1 00:00:01,400 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, along 2 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:06,240 Speaker 1: with my co host of Bonnie Quinn. Every business day 3 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:09,200 Speaker 1: we bring you interviews from CEOs, A, market pros, and 4 00:00:09,400 --> 00:00:12,799 Speaker 1: Bloomberg experts, along with essential market moving news. Find the 5 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:16,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Markets Podcast on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen 6 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 1: to podcasts, and on Bloomberg dot com. It is time 7 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Opinion. We welcome Bloomberg Opinion columns. Jared Dillion. 8 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: He's also an editor and publisher of the Daily Dirton 9 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: app and investment strategists at Malden Economics based in Myrtle Beach, 10 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:34,480 Speaker 1: South Carolina. Jared, thanks so much for joining us here. 11 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:38,159 Speaker 1: Interesting column you had about mom and pop trading, this 12 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:41,239 Speaker 1: robin Hood app. This reminded me of kind of the 13 00:00:41,360 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 1: late nineties when we had a lot of individual retail 14 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:48,600 Speaker 1: investors get in there really speculating at what turned out 15 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 1: in hindsight in March of two thousand to be the 16 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 1: peak and the bubble, particularly the dot com boom. Give 17 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 1: us a sense of kind of what's happening now with 18 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 1: these mom and pop investors and all the trading apps 19 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 1: that are out there. Yeah, I wouldn't even say it's 20 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:03,319 Speaker 1: really modern pop. I mean these are young people. I mean, 21 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 1: these are people in their twenties and early thirties, and 22 00:01:07,560 --> 00:01:13,040 Speaker 1: I think people underestimate the scale of what is happening. 23 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 1: I mean, you saw that robin Hood had three million 24 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: accounts opened in the first quarter of a loan. You're 25 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 1: talking about You're talking about just millions of people that 26 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 1: have dived into day trading. And the interesting thing about 27 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 1: this is that you know, for the last ten years 28 00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:32,320 Speaker 1: there were a lot of retail investors that um jumped 29 00:01:32,360 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 1: into the market, but they did it the right way. 30 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:37,120 Speaker 1: They did it slow, they did it with index funds, 31 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: they paid low fees, and just over the last six months, 32 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 1: everything has gone out the window. Jared, before we get 33 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: to why no one should blame the FED for robin 34 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:50,520 Speaker 1: Hood and it's its sins and the sins thative emanated 35 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 1: promis users, talk to us about what you can actually 36 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 1: do on robin hood financials up because it seems like 37 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 1: you can do some really sophisticated financial trades. You're not 38 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:03,760 Speaker 1: talking about just buying stocks and not even just shorting stocks. 39 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:06,559 Speaker 1: There's plenty of other things that you can do, and 40 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 1: there doesn't appear to be a limit to the amount 41 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:13,239 Speaker 1: of leverage you can take. Yeah, I mean, robin Hood 42 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:17,080 Speaker 1: is a platform that allows options trading, and you know, 43 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 1: I used to work in the options industry, That's where 44 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:22,399 Speaker 1: I started my career. And if you look back at 45 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 1: you know, back then, total options volume in a given 46 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 1: day across the Fork exchanges would be about two million contracts. 47 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:34,200 Speaker 1: Now it's up to about twelve million contracts. And these 48 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 1: people are, you know, very uneddicated when it comes to options. Uh, 49 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 1: they don't really know anything about option pricing at all, 50 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:44,960 Speaker 1: and they're just buying upside calls in stocks just for 51 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 1: extreme amounts of leverage, just under the idea that stocks 52 00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 1: always go up. So, um, I think this is not 53 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 1: going to end too well. Jared. I'm trying to get 54 00:02:56,280 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 1: a sense of kind of what's driving this move into 55 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:02,320 Speaker 1: this retail trading in the in the you know, the 56 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:04,640 Speaker 1: robin Hood apps and all of that, and a lot 57 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 1: of these young folks coming in into the market. And 58 00:03:06,720 --> 00:03:09,639 Speaker 1: I've read it might be simply the fact that we're 59 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 1: all stuck at home, we're all quarantined. Uh, there's no 60 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: sports to bet on, there's no casinos to go to 61 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 1: and to satisfy that speculative urge. Maybe folks are turning 62 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 1: to the stock market, particularly the options market. Does that 63 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:27,760 Speaker 1: have value in your opinion? Now, that's that's absolutely what's 64 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 1: going on. People are at home and board you know. 65 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:34,000 Speaker 1: I actually, um, you know, for five years I taught 66 00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 1: at the local university and I checked in with one 67 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 1: of my former students and he's, you know, living in 68 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:46,520 Speaker 1: his mom's basement, quarantined and he's trading you know. Um, 69 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 1: So it's a it's a function of it's a function 70 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: of boredom. It's a function of getting no action on 71 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 1: sports betting. I think it's also partially a function of 72 00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 1: the stimulus and unemployment money that's been going out because 73 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:04,480 Speaker 1: people are speculating with very small amounts of money. You know, 74 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: I get questions about people with you know, they have 75 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 1: a thousand dollars to put the work, and they're asking 76 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: about how to trade stocks. And this goes to the 77 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:18,760 Speaker 1: kernel of your column because you say that rather than 78 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:21,839 Speaker 1: it brings with liquidity out there and thanks to the Fed, 79 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 1: the real villains here are the discount brokers who have 80 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:29,800 Speaker 1: caught trading commissions to zero. Explained that Jared, Yeah, I mean, 81 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:33,839 Speaker 1: you know, commissions were never a huge portion of the 82 00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:37,919 Speaker 1: discount brokers revenue. They were about or less. Uh, And 83 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:41,280 Speaker 1: these were competitive forces that drove commissions lower. I mean, 84 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 1: it wasn't anything finister, It wasn't really a marketing employ 85 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:47,479 Speaker 1: to try to get more people to trade. It was 86 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 1: just competitive pressures that drove commissions lower. So that's really 87 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 1: you know, it's it's just like supply and demand. You know, 88 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:57,800 Speaker 1: if you lower the price of something, there's going to 89 00:04:57,839 --> 00:05:01,640 Speaker 1: be more demand for it. And you've seen trading volumes 90 00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 1: just absolutely explode since there's no commission. Now, I've always 91 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:08,720 Speaker 1: been of the view that commissions and fees are not 92 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 1: necessarily a bad thing because they shape investor behavior and 93 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:17,280 Speaker 1: then encourage buy and hold strategy. Just briefly, Jared, how 94 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 1: much has this to do with Dave Portnoy, whose course 95 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:24,640 Speaker 1: Barstool Sports is founder and really hyped Robin Hood Financial 96 00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:28,120 Speaker 1: and his day trading. I think it has quite a 97 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 1: bit to do with it, actually, I mean, he has 98 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 1: a pretty large following, and I think, you know, I 99 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:34,880 Speaker 1: think people take him a bit too literally and a 100 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: bit too seriously. You know, he's gone after people like 101 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 1: Warren Buffett, and Jim Simons and stuff like that, and 102 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 1: he says he's the greatest day trader in the world. 103 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:45,359 Speaker 1: But you know, he's given confidence to a lot of 104 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:48,160 Speaker 1: people that they can do the same thing. Yeah. Man, 105 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 1: it's just not that easy. As of course anyone who's 106 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:53,839 Speaker 1: done it for a living it can attest to Jared Dillion, 107 00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:56,280 Speaker 1: his columnist for Bloomberg Opinion. He's editor and publisher of 108 00:05:56,320 --> 00:05:59,720 Speaker 1: The Daily Dirt Nap also investment Strategists Add Mold than Economics, 109 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 1: And of course he's the author of that book that 110 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 1: I'm sure you've all read, Street Freak, Money and man 111 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 1: as At Lehman Brothers, and another novel, All The Evil 112 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:11,599 Speaker 1: of This World. Jar Dileona, thank you for joining Paul. 113 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:14,920 Speaker 1: Can I ask you if you have a robin Hood 114 00:06:15,080 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 1: trading account. I do not, absolutely do not. I wouldn't 115 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 1: be allowed to. I'm not like Tom Keene. I'm not 116 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:24,240 Speaker 1: long the triple leverage all cash fund. But I'm also 117 00:06:24,279 --> 00:06:27,440 Speaker 1: not day trading. I'm also not a gamer, which doesn't help. Apparently, 118 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:32,760 Speaker 1: if you're a trainer, you've got faster fingers. Some of 119 00:06:32,760 --> 00:06:36,800 Speaker 1: the stocks that has performed exceptionally well during this pandemic 120 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 1: is Amazon dot Com. The stock is up forty five 121 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 1: percent year to date. It sports a market cap of 122 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:47,320 Speaker 1: one point three four trillion dollars. With a t company 123 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 1: got and the stock got a new supporter this week 124 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:52,760 Speaker 1: on Wall Street. Law Martin senior analysts that need him, 125 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:55,599 Speaker 1: a company based in Los Angeles, initiated coverage this week 126 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 1: with a by rating a thirty price target. Stocks currently 127 00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 1: trading at HUDD eighty three. Laura, thanks so much for 128 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:08,400 Speaker 1: joining us here. Give us your thesis on Amazon right here. So, 129 00:07:08,440 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 1: I think the most important thing we're saying that's new 130 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:13,880 Speaker 1: on this name fall is that this is really a 131 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 1: services company and not a product company, which is to say, 132 00:07:17,080 --> 00:07:21,679 Speaker 1: because consumers relationships with with Amazon is from a consumer 133 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 1: pacing where they think of it as an e commerce company. 134 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 1: But today of his company's revenue comes from services, and 135 00:07:28,080 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 1: they have an eight percent profit margins compared to e 136 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:33,640 Speaker 1: commerce which is a three percent profit margin. So when 137 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 1: you look at contributions to actually operating profits, it really 138 00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:42,680 Speaker 1: comes from services like prime video, like music, like advertising 139 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 1: a huge here. We think they do eight billion of advertising. 