1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:05,520 Speaker 1: your bets. This b Joey P joe pis a BA 3 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:08,879 Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead 4 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:11,239 Speaker 1: to weep eleven in the NFL. My good pal, the 5 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:14,360 Speaker 1: Undertaker Andrew Rickson, We're gonna look at the early lines. 6 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: You have this any early value to make some early bets, 7 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,200 Speaker 1: and of course download the Betting Pros app, subscribe to 8 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 1: the YouTube channel. It's good to be back at a 9 00:00:21,200 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 1: week off. You're a little free charge. Week tend was 10 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 1: my bye week. I always like to take a bye 11 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 1: week in the season to reset, refresh and get ready 12 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 1: to go. And Andrew Rickson, it was a lot of 13 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 1: fun football I came back to on Sunday, man. I 14 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:35,519 Speaker 1: mean the Patriots was a huge win there on the 15 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 1: road the Bills with a loss. You had the Davis 16 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:42,280 Speaker 1: Mills running into the end zone at the end, you 17 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: had Caleb Williams. A lot of exciting NFL happening. What 18 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 1: was the biggest standout for you last week in terms 19 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 1: of your big takeaways? 20 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 2: Patriots AFC East is basically theirs at this point and 21 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:57,200 Speaker 2: they're a lock to make the postseason. They were almost 22 00:00:57,200 --> 00:00:59,560 Speaker 2: a lock to make the postseason entering this game against 23 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:03,240 Speaker 2: Tampa Bay, so feel good about the Patriots, I think. 24 00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:06,479 Speaker 2: For me, some of my unders this week were absolutely terrible, 25 00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 2: including the one Seattle and Arizona. When a guy has 26 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:13,039 Speaker 2: two fumble recovers for touchdowns, there's no way your BET's 27 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 2: gonna survive that, especially when you have the under. 28 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:17,240 Speaker 3: So that was unfortunate. 29 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:20,160 Speaker 2: And you know, sometimes when I want to bet a 30 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:21,920 Speaker 2: team total, I should probably just bet the other side 31 00:01:21,959 --> 00:01:24,040 Speaker 2: of the spread because there's a reason why I'm not 32 00:01:24,080 --> 00:01:26,040 Speaker 2: taking that team against the spread. The two team totals 33 00:01:26,080 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 2: I liked this week were the Bears who didn't cover, 34 00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 2: in the Bills, who also didn't cover. So I should 35 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 2: have just been like, know what, there's a reason why 36 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 2: I'm gravitating towards the team total and not just the spread, 37 00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:38,039 Speaker 2: because I believe that this team is not actually going 38 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:40,320 Speaker 2: to cover. So those are some mistakes on my part. 39 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:42,400 Speaker 2: But looking forward to bouncing back here in Week eleven. 40 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:45,920 Speaker 1: All right, So let's bounce back here, and let's look 41 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 1: at the consensus lines, and let's start here with the 42 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:51,480 Speaker 1: New England Patriots, who I gotta say, man, that was 43 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 1: a heck of a show. Travon Henderson put on the 44 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 1: first explosive play, by the way, that they've had that 45 00:01:57,040 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 1: Kyle Williams catch since twenty twenty one. That's that's how long. 46 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 1: That's that's the lack of explosiveness the Patriots offense is 47 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:08,399 Speaker 1: at twenty twenty one. It's like post COVID time. Oh 48 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 1: my goodness. But again, the Jets are gonna be in 49 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 1: a weird situation now because they're not gonna have Garrett 50 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:14,799 Speaker 1: Wilson probably again. He looks like he's gonna be out 51 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,079 Speaker 1: on a short week for sure. So big spread here 52 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 1: in New England at home ten and a half point favorites. 53 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:22,080 Speaker 1: You're getting plus eleven and a half on the New 54 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 1: York Jets over forty four and a half the under 55 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: forty five and a half, plus five thirty seven on 56 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 1: the money line for the Jets. If you like the upset, 57 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: and I don't so Andrew ericson, the question is now 58 00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:35,400 Speaker 1: the Patriots are not the plucky underdogs at home is 59 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:38,120 Speaker 1: not necessarily where they've been at their best all the time. 60 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:40,680 Speaker 1: Is this point toward a little too much for an 61 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 1: Indivision game on a short. 62 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 3: Week yes it is, Joe. 63 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 2: This was one of the one things I got right 64 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:47,640 Speaker 2: last week was with Seth I talked about giving the 65 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:52,359 Speaker 2: Raiders divisional underdogs on Thursday nights. Have just absolutely dominated 66 00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 2: against the spread. 67 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: They oh bogs, and I talk about it all the 68 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 1: time all the time. 69 00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 2: If you're getting eleven and a half points with the 70 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:01,080 Speaker 2: New York Jets, yes, I get their team is not good, 71 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 2: but I would say the Patriots Stevens a tackle. Christian 72 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 2: Barrymore got banged up a little bit in this past game, 73 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:07,519 Speaker 2: so if he doesn't play in this game on a 74 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 2: short week, you could see the Jets being able to 75 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 2: run the ball a little more effectively keeping this game 76 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 2: within ten points. So gonna trust the process here the 77 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 2: divisional dogs. The trend is too good. So New York 78 00:03:17,639 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 2: Jets for me, as much as it pains me, Well 79 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 2: it's better than the Jets. 80 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, it's also been divisional dogs at home for 81 00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:26,040 Speaker 1: the most part. Now, that was that big road one 82 00:03:26,120 --> 00:03:29,239 Speaker 1: two where you had the forty nine ers winning against 83 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:31,480 Speaker 1: the Rams, but again, is that. 84 00:03:31,400 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 2: Really a road Even last week, Geno, the Raiders covered 85 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 2: against the Broncos and they were on the road, So again, no, 86 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 2: Jets are they're not gonna win. Feel pretty confident they're 87 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 2: not gonna win. But can they keep it within ten points? 88 00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 3: Probably? 89 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 1: I think New England is such a different class and 90 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 1: it is the Jets that I do think the ten 91 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:53,240 Speaker 1: and a half is safe. I do I love it, No, 92 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 1: but I do think it's safe. I am worried though, 93 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: at some point that this number grows, because I think 94 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 1: all the hype off of this big Wintriots that this 95 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 1: could go to eleven or twelve. So actually, I do 96 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 1: think there's some sneaky early value on it where if 97 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:08,120 Speaker 1: you like the if you can live with the ten 98 00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 1: and a half, this is it, or if you don't 99 00:04:11,360 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 1: love it, you'll wait as long as you can until 100 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:14,960 Speaker 1: it goes to twelve and a half by Sunday boarding. 101 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 1: And I think there's a good oh, it's excuse me, 102 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:18,960 Speaker 1: Thursday morning, and I think there's a good chance that happens. 103 00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 1: All right, So let's get past Thursday night football and 104 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 1: let's talk about the next international game, shall we. The 105 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins coming off a huge victory and the closure 106 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 1: Eye special of last week, so it's just it's the 107 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:32,520 Speaker 1: gift that always keeps on giving with stunning up set 108 00:04:32,720 --> 00:04:35,279 Speaker 1: of the Buffalo Bills. They are the Washington Commanders. They've 109 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 1: been terrible both teams three and seven. Uh So we'll 110 00:04:38,320 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 1: see what kind of football we give the rest of 111 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: the world on the Sunday morning. Plus two and a 112 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 1: half here for Washington, minus one and a half for Miami. 113 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 1: You're getting the over at forty six and a half, 114 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:49,480 Speaker 1: the consensus under at forty seven and a half. Then 115 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 1: plus one twenty six on the money line for the 116 00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 1: Washington Commanders, minus one twenty nine for the Miami Dolphins. So, Andrew, 117 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 1: can the Dolphins go on a neutral field and build 118 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:02,560 Speaker 1: on this past week win? Or do the Washington Commanders 119 00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 1: pull themselves off by the haunches and sneak out of w. 120 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 2: I think the Commanders are totally cooked at this point. 