 1>they let me retire and actually Patrick is now chairman

0:19:23.680 --> 0:19:28.000
<v Speaker 1>emeritus over at OSAM. Let's talk a little bit about Canvas,

0:19:28.040 --> 0:19:29.840
<v Speaker 1>and again full disclosure, we're a client.

0:19:30.200 --> 0:19:32.480
<v Speaker 2>We were a beta test. Do we love the product?

0:19:32.800 --> 0:19:36.119
<v Speaker 2>Which is kind of ironic because I used to hate

0:19:36.160 --> 0:19:41.280
<v Speaker 2>direct indexing every time I would demo or see a product.

0:19:41.880 --> 0:19:45.280
<v Speaker 2>It was clunky, it was cludgy. You would get these

0:19:45.320 --> 0:19:48.199
<v Speaker 2>statements that were like hundreds of pages long.

0:19:48.680 --> 0:19:50.240
<v Speaker 1>You guys kind.

0:19:49.880 --> 0:19:53.919
<v Speaker 2>Of figured out the secret sauce for how do we

0:19:53.960 --> 0:19:58.320
<v Speaker 2>make this clean, usable and easier to understand. Tell us

0:19:58.320 --> 0:20:02.040
<v Speaker 2>a little bit about the genesis of Canvas.

0:20:02.440 --> 0:20:06.360
<v Speaker 1>Well, first of all, we call it custom indexing as

0:20:06.359 --> 0:20:10.159
<v Speaker 1>opposed to direct and the reason I make that distinction

0:20:10.600 --> 0:20:14.840
<v Speaker 1>is because, as you point out, the direct indexing products

0:20:14.880 --> 0:20:19.240
<v Speaker 1>of that time were clunky, they were difficult. You got

0:20:19.560 --> 0:20:23.159
<v Speaker 1>reams and reams of paper reports, and they were really

0:20:23.280 --> 0:20:28.359
<v Speaker 1>only focusing on tax benefits. Right. What we wanted to

0:20:28.440 --> 0:20:32.600
<v Speaker 1>do with Canvas, which is custom indexing, is, as the

0:20:32.680 --> 0:20:38.480
<v Speaker 1>name implies, give you, as the advisor, full control over

0:20:38.800 --> 0:20:42.280
<v Speaker 1>what your client portfolio wanted to look like. You got

0:20:42.320 --> 0:20:47.000
<v Speaker 1>the advantages of tax harvesting. You got the advantages of

0:20:47.080 --> 0:20:51.560
<v Speaker 1>being able to mix indexes in with active strategies, but

0:20:51.920 --> 0:20:55.800
<v Speaker 1>you could also do a social investing fund if you

0:20:55.880 --> 0:20:58.399
<v Speaker 1>want it. But the way we did it was we

0:20:58.480 --> 0:21:02.399
<v Speaker 1>didn't presume what your client was going to think of

0:21:02.640 --> 0:21:06.960
<v Speaker 1>as good social investing. So often when you see some

0:21:07.119 --> 0:21:11.720
<v Speaker 1>of the ESG portfolios, they've been predetermined as to what

0:21:11.960 --> 0:21:15.360
<v Speaker 1>is going to be included. We give you the tools

0:21:15.800 --> 0:21:19.080
<v Speaker 1>to turn a dial up or down on whatever you want.

0:21:19.160 --> 0:21:22.240
<v Speaker 1>I think last I looked, there were over fifty eight

0:21:22.560 --> 0:21:25.320
<v Speaker 1>separate things that you could find tune around on the

0:21:25.359 --> 0:21:28.560
<v Speaker 1>idea of ESG. We wanted to give the tools to

0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:33.119
<v Speaker 1>you because you knew your client vastly better than we did,

0:21:33.680 --> 0:21:36.920
<v Speaker 1>and we thought, let's try. As you mentioned you were

0:21:36.920 --> 0:21:39.240
<v Speaker 1>one of the beta testers. That was actually one of

0:21:39.280 --> 0:21:43.000
<v Speaker 1>the smartest things we did, I think, because we had

0:21:43.119 --> 0:21:45.639
<v Speaker 1>really good advice from a lot of people that we

0:21:45.720 --> 0:21:49.960
<v Speaker 1>knew in both venture and other places. The first thing

0:21:50.040 --> 0:21:52.720
<v Speaker 1>that many of them said to us was do not

0:21:53.240 --> 0:21:57.960
<v Speaker 1>try to go big with this. Originally, find advisors who

0:21:58.000 --> 0:22:01.600
<v Speaker 1>you trust who will give you you real feedback. In

0:22:01.640 --> 0:22:04.200
<v Speaker 1>other words, they won't shine you on if they didn't

0:22:04.320 --> 0:22:06.440
<v Speaker 1>like you. Guys were very good at times.

0:22:06.480 --> 0:22:09.440
<v Speaker 2>And Michael batt nicking my office, one of my partners,

0:22:09.960 --> 0:22:12.439
<v Speaker 2>who was over the moon when he first saw this.

0:22:12.840 --> 0:22:15.639
<v Speaker 2>Every time another product came in, it would take me

0:22:15.720 --> 0:22:18.920
<v Speaker 2>thirty seconds to poke holes in it. And he came

0:22:19.400 --> 0:22:22.119
<v Speaker 2>breathless into my office, Dude, you got to see this.

0:22:22.680 --> 0:22:26.080
<v Speaker 2>And I'm like, yeah, yeah, okay, another garbage right, tee

0:22:26.080 --> 0:22:28.320
<v Speaker 2>it up. And it took about thirty seconds to go,

0:22:28.440 --> 0:22:30.520
<v Speaker 2>Oh my god, how do we get a piece of this?

0:22:30.520 --> 0:22:31.480
<v Speaker 1>This is fantastic.

0:22:31.960 --> 0:22:35.840
<v Speaker 2>The interface, the design, all of the bullet points that

0:22:36.000 --> 0:22:39.840
<v Speaker 2>all the boxes checked were great. Let's stick with what

0:22:39.880 --> 0:22:45.359
<v Speaker 2>we no longer call esg and Meyer Statman famously called

0:22:45.440 --> 0:22:49.879
<v Speaker 2>values based investing. Some people have called it woke investing,

0:22:49.920 --> 0:22:53.760
<v Speaker 2>but that's really the wrong phrase. I'm fascinated, for example,

0:22:54.359 --> 0:22:58.800
<v Speaker 2>by the Catholic bishops whose endowment says, look, we don't

0:22:58.800 --> 0:23:01.720
<v Speaker 2>want any aboard of any drugs that do that. We

0:23:01.720 --> 0:23:05.520
<v Speaker 2>can't invest in those companies. We can invest in hospital

0:23:05.600 --> 0:23:09.600
<v Speaker 2>chains that perform these sort of surgeries, or insurers. You

0:23:09.720 --> 0:23:13.720
<v Speaker 2>have the ability to say, whatever your personal preferences are,

0:23:14.240 --> 0:23:17.560
<v Speaker 2>you could just tune those out of pick an index,

0:23:17.600 --> 0:23:20.760
<v Speaker 2>the S and P five hundred the Vanguard Total Market.

0:23:20.800 --> 0:23:23.879
<v Speaker 2>You could say, I don't want X or Y or Z,

0:23:24.280 --> 0:23:27.080
<v Speaker 2>and how it comes tell us a little bit about that.

0:23:27.520 --> 0:23:31.480
<v Speaker 1>I felt that that was really really important because everybody

0:23:31.560 --> 0:23:34.840
<v Speaker 1>has different ideas. As you point out, the Catholic bishops

0:23:35.320 --> 0:23:39.440
<v Speaker 1>wanted to exclude certain things. Others might want to include

0:23:39.520 --> 0:23:43.000
<v Speaker 1>certain things. Actually felt it would be very arrogant of

0:23:43.119 --> 0:23:48.520
<v Speaker 1>us to determine what good social investing was because we

0:23:48.600 --> 0:23:53.080
<v Speaker 1>had managed money for a variety of religious institutions, and

0:23:53.240 --> 0:23:57.200
<v Speaker 1>guess what, they all have different takes on what they

0:23:57.240 --> 0:24:00.240
<v Speaker 1>want to see. We did one where, for example, well

0:24:00.359 --> 0:24:03.880
<v Speaker 1>you couldn't buy any company that did anything with animals

0:24:03.960 --> 0:24:07.480
<v Speaker 1>with eyes. That was an interesting one. But then on

0:24:07.520 --> 0:24:10.479
<v Speaker 1>the other hand, we had a client who wanted to

0:24:10.520 --> 0:24:15.000
<v Speaker 1>see more female board members and females in the C suite,

0:24:15.040 --> 0:24:16.399
<v Speaker 1>and you could you could screen for that.

0:24:16.520 --> 0:24:18.480
<v Speaker 2>You can screen and there's a bunch of research that

0:24:18.560 --> 0:24:21.000
<v Speaker 2>shows those companies. Now you don't know if it's posative

0:24:21.720 --> 0:24:25.280
<v Speaker 2>or just merely correlated, but those companies tend to outperform.

0:24:25.600 --> 0:24:30.600
<v Speaker 2>The request we probably hear the most is no gun stocks,

0:24:30.640 --> 0:24:31.800
<v Speaker 2>no tobacco stocks.

0:24:31.960 --> 0:24:36.680
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, kind of interesting. Yeah, the tobacco guns, those are

0:24:36.840 --> 0:24:41.959
<v Speaker 1>pretty large groups where majority of investors want nothing to

0:24:41.960 --> 0:24:44.760
<v Speaker 1>do with them. But the other thing that's cool about

0:24:44.840 --> 0:24:49.520
<v Speaker 1>our dials on canvas you Let's say that Ritholtz has

0:24:49.800 --> 0:24:53.280
<v Speaker 1>a wild eyed libertarian walk in who happens to have

0:24:53.320 --> 0:24:56.560
<v Speaker 1>a billion dollars and he says, you know what I

0:24:56.720 --> 0:25:00.159
<v Speaker 1>want the gun manufacturers. I want I'm a big like

0:25:00.160 --> 0:25:04.000
<v Speaker 1>an amendment guy, right, Or I want the pharmaceuticals, or

0:25:04.040 --> 0:25:06.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean the sinstock, I mean gambling and alcohol. Well,

0:25:07.040 --> 0:25:09.680
<v Speaker 1>and you know the joke there was that my first company,

0:25:09.720 --> 0:25:13.800
<v Speaker 1>O'Shaughnessy Capital Management, we used to keep a joke portfolio

0:25:13.960 --> 0:25:16.240
<v Speaker 1>which was called the Eat, Drink and Be Merry for

0:25:16.359 --> 0:25:20.240
<v Speaker 1>tomorrow you die Berry. It killed me sure.

0:25:20.800 --> 0:25:24.000
<v Speaker 2>So what ends up happening very often is when there's

0:25:24.080 --> 0:25:28.920
<v Speaker 2>a non financial reason for kicking a stock out out

0:25:28.960 --> 0:25:33.800
<v Speaker 2>of a lot of portfolios. Eventually a company with still

0:25:33.840 --> 0:25:37.320
<v Speaker 2>having decent financial prospects, it becomes cheap.

0:25:37.680 --> 0:25:43.000
<v Speaker 1>Yep. Absolutely, But the thing with the social style investing,

0:25:43.280 --> 0:25:47.160
<v Speaker 1>we wanted you to be able to reflect your client's

0:25:47.280 --> 0:25:51.600
<v Speaker 1>unique needs. And there really wasn't anything like that. I

0:25:51.600 --> 0:25:54.240
<v Speaker 1>don't know if there is now, but I haven't seen

0:25:54.280 --> 0:25:55.160
<v Speaker 1>anything like that.

0:25:55.320 --> 0:25:59.480
<v Speaker 2>Well, certainly not to this degree of granularity. By the way,

0:25:59.520 --> 0:26:06.040
<v Speaker 2>when we first we're beta testing Canvas. Internally, my view was, Hey,

0:26:06.240 --> 0:26:08.639
<v Speaker 2>people are going to want to use this for value

0:26:08.640 --> 0:26:12.880
<v Speaker 2>based investing. Then they're going to want to deconcentrate. If

0:26:12.880 --> 0:26:15.159
<v Speaker 2>I work for Google, do I really need all this

0:26:15.359 --> 0:26:18.080
<v Speaker 2>tech exposure My income is coming from there, Let me

0:26:18.160 --> 0:26:21.399
<v Speaker 2>diversify that way. And then tax loss harvesting was going

0:26:21.480 --> 0:26:24.680
<v Speaker 2>to bring up the rear. I had it exactly backwards,

0:26:25.200 --> 0:26:28.160
<v Speaker 2>in large part because I don't know, maybe a year

0:26:28.200 --> 0:26:32.399
<v Speaker 2>into it we had the COVID crash market falls thirty

0:26:32.440 --> 0:26:36.680
<v Speaker 2>four percent and coincidentally bottoms just near the end of

0:26:36.720 --> 0:26:41.720
<v Speaker 2>the quarter. That rebalance. You know, typical tax loss harvesting

0:26:41.920 --> 0:26:46.040
<v Speaker 2>own a dozen mutual funds. You pick up ten twenty

0:26:46.119 --> 0:26:50.399
<v Speaker 2>basis points against the portfolio of losses to offset gains.

0:26:51.119 --> 0:26:53.720
<v Speaker 2>The hope with this was it would be fifty sixty.

0:26:54.400 --> 0:26:57.359
<v Speaker 2>We had clients getting two hundred, three hundred, four hundred

0:26:57.359 --> 0:27:00.600
<v Speaker 2>basis points. And I've talked to some of your staff

0:27:01.000 --> 0:27:04.440
<v Speaker 2>or former staff, and they've told us some unique use

0:27:04.480 --> 0:27:08.520
<v Speaker 2>cases where the numbers are bonkers. First off, explain to

0:27:09.160 --> 0:27:11.679
<v Speaker 2>the audience who may not be familiar with this what

0:27:11.920 --> 0:27:13.200
<v Speaker 2>is tax loss harvesting.

0:27:13.440 --> 0:27:17.200
<v Speaker 1>So essentially what it does is we had to build

0:27:17.280 --> 0:27:22.720
<v Speaker 1>a non trivial algorithm that could monitor every portfolio we

0:27:22.720 --> 0:27:26.679
<v Speaker 1>were managing on behalf of clients and as you know,

0:27:27.119 --> 0:27:31.080
<v Speaker 1>they can go all the way up get maximized tax

0:27:31.160 --> 0:27:34.960
<v Speaker 1>losses or all the way down don't worry about them. So,

0:27:35.040 --> 0:27:37.240
<v Speaker 1>for example, you wouldn't care about it in an IRA

0:27:37.600 --> 0:27:43.920
<v Speaker 1>right right. But the purpose was that we found through

0:27:43.920 --> 0:27:48.480
<v Speaker 1>our research that a tremendous amount of alpha was being

0:27:48.600 --> 0:27:51.200
<v Speaker 1>left on the table, and that was the alpha from

0:27:51.359 --> 0:27:55.040
<v Speaker 1>tax lost harvesting. When you're in a market like the

0:27:55.080 --> 0:27:58.159
<v Speaker 1>market we had when we went into COVID and the

0:27:58.200 --> 0:28:02.919
<v Speaker 1>bear market ensued, and under other circumstances, well kind of

0:28:02.960 --> 0:28:06.520
<v Speaker 1>you're out of luck. But in this particular case, that

0:28:06.720 --> 0:28:12.280
<v Speaker 1>creates the kick in for harvesting the losses, reducing the

0:28:12.359 --> 0:28:16.680
<v Speaker 1>overall tax needs for the portfolio, and you could really

0:28:16.720 --> 0:28:19.440
<v Speaker 1>look at that as that's money in your pocket. By

0:28:19.480 --> 0:28:23.680
<v Speaker 1>the way, we had the benefits completely backward too. A

0:28:23.800 --> 0:28:26.600
<v Speaker 1>tax loss harvesting was at the bottom of our list

0:28:26.800 --> 0:28:27.440
<v Speaker 1>as well.

