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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Friday edition

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perultim

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Speaker 1: with you every single morning right here on Bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by bet MGM. You guys

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Speaker 1: can follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. You

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Speaker 1: can follow betting pros on Twitter at Betting Pros and fell.

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Speaker 1: All right, so now by now you guys should know

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Speaker 2: All right, So it was a two and one day

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Speaker 2: last night.

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Speaker 1: Unfortunately the one unit full loses with the teaser, but

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Speaker 1: both team totals came in.

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Speaker 2: For us, so we got that.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna continue with the little exotic today here, and

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Speaker 1: I'm waiting on a couple of things. I want to

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Speaker 1: see where the money move comes in for tonight's game

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Speaker 1: with Cincinnati and Temple. The number is thirty. The team

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Speaker 1: total for Cincinnati is forty one and a half. I

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Speaker 1: want to see if that number goes down at all,

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Speaker 1: or that number goes up. If we get a team

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Speaker 1: total under forty for Cincinnati, I'm probably gonna jump on that.

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Speaker 2: So that might be the ad that I jump in

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Speaker 2: on here today.

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Speaker 1: I need I mean, Temple's not good, Okay, they're really bad.

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Speaker 1: I just need to see it a little bit as

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Speaker 1: to what happens. Thirty is a lot of points. I'm

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Speaker 1: not laying thirty points. I also don't want to lay

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Speaker 1: fifty four for the total and go under that. I

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Speaker 1: am leaning that way, but I want to also see

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Speaker 1: the weather forecast. So if we get, you know, a

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Speaker 1: team total of like forty two for Cincinnati and it

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Speaker 1: starts to rain and it's nasty, I'll be all over

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Speaker 1: the team total under for Cincinnati. They'll just get the

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Speaker 1: win and get out of there, and they don't care

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Speaker 1: about covering maybe even catch, you know, take the thirty

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Speaker 1: points with Temple. I just don't trust Temple to do

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Speaker 1: anything tonight against Cincinnati, and I think this is a

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Speaker 1: big step for Luke Fickle's team to come back off

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Speaker 1: of the windover over Notre Dame and not stub their

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Speaker 1: toe on a Friday night. I just I'm not laying

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Speaker 1: thirty and I would much rather if the weather's gonna

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Speaker 1: be nasty. I would love to jump in on an

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Speaker 1: under forty one and a half team total for Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: because look, they could win thirty to three or thirty

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Speaker 1: to seven and look very impressive. But it goes under

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Speaker 1: fifty four, which also could be the play. So I

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Speaker 1: will add that I'm watching it. I don't know where

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Speaker 1: I'm going yet with that, but here's what we're doing.

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Speaker 1: I got two baseball plays for today. I have two Bay,

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Speaker 1: I have two football plays for Saturday, and we have

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Speaker 1: the parlay on Friday, like we always do. It is

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Speaker 1: a three legger. It is baseball, and well we'll get

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Speaker 1: to it here in just one second. But before we

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Speaker 1: get to the parlay, I'm gonna give you my two plays,

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Speaker 1: half n each for baseball. All right, let's start with

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Speaker 1: the White Sox. It's an early game, White Sox taking

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Speaker 1: on the Astros.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: We have Brambero Valdez against Lucas Giolito. All right, lucasgi

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Speaker 1: Alito in the second half of the year was really

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Speaker 1: good second half four and three two point six y

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Speaker 1: five ERA, came on really strong, pitched really well. In

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Speaker 1: the month of September. He was two and zero with

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Speaker 1: a two point two to one ERA. All right, he

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Speaker 1: was really really solid. I expect him to be solid

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Speaker 1: again here today in a must win game for the

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Speaker 1: White Sox. Okay, they lost yesterday. They're down one nothing.

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Speaker 1: You gotta split half to split. You can't go down

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Speaker 1: two games to none here. Really rough. Gildo's eleven and

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Speaker 1: nine with a three point five to three year in

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Speaker 1: the year. But like I mentioned, he was very good

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Speaker 1: down the stretch, very good in September. Right handed pitcher,

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Speaker 1: all right, and Ramber Valdez is the left y. All right,

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Speaker 1: here's a lefty eleven and six, three point one four ERA.

