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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game jewish prow.

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Speaker 2: Read enough they're all for running a game.

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Speaker 1: So smooth, so sweet mid sixteen, just glorious execution. Guys,

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Speaker 1: all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort, four thousand

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Speaker 1: percent of the time.

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Speaker 2: How shot with that shop with.

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Speaker 1: Mind, buddy, and.

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Speaker 2: That's why you see.

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Speaker 3: Your beautiful tiers. Look at his movements, the.

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Speaker 1: Most dangerous a.

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Speaker 2: Mount of the planet.

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Speaker 1: Nobody kicks them.

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Speaker 4: Shut up, I'm trying.

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Speaker 3: The all.

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Speaker 2: It's left to one of the wide eyed, drilled bibused.

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Speaker 1: How on earth did that happens?

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Speaker 4: Hello everyone, Welcome back to Wondergol, the soccer betting podcast

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Speaker 4: from the Action Network. My name is Michael Leebuff. Joining

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Speaker 4: me in just a moment will be my co host

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Speaker 4: and colleagues BJ Cunningham and Anthony D. Bundo. But before

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Speaker 4: I bring those gentlemen in, a reminder that wonder goal

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Speaker 4: is presented to you by Bet three sixty five, the

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Speaker 4: world's favorite sportsbook brand. Sign up with promo code Action

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Speaker 4: to get BET three six five's exclusive sign up offer

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Speaker 4: in New Jersey and Colorado and Ohio. Bet one dollar

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Speaker 4: on any game, get two hundred dollars free bj Anthony,

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Speaker 4: the three of us will break down the upcoming Premier

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Speaker 4: League slate. We'll talk a little Bundesliga La Liga siriage,

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Speaker 4: give out our favorite underdogs, wrap them up in our

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Speaker 4: famous three leg underdog moneyline parlay, and then talk about

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Speaker 4: our favorite bets in the Premier League this weekend. And

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Speaker 4: at the end of the show you can hear us

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Speaker 4: talk with Eric Weinalda, formerly of the US men's national team,

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Speaker 4: about the Jesse Marsh situation, some US men's national team

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Speaker 4: prospects to keep an eye on, and his favorite, or

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Speaker 4: as I should say, his boldest bet for the weekend,

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Speaker 4: which is in line with what Antony's gonna tell us

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Speaker 4: later in the show. So it's a beautiful moment there.

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Speaker 4: But first, let's start at Saint James Park. Newcastle's plus

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Speaker 4: one fifty hosting Liverpool plus one seventy the draw here

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Speaker 4: plus two fifty. Newcastle is two wins, five draws, zero losses.

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Speaker 4: Since the World Cup. This season one loss, eleven draws,

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Speaker 4: ten wins. It's just been a weird, weird season. Incredibly

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Speaker 4: impressive considering where they are in the standings, but just

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Speaker 4: so weird to see a team ten eleven to one.

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Speaker 4: I think we're gonna get like a score of gami

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Speaker 4: by when all said and done with their record. This

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Speaker 4: feels like I must win spot for Liverpool if they're

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Speaker 4: going to charge up and make a you know, pseudo

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Speaker 4: run at it for a top Sport four spot. Liverpool

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Speaker 4: in ninth place right now, thirty two points, nine points

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Speaker 4: behind Newcastle who are in fourth. Do you feel like

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Speaker 4: the numbers a little short? We're a little cheap on

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Speaker 4: Newcastle here there plus one fifty at home. I think

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Speaker 4: think Newcastle is the better team this season than Liverpool

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Speaker 4: by a little bit more of a margin than these

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Speaker 4: odds apply BJ So I don't need a bet on

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Speaker 4: the home favorite.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't either. There's a couple injury notes to

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Speaker 1: take note of here, though. You know Newcastle is gonna

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Speaker 1: be with Alberto Gimeras, which is obviously massive for them

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Speaker 1: and their defense and transition, which I'm guessing is how

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Speaker 1: this game is going to kind of play out, because

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Speaker 1: what we've seen from Newcastle, and what we've mentioned many

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Speaker 1: times is that they are best when they are able

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Speaker 1: to let opponents have the ball, let them think that

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Speaker 1: they can build out from the back and then press

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Speaker 1: them high, trap them on the sidelines, win the ball

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Speaker 1: and get it moving forward into the box. You know,

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Speaker 1: it's why they're essentially the number one team in the

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Speaker 1: Premier League and in final third to box century conversion

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Speaker 1: rate around thirty eight percent. It's a crazy number. It's

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Speaker 1: because they're leading the Premier League in high termers, averaging

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Speaker 1: about nine point two per ninety minutes. So this game

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Speaker 1: sets up kind of perfectly for them because Liverpool, my guess,

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Speaker 1: is going to be trying to play out of the back.

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Speaker 1: They're going to try to probably build up or if not,

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Speaker 1: they're going to have to try to play long, which

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Speaker 1: again just makes this game very very transitional. Where Newcastle

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Speaker 1: is best now Liverpool defensively, they're getting Virgil van Dyke back,

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Speaker 1: but Knat is still out, so I'm not sure that

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Speaker 1: getting Virgil van Dyke back is the biggest plus for

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Speaker 1: Liverpool and their defense is suddenly going to be fixed.

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Speaker 1: I mean away from home, Liverpool's defense has been awful

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Speaker 1: this season. They are allowing one point seven to six

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Speaker 1: expected goals per ninety minutes. Well, Newcastle has just been

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Speaker 1: awesome at Saint James Park, averaging one point nine expected

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Speaker 1: goals per match Newcastle might be with that Island Saint

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Speaker 1: Maximum and Callum Wilson, they're both questionable, but Liverpool's starting

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Speaker 1: to get some guys healthy as well. Diego Chiotto is

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Speaker 1: on the bench against Everton on Monday. Luis Dias is

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Speaker 1: still heard, but at least Liverpool now has somewhat of

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Speaker 1: a full strength front three. And you know, say what

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Speaker 1: you will, Michael, but they did create over two expected

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Speaker 1: goals against Everton, so I'm kind of scared of the

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Speaker 1: Liverpool attack here with that, especially with Newcastle without game race.

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Speaker 1: So I'm actually gonna take Newcastle's team total over one

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Speaker 1: and a half at plus one fifteen, just another fade

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Speaker 1: of the Liverpool defense. And if this game becomes very transitional,

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Speaker 1: which I'm guessing it will be, I think it's really

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Speaker 1: going to favor Newcastle, and I think they have a

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Speaker 1: great chance of putting two in the back of the

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Speaker 1: night against Liverpool.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm passing here. I lean toward the under three

105
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Speaker 2: is sitting at minus one fifty five. It's the best

106
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Speaker 2: I've found out there. It's a little too high for me.

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Speaker 2: It is a bad spot for Liverpool. Like you said,

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Speaker 2: they are getting healthier. I don't think they're I think

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Speaker 2: their defense is going to hit rock bottom here and

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Speaker 2: I think they're going to start to see some improvement.

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Speaker 2: They had a pretty solid showing against Everton at home,

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Speaker 2: but like you said, it's been it's been much worse

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Speaker 2: away from home. There's there's a lot of injury issues

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Speaker 2: here though for Newcastle that I'm a little worried about.

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Speaker 2: Joe Willett goes out, was giving good energy for them,

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Speaker 2: good midfield play. Game Ray suspended. Like you mentioned, Callum

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Speaker 2: Wilson is questionable and it's a you know, it's described

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Speaker 2: as a minor hamstring, but that's been like his number

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Speaker 2: one injury forever, so you know, is he going to

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Speaker 2: go full ninety? Probably not. And then also you know

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Speaker 2: Asm and Almron coming up on the on the injury

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Speaker 2: report too, So there's a bunch of different things where

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Speaker 2: this is already not a very deep attack. I have

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Speaker 2: my question marks about them. I mean, I kind of

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Speaker 2: wish they hadn't lost that game so they could have

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Speaker 2: been the Invincibles the finished fourth. It would have been

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Speaker 2: really funny. But overall, this is a stay away from me,

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Speaker 2: I think stylistically, like I don't think Liverpool goes at

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Speaker 2: this like, it'll be interesting to see how clopp manages, Like,

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Speaker 2: can they play another way? I don't know, But do

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Speaker 2: we get a more passive Liverpool and they try to

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Speaker 2: play on the counter a little bit away from home

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Speaker 2: could be effective. But yeah, I lean toward the under here.

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Speaker 2: Ultimately I'll probably be staying away.

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Speaker 4: Yeah. They did create a lot of scoring chances against Everden,

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Speaker 4: but that header from Tarkowski.

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Speaker 1: Yep, gone in.

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Speaker 4: Who knows what we're talking about here? Seven thirty in

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Speaker 4: the morning on Saturday, bj Arsenal reeling Everden broke them.

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Speaker 4: They're minus one twenty five on the road at Villa Park,

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Speaker 4: Aston Villas plus three twenty the draws plus two fifty.

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Speaker 4: It feels this is kind of a fun un betting exercise, right,

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Speaker 4: Like there's so much talk about in also sports, you know,

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Speaker 4: situational spots. Is this a letdown spot for Arsenal or

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Speaker 4: could you flip it the other way and just say no,

146
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Speaker 4: this is a get right spot for Arsenal. They lose

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Speaker 4: to Everdon, they drop Brentford, they lose to City. Title

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Speaker 4: race is now flipped where City is now the favorite.

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Speaker 4: They go to Villa Park. Villa's you know, no, no

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Speaker 4: pushovers three one and three since the World Cup a

151
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Speaker 4: minus two goal differential, but a minus six spectacle differential.

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Speaker 4: That's band So haven't been playing the lights out. So

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Speaker 4: is this one where Arsenal are able to just pick

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Speaker 4: themselves up. This is a young team. This is the

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Speaker 4: first little bout of adversity they've they've dealt with there

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Speaker 4: on short rest, bj I got nothing here from a

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Speaker 4: betting standpoint. I'm interested to hear your thoughts on let

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Speaker 4: down or get right.

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Speaker 1: It's over, Well, it's it's put too. It's two partner, Michael.

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Speaker 1: I think it's a little bit of both, honestly, because okay,

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Speaker 1: yeah that was I thought Arsenal played pretty well in

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Speaker 1: the first half today. What's troublesome is like, yeah, you

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Speaker 1: can play really good, but then if you just make

164
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Speaker 1: two dumb defensive mistakes, then that just cost you a

165
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Speaker 1: game in City as a team that pounces on defensive mistakes,

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Speaker 1: and they're also a team that just doesn't make them.

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Speaker 1: So you know, it is what it is. The margins

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Speaker 1: are so fine when you're playing against the big six clubs,

169
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Speaker 1: so it is what it is. The tidle race. I'm

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Speaker 1: not feeling very good right now, I'll just say that.

171
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Speaker 1: But you know, not having Thomas Pardy obviously is huge

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Speaker 1: for Arsenal their ability to defend and transition. This matchup

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Speaker 1: against aston Villa is also scary. I thought Georgina had

174
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Speaker 1: a good first half against man City. If you look

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Speaker 1: at his numbers, it was you know, he was he

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Speaker 1: led the everybody on the pitch and interceptions, He had

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Speaker 1: a lot of successful passes. It wasn't a horrible performance

178
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Speaker 1: from him. But my question is is is the Aison

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Speaker 1: Villa defense bad now? Because we're going on the last

180
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Speaker 1: four matches now where they've conceded over two to leads.

181
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Speaker 1: They conceded over two and a half the Lester and

182
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Speaker 1: then they just conceded over three and a half to

183
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Speaker 1: Manchester City. And I'm starting not to question Namory, but

184
00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:10,360
Speaker 1: you know, game state obviously matters with a lot of

185
00:09:10,360 --> 00:09:12,880
Speaker 1: these because you know, like the for example, the Manchester

186
00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:14,800
Speaker 1: City match, they conceded in the fourth minute off a

187
00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:17,320
Speaker 1: set piece, so obviously the game has to open up

188
00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:20,880
Speaker 1: and they can't just sit deep anymore. But I don't

189
00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:23,800
Speaker 1: think I can get behind Arsenal without Thomas Party, especially

190
00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:25,760
Speaker 1: in again a matchup where you're gonna have to be

191
00:09:25,800 --> 00:09:28,880
Speaker 1: able to defend and transition, and aston Villa is obviously

192
00:09:28,960 --> 00:09:32,520
Speaker 1: very formidable and transition and have been very good offensively

193
00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:37,160
Speaker 1: under Uniamor So I'm passing. I do have Arsenal projections

194
00:09:37,160 --> 00:09:39,320
Speaker 1: at minus one sixty six, so I do have some

195
00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:42,959
Speaker 1: value on them. That's obviously before accounting for the loss

196
00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:46,880
Speaker 1: of Thomas Party. But yeah, it's just it's a bad

197
00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:50,520
Speaker 1: run for Arsenal. It's it's a bad spot, yes, but

198
00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:52,920
Speaker 1: it's not like they have a Europa League or a

199
00:09:53,040 --> 00:09:55,160
Speaker 1: Champions League match waiting on the other end, right, they

200
00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:58,200
Speaker 1: have a full week off, so that's where I'm like,

201
00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:00,319
Speaker 1: it could be a very good get right spot and

202
00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:02,720
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure if last year they had a very

203
00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:05,079
Speaker 1: similar spot like this where they went to Astonville and

204
00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:07,760
Speaker 1: they beat them one nothing after playing one of the

205
00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:11,080
Speaker 1: big six clubs. So I am passing on this one.

206
00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:13,520
Speaker 1: I do project some value on Arsenal, but again on

207
00:10:13,559 --> 00:10:15,320
Speaker 1: short rest, it's very very hard to get behind them

208
00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:16,199
Speaker 1: without Thomas Party.

209
00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:20,400
Speaker 4: All right, it's fair enough, very very measured approach for

210
00:10:20,480 --> 00:10:21,840
Speaker 4: someone who's.

211
00:10:21,280 --> 00:10:24,679
Speaker 1: The tide race isn't over. I'm not I'm not feeling great.

212
00:10:24,520 --> 00:10:27,800
Speaker 4: But I'm not United can definitely United can definitely catch City.

213
00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:31,080
Speaker 4: I think I was gonna here and say congrats to

214
00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:33,840
Speaker 4: Lux luck Box United for winning the title.

215
00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:35,640
Speaker 2: BJ will have to probably quit.

216
00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:38,120
Speaker 1: I will know, I will quit the podcast.

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Speaker 4: We got We've been warming, We've been warming eric for

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Speaker 4: a few weeks. Seamless, seamless, seamless transition.

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Speaker 2: Maybe last Yeah, they lost to no to Liverpool in

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Speaker 2: the mid week in March.

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Speaker 1: That was That was the one I was thinking.

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Speaker 2: I think it's kind of similar. It is an early kick,

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Speaker 2: early kick man. Those early roadkicks are are much tougher

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Speaker 2: to normally think they're not fair. I think it sets

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Speaker 2: up well for an under Arsenal's defense struggled again today.

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Speaker 2: They have definitely fallen off a bit defensively, but I

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Speaker 2: think you see, I'm not as worried about the aston

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Speaker 2: Villa defense. I think it's fine. You know, you look

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Speaker 2: at some of the underlying numbers. They're still top ten

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Speaker 2: and most defensive categories. XG allowed is not one of

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Speaker 2: them anymore. But all the other underlying process stuff is good.

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Speaker 2: They've allowed the most second most goals from set pieces,

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Speaker 2: though that is scary. Arsenal number one in XG per

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Speaker 2: set piece this season, So that's the one thing it's

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Speaker 2: kind of scary. I do lean toward the under here.

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Speaker 2: I have a little bit of value on it, and

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Speaker 2: if I had to bet, that's what I would take,

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Speaker 2: the under two and a half. But yeah, I make

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Speaker 2: the money line right around the number. If it got

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Speaker 2: to one, like minus one seventy, then I can get

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Speaker 2: Villa plus one. Sign me up because it would be

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Speaker 2: a really tough and impressive road win to go win

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Speaker 2: by two. But yeah, I probably end up passing here.

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Speaker 4: Penny Ams kicks then do Castle Liverpool's at twelve thirty

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Speaker 4: Villa Arsenal seven thirty Eastern time. Of course, Brentford odds

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Speaker 4: on at home minus one ten, hosting reeling Crystal Palace.

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Speaker 4: Who meant how they squeezed the draw out of that

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Speaker 4: match with Brighton, that's an important point for them. They

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Speaker 4: got outplayed. Palace is plus three twenty the draws plus

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Speaker 4: two fifty the Bees four and three since the World

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Speaker 4: Cup with a plus five point one expected gold differential,

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Speaker 4: And of course their game before the World Cup was

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Speaker 4: that famous win against man City, which you thought might

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Speaker 4: have gifted Arsenal the title, but then Arsenal gifted right

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Speaker 4: back to Manchester United or City. We'll see which one

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Speaker 4: of those two teams in the two team title race

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Speaker 4: gets it. Palace has just been so bad since the

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Speaker 4: World Cup. We've keep saying it, so I won't go

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Speaker 4: too deep into it, but right now it's a minus

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Speaker 4: eight point one expected gold differential for them. They've got

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Speaker 4: five scored and twelve allowed in their eight matches since

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Speaker 4: their one, three and four wind draw law. Yes, still

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Speaker 4: not enough for me. Brentford. They feel like a machine

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Speaker 4: right now that everything's trending up, so this could be

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Speaker 4: a good sell high spot to sell high by low.