140 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:48,040 Speaker 1: So together we value what we call the media businesses 141 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:51,120 Speaker 1: at five billion, which is about the same size as aws, 142 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 1: which together means it's about eight services are about eight 143 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 1: percent of the value here at Amacle, Laura, this is 144 00:07:57,080 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 1: something that's an Amazon's DNA. You talk about Amazon having 145 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:05,760 Speaker 1: a track record of expanding total addressable market decisions, so 146 00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 1: it's just constantly, constantly expanding the people that it reaches, 147 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:12,680 Speaker 1: and all of those decisions are driving higher profitability and 148 00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:16,120 Speaker 1: lower shareholder risk. So it feels like this may never end. 149 00:08:17,640 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 1: I think that's possible. I think one of these things 150 00:08:19,880 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: I cover oppur as well, and I think both Apple 151 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:24,240 Speaker 1: and Amazon they're about the same size of company, two 152 00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 1: seventy billion dollars a year of revenue. I think they 153 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 1: both generate sixty billion dollars a free cash flow a year. 154 00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 1: Apple turns around and buys and shares and so it 155 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:36,720 Speaker 1: drives higher earnings for share growth with that. I think 156 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:40,200 Speaker 1: what Amazon does, by contrast, it takes creean of that 157 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:42,560 Speaker 1: and invest in what you just characterize as these can 158 00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 1: expanding you know, new verticals that are non visible, and 159 00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 1: it turns them into a WUS or advertising or groceries 160 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:54,800 Speaker 1: or delivery last mile delivery innovations, and then it reports 161 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:57,520 Speaker 1: out much lower free cash flow and much lower margins 162 00:08:57,559 --> 00:09:00,520 Speaker 1: to apprentices of the incometry. So I think might never 163 00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:03,320 Speaker 1: end because this is how Basis is wired. They have 164 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:05,720 Speaker 1: grown in these ways that for the last twenty years 165 00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:08,920 Speaker 1: under the CEO Jeff Basis. So Laura talked to us 166 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:11,960 Speaker 1: a little bit about the uh cloud business that's really 167 00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:15,560 Speaker 1: been a you know, a profit driver for Amazon for 168 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:18,200 Speaker 1: years and years. Investors were, I guess used to our 169 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:20,880 Speaker 1: conditioned to little to no profitability coming out of the 170 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:23,840 Speaker 1: core e commerce business, but once they really started building 171 00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:26,440 Speaker 1: out the cloud business, it's been a real profit generator 172 00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 1: for them. How do you view the growth and the 173 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:31,839 Speaker 1: profitability of that business? You know, I think that it's 174 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:35,479 Speaker 1: important they break out the cloud business is separately financially, 175 00:09:35,520 --> 00:09:38,240 Speaker 1: so there's been a lot of good financial analysis. What 176 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 1: we would say of our value added in this messaging 177 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 1: is that we think this is a playbook that you 178 00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:45,240 Speaker 1: should look at Amazon repeat they're doing it now and 179 00:09:45,280 --> 00:09:48,600 Speaker 1: advertising and what happens is when Amazon gets big enough 180 00:09:48,679 --> 00:09:51,840 Speaker 1: it's something they're successful at, they break it out separately 181 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:55,400 Speaker 1: so you can value it separately. So um, we think 182 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 1: that they do about eighteen billion dollars of advertising today, 183 00:09:58,480 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 1: which has a profit margin and that business is soon 184 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:04,760 Speaker 1: going to get big enough. We think it is. Together 185 00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 1: the services businesses are almost as large as a WS. 186 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:10,480 Speaker 1: So we think at some point in the next two 187 00:10:10,520 --> 00:10:12,960 Speaker 1: years they will break out these what I would call 188 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 1: their media businesses or their media revenue streams into a 189 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:17,600 Speaker 1: separate business, and you will be able to value it 190 00:10:17,800 --> 00:10:20,319 Speaker 1: and it will be more profitable than a WS. But 191 00:10:20,480 --> 00:10:24,280 Speaker 1: right now it's hidden in this massive, you know, conglomerate. 192 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:27,320 Speaker 1: So I always call that. What's important about AWS is 193 00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:30,600 Speaker 1: it is a playbook for how Amazon runs businesses and 194 00:10:30,640 --> 00:10:34,240 Speaker 1: then uncovers it's hidden value over time so that Wall 195 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:37,199 Speaker 1: Street can more easily value it. You know, you talk 196 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:41,320 Speaker 1: about Amazon also having media asset values about five billion dollars. 197 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:46,120 Speaker 1: What happens there where a dollars going Laura, So there's 198 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:49,640 Speaker 1: advertising in their subscription. That prime subscription product has a 199 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:54,040 Speaker 1: profit margin. Let's remember that Netflix decieted at nine times revenue, 200 00:10:54,040 --> 00:10:57,480 Speaker 1: and it loses money prime which is mostly for shipping, 201 00:10:57,520 --> 00:11:00,760 Speaker 1: but twenty of prime subscribers stay there. There for the media, 202 00:11:01,160 --> 00:11:04,560 Speaker 1: which is Twitch, which is really important, music and video. 