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Speaker 1: I understand entirely what people think about this dude. He's

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Speaker 1: really really good and has been great down the stretch

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Speaker 1: for this team. Now I am gonna kind of fall

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Speaker 1: back on the July eighteenth start that Framberg Valdez had

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Speaker 1: against the White Sox six and one third, seven hits,

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Speaker 1: four runs all of him earned, and two home runs

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Speaker 1: given up here against this lineup. We know what the

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Speaker 1: White Sox do to left handed pitching. They absolutely mash

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Speaker 1: left handed pitching.

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Speaker 2: We know this.

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Speaker 1: So here's what I'm gonna do here with this. It's

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Speaker 1: a must win. It's a lefty on the mound. The

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Speaker 1: lineup for the White Sox has got to get after it.

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Speaker 1: They've got to hit here, and they got a Really

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is super important for them to get

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Speaker 1: after it. And I mean frend Framber Valdez has pitched

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Speaker 1: in the postseason in twenty twenty. Last year, he started

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Speaker 1: what four games in the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: He has a one.

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Speaker 1: Point eight to eight ERA of the playoffs. Okay, dude

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Speaker 1: was solid. Not going to debate it here. He was

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Speaker 1: absolutely solid. But this the White Socks have seen this, dude,

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Speaker 1: and I think they've got to win it.

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Speaker 2: It's important. But I'm not gonna play the game here.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna play The first five, first five money line

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Speaker 1: at DraftKings right now is minus one oh five for

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Speaker 1: the White Sox against the Astros. First five money line.

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Speaker 1: Valdez up against Gilito. I think Lucas gee Little is

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Speaker 1: gonna pitch his butt off. This could be one nothing. Okay,

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Speaker 1: this might be just like a tight game.

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Speaker 2: First five.

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Speaker 1: We're going money line, first five for the White Sox

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Speaker 1: against the Astros today. First five money line at minus

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Speaker 1: one oh five for a half a unit. Right, what

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Speaker 1: are we doing the other half of unit? We're going

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Speaker 1: to the Giants. The Giants are at home and their

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Speaker 1: plus money.

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Speaker 2: Huh.

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Speaker 1: Plus one oh five for the Giants against the Dodgers.

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Speaker 1: They're plus money. You might get more plus money than

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Speaker 1: when I got tonight at plus one oh five. Logan

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Speaker 1: Web on the year, Okay, Logan Web, get this dude.

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Speaker 1: He in the second half seven and oh two point

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Speaker 1: seven to one ERA.

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Speaker 2: He started sixteen games. This dude gave.

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Speaker 1: Up just twenty nine earned runs in five home runs

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Speaker 1: in the second half of the year at home this year,

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Speaker 1: this dude, Logan Web was six and oh with a

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Speaker 1: one point nine to six ERA.

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Speaker 2: This guy gave up just four home runs at home.

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Speaker 1: All year, just sixteen earned runs all year, eighty six strikeouts.

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Speaker 1: This guy had a point nine to five five whip

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Speaker 1: at home this season. I don't care who's coming back

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Speaker 1: on the other side, Walker Bueller for the Dodgers, much

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Speaker 1: like what the Rays did to the Red Sox because

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Speaker 1: the Red Sox played that high emotional game.

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Speaker 2: You know, takes a lot out of you.

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Speaker 1: You gotta go travel to a team that's just sitting

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Speaker 1: at home, waiting and waiting. I know this is a

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Speaker 1: monster rivalry, but why are the Giants still being disrespected?