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Speaker 4: But man, I've just got no face faith in in

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Speaker 4: our Eagles. You two, though, both have a play in

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Speaker 4: the game, so we'll start with you, Anthony.

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Speaker 2: We we could do this here. Palliser scored six goals

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Speaker 2: since coming back from the World Cup break. Let's let's

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Speaker 2: have a brief discussion about those those goals. Five goals

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Speaker 2: in the league. They had a two zero win at Bournemouth,

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Speaker 2: which was their only good performance they've had in a

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Speaker 2: long time, so you know, credit to them for that.

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Speaker 2: They had a thirty five yard free kick against man

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Speaker 2: United in stoppage time or very close to stoppage time.

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Speaker 2: They had a goal when they were playing up a

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Speaker 2: man and chasing the game down to nil. They didn't

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Speaker 2: create anything prior to that goal, and then they had

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Speaker 2: a set piece goal against Brighton in which they finished

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Speaker 2: the game about one expected goal against a defense that

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Speaker 2: you know, we have questions about.

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Speaker 1: Which so that's why I got a point hang on.

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Speaker 1: I got to point out that Robert Santis just completely

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Speaker 1: dropped the ball right front of the Crystal Palace guy

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Speaker 1: and he just tapped it in.

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Speaker 2: So always nice, always nice when that happens.

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Speaker 1: Always nice when that happens.

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Speaker 2: And you know they finished with one x G which

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Speaker 2: you know most of it was the tapn't So that's

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Speaker 2: the Crystal Palace attack. They have done nothing at all

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Speaker 2: since the World Cup break, and there's not going to

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Speaker 2: be any real change, I don't think in this matchup

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Speaker 2: against you know, a defense that doesn't give you big

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Speaker 2: scoring chances, they're just not going to get opened up.

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Speaker 2: Wilf Zaha is looking like he's going to miss this

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Speaker 2: match as well. We've talked about that and how you know,

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Speaker 2: he's kind of the only guy that we really like

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Speaker 2: in that attack to begin with, and he's not.

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Speaker 1: Going to play.

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Speaker 2: But I think this is the Brentford problem we can

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Speaker 2: see when they go play teams who are going to

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Speaker 2: sit deep, is that Brentford doesn't get a lot of shots.

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Speaker 2: They don't have these forwards who are going to you know,

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Speaker 2: overwhelm teams, that they don't have a consistent way of

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Speaker 2: getting the ball into the penalty area and then creating big,

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Speaker 2: you know, consistent chances. They'll get the occasional big chance,

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Speaker 2: but they're not going to be a great favorite here.

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Speaker 2: So I like the under two and a half. I

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Speaker 2: do think the Brentford probably wins it, you know, one

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Speaker 2: nail two nail type game, but I don't see them

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Speaker 2: creating enough as the favorite at home to justify this total.

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Speaker 2: I thought it would be closer to two point twenty five,

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Speaker 2: and thus I like the under. I know Palace's defense

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Speaker 2: has taken a slide and they do have some injury

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Speaker 2: issues here, but again, I just don't think Brentford's going

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Speaker 2: to be able to take advantage given their profile. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they're eighteenth in shots per ninety. It's not a very

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Speaker 2: good team to back in that spot as a home favorite.

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Speaker 2: So under an.

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Speaker 4: Under for you, BJ, what are your thoughts here?

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Speaker 1: I do like the bees in this spot. I understand

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Speaker 1: it's you know, like you said, Michael, it's a classic

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Speaker 1: like sell high by low type spot. But you know,

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Speaker 1: two weeks ago, you know, we were kicking ourselves in

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Speaker 1: this podcast because Brentford was at home against Southampton. They

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Speaker 1: were minus one fifteen and they just paced them completely.

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Speaker 1: It was obviously a bad spot for Southampton. But now

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Speaker 1: Crystal Palace is coming in two weeks later with worse

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Speaker 1: underlying numbers than Southampton, although they are eight places above

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Speaker 1: them at the table and we're sitting with the exact

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Speaker 1: same price. On top of that, off of the great

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Speaker 1: performance that Brentford put up against Arsenal the week prior.

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Speaker 1: What's interesting about Brentford and what I love about them

335
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Speaker 1: so much, is that if you look through their matches

336
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Speaker 1: is when they're playing against bigger side, sides where they're

337
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Speaker 1: gonna conceive a lot of possession, they're gonna defend their

338
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Speaker 1: penaltary a lot. They like to play there their three

339
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Speaker 1: three five two, which eventually obviously becomes a five to

340
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Speaker 1: three to two. Basically bring on another center back. We'll

341
00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:31,440
Speaker 1: being on their seenter back to the pitch to provide

342
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Speaker 1: more defensive stability when they're playing against lesser competitions. So

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Speaker 1: if you go back through their matches against Southampton, against Bournemouth,

344
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Speaker 1: against Nottingham Forest and even the previous match against Crystal Palace,

345
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Speaker 1: they like to switch to a four to three three

346
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Speaker 1: and bring on another attacker and take off a center

347
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Speaker 1: back to provide more attacking with and obviously more attacking

348
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Speaker 1: options going forward rather than just Enbuemo and Tony. So

349
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Speaker 1: we know of the situation where I think Brentford's gonna

350
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Speaker 1: be a lot more attacking, where they've been tremendous against

351
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Speaker 1: the bottom half of the table plus three point eight

352
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Speaker 1: expected goal differential and like you mentioned Anthony, like Palace, Yes,

353
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Speaker 1: they created one point three expected goals against Brighton, putting

354
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Speaker 1: point eight of that was off of the drop by

355
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Speaker 1: Sanchez and the tap in. So and also I mean

356
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Speaker 1: if you go back through that Brighton match, I mean

357
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Speaker 1: Brighton created over two expected goals and then one in

358
00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:23,760
Speaker 1: it explicitly got varred out for no reason, so it

359
00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:27,159
Speaker 1: could have even been more. So I think this is

360
00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:29,880
Speaker 1: a good spot here for Brentford where everything is trending upright.

361
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Speaker 1: Brentford one of the best teams in the Premier League

362
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Speaker 1: at aerial duels. You know, Crystal Palace historically have been

363
00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:38,199
Speaker 1: a pretty bad set piece defense. So I think this

364
00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:39,719
Speaker 1: is a good spot here for Brentford, and I think

365
00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:41,359
Speaker 1: the price is way too cheap on them. I have

366
00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:46,159
Speaker 1: them projected at minus one fifty three, So minus one

367
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Speaker 1: fifteen is good enough for me to play Renford. Who

368
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Speaker 1: I mean, They've been close to point seven expected goals

369
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Speaker 1: better than Crystal Palace this season and they're at home

370
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Speaker 1: in great form. Give me the Bees.

371
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Speaker 4: Brightons minus one fifty four against Fulham. Brighton's at home

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Speaker 4: the mx Poems plus four fifty. Like I said, the

373
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Speaker 4: Draws plus two eighty. I mean, I can't look at

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Speaker 4: this number. Come on, said Brentford, do that? Brighton?

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Speaker 1: Do it?

376
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Speaker 4: Brentford Brighton, same team even with the deservebe magic on,

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Speaker 4: bj though, I mean, you're just gonna keep riding this bus, yeah, I.

378
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Speaker 1: Mean why not? I mean, this is the spot. I know,

379
00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:26,680
Speaker 1: this is the spot I've had circled for a few

380
00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:29,840
Speaker 1: weeks now. I mean Brighton, I think this is too low.

381
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Speaker 1: So I have Brighton projected at minus two oh five

382
00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:36,040
Speaker 1: they are. They're an absolute offensive juggernaut Under Deservee. They're

383
00:18:36,080 --> 00:18:38,919
Speaker 1: averaging one point eighty five expected goals under him. They

384
00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:42,399
Speaker 1: created they've created ten point two expected goals over the

385
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Speaker 1: last five matches and they've been incredible at the MX

386
00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:49,160
Speaker 1: the season one point seven expected goals per match at home. Additionally,

387
00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:53,240
Speaker 1: they've been incredibly dominant against non Big six sides plus

388
00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:56,240
Speaker 1: eight point six expected goal diffronial and the last time

389
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Speaker 1: they faced Fulham they lost them to one at Craven

390
00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:01,920
Speaker 1: Cop but they did win the expected goals battle one

391
00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:05,280
Speaker 1: point four too point seven. And the Fulham defense it

392
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Speaker 1: has to regress at some point, right it has to.

393
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Speaker 1: They're way overdue. Since the World Cup break, they've conceded

394
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Speaker 1: four goals off of ten point one expected They've obviously

395
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Speaker 1: we've mentioned it many times. They allow the most big

396
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Speaker 1: scoring chances and they also allowing the most shots inside

397
00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:23,520
Speaker 1: the six yard bucks. And the one thing if you're

398
00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:25,960
Speaker 1: going to defend Fulham, we say it every week, you

399
00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,200
Speaker 1: have to be able to defend crosses. Well, Brighton does

400
00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:30,400
Speaker 1: that better than anybody in the Premier leagu They're allowing

401
00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:32,520
Speaker 1: the fewest crosses of anybody into their own penalty, and

402
00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:35,240
Speaker 1: it also looks like that William is doubtful to play

403
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,600
Speaker 1: in this match, which over the last few weeks has

404
00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:40,760
Speaker 1: become a very very important player for Fulham in wide areas.

405
00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:43,919
Speaker 1: So I think this is a tremendous spot for Brighton

406
00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:45,679
Speaker 1: here at home. They're obviously due for a little bit

407
00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:47,920
Speaker 1: of positive aggression. Created four point four expected goals in

408
00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,280
Speaker 1: their last two matches, but have only scored twice. So

409
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Speaker 1: Renford and Brighton, what better way to spend a weekend

410
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Speaker 1: than watching two of our favorite teams gather all three points.

411
00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:02,840
Speaker 2: Question with Brentford Brighton was you know, could they do

412
00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:05,359
Speaker 2: it against teams who are going to sit deep and

413
00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:07,560
Speaker 2: make life difficult for them? And you know they only

414
00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:10,680
Speaker 2: end up getting two goals from the match is against

415
00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:14,399
Speaker 2: the bourn Myth and Palace, But you know, looking at

416
00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:17,159
Speaker 2: the underline numbers, it was impressive. Easily getting the ball

417
00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:20,359
Speaker 2: in the panetary easily getting shots, easily creating big scoring chances.

418
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:22,760
Speaker 2: They didn't finish anything, which you know happens whatever, but

419
00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:25,320
Speaker 2: the process was really good and I was I was

420
00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:29,600
Speaker 2: very impressed by it. So I pass here because I

421
00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:32,719
Speaker 2: actually after upgrading Fulham last week, which I had to do.

422
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:37,320
Speaker 2: I think Fulham like we're missing something here with this team.

423
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:41,879
Speaker 2: They just pretty much beat the brakes off Forest. I

424
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Speaker 2: make this number minus one sixty two. Still, I upgraded

425
00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:46,680
Speaker 2: both teams last week. I think I was one of

426
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,120
Speaker 2: sixty four last week and we talked about it. So, yeah,

427
00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:51,200
Speaker 2: I'm passing here. This is one of the easier passes

428
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:54,520
Speaker 2: on the board for me. Oh it is. It's just

429
00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:57,080
Speaker 2: a little too high, like, yeah, minus twenty thirty, I'm in,

430
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,439
Speaker 2: but I'm laying over minus one fifty now. It's like,

431
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:00,160
Speaker 2: oh boy, all.

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Speaker 1: Right, well, then join me on the Brighton team total then.

433
00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:06,680
Speaker 2: I'm telling you, man, the full of midfield is effectively

434
00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:08,720
Speaker 2: keeping teams out of the penalty once they get there.

435
00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:13,280
Speaker 2: It's ugly with reemon and and whatnot, but they they

436
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:15,600
Speaker 2: do a good job of keeping teams out of their

437
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:18,280
Speaker 2: penalty area. And some of the ex aspected threat numbers

438
00:21:18,280 --> 00:21:22,399
Speaker 2: aren't aren't that terrible either. So I don't know what

439
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:23,480
Speaker 2: to make of this team anymore.

440
00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:26,440
Speaker 4: Well, let's find out what we make of Chelsea. Their

441
00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:30,800
Speaker 4: minus two seventy five hosting Saints plus seven.

442
00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:32,040
Speaker 2: Two expected goals today.

443
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:34,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, the drugs plus three seventy five year.

444
00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:35,080
Speaker 2: It's ridiculous.

445
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:37,840
Speaker 1: I mean, so it's fascinating, Felix.

446
00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:42,560
Speaker 4: I'm gonna make it pretty simple here. I think Chelsea.

447
00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:45,600
Speaker 4: One of these next few games for the Blues, whether

448
00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:50,600
Speaker 4: it's against uh, Southampton, then they play Spurs, but then

449
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:53,440
Speaker 4: they play Leads, then they played Leicester and they play

450
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,120
Speaker 4: that's the one. One of these games, shit.

451
00:21:56,040 --> 00:21:56,680
Speaker 2: Out of Toddham.

452
00:21:56,960 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 4: One of these games, Chelsea's get to fill the bag.

453
00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:05,440
Speaker 4: They're just gonna absolutely fill the bag. So I'm thinking

454
00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 4: a team total plus over two and a half is

455
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:12,760
Speaker 4: plus one seventy five, not that exciting. Over three and

456
00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:16,080
Speaker 4: a half plus four seventy five, all right, a little

457
00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:17,679
Speaker 4: bit better, or you can go over four and a half.

458
00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:20,480
Speaker 4: That's twelve to one there. At some point, it's just

459
00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:22,880
Speaker 4: gonna happen for them, right. They create two expected goles

460
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:26,720
Speaker 4: against Doortmann today they score zero. They have six expected

461
00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:29,520
Speaker 4: six actual goals on twelve and a half expectacles since

462
00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:32,240
Speaker 4: the World Cup. It's amazing like Graham Potter can do

463
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 4: to a team. Uh, I'm just gonna pick a pick

464
00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:38,800
Speaker 4: a number and back the Chelsea team total. If they lose,

465
00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:40,480
Speaker 4: I'm gonna do it again the next week and I'm

466
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:43,080
Speaker 4: gonna do it again the next week and then you

467
00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:46,680
Speaker 4: guys will find us. You guys will find me destitute

468
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:48,439
Speaker 4: knocking on your doors.

469
00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:51,600
Speaker 2: You need you need the ghost for a roof over

470
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:53,560
Speaker 2: definish a chance.

471
00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:56,760
Speaker 4: At I know you're passing here, so we'll go to

472
00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 4: back to Bju say.

473
00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:02,560
Speaker 2: The spot is for Chelsea and next weekend.

474
00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 1: I don't know if this is it, and I don't

475
00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:08,080
Speaker 1: hate a look at Southampton on a little new manager

476
00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:10,199
Speaker 1: Bounds at plus one and a half. The spot is

477
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:13,160
Speaker 1: not good for Chelsea obviously playing in the midweek, having

478
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:15,879
Speaker 1: taught him coming up on the weekend. Obviously the attack

479
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:19,280
Speaker 1: has underperformed. Obviously. This is a situation though, where we

480
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:24,400
Speaker 1: have Southampton that you know. So long to Nathan Jones. Uh,

481
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 1: it was very it was very brief. I loved his

482
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:31,199
Speaker 1: speech about always wanting to challenge himself and then, uh,

483
00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:33,359
Speaker 1: by the way, I think we need to apologize to

484
00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:35,840
Speaker 1: our listeners, to anybody who was on Southampton against Wolves.

485
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:37,720
Speaker 2: Uh, that was I'm not apologizing.

486
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 1: That was one of the worst speeds.

487
00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:44,080
Speaker 2: Send your apologies to Nathan Jones. That was embarrassing that

488
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:47,120
Speaker 2: they were at one nil and a man against Wolves.

489
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:49,159
Speaker 2: The team who cannot score despite my attempts to get

490
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:52,760
Speaker 2: them to score goals, and they blew. I mean when

491
00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:54,399
Speaker 2: they was one one and it was like a fluky

492
00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:56,800
Speaker 2: o goal, I was like, Okay, weird shit happens. But

493
00:23:56,840 --> 00:24:00,280
Speaker 2: then you lose? How do you lose? Yep up? That

494
00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:01,440
Speaker 2: was so bad.

495
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:04,400
Speaker 1: So that's worth struggling here with. With Chelsea, it's like, yeah,

496
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:07,320
Speaker 1: obviously they do for some regression, but Southampton just keeps

497
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:10,040
Speaker 1: having these dumb, unlucky things happening to them, and their

498
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:14,600
Speaker 1: defense has underperformed. So maybe a little new manager bounce

499
00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:18,760
Speaker 1: here in a bad spot for Chelsea. Yeah, I mean

500
00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:20,680
Speaker 1: I do project a little bit of value on Saints,

501
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:25,040
Speaker 1: which I probably will going forward. Hairtaker manager is going

502
00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:29,440
Speaker 1: to be Ruben sellis never been a manager before. Actually

503
00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:34,000
Speaker 1: he was the the caretaker manager for Southampton last year

504
00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:37,639
Speaker 1: for one day when Hauseen Huddle was suspended, so a

505
00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:40,240
Speaker 1: little experience from him, been there a long time. The

506
00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:41,919
Speaker 1: players will probably get behind him. It seemed like they

507
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:46,200
Speaker 1: weren't really behind Nathan Jones at all. So I'll take

508
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 1: Southampton plus one and a half and watch Chelsea score

509
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:50,359
Speaker 1: seven goals. But hey, I mean the last time these

510
00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:53,240
Speaker 1: teams faced off, Like I get it. It was two managers,

511
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,800
Speaker 1: like what three total managers go between these two teams.