121 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 2: What else are they playing for? The quarterback is hurt, 122 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:15,160 Speaker 2: all their defensive players are hurt. Deron Pain is gonna 123 00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 2: be suspended for this game after he punched i'mon Ross 124 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:22,240 Speaker 2: Saint Brown in the game against the Lions. So yeah, look, Miami, 125 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:25,120 Speaker 2: their offense really hasn't been the problem. When Tua's not 126 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 2: turning the ball over right, they've been able to move 127 00:05:27,360 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 2: the ball effectively efficiently with Jalen Waddle on a chan 128 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 2: and I don't see why that's gonna stop. Whether they're 129 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:35,159 Speaker 2: playing in Spain, whether they're playing in Miami, I don't 130 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 2: think that matters. The Commander's defense is absolutely terrible. So 131 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:41,920 Speaker 2: Miami typically is better as a favorite than an underdog. 132 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 2: They are slight favorites here, and I get neutral fields. 133 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:47,320 Speaker 2: Things can get kind of wacky, but basically it's a 134 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 2: pick them minus one, like, I think Miami's just gonna win. Yeah, 135 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:52,360 Speaker 2: I think the Dolphins will win this game. So give 136 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:53,680 Speaker 2: me the Dolphins minus one and a half. 137 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that one and a half is where 138 00:05:56,240 --> 00:05:57,920 Speaker 1: I'm going to Miami as well, So we're in agreement 139 00:05:57,960 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 1: on this one. All right, Let's turn our attention to 140 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:02,560 Speaker 1: the day games here, starting with the Los Angeles Chargers, 141 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 1: who came out with a victory last night against the 142 00:06:04,560 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers, who did not look very good in that contest. 143 00:06:07,720 --> 00:06:10,960 Speaker 1: The Jacksonville Jaguars, they spit the bit here. The Jaguars 144 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 1: are always, every single week of my life, the hardest 145 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:15,840 Speaker 1: for me to figure out. Just when I think I 146 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 1: understand who the Jaguars might be, they turned around and 147 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:19,479 Speaker 1: slapped me in the face, and I just I hate 148 00:06:19,480 --> 00:06:22,599 Speaker 1: betting on the Jaguars. I just hated Andrew Right now, 149 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:24,320 Speaker 1: it's minus one and a half on the road here 150 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:26,359 Speaker 1: for the Chargers, plus one and a half for Jags. 151 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:28,760 Speaker 1: The numbers forty four and a half high and low, 152 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 1: and then you get minus one twenty here on the 153 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:33,800 Speaker 1: Los Angeles Chargers to win, plus one oh five for 154 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:36,919 Speaker 1: the Jacksonville Jaguars. Now, I was concerned about the Chargers 155 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: going into last night because no, Joe Alt, you know, 156 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:41,799 Speaker 1: like a man, you're losing all those offensive line guys 157 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 1: come on if I Dow still on there, and you know, 158 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 1: while for ninety five, I feel like I'll just take 159 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:50,839 Speaker 1: the Chargers here and just hope for the best and 160 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:52,560 Speaker 1: hope that I don't get in these one of situations 161 00:06:52,600 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 1: where you know, it bites me in the ass. Here 162 00:06:55,080 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 1: the Jacksonville Jaguars show up. But the Jags are just 163 00:06:57,920 --> 00:06:59,919 Speaker 1: really tough to have confidence in despite the fact that 164 00:07:00,160 --> 00:07:01,679 Speaker 1: what is in their own building. What are your thoughts 165 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:02,280 Speaker 1: on this one? 166 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 2: I like the under in this game because it's my 167 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:07,479 Speaker 2: way of betting against two teams that I'm not super 168 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:09,280 Speaker 2: confident about. So you have the Chargers going on the 169 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 2: road with the shaky offensive line. Yes, Justin Herbert's getting 170 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:14,160 Speaker 2: the ball out really quick, but he's also taking so 171 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:17,120 Speaker 2: many hits. I am concerned about Justin Herbert and this 172 00:07:17,280 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 2: Chargers outlook rest of season if he just continues to 173 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 2: pile up hit after hit behind this patchwork offensive line Jacksonville. 174 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 2: Like you said, you don't know what team you're gonna get. 175 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 2: It's totally random sometimes. But what one of the trends 176 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:31,040 Speaker 2: I've found with the Chargers is when they have to 177 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:34,400 Speaker 2: fly East Coast and play in that early one o'clock window, 178 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:36,760 Speaker 2: these games are usually lower scoring. And the last time 179 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:38,680 Speaker 2: I believe the game went over it was against the Titans. 180 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 2: They had a pick six and a kickoff return for 181 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 2: a touchdow or a punt return for a touchdown. So 182 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:45,960 Speaker 2: if those weird special teams don't touchdowns don't end up happening, 183 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 2: then usually these games are skewing towards the under forty 184 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 2: four and a half. I think there's some value on 185 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 2: taking the underharing kind of just betting against again Chargers 186 00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 2: defense plays like he did against the Steelers. It's gonna 187 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 2: be tough sledding for Trevor Lawrence to move the football effectively. 188 00:07:58,040 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 1: All Right, One of our favorite trends is back and 189 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 1: it's Baker Mayfield on the road as an underdog six 190 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:07,120 Speaker 1: points going against the Buffalo Bills. The Bills, you're getting 191 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 1: five and a half on the minus side at home, 192 00:08:09,160 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: forty nine and a half of the over, fifteen and 193 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:12,480 Speaker 1: a half for the under, plus two twenty nine for 194 00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:15,760 Speaker 1: the upset special of the week. Could it be? Maybe? 195 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:18,400 Speaker 1: I gotta tell you I'm on the six right away 196 00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 1: here with Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield. I think they 197 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:24,880 Speaker 1: will bounce back. I like Baker Mayfield's demeanor in the 198 00:08:24,920 --> 00:08:28,720 Speaker 1: post conference there after yesterday's game. Obviously not good enough 199 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:30,640 Speaker 1: coming out of that buy losing a game at home, 200 00:08:30,680 --> 00:08:33,360 Speaker 1: and look to be honest too, they've lost two to 201 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:36,560 Speaker 1: three right before the buye they beat the Saints. Before that, 202 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:38,840 Speaker 1: they got their buck kicked by the Lions. So there's 203 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:41,079 Speaker 1: some soul searching going on here. I think for the 204 00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 1: Bucks a little bit, and I think the Bucks are 205 00:08:43,040 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 1: gonna answer the bell. There's also a soul searching going 206 00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 1: on for the Buffalo Bills. I don't know if the 207 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:50,040 Speaker 1: Bills of the personnel on defense to stop Baker Mayfield 208 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,440 Speaker 1: in the offense. That's my concern right now, even without 209 00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:55,080 Speaker 1: Bucky Irving or whatever they're missing or Mike Evans. So 210 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 1: I'll take the six here comfortably with Tampa. Where are 211 00:08:58,559 --> 00:08:59,920 Speaker 1: you at with this contest? Here? 212 00:09:00,679 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 2: Lock of the week is gonna be one of my 213 00:09:02,280 --> 00:09:03,880 Speaker 2: best bets, and' mark telling you guys right now, it's 214 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 2: gonna be the Buccaneers plus whatever the line settles on, 215 00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:08,800 Speaker 2: because this is the spot. Last week one of the 216 00:09:08,800 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 2: only bets I got right was on the Patriots. It's 217 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:14,319 Speaker 2: because it was Baker Mayfield at home is a favorite 218 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:17,840 Speaker 2: automatic fade Baker Mayfield on the road as an underdog. 219 00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:20,960 Speaker 2: Lock it in, baby, especially when you're looking at a 220 00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 2: Bills team that looks like it's vulnerable. Yes, they're six 221 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 2: and three, teed Bay six and three, So why is 222 00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:27,360 Speaker 2: it a six point spread? 223 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: You tell me, Joe, I don't know, especially after that 224 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 1: Buffalo defense performance. And look, you know, Josh Allen did 225 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:38,439 Speaker 1: his best there. He's trying too hard sometimes, but I 226 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 1: think he has to try too hard at this point, 227 00:09:40,440 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 1: you know. I think that's where the mistakes come because 228 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:44,800 Speaker 1: he has a little choice. The guys can't get open downfield. 