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Speaker 1: Welcome back, everybody. It's a betting pros college football preview show.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Scott Bogmin. Follow me on the Twitter

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Speaker 1: at Boglin Sports. I'm joined as always by Thor nice

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Speaker 1: from at Thor k you on the Twitter, and Mike

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Speaker 1: Farrell at m Farrell Sports to ours. Two l's in there,

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Speaker 1: and gentlemen, we are going to be talking about the

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Speaker 1: bulls from the thirtieth through the first, So only a

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Speaker 1: couple days, but we do have nine bowls to get to.

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Speaker 1: But before we dive in, Thor the most recent week

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Speaker 1: and the bulls that have happened, what stood out to

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Speaker 1: you the most well.

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Speaker 2: I enjoyed Coastal Carolina upsetting San Jose State. They had

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Speaker 2: a good performance there. I enjoyed Air Force and Troy

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Speaker 2: Calhoun as always holding serve in ball season. They held

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Speaker 2: off James Madison there like that. And then earlier day

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Speaker 2: as we're recording Minnesota, Minnesota Golden Golfers, Darius Taylor came

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Speaker 2: back and ran wild ran for over two hundred yards

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Speaker 2: in the quick lane ball over Bowling Green.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 2: Now we're going to be getting into the major balls

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Speaker 2: in this episode. Uh. Some you know some of these

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Speaker 2: games have less opt outs or opt outs that haven't

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Speaker 2: occurred yet, and we're then we're going to get into

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Speaker 2: the college football playoff games where they have very little

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Speaker 2: opt outs, certainly ones that that don't matter. So those

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Speaker 2: are the funner games the Handicap certainly talk about. Excited

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Speaker 2: to do that.

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Speaker 1: I'm excited to talk about some of those big balls

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Speaker 1: obviously here, Mike, when when you look at what has

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Speaker 1: happened over the last week or so, what stood out

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Speaker 1: to you among the ball.

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Speaker 3: Games, shout out to coach Golish, Coach Braun really stout

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Speaker 3: me so well, we've got you know, Jed Fish inherited

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Speaker 3: a bad team one in eleven, five and seven, and

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Speaker 3: now he's gonna be one of the balls nine three,

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Speaker 3: and these guys, you know, inherited horrible football teams, and

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Speaker 3: Goulish winning a bowl game after you know, one and

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Speaker 3: eleven season last year, and bron and hearing that message

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Speaker 3: north Western at the one eleven last year, at beating

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Speaker 3: Tyle Littingham, and the ball I mean, just really great

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Speaker 3: coaching jobs that it kind of overlooked. You know, there's

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Speaker 3: a lot of attention, you know, being put on one

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Speaker 3: one on eleven football team in the state of Colorado

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Speaker 3: going four and eighth this year and not enough defensive

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Speaker 3: to be So congrats to them. And that's kind of

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Speaker 3: what stood out to be just miraculous turn around, all right.

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Speaker 1: Well, before we dive into the next batch of bulls,

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Speaker 1: and like we said, there are the big ones in here,

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Speaker 1: I got to ask you, guys, have you checked out

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Speaker 4: New features include the community section.

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Speaker 1: You can connect with top rated betters, betters on hot streaks,

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Speaker 1: and betting experts. We have a following feed, view a

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Speaker 1: feed of bets from everyone you follow and get instant

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Speaker 1: out prop bet our prop bet cheat sheet by over percentage,

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Speaker 1: underd percentage for the last fifteen games.

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Speaker 4: To be on the right side of the recent trends.

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Speaker 1: And to take advantage of these features and more, download

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Speaker 1: December thirtieth. We go to the Peach Bowl in Atlanta,

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Speaker 1: number eleven Ole miss versus number ten Penn State. The

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Speaker 1: line is Penn State by three and a half. Forty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half is a total and thor I

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Speaker 1: gotta tell you, tickets in cash are just it'sy bitsy

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Speaker 1: teeny tightly teeny tiny, slightly on the side of Mississippi

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Speaker 1: and the under. So this seems from the public betting side,

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Speaker 1: it's going to be a very close game.

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Speaker 4: Is that how you see it? Or do you have

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Speaker 4: a good lean one way or the other.

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Speaker 2: I'm pretty close to the margins too, as far as

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Speaker 2: where my number is. I have Penn State minus three

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Speaker 2: point three. You know I live is at four right now, right,

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Speaker 2: you know, So yeah, I'm pretty close there. I would

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Speaker 2: you know, like the public have a slight lean to

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Speaker 2: you know, dust lead towards all missing this one. Penn State.

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Speaker 2: The the main opt outs on their side, Chop Robinson,

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Speaker 2: their stud edge rusher who's going to go in the

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Speaker 2: first round. He has confirmed that he will not play

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Speaker 2: in this game. That obviously takes chump out of their

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Speaker 2: pass rushing in this game. The other one that you're

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Speaker 2: gonna have to keep an eye on, Penn State stud

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Speaker 2: left tackle Olufashanu has confirmed he's going to the NFL Draft,

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Speaker 2: but he had a weird declaration where he didn't want

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Speaker 2: to address whether he was going to play in the

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Speaker 2: game or not, and the way he put it in

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Speaker 2: his statement, he said something to the effect of that

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Speaker 2: that he was excited to spend time with his teammates

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Speaker 2: and coaches at this game. So, like, you know, it

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Speaker 2: depends on how you sound.

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Speaker 1: That sounds like a dude that's going to be on

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Speaker 1: the sideline.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's what it sounds like to me too. I mean,

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Speaker 2: and it's not, you know, a declarative, but that's you know,

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Speaker 2: that's also how I would read that as well. Obviously

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Speaker 2: that would be a big opt out as well. On

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Speaker 2: the old miss side, that really the only one you're

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Speaker 2: looking at right now, Cedric Johnson. Their edge rusher, decent

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Speaker 2: pass rusher, doesn't give you as much in the run game,

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Speaker 2: but they've gotten confirmation that Jackson Dart is going to start,

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Speaker 2: is going to play, He's coming back next year. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: Junkins stud running back is going to be playing because

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Speaker 2: he's a true sophomore. He's gonna be back next year.

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Speaker 2: Ole Miss has built some really big momentum for next year.

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Speaker 2: As Pharaoh could tell you, they are dominating in the

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Speaker 2: portal this year. Since this is a betting show, I'm

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Speaker 2: going to encourage everyone out there, if you have a

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Speaker 2: little lunch money, if you can dig some pocket change

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Speaker 2: out of your couch tonight, buy an Old Miss twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty four. Well, I guess it'd be twenty twenty five

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Speaker 2: national championship ticket because that team is going to be

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Speaker 2: insane next year. The roster that they're building with the

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Speaker 2: guys they have back, and then the portal class they're building.

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Speaker 2: My lean in this game, like I said, is Ole Miss,

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Speaker 2: I lean against the public go in the total. I

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Speaker 2: actually lean towards the over in this one. Penn State

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Speaker 2: they have a tough time moving the ball on teams

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Speaker 2: to play really really good defense. Ole Miss doesn't have

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Speaker 2: a great one, so I think Penn State will be

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Speaker 2: able to move the ball. Okay, here, I also think

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Speaker 2: ole Miss is gonna be able to move the ball,

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Speaker 2: certainly on pen Penn State's got a good defense, but

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Speaker 2: Ole Miss puts the pressure on you with the tempo.

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Speaker 2: Penn State has the good run defense, but nobody shuts

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Speaker 2: down Judgkins and then you know Dart's going to be

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Speaker 2: able to get the things off the play action in

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Speaker 2: the rpo game, I think they're gonna be able to

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Speaker 2: chip away there. With this total under fifty, I think

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Speaker 2: this one gets over fifty. And again I think ole

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Speaker 2: Miss keeps this one close. This game's closer to a

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Speaker 2: coin flip for me. So Ole Miss in the over

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Speaker 2: for me.

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Speaker 1: Mike, do you have the same thoughts there or you

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Speaker 1: on maybe the Penn State side. I did see your

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Speaker 1: face when Thorpe said go buy a twenty twenty five

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Speaker 1: uh national champs for Old Miss ticket.

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Speaker 4: It was one of those right there. But they are

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Speaker 4: doing great, aren't.

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Speaker 3: I mean you can buy you could buy a playoff

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Speaker 3: you know ticket if you want national championship.

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Speaker 2: Get on train with me, Mike, No, not yet.

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Speaker 3: I mean the guys gotta win real big games first,

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Speaker 3: and then that doesn't happen overnight. So and speaking of

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Speaker 3: you know, not winning big games, Franklin, you know, so

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Speaker 3: this is a battle of dudes, which is really.

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Speaker 4: I hope this tie. That would be the funniest thing

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Speaker 4: in the world. Oh my lord.