0:28:27.480 --> 0:28:31.200
<v Speaker 2>It's arcane and technical and you don't really think about it,

0:28:31.640 --> 0:28:34.640
<v Speaker 2>but we have clients who were either you know startup

0:28:34.720 --> 0:28:38.920
<v Speaker 2>founders that cashed out, or they inherited or or just

0:28:39.080 --> 0:28:42.400
<v Speaker 2>owned stock with a very low cost basis. You know,

0:28:42.440 --> 0:28:44.760
<v Speaker 2>it's always funny when you see a five million dollar

0:28:44.800 --> 0:28:49.680
<v Speaker 2>portfolio and some stock has blown up where it's eighty

0:28:49.720 --> 0:28:52.880
<v Speaker 2>percent of the holdings. Hey, if you have five million

0:28:52.960 --> 0:28:56.240
<v Speaker 2>dollars and four million of it is Apple or Amazon

0:28:56.360 --> 0:28:59.760
<v Speaker 2>or some combination of big stocks, that's a lot of

0:29:00.040 --> 0:29:04.160
<v Speaker 2>angle stock risk. And to a man, every person says, hey,

0:29:05.200 --> 0:29:08.239
<v Speaker 2>you should diversify. The answer as always, I'm gonna get

0:29:08.320 --> 0:29:11.280
<v Speaker 2>killed in capital gains taxes. This worked out to be

0:29:11.320 --> 0:29:14.280
<v Speaker 2>a really good way to say we're gonna work out

0:29:14.360 --> 0:29:17.600
<v Speaker 2>of your concentrated position over three, four or five years,

0:29:18.080 --> 0:29:21.080
<v Speaker 2>and then twenty twenty comes along and what should have

0:29:21.120 --> 0:29:24.640
<v Speaker 2>been a five year process took half as long because

0:29:24.960 --> 0:29:28.000
<v Speaker 2>you had so many losses. So for those people who

0:29:28.240 --> 0:29:30.480
<v Speaker 2>may not be familiar with this, let's say you own

0:29:30.600 --> 0:29:34.280
<v Speaker 2>ten mutual funds, right and some are up, one or

0:29:34.320 --> 0:29:37.240
<v Speaker 2>two are down. You sell the ones that are down,

0:29:37.640 --> 0:29:40.440
<v Speaker 2>you replace it with something very similar. Hey, now I

0:29:40.440 --> 0:29:42.560
<v Speaker 2>got a little bit of loss even and my portfolio

0:29:42.600 --> 0:29:45.520
<v Speaker 2>looks the same, but I have an actual realized loss

0:29:45.520 --> 0:29:48.600
<v Speaker 2>that I could use to offset my real gains. But

0:29:48.720 --> 0:29:51.440
<v Speaker 2>those losses are three five ten percent.

0:29:51.480 --> 0:29:52.000
<v Speaker 1>They're nothing.

0:29:52.640 --> 0:29:55.480
<v Speaker 2>On the other hand, if you have a direct index

0:29:55.600 --> 0:29:59.840
<v Speaker 2>or a custom index that has a couple of hundred stocks, well,

0:30:00.120 --> 0:30:03.680
<v Speaker 2>the worst stocks in those portfolios, they're not down three

0:30:03.760 --> 0:30:08.200
<v Speaker 2>four five percent, they're down forty sixty seventy five percent.

0:30:08.760 --> 0:30:11.360
<v Speaker 2>You sell the ones that are down, you replace them.

0:30:11.440 --> 0:30:13.440
<v Speaker 2>And this is one of the things I like about canvas.

0:30:13.960 --> 0:30:18.160
<v Speaker 2>You identify the replacement stocks that are is it fair

0:30:18.200 --> 0:30:19.880
<v Speaker 2>to say mathematically similar?

0:30:19.960 --> 0:30:24.560
<v Speaker 1>They look, well, they come from the same strategy, so yeah,

0:30:24.640 --> 0:30:28.120
<v Speaker 1>you could say they were mathematically similar. So the overall

0:30:28.160 --> 0:30:33.200
<v Speaker 1>portfolio more or less retains the same characteristics. You're just

0:30:33.320 --> 0:30:38.240
<v Speaker 1>realizing losses deep losses on some stocks and replacing them

0:30:38.280 --> 0:30:42.680
<v Speaker 1>with something relatively similar exactly. And you know, we're just

0:30:42.920 --> 0:30:47.560
<v Speaker 1>basically making math work for us. And because the entire

0:30:47.680 --> 0:30:53.440
<v Speaker 1>thing is operated within the canvas architecture. After getting the algorithm,

0:30:53.440 --> 0:30:56.320
<v Speaker 1>which was non trivial what do you mean by non

0:30:56.360 --> 0:30:58.560
<v Speaker 1>trivial outbum, it took a hell of a lot of work,

0:30:58.640 --> 0:31:03.280
<v Speaker 1>okay to be able to make that function properly, And

0:31:03.880 --> 0:31:07.800
<v Speaker 1>as we worked with firms like yours, it became very

0:31:07.920 --> 0:31:09.920
<v Speaker 1>very clear to us that that was going to be

0:31:09.960 --> 0:31:14.920
<v Speaker 1>a big deal in canvas, So we wanted that algorithm

0:31:14.960 --> 0:31:18.480
<v Speaker 1>to work perfectly. But as you also note, we wanted

0:31:18.640 --> 0:31:21.720
<v Speaker 1>the nearest neighbor, if you will, that would replace that

0:31:21.880 --> 0:31:27.680
<v Speaker 1>stock to not affect the overall metrics of your portfolio.

0:31:27.800 --> 0:31:31.040
<v Speaker 1>So it's going to look, act and perform very much

0:31:31.360 --> 0:31:35.360
<v Speaker 1>like the earlier portfolio, but you've already taken that wonderful

0:31:35.440 --> 0:31:39.880
<v Speaker 1>tex loss so that you can offset the gains from elsewhere.

0:31:40.480 --> 0:31:43.600
<v Speaker 1>The other use case that we thought would be number

0:31:43.640 --> 0:31:48.240
<v Speaker 1>one was, you know you have a concentrated position. Let's

0:31:48.280 --> 0:31:53.720
<v Speaker 1>say Google right, don't give me any tech exposure, or

0:31:53.760 --> 0:31:57.239
<v Speaker 1>give me tech exposure only in this tech which is

0:31:57.400 --> 0:32:01.160
<v Speaker 1>like hardware for example, right that I can do and

0:32:01.320 --> 0:32:04.719
<v Speaker 1>that type of use case would work hand in hand

0:32:05.160 --> 0:32:09.200
<v Speaker 1>with the tax loss, making it a much much more efficient,

0:32:09.680 --> 0:32:13.960
<v Speaker 1>more money in the investors pocket. In terms of final

0:32:14.080 --> 0:32:16.280
<v Speaker 1>outcomes with the portfolios.

0:32:15.720 --> 0:32:19.720
<v Speaker 2>What was the uptake on that approach? People enthusiastic about.

0:32:19.480 --> 0:32:24.200
<v Speaker 1>It, they were, but they were not nearly as enthusiastic

0:32:24.360 --> 0:32:28.120
<v Speaker 1>as we anticipated they would be. There were a few

0:32:28.200 --> 0:32:32.760
<v Speaker 1>advisors that we were working with who worked specifically with

0:32:33.040 --> 0:32:37.240
<v Speaker 1>founders and early employees who had a lot of options

0:32:37.280 --> 0:32:41.600
<v Speaker 1>in that particular and usually tech, but we also did

0:32:41.640 --> 0:32:44.800
<v Speaker 1>work and do work with a lot of people who

0:32:45.000 --> 0:32:50.520
<v Speaker 1>just amassed through employment a huge position in their particular company,

0:32:51.040 --> 0:32:54.320
<v Speaker 1>and they wanted to have the rest of the portfolio

0:32:54.520 --> 0:32:59.200
<v Speaker 1>be built to complement and offset, if you will, any

0:32:59.400 --> 0:33:02.600
<v Speaker 1>further invent's over there. So it's worked actually quite nicely.

0:33:03.600 --> 0:33:07.120
<v Speaker 2>And then in twenty twenty one, Franklin Templeton comes knocking

0:33:07.240 --> 0:33:11.520
<v Speaker 2>at the door. They're an investment giant with a trillion

0:33:11.520 --> 0:33:15.720
<v Speaker 2>plus dollars on their books and they've been pretty acquisitive

0:33:15.840 --> 0:33:18.840
<v Speaker 2>over the past few years. Tell us a little bit

0:33:18.840 --> 0:33:23.240
<v Speaker 2>about how that transaction began. If I recall correctly, you

0:33:23.320 --> 0:33:25.480
<v Speaker 2>guys weren't out shopping the firm to.

0:33:25.440 --> 0:33:28.760
<v Speaker 1>Be sold, were you not? At all? We were. It's

0:33:28.800 --> 0:33:31.360
<v Speaker 1>a funny story. We almost got kind of a cold

0:33:31.400 --> 0:33:35.440
<v Speaker 1>call from a gentleman at Franklin Templeton. I was sort

0:33:35.440 --> 0:33:38.880
<v Speaker 1>of like, give it to Chris Lovelace or you know

0:33:38.880 --> 0:33:42.880
<v Speaker 1>who's the president of the firm, And ultimately Patrick spoke

0:33:42.920 --> 0:33:45.600
<v Speaker 1>with him and came into my office and he's like, hey,

0:33:46.200 --> 0:33:50.920
<v Speaker 1>Franklin Templeton is really interested in canvas. I'm like, okay,

0:33:51.320 --> 0:33:54.960
<v Speaker 1>they want to use it. No, no, they want to

0:33:55.000 --> 0:33:58.840
<v Speaker 1>buy it. And I'm like, okay, well, let's do a

0:33:59.040 --> 0:34:02.680
<v Speaker 1>due diligence on Franklin Templeton. They're massive, as you know,

0:34:02.840 --> 0:34:06.000
<v Speaker 1>I think trillion and a half in assets under management,

0:34:06.400 --> 0:34:09.960
<v Speaker 1>and we were really having great results, as you know,

0:34:10.320 --> 0:34:13.680
<v Speaker 1>with Canvas on our own. We thought about it for

0:34:13.719 --> 0:34:17.880
<v Speaker 1>a long time, and you know, we really wanted custom

0:34:17.920 --> 0:34:21.839
<v Speaker 1>indexing to be a new category of asset management, and

0:34:22.080 --> 0:34:24.719
<v Speaker 1>we felt really proud about that because it isn't too

0:34:24.760 --> 0:34:27.359
<v Speaker 1>often that you're able to invent kind of a new

0:34:27.440 --> 0:34:32.200
<v Speaker 1>category of investing. And as we chatted about it and

0:34:32.239 --> 0:34:35.239
<v Speaker 1>talked it out, we're like, you know, we're at an

0:34:35.239 --> 0:34:40.600
<v Speaker 1>inflection point here. We are relatively small boutique, even though

0:34:40.640 --> 0:34:45.680
<v Speaker 1>this is working really really well. If we want custom indexing,

0:34:45.880 --> 0:34:50.440
<v Speaker 1>custom portfolio creation to really make the big time, it

0:34:50.680 --> 0:34:56.040
<v Speaker 1>probably makes sense for a much larger asset manager with

0:34:56.239 --> 0:35:00.480
<v Speaker 1>all sorts of advantages that we did not have to

0:35:00.920 --> 0:35:04.520
<v Speaker 1>take it and run with it. So we let that

0:35:04.640 --> 0:35:07.160
<v Speaker 1>be our guide, and after doing quite a bit of

0:35:07.280 --> 0:35:10.200
<v Speaker 1>due diligence on the people at Franklin, we were like, okay,

0:35:10.280 --> 0:35:13.120
<v Speaker 1>let's negotiate about selling the firm to them.

0:35:13.320 --> 0:35:18.000
<v Speaker 2>Talk about good timing. Morgan Stanley bought one of your

0:35:18.120 --> 0:35:23.040
<v Speaker 2>competitors in that space. Vanguard rolled out their own product,

0:35:23.040 --> 0:35:26.560
<v Speaker 2>which quickly amassed you know, billions and billions of dollars

0:35:26.560 --> 0:35:31.440
<v Speaker 2>on it. So this has worked its way into the mainstream,

0:35:31.520 --> 0:35:35.120
<v Speaker 2>even though it's still relatively I don't want to call

0:35:35.160 --> 0:35:37.440
<v Speaker 2>it a niche product because it's bigger than that.

0:35:38.040 --> 0:35:43.160
<v Speaker 1>But it's not ETFs. It's not giant yet, but it's

0:35:43.200 --> 0:35:45.920
<v Speaker 1>still growing at a pretty rapid clip, isn't it Totally?

0:35:46.080 --> 0:35:50.879
<v Speaker 1>And I think that ultimately we might look back ten

0:35:50.960 --> 0:35:54.759
<v Speaker 1>years from now and have the thought, can you imagine

0:35:54.760 --> 0:35:59.360
<v Speaker 1>that people just bought packaged products? I mean, like, my god,

0:36:00.360 --> 0:36:04.440
<v Speaker 1>no tax advantage, none of the customization, none of the

0:36:04.480 --> 0:36:09.799
<v Speaker 1>immunization for concentrated positions that I have. And so we

0:36:10.000 --> 0:36:15.439
<v Speaker 1>definitely think that this is a way of investing that well,

0:36:15.520 --> 0:36:21.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, once a client sees their portfolio under canvas

0:36:21.680 --> 0:36:26.719
<v Speaker 1>and with the customization, it's really really hard to go

0:36:26.840 --> 0:36:29.200
<v Speaker 1>back to thinking, ah, you know what, I think I'll

0:36:29.239 --> 0:36:32.600
<v Speaker 1>just go with five mutual funds or five ETFs. I

0:36:32.600 --> 0:36:35.319
<v Speaker 1>don't really care about much of the other I think

0:36:35.400 --> 0:36:39.560
<v Speaker 1>that you know, these things take time. But I mean again,

0:36:39.640 --> 0:36:43.400
<v Speaker 1>your firm is a classic example here. You were able

0:36:43.520 --> 0:36:47.839
<v Speaker 1>to use custom in a way that was good for

0:36:47.920 --> 0:36:51.520
<v Speaker 1>your firm, good for your clients. And you know, the

0:36:51.600 --> 0:36:55.040
<v Speaker 1>clients that we speak with love it. You know, they

0:36:55.080 --> 0:36:55.560
<v Speaker 1>all love it.