229 00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:47,120 Speaker 1: He can't make those big plays, and defense has been 230 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 1: bad a year for Buffalo. I don't want to hear 231 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 1: it anymore. Like I know they've had injuries. Everybody's got injuries. 232 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 1: I don't want to hear it. What I do want 233 00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 1: to hear about more is our sponsor, hard Rock Bet. 234 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 1: We love hard Rock Bet here on the podcast. 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It's 243 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:22,080 Speaker 1: live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, 244 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:25,360 Speaker 1: and Colorado coming soon to state near you. So make 245 00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:27,640 Speaker 1: sure you download the app today and again five bucks 246 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 1: get you one hundred and fifty only at hard Rock 247 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:32,400 Speaker 1: Bet Sportsbook app payble and bonus bets not a cash 248 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:34,559 Speaker 1: offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida, 249 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:37,000 Speaker 1: offered by Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC. In other states. 250 00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 1: Must be twenty one and physically president Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, 251 00:10:40,800 --> 00:10:43,160 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and 252 00:10:43,160 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 1: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight 253 00:10:45,880 --> 00:10:48,360 Speaker 1: eight eight admit it in Indiana. If you are somebod 254 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:50,199 Speaker 1: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 255 00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:52,600 Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called 256 00:10:52,640 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 257 00:10:56,800 --> 00:10:59,200 Speaker 1: All right, next one here. The Carolina Panther is ill 258 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:03,720 Speaker 1: prepared for the New Orleans Saints. Very very disappointing lost 259 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 1: there for the Carolina Panthers. You should beat the Saints 260 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 1: in your own building. That's what happens when you know, 261 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:11,120 Speaker 1: take teams seriously, you don't get aggressive enough with the football. 262 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:14,040 Speaker 1: Bad times there Atlanta Falcons. Unfortunately it got beat by 263 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:16,160 Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor. Jonathan Taylor just ran a muckel over the 264 00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons. I do think the Falcons will bounce back. 265 00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 1: They are three and a half point favorites. Here, plus 266 00:11:21,880 --> 00:11:25,199 Speaker 1: four you're getting on Carolina forty two and Tuesday forty 267 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:27,280 Speaker 1: two flat for the over, forty three and a half 268 00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:30,160 Speaker 1: for the under for the upset. Here on the money 269 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:33,559 Speaker 1: line you get plus one eighty one on the Carolina Panthers. 270 00:11:34,559 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 1: You know, Atlanta Falcons, another team that's a bit of 271 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:38,920 Speaker 1: an enigma. I think that's why the record is what 272 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:42,040 Speaker 1: it is. I think the Atlanta Falcons also have a 273 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 1: little bit more desperation in their record. Carolina is five 274 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:48,320 Speaker 1: and five, Falcons are three and six right now, and 275 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:50,240 Speaker 1: I think the Falcons need this game, and I think 276 00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:52,559 Speaker 1: they need it in the worst way. I think they 277 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 1: get it here. The question is do we feel comfortable 278 00:11:54,760 --> 00:11:57,560 Speaker 1: with the three and a half. That's where I'm still struggling, 279 00:11:57,640 --> 00:11:59,080 Speaker 1: So I'm going to pass this one here. 280 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:03,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, this game is four range outcome type of vibes. 281 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:05,680 Speaker 2: And it's exactly what happened last time these team's played, 282 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:08,839 Speaker 2: when Carolina beat the Falcons thirty to nothing, So I 283 00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 2: could I could totally see they give back another thirty 284 00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:12,120 Speaker 2: to nothing. 285 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:13,679 Speaker 3: The Falcons beat the Panthers. 286 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:16,319 Speaker 2: Thirty to nothing, So absolutely, I don't have a strong 287 00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:19,440 Speaker 2: lean here. The Falcons had because. 288 00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 1: Of that, honestly, because of that exactly, and you could 289 00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:25,520 Speaker 1: almost sell me like, I feel like this is a trap, 290 00:12:25,679 --> 00:12:27,679 Speaker 1: because you're right, it is a four outcome game. By 291 00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:29,280 Speaker 1: the end of the week. I'm gonna be sitting there 292 00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 1: going you know, they're waiting for them, They're licking their chops. 293 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:34,080 Speaker 1: They want to get in this one. They want to 294 00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:37,120 Speaker 1: and that's the danger. That's the danger of the Falcons 295 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:39,679 Speaker 1: in this spot here. I'm trying to have some discipline. 296 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:41,280 Speaker 1: I just don't know if we're gonna make it to Sunday. 297 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:45,120 Speaker 2: Andrew, Yeah, this game is definitely tough to handicap. The 298 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 2: Falcons do continually to play better at home, and they 299 00:12:48,040 --> 00:12:50,480 Speaker 2: actually have covered back to back weeks despite playing on 300 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:52,800 Speaker 2: the road. I think that they've actually probably played a 301 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:54,760 Speaker 2: little bit a couple of bad beats overall. It's a 302 00:12:54,840 --> 00:12:56,520 Speaker 2: chance that could be the Patriots. It's a chance that 303 00:12:56,520 --> 00:12:58,120 Speaker 2: could beat the Colts. I mean, they were winning that 304 00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:01,600 Speaker 2: game in Germany and Alto lost to Jonathan Taylor in overtime, 305 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:05,000 Speaker 2: but they didn't cover both spreads both times. So it's 306 00:13:05,040 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 2: just these Panthers are you don't know what team's gonna 307 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,280 Speaker 2: show up like sometimes they look like okay, like they're 308 00:13:10,320 --> 00:13:12,839 Speaker 2: making a step and then it's two steps backwards. So 309 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:14,400 Speaker 2: I think this one I'll probably dive a little bit 310 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:16,840 Speaker 2: more into, but right now it's probably a shy away 311 00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:17,120 Speaker 2: from me. 312 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:21,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, four outcomes for sure in this one. Cincinnati Bengals 313 00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:24,120 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers up next. This one's gonna be in Pittsburgh. 314 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:26,280 Speaker 1: Steelers have a lot of soul searching to do. They 315 00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 1: are five and a half poind underdog excuse me, favorites favorites. 316 00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:31,920 Speaker 1: I'm sorry, my apologies. Steelers are five and a half 317 00:13:31,960 --> 00:13:34,360 Speaker 1: PoID favorites. And if it sounds weird when I say it, 318 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:36,079 Speaker 1: it's because it is weird, because I don't know why 319 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 1: we're so damn confident in the Pittsburgh Steelers. I know 320 00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:42,240 Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Bengals defensively are terrible, I get it, but 321 00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:44,160 Speaker 1: they have so much firepower and I think at the 322 00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:46,240 Speaker 1: end of the day, that's the thing. It's like, yeah, 323 00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:48,319 Speaker 1: they're gonna give up forty points, but they're gonna score 324 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:51,160 Speaker 1: thirty eight. Can you score that many? And I don't 325 00:13:51,160 --> 00:13:53,959 Speaker 1: know if the Pittsburgh Steelers offense can do that. So 326 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 1: plus five and a half on Cincinnati. Give me the 327 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:58,560 Speaker 1: plus five and a half. I want the Cincinnati side 328 00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 1: of this one. The over under fifty flat here for 329 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:04,680 Speaker 1: the over fifty and a half for the under plus 330 00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:07,080 Speaker 1: two to ten on the money line for the Cincinnati Bengals. Look, 331 00:14:08,320 --> 00:14:11,080 Speaker 1: should the Pittsburgh Steelers win this football game at home? Yes? 332 00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 1: They should? But you know what, I'm tired of hearing 333 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:15,319 Speaker 1: about all the shoulds of the Pittsburgh Steelers in the 334 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 1: last two years. This is not the same football team 335 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 1: that was going to the playoffs every year. And looking 336 00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:23,560 Speaker 1: on this, I'm telling you they deteriorated over the years. Here, 337 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:26,760 Speaker 1: Arthur Smith's offense is uninspiring. I have had it with 338 00:14:26,800 --> 00:14:29,520 Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers. I'll take the Bengals with the five. 339 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 1: That's where I'm at. Five and a half good, even better, 340 00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:33,320 Speaker 1: let's go Andrew. How about you? 341 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 3: Too many points? 342 00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:38,240 Speaker 2: I will take the division underdog who already beat the Steelers. 