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Speaker 1: Hey guys, So are you welcome into a Thursday morning

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Speaker 1: edition and the Deal Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault

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Speaker 1: at sports dog Met on Twitter to follow me, Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros on Twitter. Is at Betting Pros YouTube for the

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Speaker 1: video by searching Betting Pros Audio wherever you get your

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Speaker 1: audio podcasts. And bet MGM is the sponsored this podcast

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Speaker 1: with their ten dollars offer new account Juice one fifty

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Speaker 1: at sign up ten dollars bet you win one hundred

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Speaker 1: Juice one fifty at betmgm, betmgm dot com or wherever

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Speaker 1: bet mgm is up and operational in this country. Okay,

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Speaker 1: two in one again last night, So back to back

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Speaker 1: winning nights. A little foreign to run over the last

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Speaker 1: two days. We're gonna stick with the day in philosophy here.

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Speaker 1: If it's not broken, let's keep going with it here.

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Speaker 1: We were going one in one, one in one, and

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Speaker 1: I got kind of tired of that, so we went

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Speaker 1: too and one, two and one. The last two games. Marquette,

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Speaker 1: much like Creton the night before, not only do they cover,

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Speaker 1: they win outright. They get a big, big win for

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Speaker 1: them against Villanova Marquette Shaka Smart. I just think it's

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Speaker 1: a good spot for him. It's a good school, good location,

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Speaker 1: big win for Marquette. And then we get the Boston

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Speaker 1: Celtics right with kind of a miracle cover minus five,

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Speaker 1: number closed at six. They win by six over Charlotte.

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Speaker 1: So we get that, and then we get wrong on

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Speaker 1: the Wisconsin Illinois game. It looked good for a while there,

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Speaker 1: but then Illinois in the second half really poured it on.

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Speaker 1: Coburn was just a monster in that game for Illinois.

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Speaker 1: So we drop that one and we go to two

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Speaker 1: and one on the night. All right, so here we

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Speaker 1: are today. I have and I'm gonna warn you here

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Speaker 1: on this. These plays are We're going to be very public.

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Speaker 1: These plays are gonna be very square. I just I'm

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Speaker 1: not worried about that right now. So you may see

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Speaker 1: people in the YouTube comments or people may push back

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Speaker 1: on this and be like, Matt, come on, this is

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Speaker 1: really this is very very public of you to be

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Speaker 1: jumping on these games, and everything could blow up in

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Speaker 1: your face. And that's very possible. Okay, I'm betting half

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Speaker 1: units on these games. In basketball, we're heading towards a Friday,

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Speaker 1: and then obviously we go with Saturday and Sunday into

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl live stream on Sunday morning for the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl, and you know when we make bets and

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Speaker 1: plays and picks, and there's just so many prop bets,

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Speaker 1: and like last year, I made eight prop bets for

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Speaker 1: this or eight bets in total for the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: I'll probably be somewhere in that range again. Last year,

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Speaker 1: I only bet quarter units because I was so cold

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Speaker 1: during the playoffs that it was just like I was

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Speaker 1: trying to just stem the tide. I was bleeding out.

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Speaker 1: I had to like I was betting, but I bet

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Speaker 1: very small because of that reason, We've had a much

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Speaker 1: better start to twenty twenty two and for the postseason

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Speaker 1: for betting in the NFL. We are seventeen and ten

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Speaker 1: so far here in twenty twenty two, up five point

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Speaker 1: five units. So we're hitting at six three percent right

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Speaker 1: now in the NFL. So I don't want to destroy

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Speaker 1: that our prop bets, not greate sixteen and twenty one,

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Speaker 1: that's only forty three percent. That's down one point six units.

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Speaker 1: So overall we're about we're up four units or so

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Speaker 1: in college sorry, in the NFL, we're up three point

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Speaker 1: six units in overall right now, and for the year

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two, we're now up after last night,

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Speaker 1: we're up two point five units so far in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty two. So we're winning money here during the new year,

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Speaker 1: and NFL has been good to us, so I don't

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Speaker 1: want to completely blow that, but we do have some

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Speaker 1: some profits to work with here and some profits to

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Speaker 1: play with. So you know, NBA now is six and

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Speaker 1: nine on the NBA, so we're like one down one

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Speaker 1: point seven units in the NBA. College basketball, we're chipping away.