512
00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:58,560
Speaker 1: But it was a pretty even match and so you

513
00:24:58,600 --> 00:24:59,879
Speaker 1: know it was one point one to one point one.

514
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:03,399
Speaker 1: Unexpectacle Southampton won at two to one. Maybe we'll get

515
00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:07,239
Speaker 1: another type performance like that and little revitalized hope that

516
00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:10,440
Speaker 1: the Saints actually try to get out of this relegation fight,

517
00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,880
Speaker 1: which they can still get out of. So Southampton plus

518
00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:14,360
Speaker 1: one and a half.

519
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:16,679
Speaker 2: For me, there was some variance in it, but I

520
00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:19,080
Speaker 2: think we were right to say that firing Haseen Hudle

521
00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:20,800
Speaker 2: was a mistake and he was getting the most out

522
00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 2: of a very bad team.

523
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:24,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, Nathan Jones should have He belongs to a team

524
00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:28,120
Speaker 1: like Luton Town. He should never leave teams like that.

525
00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 2: By the way, Chelsea's a slight underdog at Spurs next week.

526
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 4: All right, let's move on to a relegation six point

527
00:25:38,560 --> 00:25:43,760
Speaker 4: or Everden BJ's Everdon their plus one forty hosting Anthony's

528
00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:46,600
Speaker 4: Leads their plus two hundred at Goodison Park to draw.

529
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:51,720
Speaker 4: Here is plus two thirty combined Over their last ten games combined,

530
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:59,280
Speaker 4: Everton and Leads are one win, two draws. And seven.

531
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:04,000
Speaker 4: The one win, of course, came against Arsenal, so go figure.

532
00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:07,720
Speaker 4: It's a tough one to kind of look at the

533
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 4: numbers because we're talking about two teams that have completely

534
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:15,800
Speaker 4: different managers from where those numbers are coming from, or

535
00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:19,920
Speaker 4: in Leeds's case, they just have a caretaker. Consortsium everdon

536
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 4: have best coach in the world across all sports, Sean

537
00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:32,320
Speaker 4: Ditsche leading the charge. They got schooled at Liverpool. I

538
00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:35,480
Speaker 4: think once again James Tarkowski's shot off the post or

539
00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:37,959
Speaker 4: header off the post goes in. Who knows how that

540
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 4: thing goes. But they were comprehensively beat from that point on.

541
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,160
Speaker 4: Dominic Calvert Lewins seems to matter a lot to whatever

542
00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:50,200
Speaker 4: didn't want to do, especially under Ditsche. Little weird that

543
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:54,720
Speaker 4: Ellis Sims got the nod over Neil Mopi. I guess

544
00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:56,879
Speaker 4: he doesn't trust Mopi to to kind of hold it up,

545
00:26:57,040 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 4: hold up the ball well enough to buy time for

546
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:02,639
Speaker 4: his you know, the long balls and then play those

547
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:07,440
Speaker 4: second balls into the on rushing midfielders. I got nothing

548
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:10,280
Speaker 4: from a betting standpoint here. Kind of wish Marsh was

549
00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:13,600
Speaker 4: still in charge to see Diysche versus Marsh it would

550
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:20,040
Speaker 4: have been a fun one consideration, man, Anthony. I mean

551
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:23,560
Speaker 4: we're talking it's a huge game. Evidence on eighteen points

552
00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:25,680
Speaker 4: from twenty two games, leads on nineteen points from twenty

553
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:30,359
Speaker 4: two games. Win here is a huge boon to whoever

554
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:32,680
Speaker 4: gets the three points if there are if there is

555
00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:36,480
Speaker 4: a winner. But boys, it's kind of tough to pick

556
00:27:36,520 --> 00:27:37,920
Speaker 4: between these two right now. Yeah.

557
00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:40,160
Speaker 2: I mean I've bumped Everton with Diys. I thought they've

558
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:43,919
Speaker 2: given two solid performances overall. Obviously of course the very

559
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:46,639
Speaker 2: impressive opener, and then they were okay against Liverpool. I

560
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:48,920
Speaker 2: thought Liverpool played better, but you know we already talked

561
00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:51,639
Speaker 2: about that. I still have leads a better team, but

562
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:54,080
Speaker 2: not good enough to the point where at Everton in

563
00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:57,480
Speaker 2: that spot I want to bet against the Toffees at home.

564
00:27:57,720 --> 00:27:59,479
Speaker 2: I think it's the plus a half. I have a

565
00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:02,119
Speaker 2: lot of intro and we'll be betting leads, but at

566
00:28:02,119 --> 00:28:04,480
Speaker 2: the given number, it's a stay away from me. I

567
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:06,200
Speaker 2: don't have a ton on this matchup, to be honest,

568
00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:07,760
Speaker 2: I still don't know what we're gonna get from the

569
00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:10,600
Speaker 2: you know you mentioned the consortium. I don't know what

570
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:13,760
Speaker 2: that looks like. You know, Eric talked about you know,

571
00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:16,360
Speaker 2: Chris armis hanging around because he knew the United guys. Well,

572
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,879
Speaker 2: he doesn't know the Everton players that well. So how

573
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:19,880
Speaker 2: does it translate now?

574
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 3: Uh?

575
00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:26,439
Speaker 2: And stylistically, I do think Leeds midfield advantage is pretty significant,

576
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:29,480
Speaker 2: but it's just the individual errors they keep doing this

577
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:31,000
Speaker 2: team in. I mean, they were the better side at

578
00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:33,200
Speaker 2: United for eighty five minutes or at home against United

579
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:34,600
Speaker 2: for eighty minutes, but they blew it.

580
00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 4: What they do this is Uh, this could be my

581
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:40,160
Speaker 4: favorite game of the week and I think if you

582
00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:44,080
Speaker 4: asked a million Premier League fans to pick the one

583
00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 4: game they're least excited for this weekend, they would probably

584
00:28:47,320 --> 00:28:50,480
Speaker 4: pick this one. Wolves is minus one fifty hosting Born

585
00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:53,840
Speaker 4: with Borne Mell five to one on the money line.

586
00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:57,480
Speaker 4: The draw is plus through sixty. This is a awesome

587
00:28:57,520 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 4: spot to go after a Bourne myth win. It's an awesome,

588
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 4: awesome spot. They have no wins, two draws, five losses

589
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:10,440
Speaker 4: since the World Cup, two goals scored, twelve allowed, six

590
00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:14,640
Speaker 4: point six expectacles created lookout man, almost one per game

591
00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 4: for the Cherries. That's impressive. Thirteen point six expectacles allowed

592
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:22,800
Speaker 4: in that span. Wolverhampton. Meanwhile, they're on a run four

593
00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:26,080
Speaker 4: wins from their last seven, including and then they also

594
00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:28,320
Speaker 4: got a draw, so they only dropped two. They only

595
00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:31,719
Speaker 4: have two losses since the World Cup, but their expected

596
00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:34,240
Speaker 4: goal differentials minus four point two eleven point four allowed,

597
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:38,920
Speaker 4: seven point two created. They've scored nine seven alloud. So

598
00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:43,200
Speaker 4: teams do for a little bit of defensive regression. Bournemth

599
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:47,120
Speaker 4: is due for a little offensive regression. You can't make

600
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:49,720
Speaker 4: wolves minus one fifty against anyone, even at home. So

601
00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:54,720
Speaker 4: this is a wonderful spot for the Cherries and BJ

602
00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:57,040
Speaker 4: you and I are brave enough to do it. Doesn't

603
00:29:57,040 --> 00:29:59,760
Speaker 4: sound like Anthony is, but how do you feel?

604
00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, so we were on this. You know, Bournemouth was

605
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:04,960
Speaker 1: running way too hot before the World Cup. They were

606
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:08,320
Speaker 1: finishing an unsustainable rate. Well now they've cooled off right

607
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:10,080
Speaker 1: out of the World Cup. They've scored two goals off

608
00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:12,920
Speaker 1: a six point two expected They have created over one

609
00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:15,160
Speaker 1: expected goal in their last three matches, and I really

610
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:17,040
Speaker 1: think that this attack is going to improve with the

611
00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:19,760
Speaker 1: signings of Oatara and Triora. You've already kind of seen it,

612
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:25,320
Speaker 1: and you know, both those guys for their respective clubs.

613
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 1: Cesswalow and Lorient. You know, they're over a point four

614
00:30:28,360 --> 00:30:32,920
Speaker 1: actually plus expected says per ninety minute rates. So the

615
00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:35,800
Speaker 1: biggest thing though, I think for Bournemouth and why they're

616
00:30:35,840 --> 00:30:38,680
Speaker 1: going to get better is Nato is finally healthy and

617
00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:42,680
Speaker 1: back in net over Mark Travers. Both keepers have played

618
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 1: a little over ten nineties this season. Nato is a

619
00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:49,520
Speaker 1: plus four post shot actually plus minus Travers is a

620
00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:52,920
Speaker 1: minus six point nine. So there's a very, very draft

621
00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:55,640
Speaker 1: drastic difference in the level of keeper between these two guys.

622
00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:58,520
Speaker 1: And this is another match where guess what, Wolves is

623
00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:01,480
Speaker 1: going to take a ton of shots from distance. They're

624
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:03,280
Speaker 1: not going to create any type of high quality chance.

625
00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:07,240
Speaker 1: I mean, last fifteen matches, Wolves has created six big

626
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:09,920
Speaker 1: scoring chances. They've only created over one expected goal five

627
00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:12,640
Speaker 1: times in those fifteen matches. And the last time these

628
00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:14,880
Speaker 1: two teams matter, it was just a classic Wolves performance,

629
00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:18,080
Speaker 1: two point three expected threat. They tilted the field seventy

630
00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 1: five percent on bournemouth eighty six final third entries. Well,

631
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:24,640
Speaker 1: they were only able to convert those eighty six final

632
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:28,080
Speaker 1: third entries into eighteen box entries and only one point

633
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:32,560
Speaker 1: five expected goals. So with an improved attack, some positive

634
00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:37,040
Speaker 1: regression from Bournemouth against a Wolves attack that is consistently

635
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 1: no matter who the manager is, shown that they are

636
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:43,280
Speaker 1: completely inefficient. There's no way that Wolves should be laying

637
00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:47,000
Speaker 1: almost a full goal against Bournemouth. So I have always

638
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:49,120
Speaker 1: projected up plus one oh three. So give me the

639
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:50,560
Speaker 1: Cherries plus one at minus one.

640
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:53,840
Speaker 4: Thirty two, Anthony, I didn't mean to sell you short.

641
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 4: I know you have a plan in the game, it's

642
00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:57,600
Speaker 4: just you just don't have the Cojones to join us.

643
00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:01,280
Speaker 2: Well, I will say Wolves took money from before when

644
00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:04,040
Speaker 2: I put the bets in the dock, or after I

645
00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:05,880
Speaker 2: put the bets in the dock. I bet the other

646
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:07,080
Speaker 2: two and a half. I bet it about a week

647
00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:11,160
Speaker 2: and a half ago. Wolves unders are back now I'm kidding.

648
00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:15,400
Speaker 2: I do like the under though I think I agree

649
00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 2: from an attack perspective. I wrote about this in the

650
00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 2: Southampton Wolves preview. It's funny how variants tell stories. And

651
00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:24,920
Speaker 2: Southampton were about the same team under Jones, so they

652
00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:29,200
Speaker 2: were under Hassenhudle they got marginally worse. Wolves got a

653
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:32,120
Speaker 2: tiny bit better, but really the same team. Wolves are

654
00:32:32,120 --> 00:32:34,959
Speaker 2: the same team they were under low Potage that they

655
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:37,760
Speaker 2: were under Lodge and they just happened to go through

656
00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:41,760
Speaker 2: a finishing period of good fortune, which some have said

657
00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 2: would eventually happen, but didn't prop it on it of course,

658
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:48,720
Speaker 2: in fact lost money fading them. But yeah, no, I

659
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:50,760
Speaker 2: think this is a good under. This is a superior

660
00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:52,719
Speaker 2: projections play for me. I make this two point two

661
00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:55,360
Speaker 2: to three. It's sitting at two and a half. Of course,

662
00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:57,560
Speaker 2: the under is correlated to liking Bournemuth as the big

663
00:32:57,640 --> 00:33:01,520
Speaker 2: underdog here, So yes, I don't hate a play the cherries. Uh,

664
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:03,600
Speaker 2: and I like the under and but the under two

665
00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:06,000
Speaker 2: and a half. So yeah, I'll agree with you guys

666
00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:07,880
Speaker 2: that this is a good spot for Barmouth to get right.

667
00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:11,080
Speaker 2: Hopefully by getting right they hold it to a nil

668
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:13,880
Speaker 2: nil or win one nil, because we can all win

669
00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:14,800
Speaker 2: on that situation.

670
00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:17,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't. I don't know if when you know

671
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:19,800
Speaker 4: we talked about Arsenal to get right spot the image

672
00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:22,240
Speaker 4: conjures up in your mind of Arsenal, like putting four

673
00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:24,760
Speaker 4: past Astonville. I don't think that's the same kind of

674
00:33:24,800 --> 00:33:28,640
Speaker 4: image you're looking for. And get right Sport right now,

675
00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:33,920
Speaker 4: it's more all right, real quick, we'll talk Forrest and city.

676
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 3: Uh.

677
00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:38,680
Speaker 4: Forrest is a great spot. Cities mnus been thirty four.

678
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:40,440
Speaker 4: The joy is plus forty seventy five. It is a

679
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 4: good spot, right, like Cities coming off of this emotional win.

680
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:47,120
Speaker 4: Then they have Champions League on the other side of

681
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:50,120
Speaker 4: the weekend. But give me like thirteen to one on Forrest.

682
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 4: I don't want eight to one.

683
00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:55,120
Speaker 2: I come on, terrible, it's insulting, terrible number.

684
00:33:57,600 --> 00:33:59,800
Speaker 1: Lost and I couldn't get it. This is it's so

685
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:02,960
Speaker 1: yeah whatever, yeah.

686
00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:05,840
Speaker 4: I was, I thought for sure after they beat Arsenal, like,

687
00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:06,960
Speaker 4: all right, well, this is.

688
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:12,919
Speaker 2: Also the market. The city took money today, so good,

689
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:14,960
Speaker 2: you know. I think party being out moved a little bit,

690
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:16,359
Speaker 2: but they took money. I mean they were They were

691
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:18,960
Speaker 2: like basically a small favorite and closed like a solid

692
00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 2: quarter goal favorite today. So the market is still buying city,

693
00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:26,480
Speaker 2: like Pep is tinkering, still tinkering, And I thought, you know,

694
00:34:26,719 --> 00:34:28,960
Speaker 2: and there's a sign that like maybe Pepis is starting

695
00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:30,839
Speaker 2: to get the right tinker here. Like I thought they

696
00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:32,759
Speaker 2: were very good today. Arsenal played well too, like it

697
00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:34,320
Speaker 2: was it was a stale mate with a bunch of

698
00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:38,479
Speaker 2: heirs today for the most part tactically. But yeah, I think,

699
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:41,120
Speaker 2: you know, it's It's interesting to see how they're finally

700
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:43,480
Speaker 2: figuring out what the right thing is and playing Kevin

701
00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:46,640
Speaker 2: Debrouna really helps. It turns out he's pretty good. And

702
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:48,560
Speaker 2: so you know, the games where they struggled to create

703
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:50,399
Speaker 2: a lot of that I thought, you know, came down

704
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:54,000
Speaker 2: to personnel and and pep trying different things like Bernardo

705
00:34:54,080 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 2: Silva left back was weird, and then he played further

706
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:59,840
Speaker 2: forward and they were better. So I don't know, but

707
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:02,440
Speaker 2: but this is a pass for me Forrest.

708
00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:05,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, this is a good example, Michael, where

709
00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:08,440
Speaker 1: a spot can be tremendous for a team, but if

710
00:35:08,440 --> 00:35:12,200
Speaker 1: the price isn't there, you can't play it right. So yeah,

711
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 1: I mean I I have this projected right on what

712
00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 1: the market has pretty much right now. So but if

713
00:35:17,160 --> 00:35:19,279
Speaker 1: I could get Forest plus two like on the road,

714
00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:21,240
Speaker 1: in this are at home in the spot. They've obviously

715
00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:23,040
Speaker 1: played a much better at home thany have on the road.

716
00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:26,279
Speaker 1: But yeah, I just you know, still know, Allen Ali

717
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:32,040
Speaker 1: for for Forrest really is troublesome, you know, Chris Wood, Yeah, you.

718
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:33,720
Speaker 4: Know I would take him in Everden.

719
00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, if Sean Dyck just hired a little sooner,

720
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,040
Speaker 1: you know, maybe you maybe you would have him there,

721
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:41,440
Speaker 1: but no, this is an easy pass.

722
00:35:41,880 --> 00:35:42,080
Speaker 2: Yeah.