343 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 2: There's a season with Jo flying out. 344 00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: Could you imagine Scott Bogan is going to be on 345 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 1: a tall building threatening to jump off of it if 346 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:47,960 Speaker 1: they lose to the Bengals twice in one year, especially 347 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:52,240 Speaker 1: at home, especially at home. Oh my god. But again, 348 00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 1: what's their answer for Jamar Chase Andrew, what's their answer 349 00:14:56,480 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 1: for because I don't think they have one but answer 350 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:02,760 Speaker 1: for lat McConkey last night. You know what I'm saying, 351 00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:06,240 Speaker 1: And you know, like, all you gotta do is stop 352 00:15:06,280 --> 00:15:08,800 Speaker 1: dk mech. It's literally listen to me, Cincinnati, all you 353 00:15:08,840 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 1: gotta do is stop dk mech. If that's it, that's 354 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 1: all they got, that's all they it's all he wants 355 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:14,320 Speaker 1: to do, it's all he can do. And I think 356 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:16,360 Speaker 1: you saw it last night too. There are moments in 357 00:15:16,400 --> 00:15:19,720 Speaker 1: that Steelers game where the Chargers knew exactly what Aaron 358 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:22,080 Speaker 1: Rodgers was going to do and they were just right 359 00:15:22,120 --> 00:15:23,480 Speaker 1: there in front of it at all the time. Like 360 00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:26,040 Speaker 1: he was very predictable. And that's my biggest fear with 361 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 1: the Steelers. They've become old and predictable. That's a bad combination. 362 00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 1: I agree, you got nothing else. I've I've made the 363 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:35,200 Speaker 1: undertaker sire. All right, let's move on to the next one. Here. 364 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 1: Everybody's favorite. The Tennessee Titans are back for more. Poor Titans. 365 00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:43,480 Speaker 1: They're there, have one wins so far this year. They're 366 00:15:43,560 --> 00:15:45,760 Speaker 1: well rested. You would hope they are eight and a 367 00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 1: half point underdogs at home to the Houston Texans. You're 368 00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 1: catching there minus seven and a half for Houston on 369 00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:53,520 Speaker 1: the road, which again doesn't feel like a great number 370 00:15:53,560 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 1: to me, Andrew, I don't know, thirty eight for the over, 371 00:15:56,640 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 1: thirty nine and a half for the under. You're getting 372 00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:00,040 Speaker 1: plus three thirty five on the money line for the 373 00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:03,680 Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans in an upset. So, Andrew, is there a 374 00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:07,360 Speaker 1: world where the Titans can upset the Houston Texans. 375 00:16:07,920 --> 00:16:09,680 Speaker 3: I don't. I don't think so. 376 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:11,760 Speaker 2: I don't think that the bye week is going to 377 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:14,080 Speaker 2: cure the Tennessee Titans of what they've been this season. 378 00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 2: In fact, they trade away a lot of other players 379 00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 2: before their bye week, so they might actually come out 380 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 2: worse than they were before entering the bye week. Houston's 381 00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 2: obviously coming off a monster come from behind win in 382 00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:28,800 Speaker 2: a divisional matchup, so Houston knows that it's kind of 383 00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 2: make or break time, like we got to go on 384 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:33,400 Speaker 2: a run here and start winning some games. So against 385 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:35,800 Speaker 2: the one to eight Titans, I think the Texans take 386 00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:37,360 Speaker 2: care of business here. I mean, their defense has to 387 00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:40,480 Speaker 2: play significantly better than it did last week. Again obviously 388 00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:43,440 Speaker 2: showed up big time in the fourth quarter, but still 389 00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 2: cam Ward against one of the best defenses in the NFL. 390 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:48,080 Speaker 2: I don't care where this game is being played. I 391 00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:49,840 Speaker 2: think it's probably the Texans is the move here, but 392 00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:52,840 Speaker 2: my concern is they usually don't kill other teams. 393 00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:54,040 Speaker 1: Like all the Texas. 394 00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:56,600 Speaker 2: Games are very, very tight. So at seven and a half, 395 00:16:56,920 --> 00:16:58,880 Speaker 2: that is a concerning num for me, especially with cam 396 00:16:58,920 --> 00:17:02,560 Speaker 2: Ward garbage time. I'm like, he is the fourth quarter 397 00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:05,520 Speaker 2: comebacks in terms of covering the spread, So that's something 398 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:07,240 Speaker 2: that concerns me. So I think this is probably shyaway 399 00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 2: spot for me. 400 00:17:08,040 --> 00:17:09,840 Speaker 1: I'd tell you I would like to go under here, 401 00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:13,600 Speaker 1: but it's already yeah thirty dollars value, like yeah, not 402 00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:16,359 Speaker 1: a lot. But look, they're giving up about what fifteen 403 00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:18,600 Speaker 1: points a game in the Texans, So I'm pretty confident 404 00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:22,119 Speaker 1: that the Texans defense can handle their side. But you know, 405 00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 1: I'm a little worried. How about that Davis Mills too. 406 00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:26,439 Speaker 1: What a moment for him there, jump into the end 407 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:28,400 Speaker 1: zone of the end fun times. All Right, We're gonna 408 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 1: see what the Green Bay Packers haven't sort with Eagles tonight, 409 00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:33,119 Speaker 1: but this coming week they're gonna be taking on the 410 00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:36,080 Speaker 1: New York Football Giants, probably without Jackson Dart will be 411 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:39,359 Speaker 1: my guest here, Andrew. He was rolled out with a concussion. 412 00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:42,119 Speaker 1: Typically that's at least a week here, especially for quarterbacks, 413 00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:44,880 Speaker 1: So I'd be very surprised if we get Jackson Dart. 414 00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:47,440 Speaker 1: I would love to see Jameis Winston, but instead we 415 00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:51,679 Speaker 1: keep seeing Russell Wilson. I don't know why, what's the point? 416 00:17:51,760 --> 00:17:55,560 Speaker 1: What are we doing here? I don't get it. But anyway, 417 00:17:55,680 --> 00:17:57,960 Speaker 1: minus seven and a half here for the Green Bay Packers, 418 00:17:58,160 --> 00:17:59,720 Speaker 1: plus eight and a half on the New York Giants 419 00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:01,880 Speaker 1: side over forty three and a half under forty five 420 00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:04,240 Speaker 1: and a half, and you're getting plus three sixty for 421 00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:06,919 Speaker 1: the Giants on the money line. So, Andrew, do you 422 00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:08,879 Speaker 1: have any love for this early line here between the 423 00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:09,800 Speaker 1: Giants and the Packers? 424 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:12,680 Speaker 2: I don't because I think that this can move a 425 00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:14,720 Speaker 2: little bit, and I'm not really sure which direction it's 426 00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:16,359 Speaker 2: going to move. And if the Green Bay loses to 427 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:19,560 Speaker 2: the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday night tonight, is that going 428 00:18:19,600 --> 00:18:22,399 Speaker 2: to get people off of Green Bay? I don't think so, 429 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:24,119 Speaker 2: because even if they lose against the Eagles, is it 430 00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 2: going to be this type of loss like against the 431 00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:29,920 Speaker 2: Carolina Panthers type of loss that we see from Green Bay. 432 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:32,439 Speaker 2: So that concerns me, and I just think overarching thoughts 433 00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:35,600 Speaker 2: too on the Giants. I can't believe we basically see 434 00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:39,000 Speaker 2: Jackson Dart play as a franchise quarterback and that's still 435 00:18:39,040 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 2: not enough to probably say Brian day Bill's job because 436 00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:44,679 Speaker 2: of these fourth quarter collapses. Four games the Giants have 437 00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:47,199 Speaker 2: been up by ten points in the fourth quarter, crazy 438 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:49,680 Speaker 2: on the road, and they've lost all four of them. 439 00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:54,200 Speaker 1: Ninety percent win percentage, by the way, probability ninety percent 440 00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:56,679 Speaker 1: in those I mean, he's just stunning. It's stunning. I mean, 441 00:18:56,760 --> 00:18:58,440 Speaker 1: he's not gonna keep his job, and that's the whole thing. Like, 442 00:18:58,440 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 1: if you're not gonna keep your job, you might as 443 00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:02,200 Speaker 1: well throw win out there, like maybe Winson gives you 444 00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:04,119 Speaker 1: a shot, like I don't think Russell Wilson does at 445 00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:04,520 Speaker 1: this point. 446 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:07,560 Speaker 2: I just didn't think that we would see Dart emerge 447 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:10,560 Speaker 2: as okay to say franchise quarterback and Brian Devill still 448 00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:12,680 Speaker 2: get fired because we figured that if Dart is good, 449 00:19:12,680 --> 00:19:15,040 Speaker 2: they're gonna keep day ball. But they're not winning games 450 00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:17,640 Speaker 2: because of misclapses in the fourth quarter, which is put 451 00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 2: on the head coach is not really darts fall necessarily. 452 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:24,480 Speaker 2: So I thought that was a very weird type of outcome. 453 00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:28,000 Speaker 1: And done it without Scataboo and Molik neighbors. Yes, I 454 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:31,359 Speaker 1: mean Dart, that's even Dart's been terrific. Darts a dude. 455 00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:33,359 Speaker 1: You know. We talked about it in draft season shows 456 00:19:33,359 --> 00:19:35,440 Speaker 1: and on Fantasy Pros and if you haven't, so subscribe 457 00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 1: it Fantasy Bros. Because we do all the draft coverage there. 