0:36:55.880 --> 0:36:59.920
<v Speaker 2>That's been our experience. It's really Mark Andriesen's software is

0:37:00.280 --> 0:37:04.600
<v Speaker 2>the world writ large. Because there are two aspects to this,

0:37:04.680 --> 0:37:07.440
<v Speaker 2>and I'm going to circle back to the database part

0:37:07.480 --> 0:37:10.520
<v Speaker 2>of it in a bit. But the front end, the

0:37:10.640 --> 0:37:15.840
<v Speaker 2>user interface and the software that allows a very simple

0:37:16.280 --> 0:37:20.399
<v Speaker 2>set of choices and that you could go increasingly down

0:37:20.480 --> 0:37:22.479
<v Speaker 2>the rabbit hole and find more and more and more

0:37:22.640 --> 0:37:26.759
<v Speaker 2>issues certainly is a big factor a lot of what

0:37:27.040 --> 0:37:33.080
<v Speaker 2>is done. The technology just wasn't quite mature enough fifteen

0:37:33.200 --> 0:37:36.879
<v Speaker 2>twenty years beforehand. And when you look at it, it's

0:37:36.920 --> 0:37:39.680
<v Speaker 2>just well, this is just software. It's just a user

0:37:39.719 --> 0:37:43.319
<v Speaker 2>interface and a way of organizing it. But now let's

0:37:43.360 --> 0:37:47.280
<v Speaker 2>circle back to the database, which I recall you saying

0:37:47.800 --> 0:37:50.560
<v Speaker 2>was the secret sauce. Tell us a little bit about

0:37:50.600 --> 0:37:54.400
<v Speaker 2>the database that you've been working on for a quarter century.

0:37:54.560 --> 0:37:56.920
<v Speaker 2>That drives canvas.

0:37:57.280 --> 0:38:02.840
<v Speaker 1>So we use the copystat universe. They cover virtually every

0:38:02.920 --> 0:38:07.480
<v Speaker 1>company that trades both here on American exchanges and elsewhere,

0:38:08.960 --> 0:38:12.560
<v Speaker 1>and it is kind of the gold standard really in

0:38:12.640 --> 0:38:14.000
<v Speaker 1>terms of databases.

0:38:14.200 --> 0:38:17.399
<v Speaker 2>How does it compare to something like CRISPER or some

0:38:17.480 --> 0:38:18.160
<v Speaker 2>of the other.

0:38:18.160 --> 0:38:20.920
<v Speaker 1>Well, so, CRISP. It comes to us from the University

0:38:20.960 --> 0:38:25.480
<v Speaker 1>of Chicago Center for Research and Security Pricing. The downside

0:38:25.520 --> 0:38:29.040
<v Speaker 1>of CRISP is it's, first off, I love chris We

0:38:29.200 --> 0:38:32.240
<v Speaker 1>used it in the most recent edition of What Works,

0:38:32.640 --> 0:38:37.839
<v Speaker 1>but it doesn't have enough of the fundamental factors attached

0:38:37.880 --> 0:38:41.360
<v Speaker 1>to it. In other words, it's mostly price history rice history.

0:38:41.719 --> 0:38:48.240
<v Speaker 1>And it also tries and generally succeeds to include all

0:38:48.400 --> 0:38:51.560
<v Speaker 1>of the names that might have been around trading on

0:38:51.600 --> 0:38:54.680
<v Speaker 1>the AMEX or the New York Stock Exchange or NASDAC.

0:38:55.080 --> 0:38:56.960
<v Speaker 1>But the challenge is a guy by the name of

0:38:57.120 --> 0:39:01.480
<v Speaker 1>Macquarie wrote a really compelling paper talking about how a

0:39:01.520 --> 0:39:05.400
<v Speaker 1>lot of the historical data not compustat, but further back

0:39:05.560 --> 0:39:09.080
<v Speaker 1>right in the twenties and thirties, come from the papers. Yeah,

0:39:09.200 --> 0:39:16.279
<v Speaker 1>and also wasn't nearly as thorough as say the compustat is.

0:39:16.760 --> 0:39:18.960
<v Speaker 1>In fact, one of the things that we were doing

0:39:19.320 --> 0:39:25.160
<v Speaker 1>before Franklin Templeton approached us is we were literally digitizing

0:39:25.280 --> 0:39:29.200
<v Speaker 1>old Moody's manuals. They go back to nineteen hundred, and

0:39:29.280 --> 0:39:33.080
<v Speaker 1>what we wanted to do was marry into the CRISP

0:39:33.200 --> 0:39:36.960
<v Speaker 1>data all of the fundamental factors that would have given

0:39:37.040 --> 0:39:41.320
<v Speaker 1>us the ability to run a nineteen hundred through nineteen

0:39:41.600 --> 0:39:46.760
<v Speaker 1>fifty five when Compustat begins test We ran some test runs.

0:39:46.760 --> 0:39:49.200
<v Speaker 1>We did price to book, and we did a couple others.

0:39:49.719 --> 0:39:53.600
<v Speaker 1>And what we were finding and won't surprise you, generally speaking,

0:39:54.000 --> 0:39:57.200
<v Speaker 1>same kind of results, right with the exceptional price to book,

0:39:57.640 --> 0:40:01.319
<v Speaker 1>we actually took price to book of our composites. You

0:40:01.360 --> 0:40:04.680
<v Speaker 1>know how we have the composits for value and momentum

0:40:04.680 --> 0:40:07.120
<v Speaker 1>and all of those things, and we took price to

0:40:07.120 --> 0:40:10.000
<v Speaker 1>book out because of the research that we did that

0:40:10.080 --> 0:40:13.600
<v Speaker 1>covered the great depression from the thirties. You know, and

0:40:13.640 --> 0:40:16.640
<v Speaker 1>I know if you've taken any finance courses, price to

0:40:16.680 --> 0:40:20.920
<v Speaker 1>book previously had been used as a proxy for likelihood

0:40:20.920 --> 0:40:25.600
<v Speaker 1>of bankruptcy. Right, Well, guess what during the thirties, a

0:40:25.600 --> 0:40:28.799
<v Speaker 1>lot of those low price to book companies went bankrupt. Well,

0:40:28.800 --> 0:40:32.279
<v Speaker 1>when your book value collapses, exactly, it's the book isn't

0:40:32.520 --> 0:40:37.040
<v Speaker 1>much value exactly exactly. So we did find some learnings

0:40:37.719 --> 0:40:41.919
<v Speaker 1>where we jiggered with the composites that we use. That's

0:40:41.920 --> 0:40:45.520
<v Speaker 1>another thing we do. We don't use a single factor.

0:40:45.560 --> 0:40:47.719
<v Speaker 1>In my first version of What Works on Wall Street,

0:40:47.800 --> 0:40:50.719
<v Speaker 1>we would sort down for the final portfolio on a

0:40:50.760 --> 0:40:54.359
<v Speaker 1>single factor, and we found that that wasn't nearly as

0:40:54.560 --> 0:40:59.080
<v Speaker 1>effective as a composite of factors. Again, a lot of

0:40:59.120 --> 0:41:01.279
<v Speaker 1>people the old joke about quants, right, what do you

0:41:01.360 --> 0:41:04.320
<v Speaker 1>guys do golf all day? You know you're just running

0:41:04.320 --> 0:41:07.560
<v Speaker 1>your models. Well, we don't golf all day. But what

0:41:07.640 --> 0:41:11.960
<v Speaker 1>we do do all day is research the underlying models.

0:41:12.400 --> 0:41:16.560
<v Speaker 1>What we're always trying to do is improve them. But

0:41:16.840 --> 0:41:23.000
<v Speaker 1>it's evolutionary, not revolutionary. Listen, the foundations are very, very similar.

0:41:23.120 --> 0:41:25.239
<v Speaker 1>By the way. They make a lot of sense too.

0:41:25.400 --> 0:41:29.279
<v Speaker 1>I say, if we changed it and walked out onto

0:41:29.360 --> 0:41:32.359
<v Speaker 1>Lexington Avenue here and we found a food truck, right,

0:41:32.960 --> 0:41:35.959
<v Speaker 1>and we went up and long line. Everything looks good.

0:41:36.040 --> 0:41:38.799
<v Speaker 1>And we talked to the owner and we said, how

0:41:38.800 --> 0:41:41.279
<v Speaker 1>about you clearing a year And he says, well, I'm

0:41:41.280 --> 0:41:44.320
<v Speaker 1>clearing one hundred thousand. And we're like, well, would you

0:41:44.360 --> 0:41:46.920
<v Speaker 1>take a buy offer from us? And he goes, yeah,

0:41:47.000 --> 0:41:49.480
<v Speaker 1>you can buy it for ten million. You and I

0:41:49.520 --> 0:41:51.759
<v Speaker 1>are going to go get out of here. There's no

0:41:51.840 --> 0:41:54.759
<v Speaker 1>way we're going to buy this right, Well, change it

0:41:54.800 --> 0:41:57.800
<v Speaker 1>to a stock ticker. There's a lot of stocks trading

0:41:58.080 --> 0:42:01.319
<v Speaker 1>at that kind of multiple, and so when you look

0:42:01.320 --> 0:42:06.600
<v Speaker 1>at the underlying strategies, they make intuitive economic sense, and

0:42:06.719 --> 0:42:11.239
<v Speaker 1>so the data set that you're using becomes of paramount importance.

0:42:11.640 --> 0:42:14.640
<v Speaker 1>The other thing I found was that, and this one

0:42:14.760 --> 0:42:17.520
<v Speaker 1>disturbed me a little. I haven't looked at this recently,

0:42:17.640 --> 0:42:20.480
<v Speaker 1>but when I was doing it several years ago, you

0:42:20.560 --> 0:42:24.319
<v Speaker 1>could get really different numbers if you went to Bloomberg,

0:42:24.800 --> 0:42:27.040
<v Speaker 1>or if you went to Reuter's, or if you went

0:42:27.080 --> 0:42:31.920
<v Speaker 1>to Dow Jones or any other innumerable providers of data.

0:42:32.360 --> 0:42:35.480
<v Speaker 1>And so that was another huge project for us, and

0:42:35.719 --> 0:42:39.000
<v Speaker 1>also part of the data set that we're talking about.

0:42:39.400 --> 0:42:41.840
<v Speaker 1>One of the other things that I was widely hated

0:42:41.880 --> 0:42:45.839
<v Speaker 1>for by my research team was we went on a

0:42:46.040 --> 0:42:51.200
<v Speaker 1>multi year data cleansing exercise because we found that a

0:42:51.239 --> 0:42:53.680
<v Speaker 1>lot of it had a lot of hair on it.

0:42:54.239 --> 0:42:58.080
<v Speaker 1>And so I'd made no friends on the research desk

0:42:58.239 --> 0:43:02.280
<v Speaker 1>when I said, listen, we've got to get this pristine.

0:43:02.960 --> 0:43:07.000
<v Speaker 1>And so our data cleansing of the universe also is

0:43:07.080 --> 0:43:13.319
<v Speaker 1>another real important distinction between just generally available data and

0:43:13.440 --> 0:43:14.640
<v Speaker 1>that which we are using.

0:43:14.719 --> 0:43:18.480
<v Speaker 2>Huh, really really interesting. Let's stay with price to book

0:43:18.920 --> 0:43:21.719
<v Speaker 2>because I want to ask your opinion on something, and

0:43:21.760 --> 0:43:25.040
<v Speaker 2>you're the perfect quant to bring this up to. Which

0:43:25.120 --> 0:43:27.720
<v Speaker 2>is all right? So we're talking about price to book.

0:43:28.360 --> 0:43:32.520
<v Speaker 2>Back in the day when manufacturing required a lot of

0:43:33.160 --> 0:43:36.640
<v Speaker 2>men and material and capital, and you had big factories

0:43:36.719 --> 0:43:40.520
<v Speaker 2>and railroads were laying thousands of miles of steel, and

0:43:41.080 --> 0:43:43.960
<v Speaker 2>you know, you were building these forges and foundries to

0:43:44.040 --> 0:43:50.040
<v Speaker 2>make cars. The modern era, especially with technology, there are

0:43:50.080 --> 0:43:53.000
<v Speaker 2>a lot of intangibles that don't seem to find their

0:43:53.040 --> 0:43:57.040
<v Speaker 2>way to book value. Things like patents and copyrights and

0:43:57.120 --> 0:44:02.319
<v Speaker 2>algorithms and processes that are prepared rietary that really are

0:44:02.360 --> 0:44:07.160
<v Speaker 2>the whole value of the company, but somehow never show

0:44:07.239 --> 0:44:10.680
<v Speaker 2>up in metrics like price to book, which has led

0:44:11.040 --> 0:44:14.640
<v Speaker 2>to some people and I'm not positive who to name.

0:44:14.760 --> 0:44:17.920
<v Speaker 2>I don't want to mischaracterize anybody, but some folks have

0:44:18.000 --> 0:44:24.000
<v Speaker 2>said we're mispricing companies that operate in the tech space

0:44:24.320 --> 0:44:27.040
<v Speaker 2>because we're not giving them the appropriate credit for all

0:44:27.080 --> 0:44:31.160
<v Speaker 2>of this intellectual property. Is that an overstatement or is

0:44:31.160 --> 0:44:32.120
<v Speaker 2>there some truth there?

0:44:32.560 --> 0:44:35.680
<v Speaker 1>I think there's more than some truth to that. We

0:44:36.000 --> 0:44:39.520
<v Speaker 1>published a papers called the Veiled Value, and it looked

0:44:39.560 --> 0:44:43.640
<v Speaker 1>at the idea that brand value, that all of the

0:44:43.680 --> 0:44:47.920
<v Speaker 1>items that you just delineated, we're not being captured in

0:44:48.160 --> 0:44:54.239
<v Speaker 1>Trademark's research and development straight across the board. When we

0:44:54.400 --> 0:44:57.600
<v Speaker 1>took a look at that, we found that you could

0:44:57.640 --> 0:45:01.320
<v Speaker 1>figure out a way to price that into the model.

0:45:01.800 --> 0:45:05.480
<v Speaker 1>So you are absolutely right. This is one of my bugaboos,

0:45:05.520 --> 0:45:09.440
<v Speaker 1>things like GDP, all of the metrics that we continue

0:45:09.480 --> 0:45:14.040
<v Speaker 1>to report and get obsessed about. Basically they've lost a

0:45:14.080 --> 0:45:17.440
<v Speaker 1>lot of their meaning because they were designed for the

0:45:17.480 --> 0:45:21.960
<v Speaker 1>world you just articulated. They were designed for manufacturing. They

0:45:21.960 --> 0:45:25.960
<v Speaker 1>were designed for physical things, and we moved off that

0:45:26.239 --> 0:45:29.640
<v Speaker 1>for many many decades. Atoms to bitts was a big transition,

0:45:29.880 --> 0:45:34.680
<v Speaker 1>huge transition, and so we think that we another aspect

0:45:34.760 --> 0:45:38.160
<v Speaker 1>of research right when when we got the idea, you know,

0:45:38.239 --> 0:45:42.239
<v Speaker 1>we think we're missing something here. That's what resulted in

0:45:42.280 --> 0:45:46.680
<v Speaker 1>the paper about brand value and goodwill and all those

0:45:46.719 --> 0:45:50.439
<v Speaker 1>things not being taken into account by investors at all.

0:45:50.960 --> 0:45:54.080
<v Speaker 1>And so we found ways we could do that with

0:45:54.200 --> 0:46:00.520
<v Speaker 1>factors and improved the efficacy of the underlying modelsificantly.

0:46:00.760 --> 0:46:03.719
<v Speaker 2>I think one of the greatest quotes ever issued by

0:46:03.760 --> 0:46:08.480
<v Speaker 2>a statistics professor is George Bachs All models are wrong,

0:46:08.640 --> 0:46:09.040
<v Speaker 2>but some.

0:46:09.000 --> 0:46:12.800
<v Speaker 1>Are useful, exactly. I quote him all the time because

0:46:12.880 --> 0:46:17.279
<v Speaker 1>he's absolutely right. The idea that you're going to get

0:46:17.320 --> 0:46:21.520
<v Speaker 1>anything to perfection is a fool's errand right. I have

0:46:21.600 --> 0:46:25.120
<v Speaker 1>a writer that we're working with under O'Shaughnessy Adventures, one

0:46:25.200 --> 0:46:28.759
<v Speaker 1>of our new verticals, which is Infinite Books, and he's

0:46:28.800 --> 0:46:32.280
<v Speaker 1>got a great quote, which is perfection is a one

0:46:32.360 --> 0:46:33.960
<v Speaker 1>hundred percent tax.

