Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly
Speaker 1: source for the nation's best fantasy.
Speaker 2: Speculation and advice. Now, along with the guys.
Speaker 1: From Guillotine Leagues dot com, here's your host, Paul.
Speaker 3: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. It is week number eleven.
Speaker 3: Joining me today Scott Fish and in studio Brian Johnson. Ye,
Speaker 3: welcome back.
Speaker 2: What's up boys? Good to be here.
Speaker 4: Word on this street? Is my return more anticipated than
Speaker 4: that of Christian McCaffrey.
Speaker 2: That's just what I'm hearing.
Speaker 3: Yes, very similar.
Speaker 5: Okay, yeah, it feels accurate rocking.
Speaker 3: The fantasy football world.
Speaker 2: Similar. Yes, I'm back. Yeah.
Speaker 3: And your achilles in better shape. Your achilles is in
Speaker 3: fantastic shape.
Speaker 2: They are feeling pretty good.
Speaker 3: I've been checking them out.
Speaker 2: Don't knock on though, don't chinx me all.
Speaker 3: Right with the achilles, We will be sure not to
Speaker 3: do that.
Speaker 5: That's why he wears Georges is to show off, show
Speaker 5: off your chilles.
Speaker 3: Absolutely, absolutely, you have great in caprice.
Speaker 2: I want to tell you that I call them flood pants.
Speaker 3: That's what I had grown up.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 3: We're gonna break down every game Fantasy Football Weekly style,
Speaker 3: with letter grades on every player. We're gonna do take
Speaker 3: a chance on me with nine players that you would
Speaker 3: not normally start. But you can hear I've got a
Speaker 3: tremendous receiver option coming up. Ooh, three tough questions. As always,
Speaker 3: premature speculations, only around for a couple more weeks. Enjoy
Speaker 3: it while you can. We'll jump in the Fantasy Football
Speaker 3: Weekly time Machine a little bit later in this show. Brian,
Speaker 3: it's been a while since you been here. We're gonna
Speaker 3: go right to you. Jacksonville taking on Detroit. Are there
Speaker 3: any Jaguars to play in this game?
Speaker 4: Uh?
Speaker 2: Not many in this matchup with the big kiddies.
Speaker 4: Starting with the running backs for the Jaguars, I wasn't
Speaker 4: give Travis Etna see if Tank Bigsby were to sit,
Speaker 4: but it sounds like Bigsby is going to play with
Speaker 4: his ankle injury, so I have both etn and Bigsby
Speaker 4: on the bench. If Bigsby is active. If Bigsby's out,
Speaker 4: I will give etn ac. But it's not a great
Speaker 4: matchup for either. Only one running back has topped forty
Speaker 4: receiving yards against Detroit, so no receiving angle there, and
Speaker 4: they're very tough against running backs.
Speaker 2: On the ground.
Speaker 4: No opposing back has breached one hundred yards against the Lions,
Speaker 4: and then Detroit has also allowed just a rushing score
Speaker 4: at the position in three the last four or they
Speaker 4: have not allowed a rushing score in through the last four.
Speaker 4: Over to the receiving game for the Jaguars. Brian Thomas
Speaker 4: Junior BTJ. Gonna give him a C if he plays
Speaker 4: with the chest injury. He should. We all know that
Speaker 4: Mac Jones is going to be the quarterbacks. Let's a
Speaker 4: downgrade for the entire passing game. But BTJ has accounted
Speaker 4: for twenty six percent of the Jaguars air yards recently
Speaker 4: the highest share among Jaguars receiver receivers. Detroit is allowing
Speaker 4: more than one hundred and eighty yards per game to
Speaker 4: wide receivers in games script should favor the Jaguars pass game,
Speaker 4: So I will give BTJ as C. But Gabe Davis
Speaker 4: is on the bench. He is questionable to play, but even.
Speaker 3: He always off.
Speaker 2: Yeah, bet she's always on the bench.
Speaker 4: Evan Ingram not on the bench, show and give him
Speaker 4: the b anger has led the Jags in slot routes
Speaker 4: in the two games without Christian Kirk and last week
Speaker 4: Ingram led the entire team with nearly a forty percent
Speaker 4: target share. Since Week five, Detroit has allowed the most
Speaker 4: receiving yards per game slot receivers, which is basically what
Speaker 4: basically what Evan Ingrim is right now.
Speaker 5: So I mean they're the second worst on the season too.
Speaker 2: And speaking of bad mac Jones, he is on the bench.
Speaker 4: Yeah, he's on the bench, even though he's gonna throw
Speaker 4: a lot in this game, most likely over to the
Speaker 4: Detroit side, Jamiir Gibbs and David Montgomery, You're gonna give
Speaker 4: both of them an A.
Speaker 2: It's gonna be a lot of a's for the Detroit here.
Speaker 4: I mean Gibbs and Monty had the same number of
Speaker 4: opportunities this season. Those are carries and targets, so they
Speaker 4: are splitting the load. But it's a great matchup against Jacksonville,
Speaker 4: who has surrendered twelve total touchdowns over their last eight
Speaker 4: games to running backs.
Speaker 3: Is this the rare double Fonsie.
Speaker 2: The double Fonsie, you.
Speaker 3: Gotta call it? This is Phonsie's your guy.
Speaker 4: I can't use I can't use the Fonzie on two guys.
Speaker 2: That's not very efficient.
Speaker 4: Over to the past game, Amanros Saint Brown gets an A. Shockingly,
Speaker 4: the Jaguars are not one of the teams who picked
Speaker 4: another wide receiver.
Speaker 2: Over sun God.
Speaker 4: But I still love uh Amanra on this matchup, and
Speaker 4: Jamison Williams he gets to be.
Speaker 2: Jamo and sun.
Speaker 4: God were the only wide receivers who were targeted for
Speaker 4: Detroit last week, so they're the only two years starting
Speaker 4: against Jacksonville, who has allowed the seventh most catches and
Speaker 4: the fourth most yards to wide receivers this year. Over
Speaker 4: to the tight end spot, Sam Laporta real iffy with
Speaker 4: a shoulder injury. If he does suit up, I would
Speaker 4: give him a bee. If he's out, people will go
Speaker 4: to Brock right, but I think it's Zane Zilstra Who
Speaker 4: you want Zilstra.
Speaker 2: I can't go either way.
Speaker 4: It's a great matchup though it is for every line,
Speaker 4: but the Jaguars allowing more than five catches and sixty
Speaker 4: yards per game to tight ends. But if you're banking
Speaker 4: on Laporta, don't you gonna need a backup plan in place?
Speaker 4: And lastly, in a Jared goff it's the Jaguars help
Speaker 4: of allowed multiple touchdown passes and six or.
Speaker 3: The last eight. Gotta love Gough, He'll bounce back from
Speaker 3: the five interception game.
Speaker 2: I believe so.
Speaker 4: And by the way, five interceptions a lot worse than three, right, Yes, Okay,
Speaker 4: just wanted to make the king fans.
Speaker 2: Be aware of that.
Speaker 5: You're getting it. Check out.
Speaker 2: Okay, good making sure.
Speaker 3: Scott Raiders taking on the Dolphins. And you know, we
Speaker 3: were all really high on Brock Bauers coming into the season.
Speaker 3: You don't mind starting with Brock.
Speaker 5: Here's the thing.
Speaker 3: He is quietly on pace to set the all time
Speaker 3: rookie receiving record. Nobody talking about it. What Brock right
Speaker 3: is doing to the tight end position is no less
Speaker 3: than what Jaden Daniels is doing at the quarterback position.
Speaker 3: No talk about Brock Bauers possibly in any way, shape
Speaker 3: or form winning rookie of the.
Speaker 5: Yeah, they don't give it to quarterbacks. That's why it's
Speaker 5: just the only give what it is. But yeah, absolute
Speaker 5: monster year. That's why the A grade on him. Dolphin
Speaker 5: have allowed ten for seventy one to tight ends last week,
Speaker 5: A score of the week before McBride went off for
Speaker 5: like one hundred and twenty four the week before. You're
Speaker 5: not benching him. He's got double digit fantasy points in
Speaker 5: all but two games, so eight grade on Black Bowers.
Speaker 5: Let's stay in the passing game here, Gardner Minshew. I
Speaker 5: have a bench grade on the Dolphins. Have allowed multiple
Speaker 5: scores and two of the last three, but that was
Speaker 5: Kyler Murley and Josh Allen. Minshew has topped two hundred
Speaker 5: yards just once in the last five weeks, and that
Speaker 5: was two hundred and nine yards. He barely top two hundred.
Speaker 5: He needs scores and he's just got three in those
Speaker 5: five games, so he's on the bench. I do have
Speaker 5: a B grade on Jacoby Myers, who he's been good
Speaker 5: for a long time. We talked about this last year,
Speaker 5: but since DeVante Adams went out in Week three, no
Speaker 5: receiver outside of Myers his top forty one yards. So
Speaker 5: all the rest are on the bench. Yeah, for sure,
Speaker 5: there were three random scores, but good luck predicting those.
Speaker 5: Myers himself though, six plus catches and three straight thirteen
Speaker 5: plus Fantasy points in those three averaging no target. Are
Speaker 5: nine targets per game since Week three win Adams went out.
Speaker 5: That's a lot of volume.
Speaker 3: Yep, that would be if he finishes that way. I
Speaker 3: think the I think the target leader right now is
Speaker 3: at like eight and a half targets per game.
Speaker 5: Yeah, neighbors, Yeah you've You've heard me go over it
Speaker 5: a couple times this season. But the Dolphins rank was
Speaker 5: a bit of a mirage. Early in the season, the
Speaker 5: top target getter against the Dolphins for wide receivers six
Speaker 5: for even one hundred and eleven and one six for
Speaker 5: fifty and nine for ninety eight. In the last three weeks,
Speaker 5: there was even another seven for eighty in there. I
Speaker 5: got to be grade on Jacoby Myers. I like it.
Speaker 5: Over to the running game, I have bench grades on
Speaker 5: all of them. But I understand the dart throw on
Speaker 5: Alexander Madison just because of the pure volume. But he's
Speaker 5: top sixty five total yards just once this year, and
Speaker 5: it took twenty six touches.
Speaker 3: To get that meager number.
Speaker 5: Likewise, Miami and I picked sixty five specifically because like
Speaker 5: Miami hasn't allowed a rusher to hit sixty five yards
Speaker 5: since Week five.
Speaker 3: All right, So why are we not benching Alexander Madison Here.
Speaker 5: He's getting three catches a game and he's getting fifteen
Speaker 5: touches a game. All right, it's the volume seed. Actually, no,
Speaker 5: I had a bench, I said a bench. He's a
Speaker 5: dart throw. He's a dart throw bench Ah.
Speaker 3: Okay, when I hear dart throw, I think nope or startable.
Speaker 5: I have a bench. I have a bench grade with
Speaker 5: the dart marker in case you're really frisky. Okay, over
Speaker 5: over on the Miami. By the way, it's a mere
Speaker 5: white eleven for twenty four yards in the last three games.
Speaker 5: He's so inefficient it's ridiculous bigness by all of us. Really,
Speaker 5: Miami onto the Miami side to a tag of a
Speaker 5: tongue of Iloa. Bench grade here leads the league in
Speaker 5: completion percentage, but that's due to being dead last in
Speaker 5: average intended air yards five point four yards downfield, average
Speaker 5: completed air yards three point four yards downfield. He's dumping
Speaker 5: it off and leads the league in shortest time to throw,
Speaker 5: so they're hit. Their offense is get the ball out
Speaker 5: quick to your running back. Yeah.
Speaker 3: This problem is that doesn't equal fantasy points. No field
Speaker 3: passing for Devon.
Speaker 5: If only they had players that can catch doudfield, right,
Speaker 5: I can't think of anybody. Yeah, only averaging two hundred
Speaker 5: and thirty yards and a score with no multiple score games.
Speaker 5: I know the Raiders just got torched by Burrow and Mahomes.
Speaker 5: But this isn't really the Miami offense right now, so
Speaker 5: he's on the bench. I do have a B grade
Speaker 5: on Tyreek Hill though, double digit Fantasy points in the
Speaker 5: last three straight, although last week he had to get
Speaker 5: saved with the score. But he does have a great
Speaker 5: matchup against Jack Jones, who's allowed a one hundred and
Speaker 5: six rating against and three scores three of the seven
Speaker 5: Las Vegas scores allowed to wide receivers. Jalen Wattle I
Speaker 5: have on the bench. Is that controversial or not?
Speaker 3: Not really? Honestly, if you'd have benched him in their
Speaker 3: whatever ten games this year, I don't know if I remember,
Speaker 3: for they had their buy now games this year, you'd
Speaker 3: have been right on like eight out of the nine.
Speaker 5: Waddle hasn't topped four catches since week one. He hasn't
Speaker 5: topped sixty yards since week one.
Speaker 2: I was about to say, you might put him on
Speaker 2: the waiver wire at this point. Not the bench.
Speaker 5: Sabotage drop, Oh not much of the sabotage.
Speaker 3: Yeah, well we'll find out. We're gonna talk little sabotage drap.
Speaker 5: Yeah, it gets the tougher draw of Jacorey and Bennett
Speaker 5: allowing just thirty six percent come depletion rate in sixty
Speaker 5: point eight percent rating against. Raiders haven't allowed a sixty
Speaker 5: yard receiver since Week four and just three on the
Speaker 5: year total. Just a bad spot for him, so he's
Speaker 5: on the bench. John O'smith. John O Smith, however, is
Speaker 5: gaining a B grade, averaging about five catches per game.
Speaker 3: Uh.
Speaker 5: The last two weeks, the Raiders have been torched by
Speaker 5: tight ends. Gasseki went off last week, Kelsey went off
Speaker 5: the week before, just a bee as JOHNO doesn't quite
Speaker 5: see the volume that those guys do. Though. Devin Devon
Speaker 5: a CHAN however, A grade at his best, he's at
Speaker 5: his best with like that ten to twelve rushes and
Speaker 5: like five catches per game. Yes, and that's kind of
Speaker 5: what he's been doing lately. He's averaging six for fifty
Speaker 5: through the air in two of games. So that's eleven
Speaker 5: Fantasy points right there in PPR. So that's already getting
Speaker 5: you to a B. Then you add on the ten
Speaker 5: to twelve rushes. I have an A grade for him there.