458 00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:41,720 Speaker 1: And my comp for Jackson Dart was Jeff Garcia. He's tough, 459 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,200 Speaker 1: he'll go out there, he does not he's not afraid 460 00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:46,600 Speaker 1: of contact when he runs. He's not gonna slide. He's 461 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:48,199 Speaker 1: gonna go out there and he's gonna butt heads with 462 00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:51,800 Speaker 1: some people and it's unfortunately that's a problem because then 463 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:54,359 Speaker 1: you're gonna miss some time. But that's the style of 464 00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:56,440 Speaker 1: play and that's why Jackson Dart is fun and that's 465 00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 1: why he's exciting. Also fun and exciting. The Betting Pros app, 466 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:01,680 Speaker 1: by the way, download the app that's smarter, not harder, 467 00:20:01,800 --> 00:20:03,240 Speaker 1: use all the tools. We want you to be a 468 00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:05,720 Speaker 1: part of the community here over at Betting Pros. So again, 469 00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:07,720 Speaker 1: use the app here you can track all your bets, 470 00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:10,399 Speaker 1: you can use the systems, prop, bet, che cheat, everything 471 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:12,520 Speaker 1: is out there for you to be more successful because 472 00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:15,440 Speaker 1: betting on football is hard. Did you watch what happened 473 00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:18,239 Speaker 1: on Sunday? I'm sure you did. Let us help you 474 00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:20,880 Speaker 1: do our best year with the tools over at betting Pros. 475 00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:22,760 Speaker 1: All right, Next up here we have the Chicago Bears 476 00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:25,240 Speaker 1: coming off of w we were just talking about against 477 00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:27,880 Speaker 1: the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings are minus two and a half. Here, 478 00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:31,000 Speaker 1: you're getting plus three with the Chicago Bears over forty 479 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:32,680 Speaker 1: five and a half the under forty six and a 480 00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 1: half plus one forty five on the money line for 481 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:37,600 Speaker 1: Chicago minus one forty seven for the Minnesota Vikings. I 482 00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:40,520 Speaker 1: kind of like taking the minus one forty seven and 483 00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:43,440 Speaker 1: pairing it here for the Vikings to just win outright 484 00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:46,040 Speaker 1: at home with some other prop and get it into 485 00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:47,840 Speaker 1: the plus money Like that's kind of what I want. 486 00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:51,639 Speaker 1: Jefferson didn't have the best game, McCarthy was inconsistent there, 487 00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:53,879 Speaker 1: and you know what, despite the fact that the Bears 488 00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:55,960 Speaker 1: are six and three man, they are the most suspects 489 00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:58,000 Speaker 1: six and three paper tiger team I've ever seen. Like 490 00:20:58,080 --> 00:20:59,920 Speaker 1: I'm just not buying that they're a good football team. 491 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:02,960 Speaker 1: They have so many holes how don't even want to 492 00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:04,879 Speaker 1: mess around with the score. I'm taking the one forty 493 00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:06,880 Speaker 1: seven and I'm waiting for the best prop to come out. 494 00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:08,720 Speaker 1: That's my approach to this game. What's yours? 495 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:12,640 Speaker 2: I don't have any strong takes on this particular game. 496 00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:15,879 Speaker 2: It's two second year quarterbacks that have been, to your point, 497 00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:18,600 Speaker 2: really inconsistent. They've shown that they can make some plays 498 00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:20,239 Speaker 2: with their legs, and I think that's kind of what 499 00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:23,000 Speaker 2: ends up breaking your bet is one of them rips 500 00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:24,920 Speaker 2: off a scram for a twenty yard touchdown and then 501 00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:27,320 Speaker 2: either you're under or over is cooked because they had 502 00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:29,400 Speaker 2: that one big play. What are you going to see 503 00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 2: from Caleb Willims against Brian Flores? So he's faced Brian 504 00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:34,840 Speaker 2: Flores a bunch of different times. Sometimes it's been okay, 505 00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:37,760 Speaker 2: sometimes it's been really really bad. And is the Vikings defense? 506 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:39,920 Speaker 2: Are they starting to build some momentum? I mean, we 507 00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:43,280 Speaker 2: didn't see Lamar have this like insane monster game against 508 00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:46,320 Speaker 2: the Vikings, and Vikings were within somewhat striking distance last 509 00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 2: weekgainst the Ravens. They did technically only lose by one score. 510 00:21:49,520 --> 00:21:52,080 Speaker 2: But yeah, yeah, this one's tough for me. 511 00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:52,480 Speaker 1: I guess. 512 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 2: I mean, you like the Vikings, I'm not going to 513 00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:55,960 Speaker 2: push against you. 514 00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,760 Speaker 1: No, Look, I like him, I don't love them, But 515 00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:01,000 Speaker 1: I think that this is where we're at right now. 516 00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:03,479 Speaker 1: And I also think the Vikings need this game, like 517 00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:06,080 Speaker 1: they need it in the worst way now, Like this 518 00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:08,239 Speaker 1: is that this point in the season, when we get 519 00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 1: to November, I think need factors into a lot of 520 00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:13,600 Speaker 1: decision making too. It's like, which team needs this game 521 00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:15,720 Speaker 1: more than the other, and that's the team's gonna give you. 522 00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:17,360 Speaker 1: I think a little bit more effort. I think Minnesota 523 00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:19,200 Speaker 1: will like, right now, you can't go two games under 524 00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:21,879 Speaker 1: five hundred, Like after that you are probably toast in 525 00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:24,600 Speaker 1: that division. That'd be my guess, especially again in division 526 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 1: game here, it should be tight. It probably will be. 527 00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:30,080 Speaker 1: In fact, maybe I'll take the Caleb Williams over rushing 528 00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:32,240 Speaker 1: total and the Minnesota Vikings on the money line, and 529 00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:34,199 Speaker 1: I think that might be the secret sauce. Let's talk 530 00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:35,959 Speaker 1: about the San Francisco forty nine ers. Do we get 531 00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:38,680 Speaker 1: brock perty ever? Who knows Ricky Piersol? Does he play football? 532 00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:42,200 Speaker 1: Nobody knows Arizona Cardinals at home against the forty nine Ers. 533 00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:44,399 Speaker 1: They are plus three right now underdogs minus two and 534 00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:46,360 Speaker 1: a half for San Fran, forty seven and a half 535 00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:47,760 Speaker 1: for the over, forty eight and a half for the 536 00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,960 Speaker 1: under minus one forty four San Fran, plus one forty 537 00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:55,040 Speaker 1: two for the Arizona Cardinals. Andrew Erickson, any early values 538 00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:55,920 Speaker 1: strike you in this. 539 00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,840 Speaker 2: Contest, Actually, like the forty nine ers here, I look 540 00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:00,919 Speaker 2: at they're playing on the road. I think that we 541 00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:02,960 Speaker 2: are going to get Rock Party back in the starting lineup. 542 00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 2: Can't say the same for Ricky Piersoll, but Kyle Shanahan 543 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:08,200 Speaker 2: even said that he could have played in the last 544 00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 2: week's game or yesterday's game. He obviously kept him out, 545 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:12,400 Speaker 2: and I think that he's just kind of all right, 546 00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:15,000 Speaker 2: We're done with the Mac Jones experiment. Let's get Rock 547 00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:18,440 Speaker 2: Party back hunder center. So yeah, the forty nine Ers again, 548 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:20,919 Speaker 2: another team that needs to start getting some wins here 549 00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:22,879 Speaker 2: right six and four. They're not totally out of it, 550 00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:25,400 Speaker 2: but they need to start getting more wins than losses. 551 00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:28,360 Speaker 2: And against Arizona starting Jacoby Brissett, yes, it looked great, 552 00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:31,199 Speaker 2: and against Dallas not so great. Against Seattle Seahawks when 553 00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:34,000 Speaker 2: Jacoby Brissett had two fumble sixes from the same defensive 554 00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:36,720 Speaker 2: lineman to Marcus Lawrence. That's not ideal. So I just 555 00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 2: don't think this is enough points for a team that 556 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:40,280 Speaker 2: just got absolutely mean. He was thirty five to nothing 557 00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:42,600 Speaker 2: in the second quarter, and it's the Cardinals with three. 558 00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:45,280 Speaker 2: They're just catching three points at home, that's it. I 559 00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:47,560 Speaker 2: think that the forty nine ers, especially if they get 560 00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:49,280 Speaker 2: Rock Purty back, I think that you see an offensive 561 00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 2: boost and I think they were able to outscore the 562 00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:52,720 Speaker 2: Cardinals here. 563 00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:55,399 Speaker 1: Do you want to bet on it early now before 564 00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:56,520 Speaker 1: the rock party. 