0:46:34.520 --> 0:46:39.320
<v Speaker 2>Really interesting. Let's talk a little about O'Shaughnessy Adventures starting

0:46:39.360 --> 0:46:43.640
<v Speaker 2>with your mission statement. Osv's mission is to fuel creators

0:46:43.680 --> 0:46:48.800
<v Speaker 2>in the worlds of art, science and technology with the advice,

0:46:49.000 --> 0:46:53.240
<v Speaker 2>data and resources they need to stay focused and get

0:46:53.320 --> 0:46:58.040
<v Speaker 2>great ideas out of their heads, off of their whiteboards,

0:46:58.480 --> 0:47:02.080
<v Speaker 2>and out into the world discuss I had.

0:47:01.960 --> 0:47:06.680
<v Speaker 1>A thesis that started to develop around twenty seventeen twenty

0:47:06.800 --> 0:47:11.160
<v Speaker 1>eighteen as I watched old playbooks that used to work

0:47:11.239 --> 0:47:15.520
<v Speaker 1>beautifully stop working, and so I came up with this

0:47:15.719 --> 0:47:20.120
<v Speaker 1>idea that we were in a great reshuffle where all

0:47:20.160 --> 0:47:24.640
<v Speaker 1>of the old models were collapsing and people were kind

0:47:24.680 --> 0:47:28.239
<v Speaker 1>of freaked out. They were like, this has worked for decades,

0:47:28.760 --> 0:47:31.680
<v Speaker 1>Why doesn't it work anymore? And I think that one

0:47:31.760 --> 0:47:36.239
<v Speaker 1>of the reasons it didn't work anymore was because the tools,

0:47:36.320 --> 0:47:40.799
<v Speaker 1>the tech tools, and the platforms and the Internet and

0:47:40.960 --> 0:47:46.719
<v Speaker 1>all of that put together allowed for much more innovative

0:47:47.040 --> 0:47:52.200
<v Speaker 1>business models in a variety of industries. Right, So if

0:47:52.200 --> 0:47:55.879
<v Speaker 1>you look at the verticals of O'shaughness adventures, you'll see

0:47:55.920 --> 0:47:58.959
<v Speaker 1>what we think. Right, So we have what we call

0:47:59.480 --> 0:48:03.880
<v Speaker 1>infinite adventures. That's venture capital. But I love in the

0:48:03.920 --> 0:48:07.320
<v Speaker 1>old days they used to call venture capital adventure capital.

0:48:07.400 --> 0:48:12.200
<v Speaker 1>And the one I really loved liberation capital. Uh, well,

0:48:12.200 --> 0:48:14.560
<v Speaker 1>to find that what is what is liberation? And I've

0:48:14.600 --> 0:48:16.920
<v Speaker 1>heard the phrase, yeah in the old days, the so

0:48:17.000 --> 0:48:20.160
<v Speaker 1>called hateful eight that wanted to leave shockly.

0:48:20.000 --> 0:48:23.759
<v Speaker 2>Right, the early days of semiconductors and the pre in

0:48:24.000 --> 0:48:25.760
<v Speaker 2>Fairchild semi conductor.

0:48:25.400 --> 0:48:31.560
<v Speaker 1>Exactly exactly right, good call. And back then, the idea

0:48:31.719 --> 0:48:35.480
<v Speaker 1>that a group of engineers or even you know, regular

0:48:35.560 --> 0:48:39.840
<v Speaker 1>business people would leave a big company that was well

0:48:39.920 --> 0:48:43.040
<v Speaker 1>funded by a bank or a series of other investors

0:48:43.360 --> 0:48:47.839
<v Speaker 1>was almost unthinkable. And so what came to be known

0:48:47.880 --> 0:48:52.040
<v Speaker 1>as the hateful eight who created Fairchild got pitched by

0:48:52.200 --> 0:48:56.360
<v Speaker 1>a variety of investors, external investors saying why don't you

0:48:56.400 --> 0:48:59.560
<v Speaker 1>guys to start your own company. He finally talked them

0:48:59.600 --> 0:49:02.680
<v Speaker 1>into it, and that's when we use the term this

0:49:02.920 --> 0:49:08.040
<v Speaker 1>is your liberation capital, where you can focus on just

0:49:08.200 --> 0:49:12.279
<v Speaker 1>what you want to focus on, making better semiconductors. You

0:49:12.280 --> 0:49:14.400
<v Speaker 1>don't have to play any of the politics of the

0:49:14.440 --> 0:49:17.239
<v Speaker 1>big company, you don't have to answer to people who

0:49:17.280 --> 0:49:20.920
<v Speaker 1>don't really understand what you're doing. Right, the people in

0:49:20.960 --> 0:49:23.480
<v Speaker 1>New York that might have owned it or financed it

0:49:23.640 --> 0:49:27.840
<v Speaker 1>had very little understanding of what semiconductors were all about

0:49:27.840 --> 0:49:31.279
<v Speaker 1>in the fifties and sixties, and so I like that

0:49:31.520 --> 0:49:33.000
<v Speaker 1>part very very much.

0:49:33.040 --> 0:49:36.960
<v Speaker 2>That's the genesis of Intel right, as well as the

0:49:37.000 --> 0:49:40.680
<v Speaker 2>whole run of other semiconductors, can trace its roots back

0:49:40.719 --> 0:49:43.200
<v Speaker 2>to fair Child right exactly.

0:49:43.800 --> 0:49:48.080
<v Speaker 1>And so there we're looking for companies that we think

0:49:48.239 --> 0:49:55.319
<v Speaker 1>will expand the opportunity set for very clever entrepreneurs and creators.

0:49:56.080 --> 0:50:00.200
<v Speaker 1>Another vertical is infinite films. Why that, well, I think

0:50:00.239 --> 0:50:05.920
<v Speaker 1>we're approaching a period where you can make films, documentaries,

0:50:06.040 --> 0:50:09.959
<v Speaker 1>You can use AI to augment your filmmaking in such

0:50:10.000 --> 0:50:13.200
<v Speaker 1>a way that the people who couldn't make movies in

0:50:13.239 --> 0:50:15.359
<v Speaker 1>the past are going to be able to make them

0:50:15.360 --> 0:50:18.120
<v Speaker 1>in the future. You could legitimately make.

0:50:17.920 --> 0:50:20.680
<v Speaker 2>A film with an iPhone. Now that you can you

0:50:20.680 --> 0:50:24.120
<v Speaker 2>couldn't do even five years ago. Is kind of on

0:50:24.160 --> 0:50:24.680
<v Speaker 2>the border.

0:50:24.800 --> 0:50:28.759
<v Speaker 1>Barry. Some of the things that I've seen as submissions

0:50:28.800 --> 0:50:35.479
<v Speaker 1>to infinite films, Oh my god, Like literally, I'm sixty three.

0:50:35.840 --> 0:50:39.000
<v Speaker 1>If I had seen that as a trailer for a

0:50:39.040 --> 0:50:42.000
<v Speaker 1>movie at a movie theater like ten years ago, I

0:50:42.000 --> 0:50:45.120
<v Speaker 1>would have thought, Wow, this is amazing, this is cool.

0:50:45.200 --> 0:50:47.440
<v Speaker 1>And then the guy at the bottom says, by the

0:50:47.440 --> 0:50:50.080
<v Speaker 1>way I made this on my iPhone, that's crazy. That

0:50:50.160 --> 0:50:54.600
<v Speaker 1>really is great, And so that Unlock's tremendous talent that

0:50:54.840 --> 0:51:00.800
<v Speaker 1>never had access to the Hollywood infrastructure. So our thesis

0:51:00.920 --> 0:51:04.319
<v Speaker 1>is there are tons of really creative people out there

0:51:04.719 --> 0:51:09.280
<v Speaker 1>who now have the tools to make great movies. Another

0:51:09.320 --> 0:51:12.239
<v Speaker 1>thing I wanted to do was where are the Rudies

0:51:12.600 --> 0:51:15.960
<v Speaker 1>of movies today? Now? Rudy's, of course, is about the

0:51:16.040 --> 0:51:18.399
<v Speaker 1>kid who goes to Notre Dame and he's five foot

0:51:18.480 --> 0:51:21.959
<v Speaker 1>nothing and weighs a buck nothing and he gets on

0:51:22.040 --> 0:51:25.399
<v Speaker 1>the team, the Notre Dame team. Why was that such

0:51:25.400 --> 0:51:30.520
<v Speaker 1>a great movie? Because it's incredibly inspirational, It gives the

0:51:30.600 --> 0:51:33.040
<v Speaker 1>viewer like, you know what, I can take a shot

0:51:33.080 --> 0:51:35.560
<v Speaker 1>at it, I can do it. Hollywood seems to have

0:51:35.640 --> 0:51:38.320
<v Speaker 1>completely forgotten about making these types of movies.

0:51:39.040 --> 0:51:42.640
<v Speaker 2>And just for people who might not remember the movie Rudy,

0:51:43.080 --> 0:51:47.000
<v Speaker 2>it's the story that drives the whole thing and the characters.

0:51:47.480 --> 0:51:50.640
<v Speaker 2>There's not a whole lot of expensive special effects or

0:51:51.200 --> 0:51:54.040
<v Speaker 2>you know, they're not flying out to Nepal. It's all

0:51:54.120 --> 0:51:58.520
<v Speaker 2>done pretty much on the cheap. And that's the area

0:51:58.719 --> 0:52:03.920
<v Speaker 2>of film you're looking to explore, or narrative driven accessible story.

0:52:04.120 --> 0:52:09.960
<v Speaker 1>Narrative driven accessible stories that we're also changing the underlying

0:52:10.040 --> 0:52:14.360
<v Speaker 1>economics on. So here's how we're gonna do that. Everyone

0:52:14.440 --> 0:52:17.239
<v Speaker 1>who comes and works on one of our films is

0:52:17.280 --> 0:52:21.200
<v Speaker 1>going to own a piece of that film and back

0:52:21.320 --> 0:52:25.160
<v Speaker 1>end points, back end points. But for everybody, we're not

0:52:25.200 --> 0:52:29.560
<v Speaker 1>going to use Hollywood accounting. Our accounting is very, very straightforward.

0:52:30.040 --> 0:52:32.920
<v Speaker 1>Here's what it cost us to make it. What happens

0:52:32.960 --> 0:52:36.960
<v Speaker 1>after we recover those costs, You own x percent. If

0:52:37.000 --> 0:52:40.160
<v Speaker 1>we manage to sell it or generate revenue from it

0:52:40.320 --> 0:52:43.359
<v Speaker 1>through the multiple platforms you can put it out on,

0:52:43.800 --> 0:52:46.680
<v Speaker 1>you're going to benefit from that. The other thing that

0:52:46.719 --> 0:52:48.799
<v Speaker 1>we're going to do is we're going to give young

0:52:48.880 --> 0:52:52.640
<v Speaker 1>people a shot right now, if you want to try

0:52:52.719 --> 0:52:55.720
<v Speaker 1>to beat Let's say you graduate from NYU Film School

0:52:56.120 --> 0:52:58.160
<v Speaker 1>and you decide you're gonna go out to Hollywood and

0:52:58.200 --> 0:53:00.440
<v Speaker 1>you're going to pitch all of these student video its,

0:53:00.480 --> 0:53:03.879
<v Speaker 1>say you want to get good luck, because it ain't

0:53:03.960 --> 0:53:07.920
<v Speaker 1>gonna happen. Right There is almost a guild like system

0:53:08.080 --> 0:53:11.440
<v Speaker 1>out in Hollywood where you know, it's kind of the

0:53:11.840 --> 0:53:14.760
<v Speaker 1>idea that, yeah, I want to get in the Screen

0:53:14.800 --> 0:53:17.520
<v Speaker 1>Actors Guild. How do I do that? Well, to get

0:53:17.560 --> 0:53:19.520
<v Speaker 1>in the Screen Actors Guild, you have to be in

0:53:19.560 --> 0:53:22.000
<v Speaker 1>three movies. Well, wait a minute, how do I get

0:53:22.040 --> 0:53:24.360
<v Speaker 1>in the movie if I'm not in the Screen Actors Guild.

0:53:24.800 --> 0:53:28.400
<v Speaker 1>So there are a lot of really old fashioned rules.

0:53:28.400 --> 0:53:31.520
<v Speaker 1>And it's not just Hollywood, by the way, it's much

0:53:31.520 --> 0:53:34.960
<v Speaker 1>of media. It's much of all of the things that

0:53:35.000 --> 0:53:39.440
<v Speaker 1>we consume every day. And so basically what I did

0:53:39.640 --> 0:53:43.759
<v Speaker 1>was say, what industries that I find fascinating that I'm

0:53:43.840 --> 0:53:49.040
<v Speaker 1>interested in have the greatest arbitrage ability. Huh.

0:53:49.080 --> 0:53:51.719
<v Speaker 2>I love that concept. And you know it's funny you

0:53:51.760 --> 0:53:57.719
<v Speaker 2>mentioned films because that dynamic tension of indie films. Look

0:53:57.760 --> 0:54:00.960
<v Speaker 2>at how great A twenty four has been doing amazing

0:54:01.640 --> 0:54:06.200
<v Speaker 2>as a as an independent studio. The timing is really good,

0:54:06.280 --> 0:54:10.280
<v Speaker 2>and the technology tools, the ability to film on a phone,

0:54:10.840 --> 0:54:14.840
<v Speaker 2>edit on your laptop and then distribute it by uploading

0:54:14.840 --> 0:54:16.280
<v Speaker 2>to YouTube or wherever.

0:54:17.000 --> 0:54:21.160
<v Speaker 1>Barry, that's the key. There's always cultural lag, right, you

0:54:21.239 --> 0:54:26.480
<v Speaker 1>know the S curve tech adoption, right, it's real, And

0:54:26.880 --> 0:54:31.520
<v Speaker 1>let's change industries and let's look at publishing. Right, So

0:54:31.680 --> 0:54:36.640
<v Speaker 1>we are launching Infinite Books. Why well, because the current

0:54:36.760 --> 0:54:41.600
<v Speaker 1>publishing industry is still playing under nineteen twenty rules, not

0:54:41.840 --> 0:54:47.080
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty rules. We no longer have to have minuscule

0:54:47.280 --> 0:54:51.000
<v Speaker 1>amounts going to the author. We can, because of the tech,

0:54:51.120 --> 0:54:54.440
<v Speaker 1>because of our ability to produce that book, give the

0:54:54.560 --> 0:54:59.000
<v Speaker 1>author much more of the upside. So, for example, we're

0:54:59.040 --> 0:55:02.239
<v Speaker 1>going to give any where between depending on what the

0:55:02.280 --> 0:55:05.120
<v Speaker 1>author wants us to do for them. It's going to

0:55:05.239 --> 0:55:08.319
<v Speaker 1>always be above fifty percent. Mostly it's going to be

0:55:08.440 --> 0:55:12.600
<v Speaker 1>seventy percent. But that's just the start. Imagine Berry, you

0:55:12.640 --> 0:55:15.319
<v Speaker 1>write a book, you bring it to Infinite Books, and

0:55:15.360 --> 0:55:18.400
<v Speaker 1>I say, hey, Barry, what other languages do you want

0:55:18.400 --> 0:55:22.239
<v Speaker 1>this published in? And You're like, I don't know, maybe Spanish,

0:55:22.360 --> 0:55:27.360
<v Speaker 1>maybe French. Maybe done. Because of AI, we can translate

0:55:27.400 --> 0:55:30.920
<v Speaker 1>the entire book and have it available for the French

0:55:31.000 --> 0:55:34.719
<v Speaker 1>or Spanish speaking markets. Even better, let's say you want

0:55:34.719 --> 0:55:36.560
<v Speaker 1>to do an audiobook and you want to read it

0:55:36.560 --> 0:55:39.680
<v Speaker 1>because you've got a great voice. I say, Berry, do

0:55:39.800 --> 0:55:44.080
<v Speaker 1>a minute on this for me, say Express Surprise or

0:55:44.160 --> 0:55:48.960
<v Speaker 1>Anger or whatever. It will model your voice and you

0:55:49.040 --> 0:55:52.439
<v Speaker 1>can read your book on all the audiobooks. But what's

0:55:52.560 --> 0:55:57.760
<v Speaker 1>really cool is we can translate your voice into French,

0:55:58.280 --> 0:56:03.040
<v Speaker 1>into Spanish, in to Russian, into anything. Wow. And so

0:56:03.680 --> 0:56:08.040
<v Speaker 1>all of these tech advantages are being left just lying

0:56:08.080 --> 0:56:11.279
<v Speaker 1>around on the floor, and we think that's crazy.