203 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:08,440 Speaker 1: All of those assets are bundled in that prime subscription 204 00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:12,439 Speaker 1: and that makes turn lower. It breaks the average revenue 205 00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 1: for user of the lifetime values higher UM and then 206 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:18,679 Speaker 1: they have advertising as well. So all of those businesses 207 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,720 Speaker 1: have much higher margins than the average, even higher than 208 00:11:21,760 --> 00:11:24,319 Speaker 1: clouds by a lot, a much higher margin than cloud 209 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:27,440 Speaker 1: and that's you know, three times as higher margin as 210 00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 1: the e commerce business. So these media businesses, I think 211 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 1: not only are they growing faster, they're helping churn fall 212 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 1: for the commerce part of the Amazon's and they have 213 00:11:38,200 --> 00:11:41,280 Speaker 1: much higher profitability in which was on capital. So, Laura, 214 00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:44,200 Speaker 1: what does this mean for the i'll call them traditional 215 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:46,680 Speaker 1: media companies that you and I grew up covering. There's 216 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 1: been a lot of consolidation. Is that enough or is 217 00:11:49,160 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 1: there really not a boolk case to be made for 218 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 1: some of these traditional vertically integrated media companies. UM, So 219 00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:59,680 Speaker 1: I think Amazon is trying to Amazon is doing something, 220 00:11:59,760 --> 00:12:01,960 Speaker 1: dear prints in our traditional media companies with you and 221 00:12:01,960 --> 00:12:05,000 Speaker 1: I started in the world covering, And what I would 222 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:07,560 Speaker 1: say is they have a bigger they have a bigger 223 00:12:08,480 --> 00:12:12,079 Speaker 1: they're thinking globally for one thing, um and and their 224 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:16,240 Speaker 1: margin structure is different. They're very much data and technology driven. UM. 225 00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:17,960 Speaker 1: As you and I have seen from the past. You know, 226 00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 1: data alone does not good content make UM, So I 227 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:25,199 Speaker 1: don't necessarily think of Amazon as a core competitor. I 228 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:27,319 Speaker 1: think it is much more likely that if they decide 229 00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:29,599 Speaker 1: to really go into the media business, they buy the 230 00:12:29,640 --> 00:12:32,800 Speaker 1: Walt Disney Company or they buy Fox. They can buy 231 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:36,160 Speaker 1: these traditional media companies because their margin profile is globally 232 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:39,240 Speaker 1: scale much more profitable. But I gotta tell you, Paul, 233 00:12:39,640 --> 00:12:42,920 Speaker 1: I think this man, this this company really thinks that 234 00:12:43,080 --> 00:12:46,040 Speaker 1: much bigger total addressable market like we think he's going 235 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:49,560 Speaker 1: after the logistics market next. That's this one point six 236 00:12:49,800 --> 00:12:53,440 Speaker 1: trillion dollar total addressable market like media is too small 237 00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 1: for him. But I don't think he's going to look backwards. 238 00:12:57,280 --> 00:13:01,959 Speaker 1: A go ahead, Paul, Sorry, no, no, no, that was good. Uh. 239 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:04,120 Speaker 1: I guess we should ask a really about Apple on 240 00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:06,680 Speaker 1: Monday as well, because it's the first virtual w WDC 241 00:13:06,840 --> 00:13:11,679 Speaker 1: conference in in ever. Is there anything that you're anticipating 242 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 1: that will blow us away? I think the most important 243 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 1: thing we're waiting to hear from Apple is what's going 244 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 1: on with the five get phone, because I think the 245 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:21,880 Speaker 1: stock has been running on the hopes that we have 246 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:24,360 Speaker 1: a five get phone this year. Um, it's going to 247 00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 1: be late. All of their products. We're going to be 248 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:29,720 Speaker 1: late because of the COVID pandemic shutting down factories, um, 249 00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:32,920 Speaker 1: And so we're waiting to hear what's the new five 250 00:13:32,960 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 1: get phone going to be? And I think I think 251 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:37,600 Speaker 1: then our next step is after we know what their 252 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:40,200 Speaker 1: product mix is gonna be and when it's coming out, 253 00:13:40,320 --> 00:13:42,600 Speaker 1: when it's gonna they also usually announced when things are 254 00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 1: going to be hitting the market, shelves available for purchase, um, 255 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:48,240 Speaker 1: then we're gonna all have to go do surveys about 256 00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:51,199 Speaker 1: does any consumer care? Is anyone buying a new Apple 257 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 1: phone this year? I mean, I think that's a separate question. 258 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:56,079 Speaker 1: But first we need the data on what is Apple 259 00:13:56,200 --> 00:14:00,360 Speaker 1: delivering to the marketplace and when all right, Laura's thank you, 260 00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:03,440 Speaker 1: We will eagerly await that on Monday. But also just 261 00:14:03,480 --> 00:14:06,239 Speaker 1: a very happy to chat with you about your initiation 262 00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:09,360 Speaker 1: of coverage of Amazon. The company's a hidden value multiplier 263 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: and so on. Looking for Amazon to hit thirty two 264 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:16,160 Speaker 1: hundred dollars in the next twelve months and obviously has 265 00:14:16,200 --> 00:14:18,400 Speaker 1: a by rating on it. That's Laura Martin there, senior 266 00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:21,560 Speaker 1: media analyst at Needham and Company, and of course Paul 267 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:24,440 Speaker 1: as soon as she said Disney, I I heard you 268 00:14:24,520 --> 00:14:28,280 Speaker 1: park up exactly. Yeah, you have to just really think 269 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:31,800 Speaker 1: about the future of these traditional media companies, including Disney. Exactly. 