565 00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:58,800 Speaker 3: News, Okay, especially twenty and a half to Yeah. 566 00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:00,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, that was what I was thinking too, because I 567 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:02,240 Speaker 1: think that probably moves to what three and a half, 568 00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:03,439 Speaker 1: he comes back, probably moves a. 569 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,520 Speaker 3: Point at least three, right, at least three, yeah, at 570 00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:05,960 Speaker 3: least three. 571 00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:08,560 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to another in division matchup here 572 00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:12,560 Speaker 1: for the NFC West, the Seattle Seahawks seven and two 573 00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:14,640 Speaker 1: taking on the Los Angeles Rams seven and two. Now, 574 00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:17,200 Speaker 1: there was a gimpy moment there where DeVante Adams came out. 575 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:18,719 Speaker 1: Is it a ribs an oblique? I don't know. They 576 00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:20,159 Speaker 1: said he could have gone back in he didn't need 577 00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:22,320 Speaker 1: to go back in. We'll see, but that will be 578 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:25,439 Speaker 1: a major piece out if he is. That Seattle defense 579 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:28,520 Speaker 1: playing really good football. Sam Darnell playing really good football. 580 00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:31,720 Speaker 1: JSN is a rock star. But yet, despite all that, 581 00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:33,600 Speaker 1: they're two and a half point underdogs going on the 582 00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:36,800 Speaker 1: road to the Rams over forty eight right now, the 583 00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:38,880 Speaker 1: under forty eight and a half plus one twenty three 584 00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,640 Speaker 1: on the money line for Seattle minus one thirty five 585 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 1: on the Rams side. Here, Now, I gotta be honest 586 00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:47,080 Speaker 1: with you, I think Seattle's got a w here potentially. 587 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:49,440 Speaker 1: I think they can beat the Rams. I think they're capable. 588 00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:55,000 Speaker 1: The Rams are good but inconsistent. And I think that 589 00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:57,240 Speaker 1: what I've seen from Seattle these last few weeks. And 590 00:24:57,280 --> 00:24:58,880 Speaker 1: you know, we've done a lot of shows together. I've 591 00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:00,960 Speaker 1: been very much on the Seattle wagon. I've taken a 592 00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:02,720 Speaker 1: lot of shots here. People tell me about them. Sam 593 00:25:02,760 --> 00:25:06,200 Speaker 1: Donald iss and Sam Donald debt Seattle's went of football games. 594 00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:10,040 Speaker 1: The defense is playing well. Sam donald is confident, I think, 595 00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,400 Speaker 1: and I do feel like this is a spot where 596 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:16,520 Speaker 1: it just feels like the big money's gonna come in 597 00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:19,000 Speaker 1: on the Rams. Everyone's just gonna take the Rams but 598 00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:21,000 Speaker 1: that Davante Adams injury scares me a little bit, and 599 00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:22,960 Speaker 1: I think now is an interesting time to take that 600 00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:26,879 Speaker 1: advantage and take the Seattle side. I'm gonna take Seattle 601 00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:28,320 Speaker 1: on the money line here. What are your thoughts? 602 00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:31,960 Speaker 2: I like that call a lot. You look at Mike 603 00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:33,959 Speaker 2: McDonald and what he's done on the road. He has 604 00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:37,160 Speaker 2: lost one road game as head coach of the Seattle Seahawks. 605 00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:39,920 Speaker 2: The Rams don't really have a home field advantage, as 606 00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:42,080 Speaker 2: we saw in the Chargers Steelers game when they were 607 00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:44,600 Speaker 2: chanting mouth after every Pat frinmuth Cash. 608 00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 3: There was only three of them, but still there's. 609 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:49,359 Speaker 2: Not really a home field advantage for the Rams, and 610 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:52,040 Speaker 2: they get overinflated from the spread point because if where 611 00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:52,480 Speaker 2: is this game? 612 00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:54,359 Speaker 3: What is the spread at the Seattle is playing at home? 613 00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:55,159 Speaker 1: Here? Joe? 614 00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:57,479 Speaker 2: Is it a pick them? Is it Seahawks minus one half? 615 00:25:57,520 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 2: Are the Seahawks favored? What do you think about? 616 00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:03,520 Speaker 1: That just wasn't closed? Yeah, you're you're probably right. It's 617 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:04,200 Speaker 1: probably in that range. 618 00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:04,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, So I. 619 00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:07,600 Speaker 2: Guess that's if we're already if it's basically a pick 620 00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:10,000 Speaker 2: them based on where this game is being played, based 621 00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:11,680 Speaker 2: on how good Seattle is on the road, then yeah, 622 00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:14,880 Speaker 2: I think that the value is on Seattle. And it's 623 00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:17,359 Speaker 2: funny because these are my number one number two ranked 624 00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:19,320 Speaker 2: teams in my power rankings. I have the Rams one, 625 00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:21,320 Speaker 2: They've been number one for a while. I moved Seattle 626 00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:24,000 Speaker 2: up to two after they destroy the Arizona Cardinals. And 627 00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:26,160 Speaker 2: I can't help but think, after this game plays, after 628 00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:27,879 Speaker 2: we see this game play out, I'm going to be 629 00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:30,160 Speaker 2: swapping Seattle in the Los Angeles Rams. And if I'm 630 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,240 Speaker 2: going to be doing that anyway, why don't I just 631 00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:33,880 Speaker 2: do it now? Should I just move Seattle to number 632 00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:35,000 Speaker 2: one on my power rank besse? I know a lot 633 00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:37,639 Speaker 2: of people have Seattle as number one of their power rankings. 634 00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:41,320 Speaker 2: So the trends are pointing very strongly in the seahawks favor. 635 00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:43,879 Speaker 2: The last two weeks, they've just been blowing out different teams. 636 00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:45,680 Speaker 2: You haven't even seen them play in a competitive game, 637 00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:47,560 Speaker 2: and I think they're built for it. I mean it's built. 638 00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:49,119 Speaker 2: This team is built to play on the road. They 639 00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:51,480 Speaker 2: can play good defense, they can run the football. You 640 00:26:51,560 --> 00:26:54,520 Speaker 2: have Shahed add as another element that maybe the Rams 641 00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 2: aren't necessarily prepared for, and that's why they went out 642 00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:58,359 Speaker 2: and got Shaheed, so they can win these types of 643 00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:00,480 Speaker 2: games with another element to their off and it's not 644 00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:04,280 Speaker 2: putting everything on JSN. So yeah, I like Seattle here too. 645 00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:06,320 Speaker 2: This is doesn'll be a fun one to match or 646 00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:06,920 Speaker 2: a fun. 647 00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:09,200 Speaker 1: One to watch, for sure. Another fun. A lot of 648 00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:11,080 Speaker 1: fun four o'clock games we don't always get that. This 649 00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:13,879 Speaker 1: is another fun one too. Kansas City Denver again, I 650 00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:16,199 Speaker 1: think Kansas City needs this game more. They are three 651 00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:19,320 Speaker 1: and a half point favorites Denvers plus four at home 652 00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:22,040 Speaker 1: at so tricky here, forty three and a half of 653 00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:23,480 Speaker 1: the over, forty four and a half of the under, 654 00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:26,200 Speaker 1: minus one eighty five for the kc W on the 655 00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:28,639 Speaker 1: money line, plus one eighty two on the Denver side. 656 00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:30,720 Speaker 1: This is another one where I take the Kansas City 657 00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:32,879 Speaker 1: money line in my favorite prop and I push this 658 00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,600 Speaker 1: into plus money and I walk away whatever the prop 659 00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:38,359 Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet says is the easiest over, and whatever 660 00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:40,400 Speaker 1: it is, that's what I'm taking, or the easiest under, 661 00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:42,439 Speaker 1: that's what I'm taking. And I'm trying to push this 662 00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:44,520 Speaker 1: into plus money and Kansas City finding a way to 663 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:46,800 Speaker 1: win this football game because I think they have to 664 00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:49,160 Speaker 1: again at five and four. This is where you start 665 00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:51,520 Speaker 1: to change that dynamic of the division. I'm like, I 666 00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,280 Speaker 1: don't want to be hyperbolic here, but at the same time, 667 00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:56,399 Speaker 1: this is the moment here where the Kansasity Chiefs have 668 00:27:56,440 --> 00:27:59,560 Speaker 1: to continue to make that run move forward here and 669 00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:02,240 Speaker 1: it's starts with this game here against the Denver Broncos 670 00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:04,000 Speaker 1: in their division. What's your take on this one. 671 00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:06,119 Speaker 3: I'm just taking the Chiefs. That's what I want in 672 00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:06,520 Speaker 3: this game. 673 00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:09,280 Speaker 2: It's Chiefs Mahomes and you Reid off of bye week 674 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:11,159 Speaker 2: number one, I don't know what the exact. 