0:56:11.600 --> 0:56:14.840
<v Speaker 2>We're still early days of the transition, oh very early,

0:56:15.000 --> 0:56:20.280
<v Speaker 2>to technology, to AI, to all these changes in platforms.

0:56:20.640 --> 0:56:25.640
<v Speaker 2>It's amazing how slowly it takes place. I think our

0:56:26.080 --> 0:56:31.799
<v Speaker 2>mutual friend Morgan Housel described how long it took from

0:56:32.200 --> 0:56:35.719
<v Speaker 2>the Wright Brothers doing the first test flight in Kitty

0:56:35.760 --> 0:56:38.600
<v Speaker 2>Hawk before it even made its way into newspapers.

0:56:38.800 --> 0:56:43.000
<v Speaker 1>Exactly takes forever, and it does. And this lag, even

0:56:43.160 --> 0:56:48.160
<v Speaker 1>in our twenty four to seven always online environment remains right.

0:56:48.400 --> 0:56:51.360
<v Speaker 1>It's like, if you think about it, it makes tons of sense.

0:56:51.760 --> 0:56:55.480
<v Speaker 1>People are habitual, right, they get into habits, they do

0:56:55.600 --> 0:56:58.960
<v Speaker 1>all of these things. Now, I think that the pandemic

0:56:59.760 --> 0:57:04.440
<v Speaker 1>really sped up a lot of these trends, things like

0:57:04.800 --> 0:57:09.200
<v Speaker 1>work from Anywhere. O'shaughness Adventures is a work from anywhere enterprise.

0:57:09.600 --> 0:57:14.680
<v Speaker 1>We have people in Singapore, India, UK, all over the

0:57:14.719 --> 0:57:20.080
<v Speaker 1>world because we can, and the idea that we have

0:57:20.200 --> 0:57:24.280
<v Speaker 1>to have a traditional office, the idea that we have

0:57:24.400 --> 0:57:27.439
<v Speaker 1>to do any of those traditional things goes right out

0:57:27.440 --> 0:57:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the window. It becomes a much less costly enterprise when

0:57:32.640 --> 0:57:35.520
<v Speaker 1>you can do it this way. But we back to

0:57:35.760 --> 0:57:39.720
<v Speaker 1>infinite books like we also are going to at the

0:57:39.840 --> 0:57:42.960
<v Speaker 1>author's decision. Right, We're not going to force anything on

0:57:43.000 --> 0:57:47.800
<v Speaker 1>our authors. But if the author wants an AI agent

0:57:48.320 --> 0:57:51.360
<v Speaker 1>to Let's say, for example, your new book, Let's say

0:57:51.400 --> 0:57:55.760
<v Speaker 1>if it were an Infinite Books publication and you noted

0:57:55.880 --> 0:58:01.200
<v Speaker 1>that it quadrupled sales in Omaha, Nebraska, how about having

0:58:01.200 --> 0:58:05.240
<v Speaker 1>an AI agent find out what podcasts in Omaha are

0:58:05.320 --> 0:58:08.520
<v Speaker 1>interested in the subject Berry's written about. How about sending

0:58:08.600 --> 0:58:10.960
<v Speaker 1>them a query letter. How about setting them a clip

0:58:11.000 --> 0:58:13.840
<v Speaker 1>from the book and saying you really ought to have

0:58:13.960 --> 0:58:17.480
<v Speaker 1>him on your show or podcast or write about them.

0:58:17.520 --> 0:58:21.520
<v Speaker 1>In your substack. All of the tools that are available

0:58:21.560 --> 0:58:26.680
<v Speaker 1>to us work today, and people aren't using them, and

0:58:26.760 --> 0:58:30.840
<v Speaker 1>so we suspect that this is going to really I

0:58:30.880 --> 0:58:33.720
<v Speaker 1>hate the word revolutionize because that's, you know, come on,

0:58:34.640 --> 0:58:39.080
<v Speaker 1>but it's certainly going to accelerate. That's a better ride.

0:58:39.600 --> 0:58:43.160
<v Speaker 2>So I want to talk about another aspect of O'shaughnessee ventures,

0:58:43.680 --> 0:58:47.120
<v Speaker 2>which is the fellowship program, which I find to be

0:58:47.880 --> 0:58:51.600
<v Speaker 2>absolutely fascinating. How does this work tell us a little

0:58:51.600 --> 0:58:53.240
<v Speaker 2>bit about the O'shaughnessee Fellowship.

0:58:53.480 --> 0:58:56.960
<v Speaker 1>For most of history, a genius could be born, live

0:58:57.080 --> 0:59:00.439
<v Speaker 1>and die without even knowing they were a genius, far

0:59:00.520 --> 0:59:04.400
<v Speaker 1>less other people knowing it. Right, We were really bound

0:59:04.440 --> 0:59:08.480
<v Speaker 1>by our geography and by our networks, and those networks

0:59:08.520 --> 0:59:11.760
<v Speaker 1>were pretty small. Like who'd you grow up with, who'd

0:59:11.760 --> 0:59:14.360
<v Speaker 1>you go to school with, who'd you mary? Where are

0:59:14.360 --> 0:59:16.560
<v Speaker 1>your kids going to school? What church do you go to?

0:59:16.680 --> 0:59:19.360
<v Speaker 1>That kind of stuff pretty random. You're just random where

0:59:19.400 --> 0:59:21.480
<v Speaker 1>you were born. I was just dumb. Luck was kind

0:59:21.480 --> 0:59:24.640
<v Speaker 1>of dumb. Luck. You could move, of course, but changing

0:59:24.720 --> 0:59:27.200
<v Speaker 1>your digital zip code is a hell of a lot

0:59:27.240 --> 0:59:31.320
<v Speaker 1>easier than changing your physical zip code. But more importantly,

0:59:31.600 --> 0:59:36.080
<v Speaker 1>we now are interconnected. I can find somebody who's a

0:59:36.200 --> 0:59:39.040
<v Speaker 1>genius who happens to live in Bangladesh. I would have

0:59:39.200 --> 0:59:42.880
<v Speaker 1>never under the old system ever known about that person.

0:59:43.760 --> 0:59:46.880
<v Speaker 1>Now I have the ability to know about that person

0:59:47.280 --> 0:59:51.240
<v Speaker 1>and find and fund them. The whole idea behind the

0:59:51.320 --> 0:59:54.760
<v Speaker 1>fellowships was we wanted to come up with something that

0:59:54.960 --> 1:00:00.640
<v Speaker 1>highlighted the fact that there are tons millions of brilliant

1:00:00.800 --> 1:00:05.320
<v Speaker 1>people who in the past just didn't have the right connections,

1:00:05.680 --> 1:00:09.400
<v Speaker 1>didn't have the right credentials, you'd name it, to get

1:00:09.440 --> 1:00:12.640
<v Speaker 1>into a place where they could get funding, they could

1:00:12.640 --> 1:00:16.120
<v Speaker 1>make their idea come to life. And so the idea

1:00:16.160 --> 1:00:19.320
<v Speaker 1>is quite simple. We're gonna find and fund them and

1:00:19.640 --> 1:00:23.760
<v Speaker 1>see what comes from that. I think that it allows

1:00:23.920 --> 1:00:26.880
<v Speaker 1>for so many things, Like it allows we have a

1:00:26.920 --> 1:00:29.520
<v Speaker 1>guy who got one of our grants, which is the

1:00:29.600 --> 1:00:32.880
<v Speaker 1>smaller amount. It's ten thousand. The fellowships are one hundred

1:00:32.880 --> 1:00:35.320
<v Speaker 1>thousand over a year, no strings.

1:00:35.080 --> 1:00:37.400
<v Speaker 2>No strings attached. He has a check for one hundred k.

1:00:38.080 --> 1:00:41.040
<v Speaker 2>Go do something interesting. We don't care what it is exactly.

1:00:41.760 --> 1:00:45.240
<v Speaker 1>And we wanted to do no strings because like we

1:00:45.320 --> 1:00:48.440
<v Speaker 1>don't want Gotcha's we don't want. But you've got to

1:00:48.480 --> 1:00:51.360
<v Speaker 1>do You've got to give us right of first refusal.

1:00:52.080 --> 1:00:54.000
<v Speaker 1>The way I look at it is if if we

1:00:54.120 --> 1:00:57.360
<v Speaker 1>got somebody so wrong that they're going to take one

1:00:57.440 --> 1:01:01.920
<v Speaker 1>hundred thousand fellowship from us, develop something really cool, decide

1:01:01.960 --> 1:01:04.080
<v Speaker 1>to start a company around it, and then take it

1:01:04.080 --> 1:01:06.880
<v Speaker 1>to a different person for funding, well, we made the

1:01:06.920 --> 1:01:11.120
<v Speaker 1>mistake right, because generally speaking, what we're finding is they

1:01:11.240 --> 1:01:15.080
<v Speaker 1>love being part of the community. Because I'm also a

1:01:15.320 --> 1:01:20.160
<v Speaker 1>huge believer in cognitive diversity, right, there's a great quote

1:01:20.160 --> 1:01:23.360
<v Speaker 1>that is like, no matter how smart somebody is, no

1:01:23.440 --> 1:01:29.160
<v Speaker 1>matter how insightful, no matter how brilliant, you can't ask

1:01:29.360 --> 1:01:31.959
<v Speaker 1>them to make a list of things that would never

1:01:32.120 --> 1:01:35.800
<v Speaker 1>occur to them. And so essentially what happens when you

1:01:35.880 --> 1:01:39.480
<v Speaker 1>get all of these really bright people in our fellowship

1:01:39.520 --> 1:01:44.280
<v Speaker 1>and grant community communicating with each other. Wow, the ideas

1:01:44.320 --> 1:01:48.560
<v Speaker 1>that come out of those cross pollenization of ideas are

1:01:48.600 --> 1:01:49.760
<v Speaker 1>really extraordinary.

1:01:50.080 --> 1:01:53.520
<v Speaker 2>But this sounds like this is really an incubator of sorts.

1:01:53.960 --> 1:01:57.640
<v Speaker 1>It can be, but it needn't be. Here's a great example.

1:01:58.320 --> 1:02:00.480
<v Speaker 1>One of the guys that we gave a great aunt too,

1:02:00.680 --> 1:02:05.920
<v Speaker 1>his name's just that's his stage name, was an accountant

1:02:06.040 --> 1:02:09.880
<v Speaker 1>in India who decided he really had music in him

1:02:10.200 --> 1:02:14.320
<v Speaker 1>and he really wanted to do a musical video using

1:02:14.440 --> 1:02:19.760
<v Speaker 1>traditional Indian songs and singing in Hindi and other Indian dialects.

1:02:20.400 --> 1:02:25.600
<v Speaker 1>He went super viral, tens of millions of downloads of

1:02:25.640 --> 1:02:29.040
<v Speaker 1>his song. He's being put on all of their Good

1:02:29.160 --> 1:02:32.760
<v Speaker 1>Morning India. You know, we have Good Morning America being

1:02:32.800 --> 1:02:37.360
<v Speaker 1>written about in all of their newspapers. And essentially that

1:02:37.520 --> 1:02:40.640
<v Speaker 1>was because we thought, Wow, this guy's got talent. Let's

1:02:40.640 --> 1:02:44.479
<v Speaker 1>see what happens. We're not incubating him for anything. Right,

1:02:44.560 --> 1:02:46.680
<v Speaker 1>if he goes off and signs a deal with a

1:02:46.800 --> 1:02:50.880
<v Speaker 1>music company, we don't do music, so God bless.

1:02:50.760 --> 1:02:53.920
<v Speaker 2>This sounds a little bit like the MacArthur Genius Awards,

1:02:54.280 --> 1:02:57.280
<v Speaker 2>where here's a chunk of money, go be a genius.

1:02:57.680 --> 1:03:02.960
<v Speaker 1>There's just so much potential around the world, Barry, that

1:03:03.400 --> 1:03:08.680
<v Speaker 1>I feel compelled to amplify. Everybody loves to bag on

1:03:09.040 --> 1:03:14.040
<v Speaker 1>the generation before or after them, Right, Listen, the kids today,

1:03:14.280 --> 1:03:18.520
<v Speaker 1>young people today are digital natives. They know how to

1:03:18.680 --> 1:03:22.120
<v Speaker 1>use these tools in ways that we boomers probably are

1:03:22.200 --> 1:03:25.840
<v Speaker 1>never going to get to. And I say, let's empower them.

1:03:26.360 --> 1:03:32.120
<v Speaker 1>Let's demonstrate to the world that this makes real practical sense. Right,

1:03:32.240 --> 1:03:38.040
<v Speaker 1>Now let's take somebody else who is turning his grant

1:03:38.120 --> 1:03:43.160
<v Speaker 1>into a company. It's a guy in Africa who faced

1:03:43.240 --> 1:03:46.880
<v Speaker 1>a problem I knew nothing about, which was the cost

1:03:46.960 --> 1:03:51.880
<v Speaker 1>of sanitary napkins for women who are menstruating is out

1:03:51.880 --> 1:03:55.360
<v Speaker 1>of reach. They are all imported from the West and

1:03:55.600 --> 1:03:58.520
<v Speaker 1>they can't buy them because they don't have enough money. Well,

1:03:58.560 --> 1:04:02.360
<v Speaker 1>he came up with an idea where his mostly female

1:04:02.400 --> 1:04:08.400
<v Speaker 1>staff and researchers use banana leaves and other biodegradable products

1:04:08.720 --> 1:04:12.320
<v Speaker 1>that they can make on the ground in Africa sell

1:04:12.400 --> 1:04:17.200
<v Speaker 1>for a fraction of the cost that the important ones

1:04:17.320 --> 1:04:21.440
<v Speaker 1>work just as well. Now I believe he is turning

1:04:21.480 --> 1:04:25.120
<v Speaker 1>that into an enterprise. He's founding a company. Will take

1:04:25.120 --> 1:04:28.200
<v Speaker 1>a look at investing in it, because of course he's

1:04:28.280 --> 1:04:31.880
<v Speaker 1>asked us to. It can be on the business side,

1:04:31.880 --> 1:04:35.440
<v Speaker 1>definitely an incubator, but on the social side, on the

1:04:35.520 --> 1:04:38.240
<v Speaker 1>music side, on the art side. So for example, this year,

1:04:38.800 --> 1:04:42.120
<v Speaker 1>I really want to have a fine artist get one

1:04:42.160 --> 1:04:46.160
<v Speaker 1>of these grants, because again I want really people to

1:04:46.200 --> 1:04:50.120
<v Speaker 1>be able to see there is so much talent in

1:04:50.160 --> 1:04:52.880
<v Speaker 1>the world, and I always try to look for things

1:04:52.920 --> 1:04:58.240
<v Speaker 1>to root for as opposed to against. They're so easy

1:04:58.480 --> 1:05:01.120
<v Speaker 1>to root against something thing, right, you don't have to

1:05:01.160 --> 1:05:05.440
<v Speaker 1>be terribly bright to say that sucks. That sucks. Here's why.