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Speaker 3: So you know a lot of people think many dias

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Speaker 3: me and Gone is going to impact the defense and

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Speaker 3: then I can play as well. Blah blah blah. I

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Speaker 3: just don't believe in this Penn State offense, so I'm

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Speaker 3: leaning under. But I'm also leaning all Miss. You know,

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Speaker 3: they've struggled getting the ball downfield, very conservative play, falling

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Speaker 3: wide receivers in the battle season long. Not that Old

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Speaker 3: Miss has a tremendous defense, but they're good enough I

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Speaker 3: think to keep Fish a check, and Old Miness is

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Speaker 3: going to run the football, and I think there'd be

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Speaker 3: effective running the football. Penn State put up some body

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Speaker 3: defensive numbers, but they did a lot of it against

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Speaker 3: really bad Big Ten football teams. So I'm going to

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Speaker 3: take Old Miss. I would lean under as well. I

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Speaker 3: would not buy a national championship ticket. That's like buying

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Speaker 3: a national championship ticket. To James Franklin. Lane Kiffin hasn't

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Speaker 3: beaten anybody of value. I think he's one in twenty

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Speaker 3: against teams that have finished with nine or more wins,

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Speaker 3: and that goes back to USC It can't beat anybody

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Speaker 3: big until he does. I'm not doing national championship, but

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Speaker 3: I will do playoffs twelve teams.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, probably way worse odds this year, but you know,

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Speaker 1: still a pretty goodbye.

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Speaker 4: I like that one.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to the Music City Bowl in Nashville. That

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Speaker 1: is Auburn as a six and a half point favorite

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Speaker 1: over Maryland. Forty six and a half is a total

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Speaker 1: in this game. Tickets and cash are a little more

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Speaker 1: convincing towards Auburn and the under in this game towards that.

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Speaker 1: How you see it or do you have a different pull?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? So this one. The handicap on this one change

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Speaker 2: way and Talia Tacova loa left and he's got a

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Speaker 2: weird deal going on. It was out of eligibility. Now

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Speaker 2: he wants the ncaaight to Grandham one another season of eligibility.

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Speaker 2: Good luck with that, Talia. But you know, for this game,

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Speaker 2: like I said, it changes it. This line went from

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Speaker 2: Auburn minus two and a half to Auburn minus six

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Speaker 2: in twenty minutes of real time after Talia Taco b

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Speaker 2: Loo opted out of this game. I mean an enormous shift.

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Speaker 2: I'm lucky enough to be holding an Auburn minus two

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Speaker 2: and a half ticket. I'm not going to be more

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Speaker 2: involved than that. I will say though, my line on

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Speaker 2: this game is Auburn minus seven point four, So you know,

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Speaker 2: with that at six and a half pause, I would

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Speaker 2: be advocating right now for an Auburn play. You know

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Speaker 2: you've seen Auburn. I'm sorry. You see Maryland without Talia before,

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Speaker 2: and Tullia is not you know, he's no greade shakes.

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Speaker 2: But you know, you drop down to Billy Edwards. They

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Speaker 2: say they're gonna platoon the Billy Edwards kid with a freshman.

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Speaker 2: They have this Cam Edge kidd. They want to get

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Speaker 2: a look at him, so he's going to be in

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Speaker 2: for some series as well. Those guys next summer are

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Speaker 2: going to be competing with MJ. Morris, the NC State

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Speaker 2: transfer coming in, so like you know, I mean, they

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Speaker 2: want to get a look at both of the one and

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Speaker 2: then they're gonna be competing and whatnot. Here's where the

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Speaker 2: rubber meets the road.

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Speaker 3: Here.

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Speaker 2: Beyond that, you have the depreciation of the Maryland offense,

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Speaker 2: but in addition to that, the Maryland defensive strength this

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Speaker 2: fall was decidedly their past defense. Maryland's pass defense thirty

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Speaker 2: second success rate, fifty second in explosion. The Maryland rushing

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Speaker 2: defense eighty second in success rate. That's really the only

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Speaker 2: thing that Auburn's offense is good at. Auburn can't throw,

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Speaker 2: but they can run. And if you can't stop them

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Speaker 2: from running, that that's how Auburn scores. Maryland is not

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Speaker 2: going to be able to stop them running. That's where

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Speaker 2: they're gonna get their points. And I just find it hard,

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Speaker 2: you know, like the idea that Maryland's gonna return fire

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Speaker 2: here with Billy Edwards, Billy the kid and then the

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Speaker 2: cam Edge kid. I don't see it happening. I you know,

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Speaker 2: I'm seeing more like a ten point Auburn win here.

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Speaker 4: Mike.

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Speaker 1: Are you with the same thought process there? Auburn's just

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Speaker 1: gonna run it up and down the field.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think they're gonna trouble stop in the Auburn run.

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Speaker 3: I don't think Auburn's gonna throw that much, and they're

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Speaker 3: just gonna sort of impose their will. Locks is a

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Speaker 3: good it's kind of solid job. This one seems pretty easy.

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Speaker 3: I think Auburn's gonna win this play.

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Speaker 2: And one other thing, Bagman, and that I'll say, Hugh

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Speaker 2: Freeze six and one straight up and six and one

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Speaker 2: against the spread in bowl games in his previous stops.

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Speaker 2: He's one of the most profitable coaches we have in

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Speaker 2: the postseason.

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Speaker 4: Get them ready to play.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, a lot of criticism on Hugh Freeze, but

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Speaker 1: he gets them ready to play. Let's go to the

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Speaker 1: Hangover Bowl for the Orange Bowl here in Miami. It's

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Speaker 1: number six. Georgia is a fourteen and a half point favorite.

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Speaker 1: I guess number five Florida State forty four and a

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Speaker 1: half is the total in this game. I mean tickets, cash,

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Speaker 1: everything is on uggah and the under. I think that's

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Speaker 1: probably the way I'd see it as wealth or any

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Speaker 1: difference in your take there, nouh.

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Speaker 2: So I have a Georgia minus fourteen ticket, it's up

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Speaker 2: to seventeen or seventeen and a half, depending where you're looking.

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Speaker 2: I would tell you there is still value at Georgia

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Speaker 2: at that number. My line on this game right now

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Speaker 2: is Georgia minus twenty point six, and we'll see if

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Speaker 2: Georgia has any opt outs. That would bring it down

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Speaker 2: just a little bit for me. But this thing is grizzly,

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Speaker 2: so let's get into it. Right now. Georgia really to

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Speaker 2: this moment in time when we're recording here on Tuesday night,

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Speaker 2: they don't really have any opt outs that matter. Officially.

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Speaker 2: They have one linebacker that started earlier in the season

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Speaker 2: who didn't play the last four games because of injury.

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Speaker 2: That's in the transfer portal, but he doesn't matter because

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Speaker 2: they've been playing without him. They have guys that could

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Speaker 2: right Brock Bauers could Lad McConkie, could Tate Rutledge, Marius Mimms,

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Speaker 2: could Ceder Van Pryant another offense. They could stat Kowas

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Speaker 2: on the defensive line, could Lassiter and Bullard in the

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Speaker 2: defensive backfield? They could We'll have to see in the

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Speaker 2: lead up to the game. But but those guys you know,

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Speaker 2: as of yet have not said that that they're not

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Speaker 2: going to play in the game. Florida State, oh man,

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Speaker 2: it's brutal. Tate Rodamaker just opted out. So they're going

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Speaker 2: to be starting the kid that we've seen against Louisville,

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Speaker 2: the freshman still yeah, Brock Glenn. And in the Louisville game,

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Speaker 2: you'll recall the only way they could generate offense in

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Speaker 2: that game, it was doing the wildcat stuff. With Benson

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Speaker 2: and then a little bit with tow Afilly. Well, Benson's

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Speaker 2: out in this game as well, so it's it's just

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Speaker 2: going to be the toe a Philly show there. Uh,

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Speaker 2: the wide receivers that the true freshman can have anyone

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Speaker 2: to throw who Johnny Wilson's out, Keyon Coleman's out, jo

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Speaker 2: keeing Bell is out. The other big tight end, Marquiston

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Speaker 2: Douglas is out. They have a couple of different offensive

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Speaker 2: linemen out. The defensive front was just blown up. Malcolm

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Speaker 2: Ray out, Fabian love It out, Joshua Farmer out. So

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Speaker 2: that's all their defensive tackles that played. Then the two

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Speaker 2: edge guys Jared Versus and Patrick Payton, they're both out.

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Speaker 2: One of the linebackers out. They have defensive backs out.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it would have been easier for me just

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Speaker 2: to say who has not opted out on the Florida

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Speaker 2: State side. And by the way, their fan base is

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Speaker 2: talking about how they want to boycott this game as well.

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Speaker 2: They don't want to be in this game, Georgia, at

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Speaker 2: least they want to you know more or less. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, they wanted to be in the playoff,

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Speaker 2: but this game is Georgia is going to drop the

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Speaker 2: hammer here. This is Joaquin Phoenix going out and Gladiator

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Speaker 2: putting the thumb down. This is Georgia all the way.

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Speaker 2: I expect Georgia to win this game by more than

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Speaker 2: three touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: Even though you know, Walking Phoenix Die is a team

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Speaker 1: of that seeing but yeah, I got you.

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Speaker 3: Though I still haven't seen that movie.

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Speaker 2: Wow.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well it's only fifteen years old, so that movie

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Speaker 1: could probably have a driver's license, might not even be

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Speaker 1: old enough to drink now. But that's all right, Farrell,

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Speaker 1: you'll see it someday. What are your thoughts on the

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Speaker 1: beach ball. I mean, obviously, like Thors said, it seems

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Speaker 1: like neither team is gonna want to be there. Maybe

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Speaker 1: effort will be low, but it seems like at least

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Speaker 1: Georgia has some horses staying in. Florida state seems to

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Speaker 1: have nobody's staying in the fans I want to go.