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Speaker 1: We were eight and ten I think now we're now

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Speaker 1: we're ten and ten in the NBA, and we're close

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Speaker 1: to breaking even here for college basketball over the last

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Speaker 1: couple of days, so you know, we've been we've been

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Speaker 1: chipped away at that. So overall, you know, it's been

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Speaker 1: a winning year so far in twenty twenty two for us,

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Speaker 1: but the NFL has been very good, so I don't

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Speaker 1: want to completely blow things up. Hopefully do better on

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Speaker 1: the props heading into Super Bowl Sunday, because it's going

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Speaker 1: to be a big prop day. You know, I'll have

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Speaker 1: a bet on the side. I told you I'm taking

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Speaker 1: the Bengals, but just at what number I'm waiting, you know, four, five,

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Speaker 1: four and a half, five and a half, depending on

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Speaker 1: what the number goes to. I'm just trying to get

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Speaker 1: as many points as possible on the Bengals and then

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Speaker 1: most likely do a same game teaser. I'm probably going

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Speaker 1: to tease the Bengals up to plus ten and then

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Speaker 1: take the total down from whatever it is forty eight

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Speaker 1: and a half, tease it down to forty two, take

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Speaker 1: the over. So those are bets. I'm probably going to

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Speaker 1: make four Sunday for the Super Bowl, and then a

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Speaker 1: bunch of prop bets. But that's not for tonight. Tonight,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about one NBA game and two college basketball games.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to be again, very very square. The Suns

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Speaker 1: are at the Atlanta Hawks. The Suns have just been

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Speaker 1: absolutely remarkable. I have won eleven straight basketball games. Now

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Speaker 1: they haven't covered every game, but on the road, they're

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Speaker 1: nineteen and four straight up. At home, Atlanta is fourteen

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Speaker 1: and twelve straight up. They've been okay of late, seven

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Speaker 1: to three straight up over the last ten games. But

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Speaker 1: obviously the Sons have not lost. They've won eleven consecutive

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Speaker 1: games now against the spread, things have been a little

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Speaker 1: bit different for the Sons. They're twenty eight and twenty

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Speaker 1: two against the number this year. Atlanta is the exact opposite.

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Speaker 1: They are twenty two and twenty eight, seven and three

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Speaker 1: though over their last ten, thirteen and thirteen at home.

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Speaker 1: And look, this Suns team just is remarkable on the road.

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Speaker 1: They're fifteen and eight against the spread. Fifteen and eight

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Speaker 1: against the spread is a crazy number. They're laying five

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Speaker 1: right now on the road at Atlanta. Atlanta has been

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Speaker 1: very good against the spread until we bet them with

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Speaker 1: Toronto at home. Last game, they were plus two and

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Speaker 1: a half at home against Toronto because of the fact

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Speaker 1: that Trey Young didn't play, who is still questionable for tonight,

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Speaker 1: they lost by six. Okay, that snapped a seven game

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Speaker 1: cover streak and winning streak for the Hawks. Here comes

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Speaker 1: this red hot Suns team laying just five. Trey Young's

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Speaker 1: status is up in the air whether he plays or not.

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Speaker 1: I don't care. I want this below six, okay. I

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Speaker 1: want this as a two possession game, but I'm betting

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Speaker 1: the streak. I'm just gonna ride this here. And even

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Speaker 1: though they've covered three of the last four, but three

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Speaker 1: of the last six. They haven't covered in three of

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Speaker 1: the last six. These numbers are a little inflated now,

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Speaker 1: but again on the road at Atlanta where they play

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Speaker 1: tough at home. I mean this lo this winning streak.

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Speaker 1: The pros are gonna be betting against the Suns on

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Speaker 1: this road trip. Okay, They're gonna lose at some point,

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Speaker 1: maybe it's tonight. That's why it's a public and very

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Speaker 1: square play. But I'm just gonna ride it. I think

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Speaker 1: five points. I think Phoenix gets it going. Their second

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Speaker 1: unit is so darn good. I'm going with Phoenix minus

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Speaker 1: five here. Chris Paul is playing on a different level

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Speaker 1: right now. Man forty seven assists to six turnovers over

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Speaker 1: the last three games. Whether Trey Young plays or not,

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Speaker 1: Atlanta can't stop that. Okay, they just can't stop that.