675 00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:12,680 Speaker 1: Talk about three and a half where you're taking a 676 00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:13,360 Speaker 1: money line. 677 00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:15,720 Speaker 2: I feel good with laying the points with the Chiefs 678 00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:17,440 Speaker 2: on the road, even playing against Denver, we still don't 679 00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 2: know the status Patricks your Tan, whether he's going to 680 00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:20,639 Speaker 2: be back from the shoulder injury. Know they have a 681 00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:22,320 Speaker 2: little bit more time coming off the mini buy, but 682 00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:23,960 Speaker 2: I want to bet on the Chiefs when they're coming 683 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:28,320 Speaker 2: off a full by fully rested. And this Broncos team 684 00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:31,879 Speaker 2: we're talking about paper Tigers. Is this team really a 685 00:28:32,119 --> 00:28:33,880 Speaker 2: eight and two team when you look at their win 686 00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:35,840 Speaker 2: lost record Based on some of the advanced metrics, bon 687 00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:37,720 Speaker 2: Nix has one of the worst success rates I'm on 688 00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:40,360 Speaker 2: quarterbacks this season. I think his success rate on a 689 00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 2: per drop back basis the only guys that are worse 690 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:44,520 Speaker 2: are guys like Justin Fields and cam Ward Right. It 691 00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:47,360 Speaker 2: has been really inconsistent from Boone Nicks and when he's 692 00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,360 Speaker 2: not beating up on lesser teams, he's struggled and a 693 00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:51,920 Speaker 2: lot of points. And I don't think that he's taking 694 00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,000 Speaker 2: that next step his sophomore year like a lot of 695 00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:56,520 Speaker 2: us stuff that he could under Sean Payton. So I 696 00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:58,480 Speaker 2: will take the Chiefs here laying the points. I think 697 00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:01,000 Speaker 2: it's a slap of reality for the Den Broncos that 698 00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:03,560 Speaker 2: although they are eight and two, I'm not so sure 699 00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:05,960 Speaker 2: they are actually as good as the eight and two 700 00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:06,640 Speaker 2: records suggests. 701 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:09,480 Speaker 1: They are. All right. So the Baltimore Ravens got another 702 00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:11,959 Speaker 1: victory there four and five. They're going to Cleveland this 703 00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:14,760 Speaker 1: week nine and a half here on the plus side, 704 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:16,800 Speaker 1: underdogs or the Cleveland Browns at home. Minus eight and 705 00:29:16,840 --> 00:29:18,080 Speaker 1: a half is the best number you can find out 706 00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:21,040 Speaker 1: Baltimore right now over forty one and a half under 707 00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:23,120 Speaker 1: forty one and a half. That's the consensus line up 708 00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:25,080 Speaker 1: betting pros, which you can check out all the consensus 709 00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:27,760 Speaker 1: lines on you're getting plus three eighty five and the 710 00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:30,560 Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns upset. Look, I just don't have enough faith 711 00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:33,600 Speaker 1: in Dylan Gabriel here to hang and I think Baltimore's 712 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:36,520 Speaker 1: trying to. I feel like after last yesterday, you know, 713 00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:39,120 Speaker 1: they come out with a big road win. They watched 714 00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:42,040 Speaker 1: the Steelers lose at night. Starting to feel like Baltimore's like, Yeah, 715 00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:44,520 Speaker 1: we're gonna get back in here and we're gonna we 716 00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:46,640 Speaker 1: win this game. We are right back where we need 717 00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:48,440 Speaker 1: to be and we can go and close on this. 718 00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:50,760 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Seiel is here for this division. That's my feeling. 719 00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:52,560 Speaker 1: Eight and a half is a lot of points. I 720 00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:55,160 Speaker 1: don't love that. So this might be a stay away 721 00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:56,600 Speaker 1: just because I don't like the line. I think it's 722 00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:58,520 Speaker 1: set very well and I don't have enough I want 723 00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:00,000 Speaker 1: to go the over at forty one a half because 724 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:02,080 Speaker 1: it's a low number. I just don't know if I 725 00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:04,760 Speaker 1: know a faith here in the Browns offense to do 726 00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:07,000 Speaker 1: their part of it. So what's your take on this one. 727 00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:09,920 Speaker 2: I'm taking the Browns with the points at home especially. 728 00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:13,480 Speaker 1: I figured I figured you would plus very hard time too. 729 00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:16,840 Speaker 2: Yep, there are defense that plays significantly better when they're 730 00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,120 Speaker 2: playing at home. They're just a tough defense, especially in 731 00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:22,800 Speaker 2: these AFC North matchups. Right, we've seen the Browns kind 732 00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 2: of throttle down this Ravens offense, even when it's high flying, 733 00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:28,520 Speaker 2: everybody's healthy, the Ravens just don't end up going into 734 00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:31,760 Speaker 2: Cleveland and scoring forty points unless it's a bunch of 735 00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:34,880 Speaker 2: turnovers from Dylan Gabriel that caused the Ravens. So again, 736 00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:38,120 Speaker 2: I've been burned a couple times this year by turnovers 737 00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:40,520 Speaker 2: going into touchdowns and not working in my direction. But 738 00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:42,360 Speaker 2: I don't think that's like the that's how I want 739 00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,440 Speaker 2: to base my bets on. I just want to base 740 00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,360 Speaker 2: my bets on. Okay, you're getting almost double digits with 741 00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:49,600 Speaker 2: a home underdog in the division and their defense is exceptional. 742 00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:52,280 Speaker 2: So I will take the Browns plus nine and a half. 743 00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:55,640 Speaker 1: What would the Browns record be, Andrew if Joe Flacco 744 00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:57,840 Speaker 1: was quarterback the whole time? Just out of curiosity, what 745 00:30:57,840 --> 00:30:59,520 Speaker 1: do you think did that have four wins? 746 00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:03,160 Speaker 2: Would I don't, I mean they want to do they 747 00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:04,080 Speaker 2: want more wins. 748 00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:06,240 Speaker 1: I don't know if they want more wins, but if 749 00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:08,360 Speaker 1: they had four wins, they'd be tied for second place 750 00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:09,040 Speaker 1: in this division. 751 00:31:09,080 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 2: I guess, but they know that when they had Defanski 752 00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:13,320 Speaker 2: wants for wins. 753 00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:15,120 Speaker 1: It makes Defanski wants to keep his job. 754 00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:17,320 Speaker 3: I mean, if he wants to keep his job, then 755 00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:21,800 Speaker 3: why did he Why aren't they using sharing. 756 00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:24,800 Speaker 1: I think you might see him this week at some point. 757 00:31:24,840 --> 00:31:26,640 Speaker 1: It depending on how things go. All right, we got 758 00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:28,600 Speaker 1: two more games. The prime times are up here Sunday 759 00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:31,760 Speaker 1: Night Football, Philadelphia Eagles Detroit Lions. This one's a good one. 760 00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:33,920 Speaker 1: It's in Philly, Philly at home. Favored by a point. 