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Speaker 3: It's just they're gonna win just by the fall and

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Speaker 3: then just throwing the football out there. They got better

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Speaker 3: players whether they care or not, it doesn't matter. And

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Speaker 3: Florida stated scout team almost now it's bad. And then

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Speaker 3: the narrative is going to be this. You know they're

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Speaker 3: gonna lose by thirty. I mean it's gonna be a blowout.

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Speaker 3: And then it was going to say we told you

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Speaker 3: Florida doesn't belong. And then Florida State fans, who are

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Speaker 3: the pretty whiny group, I mean, they got screwed. I'll

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Speaker 3: admit it. I'm with you. You got screwed, you know,

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Speaker 3: but hold.

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Speaker 4: On, hold on? But how long?

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Speaker 1: How but how long is the whining period? Like you

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Speaker 1: got to give them time to win.

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Speaker 3: It's over, No, it's over because it's just it's daily.

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Speaker 3: I mean, it's just constant, daily, daily, daily, daily. You know,

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Speaker 3: like if you whine a day and took a day

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Speaker 3: off from whining or wine maybe you know, once in

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Speaker 3: the morning, once at night, but constant everything that's said,

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Speaker 3: I mean everything for Curve Street tweets. You gotta jump

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Speaker 3: in there, a got his freaking dog Ben and you

333
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Speaker 3: gotta jump in there and see his ruin college football

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Speaker 3: and they're selling clown shirts or their I mean, just

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Speaker 3: it's just so they're going to say, well, you know,

336
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Speaker 3: if you were in the playoff, everybody wouldn't opted out

337
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Speaker 3: or defense with a full strength, but you keep said

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Speaker 3: the game rod to Maker is amazing, this, that and

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Speaker 3: the other. They're just whiny excuses at this point. I

340
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Speaker 3: know nor Bell's telling his team, Listen, you gotta go

341
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Speaker 3: out there. You got to give it your best. You

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Speaker 3: got to keep this game close. You got to win

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Speaker 3: this football game, and then we can claim if we

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Speaker 3: win this game, we can play in the National Championship,

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Speaker 3: or if we keep it close, we could say, hey,

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Speaker 3: we would have hung with Michigan. But that's not gonna happen.

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Speaker 3: Neither of those things are gonna happen. They're gonna get drilled,

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Speaker 3: which is pretty easy money. It went up three points

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Speaker 3: from Radamaker going out from fourteen and a half to

350
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Speaker 3: seventeen and a half. You know, if you got it early,

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Speaker 3: which I did, that's great. It's going to continue to rise.

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Speaker 3: I think I think you're going to get up potentially

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Speaker 3: nineteen and a half, which is for an Orangeville just unbelievable.

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Speaker 3: But even at nineteen and a half and even twenty,

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Speaker 3: there's value on Georgia.

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Speaker 2: Stake Georgia here and that you're Kirby Smart seven and

357
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Speaker 2: three against the spread and ball games. Mike Norvell on

358
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Speaker 2: won five against the spread and ball games. I think

359
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Speaker 2: it's only going to continue on both ends of it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I just this one looked is looking like a

361
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Speaker 1: bloodbath more and more, and you know, three points for Radamaker.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Glenn was bad, but roden Maker wasn't good.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure maybe a couple other opt outs had to.

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Speaker 4: Do it that as well.

365
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Speaker 3: Passes is Glenn completed, We're like six 't seven? Johnny Wilson, Yeah,

366
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Speaker 3: not there. It's just if they will not be able to,

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Speaker 3: it's gonna be embarrassing. I mean, the Louisville game is

368
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Speaker 3: bad not to watch. This is gonna be worse. And

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Speaker 3: it's a Kirby's credit. Okay, he learned in the Nick

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Speaker 3: Saban there's a Nick Saban mentality. You know, we saw

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Speaker 3: Bryce Young and Will Anderson playing a Bowl game like.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, like I remember a lot of the BAMA guys

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Speaker 1: have come back and played.

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Speaker 3: This is what George is about. And so I don't

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Speaker 3: think you're gonna see any of these big name guys

376
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Speaker 3: opt out, even if they're risking their NFL future and

377
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:35,280
Speaker 3: all that stuff. It's culture, it's built from the ground up.

378
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Speaker 3: Kirby's got it, Savan's got it. So I think you're

379
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Speaker 3: gonna see Kirby's saying to those guys, listen, Bryce Young

380
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Speaker 3: was number one pick last year, Will Anderson with number three.

381
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Speaker 3: They did not what do you guys doing. I mean,

382
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Speaker 3: brock Bowers, you could go top ten, I know, but

383
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Speaker 3: you know, so there's there's a challenge to the George team.

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Speaker 3: And Kirby is the greatest coach ever, including saban At,

385
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Speaker 3: getting his team riled up about nothing. And here here

386
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Speaker 3: it is. This is what they'reril about. They didn't get

387
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Speaker 3: make it in the playoff. You know. They want to

388
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Speaker 3: drill FSU to show that they didn't belong there, and

389
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Speaker 3: they want to beat them so bad, honestly, to just

390
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Speaker 3: sort of send shock waves into the fact that hey,

391
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Speaker 3: maybe maybe Texas shouldn't have been in there, maybe even

392
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Speaker 3: in Washington undefeated. That's what they want to do. So

393
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Speaker 3: they want to send a message. One side pairs, the

394
00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:25,600
Speaker 3: other side doesn't. It's going to be a round.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's going to be ugly.

396
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Speaker 1: The last game on the thirty at the Arizona Bowl

397
00:19:29,720 --> 00:19:33,080
Speaker 1: in Tucson to lead overs Wyoming. Wyoming is a three

398
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Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Forty five is total in

399
00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:39,920
Speaker 1: this one. Tickets to cash Way on Wyoming, but the

400
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Speaker 1: over is leading in tickets and the under is leading

401
00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:46,760
Speaker 1: in cash, so a little different there. Thor how do

402
00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:48,680
Speaker 1: you see this Arizona bol playing out?

403
00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:51,160
Speaker 2: I also really like Wyoming in this game. My line

404
00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:54,199
Speaker 2: is Wyoming minus four point nine. But I think you

405
00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:57,120
Speaker 2: can even bake in motivational factors and stuff like that

406
00:19:57,400 --> 00:20:00,199
Speaker 2: and make an argument even stronger than that, you know,

407
00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:02,520
Speaker 2: I mean, starting with the fact that this is Craig

408
00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:05,359
Speaker 2: Bull's last game. You know, win one for the Gipper

409
00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:08,320
Speaker 2: in this one. Craig Bull also four to zero to

410
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Speaker 2: one against his spread last five bowl games. He's one

411
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Speaker 2: of those moneymakers in the postseason. You know who's not

412
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Speaker 2: Jason Kandall coach that I don't think is very good.

413
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:20,399
Speaker 2: He's owing five in his career in bowl games. Not

414
00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:24,159
Speaker 2: only that, Toledo and mister Kandall. He's going to have

415
00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:26,879
Speaker 2: to make do without Daikwon Finn, his star quarterback in

416
00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:30,160
Speaker 2: this game. Daikwon Finn already opted out to transfer down

417
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:33,680
Speaker 2: to Baylor. They also will have to do without their

418
00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:38,000
Speaker 2: stud offensive guard Vinnie Scary, who win is also going

419
00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:40,359
Speaker 2: down to the State of Texas. He going to Texas Tech.

420
00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:44,280
Speaker 2: We're still waiting word on their stud cornerback Quinnyon Mitchell,

421
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:47,080
Speaker 2: who is pondering the NFL draft. He's going to be

422
00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:48,639
Speaker 2: going to the NFL draft. It's just is he going

423
00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:50,680
Speaker 2: to play in this game. A lot of people think

424
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:53,280
Speaker 2: that he is. He's going to opt out. The Mitchell

425
00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:56,560
Speaker 2: kid only allowed forty three point five percent catch eight

426
00:20:56,680 --> 00:21:01,320
Speaker 2: this past season, fourteen passes defended, fifty one point one

427
00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,760
Speaker 2: NFL passer rating allowed on targets. You lose him, that

428
00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:08,479
Speaker 2: one would hurt. On the Wyoming side, only one starter

429
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:13,480
Speaker 2: that is opted out, Colby Taylor, a cornerback, but he

430
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:15,520
Speaker 2: missed the last two games of the regular season with

431
00:21:15,560 --> 00:21:18,000
Speaker 2: an injury, so probably wasn't gonna play in this one. Anyway.

432
00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:22,240
Speaker 2: Outside of that, they're fully intact this Wyoming team. Again.

433
00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:26,439
Speaker 2: They play hard in the postseason invariably anyway, and this

434
00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:29,680
Speaker 2: being Bulls last game, I think they come out give

435
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:33,000
Speaker 2: them great effort. Toledo never gives Kandle good effort in

436
00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:35,960
Speaker 2: ball season. They always seem discmbobulated. I think you're gonna

437
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:38,280
Speaker 2: see a lot more of that, particularly without Finn here.