723
00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:44,000
Speaker 4: I wish we could just keep talking about Bourne, Myth

724
00:35:44,040 --> 00:35:47,839
Speaker 4: and Wolverhampton to be honest, because this next one too

725
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:51,200
Speaker 4: pretty easy pass for me. Maybe United is a decent

726
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:54,520
Speaker 4: parlay piece. On Sunday morning, United minus one seventy five

727
00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:58,719
Speaker 4: against Leicester the Foxes plus four point fifty draw is

728
00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:03,360
Speaker 4: plus three through three. Anthony any thoughts here red Devil's

729
00:36:03,400 --> 00:36:05,440
Speaker 4: Foxes Sunday morning?

730
00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:09,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel like I have too many unders again,

731
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:15,000
Speaker 2: it's really a problem. But Lester explodes against Tottenham. I

732
00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:18,440
Speaker 2: thought they benefited from a lot of defensive miscues from

733
00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:21,880
Speaker 2: Spurs in the match, where I didn't really think that

734
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:25,239
Speaker 2: their attack really did anything special in the match. I

735
00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:28,400
Speaker 2: thought a lot of it was Spurs high turnovers, Spurs

736
00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:34,200
Speaker 2: bad possession structure, individual defending mistakes, poor goalie play. You're

737
00:36:34,239 --> 00:36:35,760
Speaker 2: just not going to get any of that against United,

738
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:39,040
Speaker 2: especially at Old Trafford. I mean ten Hogg did do

739
00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:43,240
Speaker 2: some rotating. They do have the tricky spot here for United.

740
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:46,120
Speaker 2: It's another thing we talked with Eric about, like does

741
00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:49,799
Speaker 2: United want to push for the prem which they're now

742
00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:54,480
Speaker 2: only five points off the title race. BJ or or

743
00:36:54,560 --> 00:36:57,880
Speaker 2: like are they yeah yeah, or do they focus on

744
00:36:57,880 --> 00:37:00,840
Speaker 2: this Barcelona tie and how ten howk wrote takes manages

745
00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:02,640
Speaker 2: through This is going to be really interesting to see.

746
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:05,200
Speaker 2: I mean, Rashford's gonna play both, but you know, does

747
00:37:05,200 --> 00:37:08,240
Speaker 2: he prioritize waghorse for one? Do we see Garnacho start?

748
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:12,560
Speaker 2: What does he do to kind of handle you know

749
00:37:12,600 --> 00:37:16,879
Speaker 2: that that problem? Antony maybe back, but Marshall remains out.

750
00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:20,320
Speaker 2: So you know, it's not a lot of attacking pieces

751
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:23,120
Speaker 2: that I love here. So you know, Leicster under three

752
00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 2: it's a little juicy, but I do like the under here.

753
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:27,680
Speaker 2: I want the three though the three is a key number.

754
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:32,480
Speaker 4: Of course, United is twenty to one to win the title.

755
00:37:33,320 --> 00:37:36,319
Speaker 4: The City flipped to minus one seventy five, Arsenal plus

756
00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:40,640
Speaker 4: one seventy five, Newcastle two hundred to one and Everden

757
00:37:41,239 --> 00:37:42,879
Speaker 4: four thy five hundred to one.

758
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:47,360
Speaker 1: Actually pods love Oh yeah, They're not mathematically eliminated yet.

759
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,120
Speaker 4: Of course not. I mean, look these they have the

760
00:37:50,120 --> 00:37:54,759
Speaker 4: same odds as Forrest, Bournemouth, Wolverhampton, Leeds Palace. I mean,

761
00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:57,680
Speaker 4: b jay, it's okay, It's not a bad, bad way

762
00:37:57,719 --> 00:37:58,440
Speaker 4: to spend.

763
00:37:58,200 --> 00:37:59,360
Speaker 1: Patrice and over people.

764
00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:03,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, man, it's twenty teams deep. Finally we get to

765
00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:09,000
Speaker 4: talk about Spurs odds on at home minus one twenty

766
00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:12,480
Speaker 4: against west Ham the Hammers plus three thirty three the

767
00:38:12,520 --> 00:38:13,680
Speaker 4: draws please plus two sixty.

768
00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:16,880
Speaker 2: If you've been listening to the show for the past month.

769
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:19,600
Speaker 4: Or since the World Cup, basically you know this is

770
00:38:19,640 --> 00:38:23,680
Speaker 4: a west Ham podcast at the moment it's gonna be

771
00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:25,600
Speaker 4: it's about to be a Born With podcast. But right

772
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:28,880
Speaker 4: but for now, we're transitioning from west Ham to Bourne

773
00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:32,399
Speaker 4: With and before we say bone vyage to west Ham,

774
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:35,239
Speaker 4: we're gonna bet them at least one more time Uno

775
00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:38,120
Speaker 4: Mas one more ride with David Moyes. Plus three thirty

776
00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:40,040
Speaker 4: three I think is a good number on the road

777
00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:43,520
Speaker 4: against a team that we know that this kind of

778
00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:48,719
Speaker 4: stylistic matchup just can give Tottenham nightmares. So of all

779
00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:51,520
Speaker 4: teams in the Premier League, I've said it a lot

780
00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:54,839
Speaker 4: of times, Spurs are the styles make fights team and

781
00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:56,720
Speaker 4: this is a fight that I could see them losing

782
00:38:57,120 --> 00:39:00,600
Speaker 4: pretty easily. So I like the Hammers to be able

783
00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:05,760
Speaker 4: to sit deep and give Anthony Spurs all sorts of issues. Anthony,

784
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 4: what do you think.

785
00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:09,359
Speaker 2: Anybody want to It's I'm asking now, so it kind

786
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:12,720
Speaker 2: of gives it away. Which team in the Prem trivia

787
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:15,840
Speaker 2: time has conceded the most open play goals in the

788
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:16,800
Speaker 2: Prem this year?

789
00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:19,760
Speaker 1: It's Pulham.

790
00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:24,239
Speaker 2: Tottenham. We don't concede from set pieces. We have the

791
00:39:24,280 --> 00:39:26,960
Speaker 2: greatest set piece coach in the history of soccer. We

792
00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:29,239
Speaker 2: scored all of our goals there. We never give up

793
00:39:29,239 --> 00:39:32,359
Speaker 2: any goals from set pieces. But I'll be damned from

794
00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:34,520
Speaker 2: open play, Tottenham is just not a very good team.

795
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:41,239
Speaker 2: And without Vo, I mean they're mid table right now.

796
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:45,680
Speaker 2: It's the truth. And uh, you know, I tweeted after

797
00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 2: the first goal, which came from a set piece against Leicester,

798
00:39:48,120 --> 00:39:50,840
Speaker 2: I was like, who needs open play goals and you

799
00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:53,000
Speaker 2: score every set piece? Well, it turns out tod I'm

800
00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:56,759
Speaker 2: needed five because their defense conceded four to Leicester. Where

801
00:39:56,840 --> 00:39:59,440
Speaker 2: is Tottenham better than west Ham this weekend? When they

802
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:05,759
Speaker 2: line up Harry Kane, maybe okay, Harry Kane is just

803
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:09,040
Speaker 2: like the only the only person with with and probably

804
00:40:09,040 --> 00:40:12,720
Speaker 2: Hoybert gets in the team. But like Basuma is out,

805
00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:17,760
Speaker 2: Laris is out, Session is out, Benten Kerr is out.

806
00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:20,839
Speaker 2: Pooro has not adjusted well thus far. It's only been

807
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:25,799
Speaker 2: you know, a couple of cameos, but Kolowski is out

808
00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:27,360
Speaker 2: of form and it really is a sign of how

809
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:30,160
Speaker 2: ball progression broken Tottenham is. I mean, they're not getting

810
00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:35,040
Speaker 2: anything from from from Koulowski right now. Where Charleston can't

811
00:40:35,120 --> 00:40:38,759
Speaker 2: can't get good minutes. Son continues to be poor, you know,

812
00:40:38,840 --> 00:40:40,440
Speaker 2: losing the ball way more this year than he was

813
00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:42,400
Speaker 2: in any year past, not getting the shots he was.

814
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:44,640
Speaker 2: It's the same old story.

815
00:40:44,840 --> 00:40:44,960
Speaker 3: Uh.

816
00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:47,040
Speaker 2: I'm glad I didn't buy into that win against City

817
00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:49,760
Speaker 2: because it was it was a good win. They defended

818
00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:52,200
Speaker 2: well and they hit some good counters, but it was

819
00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:54,279
Speaker 2: not a harbinger of things to come. And you mentioned it,

820
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:58,120
Speaker 2: Michael average west Ham, we're gonna sit deep, You're gonna

821
00:40:58,160 --> 00:41:00,840
Speaker 2: defend the penalty area. Well, they go to wait until

822
00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:04,839
Speaker 2: Spurs inevitably make defensive possession airs, which they will because

823
00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:06,399
Speaker 2: they're not built to do it. They haven't been good

824
00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:08,920
Speaker 2: at doing it all year, and they're gonna pick us

825
00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 2: off and they're gonna score west Ham. Spurs may get one,

826
00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:16,239
Speaker 2: probably will, but I'll be damned if I'm betting Spurs,

827
00:41:16,640 --> 00:41:18,319
Speaker 2: you know, laying that price against one of the top

828
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:21,560
Speaker 2: six to seven defenses in the league. So Hammers plus

829
00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:24,960
Speaker 2: a half. I bet it early. I love it. I'm

830
00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:26,600
Speaker 2: gonna be fading tot in the next couple of weeks.

831
00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:30,120
Speaker 2: They went to Milan this week. Milan's just a shit show.

832
00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:34,000
Speaker 2: They can't stop anybody. Spurs get seven shots and point

833
00:41:34,040 --> 00:41:36,839
Speaker 2: five expected goals. I mean it was horrible. They had

834
00:41:36,840 --> 00:41:40,799
Speaker 2: point three xg from open play against Leicester too, Like,

835
00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:42,960
Speaker 2: it's just really really bad.

836
00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:44,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think that's why I kind of

837
00:41:44,600 --> 00:41:46,920
Speaker 1: like the under here. It's just I was kind of

838
00:41:46,920 --> 00:41:49,200
Speaker 1: surprised see the under here sitting up plus money. It's

839
00:41:49,800 --> 00:41:52,360
Speaker 1: you know, the match against ACMN, like you said, Anthony,

840
00:41:52,520 --> 00:41:56,440
Speaker 1: is very typical of what we've seen from Toddenham this season.

841
00:41:56,560 --> 00:41:59,520
Speaker 1: Ac Milan scored in the seventh minute. It wasn't like

842
00:41:59,560 --> 00:42:01,600
Speaker 1: they scored in the eighty fifth minute, and it was

843
00:42:01,640 --> 00:42:04,279
Speaker 1: an even game state for the entire match. It was

844
00:42:04,719 --> 00:42:08,200
Speaker 1: Tottenham was behind, they tilted the field close to seventy

845
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:11,760
Speaker 1: two percent against them, yep, and they hadn't expected threat

846
00:42:11,800 --> 00:42:14,400
Speaker 1: of one point five But like you mentioned, half an

847
00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:17,680
Speaker 1: expected goal, they just could not do anything to threaten

848
00:42:17,719 --> 00:42:19,720
Speaker 1: Malan's penalty area. So what makes you think they're gonna

849
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:23,319
Speaker 1: do it? To west Ham. But the biggest thing with

850
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:24,879
Speaker 1: this match for me and why I like the under

851
00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:27,719
Speaker 1: is game state, right, because these two type, these two

852
00:42:27,719 --> 00:42:30,160
Speaker 1: types of teams, if they get a lead, they are

853
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:32,200
Speaker 1: going to sit deep, They're gonna clog up the middle

854
00:42:32,239 --> 00:42:34,480
Speaker 1: of pitch and they are going to defend for their lives.

855
00:42:34,480 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 1: I mean, if you look at Tottenham with just a

856
00:42:37,080 --> 00:42:40,040
Speaker 1: one goal lead this season, is only allowing point seven

857
00:42:40,080 --> 00:42:42,960
Speaker 1: to six expected goals perm ninety minutes west Ham when

858
00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:46,399
Speaker 1: leading by just one goal point zero seven expected goals

859
00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:48,840
Speaker 1: per ninety minutes. So I think this is you know,

860
00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:51,319
Speaker 1: this is this is a good spot here, Anthony. It's

861
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:53,919
Speaker 1: an early goal under live type of spot as well,

862
00:42:54,000 --> 00:42:57,040
Speaker 1: whereas if whoever scores first here just jump in and

863
00:42:57,040 --> 00:42:58,879
Speaker 1: play a live under. But I only project two point

864
00:42:58,960 --> 00:43:00,799
Speaker 1: three to nine goals for this he getting under two

865
00:43:00,800 --> 00:43:03,200
Speaker 1: and a half at plus one oh two with two

866
00:43:03,200 --> 00:43:06,279
Speaker 1: of the best low blocks in the Premier League. I mean, yes,

867
00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:09,160
Speaker 1: Tottenham has conceded the most goals from open play, but

868
00:43:09,160 --> 00:43:11,680
Speaker 1: that's twenty nine off of twenty three expected so obviously

869
00:43:12,040 --> 00:43:15,880
Speaker 1: some aggression is going to come positively for their defense,

870
00:43:16,120 --> 00:43:18,400
Speaker 1: hopefully in this match. So I like under two and

871
00:43:18,400 --> 00:43:19,440
Speaker 1: a half goals.

872
00:43:19,239 --> 00:43:22,640
Speaker 2: Twenty third twenty three expected goals is still still not good,

873
00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:26,080
Speaker 2: the worst in the league. Yeah, it's it's really bad, man.

874
00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:27,280
Speaker 2: I mean it's very upsetting.

875
00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:30,600
Speaker 1: But you know what, that's why you got to hear

876
00:43:30,680 --> 00:43:31,760
Speaker 1: that next year bring.

877
00:43:31,600 --> 00:43:34,759
Speaker 2: And I'll be ready. So by the way, Saar was impressive.

878
00:43:34,800 --> 00:43:37,160
Speaker 2: And that's the other thing too, Like Benson kerr Out,

879
00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:39,040
Speaker 2: he was getting in the box a little bit, giving

880
00:43:39,080 --> 00:43:41,880
Speaker 2: them a couple of extra goals and shots and you

881
00:43:41,920 --> 00:43:44,720
Speaker 2: know adding you're not getting that from Sorrow or Skip

882
00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:49,640
Speaker 2: or Hoybier. So it's just it's rough. It's rough, tough

883
00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 2: time to be a Tottam fan. Faintom again next weekend.

884
00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:54,640
Speaker 2: I literally bet Chelsea as we were recording this.

885
00:43:55,840 --> 00:43:59,920
Speaker 1: So get those Brentford top six twenty to one, tick

886
00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:03,320
Speaker 1: in top four, right in top four?

887
00:44:03,880 --> 00:44:05,359
Speaker 2: Yeah if you haven't last week?

888
00:44:05,440 --> 00:44:08,040
Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, you got a better right now? Yeah, I've

889
00:44:08,080 --> 00:44:10,040
Speaker 1: I don't know, I've mentioned on Twitter like four times

890
00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:12,600
Speaker 1: I think now, So yeah, just got a better right now,

891
00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:14,120
Speaker 1: best team in the world.

892
00:44:16,040 --> 00:44:19,239
Speaker 4: All right, onto the Bundesliga, Anthony. I'm actually gonna ask

893
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:23,719
Speaker 4: you to save your Bundesliga pick for the end of

894
00:44:23,760 --> 00:44:27,279
Speaker 4: the show towards the underdog section. BJA. You and I

895
00:44:27,480 --> 00:44:29,920
Speaker 4: kind of on the same spot here, so we'll let

896
00:44:30,000 --> 00:44:32,759
Speaker 4: you wrap it up. The worst team in the Bundesliga

897
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:35,800
Speaker 4: and why not against it's just a it's a good spot.

898
00:44:36,040 --> 00:44:36,399
Speaker 4: It's good.

899
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:40,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I know Anthony's on this as well. Shauka plus

900
00:44:40,160 --> 00:44:41,759
Speaker 1: one minus one twenty.

901
00:44:42,280 --> 00:44:43,720
Speaker 4: Daca Bourne myth parlay.

902
00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:47,600
Speaker 1: Maybe yeah, maybe reverse reverse run line they have pictures

903
00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:51,080
Speaker 1: schedules a portal or reverse run line parlay. No, uh yeah,

904
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:53,520
Speaker 1: I mean it's just the same story we say every

905
00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:56,439
Speaker 1: single week. Like they did it again against Leipzig. They

906
00:44:56,480 --> 00:45:00,480
Speaker 1: created bay close to nothing from open play, but they

907
00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:03,680
Speaker 1: scored two goals. Since since the World Cup break, we're

908
00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:06,280
Speaker 1: at eleven goals. I have a seven point seven expected

909
00:45:06,320 --> 00:45:09,080
Speaker 1: for Unjan and I'm not gonna sit here and tell

910
00:45:09,080 --> 00:45:11,839
Speaker 1: you that Shauka is like some good team that's due

911
00:45:11,880 --> 00:45:13,719
Speaker 1: for positive aggression because they're just not a good team.

912
00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:17,640
Speaker 1: They're gonna get relegated. But they have run extremely cold defensively,

913
00:45:17,719 --> 00:45:20,440
Speaker 1: Like they're forty one goals allowed off a thirty point

914
00:45:20,480 --> 00:45:23,880
Speaker 1: seven expected, they're only a minus zero point four to

915
00:45:23,920 --> 00:45:26,279
Speaker 1: three expected old deferential per ninety minutes it's fifteenth in

916
00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:28,760
Speaker 1: the Boon, so they're not the worst team in Germany.

917
00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:31,960
Speaker 1: And if you want to know why, Michael that Unjan

918
00:45:32,040 --> 00:45:35,960
Speaker 1: Blynn has had this offensive over performance this season, well,

919
00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:38,560
Speaker 1: it's basically because of what happened. The last time these

920
00:45:38,600 --> 00:45:43,840
Speaker 1: two teams played. Unyan scored six goals with a combined

921
00:45:44,040 --> 00:45:48,279
Speaker 1: x G rating of point five eight. They scored four

922
00:45:48,360 --> 00:45:52,000
Speaker 1: goals with an XG rating under point one in the match.

923
00:45:52,360 --> 00:45:54,040
Speaker 1: And this is also the sandwich spot for them. I

924
00:45:54,040 --> 00:45:56,720
Speaker 1: mean they're playing IAX in the Europa League knockout playoff

925
00:45:56,800 --> 00:45:58,600
Speaker 1: round and they got to play them again on the

926
00:45:58,640 --> 00:46:00,600
Speaker 1: next Thursday, so it's it's a great eat spot here

927
00:46:00,640 --> 00:46:03,879
Speaker 1: for Shawka plus one Island projecting only on blended mius

928
00:46:03,920 --> 00:46:06,919
Speaker 1: one fifteen. So uh, I mean, they're gonna win the Bonusesliga,

929
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:08,600
Speaker 1: but maybe we could pick them off if they're on

930
00:46:08,680 --> 00:46:09,520
Speaker 1: they're one slip up.

931
00:46:10,440 --> 00:46:12,120
Speaker 4: It's such a good spot, it is.

932
00:46:12,160 --> 00:46:12,920
Speaker 1: It's a great spot.

933
00:46:13,360 --> 00:46:15,440
Speaker 2: I bet it. Yes, I did bed plus one. Uh,

934
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:18,799
Speaker 2: I love it. Yeah, And I had on that day

935
00:46:18,800 --> 00:46:20,400
Speaker 2: that was back before they were good. It was like

936
00:46:20,480 --> 00:46:21,200
Speaker 2: the third match of the year.

937
00:46:21,200 --> 00:46:23,359
Speaker 1: I was like, I think I had them too plus

938
00:46:23,840 --> 00:46:24,120
Speaker 1: five on.

939
00:46:24,120 --> 00:46:24,720
Speaker 2: The money line.

940
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:27,920
Speaker 4: Yeah them easy money, fighting them every week and losing

941
00:46:28,520 --> 00:46:30,400
Speaker 4: Chaka's five to one on the money line, So heppy

942
00:46:30,440 --> 00:46:36,560
Speaker 4: on that for sure. Let's talk syria Ah Anthony, what

943
00:46:36,640 --> 00:46:36,960
Speaker 4: do you have?

944
00:46:37,600 --> 00:46:39,279
Speaker 2: Look? This is this is one of the most ugly

945
00:46:39,320 --> 00:46:42,160
Speaker 2: podcasts we've ever had. I mean, we we've we've done,

946
00:46:42,719 --> 00:46:45,200
Speaker 2: We've gone deep into the dregs of teams. So why

947
00:46:45,239 --> 00:46:46,719
Speaker 2: not fade the best team in the world while we're

948
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:49,560
Speaker 2: at it. We pass on fading City and Arsenal this week,

949
00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:52,879
Speaker 2: but we're gonna fade Napoli because they have Champions League

950
00:46:52,920 --> 00:46:55,400
Speaker 2: coming up next week. The league lead is just massive

951
00:46:55,400 --> 00:46:56,840
Speaker 2: at the top of the table. There's not really a

952
00:46:56,880 --> 00:47:00,000
Speaker 2: realistic chance of anybody catching them. But it's a natural

953
00:47:00,040 --> 00:47:02,080
Speaker 2: foot off the gas situation here where the europe becomes

954
00:47:02,120 --> 00:47:03,920
Speaker 2: a real possibility. I mean, they could do the double.

955
00:47:04,280 --> 00:47:08,680
Speaker 2: They're they're definitely live and they're also inflated. In the

956
00:47:08,680 --> 00:47:11,799
Speaker 2: week to week Seria Markets. They had a very me

957
00:47:12,040 --> 00:47:15,200
Speaker 2: home performance against Cremenesse. They created like two expected goals,

958
00:47:15,760 --> 00:47:19,000
Speaker 2: gave up a little under one, got the win rolled

959
00:47:19,080 --> 00:47:22,080
Speaker 2: as they always do. But this is a good Cell

960
00:47:22,200 --> 00:47:24,680
Speaker 2: high spot and a by low on Soswolo who has

961
00:47:24,680 --> 00:47:27,319
Speaker 2: played better in the last four or five matches to

962
00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:29,920
Speaker 2: get themselves out of this relegation battle. But really they

963
00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:31,840
Speaker 2: were never in it when you look at their underlying numbers.

964
00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:34,520
Speaker 2: They did beat me Lan, they did beat Atalanta with

965
00:47:34,680 --> 00:47:36,960
Speaker 2: two excellent defensive performances. There was a red card in

966
00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:40,560
Speaker 2: there against Atlanta, but a good defensive performance and they

967
00:47:40,600 --> 00:47:43,080
Speaker 2: lost this match four nil in Naples. Now they come home,

968
00:47:43,080 --> 00:47:45,200
Speaker 2: they're catching a goal. If you look at some of

969
00:47:45,239 --> 00:47:48,440
Speaker 2: the boxes from that game, shots for eighteen to ten

970
00:47:48,520 --> 00:47:51,080
Speaker 2: Napoli xg was two to one, like it was a

971
00:47:51,160 --> 00:47:53,359
Speaker 2: much more competitive game than four nil would let you think.

972
00:47:53,440 --> 00:47:55,280
Speaker 2: Napoli scored one of the best goals of the season

973
00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:58,640
Speaker 2: in that match. It was a thing of beauty, but really,

974
00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:01,440
Speaker 2: you know, it was an overly somewhat competitive match. So

975
00:48:01,480 --> 00:48:03,960
Speaker 2: I'm catching a full goal here. I only make this

976
00:48:04,080 --> 00:48:07,719
Speaker 2: like three quarters of a goal, So I'm taking the

977
00:48:07,760 --> 00:48:09,680
Speaker 2: plus one on so swallow on Friday. I'll have a

978
00:48:09,680 --> 00:48:12,200
Speaker 2: full preview up on Thursday on the Action Network.

979
00:48:12,600 --> 00:48:14,320
Speaker 4: Bej what do you have for us in Italy?

980
00:48:14,600 --> 00:48:17,560
Speaker 1: Let's go at Alanta Leche under two and a half

981
00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:22,320
Speaker 1: goals at plus one ten Lecha. They're actually a pretty

982
00:48:22,320 --> 00:48:26,320
Speaker 1: well organized, like good defense there. They just held roma

983
00:48:26,520 --> 00:48:29,720
Speaker 1: to one expected goal from open play over the weekend.

984
00:48:29,800 --> 00:48:32,520
Speaker 1: They have have been formidable defensively against some of the

985
00:48:32,560 --> 00:48:34,880
Speaker 1: top sides in Italy. They held Lazio two point seven

986
00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:38,160
Speaker 1: expected goals, they held Milan to one point four expected goals,

987
00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:40,839
Speaker 1: Uventus too point six, and last time they played at

988
00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:43,480
Speaker 1: Alanta they held into one point five expected goals and

989
00:48:43,520 --> 00:48:44,839
Speaker 1: that was only off of them only held them into

990
00:48:44,840 --> 00:48:47,600
Speaker 1: twelve shots as well. They are a top sevent team

991
00:48:48,120 --> 00:48:51,359
Speaker 1: by non penalty expect goals. They're only allowing point one

992
00:48:51,400 --> 00:48:53,960
Speaker 1: point one five per ninety minutes, seventh in shots allowed

993
00:48:53,960 --> 00:48:56,799
Speaker 1: per ninety seventh and big scoring chances allowed. But the

994
00:48:56,800 --> 00:48:59,239
Speaker 1: flip side is and why they're near the relegation fight

995
00:48:59,360 --> 00:49:01,160
Speaker 1: is because they are one of the worst offenses in

996
00:49:01,239 --> 00:49:05,439
Speaker 1: Syria a only averaging point eight to nine expected goals

997
00:49:05,480 --> 00:49:09,040
Speaker 1: per ninety minutes dead last and expected threat second to last,

998
00:49:09,040 --> 00:49:10,799
Speaker 1: and touches in the penalty. It's just a really really

999
00:49:10,840 --> 00:49:14,839
Speaker 1: bad offense. Well, Atlanta top four offense, excuse me, top

1000
00:49:14,960 --> 00:49:18,279
Speaker 1: four defense by expected goals in Syria. They do not

1001
00:49:18,360 --> 00:49:20,319
Speaker 1: let you progress the ball up the field whatsoever. So

1002
00:49:21,480 --> 00:49:24,239
Speaker 1: Adalanta is going to control a lot of possession and

1003
00:49:24,280 --> 00:49:28,000
Speaker 1: then once they go ahead, they're gonna most likely shut

1004
00:49:28,040 --> 00:49:30,920
Speaker 1: this game down. But Lech is a very formidable defense,

1005
00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:32,600
Speaker 1: so I think the total is a little too higher.

1006
00:49:32,719 --> 00:49:34,359
Speaker 1: So under two and a half goals a plus one

1007
00:49:34,400 --> 00:49:34,840
Speaker 1: ten for me.

1008
00:49:35,960 --> 00:49:37,759
Speaker 4: All right, let's go right back to you, BJ. You

1009
00:49:37,840 --> 00:49:41,080
Speaker 4: are are lone man in Spain.

1010
00:49:41,800 --> 00:49:45,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, this line shocked me when I saw it. Espanol

1011
00:49:45,400 --> 00:49:50,640
Speaker 1: pick minus one fifteen on the road against LJA. Lcha

1012
00:49:50,760 --> 00:49:52,880
Speaker 1: is the worst team in Europe's top five leagues, and

1013
00:49:52,920 --> 00:49:55,520
Speaker 1: it's not particularly close right now. I mean they just

1014
00:49:55,560 --> 00:49:58,640
Speaker 1: got hammered by Real Madrid here on Wednesday, so they're

1015
00:49:58,640 --> 00:50:02,200
Speaker 1: coming in essential in a short rest spot. They have

1016
00:50:02,360 --> 00:50:06,160
Speaker 1: created what twenty one matches into the season, they have

1017
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:11,000
Speaker 1: created seventeen point five expected goals and allowed forty four

1018
00:50:11,600 --> 00:50:16,320
Speaker 1: point two. They have won one match coming out of

1019
00:50:16,320 --> 00:50:18,319
Speaker 1: the World Cup break. It was against Viria where they

1020
00:50:18,360 --> 00:50:21,399
Speaker 1: created three expected goals, but there were two penalties in there.

1021
00:50:21,920 --> 00:50:25,120
Speaker 1: And the last time they faced Espaniel they somehow drew

1022
00:50:25,160 --> 00:50:28,040
Speaker 1: them to to at Espanol, but Espaniel created two point

1023
00:50:28,120 --> 00:50:32,239
Speaker 1: two expected goals s to lja's point five. Just a

1024
00:50:32,280 --> 00:50:37,560
Speaker 1: completely dominant performance from them. So getting this match at

1025
00:50:37,680 --> 00:50:41,560
Speaker 1: essentially a pick them is crazy to me. I mean,

1026
00:50:41,719 --> 00:50:46,400
Speaker 1: Espaniel is you know they're mid table Loti side, but yeah,

1027
00:50:46,719 --> 00:50:49,640
Speaker 1: LJA is really really bad coming in on short rest

1028
00:50:50,280 --> 00:50:53,359
Speaker 1: and again a pick them against the mid table side,

1029
00:50:53,360 --> 00:50:55,160
Speaker 1: which they should not even be close to that. So

1030
00:50:55,600 --> 00:50:57,399
Speaker 1: Espaniel pick minus one fifteen for.

1031
00:50:57,360 --> 00:51:00,360
Speaker 4: Me and then a surprising twist of events and tities

1032
00:51:00,560 --> 00:51:03,160
Speaker 4: is the only one of us with they bet in.

1033
00:51:06,040 --> 00:51:10,520
Speaker 2: This weekend Monico easy money, thank you for playing closed

1034
00:51:10,560 --> 00:51:11,240
Speaker 2: a favorite.

1035
00:51:11,320 --> 00:51:11,880
Speaker 1: That was awesome.

1036
00:51:13,960 --> 00:51:15,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, and they rolled them. I mean it was never competitive.

1037
00:51:16,040 --> 00:51:19,000
Speaker 2: But I'm going back to Monaco. But I'm playing the

1038
00:51:19,120 --> 00:51:21,239
Speaker 2: under here. And this is a geography handicap. You don't

1039
00:51:21,280 --> 00:51:21,919
Speaker 2: get too many of those.

1040
00:51:22,800 --> 00:51:22,960
Speaker 1: Uh.

1041
00:51:23,440 --> 00:51:27,000
Speaker 2: Monico travels to leverracuson on Thursday in Europa League. They

1042
00:51:27,000 --> 00:51:30,040
Speaker 2: will then go back to Monico. Then they will take

1043
00:51:30,160 --> 00:51:35,600
Speaker 2: the second longest possible journey in France, not even in France, Monico.

1044
00:51:36,040 --> 00:51:38,319
Speaker 2: They'll go all the way from Monaco to the far

1045
00:51:38,480 --> 00:51:43,160
Speaker 2: northwest corner near Normandy to play rest early Sunday. So

1046
00:51:43,280 --> 00:51:46,520
Speaker 2: it is a tough, tough track. I like the under

1047
00:51:46,560 --> 00:51:49,520
Speaker 2: two and a half goals. It is a very flat spot.

1048
00:51:49,960 --> 00:51:52,200
Speaker 2: Monico has finished well above their expected goals this year.

1049
00:51:52,200 --> 00:51:54,920
Speaker 2: I am actually betting them Thursday, and I'll betting against

1050
00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:58,160
Speaker 2: their attack Sunday. They are running pretty good in France.

1051
00:51:58,160 --> 00:52:01,800
Speaker 2: They've coming off a huge one against PSG two, so brass.

1052
00:52:01,840 --> 00:52:04,719
Speaker 2: Despite their poor some of their poor underline numbers, they

1053
00:52:04,719 --> 00:52:07,279
Speaker 2: are top ten and expected threat and allowed field tilt.

1054
00:52:07,520 --> 00:52:11,640
Speaker 2: Monaco just right around tenth in possession, so they're not

1055
00:52:11,640 --> 00:52:14,239
Speaker 2: gonna like dominate you, overwhelm you, and if you're a

1056
00:52:14,280 --> 00:52:16,440
Speaker 2: little flat it can lead to a pretty poor attacking showing.

1057
00:52:16,440 --> 00:52:18,000
Speaker 2: So give me the under two and a half plus

1058
00:52:18,040 --> 00:52:20,360
Speaker 2: money against breast.

1059
00:52:21,600 --> 00:52:25,440
Speaker 4: All right. As we've said a couple of times, pretty

1060
00:52:25,840 --> 00:52:29,640
Speaker 4: ugly week for us, but in a good way, which

1061
00:52:29,680 --> 00:52:34,480
Speaker 4: is gonna lead to a beautiful underdog part Laybyja. You're

1062
00:52:34,520 --> 00:52:39,480
Speaker 4: the only one with a relatively logical bet, so I

1063
00:52:39,520 --> 00:52:40,080
Speaker 4: don't know if.

1064
00:52:39,960 --> 00:52:45,680
Speaker 1: This is logical at all. Let's go a team that

1065
00:52:46,520 --> 00:52:50,720
Speaker 1: hasn't won since right out of the World Cup break

1066
00:52:50,960 --> 00:52:55,000
Speaker 1: January fourth, and that's their only win since being November.

1067
00:52:55,000 --> 00:53:01,240
Speaker 1: Samadria plus two fifteen at home against Bologna. I mean, listen,

1068
00:53:01,239 --> 00:53:05,160
Speaker 1: the underlying numbers are really really bad for Sampdoria. They

1069
00:53:05,160 --> 00:53:08,240
Speaker 1: are dead last in a lot of categories in Syria,

1070
00:53:08,520 --> 00:53:11,920
Speaker 1: but if you look through a lot of their results,

1071
00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:16,680
Speaker 1: they have played essentially even with their counterparts. At home.