Speaker 5: Raheem Mostert. They said last week's was games completely for
Speaker 5: that unique game script.
Speaker 3: Interesting that the one carried.
Speaker 5: Yeah, Mike McDaniel said that that was specifically for that
Speaker 5: game script, so there's hope for him. I could give
Speaker 5: him a seat. I'm going to give him a bench though,
Speaker 5: because Jalen Reight got five carries and I don't know
Speaker 5: how much they're going to start to split, so I'm
Speaker 5: going to keep him on the bench right now.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agreed with that. We're gonna try to sneak
Speaker 3: in one more Green Bay taking on Chicago. Lots of
Speaker 3: variables with the Bears right now, coaching change, possible team
Speaker 3: implosion or possible team rally, maybe benchings. They've got three
Speaker 3: injured offensive linemen, a couple could miss the game. Josh
Speaker 3: Jacobs will start with an eight grade. The surest easiest
Speaker 3: way to beat the Bears is on the ground. They've
Speaker 3: got a strong secondary, which will outline in a second volume.
Speaker 3: Backs farewell against Chicago. Backs with sixteen or more carries
Speaker 3: average one hundred one total yards and almost a full touchdown.
Speaker 3: He's averaging Jacobs eighteen carries, so he's above that threshold.
Speaker 3: Emmanuel Wilson not really a threat. He's had just four carries,
Speaker 3: four carries and four carries the last three games, so
Speaker 3: we got an eight grade on Josh Jacobs in this one.
Speaker 3: Let's go to the passing game and my favorite angle
Speaker 3: for the Packers, Tucker Craft sitting on a big game.
Speaker 3: The Bears are getting nuked by tight ends over the
Speaker 3: last month, opposing tight ends averaging seven catches for eighty
Speaker 3: nine yards. Oh, if that were applied to the full season,
Speaker 3: they would be easily the worst tight end defense in
Speaker 3: the league. And Chicago's been rocked recently by Austin Hooper
Speaker 3: Elijah Higgins.
Speaker 5: So yeah, all pros, all pro I mean literally, they're professional.
Speaker 5: They're all professionial, all professionals. That's right.
Speaker 3: Since Luke Musgrave's serious ankle injury back in Week four,
Speaker 3: Craft has seen all but three targets to Green baysed
Speaker 3: tight end position, So a great spot for him. In
Speaker 3: an A grade on Tucker Craft, Jalen Reid Jay didn't.
Speaker 3: Reid comes in with a B grade. He runs from
Speaker 3: the slot, so he's gonna avoid elite cornerback Jalen Johnson
Speaker 3: we'll talk about in a minute. Instead will face Kyler Gordon,
Speaker 3: who is also good. He's just not elite. Gordon hasn't
Speaker 3: allowed a touchdown all year, he's giving up just thirty
Speaker 3: yards per game in his coverage. That said, Reid is
Speaker 3: the best slot receiver Gordon has seen all year, and
Speaker 3: he's just a good player. So he's still in at
Speaker 3: a B grade. Here, Romeo Dobbs slumps down to a
Speaker 3: C and maybe even a bench grade. He's gonna see
Speaker 3: a lot of Jalen Johnson, maybe the league's best cornerback.
Speaker 3: Johnson's average game allowed in his coverage is insane one
Speaker 3: and a half catches, twenty one yards per game and
Speaker 3: zero scores. Dobbs has massive downside in this one. In fact,
Speaker 3: I'm putting him on the bench. Out of the bench, Romeoops,
Speaker 3: there you go. Your dart throw is Christian Watson. So
Speaker 3: if Johnson's gonna be on Dobbs, Watson is going to
Speaker 3: see Tyreek Stevenson. You all remember Tyreek Stevenson from the
Speaker 3: Hail Mary play with the Washington Commanders. You know that
Speaker 3: worked out. He's now allowed two scores in his last
Speaker 3: three games. He's Pro Football focuses eighty sixth ranked coverage cornerback,
Speaker 3: and even though he's not on the field a ton,
Speaker 3: he's on a lot more than other receivers that you
Speaker 3: could go through down the depth chart, and I think
Speaker 3: he's got a chance here at one of those Christian
Speaker 3: Watson patented big big games or at least big plays.
Speaker 3: So that leaves us with Jordan Love. His grind injury
Speaker 3: fully healed. Love put up two very good games against
Speaker 3: Chicago last year. He finished his quarterback two and quarterback
Speaker 3: three for those two weeks in the matchups against Chicago,
Speaker 3: and his receivers matchups range in the a's, b's, and c's.
Speaker 3: So I've got a B grade on Jordan Love in
Speaker 3: this one. On the Chicago side, the entire passing game
Speaker 3: is obviously on the bench, obviously, and there's no helping
Speaker 3: this group right now, and they've lost the benefit of
Speaker 3: the doubt. Including DJ Moore. Here's the yardage of his
Speaker 3: last four games. Twenty yards, twenty seven yards, thirty three yards,
Speaker 3: and twenty four yards no scores. He is the eighth
Speaker 3: highest paid wide receiver in the NFL.
Speaker 2: Well, he runs routes out of bounds. He runs right
Speaker 2: out to the bench.
Speaker 3: Yeah, just doesn't tell you the route, now, Yeah, that's right.
Speaker 3: Continue your out route all the way into the bench
Speaker 3: and just sit down. So and this and more is
Speaker 3: the good receiver of this group, so they're all out.
Speaker 3: Last guy we're going to talk about here, DeAndre Swift.
Speaker 3: Swift had a great October, but its November and September
Speaker 3: were miserable. As you look at the totality of the
Speaker 3: struggles of this offense, have weighed a DeAndre Swift down.
Speaker 3: I expect a lot of volume from Swift in this game,
Speaker 3: but let's watch the tackles, right, Braxton Jones, Darnel Right,
Speaker 3: If they're not healthy enough to block in front of him,
Speaker 3: I don't think you can start him. If they do go,
Speaker 3: then I'm okay with a C grade on Swift. Mostly
Speaker 3: through volume packers right in the middle of the league
Speaker 3: in every run defensive metric, and man, do they need
Speaker 3: to get some running game going in Chicago. Get a
Speaker 3: little heat off that passing offense. When we come back,
Speaker 3: take a chance on me. Nine players that you can
Speaker 3: start that you normally would not. Many of these guys
Speaker 3: are available on the waiver wire. Will tell you who
Speaker 3: they are when we come back. Take a chance on
Speaker 3: me nine players not normally in your starting lineup. Find
Speaker 3: out who you can pick up off the waiver wire potentially,
Speaker 3: and start. We begin at the quarterback position and Scott
Speaker 3: Fish or.
Speaker 5: Possibly just a guy you have been starting that's on
Speaker 5: your bench. For me quarterback this week week, I'm going
Speaker 5: with Justin Herbert. Bengals allow the fourth most fantasy points
Speaker 5: to quarterbacks, allowing bottom ten in attempts, completions, passing yards,
Speaker 5: passing touchdowns. They're also the worst in the league against
Speaker 5: fantasy quarterbacks on the ground. Justin Herbert ran it nine times.
Speaker 5: Last shot nine times. Yeah, shot on the uphick. But
Speaker 5: that also kind of tells you that maybe that ankle
Speaker 5: injury that started the season, maybe that was the cause
Speaker 5: of some of the low volume and the lack of
Speaker 5: running and rough day against Tennessee last week obviously, but yeah,
Speaker 5: despite that, he has three hundred plus or multiple scores
Speaker 5: and four straight I like.
Speaker 3: I like that they're opening up the passing offense more.
Speaker 3: And it might just be because JK. Dobbins isn't running
Speaker 3: like he did earlier in the year yea, so maybe
Speaker 3: they're forced to. But I like that we're getting some
Speaker 3: volume out of Justin Herbert. Nap Brian, let's go to
Speaker 3: yr take a chance at me quarterback.
Speaker 4: Speaking of mobile quarterbacks, how about Drake May has.
Speaker 2: The Rams this week at home.
Speaker 4: May is second in scrambling yards versus pressure among quarterbacks.
Speaker 2: I bet he is.
Speaker 4: He has even played. He has even played four and
Speaker 4: a half games. Drake May is averaging the season nearly Yeah.
Speaker 4: On the season, he's averaging nearly ten yards per carry.
Speaker 4: He has two hundred and thirty three yards on twenty
Speaker 4: five carries. Put that into perspective. Anthony Richardson has two
Speaker 4: hundred and forty two yards on forty one carries. Josh
Speaker 4: Allen two sixty one on fifty five. Drake May is mobile,
Speaker 4: af like he has established, has to be a very
Speaker 4: nice rushing floor. And there's upside potential in the passing
Speaker 4: game here against the Rams, who have allowed the eighth
Speaker 4: highest passing yards per game, the eighth highest passer rating,
Speaker 4: and the second highest pass yards per attempt. So I
Speaker 4: was begging you to trade Drake May to you in
Speaker 4: the Empire earlier this season.
Speaker 2: Charge.
Speaker 3: Thank you very much.
Speaker 2: You're welcome. I am so upset Drake May baller.
Speaker 3: Russell Wilson, I don't even know if he qualifies for
Speaker 3: take a chance on me. I don't know.
Speaker 5: You know, some of these are just guys. You don't
Speaker 5: start very often.
Speaker 3: Right. Let's wake up to Russell Wilson, who's finished as
Speaker 3: a top ten quarterback in two of his three starts,
Speaker 3: and this is the easiest matchup of his year, at
Speaker 3: least until he plays the Ravens again next month. Baltimore
Speaker 3: gives up the most passing yards three hundred and fourteen
Speaker 3: per game, the most passing touchdowns two point one per game.
Speaker 3: Five of the past six quarterbacks to face the Ravens
Speaker 3: have thrown multiple touchdowns, and four of the past five
Speaker 3: have topped three hundred and thirty four yards. Kyle Hamilton
Speaker 3: may not play in this game. It's all set up
Speaker 3: for another solid finish for Russell Wilson.
Speaker 4: I saw that Wilson needs two touchdown passes and he
Speaker 4: will be the He led the most touchdown passes since
Speaker 4: Ben Roethlisberger retired, and.
Speaker 2: He's any Steeler.
Speaker 3: That's four games.
Speaker 2: That's four games.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's gonna be game four and he's gonna top
Speaker 3: anything Kenny Pickett did in the season. Unbelievable. Let's go
Speaker 3: to the running back position, and it is thin this week.
Speaker 3: We as a group, we struggle. Yeah, fine, guys here.
Speaker 5: And this might be another one. He's on a roster,
Speaker 5: but you haven't been starting him because he hasn't been
Speaker 5: gaining a lot of yards. Minds, Nick Chubb. The Saints
Speaker 5: and Browns are tied for the second most rushing plays
Speaker 5: over twenty yards allowed, and which is good for chob
Speaker 5: and Kamara on the other side of that same matchup,
Speaker 5: but Saints are fourth worst against runners, allowing the highest
Speaker 5: yards per carry at five point two per clip, which
Speaker 5: is again very good for Job. Seventh most total yards,
Speaker 5: second most scores allowed to backs, good spot for job, Brian, you're.
Speaker 3: Taking a chance with me running back?
Speaker 4: Yeah, Denver's Audric estimay at home against the Falcons. Now
Speaker 4: adds are Estima was added in your league this week,
Speaker 4: use the top pickup among running backs, But you're questioning
Speaker 4: if you should start him against the Falcons, and I
Speaker 4: think you should. Estimate led the Broncos backs an opportunity
Speaker 4: share last week, also average and impressive two point one
Speaker 4: yards per contact after attempt. Javonte Williams and Julia McLoughlin
Speaker 4: have not been getting it done. Estimate should be the
Speaker 4: lead back against the Falcons, who have allowed the eleventh
Speaker 4: highest explosive run rate in the twelfth most rushing yards
Speaker 4: per game to the position.
Speaker 3: All right, I can't. It's very rare that I throw
Speaker 3: to take a chance to be a player who I
Speaker 3: probably would not give a letter grade two. But again,
Speaker 3: if pickens are thin this week, so just work with me.
Speaker 3: Here and a bunch of teams on by Houston running
Speaker 3: back dare Agon Bowwalla. Sure, here's the thinking. You have
Speaker 3: to think two things are going to happen. One, Houston
Speaker 3: is going to blow out the Cowboys, much like the
Speaker 3: Eagles did last week. Obviously, the Dallas offense looks dead
Speaker 3: in the water, and here's Houston. They're going to get
Speaker 3: an uptick with Nico Collins coming back. And then secondarily
Speaker 3: you have to think into this as well. Houston needs
Speaker 3: to start taking some mileage off of Joe Mixon. He's
Speaker 3: averaging a league high twenty six carries per game. They
Speaker 3: can't keep running Joe Mixon like this. So if youu
Speaker 3: sting his way ahead, Daria Gumbowale is the backup right now.
Speaker 3: Damian Pierce, still hurt, may play in this game. But
Speaker 3: why would you bring in an injured player with a
Speaker 3: groin injury into a blowout game? I don't think Pierce
Speaker 3: is going to be a factor here even if he's available.
Speaker 3: So in last week's blowout against Dallas, the Eagles backup
Speaker 3: runners totaled seventy three yards. The week before that, Atlanta's
Speaker 3: backup Tyler L. Geers scored a touchdown. So, Daria Gumbowale,
Speaker 3: I get it.
Speaker 5: It is thin week. I'm gonna throw the two from
Speaker 5: the last matchup on here as bonus is where raheem
Speaker 5: mostered in what could be a blowt on Miami side.