438
00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:40,280
Speaker 2: I really like Wyoming in this game. I think they

439
00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:42,480
Speaker 2: win by a touchdown or more fall.

440
00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:44,800
Speaker 1: I think the key to Wyoming is that I don't

441
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:47,480
Speaker 1: bet on them. I think that's the key for them

442
00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:49,520
Speaker 1: winning this game, because every time I bet on them,

443
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 1: they drop it against the spread. It's just the way

444
00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:54,280
Speaker 1: it goes for me recently here. But your thoughts on

445
00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:56,000
Speaker 1: the airson a Ball are you on the Wyoming side

446
00:21:56,040 --> 00:21:56,480
Speaker 1: as well?

447
00:21:56,760 --> 00:22:00,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm taking Wyoming mainly. You know, I means win

448
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 3: one for they get it, burn all that stuff. But

449
00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:04,240
Speaker 3: Finn's not playing. I mean that's the guy that makes

450
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,680
Speaker 3: the offense go and he's not playing. He's gone, and

451
00:22:08,119 --> 00:22:11,520
Speaker 3: you know there's a stickitest drop to the backup. I

452
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 3: don't think they're going to be effective at all. I

453
00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:15,160
Speaker 3: think yam is going to win this football game. He's

454
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:16,760
Speaker 3: kind of an up and down football team. You know,

455
00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:18,840
Speaker 3: we saw them be Texas Tech earlier in the season

456
00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:21,280
Speaker 3: and then you have some studs. But I think they'll

457
00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:22,960
Speaker 3: be up for this one. They always play well in

458
00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:24,879
Speaker 3: bowl games. They always have a chip on their shoulder.

459
00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:27,760
Speaker 3: For some reason, Toledo does not. It's still mentioned and

460
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:29,879
Speaker 3: without Fin, I don't think they have a chance.

461
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:32,680
Speaker 1: All right, we're going to go to the games on

462
00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 1: the first, but before we do. If you want a

463
00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 1: chance to win a premium one year subscription to Betting

464
00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 1: Pros your place to start betting smarter, not harder, you

465
00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:43,320
Speaker 1: need to subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel right now,

466
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:46,280
Speaker 1: comment below on this video and that's it. We will

467
00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:48,639
Speaker 1: be announcing a winner right here on the channel, so

468
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:50,880
Speaker 1: make sure to turn on those notifications so you can

469
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:54,600
Speaker 1: be alerted when new episodes are up and to possibly

470
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 1: claim your prize. Let's go to the first We start

471
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:02,560
Speaker 1: with the real quest bawl in Tampa, Florida, Wisconsin versus

472
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:06,399
Speaker 1: number thirteen LSU. The line currently is LSU by nine

473
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 1: and a half fifty five? Is the total tickets cash everything, LSU?

474
00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:14,240
Speaker 1: And the overthor? Is that where you're at as well?

475
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 2: I like Wisconsin in this game? Yeah with I mean

476
00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:22,480
Speaker 2: with you know you lose Daniels in this one. It's

477
00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:26,159
Speaker 2: such a big drop off. You gotta remember, you know,

478
00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 2: I've watched a lot of LSU football this year. LSU's

479
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:33,119
Speaker 2: defense is a friggin travesty. It was so fun to

480
00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:35,639
Speaker 2: watch them because the offense was so good, in large

481
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:38,840
Speaker 2: part because Jayden Daniels turned himself into a what is

482
00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:41,879
Speaker 2: going to become a consensus top ten overall NFL draft

483
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:45,000
Speaker 2: pick in the spring here. But the defense is horrid.

484
00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:46,520
Speaker 2: I mean, that's you know, and then they would do

485
00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:50,440
Speaker 2: the shootout thing whatever. Nussmeyer is a solid backup quarterback,

486
00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:52,639
Speaker 2: I'll give you that. But you go from one of

487
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:54,920
Speaker 2: the I mean, well, the Heisman Committee decided he was

488
00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:57,440
Speaker 2: the most valuable player in college football. You go from

489
00:23:57,480 --> 00:24:01,120
Speaker 2: that to just a solid backup you in a lot. Obviously,

490
00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:03,879
Speaker 2: the other opt out on LSU they lost the starting

491
00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 2: cornerback Sage Ryan. We're still waiting for official word from

492
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:12,200
Speaker 2: Elak Neighbors, though, I will say he's been in bull practice.

493
00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:14,880
Speaker 2: He did miss one a couple of days ago, though,

494
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:16,919
Speaker 2: I you know, I don't know if that's gonna end up.

495
00:24:17,280 --> 00:24:20,160
Speaker 2: You know, we'll see on that. If Neighbors out as well.

496
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 2: That Nickson big as well. Brian Thomas though says he's

497
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 2: gonna play. I'm a big fan of Brian Thomas.

498
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:28,320
Speaker 4: At game, he's so good. Didn't he lead the nation

499
00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:29,280
Speaker 4: in touchdown reception?

500
00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 2: He's so good. Yeah, and he over a thousand yards

501
00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:35,280
Speaker 2: as well. I mean, Neighbors had over fifteen hundred. But

502
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,359
Speaker 2: I mean, you know, they're both Stuts to me and

503
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:41,000
Speaker 2: Brian Thomas, it is not out there to suggest he

504
00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:43,080
Speaker 2: he is a first round guy, you know, I mean

505
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:46,920
Speaker 2: later on for him. But like Stut as well, we'll

506
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:50,480
Speaker 2: have to see on those Thomas going to play neighbors

507
00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:52,879
Speaker 2: still up in the air. But either way, you know,

508
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,000
Speaker 2: you take a huge jump out of the offense. Just

509
00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 2: with Daniels. This thing with Wisconsin, the big one is

510
00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:02,720
Speaker 2: the running back room. Brailn Allen's going to the NFL Draft.

511
00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:05,760
Speaker 2: The other two backup, the top two backups. You have

512
00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:08,680
Speaker 2: an injury with one of them, and then actually I'm

513
00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:11,280
Speaker 2: sorry that the second and third guy are injured. We

514
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:14,840
Speaker 2: did get to see the fourth guy. This kid, Yakamelly

515
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:18,679
Speaker 2: guy down the stretch. He's kind of interesting. He's a

516
00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:21,359
Speaker 2: six foot two hundred thirteen pounder who came to school

517
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:25,720
Speaker 2: as a receiver and they were using them in late November.

518
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,720
Speaker 2: He got twenty two of his thirty three touches in November.

519
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:32,480
Speaker 2: He's going to be the bellcow guy. He can catch

520
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:34,440
Speaker 2: the ball, he can do some things. Like I said,

521
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:37,600
Speaker 2: you know, he got a little bit of experience. Wisconsin

522
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 2: wasn't throwing the ball well anyway, Like beforehand, you know

523
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:43,159
Speaker 2: the Longo thing. We're gonna have to see about that.

524
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:47,000
Speaker 2: But anyone runs and throws to the degree they count

525
00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:49,399
Speaker 2: on the LSU defense, they I mean, it's you know,

526
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:52,359
Speaker 2: it's horrid. So I mean, you know, Wisconsin's gonna be

527
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 2: able to do you know what they're able to do here.

528
00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 2: And then the the other opt outs of note they

529
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:03,159
Speaker 2: they lose their starting set, and then Wisconsin also loses

530
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:07,320
Speaker 2: a starting edge and a starting linebacker and a starting cornerback.

531
00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 2: When it came out in the wash, for me, I

532
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 2: got LSU minus four point four. You might say that

533
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:17,919
Speaker 2: I'm overrating Jayden Daniels, when when I'm putting that together,

534
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:18,639
Speaker 2: I don't think so.

535
00:26:19,800 --> 00:26:22,320
Speaker 4: To me, could and Daniels, I don't think so.

536
00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:25,240
Speaker 2: Exactly. You take the most again, most valuable player in

537
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:27,680
Speaker 2: college football off that team and you know that they

538
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:31,040
Speaker 2: have one of the ten worst defenses in the FBS.

539
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:35,400
Speaker 2: To me, that is enormously problematic. I know that Wisconsin

540
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:38,440
Speaker 2: it's no great shakes, but they can do some stuff,

541
00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:40,879
Speaker 2: and it's a smart coaching staff that they're going to

542
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:43,920
Speaker 2: know how to attack that horror defense. They're at least

543
00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 2: going to be able to stay on schedule. They're not

544
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:48,439
Speaker 2: going to do stupid stuff. They're not going to just

545
00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:52,320
Speaker 2: give this thing to LSU whatever. So for me getting

546
00:26:52,359 --> 00:26:54,520
Speaker 2: all those points, especially if you can get this thing

547
00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 2: at ten, that's where i'd wait for it. You know,

548
00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:58,200
Speaker 2: you say in the nine and a half, I'd want

549
00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:00,159
Speaker 2: that at ten. But if you can get ten, I'm

550
00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:01,920
Speaker 2: taking that with Wisconsin.

551
00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:05,199
Speaker 1: Mike, are you on the same same page here? And

552
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:08,160
Speaker 1: by the way, was Brian Thomas with fifteen lad Lake

553
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:11,600
Speaker 1: Neighbors had fourteen, So twenty nine touchdowns between those two guys.