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Speaker 1: Why are the Giants still being not seen as the

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Speaker 1: better team between the Dodgers and the Giants? And Logan

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Speaker 1: Web with his eleven and three record and three point

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Speaker 1: zero three era, I'm back in the Giants. Giants money

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Speaker 1: line half a unit at plus one ZHO five. I mean,

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Speaker 1: maybe the Dodgers win Game two, but game one give

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Speaker 1: me the rest? Did team give me the team that

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Speaker 1: just didn't go to the bottom of the ninth inning

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Speaker 1: tied one one, needing a Chris Taylor walk off home

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Speaker 1: run to get into this series? This best of five.

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Speaker 1: Winning Game one is so vitally important. I love this

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Speaker 1: Giants team. We've had a lot of fun betting on

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Speaker 1: the Giants down the stretch. It's one of the one

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Speaker 1: teams I made some money on this year in baseball.

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Speaker 1: I'm going half a unit Giants money line half a

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Speaker 1: unit on a Friday. Okay, Giants money line, white Sox

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Speaker 1: first five money line plus one oh five on the

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Speaker 1: first one, minus one oh five on the second one

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Speaker 1: for a half a unit with both those bets, so

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Speaker 1: one full unit. All right, We're gonna add the Milwaukee

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Speaker 1: Brewers to this conversation, and we're going with a White Sox,

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Speaker 1: Giants and Brewers three leg money line parlay. It is

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Speaker 1: a plus six hundred bet. Okay, just win the game.

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Speaker 1: Nothing crazy. Don't got to go all exotic here, Just

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Speaker 1: win the game. We've got Burns against Morton. Got a

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Speaker 1: minus one fifty six Brewers or at home here. Look,

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Speaker 1: I know some people like the Braves. I think the

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Speaker 1: Braves are going to be live here. But I'm just

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Speaker 1: going with what I think is the better team. We're

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Speaker 1: going White Sucks money line, Brewers money line, and we

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Speaker 1: are going with Giants money line plus six hundred three

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Speaker 1: leg parlay for the don't better parlay parlay here.

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Speaker 2: Today that could hit.

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Speaker 1: All right, You're gonna have to shop around just a

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Speaker 1: little bit on this, I think to get here.

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Speaker 2: But I mean, look at FANDUL.

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Speaker 1: It's plus six hundre right now, so you'll get somewhere

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Speaker 1: in the range plus five eighty plus five ninety plus

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Speaker 1: six ten somewhere in that range. So you should get

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Speaker 1: six hundred six to one return on that for the

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Speaker 1: Giants money line, Brewers money line, White Sox money line

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Speaker 1: coming up here today, three leg money line parlay.

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Speaker 2: All right, so that is.

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Speaker 1: The don't better parlay parlay here for a Friday. Now,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about college football. Let's start with Oklahoma and Texas.

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Speaker 1: This number is three. I'm concerned and I'm gonna give

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Speaker 1: it to you now. I'm concerned about this game because

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Speaker 1: of the fact that it opened at three and a

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Speaker 1: half and the first move was to three.

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Speaker 2: So I wonder if we're going to see a lot.

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Speaker 1: Of money come in here on Texas and drive this

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Speaker 1: thing below the key number of three, and I don't

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Speaker 1: want to have to buy it back up. This is

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Speaker 1: a rivalry game, red river rivalry, right, red river shootout,

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Speaker 1: whatever you want to call it. Okay, this is Texas

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Speaker 1: that has a offense right now that is scoring thirty

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Speaker 1: eight points per game. And I mean it's wild to

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Speaker 1: take a look at these two teams and go okay,

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Speaker 1: So look at Texas. Texas in the first half is

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Speaker 1: scoring twenty four point six points per game, thirty six

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Speaker 1: point three over the last three games, twenty three points

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Speaker 1: in their last game. Oklahoma isn't horrible, but Oklahoma's not

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Speaker 1: doing typical things. Just sixteen points per game in the

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Speaker 1: first half for Oklahoma Texas.

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Speaker 2: I mean, this is crazy.