Speaker 5: He gets a bunch of run at the end and
Speaker 5: a miredula in the blowouts. He gets three plus catches
Speaker 5: in each of the blow outs because he's in there
Speaker 5: on passing down work. I could see four or five
Speaker 5: catches out of that.
Speaker 3: So some deep Darth throws, some deeper Darth.
Speaker 5: Throws because they weren't as deep as week.
Speaker 3: All right, I like it. Go to the receivers, Scott.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna get a little grimy here, actually, Marquez Valdez
Speaker 5: scantly as you like to call it. The New Orleans
Speaker 5: Saints Cleveland allows the fifth most Fantasy points to the
Speaker 5: perimeter and have allowed the fifth most twenty plus yard receptions.
Speaker 5: MBS's average depth of target is twenty three yards. He's
Speaker 5: kind of saying he is kind of their deep guy.
Speaker 5: Last week he led with all the injuries they have
Speaker 5: out there, he led the wide receivers in routes, run targets,
Speaker 5: red zone target snaps, all of it. So he could
Speaker 5: be out there quite a bit again this week. Jamal
Speaker 5: Williams is out, so they only have one. He could
Speaker 5: be out there a lot. A couple of deep targets
Speaker 5: is all it'll take.
Speaker 3: It's not gonna be Mason Tipton.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'll tell you that. Yeah, he is not working.
Speaker 3: No, that is not working out, Brian, You're taking chance
Speaker 3: from your receiver.
Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna get even grimier. M I Nngo
Speaker 2: and Mingo.
Speaker 5: Was his name.
Speaker 4: I got Jonathan Mingo. No, I'm just kidding. I'm not
Speaker 4: doing that. I'm still laughing at that trade. I decided
Speaker 4: to take a shot at the old Jared Mingo traded.
Speaker 4: Hilarious anyway. In reality, I have Ricky Parasol of the
Speaker 4: forty nine ers at home against the Seahawks. A lot
Speaker 4: of malice defeat in forty nine er Land Pearsall might
Speaker 4: be fourth or fifth in the pecking order, but he's
Speaker 4: worth a dart throw against the Seahawks, who have allowed
Speaker 4: the fourth most fantasy points per game and the third
Speaker 4: most receiving yards per game to boundary wideouts. That is
Speaker 4: what pearsall is. So let's go Ree bulletproof.
Speaker 3: Dalton Kincaid has been ruled out of Sunday's big matchup
Speaker 3: with the Chiefs. That puts Dawson Knox on the field
Speaker 3: for almost every snap, maybe all of them, who knows,
Speaker 3: against the league's worst tight end defense, Kansas City dead
Speaker 3: last in receptions and yards allowed to tight ends, Kansas
Speaker 3: City giving up seventy eight yards per game to the position.
Speaker 3: That is ten more than the thirty first ranked tight
Speaker 3: end defense. And if you think Dawson Knox isn't a
Speaker 3: big enough name for you, let me mention this last
Speaker 3: week against Kansas City, Adam Trautman and Lucas Krawl combined
Speaker 3: for fifty five yards against Kansas City. Dawson Knox I
Speaker 3: love him. This week. I could build whole DFS lineups
Speaker 3: just around Dawson Knox.
Speaker 2: Fort Knox.
Speaker 3: He's like, let's go Fort Knox on that. I like it.
Speaker 3: Let's also go to the Los Angeles Rams taking on
Speaker 3: the Patriots Brian Kyron Williams one of my very favorite
Speaker 3: plays of the day. I've either got him first or
Speaker 3: second among my running back rankings this week.
Speaker 2: Yeah, easy for my boy, Kyron.
Speaker 4: New England allowing more than one hundred and forty five
Speaker 4: combo yards and a touchdown per game to running backs.
Speaker 4: So you are starting Kiren obviously, you are going to
Speaker 4: start Poka Nakua as well. He gets an A fourteen
Speaker 4: targets for Puca last week, the rest of the Rams
Speaker 4: wide receivers combined for sixteen. Now this is on a
Speaker 4: like a per game basis. We know Puka's missed some time. Yeah,
Speaker 4: but he's being targeted even more this year than in
Speaker 4: his than in his historic rookie season last year. His
Speaker 4: target up percentage was twenty eight percent last year, thirty
Speaker 4: two percent this year with a Cooper Cup pretty healthy,
Speaker 4: So Puka in line for a big game. Cooper Cup
Speaker 4: has potential as well, but only b for him. Volume
Speaker 4: in game script are a bit of a concern for
Speaker 4: Cup and Pooka for that matter, But still going to
Speaker 4: start Cup. New England is allowing only twelve catches unless
Speaker 4: than one hundred and fifty yards per game to white
Speaker 4: House as a whole not great, but I don't know
Speaker 4: how you're sitting Cooper Cup in any format.
Speaker 3: The thing I like about Cup is the Patriots' best
Speaker 3: corners of the two outside corners, and so I like
Speaker 3: working around those two. And I think I'm more optimistic
Speaker 3: about Cup than you are here.
Speaker 2: I think, yeah, they'll work the middle of the field
Speaker 2: a lot.
Speaker 4: And that's why I kind of like Davis Allen tight
Speaker 4: end for the Rams, not my boy Colby Parkinson. Sadly
Speaker 4: it appears to be over for Colby. I was in
Speaker 4: on him in the preseason. But it is a great
Speaker 4: spot playing tight end for the Rams and a good
Speaker 4: matchup for Davis Allen, who caught five of six targets
Speaker 4: last week. New England allowing nearly five catches and fifty
Speaker 4: yards per game to tight ends. We'll take that in
Speaker 4: the wasteland if you're desperate. Davis Allen is out there,
Speaker 4: so I grab him if you need him. But I
Speaker 4: do have Matt Stafford on the bench. Just because all
Speaker 4: his receivers have starting grades doesn't mean they're all going
Speaker 4: to come through. They just have that potential. Stafford zero
Speaker 4: or one touchdown pass in seven of nine games this year.
Speaker 2: Not great.
Speaker 4: Feels like more of a Kiren game this week. So
Speaker 4: Stafford on the bench over the New England side. Most
Speaker 4: of them are on the bench, but not Ramandre Stevenson.
Speaker 2: Gonna give him a bee.
Speaker 4: Since Week eight, Stevenson has played at least seventy percent
Speaker 4: of the offensive snaps in every game, averaging twenty touches.
Speaker 2: That's basically bellcout territory.
Speaker 4: And Rombo has a nice matchup on paper against LA,
Speaker 4: allowing one hundred and forty four combo yards to backs
Speaker 4: on nearly thirty touches per game. So I like Stevenson.
Speaker 4: I don't like Kishan Butte to Mario Douglass or Jalen Polk.
Speaker 4: You just don't know who's going to get it done
Speaker 4: in this game. So they're all on the bench for me.
Speaker 4: Hunter Henry is not though he gets to see opposing
Speaker 4: tight ends or averaging five catches sixty yards per game
Speaker 4: against the Rams. Will also take that in the tight
Speaker 4: end Wasteland and Drake may I love him.
Speaker 2: Might take a chance on me quarterback.
Speaker 3: Yeah, there we go, Ramondre Stevenson. Sadly, you know running
Speaker 3: backs have a short life span and this one is
Speaker 3: I feel like we're gonna lose one of the really
Speaker 3: good Ramandre Stevenson's years behind this terar offensive line, and
Speaker 3: you know, just a season that was over before it
Speaker 3: started with the Patriots. Whereas in some other universe, Romandri
Speaker 3: Stevenson in twenty twenty four is a fourteen hundred yard
Speaker 3: rusher with thirteen touchdowns.
Speaker 2: You know he would been the best running back in
Speaker 2: the Belichick era, right.
Speaker 3: Well, I mean pretty much arguably, although Belichick would always
Speaker 3: have that Spike, the weird Spike year where somebody would.
Speaker 5: Go Cyrus Gray or whatever was that his name, Jonas
Speaker 5: that was.
Speaker 3: A spike game. I'm thinking of the Spike seasons called
Speaker 3: Carrott Blunt when he led the NFL and rushing touchdowns
Speaker 3: one year. Rn Jarvis green ellis there we go some
Speaker 3: of the classics from the Belichick era. When we come
Speaker 3: back Browns and Saints. There's not a lot to like here,
Speaker 3: but it's Yolo Winston in a revenge game? Are you
Speaker 3: starting Jamis Winston Cedric Tillman find out when we come
Speaker 3: back Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back to Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 3: We've got a block of games for you. Paul Chargia
Speaker 3: Scott Fish and Brian Johnson with you, Scott we Go
Speaker 3: Brown's Saints. I don't know where this qualifies on the
Speaker 3: revenge scale.
Speaker 5: Because everybody likes Jamison.
Speaker 3: With Jameis Winston, everybody had nice things to say about him.
Speaker 3: I don't know. I don't sense that there's like a
Speaker 3: real like revenge motivation here. But Brian, Brian's the official
Speaker 3: revenge spokesperson here at at a revenge counter. What do
Speaker 3: you what do you think it's moving?
Speaker 2: Oh, let's put it that way, talking about this revenge game.
Speaker 3: Because he had to move from Yeah, yeah, that's.
Speaker 2: What I'm talking.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's what you meant.
Speaker 2: I'm excited.
Speaker 5: Okay, put it all right. I'm I do have a
Speaker 5: se grade on Jameis Winsday.
Speaker 3: I like it more than you do.
Speaker 5: Even Yeah, well I could be talked into a bee
Speaker 5: very easily, honest one, as you got. He's second behind
Speaker 5: only Anthony Richardson in average completed air yards when connecting
Speaker 5: its downfield. Really to know when's surprised with Jameis Winstein.
Speaker 5: The Saints rank middle of the pack against quarterbacks due
Speaker 5: to mostly being a bend, don't break type of defense.
Speaker 5: They allow the fourth most yards. They have three hundred
Speaker 5: plus yard passers and half their games, but just eight
Speaker 5: passing touchdowns allowed in on the season.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 5: Reminder that Marshawn Latimore is no longer there. I know
Speaker 5: he missed some time anyway, but he's no longer there.
Speaker 5: Just two multi score games against the New Orleans Saints.
Speaker 5: So I have a C grade. You could talk me
Speaker 5: into a bee because I have grades on basically all
Speaker 5: his receivers in this one.
Speaker 3: Cedric Tilman, I think, and Latimer would have been perfect
Speaker 3: on Cedric Tillman because Tilman's a big bodied, physical receiver.
Speaker 5: As long as Tilban's on the right, because they're on
Speaker 5: the left, gad right. Latimore stays on one side, stays
Speaker 5: on the right. Uh yeah, Cedric Tillman. I have an
Speaker 5: A grade on Tillman weeks seven through nine, the three
Speaker 5: weeks before the bye, Tilman was Fantasy Wide Receivers number
Speaker 5: one wide receiver love twenty one for two fifty five
Speaker 5: and three scores on thirty two targets in those three games. Now,
Speaker 5: two of them were Jamis games. The third one Jamis
Speaker 5: came in at the end, but he targeted Tilman three
Speaker 5: times and the two point conversion caught a twenty five
Speaker 5: yard er. Saints. This allowed the six most receptions, third
Speaker 5: most yards to wide receivers. But here's where Tilman comes in.
Speaker 5: Third most pass plays over twenty yards, the most pass
Speaker 5: plays over forty yards allowed. That's Tilman. He's the deep guy.
Speaker 5: He's the deep guy all right. On Tilman, I gave
Speaker 5: him in a I gave him to May because he's
Speaker 5: getting a few deep shots per game, catching three of those,
Speaker 5: and two scores on twenty plus yards from Tilman, so
Speaker 5: eight grade there. I have c grades on Judy and
Speaker 5: more because the target distribution is actually very even with
Speaker 5: Winston more twenty one targets, Tilman twenty, Judy nineteen in
Speaker 5: these two games. Just a lot of targets for all
Speaker 5: of them. But Jerry Judy hasn't scored Week one, Elijah
Speaker 5: Moore hasn't scored this year, so that's really tough. The
Speaker 5: Saints allowed the most fantasy points to the slot completely
Speaker 5: and as I just mentioned, more leads and targets with
Speaker 5: Winston out there, the low a hot sucks and Morse
Speaker 5: catch right of eleven of those twenty one sucks. But
Speaker 5: he's getting the volume, he's getting the work. Jerry Judy
Speaker 5: has five plus catches and seventy plus yards in both
Speaker 5: Jamis games. They're getting just enough to be C level,
Speaker 5: so I got C grades on them, David and Joku.
Speaker 5: I got a B grade on the lead. The lead
Speaker 5: tight end against the Saints has top forty yards in
Speaker 5: all but one game, so consistently getting yards on them,
Speaker 5: but only one score. As evidenced by earlier they're just
Speaker 5: not breaking. They're not allowing the passing touchdowns, but they're
Speaker 5: allowing ten tons of yards. The last two were four
Speaker 5: for fifty five, four for eighty seven from the tight ends.
Speaker 5: In Djoku himself four straight games with five plus catches
Speaker 5: averanerging about fifty yards. So if you're telling me five
Speaker 5: for fifty and a coin flip for a score, that's
Speaker 5: that's probably a B grade out of Ndjoku. And of
Speaker 5: course Nick Chubb was my take a chance on me
Speaker 5: runner over on the New Orleans side, I do have
Speaker 5: a bench grade on Derek Carr. I know he's been
Speaker 5: C level serviceable since his return. With that two hundred
Speaker 5: and fifty yards and one to two scores, this is
Speaker 5: a top ten Browns pass defense against the pass that
Speaker 5: have allowed multiple scores and lots of yards and four
Speaker 5: straight I get that, but let's look at let's look
Speaker 5: at what they've done the first half of the season.
Speaker 5: Prescott Lawrence, Daniel Jones, Minshew held completely down under two
Speaker 5: hundred or around two hundred the last five games. Jane Daniels,
Speaker 5: Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson, and Justin Herbert are
Speaker 5: the ones that scored all those points. Derek Carr is
Speaker 5: more like the first half, so I can see given
Speaker 5: him a C grade. It might it might be a
Speaker 5: place where he'll have to throw a lot, but I
Speaker 5: think I think I'm gonna leave him on the bench.