270 00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:36,760 Speaker 1: Let's get back to our market coverage now. We have 271 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:40,040 Speaker 1: Dave Pudla joining us and David Couldla of course as founder, 272 00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:42,960 Speaker 1: CEO and chief investment strategist of Mainstay Capital about two 273 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:47,040 Speaker 1: point seven billion dollars in assets under management and named 274 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:51,720 Speaker 1: my Baron as Barons as one of the top financial advisors, 275 00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 1: one of the top twenty five over the past six years. David, 276 00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:59,359 Speaker 1: great to speak with you again. We've been asking participants 277 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:03,520 Speaker 1: here of show to tell us why exactly stocks continue 278 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 1: to reach new highs even if we see some volatility, 279 00:15:06,040 --> 00:15:09,520 Speaker 1: and even if today is quotruple witching, it's a bit 280 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:15,440 Speaker 1: of a bit of an exception. Well, we've been in 281 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:21,600 Speaker 1: Good Morning, Bonnie. The mantra that I think all investors 282 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:26,400 Speaker 1: need to heed all professionals, uh, that somehow I think 283 00:15:26,400 --> 00:15:31,560 Speaker 1: have forgotten and are remembering now is that the mantra 284 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:35,840 Speaker 1: of don't fight the Fed. And we've seen some professionals, 285 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:38,080 Speaker 1: some bears that have thrown in the town recently and 286 00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 1: come back to a bullish dance. But This has been 287 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:43,040 Speaker 1: our mantra on this rally all the way back up, 288 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 1: and I think that it continues to push stocks higher. 289 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 1: You can't. It's just very difficult to justify these levels 290 00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:54,680 Speaker 1: and even certainly continued advance on fundamentals of uh some 291 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 1: of these companies, fundamentals of the market and the economic reality. 292 00:16:00,680 --> 00:16:04,320 Speaker 1: But it's it's essentially fed stimulus and central bank stimulus. 293 00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 1: Um this continued continuing to put push asset prices higher 294 00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 1: and specifically stocks higher. So, David, you know, it's kind 295 00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:15,520 Speaker 1: of my thought here and what what I read in 296 00:16:15,560 --> 00:16:17,360 Speaker 1: here and talk to folks like you, that a lot 297 00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 1: of this market movement, particularly the rally off the bottom, 298 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:22,680 Speaker 1: which we're you know, roughly four off the bottom, has 299 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 1: been driven literally by a handful of stocks, the fang 300 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:28,120 Speaker 1: plus kind of names. How broad based is this? And 301 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: if to the extent it's not broad based and the 302 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 1: depth is not there, the breath is not there, how 303 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:37,880 Speaker 1: concerning is that to you? It's not concerning At this point. 304 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:40,440 Speaker 1: We've seen, really, we've seen that kind of advance for 305 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:43,280 Speaker 1: that kind of narrow leadership for quite a while. We 306 00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:48,040 Speaker 1: were seeing that in ten and early before we had 307 00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 1: the bear market decline, and I think a lot of 308 00:16:51,360 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 1: that is a function of, you know that there was 309 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 1: this a lot of concern about the fang stocks, a 310 00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 1: lot of concern about big cap tech that you know, 311 00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:02,800 Speaker 1: and specifically the fang stocks either you know, those stocks 312 00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 1: that are big cap tech or retail stocks that are 313 00:17:06,600 --> 00:17:10,199 Speaker 1: being enabled by technology, that it was a house of 314 00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 1: cards that was eminently going too far, eventually going to crumble. 315 00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 1: And you know, our our school of thought on that 316 00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:24,040 Speaker 1: has been that, you know, technology is changing the world, 317 00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:26,879 Speaker 1: technology is eating the world. And if you look at 318 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:32,280 Speaker 1: what happened, what's happened through the pandemic, some of these um, 319 00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:35,000 Speaker 1: the cloud stocks, I T stocks, you know, those have 320 00:17:35,040 --> 00:17:39,000 Speaker 1: been the enablers for uh, the different businesses that have 321 00:17:39,080 --> 00:17:44,160 Speaker 1: done quite well through the pandemic. It's just another another 322 00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:48,119 Speaker 1: scenario where we've seen how technology has mattered. And so 323 00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:51,600 Speaker 1: we think that, uh, it's it's a secular grows story 324 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 1: that remains and that these stocks are going to continue 325 00:17:54,840 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 1: to trade at high multiples, are going to continue to 326 00:17:57,040 --> 00:18:00,159 Speaker 1: do well, and we're continued well, we will continue to 327 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:03,680 Speaker 1: see that leadership. We saw a rotation back into value 328 00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:06,920 Speaker 1: stocks here recently, and it was just another head fake, 329 00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:11,440 Speaker 1: the the tech stocks I t cloud, all those came 330 00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:15,199 Speaker 1: right back into leadership positions, and you know, we we 331 00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:19,720 Speaker 1: have been uh overweight growth stocks. We continue to be. 332 00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 1: We don't fall for those value stock head fakes. And 333 00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 1: except for we've taken a Barbell approach in our portfolios 334 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:30,080 Speaker 1: here more recently over the past couple of months because 335 00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:34,359 Speaker 1: the we call it the lockdown rebound plays. But basically 336 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:44,080 Speaker 1: some of these cyclical areas, whether it's the airlines, travel, leisure, uh, energy, construction, housing, 337 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 1: you know, there's been some some good plays on those 338 00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:50,160 Speaker 1: on the rebound, but we're staying with these secular growth stories, 339 00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:55,520 Speaker 1: specifically technology. Dave, how long does this narrative play out for? Though? 