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Speaker 1: They're four and one straight up and they're four and

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Speaker 1: one against the spread. The only game that he didn't

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Speaker 1: cover was the game they lost when they were six

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Speaker 1: point favorites against Arkansas and they lost forty one, forty

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Speaker 1: to twenty one. It kind of stunned everybody. But they

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Speaker 1: scored thirty eight against La Fay. Yet they scored fifty

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Speaker 1: eight against Rice, scored seventy against Texas Tech. Let's scored

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Speaker 1: thirty two on the road last week against Texas Christian

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Speaker 1: against TCU three and a half point favorites. They covered

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Speaker 1: that game by winning by five. They were nine point

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Speaker 1: favorites and they covered that by a million. Against Texas Tech,

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Speaker 1: they were laying twenty six points and they doubled that

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Speaker 1: up against Rice, winning fifty eight nothing. And their eight

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against Louisianna Lafayette and they

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Speaker 1: won that game by twenty.

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Speaker 2: So they are covering.

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Speaker 1: They're four and one against the spread here, And I

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Speaker 1: mean I think when you look at Texas and you

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Speaker 1: look at their offense and what they've been able to do,

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Speaker 1: and what this offense is doing now that Casey Thompson

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Speaker 1: is the quarterback, I love Robinson the running back, maybe

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Speaker 1: the best running back in college football. I just don't

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Speaker 1: think this offense for Oklahoma is any good.

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Speaker 2: I mean, do you like Spencer Rattler? Do you like

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Speaker 2: this offense?

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Speaker 1: Is there a reason why Oklahoma should be favored here?

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Speaker 1: It's on a neutral field, it's a fifty to fifty

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Speaker 1: split in the Cotton Bowl. The Sooners have just been

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Speaker 1: I mean getting by. Yeah, that's the only way to

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Speaker 1: describe what Oklahoma has been doing. They've been getting by

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Speaker 1: and against the spread, they've been awful. I mean absolutely

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Speaker 1: awful against the spread. They're one in five or one

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Speaker 1: and four rad against the spread against Twulane laying thirty

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Speaker 1: one points. They won by five. Against Western Carolina they

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Speaker 1: covered seventy six nothing.

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Speaker 2: They covered that.

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Speaker 1: Fifty two and a half point line against Nebraska, laying

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Speaker 1: twenty two and a half. They won by seven. Against

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Speaker 1: West Virginia, they're laying seventeen and a half. They won

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Speaker 1: by three against Kansas State, they're laying twelve. They won

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Speaker 1: by six. I mean, this is just awful. I mean

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Speaker 1: the books keep on expecting Oklahoma to have this gigantic

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Speaker 1: breakout game. And I know a lot of people who

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Speaker 1: are on the over end this game, right, But in

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Speaker 1: rovery games, man, I get very concerned about that.

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Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean the total of sixty three,

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Speaker 2: all right, as a really high total.

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Speaker 1: It concerns me just a little bit to get involved

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Speaker 1: and say, okay, let's lay that or sixty four points now,

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Speaker 1: it's just high.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: I know there's a lot of offense here, going back

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Speaker 1: and forth. I totally understand this, but I don't like

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Speaker 1: this Oklahoma offense all right. I mean they're scoring twenty

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Speaker 1: nine points. Texas is scoring forty three point eight points.

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Speaker 1: I don't think the Oklahoma defense is any good. I

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Speaker 1: think I think they're bad. I think they've covered up

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Speaker 1: because their offense has been so good. But you like rattler,

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Speaker 1: I don't. I know that Texas defense is outstanding twenty

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Speaker 1: four points per game, so I expect Oklahoma two score.

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Speaker 1: I think Texas wins outright, but I want three points

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Speaker 1: just in case.

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Speaker 2: I don't want this number to go below three.