1:05:06.360 --> 1:05:09.320
<v Speaker 1>How about doing things the other way around? How about

1:05:09.360 --> 1:05:13.400
<v Speaker 1>finding things you can root for? And then the results

1:05:13.440 --> 1:05:16.240
<v Speaker 1>have been kind of like the coolest things we've ever seen,

1:05:16.360 --> 1:05:19.840
<v Speaker 1>like the guy going viral in India, like we have.

1:05:20.200 --> 1:05:24.120
<v Speaker 1>We funded a guy trying to advance open source quantum computing.

1:05:24.520 --> 1:05:28.720
<v Speaker 1>He now is a big deal in quantum computing. It's

1:05:28.760 --> 1:05:30.800
<v Speaker 1>a great thing to do in general.

1:05:30.960 --> 1:05:34.160
<v Speaker 2>Tell us about some of the first few you tried.

1:05:34.520 --> 1:05:37.320
<v Speaker 2>Who were the people that were the first couple of

1:05:37.400 --> 1:05:38.240
<v Speaker 2>recipients of.

1:05:38.520 --> 1:05:42.680
<v Speaker 1>The guy I just mentioned with the quantum computing. He

1:05:42.720 --> 1:05:44.760
<v Speaker 1>had me at hello because I love that stuff.

1:05:44.840 --> 1:05:48.920
<v Speaker 2>What about people who are looking at markets in the economy,

1:05:48.960 --> 1:05:51.440
<v Speaker 2>I know that that's a pieve of yours. Oh.

1:05:51.520 --> 1:05:56.280
<v Speaker 1>Absolutely, the thing there is we wanted it to be

1:05:56.400 --> 1:06:02.200
<v Speaker 1>significantly different than our traditional quant One of the reasons

1:06:02.280 --> 1:06:05.640
<v Speaker 1>I became so interested in machine learning and AI was

1:06:05.760 --> 1:06:09.200
<v Speaker 1>I viewed that as the next frontier for quant The

1:06:09.200 --> 1:06:13.240
<v Speaker 1>dirty little secret of week quants is if you really

1:06:13.280 --> 1:06:17.440
<v Speaker 1>press us and ask us to really explain your model

1:06:17.480 --> 1:06:20.160
<v Speaker 1>like you would to a five year old we're using

1:06:20.280 --> 1:06:24.680
<v Speaker 1>pretty much the same stuff, right, So what we wanted

1:06:24.720 --> 1:06:28.440
<v Speaker 1>to do there was push the needle as far as

1:06:28.440 --> 1:06:32.160
<v Speaker 1>we possibly could. But then one of the first people

1:06:32.280 --> 1:06:35.440
<v Speaker 1>to get one of the fellowships was a married couple,

1:06:35.680 --> 1:06:39.200
<v Speaker 1>Matt and Martha Sharp, and what they wanted to do

1:06:39.360 --> 1:06:44.480
<v Speaker 1>was make a documentary about non traditional schools for their kids.

1:06:44.520 --> 1:06:47.479
<v Speaker 1>They have a bunch of young kids below the age

1:06:47.480 --> 1:06:52.200
<v Speaker 1>of seven, and they put out a great documentary about

1:06:52.520 --> 1:06:56.520
<v Speaker 1>a particular school, which was really novel. And so we

1:06:56.640 --> 1:06:59.680
<v Speaker 1>really are all over the map in the type of

1:06:59.760 --> 1:07:04.440
<v Speaker 1>per groups that were willing to consider. Yet another was

1:07:04.720 --> 1:07:09.480
<v Speaker 1>a refugee in Ireland who found that she couldn't figure

1:07:09.520 --> 1:07:13.560
<v Speaker 1>out a way in her native language to work her

1:07:13.640 --> 1:07:18.480
<v Speaker 1>way through the halls of the bureaucracy, to figure out

1:07:18.520 --> 1:07:20.200
<v Speaker 1>how do I get a place to live? How do

1:07:20.280 --> 1:07:23.280
<v Speaker 1>I do all of these things? So we funded her

1:07:23.400 --> 1:07:26.280
<v Speaker 1>to make an app. And then finally another one that

1:07:26.360 --> 1:07:29.919
<v Speaker 1>I just love is we have a doctor who came

1:07:30.000 --> 1:07:32.480
<v Speaker 1>to us and said what he wanted to do was

1:07:32.640 --> 1:07:36.000
<v Speaker 1>make an app for an iPhone or an Android where

1:07:36.040 --> 1:07:40.200
<v Speaker 1>you could completely non invasively, I could point the phone

1:07:40.240 --> 1:07:44.040
<v Speaker 1>at you, get your vitals on the phone, just by

1:07:44.320 --> 1:07:48.200
<v Speaker 1>the camera on the phone. Really yeah, And what was

1:07:48.240 --> 1:07:52.080
<v Speaker 1>cool for us was we really pushed him. We're like, why, why,

1:07:52.200 --> 1:07:56.600
<v Speaker 1>why why? And finally at the end of our interview

1:07:56.640 --> 1:08:00.120
<v Speaker 1>with him, he was near tears and he went the

1:08:00.200 --> 1:08:03.080
<v Speaker 1>real reason for this is my dad died of a

1:08:03.120 --> 1:08:06.400
<v Speaker 1>stroke and I was in medical school and I didn't

1:08:06.440 --> 1:08:10.160
<v Speaker 1>save him. I didn't even know that he had a problem.

1:08:10.640 --> 1:08:14.160
<v Speaker 1>And so this is why I'm so passionate about this.

1:08:14.640 --> 1:08:18.519
<v Speaker 1>To get a life saving thing in the hands of

1:08:18.800 --> 1:08:22.960
<v Speaker 1>an on something that we all carry with us, these smartphones,

1:08:23.320 --> 1:08:26.360
<v Speaker 1>is what motivated him. And on top of that, looks

1:08:26.400 --> 1:08:28.440
<v Speaker 1>like it could also be a great business.

1:08:28.720 --> 1:08:33.120
<v Speaker 2>Well that's really interesting. Let's stay with AI and talk

1:08:33.400 --> 1:08:38.320
<v Speaker 2>about medicine in particular. I'm fascinated by the concept of

1:08:38.680 --> 1:08:45.480
<v Speaker 2>AI running through billions or even trillions of molecular combinations

1:08:45.960 --> 1:08:50.599
<v Speaker 2>to identify promising drugs, some of which are already out there,

1:08:50.640 --> 1:08:53.599
<v Speaker 2>some of which haven't been created. But it really gives

1:08:53.720 --> 1:08:57.960
<v Speaker 2>us the ability to take millennial worth of experimentation and

1:08:58.080 --> 1:09:00.400
<v Speaker 2>do it in a really very short period of time.

1:09:00.600 --> 1:09:05.360
<v Speaker 1>It's a world changer. The ability to, as you mentioned,

1:09:05.520 --> 1:09:09.280
<v Speaker 1>take different molecules where there isn't a drug addressing a

1:09:09.320 --> 1:09:14.200
<v Speaker 1>certain problem and or taking existing research from drugs and

1:09:14.479 --> 1:09:19.680
<v Speaker 1>repurposing it. AI can go into all of those spaces

1:09:19.720 --> 1:09:23.800
<v Speaker 1>that we humans simply can't do and find the connections

1:09:23.840 --> 1:09:26.960
<v Speaker 1>on an existing drug. You know what, this drug was

1:09:27.000 --> 1:09:32.000
<v Speaker 1>originally done for malaria, Well it doesn't work for malaria,

1:09:32.200 --> 1:09:35.799
<v Speaker 1>but it works really well for this disease over here,

1:09:36.200 --> 1:09:40.640
<v Speaker 1>and then new drugs that the discovery is going to

1:09:40.680 --> 1:09:43.160
<v Speaker 1>be amazing. And you've got to remember a lot of

1:09:43.200 --> 1:09:45.800
<v Speaker 1>this stuff can be done what they call in silico.

1:09:46.280 --> 1:09:50.080
<v Speaker 1>You don't have to test it on humans or animals.

1:09:50.360 --> 1:09:54.200
<v Speaker 1>You can test it on the clone of we humans

1:09:54.600 --> 1:09:59.400
<v Speaker 1>that you set up in the computer. And so these

1:09:59.439 --> 1:10:02.360
<v Speaker 1>types of thing things like I honestly don't think it's

1:10:02.400 --> 1:10:07.320
<v Speaker 1>an overstatement to say, like this, this AI and it's

1:10:07.640 --> 1:10:11.720
<v Speaker 1>many use cases belong up there with the wheel and

1:10:11.880 --> 1:10:16.839
<v Speaker 1>fire and the printing press, because it is a multi

1:10:17.360 --> 1:10:22.120
<v Speaker 1>use technology that's going to affect everything from drug discovery

1:10:22.640 --> 1:10:27.759
<v Speaker 1>to financial analysis. What about we had trained an AI

1:10:28.560 --> 1:10:32.439
<v Speaker 1>to generate nothing but null sets? Right, Like, if you're

1:10:32.439 --> 1:10:36.240
<v Speaker 1>a medical researcher and you're trying to get funding, what

1:10:36.240 --> 1:10:39.120
<v Speaker 1>do you want to do? You want to prove something new? Right,

1:10:39.200 --> 1:10:41.040
<v Speaker 1>you don't. You're not going to get funded to prove

1:10:41.479 --> 1:10:44.559
<v Speaker 1>you know that aspirin works, but you want to find

1:10:44.600 --> 1:10:47.160
<v Speaker 1>something new and you also want it to be a

1:10:47.280 --> 1:10:53.640
<v Speaker 1>positive finding. So what happens is the incentives preclude a

1:10:53.640 --> 1:10:57.679
<v Speaker 1>lot of brilliant scientists from looking for things that don't work.

1:10:58.080 --> 1:11:02.080
<v Speaker 1>And yet, like the dog that didn't bark in Sherlock Holmes,

1:11:02.560 --> 1:11:09.400
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of really cool information, useful information via negativia.

1:11:09.960 --> 1:11:12.240
<v Speaker 1>And so one of the things that we want to

1:11:12.280 --> 1:11:17.840
<v Speaker 1>do is just have a large language model, churnout hypothesis

1:11:17.880 --> 1:11:21.679
<v Speaker 1>after hypothesis that is going to generate a null set,

1:11:21.920 --> 1:11:24.920
<v Speaker 1>publish them to a database that all scientists can have

1:11:24.960 --> 1:11:28.960
<v Speaker 1>access to. Because there's a wealth of information in the

1:11:29.040 --> 1:11:31.800
<v Speaker 1>stuff that doesn't work. Here are things you don't want

1:11:31.800 --> 1:11:34.960
<v Speaker 1>to waste your time exactly. Let's talk a bit about

1:11:35.120 --> 1:11:38.479
<v Speaker 1>stability AI. You're on the board of directors, you're the

1:11:38.520 --> 1:11:42.400
<v Speaker 1>executive chair, and you started back in September twenty twenty two.

1:11:42.479 --> 1:11:45.599
<v Speaker 1>Pretty good timing. Tell us a little bit about what

1:11:45.640 --> 1:11:49.240
<v Speaker 1>stability AI does and how does this relate to the

1:11:49.280 --> 1:11:55.360
<v Speaker 1>rest of O'Shaughnessy ventures. So stability AI builds foundational open

1:11:55.439 --> 1:12:00.799
<v Speaker 1>source models. I had a very pointed point of view

1:12:01.479 --> 1:12:05.920
<v Speaker 1>that with a technology this powerful, I did not want

1:12:06.000 --> 1:12:11.439
<v Speaker 1>it controlled by a panopticon controlled by a few, and

1:12:11.760 --> 1:12:15.200
<v Speaker 1>I saw that with that kind of power could come

1:12:15.320 --> 1:12:22.519
<v Speaker 1>some pretty negative externalities. And so Stability AI was the

1:12:22.840 --> 1:12:26.360
<v Speaker 1>one that really caught my eye because they really were

1:12:26.360 --> 1:12:29.120
<v Speaker 1>the ones who shot the gun. Back in the summer

1:12:29.240 --> 1:12:35.000
<v Speaker 1>of August of twenty two, they released a stable diffusion

1:12:35.040 --> 1:12:39.320
<v Speaker 1>model which generates images, right, but they did something that

1:12:39.360 --> 1:12:42.400
<v Speaker 1>no one had done before. They released that model with

1:12:42.560 --> 1:12:46.639
<v Speaker 1>all of its weights. Now, not to get too geeky here,

1:12:47.120 --> 1:12:50.240
<v Speaker 1>but the only way people can build on that type

1:12:50.240 --> 1:12:53.360
<v Speaker 1>of model is to know what the weights are. And

1:12:53.479 --> 1:12:57.839
<v Speaker 1>so what they did was show it all. They released

1:12:57.920 --> 1:13:02.560
<v Speaker 1>the whole thing, full open source, driven source, fully transparent,

1:13:02.920 --> 1:13:09.599
<v Speaker 1>and bury the Cambrian like explosion of creativity that happened

1:13:09.720 --> 1:13:16.360
<v Speaker 1>almost immediately really proved to me. Yeah, back to cognitive diversity, right,

1:13:16.760 --> 1:13:20.320
<v Speaker 1>when you allow all of these clever people the ability

1:13:20.479 --> 1:13:23.599
<v Speaker 1>to play with it, to tinker with it, you get

1:13:23.880 --> 1:13:27.519
<v Speaker 1>a much better model. For example, that's why Linux runs

1:13:27.600 --> 1:13:31.960
<v Speaker 1>the web. Linux is open source, right, and it does

1:13:32.040 --> 1:13:35.560
<v Speaker 1>so because a bunch of different people work on different problems.

1:13:36.080 --> 1:13:39.360
<v Speaker 1>And so my point of view was I'm all for

1:13:39.439 --> 1:13:42.200
<v Speaker 1>the open I use open AI. I use all of

1:13:42.240 --> 1:13:44.320
<v Speaker 1>the commercial Uh.

1:13:44.360 --> 1:13:48.519
<v Speaker 2>What are some of the commercial apps? So perplexity, I

1:13:48.560 --> 1:13:49.320
<v Speaker 2>love perplexity.

1:13:49.320 --> 1:13:54.679
<v Speaker 1>It's on my phone's open AI. I'm looking at Claude,

1:13:54.760 --> 1:13:56.760
<v Speaker 1>the new Claude that you know.

1:13:56.960 --> 1:14:01.120
<v Speaker 2>Perplexity can be driven by either Claude or there's like

1:14:01.240 --> 1:14:02.280
<v Speaker 2>four different engines.

1:14:02.320 --> 1:14:04.760
<v Speaker 1>That which really interesting. One of the things I love

1:14:04.800 --> 1:14:05.960
<v Speaker 1>about perplexity.

1:14:06.160 --> 1:14:09.439
<v Speaker 2>It's just so great and it's cheap and it's so useful.