Speaker 5: Marquez Valdez Scantling was the only receiver I would I'm
Speaker 5: willing to start in this pass offense, and I gave him.
Speaker 5: I take a chance on me player Taysom Hill. I
Speaker 5: get the dart throw, like he had sixty three percent
Speaker 5: participation last week. He was running routes a lot. Andy
Speaker 5: got four carries because they don't have anyone behind Kamara,
Speaker 5: and they don't have any wide receivers, so he's got
Speaker 5: to be out there a lot. So I get the
Speaker 5: dart throw. I still wouldn't do it. It's a tough
Speaker 5: defense against tight ends. I wouldn't do it there. I
Speaker 5: can elaborate if you want, but you know they're top
Speaker 5: seven in a lot of categories against tight ends. B
Speaker 5: grade for Alvin Kamara. The Browns allow a lot of explosives,
Speaker 5: second most rushes over twenty plus yards. They rank six
Speaker 5: best against fantasy running backs. And the part where which
Speaker 5: really sucks for Kamara is the Browns allow twenty four
Speaker 5: scoreless yards per game against backs, no scores, and just
Speaker 5: twenty four in the air. Yes, excuse me, in the air.
Speaker 5: That's Kamara's game. I'm gonna go with the Kamara side
Speaker 5: because I feel like he's the best one they will
Speaker 5: have faced out of all of them. He's averaging five
Speaker 5: plus catches in seven straight. They just have no receivers.
Speaker 5: They're gonna have to get that five plus catches in
Speaker 5: fifty to sixty yards that he's averaging. So pair that
Speaker 5: with the fifteen team plus touch volume he gets. I'm
Speaker 5: gonna give him the B grade in this one.
Speaker 3: Taysom Hill as a goal line threat as well.
Speaker 5: Yeah, very possible, very possible. That's why he gets the dart.
Speaker 5: I him on the bench, But he gets the dart for.
Speaker 3: That Ravens taking on the Steelers in a huge mismatch.
Speaker 3: The kryptonite for the Ravens and Lamar Jackson is the Steelers.
Speaker 3: We'll talk this through here. Dereck Henry, I believe, is
Speaker 3: sitting on potentially a huge volume game the Steelers. The
Speaker 3: pass rush for the Steelers so good, it's just easier
Speaker 3: to run on them if you can. The Steelers just
Speaker 3: a middle of the pack run defense, and the Ravens
Speaker 3: rank number four in ESPN's run block win rate. So
Speaker 3: Henry should be sitting on a very big game. And
Speaker 3: of course you were going to start him anyway, but
Speaker 3: no hesitation here whatsoever. Let's go over to the passing game. Say,
Speaker 3: Flowers has been an all or nothing fantasy producer, and
Speaker 3: a lot of that is if Henry just dominates the game,
Speaker 3: then there's not enough ball to go around for Jay
Speaker 3: Flowers sometimes, and he posted it up last week, but
Speaker 3: he was solid in four of the five games prior
Speaker 3: to that. And Jay Flowers is also really good, so
Speaker 3: I mean there's that too. Flowers runs from all parts
Speaker 3: of the field, evenly left right slot, and that means
Speaker 3: he'll see all three of the Steelers starting cornerbacks, and
Speaker 3: really none of them a troubling matchup. They've got PFF
Speaker 3: rankings in coverage as cornerback seventy, cornerback eighty nine, and
Speaker 3: quarterback one hundred.
Speaker 5: Dait was Porter one of those one of those.
Speaker 3: Really, you know, I've got this theory on Joey Porter Jr. Okay,
Speaker 3: if his name was I don't know, Willie Jackson, we
Speaker 3: wouldn't think anything about him. But his name is Joey
Speaker 3: Porter Junior.
Speaker 5: He went for a long stretch last year, allowing like
Speaker 5: twenty some yards per game. But yeah, maybe this year.
Speaker 3: Maybe he's just kind of a guy this year.
Speaker 5: Okay, that's interesting. Interesting.
Speaker 3: Mark Andrews surged last week with Isaiah likely out, but
Speaker 3: likely's probably going to come back for this one. Andrews
Speaker 3: has scored in four of the last five. Steelers are
Speaker 3: one of the better tight end defenses, but good tight
Speaker 3: ends find their way to productive days. Kyle Pitts, zach Ertz,
Speaker 3: Brock Bauers, Jake Ferguson.
Speaker 5: I wanted noted for the record. He just called Kyle
Speaker 5: Pitts a good tight end.
Speaker 3: I said, good, Yeah, good.
Speaker 2: We're gonna talk about Kyle Pitts a little later on
Speaker 2: this show.
Speaker 3: And that'll be the rest of the show.
Speaker 5: How did Brad get the Felcons again?
Speaker 3: How did that work out?
Speaker 1: He? Uh?
Speaker 3: Those receiver are those tight ends averaging six catches for
Speaker 3: fifty yards. So Mike Mark Andrews a C grade with
Speaker 3: likely and a B grade without likely in this matchup.
Speaker 3: Let's go over to by the way. If you haven't
Speaker 3: dropped Deontay Johnson yet, drop Deontay Johnson. Let's go to
Speaker 3: the Pittsburgh side. Russell Wilsons might take a chance on
Speaker 3: me quarterback. Let's go to George Pickens surging under Russell Wilson.
Speaker 3: He's finished as a top four Fantasy wide receiver in
Speaker 3: two of three Wilson starts. And as I mentioned last segment,
Speaker 3: Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton may not play in this game
Speaker 3: after his ankle sprain last week. And Hamilton is the
Speaker 3: perfect guy to pick up coverage at George Pickens. He's
Speaker 3: so big and physical. Pickens is just gonna dominate the
Speaker 3: rest of the cornerbacks.
Speaker 5: I love that took a couple of year, but Wilson,
Speaker 5: someone finally realized you just have to throw it within
Speaker 5: nine feet. The right of George Pickens, and he's gonna
Speaker 5: grab it with two fingers, which.
Speaker 3: Kenny Pikett couldn't do. He couldn't put it with the
Speaker 3: ninth feet of George Pickens. He runs overwhelmingly on the
Speaker 3: left side of the field. That's the aforementioned matchup against
Speaker 3: Brandon Stevens, who ranks his corn as Pro Football focuses
Speaker 3: cornerback one hundred and ten. I think there's only one
Speaker 3: hundred and thirteen ranked cornerbacks. It's that bad. Love George Pickens.
Speaker 3: Here a gray. The only other element of the receiving
Speaker 3: game is Pat Fryarmouth, who hasn't actually been helped by
Speaker 3: Russell Wilson as much as other Steelers, as usage has
Speaker 3: actually gone down, averaging just two catches for twenty nine
Speaker 3: yards under Russ. But the Ravens are such a leaky
Speaker 3: tight end defense that I think Friarmuth is still startable here.
Speaker 3: They're giving up sixty eight yards per game. Last week,
Speaker 3: Tanner Hudson and Mike Caseki combined for ten catches and
Speaker 3: seventy two yards against Baltimore. For the past five opponents
Speaker 3: of top sixty one one tight end yards, so friar
Speaker 3: moves in play here c grade on him, and then
Speaker 3: we've only got the running backs left. Naji Harris, He's
Speaker 3: looked vastly improved under Russell Wilson. Under justin fields, Harris's
Speaker 3: average finish was running back twenty seven under russ it
Speaker 3: vaults up to running back thirteen with touchdowns or one
Speaker 3: hundred yards in every game or both. But the Ravens
Speaker 3: run defense is elite. They've allowed the second fewest rushing yards,
Speaker 3: just fifty six per game. No opposing runner his top
Speaker 3: fifty two yards against Baltimore, which is we're running in
Speaker 3: we're heading into week eleven and nobody's top fifty two yards.
Speaker 3: That's amazing. Also, Baltimore sees the league's lowest rushing play percentage,
Speaker 3: just thirty three percent. Your hope here for Naji Harris,
Speaker 3: your best hope is receiving production. Five straight opponents have
Speaker 3: caught at least forty two yards against Baltimore. Harris could
Speaker 3: help out through the air here, and especially with Jalen
Speaker 3: Warren who's got a issue. We don't know for sure
Speaker 3: if he's gonna go, and he might be a game
Speaker 3: time decision on that back. And if that's the case,
Speaker 3: then I like Najie Harris more than the sea level
Speaker 3: I've got him at. I'd move him up to a
Speaker 3: B grade if warrent sits. And either way, because there's
Speaker 3: such a tough run defense, we're not gonna start.
Speaker 5: And Harris has a back injury. I mean he'll go,
Speaker 5: but man, yeah, banged up.
Speaker 3: I believe, I'm not positive. I think they took him
Speaker 3: off the injury report on Friday. OK, We're still monitoring
Speaker 3: that one. Yeah, all right, Brian. Our final matchup for
Speaker 3: this segment, Atlanta Falcons taking on the Denver Broncos. Are
Speaker 3: you gonna start with Kyle Pitts in this one? Are
Speaker 3: we gonna just? Is that just your whole plan? Is
Speaker 3: that the only reason you're here?
Speaker 2: I kind of wanted to build up to the thoughts,
Speaker 2: but why not a Kyle? We'll get into why.
Speaker 4: I don't like this game for the Falcons wide receivers,
Speaker 4: but I love it for Pitts, who owns an impressive
Speaker 4: two point eight yards per route run against single high
Speaker 4: safety coverage.
Speaker 2: That is an elite clip.
Speaker 4: The Broncos deploy a ton of single high Denver, also
Speaker 4: allowing more than five catches per game to tight ends
Speaker 4: Monster games for Brock Bowers, Travis Kelcey against Denver. Yes,
Speaker 4: I put Kyle Pitts in that range, so I love Pits.
Speaker 2: He gets an a. Darnell Moody and Drake London, I
Speaker 2: don't love them as much. They both get a.
Speaker 4: See bad spot for both, probably especially London, who will
Speaker 4: be shadowed by Patrick Surtan for the majority of the game,
Speaker 4: one would think, but maybe Mooney sees one, Sir Tan Mooney,
Speaker 4: pretty good receiver as well. You'd be the best receiver
Speaker 4: on the Bears if you still in Chicago anyway, Just
Speaker 4: to see for both though. The Broncos allowing the twelve
Speaker 4: fewest PPR points per game to wide outs, and whoever
Speaker 4: Sirtan is on, he just erases wide outs, so Kirk Cousins,
Speaker 4: just to see for him. I like Pitts, I don't
Speaker 4: love the receivers. As I just mentioned, only Lamar Jackson
Speaker 4: and Patrick Mahomes were able top two hundred and forty
Speaker 4: passing yards against Denver this year. Multiple passing scorers allowed
Speaker 4: in just two of ten games for the Broncos. It's
Speaker 4: all gonna be all about Bijon and Pitts on this one.
Speaker 4: I got an a On Bijon. Denver allowing nearly one
Speaker 4: hundred and thirty convoy yards per game to running backs.
Speaker 4: They surrendered nine catches to Kansas City's backfield last week.
Speaker 4: Bijon is one of three running backs with at least
Speaker 4: forty catches on the year.
Speaker 2: He is a great receiver over to the Denver side.
Speaker 2: Not a lot here.
Speaker 4: Audrick Estime liked Tim he was might take a chance
Speaker 4: with me running back. I do like Courtland Sutton. The
Speaker 4: Falcons are gonna be without two starting cornerbacks and a
Speaker 4: third depth corner.
Speaker 2: Sutton's targets. Since his zero target game.
Speaker 4: In Week seven nine ten eleven, Sutton has been a
Speaker 4: top twenty four wide receiver in the last four out
Speaker 4: of four of the last five weeks yep. And last
Speaker 4: week Sutton had the highest the highest average separation score
Speaker 4: and route win rate among all wide receivers. Wow, and
Speaker 4: that was against Kansas City's Trent McDuffie nice, who is
Speaker 4: an elite corner So Cortland Sutton is coming on.
Speaker 2: He's bon Nicks's favorite target by far.
Speaker 5: I need charges expertise on that cornerback situation. They have
Speaker 5: six corners, three are out. Are those three out there
Speaker 5: gonna get tired. They might.
Speaker 4: Actually you could look that's that is a thing that
Speaker 4: happens because because of the thinness at quarterback cornerback Devon
Speaker 4: Vley Dart throw cee. If you're looking, if you're desperate
Speaker 4: for a wide receiver, he appears to be the wide
Speaker 4: receiver too for the Broncos.
Speaker 2: But that's kind of been a turnstile.
Speaker 4: Really, I don't love him, but if you're going to
Speaker 4: pick when it's VLA, no tight ends for the Broncos,
Speaker 4: but Bo Nicks B grade.
Speaker 2: Sorry thor if you're listening, might he's borderline?
Speaker 4: He's borderline A in this matchup, Nicks has more rushing
Speaker 4: touchdowns than Breis Hall and Josh.
Speaker 2: Jacobs this year.
Speaker 4: His rushing ability makes him a borderline take on in
Speaker 4: almost any matchup, but again, this matchup a good one.
Speaker 4: He's got the rushing floor, which is very safe for Nicks,
Speaker 4: and Atlanta has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in sixth straight
Speaker 4: and seven of their last eight games.
Speaker 2: So screw it A grade bow Knicks.
Speaker 5: I'll be honest, but I was looking at it. Take
Speaker 5: a chance on me players. I legitimately felt he was
Speaker 5: too good to put in that segment.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I could see it.
Speaker 4: I'll say that too for the you gamblers out there.
Speaker 4: Bo Nix has really narrowed the gap for Rookie of
Speaker 4: the Year. He's second behind Jayden Daniels. Now Caleb Williams afterthought,
Speaker 4: Bong gone factor right now and Drake may surging. But
Speaker 4: I'm making some bets on Nixon may in the event
Speaker 4: that something happens with Daniels, who was already fading.