554
00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:14,840
Speaker 1: Incredible year offensively for LSU, but they lose their quarterback.

555
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,560
Speaker 3: I'm on the over just because I think, you know,

556
00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:19,920
Speaker 3: Wisconsin's not a great offense, but they'll be able to

557
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 3: put a point because others defense is so bad. And

558
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 3: I still think, you know, Jayden Daniels made that offense go,

559
00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:28,800
Speaker 3: nots Myers solid. He's a big drop off, but they've

560
00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:30,880
Speaker 3: still got a lot of the horses that they can

561
00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:34,040
Speaker 3: make plays. You know, I'm not sure if Neighbors is

562
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:37,359
Speaker 3: going to play or not. That's a big deal. But

563
00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:39,159
Speaker 3: to me, this is still going to be sort of

564
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 3: a shootout because ls you can't stop anybody, and what

565
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:44,880
Speaker 3: are they going to do. If they can't stop anybody,

566
00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 3: even even a four spring running backson will to run

567
00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:50,520
Speaker 3: on them. They're going to air it out. And the

568
00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:52,800
Speaker 3: only they only have one recourse in this football and

569
00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 3: used to score more points than their opponent. And that's

570
00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:58,600
Speaker 3: been no season, their entire season, Wisconsin. You know, the

571
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,720
Speaker 3: longer thing. It's gonna work out. I think eventually this

572
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:03,760
Speaker 3: was a transition here and a lot of people expected,

573
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,479
Speaker 3: you know, instant results. Not the case. But I think

574
00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:11,120
Speaker 3: they're starting to come together a little bit. The key

575
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:14,040
Speaker 3: here is the defense is LSU is so bad they're

576
00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:15,600
Speaker 3: gonna have to put up points because they're gonna give

577
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:17,159
Speaker 3: up points. So take the over on this one. I

578
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:18,200
Speaker 3: don't like the side at all.

579
00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:21,680
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the Citrus Bowl. Number seventeen

580
00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:25,600
Speaker 1: Iowa versus number twenty one Tennessee. Tennessee is a seven

581
00:28:25,760 --> 00:28:28,359
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. The total in this game

582
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:30,879
Speaker 1: is this right? Thor is it really thirty six and

583
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:33,040
Speaker 1: a half? Is that the correct total?

584
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:35,800
Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, I mean that that for an Iowa game.

585
00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 2: That's that's high.

586
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:40,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, it is high. And guess what betters are taking

587
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:44,520
Speaker 1: Iowa in the under? Not a shock so yeah, I know,

588
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:47,920
Speaker 1: super super strange thor what do you think of this one?

589
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:50,480
Speaker 1: Is this Iowa and the under like the public says.

590
00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:53,160
Speaker 2: The market is correct. Yeah, if you can get more

591
00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:56,080
Speaker 2: than a touchdown here, to me, that's that's an easy one,

592
00:28:56,160 --> 00:28:58,959
Speaker 2: you take. It is really hard to blow at Iowa.

593
00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:02,960
Speaker 2: What one. Well, two teams I guess THEYD Michigan and

594
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:06,320
Speaker 2: Penn State right beat him by more than uh. I mean,

595
00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:08,560
Speaker 2: the only other team that beat him this year it

596
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:12,520
Speaker 2: was the referees in the Minnesota game. But you know,

597
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:14,920
Speaker 2: I mean outside of that and you know, and again

598
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 2: hard to beat him by margin. Tennessee they're not in

599
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 2: the phylum of Michigan or Penn State, and they have

600
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:24,120
Speaker 2: the decent defense, but Joe Milton is going to have

601
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:27,200
Speaker 2: a tough time with that Iowa defense. Uh. And that's

602
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:30,800
Speaker 2: an understatement, particularly because Joe Milton's not gonna have Jalen

603
00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:33,840
Speaker 2: right here. Uh. You know, Tennessee did the three man

604
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 2: running back rotation. Jalen Wright was by far the best

605
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:40,200
Speaker 2: of those three guys. So the other two, uh, you know,

606
00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:42,920
Speaker 2: they're gonna get the more usage. You know that were

607
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:44,600
Speaker 2: you know, it's gonna go from three to two in

608
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:46,680
Speaker 2: this one, but you lose your best one going to

609
00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:49,760
Speaker 2: the NFL Draft in this one. UH Tennessee also lost

610
00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:54,320
Speaker 2: Tyler Barron, their stud edge to the UH transfer portal,

611
00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 2: and then they lost starting defensive back to Marion McDonald Iowa.

612
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:02,560
Speaker 2: They didn't lose anyone in the portal that mattered. They

613
00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:05,920
Speaker 2: obviously had this season ending injuries that did way earlier

614
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:09,160
Speaker 2: in the season that they become accustomed to, you know, McNamara,

615
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:15,000
Speaker 2: Eric hall, Leche, Cooper de John, et cetera. But Tennessee

616
00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:20,840
Speaker 2: had several as well, you know, Davante, Let's see Deontay Thornton,

617
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:27,120
Speaker 2: Bruce McCoy, Arion Carter, Keenan Peely, the Hayden Kid at cornerback,

618
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:30,520
Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera. I just think Iowa they keep

619
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:32,800
Speaker 2: it close with everybody. Again, it is not way way

620
00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:35,400
Speaker 2: better than them. Tennessee is not way way better than them.

621
00:30:35,840 --> 00:30:38,280
Speaker 2: Joe Milton's gonna struggle in this game. I think this

622
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:41,040
Speaker 2: thing ends up. You know, a typical Iowa game where

623
00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:43,320
Speaker 2: it's ugly, it's a three to four point game where

624
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:46,000
Speaker 2: it becomes a coin flip late. I like the under

625
00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 2: I'm taking the points of Iowa.

626
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 4: What do you think, Mike or are you on Iowa

627
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:50,000
Speaker 4: as well?

628
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:55,240
Speaker 3: I want to justify my employment like saying a lot

629
00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:58,520
Speaker 3: of words, but I don't need to take the under.

630
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:03,240
Speaker 3: I don't really need say much. I mean, it's cashed

631
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:04,920
Speaker 3: all season. Take the under.

632
00:31:06,560 --> 00:31:06,760
Speaker 4: Yeah.

633
00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:09,560
Speaker 1: The point that Thorn made is really, you know, it's

634
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:14,080
Speaker 1: nobody blows out Iowa. It's only the super dominant teams.

635
00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:17,800
Speaker 1: Tennessee is not there, especially with injuries and opt outs.

636
00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:19,800
Speaker 4: So take Iowa lea.

637
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:23,200
Speaker 3: I believe in both those games that they lost to

638
00:31:23,240 --> 00:31:25,680
Speaker 3: the under can in yes.

639
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:30,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, correct, yeah, I mean just uh, it's what Iowa does.

640
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 4: So they play eight defense and they.

641
00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:34,480
Speaker 3: Don't for an Iowa game. I mean it's almost like

642
00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 3: sixty three. You know, you look at Washington, Texas to

643
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 3: see that number, you're like, oh, okay, thirty six. I

644
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:44,760
Speaker 3: mean I was taking Iowa twenty eight, So thirty six,

645
00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:47,480
Speaker 3: you give me eight one of the points I'm under winning.

646
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:48,080
Speaker 4: Yeah.

647
00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:50,680
Speaker 1: Maybe if Jalen Hyatt and Hendon Hooker are coming back

648
00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 1: for Tennessee, I take the over. But that ain't happening,

649
00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:55,600
Speaker 1: so uh yeah, I'm with you guys. Let's go to

650
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 1: the Fiesta Bowl in Glendale. Arizona, where the Cardinals play

651
00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:02,280
Speaker 1: number twenty three Liberty against number eight Oregon. The line

652
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 1: right now is Oregon by seventeen and a half. The

653
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:09,040
Speaker 1: total is sixty seven tickets on Oregon, cash on Liberty,

654
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:13,120
Speaker 1: both on the over in this game, thor is is

655
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:15,480
Speaker 1: there a good play in this game?

656
00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:20,480
Speaker 2: I like Liberty in this game. We so, first of all,

657
00:32:20,520 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 2: they're gonna have the motivation here typically the you know

658
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:26,280
Speaker 2: this team and that the big dog roll does and

659
00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:29,840
Speaker 2: they have the less opt outs as long as Salter's

660
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:32,720
Speaker 2: playing right like to this point, we don't have the

661
00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:35,080
Speaker 2: opt outs for Liberty, and I don't think that we're

662
00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:37,600
Speaker 2: gonna have the big ones. That the only one that

663
00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 2: we have so far the matters. Preston Hodge is starting

664
00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 2: cornerback for them, as long as they can avoid the

665
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:46,040
Speaker 2: opt outs. You know, of the key guys, and I'm

666
00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:50,200
Speaker 2: particularly talking about Salter, but Oregon, you know, Bucky Irving

667
00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 2: is out of this one. Kyrie Jackson the starting cornerback.