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Speaker 1: Texas will win, but I'll catch the three points with

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Speaker 1: a sprinkle on the money line. The official play will

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Speaker 1: be Texas plus three up against Oklahoma. Don't want to

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Speaker 1: I just don't want a defensive battle breaking out when

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Speaker 1: everyone thinks it's gonna be offense and then you're just

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Speaker 1: dead in the water. I don't want to get I

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Speaker 1: just rather play Texas plus three, and I don't. But

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Speaker 1: I do think Texas will win this game, outright. I

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Speaker 1: do think Texas will wind up winning this game outright. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So Texas plus three for one unit here for Saturday,

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Speaker 1: for the Red River Rivalry shootout, whatever the hell they

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Speaker 1: call it. One more college football player to give you.

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Speaker 1: And I'm giving these to you now because of one reason.

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Speaker 1: I've been leaving Alabama in the first half to the

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Speaker 1: Discord bet. And I think people don't I think the

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Speaker 1: Discord wager, you guys haven't wanted to haven't wanted to

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Speaker 1: use it because it's like too boring and too consistent.

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Speaker 1: So like I'm just gonna start playing it. Okay, officially,

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Speaker 1: you kind of take it off the board so you

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Speaker 1: don't have to worry about it. We're just gonna come

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Speaker 1: in and officially play this with Alabama in the first half.

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Speaker 1: DraftKings tested tonight laying ten and a half. I was

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Speaker 1: waiting for a number to pop it pop tonight. So

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Speaker 1: Alabama up against Texas A and M. Look, this is

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Speaker 1: Nick Saban against another former assistant coach. And like we

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Speaker 1: saw last week, Nick Saban has no mercy and Nick

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Speaker 1: Saban goes to work when he has the opportunity to

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Speaker 1: do so, he just kind of goes, all right, guys,

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Speaker 1: this is fine night game. We're gonna take the starts

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Speaker 1: out of you really really quickly.

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Speaker 2: A and M is okay.

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Speaker 1: But I went to a Bama game at College Station

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Speaker 1: about five years ago, and Alabama is not intimidated by

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Speaker 1: Kyle Field. They're not intimidated by the twelfth Man. They're

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Speaker 1: not intimidated by the core Cadets. They don't care. They're

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Speaker 1: just gonna go in there and they're gonna run the

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Speaker 1: ball straight at Texas A and M. And I don't

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Speaker 1: think A and M can stop it, all right. I

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Speaker 1: think A and M is gonna have a tough time.

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Speaker 1: A and M's given up three point nine yards per rush.

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Speaker 1: A and M is giving up one hundred and forty

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Speaker 1: three yards on the ground, and I think Alabama once

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Speaker 1: again will play bully ball like they did against Ole Miss.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna line up and they're gonna run the ball

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Speaker 1: straight down A and M's throat, and they're not gonna

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Speaker 1: be able to stop it. The number is ten and

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Speaker 1: a half. I don't think A and M scores all

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Speaker 1: that much. A and M's offense is not that good.

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Speaker 1: They're averaging twenty three point four points per game. They're

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Speaker 1: averaging five point seven yards per play. That's fifty fifty

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Speaker 1: fourth in the country, five point three rush. It's pretty decent,

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Speaker 1: twentieth best in the country. But you can't run on Bama.

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Speaker 1: You're not running on the Crimson tied three point five

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Speaker 1: yards per rush, thirty first in the country. You might

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Speaker 1: be able to pass against these guys a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Bama gives up six point four yards per pass. A

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Speaker 1: and M throws six point four yards per pass. I

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Speaker 1: think Bama just does what Bama does in the first half.

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Speaker 1: Bama comes out in kurb stamps teams like A and M,

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Speaker 1: and they got passed a big test at home against

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Speaker 1: Ole Miss. I don't I mean almoss might be better than

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Speaker 1: A and M. I mean, I'm just just saying, you know,

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Speaker 1: guy's got quarterback questions. And again it's another former assistant

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Speaker 1: coach for Nick Saban and he just I mean him

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Speaker 1: and Jimbo fisher Man. Look remember the comments Jimbo fisher

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Speaker 1: made in the preseason. Go look it up if you

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Speaker 1: forget some of the comments Jimbo made. I think Bama's

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Speaker 1: coming in here and they're gonna lay a hurt down.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to get back doored. I don't want

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Speaker 1: to have A and M, you know, come back in

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Speaker 1: the second half. I'm gonna take it myself. For a

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Speaker 1: full unit, Alabama minus ten and a half on the

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Speaker 1: road at A and M first year for one unit,

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Speaker 1: this number probably goes up. Seventeen and a half is

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Speaker 1: the is the total. I think the first half number

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Speaker 1: probably goes up. But we're gonna jump in here now

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Speaker 1: before it rises, before it goes to eleven or twelve

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Speaker 1: or something along those lines. Let's just get it over eleven.