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Speaker 1: I'll lay it with Phoenix minus five for the Suns. Again,

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Speaker 1: it's public square, don't care Phoenix minus five. Okay, to

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Speaker 1: college we go. Game of the night is out west

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Speaker 1: here on the West Coast. It's Ucla taking on Arizona. Now,

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Speaker 1: Ucla has got some pretty big injury concerns that we

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Speaker 1: have to address here, and well we don't know exactly

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Speaker 1: what's going on yet. They've got an injury to one

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Speaker 1: of their bigs, and Juozaying, their star guard, has COVID,

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Speaker 1: so both are expected back, but we don't know that

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Speaker 1: for sure. Okay, So you're talking about one of the

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Speaker 1: best scores and one of the best guards to Jennet Juzeng,

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Speaker 1: who is averaging what eighteen points a game? So he

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Speaker 1: has COVID. Okay, so he may be cleared for Thursday.

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Speaker 1: If he tests negative for COVID, he potentially could play

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Speaker 1: here in this game. But Arizona got embarrassed just two

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Speaker 1: games ago they lost by sixteen points on the road.

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Speaker 1: Is two and a half point favorites against UCLA. If

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Speaker 1: they lose this game, they will lose the tie breaker

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Speaker 1: and really have a tough time trying to win the

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Speaker 1: division or sor win the conference in the regular season. Okay,

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Speaker 1: up until then, they had been rolling. They lost to

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Speaker 1: Tennessee by forbe and they beat Washington, Colorado, Utah, Stanford,

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Speaker 1: and Cal winning by twenty five, twenty eight, eighteen, twenty one, sixteen,

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Speaker 1: like just blowing people out. Then they ran into UCLA. Okay, defensively,

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Speaker 1: Ucla very very good UCLA has won now six straight games.

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Speaker 1: They have won one, two, three, four, five. Eleven of

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Speaker 1: twelve they have won, and they've covered the last four games.

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Speaker 1: Colorado mons three and a half, one by six, Arizona

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Speaker 1: at plus two and a half, one by sixteen, cal

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Speaker 1: laying thirteen, they won by twenty four, in Stanford laying

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Speaker 1: eleven and a half, they won by twenty three three

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Speaker 1: of those four games, though we're at home. Okay. On

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Speaker 1: the road this year, Ucla three and four against the

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Speaker 1: spread at home, Arizona six four and one against the number.

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Speaker 1: Overall Arizona is eleven seven and one. The number is

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Speaker 1: six and a half. Okay. I like this up as

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Speaker 1: high as seven. Okay. I think you got a big

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Speaker 1: in question in a guarding question. That are both main

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Speaker 1: cogs and really important pieces for UCLA. And this is

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Speaker 1: a must win game for Arizona. It's a Thursday night,

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Speaker 1: huge game. You know what it's like on college campuses

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Speaker 1: on a Thursday night. You're gonna get a jumping atmosphere.

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Speaker 1: Arizona wants revenge. I think UCLA is walking into a

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Speaker 1: buzzsaw here with having without having without having two of

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Speaker 1: their best players, even if they play They're not going

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Speaker 1: to be one hundred percent. I'll lay the six and

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Speaker 1: a half points here. Arizona minus six and a half

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Speaker 1: at home against UCLA. Yes, it's a public play. I

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Speaker 1: get it. If you look at ken Ken Pom has

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Speaker 1: this as a five point win for Arizona, but I

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Speaker 1: think this is going to be a six point win

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Speaker 1: for Arizona, six and a half, seven point win. They

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Speaker 1: have it as seventy six, seventy one for Arizona, so

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Speaker 1: the line should be five. It's inflated a little bit,

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Speaker 1: I think because of the public coming in on Arizona.

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Speaker 1: I get it. If Jusang plays, I think you can

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Speaker 1: probably if the line goes to seven, seven and a half,

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Speaker 1: maybe you come in. But if Juwsang is not one

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Speaker 1: hundred percent coming off COVID, if you had symptoms and

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Speaker 1: having some problems with other injury wise for UCLA, I

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Speaker 1: just think Arizona goes out here and puts up a

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Speaker 1: big number. I will take the one extra possession. Juiced

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Speaker 1: up because of the public money and the books are

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Speaker 1: shading it towards the public. I'll take Arizona minus six

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Speaker 1: and a half here for half a unit, and for

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Speaker 1: the third game, on the night we are going to

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Speaker 1: go to Iowa and Ohio State. The total is one

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Speaker 1: fifty three in this game. Now Kenpom has this total

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Speaker 1: at one fifty six. Okay, this is an up tempo,

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Speaker 1: back and forth game. Adjusted defensive efficiency for Ohio State,

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Speaker 1: they are eighty third in the country according to Kenpom.