668
00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:56,920
Speaker 2: Jackson powers Johnson off to the NFL Draft along with

669
00:32:56,960 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 2: those guys, a stud center and then they have so

670
00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:04,240
Speaker 2: key injuries as well, and then we're waiting on news

671
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:09,920
Speaker 2: of their stud receiver, Troy Franklin, Taz Johnson, Johnny Cornelius

672
00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 2: to Stud Ray, tackle guys in the front, Brandon Dorlias,

673
00:33:15,520 --> 00:33:19,360
Speaker 2: Jordan Burch. You know, like you're just waiting for some

674
00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:21,360
Speaker 2: of these guys, and we know that multiple of those

675
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 2: guys that are going to opt out. Bo Knicks is

676
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 2: going to play in this game. But if they have

677
00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:28,880
Speaker 2: multiple of the other guys opt out, you know you

678
00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:32,080
Speaker 2: ding them even more right this second, My line on

679
00:33:32,120 --> 00:33:35,440
Speaker 2: this game is Oregon minus twelve point one. This thing's

680
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:39,480
Speaker 2: at seventeen to me, objectively, it is inflated, and it's

681
00:33:39,520 --> 00:33:41,840
Speaker 2: the again, the team that doesn't really want to be

682
00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:44,760
Speaker 2: here in Oregon playing the team that they want to be.

683
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:47,440
Speaker 2: Everyone wants to be Boise State. You want to be

684
00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:50,200
Speaker 2: Boise State, and you want to shock the world, right,

685
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:52,680
Speaker 2: and so I would expect Liberty to come out here.

686
00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:55,240
Speaker 2: They're going to give the effort. You know that they

687
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:59,480
Speaker 2: can run the ball. Jamie Chadwell's offenses are extremely difficult

688
00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:02,440
Speaker 2: for any to stop. They have the efficiency and then

689
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,719
Speaker 2: they can give you the explosive element when you have

690
00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:07,280
Speaker 2: to move the resources up to stop the run because

691
00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:09,760
Speaker 2: you have to at some point. It's just too hard.

692
00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:11,680
Speaker 2: There's just too many guys that can run there, even

693
00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:14,720
Speaker 2: for a good defense. And if Oregon has multiple guys

694
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 2: that opt out on that defensive front, now they have

695
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:20,200
Speaker 2: backups come in there, it could start to get hairy

696
00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:22,000
Speaker 2: for them up front there. I don't think this is

697
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,320
Speaker 2: going to be the blowout that other people do, certainly

698
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:26,600
Speaker 2: that the market does. With this line being set there,

699
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:29,319
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the points of liberty. I also like

700
00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:32,000
Speaker 2: the over you know, I think there's gonna be points

701
00:34:32,040 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 2: put on the board because I don't think Oregon's keeping

702
00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:35,160
Speaker 2: liberty off the scoreboard.

703
00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:40,160
Speaker 1: Mike, I mean you were shaking your head, were you moved,

704
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 1: were you swayed at all by what Thorg just had

705
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:42,960
Speaker 1: to say?

706
00:34:43,040 --> 00:34:44,320
Speaker 4: Or is this Oregon in the stomping?

707
00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:46,160
Speaker 3: And I get that, you know, the group of five

708
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:50,759
Speaker 3: representatives want it more. And then you know last year

709
00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:55,800
Speaker 3: Tulane USC, I mean we could see that. The biggest

710
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 3: thing to me though, is bon Mix is playing and

711
00:34:57,800 --> 00:34:59,600
Speaker 3: I know, you know, we might be missing some of

712
00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:01,520
Speaker 3: this top targets, but I also know there's a ton

713
00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:03,399
Speaker 3: of death on this football team. A bunch of young

714
00:35:03,520 --> 00:35:06,560
Speaker 3: guys that are super talented, whether they're left over from

715
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:08,640
Speaker 3: the Christ of ball Era or Dan Lanning. The way

716
00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:13,160
Speaker 3: he recruits. This is a very very talented football team.

717
00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:17,200
Speaker 3: Top bottom. Lanning is a Kirby guy. You're not gonna

718
00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:19,840
Speaker 3: let these guys be lack of days ago. It's not

719
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:23,919
Speaker 3: gonna let them sleep walk through this USC did last year.

720
00:35:24,000 --> 00:35:27,680
Speaker 3: But Lincoln Riley couldn't motivate anybody to do anything. I

721
00:35:28,000 --> 00:35:30,880
Speaker 3: think he's a fraud. Dan Lanning's not a fraud. I

722
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:33,279
Speaker 3: think Oregon's gonna drill him. I think Liberty is a

723
00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:35,920
Speaker 3: good football team, nice little story and all that stuff.

724
00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:37,759
Speaker 3: I don't think they can be able to match up here.

725
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:40,359
Speaker 3: So I'm taking Oregon to, you know, win the five

726
00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:41,640
Speaker 3: twenty to twenty four points.

727
00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 1: All right, Well let's get into the big dogs here.

728
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:49,719
Speaker 1: Well start with the first playoff game, Number four Alabama

729
00:35:49,840 --> 00:35:53,480
Speaker 1: versus number one Michigan. The line is one and a

730
00:35:53,520 --> 00:35:57,400
Speaker 1: half forty five is a total in this game? Tickets

731
00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:00,680
Speaker 1: and cash on Bama and the under in this one.

732
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:04,560
Speaker 1: Who's gonna move on to the Natty thor Is it

733
00:36:04,560 --> 00:36:06,000
Speaker 1: gonna be Bama or Michigan?

734
00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:08,439
Speaker 2: Thank god, I finally don't have to talk about after

735
00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:13,160
Speaker 2: in a game. I'll just quickly talk about just a

736
00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:16,000
Speaker 2: couple of injuries on both sides. Zach Zinter, the amazing

737
00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:18,560
Speaker 2: guard on Michigan, is out for the year, had the

738
00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:21,839
Speaker 2: unfortunate season ending injury against Ohio State. That's the one

739
00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:24,560
Speaker 2: that matters on that side. With Alabama, they're gonna be

740
00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:27,040
Speaker 2: pretty close to full strength here because I think both

741
00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:30,719
Speaker 2: Jace McClellan. McClellan, you guys remember missing the SEC title

742
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:33,640
Speaker 2: game with a foot injury, he's almost assuredly gonna play

743
00:36:33,680 --> 00:36:37,160
Speaker 2: in this game. And then kool Aid mcinnistry, he's almost

744
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:40,440
Speaker 2: assuredly gonna play as well. He had a minor concussion,

745
00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:43,480
Speaker 2: He's got plenty of time to heal, and he's been

746
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:47,120
Speaker 2: at bull practice as well. So you know, outside of Zinter,

747
00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:48,960
Speaker 2: these teams are going to be a full strength here.

748
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:52,920
Speaker 2: I like Michigan in this game. Michigan was my title

749
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:56,000
Speaker 2: pick in the preseason. I've been steadfast in that I

750
00:36:56,040 --> 00:36:58,600
Speaker 2: think they are better than Alabama. You guys know that

751
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:01,359
Speaker 2: I think Alabama's a bit rodulent too, So I don't

752
00:37:01,360 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 2: think anyone out there that has listened to us this

753
00:37:03,160 --> 00:37:06,200
Speaker 2: year is surprised by what I'm saying. My line on

754
00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:09,360
Speaker 2: this game is Michigan minus five point nine. I realized

755
00:37:09,360 --> 00:37:12,040
Speaker 2: that Alabama won a lot of fans there when they

756
00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:15,360
Speaker 2: beat Georgia. In the marketplace, a lot of people have

757
00:37:15,440 --> 00:37:19,960
Speaker 2: shifted over there. I would caution people on a couple things.

758
00:37:20,600 --> 00:37:24,800
Speaker 2: The way that you attack Alabama's defense. It's with deep

759
00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:29,080
Speaker 2: aggressive passing. Number one, because Alabama's great with the passing efficiency,

760
00:37:29,440 --> 00:37:32,120
Speaker 2: they struggle with the downfield passing. And then it's with

761
00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:35,719
Speaker 2: the straight forward power run game. The meat and potatoes

762
00:37:35,840 --> 00:37:38,960
Speaker 2: just go right at them and not the outside stuff

763
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:42,440
Speaker 2: that you know, around the tackles and the misdirection stuff,

764
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:45,880
Speaker 2: the concepts that take a long time to develop because

765
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:49,239
Speaker 2: the speed Alabama will wipe that stuff out. Georgia had

766
00:37:49,239 --> 00:37:53,120
Speaker 2: one of the strangest offensive strategies that you'll see in

767
00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:55,799
Speaker 2: that game, where they were driving right into the wood

768
00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:59,920
Speaker 2: chipper of what Alabama was good at. After the first drive,

769
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:01,920
Speaker 2: you know, the first drive, it was like, okay, you know,

770
00:38:01,960 --> 00:38:04,520
Speaker 2: they're doing what they should and then after that they

771
00:38:04,560 --> 00:38:07,160
Speaker 2: were just doing the around the tackle stuff to slow

772
00:38:07,239 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 2: developing run concepts. And then they weren't throwing deep and

773
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,080
Speaker 2: it's like you can't move the ball in Alabama. Like

774
00:38:13,120 --> 00:38:16,959
Speaker 2: this look in the friggin metrics Michigan. You go back

775
00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:20,359
Speaker 2: to the game, you know, you know, not this this year,

776
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:23,359
Speaker 2: but the one before in twenty twenty two, last game

777
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:27,560
Speaker 2: against Ohio State, when JJ McCarthy hadn't been throwing downfield

778
00:38:27,600 --> 00:38:30,919
Speaker 2: all year, he hadn't needed to. Then they play Ohio State.