340 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:58,439 Speaker 1: I mean it seems like nothing can go wrong for 341 00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:01,560 Speaker 1: these companies. I mean Amazon put on a four hundred 342 00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:05,880 Speaker 1: billion dollars worth of market capitalization during the pandemic. Well 343 00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:09,399 Speaker 1: that's just it. I mean, we we say that nothing 344 00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 1: can go wrong, and I think it's that they're just 345 00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:15,639 Speaker 1: in a place where, you know, everything is right for them. Amazon, 346 00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:21,080 Speaker 1: you know, Amazons being a category killer for years and 347 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:24,520 Speaker 1: will continue to be, you know, coming back to what's 348 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:28,320 Speaker 1: happened during the pandemic, Um, there was an e t 349 00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:32,600 Speaker 1: F that we invested in called Clicks that was it 350 00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:35,000 Speaker 1: was just it was a slam dunk. It is an 351 00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:37,520 Speaker 1: e t F along short et F that is, it 352 00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:41,119 Speaker 1: was long uh, e commerce and short brick and mortar. 353 00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:45,440 Speaker 1: The government was closing down brick and mortar stores. Even 354 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:50,080 Speaker 1: people that weren't accustomed to shopping online. We're being compelled 355 00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:53,080 Speaker 1: or almost forced to do so. So that was a 356 00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:57,639 Speaker 1: boost to Amazon and other online retailers. But in some 357 00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:01,080 Speaker 1: of those habits have changed forever um and and so 358 00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:05,719 Speaker 1: people are continuing to move more and more to shopping online. Uh. 359 00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:09,600 Speaker 1: That trend will continue, So the Amazons of the world, 360 00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:14,520 Speaker 1: and specifically Amazon will continue to do well. So, David, 361 00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:17,240 Speaker 1: if I believe that the economy is going to slowly 362 00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:18,919 Speaker 1: rebound in the back half of this year, then have 363 00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:23,000 Speaker 1: a much stronger I want to go along some cyclicals. 364 00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:25,520 Speaker 1: Do I want to go along some transportations? Something in 365 00:20:25,560 --> 00:20:28,800 Speaker 1: the rails, the truckers, the you know, the cargo ships 366 00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:31,000 Speaker 1: that are gonna be shipping all that cargo around the globe? 367 00:20:31,040 --> 00:20:35,359 Speaker 1: Is that a play? If I believe in a stronger yeah, 368 00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,480 Speaker 1: I think so. You know, I think you need to 369 00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:40,120 Speaker 1: be careful. You know, you need to look at the charts. Uh. 370 00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:42,880 Speaker 1: You know when we look at the airlines, for instance, 371 00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:46,200 Speaker 1: you know there is an opportunity because they took such 372 00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:49,320 Speaker 1: a plunge down as much as sixty on the downside, 373 00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:53,200 Speaker 1: you know when they come back to their pre COVID levels. Um. 374 00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:55,040 Speaker 1: You know, we look at the chart of the airlines 375 00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:57,560 Speaker 1: and it's it's like an e KG with noise in it. 376 00:20:58,040 --> 00:21:00,400 Speaker 1: And you know that's an industry that operates and razor 377 00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:04,680 Speaker 1: thin margins with an airline going out of business every 378 00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:07,479 Speaker 1: filing for bankruptcy every year or two. We look at 379 00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:10,720 Speaker 1: construction and housing that was on a nice upward slope 380 00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:14,360 Speaker 1: that got interrupted. It's had a nice rally back. All 381 00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:17,720 Speaker 1: those other cyclicals you're talking about though, um, some of 382 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:21,119 Speaker 1: them have a long runway left in this in this rebound, 383 00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 1: and I think that you, you know, investors need to 384 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:27,879 Speaker 1: look at those areas to include in portfolios as we 385 00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:30,359 Speaker 1: moved through this recovery in the economy, but not just 386 00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:33,919 Speaker 1: here but globally. David couldla thank you so much for 387 00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:37,399 Speaker 1: joining us. David's the CEO and chief investment strategist at 388 00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:40,280 Speaker 1: main Stake Capital Management. About two point seven billion dollars 389 00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:43,640 Speaker 1: under management. We always love speaking to David, very thoughtful 390 00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:45,840 Speaker 1: analysis of the market and Vannie. You know, I love 391 00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:48,320 Speaker 1: how he talked about don't fight the FED. That was 392 00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:51,000 Speaker 1: literally the first lesson I learned on Wallstreet. When I 393 00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:53,080 Speaker 1: was on the pain Warber block trading desk back in 394 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:56,159 Speaker 1: the mid to late eighties, managing director came up to 395 00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:58,120 Speaker 1: me and said, why are you selling stocks here? Said, well, 396 00:21:58,160 --> 00:21:59,679 Speaker 1: you know, and I said, he said, the rates are 397 00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:02,800 Speaker 1: going down, kid, buy stocks, you know. So that's one 398 00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:04,960 Speaker 1: that is stuck with me. And well, do you have 399 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:09,760 Speaker 1: a photograph of that time? No, I do not, thankfully. Yeah. 400 00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:11,720 Speaker 1: It was a lot of fun, but so but it's 401 00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:14,280 Speaker 1: atually interesting. I think David's right spot on here. We've 402 00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:17,320 Speaker 1: had central banks around the world, UH and you know, 403 00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:20,800 Speaker 1: led by the US Photo Reserve pumping liquidity into the marketplace. 404 00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:23,639 Speaker 1: And some someone we had on the show coined a 405 00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:26,520 Speaker 1: great phrase which I love, which is back stopping. The 406 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 1: markets are back stopping risk assets here, and that's kind 407 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 1: of what it feels like. You get a little bit 408 00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:33,199 Speaker 1: of a pullback in the market, but investors still have 409 00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:36,160 Speaker 1: confidence to come back in uh and buy that dip 410 00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:40,720 Speaker 1: despite some of the economic conditions we are facing. It 411 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:43,879 Speaker 1: is Juneteenth. It is perhaps also the first time that 412 00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:48,880 Speaker 1: nationally this is being recognized, and companies are actually recognizing junetee, 413 00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:52,600 Speaker 1: some of them offering employees who so wish to take 414 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:55,320 Speaker 1: a day off Morgan's down, the Target and Uber among them. 415 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:59,560 Speaker 1: But whether the moves will be scrutinized as enough, or 416 00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:04,080 Speaker 1: whether companies will also be forced to devote resources actually 417 00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:08,000 Speaker 1: make concrete, measurable changes in areas such as hiring, vendor diversity, 418 00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:11,479 Speaker 1: that's still up for grabs. Let's bring in Bloomberg Finance 419 00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:14,399 Speaker 1: reporter Laana Nuyon has been looking at what companies have 420 00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:16,720 Speaker 1: been doing and whether it's going to be enough to 421 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:21,800 Speaker 1: satisfy public impressions. Right now, Lana, and thanks for joining 422 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:26,359 Speaker 1: first give us an idea of just how widespread the 423 00:23:26,400 --> 00:23:31,800 Speaker 1: moves have been, particularly the juneteenths recognition. Thanks Fohnnie, it's 424 00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 1: nice to speak to you. So, I think the widespread 425 00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:38,439 Speaker 1: factor of this is very interesting because it's more about 426 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:41,919 Speaker 1: the major companies that have done it. So from Nike 427 00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 1: to Target, we're seeing very large household names give employees 428 00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:50,000 Speaker 1: a day off in recognition of June teams. So I 429 00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 1: think there's an element of corporate leadership on top of 430 00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:56,439 Speaker 1: which you have banks like JP Morgan, which is closing 431 00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:59,840 Speaker 1: branches early, and other banks, Bank of America and City 432 00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:03,480 Speaker 1: which basically told staff that they could take a day, 433 00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:07,879 Speaker 1: a personal day, um to to commemorate junetein. So we 434 00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:11,080 Speaker 1: are seeing a lot of really really big companies try 435 00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:14,240 Speaker 1: to mark the moment in some way, and so that's 436 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:20,480 Speaker 1: just having a ripple effect across corporate America. York City 437 00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:24,199 Speaker 1: to make Juneteenth city school holiday next year, that's according 438 00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:26,959 Speaker 1: to mayor the Belasia. So just another example and had 439 00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:29,000 Speaker 1: to lean on. I have to admit, I'm I always 440 00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:32,720 Speaker 1: consider myself a fairly well read student of American history, 441 00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 1: but I have to admit I had never heard the 442 00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:38,120 Speaker 1: term Juneteenth or its significance until a couple of days ago. 443 00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:43,080 Speaker 1: What's the phenomenon behind this? Is this just a recognition 444 00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 1: of the racial inequality in this country and ways to 445 00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:51,200 Speaker 1: kind of, uh, you know, kind of call it to attention. Yes, Paul, 446 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:54,040 Speaker 1: And I think that you're not alone in in being 447 00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:57,240 Speaker 1: new to this. I think, um, it's lesser known outside 448 00:24:57,240 --> 00:24:59,920 Speaker 1: of the black community. Um, and it has suddenly kind 449 00:24:59,920 --> 00:25:02,720 Speaker 1: of jumped onto the agenda of many people, including ourselves 450 00:25:02,760 --> 00:25:07,080 Speaker 1: as business reporters. UM. And so the movement is similar 451 00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,080 Speaker 1: to Martin Luther King Day to commemorate the end of 452 00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:14,639 Speaker 1: slavery UM and to recognize and fight against um, you know, 453 00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,960 Speaker 1: racial inequality. UM. One of those sources I spoke to 454 00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:20,520 Speaker 1: for the story said that she and her family and 455 00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:22,840 Speaker 1: her network used the day as a day of service 456 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:25,679 Speaker 1: and reflection to be with their families or to participate 457 00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:29,040 Speaker 1: in the community service events and so UM you know, 458 00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:32,240 Speaker 1: there there is a push here by the corporate sector 459 00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:35,959 Speaker 1: to acknowledge that people in the black community, UM, you know, 460 00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:39,320 Speaker 1: take this seriously, and also people outside of that community 461 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:42,120 Speaker 1: as well, and so UM you know, the marketing consultant 462 00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:46,640 Speaker 1: I spoke to said, last year, nobody did anything for Juneteenth, 463 00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:49,639 Speaker 1: and now suddenly this wave of companies is doing UM 464 00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:54,040 Speaker 1: events and and commemorating in some way. Yeah. I was 465 00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:56,480 Speaker 1: on air when Nike announced thought it was going to 466 00:25:56,640 --> 00:26:00,240 Speaker 1: take juneteenths as a vacation date for employees who wanted 467 00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:03,879 Speaker 1: to observe it. And I actually