1:14:09.640 --> 1:14:14.920
<v Speaker 2>Exactly every interview I do, I don't start with perplexity,

1:14:15.080 --> 1:14:18.080
<v Speaker 2>I finished with perplexity and what did I miss?

1:14:18.200 --> 1:14:19.040
<v Speaker 1>What did I get wrong?

1:14:19.360 --> 1:14:21.760
<v Speaker 2>Although you still have to be careful because every now

1:14:21.800 --> 1:14:25.599
<v Speaker 2>and then, like O'Shaughnessy is not the rarest of names,

1:14:26.200 --> 1:14:30.720
<v Speaker 2>you know. I had Bill Dudley, former New York Fed chair,

1:14:31.240 --> 1:14:34.240
<v Speaker 2>and I learned that he was a running back in

1:14:34.320 --> 1:14:37.439
<v Speaker 2>the NFL in the forties, which is kind of interesting

1:14:37.479 --> 1:14:41.080
<v Speaker 2>because he wasn't born till the fifties. But every now

1:14:41.160 --> 1:14:44.800
<v Speaker 2>and then something will pop up that is a little off.

1:14:45.000 --> 1:14:48.000
<v Speaker 2>I love the phrase hallucination for that. What else do

1:14:48.040 --> 1:14:50.280
<v Speaker 2>you use besides perplexity and chatching.

1:14:50.000 --> 1:14:57.000
<v Speaker 1>The stability AIS for his models. Are they available? Are

1:14:57.080 --> 1:14:59.559
<v Speaker 1>they accessible to the lay person? Like, that's the beauty

1:14:59.600 --> 1:15:04.439
<v Speaker 1>of they are, but through different APIs. We really wanted

1:15:04.479 --> 1:15:09.040
<v Speaker 1>to focus on being the builder, right, so we did

1:15:09.080 --> 1:15:12.120
<v Speaker 1>not want to try to compete in the direct to

1:15:12.160 --> 1:15:17.800
<v Speaker 1>consumer space. And so what we're focusing on is multimodals,

1:15:17.960 --> 1:15:24.880
<v Speaker 1>including generative models, including specific models for medical research, obviously,

1:15:25.439 --> 1:15:30.760
<v Speaker 1>generative art models, movie models, et cetera. The thing I

1:15:30.880 --> 1:15:34.000
<v Speaker 1>wanted to mention when you were talking about perplexity in

1:15:34.040 --> 1:15:39.360
<v Speaker 1>it coming up with I also passionately believe that the

1:15:39.560 --> 1:15:42.639
<v Speaker 1>models that are going to win, or not the models,

1:15:42.760 --> 1:15:48.240
<v Speaker 1>the approach that's going to win is human plus machine,

1:15:48.800 --> 1:15:52.519
<v Speaker 1>so called Senator model. I think that you're going to see,

1:15:52.600 --> 1:15:55.559
<v Speaker 1>you know, we're going to see a deluge of AI

1:15:56.000 --> 1:16:00.479
<v Speaker 1>only generated stuff, content, movies, et cetera. And to be honest,

1:16:00.720 --> 1:16:05.120
<v Speaker 1>most of it's gonna suck. Right. The magic comes when

1:16:05.240 --> 1:16:08.759
<v Speaker 1>you add a human in the loop. The magic comes

1:16:09.280 --> 1:16:13.200
<v Speaker 1>by being able to partner with that and co create

1:16:13.479 --> 1:16:17.200
<v Speaker 1>and sometimes iterate on your own stuff. Like you said,

1:16:17.760 --> 1:16:21.559
<v Speaker 1>the ideas that you can generate through putting your own

1:16:21.680 --> 1:16:26.320
<v Speaker 1>stuff into the various models is really cool. We invest

1:16:26.520 --> 1:16:31.040
<v Speaker 1>in a startup called wand and what they do is

1:16:31.120 --> 1:16:34.400
<v Speaker 1>it's for graphic artists and it's an AI, but it

1:16:34.439 --> 1:16:38.320
<v Speaker 1>has an actual tool, thus the name wand And. What

1:16:38.360 --> 1:16:41.080
<v Speaker 1>the artist is able to do is feed their own

1:16:41.280 --> 1:16:45.439
<v Speaker 1>work into the model and then ask it hey, spin

1:16:45.520 --> 1:16:48.479
<v Speaker 1>out variations on it, and then the artists will look

1:16:48.479 --> 1:16:50.559
<v Speaker 1>at it and say, wow, I never thought about it

1:16:50.600 --> 1:16:53.200
<v Speaker 1>that way. That's really cool. And then he or she

1:16:53.680 --> 1:16:56.680
<v Speaker 1>will iterate, iterate, send it back and this is an

1:16:56.840 --> 1:17:01.479
<v Speaker 1>iterative process. But what's really cool is they end up

1:17:01.520 --> 1:17:04.559
<v Speaker 1>in places. We had one artists say to me, I

1:17:04.640 --> 1:17:08.360
<v Speaker 1>would never have thought to do it this way, but

1:17:08.400 --> 1:17:12.240
<v Speaker 1>I absolutely love it. It's his work. He's iterating on his

1:17:12.320 --> 1:17:16.680
<v Speaker 1>own work, but he's using a tool, the WAND, that

1:17:16.840 --> 1:17:21.719
<v Speaker 1>makes it infinitely easier for him to get these great ideas. Huh.

1:17:21.840 --> 1:17:26.759
<v Speaker 2>Really interesting. Last question before we jump to our favorites,

1:17:26.800 --> 1:17:29.720
<v Speaker 2>we ask all our guests, which is I want to

1:17:29.760 --> 1:17:34.880
<v Speaker 2>bring this back to stocks. I know thanks to perplexity

1:17:34.920 --> 1:17:38.040
<v Speaker 2>as an example, but there are lots of other tools.

1:17:38.479 --> 1:17:41.920
<v Speaker 2>I find myself going to Google a whole lot less

1:17:41.960 --> 1:17:46.040
<v Speaker 2>than I used to, and in fact, the Google search

1:17:46.120 --> 1:17:51.559
<v Speaker 2>results like, suddenly you realize these are crude. They're much

1:17:51.640 --> 1:17:55.559
<v Speaker 2>less useful than they used to be. They're festooned with

1:17:55.600 --> 1:17:59.880
<v Speaker 2>a lot of advertising and a lot of Google in

1:18:00.000 --> 1:18:03.160
<v Speaker 2>internal products dominate that first page.

1:18:04.800 --> 1:18:07.439
<v Speaker 1>What else is AI? What other companies?

1:18:07.439 --> 1:18:12.480
<v Speaker 2>What other sectors might AI affect, either positively or negatively?

1:18:12.880 --> 1:18:15.880
<v Speaker 1>Well, honestly, how much time do you have it? I

1:18:15.920 --> 1:18:20.280
<v Speaker 1>think that AI is going to transform virtually every industry.

1:18:20.840 --> 1:18:24.280
<v Speaker 1>And one of the things that people they get afraid

1:18:24.280 --> 1:18:27.799
<v Speaker 1>when they hear that, and my view is quite different.

1:18:28.000 --> 1:18:31.640
<v Speaker 1>It's going to transform for a lot of industries, the

1:18:31.760 --> 1:18:36.360
<v Speaker 1>pure drudge work, the pure copy and paste stuff. What

1:18:36.479 --> 1:18:39.120
<v Speaker 1>do you want? Do you like copying and pasting? I

1:18:39.160 --> 1:18:42.720
<v Speaker 1>hate it? And so it also is going to be

1:18:42.840 --> 1:18:46.280
<v Speaker 1>able to create jobs that we can't even conceive of

1:18:46.680 --> 1:18:49.960
<v Speaker 1>right now. Right like two years ago, would you have

1:18:50.080 --> 1:18:54.559
<v Speaker 1>known what a prompt engineer was? No, I certainly wouldn't have, right,

1:18:54.760 --> 1:18:57.439
<v Speaker 1>and yet there's a lot of people doing really well

1:18:58.000 --> 1:19:01.920
<v Speaker 1>pursuing that is a career. And so I think that

1:19:02.320 --> 1:19:08.240
<v Speaker 1>entertainment is going to be materially affected media, materially affected search,

1:19:08.880 --> 1:19:11.800
<v Speaker 1>as you well point out, like you can do a

1:19:11.880 --> 1:19:15.799
<v Speaker 1>customized search just for Barry and it, you know, depending

1:19:15.840 --> 1:19:18.240
<v Speaker 1>on how much information you want to give that AI

1:19:18.360 --> 1:19:20.880
<v Speaker 1>about yourself. You're going to be at a place where

1:19:20.880 --> 1:19:22.960
<v Speaker 1>you're going to be able to say, hey, what was

1:19:22.960 --> 1:19:25.400
<v Speaker 1>that place that I had lunch with Jim last time?

1:19:25.400 --> 1:19:27.479
<v Speaker 1>We both really really liked it. I'd like to go

1:19:27.560 --> 1:19:29.960
<v Speaker 1>there again and guess what, it's going to give you

1:19:30.000 --> 1:19:34.599
<v Speaker 1>the name and address of that restaurant. Because it has

1:19:34.680 --> 1:19:38.160
<v Speaker 1>access to your calendar, It has access to all of

1:19:38.160 --> 1:19:39.160
<v Speaker 1>that type of stuff.

1:19:39.240 --> 1:19:43.800
<v Speaker 2>It feels like I'll never forget. I tweeted out this

1:19:43.920 --> 1:19:48.720
<v Speaker 2>really interesting Roman Pizza place, and Roman Pizza is a

1:19:48.840 --> 1:19:52.680
<v Speaker 2>different type of and I just you know, I used

1:19:52.720 --> 1:19:55.960
<v Speaker 2>Sarah to speak into the iPhone. Hey we had a fend.

1:19:56.040 --> 1:19:59.760
<v Speaker 2>This is really different than your usual pizza. And some

1:20:00.120 --> 1:20:05.280
<v Speaker 2>how it showed up on Twitter as woman Pizza and like, wait,

1:20:05.400 --> 1:20:09.400
<v Speaker 2>I'm standing right in front of the place. Any correlation

1:20:09.600 --> 1:20:13.519
<v Speaker 2>between my geotag and business I'm in front of it

1:20:13.680 --> 1:20:17.360
<v Speaker 2>just felt like technology should have figured that out. Yeah,

1:20:17.400 --> 1:20:22.480
<v Speaker 2>what you're saying is that sort of access to your contacts,

1:20:22.600 --> 1:20:26.400
<v Speaker 2>access to your where you are, access to your calendar,

1:20:27.000 --> 1:20:30.360
<v Speaker 2>once there's an intelligent agent running all of that. A

1:20:30.400 --> 1:20:33.880
<v Speaker 2>lot of these sort of silly why can't Siri talk

1:20:33.960 --> 1:20:37.800
<v Speaker 2>with this person, Why can't Alexa? It just seems like

1:20:38.680 --> 1:20:42.679
<v Speaker 2>the pre AI era was filled with a lot.

1:20:42.520 --> 1:20:46.960
<v Speaker 1>Of pretty dombai. It's starting to get smarter. Yeah, And

1:20:47.400 --> 1:20:50.240
<v Speaker 1>that's the thing going back to your Right Brothers example.

1:20:50.760 --> 1:20:54.920
<v Speaker 1>You know when the Right Brothers did that very brief flight,

1:20:55.000 --> 1:20:57.880
<v Speaker 1>it was only a matter of eight yeah, I think

1:20:57.880 --> 1:21:00.320
<v Speaker 1>it was twelve seconds, and I think they went like

1:21:00.320 --> 1:21:04.040
<v Speaker 1>one hundred and odd feet. Like you could see why

1:21:04.320 --> 1:21:07.200
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people would going, Eh, they didn't accomplish much,

1:21:07.760 --> 1:21:10.880
<v Speaker 1>but I like the person who was watching and said,

1:21:11.040 --> 1:21:16.479
<v Speaker 1>this changes everything, And so that's kind of how I

1:21:16.560 --> 1:21:20.040
<v Speaker 1>see AI. Of course, we're in the early innings of this,

1:21:20.120 --> 1:21:22.679
<v Speaker 1>and of course it's going to this is the worst

1:21:22.760 --> 1:21:26.280
<v Speaker 1>you're ever going to see it. It's going to improve, improve, improve.

1:21:26.640 --> 1:21:29.120
<v Speaker 1>But the other thing I want to really underline here

1:21:29.680 --> 1:21:32.639
<v Speaker 1>is it's the quality of the data that you train

1:21:32.720 --> 1:21:36.880
<v Speaker 1>your AI on that determines its value to you. And

1:21:37.200 --> 1:21:39.640
<v Speaker 1>one of the big reasons I'm a huge believer in

1:21:39.760 --> 1:21:43.960
<v Speaker 1>private AIS is that you will feel if you know

1:21:44.040 --> 1:21:46.679
<v Speaker 1>that no one else can have access to that right,

1:21:47.080 --> 1:21:49.880
<v Speaker 1>you're going to give it a lot more access to

1:21:50.040 --> 1:21:54.479
<v Speaker 1>things than you might otherwise. That's happening right now. Wow.

1:21:54.680 --> 1:21:57.920
<v Speaker 1>And so one of the things, you know, a lot

1:21:57.960 --> 1:22:01.080
<v Speaker 1>of people see this as, you know, like the great

1:22:01.240 --> 1:22:04.599
<v Speaker 1>model that will figure everything out. I don't see it

1:22:04.640 --> 1:22:07.240
<v Speaker 1>that way at all. I see it as a lot

1:22:07.280 --> 1:22:13.960
<v Speaker 1>of smaller but incredibly useful AI agents doing specific things

1:22:14.000 --> 1:22:17.960
<v Speaker 1>for each of us. Again, Canvas fits in beautifully. Here.

1:22:18.040 --> 1:22:22.800
<v Speaker 1>We are now in an era of mass customization. We

1:22:22.840 --> 1:22:25.599
<v Speaker 1>are in an era where it's going to be able

1:22:25.720 --> 1:22:29.560
<v Speaker 1>to design it just for you and your likes and dislikes.

1:22:30.280 --> 1:22:33.519
<v Speaker 1>That's really profound when you think about.

1:22:33.320 --> 1:22:36.920
<v Speaker 2>It, really fascinating. So let's jump to our speed round,

1:22:37.080 --> 1:22:40.599
<v Speaker 2>our favorite questions. We ask all of our guests, starting

1:22:40.720 --> 1:22:43.519
<v Speaker 2>with what has been keeping you entertained these days? What

1:22:43.560 --> 1:22:45.559
<v Speaker 2>are you either watching or listening to?

1:22:46.240 --> 1:22:51.479
<v Speaker 1>So we rewatched True Detective, my wife and I I

1:22:51.520 --> 1:22:56.240
<v Speaker 1>would highly recommend rewatching the first season of that. It

1:22:56.320 --> 1:23:00.439
<v Speaker 1>was brilliant. It led us into a reward of the

1:23:00.600 --> 1:23:04.920
<v Speaker 1>entire series. And now we're on number three, the second one.