779
00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:34,320
Speaker 2: You guys, remember he went bombs away against Ohio State,

780
00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:37,480
Speaker 2: just stole their lunch money the entire game. They've been

781
00:38:37,520 --> 00:38:40,480
Speaker 2: saving this thing. I think you're gonna see JJ McCarthy

782
00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:42,560
Speaker 2: go bombs away here. I think you're going to see

783
00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:44,960
Speaker 2: more of that playbook open up in this thing. And

784
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:47,560
Speaker 2: this isn't like a pie in the sky notion, because

785
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:49,759
Speaker 2: we already have proof of concept to them doing this

786
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:52,960
Speaker 2: sort of thing and the running game of Michigan. They

787
00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:56,840
Speaker 2: could do those power concepts and go right at Alabama.

788
00:38:56,920 --> 00:38:59,480
Speaker 2: I think Alabama's in trouble in this game. I think

789
00:38:59,520 --> 00:39:02,680
Speaker 2: they were smoke and meers team that was able to

790
00:39:02,680 --> 00:39:05,480
Speaker 2: pull several games out of there. You know what that

791
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:08,799
Speaker 2: they shouldn't have won Auburn game, Tennessee game, you know,

792
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:14,600
Speaker 2: at the very Arkansas, so Florida to an extent, Michigan

793
00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:18,080
Speaker 2: is a different animal. I think Michigan is you know

794
00:39:18,120 --> 00:39:20,640
Speaker 2: it's coming here. Like I said, I think this game

795
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:23,000
Speaker 2: should be closer to six. I really like Michigan in

796
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:23,399
Speaker 2: this game.

797
00:39:23,800 --> 00:39:25,680
Speaker 1: I mean, Mike, it makes sense to astalid game plan

798
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:27,520
Speaker 1: like that too, because if you do move on, you're

799
00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:29,680
Speaker 1: going to have to score against Texas or Washington. It

800
00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:32,200
Speaker 1: seems like, so throw the ball downfield and Texas has

801
00:39:32,200 --> 00:39:34,399
Speaker 1: a week secondary, so that's where you're going to want

802
00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:36,840
Speaker 1: to attack them as well. So it makes sense to

803
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:39,600
Speaker 1: build this in and bowl practices now and keep it

804
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:42,319
Speaker 1: for the Natty if they do make it. So are

805
00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:44,480
Speaker 1: you with thor are you on Bama or are you

806
00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:47,040
Speaker 1: on Michigan as well? Or is this hey, look you

807
00:39:47,160 --> 00:39:49,759
Speaker 1: let Bbama in. This is what they do. They're not

808
00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:52,280
Speaker 1: going to flinch. They've been here. What do you think?

809
00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:55,360
Speaker 3: So this is a tough one because I think Michigan

810
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:57,240
Speaker 3: win the National Championship. At the beginning of the season,

811
00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:00,520
Speaker 3: I thought the roster topped the bottom. Only western mark

812
00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:03,680
Speaker 3: I had was the downfield wide receiver play. But defensively

813
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:06,440
Speaker 3: they were a great offensive line, running backs, quarterback. Everything

814
00:40:06,600 --> 00:40:10,360
Speaker 3: was fine. And they've only played two good teams this season,

815
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:15,440
Speaker 3: but you know we won those football games. The problem

816
00:40:15,560 --> 00:40:18,919
Speaker 3: I have here is I also learned something a long,

817
00:40:19,040 --> 00:40:21,799
Speaker 3: long time ago which has never been against saving ever.

818
00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:26,439
Speaker 3: Just don't so what do I do? You know? Jim

819
00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:29,160
Speaker 3: Harbaugh is the guy. He's a smart coach, he's a

820
00:40:29,160 --> 00:40:31,760
Speaker 3: good coach. But last year his game plan against PCU

821
00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:35,800
Speaker 3: was horrible and we saw on the championship game exactly

822
00:40:35,840 --> 00:40:38,440
Speaker 3: what you're supposed to do against PCU when you know

823
00:40:38,520 --> 00:40:42,120
Speaker 3: Georgia just went straight at him and absolutely killed him.

824
00:40:42,640 --> 00:40:45,040
Speaker 3: So game planning wise, he had a month to figure

825
00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:48,360
Speaker 3: out he can do it. He's horrible and bowl games

826
00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:52,560
Speaker 3: he's gonna play out twice, you know, and failed both times.

827
00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:57,000
Speaker 3: What do I do here? So I'm gonna go Bama.

828
00:40:57,320 --> 00:41:02,000
Speaker 3: It's I don't think they is the better football team,

829
00:41:02,040 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 3: and you compare the rosters, I don't think he's a

830
00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:06,200
Speaker 3: better football team. I think this just comes down to

831
00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:08,600
Speaker 3: my faith in Nick Saban as a coach, as a

832
00:41:08,600 --> 00:41:10,920
Speaker 3: guy who's going to prepare his team. I don't know.

833
00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:13,919
Speaker 3: I mean Arball may come out and you know, work

834
00:41:13,960 --> 00:41:17,600
Speaker 3: at the intermediate passing game and run looking sweeps. I

835
00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:21,799
Speaker 3: don't know. He's kind of weird like that sometimes. Sure,

836
00:41:22,600 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 3: if if he does the game plan, you know, which

837
00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:28,040
Speaker 3: is run the ball at them and play physical, which

838
00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:30,160
Speaker 3: is what he wants to do all the time. Sometimes

839
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:32,799
Speaker 3: he outthinks himself, Oh, Alabama's gonna think we're doing this,

840
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:35,640
Speaker 3: let's do something different. No, do what you've been doing,

841
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:38,279
Speaker 3: what you're built to do, which is pound the ball

842
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:40,520
Speaker 3: at the middle, you know, and then take your shots

843
00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:43,400
Speaker 3: and play action downfield. He might not do that. I

844
00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:47,600
Speaker 3: know Nick Saban's going to coach a good game, is

845
00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:50,360
Speaker 3: going to be prepared. He's not going to get out coached. Period.

846
00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:53,440
Speaker 3: He may get out rostered, but I know Jim Harbaugh

847
00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:55,440
Speaker 3: could get out coached. If I'm gonna go Bama. This

848
00:41:55,480 --> 00:42:00,480
Speaker 3: is a tough one, but I'm gonna go Bama. Point

849
00:42:00,600 --> 00:42:03,600
Speaker 3: So well, here's what Michigan could win by one point.

850
00:42:03,680 --> 00:42:05,720
Speaker 3: You still lose. Everything I said is perfect.

851
00:42:05,800 --> 00:42:08,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, exactly, that could Yeah.

852
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:09,719
Speaker 3: Right, they cover.

853
00:42:11,280 --> 00:42:12,080
Speaker 4: Yeah right right.

854
00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:14,560
Speaker 1: Mike is writing his fan fiction over there where both

855
00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 1: of his tickets hit. I like it, so I do

856
00:42:16,680 --> 00:42:18,960
Speaker 1: the exact same thing. It's worth buying the lottery ticket

857
00:42:19,080 --> 00:42:21,200
Speaker 1: just for the five dollars to just imagine what you

858
00:42:21,200 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 1: would do with the money. Right that. That's that's what

859
00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:26,560
Speaker 1: that is I love it. Let's go to the game

860
00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:30,279
Speaker 1: that matters. Of course here thor to me, mainly the

861
00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:33,080
Speaker 1: Sugar Bowl. It is in New Orleans, of course, is

862
00:42:33,120 --> 00:42:36,040
Speaker 1: it always is? Number three Texas versus number two Washington.

863
00:42:36,480 --> 00:42:39,480
Speaker 1: Texas is a four point favorite in this game. Sixty

864
00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:41,960
Speaker 1: three is a total cash and ticket. Slightly on the

865
00:42:42,040 --> 00:42:45,520
Speaker 1: Washington side, but heavy on the over. Everybody will like

866
00:42:45,640 --> 00:42:48,040
Speaker 1: the over in this game. I think I like the

867
00:42:48,080 --> 00:42:49,960
Speaker 1: over in this game. How do you not like the

868
00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:52,719
Speaker 1: over in this game? Or you have to write.

869
00:42:53,080 --> 00:42:56,040
Speaker 2: I like the over in this game? Yeah, yeah, the

870
00:42:56,560 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 2: the side of it. I go back and forth. I

871
00:43:00,480 --> 00:43:03,600
Speaker 2: so my, you know, I lean Texas, but you also

872
00:43:03,800 --> 00:43:08,759
Speaker 2: have to concede that Washington their offense. It drives directly

873
00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:12,120
Speaker 2: into and you were alluding to this before, Bobman, right

874
00:43:12,160 --> 00:43:15,480
Speaker 2: into what the weakness of Texas's defense is, which goes

875
00:43:15,600 --> 00:43:18,040
Speaker 2: right back into why everyone loves the over this game.

876
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:23,200
Speaker 2: Washington's run defense stinks and Texas's has a really good

877
00:43:23,560 --> 00:43:26,759
Speaker 2: rushing offense. I mean certainly that when Brooks went down,

878
00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:29,720
Speaker 2: or even before Brooks went down, but even after Brooks,

879
00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:32,000
Speaker 2: Baxter coming in now and then the two kids they

880
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:34,600
Speaker 2: have coming off the bench, when you know four backster,

881
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:37,759
Speaker 2: they have an explosive element as well. They're going to

882
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:41,640
Speaker 2: be able to run on Washington's future run defense Washington

883
00:43:41,760 --> 00:43:45,160
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty first in success rate, run defense

884
00:43:45,360 --> 00:43:49,040
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty fourth, opportunity rate, ninety ninth, power

885
00:43:49,120 --> 00:43:53,080
Speaker 2: success rate one hundred and twenty sixth, stuff rate, et cetera,

886
00:43:53,160 --> 00:43:55,680
Speaker 2: et cetera. So, I mean, you know they're just gonna

887
00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:58,840
Speaker 2: get stampeded there now, Texas, you know, you flip the field.

888
00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:03,240
Speaker 2: Texas shuts down every run game. So take the unders

889
00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:07,000
Speaker 2: on Dylan Johnson. They I already have. They were set

890
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:10,759
Speaker 2: too high. They've come down, They're still set too high

891
00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:13,759
Speaker 2: because Texas just shut the lights out there. The issue, though,

892
00:44:13,960 --> 00:44:16,440
Speaker 2: is Washington could just a skew that and be like,

893
00:44:16,640 --> 00:44:19,160
Speaker 2: that's fine, We're just gonna throw every time, right, and

894
00:44:19,200 --> 00:44:22,640
Speaker 2: they have all the weapons. McMillan's back now, so you

895
00:44:22,680 --> 00:44:25,719
Speaker 2: have the whole crew. You got a Doinsay, you got McMillan.

896
00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:29,359
Speaker 2: Dunsay's gonna go in the top ten. McMillan's probably gonna

897
00:44:29,400 --> 00:44:32,040
Speaker 2: be around two guy and a sleeper that I really like,

898
00:44:32,600 --> 00:44:35,160
Speaker 2: probably gonna go lower than he should. Then he got Pulk,

899
00:44:35,200 --> 00:44:36,960
Speaker 2: who's awesome too, and then they got the two tight

900
00:44:37,040 --> 00:44:39,320
Speaker 2: ends to mix a match in there. The weakness of

901
00:44:39,360 --> 00:44:41,719
Speaker 2: the Texas defense of course at Bodman as you know,

902
00:44:41,760 --> 00:44:45,440
Speaker 2: it's the pass defense, and particularly they have a real

903
00:44:45,640 --> 00:44:48,960
Speaker 2: issue getting ripped for the long ones. Right, Like the

904
00:44:49,400 --> 00:44:52,400
Speaker 2: success rate for the Texas pass defense it's twenty fourth,

905
00:44:52,760 --> 00:44:55,720
Speaker 2: So they do a decent job with that. Ninety seventh

906
00:44:55,760 --> 00:44:59,320
Speaker 2: in explosion one hundred and twentieth, in the air yards

907
00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:04,720
Speaker 2: per pass one hundred and nineteenth, and passing down marginal explosiveness,

908
00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. That is what Washington

909
00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:10,040
Speaker 2: is going to attack. They are going to have success

910
00:45:10,080 --> 00:45:13,640
Speaker 2: with it. Texas is going to attack the run defense

911
00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:16,359
Speaker 2: of Washington. They're going to have success there. The over

912
00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:20,480
Speaker 2: is the play here. I do lean Texas on the side,

913
00:45:20,840 --> 00:45:24,120
Speaker 2: but the spread of this one is objectively correct. It's

914
00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:27,200
Speaker 2: the great equalizer. I'm still going back and forth, like

915
00:45:27,280 --> 00:45:30,640
Speaker 2: I said, on that, but the over to me, I'm

916
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:32,040
Speaker 2: pretty confident in that one.

917
00:45:32,680 --> 00:45:32,879
Speaker 3: Yeah.

918
00:45:32,920 --> 00:45:36,080
Speaker 1: I mean, Texas is going to have to get pressure

919
00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:37,160
Speaker 1: on penix fast.

920
00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:38,560
Speaker 4: That's what it's going to have to be.

921
00:45:39,000 --> 00:45:43,760
Speaker 1: And pennex eleventh in pressure to sacrate in PFF stat

922
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:48,000
Speaker 1: this year. So you know, top fifteen guy there, Pharah,

923
00:45:48,080 --> 00:45:51,799
Speaker 1: What do you think here is this is Texas secondary

924
00:45:52,360 --> 00:45:54,680
Speaker 1: going to be the thing that leads to this loss?

925
00:45:55,160 --> 00:45:56,919
Speaker 1: Or can they run the ball and keep the ball

926
00:45:56,960 --> 00:46:00,120
Speaker 1: long enough to keep Washington frustrated on the sideline and

927
00:46:00,160 --> 00:46:02,520
Speaker 1: maybe make some mistakes because they're not holding the ball

928
00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:03,040
Speaker 1: long enough.

929
00:46:03,400 --> 00:46:05,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not going to take the side. I think

930
00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:06,520
Speaker 3: Texas wins is the football game.

931
00:46:06,600 --> 00:46:09,799
Speaker 4: But you know the side is just could be a

932
00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:10,800
Speaker 4: field goal, right.

933
00:46:10,760 --> 00:46:13,719
Speaker 3: I mean, it's definitely everything plays out here. I mean,

934
00:46:13,880 --> 00:46:15,719
Speaker 3: if if Texas is able to run the ball in

935
00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:19,160
Speaker 3: Washington has a couple of you know, attempts in the

936
00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:21,440
Speaker 3: first quarter to run the ball and they get stuff

937
00:46:21,480 --> 00:46:23,279
Speaker 3: that they don't do their homework and realize that they

938
00:46:23,520 --> 00:46:25,000
Speaker 3: have to throw every time, then they're going to start

939
00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:27,040
Speaker 3: airing it out to try to come back. And this

940
00:46:27,120 --> 00:46:29,920
Speaker 3: could be, you know, a shootout, and I think Texas

941
00:46:29,960 --> 00:46:32,960
Speaker 3: will you know, win by a score. I just don't

942
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:34,799
Speaker 3: know what that score is going to be. But I

943
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:37,160
Speaker 3: think you're going to see these teams, you know, put

944
00:46:37,239 --> 00:46:38,759
Speaker 3: up a lot of points on each other, so I

945
00:46:38,920 --> 00:46:42,279
Speaker 3: could see why everybody's on the over. You know some

946
00:46:42,360 --> 00:46:46,120
Speaker 3: of these games, you know, Washington, Oregon. I mean the

947
00:46:46,160 --> 00:46:48,720
Speaker 3: over was just an easy play, and this one looks

948
00:46:48,760 --> 00:46:50,680
Speaker 3: easy even if it's sixty three and a half or

949
00:46:50,680 --> 00:46:53,000
Speaker 3: sixty three whatever you get it at. So I'm gonna

950
00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:53,400
Speaker 3: go over on.

951
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:54,080
Speaker 2: This very well.

952
00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:55,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you're gonna have four or five wide

953
00:46:55,760 --> 00:46:59,319
Speaker 1: receivers in this game drafted, so yeah, they're gonna be

954
00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:01,120
Speaker 1: There's going to be some points in it, for sure.

955
00:47:01,160 --> 00:47:03,040
Speaker 1: It's going to be a fun one. But that is

956
00:47:03,080 --> 00:47:05,160
Speaker 1: going to wrap it up for us. So we have

957
00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:09,959
Speaker 1: got probably Texas in Michigan and Bama all in there.

958
00:47:10,080 --> 00:47:12,800
Speaker 1: You know, the only team we're not taking is Washington,

959
00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:16,280
Speaker 1: So I like that. Boys, I appreciate that. But that'll

960
00:47:16,280 --> 00:47:18,359
Speaker 1: wrap it up for us for this week. We will

961
00:47:18,360 --> 00:47:20,880
Speaker 1: of course be back next week to talk about the Natty.

962
00:47:21,680 --> 00:47:23,600
Speaker 1: Obviously going to be a shorter show as well, since

963
00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:26,359
Speaker 1: there's only one game versus the nine, ten, twelve that

964
00:47:26,360 --> 00:47:28,880
Speaker 1: we've been covering here recently. So I remember you can

965
00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:31,120
Speaker 1: follow us all on Twitter app Bogman Sports for myself,

966
00:47:31,160 --> 00:47:34,800
Speaker 1: at thor Ku for Thor, and at m Ferrell Sports

967
00:47:34,840 --> 00:47:35,239
Speaker 1: for Mike.

968
00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:37,480
Speaker 4: We will see you guys next week take it easy, everybody.

969
00:47:37,920 --> 00:47:40,080
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

970
00:47:40,400 --> 00:47:42,760
Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

971
00:47:42,840 --> 00:47:45,719
Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

972
00:47:45,840 --> 00:47:48,880
Speaker 1: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting

973
00:47:48,920 --> 00:47:52,719
Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

974
00:47:52,760 --> 00:47:56,440
Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.