1 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites to the podcast from the Action Network. 2 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:21,439 Speaker 1: I am Chad Melman. In a few minutes, I will 3 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:24,720 Speaker 1: be joined by Mr Bob Scucci and later on in 4 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 1: the show, Danren Ravel and Simon Hunter are gonna come on. 5 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:32,280 Speaker 1: We've got some atoning to do because we did not 6 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:34,879 Speaker 1: do that well in the super contests this week. We 7 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 1: needed the Vikings to get us over the edge and 8 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 1: get us a three and two week. Instead we went 9 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 1: two and three. Sure Mr Ravell will have something to 10 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:46,960 Speaker 1: say about that. I'm glad he can be on the 11 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:52,560 Speaker 1: podcast because Darren for his points bet promotion, everyone knows 12 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 1: Fade Revel. He makes one bet, you make the other 13 00:00:56,800 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: side of the bet with improved odds through points Bet. 14 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: Last week it was will Tom Brady and Deshaun Watson 15 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 1: throw for more than four five passing yards. Darren took 16 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:12,679 Speaker 1: the under Fans took the over came down to the 17 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:17,200 Speaker 1: final drive and the overhead, which means Darren went on 18 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 1: a bucking bronco yesterday. He's feeling a little sore, his 19 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 1: neck hurts and he has a boo boo on his elbow. 20 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 1: But we'll come on late, come on later, we'll talk 21 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:27,759 Speaker 1: about the new fade Ravel, which will be the Eagles 22 00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:32,040 Speaker 1: and the Giants, local teams for points bet in New 23 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:37,639 Speaker 1: Jersey on Monday night football. Don't forget Scooch and I 24 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:41,520 Speaker 1: every Sunday from noon to one Radio dot Com the 25 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:44,679 Speaker 1: radio dot Com app such for you Better You Bet. 26 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 1: It is a rip roaring our of fast paced action, 27 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 1: second only to this thirty minutes. I'm going to do 28 00:01:53,520 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 1: a Scooch right now, Bob Scucci, Mr Boyd Gaming, himself 29 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:19,960 Speaker 1: bookmaker for the Orleans and all the other books owned 30 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:26,040 Speaker 1: by Boyd Gaming. I hate football when you have a 31 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:28,080 Speaker 1: bad week. Don't you hate it? Oh? My god, I 32 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 1: hate it like I hate football so much that on 33 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:35,400 Speaker 1: Sunday night, I chose to have dinner with my family. 34 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:45,359 Speaker 1: Wow with the TV off, Jess. Wow, that's saying something now. 35 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 1: My wife said she wanted us to do something as 36 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:57,960 Speaker 1: a family on Sunday afternoon, and I actually agreed because 37 00:02:57,960 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 1: it was going so badly. The truth is we end 38 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:01,720 Speaker 1: up not doing anything because you know, one of my 39 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,160 Speaker 1: kids was going someplace, another kid was going another place, 40 00:03:04,200 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 1: and so I was by myself to watch the games 41 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 1: in my misery, watch football as a family. Yes, we do. 42 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 1: Come to think of it, honestly, the option that she 43 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 1: wanted us to do that day. She's like, we should 44 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:24,519 Speaker 1: all go go ax throwing, which I guess is a 45 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:31,000 Speaker 1: thing now, and um my response is, yeah, that's exactly 46 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:33,800 Speaker 1: what you want to do after Thanksgiving when you've spent 47 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: all that time together, is go give your children lethal weapons. 48 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:45,320 Speaker 1: That was the it is the thing now. So I 49 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 1: was in Indianapolis and right downtown there's the Bad Axe 50 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 1: Throwing uh store or whatever it is. It's the Bad 51 00:03:55,920 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 1: axe Throwing Place, that's the name of it. Don't know 52 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 1: why that's why is this a thing? How is this 53 00:04:02,880 --> 00:04:04,960 Speaker 1: a good idea you give? And also, by the way, 54 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 1: I think you can drink at these places, So how 55 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 1: is it a good idea to give people alcohol and access? 56 00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 1: It makes no sense to me. I don't know where 57 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 1: this came up. I don't I have no idea. It's stupid. 58 00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:21,039 Speaker 1: It's stupid. You know what else is stupid? Betting on 59 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:26,840 Speaker 1: the Cleveland Browns Road favorites. Yeah, that's pretty stupid. My 60 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 1: heart they're playing my heart hurts because it's a rough week. 61 00:04:32,839 --> 00:04:38,360 Speaker 1: It was a really, really rough week. So you gotta 62 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:40,640 Speaker 1: get back on the horse. Scooch, I went six and 63 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:43,800 Speaker 1: ten in Project to fifty six. Anyone can follow that 64 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 1: in the Action Network app, which is where I'm getting 65 00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 1: all the data that we're gonna talk about today, the 66 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:51,679 Speaker 1: free Action Network app. I had been doing so well. 67 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 1: I was one oh one and seventy seven betting every 68 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 1: single game on the year. I'm not one oh seven 69 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 1: and eighty seven. Not as good, A little disappointed. My 70 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 1: is really bad week. It was my first like significant 71 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 1: lose money week. Um, I gotta get over it. I 72 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:11,400 Speaker 1: gotta move on. Still solid, though pretty solid. I wanted 73 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:15,280 Speaker 1: to finish like close. Now I'll be happy to dot. 74 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:19,280 Speaker 1: What do we do with these two loser teams and 75 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:23,719 Speaker 1: the Bears and the Cowboys that are playing on Thursday night? Scooch, Well, 76 00:05:23,800 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: you know, both teams still draw a lot of attention 77 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:29,360 Speaker 1: as bad as they've been playing, so it shouldn't be 78 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:32,240 Speaker 1: as bad as some some of the other matchups we 79 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:36,480 Speaker 1: could have had. Um. We we set the Cowboys at 80 00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 1: a three points favorite. Most of the money's coming in 81 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:41,800 Speaker 1: on the Bears if anything's going to come down to 82 00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:45,000 Speaker 1: like two and a half. Tough to make Cowboys a 83 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 1: road favorite. Uh, As bad as they've been playing, especially 84 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:52,560 Speaker 1: since the Bears finally got what most would consider a 85 00:05:52,600 --> 00:05:55,359 Speaker 1: pretty good win, even though it's against a bad Lions 86 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:59,359 Speaker 1: team on Thanksgiving. Um, I think the read is the 87 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:04,600 Speaker 1: right number. Um. I like the fact that the sharp 88 00:06:04,640 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 1: guys are taking the Bears a little bit because it 89 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: will offset some of the public money on on the Cowboys. 90 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:12,320 Speaker 1: Right now, it's about a three to one ratio Cowboys 91 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 1: to Bears from the public, but the money is kind 92 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:18,840 Speaker 1: of offset by some pretty decent sized bets on the Bears. 93 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:26,039 Speaker 1: Sharps are coming in and the Bears at plus three. Huh, Yeah, 94 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:28,160 Speaker 1: that says something that says quite a bit about how 95 00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:32,000 Speaker 1: far far down this Cowboys team has come. I mean 96 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:35,680 Speaker 1: still early. But boys, the public just loving the Cowboys 97 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:41,440 Speaker 1: right now in this game. Yeah, in this game, Yeah absolutely, 98 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 1: And and you know they really should. I mean, they're 99 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:47,280 Speaker 1: the better team. I mean, the Bears just got one 100 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 1: good win against the bad team, and just because the 101 00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:54,919 Speaker 1: Cowboys lost to a pretty good Bills team shouldn't be 102 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 1: enough to dissuade the public that had been kind of 103 00:06:57,440 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 1: on the Cowboys last a few weeks to suddenly get 104 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:03,719 Speaker 1: off them. Um, it seems like a public game. I 105 00:07:03,720 --> 00:07:06,240 Speaker 1: I see the public. I understand why they're bet in 106 00:07:06,240 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 1: this game, and um, like I said, I'm just glad 107 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 1: we're getting a little money to offset that. Speaking of Buffalo, 108 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 1: I don't want to talk about the Bears anymore than 109 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 1: I have to. Speaking of Buffalo, Baltimore is visiting Buffalo. 110 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 1: I know it's the flex game, but in the order 111 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 1: that I look at, it's still listed as a one 112 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:25,440 Speaker 1: o'clock game. So we're gonna talk about it right now. 113 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:28,280 Speaker 1: They are a five and a half point favorites the 114 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 1: Ravens on the road, five and a half point favorites 115 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:36,840 Speaker 1: against Buffalo. You go ahead. I got an opinion, but 116 00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:42,320 Speaker 1: you go ahead. Um well, it's it's tough to bet 117 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 1: against the Ravens right now. You know, last week was 118 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:48,480 Speaker 1: a real test for them, and coming up against a 119 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 1: great Niners team, says says quite a lot about going 120 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 1: up against one of the best defenses. It's not the 121 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:58,080 Speaker 1: best defense in the NFL. Uh, tough to stop Lamar 122 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: Jackson and uh it's uh, you know, if the Bills 123 00:08:04,400 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 1: do have a good defense, So if the team can 124 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: do it, uh, you know, the Bills at home, especially 125 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 1: if they get a little bit of weather it would, 126 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 1: it would kind of play in their favor. But we 127 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 1: have to just respect where the public is going to 128 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 1: be betting in this one, and we try to set 129 00:08:21,440 --> 00:08:25,400 Speaker 1: it as high as we could, uh, which we felt 130 00:08:25,480 --> 00:08:29,400 Speaker 1: was right around six. We did open six and got 131 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 1: an immediate bet from the Sharp guys, went right down 132 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:35,319 Speaker 1: to five and a half, and we've been there ever since. 133 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: So five and a half. The Sharp guys aren't really 134 00:08:37,880 --> 00:08:41,360 Speaker 1: weighing in yet. But I do think this is a 135 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 1: spot where if if they're gonna play a game, they're 136 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 1: gonna they're gonna bet the Bills in this one. I 137 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:53,199 Speaker 1: feel like Buffalo's weakness is there a rushing game defensively 138 00:08:54,320 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 1: and so you've got Lamar Jackson who can really just 139 00:08:56,880 --> 00:09:00,719 Speaker 1: slice through anything right now, and mark Ingram to follow up. 140 00:09:01,600 --> 00:09:04,959 Speaker 1: Like I would worry about Buffalo in this spot. I know, 141 00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:07,720 Speaker 1: like five and a half is a decent amount of 142 00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:10,800 Speaker 1: points against a team that it is what nine and 143 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:16,319 Speaker 1: three in the Buffalo Bills. Yep, But wow, like Baltimore 144 00:09:16,400 --> 00:09:22,760 Speaker 1: strength is Buffalo's weakness? Yeah yeah, And uh, I mean 145 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:28,160 Speaker 1: the Ravens are coming off a real physical game, uh 146 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:31,920 Speaker 1: well against the Niners, and so sometimes that does when 147 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 1: you go when you go on the road after a tough, 148 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:38,960 Speaker 1: physical game, Uh, you're not atent. So, I mean there's 149 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 1: a lot of things playing in the Bill's favor in 150 00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:43,720 Speaker 1: this one. Uh. It's just tough to bet against the 151 00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:47,040 Speaker 1: hottest team in the NFL. I mean, we did kind 152 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:51,000 Speaker 1: of favor them last week with the Niners getting six points. 153 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:53,480 Speaker 1: We felt like the six points that the Niners were 154 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:57,079 Speaker 1: getting last week was a little too much. Uh, it 155 00:09:57,240 --> 00:09:59,440 Speaker 1: was kind of the same thing in this situation where 156 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:02,839 Speaker 1: it's the same point spread. Only Ravens are on the 157 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:06,480 Speaker 1: road here. Um, and uh, it's just a lot of 158 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:10,160 Speaker 1: points to be laying against a pretty good team. Football 159 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:12,360 Speaker 1: is so hard. Washington goes on the road as a 160 00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:18,080 Speaker 1: nearly two touchdown dog against the Green Bay Packers. Indications 161 00:10:18,280 --> 00:10:22,959 Speaker 1: indications are that this line will move in the Redskins direction. 162 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 1: That's according to line Predictor. Are you seeing the same thing? Yeah, 163 00:10:28,640 --> 00:10:32,040 Speaker 1: Well we opened fourteen on the Packers, so so it's right. 164 00:10:32,559 --> 00:10:38,680 Speaker 1: So it's right. Yeah, absolutely. Um, we went down to 165 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:41,319 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half, they took thirteen and a half. 166 00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:45,920 Speaker 1: We went down the third team. Uh no, I if 167 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:47,440 Speaker 1: some of the value has been taken out of that. 168 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 1: Now they're not quite getting two touchdowns, but still, especially 169 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 1: after seeing you know, the Redskins last week being competitive, 170 00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:58,720 Speaker 1: the Packers are not the dominant kind of team that 171 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 1: can be touched out. So um, we felt that we 172 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:06,040 Speaker 1: wanted to get a little Redskin money here. That's why 173 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:08,200 Speaker 1: we did open it so high. We know it'll be 174 00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 1: one of the games that kind of everybody puts in 175 00:11:09,920 --> 00:11:13,200 Speaker 1: the parlays. So a week with a lot of big favorites, 176 00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:16,280 Speaker 1: a lot of double digits favorites this week or close 177 00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 1: to double digits. Uh so we know it's the kind 178 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 1: of week where the public is just going to be 179 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:24,520 Speaker 1: betting a lot of these big favorites. Tough, tough week 180 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:32,120 Speaker 1: for teasers, Scooch. A lot, a lot of big teasers 181 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:37,319 Speaker 1: went down last week. Huge teasers went down, and anybody 182 00:11:37,320 --> 00:11:40,280 Speaker 1: who was like teasing the Chiefs, anyone who was teasing 183 00:11:40,800 --> 00:11:46,359 Speaker 1: the Panthers, like these were tough spots for people. Yeah, yeah, absolutely, 184 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:48,200 Speaker 1: I mean it's always good for the house. I mean 185 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 1: we didn't have a great weekend. I mean we didn't 186 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:55,199 Speaker 1: do well on Thanksgiving or Saturday with all the college games. 187 00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:58,800 Speaker 1: We lost most of them. But Sunday was a decent 188 00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:01,319 Speaker 1: game only because of a cup of big favorites. I 189 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 1: lost outright. And anytime you get a favorite to you know, 190 00:12:04,600 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 1: not only not cover, but lose outright, it's it's always big. 191 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:10,880 Speaker 1: And of course the Patriot Texans game was was kind 192 00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:13,640 Speaker 1: of the capper for us that really uh made us 193 00:12:13,640 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 1: have a decent Sunday. But for teasers, yeah, that we 194 00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:19,120 Speaker 1: talked about it a little bit on the Sunday Show 195 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:22,600 Speaker 1: when he's teasing a six point favorite down to either 196 00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:25,560 Speaker 1: pick them or plus one, or uh teasing a nine 197 00:12:25,600 --> 00:12:29,440 Speaker 1: point favorite down to minus two. Tough week for the 198 00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 1: guys that had did that. The Sunday Show being the 199 00:12:32,679 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 1: Sunday Show You and I do from twelve to one 200 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 1: on Radio dot Com, the Radio dot Com app, Denver 201 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:41,640 Speaker 1: another big number nine and a half point dogs against Houston. 202 00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:44,760 Speaker 1: That's too much. You're giving way too much credit to 203 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 1: the Houston Texans for beating the Pats the other night, 204 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 1: which was the right side, and Denver not enough credit 205 00:12:51,679 --> 00:12:54,760 Speaker 1: for winning the way they did with a rookie quarterback 206 00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:57,720 Speaker 1: against a charter team. That. Oh boy, that's just sad. 207 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:03,800 Speaker 1: I've been talking about this Bronco team every week and 208 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:07,200 Speaker 1: how they have come up big for us game after game, 209 00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:10,599 Speaker 1: and it's even the games that they don't win and 210 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:13,160 Speaker 1: they cover for us. I'm I actually agree with you 211 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:15,360 Speaker 1: on this one, and sometimes you need a little perspective 212 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:17,719 Speaker 1: looking at these games. I'm going down to nine right 213 00:13:17,760 --> 00:13:23,720 Speaker 1: now as we speak, line chech now having said that, 214 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 1: I haven't taken any money on the Broncos yet, so 215 00:13:26,240 --> 00:13:28,319 Speaker 1: I mean this would be kind of a preemptive move. 216 00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:31,760 Speaker 1: I've got no sharp money on this game whatsoever. I've 217 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:34,360 Speaker 1: got all public money on the Texans about six to 218 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:38,120 Speaker 1: one ratio. Let's tickets Texans to Broncos. But this is 219 00:13:38,160 --> 00:13:40,160 Speaker 1: just you know, when you look at it a second 220 00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:43,000 Speaker 1: time and more the more you're kind of thinking about 221 00:13:43,000 --> 00:13:45,120 Speaker 1: the game, it just feels like it's too many points. 222 00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:48,480 Speaker 1: Is there any chance at all that I am the 223 00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 1: reason you move that line right now? That what I 224 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:56,600 Speaker 1: said about Houston made you move the line. It made 225 00:13:56,640 --> 00:14:00,199 Speaker 1: me think about moving the line, I'd like to think 226 00:14:00,200 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 1: of myself. And then yeah, then once I looked at it, 227 00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:06,000 Speaker 1: I'm like, yeah, you know, I I've been kind of 228 00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:14,720 Speaker 1: riding his Broncos team, no pun intended. They're they're doing 229 00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:16,760 Speaker 1: well for us, So yeah, I like I like them 230 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 1: catching nine all right, all of a sudden, the once 231 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:21,400 Speaker 1: world beating Niners around the road and their three point 232 00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 1: dogs in New Orleans, and like, this was a team 233 00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:27,200 Speaker 1: that to two or three weeks ago, they were like 234 00:14:27,240 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 1: in the driver's seat for a buy and people were 235 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 1: wondering if they're going to go undefeated, and now they're 236 00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:36,800 Speaker 1: like the fifth seed in the NFC playoffs, playoffs, playoffs. 237 00:14:37,840 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 1: This was a tough one. Honestly, this was a tough 238 00:14:40,520 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 1: tough line to make because everything said to make the 239 00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:47,160 Speaker 1: Saints three at home, one of the toughest, you know, 240 00:14:47,240 --> 00:14:50,960 Speaker 1: home field advanced toughest places to play, especially the bigger 241 00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:56,040 Speaker 1: the game, the louder than noise um, and the Niners, 242 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,440 Speaker 1: even in their losses, they looked really good. They're they're 243 00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 1: they're a great defense. Their offense is so innovative, the 244 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:05,320 Speaker 1: way they spread the field, and they they they're they're 245 00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:07,520 Speaker 1: tough to figure out. I think the Saints are gonna 246 00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:11,240 Speaker 1: have a real hard time uh stopping the Niners from scoring. 247 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:15,800 Speaker 1: Uh it's but we still have to make the Saints 248 00:15:15,800 --> 00:15:18,360 Speaker 1: a three point favorite in this one. I didn't like it, 249 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 1: and sure enough, I mean, we were buried on Niners. 250 00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:25,640 Speaker 1: Niners money will probably end up going to two and 251 00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:31,080 Speaker 1: a half. But I just think we I'd like to 252 00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 1: take this one back. I'd like to just open two 253 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:35,080 Speaker 1: and a half and but see if the sharp guys 254 00:15:35,080 --> 00:15:37,960 Speaker 1: would have laid laid the three I mean laid the 255 00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:40,640 Speaker 1: two and a half and gone to three. Um. But 256 00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:42,080 Speaker 1: I just felt like they were going to play the 257 00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 1: Niners and they did, and I just I want to 258 00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:49,400 Speaker 1: take this one back. Wow, you sound so sad, Yeah, 259 00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 1: because I you know, it's just like you know something's 260 00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 1: gonna happen, and you go against your better judgment and 261 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 1: then you let it happen and then you kick yourself. 262 00:15:57,520 --> 00:16:00,720 Speaker 1: But no, really, you sound like I'm so it's almost 263 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:04,280 Speaker 1: like it's kind of like you're talking about talking about 264 00:16:04,320 --> 00:16:06,680 Speaker 1: the one that got away. That's how you sound here. 265 00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:10,680 Speaker 1: Because I really want them to need the Niners in 266 00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:12,720 Speaker 1: this one, and we're not going to be able to 267 00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:15,360 Speaker 1: need the Niners. We're gonna we're gonna need the stage. 268 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 1: But that's a great point, like talk about needing the Niners. 269 00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:20,360 Speaker 1: Like you're a bookmaker. You're not just looking for even sides. 270 00:16:20,800 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 1: You you have an opinion and you want the money 271 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:24,560 Speaker 1: to match that opinion. You want to be able to 272 00:16:24,640 --> 00:16:27,720 Speaker 1: root for where you believe the money should go in 273 00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:30,080 Speaker 1: certain games. You can't do it on every game. Nobody 274 00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:32,520 Speaker 1: can have a real strong opinion on every game, but 275 00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 1: in certain big games where in a half a point 276 00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:38,160 Speaker 1: can really make the difference. In this case, you know, 277 00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:40,080 Speaker 1: the difference between two and a half and three is 278 00:16:40,120 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 1: pretty big. At two and a half, probably get people 279 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:45,480 Speaker 1: laying the Saints, and at three they're taking the Niners. 280 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:49,120 Speaker 1: I just wish more people would have laid three on 281 00:16:49,160 --> 00:16:53,640 Speaker 1: the Saints. All right, well, listen, I will take the 282 00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 1: Niners for you. Um, Cincinnati is visiting Cleveland. Boy, this 283 00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:03,600 Speaker 1: turned into just a game with there was totally inconsequential, 284 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:08,000 Speaker 1: like who gives a fuck? Yeah? Is Cleveland team is 285 00:17:08,080 --> 00:17:12,680 Speaker 1: so disappointing, like just really a train wreck of a team. 286 00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:15,000 Speaker 1: You thought the middle of the season they were starting 287 00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:18,439 Speaker 1: to right themselves. Great opportunity to go into Pittsburgh against 288 00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:21,040 Speaker 1: a beat up team with a fourth string quarterback, and 289 00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:26,840 Speaker 1: they crap the bed, Like wow, wow, do you just 290 00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:30,280 Speaker 1: fire Freddie Kitchens right now and start over, like recognize 291 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:32,280 Speaker 1: the errors and not even wait till the end of 292 00:17:32,280 --> 00:17:34,879 Speaker 1: the season. Get ahead, start on who's available. This is 293 00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 1: a nut. This is nuts. Yeah, this is a This 294 00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:42,199 Speaker 1: is another one that kind of similar to Denver in Houston, 295 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:44,679 Speaker 1: where you're looking at it and say, it seems like 296 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:47,880 Speaker 1: it seems like a lot, especially with Cincinnati, Uh, coming 297 00:17:47,920 --> 00:17:52,440 Speaker 1: off of their their their first win. Uh. Last week 298 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:54,439 Speaker 1: was such a good spot for Cincinnati. I know you 299 00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:56,720 Speaker 1: and I talked about it all week. If they were 300 00:17:56,840 --> 00:17:59,399 Speaker 1: going to get a win, that was the um that 301 00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:02,639 Speaker 1: was the spot out for them playing at home against 302 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:05,399 Speaker 1: the Jets in this one. I'm not saying it's another 303 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:08,560 Speaker 1: game that they should win, but um, I mean, they 304 00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:11,119 Speaker 1: certainly have some momentum coming into this game and to 305 00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:13,680 Speaker 1: be getting so many points and you're just asking them 306 00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:16,920 Speaker 1: to keep it competitive against against another team that's pretty 307 00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:20,520 Speaker 1: much thrown in the towel this season. And Uh, I 308 00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:24,480 Speaker 1: think if you're gonna favor aside, I would rather favor 309 00:18:24,560 --> 00:18:27,720 Speaker 1: the plus nine with Cincinnati. I can't bet on the 310 00:18:27,720 --> 00:18:31,000 Speaker 1: Bengals again. That's tough. Last week was the spot and 311 00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 1: you almost want to just take your winnings and say 312 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:35,320 Speaker 1: I finally cast on the Bengals and I'm done with 313 00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 1: them exactly. I just want to say ha, I got it. 314 00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:42,960 Speaker 1: I'm done. Annie Dalton. You can't trick me, fool me once. 315 00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:46,880 Speaker 1: Shame on me. Speaking of fools, we got a Pantheon 316 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:51,360 Speaker 1: Cup game, panthe and Cup alert. I feel like at 317 00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 1: this point in the podcast, here's what we need. We 318 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:56,920 Speaker 1: need to rip this Pat. Here's we're gonna do. We 319 00:18:57,040 --> 00:19:01,840 Speaker 1: need al Pacino sound effect from the Pantheon Cup, you know, 320 00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:05,719 Speaker 1: talking about the Pantheon Cup from any given Sunday. Just 321 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:09,399 Speaker 1: give us out right here, right now before we post 322 00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:13,080 Speaker 1: this podcast, when we start talking about the Pantheon Cup, 323 00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:17,879 Speaker 1: throwing just one rip of out Pacino talking about the 324 00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:20,920 Speaker 1: importance of the Pantheon Cup on this team, we tear 325 00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:25,120 Speaker 1: ourselves and everyone else around us to pieces for that 326 00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:34,639 Speaker 1: inch because we know when we end up all those 327 00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:39,680 Speaker 1: inches that's gonna make the fucking difference between when Asia 328 00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:47,240 Speaker 1: he's giving me eyebrows. He's gonna try, He's gonna try it. 329 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:49,560 Speaker 1: If it doesn't work, Listen, we're leaving this part in 330 00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:51,560 Speaker 1: so if it doesn't work, everyone knows it didn't work, 331 00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:56,439 Speaker 1: and they can they can they can d m Pat 332 00:19:56,520 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 1: on Twitter and say why can't you find that? Um? 333 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:06,240 Speaker 1: Carolina is a two and a half point Dog to Atlanta. Boy, 334 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,159 Speaker 1: this is a mess of a game. I guess you 335 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 1: take Atlanta, you take the short home favorite, but really 336 00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:18,000 Speaker 1: both teams are crap. Kyle Allen just become terrible. Yeah, 337 00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 1: but they kind of gave the Saints a run for 338 00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:23,560 Speaker 1: their money. Uh, which a couple of weeks ago, I 339 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:27,399 Speaker 1: think that was an anomaly. Yeah, especially with the Saints 340 00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:29,439 Speaker 1: knowing they had the short week and going to be 341 00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:34,200 Speaker 1: playing the Falcons. Uh, you know a few days after that. Um, 342 00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:36,760 Speaker 1: But the Falcons have not been playing all that bad. 343 00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:38,960 Speaker 1: I mean, compared to the beginning of the season. They 344 00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:41,480 Speaker 1: put up a couple of real good games. I know 345 00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:43,640 Speaker 1: that you played the Saints twice in just a matter 346 00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:46,800 Speaker 1: of a few weeks, you know, beating him pretty soundly 347 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:50,720 Speaker 1: the first time, um so at home, laying two and 348 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:53,240 Speaker 1: a half against the Panthers. Yeah, sharp guy has already 349 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:56,119 Speaker 1: played it. So I see this game going to three. 350 00:20:56,800 --> 00:20:59,440 Speaker 1: Um probably probably by the end of the week. We 351 00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:02,040 Speaker 1: just haven't can quite enough money to move it onto 352 00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:04,840 Speaker 1: a key number like three. And I'm not really that 353 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,639 Speaker 1: convinced of the game that I want to just be 354 00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:13,800 Speaker 1: that proactive on it. Detroit is visiting Minnesota that has 355 00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:17,480 Speaker 1: an undecided quarterback. So the line, we don't really have 356 00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:19,440 Speaker 1: anything to say here right now. It looks like you've 357 00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:21,960 Speaker 1: got to post it thirteen and a half. But are 358 00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:25,520 Speaker 1: you even taking bets on that game? Uh? Six bets 359 00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:28,280 Speaker 1: so far. We just put the We just put it 360 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 1: up and nobody's bet it yet. Um. Pretty. I mean 361 00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:34,840 Speaker 1: it looks like we'll probably get some some decent action 362 00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:37,160 Speaker 1: because the line is so big on the game and 363 00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:40,000 Speaker 1: UH and the Viking still do draw quite a bit 364 00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 1: of public public money. So I expect that we're going 365 00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:46,760 Speaker 1: to get some action on this game both sides. The 366 00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:49,560 Speaker 1: sharp guys will take the big number eventually, and and 367 00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:53,080 Speaker 1: the and the public will be UH on the Vikings. 368 00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 1: I actually I say this with all seriousness. I love 369 00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:02,399 Speaker 1: the Dolphins Jets game. M of it. Oh my god, 370 00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:07,040 Speaker 1: I feel like this this listen. I'd play for Brian Flores. 371 00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:10,320 Speaker 1: This Dolphins team has passion and fire and the fact 372 00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:12,800 Speaker 1: he's got these guys playing as hard as they do 373 00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:16,520 Speaker 1: this late in the year. He's got creativity. He's taking 374 00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:19,919 Speaker 1: chances like this team could have rolled over and you 375 00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:22,120 Speaker 1: could see it progressively throughout the year. We've talked about 376 00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,480 Speaker 1: in the podcast they just continue to play harder and 377 00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 1: harder every week and got closer and closer. Now they 378 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:30,680 Speaker 1: got a couple of wins under their belt, so like 379 00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:35,440 Speaker 1: they're going on the road to the Jets, who everyone thought, 380 00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:38,480 Speaker 1: oh wait, maybe this team is good and then they don't. 381 00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:41,320 Speaker 1: So why did you make him a six point favorite? 382 00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:47,359 Speaker 1: Trying to trying to judge where most of the public 383 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:49,360 Speaker 1: will be on this game. And I think even with 384 00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:53,400 Speaker 1: Miami playing as competitive as they have been, we still 385 00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:55,960 Speaker 1: get quite a bit of the Jets money. I mean 386 00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:57,920 Speaker 1: last week, I mean we were on the right side 387 00:22:57,920 --> 00:22:59,920 Speaker 1: of it, but the Jets Bengals game was one of 388 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:03,480 Speaker 1: one of our biggest decisions. The public still likes this 389 00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:07,480 Speaker 1: Jets team, so uh and it's funny to hear you 390 00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:11,760 Speaker 1: talking about Miami being so competitive, and like at the 391 00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:14,119 Speaker 1: beginning of the season, after about three or four weeks, 392 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:17,119 Speaker 1: we were wondering if this team could beat Alabama in 393 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:20,800 Speaker 1: college and now here we are saying they're you know, 394 00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:23,119 Speaker 1: they're getting way too many points. You know, we we 395 00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:25,920 Speaker 1: actually posted, I want to say, after two or three 396 00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:29,400 Speaker 1: weeks into the season, we posted a prop on who 397 00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:36,160 Speaker 1: will have more Patriots losses or the Dolphins wins and everybody, 398 00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:38,360 Speaker 1: and it was pretty much a pick on there as 399 00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:41,360 Speaker 1: to whether there'd be more Dolphins wins than Patriots losses. 400 00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:44,399 Speaker 1: And everyone at the time was saying the one is 401 00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:46,600 Speaker 1: going to be the number, like the Dolphins might get 402 00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:49,800 Speaker 1: one win and the Patriots might lose one game. But 403 00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:53,359 Speaker 1: now we're talking about possibly three being the number, or 404 00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:55,520 Speaker 1: even four. I mean, the Patriots might get three or 405 00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:59,000 Speaker 1: four losses by the end of the season. My how 406 00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:01,800 Speaker 1: times change, Bob Scucci in the NFL, and we can 407 00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:07,040 Speaker 1: stop having preposterous conversations about can Alabama beat anybody? They 408 00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:13,399 Speaker 1: can't even beat Auburn? Yeah, exactly, Flailing Indianapolis on the 409 00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:17,920 Speaker 1: road against Resurgeon, Tampa Bay Buccaneers. My pick for next 410 00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:21,280 Speaker 1: year's version of the Cleveland Browns where everyone starts talking 411 00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:24,919 Speaker 1: about how amazing they are. I'm not buying it, but 412 00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:29,600 Speaker 1: I will buy Jameis Winston as a three point home favorite. Yeah. 413 00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:33,520 Speaker 1: You know, when he when he's on his game, he's 414 00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 1: he's really good. The problem is is he still makes 415 00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:40,879 Speaker 1: some of those decisions that a young quarterback that when 416 00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:42,720 Speaker 1: he when he has a bad game, he's liable to 417 00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:46,440 Speaker 1: throw three or four picks and Uh, make some bad decisions, 418 00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:49,439 Speaker 1: but you know when he and lately, you know this 419 00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:53,720 Speaker 1: team in their losses, they're competitive and then they're able 420 00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:56,840 Speaker 1: to put some some teams away pretty good. I think 421 00:24:56,880 --> 00:24:59,439 Speaker 1: three is the right number on this one. We look 422 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:01,480 Speaker 1: pretty solid and I don't I don't see this line 423 00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:05,480 Speaker 1: changing much. Um, We've we got pretty good two way 424 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:08,480 Speaker 1: action at three. I think the Sharp guys, if they 425 00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:10,720 Speaker 1: weigh in on this one, it'll probably be on the 426 00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:14,119 Speaker 1: Buccaneers only because you know, we're kind of looking at 427 00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:16,919 Speaker 1: the Sharp guys patterns to of late. And they've been 428 00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:19,760 Speaker 1: on Tennessee every week, and they've been on Tampa Bay, 429 00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:23,199 Speaker 1: and they've been against the Jaguars, but three weeks in 430 00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:26,840 Speaker 1: a row and they cashed all of them. Last week. Uh, 431 00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:30,000 Speaker 1: they were with the Titans, they were on the Buccaneers. Uh, 432 00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:33,560 Speaker 1: they're against the Jaguars. So I expect that trend to continue. 433 00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:35,840 Speaker 1: They haven't come in on it yet, but they will. 434 00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:40,200 Speaker 1: I am all in on Gardner Minshew as a three 435 00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:43,320 Speaker 1: point dog at home against the Chargers. Tell me why 436 00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:45,160 Speaker 1: you make it like this. What have the Chargers proven 437 00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:46,920 Speaker 1: to you that they think that they should be a 438 00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:51,399 Speaker 1: three point road favorite against anybody, Well, this one, I 439 00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:53,480 Speaker 1: just threw away what I thought the public would do 440 00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:55,840 Speaker 1: because I don't picture the public weighing in on this game, 441 00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:59,320 Speaker 1: so it's not a big recreational better game. I just 442 00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:02,359 Speaker 1: tried to picture where the Sharp guys we're gonna bet 443 00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:05,080 Speaker 1: on this one, and because they've been against the Jaguars 444 00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:10,800 Speaker 1: every week, we just tried to make the Chargers, Um, uh, 445 00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:14,120 Speaker 1: you know, as as attractive as possible, I mean as 446 00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:17,480 Speaker 1: at least attractive as possible for because we know that 447 00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:21,080 Speaker 1: they're gonna be betting against the Chargers. So, uh, they're 448 00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:25,480 Speaker 1: betting against the Jaguars. I'm sorry, um, and they did. 449 00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:28,200 Speaker 1: They did come in and uh they already laid the 450 00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:30,840 Speaker 1: minus three that we're probably gonna end up going to 451 00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:33,760 Speaker 1: three and a half on this one, even though it 452 00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,680 Speaker 1: seems like the Jaguars at home should be a little 453 00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:39,680 Speaker 1: bit more competitive in this one. But the Sharp guys 454 00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:42,600 Speaker 1: are just on their there against the Jaguars every week, 455 00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:46,280 Speaker 1: and they're they're on the Chargers in this one. Good. 456 00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:48,280 Speaker 1: So now we can talk about By the way, that's 457 00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:50,639 Speaker 1: fascinating the way you thought about that, that you're not 458 00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:52,480 Speaker 1: even thinking about the public in this game, because they're 459 00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:54,040 Speaker 1: going to ignore it, so it's only going to be 460 00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:57,440 Speaker 1: about what the wise guys are doing. This wise guy 461 00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:01,719 Speaker 1: is betting the Jacks plus three. Kansas City is on 462 00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:05,840 Speaker 1: the road, also a three point underdog, only this time 463 00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:09,320 Speaker 1: to the New England Patriots. And I believe, my friend, 464 00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:12,200 Speaker 1: you're going to get some wise guy money in the 465 00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:16,240 Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs. Absolutely. This one is just like a 466 00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:20,280 Speaker 1: mirror image of the Forts Saints game. You know too, 467 00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:25,280 Speaker 1: great teams, uh, separated only by the home field advantage. 468 00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 1: That's the difference of the three points. The way that 469 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:31,399 Speaker 1: they're betting the Niners in the Saints game, that's the 470 00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:35,280 Speaker 1: way they're betting the Chiefs in this game. Um. You know, look, 471 00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:37,480 Speaker 1: you look at the Patriots, even though they only have 472 00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:40,600 Speaker 1: the two losses. You know, they beat up on on 473 00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:44,800 Speaker 1: the Jets, they beat up on the Dolphins, they played 474 00:27:44,800 --> 00:27:49,199 Speaker 1: the Redskins, they've played the Giants. The only good teams 475 00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 1: they've played they struggled with. They struggled with the Bills. 476 00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:56,960 Speaker 1: They lost to the Texans, they lost by seventeen to 477 00:27:57,000 --> 00:28:00,600 Speaker 1: the Ravens. This is as much as I keep saying, 478 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:02,959 Speaker 1: you don't make a living betting against the Patriots. This 479 00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:06,200 Speaker 1: is the first time where they actually look vulnerable. And 480 00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:10,520 Speaker 1: if you're looking vulnerable going against a team that's uh, 481 00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:14,560 Speaker 1: you know, headed up by by Mahomes and and how 482 00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:17,159 Speaker 1: how good he looks. This is a tough spot for 483 00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:21,080 Speaker 1: the Patriots. I am so upset. I'm so upset. Like you, 484 00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:22,920 Speaker 1: you and I both know, like betting is all about 485 00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:26,480 Speaker 1: timing the peaks and valleys. I knew the Patriots were 486 00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:30,040 Speaker 1: the wrong side last week, and in project to six 487 00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:33,440 Speaker 1: we took him. I'm gonna blame Matt. I'm gonna blame 488 00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:36,239 Speaker 1: Matt for Marian because he wanted them and I had 489 00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:38,200 Speaker 1: made my choices on the other team, so I had 490 00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:39,960 Speaker 1: to go with him. And I knew it was the 491 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:42,400 Speaker 1: wrong side and there's nothing I can do about it. 492 00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:46,080 Speaker 1: It makes me sick. Yeah, And that was the worst 493 00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:50,320 Speaker 1: time that the Patriots have looked to me in probably years. 494 00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:55,400 Speaker 1: But that's also when like people start betting against him 495 00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 1: and then they come back and dominate. They always burned you, right, 496 00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:03,600 Speaker 1: It's like they're they're an enigma, They're a riddle. Yeah. 497 00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:05,640 Speaker 1: I don't buy Pittsburgh on the road as a two 498 00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:08,160 Speaker 1: and a half point favorite against the Cardinals. I think 499 00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:11,200 Speaker 1: you're making a mistake there. I think that's all public 500 00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:13,880 Speaker 1: reaction going both ways, the Cardinal's massive loss and the 501 00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:18,440 Speaker 1: Steelers a surprising win. We took a few thousand on 502 00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:20,920 Speaker 1: the Steels, we haven't taken any big money on the Cardinals. 503 00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:23,240 Speaker 1: At plus two and a half, people are stupid. That's 504 00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:29,160 Speaker 1: why it's it's the public is on the Steelers about 505 00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:31,040 Speaker 1: three and a half to one ratio. But it's the 506 00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:34,200 Speaker 1: big bets, the thousand dollar bets, two thousand dollar bets, 507 00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:38,719 Speaker 1: not not any one big single bet, but just a 508 00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:43,120 Speaker 1: lot of small bets and two thousand dollar bets that 509 00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:46,040 Speaker 1: are making this add up a little bit. So I'm 510 00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:48,440 Speaker 1: reluctant to go to three for that reason because at 511 00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:52,720 Speaker 1: three suddenly the value becomes on the Cardinals. But I'll 512 00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:54,520 Speaker 1: just let him lay the Steelers a little bit more 513 00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:56,640 Speaker 1: in this one. This might not be one that I 514 00:29:56,680 --> 00:30:01,520 Speaker 1: don't mind needing the Cardinals. Well, Cardinals is gonna get 515 00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:07,720 Speaker 1: my money? Uh, all right? Tennessee Oakland, Tennessee three point God, 516 00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:10,400 Speaker 1: so many road favorites. Am I just supposed to like 517 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:15,800 Speaker 1: anti up on every single like home dog this week? 518 00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:19,280 Speaker 1: Look at this all the way down the line. Yeah, 519 00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:23,200 Speaker 1: there's a lot of them just at every home team, 520 00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:26,280 Speaker 1: big home favorites, and the and the and the and 521 00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:29,360 Speaker 1: the just at every home team. Like what am I 522 00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:33,200 Speaker 1: doing here? Yeah, it looks like it looks like this 523 00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:36,520 Speaker 1: one is a little tougher. This one. We tried to 524 00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:39,000 Speaker 1: We tried to shave the Titans about as high as 525 00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 1: we could. We thought that three, you know, three on 526 00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:45,840 Speaker 1: the road would be enough for the sharp guys to 527 00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:48,120 Speaker 1: take the Raiders. But it but it hasn't been. And 528 00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:51,480 Speaker 1: like I said, we were paying attention to that trend 529 00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:54,560 Speaker 1: that the sharp guys have cash tickets on the Titans, 530 00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:56,800 Speaker 1: like two or three weeks in a row, if cash 531 00:30:56,800 --> 00:31:00,000 Speaker 1: tickets on the Buccaneers and they're betting against the Jaguars, 532 00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:03,480 Speaker 1: those three teams that they've really focused on, which means 533 00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:06,680 Speaker 1: our numbers are soft on those teams. And when when 534 00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:10,200 Speaker 1: we recognize that we're getting beat up on those same teams, 535 00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:13,520 Speaker 1: we have to kind of shade it a little more 536 00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:17,240 Speaker 1: in that direction, which we thought we did. Apparently not enough. 537 00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:19,160 Speaker 1: And utter of fact, I'm going to go to three 538 00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:21,560 Speaker 1: flat on this when we were at three even money 539 00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:23,800 Speaker 1: and I'm gonna go to three flat and see if 540 00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:26,560 Speaker 1: I could draw a little bit of some rate of money. 541 00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:36,160 Speaker 1: Linech is it done, It's done. I see it, I 542 00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:38,240 Speaker 1: see it. You do it there, I see it here. 543 00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:42,040 Speaker 1: It's like broadcast news. He says it there, he says 544 00:31:42,040 --> 00:31:44,920 Speaker 1: it there. Seattle on the road one and a half 545 00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:47,440 Speaker 1: way favorite against the Rams. It's like you want to 546 00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:50,320 Speaker 1: bet against the Seahawks every week. Every week you feel 547 00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:53,280 Speaker 1: like they're they're like not a team that is worthy 548 00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:55,240 Speaker 1: of being a favorite. I lost. I lost on the 549 00:31:55,320 --> 00:32:00,640 Speaker 1: Vikings last night, Minnesota Vikings, And like it's so treating 550 00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:04,200 Speaker 1: it is. This is a team that you would not 551 00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:07,440 Speaker 1: you know, if you didn't already know their record, you'd 552 00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:09,800 Speaker 1: be surprised that somebody told you that. You know, they 553 00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:13,320 Speaker 1: were eleven and two, ten and two, whatever they are. Uh, 554 00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:16,600 Speaker 1: it's uh, they seem to be they seem to be winning, 555 00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:21,240 Speaker 1: even though not dominating. Um, this seems like a perfect 556 00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:23,520 Speaker 1: spot for the Rams. I mean, that's just kind of 557 00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:29,920 Speaker 1: a professional handicapper talking. But this is the reason why 558 00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:33,000 Speaker 1: we're not making Seattle at least a field goal favorite 559 00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:37,080 Speaker 1: on the road here, Uh is because a divisional game 560 00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:39,920 Speaker 1: like this, even as bad as the Rams are playing, 561 00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:42,240 Speaker 1: they're still in the hunt. There at seven and five, 562 00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:45,960 Speaker 1: They're they're still fighting for for the playoff spot and 563 00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:49,240 Speaker 1: at home in a In a game like this, um, 564 00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:51,680 Speaker 1: I expect the Rams to come up big. So I'm 565 00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:55,200 Speaker 1: kind of inviting a little Seattle money that there. You know, 566 00:32:55,240 --> 00:32:58,240 Speaker 1: you're I'm hoping the casual fan will come in and 567 00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:01,360 Speaker 1: see Seattle only. Minus wanted to appen to look attractives 568 00:33:01,360 --> 00:33:04,160 Speaker 1: and let them met it. And I'm gonna hope to 569 00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:10,800 Speaker 1: need the Rams in this one. You are such a tease. Hey, 570 00:33:10,840 --> 00:33:21,200 Speaker 1: you know who sucks the Giants? Daniel Jones. Oh he's terrible. Yeah, 571 00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:24,280 Speaker 1: Like every game he's becoming one of those guys where 572 00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:26,880 Speaker 1: you can just count on him throwing it to the 573 00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:31,840 Speaker 1: other team when no one is around. Yeah, boy, had 574 00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:35,960 Speaker 1: the mighty have fallen? He was everybody darling for two 575 00:33:36,040 --> 00:33:38,320 Speaker 1: or three weeks and then uh, and then he just 576 00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:40,760 Speaker 1: came crashing back down. Tell me how you got to 577 00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:46,120 Speaker 1: eight and a half? Well just um, I mean, Philly's 578 00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:49,400 Speaker 1: getting healthy, but we're just we're trying to anticipate bets 579 00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:53,120 Speaker 1: against the Giants more so than than on Silly in 580 00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:56,080 Speaker 1: this one. So we're just trying to make it as 581 00:33:56,120 --> 00:33:58,840 Speaker 1: high as well as we could you know kind of 582 00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:01,120 Speaker 1: looking at the Packard game is kind of kind of 583 00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:04,000 Speaker 1: an indication of what we made the Packers versus the 584 00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:07,640 Speaker 1: Giants and the fact that they laid that price so 585 00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:10,839 Speaker 1: and cash. So we're gonna we're gonna make that line 586 00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:15,719 Speaker 1: pretty similar um with the Philly team. So at at 587 00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:17,400 Speaker 1: eight and a half, I think we got the number 588 00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:19,600 Speaker 1: right because it looks like nobody knows what to do 589 00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:21,279 Speaker 1: with it. We're not heavy on one side or the 590 00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:25,120 Speaker 1: other yet. The fact that it's Monday night game though 591 00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:27,920 Speaker 1: I would expect some money to come on the Eagles. 592 00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:31,920 Speaker 1: Can I ignore that game? If I did have to 593 00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:34,240 Speaker 1: bet every game, I would not even look at this game. 594 00:34:35,200 --> 00:34:37,279 Speaker 1: I need to find a derivative bet for this game. 595 00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:39,759 Speaker 1: I can't bet the side in this game. I need 596 00:34:39,800 --> 00:34:44,200 Speaker 1: to find something new for this a player prop or something. 597 00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:48,000 Speaker 1: What did Danny Jones? What? What are Danny Jones? Uh 598 00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:50,440 Speaker 1: interception total is going to be in this game? Do 599 00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:54,040 Speaker 1: you think what are you gonna set that at? Well, 600 00:34:54,040 --> 00:34:56,840 Speaker 1: typically we we set them over under one and a half, 601 00:34:56,880 --> 00:34:59,120 Speaker 1: and I mean we might have to just make it 602 00:34:59,160 --> 00:35:02,919 Speaker 1: one and a half over dollar sixty. I would still 603 00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:06,440 Speaker 1: take the over on that. It would you lay dollar sixty. Yeah, 604 00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:14,160 Speaker 1: I would. Okay, put me down for two, scooch. Guess 605 00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:27,240 Speaker 1: what time it is time to play some scoocher. Last week, Scooch, 606 00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:31,799 Speaker 1: I had the Minnesota Vikings and you had the San 607 00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:35,279 Speaker 1: Francisco forty Niners. One of us won, one of us 608 00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:39,720 Speaker 1: lost in an excruciatingly frustrating way. One of those people 609 00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:42,680 Speaker 1: should get to go first this week. Normally you'd say, hey, 610 00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:45,560 Speaker 1: let the winner go first, that's the prize for winning. 611 00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:48,480 Speaker 1: But I think the person who lost in an excruciatingly 612 00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:52,000 Speaker 1: frustrating way should go first because they're sad and they 613 00:35:52,040 --> 00:35:57,800 Speaker 1: could use some consoling. Okay, okay, I'll buy that. M 614 00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:02,280 Speaker 1: all right, then I am going with the Denver Broncos. Bang. 615 00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:06,400 Speaker 1: Suck it, Sucker. I didn't. I didn't see that one coming. 616 00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:11,120 Speaker 1: He didn't. This is a no no. I thought we 617 00:36:11,120 --> 00:36:14,360 Speaker 1: would go with some of the short home favorites, or 618 00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:16,840 Speaker 1: I could have done that, but I decided I felt 619 00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:19,360 Speaker 1: like you were so sad about that line that I 620 00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:25,239 Speaker 1: felt like that's where the biggest opportunity might be. Yeah, 621 00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:29,560 Speaker 1: this is I don't love anything. I mean I I 622 00:36:29,880 --> 00:36:33,600 Speaker 1: favored the forty Niners against the Saints. Favored the Chiefs 623 00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:36,640 Speaker 1: against the Patriots. But I think as far as the 624 00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:40,000 Speaker 1: play that I feel really strongly about that nobody cares 625 00:36:40,040 --> 00:36:44,440 Speaker 1: about it. Probably the Falcons against the Panthers minus two 626 00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:48,600 Speaker 1: and a half. Wow, talk about a game that wasn't 627 00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:50,600 Speaker 1: even on my radar because I don't want to look 628 00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:56,759 Speaker 1: at it because it makes my stomach hurt. Yep, Yeah, 629 00:36:57,600 --> 00:37:02,799 Speaker 1: that is something. Yeah, all right, we got our picks in. 630 00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:05,640 Speaker 1: I'm going with the Denver Broncos plus nine. You're going 631 00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:08,400 Speaker 1: with the Atlanta Falcons minus two and a half. Scooch. 632 00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:13,600 Speaker 1: Everybody can catch us on Sunday twelve to one Eastern 633 00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:17,120 Speaker 1: on Radio dot Com, Radio dot Com app Rock and 634 00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:20,200 Speaker 1: roll Brother, I'll talk to you Sunday. That was good. 635 00:37:22,760 --> 00:37:24,960 Speaker 1: It's that part of the show where we welcome in 636 00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:28,719 Speaker 1: Darren Ravel in a few minutes, professional better Simon Hunter, 637 00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:31,680 Speaker 1: and we're gonna try to negotiate and debate our way 638 00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:34,640 Speaker 1: to five picks for the west Gate Las Vegas Super 639 00:37:34,640 --> 00:37:37,920 Speaker 1: Contest so we can win one point five million dollars. 640 00:37:38,680 --> 00:37:40,600 Speaker 1: Not a good week for us, darn Ravel. We went 641 00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:44,160 Speaker 1: two and three. Well, I got talked off the Cardinals, 642 00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:47,160 Speaker 1: which is a good move. But I couldn't convince you 643 00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:51,839 Speaker 1: to take Miami, and I felt really good about them. 644 00:37:51,960 --> 00:37:55,800 Speaker 1: I want real money on the money line, and uh, 645 00:37:56,239 --> 00:37:58,600 Speaker 1: you know, so I'm gonna try again this week, actually 646 00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:00,960 Speaker 1: for the fourth straight week or so, you're gonna go 647 00:38:01,000 --> 00:38:05,839 Speaker 1: with Miami again? Yeah? Five and a half plus five 648 00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:09,040 Speaker 1: and a half? What are your what are your theories here? 649 00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:15,640 Speaker 1: That they're actually a good team now good and that 650 00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:20,160 Speaker 1: good team, or they're a serviceable team and that uh, 651 00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:24,600 Speaker 1: they're the only team in the NFL that the oddsmakers 652 00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:31,279 Speaker 1: haven't haven't gotten around too understanding because there were two 653 00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:37,920 Speaker 1: different teams horrific and then better and I think I 654 00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:42,320 Speaker 1: think they they might even win out right again, Wow, 655 00:38:43,600 --> 00:38:45,440 Speaker 1: all right, you know what, I don't hate it, but 656 00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:48,279 Speaker 1: we have that, all right? Who's next to that? I'll 657 00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:54,040 Speaker 1: start there? Then, uh five and a half Miami, um 658 00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:57,120 Speaker 1: against the Jets. The Jets are not a good team either, 659 00:38:57,160 --> 00:39:01,719 Speaker 1: by the way, you agree with that co sign you 660 00:39:01,760 --> 00:39:06,320 Speaker 1: agree with that? Yeah, totally okay? All right? Um, then 661 00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:14,640 Speaker 1: I like another underdog. I like Cincinnati plus nine, um my, 662 00:39:14,800 --> 00:39:18,280 Speaker 1: thinking they're you know, obviously they had their their first 663 00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:23,400 Speaker 1: good week. There's some momentum. I am okay with Andy Dalton. 664 00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:30,040 Speaker 1: The Browns are on a downward trajectory and they have 665 00:39:30,360 --> 00:39:35,400 Speaker 1: very emotional people on their team if you know that, Baker, Baker, 666 00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:40,480 Speaker 1: and O'Dell to name a few. So I like Cincinnati 667 00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:46,160 Speaker 1: plus nine against the Browns. Uh. My next pick, I 668 00:39:46,160 --> 00:39:51,760 Speaker 1: am gonna go with the Baltimore Ravens. Yes, obviously, maybe 669 00:39:51,840 --> 00:39:56,759 Speaker 1: Lamar is overvalued, um, but I think the Bills are 670 00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:59,479 Speaker 1: still a little bit overvalued. So I want to take 671 00:39:59,560 --> 00:40:04,320 Speaker 1: Baltimo more minus five and a half. And I actually 672 00:40:04,360 --> 00:40:10,080 Speaker 1: do think New England is not really that good, and 673 00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:12,200 Speaker 1: I think now is the time to fade them. So 674 00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:18,200 Speaker 1: I want Kansas City plus three there um. And I 675 00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:24,840 Speaker 1: was impressed with the Seahawks. Um, they're they're running game, 676 00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:30,399 Speaker 1: the passing game wasn't bad. Um, And I'm I'll take 677 00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:33,200 Speaker 1: them as one point favorites over the Ramps. So those 678 00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:36,759 Speaker 1: are my five Cincinnati plus nine, Miami plus five and 679 00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:39,759 Speaker 1: a half, Baltimore minus five and a half, Kansas City 680 00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:45,480 Speaker 1: plus three, and Seahawks minus one. I don't hate these well, 681 00:40:45,520 --> 00:40:48,799 Speaker 1: I figured I had to go strong. Uh, and the 682 00:40:48,840 --> 00:40:52,040 Speaker 1: ones that I really feel like forget about Miami. Like 683 00:40:52,080 --> 00:40:54,759 Speaker 1: the ones that I really feel good about, I like 684 00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:58,520 Speaker 1: Cincinnati plus nine. That's a tremendous amount of points. And 685 00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:04,400 Speaker 1: I do think I I really do think that Baltimore. 686 00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:07,640 Speaker 1: So those are my top two, Baltimore over the Bills 687 00:41:07,680 --> 00:41:09,200 Speaker 1: five and a half. All right, you know what I 688 00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:10,680 Speaker 1: want to do from there? If I were to rank them, 689 00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:13,520 Speaker 1: I would say I would say Miami plus five and 690 00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:16,640 Speaker 1: a half, Kansas Kansas City plus three, and then the Seahawks. 691 00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:19,240 Speaker 1: All right, let's bring in Simon before I even give mine. 692 00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:27,120 Speaker 1: Let's bring in Simon. And now a word from a 693 00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:36,680 Speaker 1: wise guy with Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon, what's going on? Boys? 694 00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:39,239 Speaker 1: Do you ever see the Saturday at Live skit with 695 00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:43,880 Speaker 1: Mike Myers could do drawings? Do? I'm Simon? I'd like 696 00:41:43,960 --> 00:41:50,000 Speaker 1: to draw I like drawings. Uh yeah, not since I 697 00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:52,480 Speaker 1: was a little kid. Any adult that anytime they hear 698 00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:56,480 Speaker 1: my name was Simon to goers go hello, my name Simon, 699 00:41:57,080 --> 00:42:01,240 Speaker 1: and I'd like do do drawings? Alright? So it wasn't original, 700 00:42:01,320 --> 00:42:03,120 Speaker 1: is what you're saying. Do you know what is original? 701 00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:08,040 Speaker 1: This podcast? And having you on to help guide us 702 00:42:08,040 --> 00:42:11,279 Speaker 1: through the Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest, which you have 703 00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:15,920 Speaker 1: done with skill up until the past two weeks. What 704 00:42:15,960 --> 00:42:20,759 Speaker 1: the fund is going on. Hey man, I'm out here 705 00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:23,319 Speaker 1: trying to help you guys dodgy land mines, but I've 706 00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:25,440 Speaker 1: fallen into a couple of land mines myself the last 707 00:42:25,440 --> 00:42:29,360 Speaker 1: couple of weeks. But it is rough out there. It's 708 00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:31,480 Speaker 1: long as he's not making big money on the side, 709 00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:35,080 Speaker 1: I'm okay. Yeah, as long as I'm helping Darren goes 710 00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:37,359 Speaker 1: seven and one in these late weeks, I'm pretty proud 711 00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:41,520 Speaker 1: of myself. Um, but it's one of these things that 712 00:42:41,640 --> 00:42:42,840 Speaker 1: we get later in here. We have a bunch of 713 00:42:42,920 --> 00:42:45,440 Speaker 1: teams we just hate because of the way they've screwed 714 00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:48,239 Speaker 1: us over the year, over the season, So it's kind 715 00:42:48,239 --> 00:42:50,640 Speaker 1: of funny these last couple of weeks and the super Contest. 716 00:42:50,680 --> 00:42:52,680 Speaker 1: It's like you kind of have to throw out these 717 00:42:52,719 --> 00:42:54,680 Speaker 1: earlier weeks and really focused on the last couple of 718 00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:57,440 Speaker 1: weeks because these teams really are what they are at 719 00:42:57,480 --> 00:43:00,799 Speaker 1: this point in the season. Yeah, I think that's true. Uh, 720 00:43:00,800 --> 00:43:02,440 Speaker 1: speaking of they are what they are, let me give 721 00:43:02,440 --> 00:43:05,480 Speaker 1: you Darren's picks. I want you to weigh in, and 722 00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:07,839 Speaker 1: if I agree with you guys, we're gonna go with it. 723 00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:12,080 Speaker 1: If not, I've got some backups. Miami plus five and 724 00:43:12,080 --> 00:43:16,600 Speaker 1: a half against the Jets. It, baby, I love it, 725 00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:18,799 Speaker 1: and we did. I'm pretty sure we did have the 726 00:43:18,880 --> 00:43:25,319 Speaker 1: Dolphins in our super concious last week we dropped the Cowboys. Um, 727 00:43:25,640 --> 00:43:27,760 Speaker 1: I love the Dolphins this week. It's one of those 728 00:43:27,840 --> 00:43:32,839 Speaker 1: that it's a it's a funny spot where I like 729 00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:35,399 Speaker 1: the early value. Now it's kind of it's at five 730 00:43:35,440 --> 00:43:37,680 Speaker 1: and a half five, um, so the public and the 731 00:43:37,719 --> 00:43:40,680 Speaker 1: sharps are pounding it, but we're it's a weird spot 732 00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:42,920 Speaker 1: where we're gonna be back in. The Dolphins off a 733 00:43:43,080 --> 00:43:46,440 Speaker 1: great win against the Jets too, had one of the 734 00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:50,240 Speaker 1: worst loss of the season. So I like it, um, 735 00:43:50,640 --> 00:43:53,080 Speaker 1: but we can keep rolling three shoot off. Look, it's 736 00:43:53,080 --> 00:43:56,000 Speaker 1: not a great like in theory, it's not a great spot, 737 00:43:56,120 --> 00:43:58,960 Speaker 1: right because no, you usually aren't gonna win these loss 738 00:43:59,000 --> 00:44:00,719 Speaker 1: which is like one of those is where like we're 739 00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:03,759 Speaker 1: buying we're actually buying hot, buying low on the right 740 00:44:03,760 --> 00:44:06,920 Speaker 1: now exactly. That's that's what's going on. Um since e 741 00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:12,200 Speaker 1: plus nine. I love it. I mean it really it 742 00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:14,880 Speaker 1: feels like that team did get a spark from Andy 743 00:44:14,960 --> 00:44:19,279 Speaker 1: Dalton and the Browns are just fired. I mean they 744 00:44:19,320 --> 00:44:22,920 Speaker 1: are that. I know we joked about earlier season, the 745 00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:25,200 Speaker 1: way Baker was looking. But that picture of him the 746 00:44:25,239 --> 00:44:28,680 Speaker 1: other day with his belly sticking out, I mean, he 747 00:44:28,840 --> 00:44:31,680 Speaker 1: just looks like a guy that's forty years old. He's defeated. 748 00:44:32,160 --> 00:44:34,880 Speaker 1: So I'm good. I'm good. Here are going to Bengal, Darren? 749 00:44:34,880 --> 00:44:37,520 Speaker 1: Are you in the office right now? I am Why 750 00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:39,480 Speaker 1: don't you go? Can you go on mute? While Simon 751 00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:44,600 Speaker 1: is talking because I hear thee um. I agree with you. 752 00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:49,359 Speaker 1: Here's my fear about uh, since how where do you 753 00:44:49,400 --> 00:44:52,160 Speaker 1: how do you have this game power rated in? Actually 754 00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:54,319 Speaker 1: we're actually not getting beal. I got it at minus ten, 755 00:44:54,680 --> 00:44:57,279 Speaker 1: so that that's it's down to down to plus eight 756 00:44:57,280 --> 00:44:59,600 Speaker 1: and a half. It's gonna keep going down, probably because 757 00:44:59,600 --> 00:45:02,080 Speaker 1: I think we're gonna keep taking it. So I still think. 758 00:45:02,600 --> 00:45:05,280 Speaker 1: I still think there's value there. Like my my numbers 759 00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:08,960 Speaker 1: can't take an account like humans. These guys, these are different, 760 00:45:09,120 --> 00:45:13,840 Speaker 1: these teams are completely different feelings right now. Yeah, but 761 00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:16,200 Speaker 1: like if the game, if the number opens at ten 762 00:45:16,760 --> 00:45:18,759 Speaker 1: and by the time the super contest lines come out, 763 00:45:18,840 --> 00:45:21,680 Speaker 1: it's at seven, I'm not dying to take the Bengals 764 00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:25,040 Speaker 1: at plus seven. Now, yeah, I wouldn't take that. I 765 00:45:25,120 --> 00:45:27,440 Speaker 1: wanted to keep it above eight honestly, all right, so 766 00:45:27,440 --> 00:45:31,399 Speaker 1: we'll see. If it says above eight, we'll think about it. Um. 767 00:45:31,560 --> 00:45:33,799 Speaker 1: Let me make a note here, all right. Next on 768 00:45:33,840 --> 00:45:40,160 Speaker 1: the list is, uh, who is that Baltimore? Baltimore minus 769 00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:43,960 Speaker 1: five and a half. I don't like it. I'll be 770 00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:46,799 Speaker 1: honest and I don't like it. Yeah. I mean my 771 00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:49,640 Speaker 1: thinking here is that they just played same Frank who 772 00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:51,719 Speaker 1: literally that if you watched that game, they beat their 773 00:45:51,719 --> 00:45:54,200 Speaker 1: ship out of each other for that entire game. It 774 00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:56,719 Speaker 1: was probably the hardest sitting games I've seen all year. 775 00:45:57,239 --> 00:45:59,960 Speaker 1: And the Bills kind of had their way with Cowboy 776 00:46:00,000 --> 00:46:02,640 Speaker 1: is they had extended rest. Now they're at home and 777 00:46:03,080 --> 00:46:04,960 Speaker 1: the Ravens are growing up there. So once again we're 778 00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:07,959 Speaker 1: getting no no good value. Like I have this game 779 00:46:08,000 --> 00:46:10,799 Speaker 1: at Ravens minus two and a half. So all the 780 00:46:10,840 --> 00:46:13,879 Speaker 1: value right now is by far on the Bills. I think, 781 00:46:13,920 --> 00:46:20,000 Speaker 1: I agree. So what are we gonna do there? I mean, 782 00:46:20,080 --> 00:46:22,279 Speaker 1: Dann Dan has been on a heater. If Dan, you're 783 00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:24,480 Speaker 1: feeling that great about the Ravens, we can put it in. 784 00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:28,160 Speaker 1: But I'm just letting you know the numbers are saying 785 00:46:28,200 --> 00:46:31,680 Speaker 1: this is this is not a smart spot on this podcast, 786 00:46:32,880 --> 00:46:38,800 Speaker 1: say what, I'll wait, Let's wait, let's wait, let's wait. Uh, 787 00:46:38,960 --> 00:46:43,719 Speaker 1: Kansas City plus three against New England. Look, I mean 788 00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:46,640 Speaker 1: that's it's I have this game at a pick um. 789 00:46:46,800 --> 00:46:48,320 Speaker 1: I think this is one of those where they're putting 790 00:46:48,360 --> 00:46:50,880 Speaker 1: this line. They put it up higher because they always 791 00:46:51,600 --> 00:46:53,000 Speaker 1: they just want to make sure when the public is 792 00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:54,360 Speaker 1: gonna come in, they're not gonna come in. So have 793 00:46:54,520 --> 00:46:59,480 Speaker 1: you on the Patriots and the Chiefs. Honestly, Patrick Holmes 794 00:46:59,520 --> 00:47:02,960 Speaker 1: hasn't that great since he's been back. He's made some 795 00:47:03,640 --> 00:47:05,719 Speaker 1: like last year, you're just making these incredible places. He's 796 00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:08,279 Speaker 1: still doing that, but he's making a little bit bad 797 00:47:08,320 --> 00:47:11,480 Speaker 1: decisions because he's so confident himself. So he got lucky 798 00:47:11,640 --> 00:47:13,959 Speaker 1: and a couple of couple of plays in that opening game. 799 00:47:14,440 --> 00:47:16,720 Speaker 1: But I do I mean, we're a getting three points. 800 00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:20,279 Speaker 1: You've got to take the Chiefs here? Uh the l 801 00:47:20,320 --> 00:47:23,760 Speaker 1: A Rams minus water Seattle minus one against the Rams. 802 00:47:24,280 --> 00:47:26,719 Speaker 1: Darren and I are on opposite sides of this with 803 00:47:26,880 --> 00:47:29,560 Speaker 1: different attention. Yeah, I mean I would like to hear 804 00:47:29,560 --> 00:47:31,760 Speaker 1: why you like it, Dan, because I mean they played 805 00:47:32,320 --> 00:47:34,040 Speaker 1: just a couple of weeks ago and the only reason 806 00:47:34,120 --> 00:47:36,600 Speaker 1: the Seahawks beat him at home was because the Rams 807 00:47:36,640 --> 00:47:38,920 Speaker 1: picker and Mr the field goal. So now you're not 808 00:47:39,080 --> 00:47:42,040 Speaker 1: you're you're telling me that the Seahawks if they were 809 00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:43,759 Speaker 1: at home playing the Rams right now, they're saying the 810 00:47:43,760 --> 00:47:46,200 Speaker 1: flying would be minus four or five. So I think 811 00:47:46,239 --> 00:47:48,440 Speaker 1: it's kind of a weird spot where the Rams is 812 00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:50,040 Speaker 1: where all the value is going to be in this game? 813 00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:54,840 Speaker 1: All right, I'll go on that side. What are we 814 00:47:54,840 --> 00:47:57,399 Speaker 1: gonna do with the last pick? Then? So right now 815 00:47:57,400 --> 00:48:00,759 Speaker 1: we have Kansas City plus three, we have l a 816 00:48:01,680 --> 00:48:04,719 Speaker 1: Um plus one plus one since as long as it 817 00:48:04,760 --> 00:48:10,879 Speaker 1: stays above eight, are we sticking with Miami? I would 818 00:48:10,920 --> 00:48:13,400 Speaker 1: like to all right, we'll stick with Miami. Yeah, we 819 00:48:13,400 --> 00:48:15,000 Speaker 1: can stick with Man. They've been good to us when 820 00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:18,439 Speaker 1: Starns like them. They've worked out first for the most part. 821 00:48:19,239 --> 00:48:23,120 Speaker 1: How do we feel about the Jacksonville Jaguars plus three? 822 00:48:23,960 --> 00:48:26,239 Speaker 1: I hate the Jaguars. I don't even know who they Yeah, 823 00:48:26,480 --> 00:48:29,560 Speaker 1: I can't do it like that was that was unreal 824 00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:32,760 Speaker 1: that game last week watching that the Bucks, the Buck's 825 00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:34,880 Speaker 1: thoroughly dominate. This is this is a good spot to 826 00:48:34,880 --> 00:48:37,440 Speaker 1: take them to the Chargers. Just hate to win, but 827 00:48:37,600 --> 00:48:39,719 Speaker 1: I can't have this sweat. I cannot have. I don't 828 00:48:39,719 --> 00:48:42,440 Speaker 1: want to tug with Jaguars again. I have no idea 829 00:48:42,480 --> 00:48:45,640 Speaker 1: who they are. How do we feel about the San 830 00:48:45,680 --> 00:48:52,440 Speaker 1: Francisco forty Niners plus three? I don't hate it. I 831 00:48:52,440 --> 00:48:55,360 Speaker 1: mean Drew Brees is an old man. I mean this, 832 00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:58,600 Speaker 1: this defense is fast. But I'm seeing that Sherman might 833 00:48:58,640 --> 00:49:00,920 Speaker 1: be out. And if you if you follow any of 834 00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:04,799 Speaker 1: these numbers on lone, Sherman's been huge for them this year. 835 00:49:04,880 --> 00:49:07,880 Speaker 1: What their defense does, He's actually gonna shut down corner. Surprisingly, 836 00:49:08,400 --> 00:49:10,640 Speaker 1: so I actually wouldn't take San Frame here because they're 837 00:49:10,640 --> 00:49:13,480 Speaker 1: not gonna want to put on Michael Thomas. All right, well, 838 00:49:13,600 --> 00:49:16,440 Speaker 1: wise guy, who do you got? Like? Right now? We 839 00:49:16,520 --> 00:49:23,600 Speaker 1: got Jacksonville, the Rams, Miami and since Jacksonville, I'm sorry, 840 00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:29,120 Speaker 1: we got who do we have? Kansas City? Uh? The 841 00:49:29,239 --> 00:49:32,319 Speaker 1: Rams Miami? And since who else we got? I mean, Darren, 842 00:49:32,320 --> 00:49:33,879 Speaker 1: you don't have you don't have any chalk you really 843 00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:38,799 Speaker 1: like this week? Like my child, you're that's actually a good, 844 00:49:39,239 --> 00:49:42,279 Speaker 1: good suggestion. I mean the chalk, I guess would be 845 00:49:46,520 --> 00:49:53,279 Speaker 1: the chalk would put with the chalk I'm scared of 846 00:49:53,400 --> 00:49:56,319 Speaker 1: I'm scared of all the favorites. I mean Tampa Bay 847 00:49:56,600 --> 00:50:01,080 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay minus three would be the and that's and 848 00:50:01,160 --> 00:50:02,640 Speaker 1: that's one of those I was looking at too, and 849 00:50:02,640 --> 00:50:04,080 Speaker 1: I was sopp you're gonna say it, because I feel 850 00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:07,719 Speaker 1: like the Colts without t Y and Marlon Mack, they 851 00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:10,120 Speaker 1: just can't keep up with any of these teams. And 852 00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:13,040 Speaker 1: the Bucks, sure they can turn over, but any any 853 00:50:13,040 --> 00:50:15,759 Speaker 1: time they can score. So I do think it's a 854 00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:17,760 Speaker 1: good spot for the Bucks. But once again, we're buying. 855 00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:23,520 Speaker 1: We're buying hid in the book, we are buying very high. 856 00:50:23,880 --> 00:50:26,320 Speaker 1: Like I do think there's a little bit of a guys. 857 00:50:26,400 --> 00:50:33,080 Speaker 1: You guys like the Steelers. I actually like Arizona in 858 00:50:33,160 --> 00:50:35,799 Speaker 1: that side more than the steel Like I wrote down 859 00:50:35,840 --> 00:50:41,239 Speaker 1: Arizona plus three. You don't like that, Simon. Uh, we 860 00:50:41,280 --> 00:50:43,360 Speaker 1: could say it what my I do, Like, I know, 861 00:50:43,480 --> 00:50:46,719 Speaker 1: I do like Arizona, but um, because it's one of 862 00:50:46,760 --> 00:50:50,560 Speaker 1: those that Hodges. He's a rookie quarterback too, So I 863 00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:53,160 Speaker 1: mean people are taking a rookie quarterback favorite on the road. 864 00:50:54,200 --> 00:50:57,919 Speaker 1: It's kind of take Arizona there. I'll take Arizona. I'll 865 00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:01,840 Speaker 1: take I'll do Arizona Zone. Uh, it's the end of 866 00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:05,520 Speaker 1: the year. We keep betting bad teams. We only have 867 00:51:05,760 --> 00:51:10,800 Speaker 1: one team with a winning record in our five. Most 868 00:51:10,880 --> 00:51:15,439 Speaker 1: teams have fewer than three wins. That's how you bet. 869 00:51:15,760 --> 00:51:21,600 Speaker 1: You bet bad teams. You're a line. I'm happy for 870 00:51:21,640 --> 00:51:24,520 Speaker 1: the first week, For the first week on this podcast, 871 00:51:24,600 --> 00:51:29,359 Speaker 1: I'm happy. I feel like I'm contributing Kansas City plus three, 872 00:51:29,480 --> 00:51:32,440 Speaker 1: the l A Rams plus one and a half, Miami 873 00:51:32,520 --> 00:51:34,320 Speaker 1: plus five and a half. Since as long as we 874 00:51:34,320 --> 00:51:38,600 Speaker 1: get him a plus above plus eight, uh Arizona plus 875 00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:47,560 Speaker 1: two and a half, those are five boys. Alrighty Simon 876 00:51:47,640 --> 00:51:51,959 Speaker 1: Hunter professional better, Dan Ravel professional almost You're you're making 877 00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:54,120 Speaker 1: some short place here. I wouldn't say a professional, but 878 00:51:54,160 --> 00:51:57,320 Speaker 1: you're a professional contributor right now, and that's all that matters. 879 00:52:00,000 --> 00:52:03,759 Speaker 1: All right, Thank you boys. All right. This has been 880 00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:08,759 Speaker 1: the Favorites from the Action Network. Download from Apple Podcast, 881 00:52:08,840 --> 00:52:12,920 Speaker 1: download from radio dot Com, search for the Favorites, or 882 00:52:12,920 --> 00:52:19,000 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts. Until next week. I love you.