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Speaker 1: Iowa is one hundred and sixth. According to kenpom an

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Speaker 1: adjusted defense effective field goal percentage defensively one hundred and

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Speaker 1: sixty eighth for Iowa, fifty fifth for Ohio State a

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Speaker 1: little bit better but not much better. Turnover percentage sixteen,

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Speaker 1: that's three hundred and eighth in the country Iowa State,

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Speaker 1: I mean i sorry, Ohio State does not turn people over,

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Speaker 1: and frankly, Iowa doesn't turn the ball over. They're second

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Speaker 1: in the country just twelve point five turnovers per game.

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Speaker 1: On the other side, Iowa's defense does turn you over

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Speaker 1: twenty point eight versus turn percentage twenty point eight percentage centerwise,

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Speaker 1: and then you've got seventeen point four percentage four Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: That's eighty first that are prone for turning the ball over.

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Speaker 1: Letting Iowa run out having some scoring opportunities. We know

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Speaker 1: the Hawkkeys like to jack threes here, but so's Ohio

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Speaker 1: State fortieth in the country in three point percentage. They

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Speaker 1: are thirteenth in the country in two point percentage, where

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Speaker 1: Iowa gives up thirty two point four percent three point percentage,

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Speaker 1: that's one hundred and twenty fifth in the country. And

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Speaker 1: they give up fifty point two shooting percentage from two.

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Speaker 1: That's one hundred and ninety eighth. Iowa didn't stop anybody

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Speaker 1: on the flip side. Not much better, Okay, one hundred

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Speaker 1: and twenty ninth for Ohio State in three point field

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Speaker 1: goal percentage. You know Iowa's going to have open threes

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Speaker 1: because they love to jack them, They're going to be

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Speaker 1: able to hit them. And two point percentage they're forty

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Speaker 1: eighth and two point percentage. They send me to the

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Speaker 1: line a lot as well. They foul they cause no,

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Speaker 1: they do turn the ball over. I'm going over over

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Speaker 1: one point fifty three for Iowa and Ohio State here.

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Speaker 1: This game being played on Fox Sports one. It's in Columbus.

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Speaker 1: It's a big game. I just think we're going back

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Speaker 1: and forth up tempo, excuse me, and I think we

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Speaker 1: have an opportunity for points points, points eighty to seventy

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Speaker 1: six is the final score here for Ken Palm what

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Speaker 1: they're projecting. I think the line should be four here

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Speaker 1: in this one, and I mean, I'm not really I

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Speaker 1: can't really hate on it too much if that's what

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Speaker 1: it is. The line's five right now. Iileen Ohio State

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Speaker 1: minus five, I do. I just like the over more

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Speaker 1: on the road. Iowa is five and three Ohios to

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Speaker 1: the over. Ohio State is four and five to the over,

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Speaker 1: but their last two games have gone over, and four

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Speaker 1: of the last six have gone over for Iowa. Last

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Speaker 1: two have gone over Perdue and Penn State. That snapped

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Speaker 1: a two game stretch stretch where they were under them.

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Speaker 1: Before that it was five in a row. So seven

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Speaker 1: to the last nine have gone over and over the

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Speaker 1: last ten at seven to two and one for the

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Speaker 1: of the Hawkeyes to the over, I'm going to ride

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Speaker 1: that trend. Both schools score. Neither team playing great defense.

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Speaker 1: We're going over one fifty three for a half a

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Speaker 1: unit for Iowa and Ohio State. Okay, So this two

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Speaker 1: and one, two and one, it's great, it's making money.

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Speaker 1: It's not tremendous, but I'll take it. Winning is winning, Okay,

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Speaker 1: Winning is winning. Slow and steady, winning is winning whatever

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Speaker 1: Firth three you know, sure, but winning is winning all right.

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Speaker 1: We are going suns in the NBA. We're taking the

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Speaker 1: Suns minus five at Atlanta. We're going over one fifty

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Speaker 1: three Iowa and Ohio State. And I am laying the

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Speaker 1: six and a half points with Arizona at home against

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Speaker 1: UCLA Square plays. I understand it doesn't matter taking it.

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Speaker 1: Mine is Matt Parrelt. Every morning it's the Deleigience Podcast,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by BETHAMGM