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Speaker 1: So eight points in a field goal, So eleven's ten's

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Speaker 1: a better number, right? You can buy it down to

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Speaker 1: ten of your book will let you do it. Most

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Speaker 1: books don't let you buy a half a point when

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Speaker 1: it comes to a first half number, but if your

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Speaker 1: book does, I mean, obviously i'd rather have ten than

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Speaker 1: ten and a half, but I'm still comfortable laying it.

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Speaker 1: I think Bama's gonna be up by two touchdowns at

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Speaker 1: the break up against TEXTA, A and M on the road.

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Speaker 1: This game might get uglee and look, BAMA fans want

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Speaker 1: it this way. BEMA fans bear Bryant connection to Texas,

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Speaker 1: A and M. All this history that like, if you

359
00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:05,240
Speaker 1: aren't familiar with it, there's a lot underneath the surface

360
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Speaker 1: with Alabama took A, A and M. And yeah, I

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Speaker 1: think the.

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Speaker 2: Aggies are in big trouble here.

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Speaker 1: But just give me the first half number minus ten

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Speaker 1: and a half Alabama for one full unit. So you

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Speaker 1: guys on the discord bet you don't have to worry

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Speaker 1: about taking it. I'm taking it for you, and I'm

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Speaker 1: making an official play for one unit.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: Those are the first two plays on Saturday. Not gonna

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Speaker 1: have a gigantic card on Saturday because I'll probably have two,

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Speaker 1: maybe one more, maybe two more college footble bets to

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Speaker 1: get into and then we've got a ton on Saturday night.

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Speaker 1: I mean just a flip and Ton coming on Saturday Night.

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Speaker 1: All right. I have never given out a three unit bet.

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Speaker 1: It's coming on Saturday Night. Depending on what the closing

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Speaker 1: number is going to be, I may recommend my largest

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Speaker 1: play ever in the history of the Daily Juice. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's how confident I am as to what's gonna happen

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Speaker 1: on Saturday Night. And well, I'll explain it on the

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Speaker 1: podcast bit more. I'm gonna wait for as long as

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Speaker 1: I can before I get involved. But I normally never

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Speaker 1: lay this type of juice, but I just I'm very

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Speaker 1: confident in the play. So that's a tease for tomorrow's podcast.

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Speaker 1: You're gonna want to listen to tomorrow's podcast. We will

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Speaker 1: have a lot of combat sports for Saturday. That's why

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Speaker 1: I wanted to give out to my first two college

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Speaker 1: football bets here today. We'll have again one or two

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Speaker 1: more coming on the college Football Bets for you guys

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Speaker 1: here on Saturday, but not a big college football Saturday

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Speaker 1: card because of the combat sports that we have going

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Speaker 1: on coming up for us here on a Saturday again.

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Speaker 1: The card Giants, money Line, White Sox first five, money

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Speaker 1: Line White Sox, Giants, Brewers three leg money line parlay

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00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:48,360
Speaker 1: for the Don't pet A Parlay parlay at plus six

395
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Speaker 1: hundred Texas plus three for one unit in the Red

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Speaker 1: River in Alabama, mis ten and a half in the

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Speaker 1: first half on the road at Texas A and m Mine.

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Speaker 2: As Matt Paroltz. Follow me on Twitter at sports Doc Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each every morning it's the Daily Juice podcast right here

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00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:04,560
Speaker 1: on Bettingpros dot Com, always being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: bet MGM