Speaker 2: The delta, you know, is huge.
Speaker 5: Maybe with the change in offensive coordinator the Bears, you know,
Speaker 5: Caleb Williams will get back in the race.
Speaker 2: Yeah, good one.
Speaker 3: That's so very optimistic of you.
Speaker 5: We hope it was actually meant as a transition.
Speaker 3: Oh okay, I got you now, I got you now.
Speaker 3: I think the betting odds last I saw Jadeen Daniels
Speaker 3: minus two thousand to win Rookie of the Year. Bo
Speaker 3: Nicks plus eight hundred. That's the delta you were talking about.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and Daniels was more than one hundred to one
Speaker 4: before Thursday night, and that has fallen off a cliff.
Speaker 2: Ye and Nick Nix coming on.
Speaker 3: Is coming on when we come back. Three tough questions.
Speaker 3: See if you go three and Ozero with our panel
Speaker 3: of experts as we run through some of the hardest
Speaker 3: questions in fantasy football today, including the Chicago offense. Scott Fish,
Speaker 3: does it get better? Play along when we come. Welcome
Speaker 3: back Fantasy Football Weekly Hour number two. I am Paul
Speaker 3: Charchian with me today, Scott Fish, Brian Johnson. Guys, it's
Speaker 3: time to play three tough questions. Let's quest Jabe number one.
Speaker 3: Can you sabotage drop? C? D. Lamb? And I suppose
Speaker 3: because we haven't talked to sabotage drop yet this year,
Speaker 3: I should explain what the sabotage drop is, or like Scott,
Speaker 3: you can if you want to do you want to
Speaker 3: throw your hat?
Speaker 5: No, no, you can do it. I can do it.
Speaker 5: I don't care.
Speaker 3: The sabotage drop is the single most hardcore move in
Speaker 3: fantasy football.
Speaker 5: That is not where I would have got but that's good.
Speaker 5: It's a great move.
Speaker 3: It is You have to have yards of steel to
Speaker 3: perform the sabotage drop.
Speaker 5: And that surgery is expensive, very expensive.
Speaker 3: Here's the core premise. You are going to outright drop
Speaker 3: a big name player who you feel will be a
Speaker 3: net negative on whoever picks that player up. Now as
Speaker 3: an example, Jordan Addison is not a sabotage drop. Javonte
Speaker 3: Williams is not a sabotage drop. Big name players Dobbins, Yes,
Speaker 3: he would be a sabotage drop. He's not not the
Speaker 3: guy we're gonna We're talking about Cedee Lamb right now.
Speaker 3: But yes, I mean, if that's that would be Super Bowl.
Speaker 3: Somebody else is going to use precious fab or their
Speaker 3: their number one waiver priority, or.
Speaker 5: Just start them when they shouldn't and also.
Speaker 3: Start them when they shouldn't. If you believe that this
Speaker 3: players truly going to be a net negative, then you
Speaker 3: sabotage drop that person. And even if every game is
Speaker 3: not negative, some of them are going to be harmful games.
Speaker 3: So that brings us to ceed Lamb. Yeah, and I'll
Speaker 3: restate the question, Scott Fish, can you sabotage drop Seede Lamb?
Speaker 5: No, No, you can't. His trade value is just far
Speaker 5: too high, and a trade to actually get something makes
Speaker 5: far more sense than just dropping him out right, even
Speaker 5: if it's even if it's getting low Bald or selling low.
Speaker 5: Their pass schedule is one of the easiest, and Rush
Speaker 5: Lance Rush Cooper Rush or Trey Lance may just lean
Speaker 5: on Lamb and hyper target him. Weeks fourteen through sixteen,
Speaker 5: they play literally the three worst pass defenses currently. I'm
Speaker 5: not straight up dropping him because the hope that he
Speaker 5: hurts another team for a couple random weeks. It's not
Speaker 5: worth what you can possibly get in return, or if
Speaker 5: you make the playoffs, what you might get from a
Speaker 5: hyper targeted even in a bad offense Ceede Lamb.
Speaker 3: I'm going with no, Okay, Brian, can I sabotage drop
Speaker 3: Ceedee Lamb?
Speaker 2: Yeah?
Speaker 4: You you're probably gonna have some points, You're gonna make
Speaker 4: some good points why you should.
Speaker 2: But I'm gonna agree with Scott and say you can.
Speaker 4: It's a luxury to sabotage drop someone, especially of Cede
Speaker 4: Lamb's caliber, and he was able to produce last year
Speaker 4: with Cooper Rush, and last week he should have caught
Speaker 4: a touchdown if not for the Sun in this poorly
Speaker 4: engineered stadium in Dallas.
Speaker 2: So yeah, no, you can't drop Ceedee Lamb. But it's
Speaker 2: it's a valid question. I will give you that. But
Speaker 2: here's why we're wrong.
Speaker 5: Let me ask you to this.
Speaker 2: Okay, here we go.
Speaker 3: Remember the Miami offense without Tua Tyreek Hill during that stretch. Yeah,
Speaker 3: was terrible, and he materially hurt his He materially hurt
Speaker 3: all of his fantasy managers because you started him every
Speaker 3: week because you had to, because his name was Tyreek Hill,
Speaker 3: and you suffered with him. Ask this, and I honestly
Speaker 3: don't for sure know the answer to this, but could
Speaker 3: you get through your playoff run with three straight good
Speaker 3: games from Cede Lamb in a Cooper Rush or Trey
Speaker 3: Lance led offense? And if the answer is no, you
Speaker 3: don't think you can get three straight playoff wins, then
Speaker 3: do you want him on your team? I like what
Speaker 3: you said, Scott about trading. I would try to trade
Speaker 3: Ze trap so low, I try to say, I would
Speaker 3: try to see I try to get something of value
Speaker 3: for Ceede Lamb. If you can't, then I still then
Speaker 3: I endorse the sabotage drop. So I will say no
Speaker 3: for now on this, although I have no faith whatsoever
Speaker 3: in the Dallas offense. But if you can't get something
Speaker 3: reasonably valuable for him, the most valuable, the most value
Speaker 3: you may have is reckon somebody else's team.
Speaker 5: Ceedee Lamb with Cooper Rush two years ago without Prescott
Speaker 5: seven for seventy five, eight for eighty seven, and one
Speaker 5: six for ninety seven and one five for fifty three,
Speaker 5: five for sixty eight.
Speaker 3: As we discussed you were you were not here on
Speaker 3: the show last week. We acknowledged that. But okay, that
Speaker 3: is when Zeke and Paul were running.
Speaker 5: This is a very good point. Then it was a
Speaker 5: very good offense. It was a very good They won
Speaker 5: all but one of those games.
Speaker 3: That's right. So that's right, very true. This offense with
Speaker 3: no running game is just dead in the water.
Speaker 4: But we're looking at a lot of garbage time this
Speaker 4: year for Ceedee Lamb, which he wasn't getting last year
Speaker 4: on a good team, good offense, so that could bode
Speaker 4: well for pay.
Speaker 2: Really is a tough question. Number two.
Speaker 3: With the change of offensive coordinator, does the Bears offense
Speaker 3: get better, worse or stay the same. I'm sure it
Speaker 3: can get worse, Brian, what do you think?
Speaker 5: Wait? Did we get an answer on see Lamb?
Speaker 3: I said no, no, ok but we're close close shop
Speaker 3: at first. If this question were after trade deadlines, I
Speaker 3: would be it'd be a different answer. Okay, Brian, Chicago
Speaker 3: offense better worse? Are the same?
Speaker 5: Yeah?
Speaker 4: You want to say it can't get any worse. But
Speaker 4: you know what gets worse is their schedule. I mean,
Speaker 4: this offense wasn't getting it done against New England, Arizona, Jacksonville.
Speaker 4: Now we're looking at Green Bay, Minnesota, Detroit, San Francisco, Minnesota, Detroit. Again,
Speaker 4: that is a murderers row basically for all Bears offensive players.
Speaker 2: So no, it's you know, it's gonna get worse. It's
Speaker 2: getting worse. This team is lost until they fire the
Speaker 2: head coach. It's it's it's done done in Chicago.
Speaker 5: I think you might have started to convince me Scott.
Speaker 3: With a change of offensive coordinator, does the Bears offense
Speaker 3: get better, worse or stay the same.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I was gonna go with it can't get worse
Speaker 5: because it's bottom three in about a dozen categories. It's
Speaker 5: bottom ten and about a dozen more, you know, and
Speaker 5: those are big ones like yards allowed, yards per play allowed, sex,
Speaker 5: points scored. But like it's not like random, you know,
Speaker 5: high level stats. It's like the big ones. Bruh. So yeah,
Speaker 5: this it's it's interesting. Their new offensive quarter took over
Speaker 5: play calling for Frank Reich in Carolina last year for
Speaker 5: last ten or so games, immediately beat CJ. Young with
Speaker 5: Bryce Young or CJ. Stroud with Bryce Young. But then
Speaker 5: Bryce Young didn't top two hundred yards for the rest
Speaker 5: of the year after that, five scores in eleven games.
Speaker 5: I think Brian might be right. I had stays the same.
Speaker 5: It's just gonna continue to be bad. But Brian might
Speaker 5: be right. I'm gonna go stays the same. I'm gonna
Speaker 5: stay there, but it's gonna stay bad.
Speaker 3: Let me give you the Bears points by quarter since
Speaker 3: week seven right into week eleven. So this is going
Speaker 3: back at waste there buy in week seven. Zero is
Speaker 3: points per quarter. So I'm gonna give you twelve numbers
Speaker 3: zero zero seven eight zero nine zero zero zero. We're
Speaker 3: in the matrix three yeah, zero zero. Who knew we'd
Speaker 3: go binary on this show?
Speaker 2: Listen to that.
Speaker 3: That is insanely feeble.
Speaker 2: So the Bears.
Speaker 3: You alluded to this a little bit, Scott. Last year,
Speaker 3: the Bears fans and the organization cackling with delight at
Speaker 3: the failures of Bryce Young as they saw the number
Speaker 3: one pick in the draft heading there.
Speaker 5: The late let's get this guy. They're like, let's go
Speaker 5: get that guy.
Speaker 3: Let's get the offensive coordinator that led Bryce Young to
Speaker 3: be one of the biggest first overall flops in memory.
Speaker 3: They're like, oh, we need that guy, so they put
Speaker 3: him on staff. And then when Matt Eberflus has got
Speaker 3: an opening at offensive coordinator, he's like, Okay, we've got
Speaker 3: the least accurate passer in the league. Our passing games
Speaker 3: completely dead in the water. We're thirty first in passing yards.
Speaker 3: I know just the guy to make our interim offensive coordinator.
Speaker 3: It's our passing game coordinator.
Speaker 5: Yeah. I can't let me reiterate. They had two hundred
Speaker 5: plus yards passing twice in those eleven games with him.
Speaker 3: I don't. I can't come up of the scenario where
Speaker 3: it gets any better. It feels like it can't get worse,
Speaker 3: although Brian's online to schedule it suggests it could get worse.
Speaker 3: But I on, how you get worse than that?
Speaker 1: What?
Speaker 3: I just that series of numbers I just read.
Speaker 4: On Does it get better if Tyson Bagent takes over
Speaker 4: as starting quarterback?
Speaker 2: Who, by the way, his dad is the one who's
Speaker 2: starting those leagues and all these things.
Speaker 3: It's not true, but it's not a bad idea. Probably
Speaker 3: if it's your dad going to be leaking stories about
Speaker 3: how you're going to replace me as host on the show,
Speaker 3: because that's probably actually going forward well. Denver running back
Speaker 3: Audric Estimate most commonly finish as a running back one
Speaker 3: running back to flex or bench. Scott.
Speaker 5: Yeah. So, as many noted in their Waiver wire articles
Speaker 5: and stuff this week, it is not a good schedule
Speaker 5: for the rest of the season for top twelve run defenses.
Speaker 5: A couple in the top seven or eight, one middle
Speaker 5: of the pack, couple decent matchups, but they also have
Speaker 5: a bye. It's just a tough schedule. It's not even
Speaker 5: out of the question. The other to stay or get
Speaker 5: more involved in some games. The other two backs in
Speaker 5: that backfield, McLaughlin and Javonte Williams. But no targets, minimal
Speaker 5: pass game work, and by minimal, I mean he's run
Speaker 5: five routes all year. Rodric Customy has He's not involved
Speaker 5: in that, and that's how he came out as an
Speaker 5: early down bruiser. That's who he is. I'm I'm gonna
Speaker 5: go flex because maybe they lean on him, maybe he
Speaker 5: gets the volume, but that's about as high as I
Speaker 5: can you know, confidently.
Speaker 3: Go okay, flex for Scott Brian rest of the season, well,
Speaker 3: a estime most commonly finished is a running back. One
Speaker 3: running back to flex or bench.
Speaker 2: Yeah, not a lot to add on to what Scott said.
Speaker 4: It's really it's a volume bass play for SMA week
Speaker 4: in week out. I think he'll hold onto the job
Speaker 4: because Javonte Williams and McLoughlin they're just not getting it done.
Speaker 4: That they've fallen out of favor with Sean Payton and
Speaker 4: there's another running back in the mix.
Speaker 2: But he is nothing. It's all estimate, but the schedule
Speaker 2: not great. He's flex.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't have much to add Sorry, flex, I'm
Speaker 4: with Scott took all my talking points.
Speaker 5: Okay, up, I'm.
Speaker 3: Gonna mention this about Estima's game last week. It was
Speaker 3: just three point eight yards per carry, but it was
Speaker 3: against the Chiefs. Yeah, yeah, great, Rundy. In fact, we're
Speaker 3: gonna start talking about this more. This Chiefs run defense
Speaker 3: is starting to look his historically good. And it turns
Speaker 3: out the fifty three yards Audric Guestimy had against the Chiefs,
Speaker 3: it's the second most rushing yards of any opposing running
Speaker 3: back all year, including Derek Henry, Bjon Robinson, Alvin Kamara,
Speaker 3: Jordan Mason on a bunch of carries. Estimate faces Atlanta
Speaker 3: this week. That's a kind of a neutral matchup. I
Speaker 3: think he does okay here, and I think there's a
Speaker 3: scenario where this Denver team's starting to look a lot better.