1072
00:53:17,080 --> 00:53:19,920
Speaker 1: They're getting Bologna, who has been without Marco and Altovich

1073
00:53:19,960 --> 00:53:22,879
Speaker 1: for quite a while, quite a while, who has been

1074
00:53:22,960 --> 00:53:25,080
Speaker 1: very bad on the road minus five point two expected

1075
00:53:25,080 --> 00:53:27,919
Speaker 1: gold differential. And the last time that these two teams met,

1076
00:53:28,000 --> 00:53:29,600
Speaker 1: I mean it was a very even match. It was

1077
00:53:29,640 --> 00:53:32,239
Speaker 1: one to one. Expected goals was essentially even. And I

1078
00:53:33,200 --> 00:53:35,120
Speaker 1: don't get it with this Sampdoria team because they do

1079
00:53:35,120 --> 00:53:37,640
Speaker 1: go have talent. I mean, they have Tottenham legend Harry

1080
00:53:37,680 --> 00:53:40,359
Speaker 1: Winks who has been playing very very well for them

1081
00:53:40,560 --> 00:53:44,680
Speaker 1: in the midfield on loan. Yeah, and they've actually drawn

1082
00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:48,520
Speaker 1: the last two matches after losing five straight to some

1083
00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:52,480
Speaker 1: better opponents than them. But I think this is a

1084
00:53:52,480 --> 00:53:54,279
Speaker 1: good spot for them. You know, they just held Enter

1085
00:53:54,360 --> 00:53:56,160
Speaker 1: to a zero zero drive and they didn't deserve it

1086
00:53:56,160 --> 00:53:59,480
Speaker 1: on a Monday. Yeah. I really just don't think they

1087
00:53:59,560 --> 00:54:02,160
Speaker 1: should be this significant underdog against a Bologna team that

1088
00:54:02,200 --> 00:54:06,279
Speaker 1: has been very below average the season. Lame underdog, very

1089
00:54:06,320 --> 00:54:09,919
Speaker 1: lame underdog, that one since January fourth.

1090
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:11,640
Speaker 2: That's the only cool thing about it.

1091
00:54:11,800 --> 00:54:14,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean they've got beautiful kits and I mean

1092
00:54:14,520 --> 00:54:15,920
Speaker 4: wink Swinks is a good looking guy and.

1093
00:54:17,040 --> 00:54:19,480
Speaker 2: Call him to play for Tottenham because yeah, I.

1094
00:54:19,480 --> 00:54:23,960
Speaker 1: Think him and double a too. You know, maybe you

1095
00:54:24,000 --> 00:54:25,040
Speaker 1: should have stuck with that at.

1096
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:29,720
Speaker 4: A midfield my favorite underdog Boorn myth. There are five

1097
00:54:29,800 --> 00:54:33,360
Speaker 4: to one at the molind you're taken on Wolves on

1098
00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:36,200
Speaker 4: the road. Wolverhampton is four to one and two since

1099
00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:39,240
Speaker 4: the World Cup. They have a plus two goal differential,

1100
00:54:39,320 --> 00:54:44,000
Speaker 4: nine goals scored, seven allowed. Their expectacles is basically flipped

1101
00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:47,200
Speaker 4: and then some seven point two e spectacles created and

1102
00:54:47,239 --> 00:54:50,359
Speaker 4: then eleven and a half again, So some regression coming,

1103
00:54:50,480 --> 00:54:53,759
Speaker 4: hopefully at both ends of the pitch for Wolves and Bournemouth.

1104
00:54:55,520 --> 00:54:58,520
Speaker 4: Man are they red hot? No wins, two draws, five

1105
00:54:58,680 --> 00:55:01,759
Speaker 4: losses since the World Cup. They've scored twice a whole

1106
00:55:01,800 --> 00:55:05,240
Speaker 4: two goals in those seven games while giving up twelve

1107
00:55:05,920 --> 00:55:09,839
Speaker 4: that said six point six expectacles created. Let's not even

1108
00:55:09,880 --> 00:55:13,360
Speaker 4: talk about their expectacles allow because it's ugly. This is

1109
00:55:13,400 --> 00:55:16,760
Speaker 4: just a great great spot to buy low on the Cherries,

1110
00:55:16,840 --> 00:55:20,520
Speaker 4: sell high on a Wolverhampton team that is smoking mirrors

1111
00:55:21,320 --> 00:55:24,800
Speaker 4: right now, absolute smoking mirrors. So give me the cherries

1112
00:55:24,920 --> 00:55:27,360
Speaker 4: five to one. That's my favorite underdog, Anthony Florish, Are

1113
00:55:27,480 --> 00:55:29,560
Speaker 4: yours your favorite game of the year.

1114
00:55:30,560 --> 00:55:33,239
Speaker 2: Look, we only get to do it twice, sometimes three times.

1115
00:55:34,480 --> 00:55:37,520
Speaker 2: Super Bowl Sunday was last week. If you're a Chiefs fan, congratulations,

1116
00:55:37,560 --> 00:55:39,879
Speaker 2: Eagles fan. I'm sorry, but this is the real Super

1117
00:55:39,880 --> 00:55:42,800
Speaker 2: Bowl for me. You know, the Super Bowl itself is fine.

1118
00:55:43,000 --> 00:55:45,640
Speaker 2: Saturday morning, nine thirty am Eastern time. They didn't even

1119
00:55:45,640 --> 00:55:48,840
Speaker 2: give us the prime time slot. Embarrassing from the Bundesliga

1120
00:55:49,280 --> 00:55:52,880
Speaker 2: Bayern Munich visits Borushio, Mouching, god Bach and let me

1121
00:55:52,960 --> 00:55:55,960
Speaker 2: just say, bj has bet against Buyer a god bick

1122
00:55:56,040 --> 00:55:58,040
Speaker 2: every spine he's gotten a chance in this spot and

1123
00:55:58,080 --> 00:56:00,839
Speaker 2: I learned my life every time he has finally learned

1124
00:56:00,840 --> 00:56:03,480
Speaker 2: his lesson, do not do it. Derek Ray tweeted about

1125
00:56:03,480 --> 00:56:05,880
Speaker 2: how they are the Agrandezzier. I can't do it in German,

1126
00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:08,040
Speaker 2: so I'm not gonna say it. This is the team

1127
00:56:08,080 --> 00:56:11,000
Speaker 2: that has been the bogey team of Byron as long

1128
00:56:11,040 --> 00:56:14,520
Speaker 2: as really since the pandemic, and it goes back years

1129
00:56:15,200 --> 00:56:17,680
Speaker 2: and Eric will talk about that too, But since the

1130
00:56:17,840 --> 00:56:22,000
Speaker 2: twenty twenty one season began. Their twenty twenty season began.

1131
00:56:22,840 --> 00:56:28,239
Speaker 2: Gladbach has only lost one time in seven meetings. That's uh.

1132
00:56:28,320 --> 00:56:31,840
Speaker 2: They have three wins against Byron, three draws and Byron

1133
00:56:31,880 --> 00:56:32,759
Speaker 2: did win one time.

1134
00:56:32,840 --> 00:56:33,000
Speaker 1: Six.

1135
00:56:33,120 --> 00:56:35,560
Speaker 2: No, I'm catching a goal and a half at home.

1136
00:56:35,680 --> 00:56:37,160
Speaker 2: I'm going to take that. I already bet it and

1137
00:56:37,200 --> 00:56:40,160
Speaker 2: I will be playing the money line as well. You

1138
00:56:40,200 --> 00:56:43,160
Speaker 2: saw all the Byron flaws on Tuesday. They have a

1139
00:56:43,160 --> 00:56:46,120
Speaker 2: lot of good pressing, they win the ball high, but

1140
00:56:46,160 --> 00:56:49,080
Speaker 2: they're not getting those same quality high chances that they

1141
00:56:49,080 --> 00:56:52,040
Speaker 2: did when they have Lewandowski, and it really kind of

1142
00:56:52,120 --> 00:56:53,680
Speaker 2: hurt them. I mean, they got the one goal because

1143
00:56:53,760 --> 00:56:56,600
Speaker 2: you know, don't probably should have saved it. But then

1144
00:56:57,000 --> 00:57:02,080
Speaker 2: you saw the transition defensive weaknesses and when they play Glodboch, Yeah,

1145
00:57:02,400 --> 00:57:03,920
Speaker 2: they're gonna have most of the shots. They're gonna have

1146
00:57:04,000 --> 00:57:06,480
Speaker 2: most of the chances, but Gladbok is pretty good in transition.

1147
00:57:06,680 --> 00:57:09,280
Speaker 2: They're gonna be at home here and there's something about

1148
00:57:09,480 --> 00:57:11,920
Speaker 2: the history that gets Glodbuck I amped up for this game.

1149
00:57:12,239 --> 00:57:14,440
Speaker 2: The one thing that does stink Yon Summer is in

1150
00:57:14,480 --> 00:57:16,560
Speaker 2: the wrong goal for this matchup. He'll be playing for Bayern.

1151
00:57:17,520 --> 00:57:19,120
Speaker 1: Can you go across the field just one last time.

1152
00:57:19,240 --> 00:57:21,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, one for one game. We should borrow him back.

1153
00:57:21,520 --> 00:57:25,200
Speaker 2: But Sommer broke the Bundesliga record in the last meeting.

1154
00:57:25,840 --> 00:57:29,280
Speaker 2: He's hopefully not doing that this meeting, but he maybe

1155
00:57:29,280 --> 00:57:32,080
Speaker 2: he'll ship one for us. Glod Box six to one.

1156
00:57:32,480 --> 00:57:34,240
Speaker 2: Mane was also dominant the last game. He will not

1157
00:57:34,280 --> 00:57:36,880
Speaker 2: be playing in this one. So I love Glodbock plus

1158
00:57:36,880 --> 00:57:38,720
Speaker 2: one I have at home. I bet it anyway, even

1159
00:57:38,760 --> 00:57:44,280
Speaker 2: if it wasn't history, I think it's inflated. But Gladbock,

1160
00:57:44,400 --> 00:57:48,200
Speaker 2: throw out form, throw out everything. Super Bowl Saturday six

1161
00:57:48,240 --> 00:57:48,600
Speaker 2: to one.

1162
00:57:49,440 --> 00:57:53,040
Speaker 4: Want you look, if you parlay those three teams together,

1163
00:57:53,080 --> 00:57:54,840
Speaker 4: it's one hundred and thirty one to one. That's borting

1164
00:57:54,920 --> 00:57:57,960
Speaker 4: with Gladbach and Sam Dooria. You want to throw west

1165
00:57:58,000 --> 00:57:59,680
Speaker 4: Ham in there five hundred and seventy two to one.

1166
00:57:59,680 --> 00:58:01,920
Speaker 4: If you want to throw Shawka in there with west

1167
00:58:01,920 --> 00:58:08,040
Speaker 4: Ham three thousand, four hundred and thirty six to one.

1168
00:58:07,320 --> 00:58:09,320
Speaker 2: On the graphic as well, when they all win, I'm

1169
00:58:09,320 --> 00:58:11,280
Speaker 2: pretty sure there's the round robin for this.

1170
00:58:13,000 --> 00:58:16,760
Speaker 1: If there's your five team round robin, people don't say

1171
00:58:16,760 --> 00:58:18,360
Speaker 1: we didn't do don't do anything for you.

1172
00:58:19,000 --> 00:58:21,680
Speaker 4: When that round Robin cash Is, we'll do a Wonder

1173
00:58:21,680 --> 00:58:25,800
Speaker 4: Goal live from Maybe we'll do it at Goodison Park.

1174
00:58:25,840 --> 00:58:27,600
Speaker 2: We'll find go to Monic We'll go to Monica.

1175
00:58:27,680 --> 00:58:29,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, we'll go to Monica. We'll find it.

1176
00:58:29,360 --> 00:58:30,800
Speaker 2: Go to Marseille when they win the league.

1177
00:58:31,080 --> 00:58:35,120
Speaker 4: Yeah. Uh, all right, let's talk about our favorite bets

1178
00:58:35,120 --> 00:58:36,440
Speaker 4: and then get out of here. And a reminder, we

1179
00:58:36,440 --> 00:58:40,280
Speaker 4: did do a contest for one hundredth episode. Our producers

1180
00:58:40,320 --> 00:58:41,560
Speaker 4: sorting out the winner.

1181
00:58:41,560 --> 00:58:41,760
Speaker 3: There.

1182
00:58:41,800 --> 00:58:44,240
Speaker 4: We'll get you that next week. Well An, that's the

1183
00:58:44,280 --> 00:58:49,240
Speaker 4: two winners. Thank you to everyone who tweeted it. Chad Millman, congratulations,

1184
00:58:49,280 --> 00:58:52,560
Speaker 4: I'm the one hundredth episode of Wonder Goal. H b J.

1185
00:58:52,680 --> 00:58:55,000
Speaker 4: Let's start with you your favorite bet in the Premier League.

1186
00:58:54,920 --> 00:58:57,920
Speaker 1: Bright and minus one forty at home against Fulham, a

1187
00:58:57,960 --> 00:59:00,360
Speaker 1: spot I've had circled for quite a long time now.

1188
00:59:00,640 --> 00:59:04,360
Speaker 1: Brighton is an absolute offensive juggernaut under deservey one point

1189
00:59:04,400 --> 00:59:08,160
Speaker 1: eighty five expected goals per ninety minutes. They've created a

1190
00:59:08,280 --> 00:59:10,960
Speaker 1: ten point two expected goals in their last five matches,

1191
00:59:11,000 --> 00:59:14,000
Speaker 1: averaging one point seven expected goals at the MX. So

1192
00:59:14,080 --> 00:59:17,000
Speaker 1: this is just a really, really good attack and they've

1193
00:59:17,000 --> 00:59:20,160
Speaker 1: been incredibly dominant as a team against non big six

1194
00:59:20,240 --> 00:59:23,960
Speaker 1: sides plus eight point six expected goal differential. The Fulham

1195
00:59:24,000 --> 00:59:26,240
Speaker 1: defense it's got to regress at some point. Out of

1196
00:59:26,240 --> 00:59:29,320
Speaker 1: the World cut break. They've allowed four goals off of

1197
00:59:29,360 --> 00:59:31,880
Speaker 1: ten point one expected This is still the second to

1198
00:59:31,960 --> 00:59:34,080
Speaker 1: last team in the Premier League on expected goals. They've

1199
00:59:34,120 --> 00:59:36,640
Speaker 1: allowed the most big scoring chances. They've allowed the most

1200
00:59:36,640 --> 00:59:39,600
Speaker 1: shots inside the six yard bocks. Not a good recipe

1201
00:59:39,600 --> 00:59:42,440
Speaker 1: when you're playing an offense as good as Brighton and Fulham,

1202
00:59:42,760 --> 00:59:44,760
Speaker 1: if you're going to be able to defend them, you

1203
00:59:44,880 --> 00:59:47,280
Speaker 1: have to be able to defend crosses. Brighton does that

1204
00:59:47,280 --> 00:59:49,240
Speaker 1: better than anybody in the Premier League. They're allowing the

1205
00:59:49,240 --> 00:59:52,400
Speaker 1: fewest crosses into their own penalty area of anybody in England.

1206
00:59:52,600 --> 00:59:54,880
Speaker 1: Also looks like William is going to be doubtful for Fulham,

1207
00:59:54,880 --> 00:59:59,400
Speaker 1: who's seemingly become their most dangerous player in space out wide.

1208
00:59:59,560 --> 01:00:02,200
Speaker 1: So this is a really really good spot here for Brighton.

1209
01:00:02,200 --> 01:00:04,040
Speaker 1: Why I have projected at minus two o five So

1210
01:00:04,120 --> 01:00:07,080
Speaker 1: give me my Seagulls at minus one for.

1211
01:00:08,200 --> 01:00:11,160
Speaker 4: Your seagulls, Our Hammers. Anthony and I are on the

1212
01:00:11,160 --> 01:00:12,920
Speaker 4: same side. I like the money line of west Ham.

1213
01:00:12,920 --> 01:00:16,720
Speaker 4: They're plus three thirty three taking on Tottenham. The inconsistent

1214
01:00:16,840 --> 01:00:21,439
Speaker 4: Tottenham Hotspur show they'll host west Ham. One of the

1215
01:00:21,480 --> 01:00:25,080
Speaker 4: better defensive teams in the Premier League outside of the

1216
01:00:25,120 --> 01:00:27,120
Speaker 4: Big Boys, and it's been that way for quite some

1217
01:00:27,240 --> 01:00:29,880
Speaker 4: time now. David Moyes has this defense firing on all

1218
01:00:29,920 --> 01:00:33,000
Speaker 4: cylinders and as we say time and time again with Spurs,

1219
01:00:33,520 --> 01:00:36,520
Speaker 4: they are a styles, make fights team and they just

1220
01:00:37,240 --> 01:00:39,560
Speaker 4: suffer immensely when they play on teams that like to

1221
01:00:39,600 --> 01:00:43,480
Speaker 4: sit deep and low blocks and force Tottenham to take

1222
01:00:43,520 --> 01:00:47,480
Speaker 4: it to them. West Ham should eventually start trending up

1223
01:00:47,480 --> 01:00:51,600
Speaker 4: at some point this season. Maybe it starts at white

1224
01:00:51,600 --> 01:00:55,440
Speaker 4: Hart Lane on Sunday, Anthony, you can take us home.

1225
01:00:55,920 --> 01:00:58,400
Speaker 2: They're definitely starting to trend up. Draw with Newcastle, draw

1226
01:00:58,440 --> 01:01:01,120
Speaker 2: with Chelsea. Now they get to play worst team than

1227
01:01:01,120 --> 01:01:03,040
Speaker 2: both of them, and they're catching a half a goal.

1228
01:01:03,960 --> 01:01:06,880
Speaker 2: I like the Hammers as well. I'll take them plus

1229
01:01:06,880 --> 01:01:09,439
Speaker 2: a half is my best bet. You talked about why

1230
01:01:09,440 --> 01:01:11,560
Speaker 2: west Ham's trending up. I'll talk about why Spurs are

1231
01:01:11,640 --> 01:01:13,720
Speaker 2: just really really bad right now. It's an injury crisis.

1232
01:01:13,760 --> 01:01:17,440
Speaker 2: Benson Kerr is out, Besuma is out, Sessignon and Larisse.

1233
01:01:17,840 --> 01:01:21,720
Speaker 2: There's major question marks across the pitch, but really they're

1234
01:01:21,720 --> 01:01:23,959
Speaker 2: not getting the level of attacking production that they were

1235
01:01:24,000 --> 01:01:26,680
Speaker 2: in years past, and they went from a top four

1236
01:01:26,720 --> 01:01:29,400
Speaker 2: attack in the PREM to a middling one that has

1237
01:01:29,440 --> 01:01:31,640
Speaker 2: now conceded the most open play goals in the league

1238
01:01:32,120 --> 01:01:34,640
Speaker 2: and is middle of the pack in open play goals scored.

1239
01:01:34,720 --> 01:01:36,920
Speaker 2: They're facing one of the best set piece defenses in

1240
01:01:36,960 --> 01:01:40,320
Speaker 2: the league. Tottenham relies more on set pieces than anybody

1241
01:01:40,320 --> 01:01:42,920
Speaker 2: in the PREM. So there's a lot of concerns in

1242
01:01:42,960 --> 01:01:44,880
Speaker 2: this matchup. These two teams played earlier this year it

1243
01:01:44,920 --> 01:01:47,680
Speaker 2: was pretty much a stalemate. I'm expecting more of the same.

1244
01:01:48,120 --> 01:01:51,600
Speaker 2: Still have question marks about both attacks here, but Tottenham

1245
01:01:51,640 --> 01:01:54,640
Speaker 2: is a one man team. It's just Harry Kane and

1246
01:01:55,240 --> 01:01:57,320
Speaker 2: if he's not producing, there's not much else to like.

1247
01:01:57,800 --> 01:01:59,800
Speaker 2: So give me west Ham plus a half, all right?

1248
01:02:00,120 --> 01:02:03,000
Speaker 4: That does it for us In this part of Wonder Goal.

1249
01:02:03,240 --> 01:02:05,840
Speaker 4: Be sure to stick around to listen to a nice

1250
01:02:05,920 --> 01:02:09,800
Speaker 4: chat with Eric Weanalda about Jesse Marsh so what his

1251
01:02:09,840 --> 01:02:13,000
Speaker 4: departure means for some of the Americans at Leeds, and

1252
01:02:13,000 --> 01:02:16,920
Speaker 4: then his take on flab Boch and Byron Munich. But

1253
01:02:17,000 --> 01:02:19,800
Speaker 4: for now, we bid you a due for Anthony Dubundo

1254
01:02:19,840 --> 01:02:22,600
Speaker 4: for bj Kuneham. I'm Michael Leebop, wishing you the best

1255
01:02:22,640 --> 01:02:25,680
Speaker 4: of luck this weekend, and if you don't hear from

1256
01:02:25,720 --> 01:02:29,800
Speaker 4: us next week, it's because this five leg round robin

1257
01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:34,560
Speaker 4: hit and we've all retired. All right, We are once

1258
01:02:34,600 --> 01:02:38,600
Speaker 4: again very pleased to be joined by our friend Eric

1259
01:02:38,640 --> 01:02:44,320
Speaker 4: wenalda former US men's national team player. Eric, pretty simple here,

1260
01:02:44,440 --> 01:02:46,640
Speaker 4: there's only one place to start. Jesse Marsh is out

1261
01:02:46,640 --> 01:02:49,960
Speaker 4: at Leeds. Seems like he was flirting with Southampton, or

1262
01:02:50,000 --> 01:02:53,040
Speaker 4: Southampton was flirting with him. In the background of all this,

1263
01:02:53,080 --> 01:02:56,880
Speaker 4: of course, is the vacancy with the US men men's

1264
01:02:56,960 --> 01:03:01,640
Speaker 4: national team. So he told us. You got a little

1265
01:03:01,640 --> 01:03:05,640
Speaker 4: bit of an inside scoop on Marsh Southampton and where

1266
01:03:05,640 --> 01:03:08,240
Speaker 4: he's gonna end up next and how it all fell apart.

1267
01:03:09,160 --> 01:03:11,880
Speaker 3: So it's it's it's a super long story. I'll try

1268
01:03:11,880 --> 01:03:13,360
Speaker 3: and give you the cliff notes of how we got

1269
01:03:13,400 --> 01:03:17,200
Speaker 3: to this point. But there's only been two American managers

1270
01:03:17,240 --> 01:03:22,400
Speaker 3: in the EPO, Bob Bradley and his son, Jesse Marsh.

1271
01:03:22,480 --> 01:03:26,200
Speaker 3: If you know a lot about these two, Jesse only

1272
01:03:26,240 --> 01:03:28,920
Speaker 3: really played for Bob Bradley his entire career, so they

1273
01:03:28,920 --> 01:03:31,880
Speaker 3: have the same agent. His name is Ron Waxman. Now,

1274
01:03:31,880 --> 01:03:34,240
Speaker 3: this is this guy's kind of a kooky dude. If

1275
01:03:34,280 --> 01:03:36,400
Speaker 3: you've ever seen him, he always looks like he's boarding

1276
01:03:36,400 --> 01:03:38,800
Speaker 3: a plane on his way to the Bahamas, and it's

1277
01:03:38,960 --> 01:03:41,320
Speaker 3: it's it's amazed me that that he has done the

1278
01:03:41,360 --> 01:03:43,720
Speaker 3: deals that he has done over the years. But he

1279
01:03:43,880 --> 01:03:47,760
Speaker 3: has a tendency to get really greedy and he's not

1280
01:03:47,880 --> 01:03:50,720
Speaker 3: afraid to take risks when it comes to the negotiation process.

1281
01:03:50,920 --> 01:03:55,000
Speaker 3: So here's what happened once Leeds let him go. He

1282
01:03:55,120 --> 01:03:59,040
Speaker 3: was pursued to a certain extent by Southampton because of

1283
01:03:59,120 --> 01:04:01,800
Speaker 3: Ralph Hasntwu, who used to be their coach. Is the

1284
01:04:01,840 --> 01:04:04,920
Speaker 3: best name in soccer, right, housen It's like it sounds

1285
01:04:04,920 --> 01:04:08,800
Speaker 3: like something out of Harry Potter. But so Ralph is

1286
01:04:08,840 --> 01:04:12,680
Speaker 3: a part of that RB Leipzig methodology. So he's a

1287
01:04:13,120 --> 01:04:15,960
Speaker 3: Ralph Ryanike who we remember was had his short stint

1288
01:04:16,000 --> 01:04:19,080
Speaker 3: with Manchester United, was a huge fan of Jesse Marsh

1289
01:04:19,080 --> 01:04:23,480
Speaker 3: and Ralph housen Houd. So when it all went down

1290
01:04:23,560 --> 01:04:27,320
Speaker 3: with Housenhold at Southampton, they actually feel that they made

1291
01:04:27,320 --> 01:04:30,000
Speaker 3: a mistake, that they they pulled the trigger a little

1292
01:04:30,040 --> 01:04:33,640
Speaker 3: quickly and were actually in pursuit of getting him back.

1293
01:04:33,800 --> 01:04:37,120
Speaker 3: They felt that it might be a good fit to

1294
01:04:37,120 --> 01:04:39,520
Speaker 3: bring him back. The closest thing to that guys is

1295
01:04:39,600 --> 01:04:43,680
Speaker 3: Jesse Marsh. They did the same stuff, and the brass

1296
01:04:43,720 --> 01:04:46,280
Speaker 3: over there at Southampton felt that this was going to

1297
01:04:46,320 --> 01:04:51,880
Speaker 3: be the closest you know, and just implementing exactly what

1298
01:04:51,920 --> 01:04:53,640
Speaker 3: they used to do. So it would have been there

1299
01:04:53,640 --> 01:04:56,080
Speaker 3: would be no transition. It would just be just a

1300
01:04:56,120 --> 01:04:58,960
Speaker 3: different guy that was going to implement what they used

1301
01:04:58,960 --> 01:05:01,160
Speaker 3: to do, and now there would be no like we

1302
01:05:01,240 --> 01:05:02,919
Speaker 3: gotta figure out a new system. We got to figure

1303
01:05:02,960 --> 01:05:05,320
Speaker 3: out a new way of playing. So they were really

1304
01:05:05,400 --> 01:05:10,040
Speaker 3: keen on starting the conversation with Jesse Marsh. But Ron Waxman, Uh,

1305
01:05:10,080 --> 01:05:12,960
Speaker 3: the agent asked for like a three to a four

1306
01:05:13,000 --> 01:05:15,320
Speaker 3: year deal. So you all know this because of the

1307
01:05:15,360 --> 01:05:18,919
Speaker 3: your you're interested in Everton. When Sean Dice was asked

1308
01:05:18,920 --> 01:05:21,960
Speaker 3: if he was interested in going to Everton, he basically said, Okay,

1309
01:05:22,920 --> 01:05:25,480
Speaker 3: let's go. Let's do it. You know, like I'm in

1310
01:05:26,120 --> 01:05:29,080
Speaker 3: who am I fighting today? We'll worry about next week

1311
01:05:29,760 --> 01:05:34,320
Speaker 3: because that's what happens in a relegation fight. The fact

1312
01:05:34,360 --> 01:05:36,640
Speaker 3: that they asked for a multiple year contract is where

1313
01:05:36,680 --> 01:05:39,280
Speaker 3: this thing all broke down. I mean they basically came

1314
01:05:39,320 --> 01:05:42,040
Speaker 3: in and said, can you do it? Can you enter

1315
01:05:42,080 --> 01:05:44,240
Speaker 3: into a contract that's gonna gonna get us to the

1316
01:05:44,320 --> 01:05:47,320
Speaker 3: end of the year and then maybe re up and

1317
01:05:47,720 --> 01:05:49,840
Speaker 3: Jesse Marsh, well, I don't want to say Jesse Marsh.

1318
01:05:49,920 --> 01:05:53,320
Speaker 3: His agent wasn't interested. So that's where everything broke down.

1319
01:05:53,520 --> 01:05:56,440
Speaker 3: On paper, it would have been a pretty good fit. Now, this,

1320
01:05:56,560 --> 01:05:59,160
Speaker 3: of course, has sparked all the speculation that Jesse Marsh

1321
01:05:59,200 --> 01:06:01,840
Speaker 3: is a shoe in for the US national team. Probably

1322
01:06:01,880 --> 01:06:04,080
Speaker 3: not the case, guys, not at all. One of the

1323
01:06:04,120 --> 01:06:07,360
Speaker 3: things that we've learned about the process is there's a

1324
01:06:07,400 --> 01:06:10,960
Speaker 3: new CEO at US Soccer's name's j. T. Batson, and

1325
01:06:11,120 --> 01:06:15,840
Speaker 3: he's working in tandem with Cindy Parlow, who is the president.

1326
01:06:15,880 --> 01:06:21,360
Speaker 3: But they've hired Sportsology, which essentially will be in charge

1327
01:06:21,480 --> 01:06:25,640
Speaker 3: of the search. Now that alone would give you an

1328
01:06:25,680 --> 01:06:30,520
Speaker 3: indication that it's not always going to be about an

1329
01:06:30,560 --> 01:06:33,720
Speaker 3: American coach. It's going to be a very extensive search,

1330
01:06:33,800 --> 01:06:35,960
Speaker 3: and it's going to be a very foreign let's just

1331
01:06:35,960 --> 01:06:37,760
Speaker 3: put it this way. But the big problem here is

1332
01:06:38,160 --> 01:06:41,400
Speaker 3: they're not in a hurry at all US Soccer is

1333
01:06:41,400 --> 01:06:43,840
Speaker 3: in the midst of putting to their plan together because

1334
01:06:43,920 --> 01:06:46,240
Speaker 3: j T. Batson is a big plan guy. He wants

1335
01:06:46,280 --> 01:06:49,720
Speaker 3: to basically run this organization the way it always should

1336
01:06:49,720 --> 01:06:52,560
Speaker 3: have been run, and it's to set expectations, to send,

1337
01:06:52,600 --> 01:06:55,280
Speaker 3: set benchmarks and then try and go from there, but

1338
01:06:55,400 --> 01:06:58,760
Speaker 3: have it all understood by everybody within the organization. We're

1339
01:06:58,760 --> 01:07:04,120
Speaker 3: looking at June guy before they even think about making

1340
01:07:04,200 --> 01:07:06,720
Speaker 3: a decision, and I don't think that fits the timelines

1341
01:07:07,520 --> 01:07:09,800
Speaker 3: for jesse Mars. Jesse Marsh was very clean, he wanted

1342
01:07:09,800 --> 01:07:12,440
Speaker 3: to stay in Europe. I think his agent push it

1343
01:07:12,480 --> 01:07:14,760
Speaker 3: too far. So he'll probably be looking for something to

1344
01:07:14,800 --> 01:07:17,000
Speaker 3: do or at least making his way back to Wisconsin

1345
01:07:17,800 --> 01:07:19,560
Speaker 3: when the leads start to come back so he can

1346
01:07:19,600 --> 01:07:23,320
Speaker 3: go fishing. But we'll see how that all plans out.

1347
01:07:23,360 --> 01:07:26,480
Speaker 3: But look, the US Soccer Federation will not move on

1348
01:07:26,520 --> 01:07:31,479
Speaker 3: this until the Women's World Cup is over, and that's

1349
01:07:31,520 --> 01:07:34,040
Speaker 3: going to put us in a very precarious situation. But also,

1350
01:07:34,600 --> 01:07:38,240
Speaker 3: if you noticed yesterday, if IFA made it official Mexico Canada,

1351
01:07:38,360 --> 01:07:41,400
Speaker 3: US you're in. So if you really think about it,

1352
01:07:42,160 --> 01:07:46,000
Speaker 3: as much as we are getting anxious and maybe impatient

1353
01:07:46,000 --> 01:07:49,760
Speaker 3: with the process. I think we should just get used

1354
01:07:49,760 --> 01:07:51,960
Speaker 3: to disappointment. We're not going to hear any news about

1355
01:07:52,080 --> 01:07:55,480
Speaker 3: a US national team coach and or a technical director.

1356
01:07:55,520 --> 01:07:58,640
Speaker 3: And they've currently started that process. They put their list together,

1357
01:07:58,640 --> 01:08:01,680
Speaker 3: they haven't talked to anybody, and there's a couple of

1358
01:08:01,800 --> 01:08:04,400
Speaker 3: names on that list that from what I've been told,

1359
01:08:04,640 --> 01:08:06,840
Speaker 3: that are names you're going to know. So we'll see

1360
01:08:06,880 --> 01:08:09,120
Speaker 3: how that all pans out. But I'm as big of

1361
01:08:09,120 --> 01:08:11,920
Speaker 3: his story as it seems like right now, Guys, be patient.

1362
01:08:12,240 --> 01:08:14,439
Speaker 3: We'll talk about this for real in late May.

1363
01:08:14,880 --> 01:08:18,160
Speaker 1: So now, this also leaves a vacancy open up leads,

1364
01:08:18,160 --> 01:08:21,240
Speaker 1: and it also leaves a bunch of American players with

1365
01:08:21,320 --> 01:08:24,439
Speaker 1: their futures not necessarily uncertain. But with a new manager

1366
01:08:24,479 --> 01:08:28,080
Speaker 1: always comes new philosophy, and now not an American manager

1367
01:08:28,080 --> 01:08:29,720
Speaker 1: in charge who hand picked them. So what do you

1368
01:08:29,720 --> 01:08:33,080
Speaker 1: think this means for a guy like specifically Weston McKenney,

1369
01:08:33,160 --> 01:08:37,360
Speaker 1: who just got signed to Leeds because of I assume

1370
01:08:37,439 --> 01:08:42,160
Speaker 1: Jesse Marsh, does he maybe find himself on the way

1371
01:08:42,200 --> 01:08:44,880
Speaker 1: out or maybe Aaronson or Tyler Adams. We're obviously very

1372
01:08:44,880 --> 01:08:47,080
Speaker 1: important to leads right now, but with maybe a new

1373
01:08:47,120 --> 01:08:49,440
Speaker 1: manager coming in, could we see some of these Americans

1374
01:08:49,439 --> 01:08:52,920
Speaker 1: potentially on the move in the next few transfer windows.

1375
01:08:53,120 --> 01:08:55,640
Speaker 3: I hope not. I hope they stay in. But this

1376
01:08:55,720 --> 01:08:57,280
Speaker 3: is the best thing that could ever happened to these

1377
01:08:57,320 --> 01:09:02,360
Speaker 3: guys to have a new voice and to the challenge

1378
01:09:02,400 --> 01:09:03,560
Speaker 3: is real now. I mean one of the one of

1379
01:09:03,640 --> 01:09:06,559
Speaker 3: the things that you fight against as an American player

1380
01:09:06,600 --> 01:09:11,280
Speaker 3: in Europe is that you're getting favoritism from your manager

1381
01:09:11,439 --> 01:09:14,680
Speaker 3: and that if the coach is actually American and all

1382
01:09:14,760 --> 01:09:18,280
Speaker 3: other circumstances, Guys, it's up, I'll battle. You are fighting

1383
01:09:18,320 --> 01:09:21,360
Speaker 3: against so many things just to get into the on

1384
01:09:21,400 --> 01:09:25,559
Speaker 3: the team sheet. So I think it makes things real

1385
01:09:25,840 --> 01:09:28,280
Speaker 3: for guys like Aaronson who have had a drop in form.