761 00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:36,600 Speaker 1: You're getting plus two with the Lions over forty seven 762 00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:39,280 Speaker 1: and a half under forty nine and a half, plus 763 00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:42,120 Speaker 1: one oh two for the Detroit Lions, minus one twelve 764 00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:45,160 Speaker 1: here for the Eagles. Ericson, I'll let you go first 765 00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:47,200 Speaker 1: on this one. This is a big marquee matchup in 766 00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:49,880 Speaker 1: the NFC. Could have big, massive playoff implications too. 767 00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:54,640 Speaker 2: I like the Eagles here playing at home, outdoors. Jared Goff, 768 00:31:55,040 --> 00:31:57,240 Speaker 2: That's always something you have to account for where you're 769 00:31:57,240 --> 00:31:59,960 Speaker 2: doing these handicaps. Last week it didn't matter because they're 770 00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,720 Speaker 2: playing the Washington Commanders, who don't have a defense. I 771 00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:04,720 Speaker 2: think it matters a little bit more in this spot 772 00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:08,440 Speaker 2: against a much tougher defense in Philadelphia in less than 773 00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:10,480 Speaker 2: ideal elements. I don't know what the weather is like 774 00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:13,400 Speaker 2: for this game, but again it's nighttime. Might be a 775 00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:16,080 Speaker 2: little bit chillier than it is, especially in the Detroit Dome, 776 00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:17,840 Speaker 2: and I think that that matters when you're looking at 777 00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:19,240 Speaker 2: lines and when you can bet against them. Again, the 778 00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:21,600 Speaker 2: Lions are coming off a loss this time around. We 779 00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:22,960 Speaker 2: know that the line that was one of my better 780 00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:26,000 Speaker 2: bets last week was the lines covering because they're coming 781 00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:27,840 Speaker 2: off a loss. You just bet on the lines every 782 00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:29,440 Speaker 2: time they're coming off the loss to cover the spread, 783 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:32,680 Speaker 2: and they did in a big way. But against Philadelphia, 784 00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:34,320 Speaker 2: who could be coming off a big win against the 785 00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:37,400 Speaker 2: Green Bay Packers or at least a tight matchup. I 786 00:32:37,520 --> 00:32:40,280 Speaker 2: like the Eagles here early, all. 787 00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:43,840 Speaker 1: Right last here, but not least Monday Night football. The 788 00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:47,480 Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys and the Las Vegas Raiders. So let's just 789 00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:49,480 Speaker 1: take the over, shall we. I mean, that's just what 790 00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:51,840 Speaker 1: we should do when the Dallas Cowboys show up. So 791 00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:56,479 Speaker 1: Cowboys coming off a bye Vegas coming off a longer 792 00:32:56,520 --> 00:33:00,280 Speaker 1: rest week. Vegas looked terrible obviously against never Bronco which 793 00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:02,479 Speaker 1: means that everybody is probably going, oh, no, what are 794 00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:03,840 Speaker 1: we gonna do? I know what we're gonna do. I'm 795 00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:05,200 Speaker 1: just gonna take the over. It's a forty nine and 796 00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:07,520 Speaker 1: a half. Just taking the over. Close my eyes, and 797 00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:10,000 Speaker 1: I'm just doing it. The unders fifty right now, you're 798 00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:11,880 Speaker 1: getting Vegas at plus three and a half. At home, 799 00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:15,560 Speaker 1: you're getting Dallas minus three minus one sixty six on 800 00:33:15,600 --> 00:33:18,560 Speaker 1: the money line for the Dallas Cowboys plus one fifty 801 00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:21,880 Speaker 1: nine for the Las Vegas Raiders. Look, I know it 802 00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:24,680 Speaker 1: looked ugly as hell. I think the Tyler Lockett addition 803 00:33:24,800 --> 00:33:27,680 Speaker 1: is an interesting one here because of the rapport that 804 00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:31,600 Speaker 1: Gino has with Tyler Lockett and the history they have 805 00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,160 Speaker 1: with Pete Carroll. The three of them together, it seemed 806 00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,239 Speaker 1: like a hand and glove kind of fit right off 807 00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:38,960 Speaker 1: the bat there. I'm sure brock Bowers will bounce back 808 00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:42,480 Speaker 1: and Dallas, I'm sure will do their part to give 809 00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:45,080 Speaker 1: up points and to score points. So I'll take the 810 00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:46,840 Speaker 1: over here on the forty nine and a half. Andrew, 811 00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:48,240 Speaker 1: do you have a side on this one? 812 00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:50,160 Speaker 2: So I'm actually gonna push back against there being a 813 00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:52,880 Speaker 2: lot of points in this game, Okay, I love Dallas. 814 00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:55,240 Speaker 2: I love Dallas in this spot. I would lay up 815 00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:57,880 Speaker 2: to a touchdown with them here playing on the road. 816 00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:00,360 Speaker 2: We obviously saw what happened with that. Dallas lost one 817 00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:05,200 Speaker 2: of their players, Marsha mnealand he passed away tragically. And 818 00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:08,040 Speaker 2: you look at the way Dallas coming off a bye week, 819 00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:11,239 Speaker 2: off of this very emotional thing that happened to their 820 00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:13,560 Speaker 2: I think you're gonna see the most inspired Dallas Cowboys 821 00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:16,480 Speaker 2: defense all year long in this particular matchup. You look 822 00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:19,120 Speaker 2: at the trades they made. They added Quinn and Williams, 823 00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:21,520 Speaker 2: strong defensive tack from the year gets. That's the Jets 824 00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:24,719 Speaker 2: best defensive player in the trenches. That's going to help 825 00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:28,040 Speaker 2: their run defense. They're also getting back multiple players from injury, 826 00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:31,600 Speaker 2: one of their cornerbacks and their linebacker. The Raiders lost 827 00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:34,520 Speaker 2: two offensive linemen against the Denver Broncos. Gino Smith was 828 00:34:34,560 --> 00:34:37,440 Speaker 2: battling through injuries in that game. So I think that 829 00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:40,920 Speaker 2: you see big d their doubt Dallas Calboys defense. I 830 00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:43,360 Speaker 2: think they played lights out in this game because I 831 00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:45,839 Speaker 2: think they're gonna play very, very inspired football. So I 832 00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:47,360 Speaker 2: think that they just dominate and I think this is 833 00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:49,320 Speaker 2: going to be a lower scoring game for those reasons, 834 00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:50,800 Speaker 2: and I'm going to lay as many points as I 835 00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:52,760 Speaker 2: can with Dallas. So I'm not sure if I've convinced 836 00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:54,640 Speaker 2: you or change your mind on anything, but I love 837 00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:56,160 Speaker 2: Dallas in this spot. 838 00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:59,319 Speaker 1: I think they can play inspired defense and great tornovers. 839 00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:01,080 Speaker 1: I just don't think they can change their stripes and 840 00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:02,120 Speaker 1: stop giving up yards. 841 00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:04,200 Speaker 3: But they added. I mean, Quinin Williams is a big 842 00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:05,560 Speaker 3: he's a brand new player on the team. 843 00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:10,799 Speaker 1: He is, and and it could very well be, but 844 00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:14,560 Speaker 1: I got to see it first uh, And again, I 845 00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:17,200 Speaker 1: think I had things gone differently for the Raiders this 846 00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:19,799 Speaker 1: past week. I think there's a certain motivation on their 847 00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:21,759 Speaker 1: side too. It's like, hey, you know, look, we just 848 00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:24,520 Speaker 1: got our you know, disgusting, horrible thing. We've got extra 849 00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:28,080 Speaker 1: time to prepare. The offense look terrible. You know, Look, 850 00:35:28,120 --> 00:35:29,840 Speaker 1: Denver's a good defense. You gotta give him credit. But 851 00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:31,880 Speaker 1: at the same time, like they weren't executing either. So 852 00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:34,680 Speaker 1: I think because both teams that averaged to time, I 853 00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:36,480 Speaker 1: think that's fine if they were catching him on a 854 00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:39,319 Speaker 1: short week preparation wise, something like that maybe, But it's 855 00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:41,400 Speaker 1: an interesting narrative. I'm curious what everybody else thinks. To 856 00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:44,239 Speaker 1: drop your comments below. Let us know what your thoughts here. 857 00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 1: Does Dallas come out of the gate inspired here in 858 00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:49,880 Speaker 1: a big emotional moment or is the emotional moment sometimes 859 00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:52,319 Speaker 1: take the air out of a room as well and 860 00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:55,279 Speaker 1: sometimes difficult for guys to kind of coalesce around. I 861 00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:58,680 Speaker 1: mean this, you know this game is people sometimes, so 862 00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:00,520 Speaker 1: that's gonna have a huge element. Andrew brings up a 863 00:36:00,520 --> 00:36:03,640 Speaker 1: great point that element is certainly going to play a 864 00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:05,399 Speaker 1: part in this game. Could be positive, but can also 865 00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:07,640 Speaker 1: be negative too. So again, what are your thoughts about that? 866 00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:09,279 Speaker 1: We love to hear from all of you. Make sure 867 00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:11,359 Speaker 1: you download the hard Rock bet Sportsbook app and make 868 00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:14,040 Speaker 1: sure you download the Betting Pros app. Use the tools, 869 00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:16,200 Speaker 1: don't be a tool. Let us help you make some 870 00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:17,960 Speaker 1: cash a week eleven. That'll do it for us. But 871 00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:20,120 Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Andrew ericson, 872 00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:22,560 Speaker 1: I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time, Gaz. 873 00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:25,640 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 874 00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:28,040 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 875 00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:31,480 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 876 00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:34,400 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 877 00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:36,360 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 878 00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:38,160 Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our YouTube 879 00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:46,360 Speaker 4: Channel at YouTube dot com Slash Betting Pros