Speaker 3: Bonix is bringing balance to the offense. Estimate might just
Speaker 3: turn into the workhorse back they wanted Javonte Williams to be.
Speaker 3: I'm actually feeling a little more optimistic than you guys
Speaker 3: are running back who are okay, Estimate, it's all speculative
Speaker 3: running back to Odder Estimate. Scott. Let's go to the
Speaker 3: Cincinnati Bengals taking on the Los Angeles Chargers to it.
Speaker 3: His Chargers defense so very improved from last year's defense. Still,
Speaker 3: Bengals are going well right now. T Higgins is coming back.
Speaker 3: Where do you want to start with the Bengals?
Speaker 5: Yeah? Yeah, we can start in the passing game with
Speaker 5: Joe Burrow. The charges of the fifth best against fantasy quarterbacks,
Speaker 5: which is truly incredible. Give it the gauntlet of all
Speaker 5: pro quarterbacks they faced. I feel Gardner Minshew, Bryce Young
Speaker 5: Justin Fields twenty twenty four, Patrick Mahomes, Bryce Young, Justin Fields.
Speaker 5: I mentioned him early season. Bonix Kyler Murray, Spencer Rattler,
Speaker 5: Jamis Winston, and Will Levis would have completely lit them
Speaker 5: up like that is a That is a gauntlet of
Speaker 5: amazing professional quarterbacks that have led to that awesome ranking
Speaker 5: for the Chargers defense. All right, second lowest rate of
Speaker 5: pressure but with the fewest if you be knockdowns and
Speaker 5: fewest hurries. So I think Joe Burrow is gonna actually
Speaker 5: have some time to sit back and pick away at
Speaker 5: this defense. Joe Burrow leading the league in the temps
Speaker 5: yards passing scores, averaging two hundred and seventy plus yards.
Speaker 5: He's got nine scores nine times in the last two weeks.
Speaker 5: I have an A grade on Joe Burrow. I believe
Speaker 5: Jamar Chase is an obvious A at this point with
Speaker 5: the way he's playing. I don't think I need to elaborate,
Speaker 5: So I'm gonna move on to T Higgins, who is
Speaker 5: expected to come back and play this week, who have
Speaker 5: a C grade on C grade partly in due to
Speaker 5: partly due to possible limitations in his first game back,
Speaker 5: but in the three games with T. Higgins or the
Speaker 5: three games with T Higgins out, Yo C Vash and
Speaker 5: all the arrest basically did nothing. So even if he
Speaker 5: does miss, they're all on the bench. With T. Higgins
Speaker 5: his four games before missing time, he had double digit
Speaker 5: fantasy points in four straight, over six catches and over
Speaker 5: seventy five yards in them, scoring three times in those
Speaker 5: four games, I could go a be. My only worry
Speaker 5: is he doesn't play a full cup element of snaps.
Speaker 4: Have you seen the thing with the practice hill and
Speaker 4: T Higgins? Apparently there's a practice hill against ten feet
Speaker 4: I know, but whenever he's coming back from injury, if
Speaker 4: he runs up the practice hill, he's coming back.
Speaker 2: That's how you gauge his return.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna I have a C grade on Gsecki here.
Speaker 5: The Chargers have allowed nos coaster tight ends, but Kelsey, McBride,
Speaker 5: Bowers all did very well. I might actually I have all.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna put Gasecki in the bench. I'm gonna put
Speaker 5: it on the bench and C grade if T. Higgins
Speaker 5: somehow doesn't go. Because in the three games without Higgins,
Speaker 5: twenty three targets very fiable fantasy days and all of them,
Speaker 5: he's really on that border of a C grade right there.
Speaker 5: Chase Brown B grade has every single running back touch,
Speaker 5: said Zach Moss has been out real all, like fifty
Speaker 5: four or fifty six of them every single touch they allow.
Speaker 5: The Chargers allowed the six fewest yards and just two
Speaker 5: total touchdowns to running backs this year, so it's a
Speaker 5: little tougher spot. They've allowed the third fewest fantasy point
Speaker 5: to the position, so Chase Brown's going to need that
Speaker 5: twenty plus touch volume he's recently seen. Only the only
Speaker 5: back to top seventy rushing yards against the Chargers was
Speaker 5: James Connor and it took nineteen carries. Kamara also did well,
Speaker 5: but he needed that six for fifty five through the air.
Speaker 3: Chase Browns might help that way.
Speaker 5: That's where I'm going. Chase Brown the last two games
Speaker 5: with no Zach Moss, nobody else in the backfield, fifteen catches,
Speaker 5: he gets all their work, So I'm gonna give him
Speaker 5: the B grade here Over on the Chargers side, Justin
Speaker 5: Herbert was might take a chance on me quarterbacks, so
Speaker 5: I obviously like the passing game a little bit, but
Speaker 5: just C grades on Ladd McConkie and Quenton Johnson. In
Speaker 5: the last three games, six wide receivers have eighty plus
Speaker 5: and or a score against the Cincinnati Bengals, partly due
Speaker 5: to the shootout nature of those games, which we could
Speaker 5: see here. Ladd McConkie is the target leader. He's the safer,
Speaker 5: more consistent option, six plus targets in all but two
Speaker 5: games this year, but he is going against one of
Speaker 5: the league's top slot corners in Mike Hilton, who's a
Speaker 5: big reason why the Bengals rank fifth best against the slot.
Speaker 5: So it's a little tough draw for him there. Yeah,
Speaker 5: but the Bengals are, however, bottom ten in receptions in
Speaker 5: yards alowed to wide receiver and they allow the fourth
Speaker 5: most to the perimeter. As bad as they are as
Speaker 5: good as they are in the slot, they're bad on
Speaker 5: the outside. So I have a C grade on Quentin Johnson.
Speaker 5: Andy gets this great matchup against the struggling cam Taylor
Speaker 5: Britt allowing a one oh seven rating in his coverage
Speaker 5: and he's allowed five scores this year, so we might
Speaker 5: see a score there from q.
Speaker 4: Here are the wide receivers with more touchdowns in Quentin Johnston,
Speaker 4: Jamar Chase Sun God, Mike Evans, McLaurin, Drake London, Marvin
Speaker 4: Harrison Junior.
Speaker 2: That's it, Jase.
Speaker 5: I do have Josh Palmer on the bench, averaging thirty
Speaker 5: four point two yards thirty four point two yards per
Speaker 5: catch over the last three. Will Disley's getting a C grade.
Speaker 5: Bengals are bottom six and receptions yards and scores to
Speaker 5: tight ends, rounding them out as the third best matchup
Speaker 5: to the position. And so I got a C grade
Speaker 5: on him because he's averaging five plus catches in three
Speaker 5: last four. Over to the run game. JK. Dobbins sixteen
Speaker 5: plus touches in every game and the one he got rest.
Speaker 3: Sorry.
Speaker 5: Nine different backs have scored against the Bengals in the
Speaker 5: ten games. Among non scores, there was a ninety plus
Speaker 5: yard game, one hundred and eight yard plus game. His
Speaker 5: fifteen plus touches should be worthy of the C grade.
Speaker 5: And Gus Edwards ten touches in his return, but four
Speaker 5: of those were on one drive late in the second quarter,
Speaker 5: kind of giving rest to Gus Edwards. Another two were
Speaker 5: in a drive where Hassan Haskins scored and Dobbins was
Speaker 5: getting rested. It seems like he only played fifteen snaps
Speaker 5: and got those ten touches. It seems like he's just
Speaker 5: there to rest Dobbins.
Speaker 3: So bench grade, I'm playing I'm not playing two Edwards.
Speaker 3: I need more proof he's back. Yeah, when we come back, Vikings,
Speaker 3: Titans will tell you what to do with that matchup
Speaker 3: when we return. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly, a block
Speaker 3: oh matchups for you, beginning with Vikings taking on the
Speaker 3: Tennessee Titans. For Justin Jefferson, it is a tricky matchup,
Speaker 3: but he's an eight grade because he's justin freaking Jefferson.
Speaker 3: And even with the three interceptions thrown his way last week,
Speaker 3: he walked away with a decent box score. When he
Speaker 3: faced Sauce Gardner and DJ Reed, he walked away with
Speaker 3: the decent box score. So we're still automatic a Justin Jefferson.
Speaker 2: It was only two interceptions that one hit the ground.
Speaker 3: All right, Well tell that to Sam Darnald. I will,
Speaker 3: all right.
Speaker 2: I wish I could.
Speaker 3: Jordan Addison comes out of the C grade. Sam Darnald
Speaker 3: missed some opportunities to find Addison last week, opting to
Speaker 3: throw in, opting to throw to like triple cover Justin
Speaker 3: Jefferson instead, which actually I'm fine with that. He can
Speaker 3: try to reverse course on Sunday. Here, the Titans have
Speaker 3: allowed the fewest yards to wide receivers and only one
Speaker 3: hundred and ten per game. Only one wide out has
Speaker 3: topped sixty seven yards and they've given up just zero
Speaker 3: point six to six wide receiver scores per game, so
Speaker 3: two thirds of a wide receiver touchdown per game. That
Speaker 3: is all Jordan Addison C grade in this one. Staying
Speaker 3: on the receiving part of the game.
Speaker 5: TJ.
Speaker 3: Hockinson b great back to full usage ran routes on
Speaker 3: seventy one percent of the Vikings pass plays last week,
Speaker 3: a gaudy thirty percent target rate. And while the Titans
Speaker 3: look like a dominating tight end defense, they haven't played
Speaker 3: very many good tight ends. And the two best guys
Speaker 3: that are close to Howkinson's level, Sam Laporta Dalton Kincaid
Speaker 3: put up a respectable forty eight yards and fifty two yards.
Speaker 3: They one of them scored a touchdown. So Howkinson's in
Speaker 3: with a B grade here for Aaron Jones Titans. No,
Speaker 3: actually I should finish with Sam Donald since we're talking
Speaker 3: passing game, just to keep the theme going coming off
Speaker 3: his worst game is a Viking last week. Sorry, Brian,
Speaker 3: this is not a great spot to expect a bounce back.
Speaker 3: Titans have been a great pass defense all season long,
Speaker 3: only Josh Allen hasped two hundred and six passing yards.
Speaker 3: Two hundred and six is nothing, Well, only one guy
Speaker 3: stopped it. Titans ranked number one in passing yards allowed
Speaker 3: just one hundred and seventy one per game. It's a
Speaker 3: tough spot for Sam Darnold. Just the se grade here.
Speaker 3: And lastly, Aaron Jones. Titans are also a good run defense,
Speaker 3: just not as dominating, quite as dominating his air. As
Speaker 3: a pass defense. The last two opponents, including the run
Speaker 3: heavy Chargers, averaged just three point one yards per carry
Speaker 3: against Tennessee on the full season. Only one back his
Speaker 3: top sixty two yards against the Titans. And I'd like
Speaker 3: to tell you that Jones can make up for a
Speaker 3: difficult ground matchup with some success through the air. But
Speaker 3: the Titans are great there too. They gave up the
Speaker 3: third fewest receiving yards to runners. So yeah, I can
Speaker 3: only get you to a C grade on Aaron Jones
Speaker 3: in this game. Titan's side of this is a shorter
Speaker 3: story to tell. Exart't many guys you'd even think about
Speaker 3: starting here, but let's go to Tony Poulla. First looks
Speaker 3: Pollard so much better as a Titan than he was
Speaker 3: as a Cowboy last year. He's run with previously unseen power.
Speaker 3: Get this, Tony Pollard three point eight yards after contact. Wow,
Speaker 3: that is third best in the league. You're in Derek
Speaker 3: Henry territory at three point eight yards after contact. Minnesota
Speaker 3: though a daunting run defense, particularly when linebacker Blake Cashman
Speaker 3: plays and he is back from injury. In the six
Speaker 3: games Cashman is played, the Vikings are giving up three
Speaker 3: point seven yards per carry and they've only given up
Speaker 3: one rushing touchdown against in those six games. So I've
Speaker 3: only got the C grade on Tony Pollard. Tad J.
Speaker 3: Spears finally healthy. He looked really good last week, but
Speaker 3: he just doesn't get enough carries to hit a C
Speaker 3: grade here, especially against a good Vikings defense. He is
Speaker 3: on our bench. Let's go to Calvin Ridley along with
Speaker 3: Marvin Harrison. I think Calvin Ridley is the most boom
Speaker 3: or bust receiver in the league. He's finished as a
Speaker 3: top six or better receiver three different weeks this year,
Speaker 3: and then he's also finished as wide receiver thirty nine
Speaker 3: or worse five different times. On the show A couple
Speaker 3: of weeks ago, Thorn noted that Brian Callahan is throwing
Speaker 3: fewer moonshots to Ridley and he's become more productive as
Speaker 3: his A dot has come back down to like NFL
Speaker 3: average wide receiver a dot and that's been good for
Speaker 3: him and that could account for his recent uptake in productivity.
Speaker 3: The Vikings allow the third most yards to wide outs,
Speaker 3: third most Fantasy points to wide outs, although they completely
Speaker 3: contained the meager passings stylings of the Colts and Jags
Speaker 3: the last two weeks. And it's not much better here.
Speaker 3: I can get you to a C grade on Calvin Ridley.
Speaker 3: Will Levis I considered him as a bye week dart throw.
Speaker 3: I mean, you guys, tell me he's got this yielding
Speaker 3: Viking secondary that goes into his shell when Minnesota gets ahead,
Speaker 3: which is possible in this game. They're favored by six points.
Speaker 3: Levi is coming off his best game of the year
Speaker 3: last year, and maybe his best game is a pro
Speaker 3: last week against a better secondary Los Angeles. To his credit,
Speaker 3: will Levis has stopped producing those eye rolling turnovers that
Speaker 3: he was known for throughout most of the rest of
Speaker 3: his career, just two picks in the last three games.
Speaker 3: Minnesota's allowed the fifth most fantasy points to quarterbacks. They
Speaker 3: did shut down Mac Jones and Joe Flacco the past
Speaker 3: two weeks. If you're in a pinch Will Levis, nobody
Speaker 3: took him as they're taking chance on me quarterbacks. So
Speaker 3: I'm assuming I've got no takers here.
Speaker 1: No.
Speaker 4: I love him in daily daily fantasy for sure. And
Speaker 4: he's got uh yeah, he's got the high ceiling. And
Speaker 4: if he crashes, that's what that's what Daily Fantasy Sports crash.
Speaker 3: Donald Donald, I'll go see grat on Will.
Speaker 5: I found something interesting. I saw something interesting about Donald
Speaker 5: last week is that he's one. He's top ten in
Speaker 5: a lot of categories when under pressure. When blitzed. Last week,
Speaker 5: they only blitzed him once and he threw three picks. Wow,
Speaker 5: dropped back to let him throw and give him time,
Speaker 5: and he threw three picks.
Speaker 3: That's wild.
Speaker 2: I saw two.
Speaker 3: I saw two point five picks. I saw this stat.
Speaker 3: Vikings blitzed the seton and most among all starting quarterbacks
Speaker 3: this year, Will Levis is the second worst quarterback in
Speaker 3: blitz situation.
Speaker 5: Okay, nice, Now, it's there's a.
Speaker 3: Lot of things working against Will Levis in this game,
Speaker 3: but there is some upside as well, Brian, let's go
Speaker 3: to Seattle taking on San Francisco. Do I understand this correctly?
Speaker 3: The Seattle Seahawks starting center just quit the game.
Speaker 2: To retire twenty seven years old. Started every game.
Speaker 5: Bet Seattle better than at halftime during the game.
Speaker 4: There is that I've seen that happen power He gone,
Speaker 4: so yeah, so downgrade for I was gonna start with
Speaker 4: Kenneth Walker. Well, first, I want to mention Seattle San Francisco.
Speaker 4: This is the second meeting they played.
Speaker 2: In Week six.
Speaker 4: Seattle won thirty six to twenty four, high scoring game.
Speaker 4: Looking at that again this week. But man, starting with
Speaker 4: Kenneth Walker, I had a p grade. I guess I'll
Speaker 4: keep it.
Speaker 2: I don't know what happens when your center retires on
Speaker 2: a Friday, but I'll stay with the B for Walker,
Speaker 2: I guess.
Speaker 4: Walker only total thirty two rush seen yards on fourteen
Speaker 4: attempts in the first meeting, but he did manage to
Speaker 4: score on the ground, and he caught eight passes against
Speaker 4: the forty nine ers, who have allowed multiple running back
Speaker 4: touchdowns in two of their last three games. Dallas backs
Speaker 4: dropped the doughnut during that span. On a surprise so
Speaker 4: b for Walker, even though they need a new center
Speaker 4: starting center in Seattle. Over to the pass game, DK
Speaker 4: Metcalf says he is good to go. He will make
Speaker 4: his return. Just to see for DK though saw eleven
Speaker 4: targets in the first meeting this season, but only caught
Speaker 4: three for forty eight scoreless yards, and since then, the
Speaker 4: forty nine ers have allowed just two wide receiver touchdowns
Speaker 4: and both of those went to Cede Lamb in Week eight,
Speaker 4: who was targeted seventeen times in that game. So not
Speaker 4: good prospects for DK Metcalf and or Jackson Smith and Jigba.
Speaker 2: Just to see for him.
Speaker 4: JSN had a monster game in Week nine with Metcalf
Speaker 4: out of the lineup.
Speaker 2: That said, tough matchup, but on paper not as bad
Speaker 2: as you would think. It seems.
Speaker 4: JSN runs the majority of his routes from the slot
Speaker 4: now that Metcalf is back, and the forty nine Ers
Speaker 4: are allowing the most yards per pass attempt to slot
Speaker 4: wide receivers nine plus yards healthy number. So JSN is
Speaker 4: startable even with Metcalf back. But Tyler Lockett is not.
Speaker 4: He's on the bench. Although he scored in the first meeting.
Speaker 4: He's the third fiddle now with Metcalf back in the lineup,
Speaker 4: Noah aj Barner, we're binging both tight ends for Seattle,
Speaker 4: but Gino Smith, I will give a ce Gino Smith,
Speaker 4: by the way, the NFL's leader in passing yards per game,
Speaker 4: the only quarterback over two hundred and eighty yards per game.
Speaker 4: Only one quarterback one other quarterback is over two hundred
Speaker 4: and seventy. Gino had three hundred and twelve yards, one touchdown,
Speaker 4: two interceptions in the first meeting. Kind of feels like
Speaker 4: he could replicate those numbers. The forty nine ers are
Speaker 4: allowing less than two hundred and ten passing yards per game, though,
Speaker 4: and they own an eleven to ten touchdown to interception ratio.
Speaker 4: So a tough matchup, but likely you can start Geno.
Speaker 4: You're certainly starting in super flex, but he could have
Speaker 4: a better option, So a soft seed Gino over to
Speaker 4: the forty nine er side. No c's here, really, a's everywhere.
Speaker 4: Starting with Christian McCaffrey. You've waited forever for him to
Speaker 4: come back. You're definitely starting him against the Seahawks allowing
Speaker 4: more than one hundred and fifty combo yards per game.
Speaker 4: Two running backs over to the passing game. I'm starting
Speaker 4: with George Kittle, Gonna give him an ah, having an
Speaker 4: absolute monster year that no one is giving him enough
Speaker 4: credit for.
Speaker 2: He's top twenty yeah, among wide receivers.
Speaker 5: He's averaging over three Fantasy points per game, above the
Speaker 5: second tight end team block viers.
Speaker 4: He should be in the in the combo for offensive
Speaker 4: player of the year. In my mind, he's in the
Speaker 4: week run blocker as well. He's almost, you know, a
Speaker 4: great offensive lineman. But anyway, five for fifty eight and
Speaker 4: two touchdowns in the first meeting this year, So a
Speaker 4: for Kittle. Going to the wide receivers, I'm not starting
Speaker 4: with Deebo Samuel, I'm starting with Jawan Jennings.
Speaker 3: Baby, he gets an a.
Speaker 2: Your guy just three catches.
Speaker 4: For twenty seven scoreless yards in the first meeting, but
Speaker 4: Brandon Aiyuk was active for that game. In jennings first
Speaker 4: game without you in the lineup, who was out for
Speaker 4: the year, Jennings led all forty nine ers with eleven targets.
Speaker 4: Jennings averages more than two point eight yards per route run.
Speaker 4: That's on par with Justin Jefferson. He's a wide receiver
Speaker 4: one for the remainder of the year. As far as
Speaker 4: I'm concerned, I think we all can agree on that.
Speaker 3: Watch his ankle injury. He does, he has been laboring
Speaker 3: with that through practice. He's gonna play, is expected to play.
Speaker 3: But just keep an eye in Jennings ankle injury. But
Speaker 3: we agree, we love that guy.
Speaker 2: You still gotta love Debo, Go and give him a B.
Speaker 4: Deebo Samuel, of course, one hundred and two yards and
Speaker 4: a touchdown receiving in the first meeting. He also added
Speaker 4: fifteen rushing yards in that game. I mentioned that because
Speaker 4: over his last four games against the Seahawks, Deebo has
Speaker 4: totaled five total touchdowns, two were rushing.
Speaker 2: So a B for Debo.
Speaker 4: Ricky Parisols might take a chance on me wide receiver.
Speaker 4: And do you think I like Brock Party in this game? Hey, yes,
Speaker 4: a grade rock Party, but not two fifty five and
Speaker 4: three in the first meeting.
Speaker 2: Maybe that's us four good numbers.
Speaker 5: Yeah, those are good numbers.
Speaker 3: All right. Let's se if we and zip through Colts
Speaker 3: and Jets. Scott for the Colts side. Anthony Richardson's back
Speaker 3: at the Helm. He was not a fantasy factor in
Speaker 3: his first stint as a starter for the Colts.
Speaker 5: No, I have the entire Indianapolis Colts passing game on
Speaker 5: the bench in this one. The Jets d has allowed
Speaker 5: the sorry Anthony Richardson's season high in passyards this year
Speaker 5: two twelve, with an average well below two hundred. It's
Speaker 5: the forty plus yard rushing average that you're clinging to,
Speaker 5: but it's nothing where it was last year and no
Speaker 5: rushing scores. We wondered going into the season if Jonathan
Speaker 5: Taylor would affect that part of his game. And Taylor
Speaker 5: leads the NFL on inside the five touches per game. Wow,
Speaker 5: so yes, it affected that. So over to Jonathan Taylor.
Speaker 5: The Jets are allowing the fifth most rushing touches touch
Speaker 5: it touches the tenth most rush yards. Teams kind of
Speaker 5: have to turn there because they can't pass on the Jets.
Speaker 5: Taylor himself averaging twenty touches per game for one hundred
Speaker 5: and four yards twenty plus in four The last five
Speaker 5: similar volume backs had one hundred and fifty two yards
Speaker 5: one hundred and two hundred and fifty two hundred two
Speaker 5: wow two to sixty five and one oh six, So
Speaker 5: a lot of volume from twenty plus touch It's not
Speaker 5: a slam dunk a grade because the Jets are boasting
Speaker 5: good numbers and yards per carry allowed only seven scores
Speaker 5: allowed on the season, but twenty plus touchbacks get there,
Speaker 5: and Jonathan Taylor is one of those. So it's only
Speaker 5: a B grade here. As if you're wondering about the
Speaker 5: other pass catchers, Michael Pittman, since uh, Michael Pittman sensed
Speaker 5: his back injury that he's been dealing with, we're looking
Speaker 5: at thirty five yards, sixty three yards, sixteen and fourteen,
Speaker 5: and then he missed a game. I can't give I
Speaker 5: can't give him a grade against the top five defense
Speaker 5: in receptions, yards and scores a lot of to wide
Speaker 5: receivers Alec Pierce, same deal he has. He's got a
Speaker 5: two big games, but otherwise it's like one big catch
Speaker 5: a game and that's it.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and this is the Jets defense.
Speaker 5: Yes, let's just moved. Let's just move.
Speaker 3: Josh Downs is great, but that's also a tough matchup
Speaker 3: in the slot against my mind.
Speaker 5: And he's terrible with Richardson except for the one game
Speaker 5: we didn't see commedians. Right over to the Jet side,
Speaker 5: Aaron Rodgers C grade. Before last week, Rogers had multiple
Speaker 5: scores in five straight you know, overall, seven multiple score
Speaker 5: games out of the ten. But the yardage is like
Speaker 5: two and twenty five a game, so he needs the scores.
Speaker 5: The Colts have allowed the fifth most yards, but they've
Speaker 5: only allowed five scores of the last six games.
Speaker 2: Here.
Speaker 5: I don't I just I only have a C grade
Speaker 5: on Aaron Rodgers here he could get it, though he
Speaker 5: could get a B grade. I suppose I have a
Speaker 5: B plus grade on Garrett Wilson in a B minus
Speaker 5: grade on DeVonta Adams. What I mean, Well, they're both
Speaker 5: B grades, but Garrett Wilson is clearly well above it
Speaker 5: and DeVante Adams is clearly.
Speaker 3: WE got rules here. We operate under rules. Scott.
Speaker 5: You know that Garrett Wilson has tied for the NFL
Speaker 5: league in lead in red zone targets. Six wide receivers
Speaker 5: in the last three weeks have gone for eighty plus
Speaker 5: and or a score against the Colts, who are allowing
Speaker 5: the seventh most yards to wide receivers. So I like
Speaker 5: them both, but Wilson I like a whole lot more.
Speaker 5: Five plus catches in all but one game. Wilson does
Speaker 5: get the tougher matchup against Jalen Jones, who had two
Speaker 5: picks last week. Hasn't allow to score all year, a
Speaker 5: fifty two percent completion against fifty seven rating against. But
Speaker 5: Davante Adams has not been getting the yardage despite seeing
Speaker 5: the target volume, and he's dealing with an illness and
Speaker 5: a wrist injury. But those ten targets per game, I
Speaker 5: love that. I love the connection with Rodgers, and he's
Speaker 5: gained forty percent of the end zone targets with Rogers.
Speaker 5: He's just not getting the scores of the volume just yet.
Speaker 5: But I still got a B grade on him. Breese
Speaker 5: Hall B grade on him. He's been between eighty and
Speaker 5: ninety yards and fourteen to seventeen touches three straight, you know,
Speaker 5: the games with DeVante Adams, but just one score, and
Speaker 5: that is partly due to Rogers being top five in
Speaker 5: red zone and inside the five pass attempts. When he
Speaker 5: gets down there, he's not headed off. He wants to find.
Speaker 5: He wants to find those scores. So he's taking those opportunities,
Speaker 5: as is Braylan Allen, who's taking seven to ten touches
Speaker 5: and being super inefficient with them. He's on the bench
Speaker 5: because since we two that game, he scored twice super inefficient.
Speaker 5: In fact, he ranked second worst in rushing over expectation,
Speaker 5: barely beating out Zamir White. We thought he looked good,
Speaker 5: I just said everything, but he's been bad, so he's
Speaker 5: on the bench. Be great for Hall if you miss that.
Speaker 3: All right, let's take a break. When we come back
Speaker 3: premature speculation, We'll give you some players you'll want to
Speaker 3: pick up now that other people will be trying to
Speaker 3: pick up next week. They'll already be on your lot
Speaker 3: in your roster. And the best extra divisional rivalry in football,
Speaker 3: Chiefs Bills bring down that game. When we come back
Speaker 3: Fantasy Football Weekly, I'll save in a Fantasy Football Weekly,
Speaker 3: we start by jumping into the FFW time machine for
Speaker 3: premature speculation. Guys you want to pick up now that
Speaker 3: others will be trying to pick up next week. We
Speaker 3: begin with Scott Fish.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 5: Since I'm such a rule breaker today, I'm gonna go
Speaker 5: with two of them. I'm going with Juju Smith Schuster
Speaker 5: of the Kansas City Chiefs taking a shot that he
Speaker 5: becomes that seven for one hundred and thirty yard guy
Speaker 5: that overtook the Rashi Rice Roll earlier in the year
Speaker 5: thirteen percent rostered and the second one Davis Allen, just
Speaker 5: two percent roster. His snap percentages have gone from four
Speaker 5: to twenty two to thirty nine to fifty five to
Speaker 5: eighty percent. Last week he had five for thirty six
Speaker 5: on six targets. He's got four red zone targets in
Speaker 5: the last two weeks. He's taken over that Rams tight
Speaker 5: end role.
Speaker 3: Rams tight end Davis Allen. Yeah, premature speculation, player, Brian.
Speaker 4: We're gonna stay with the Rams and go with their
Speaker 4: backup rookie rookie running back Blake Korum. I mentioned him
Speaker 4: because Kyen Williams he handles ninety percent of the snaps,
Speaker 4: but if something were to happen to Karen Williams, Blake
Speaker 4: Korum would step right into that workload. No other backup
Speaker 4: running back could say the same. Really in the league
Speaker 4: right now in the Rams have a top five schedule
Speaker 4: remaining for running backs in terms of how easy it is,
Speaker 4: So go grab.
Speaker 2: Korum if you have been an open spot.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna push some booty at you. Kayshawn Bouti dismissed
Speaker 3: earlier in this show by Brian Johnson, he dismissed. But
Speaker 3: if you think Drake May is an improving passer, like
Speaker 3: I do, know this, over the past three weeks, Kaishan
Speaker 3: Butte has turned into Bouti has turned into May's most
Speaker 3: targeted receiver. Jalen Polk's dropping off a lot. I don't
Speaker 3: know that he's a special player, but somebody's gonna get
Speaker 3: paid if Drake May keeps getting better, and I think
Speaker 3: it's Kaishawn Bouti.
Speaker 5: I like it.
Speaker 3: Let's go to the Chiefs taking on the Bills. This
Speaker 3: is the best extra divisional rivalry in football. And I'm
Speaker 3: going to begin with Travis Kelcey, who's an obvious a.
Speaker 3: He scored twice in the January meeting between these two teams.
Speaker 3: Moving on to trickier matchups, DeAndre Hopkins gets pushed to
Speaker 3: the outside with the return of Juju Smith Schuster, and
Speaker 3: there he's got a tough matchup against Christian Bentford, Russeuell Douglass.
Speaker 3: Those guys are very good. Benford Ranks is profo about focus,
Speaker 3: is fourteenth best cornerback, and Douglas is nearly as good.
Speaker 3: Hopkins had a huge game two weeks ago that was
Speaker 3: against a very bad Tampa secondary. This is a much
Speaker 3: tougher one, and he's only a C grade. Juju also
Speaker 3: comes in with C grade. He's gonna run from the
Speaker 3: slot a lot if what we saw a month ago
Speaker 3: is any indication in his one game as a starter there.
Speaker 3: And he's got a nice matchup against Bill's slot corner
Speaker 3: Tarron Johnson. Johnson giving up an eighty percent completion rate,
Speaker 3: sixth worst among all cornerbacks, and he gave up a
Speaker 3: touchdown last week as well. And then there's Xavier Worthy,
Speaker 3: who I'm just I'm completely done with him. Thor's thorn
Speaker 3: Eistrom's worries about Worthy have turned out to be completely true.
Speaker 3: He is an all or nothing fantasy vertical route runner
Speaker 3: who needs long bomb completions. And here's the real clincher
Speaker 3: to leave Worthy on your bench this week for a
Speaker 3: guy who needs long bombs. The Bills allow the second
Speaker 3: shortest average completion in the league. So Xavier Worthy on
Speaker 3: our benches, and that leaves us in the passing game
Speaker 3: with just Patrick dump off Mahomes. He's quarterback thirteen on
Speaker 3: the season. He's averaging barely one touchdown pass per game.
Speaker 3: At the Buffalo's I've already talked about a good, not great,
Speaker 3: but a good secondary, and just the explosiveness is missing
Speaker 3: from the Chiefs offense and it's reflected in mahomes average
Speaker 3: depth of target. On the season, Mahomes is twentieth in
Speaker 3: a DOT and over the past month he's all the
Speaker 3: way down to twenty six. These short passes just don't
Speaker 3: help the fantasy game. And then just scream Hunt really languishing.
Speaker 3: Is a runner just averaging just three point six yards
Speaker 3: per carry, but so much volume that it's become really
Speaker 3: fantasy viable in almost every game because he gets the
Speaker 3: ball so much. Since becoming the starter, Hunt leads all
Speaker 3: backs in rushes per game at twenty two and fortunately
Speaker 3: against Buffalo runners who have at least eighteen carries are
Speaker 3: averaging one hundred and thirty yards in almost a full
Speaker 3: touchdown per game. So a B grade on Kareem Hunt.
Speaker 3: Let's go over to the Buffalo side. I told you
Speaker 3: earlier in the show. Dawson Knox may take a chance
Speaker 3: on receiver, Take a chance on me, receiver, love him here.
Speaker 3: The other receivers is a little bit trickier. On Khalil
Speaker 3: Shakir has been exceptionally safe in PPR formats because he's
Speaker 3: been good for six or seven catches for fifty or
Speaker 3: sixty yards in every game. The bill slot receiver is
Speaker 3: more effective when he doesn't have to carry the passing game.
Speaker 3: And I do worry a little bit about that here
Speaker 3: because Keon Coleman's not gonna go Dalton Kin Kaid's not
Speaker 3: going to go Shakier becomes a focus of the passing game,
Speaker 3: and I don't always know that that he's able to
Speaker 3: carry that. Fortunately, Kansas City gives up the second highest
Speaker 3: percentage of Fantasy points to the slot. Well, that's good
Speaker 3: Khalil Shakir play. So he's a C grade. If I
Speaker 3: didn't say Dawson Knox B grade, he's a B grade.
Speaker 5: And I'm take a chance.
Speaker 3: You might take a chance with me play, So I
Speaker 3: do like him. My bench player around the bench is
Speaker 3: Amari Cooper. I just don't know how much we can
Speaker 3: trust him yet because we just haven't seen him healthy
Speaker 3: in a full role with this offense, and I worry
Speaker 3: it's gonna get shadow coverage from excellent cornerback Trent McDuffie.
Speaker 3: In his coverage, he gives up just two catches for
Speaker 3: twenty nine yards, although weirdly, mcduffey's given up touchdowns in
Speaker 3: the back to back games, which is not normally like him.
Speaker 3: And then where does that leave us with Josh Allen?
Speaker 3: In the playoff matchup last January, Kansas City held Josh
Speaker 3: Allen to just one hundred and eighty six passing yards
Speaker 3: and one touchdown, but he ran in two scores. Kansas
Speaker 3: City's given up some big quarterback rushing days, so Josh
Speaker 3: could help with his legs. Don't love most of his
Speaker 3: receiving options. I've got a B grade on Josh Allen
Speaker 3: in this one. Let's hope he can run for a
Speaker 3: little bit more than what I like his receivers to do.
Speaker 3: And then the lastly, James Cook a brutal matchup against
Speaker 3: Kansas Kansas City run defense that is starting to look
Speaker 3: historically great, giving up just fifty two rushing yards per
Speaker 3: game three point two yards per carry. They rank fourth
Speaker 3: in run defense success rate. Where Cook typically spikes is
Speaker 3: in blowout wins. And I don't think we're going to
Speaker 3: get a blowout win against an undefeated Chiefs team here.
Speaker 3: I can only get you to a B grade on Cook,
Speaker 3: and I really strongly considered a seed grade, Brian, you've
Speaker 3: got our final matchup. It's Houston taking on Dallas.
Speaker 4: Yeah, we probably should have closed with the your game
Speaker 4: because this one is not nearly as interesting. To be honest,
Speaker 4: it's going to be a Monday night stinker. But apparently
Speaker 4: they can flex Monday night games now, which they should.
Speaker 3: They should have not here, but for now we're.
Speaker 4: Stuck with this on Monday Night. Let's start with the
Speaker 4: Houston side and Joe Mixon.
Speaker 2: Easy A for Joe.
Speaker 4: The Cowboys are one of the biggest run funnels in
Speaker 4: the league. Over the last four games, Dallas has yielded
Speaker 4: more than twenty seven rush attempts per game to running backs,
Speaker 4: who have averaged nearly one hundred and thirty rushing yards
Speaker 4: during that span.
Speaker 2: So easy a for mixing.
Speaker 4: But that's why Dariogunbawale was your take a chance to
Speaker 4: be running back Charch and I agree. They're not gonna
Speaker 4: need mixing for a full game, one would think, and
Speaker 4: they want to save them a little bit for the
Speaker 4: playoff stretch. So Ogunbawalle viable in this game.
Speaker 2: I agree.
Speaker 4: Nico Collins will be viable. Thankfully, he will play, so
Speaker 4: he and Tanked'll get a B b here kind of
Speaker 4: just for volume concerns, but it is a good matchup
Speaker 4: on paper. Since Week five, Dallas has allowed the ninth
Speaker 4: most receiving yards per game in the eighth most fantasy
Speaker 4: points per game to perimeter wide out. So it be
Speaker 4: for Nico and Tank Dell Sadly, I have Dalton Schultz
Speaker 4: on the bench in a revenge game against his old team,
Speaker 4: Dallas allowing just three catches and forty two yards per
Speaker 4: game to tight end. So Schultz is on the bench
Speaker 4: even in the wasteland, and I will give CJ. Stroud
Speaker 4: to see now that Nico says he will play. Dallas
Speaker 4: has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in four of their last
Speaker 4: five games. But again, game script a bit of a
Speaker 4: concern here, but Stroud is startable but not an elite
Speaker 4: option by any means. Over the Dallas side, not elite options.
Speaker 4: Tom Rico Dowbell the softest of seas for the back
Speaker 4: who projects to be the lead back for Dallas. He's
Speaker 4: basically the only running back on roster who is in
Speaker 4: dust at this point when we're talking Dalvin Cook, Ezekiel Elliott,
Speaker 4: Leonard Fournette.
Speaker 2: Is he a cowboy yet.
Speaker 5: Was tried out with him this week.
Speaker 2: I don't think.
Speaker 4: I don't think I would start you got fish over.
Speaker 4: I'm starting Rico Daddle still with the Sea, but again
Speaker 4: awful matchup. He is a warm body. If you need one,
Speaker 4: doubt all is your dude.
Speaker 2: Ceedee Lamb.
Speaker 4: We're not sabotage dropping him yet he gets a Sea
Speaker 4: in this one. He'll get peppered with, peppered with targets
Speaker 4: as he did last week forty target share, but they
Speaker 4: will be of poor quality from Cooper Rush or Tray
Speaker 4: End or Trey Lance. We might see some Trey Lance
Speaker 4: in this game. Hopefully garbage time can save us c
Speaker 4: ed here. We know the sun won't be a factor
Speaker 4: for Ceedee Lamb on Monday night.
Speaker 2: So he got that.
Speaker 4: Yes, my squinting, my Jonathan Mingo joke bombed and take
Speaker 4: a chance on me, but not taking a chance on
Speaker 4: Mingo or Jim.
Speaker 2: One day, am I ng O? No, He's He's never
Speaker 2: gonna be startled. I'm still laughing at that trade man,
Speaker 2: Jerry Jones. Something else.
Speaker 4: Jake ferguson a tight end. You think you could trust
Speaker 4: every week, can't trust him this week unfortunately, with Cooper
Speaker 4: Rush at quarterback and I'll throw the out there for
Speaker 4: Jake Ferguson, sadly one of only two players who have
Speaker 4: more than fifty targets on the season and zero receiving touchdowns.
Speaker 4: The other Trey McBride why sixty five targets, zero touchdowns
Speaker 4: and last league Cooper Rush. Oh no, slash Trey Lance. Probably,
Speaker 4: I would start.
Speaker 3: Trey Lance first, even though he's not the starter, in
Speaker 3: the hopes that Trey Lance relieves Cooper Rush and then
Speaker 3: runs ye for a bunch of success.
Speaker 4: You're in a Dynasty Empire league or even a super
Speaker 4: Flex league, Go grab Trey Lance.
Speaker 2: Why not.
Speaker 4: They're going to take an extended look at him at
Speaker 4: some point, doubts he would think. So if he's out there,
Speaker 4: go get him.
Speaker 5: Great show, guys. I don't do this often, but Fatas
Speaker 5: Secures dot org is a charity I run. Yeah, we
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Speaker 5: twenty thirty different cities. But fantasycres dot org. You can
Speaker 5: donate there. Try to convince your league to add add
Speaker 5: some charity to their charitable element, to their lead absolutely, dude, Yeah,
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Speaker 3: Everybody throws in an extra ten bucks.
Speaker 5: It adds up, it really does, and we can do
Speaker 5: a ton of good with it.
Speaker 3: Yeah. Absolutely. Fantasycares dot com also dot org. Yeah, thank you,
Speaker 3: Santasycarees dot Org. Joining Gullotine League.
Speaker 5: It's not too late.
Speaker 3: Eight weeks of guillotine action available for you. There's still
Speaker 3: plenty of time to join a free or paid Guillotine
Speaker 3: league with friends or strangers. However you want to play.
Speaker 3: You can do it at guillotine leagues dot com.
Speaker 5: We got twenty seconds left at Scottfish on Blue Sky.
Speaker 5: The fantasy community on Blue Sky is blowing up right
Speaker 5: now at Scottfish one.
Speaker 3: Scottfish Blue Sky. There you go. Thanks everybody. We'll talk
Speaker 3: to you next week. Best of luck in week number eleven.