thought, in some ways 468 00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:06,040 Speaker 1: it was I don't want to say a joke, because 469 00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:08,280 Speaker 1: it's an important thing and it's it's nice that a 470 00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:11,280 Speaker 1: company would recognize that, but it also does feel very 471 00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:13,720 Speaker 1: much like lip service. Lannan, I mean, when are we 472 00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:17,720 Speaker 1: going to see actual you know, corporate mandates devoting resources 473 00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:22,919 Speaker 1: to making measurable changes, doing things like fixing their hiring practices, 474 00:26:23,480 --> 00:26:26,440 Speaker 1: making sure that there's vendor diversity. So for a recently 475 00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:30,080 Speaker 1: was one of those vendors that signed up to what's 476 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:32,440 Speaker 1: been called a fifteen percent pledge. The founder of brother 477 00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:34,639 Speaker 1: is talking about the fifteen percent pledge, so that at 478 00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:37,800 Speaker 1: least fifteen percent of products and stores are from black 479 00:26:37,840 --> 00:26:44,240 Speaker 1: owned businesses. We need more of this, No, Ronnie, that 480 00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:46,760 Speaker 1: is a very important question because a lot of the 481 00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:50,080 Speaker 1: sources I spoke to said this is extremely important. That 482 00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 1: people are not just going to be sort of pleased 483 00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:56,119 Speaker 1: with a an announcement for one day or an observance 484 00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:58,280 Speaker 1: for one day. This is supposed to be part of 485 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,800 Speaker 1: a lasting change, and people in the community are looking 486 00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:04,680 Speaker 1: at UM, at these companies to see, first of all, 487 00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,679 Speaker 1: what is your record in the past, what are you 488 00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:10,359 Speaker 1: doing to UM, you know, fix any previous problems, and 489 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,679 Speaker 1: then what are you doing going forward to hire black people, 490 00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:18,639 Speaker 1: elevate them in management and UM you know, enforced policies 491 00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:22,800 Speaker 1: that are going to help to rectify racial inequality. Um. 492 00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:26,160 Speaker 1: Another person that we suppose to in a brand consult 493 00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:29,520 Speaker 1: or brand strategy firm said, if it's just this day 494 00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:32,800 Speaker 1: and the company doesn't do anything else, more broadly, it's 495 00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:36,719 Speaker 1: going to ring hollow, and consumers and and other business 496 00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:40,119 Speaker 1: partners are going to see that. So, UM, everyone is 497 00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:43,280 Speaker 1: looking to see that the Juneteenth actions are backed up 498 00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:48,040 Speaker 1: with broader measures in order to correct racial inequality. Interesting. 499 00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:52,440 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, employees Lennon are certainly like reflecting 500 00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:56,320 Speaker 1: the broader populous, you know, more sensitive arguably just in 501 00:27:56,359 --> 00:28:00,000 Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks months to racial inequality. Uh. 502 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:03,679 Speaker 1: Is this a reflection companies trying to do really the 503 00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 1: right thing, or again, as Vannie suggested, maybe it's just 504 00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:09,399 Speaker 1: a little bit of lip service. I think the jury 505 00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:11,719 Speaker 1: is out, Paul. I think there are some companies that 506 00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:14,160 Speaker 1: are really trying to listen and do the right thing, 507 00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:17,400 Speaker 1: and others that just want to make sure that they're 508 00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:21,359 Speaker 1: covering themselves and having the optics of you know, commemorating 509 00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:24,000 Speaker 1: the day. So the marketing firm that we spoke to 510 00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:29,119 Speaker 1: said that employees in companies that they surveyed UM really 511 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:33,080 Speaker 1: do support anti racism protests. Two percent of them support 512 00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:36,240 Speaker 1: their protests, and fifty five percent say that their employers 513 00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:39,440 Speaker 1: should respond directly to racial issues. So there's a conversation 514 00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:41,920 Speaker 1: that's taking place in worth places right now that has 515 00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:46,719 Speaker 1: is much more open about race than every husband before. Hey, Len, 516 00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 1: and thank you so much for joining us and sharing 517 00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:53,160 Speaker 1: this reporting that you had Lennon new and Bloomberg Financial reporter, 518 00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:56,800 Speaker 1: uh talking about Juneteenth and again just coming across the 519 00:28:56,800 --> 00:29:01,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg terminal headline New York City to Juneteenth a city 520 00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:04,120 Speaker 1: and school holiday next year, and that's according to Mayor 521 00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:07,560 Speaker 1: Bill Deblasia. So again falling along what we've seen a 522 00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:11,720 Speaker 1: lot in corporate America. Uh, as we tend to deal 523 00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:15,920 Speaker 1: with this racial inequality. This is Bloomberg. Thanks for listening 524 00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 1: to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe and listen 525 00:29:19,200 --> 00:29:22,680 Speaker 1: to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever a podcast platform 526 00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:26,160 Speaker 1: you prefer. I'm Bonnie Quinn. I'm on Twitter at Bonnie Quinn, 527 00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:28,720 Speaker 1: and I'm Paul Sweeney. I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. 528 00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:31,400 Speaker 1: Before the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide at 529 00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:32,240 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio