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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast. It's on target.

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Speaker 2: It is good yo. All right, here we go spreading

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Speaker 2: in the court.

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Speaker 1: Ten seconds of mating.

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Speaker 3: The just go show under the basket.

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Speaker 4: Under the basket, it's not a seven second it's the.

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Speaker 2: Truth for the wind, God, the go a miracle. I'm

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Speaker 2: it's the water hit, that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 2: Shuck it all.

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Speaker 5: In college basketball, it's not the size on the dog

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Speaker 5: in the fight.

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Speaker 3: It's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 2: This is the College Basketball Conference Tournament Betting Preview, Part two.

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Speaker 2: Stucky with me as always is Colin Wilson and Mike Randall.

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Speaker 2: Hope you boys have had your sleep. I don't think

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Speaker 2: there's gonna be much sleep opportunity until April. What's going on, Colin?

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Speaker 2: How was your weekend?

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Speaker 3: Just sad there's only one segment in this podcast I

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Speaker 3: get to talk about how Arkansaw.

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Speaker 6: Is gonna win the SEC in the national Championship. No,

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Speaker 6: the weekend was great.

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Speaker 3: I love getting my eyes on games like Wagner and

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Speaker 3: Mount Saint Mary's where there are fouls being called with

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Speaker 3: no time running off the clock and Over's magically getting there.

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Speaker 3: I mean, the craziness of March is back. The fans

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Speaker 3: may not be all back, but the craziness is back.

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Speaker 2: We will have a chance to ramp before we get

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Speaker 2: into I think we have like sixteen conference tournaments to

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Speaker 2: get to that start this week. This is a jam

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Speaker 2: packed up. So we also have Kyle McEwan, who will

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Speaker 2: get some of his thoughts from Three Man Leave later

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Speaker 2: in the show. Randall, what's going on? How was your weekend?

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Speaker 7: Yeah?

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Speaker 4: Good, except for the early part of Sunday. I mean,

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Speaker 4: after watching I thought Hofstra was gonna self destruct again

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Speaker 4: like they have a year against Delaware. They did not.

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Speaker 4: And then Memphis for some reason, guys, I just have

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Speaker 4: a blind spot with Memphis. I'm waiting for them to

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Speaker 4: fall apart and do the old missing free throws and

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Speaker 4: get sloppy. But they hung tough at Houston, lost at

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Speaker 4: the Buzzer, and then of course Tennessee wakes up just

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Speaker 4: in time to come back on a shorthand in Florida.

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Speaker 4: But of course what takes the Cake Boys is Joe

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Speaker 4: Weesecamp's injury with Iowa, who was cruising in that game

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Speaker 4: against Wisconsin, and then they had to come back and

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Speaker 4: barely hold them off.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that was a big one. It looks like he's

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Speaker 2: gonna be okay from what I've read. I don't know

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Speaker 2: if they will push him that hard. We'll talk about

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Speaker 2: that when we get to the Big ten. And you

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Speaker 2: have I was an interesting team because you have like

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Speaker 2: Frederick and you have weise Camp, two of the most

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Speaker 2: important players who are kind of banged up, So like,

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Speaker 2: do they why risk pushing them right when you're gonna

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Speaker 2: be around a two seed in risk injury before the tournament.

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Speaker 2: Those are some of the things that we will talk about.

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Speaker 2: I guess we don't even need to get into the

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Speaker 2: rants from the weekend. We can just go right into it.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's start with the ACC Tournament, which will

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Speaker 2: get underway on Tuesday afternoon. Seego several Downtown Villion, Maintina,

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Speaker 2: and I'm like, fuck dou.

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Speaker 1: I guess the state I just kiss wasn't enough, Like

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Speaker 1: fucked Duke and fuck that Blues.

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Speaker 2: It starts off with Pittsburgh and Miami on Tuesday afternoon.

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Speaker 4: Yes, that's ay, very nice, very nice.

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Speaker 2: That's that game is gonna be way way too People

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Speaker 2: were gonna beat that game. But it's at two o'clock

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Speaker 2: in the afternoon on Tuesday. Every team makes it in

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Speaker 2: the ACC Greensboro, North Carolina. If you look at the bracket,

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Speaker 2: the thing that jumps out is Duke is a ten seed.

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Speaker 2: And what does that mean? Duke? In order to win

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Speaker 2: the ACC Tournament, We'll have to win five games in

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Speaker 2: five days. Pretty wild. Virginia is the top seed because

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Speaker 2: Farida State somehow inexplicably lost, got blown out at Notre Dame,

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Speaker 2: and then Virginia beat Louisville and they stole the top seed.

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Speaker 2: So let's take a look at this bracket. What jumps

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Speaker 2: out at you. I'll start with you, Ran. I don't

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Speaker 2: think I'll have anything here, but I'll love to play

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Speaker 2: some Devil's advocates a round. I'll start with you. What

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Speaker 2: you got in the ACC Conference tournament.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think there's a huge difference between these sides

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Speaker 4: of the bracket, and the one that jumped out to

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Speaker 4: me was Georgia Tech right away. I mean, Alvarado has

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Speaker 4: been fantastic, one of the more underappreciating point guards in

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Speaker 4: the country. Jose Alvarado fifteen points, four boards, four assists,

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Speaker 4: three steals, and then Moses right. It was just named

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Speaker 4: ACC Player of the Year. I look at their bracket.

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Speaker 4: I don't think they're going to have trouble with Clemson

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Speaker 4: pitt Miami. I think that's a pretty good double by opponent.

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Speaker 4: Regardless of who they get. They'll have UVA, and they

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Speaker 4: have played UVA tough. They have no problem playing that style.

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Speaker 4: They can get down in dirty and play defense as well.

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Speaker 4: And I think the most the thing that jumped out

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Speaker 4: of me is that Florida State, Louisville, Virginia Tech all

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Speaker 4: on the other side of the bracket, even Duke, if

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Speaker 4: you want to say, they're going to make a run

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Speaker 4: and coach k Magic all on the other side. So

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Speaker 4: basically it comes down to can Georgia Tech win one

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Speaker 4: game and all the other teams are going to beat

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Speaker 4: each other up before they get to the championship right away?

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Speaker 4: For action piece, I really like Georgia Tech because I

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Speaker 4: like to draw. That's basically what it comes down to.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I can't disagree with anything he said,

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Speaker 3: because I think that part of the bracket is where

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Speaker 3: the sweet spot of the numbers are. From a betting standpoint,

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Speaker 3: Georgia Tech twenty five to one, Clemson twenty to one.

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Speaker 3: So Clemson has to win a game against Pittsburg or

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Speaker 3: Miami and then play Georgia Tech. But Georgia Tech has

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Speaker 3: you know, better odds, and if you look at you know,

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Speaker 3: kin Palm projections, Georgia Tech versus Clemson is going to

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Speaker 3: be about a pick um game. Either of them are

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Speaker 3: going to be about a three to five point underdogs

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Speaker 3: to Virginia after that. So yeah, in the semi finals,

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Speaker 3: you're gonna be clawing. But I mean, I can make

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Speaker 3: a case for splitting a full unit to split you know,

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Speaker 3: get two half unit bets. Put it on Georgia Tech,

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Speaker 3: put on Clemson, and you're gonna have a team playing

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Speaker 3: in the semi finals against Virginia where you can start

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Speaker 3: doing your work. And if you look at like since

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Speaker 3: February first, these are the two hottest teams in the

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Speaker 3: ACC right now. The Tigers have won six with their

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Speaker 3: past seven games, with their lone loss coming against a

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Speaker 3: zone defense at Syracuse.

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Speaker 6: And you know, Clemson is not known for being.

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Speaker 3: A powerhouse, but in the past five weeks, the Tigers

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Speaker 3: are third effective field goal percentage and that you know,

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Speaker 3: they they had the best shooting percentage from three point

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Speaker 3: territory at forty one percent, So they are hot right now.

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Speaker 6: Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 3: What I love about them, They've won six straight. They've

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Speaker 3: dominated the ACC in the paints where Clemson has been hot.

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Speaker 3: From outside the art, Georgia Tech has done all the

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Speaker 3: work on the blocks. They rank first two point percentage

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Speaker 3: and fifty five percent. You know, turnovers are the name

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Speaker 3: of the game for the Yellow Jackets. On defense, they

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Speaker 3: rank first in the ACC and steel percentage. I love

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Speaker 3: this pod of Georgia Tech and Clemson. I think you

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Speaker 3: should split a half unit on both. And uh, you know,

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Speaker 3: twenty twenty five to one or some of the numbers

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Speaker 3: I'm seeing out there.

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Speaker 2: First of all, shop shop around for the best number

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Speaker 2: I'm seeing out there. Georgia Tech eight to one, Georgia

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Speaker 2: Tech twenty five to one. I mean, do you understand

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Speaker 2: now big of a difference that is, there are drastic

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Speaker 2: differences in these conference tournament prices. And another another thing

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Speaker 2: is this is especially This could be true with a

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Speaker 2: lot of teams, but this is especially true with the

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Speaker 2: blue bloods. With teams you know people they're big fan

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Speaker 2: bases and just casual betters want to bet Duke Kentucky

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Speaker 2: to make a run that you know, Duke in Kentucky's

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Speaker 2: household names that might need to win their conference tournaments

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Speaker 2: to get in the dance. What are you seeing out

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Speaker 2: there with Duke I'm looking right now. I'm seeing a

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Speaker 2: twenty to one out there. For example, they got to

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Speaker 2: win five five games in five days, you will get

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Speaker 2: a better price on them. But depending up just doing

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Speaker 2: a money line rollover parlay, which is where these things

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Speaker 2: could come into play. For example, Kentucky, I'm seeing a

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Speaker 2: twenty to one out there. When we get to the SEC.

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Speaker 2: Kentucky starts with Mississippi State games probably gonna be you know,

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Speaker 2: there'll be a small favorite, maybe a pick, but I

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Speaker 2: think that there would be a small favor there. Then

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Speaker 2: you know that they're gonna get Alabama next Alabama maybe

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Speaker 2: a five to six point favorite. Then you know that

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Speaker 2: they're gonna get either Tennessee or Florida, fairly similar teams.

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Speaker 2: We can easily project that line. And then even if

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Speaker 2: you assume, Okay, Kentucky has momentum, they've won three in

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Speaker 2: a you're adjusting their power rating. Say they're a four

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Speaker 2: point under three or four point underdog in the in

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Speaker 2: the championship game against LSU or Arkansas. Well, parlay all

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Speaker 2: those games together. You're talking about forty forty five to

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Speaker 2: one instead of the twenty to one. So if you

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Speaker 2: think Duke mix a run, if you think the Tucky

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Speaker 2: makes a run, the money line rollover for those two

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Speaker 2: teams are the much better option. What I mean by

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Speaker 2: that is you take whatever your bet size, take one

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Speaker 2: hundred dollars, you put it on Duke moneyline in the

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Speaker 2: first game, whatever you netted, you know, so it's if

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Speaker 2: you've bet one hundred to win whatever it is. If

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Speaker 2: it's one hundred to win thirty, then you would take

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Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty. You put it on money on

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Speaker 2: the X, and then you continue on and on. So

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Speaker 2: but back to the ACC. My only concern and at

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Speaker 2: twenty five to one, yes I would really like Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 2: I love their team. But my only concern with Georgia Tech,

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Speaker 2: and it's probably why I will ultimately stay away from

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Speaker 2: a future here. I mean, Virginia Tech has been dealing

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Speaker 2: with breaks and action and can I can't really trust them.

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Speaker 2: Florida State, I think they're the best team in the ACC.

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Speaker 2: Curious effort against Notre Dame, but don't see much value

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Speaker 2: with them. But so, yeah, I was circling Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 2: Won't be an easy game against Clemson. They did at Clemson,

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Speaker 2: they should have won that game and then Clemson hit

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Speaker 2: bank did a three at the buzzer to win. But

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Speaker 2: Georgia Tech, they have no radle. Like you said, they

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Speaker 2: have no issues playing Virginia because they have the shooters.

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Speaker 2: They have lots of shooters that could shoot over that

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Speaker 2: pack line and score. Both games they could have easily won,

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Speaker 2: but they folded late in both They kind of ran

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Speaker 2: out of steam and one of the games, ky A

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Speaker 2: Clark hit a bunch of threes, which is like he

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Speaker 2: never does, and it was kind of fluky. But Geordia

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Speaker 2: Tech did kind of run out a steam in the

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Speaker 2: first matchup with Virginia. That's my concern with them. So

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Speaker 2: in order for Georgia Tech to win this, they're gonna

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Speaker 2: have to win three games in three days, and you know,

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Speaker 2: the first game against Clemson it'll be a grinder, and

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Speaker 2: then you play Virginia and another grinder. Will they have

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Speaker 2: legs on Saturday? And if you're at twenty five to one,

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Speaker 2: and if you want, you can Hatch. But Thissjordia Tech

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Speaker 2: team is not deep. They are not deep. They want

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Speaker 2: to play faster, and you've seen it a couple of

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Speaker 2: times this year when they've had a quick turnaround. You know,

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Speaker 2: they beat Florida State on a Saturday, they played Louisville

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Speaker 2: on a Monday and got blown out. You know, you've

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Speaker 2: seen them run out of steam after in a few spots.

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Speaker 2: Now they're three games in three days for a team

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Speaker 2: that's three hundred and thirty seventh in bench minutes, they

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Speaker 2: pretty much are gonna go what six, that's it. They

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Speaker 2: go six deep, Alvarado devout, you know, Usher Parham moses

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Speaker 2: right inside and Cleave Moore. I mean, that's it. They

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Speaker 2: are not deep. So that is my concern is with

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Speaker 2: the legs of Jeordia Tech in three games in three days.

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Speaker 2: Any thoughts, sar Ranal?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, the issue too in the bottom of the bracket

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Speaker 4: is no Malik Williamson for Louisville, which is going to

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Speaker 4: hurt them. But when they play Florida State the first time,

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Speaker 4: they didn't have him either, So I don't think you know,

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Speaker 4: Florida State is Florida State. They can beat anyone. They

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Speaker 4: could absolutely go in and beat the Gonzagara Baylor and

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Speaker 4: none of us would be surprised. But there's a flip

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Speaker 4: side to that coin. They could also really struggle and

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Speaker 4: any team where Carly Jones he can take over a game.

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Speaker 4: We saw it in the Duke game in overtime, so

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Speaker 4: I know Louisville is shorthanded. I just think that's a

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Speaker 4: very very tough game. Yeah, Virginia playing Syracuse, right, let's

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Speaker 4: assume it's Syracuse or NC State. Georgia Tech against Clemson

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Speaker 4: away the different story Virginia Tech against North Carolina. I

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Speaker 4: think Florida State is the hardest potential second game there.

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Speaker 4: They're for their opening game that they would play of anyone,

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Speaker 4: which is why I kind of feel like, you know,

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Speaker 4: Florida State people may like it. It was it like

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Speaker 4: three to one right now for Florida State.

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Speaker 3: I get it.

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Speaker 4: I just looked towards Georgia Tech because I just like

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Speaker 4: they have big time people, they have a point guard,

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Speaker 4: they have inside, They're well coached, they have good chemistry.

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Speaker 4: I just like that draw better with Virginia.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that just Louisville. The other concern, Yeah, they don't

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Speaker 2: have Williams and if you want if you wanted to

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Speaker 2: consider a problem with them, Just like Georgia Tech and

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Speaker 2: Loue's got have to win one extra game in order

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Speaker 2: for Louisville to win this, they're gonna win games in

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Speaker 2: four days. They have, Yeah, Malik Williams isn't there. They

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Speaker 2: played played without them a lot this year. But they

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Speaker 2: have zero depth as well. There are I think bottom

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Speaker 2: twenty in the country in bench minutes. They right now

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Speaker 2: are going like six deep. That's not great when you

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Speaker 2: have to try to win four games in four days.

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Speaker 2: At least Tegea Tech is only three and three days.

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Speaker 2: But Louisville just has absolutely no depth right now. That's

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Speaker 2: one of the advantages of Florida State will have. Virginia

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Speaker 2: is not a deep team either, but they just I mean,

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Speaker 2: with their style, it doesn't really matter. So a lot

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Speaker 2: of intriguing teams. And then look, if you really wanted

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Speaker 2: to take a long shot here, maybe look at Syracuse.

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Speaker 2: It's another team with no bench. A lot of these

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Speaker 2: teams the ACC have just no bench at all. Syracuse

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Speaker 2: right now is going sixty. But also with Richmond, that's

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Speaker 2: it who's been banged up. There's so many of these

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Speaker 2: aces teams that are just six deep Georgia Tech, Syracuse

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Speaker 2: and Syracuse, and Syracuse is going to have to win

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Speaker 2: four games in four days, but they play you know,

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Speaker 2: they're gonna play a grinder with Virginia look their zone.

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Speaker 2: It's just that in a tournament setting that they can

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Speaker 2: get hot. The big wildcard there as they start off

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Speaker 2: with NC State and this is an NC State team

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Speaker 2: that suddenly shorthanded, has one five in a row, seem

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Speaker 2: to be kind of surging of late, so that's what

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Speaker 2: they'll start out with. But Syracuse in a tournament setting

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Speaker 2: always semi intriguing as a long shot. So yeah, I

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Speaker 2: don't hate Georgia Tech, especially if you can get twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty five to one with eighty eight the ones out there.

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Speaker 2: My only concern is the legs, which is my concern

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Speaker 2: for a lot of these teams that would look potentially intriguing.

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Speaker 6: As we go through all these tournaments.

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Speaker 3: I think it's important that if you're looking for teams

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Speaker 3: that are going to have to play four games in

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Speaker 3: a row, you're gonna want to concentrate on bench minutes.

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Speaker 3: Like Florida State, for example, is twenty second in the nation.

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Speaker 3: That's because they go nine deep in guys that play

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Speaker 3: at least sixteen percent of the minutes. So if you're

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Speaker 3: gonna look for somebody to win four straight, you know,

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Speaker 3: make sure that you grab benchminutes because it's just highly

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Speaker 3: improbable for anybody that's running a six man rotation to

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Speaker 3: go to win that many games in a row.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, I mean even Duke right now, they're not

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Speaker 2: deep and they're gonna have to win five and five days.

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Speaker 2: That's an issue. All right. Let's move on to another

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Speaker 2: conference tournament that starts on Tuesday, and that's Conference USA.

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Speaker 2: This will be held in Frisco, Texas. I think like

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Speaker 2: some of the games they go on at the same time,

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Speaker 2: like there's curtains that separate them. I'm gonna have to

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Speaker 2: look into this, but I think in these games it's

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Speaker 2: a weird gym and the Unders have been really good

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Speaker 2: early on. I'll look into it. I'll put that in

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Speaker 2: some of our previews. The top seeds just divisional format,

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Speaker 2: so there was two divisions. The top seed in the

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Speaker 2: East was Western Kentucky in the West was Louisiana Tech.

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Speaker 2: But they will both get buys into the quarterfinals on Thursday,

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Speaker 2: as will UA be in Old Dominion. Both of those

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Speaker 2: were two seeds in each division. When I look at

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Speaker 2: this bracket, I mean you could throw out the teams

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Speaker 2: that start on Tuesday. Are gonna have to win five

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Speaker 2: games in five days against the conference with a lot

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Speaker 2: of potential. Yeah, I think that this is realistically six

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Speaker 2: teams seventeens that aren't that far apart as far as

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Speaker 2: power ratings or talent level. You need to throw U

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Speaker 2: tep in there.

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Speaker 1: Maybe we're talking minor nation.

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Speaker 2: Out in the West Texas town of a Pastor picks

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Speaker 2: up Rice, Southern miss Middle Tennessee FIU. I mean you

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Speaker 2: could throw them out that start on Tuesday so we

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Speaker 2: could focus on the rest of the conference. My team

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Speaker 2: that I'm circling here, sticking with my guns, by the way,

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Speaker 2: did not work out for Furman. I'm still devastated that

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Speaker 2: Ferman blew that lead against VM I up ten late

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Speaker 2: and give up a ten or run and lose in overtime.

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Speaker 2: But I digress. I'm really intrigued here by Marshall. It's

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Speaker 2: a team that doesn't really match up well with North Texas.

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Speaker 2: They can have some problems with Louisiana tech Stylistically, they're

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Speaker 2: both on the other side of the bracket. They'll have

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Speaker 2: to start out with Rice or Southern Myss. They should

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Speaker 2: win that game. Then they will play UAB. You know,

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Speaker 2: Marshall doesn't really turn the ball over and UAB. I'm

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Speaker 2: not a believer in u AB's offense. And UAB their defense,

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Speaker 2: which is breaks out really well, does rely on forcing turnovers,

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Speaker 2: which is something that Marshall won't do. They have excellent

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Speaker 2: guards and I mean the top forty in turnover rape

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Speaker 2: with Kinsey and West. They just don't turn the ball over.

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Speaker 2: They play a really unique style. They want to get

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Speaker 2: out and run and get out and transition, shoot a

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Speaker 2: lot of threes as much as possible. Great offense. They're

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Speaker 2: actually playing better defense than you would expect from the

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Speaker 2: Dan D'Antoni team. But Marshall, they don't have that coveted

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Speaker 2: double by. But with the way that they play, it's

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Speaker 2: just a hard team to play in a tournament setting.

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Speaker 2: So once they get to the semi's like on a

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Speaker 2: back of and then the championship on Saturday, went back

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Speaker 2: to back to back with the way that they play,

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Speaker 2: So Marshall is an intriguing team for me. I will

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Speaker 2: probably be on them in some capacity. I could make

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Speaker 2: arguments for almost every other team as to why they'll

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Speaker 2: play Marshall. By the way, we'd have to play Western

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Speaker 2: Kentucky in the semis. Western Kentucky probably the most talented

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Speaker 2: team overall, very Jekyll and Hide, and they beat Marshall

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Speaker 2: both times in the Rego seam, but both were pretty close.

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Speaker 2: Marshall actually missed a shot at the buzzer to win

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Speaker 2: a home I don't think that game is not winnable.

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Speaker 2: I think it would actually be closer to a coin flip. Randall,

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Speaker 2: I know you have some thoughts on conference to you, Sade,

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Speaker 2: what you got here?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm with you, man. It's a wide open. This

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Speaker 4: is a fun one. This is going to be a really,

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Speaker 4: really good tournament. The team that I'm targeting is Louisiana Tech,

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Speaker 4: one of the few teams that entered here with momentum.

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Speaker 4: They won the West at twelve and four, one game

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Speaker 4: ahead of UAB and I grew. If you stuck about UEB,

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Speaker 4: I've watched them so many times. There are three to

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Speaker 4: five minute stretches when they're putting up shots that are

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Speaker 4: not even hitting the rim. I mean they they put

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Speaker 4: shots off the backboard from three point range regular that

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Speaker 4: don't hit the rim, so I think their offense is limited.

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Speaker 4: But the Bulldogs are conference, you as say, second rate

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Speaker 4: team in Kim Palm. They're right behind North Texas. North Texas,

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Speaker 4: by the way, is entering this tournament losing three games

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Speaker 4: in a row, so I think they've cooled a little bit.

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Speaker 4: They have that unbalanced schedule, But Louisiana Tech is the

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Speaker 4: only team that can boast that. They beat Western Kentucky away,

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Speaker 4: North Texas away, and UiB twice, so they've beaten those

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Speaker 4: other three top teams across the board. At Concle's philosophy,

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Speaker 4: the head coach man and man right get up on you.

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Speaker 4: They have the best defense last year for ken Pom,

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Speaker 4: and again this season they held opponents just forty five

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Speaker 4: percent from effective field goal percentage and twenty eight percent

387
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Speaker 4: from beyond the arc. And I really value defending the

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Speaker 4: three pointer because I feel like that's the way that

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Speaker 4: teams that are subpar can stay in the game. If

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Speaker 4: you defend that and you make them score against you

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Speaker 4: in other ways, I think it puts a ceiling on

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Speaker 4: that upset possibility. I like their draw. I like that

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Speaker 4: North Texas is going to battle Odu in the round

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Speaker 4: before them, and I like that, Marshall, because I think

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Speaker 4: their sleeper also is on the other side the bracket.

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Speaker 4: I get Western Kentucky, but Western Kentucky with Bassing inside,

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Speaker 4: he can get a little flaky. Sometimes they don't bring

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Speaker 4: the effort. I love the balance with Louisiana Tech. They

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Speaker 4: have Crawford and lofton inside, they have Ladeaux and Liddeau.

400
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Speaker 4: Over the last three games, he's shooting sixty percent twelve

401
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Speaker 4: of twenty from three point range. So they bring the

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Speaker 4: defense and they just need to have offense, with which

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Speaker 4: they've shown recently. Louisiana Tech, I know they're one of

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Speaker 4: the favorites, but I'm fine with it plus three hundred.

405
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Speaker 4: I like their draw. I think it's gonna be one

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Speaker 4: of these top teams because, like Stucky said, I think

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Speaker 4: getting a run here late from the preliminary round of

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Speaker 4: the first round is going to be tough. But to me,

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Speaker 4: they're playing the best. They've beaten all the other teams.

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Speaker 4: They're head and shoulders above. I like the Bulldogs.

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Speaker 2: I'll go Marshall. I don't know necessarily disagree with it,

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Speaker 2: but I wouldn't go below five to one on Marshall. Colm,

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Speaker 2: Do you have any thoughts here?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, just for me, I thought this one

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Speaker 3: was Western Kentucky or Louisiana Tech meeting up in the finals.

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Speaker 3: These are the two best free throw rate shooting teams.

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Speaker 3: I wanted to make a case for North Texas sleeping

418
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Speaker 3: in their own beds at night, considering dentin Iss so

419
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Speaker 3: close to Frisco, but they just lost at home twice

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Speaker 3: in a row to U, so there's not much love

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Speaker 3: for me there. I'm going to take the teams with

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Speaker 3: the best free throw shooting rates and defensively best free

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Speaker 3: throw rates.

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Speaker 6: That'd be Western Kentucky and Louisiana Tech.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean North Texas. They're a really intriguing team,

426
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Speaker 2: well coached, great defense. They play so slow though, so

427
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Speaker 2: slow they could defend Marshall and take Marshall out what

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Speaker 2: Marshall wants to do. That's the team that I'm really

429
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Speaker 2: afraid of for Marshall. But I mean the way that

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00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:28,280
Speaker 2: North Texas plays is almost everyone can be in the

431
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:30,920
Speaker 2: game with them. That's what really scares me. Now, I

432
00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:33,359
Speaker 2: don't think Middle Tennessee or FIU can give them problems,

433
00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:36,440
Speaker 2: but that ODU game easily could go either way if you're.

434
00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:38,440
Speaker 3: Looking for a single game bet, though, considering the fact

435
00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:41,200
Speaker 3: that nobody's ever played in this arena and there's a

436
00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:44,000
Speaker 3: curtain involved, and I mean I preach this all the

437
00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:45,960
Speaker 3: time with these conference tournaments, and when we go into

438
00:20:46,000 --> 00:20:48,560
Speaker 3: marsh Madison to the big tournament, when these teams are

439
00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 3: playing in an unfamiliar environment with a bigger stadium than

440
00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:53,639
Speaker 3: they're what they're used to, their site lines to the

441
00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:55,439
Speaker 3: rim are not so good. And if you're looking at

442
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:58,320
Speaker 3: say a North Texas team whose tempo is extremely slow

443
00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:01,320
Speaker 3: going up against Middle Tennessee who also runs an extremely

444
00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:03,879
Speaker 3: slow tempo, that's a first half under banger.

445
00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:05,479
Speaker 6: So keep that in mind too.

446
00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:10,720
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476
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Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the Mountain West Conference tournament.

477
00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:42,960
Speaker 2: And I know that there's probably gonna be some hot

478
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:46,560
Speaker 2: takes here this. I think this is one of the

479
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:50,960
Speaker 2: more intriguing conference sort of just period across the board.

480
00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:52,760
Speaker 2: And the reason for that is a lot of good

481
00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:57,680
Speaker 2: potential tournament teams and the conference has absolutely just ruined

482
00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 2: things potentially for some of these teams. Is making them

483
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:02,840
Speaker 2: play the play the makeup games. You have Colorado State

484
00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 2: lost at the Buzzer to Nevada, your Boise going down

485
00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:08,320
Speaker 2: to Fresno. All these games are working do anything for

486
00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:10,639
Speaker 2: their resume, and they lose and the potentially could keep

487
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:12,920
Speaker 2: them out. So if San Diego State is safely in

488
00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:16,200
Speaker 2: the in the tournament, who else is safe in nobody?

489
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:19,840
Speaker 2: So there is a lot of intrigue here. I look

490
00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:22,760
Speaker 2: at the top half of the bracket, San Diego State,

491
00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:26,000
Speaker 2: this starts Wednesday, by the way, in Las Vegas, you

492
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:29,639
Speaker 2: have Wyoming, San Jose State, UNLV Air Force Fresno in

493
00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:32,280
Speaker 2: New Mexico playing on that first day. Can UNLB make

494
00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:33,280
Speaker 2: a run on there?

495
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:33,920
Speaker 4: You know?

496
00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:36,439
Speaker 2: In Vegas they start with the Air Force and they

497
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:39,600
Speaker 2: play Utah State. I don't know. They potentially could win

498
00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:42,160
Speaker 2: a game or two, but not a team that I'm

499
00:23:42,280 --> 00:23:46,360
Speaker 2: circling to back. But Colorado State is I think maybe

500
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,000
Speaker 2: I'm going to get some agreement here. But you have

501
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:49,760
Speaker 2: San Diego State at the top. You can assume they

502
00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 2: beat Wyoming Santaesea State. They go to the Semis, they'll

503
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:54,040
Speaker 2: play the winner of Bois Nevada. That's that could be

504
00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:56,920
Speaker 2: a war. By the way, Boise is just I mean,

505
00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 2: I feel bad for them. They were I thought headed

506
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:02,159
Speaker 2: towards a shoeing toward the NCAA tournament. They lose in

507
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:06,160
Speaker 2: overtime to San Diego State, then they lose another close

508
00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:07,760
Speaker 2: one to San Diego State, and then they close out

509
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,400
Speaker 2: the year with the home lost to Fresno. They got

510
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:14,119
Speaker 2: swept by Nevada in one of them. They almost hit

511
00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:15,439
Speaker 2: a shot to win it, but they got swept by

512
00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:17,960
Speaker 2: Nevada earlier this year. So they start with Nevada and

513
00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:19,960
Speaker 2: probably it must win for them. Then they would have

514
00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:22,919
Speaker 2: San Diego State. They got swept by San Diego State too,

515
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:25,600
Speaker 2: both games pretty close. They could win that game too,

516
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:29,080
Speaker 2: but Boise at their price price point, I had no

517
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:33,639
Speaker 2: interest given their path. Colorida State similar path, except that

518
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:37,040
Speaker 2: instead of Nevada in the first game they get Fresno

519
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:39,880
Speaker 2: or New Mexico, and then instead of San Diego State

520
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 2: they get Utah State, so much more intriguing team for me.

521
00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:47,400
Speaker 2: Boise State can get at four to one, Colorida State

522
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:49,520
Speaker 2: same price. I've seen some five to ones out there.

523
00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:52,280
Speaker 2: On both five to one or better. I'm looking at

524
00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:55,200
Speaker 2: Colorida State. I think that they match up pretty well

525
00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:57,280
Speaker 2: with Utah State. I expect them to get to the

526
00:24:57,320 --> 00:25:00,720
Speaker 2: Semis and then we will see what happens to the

527
00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:02,720
Speaker 2: top half where there could be some carnage or we

528
00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:04,920
Speaker 2: get San Diego State, who Colorado State did beat and

529
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:09,119
Speaker 2: the miracle comeback in splitting two games in San Diego

530
00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 2: this year. So it's Rams for me and I hope

531
00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:13,040
Speaker 2: they do win it so we can get this team

532
00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:16,040
Speaker 2: in the tournament. Randall thoughts on Mount West.

533
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, imagine the Rams getting in this year with that

534
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,760
Speaker 4: team they have coming back next year. Be great experience

535
00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:23,639
Speaker 4: in Nico Medvedi trust They're the only team in the

536
00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:26,000
Speaker 4: mount West. Just talked about Louisiana Tech, only team in

537
00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:28,720
Speaker 4: the Mountain West that defeated San Diego State, Utah State,

538
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:31,480
Speaker 4: and Boise State. They have a guard heavy lineup. They

539
00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:34,639
Speaker 4: shoot the three really well. Roddy the body's been fantastic

540
00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:37,520
Speaker 4: inside and I know he's undersized against Kada, but this

541
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:39,280
Speaker 4: game is not going to be in Uta State and

542
00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:42,440
Speaker 4: they already beat them. They have elite perimeter defense. Yes,

543
00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:44,520
Speaker 4: they did trip up against Nevada there in a game

544
00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:46,520
Speaker 4: they really wanted because of course they were annoyed about

545
00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:49,800
Speaker 4: San Diego State getting those gifted two forfeits. But Thistle

546
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 4: would foil out with like eight minutes left in that game,

547
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 4: so they were severely shorthanded. They faced Uta State in

548
00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:57,040
Speaker 4: the SEMIS, who, like you said, is going to have

549
00:25:57,080 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 4: a tricky game against UNLV. Probably the game be four Nevada, Boise,

550
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:04,159
Speaker 4: San Diego State all on the other side. And you

551
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:07,600
Speaker 4: can't underestimate the confidence of a team that came back

552
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 4: at San Diego State, the number one seeded team, in

553
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:13,160
Speaker 4: a huge, huge comeback. It's a great game. I love

554
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:15,399
Speaker 4: this entire team. I love the way they shoot threes,

555
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:18,000
Speaker 4: they play tough, they have a great coach, a lot

556
00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:20,080
Speaker 4: of great chemistry of Colorado State, and like you said,

557
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:22,040
Speaker 4: five to one, six to one, wherever you can get it,

558
00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:24,359
Speaker 4: that's my team. I want to stay away from the

559
00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 4: other side of the bracket and I'll take my chances

560
00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 4: with them playing Utah State coming off a UNLB game

561
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:30,360
Speaker 4: that may be closer than people realize.

562
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:32,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, they Utah State split with you on all the

563
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:34,640
Speaker 2: older of this year. Wooster did come back. They're fresh

564
00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:38,399
Speaker 2: from point guard I think in their finale, so he

565
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:41,640
Speaker 2: is back, which does help them. But I would take,

566
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:42,920
Speaker 2: if you put a gun in my head, who wins

567
00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:46,320
Speaker 2: that potential Colorida State Utah State game? I'm taking Colorado State.

568
00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:48,359
Speaker 2: Coyle thoughts on me, not in West.

569
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:50,440
Speaker 3: Well, let's make it a sweet because I was salivating

570
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 3: when the odds came out on this tournament because I

571
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,840
Speaker 3: love the rams, you know, sitting with a buye as

572
00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:57,560
Speaker 3: the number three seed being on the other side of

573
00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:00,560
Speaker 3: the bracket from San Diego State and Nevada Coloradarida State's

574
00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:03,360
Speaker 3: been hot through conference play. They've racked up eleven victories

575
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:05,920
Speaker 3: in their last thirteen games, and this is a conference

576
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:09,080
Speaker 3: where you know, winning on the road is tough. I

577
00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 3: think it's one of the toughest in the Perkin Palm.

578
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:14,160
Speaker 3: And you know, Nevada's got a sub five hundred record

579
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:17,360
Speaker 3: on the road. You know, San Diego State, Utah State,

580
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:20,000
Speaker 3: and Colorado the only ones to go five hundred or above.

581
00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 3: You know, Colorado State did set for multiple weeks in

582
00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:25,879
Speaker 3: February due to COVID nineteen disruption they had, you know,

583
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:29,320
Speaker 3: New Mexico Nevada both had trouble with COVID nineteen. The

584
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:32,040
Speaker 3: layoff didn't really do anything to deter the RAMS office,

585
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:36,640
Speaker 3: which is really really heavily reliant on point distribution from

586
00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 3: beyond the arc. This is a team that lives and

587
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 3: breeds at the charity strike. The Rams are third in

588
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:44,800
Speaker 3: the Mountain West and free throw rate their first and

589
00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:47,760
Speaker 3: free throw percentage, so that means they get to the

590
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:51,000
Speaker 3: line often and they make their free throws. That's the

591
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 3: kind of team that you want to play on in

592
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:55,240
Speaker 3: these single elimination tournaments as teams that get to the

593
00:27:55,320 --> 00:27:58,800
Speaker 3: line often and more importantly drill their free shots.

594
00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:01,080
Speaker 6: And that is Colorado State on a perfect draw.

595
00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:03,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's a great point Colum made about

596
00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:05,600
Speaker 4: the free throws. They make their free throws. They can

597
00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 4: control the ball, They're not going to turn it over.

598
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:11,280
Speaker 4: The weakness is inside. Roddy has been incredible at six

599
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:14,960
Speaker 4: feet five avoiding foul trouble, they get the rebound, and

600
00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:17,760
Speaker 4: they're selfless. They do all the things that you want

601
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:20,200
Speaker 4: a team to do that you're backing in a tournament.

602
00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:24,720
Speaker 4: Make free throws, play perimeter defense, make three pointers, don't

603
00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:27,560
Speaker 4: turn the ball over. Great coach to boxes check for

604
00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:28,520
Speaker 4: me with Colorado State.

605
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:31,359
Speaker 2: YEP, couldn't agree more. All right, let's move on to

606
00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:32,680
Speaker 2: the Pac twelve.

607
00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:37,480
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, let's do this, and this also.

608
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 2: Will be played in Nevada Tmobile Arena starting on March tenth.

609
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:47,680
Speaker 2: Top seed Oregon, we'll get underway on Thursday against either

610
00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:51,720
Speaker 2: the winner of Arizona State Washington State. UCLA Oregon State

611
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:53,600
Speaker 2: play in the four or five game. In the bottom

612
00:28:53,680 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 2: half of the bracket, you have USC and Colorado. What

613
00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:59,960
Speaker 2: buys into the quarterfinals? When I look at this brackt

614
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 2: it I mean Oregon I think is the deserved favorite.

615
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:06,360
Speaker 2: By the way that UCLA meltdown against USC on Saturday,

616
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:09,680
Speaker 2: Oh boy, they trailed for a total one second loss

617
00:29:09,680 --> 00:29:11,520
Speaker 2: of the buzzer in a three, but Oregon I think

618
00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 2: look trending up getting out here, but again, shop around.

619
00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:19,160
Speaker 2: I'm taking just a small shot here. We'll have a

620
00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:21,480
Speaker 2: piece up with our favorite conference tournament features that we

621
00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:26,440
Speaker 2: all that big staff piece up on Actionnework dot Com,

622
00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 2: the Action Network Gap in the morning, or I guess

623
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:31,440
Speaker 2: if you're listening to this on Tuesday, they'll be up already.

624
00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:34,720
Speaker 2: I'm taking a small shot here with Arizona State, but

625
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:36,840
Speaker 2: you have to find a lot of risk here. You

626
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:38,400
Speaker 2: have to find that there's an eighty There's an eighty

627
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:40,320
Speaker 2: to one out there, right, there's also a twenty eight

628
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:42,880
Speaker 2: to one, a twenty two to one, and their opponent

629
00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 2: in the first game, but you could argue is a

630
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:46,880
Speaker 2: coin flip game. Sometimes their opponent on some books will

631
00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 2: be sixty six to one, and then they'll be twenty

632
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 2: eight to one. But there's an eighty to one out there.

633
00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:53,160
Speaker 2: That's kind of the price point that that I would need.

634
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 2: It's a deep team and very talented team that underachieved

635
00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:59,120
Speaker 2: all year what you're hoping for, and they've aught. They've

636
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:02,160
Speaker 2: hardly played together their entire lineup. One of the I

637
00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:04,680
Speaker 2: think it's one of the top five most talented teams

638
00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:06,800
Speaker 2: in the conference by far. You could argue it's the

639
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:09,920
Speaker 2: most at full strength. You have to hope that Josh

640
00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:13,800
Speaker 2: Christopher and Marcus Bagley, who have been in and out

641
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:15,600
Speaker 2: of the lineup, they didn't play last weekend. You assume

642
00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:17,600
Speaker 2: they just held them out because who cares. They have

643
00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 2: to win the Factor Tourna to get into the tournament anyway.

644
00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:23,760
Speaker 2: Those are two future NBA players. You know obviously have

645
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:26,400
Speaker 2: Remy Martin at the point. They have a style, they

646
00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:28,840
Speaker 2: want to play fast. It's a team that could be

647
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:32,120
Speaker 2: difficult to play in a tournament setting deep. If they

648
00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 2: can put it all together now they would have to

649
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,640
Speaker 2: play they'll be Washington State. If a soon they're healthy,

650
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 2: then they'd have to play Oregon. If they get by

651
00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:40,720
Speaker 2: back game, they can beat VCLA Oregon State, and then

652
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:42,920
Speaker 2: they're in the championship. So you're basically taking them on

653
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 2: a fly on a flyer that they're going to be

654
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 2: fully healthy, they can put it all together for one

655
00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:50,640
Speaker 2: game against Oregon, who I think their guards can have

656
00:30:50,760 --> 00:30:53,880
Speaker 2: some success against what Oregon wants to do. Defensively. Can

657
00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:56,120
Speaker 2: they get stops on Oregon? That's a different question, But

658
00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,120
Speaker 2: Oregon's also not a just big dominant team in the

659
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:02,600
Speaker 2: interior where Arizona State's a little lacking. So if Arizona

660
00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:04,520
Speaker 2: State's fully healthy and they can put it all together,

661
00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 2: if you can get eighty to one, twenty eight to one,

662
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:10,040
Speaker 2: don't take but fifty to one maybe or better sixty

663
00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:12,240
Speaker 2: to one, seventy to eighty one that range, I've taken

664
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 2: a flower in the sun devels. I'll probably go on

665
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:15,720
Speaker 2: an island here, but that's what I'm rolling with. On

666
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 2: one of my darts of the week, randall what he

667
00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:19,680
Speaker 2: got in the PAC twelve.

668
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,360
Speaker 4: Guys at bet MGM, they have Southern Cali plus two

669
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:25,160
Speaker 4: to twenty five as the favorite, giving me plus two

670
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:26,920
Speaker 4: to fifty four Oregon. It's not a huge difference, but

671
00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:29,720
Speaker 4: they're not the favorite. Listen, I liked Oregon State to

672
00:31:29,840 --> 00:31:32,640
Speaker 4: cover against Oregon the other night at home. They went

673
00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:34,920
Speaker 4: in and absolutely blitzed them and drilled them from three

674
00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:38,320
Speaker 4: point range. So I want to look for a flyer.

675
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:40,240
Speaker 4: I just don't see it stuck. I don't see it

676
00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:42,480
Speaker 4: with Arizona State. I like Washington State actually maybe a

677
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:45,239
Speaker 4: year two early, but I think Arizona State's just been

678
00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 4: so turnover prone and they just make so many mistakes.

679
00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:50,640
Speaker 4: I can't see them getting by Oregon. So then they

680
00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:53,120
Speaker 4: go against UCLA's lost three in a row or Oregon

681
00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:55,720
Speaker 4: State on a neutral I don't see that. So Oregon

682
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:57,520
Speaker 4: to me is one of the easier of all the

683
00:31:57,560 --> 00:31:59,719
Speaker 4: conference tormas we're gonna talk about today. I see them

684
00:31:59,720 --> 00:32:02,160
Speaker 4: again heading into the finals for sure. If I can

685
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,240
Speaker 4: get them anywhere where they're not the favorite, even at

686
00:32:04,280 --> 00:32:06,360
Speaker 4: a small difference like a bet MGM, I'm fine with it.

687
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:09,080
Speaker 4: On the other side of the bracket, Colorado's the big pillow.

688
00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:10,920
Speaker 4: You know my thoughts on them. I'm never betting them.

689
00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:14,640
Speaker 4: Utah away from home, forget it. So it's usc no thanks.

690
00:32:14,760 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 4: I'll take the Ducks. They're just flying high. Duarte's back.

691
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:19,760
Speaker 4: Richardson was making threes the other night at Oregon State.

692
00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:21,840
Speaker 4: He hasn't made threes, you know, for half the year.

693
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 4: They are a dangerous team. They're well coached, They're peaking

694
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:26,280
Speaker 4: at the right time. You know, one of the futures

695
00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:28,960
Speaker 4: we talked about. I can't go away from them, just

696
00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:30,480
Speaker 4: shop around and try not to get them as the

697
00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:32,080
Speaker 4: favorite and take a slight discount.

698
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:34,000
Speaker 3: Colm, what do you got in the PAC twelve, I

699
00:32:34,040 --> 00:32:36,760
Speaker 3: thought Oregon and USC were price correctly is the two

700
00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:39,120
Speaker 3: top seeds here, and it's really hard for me to

701
00:32:39,240 --> 00:32:41,360
Speaker 3: try to find somebody to break through that. So if

702
00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:43,760
Speaker 3: we concentrate on the USC side of the bracket, I think,

703
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:45,600
Speaker 3: if you're going to get a surprise, it's going to

704
00:32:45,680 --> 00:32:47,720
Speaker 3: come from over there. But who are you going to take?

705
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:50,240
Speaker 3: I mean, when you look at USC's numbers, they love

706
00:32:50,400 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 3: to work in the paint. The best two point shooting

707
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:55,320
Speaker 3: team you know in the Pac twelve. But also they

708
00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 3: are third in the nation and defense from two point territory,

709
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:01,360
Speaker 3: so they love to work down low and make you

710
00:33:01,440 --> 00:33:03,000
Speaker 3: work for it. They have the you know, the best

711
00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:04,680
Speaker 3: free throw rate on both sides of the ball, the

712
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:07,240
Speaker 3: Trojans do. But at the same time, the thing that scares.

713
00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:10,239
Speaker 2: Me about taking USC, you can't make Yeah, the thing

714
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:11,280
Speaker 2: that scares me about taking.

715
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:13,640
Speaker 6: USC is not just that they're bad. In the PAC twelve.

716
00:33:13,840 --> 00:33:15,840
Speaker 3: They're three hundred and twenty seventh in the nation at

717
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:18,720
Speaker 3: sixty four point four percent. How can you put a

718
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:22,320
Speaker 3: future down in any format on a team that, you know,

719
00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:25,480
Speaker 3: if they have a lead in a single elimination game,

720
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:28,360
Speaker 3: they're gonna get put on the line right to close

721
00:33:28,360 --> 00:33:28,840
Speaker 3: out a game.

722
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:29,120
Speaker 2: It is.

723
00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:31,960
Speaker 3: I am not comfortable with having money on this USC team.

724
00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:35,400
Speaker 3: So you know, you look around, who can I go with? Well, Stanford?

725
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:37,160
Speaker 3: You know this is going to be a neutral site

726
00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:39,880
Speaker 3: for everybody. Stanford's one of the low teams that you know,

727
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:42,240
Speaker 3: finished with a five hundred record on the road. Everybody

728
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:44,840
Speaker 3: else was really poor winning games on the road this season.

729
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:45,440
Speaker 4: Uh.

730
00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:48,280
Speaker 3: You know, USC just lost games to Colorado, they just

731
00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:51,320
Speaker 3: lost a game to Utah. Uh, so there are shots here.

732
00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:53,200
Speaker 3: I think if you're gonna pick one, put it on

733
00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:55,880
Speaker 3: the opposite side of Oregon, and uh, you know, plan

734
00:33:56,040 --> 00:33:58,479
Speaker 3: on USC. I think they're prime for an upset here

735
00:33:58,520 --> 00:34:00,719
Speaker 3: because that free throw percentage, it's gonna catch them at

736
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:03,200
Speaker 3: some point, if not in the tournament, at some point.

737
00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:07,480
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the Big Ten tournament.

738
00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:09,320
Speaker 1: Big ten unders.

739
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:11,000
Speaker 2: You want to talk about a lot of fun. The

740
00:34:11,160 --> 00:34:17,920
Speaker 2: potential Big Ten quarterfinals and semi finals should be absolutely exhilarating.

741
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:21,720
Speaker 2: All right, So the top four seeds get double buys

742
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:24,200
Speaker 2: into the quarterfinals. That's Michigan, Purdue on the top half

743
00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:27,279
Speaker 2: of the bracket, Illinois and Iowa on the bottom half

744
00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:29,720
Speaker 2: of the bracket. And by the way, this tournament starts

745
00:34:29,800 --> 00:34:32,719
Speaker 2: on Wednesday and we'll be played at the United Center

746
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 2: in Chicago. Illinois, Penn State was my team that I

747
00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:38,800
Speaker 2: really wanted to back, like this is a team that's dangerous.

748
00:34:38,880 --> 00:34:40,160
Speaker 6: They really got it.

749
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:42,400
Speaker 2: They got so unlucky, lost so many close games. But

750
00:34:42,480 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 2: they're the eleven seed in the bottom half of the bracket.

751
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 2: Illinois and Iowa the top two seeds on the bottom half.

752
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:49,759
Speaker 2: In order for them to win it, they're gonna win

753
00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:52,919
Speaker 2: five games in five days. And it's not a deep

754
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:54,879
Speaker 2: Penn State team. It's one of their weaknesses is they're

755
00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:57,120
Speaker 2: not that feep. That's the thing that scares me there.

756
00:34:57,480 --> 00:34:59,640
Speaker 2: I wanted to take a shot here, like all right,

757
00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:02,040
Speaker 2: where am I taking a shot? Like Minnesota's a corpse.

758
00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:06,560
Speaker 2: Northwestern is not winning five games in five days, so

759
00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:09,799
Speaker 2: i I you know, Iowa has the injury question marks, right,

760
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 2: Illinois has been so good lately that maybe they maybe

761
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:19,000
Speaker 2: they stumbled in Indiana took them to overtime. Rutgers beat Illinois,

762
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 2: So Illinois gonna get the winner of Rutgers Indiana Indiana

763
00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:25,040
Speaker 2: without armand Franklin's just not the same team. I don't

764
00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:26,800
Speaker 2: know if we'll be healthy. Apparently it's just he's not

765
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,200
Speaker 2: progressing health wise. So I want no part of Indiana.

766
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:32,040
Speaker 2: So can Rutgers put it together. That's one of the

767
00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:34,080
Speaker 2: teams I was looking at. And then if you can

768
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:36,399
Speaker 2: find a fifty to one like BETAMGM, they're twenty five

769
00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:39,399
Speaker 2: to one, not enough for me. If I could get

770
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:41,160
Speaker 2: a fifty to one, which you could find out there,

771
00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:45,680
Speaker 2: I would take a shot there. Wisconsin maybe, I mean

772
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:49,280
Speaker 2: there you have twenty to one at bet MGM. Maybe,

773
00:35:49,360 --> 00:35:51,520
Speaker 2: and that's what I trust in the beat Penn State. No,

774
00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:54,840
Speaker 2: but could they beat Iowa if Iowa is just packing

775
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:55,359
Speaker 2: it in here?

776
00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:56,040
Speaker 6: Right?

777
00:35:56,120 --> 00:35:58,919
Speaker 2: If I was just saying, look, Frederick and wist Camp,

778
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:00,239
Speaker 2: we don't want to push some.

779
00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:01,680
Speaker 6: I don't know.

780
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,799
Speaker 2: Wisconsin, they can't hit a shot all season in conference play.

781
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:07,040
Speaker 2: Maybe they finally had shots and put it together for

782
00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:10,520
Speaker 2: three or four days in Chicago. So that's a team

783
00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:12,680
Speaker 2: that kind of jumped out to me. I don't have

784
00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:15,400
Speaker 2: a great feel I might take a shot with one

785
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:17,080
Speaker 2: of those teams. Randall helped me out here in the

786
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:17,480
Speaker 2: Big Ten.

787
00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:20,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know the hold your nose play for me.

788
00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:23,520
Speaker 4: I'll give you two the hold your nose play is Wisconsin.

789
00:36:23,760 --> 00:36:26,440
Speaker 4: That is it because they have lost five of their

790
00:36:26,520 --> 00:36:29,600
Speaker 4: last six. But they are a veteran team. Listen, They're

791
00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:32,239
Speaker 4: gonna need some magic on offense. When Micah Potter is

792
00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:35,360
Speaker 4: making shots, it just opens the offense up. Nate Reavers

793
00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:37,080
Speaker 4: is a corpse. I don't know what happened to him,

794
00:36:37,360 --> 00:36:39,279
Speaker 4: but Potter is the key guy for them. They do

795
00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:41,600
Speaker 4: have guards, they do have a style. They have to

796
00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:44,040
Speaker 4: make shots, but the defense will be there. They got

797
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:46,200
Speaker 4: the benefit in Iowa was a loss, but they did

798
00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:49,239
Speaker 4: get the benefit there of keeping that game close. That

799
00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:51,399
Speaker 4: is the team, Like, what's the path, right, If you're

800
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:53,800
Speaker 4: not gonna take Michigan with the high flying shooters and

801
00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:56,160
Speaker 4: Dickinson inside, and you're not, you want to go against

802
00:36:56,160 --> 00:36:58,759
Speaker 4: Illinois because of the price, that's the path. I think

803
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:01,440
Speaker 4: They've beat Nebraska or Penn State, who are both sloppy

804
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:04,560
Speaker 4: teams that are not near Wisconsin's caliber guard as a

805
00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:06,799
Speaker 4: veteran coach. They then play Iowa, who they know they

806
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:08,800
Speaker 4: can play with, and they have to get by Illinois.

807
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:11,120
Speaker 4: They're in the finals. So that's the hold your nose play.

808
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:14,120
Speaker 4: On the other side of the bracket, why do we

809
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:17,239
Speaker 4: not like Purdue. What is the issue with Purdue? They

810
00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:20,320
Speaker 4: have won five in a row. Their metrics are really strong.

811
00:37:20,600 --> 00:37:23,919
Speaker 4: Williams inside and I saw Zach Edy go against Trace

812
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:27,680
Speaker 4: Jackson Davis this weekend. Zach Edy has developed more than

813
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:30,240
Speaker 4: any other big man in the country. He's an issue

814
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:34,000
Speaker 4: down there. They have shooters. Stefanovitch is finally recovering from

815
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,880
Speaker 4: the COVID issues. Jay Nivey hits big shots at the

816
00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:38,600
Speaker 4: clutch shot. I forget where it was I think it was.

817
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:40,640
Speaker 4: Was it that Michigan State or somewhere here to clutch

818
00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:42,759
Speaker 4: three to win the game for them earlier in the year.

819
00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:44,680
Speaker 4: You know, if you look at the odds and you

820
00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:46,240
Speaker 4: don't want to go with one of the big teams.

821
00:37:46,520 --> 00:37:49,840
Speaker 4: Purdue is twelve to one, Wisconsin's twenty to one, So

822
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:52,120
Speaker 4: I can't go down far farther than that. I mean,

823
00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:53,759
Speaker 4: I love Rutgers, I just don't think they can make

824
00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:55,400
Speaker 4: the run. Twenty five to one is not enough for me.

825
00:37:55,719 --> 00:37:57,880
Speaker 4: So I'm looking at those teams that are sort of

826
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:00,800
Speaker 4: a notch below your top four, and I like the

827
00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:03,640
Speaker 4: odds there. Ohio State's going in the wrong direction, but Wisconsin,

828
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:06,640
Speaker 4: can you see them bringing it together with a veteran team,

829
00:38:07,040 --> 00:38:09,759
Speaker 4: solid guard play, bigs inside that should be able to

830
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 4: do something at some point, and Purdue who's had some

831
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,560
Speaker 4: really nice mojo and has been playing shorthanded the whole year.

832
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:18,080
Speaker 4: I could so I kind of like that. BENMGM. I

833
00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 4: got Purdue twelve to one, Wisconsin twenty to one.

834
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:23,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't hate. I mean, look, Purdue got blown

835
00:38:23,520 --> 00:38:25,799
Speaker 2: out by Michigan or in there. Stevanovich didn't play, Edie

836
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:28,320
Speaker 2: wasn't the same player that he is today. They have

837
00:38:28,480 --> 00:38:31,719
Speaker 2: the bigs that can get inside and muscle with Dickinson.

838
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:34,080
Speaker 2: I mean, man, this Purdue team's gonna be really scary

839
00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:36,640
Speaker 2: next year. I mean, Wisconsin, they're not going to beat

840
00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 2: themselves if they don't turn it over. Number one of

841
00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:41,399
Speaker 2: the nation, they're great. That's the free throw line. Brad

842
00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:44,080
Speaker 2: Davison the worst two point percentage of any player since

843
00:38:44,120 --> 00:38:46,680
Speaker 2: two thousand and seven. It's crazy by.

844
00:38:46,640 --> 00:38:48,759
Speaker 4: Hook and hold. Brad Davidson hook and hold in the

845
00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:49,200
Speaker 4: back guard.

846
00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:51,839
Speaker 2: He's shooting twenty four percent from two on the year,

847
00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:54,920
Speaker 2: which is just shocking. But during conference play, this is

848
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:56,560
Speaker 2: supposed to be a good three point shoot team. They're

849
00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:59,480
Speaker 2: shooting thirty two percent from three, and teams are shooting

850
00:38:59,520 --> 00:39:02,480
Speaker 2: thirty five. Like you know, on the year, they're shooting

851
00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:04,839
Speaker 2: thirty five percent from three. If you look last year,

852
00:39:04,840 --> 00:39:07,120
Speaker 2: they were thirty five percent from three, thirty six in

853
00:39:07,200 --> 00:39:09,759
Speaker 2: conference play. Eventually, you think this team is going to

854
00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:12,120
Speaker 2: start hitting a couple more shots and maybe they can

855
00:39:12,200 --> 00:39:14,120
Speaker 2: put it together during conference play.

856
00:39:14,280 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 6: Yeah, and I agree with you.

857
00:39:15,040 --> 00:39:18,160
Speaker 2: Purdue just remains undervalued I think in the market in general,

858
00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:20,839
Speaker 2: and they've closed the year really strong. They're deep as well,

859
00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:24,319
Speaker 2: they have good depth, and they're very well coached. Matt

860
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:26,239
Speaker 2: Painter is an excellent coach. Colin what you see in

861
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:26,800
Speaker 2: the Big Ten.

862
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 6: Well, I mean it's okay to like Purdue.

863
00:39:28,640 --> 00:39:30,719
Speaker 3: I think they are the team out of the teams

864
00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:33,080
Speaker 3: that are getting double buys, the ones that have they

865
00:39:33,120 --> 00:39:35,840
Speaker 3: have the most value, especially with Ohio State UH in

866
00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:38,440
Speaker 3: their bracket, who's going down like a sinking ship. And

867
00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:41,080
Speaker 3: you know, I have no love from Minnesota, you know,

868
00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:42,879
Speaker 3: trying to win five games in a row and none

869
00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:45,120
Speaker 3: of these games are being played at Minnesota, then.

870
00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:46,239
Speaker 6: You know, I think you kind of have to take

871
00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:46,680
Speaker 6: a pass yere.

872
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:48,839
Speaker 3: So Purdue does have a good look to get into

873
00:39:48,840 --> 00:39:50,760
Speaker 3: the semi finals and holding a twelve to one ticket

874
00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:52,640
Speaker 3: is you know he's going to have a lot of value.

875
00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:55,120
Speaker 6: But let me just square out. I know that this

876
00:39:55,200 --> 00:39:56,000
Speaker 6: is going to be the most.

877
00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:58,560
Speaker 3: Exciting conference tournament, but please, I'll just square out and

878
00:39:58,640 --> 00:40:01,200
Speaker 3: be the fish year who's beating ill All right? How

879
00:40:01,320 --> 00:40:03,520
Speaker 3: hot has this seam been? As much as I love

880
00:40:03,600 --> 00:40:06,040
Speaker 3: the Razorbacks, as much as I love my team, thinking

881
00:40:06,080 --> 00:40:08,560
Speaker 3: they're the hottest team in the country, they aren't. Illinois

882
00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:10,239
Speaker 3: is the hottest team in the country. If you go

883
00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 3: over to Torvik and you look at wins above bubble, right,

884
00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:15,600
Speaker 3: and if you go back and date it back to

885
00:40:15,680 --> 00:40:18,760
Speaker 3: February first, the hottest team in the nation wins above

886
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:22,360
Speaker 3: bubble since February first is Illinois Orze number two. But

887
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:25,920
Speaker 3: I mean it's just understated that, you know, assuming has

888
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:29,120
Speaker 3: not been there, and Illinois had turned into a much

889
00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:32,480
Speaker 3: better team. Finished the season number one affective field goal percentage,

890
00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:35,360
Speaker 3: number one in the paint. If you look at them defensively,

891
00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:37,920
Speaker 3: they're number one in defensive rebounding percentage. You're not getting

892
00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:41,920
Speaker 3: any second chance points against these guys. Iowa, Listen, that's

893
00:40:41,920 --> 00:40:43,960
Speaker 3: who they're on track to meet up with. The semi finals.

894
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:46,279
Speaker 3: I think Illinois is good enough, you know, defensively to

895
00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:46,839
Speaker 3: stop them.

896
00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:47,680
Speaker 6: You know, Michigan.

897
00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:49,200
Speaker 3: On the other hand, if they could stay out of

898
00:40:49,200 --> 00:40:51,759
Speaker 3: foul trouble and they could survive Michigan State part three,

899
00:40:52,120 --> 00:40:54,200
Speaker 3: Perdue could pull off it up. So that I think

900
00:40:54,239 --> 00:40:57,320
Speaker 3: Illinois is the only bankable play here, the team that

901
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,239
Speaker 3: I feel comfortable is going to at least get to

902
00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:02,040
Speaker 3: the finals where I can hedge off of a number

903
00:41:02,120 --> 00:41:05,320
Speaker 3: that's gonna absolutely have them. Is either a favorite or

904
00:41:05,320 --> 00:41:07,160
Speaker 3: a pick in the final game, and it depends on

905
00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:09,560
Speaker 3: who it is Michigan Purdue could vary. But I mean

906
00:41:09,640 --> 00:41:11,600
Speaker 3: you're looking at them being a one point favorite against

907
00:41:11,640 --> 00:41:13,560
Speaker 3: Iowa in the semi finals, and you're looking at them

908
00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:16,279
Speaker 3: not being an underdog in the final. So I hate

909
00:41:16,320 --> 00:41:18,239
Speaker 3: to square out. I mean it's easy for anybody to

910
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:20,360
Speaker 3: turn on a microphone and say, yeah, take the hottest

911
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:21,400
Speaker 3: team in the conference.

912
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:23,520
Speaker 6: But who's beating them? For real?

913
00:41:23,600 --> 00:41:25,480
Speaker 3: I mean, anybody in this car I think could go

914
00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 3: anywhere and beat anybody right now.

915
00:41:27,560 --> 00:41:30,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I love Illinois. This is my team's

916
00:41:30,000 --> 00:41:31,319
Speaker 2: At the beginning of the year, I said they're gonna

917
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:33,839
Speaker 2: be peaking in March I did better on Ohio State

918
00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:35,879
Speaker 2: on Saturday, Astate just couldn't make a three. I also

919
00:41:36,040 --> 00:41:38,359
Speaker 2: was hoping there was a chance that Assuming wouldn't play.

920
00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:41,319
Speaker 2: But the one thing that's scarcely in Illinois Iowa could

921
00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:44,800
Speaker 2: be just a thrilling high variances a crazy game like

922
00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:48,000
Speaker 2: the first time they played. The one thing that would

923
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:50,600
Speaker 2: concern me about Illinois, I mean, you're buying them at

924
00:41:50,640 --> 00:41:52,480
Speaker 2: the peak. I would like for them to lose also

925
00:41:53,080 --> 00:41:56,719
Speaker 2: before the cover, before the NCAA tournament, just personally for

926
00:41:56,880 --> 00:42:02,360
Speaker 2: my future. But I'm worried about a potential rematch with Michigan.

927
00:42:02,440 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 2: I mean, they went out and embarrassed Michigan on their

928
00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:10,000
Speaker 2: home court. One by twenty three were dancing. They showed

929
00:42:10,080 --> 00:42:12,920
Speaker 2: up that game. We're showing them up. I'd be concerned

930
00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:16,400
Speaker 2: about the adjustments that Michigan would make coming back, and

931
00:42:16,560 --> 00:42:21,000
Speaker 2: then just the emotional look we need. We want to

932
00:42:21,040 --> 00:42:24,919
Speaker 2: come out here after that game and really win this game.

933
00:42:25,440 --> 00:42:28,439
Speaker 2: Who knows what that's worth, but that's the I would

934
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:31,080
Speaker 2: be really afraid of Michigan Illinois rematch on Sunday. Any

935
00:42:31,120 --> 00:42:32,120
Speaker 2: final thoughts Rental.

936
00:42:32,160 --> 00:42:34,839
Speaker 4: Yeah, man, I'd love to see a rematch with Michigan Illinois. Oh,

937
00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:37,359
Speaker 4: that would be intense for all the reasons you just said.

938
00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:39,600
Speaker 4: Michigan kind of was caught napping there. A little bit

939
00:42:39,640 --> 00:42:41,160
Speaker 4: got hit in the mouth. But they'll punch back.

940
00:42:41,640 --> 00:42:46,200
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to the SEC. Oh, by the way,

941
00:42:46,239 --> 00:42:48,880
Speaker 2: before we move on to the SEC, randall any no

942
00:42:49,080 --> 00:42:53,520
Speaker 2: love for Rutgers if you potentially no.

943
00:42:53,719 --> 00:42:56,399
Speaker 4: Listen, they just they struggle from the free throw line.

944
00:42:56,480 --> 00:42:58,239
Speaker 4: They've been very up and down. I will tell you this.

945
00:42:58,640 --> 00:43:01,760
Speaker 4: The key is Ron Harper. Because Ron Harper was cooking

946
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:04,320
Speaker 4: earlier in the year. It opens everything up for the

947
00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:07,239
Speaker 4: Bigs inside and they can score at the end. He

948
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:09,080
Speaker 4: kind of has been in and out. He was hot

949
00:43:09,160 --> 00:43:11,480
Speaker 4: early in the game this past weekend, but then he

950
00:43:11,520 --> 00:43:14,440
Speaker 4: struggled to score, got in foul trouble. He's the Bellweather.

951
00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:17,600
Speaker 4: If Ron Harper is putting in twenty to twenty five points,

952
00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:20,959
Speaker 4: Rutgers can absolutely make a run. But I do feel

953
00:43:20,960 --> 00:43:23,800
Speaker 4: they're overly dependent on him, because without them, they become

954
00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:27,160
Speaker 4: kind of stationary. And Geoe Baker has not been the

955
00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:30,799
Speaker 4: go Baker shot maker last year, game winning shot guy.

956
00:43:31,000 --> 00:43:33,600
Speaker 4: He had COVID earlier, I got injured or whatever comes back.

957
00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:36,200
Speaker 4: So I think it's very Harper dependent. You need him

958
00:43:36,239 --> 00:43:36,799
Speaker 4: to play well.

959
00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:40,600
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the SEC Conference Tournament,

960
00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:46,240
Speaker 2: which will take place starting on Wednesday in Nashville, Tennessee

961
00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:47,560
Speaker 2: at Bridgetone Arena.

962
00:43:48,520 --> 00:43:51,000
Speaker 1: Here it just means more.

963
00:43:52,680 --> 00:43:56,440
Speaker 2: The top seed Alabama Crimson Tide will have a double

964
00:43:56,480 --> 00:43:58,080
Speaker 2: buy I. I mean, the first round game is between

965
00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:00,239
Speaker 2: Vanderbilt and Texas A and M there are I've had

966
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:03,280
Speaker 2: teams that get a buy because Auburn is ineligible to participate,

967
00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:04,800
Speaker 2: but the teams that get to double by into the

968
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:07,680
Speaker 2: quarters on Friday, Alabama and Tennessee to top half, we

969
00:44:07,800 --> 00:44:11,760
Speaker 2: will likely, assuming Florida doesn't lose the Vanderbilt or Texas adam,

970
00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:13,480
Speaker 2: which I think is a pretty safe assumption, we will

971
00:44:13,520 --> 00:44:17,360
Speaker 2: get Tennessee Florida again. On Friday, Arkansas will take on

972
00:44:17,440 --> 00:44:21,400
Speaker 2: the winner of Missouri Georgia and LSU gets that final

973
00:44:21,480 --> 00:44:23,040
Speaker 2: buye they will take on the winner of Ole Miss

974
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:27,320
Speaker 2: South Carolina. I don't need to go to in depth

975
00:44:27,400 --> 00:44:31,040
Speaker 2: here Tennessee Florida. Who's gonna win that that game? I

976
00:44:31,080 --> 00:44:33,840
Speaker 2: would tend to think Florida gets Tennessee, but they're going

977
00:44:33,920 --> 00:44:39,440
Speaker 2: to play the day before Arkansas LSU. Look, I mean,

978
00:44:39,480 --> 00:44:41,680
Speaker 2: Ole Miss can be a tricky team. So am I

979
00:44:41,760 --> 00:44:44,520
Speaker 2: buying Arkansas at the top? No, LSU, I have some

980
00:44:44,680 --> 00:44:48,719
Speaker 2: questions about Alabama. It's kind of been trending down. I'm

981
00:44:48,760 --> 00:44:51,560
Speaker 2: going with Kentucky, but I'm not buying I said this earlier.

982
00:44:51,920 --> 00:44:55,040
Speaker 2: I'm not buying them anywhere in the market. At bet

983
00:44:55,200 --> 00:44:59,600
Speaker 2: MGM sixteen to one, sixth Kentucky sixteen one. I just

984
00:44:59,680 --> 00:45:02,399
Speaker 2: told you, like, they're gonna be close to a small

985
00:45:02,440 --> 00:45:04,840
Speaker 2: favor and then they play Alabama if you assume just

986
00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:07,320
Speaker 2: they're a five point underdog, and then they play Florida

987
00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:09,080
Speaker 2: or Tennessee if you assume that they're a three or

988
00:45:09,120 --> 00:45:11,240
Speaker 2: four point underdog, and then in the final against Arkansas,

989
00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:13,880
Speaker 2: I mean you're talking about forty to one money line rollover.

990
00:45:14,600 --> 00:45:17,319
Speaker 2: So four games in four days, that's where I'm going.

991
00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:20,239
Speaker 2: I'm just money line rollover Kentucky. They could play with

992
00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:24,440
Speaker 2: anybody in the entire conference with They just lost to

993
00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:28,440
Speaker 2: Florida by four Florida seventy one sixty seven, Florida's biggest

994
00:45:28,520 --> 00:45:31,520
Speaker 2: lead of the game, seventy one sixty seven. They played Arkansas,

995
00:45:31,600 --> 00:45:34,040
Speaker 2: they lost eighty one eighty. I mean they've lost so

996
00:45:34,080 --> 00:45:36,319
Speaker 2: many coach, because they can't close out games. You look

997
00:45:36,360 --> 00:45:39,040
Speaker 2: back when they played Alabama at Alabama, they led fifty

998
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:41,120
Speaker 2: four to fifty two with three fifty to go in

999
00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:43,520
Speaker 2: the second half, and then Alabama ended up winning seventy

1000
00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:46,960
Speaker 2: to fifty nine. They cannot close games, but coach cow

1001
00:45:47,080 --> 00:45:49,920
Speaker 2: usually has his team peaking towards March. They are starting to,

1002
00:45:50,080 --> 00:45:53,239
Speaker 2: I think, find the ideal lineup. What I mean by

1003
00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:56,239
Speaker 2: that is they are saying, ask you, we don't need

1004
00:45:56,320 --> 00:45:59,160
Speaker 2: you to play anymore. I mean, he is just absolutely miserable.

1005
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:02,680
Speaker 2: They're playing mints now at the point more. I think

1006
00:46:02,760 --> 00:46:05,440
Speaker 2: that is just I just getting asked. You out of

1007
00:46:05,440 --> 00:46:08,880
Speaker 2: the lineup as much as possible is the best thing

1008
00:46:08,920 --> 00:46:11,280
Speaker 2: that can happen to this team. So ask you playing

1009
00:46:12,000 --> 00:46:14,080
Speaker 2: point less. You're getting mints in there who can.

1010
00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:15,520
Speaker 6: Actually score the ball.

1011
00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 2: He can actually put the ball in the hoop. That's

1012
00:46:18,040 --> 00:46:21,840
Speaker 2: something that asks you is just incapable of doing. I

1013
00:46:22,000 --> 00:46:24,239
Speaker 2: just sid out there offensively, so you know, you move

1014
00:46:24,280 --> 00:46:27,719
Speaker 2: Boston to the shooting guard position, playing some the rotations

1015
00:46:27,760 --> 00:46:30,399
Speaker 2: I think are starting to get there. It's a team

1016
00:46:30,440 --> 00:46:32,879
Speaker 2: that can't close, but they have the talent to play

1017
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:35,920
Speaker 2: with anybody in the conference. They've been in games against

1018
00:46:36,000 --> 00:46:38,960
Speaker 2: everybody in the conference. I mean they went to Tennessee

1019
00:46:39,000 --> 00:46:41,080
Speaker 2: the other week and absolutely obliterate them. They went at

1020
00:46:41,120 --> 00:46:45,160
Speaker 2: to Florida and one by eighteen. Tennis at Tennessee they

1021
00:46:45,200 --> 00:46:48,160
Speaker 2: won by fifteen. They melted late against Florida at home,

1022
00:46:48,200 --> 00:46:50,960
Speaker 2: they melted late against Tennessee at home. So they've been

1023
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:55,799
Speaker 2: fine on the road in many spots here. So Mississippi

1024
00:46:55,800 --> 00:46:59,680
Speaker 2: State could be a war. But I'm taking a shot.

1025
00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:01,800
Speaker 2: I'm going or money line roll over with the potential

1026
00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:04,480
Speaker 2: of Kentucky and this new lineup with Mint at the

1027
00:47:04,520 --> 00:47:07,920
Speaker 2: point and less ask you Randal thoughts on the SEC couldn't.

1028
00:47:07,640 --> 00:47:11,840
Speaker 4: Agree with you more with Kentucky. Twenty sixteen, twenty seventeen,

1029
00:47:11,920 --> 00:47:15,560
Speaker 4: twenty eighteen, twenty nineteen, what to each of those years

1030
00:47:15,640 --> 00:47:17,799
Speaker 4: have in common? And every single one of those years

1031
00:47:17,960 --> 00:47:22,239
Speaker 4: Alabama has been eliminated from the SEC tournament by Kentucky.

1032
00:47:22,680 --> 00:47:25,680
Speaker 4: They did not want to see Kentucky, especially in their

1033
00:47:25,760 --> 00:47:28,680
Speaker 4: first game where Kentucky gets a warm up against Mississippi State,

1034
00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:31,720
Speaker 4: Kentucky's making their free throws. They made the lineup change.

1035
00:47:31,920 --> 00:47:34,760
Speaker 4: Cali Powi gets it together in March and listen. Outside

1036
00:47:34,760 --> 00:47:36,680
Speaker 4: of this, I love Alabama. You guys know that I

1037
00:47:36,719 --> 00:47:38,880
Speaker 4: don't see why you would take Alabama at their odds.

1038
00:47:39,040 --> 00:47:40,440
Speaker 4: If you're gonna take a favorite, you have to take

1039
00:47:40,480 --> 00:47:42,960
Speaker 4: Arkansas with the way Arkansas's plan, and I'm sure Conn

1040
00:47:43,080 --> 00:47:43,719
Speaker 4: will agree with me.

1041
00:47:44,200 --> 00:47:45,600
Speaker 1: Whoo pig silly.

1042
00:47:45,920 --> 00:47:48,760
Speaker 4: The only other team I see is maybe Florida, because

1043
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:50,800
Speaker 4: you know, I think Tennessee's a paper tiger. They have

1044
00:47:50,880 --> 00:47:55,000
Speaker 4: these miracle comebacks laid against Kentucky and again this weekend

1045
00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:57,880
Speaker 4: against a shorthanded Florida team at home. Their defense is

1046
00:47:58,200 --> 00:48:00,680
Speaker 4: jumbo shrimp. It does not exist. So I could see

1047
00:48:00,719 --> 00:48:02,960
Speaker 4: Florida making a run there and end up matching up

1048
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:05,479
Speaker 4: with Kentucky, who they just beat. So if you're looking

1049
00:48:05,560 --> 00:48:08,040
Speaker 4: for value, like you said, Kentucky at sixteen to one,

1050
00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:10,880
Speaker 4: and they've eliminated Alabama and they're comfortable against them and

1051
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:13,680
Speaker 4: they're playing well outside of that, I'll go with Florida

1052
00:48:13,680 --> 00:48:16,040
Speaker 4: at six to one. But I don't see the point

1053
00:48:16,040 --> 00:48:17,839
Speaker 4: in betting BAM at this point, even though I think

1054
00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,319
Speaker 4: that they are still on the outside. Maybe if they

1055
00:48:20,440 --> 00:48:22,560
Speaker 4: made a run and won it and Illinois got upset,

1056
00:48:22,640 --> 00:48:24,440
Speaker 4: maybe you can make an argument they could steal a

1057
00:48:24,520 --> 00:48:26,960
Speaker 4: one seed still, but that's the one they did not

1058
00:48:27,040 --> 00:48:29,279
Speaker 4: want to see Kentucky after being eliminated by them four

1059
00:48:29,320 --> 00:48:30,520
Speaker 4: times in a row in this tournament.

1060
00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:33,080
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, And Florida should have Trey manback, who didn't

1061
00:48:33,080 --> 00:48:37,520
Speaker 2: play like last minute scratch with a migraine. He's obviously

1062
00:48:37,640 --> 00:48:40,719
Speaker 2: really important to what Florida wants to do, so I

1063
00:48:40,800 --> 00:48:42,719
Speaker 2: you assume that he'll be back after dealing with the

1064
00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:45,279
Speaker 2: migraine over the weekend. Colin, you're going to make a

1065
00:48:45,360 --> 00:48:46,680
Speaker 2: case for your beloved Hogs here.

1066
00:48:46,800 --> 00:48:49,600
Speaker 3: Well as we get started, let me tell all the

1067
00:48:49,680 --> 00:48:51,600
Speaker 3: listeners out there, in case it's your first time here,

1068
00:48:51,800 --> 00:48:54,600
Speaker 3: Oupig Suey, my name is etched twice on the campus

1069
00:48:54,680 --> 00:48:56,760
Speaker 3: of the University of Arkansas, so I will be completely

1070
00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:58,200
Speaker 3: neutral in this analysis.

1071
00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:03,319
Speaker 1: Woo Pigs. Colin's talking razorback basketball.

1072
00:49:03,800 --> 00:49:05,440
Speaker 6: Digging into the SEC tournament.

1073
00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:08,560
Speaker 3: I think it's really important that everybody remembers that in

1074
00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:12,080
Speaker 3: twenty thirteen, the SEC went to a double by format,

1075
00:49:12,440 --> 00:49:15,759
Speaker 3: and it's been pretty astounding how tough it's been for

1076
00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:18,960
Speaker 3: teams that did not start on Day three on Friday

1077
00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:22,320
Speaker 3: to not just win the championship game in SEC, but

1078
00:49:22,480 --> 00:49:26,239
Speaker 3: to even make the championship game. Since twenty thirteen, there

1079
00:49:26,320 --> 00:49:29,160
Speaker 3: have been twelve teams to make the championship.

1080
00:49:28,680 --> 00:49:30,080
Speaker 6: Game one of them.

1081
00:49:30,600 --> 00:49:33,920
Speaker 3: Only one of them started their tournament on Wednesday or Thursday,

1082
00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:37,200
Speaker 3: and that was an Auburn in twenty nineteen. Everybody else

1083
00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:39,919
Speaker 3: since twenty thirteen has been a top four seed.

1084
00:49:40,360 --> 00:49:42,800
Speaker 4: So the colin was that twenty thirteen year, was that

1085
00:49:42,880 --> 00:49:48,320
Speaker 4: the Marshall Henderson year with Old Miss? I think it

1086
00:49:48,360 --> 00:49:48,759
Speaker 4: may have been.

1087
00:49:48,840 --> 00:49:50,399
Speaker 3: Yeah, I may have been because the Old mid because

1088
00:49:50,600 --> 00:49:53,600
Speaker 3: I was gonna say in bridge Stone Arena like I mean, Kentucky, listen,

1089
00:49:54,040 --> 00:49:56,879
Speaker 3: Kentucky owns this tournament. I was doing some research last

1090
00:49:56,960 --> 00:50:00,719
Speaker 3: night on it. Kentucky's won thirty one SEC conferen tournaments.

1091
00:50:01,200 --> 00:50:04,360
Speaker 3: If you combine all the current teams, they have twenty seven.

1092
00:50:04,520 --> 00:50:07,359
Speaker 3: So Kentucky has four more than everybody else combined when

1093
00:50:07,400 --> 00:50:09,800
Speaker 3: it comes to tournament championship. So you know, when it

1094
00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:12,040
Speaker 3: looks at when you look at Bridget doon'e arena, Kentucky

1095
00:50:12,160 --> 00:50:14,120
Speaker 3: has four victories here total.

1096
00:50:14,200 --> 00:50:15,520
Speaker 6: Ole Miss has one. Randall.

1097
00:50:15,920 --> 00:50:18,239
Speaker 3: I believe there's somebody else that I'm missing that pulled

1098
00:50:18,239 --> 00:50:21,640
Speaker 3: one bridge down arena. But you know, I think when

1099
00:50:21,719 --> 00:50:24,279
Speaker 3: you look at teams that are starting on Thursday, they

1100
00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:26,400
Speaker 3: are at a serious disadvantage, and I'm not sure the

1101
00:50:26,440 --> 00:50:30,680
Speaker 3: odds really reflect that. So Kentucky is all about ball movement, right.

1102
00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:34,680
Speaker 3: You see them make three passes, It's a beautiful shot

1103
00:50:34,800 --> 00:50:37,640
Speaker 3: they get open with their size. It's unbelievable to me

1104
00:50:38,040 --> 00:50:40,239
Speaker 3: that they are dead last in the SEC in two

1105
00:50:40,320 --> 00:50:43,960
Speaker 3: point shooting because of their size and their athleticism. I

1106
00:50:44,160 --> 00:50:46,840
Speaker 3: cannot believe that they are forty four point five percent

1107
00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:50,600
Speaker 3: in conference only play on offense from two point range.

1108
00:50:50,880 --> 00:50:53,560
Speaker 3: But once you see Kentucky start humming and moving the

1109
00:50:53,640 --> 00:50:55,960
Speaker 3: ball around, it's a completely different team. Now you have

1110
00:50:56,120 --> 00:50:58,080
Speaker 3: to find them. They have to do that four times

1111
00:50:58,120 --> 00:50:59,720
Speaker 3: in a row, and they have to do it against

1112
00:50:59,719 --> 00:51:02,640
Speaker 3: a b like Alabama. So I'm kind of throwing Kentucky out.

1113
00:51:02,960 --> 00:51:04,800
Speaker 6: Say the history, I don't know if you'll get the

1114
00:51:04,800 --> 00:51:06,600
Speaker 6: ball mom of going on offense. There's just a lot

1115
00:51:06,680 --> 00:51:07,480
Speaker 6: of things with Kentucky.

1116
00:51:07,560 --> 00:51:09,080
Speaker 3: I'm not sure they can put it together for four

1117
00:51:09,120 --> 00:51:12,799
Speaker 3: straight Florida I love and Stuck mentioned that Trey Man

1118
00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:14,680
Speaker 3: sitting out it's against Tennessee. I think that was a

1119
00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:16,960
Speaker 3: huge loss. Migraine headache. I think it was like an

1120
00:51:17,040 --> 00:51:19,600
Speaker 3: hour before tip that he sat out lost the AM

1121
00:51:19,600 --> 00:51:21,920
Speaker 3: against Tennessee. What that did is that put Tennessee in

1122
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:24,760
Speaker 3: the four slot and put Florida in the five slot.

1123
00:51:25,520 --> 00:51:28,359
Speaker 3: Assuming Florida won't you know, choke against the Vanderbilder Texas

1124
00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:29,919
Speaker 3: a NAM who was the only teams that are playing

1125
00:51:29,960 --> 00:51:32,879
Speaker 3: on Day one, You'll get your Florida Tennessee rematch. If

1126
00:51:32,880 --> 00:51:35,799
Speaker 3: Trey Man is playing, that is definitely a bye. Colin

1127
00:51:35,880 --> 00:51:38,239
Speaker 3: Castleton has been a force in the paint this year

1128
00:51:38,880 --> 00:51:42,040
Speaker 3: and should tear Tennessee apart. So I like Florida to

1129
00:51:42,080 --> 00:51:44,319
Speaker 3: make a run to the championship game. On that side

1130
00:51:44,360 --> 00:51:47,279
Speaker 3: of the bracket, Alabama, It's getting pretty simple to find

1131
00:51:47,320 --> 00:51:50,239
Speaker 3: out how to stop Alabama's offense, which I think is

1132
00:51:50,320 --> 00:51:52,759
Speaker 3: the fastest in the nation, maybe second fastest in the nation.

1133
00:51:53,080 --> 00:51:55,879
Speaker 6: Get inside the passing lanes. That's it. And that really

1134
00:51:55,960 --> 00:51:58,160
Speaker 6: comes down to the analysis of why I think Arkansas

1135
00:51:58,280 --> 00:52:01,920
Speaker 6: is going to win the secchampionship game. They are the

1136
00:52:02,080 --> 00:52:04,680
Speaker 6: hottest team in the nation Sands Illinois, I said, wins

1137
00:52:04,760 --> 00:52:07,160
Speaker 6: above bubble the right now. They are second in the

1138
00:52:07,239 --> 00:52:10,440
Speaker 6: nation since February first, right behind Illinois. Not only are

1139
00:52:10,520 --> 00:52:14,440
Speaker 6: they on eleven game winning streak in the SEC. They

1140
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:17,480
Speaker 6: showed they put down the template on how to beat Alabama.

1141
00:52:17,840 --> 00:52:20,320
Speaker 6: Get into the passing lanes. You don't need to be

1142
00:52:20,719 --> 00:52:24,759
Speaker 6: a huge rebounding team. You need to excel in turnovers.

1143
00:52:24,960 --> 00:52:26,960
Speaker 6: You need to get into the passing lanes. You've got

1144
00:52:27,080 --> 00:52:28,920
Speaker 6: to cut the snake off at the head before it

1145
00:52:29,040 --> 00:52:31,360
Speaker 6: gets across half court. It helps to have a.

1146
00:52:31,360 --> 00:52:34,640
Speaker 3: Good perimeter defense against a team like Alabama, but Arkansas

1147
00:52:34,760 --> 00:52:37,319
Speaker 3: right now, to give you an idea of how well

1148
00:52:37,440 --> 00:52:40,239
Speaker 3: this team is gelling. Right, everybody's healthy, in case you

1149
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:43,440
Speaker 3: just haven't been watching SEC basketball. Argusas was not healthy.

1150
00:52:43,480 --> 00:52:45,000
Speaker 3: Don't count any of the stats that led up to

1151
00:52:45,040 --> 00:52:48,080
Speaker 3: about mid January or late January. We're talking Justin Smith

1152
00:52:48,120 --> 00:52:50,680
Speaker 3: as a powerhouse on the inside. Jalen Williams has been

1153
00:52:50,719 --> 00:52:54,160
Speaker 3: a great freshman turnaround project. Devo Davis is not the

1154
00:52:54,200 --> 00:52:56,520
Speaker 3: same player he was five weeks ago. And Jalen Tate

1155
00:52:56,680 --> 00:52:58,879
Speaker 3: is the most is the name that is not being

1156
00:52:59,000 --> 00:53:01,400
Speaker 3: used on a national level. One of the best slashers

1157
00:53:01,719 --> 00:53:04,040
Speaker 3: in the nation. And so what you get is a

1158
00:53:04,120 --> 00:53:07,120
Speaker 3: team that disrupted Alabama, beat them pretty bad at home,

1159
00:53:07,440 --> 00:53:09,600
Speaker 3: will have no problems putting the clamps down on an

1160
00:53:09,680 --> 00:53:13,040
Speaker 3: LSU team that doesn't play any defense anyways, and this

1161
00:53:13,239 --> 00:53:17,160
Speaker 3: Arkansas team right now is shooting their second best free

1162
00:53:17,239 --> 00:53:21,960
Speaker 3: throw rate in program history. That's Eddie Sutton, Nolan Richardson,

1163
00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:25,040
Speaker 3: John Pelfrey days, and Dana Altman one day as a coach.

1164
00:53:25,280 --> 00:53:27,680
Speaker 3: This team right now is doing very, very special things.

1165
00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:31,800
Speaker 3: From a numbers perspective. They have the ingredients that you

1166
00:53:31,920 --> 00:53:35,000
Speaker 3: need to stop Alabama. Their draw against LSU is no

1167
00:53:35,080 --> 00:53:37,920
Speaker 3: problem because LSU doesn't play any defense, and I think

1168
00:53:38,000 --> 00:53:40,279
Speaker 3: Florida could really make some disruption on the other side

1169
00:53:40,280 --> 00:53:43,000
Speaker 3: and Arkansas could catch them on Day four. But keep

1170
00:53:43,040 --> 00:53:45,879
Speaker 3: it in mind, in the SEC Tournament, only one time

1171
00:53:45,920 --> 00:53:48,680
Speaker 3: since twenty thirteen as a team from Wednesday or Thursday

1172
00:53:48,760 --> 00:53:51,240
Speaker 3: made it to the championship game. I think that bodes

1173
00:53:51,280 --> 00:53:53,240
Speaker 3: well for the top four seeds and it really bodes

1174
00:53:53,280 --> 00:53:54,120
Speaker 3: well for Arkansas.

1175
00:53:54,960 --> 00:53:56,600
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, you make a good case, but I will

1176
00:53:56,640 --> 00:53:58,560
Speaker 2: say the one thing you say since twenty thirteen, and

1177
00:53:58,640 --> 00:54:01,800
Speaker 2: it's so hard for teams to why, Well, the reason

1178
00:54:01,800 --> 00:54:04,120
Speaker 2: ISA Kentucky usually wins it every year ka Tuky wanted

1179
00:54:04,160 --> 00:54:07,239
Speaker 2: in two like fourteen, fifteen, sixteen, seventeen, eighteen, So that's

1180
00:54:07,280 --> 00:54:08,960
Speaker 2: one of the reasons why it's been hard for teams. Now,

1181
00:54:09,040 --> 00:54:11,719
Speaker 2: Kentucky is one of those teams. So that's why I

1182
00:54:11,760 --> 00:54:13,480
Speaker 2: could be a little living here. I hope we see

1183
00:54:14,040 --> 00:54:18,240
Speaker 2: Kentucky Arkansas in the champions.

1184
00:54:17,960 --> 00:54:20,279
Speaker 3: Start texting, don't start texting me if they start playing

1185
00:54:20,280 --> 00:54:20,880
Speaker 3: the championship.

1186
00:54:20,880 --> 00:54:22,160
Speaker 6: I don't want to hear from you all day. I

1187
00:54:22,160 --> 00:54:23,080
Speaker 6: don't want to hear it on time.

1188
00:54:23,200 --> 00:54:25,520
Speaker 2: I don't want to hear from you because you have

1189
00:54:25,640 --> 00:54:26,200
Speaker 2: no pressure.

1190
00:54:26,440 --> 00:54:28,719
Speaker 8: Kucky would be happening to win, to get in the

1191
00:54:28,880 --> 00:54:32,400
Speaker 8: NCAA tournament. You can just get back, and I feel everybody.

1192
00:54:32,640 --> 00:54:34,520
Speaker 8: I feel bad for everybody in my house. I'm just

1193
00:54:34,600 --> 00:54:36,719
Speaker 8: gonna be unbearable for the next three weeks. I'm gonna

1194
00:54:36,719 --> 00:54:40,000
Speaker 8: be so unbearable with this Arkansas run three weeks.

1195
00:54:40,040 --> 00:54:42,360
Speaker 2: I can't believe you think you're lasting three weeks. All right, anyway,

1196
00:54:42,480 --> 00:54:46,280
Speaker 2: all right, let's move on to the Big Twelve Conference Tournament,

1197
00:54:46,560 --> 00:54:49,400
Speaker 2: which we'll start on Wednesday in Kansas City, Missouri, at

1198
00:54:49,440 --> 00:54:50,640
Speaker 2: the Team Mobile Center.

1199
00:54:51,360 --> 00:54:54,640
Speaker 1: If you hate gambling, go listen to NPR.

1200
00:54:54,800 --> 00:54:58,080
Speaker 2: And all ten teams compete. First round games between TCU

1201
00:54:58,160 --> 00:55:00,840
Speaker 2: and Kansas State. By the way, Kansas State's pretty intriguing

1202
00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:02,319
Speaker 2: to me in that game. They that's up really well

1203
00:55:02,320 --> 00:55:04,960
Speaker 2: at TCU and playing better at the end of the year. Oklahoma.

1204
00:55:05,360 --> 00:55:08,320
Speaker 2: Think about Oklahoma, who set a record for beating the

1205
00:55:08,440 --> 00:55:11,160
Speaker 2: most top ten teams in a month and I think

1206
00:55:11,200 --> 00:55:13,879
Speaker 2: over forty years. Is the seventh seed in the Big

1207
00:55:13,960 --> 00:55:16,239
Speaker 2: Twelve playing in the first round on Wednesday. They'll take

1208
00:55:16,239 --> 00:55:20,320
Speaker 2: on Iowa State. I would State played them tough twice

1209
00:55:20,320 --> 00:55:23,240
Speaker 2: the regular season, covered both numbers, both double digit numbers.

1210
00:55:24,040 --> 00:55:27,279
Speaker 2: But the teams with the body of Baylor, they are

1211
00:55:27,320 --> 00:55:29,160
Speaker 2: the top overall seed. They'll play the winner of TCU

1212
00:55:29,239 --> 00:55:30,960
Speaker 2: Kansas State. You can pretty much throw them into the

1213
00:55:31,000 --> 00:55:33,520
Speaker 2: semi finals. They would then take the take on the

1214
00:55:33,560 --> 00:55:37,359
Speaker 2: winner of West Virginia Oklahoma State. Oklahoma State went two

1215
00:55:37,480 --> 00:55:40,759
Speaker 2: Morgans out of beat West Virginia State without likely with

1216
00:55:40,840 --> 00:55:45,600
Speaker 2: alt Kate Cunningham last week. They are just playing outstanding

1217
00:55:45,640 --> 00:55:47,839
Speaker 2: basketball and the bottom of you of Kansas would take

1218
00:55:47,920 --> 00:55:50,640
Speaker 2: on the winner of Oklahoma Iowa State. You assume it's

1219
00:55:50,680 --> 00:55:53,920
Speaker 2: Oklahoma really good potential game and the Texas Texas Tech.

1220
00:55:53,960 --> 00:55:56,960
Speaker 2: I mean these quarterfinal games on Thursday in the Big Twelve, Baylor,

1221
00:55:58,000 --> 00:56:00,880
Speaker 2: you know Baylor, they're gonna move on. But West Virginia,

1222
00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:05,680
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas Texas Tech in the quarterfinals.

1223
00:56:07,200 --> 00:56:09,520
Speaker 2: The intriguing team here to me is Texas plus seven

1224
00:56:09,520 --> 00:56:12,440
Speaker 2: to fifty. I've said that they're gonna look they were underachieving,

1225
00:56:12,480 --> 00:56:14,920
Speaker 2: they dealt with COVID, they haven't really been healthy. I

1226
00:56:15,000 --> 00:56:17,520
Speaker 2: brought them to the table as a potential future national

1227
00:56:17,600 --> 00:56:21,080
Speaker 2: title future. They've really looked strong here down in the stretch.

1228
00:56:21,120 --> 00:56:23,320
Speaker 2: I think they looked better defensively. They're now top thirty

1229
00:56:23,560 --> 00:56:26,799
Speaker 2: in the nation of both offensive and defensive efficiency. They

1230
00:56:27,040 --> 00:56:29,520
Speaker 2: want at Iowa State with eaves. They won at Oklahoma,

1231
00:56:30,440 --> 00:56:34,160
Speaker 2: they won at TCU. They haven't. They haven't beat Texas

1232
00:56:34,239 --> 00:56:37,920
Speaker 2: Tech yet, who they'd have to beat in the first rounds.

1233
00:56:38,000 --> 00:56:40,040
Speaker 2: They lost both meetings. But I think they get their

1234
00:56:40,080 --> 00:56:42,640
Speaker 2: revenge here, which gives them value. I mean, both of

1235
00:56:42,680 --> 00:56:45,000
Speaker 2: the games were absolutely crazy if you look back at

1236
00:56:45,000 --> 00:56:47,919
Speaker 2: the Texas Texas Tech games. So I'm taking a shot

1237
00:56:47,960 --> 00:56:51,759
Speaker 2: here and think that Texas beats Texas Tech. If they do,

1238
00:56:52,280 --> 00:56:55,600
Speaker 2: they get Kansas presumably or Oklahoma, and I think they

1239
00:56:55,680 --> 00:56:58,359
Speaker 2: match up really well with Kians. They beat, they sweat Kansas,

1240
00:56:58,400 --> 00:56:59,960
Speaker 2: and I always work about the bill self revenge fat

1241
00:57:00,520 --> 00:57:02,919
Speaker 2: and Kansas did take them the overtime last time after

1242
00:57:03,040 --> 00:57:06,680
Speaker 2: getting absolutely blown out, got their doors blown off at launch,

1243
00:57:06,719 --> 00:57:09,360
Speaker 2: but they took them to overtime in their last meeting.

1244
00:57:09,719 --> 00:57:12,440
Speaker 2: But Texas shot five of twenty six from three and

1245
00:57:12,520 --> 00:57:15,239
Speaker 2: still found a way to win. So I think the

1246
00:57:15,280 --> 00:57:19,280
Speaker 2: intriguing team here is Texas in the bottom half, tricky

1247
00:57:19,320 --> 00:57:21,720
Speaker 2: bracket to figure out to so many really good teams.

1248
00:57:21,760 --> 00:57:24,200
Speaker 2: And then obviously you have a monster in Baylor. But Baylor,

1249
00:57:24,280 --> 00:57:28,520
Speaker 2: look are they really had three games in three days.

1250
00:57:28,880 --> 00:57:31,240
Speaker 2: It looks like they're back to full strength. But maybe

1251
00:57:31,280 --> 00:57:34,440
Speaker 2: their legs go, maybe their focus goes. I don't know.

1252
00:57:35,480 --> 00:57:39,680
Speaker 2: But I also think Oklahoma State, maybe they hold back Cunningham.

1253
00:57:39,760 --> 00:57:41,680
Speaker 2: He's hurt, They're already in the tournament. What do they

1254
00:57:41,760 --> 00:57:44,680
Speaker 2: do likely, So that's a question as well. Right, I'll

1255
00:57:44,720 --> 00:57:45,920
Speaker 2: throw it to you with thoughts on Big twelve.

1256
00:57:46,280 --> 00:57:49,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, it would have been Oklahoma State that win against

1257
00:57:49,120 --> 00:57:53,000
Speaker 4: West Virginia without Cunningham and without Likely and listen, there's

1258
00:57:53,000 --> 00:57:55,440
Speaker 4: some talk now, well maybe they're better without Likely Garbage.

1259
00:57:55,520 --> 00:57:58,600
Speaker 4: Avery Anderson was incredible in that game. Caleb Boone hits

1260
00:57:58,680 --> 00:58:02,280
Speaker 4: more blocks from behind on the trail, just a tremendous

1261
00:58:02,320 --> 00:58:04,280
Speaker 4: team Mike Boytn has going on, but I agree, I

1262
00:58:04,320 --> 00:58:05,920
Speaker 4: think they're going to hold him out for the tournament,

1263
00:58:06,120 --> 00:58:08,760
Speaker 4: which makes that West Virginia against Baylor game. Do I

1264
00:58:08,800 --> 00:58:10,720
Speaker 4: think West Virginia is going to beat Baylor? No, I don't,

1265
00:58:10,800 --> 00:58:13,360
Speaker 4: especially after that second half there against Texas Tech where

1266
00:58:13,400 --> 00:58:15,800
Speaker 4: they blitz them. So I think Baylor's getting in. The

1267
00:58:15,920 --> 00:58:18,120
Speaker 4: question is what team do I like to beat Baylor?

1268
00:58:18,320 --> 00:58:20,040
Speaker 4: And honestly, I agree with you, Stuck. I think it

1269
00:58:20,080 --> 00:58:22,680
Speaker 4: comes back to Texas. Texas Tech does not have enough offense.

1270
00:58:22,920 --> 00:58:24,800
Speaker 4: They gave it their best shot, but they're going to

1271
00:58:24,960 --> 00:58:28,160
Speaker 4: go through stretches Texas Tech where they're not scoring. Like

1272
00:58:28,240 --> 00:58:31,160
Speaker 4: people are keing on McClung. Now he torched Texas the

1273
00:58:31,200 --> 00:58:33,560
Speaker 4: first time they played there with the big shot. That's

1274
00:58:33,600 --> 00:58:35,880
Speaker 4: not going to happen anymore. So I think your value

1275
00:58:35,960 --> 00:58:38,880
Speaker 4: is Texas nine to one. Here at bet MGM. Earlier

1276
00:58:38,920 --> 00:58:40,560
Speaker 4: in the year they were playing great. With the tournament,

1277
00:58:40,600 --> 00:58:42,640
Speaker 4: they sort of died a little bit, but the bigs

1278
00:58:42,640 --> 00:58:45,680
Speaker 4: inside are playing well. Greg Brown's a monster. They have

1279
00:58:45,840 --> 00:58:48,920
Speaker 4: three veteran guards, Matt Coleman, big shots they can make

1280
00:58:48,960 --> 00:58:50,680
Speaker 4: and listen, I know the issues with SHOTGA and the

1281
00:58:50,760 --> 00:58:52,640
Speaker 4: Texas fans are going to say shot in a big spot.

1282
00:58:52,960 --> 00:58:55,520
Speaker 4: But if you look at the bracket, if Oklahoma State

1283
00:58:55,600 --> 00:58:57,600
Speaker 4: is not healthy and they hold those guys out, there's

1284
00:58:57,640 --> 00:58:59,520
Speaker 4: a very little case to be made in the top

1285
00:59:00,360 --> 00:59:03,080
Speaker 4: in the bottom. I think Kansas listened revenge back to itself,

1286
00:59:03,360 --> 00:59:05,520
Speaker 4: But I just don't think they have a go to guy,

1287
00:59:05,680 --> 00:59:08,440
Speaker 4: you know last year as a bookie. Inside they have

1288
00:59:08,560 --> 00:59:11,160
Speaker 4: the point guard. They have a different makeup this team

1289
00:59:11,240 --> 00:59:13,480
Speaker 4: is everyone is sort of okay, and in a tournament

1290
00:59:13,560 --> 00:59:15,480
Speaker 4: setting here, in a close game, someone's got to make

1291
00:59:15,480 --> 00:59:17,600
Speaker 4: a big shot, and I think Texas has proven that

1292
00:59:17,680 --> 00:59:19,840
Speaker 4: over and over again more so than Kansas. So I

1293
00:59:19,880 --> 00:59:22,360
Speaker 4: think the play here is Texas for me or nothing.

1294
00:59:22,800 --> 00:59:24,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, and Kansas is not necessarily a lock to get

1295
00:59:24,720 --> 00:59:28,160
Speaker 2: by Oklahoma by the way, Oklahoma, I mean, look, this

1296
00:59:28,280 --> 00:59:29,760
Speaker 2: is gonna happen in this Big twelve, which is just

1297
00:59:29,840 --> 00:59:31,600
Speaker 2: loaded up top. They lost four in a row to

1298
00:59:31,640 --> 00:59:34,880
Speaker 2: close out the year, bustin overtime to Oklahoma State, then

1299
00:59:34,920 --> 00:59:37,520
Speaker 2: they lost by four against Oklahoma State. Coming back, they

1300
00:59:37,560 --> 00:59:39,640
Speaker 2: lost by four to Texas. They're right there. They split

1301
00:59:39,680 --> 00:59:42,520
Speaker 2: with Kansas dour in the regular season. Any thoughts con

1302
00:59:42,640 --> 00:59:43,120
Speaker 2: on the Big Golf.

1303
00:59:43,280 --> 00:59:44,920
Speaker 3: Well, I wanted to Oklahoma State, but you really got

1304
00:59:45,040 --> 00:59:47,120
Speaker 3: to see the status of Cunningham. If you want a

1305
00:59:47,160 --> 00:59:50,360
Speaker 3: team that likes to win Quad one games, it's Oklahoma

1306
00:59:50,400 --> 00:59:52,320
Speaker 3: State eight and five on the season. They only show

1307
00:59:52,400 --> 00:59:55,480
Speaker 3: up for big games. But you know, I agree with

1308
00:59:55,560 --> 00:59:57,360
Speaker 3: you guys, Texas is the player on the bottom and

1309
00:59:57,440 --> 00:59:59,280
Speaker 3: side of the bracket. You got to hope that that

1310
00:59:59,360 --> 01:00:01,040
Speaker 3: free throw percent and it just doesn't catch up with

1311
01:00:01,080 --> 01:00:02,720
Speaker 3: them in some of these games. But they get a

1312
01:00:02,720 --> 01:00:05,480
Speaker 3: great draw with whoever's going to win between Kansas and Oklahoma.

1313
01:00:05,520 --> 01:00:08,320
Speaker 3: Texas has already beat Kansas twice. I know it was close,

1314
01:00:08,400 --> 01:00:11,120
Speaker 3: but you know, I think Texas is definitely the play here.

1315
01:00:11,200 --> 01:00:12,640
Speaker 3: I kind of I want to make a case for

1316
01:00:12,720 --> 01:00:14,520
Speaker 3: West Virginia, but I think they're priced out. I think

1317
01:00:14,520 --> 01:00:17,200
Speaker 3: they're priced correctly, especially if Cunningham's not playing. That's a

1318
01:00:17,240 --> 01:00:19,800
Speaker 3: game that I project West Virginia minus one if Cunningham

1319
01:00:19,920 --> 01:00:23,360
Speaker 3: is there. So, you know, taking West Virginia thinking that

1320
01:00:23,400 --> 01:00:25,640
Speaker 3: Cunningham isn't going to be there for Oklahoma State may

1321
01:00:25,720 --> 01:00:26,960
Speaker 3: have a little bit of value. They got to get

1322
01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:29,240
Speaker 3: by Baylor, So you know, I think West Virginia and

1323
01:00:29,280 --> 01:00:30,840
Speaker 3: Texas are the teams that I like to meet in

1324
01:00:30,880 --> 01:00:33,720
Speaker 3: the finals, but I think West Virginia is priced correctly

1325
01:00:33,960 --> 01:00:34,760
Speaker 3: and Texas is not.

1326
01:00:35,200 --> 01:00:39,000
Speaker 2: All right. Before we move on to the conference storms

1327
01:00:39,040 --> 01:00:41,960
Speaker 2: at start on Thursday, I want to paint a quick

1328
01:00:42,040 --> 01:00:44,000
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01:00:47,640 --> 01:00:50,840
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1331
01:00:50,880 --> 01:00:52,800
Speaker 2: You made a bet. Let's say you bet Belmont to

1332
01:00:52,800 --> 01:00:54,919
Speaker 2: win the Ohio Valley Conference, and after it's all said

1333
01:00:54,920 --> 01:00:56,600
Speaker 2: and done, they get upset by more at State in

1334
01:00:56,600 --> 01:01:00,200
Speaker 2: the championship game. You're furious, your heartbroken. You go to

1335
01:01:00,240 --> 01:01:02,600
Speaker 2: your local park to take a walk and clear your head.

1336
01:01:03,040 --> 01:01:05,320
Speaker 2: You start walking on a nature trail, trying to forget

1337
01:01:05,440 --> 01:01:07,960
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1338
01:01:08,120 --> 01:01:11,520
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1339
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01:01:21,600 --> 01:01:24,520
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1354
01:01:56,320 --> 01:01:59,080
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1355
01:01:59,120 --> 01:02:01,840
Speaker 2: on that first order and enjoy the flavor while keeping

1356
01:02:01,920 --> 01:02:06,600
Speaker 2: that gambling edge. All right, let's move on to Thursday

1357
01:02:06,760 --> 01:02:10,720
Speaker 2: with the AAC Conference Tournament. I am really looking forward

1358
01:02:10,760 --> 01:02:14,240
Speaker 2: to this for one reason, and it is the rematch

1359
01:02:14,920 --> 01:02:20,840
Speaker 2: of Houston and Memphis, which we should get right. The

1360
01:02:20,920 --> 01:02:23,960
Speaker 2: top five seeds all get a bye, which is not

1361
01:02:24,040 --> 01:02:26,080
Speaker 2: State's actually the number one seed they'll play the winner

1362
01:02:26,080 --> 01:02:28,040
Speaker 2: of South Florida Temple up top. You also have smun

1363
01:02:28,080 --> 01:02:30,360
Speaker 2: since yes, he has have played in forever I think

1364
01:02:30,400 --> 01:02:32,800
Speaker 2: over a month, the bottom half its Houston and Memphis.

1365
01:02:32,840 --> 01:02:35,000
Speaker 2: Houston has to beat the winner of Tulsa Tulane. To

1366
01:02:35,080 --> 01:02:36,960
Speaker 2: assume they do that, Memphis has to play the winner

1367
01:02:37,000 --> 01:02:41,400
Speaker 2: of UCF East Carolina, and Memphis is can be Jekyll

1368
01:02:41,400 --> 01:02:43,360
Speaker 2: and Hyde. I assume they get by either of those teams,

1369
01:02:43,560 --> 01:02:45,600
Speaker 2: and then it sets up that Memphis Houston, these teams

1370
01:02:45,640 --> 01:02:47,880
Speaker 2: hate each other. You have Lester Kenyonis, he's doing his

1371
01:02:47,960 --> 01:02:51,560
Speaker 2: guitar after he makes threes. Every time Houston started making threes,

1372
01:02:51,600 --> 01:02:55,000
Speaker 2: they were playing the guitar. I mean, just an unbelievable game.

1373
01:02:55,280 --> 01:02:58,480
Speaker 2: Memphis played right with them till the end. This team

1374
01:02:58,640 --> 01:03:03,000
Speaker 2: is I think, playing extremely good basketball. Yeah, they can't

1375
01:03:03,000 --> 01:03:05,160
Speaker 2: shoot free throws. You hope that they call the game

1376
01:03:05,480 --> 01:03:07,920
Speaker 2: not really tight. If they did, which they did in

1377
01:03:08,480 --> 01:03:10,760
Speaker 2: this game against Houston, they still almost won. House went

1378
01:03:10,760 --> 01:03:13,120
Speaker 2: to the line I think eighteen times in the first half.

1379
01:03:13,240 --> 01:03:15,880
Speaker 2: The second half they kind of put their whistles away.

1380
01:03:16,120 --> 01:03:17,760
Speaker 2: They didn't go to the line as much, but Memphis

1381
01:03:17,840 --> 01:03:21,720
Speaker 2: was in foul trouble throughout, and they still hung. DeAndre

1382
01:03:21,800 --> 01:03:23,200
Speaker 2: Williams at a hell of a game even though he

1383
01:03:23,400 --> 01:03:25,760
Speaker 2: was in foul trouble I like this team. I think

1384
01:03:25,760 --> 01:03:28,000
Speaker 2: they match up well. They can match up well athletically,

1385
01:03:28,440 --> 01:03:32,200
Speaker 2: they can cover grinds. They can rebound on both ends

1386
01:03:32,200 --> 01:03:33,880
Speaker 2: of the four, which you need to do against Houston.

1387
01:03:33,920 --> 01:03:37,640
Speaker 2: I mean, Houston is not a huge team by any

1388
01:03:37,720 --> 01:03:40,320
Speaker 2: stretch of the imagination, but they are just so good

1389
01:03:40,920 --> 01:03:44,640
Speaker 2: on the glass on both ends. So look, Memphis ATTMG.

1390
01:03:44,800 --> 01:03:47,480
Speaker 2: I'm the official arts provider of the Action Arc podcast.

1391
01:03:47,520 --> 01:03:50,080
Speaker 2: You can get Memphis plus five fifty. I think they're

1392
01:03:50,080 --> 01:03:51,920
Speaker 2: going to give Houston a run for their money in

1393
01:03:52,600 --> 01:03:54,760
Speaker 2: the semi finals. I wouldn't be shocked if they win

1394
01:03:54,800 --> 01:03:56,880
Speaker 2: that game. Game should be awesome, and then you know

1395
01:03:56,920 --> 01:04:00,680
Speaker 2: they would get the winner of presumably Which State or

1396
01:04:01,120 --> 01:04:03,480
Speaker 2: SMU who hasn't played in forever. Now you're gonna ask

1397
01:04:03,480 --> 01:04:07,360
Speaker 2: them to win three games in three days Wichita State. Look,

1398
01:04:07,600 --> 01:04:09,680
Speaker 2: I'm not a I'm not a big believer in them.

1399
01:04:09,800 --> 01:04:10,240
Speaker 3: Some are.

1400
01:04:10,560 --> 01:04:13,080
Speaker 2: They did get blown out by Memphis and their only

1401
01:04:13,200 --> 01:04:16,160
Speaker 2: meeting this year, but which saw State. Look, they beat

1402
01:04:16,200 --> 01:04:20,960
Speaker 2: UCF in overtime, they beat South Florida in overtime. They

1403
01:04:21,040 --> 01:04:24,120
Speaker 2: beat Ole Miss by four, They beat Tulsa by four,

1404
01:04:24,600 --> 01:04:27,720
Speaker 2: they beat Temple by three. UCF in their next in

1405
01:04:27,800 --> 01:04:30,520
Speaker 2: the second game against UCF they won by one, Houston

1406
01:04:30,600 --> 01:04:32,960
Speaker 2: by five. I mean they did want so many close kids.

1407
01:04:33,000 --> 01:04:35,840
Speaker 2: One of the luckiest teams in the nation. No one's

1408
01:04:35,840 --> 01:04:37,320
Speaker 2: been able to make a three against them. I think

1409
01:04:37,360 --> 01:04:41,800
Speaker 2: there's some shooting regression coming. So I'm rolling with Memphis here.

1410
01:04:42,160 --> 01:04:45,880
Speaker 2: Maybe hopefully the free throws don't come back to bite me.

1411
01:04:45,960 --> 01:04:47,840
Speaker 2: But this team is uber talented. I really hope they

1412
01:04:47,920 --> 01:04:52,120
Speaker 2: get into their big dance. So give me Memphis plus

1413
01:04:52,520 --> 01:04:54,200
Speaker 2: five fifty ran all what we got.

1414
01:04:54,560 --> 01:04:57,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, Memphis has impressed me. I'm a believer. I faded

1415
01:04:57,440 --> 01:04:59,120
Speaker 4: them the second half of the year, but they have

1416
01:04:59,200 --> 01:05:02,040
Speaker 4: stuck it to me every time, including against Houston. You

1417
01:05:02,200 --> 01:05:05,920
Speaker 4: hit it stuck. They can rebound the ball. They battle inside.

1418
01:05:06,320 --> 01:05:09,280
Speaker 4: Cce the freshman, has really come along and been a

1419
01:05:09,480 --> 01:05:12,880
Speaker 4: much much better player inside. They can rebound. There is

1420
01:05:13,040 --> 01:05:16,640
Speaker 4: just no value here on the bottom part of these numbers.

1421
01:05:16,680 --> 01:05:19,280
Speaker 4: I mean, Wichita State is a paper tiger. There is

1422
01:05:19,320 --> 01:05:21,400
Speaker 4: the one seed. I'm not believing in them at all.

1423
01:05:21,800 --> 01:05:23,800
Speaker 4: That they play Houston, they lost, They played Memphis, they

1424
01:05:23,840 --> 01:05:26,560
Speaker 4: got blown out. People would have liked Cincinnati, but no

1425
01:05:26,640 --> 01:05:29,280
Speaker 4: to Julius anymore. He's opted out, you know. I love

1426
01:05:29,360 --> 01:05:31,400
Speaker 4: Mike telsa team, but they're just a step below on

1427
01:05:31,960 --> 01:05:34,280
Speaker 4: offense this year. The magic is gone, at least not

1428
01:05:34,360 --> 01:05:36,880
Speaker 4: this year. But so I can't really find a number there.

1429
01:05:36,920 --> 01:05:39,520
Speaker 4: I think Temple's a year away. So yeah, for me,

1430
01:05:39,640 --> 01:05:41,960
Speaker 4: it's Memphis, like you said, plus five point fifty at

1431
01:05:42,000 --> 01:05:44,560
Speaker 4: bet MGM. They can stand up to Houston, one of

1432
01:05:44,600 --> 01:05:47,240
Speaker 4: the few teams that can do it. Houston's steamrolling teams,

1433
01:05:47,440 --> 01:05:49,840
Speaker 4: and they were in trouble against Memphis at home there.

1434
01:05:49,920 --> 01:05:52,240
Speaker 4: Tigers showed a lot. Penny's done a good job. They're

1435
01:05:52,280 --> 01:05:55,000
Speaker 4: making threes, they're defending the three, and they're battling against

1436
01:05:55,000 --> 01:05:57,000
Speaker 4: the boards. It's Memphis or bust.

1437
01:05:57,440 --> 01:06:00,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I completely agree, And it's this And this Memphis

1438
01:06:01,000 --> 01:06:03,280
Speaker 2: team is so deep, so even if they do get

1439
01:06:03,320 --> 01:06:05,400
Speaker 2: in foul trouble, I mean, they have as much depths

1440
01:06:05,920 --> 01:06:08,680
Speaker 2: as anyone in the country, so winning three games in

1441
01:06:08,760 --> 01:06:11,520
Speaker 2: three days is definitely not an issue. I love this

1442
01:06:11,560 --> 01:06:15,400
Speaker 2: houstond and they are tough Grimes. I mean, he can

1443
01:06:15,440 --> 01:06:17,480
Speaker 2: get red hot. I love Drew. I mean it's a

1444
01:06:17,560 --> 01:06:21,320
Speaker 2: really it's just this team does a lot of things well.

1445
01:06:22,000 --> 01:06:24,600
Speaker 2: But I think Bethis matches up fairly well and They're

1446
01:06:24,640 --> 01:06:27,680
Speaker 2: gonna give them a run for their money. Houston, they

1447
01:06:27,800 --> 01:06:30,959
Speaker 2: did beat Wichita State once and then lose to Wichita State.

1448
01:06:31,600 --> 01:06:34,280
Speaker 2: You know, it was just an odd game from when

1449
01:06:34,280 --> 01:06:37,400
Speaker 2: I watched it in Wichita State was red hot. Houston

1450
01:06:37,480 --> 01:06:40,720
Speaker 2: blew a big lead. And I'm not a buyer in

1451
01:06:40,760 --> 01:06:43,000
Speaker 2: whichdat State. It's just been getting really fortunate all years.

1452
01:06:43,040 --> 01:06:46,000
Speaker 2: So it's Petty Hardaway and the Memphis Tigers for me.

1453
01:06:46,360 --> 01:06:48,800
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to some action, which also

1454
01:06:48,960 --> 01:06:59,800
Speaker 2: starts on Thursday in Cleveland, Ohio. Matchsel, which is where

1455
01:06:59,800 --> 01:07:01,840
Speaker 2: the tournament we spedal In the years past, he would

1456
01:07:01,840 --> 01:07:03,680
Speaker 2: have home games in the first round, but only the

1457
01:07:03,720 --> 01:07:06,440
Speaker 2: top eight teams make this tournament. Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan,

1458
01:07:06,480 --> 01:07:08,760
Speaker 2: Central Michigan, all of your directional Michigans didn't make it.

1459
01:07:09,080 --> 01:07:11,400
Speaker 2: In addition to Northern Illinois. You want to talk about

1460
01:07:11,400 --> 01:07:13,640
Speaker 2: a wide open conference, I could make a case for

1461
01:07:14,000 --> 01:07:16,640
Speaker 2: almost everybody. I mean, even Miami, Ohio and Ball State

1462
01:07:16,720 --> 01:07:20,320
Speaker 2: have really talented guards. The top two, you know, the

1463
01:07:20,400 --> 01:07:24,080
Speaker 2: top three seats Toledo Acker in Buffalo, Buffalo, so talented,

1464
01:07:24,120 --> 01:07:25,960
Speaker 2: but they are one of the street. They're like Eastern Kentucky,

1465
01:07:26,040 --> 01:07:28,240
Speaker 2: one of the streakiest teams in the nation. They just

1466
01:07:28,360 --> 01:07:30,440
Speaker 2: will go on ten oh runs, give up twelve Oho

1467
01:07:30,480 --> 01:07:33,480
Speaker 2: runs and have Checkal and Hyde halfs Akron and Toledo

1468
01:07:33,960 --> 01:07:37,280
Speaker 2: great offenses. I do have questions about both defenses. For me,

1469
01:07:37,640 --> 01:07:39,520
Speaker 2: this is kind of a stick to your guns play

1470
01:07:39,880 --> 01:07:43,160
Speaker 2: from the beginning of the year. It's Bowling Green ten

1471
01:07:43,240 --> 01:07:45,960
Speaker 2: to one at at MGM, the official arts provider of

1472
01:07:46,000 --> 01:07:50,560
Speaker 2: the Action podcast. Look Justin Turner, who I love, I

1473
01:07:50,640 --> 01:07:54,320
Speaker 2: think arguably is the best play overall player right now

1474
01:07:54,920 --> 01:07:57,320
Speaker 2: in the MAC, and they're finally getting shooting. This is

1475
01:07:57,360 --> 01:08:02,440
Speaker 2: a team that's just bottomed out, absolutely bottomed out. Early

1476
01:08:02,520 --> 01:08:05,640
Speaker 2: on in February, they had lost six straight. They were

1477
01:08:05,680 --> 01:08:08,560
Speaker 2: getting blown out in some games, you know. Then they

1478
01:08:08,640 --> 01:08:10,360
Speaker 2: closed the year winning four straight and then they lost

1479
01:08:10,560 --> 01:08:13,760
Speaker 2: to Miamu Ohio in overtime. But they started to make

1480
01:08:13,800 --> 01:08:16,160
Speaker 2: some shots to the team playing with a lot of confidence.

1481
01:08:16,280 --> 01:08:19,400
Speaker 2: They won at Accord, by the way, February twenty six,

1482
01:08:19,640 --> 01:08:22,760
Speaker 2: that's their first round appointment. It is just these teams

1483
01:08:22,760 --> 01:08:25,439
Speaker 2: are so close. You give me this Bowling Green team,

1484
01:08:25,439 --> 01:08:27,080
Speaker 2: who I thought was gonna win it before the year

1485
01:08:27,120 --> 01:08:29,840
Speaker 2: at ten to one. They're gonna have to play maybe

1486
01:08:29,880 --> 01:08:32,920
Speaker 2: Buffalo or Miami Ohio. Probably Buffalo in the second round.

1487
01:08:33,200 --> 01:08:35,000
Speaker 2: They went to Buffalo in one earlier this year, so

1488
01:08:35,040 --> 01:08:37,000
Speaker 2: their first two likely oppone. It's Acer in Buffalo. They

1489
01:08:37,000 --> 01:08:38,880
Speaker 2: already beat them on the road. This team could beat

1490
01:08:38,920 --> 01:08:41,880
Speaker 2: anybody in the conference. So Paul State's twenty five to one,

1491
01:08:41,960 --> 01:08:44,320
Speaker 2: Mina Ohio thirty five to one. If you wanted to

1492
01:08:44,360 --> 01:08:47,040
Speaker 2: take a flyer, sure, I could really make a case

1493
01:08:47,040 --> 01:08:50,240
Speaker 2: for anybody here, except for really Toledo, Acer to Buffalo.

1494
01:08:50,280 --> 01:08:51,680
Speaker 2: I just think it's so wide open. I don't want

1495
01:08:51,680 --> 01:08:53,479
Speaker 2: any of the favorites bowling Green at ten to one

1496
01:08:53,479 --> 01:08:55,639
Speaker 2: at Ben m GM worth a shot. In my opinion,

1497
01:08:55,680 --> 01:08:58,800
Speaker 2: I'll be on the Falcons. Randall thoughts on the mac Yeah,

1498
01:08:58,960 --> 01:09:02,800
Speaker 2: I'm with you. I'm bowling Green. All the reasons you

1499
01:09:02,880 --> 01:09:03,519
Speaker 2: said are true.

1500
01:09:03,920 --> 01:09:06,920
Speaker 4: All those wins they beat Toledo, Buffalo, Akron, all on

1501
01:09:07,040 --> 01:09:09,160
Speaker 4: the road, justin Turner can take over.

1502
01:09:09,439 --> 01:09:12,280
Speaker 2: That could be their path if all the favorites win.

1503
01:09:12,400 --> 01:09:14,679
Speaker 2: That's the path of the three teams that they would

1504
01:09:14,680 --> 01:09:15,120
Speaker 2: have to beat.

1505
01:09:15,320 --> 01:09:18,080
Speaker 4: And that's the negative is the draw. But the values there.

1506
01:09:18,360 --> 01:09:21,400
Speaker 4: The offense was struggling. Their tenth and two point percentage

1507
01:09:21,439 --> 01:09:24,120
Speaker 4: and eleven to three point percentage, but not lately they

1508
01:09:24,200 --> 01:09:27,759
Speaker 4: have improved efficiency. They have the freshman Methaney ten points

1509
01:09:27,800 --> 01:09:30,320
Speaker 4: per game, Trey Diggs eleven point five points per game

1510
01:09:30,360 --> 01:09:33,160
Speaker 4: the senior. Those two not Turner, the other two have

1511
01:09:33,280 --> 01:09:36,040
Speaker 4: combined to shoot forty four point eight percent. That's twenty

1512
01:09:36,080 --> 01:09:38,479
Speaker 4: two to forty nine from three over the past three games,

1513
01:09:38,760 --> 01:09:41,320
Speaker 4: so they're getting hot. You look at these teams Kent State,

1514
01:09:41,439 --> 01:09:45,120
Speaker 4: No NUGA, Buffalo, free throws and turnovers, Toledo with some

1515
01:09:45,240 --> 01:09:48,479
Speaker 4: odd road losses at Ball State Central Michigan, so every

1516
01:09:48,560 --> 01:09:51,200
Speaker 4: team is flawed. I like the Falcons a lot. If

1517
01:09:51,240 --> 01:09:53,879
Speaker 4: you wanted one more flyer, I would look at Ohio.

1518
01:09:54,200 --> 01:09:56,519
Speaker 4: They have to be healthy, but certainly they have the

1519
01:09:56,600 --> 01:09:58,880
Speaker 4: offense and the potency and the up and down play

1520
01:09:58,920 --> 01:10:01,040
Speaker 4: there to make a run. They had a nice run

1521
01:10:01,080 --> 01:10:02,800
Speaker 4: in the middle there where they beat ball State, they

1522
01:10:02,880 --> 01:10:06,080
Speaker 4: beat Buffalo away, they beat Akron, they lost a Buffalo

1523
01:10:06,160 --> 01:10:07,960
Speaker 4: at home to end the season. So maybe people have

1524
01:10:08,040 --> 01:10:10,000
Speaker 4: cooled on them a little bit. But if you're looking

1525
01:10:10,040 --> 01:10:11,800
Speaker 4: for value, I agree. I'm not going for the top

1526
01:10:11,880 --> 01:10:14,080
Speaker 4: teams not in the MAC. This is always an exciting tournament.

1527
01:10:14,400 --> 01:10:16,120
Speaker 4: You have Ohio at eight to one, but the one

1528
01:10:16,160 --> 01:10:18,320
Speaker 4: I like Bowling Green ten to one. They were the

1529
01:10:18,439 --> 01:10:21,599
Speaker 4: preseason favorite. They did get hot for a while. Maybe

1530
01:10:21,640 --> 01:10:25,000
Speaker 4: people will cool there because of the recent loss, but overall,

1531
01:10:25,280 --> 01:10:27,559
Speaker 4: I'm looking at a team here that was winning four

1532
01:10:27,600 --> 01:10:30,040
Speaker 4: in a row before Miami of Ohio. Now they're going

1533
01:10:30,080 --> 01:10:32,000
Speaker 4: to start off. They have a tough road, But ten

1534
01:10:32,040 --> 01:10:33,880
Speaker 4: to one for Bowling Green with Justin Turner and a

1535
01:10:33,920 --> 01:10:36,200
Speaker 4: team that's making threes, I will take it in the MAC.

1536
01:10:36,640 --> 01:10:39,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, Ohio is an interesting case. But by

1537
01:10:39,280 --> 01:10:41,160
Speaker 2: the way, Kent Stay, who I did like. I love

1538
01:10:41,240 --> 01:10:43,080
Speaker 2: their interior play. They don't have one of their best

1539
01:10:43,080 --> 01:10:45,519
Speaker 2: players in Michael Nuga, their guard, who's out for the year. Ohio,

1540
01:10:45,720 --> 01:10:47,639
Speaker 2: it was a question whether or not they would even

1541
01:10:47,640 --> 01:10:49,080
Speaker 2: be able to play in this tournament. I don't even know.

1542
01:10:49,360 --> 01:10:53,320
Speaker 2: Maybe they're they could still withdraw because they dealt with

1543
01:10:53,400 --> 01:10:57,200
Speaker 2: so many COVID issues now. In their final game February

1544
01:10:57,200 --> 01:10:59,120
Speaker 2: twenty seventh, they did have everyone. They had Jason Preston,

1545
01:10:59,120 --> 01:11:02,000
Speaker 2: who's a potential NBA player. Really you can do it

1546
01:11:02,080 --> 01:11:06,040
Speaker 2: all guard, and you know, Dwight Wilson was back, but

1547
01:11:06,479 --> 01:11:08,400
Speaker 2: then they had more COVID issues, So I don't know

1548
01:11:08,479 --> 01:11:11,200
Speaker 2: how healthy, they'll be. That's the offense is there when

1549
01:11:11,200 --> 01:11:13,479
Speaker 2: fully healthy. But I don't know how much. You know,

1550
01:11:13,520 --> 01:11:16,559
Speaker 2: if they're at rhythm that much, you know, their fitness

1551
01:11:16,680 --> 01:11:19,519
Speaker 2: could be an issue as well, trying to win three

1552
01:11:19,560 --> 01:11:21,280
Speaker 2: games in three days. So that's what really kept me

1553
01:11:21,320 --> 01:11:23,679
Speaker 2: off of Ohio. But I don't disagree with the potential.

1554
01:11:23,760 --> 01:11:26,000
Speaker 2: All right, So col I ran on and I both

1555
01:11:26,040 --> 01:11:27,040
Speaker 2: a graam bowling green. How are you?

1556
01:11:27,360 --> 01:11:29,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna go completely the other side of the

1557
01:11:29,000 --> 01:11:30,759
Speaker 3: bracket from you guys, and I'm going to do Toledo.

1558
01:11:30,960 --> 01:11:34,040
Speaker 3: I think the price is right down to plus one sixty,

1559
01:11:34,160 --> 01:11:36,840
Speaker 3: so you'll want to do your shopping there because look

1560
01:11:36,880 --> 01:11:38,320
Speaker 3: at the Just look at who they're going to face.

1561
01:11:38,439 --> 01:11:38,559
Speaker 4: Right.

1562
01:11:38,600 --> 01:11:41,599
Speaker 3: So ball State beat them earlier this season, but Toledo

1563
01:11:41,760 --> 01:11:45,120
Speaker 3: just drummed them by nineteen points on Friday. So this

1564
01:11:45,280 --> 01:11:47,840
Speaker 3: opening spread should be around minus eight for the for

1565
01:11:47,960 --> 01:11:49,720
Speaker 3: the first game, and then when you get into Kent

1566
01:11:49,840 --> 01:11:51,960
Speaker 3: State and Ohio it should be anywhere from five to

1567
01:11:52,120 --> 01:11:55,800
Speaker 3: seven points. So when you get a Toledo future at

1568
01:11:55,840 --> 01:11:58,400
Speaker 3: plus one sixty plus one eighty that I've seen out there,

1569
01:11:59,160 --> 01:12:01,519
Speaker 3: pretty much, you can ride that sweat free all the

1570
01:12:01,560 --> 01:12:03,680
Speaker 3: way into the championship game where you can do some

1571
01:12:03,800 --> 01:12:06,080
Speaker 3: hedging if you want to, Because listen to the teams

1572
01:12:06,120 --> 01:12:09,639
Speaker 3: that you guys are mentioning, Buffalo, Bowling Green, Acron, they're

1573
01:12:09,680 --> 01:12:11,640
Speaker 3: on the other side of the bracket. Look at who

1574
01:12:12,000 --> 01:12:15,360
Speaker 3: Taledo only had four conference losses. One came to Ball State.

1575
01:12:15,400 --> 01:12:17,920
Speaker 3: They just avenged that hammered them by nineteen Central Michigan

1576
01:12:17,960 --> 01:12:21,240
Speaker 3: didn't even qualify for this tournament. Bowling Green, other side

1577
01:12:21,240 --> 01:12:24,360
Speaker 3: of the bracket. Acron from overtime, other side of the bracket.

1578
01:12:24,560 --> 01:12:26,880
Speaker 3: I think Toledo is a team that you can easily get.

1579
01:12:27,200 --> 01:12:27,880
Speaker 6: You can get them right now.

1580
01:12:27,920 --> 01:12:29,960
Speaker 3: In the future of plus money, I think there's gonna

1581
01:12:29,960 --> 01:12:32,320
Speaker 3: be no sweat getting into the championship game. And if

1582
01:12:32,320 --> 01:12:37,000
Speaker 3: you like scoring, this is your offense thirteenth in the

1583
01:12:37,080 --> 01:12:40,559
Speaker 3: nation and three point shooting percentage sixteenth in the nation,

1584
01:12:41,040 --> 01:12:44,600
Speaker 3: and relying on the three point shot for their point distribution.

1585
01:12:44,960 --> 01:12:48,040
Speaker 3: They love to jack threes. It's like it's like the

1586
01:12:48,120 --> 01:12:49,960
Speaker 3: Alabama I mean, it's all they want to do is

1587
01:12:50,080 --> 01:12:53,080
Speaker 3: jack threes. They're also tenth in the nation, not just

1588
01:12:53,160 --> 01:12:56,080
Speaker 3: in the MAC, tenth in the nation. And defending the perimeter,

1589
01:12:56,800 --> 01:12:58,320
Speaker 3: so you're gonna have to bring your a game, a

1590
01:12:58,400 --> 01:13:01,880
Speaker 3: pack of lunch to come play Toledo. So I like

1591
01:13:01,920 --> 01:13:04,400
Speaker 3: them getting into the championship game with that plus number

1592
01:13:04,720 --> 01:13:05,960
Speaker 3: and then you can figure out what to do with

1593
01:13:06,040 --> 01:13:07,439
Speaker 3: it when they get to the finals.

1594
01:13:08,479 --> 01:13:11,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, look, they could shoot and Marion Jackson's an excellent,

1595
01:13:12,160 --> 01:13:14,599
Speaker 2: excellent point guard and he sets everyone up. Can they

1596
01:13:14,640 --> 01:13:16,679
Speaker 2: keep shooting at that clip? I got to be thirty

1597
01:13:16,720 --> 01:13:18,320
Speaker 2: eight point five percent for the year end in the

1598
01:13:18,320 --> 01:13:21,160
Speaker 2: Conference Bay maybe because they just get great shots. I mean,

1599
01:13:21,160 --> 01:13:23,280
Speaker 2: there's a really efficient offense with Jackson at the helm.

1600
01:13:23,680 --> 01:13:26,200
Speaker 2: They don't turn it over, they're great at the line.

1601
01:13:26,400 --> 01:13:28,840
Speaker 2: But the defense I still have a lot of questions about.

1602
01:13:28,840 --> 01:13:31,679
Speaker 2: And they're holding teams to twenty nine percent three point shooting.

1603
01:13:31,840 --> 01:13:34,120
Speaker 2: I don't know if that's I think that's fluky. So

1604
01:13:34,479 --> 01:13:36,720
Speaker 2: will the regression hit? I mean, they give up a

1605
01:13:36,840 --> 01:13:40,839
Speaker 2: ton of open looks. This is not a great perimeter defense.

1606
01:13:41,600 --> 01:13:43,439
Speaker 2: They give up a ton of threes, and I think

1607
01:13:43,439 --> 01:13:45,160
Speaker 2: they've just been fortunate. So that's the one thing that

1608
01:13:45,200 --> 01:13:46,600
Speaker 2: I work about with Leo. But I do agree with

1609
01:13:46,600 --> 01:13:50,120
Speaker 2: you that you know they'll be sizable favorites over ball

1610
01:13:50,160 --> 01:13:51,680
Speaker 2: State to start, and then you have questions about ken

1611
01:13:51,720 --> 01:13:55,000
Speaker 2: State without Nuga. You have questions with Ohio, you know,

1612
01:13:55,160 --> 01:13:56,880
Speaker 2: late in the year dealing with all these COVID issues.

1613
01:13:56,920 --> 01:14:00,479
Speaker 2: So they definitely have a really favorable draw on that

1614
01:14:00,600 --> 01:14:01,040
Speaker 2: top half.

1615
01:14:01,280 --> 01:14:03,240
Speaker 3: I think something else that you've got to pay attention to,

1616
01:14:03,360 --> 01:14:04,760
Speaker 3: and I know I said this on the last pot,

1617
01:14:04,760 --> 01:14:06,559
Speaker 3: I'm gonna say this partise every pod.

1618
01:14:07,200 --> 01:14:08,720
Speaker 6: You gotta pay attention to free throw rate.

1619
01:14:08,760 --> 01:14:10,840
Speaker 3: And if you look at Toledo, they are the best

1620
01:14:10,880 --> 01:14:13,000
Speaker 3: defensive free throw rate in the MAC. They do not

1621
01:14:13,200 --> 01:14:15,559
Speaker 3: send teams to the line at all. As a matter

1622
01:14:15,600 --> 01:14:17,320
Speaker 3: of fact, there's seventeenth in the nation. There's the top

1623
01:14:17,360 --> 01:14:20,000
Speaker 3: of the MAC. There's seventeenth in the nation and defensive

1624
01:14:20,040 --> 01:14:22,599
Speaker 3: free throw rate. So you're gonna have to find ways

1625
01:14:22,920 --> 01:14:24,479
Speaker 3: to be tleeded. You're gonna have to stop that three

1626
01:14:24,520 --> 01:14:26,639
Speaker 3: point shot and don't expect to get to the line

1627
01:14:26,680 --> 01:14:27,759
Speaker 3: to have as many free points.

1628
01:14:28,400 --> 01:14:29,479
Speaker 7: How beautiful is maction?

1629
01:14:30,320 --> 01:14:31,400
Speaker 4: Beautiful is maction?

1630
01:14:31,920 --> 01:14:34,559
Speaker 2: Oh man? Just when we thought we had peak maction.

1631
01:14:34,840 --> 01:14:35,160
Speaker 1: All right?

1632
01:14:35,280 --> 01:14:37,720
Speaker 2: All right, let's get to the Big East Conference tournament now,

1633
01:14:38,000 --> 01:14:41,640
Speaker 2: obviously one of the most famous conference tournaments. All right,

1634
01:14:41,680 --> 01:14:44,599
Speaker 2: This tournament will take place starting on Wednesday, of course,

1635
01:14:44,640 --> 01:14:48,800
Speaker 2: at Madison Square Garden. Top five seeds get a buy.

1636
01:14:48,960 --> 01:14:52,960
Speaker 2: Championship will be played on Saturday. Villanova the one seed,

1637
01:14:53,200 --> 01:14:55,400
Speaker 2: Creighton the two seeding over the top half, Creyton on

1638
01:14:55,880 --> 01:14:57,880
Speaker 2: the bottom half, the three seed Yukon on the bottom

1639
01:14:57,920 --> 01:15:00,240
Speaker 2: half as well. With Creighton, Villanova will get the of

1640
01:15:00,400 --> 01:15:04,000
Speaker 2: Georgetown Marquette, and then the winner of Saint John Seaton Hall,

1641
01:15:04,040 --> 01:15:05,639
Speaker 2: who just played that will play again.

1642
01:15:06,360 --> 01:15:06,880
Speaker 6: Seaton Hall.

1643
01:15:06,920 --> 01:15:08,800
Speaker 2: I was on about eighteen to nothing in that game

1644
01:15:09,200 --> 01:15:14,599
Speaker 2: and folded, just completely folded. Pasha Alexander status important him

1645
01:15:14,640 --> 01:15:16,560
Speaker 2: and Jeff Penney. I mean, if they're in both in

1646
01:15:16,680 --> 01:15:19,320
Speaker 2: for Saint John's the dangerous team. I actually think Seaton

1647
01:15:19,360 --> 01:15:21,280
Speaker 2: Hall matches up pretty well from Seaton All one of

1648
01:15:21,280 --> 01:15:24,559
Speaker 2: the most experienced teams in the country with Mamu. I mean,

1649
01:15:25,040 --> 01:15:28,040
Speaker 2: but they are just folding down the stretch here. It's

1650
01:15:28,080 --> 01:15:30,200
Speaker 2: a team that I want to back here to take

1651
01:15:30,240 --> 01:15:32,200
Speaker 2: a shot. They lost four straight to end the year.

1652
01:15:33,520 --> 01:15:37,160
Speaker 2: They really, I mean their three point numbers shooting wise

1653
01:15:37,200 --> 01:15:39,280
Speaker 2: and defensively are so bad you would think that there's

1654
01:15:39,280 --> 01:15:43,160
Speaker 2: some potential regression coming in that department, and positive regression,

1655
01:15:43,200 --> 01:15:48,320
Speaker 2: I should say. So, Look, Creighton, they have all yeah,

1656
01:15:48,400 --> 01:15:51,280
Speaker 2: maybe some distractions. They did show up on Saturday with

1657
01:15:51,439 --> 01:15:54,439
Speaker 2: their coach. You have Villa Nova who's trying to make

1658
01:15:54,560 --> 01:15:57,240
Speaker 2: do without Gillespie. So I think it's a vult It's

1659
01:15:57,240 --> 01:15:59,280
Speaker 2: a tournam where you can look for a shot here.

1660
01:15:59,760 --> 01:16:02,040
Speaker 2: If you have a really good feeling on the winner

1661
01:16:02,120 --> 01:16:04,519
Speaker 2: of Saint John's and Seaton Hall. I want to believe

1662
01:16:04,600 --> 01:16:06,400
Speaker 2: in Seaton Hall here and if you define like a

1663
01:16:06,520 --> 01:16:09,280
Speaker 2: twenty to one on Seaton Hall, I mean it's a

1664
01:16:09,320 --> 01:16:11,800
Speaker 2: game that should be around a pick that I would

1665
01:16:12,200 --> 01:16:14,120
Speaker 2: love to take a shot of the pirates. Maybe you

1666
01:16:14,240 --> 01:16:16,200
Speaker 2: can help me out here rand On and whether or

1667
01:16:16,240 --> 01:16:17,760
Speaker 2: not I should trust them or where else we can look.

1668
01:16:17,800 --> 01:16:19,840
Speaker 2: And then obviously if Yukon with book Night playing as

1669
01:16:19,880 --> 01:16:22,320
Speaker 2: well as anyone in the conference is a three seed redda,

1670
01:16:22,360 --> 01:16:23,800
Speaker 2: what do you see here in the Big East? Yeah?

1671
01:16:23,960 --> 01:16:26,519
Speaker 4: Not Willard for me, not Seaton Hall. We've seen this now,

1672
01:16:26,600 --> 01:16:29,360
Speaker 4: got out big against Yukon, folded, got out big against

1673
01:16:29,400 --> 01:16:33,200
Speaker 4: Saint John's folded. That's their moo. If Pash Alexander's healthy,

1674
01:16:33,240 --> 01:16:36,000
Speaker 4: I don't see why you're creating too. I don't see

1675
01:16:36,040 --> 01:16:38,320
Speaker 4: why you can't go for Saint John's at twenty to one.

1676
01:16:38,479 --> 01:16:42,320
Speaker 4: If Pash, Alexander's healthy, they're home. They play great defense.

1677
01:16:42,400 --> 01:16:43,920
Speaker 4: I know it's a hold, you know, spot, because they

1678
01:16:43,960 --> 01:16:46,080
Speaker 4: lost a way to Butler in overtime. They lost to Paul,

1679
01:16:46,400 --> 01:16:48,680
Speaker 4: but they were playing really strong. They still have a

1680
01:16:48,720 --> 01:16:51,000
Speaker 4: win over Yukon. No book night in that game, but

1681
01:16:51,160 --> 01:16:53,400
Speaker 4: that's the long shot for me. But if you're looking

1682
01:16:53,439 --> 01:16:55,960
Speaker 4: for my best choice, it's Yukon. Yukon is the best

1683
01:16:56,000 --> 01:16:56,840
Speaker 4: team in the Big East.

1684
01:16:56,920 --> 01:16:57,280
Speaker 5: Period.

1685
01:16:57,680 --> 01:17:01,120
Speaker 4: They battle through COVID pauses injury, are now fully healthy

1686
01:17:01,479 --> 01:17:04,120
Speaker 4: book nights back. They've won five or six since he's returned.

1687
01:17:04,120 --> 01:17:06,040
Speaker 4: The only loss was the one at Villanova, where the

1688
01:17:06,080 --> 01:17:09,080
Speaker 4: Wildcats of course filled up with more and Gillespie no

1689
01:17:09,160 --> 01:17:11,720
Speaker 4: injuries there. They have the best defensive team in the

1690
01:17:11,760 --> 01:17:14,400
Speaker 4: Big East. They hold you down. They have multiple bigs

1691
01:17:14,520 --> 01:17:18,920
Speaker 4: leading block percentage, and basically every other contender in the

1692
01:17:19,000 --> 01:17:22,040
Speaker 4: conference has flaws that are gonna be exposed. I mean,

1693
01:17:22,080 --> 01:17:24,760
Speaker 4: we have Villanova with the injuries. Creighton just came out

1694
01:17:24,840 --> 01:17:28,960
Speaker 4: now while we're recording this that McDermott has been reinserted,

1695
01:17:29,160 --> 01:17:31,719
Speaker 4: but certainly the mojo there is not good. And Yukon

1696
01:17:31,840 --> 01:17:34,920
Speaker 4: has no trouble playing defense against Creighton. They played him

1697
01:17:34,920 --> 01:17:37,799
Speaker 4: earlier this year, and they almost beat him at Yukon,

1698
01:17:37,920 --> 01:17:39,799
Speaker 4: so they are not afraid of that. They can score,

1699
01:17:40,120 --> 01:17:42,479
Speaker 4: they can come back. I know the odds aren't great,

1700
01:17:42,640 --> 01:17:44,800
Speaker 4: it's three to one, but I'll take it. I don't

1701
01:17:44,880 --> 01:17:48,640
Speaker 4: like Villanova, I don't like any other teams. Certainly. You

1702
01:17:48,680 --> 01:17:50,479
Speaker 4: know you're gonna look at this bracket. I'm gonna start

1703
01:17:50,560 --> 01:17:53,080
Speaker 4: laughing because if you look at it, I'm not taking Marquette. Okay,

1704
01:17:53,120 --> 01:17:54,920
Speaker 4: So if you're looking for an upstay against Villanova because

1705
01:17:54,920 --> 01:17:56,800
Speaker 4: they're shorthanded. It's not gonna be Marquette. I guess it

1706
01:17:56,800 --> 01:18:00,799
Speaker 4: would be Georgetown. But I believe in Yukon, best balanced,

1707
01:18:00,920 --> 01:18:04,160
Speaker 4: best player, best team, well coached, peaking at the right.

1708
01:18:04,120 --> 01:18:05,679
Speaker 2: Time, Kyle.

1709
01:18:05,800 --> 01:18:07,840
Speaker 3: And then in the Big East, Saint John's falls in

1710
01:18:07,920 --> 01:18:10,040
Speaker 3: a part of the bracket where they're gonna get Seaton Hall,

1711
01:18:10,080 --> 01:18:13,400
Speaker 3: who's folding like a cheap suit. And then potentially against Villanova,

1712
01:18:13,680 --> 01:18:17,280
Speaker 3: who just took two huge injuries, with Colin Gillespie and

1713
01:18:17,520 --> 01:18:20,800
Speaker 3: Justin Moore not expected to return for the tournament. Gillspian Moore.

1714
01:18:20,880 --> 01:18:23,920
Speaker 3: For Villanova, they had seventy nine percent of total minutes,

1715
01:18:23,960 --> 01:18:25,920
Speaker 3: which is I mean, terrible news for a team that

1716
01:18:26,080 --> 01:18:29,320
Speaker 3: is three hundred and twenty fifth and bench minutes. So

1717
01:18:29,560 --> 01:18:32,000
Speaker 3: Villanova's a team I'm not even sure. You know, if

1718
01:18:32,040 --> 01:18:35,280
Speaker 3: they can get past Marquette and Georgetown, they'll certainly be favored.

1719
01:18:35,320 --> 01:18:37,639
Speaker 3: But then taking on a Saint John's team that should

1720
01:18:37,640 --> 01:18:40,560
Speaker 3: be there with Posh Alexander coming back named to the

1721
01:18:40,640 --> 01:18:43,320
Speaker 3: All Freshman team, one of the best defensive players in

1722
01:18:43,640 --> 01:18:46,200
Speaker 3: all of the Big East. You know, Saint John's is

1723
01:18:46,320 --> 01:18:48,479
Speaker 3: I think peaking at the right time, and they're on

1724
01:18:48,520 --> 01:18:52,440
Speaker 3: the open side of the bracket from Creighton, Providence, Connecticut.

1725
01:18:52,600 --> 01:18:54,360
Speaker 3: I don't want any part of any of those teams.

1726
01:18:54,600 --> 01:18:56,559
Speaker 3: So give me the twenty to one on Saint John's

1727
01:18:56,880 --> 01:18:59,000
Speaker 3: against a team on the decline and then a heavily

1728
01:18:59,040 --> 01:19:02,280
Speaker 3: injured Villanova square to possibly make the championship game, and

1729
01:19:02,479 --> 01:19:03,639
Speaker 3: you know, will for out what to do the twenty

1730
01:19:03,680 --> 01:19:04,639
Speaker 3: to one in the championship game.

1731
01:19:04,640 --> 01:19:06,280
Speaker 6: But to me, that's where the value is.

1732
01:19:07,320 --> 01:19:09,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think if that's that's the whole cap here,

1733
01:19:10,040 --> 01:19:13,360
Speaker 2: is that this under man Villanova team, Uh, they're still

1734
01:19:13,400 --> 01:19:16,040
Speaker 2: being priced as if they're one of the I think

1735
01:19:16,080 --> 01:19:17,880
Speaker 2: they're just mean that they're three to one. I think

1736
01:19:17,920 --> 01:19:20,439
Speaker 2: that is way too generous after the injuries that they

1737
01:19:20,479 --> 01:19:22,439
Speaker 2: stuffered and suffered, and they're still trying to figure it out.

1738
01:19:22,520 --> 01:19:25,280
Speaker 2: So whoever you think is gonna win that Saint John's

1739
01:19:25,640 --> 01:19:28,120
Speaker 2: seat in hall game, that's who you roll with. And

1740
01:19:28,200 --> 01:19:30,120
Speaker 2: then obviously just a price difference, like better than GMC

1741
01:19:30,200 --> 01:19:32,040
Speaker 2: and as twelve to one Saint John's twenty to one

1742
01:19:32,720 --> 01:19:35,360
Speaker 2: in that case, yeah, I'm taking Saint John's twenty to one,

1743
01:19:35,680 --> 01:19:38,880
Speaker 2: especially if Alexander's back. We have the South Planing Conference

1744
01:19:38,920 --> 01:19:46,960
Speaker 2: tournament which starts on Tuesday. Song of the Sound, I

1745
01:19:47,040 --> 01:19:49,200
Speaker 2: mean this, you want to pull up a bracket that's funny.

1746
01:19:49,200 --> 01:19:50,760
Speaker 2: I mean Nicols State and a Believe Christian they're the

1747
01:19:51,280 --> 01:19:53,760
Speaker 2: top two seats. Steven F. Austin's not eligible. They have

1748
01:19:53,880 --> 01:19:56,439
Speaker 2: buys the semi finals on Friday. If you want to

1749
01:19:56,479 --> 01:19:58,840
Speaker 2: get to them as the seventh through ten seed, you

1750
01:19:58,920 --> 01:20:00,800
Speaker 2: got to win three games just to get to them.

1751
01:20:01,040 --> 01:20:03,960
Speaker 2: They start on Tuesday. Lamar is a sixth seed. They

1752
01:20:04,000 --> 01:20:06,120
Speaker 2: start on Wednesday. That when four games in four days.

1753
01:20:06,360 --> 01:20:08,400
Speaker 2: It's a team that's closed out the year struggle. They

1754
01:20:08,439 --> 01:20:12,040
Speaker 2: had some first place votes before the year bad shooting aggression.

1755
01:20:12,040 --> 01:20:13,880
Speaker 2: They're starting to put it together. I mean fifty one.

1756
01:20:13,960 --> 01:20:16,320
Speaker 2: I don't know, but I think Aveleen Christian by far

1757
01:20:16,800 --> 01:20:18,800
Speaker 2: is the best team in this conference. I think you

1758
01:20:18,880 --> 01:20:21,960
Speaker 2: could see someone give Nickels State a run for its money.

1759
01:20:21,960 --> 01:20:24,519
Speaker 2: I think they some regression is coming for them as

1760
01:20:24,560 --> 01:20:27,679
Speaker 2: the one seed. I laid it with Avelen Christon minus

1761
01:20:27,720 --> 01:20:30,120
Speaker 2: one seventy five. Call me crazy. You would get better

1762
01:20:30,800 --> 01:20:33,720
Speaker 2: value with a two game money line rollover if there

1763
01:20:33,760 --> 01:20:36,639
Speaker 2: were no upsets. But could Lamar beat Sam Houston State?

1764
01:20:36,760 --> 01:20:39,560
Speaker 2: Sure the Northwestern State or New Orleans beat Nichols. I

1765
01:20:39,600 --> 01:20:41,360
Speaker 2: don't see if the same thing I could say for

1766
01:20:41,960 --> 01:20:44,120
Speaker 2: the Big West I roll with Santa Barbara. I think

1767
01:20:44,160 --> 01:20:46,759
Speaker 2: they are head and shoulders above the rest of the conference.

1768
01:20:46,800 --> 01:20:49,200
Speaker 2: I would be devastated. I don't if we don't get

1769
01:20:49,240 --> 01:20:51,479
Speaker 2: them in the NCAA tournament. I think they're primed for

1770
01:20:51,560 --> 01:20:56,439
Speaker 2: an upset Big Sky. I completely passed on swack throw

1771
01:20:56,520 --> 01:20:58,920
Speaker 2: a dart at a dartboard. The same with the the

1772
01:20:59,000 --> 01:21:02,639
Speaker 2: MIACT tournament is sad looking and then the whack. Call

1773
01:21:02,720 --> 01:21:06,320
Speaker 2: me crazy, Loyla Maryland, may me not look crazy. On Saturday,

1774
01:21:06,400 --> 01:21:09,759
Speaker 2: I probably will go back to New Mexico State, maybe

1775
01:21:10,320 --> 01:21:12,640
Speaker 2: living up to its preseason expectations. They seem to be

1776
01:21:12,720 --> 01:21:16,120
Speaker 2: figuring some things out in the whack. You can get

1777
01:21:16,160 --> 01:21:18,040
Speaker 2: that vetam GM out on a plus two to fifty.

1778
01:21:18,040 --> 01:21:20,960
Speaker 2: Grand County is a favorite at plus one fifteen. All right, poll,

1779
01:21:21,000 --> 01:21:23,120
Speaker 2: we go out here. Let's bring up Konic Cwen, who'll

1780
01:21:23,160 --> 01:21:25,360
Speaker 2: give three of his favorite futures for the conference sortaments

1781
01:21:25,400 --> 01:21:27,559
Speaker 2: at start this week? What do yatkai?

1782
01:21:28,040 --> 01:21:31,200
Speaker 7: All right? My first pick for conference tournament futures. We're

1783
01:21:31,240 --> 01:21:34,040
Speaker 7: going to the ACC with you and C. The tar

1784
01:21:34,200 --> 01:21:37,160
Speaker 7: Heels are plus four to twenty five currently to win

1785
01:21:37,240 --> 01:21:41,280
Speaker 7: the ACC Championship. They just have a good path. You're

1786
01:21:41,320 --> 01:21:45,000
Speaker 7: a preferable path compared to the other teams. When you're

1787
01:21:45,040 --> 01:21:48,040
Speaker 7: looking at who can actually win the AC Championship, you

1788
01:21:48,120 --> 01:21:50,920
Speaker 7: think Virginia, you think Florida State, and then you think

1789
01:21:50,960 --> 01:21:53,320
Speaker 7: you and C. You and C side of the bracket,

1790
01:21:53,680 --> 01:21:56,320
Speaker 7: it's pretty favorable. They have Florida State in the second

1791
01:21:56,400 --> 01:21:59,360
Speaker 7: round possibly, but that's only if Florida State can get

1792
01:21:59,439 --> 01:22:02,519
Speaker 7: past either Louisville or Duke, two teams that can certainly

1793
01:22:02,600 --> 01:22:05,120
Speaker 7: beat the Knoles. Hence, UNC for me is a better

1794
01:22:05,280 --> 01:22:08,080
Speaker 7: value for them. Also, with you and see, you get

1795
01:22:08,120 --> 01:22:11,200
Speaker 7: to avoid teams like Virginia teams like Georgia Tech, one

1796
01:22:11,200 --> 01:22:13,160
Speaker 7: of the hottest teams in the country right now, and

1797
01:22:13,240 --> 01:22:15,799
Speaker 7: instead you get a team like Notre Dame very beautiful,

1798
01:22:16,240 --> 01:22:18,560
Speaker 7: as well as Virginia Tech, who hasn't played in a

1799
01:22:18,600 --> 01:22:21,800
Speaker 7: long time due to COVID. UNC has the most reliable

1800
01:22:21,840 --> 01:22:24,599
Speaker 7: front court in the ACC. They just need better guard play.

1801
01:22:25,000 --> 01:22:27,120
Speaker 7: Can they shoot well enough? Can they take care of

1802
01:22:27,160 --> 01:22:29,479
Speaker 7: the ball? I'm going to find out for plus four

1803
01:22:29,520 --> 01:22:33,920
Speaker 7: to twenty five on UNC. My second pick is Illinois

1804
01:22:33,960 --> 01:22:37,080
Speaker 7: plus three seventy five, and the Big Ten shouldn't have

1805
01:22:37,120 --> 01:22:39,000
Speaker 7: an issue getting out of their side of the bracket,

1806
01:22:39,160 --> 01:22:41,360
Speaker 7: especially with Io to some new back from the lineup.

1807
01:22:41,800 --> 01:22:45,840
Speaker 7: They get to avoid Ohio State and Michigan. Biggest test

1808
01:22:45,960 --> 01:22:48,840
Speaker 7: for them will be Iowa. Joey's camp could be hobbled

1809
01:22:48,880 --> 01:22:52,479
Speaker 7: for the Hawkeys, absolutely huge for them. Also, Illinois has

1810
01:22:52,479 --> 01:22:56,360
Speaker 7: already beaten Iowa matchup very well. At plus three seventy five,

1811
01:22:56,439 --> 01:22:59,280
Speaker 7: you're getting almost three times the value versus what you

1812
01:22:59,320 --> 01:23:01,519
Speaker 7: woul get from Missionchigan, who has to face most likely

1813
01:23:01,560 --> 01:23:04,040
Speaker 7: in Michigan State, as well as Purdue on their way

1814
01:23:04,080 --> 01:23:07,280
Speaker 7: to the championship. Illinois plus three seventy five is great

1815
01:23:07,400 --> 01:23:10,799
Speaker 7: value in the Big Ten. My third pick is Memphis

1816
01:23:10,920 --> 01:23:14,080
Speaker 7: plus five point fifty in the American Can they beat

1817
01:23:14,200 --> 01:23:17,680
Speaker 7: Houston that is the major question. Well, we almost saw

1818
01:23:17,800 --> 01:23:20,920
Speaker 7: them do just that this past week. They lost in

1819
01:23:21,000 --> 01:23:23,519
Speaker 7: a half court shot to the Houston Cougars. It's worth

1820
01:23:23,560 --> 01:23:26,240
Speaker 7: a flyer at plus five to fifty, priced way higher

1821
01:23:26,280 --> 01:23:29,439
Speaker 7: than Houston and Wichita. A tin that's had COVID struggles

1822
01:23:29,479 --> 01:23:32,560
Speaker 7: of its own, and a healthy Alex Lomax would go

1823
01:23:32,600 --> 01:23:35,080
Speaker 7: a long way for the Tigers. He could be back

1824
01:23:35,160 --> 01:23:38,599
Speaker 7: with an ankle injury that would be huge. Even without Lomax,

1825
01:23:38,680 --> 01:23:40,840
Speaker 7: it's still one of the most talented rosters in the country.

1826
01:23:41,280 --> 01:23:44,440
Speaker 7: Memphis can absolutely make a run towards the American Championship

1827
01:23:44,760 --> 01:23:46,080
Speaker 7: at plus five point fifty.

1828
01:23:46,600 --> 01:23:48,400
Speaker 2: All right, So Ky Web with UNC, we didn't really

1829
01:23:48,439 --> 01:23:50,880
Speaker 2: talk about it UNC and the ACC since I knew

1830
01:23:50,920 --> 01:23:53,720
Speaker 2: Kyle was going to talk about it Illinois. So I know,

1831
01:23:54,000 --> 01:23:56,479
Speaker 2: Colin you agree with that in Memphis, which Randall and

1832
01:23:56,479 --> 01:23:59,759
Speaker 2: I agree with. So don't hate any of those three picks.

1833
01:24:00,360 --> 01:24:02,519
Speaker 2: To run through everything again, the ones that we really

1834
01:24:02,560 --> 01:24:05,559
Speaker 2: spend time on ACC Randall and conn On Georgia Tech,

1835
01:24:06,120 --> 01:24:08,000
Speaker 2: I'm a little worried about their depth but I can

1836
01:24:08,040 --> 01:24:09,760
Speaker 2: see it, especially if you give a twenty to twenty

1837
01:24:09,800 --> 01:24:12,360
Speaker 2: five to one, which you can find out there Conference USA.

1838
01:24:12,520 --> 01:24:15,000
Speaker 2: Randall made a case for Louisiana Tech. I made a

1839
01:24:15,080 --> 01:24:19,240
Speaker 2: case for Marshall. Mountain West really consents us on Colorado State.

1840
01:24:19,520 --> 01:24:23,080
Speaker 2: We've covered just a crazy amount of conference sort of

1841
01:24:23,160 --> 01:24:25,439
Speaker 2: that start this week. It's just the beginning of all

1842
01:24:25,479 --> 01:24:27,439
Speaker 2: of our content on Action numberk dot com and the

1843
01:24:27,520 --> 01:24:29,840
Speaker 2: Action Gap. We appreciate all of you listening, but let's

1844
01:24:29,880 --> 01:24:34,200
Speaker 2: just go through once around the board mentioned one or

1845
01:24:34,240 --> 01:24:36,639
Speaker 2: maybe two if you can't, just limit it to one

1846
01:24:37,000 --> 01:24:39,760
Speaker 2: that you feel the most confident about, or you just

1847
01:24:39,840 --> 01:24:40,960
Speaker 2: want to reiterate.

1848
01:24:40,960 --> 01:24:43,320
Speaker 4: Well, the one I'm going with is Colorado State. I

1849
01:24:43,360 --> 01:24:46,000
Speaker 4: think it's a wide open Mountain West. Love the shooting,

1850
01:24:46,240 --> 01:24:49,479
Speaker 4: love the coach, They defend, the arc rotting inside. My

1851
01:24:49,560 --> 01:24:51,600
Speaker 4: only concern is foul trouble. You saw that with this

1852
01:24:51,720 --> 01:24:54,360
Speaker 4: one in Nevada. This is you're getting good odds, You're

1853
01:24:54,360 --> 01:24:56,720
Speaker 4: getting six to one. I don't want to favorite. I

1854
01:24:56,720 --> 01:24:58,960
Speaker 4: don't want a super long shot for my recommendation. So

1855
01:24:59,040 --> 01:25:01,320
Speaker 4: how about a team I think top to bottom has

1856
01:25:01,360 --> 01:25:04,040
Speaker 4: played the best in the conference and has knocked off

1857
01:25:04,080 --> 01:25:05,840
Speaker 4: each of the top three teams in Colorado State.

1858
01:25:06,960 --> 01:25:10,840
Speaker 6: Mike Anderson, Eric Musselman. Mike Anderson, Eric Musselman, I'm gonna

1859
01:25:10,840 --> 01:25:12,920
Speaker 6: go with Market. I'm gonna go with Arkansas to win

1860
01:25:13,000 --> 01:25:15,360
Speaker 6: the SEC. Look for a number of three to one

1861
01:25:15,439 --> 01:25:15,720
Speaker 6: or better.

1862
01:25:16,160 --> 01:25:19,799
Speaker 2: I'll recommend just because you're gonna get don't bet Kentucky

1863
01:25:19,880 --> 01:25:21,720
Speaker 2: to win it. Put a moneyline rollover Kentucky. And if

1864
01:25:21,720 --> 01:25:24,439
Speaker 2: you want to stop in the conference title, sure you can,

1865
01:25:24,520 --> 01:25:26,680
Speaker 2: but I think that's the way to go. But the

1866
01:25:26,760 --> 01:25:32,000
Speaker 2: one I'll mention is Memphis plus five hundred. I think

1867
01:25:32,000 --> 01:25:33,360
Speaker 2: they get to that semi final game, and then I

1868
01:25:33,360 --> 01:25:35,760
Speaker 2: think that's just a complete war against Houston. I think

1869
01:25:35,800 --> 01:25:37,080
Speaker 2: they're gonna have a good shot to be playing for

1870
01:25:37,160 --> 01:25:39,439
Speaker 2: the tournament lives, and I think they're gonna have a

1871
01:25:39,479 --> 01:25:41,320
Speaker 2: good shot to win that game. It should be an

1872
01:25:41,360 --> 01:25:43,160
Speaker 2: awesome game to watch. It's like one of the games

1873
01:25:43,160 --> 01:25:45,759
Speaker 2: I'm looking forward to most this week, so hopefully it happens.

1874
01:25:45,800 --> 01:25:47,599
Speaker 2: And then I think the winner that game beats Wichita

1875
01:25:47,680 --> 01:25:50,879
Speaker 2: State or SMU wasn't played in a month. So Memphis

1876
01:25:50,960 --> 01:25:53,880
Speaker 2: five six to one, I think that's the look. All right,

1877
01:25:54,120 --> 01:25:55,080
Speaker 2: that'll do it for us.

1878
01:25:55,840 --> 01:25:56,120
Speaker 6: Thank you.

1879
01:25:56,200 --> 01:25:59,559
Speaker 2: All for listening. Appreciate your support. Make sure you subscribe

1880
01:25:59,560 --> 01:26:01,439
Speaker 2: on subscript subscribe. You know the drill. Tell a friend

1881
01:26:01,520 --> 01:26:04,080
Speaker 2: to an enemy, leave a review. It really helps us out. Look,

1882
01:26:04,200 --> 01:26:06,639
Speaker 2: it's March's the most beautiful time of the year. Let's

1883
01:26:06,720 --> 01:26:10,120
Speaker 2: have a month and we're gonna go get to work

1884
01:26:10,360 --> 01:26:10,760
Speaker 2: some more.

1885
01:26:11,120 --> 01:26:14,479
Speaker 4: Cheers, he's out March popcorn the best.

1886
01:26:14,800 --> 01:26:16,080
Speaker 2: Enjoy the madness. Cheers.

1887
01:26:16,320 --> 01:26:30,519
Speaker 5: All right, we're finished talking.