1386
01:09:28,360 --> 01:09:31,920
Speaker 3: But I also think Tyler Adams and McKinney they have

1387
01:09:31,960 --> 01:09:36,479
Speaker 3: a real opportunity to prove themselves and it's not tainted anymore.

1388
01:09:36,600 --> 01:09:38,599
Speaker 3: And I'm not saying that it was before, but it's

1389
01:09:38,680 --> 01:09:41,760
Speaker 3: nice to have American manager bring you in and you're

1390
01:09:41,880 --> 01:09:44,640
Speaker 3: you're yeah, you're my guy. Now you're going to prove it.

1391
01:09:44,720 --> 01:09:48,160
Speaker 3: And everybody knows that, every single player in that locker

1392
01:09:48,240 --> 01:09:51,559
Speaker 3: room knows that both of these guys have to prove it.

1393
01:09:51,600 --> 01:09:53,679
Speaker 3: And I actually think you remember when that the whole

1394
01:09:53,680 --> 01:09:57,000
Speaker 3: deal went down with Juventus, that the numbers, you know,

1395
01:09:57,040 --> 01:09:59,040
Speaker 3: twenty twenty five is what they were asking for, and then

1396
01:09:58,960 --> 01:10:00,320
Speaker 3: all of a sudden they went to a loan deal

1397
01:10:00,800 --> 01:10:03,120
Speaker 3: with it with an option to buy that. That was

1398
01:10:03,240 --> 01:10:06,639
Speaker 3: probably the first indicator that it's not really solid ground

1399
01:10:06,680 --> 01:10:10,120
Speaker 3: you're moving to. That this is say, an iceberg that

1400
01:10:10,200 --> 01:10:12,800
Speaker 3: is slowly melting. When it comes to Jesse Marsh, I

1401
01:10:12,800 --> 01:10:14,920
Speaker 3: think they were discontent with him before he got there,

1402
01:10:15,200 --> 01:10:18,840
Speaker 3: but they still valued McKinney as a player that understood

1403
01:10:18,880 --> 01:10:20,840
Speaker 3: how to play, you know, the way that he was

1404
01:10:20,840 --> 01:10:23,760
Speaker 3: looking to play. So it's a it's a wait and see.

1405
01:10:23,800 --> 01:10:25,920
Speaker 3: It's good. I think it's good for these guys to

1406
01:10:26,000 --> 01:10:27,920
Speaker 3: have to to have to come to work every day

1407
01:10:29,240 --> 01:10:31,760
Speaker 3: and get the attention on a whole new set of

1408
01:10:31,800 --> 01:10:34,320
Speaker 3: eyes and ears. But Chris, Chris Armis is still there

1409
01:10:35,040 --> 01:10:39,320
Speaker 3: right the the the logic of that was we're playing

1410
01:10:39,320 --> 01:10:41,960
Speaker 3: against Manchester United twice. You might be able to help us,

1411
01:10:42,439 --> 01:10:45,280
Speaker 3: but his his and he just got his work permit

1412
01:10:45,400 --> 01:10:48,920
Speaker 3: so his, uh, his status is uncertain for sure, but

1413
01:10:49,040 --> 01:10:53,080
Speaker 3: this is going to be I think it's something As

1414
01:10:53,120 --> 01:10:55,000
Speaker 3: a player I went through a lot of coaching changes

1415
01:10:55,000 --> 01:10:59,320
Speaker 3: in Europe. I was a captain of my team. Had

1416
01:10:59,360 --> 01:11:01,240
Speaker 3: to explain it to are other players that didn't even

1417
01:11:01,280 --> 01:11:05,080
Speaker 3: speak German. Uh, it's it's always know, when you make

1418
01:11:05,120 --> 01:11:08,960
Speaker 3: a manageeral change like this, it just it makes you.

1419
01:11:08,960 --> 01:11:10,559
Speaker 3: You perk up a little bit. You got to get

1420
01:11:10,560 --> 01:11:12,280
Speaker 3: to work a little quicker. You get you got to

1421
01:11:12,400 --> 01:11:16,200
Speaker 3: you gotta be paying attention everything, so all your censuses,

1422
01:11:16,640 --> 01:11:19,040
Speaker 3: you know, are are locked in. It'll be good for

1423
01:11:19,080 --> 01:11:22,519
Speaker 3: these guys. It seems like a bad thing, but we

1424
01:11:22,560 --> 01:11:24,920
Speaker 3: don't ever want these guys complacent. We always want them

1425
01:11:24,920 --> 01:11:26,760
Speaker 3: on edge and then that's where they're gonna be for

1426
01:11:26,800 --> 01:11:27,799
Speaker 3: the next three months.

1427
01:11:28,040 --> 01:11:29,960
Speaker 2: When you look at somebody like Baligan, you know we

1428
01:11:29,960 --> 01:11:33,000
Speaker 2: talked about him briefly, What are you impressed by with him?

1429
01:11:33,520 --> 01:11:37,200
Speaker 2: And what goes into the process of getting him to

1430
01:11:37,280 --> 01:11:40,040
Speaker 2: play for the United States and potentially filling that that

1431
01:11:40,080 --> 01:11:41,920
Speaker 2: big hole. We have a striker man.

1432
01:11:42,000 --> 01:11:43,920
Speaker 3: We get him. We solve a lot of problems, don't we.

1433
01:11:44,240 --> 01:11:46,479
Speaker 3: I mean it really is when am impressed with everything.

1434
01:11:46,600 --> 01:11:49,679
Speaker 3: I mean, he's the power that he has, the timing

1435
01:11:49,760 --> 01:11:53,960
Speaker 3: of his runs, you know, the circumstances that he's in,

1436
01:11:54,320 --> 01:11:57,160
Speaker 3: you know, Uh, for the team that he's playing for,

1437
01:11:57,360 --> 01:11:59,680
Speaker 3: it's kind of mid table. They've gone on a very

1438
01:11:59,720 --> 01:12:01,800
Speaker 3: good run. They kind of manager who's thirty years old

1439
01:12:01,800 --> 01:12:04,200
Speaker 3: that they have to pay a twenty five thousand dollars

1440
01:12:04,240 --> 01:12:07,800
Speaker 3: fine because he doesn't even have a license to coach

1441
01:12:07,840 --> 01:12:10,439
Speaker 3: at this level. It's a pretty terrific story. But what

1442
01:12:10,479 --> 01:12:12,639
Speaker 3: do we have to go through. We have to appeal

1443
01:12:12,720 --> 01:12:17,360
Speaker 3: to his ego. That's the reality of this. And I

1444
01:12:17,360 --> 01:12:19,040
Speaker 3: don't know who his agent is, but I think we

1445
01:12:19,080 --> 01:12:22,040
Speaker 3: should find out and let him know that he will

1446
01:12:22,080 --> 01:12:26,000
Speaker 3: be a star, an absolute star, in a World Cup

1447
01:12:26,400 --> 01:12:30,519
Speaker 3: in his own country. Born in New York July third,

1448
01:12:30,560 --> 01:12:34,360
Speaker 3: I believe, not July fourth, but July third is his birthday.

1449
01:12:35,320 --> 01:12:38,040
Speaker 3: It really is one of those things where he needs

1450
01:12:38,080 --> 01:12:40,720
Speaker 3: to get locked in with a couple of sponsors that

1451
01:12:40,760 --> 01:12:43,800
Speaker 3: he would not get otherwise he'll be a star with us,

1452
01:12:43,840 --> 01:12:46,439
Speaker 3: he will not necessarily be a star with England. So

1453
01:12:46,560 --> 01:12:48,360
Speaker 3: there's a lot of guys to beat out. But it's

1454
01:12:48,400 --> 01:12:50,679
Speaker 3: going to really come down to where his loyalties lie

1455
01:12:51,200 --> 01:12:54,280
Speaker 3: and how important it is to be in the spotlight,

1456
01:12:54,320 --> 01:12:56,519
Speaker 3: because that's the only chance you got to get him,

1457
01:12:56,640 --> 01:12:59,719
Speaker 3: and that is that's the master cards that's the Coca Cola's,

1458
01:12:59,720 --> 01:13:01,800
Speaker 3: that's the Budwisers, that's the big ones that are going

1459
01:13:01,840 --> 01:13:04,720
Speaker 3: to be sponsors of of a World Cup. They got

1460
01:13:04,720 --> 01:13:06,519
Speaker 3: to figure out a way to work him into the budget.

1461
01:13:06,600 --> 01:13:09,800
Speaker 3: That's honestly, guy, guys, that's how this thing needs to

1462
01:13:09,800 --> 01:13:10,200
Speaker 3: play out.

1463
01:13:10,439 --> 01:13:12,519
Speaker 2: And then there's another guy that's that's really caught the

1464
01:13:12,560 --> 01:13:15,840
Speaker 2: eye recently at Rangers on loan from Byron, what are

1465
01:13:15,880 --> 01:13:18,559
Speaker 2: your impressions of Malik Tilman? What do you see as

1466
01:13:18,560 --> 01:13:20,759
Speaker 2: his ceiling and is he kind of in a crowded

1467
01:13:20,760 --> 01:13:22,479
Speaker 2: place because I feel like that, you know, the United

1468
01:13:22,479 --> 01:13:26,519
Speaker 2: States biggest strength is our attacking midfield with with Polistic,

1469
01:13:26,600 --> 01:13:28,840
Speaker 2: Raina and Aaronson and whatnot. Do you think it's you know,

1470
01:13:28,840 --> 01:13:30,599
Speaker 2: where does he fit in the mix going forward?

1471
01:13:31,360 --> 01:13:33,479
Speaker 3: What we called it the Fab four before Aaron said

1472
01:13:33,520 --> 01:13:37,120
Speaker 3: it was Pulisic, Raina, Adams and McKinney. That was the

1473
01:13:37,160 --> 01:13:43,120
Speaker 3: Fab four And that didn't necessarily, you know, hold true

1474
01:13:43,160 --> 01:13:45,200
Speaker 3: because of Moose is an inclusion of this. Moose is

1475
01:13:45,240 --> 01:13:47,320
Speaker 3: not having a good time right now, guys. He's not

1476
01:13:48,000 --> 01:13:50,479
Speaker 3: What needs to happen when it comes to Tillman is

1477
01:13:50,640 --> 01:13:52,320
Speaker 3: is he needs to keep doing what he's doing, or

1478
01:13:52,400 --> 01:13:55,840
Speaker 3: make a move fairly soon to a club that he's

1479
01:13:55,840 --> 01:13:58,000
Speaker 3: going to get a little bit more attention. I think

1480
01:13:58,000 --> 01:14:00,120
Speaker 3: the same could be said about Daryl Decay, that that

1481
01:14:00,200 --> 01:14:02,639
Speaker 3: he needs to find a club where it's a little

1482
01:14:02,640 --> 01:14:04,920
Speaker 3: bit higher of a level that it impresses people more.

1483
01:14:04,960 --> 01:14:08,679
Speaker 3: But what is going to happen with the US national team,

1484
01:14:08,840 --> 01:14:11,920
Speaker 3: which did not happen in this previous World Cup, is

1485
01:14:11,960 --> 01:14:13,920
Speaker 3: if you make the team, it's because you made it

1486
01:14:13,960 --> 01:14:17,640
Speaker 3: on form. There were players like Brandon Vasquez playing in

1487
01:14:17,680 --> 01:14:19,840
Speaker 3: Major League Soccer that we're told, though, you're too late

1488
01:14:20,000 --> 01:14:23,360
Speaker 3: for this cycle. I don't know what that is. That

1489
01:14:23,479 --> 01:14:26,280
Speaker 3: is like the stupidest thing I've ever heard, Like, you

1490
01:14:26,320 --> 01:14:28,559
Speaker 3: needed to be a part of this system for six months.

1491
01:14:28,560 --> 01:14:34,000
Speaker 3: This is the national team. We have massive egos Selma's

1492
01:14:34,320 --> 01:14:36,400
Speaker 3: cause it. I mean, it's very similar to Chris Richards.

1493
01:14:36,439 --> 01:14:39,639
Speaker 3: I mean, those two guys are playing great right now,

1494
01:14:39,840 --> 01:14:45,280
Speaker 3: and if they continue down this road, you know Richard scenario.

1495
01:14:45,479 --> 01:14:50,479
Speaker 3: It's like, how long is Timmy reim gonna last? Probably

1496
01:14:50,560 --> 01:14:54,760
Speaker 3: not forever. He's not gonna last twenty six But it's

1497
01:14:54,800 --> 01:14:58,120
Speaker 3: all about form. The one reality that he has is

1498
01:14:58,120 --> 01:15:01,320
Speaker 3: he has to continue to play extremely well and continue

1499
01:15:01,360 --> 01:15:04,559
Speaker 3: to keep himself on the radar and then when he

1500
01:15:04,600 --> 01:15:06,800
Speaker 3: does get his chance to play with the national team

1501
01:15:07,200 --> 01:15:09,960
Speaker 3: needs to make the most of it. That's, you know,

1502
01:15:10,000 --> 01:15:12,120
Speaker 3: and it's it's one of those things where you know,

1503
01:15:12,200 --> 01:15:14,639
Speaker 3: do we feel that, you know, this is the biggest

1504
01:15:14,680 --> 01:15:17,160
Speaker 3: club in the you know, you don't say that. Don't

1505
01:15:17,160 --> 01:15:19,040
Speaker 3: say that to the Scottish they get a little upset.

1506
01:15:19,080 --> 01:15:22,160
Speaker 3: But the truth is is that if he finds himself

1507
01:15:22,160 --> 01:15:25,720
Speaker 3: in another club and he continues to flourish, we'll see

1508
01:15:25,720 --> 01:15:27,160
Speaker 3: where that goes. I just don't you know, he's on

1509
01:15:27,280 --> 01:15:29,720
Speaker 3: loan right So it's it's one of those things where

1510
01:15:29,760 --> 01:15:32,720
Speaker 3: we're looking at another loan and it's another another spot.

1511
01:15:32,720 --> 01:15:34,920
Speaker 3: I mean, look at Timothy way right now. Timothy way

1512
01:15:35,000 --> 01:15:39,040
Speaker 3: Is is playing left back and everybody says, well, he's

1513
01:15:39,040 --> 01:15:41,679
Speaker 3: playing out a position, and I'm sitting here thinking, maybe

1514
01:15:41,680 --> 01:15:44,800
Speaker 3: he's finally in the right position for the first time,

1515
01:15:44,880 --> 01:15:47,800
Speaker 3: so that midfield should be shouldn't be as crowded as

1516
01:15:47,880 --> 01:15:48,400
Speaker 3: it used to be.

1517
01:15:49,200 --> 01:15:52,720
Speaker 4: All right, before we let you go real quick, you

1518
01:15:52,840 --> 01:15:56,479
Speaker 4: heard are underdogs. If you listen to the show through,

1519
01:15:57,040 --> 01:15:59,920
Speaker 4: you heard our favorite bets. Do you have a bold

1520
01:16:00,160 --> 01:16:02,439
Speaker 4: bet for us? From the Premier League this weekend.

1521
01:16:02,640 --> 01:16:05,320
Speaker 3: From the Premier League, I think I had one from

1522
01:16:05,360 --> 01:16:09,120
Speaker 3: Jerry I had the Bundesliga. I think glad Block. Glad

1523
01:16:09,120 --> 01:16:11,080
Speaker 3: Block is going to stick it to Byron. I just do.

1524
01:16:11,520 --> 01:16:14,120
Speaker 3: I've done the math on this one. It's just it's

1525
01:16:14,160 --> 01:16:16,519
Speaker 3: it's it's one of those games that if you you

1526
01:16:16,640 --> 01:16:19,360
Speaker 3: understand the history between Gladbach and Byron, all going all

1527
01:16:19,400 --> 01:16:22,960
Speaker 3: the way back to little throataa skying a penalty kick

1528
01:16:23,000 --> 01:16:24,680
Speaker 3: because he knew he was playing for Byron. Next that

1529
01:16:25,880 --> 01:16:29,960
Speaker 3: your then this this is like massive history. England's a

1530
01:16:30,000 --> 01:16:34,280
Speaker 3: little bit tricky this weekend, but I really like glaud

1531
01:16:34,320 --> 01:16:37,840
Speaker 3: Bock perfect. That's that's that's my tip for the week

1532
01:16:37,920 --> 01:16:38,280
Speaker 3: for sure.

1533
01:16:38,600 --> 01:16:44,080
Speaker 4: That's music to Anthony's ears as always. Two to one,

1534
01:16:44,600 --> 01:16:47,719
Speaker 4: all right, good, well, we'll get those exact bets, exact

1535
01:16:47,760 --> 01:16:50,800
Speaker 4: score bets in cloud Bock money line bets. Uh, and

1536
01:16:50,840 --> 01:16:52,720
Speaker 4: then we'll see you again next week. Eric, thank you

1537
01:16:52,840 --> 01:16:53,720
Speaker 4: very much for joining us.

1538
01:16:53,800 --> 01:16:57,320
Speaker 3: Six to one, It'll be seven to one. That's ever

1539
01:16:57,360 --> 01:16:58,320
Speaker 3: we get there, you gotta.

1540
01:16:58,080 --> 01:16:59,360
Speaker 4: Go see it.

1541
01:17:08,560 --> 01:17:12,000
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1542
01:17:12,439 --> 01:17:15,280
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1543
01:17:15,560 --> 01:17:18,160
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1544
01:17:18,240 --> 01:17:19,040
Speaker 2: hundred gambler