1:23:05.200 --> 1:23:07.559
<v Speaker 1>Here's one of the funny things, like in memory, I

1:23:07.640 --> 1:23:09.639
<v Speaker 1>kind of my wife and I were both kind of like, yeah,

1:23:09.680 --> 1:23:13.360
<v Speaker 1>that second one wasn't very good. It was good, and

1:23:13.840 --> 1:23:19.599
<v Speaker 1>so we're doing that Masters of the air that's on. Yeah, great,

1:23:19.880 --> 1:23:23.879
<v Speaker 1>really loving that. I loved Band of Brothers, so we're

1:23:23.920 --> 1:23:28.839
<v Speaker 1>both really really liking that. And then we are also

1:23:29.400 --> 1:23:34.560
<v Speaker 1>watching a series, or I guess I should say rewatching

1:23:34.880 --> 1:23:39.519
<v Speaker 1>a series which kind of kicked off the idea of

1:23:39.840 --> 1:23:41.840
<v Speaker 1>the Golden Age of television. It was one of the

1:23:41.880 --> 1:23:44.679
<v Speaker 1>earlier ones. I'm not the Sopranos, but The Wire.

1:23:45.000 --> 1:23:49.840
<v Speaker 2>Now, I recall The Wire being very brutal and difficult.

1:23:49.439 --> 1:23:53.720
<v Speaker 1>It watch it is, But what's so cool if you

1:23:53.840 --> 1:23:58.160
<v Speaker 1>choose to watch it again, you see that the reason

1:23:58.240 --> 1:24:01.599
<v Speaker 1>it kicked off that kind of tea was because it

1:24:01.720 --> 1:24:05.679
<v Speaker 1>was brutally honest about things. It wasn't trying to lie

1:24:05.720 --> 1:24:11.200
<v Speaker 1>to you about anything, and the characters are incredibly complex,

1:24:11.280 --> 1:24:17.479
<v Speaker 1>even though even the evil guys are incredibly complex, And

1:24:17.600 --> 1:24:21.720
<v Speaker 1>so watching it now from the vantage point of like

1:24:22.439 --> 1:24:27.160
<v Speaker 1>twenty years or more, it's really amazing.

1:24:27.080 --> 1:24:31.000
<v Speaker 2>Really interesting. Tell us about your mentors who helped to

1:24:31.160 --> 1:24:32.200
<v Speaker 2>shape your career.

1:24:32.640 --> 1:24:37.760
<v Speaker 1>Primarily, I would list my grandfather. I was lucky enough,

1:24:37.920 --> 1:24:42.599
<v Speaker 1>he was very successful in the oil industry, and I

1:24:42.640 --> 1:24:45.719
<v Speaker 1>am the youngest of the third generation at least the males.

1:24:46.160 --> 1:24:49.439
<v Speaker 1>I have one younger female cousin and she's just a

1:24:49.439 --> 1:24:52.639
<v Speaker 1>few months behind me. But I lived in the same

1:24:52.720 --> 1:24:56.640
<v Speaker 1>town my grandfather did, and after my grandmother died, he

1:24:56.680 --> 1:24:59.080
<v Speaker 1>would come to our house twice a week for dinner

1:25:00.000 --> 1:25:04.080
<v Speaker 1>and literally I would literally sit at his knee. And

1:25:04.240 --> 1:25:10.200
<v Speaker 1>he was a wonderful storyteller. He was a wonderful teacher,

1:25:10.640 --> 1:25:14.640
<v Speaker 1>and he taught me this idea of premeditating that I

1:25:14.920 --> 1:25:17.880
<v Speaker 1>have written a lot about and use all the time.

1:25:18.560 --> 1:25:21.960
<v Speaker 1>Another was a wonderful man, not related to me at all,

1:25:22.040 --> 1:25:25.280
<v Speaker 1>by the name of Jim Myers. Any entrepreneur, you hit

1:25:25.320 --> 1:25:28.040
<v Speaker 1>some rough spots, sure, and I had hit a really

1:25:28.120 --> 1:25:32.880
<v Speaker 1>rough spot and was basically broke and trying to pay

1:25:32.960 --> 1:25:37.720
<v Speaker 1>for a house because we'd moved to Greenwich and keep

1:25:37.720 --> 1:25:40.960
<v Speaker 1>my business afloat and all of that, and the banks

1:25:41.000 --> 1:25:44.200
<v Speaker 1>are like, dude, like, you're an entrepreneur. This is back

1:25:44.240 --> 1:25:46.599
<v Speaker 1>in the nineties. Yeah, sorry, we're not going to give

1:25:46.640 --> 1:25:50.280
<v Speaker 1>you a mortgage. He stepped in and he's like, Jim,

1:25:50.600 --> 1:25:55.080
<v Speaker 1>I believe you're going to be tremendously successful and gave

1:25:55.120 --> 1:25:59.320
<v Speaker 1>me one on handshake, which I was able to repay rapidly.

1:25:59.479 --> 1:26:03.920
<v Speaker 1>But more than that, just being a super high quality man,

1:26:04.680 --> 1:26:10.240
<v Speaker 1>he taught me more about real business than any textbook

1:26:10.880 --> 1:26:14.280
<v Speaker 1>because I was young, right, and I started with him

1:26:14.760 --> 1:26:19.720
<v Speaker 1>when I was in my early twenties and just an

1:26:19.760 --> 1:26:24.040
<v Speaker 1>amazing man. And then finally the other mentors that I

1:26:24.040 --> 1:26:27.559
<v Speaker 1>would say are like the greatest minds of history. I

1:26:27.600 --> 1:26:32.200
<v Speaker 1>love to read. I particularly like to read biographies about

1:26:32.280 --> 1:26:35.720
<v Speaker 1>people I admire. And you know what, Barry life was

1:26:35.760 --> 1:26:39.000
<v Speaker 1>not easy. We remember them now, right, like, oh, they

1:26:39.000 --> 1:26:42.800
<v Speaker 1>were this huge success. When you read their biographies, you

1:26:42.880 --> 1:26:46.439
<v Speaker 1>see they went through a lot of muck to get

1:26:46.439 --> 1:26:49.559
<v Speaker 1>where they got and so kind of universal lessons.

1:26:49.880 --> 1:26:53.320
<v Speaker 2>So perfect segue. Let's talk about some of your favorite

1:26:53.320 --> 1:26:55.280
<v Speaker 2>books and what are you reading right now?

1:26:56.240 --> 1:27:00.759
<v Speaker 1>So right now I am reading about four different books

1:27:01.880 --> 1:27:03.520
<v Speaker 1>and I which.

1:27:03.240 --> 1:27:06.599
<v Speaker 2>By the way, is an occupational hazard for folks like us,

1:27:06.800 --> 1:27:09.920
<v Speaker 2>because there's always a book I'm prepping for a podcast,

1:27:09.960 --> 1:27:12.599
<v Speaker 2>there's a book I'm reading for work, and then there's

1:27:12.600 --> 1:27:14.600
<v Speaker 2>a book I'm just like, I'm going to relax and

1:27:14.640 --> 1:27:14.960
<v Speaker 2>read this.

1:27:15.240 --> 1:27:19.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so for fun. Right now I'm reading Burned book

1:27:19.360 --> 1:27:24.920
<v Speaker 1>by Karra What's her last Swisher? Which I find very interesting.

1:27:25.520 --> 1:27:29.680
<v Speaker 1>She's always fascinating, yeah, kind of an inside look. My

1:27:29.760 --> 1:27:33.120
<v Speaker 1>only comment there was she might be a little guilty

1:27:33.200 --> 1:27:35.759
<v Speaker 1>of the things that she accuses the people she doesn't

1:27:35.880 --> 1:27:39.240
<v Speaker 1>like are. But other than that, it's a fun and

1:27:39.439 --> 1:27:44.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of a rollicking read. I am reading or rereading

1:27:44.920 --> 1:27:48.440
<v Speaker 1>several of the books from Will Durant's Story of Civilization,

1:27:49.360 --> 1:27:51.920
<v Speaker 1>which I read as a kid or a young man,

1:27:52.320 --> 1:27:57.120
<v Speaker 1>loved and thought, you know what, we moved recently, and

1:27:57.200 --> 1:27:59.040
<v Speaker 1>so I was going through all my books and I

1:27:59.120 --> 1:28:02.040
<v Speaker 1>found that I'm like, I should reread some of these

1:28:02.160 --> 1:28:05.000
<v Speaker 1>just to see if it still stands up. Barry, It's

1:28:05.080 --> 1:28:10.200
<v Speaker 1>still stuff, really really stands up. And then just finished

1:28:10.479 --> 1:28:16.519
<v Speaker 1>an additional biography about Teddy Roosevelt Teddy Rex And then

1:28:16.600 --> 1:28:22.240
<v Speaker 1>finally I'm reading a lot about AI and scientific development.

1:28:22.800 --> 1:28:26.120
<v Speaker 1>The book I'd recommend there is written by a pair

1:28:26.439 --> 1:28:30.480
<v Speaker 1>of authors, one an AI expert, the other a great storyteller,

1:28:30.840 --> 1:28:35.840
<v Speaker 1>and it's called AI twenty forty one, Ten Visions of

1:28:35.880 --> 1:28:38.559
<v Speaker 1>Our AI Future. Huh, highly recommend.

1:28:38.560 --> 1:28:41.040
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to check that out. We've been talking about

1:28:41.040 --> 1:28:43.439
<v Speaker 2>the Ripe Brothers. Did you ever read the David McCullough

1:28:43.439 --> 1:28:44.759
<v Speaker 2>biography of the Ripe Brothers?

1:28:44.800 --> 1:28:45.160
<v Speaker 1>I did.

1:28:45.400 --> 1:28:50.000
<v Speaker 2>Fascinating, right, really really really fascinating. And our final two questions,

1:28:50.400 --> 1:28:52.960
<v Speaker 2>what sort of advice would you give to a recent

1:28:53.040 --> 1:28:58.520
<v Speaker 2>college graduate interested in a career in either quantitative analysis,

1:28:59.040 --> 1:29:00.759
<v Speaker 2>finance as management.

1:29:00.920 --> 1:29:05.800
<v Speaker 1>What's your advice for them? My advice is to focus

1:29:05.960 --> 1:29:11.520
<v Speaker 1>on the parts of learning that might not be included

1:29:11.680 --> 1:29:15.599
<v Speaker 1>in a business or finance degree. My line is that

1:29:15.840 --> 1:29:20.840
<v Speaker 1>markets change second by second, but human nature barely budgees

1:29:21.120 --> 1:29:26.720
<v Speaker 1>millennia by millennia. Arbitraging. Human nature is the last sustainable

1:29:26.960 --> 1:29:31.320
<v Speaker 1>edge in investing. And so if you read about evolutionary

1:29:31.360 --> 1:29:36.840
<v Speaker 1>psychology and biology, regular psychology and biology and history, what

1:29:36.880 --> 1:29:40.200
<v Speaker 1>you're going to see is no, history doesn't repeat, but

1:29:40.360 --> 1:29:43.840
<v Speaker 1>it rhymes, and you can see in you know, all

1:29:43.880 --> 1:29:45.639
<v Speaker 1>you got to do is go read a book about

1:29:45.680 --> 1:29:48.640
<v Speaker 1>the south Sea Scandal where Isaac Newton, one of the

1:29:48.680 --> 1:29:52.160
<v Speaker 1>most brilliant guys of his era, lost a fortune, causing

1:29:52.240 --> 1:29:54.519
<v Speaker 1>him to lament that he could measure the motion of

1:29:54.560 --> 1:29:58.120
<v Speaker 1>heavenly bodies but not the madness of men. And guess

1:29:58.160 --> 1:30:01.360
<v Speaker 1>what we're not changing. So you can read it in

1:30:01.400 --> 1:30:06.719
<v Speaker 1>a market related way, or just understand human nature better,

1:30:07.360 --> 1:30:10.160
<v Speaker 1>you're going to be miles ahead of the people who

1:30:10.240 --> 1:30:14.480
<v Speaker 1>are just studying math or finance or economics.

1:30:15.280 --> 1:30:18.920
<v Speaker 2>Really interesting, and our final question, what do you know

1:30:18.960 --> 1:30:21.960
<v Speaker 2>about the world of investing today you wish you knew

1:30:22.200 --> 1:30:25.400
<v Speaker 2>forty or so years ago when you were first getting started.

1:30:26.080 --> 1:30:28.320
<v Speaker 1>I think maybe just the advice that I just gave,

1:30:28.680 --> 1:30:31.720
<v Speaker 1>I wish that I would have known forty years ago

1:30:32.200 --> 1:30:38.160
<v Speaker 1>that markets are market prices are determined by human beings,

1:30:39.040 --> 1:30:43.280
<v Speaker 1>and if you are ignorant of all of the ways

1:30:43.320 --> 1:30:47.719
<v Speaker 1>that we let things affect us, from whether we're hungry

1:30:47.800 --> 1:30:51.600
<v Speaker 1>or not, or whether we're angry, or whether we're calm,

1:30:51.800 --> 1:30:55.960
<v Speaker 1>I would have understood that it was not just numbers

1:30:55.960 --> 1:31:01.639
<v Speaker 1>on a page, that markets are full blooded, almost human

1:31:01.880 --> 1:31:06.599
<v Speaker 1>like things because they're driven and created by humans. If

1:31:06.760 --> 1:31:11.240
<v Speaker 1>I could have told Jim of age twenty three that

1:31:11.920 --> 1:31:17.160
<v Speaker 1>it would have hastened but also improved the pretty circuitous

1:31:17.200 --> 1:31:21.440
<v Speaker 1>path that I took to becoming a quat really interesting.

1:31:22.160 --> 1:31:24.880
<v Speaker 2>Thank you, Jim for being so generous with your time.

1:31:25.120 --> 1:31:29.560
<v Speaker 2>We have been speaking with Jim O'Shaughnessy, founder of OSAM

1:31:29.640 --> 1:31:34.840
<v Speaker 2>Asset Management and currently CEO and founder of O'Shaughnessy Ventures

1:31:34.880 --> 1:31:39.519
<v Speaker 2>and host of the Infinite Loops podcast. If you enjoy

1:31:39.600 --> 1:31:41.280
<v Speaker 2>this conversation, well.

1:31:41.200 --> 1:31:42.840
<v Speaker 1>Be sure and check out any of.

1:31:42.760 --> 1:31:46.840
<v Speaker 2>The five hundred previous discussions we've had over the past

1:31:46.880 --> 1:31:47.519
<v Speaker 2>ten years.

1:31:47.960 --> 1:31:49.519
<v Speaker 1>You can find those at.

1:31:49.520 --> 1:31:55.080
<v Speaker 2>iTunes, Spotify, YouTube, wherever you find your favorite podcast. Be

1:31:55.160 --> 1:31:58.360
<v Speaker 2>sure and sign up for my new podcast At the Money,

1:31:58.680 --> 1:32:01.960
<v Speaker 2>where we speak with an X and give you information

1:32:02.439 --> 1:32:06.599
<v Speaker 2>on a topic relative to your money in short eight

1:32:06.640 --> 1:32:10.360
<v Speaker 2>to twelve minute batches. You can find those in the

1:32:10.360 --> 1:32:14.559
<v Speaker 2>Masters in Business podcast feed, or wherever you get your

1:32:14.600 --> 1:32:17.920
<v Speaker 2>favorite podcasts. I would be remiss if I did not

1:32:18.040 --> 1:32:20.760
<v Speaker 2>thank the Cracked team that helps us put these conversations

1:32:20.800 --> 1:32:25.320
<v Speaker 2>together each week. My audio engineer is Sebastian Escobar, My

1:32:25.600 --> 1:32:29.080
<v Speaker 2>producer is Anna Luke. Sean Russo is my head of research.

1:32:29.400 --> 1:32:34.240
<v Speaker 2>Attika Valbrun is my project manager. Sage Bauman is the

1:32:34.280 --> 1:32:35.320
<v Speaker 2>head of podcasts.

1:32:36.040 --> 1:32:39.479
<v Speaker 1>I'm Barry Riddolts. You've been listening to Masters in Business

1:32:40.000 --> 1:32:42.160
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio.