WEBVTT - Dolphins Chargers Week 14 Preview 0:00:01.600 --> 0:00:05.400 You're listening to the Miami Dolphins Podcast Network. This is 0:00:05.519 --> 0:00:08.559 Drive Time with Travis Whinfield. Back to throw to a 0:00:08.720 --> 0:00:17.400 looking gipsla water open touchdop Ton rick Hill. Unbelievable, man, 0:00:17.840 --> 0:00:19.920 I want to help you soon up on his way 0:00:19.920 --> 0:00:23.840 and Wattle waddle to a shotgut back. Let's throw looking 0:00:23.920 --> 0:00:29.040 stumps up fires touch up, It's waddle. It's six touchdown 0:00:29.640 --> 0:00:35.640 of the Drive Time with Travis Wingfield begins. Now let 0:00:35.680 --> 0:00:41.320 me check your pulse. If done further, what is up? 0:00:41.400 --> 0:00:45.400 Dolph fans and welcome to the Drive Time Podcast, part 0:00:45.400 --> 0:00:49.320 of the Miami Dolphins Podcast Network, covering your team door, 0:00:49.680 --> 0:00:53.120 Miami Dolphins. How's it going everybody? I am your host, 0:00:53.240 --> 0:00:56.440 Travis Wingfield. And on today's show, it is time for 0:00:56.520 --> 0:00:59.600 a game preview coming your way on a Friday. We'll 0:00:59.640 --> 0:01:02.880 dive in to the key matchups for this primetime showdown 0:01:02.960 --> 0:01:06.080 at so FI Stadium between the Los Angeles Chargers and 0:01:06.280 --> 0:01:10.520 your Miami Dolphins. Dolphins and Chargers positioned by position, the film, 0:01:10.560 --> 0:01:13.319 the stats, what's at stake, three keys, and the week 0:01:13.520 --> 0:01:15.800 fourteen NFL picks. All of that and a heck of 0:01:15.840 --> 0:01:18.600 a lot more from somewhere in South Florida. This is 0:01:20.280 --> 0:01:27.160 the Drive Time podcast, and of course the reason we 0:01:27.240 --> 0:01:29.920 are somewhere from South Florida this week is that, as 0:01:29.959 --> 0:01:32.520 you all know if you follow me on social on 0:01:32.560 --> 0:01:36.160 Twitter and all the kind words are very much appreciated 0:01:36.200 --> 0:01:38.840 from myself and my wife and my family, that we 0:01:39.000 --> 0:01:43.760 had our baby boy on Tuesday, and again, I we 0:01:43.800 --> 0:01:46.520 are just overwhelmed by the outpour of support and the 0:01:46.560 --> 0:01:51.160 outpouring of just congratulations and and well wishes to me 0:01:51.240 --> 0:01:53.320 and my family. So thank you all very much for that, 0:01:53.600 --> 0:01:55.559 and we will have a new outro for you guys 0:01:55.560 --> 0:01:59.040 on the podcast going forward. It is Chargers week, and 0:01:59.080 --> 0:02:04.400 I've had myself an interesting relationship with the Sandy Yeah 0:02:04.480 --> 0:02:07.920 you go, Super Charger in my football fandom life because 0:02:07.960 --> 0:02:10.120 I don't have a second team and I don't believe 0:02:10.200 --> 0:02:13.080 in the fundamentals of a second team, Like, how is 0:02:13.080 --> 0:02:17.040 that even possible? When I like incorporated the Heat into 0:02:17.080 --> 0:02:19.480 my life. It took like fifteen years for me to 0:02:19.520 --> 0:02:22.280 be a real, like passionate Heat fan that cares about 0:02:22.280 --> 0:02:25.040 the outcome of games. I don't know how you adopt 0:02:25.160 --> 0:02:27.120 a second team and have the same level of love 0:02:27.160 --> 0:02:30.960 for that team. Now that said, I usually adopt a 0:02:31.040 --> 0:02:34.440 team each season, So it's not like I'm die hard 0:02:34.480 --> 0:02:37.720 Minnesota Vikings until I die. It's each year based upon 0:02:37.760 --> 0:02:40.120 their personnel, the coaches, whatever the case may be, that 0:02:40.200 --> 0:02:43.600 makes that particular team interesting. It's my bandwagon team, and 0:02:43.639 --> 0:02:46.680 the Chargers lead the other thirty one teams in the NFL. 0:02:46.760 --> 0:02:49.360 And that distinction from myself, I was actually a full 0:02:49.400 --> 0:02:52.600 blown Chargers fan back in two thousand and seven. Unique 0:02:52.639 --> 0:02:55.320 circumstances with a one and fifteen Dolphins team that couldn't 0:02:55.320 --> 0:02:57.960 compete with anybody that year. Plus you never met a 0:02:58.000 --> 0:03:02.120 bigger Chris Chambers fan than me, And let's go ahead 0:03:02.120 --> 0:03:03.880 and open the kimono. Cried a little bit when he 0:03:03.919 --> 0:03:06.079 got traded. That was my favorite player of that era. 0:03:06.160 --> 0:03:07.880 He was a lot of fun to watch. And then 0:03:07.919 --> 0:03:11.080 watching him catch clutch posts and touchdowns that year, especially 0:03:11.120 --> 0:03:13.200 against the Colts team that I've never liked. A a 0:03:13.320 --> 0:03:15.959 f C East in me goes beyond two thousand and two, 0:03:15.960 --> 0:03:17.840 and so the Colts to me are like the Jets, Bills, 0:03:17.840 --> 0:03:20.720 and Patriots, and watching him catch big touchdowns in that 0:03:20.840 --> 0:03:23.680 divisional round playoff win that year was awesome. And I 0:03:23.720 --> 0:03:26.679 mentioned the Vikings earlier. They were another team, the Cardinals. 0:03:26.680 --> 0:03:29.080 At various points when Kyler Marie got drafted. I was 0:03:29.280 --> 0:03:31.880 very much in the pro Kyler Murray camp against people 0:03:31.919 --> 0:03:34.600 that were certain that he couldn't play or we get 0:03:34.600 --> 0:03:36.480 squashed like a bug was my favorite one that I 0:03:36.480 --> 0:03:39.760 always saw. Anyway, you get the idea. It's typically a 0:03:39.800 --> 0:03:43.200 strong correlation to my favorite D draft prospects and my 0:03:43.360 --> 0:03:45.880 second team. And those that know me know that one 0:03:45.880 --> 0:03:48.800 of my favorite all time prospects was Derwin James. I 0:03:48.920 --> 0:03:51.760 was also a huge Darren Sprawls guy. I thought that 0:03:51.840 --> 0:03:54.760 old odd front they ran for seemingly ten years with 0:03:54.840 --> 0:03:58.760 Igor Olshansky, Luis Castillo and Jamal Williams was the coolest 0:03:58.800 --> 0:04:01.080 because those guys were there again for like a decade. 0:04:01.080 --> 0:04:04.040 It seemed like I was probably five years who didn't 0:04:04.040 --> 0:04:06.600 love Danian Thomas, who didn't love Antonio Gates. I was 0:04:06.640 --> 0:04:08.920 a big Antonio Carmarti fan. I was a big Ryan 0:04:08.960 --> 0:04:11.240 Matthews fan the year we traded back with them to 0:04:11.320 --> 0:04:14.560 draft Jared Addrick and co Omici for Ryan Matthews, which 0:04:14.560 --> 0:04:16.720 should have been Earl Thomas for us, But I digress. 0:04:17.040 --> 0:04:18.800 I love me some Phil Rivers too. I know most 0:04:18.839 --> 0:04:21.160 people didn't, but I loved Phil Rivers, and much like 0:04:21.240 --> 0:04:24.719 a lot of football enthusiasts who do preseason predictions, I 0:04:24.720 --> 0:04:27.160 can't tell you how many times I put that Chargers 0:04:27.160 --> 0:04:28.960 team all the way to represent the a f C 0:04:29.400 --> 0:04:31.919 in the Super Bowl, like every year up until like 0:04:31.960 --> 0:04:34.240 three or four years ago. It seems and times have 0:04:34.400 --> 0:04:37.159 changed since then. I still quite fancy the collection of 0:04:37.160 --> 0:04:38.960 talent they have. I think they have some of the 0:04:38.960 --> 0:04:42.440 coolest uniforms in football, and one thing hasn't changed. They 0:04:42.480 --> 0:04:44.839 seem to be among the most snake bitten franchises in 0:04:44.960 --> 0:04:48.720 all of sports. Injuries, crazy sequences they only seem to 0:04:48.760 --> 0:04:51.960 happen in Charger games. Chip shot field goals gone awry, 0:04:52.360 --> 0:04:55.240 sixty five yard field goals against them that split the uprights. 0:04:55.480 --> 0:04:58.679 It just seems like every year they're just one game away, 0:04:58.960 --> 0:05:01.440 with like four games to have some weird happenstance that 0:05:01.480 --> 0:05:03.320 would have been the difference how they won just one 0:05:03.320 --> 0:05:05.839 of them. Just go back to last year, the final 0:05:05.880 --> 0:05:08.599 game of the season, the Raiders are content to take 0:05:08.640 --> 0:05:11.120 a knee and take a tie and send that Week 0:05:11.200 --> 0:05:14.640 eight team game into a even draw that would put 0:05:14.680 --> 0:05:17.520 both teams in the postseason. Then the Chargers call in 0:05:17.960 --> 0:05:20.800 really an ill advised time out, and the Raiders say, hey, 0:05:20.839 --> 0:05:22.279 let's go ahead and get a first down here, and 0:05:22.320 --> 0:05:24.160 they do, and they kick a game winning field goal 0:05:24.200 --> 0:05:26.159 and knocks the Charges out of the playoffs for the 0:05:26.200 --> 0:05:28.839 third straight year. They were a playoff team last in 0:05:28.880 --> 0:05:31.520 two thousand eighteen, and they won a very fun wild 0:05:31.520 --> 0:05:34.400 card round game over rookie quarterback Lamar Jackson, but since 0:05:34.480 --> 0:05:38.520 then lots of turnover, keyed by their quarterbacks election of 0:05:38.600 --> 0:05:42.280 Justin Herbert number six overall. The aforementioned Derwin James is 0:05:42.320 --> 0:05:45.040 the catalyst for that defense. He was actually named All 0:05:45.040 --> 0:05:48.080 Pro at two different positions as a rookie in team 0:05:48.360 --> 0:05:50.159 Joey Bosa was a home run pick for them. He 0:05:50.200 --> 0:05:53.080 won't play on Sunday. They've also got another All Pro 0:05:53.200 --> 0:05:56.000 and Rashaan Slater, second year offensive tackle who also was 0:05:56.040 --> 0:05:58.080 out for the season, but as a rookie and All Pro. 0:05:58.480 --> 0:06:00.400 You get the picture there, right, Tom till Skill has 0:06:00.480 --> 0:06:03.720 drafted well. They also landed the superb Assante Samuel in 0:06:03.760 --> 0:06:06.360 the second round that same year. They've signed big names 0:06:06.400 --> 0:06:09.799 and traded for big names like Khalil McCoury, Lensley, J C. Jackson, 0:06:10.040 --> 0:06:13.200 They've made savvy moves, getting proven veterans like Kyle van Noy. 0:06:13.440 --> 0:06:16.279 They've utilized undrafted free agency to land, in my opinion, 0:06:16.320 --> 0:06:19.279 the best dual purpose back in football back in seventeen 0:06:19.320 --> 0:06:21.720 and Austin Ekeler. It's a talented team, a team that's 0:06:21.760 --> 0:06:24.240 going to force you to defend every blade of grass. 0:06:24.440 --> 0:06:27.560 A team that will, with as much top of the 0:06:27.600 --> 0:06:30.320 line talent, compete with you as anybody in the league. 0:06:30.480 --> 0:06:32.640 A team that plays the game by the numbers and 0:06:32.640 --> 0:06:35.200 will make you get stops on all four downs. With 0:06:35.240 --> 0:06:37.480 Brandon Stately at the controls there, although he's backed off 0:06:37.480 --> 0:06:38.760 that a little bit. What she would go back to 0:06:38.800 --> 0:06:41.880 the one Brandon Staley. Now you've gotten to known the Chargers, 0:06:41.920 --> 0:06:43.760 let's go ahead and see how they match up with 0:06:43.839 --> 0:06:49.160 your Miami Dolphins. Dolphins quarterback versus the Charger safeties and 0:06:49.200 --> 0:06:51.960 of course that includes Miami's offense and San Diegoes. Whoa 0:06:52.240 --> 0:06:54.279 there it is put a dollar in the jar Los 0:06:54.320 --> 0:06:59.120 Angeles defense. Mike McDaniel offense first, a Brandon Staley led defense. 0:06:59.160 --> 0:07:02.160 A fun matchup. It to me is the opposite of 0:07:02.240 --> 0:07:05.120 last week. Last week it was strength on strength, similar 0:07:05.120 --> 0:07:08.159 styles designed to excel in the same areas of the game. 0:07:08.720 --> 0:07:10.880 This one is the converse and that the Chargers play 0:07:10.880 --> 0:07:13.280 a completely different style of football. They feature the seventh 0:07:13.360 --> 0:07:16.080 highest blitz rate in the NFL. It's just under thirty 0:07:16.440 --> 0:07:18.880 blitz right. In fact, they are one tenth of a 0:07:18.920 --> 0:07:22.160 percentage point ahead of Miami and blitz frequency. They get 0:07:22.200 --> 0:07:24.480 to this with that five man front and typically bring 0:07:24.560 --> 0:07:26.720 both edges. Van Noy and mac are the two you 0:07:26.760 --> 0:07:29.080 have to contend with out there. But their seven team 0:07:29.120 --> 0:07:32.360 point three percent pressure rate is twenty eight And if 0:07:32.400 --> 0:07:34.560 you listen to the podcast every week, you know we 0:07:34.680 --> 0:07:37.200 usually have played teams where their pressure rate is better 0:07:37.200 --> 0:07:39.240 than their blitz rate, which is tough to contend with. 0:07:39.640 --> 0:07:41.480 And that rate there is the rub boys and girls. 0:07:41.720 --> 0:07:44.120 They just haven't had the personnel to execute this vic 0:07:44.160 --> 0:07:47.440 Fangio style defense they run. It requires a dominant front 0:07:47.440 --> 0:07:51.040 to maintain their gap control like Olshansky, Williams and kiss 0:07:51.080 --> 0:07:53.080 Deal would have done back in the day, hold blocks 0:07:53.080 --> 0:07:54.960 and make plays at the line. They're not getting that. 0:07:55.200 --> 0:07:57.600 They'll mix in blitzes from the back end, but that's 0:07:57.600 --> 0:08:00.080 not been effective enough either. They're going to zone you 0:08:00.160 --> 0:08:01.840 and they're gonna blitz you, those are two principles they 0:08:01.840 --> 0:08:03.880 live by. This is why I think we see a 0:08:03.960 --> 0:08:06.240 Yack explosion this week. I think there's gonna be some 0:08:06.600 --> 0:08:09.360 vacancies and the short to intermediate. I think they'll pull 0:08:09.400 --> 0:08:11.720 down their best tackler out of the equation frequently and 0:08:11.760 --> 0:08:14.160 Derwin James and I think to a tunguele By Lowa's 0:08:14.200 --> 0:08:16.680 ability to see things quickly will allow us to get 0:08:16.680 --> 0:08:19.360 the ball out, negate that rush and punish them for 0:08:19.400 --> 0:08:22.360 sacrificing guys off that back end. We've seen the Dolphins 0:08:22.400 --> 0:08:25.440 have success against both the blitz and zone this season. Right, 0:08:25.640 --> 0:08:27.720 I'm curious to see how the Chargers might adjust for that. 0:08:27.800 --> 0:08:29.760 Do you want to play man? Probably not. They run 0:08:29.800 --> 0:08:31.920 a pretty distinct defense, so I'm not sure you'd see 0:08:31.920 --> 0:08:35.520 a major overhaul in terms of adjustments. Probably just tweaks 0:08:35.559 --> 0:08:37.800 to contend with what Miami has to offer, which is 0:08:37.800 --> 0:08:40.760 a lot. It's a defense that plays a majority too 0:08:40.840 --> 0:08:44.080 high and relies upon an odd front with those two 0:08:44.080 --> 0:08:47.760 overhang backers, essentially a five one front, sometimes five too 0:08:47.800 --> 0:08:50.480 depending on how their secondary personnel matches up. So they 0:08:50.480 --> 0:08:52.920 will start in too high and rotate to some single 0:08:53.000 --> 0:08:56.120 high looks. Some thoughts on those facts. It's a defense 0:08:56.160 --> 0:08:58.480 that invites the run with a light box, then sneaks 0:08:58.520 --> 0:09:01.960 that rat down the hole. But they are incredibly thin upfront, 0:09:01.960 --> 0:09:04.240 man like, they've been decimated by injuries up front. And 0:09:04.280 --> 0:09:06.520 you can also negate that edge rush with a successful 0:09:06.559 --> 0:09:09.000 outside run game, which teams have done to them all 0:09:09.080 --> 0:09:11.400 year long. They want to disguise you, but who has 0:09:11.440 --> 0:09:14.560 been better at deciphering disguise than our quarterback this year? 0:09:14.760 --> 0:09:17.560 Finding those soft spots quickly are key. This game is 0:09:17.559 --> 0:09:19.840 the opposite of last week, and that the Niners defended 0:09:19.880 --> 0:09:24.560 that intermediate middle portion better than anybody since Fred warner arrival. 0:09:24.920 --> 0:09:27.640 Only four teams have allowed more fifteen yard or more 0:09:27.640 --> 0:09:31.040 pass plays this season than the Chargers, where Miami LEAs 0:09:31.040 --> 0:09:34.040 a league was seventy five such throws in that area. 0:09:34.120 --> 0:09:37.760 Actually it's more now, right, No, it's seventy five. Maybe 0:09:37.800 --> 0:09:39.720 mine can get back on track there. As far as 0:09:39.760 --> 0:09:42.720 their pre snap alignments, single highest thirty four percent, too 0:09:42.800 --> 0:09:46.120 highest sixty percent, they've played zero six percent this year 0:09:46.280 --> 0:09:49.400 and they operate out of twenty six percent three four defense, 0:09:49.480 --> 0:09:52.360 which you know they'll take a lot of linebackers off 0:09:52.400 --> 0:09:55.280 the field, a lot of times, sixty percent nickel defense 0:09:55.320 --> 0:09:57.840 and ten percent dime which there is your rub to 0:09:57.880 --> 0:10:00.160 the additional three four looks at turner to three three 0:10:00.480 --> 0:10:02.880 two looks with extra dbs in the field. If the 0:10:02.880 --> 0:10:05.160 Dolphins can get the running game going and find that balance, 0:10:05.240 --> 0:10:07.360 that would be a massive boon this week because the 0:10:07.440 --> 0:10:10.160 Chargers run defense has not been good. They're allowing a 0:10:10.240 --> 0:10:12.800 league high five point four yards per rush and the 0:10:12.840 --> 0:10:15.480 fifth most overall rushing yards in the NFL. They are 0:10:15.480 --> 0:10:18.000 banged up on the defensive line. Teams have found a 0:10:18.000 --> 0:10:20.320 lot of success running the football in the second half 0:10:20.600 --> 0:10:22.760 as the game wears on. In fact, only Houston has 0:10:22.800 --> 0:10:26.200 allowed more second half rushing yards then this Chargers team. 0:10:26.240 --> 0:10:28.280 As for the positional matchup, we talked about two of 0:10:28.559 --> 0:10:31.440 taking those quick hitters against zones, taking advantage of clean pockets, 0:10:31.440 --> 0:10:34.520 and getting back to more explosive play style of offense. 0:10:34.720 --> 0:10:36.680 They want to dial up the blitz. Few teams have 0:10:36.760 --> 0:10:39.480 done that against Miami because one too is very good 0:10:39.480 --> 0:10:42.800 against the blitz, and two, blitzing means fewer people to 0:10:42.920 --> 0:10:46.040 run with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle common sense right, 0:10:46.280 --> 0:10:48.760 an interesting matchup and that if they stay true to 0:10:48.800 --> 0:10:51.599 that Miami must be sharp to make them pay or 0:10:51.800 --> 0:10:53.800 do they adapt a little bit to contend with this 0:10:53.880 --> 0:10:56.480 high powered offense. The key to it all to me 0:10:56.640 --> 0:10:59.240 is Derwin James. You gotta find number three out there 0:10:59.320 --> 0:11:03.079 in that defense of backfield or linebacker position. Really, he'll rush, 0:11:03.160 --> 0:11:06.120 he'll cover, he'll defend the run at the safety's position. 0:11:06.200 --> 0:11:08.679 This year, James has eight pressures on twenty seven blitz 0:11:08.720 --> 0:11:10.680 is so when he comes, he's effective and he's got 0:11:10.760 --> 0:11:12.240 He's been a part of four sacks. I don't know 0:11:12.280 --> 0:11:13.840 the exact sac total there, I didn't look it up, 0:11:13.840 --> 0:11:15.680 but on PFF he's been a part of four sacks, 0:11:16.080 --> 0:11:19.920 twenty six run stops for forty three are opposing teams 0:11:19.920 --> 0:11:22.800 passing against him for two and fourteen yards, so it's 0:11:22.800 --> 0:11:26.000 only like five yards per pop. One touchdown and one pick. 0:11:26.240 --> 0:11:28.200 Nasir Adder only another guy that I love coming out 0:11:28.200 --> 0:11:31.160 of the draft. Nine of fourteen are opponents passing against 0:11:31.240 --> 0:11:33.320 him for one nineteen a touchdown in a pick. He 0:11:33.440 --> 0:11:35.560 is the center fielder. He has not blitzed, and he 0:11:35.600 --> 0:11:38.080 has like eight run stops this year. He's always in 0:11:38.120 --> 0:11:40.320 the post, and then Derwin kind of dictates what type 0:11:40.320 --> 0:11:42.720 of shell they'll play. This is another reason why I 0:11:42.760 --> 0:11:45.040 think this defense has so many issues. They just can't 0:11:45.040 --> 0:11:48.240 disguise a lot of what they do because three takes 0:11:48.280 --> 0:11:50.080 you to the football. He takes you to the defense. 0:11:50.120 --> 0:11:52.720 It's not the interchangeable safety group we talked about last week, 0:11:53.000 --> 0:11:54.720 or what the New York Jets have or what the 0:11:54.720 --> 0:11:58.600 Buffalo Bills have. It's concrete and what they can do. 0:11:58.800 --> 0:12:00.760 And they will also bring a oh he Gilman is 0:12:00.760 --> 0:12:02.760 a third safety. He's got about two hundred and fifty 0:12:02.760 --> 0:12:05.880 snaps this year. Former Golden domer who Kyle Crabs told 0:12:05.880 --> 0:12:07.160 me he was a big fan of his. A dolph 0:12:07.200 --> 0:12:09.160 a fit in this Dolphins defense. So kind of a 0:12:09.200 --> 0:12:11.440 similar look there in that sub package, big nickel look. 0:12:11.640 --> 0:12:13.760 He's strictly in the deep area of the field though, 0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:16.520 no pass rush reps, just a handful of run defense 0:12:16.720 --> 0:12:19.120 and in coverage six for seven, one forty seven a 0:12:19.160 --> 0:12:21.079 touchdown in a pick. Let's get to the guys too. 0:12:21.080 --> 0:12:23.240 What will be throwing too in this game? Wide receivers 0:12:23.280 --> 0:12:26.079 and tight ends versus corners, a lot of milestone opportunities. 0:12:26.160 --> 0:12:28.520 This week two was just one d forty one yards 0:12:28.520 --> 0:12:31.600 away from three K on the season. Tyreek Hills eleven 0:12:31.679 --> 0:12:34.360 yards from breaking the singles he's in franchise records by 0:12:34.400 --> 0:12:38.960 Mark Dooper back and Waddle is twenty eight yards away 0:12:38.960 --> 0:12:41.200 from becoming the first Miami Dolphin with back to back 0:12:41.200 --> 0:12:43.960 one thousand yard receiving seasons. How crazy is that to say? 0:12:44.040 --> 0:12:47.319 The Chargers completed their secondary this off season with the J. C. 0:12:47.559 --> 0:12:50.760 Jackson signing, but he has since been lost for the season. 0:12:51.040 --> 0:12:53.960 They still have a strong compliment of corners though, starting 0:12:53.960 --> 0:12:57.440 with Asante Samuel Jr. He and Michael Davis don't leave 0:12:57.480 --> 0:13:00.000 the field, and Bryce Callahan plays about half the snap 0:13:00.000 --> 0:13:03.160 apps he's the nickel obviously, and some dime defense they 0:13:03.160 --> 0:13:05.000 do run some big nickel, so there's a lot of 0:13:05.000 --> 0:13:09.840 disparity there with those numbers. Samuel is an instinctive, reactionary 0:13:10.000 --> 0:13:12.160 corner who is adept at the style of defense, just 0:13:12.200 --> 0:13:14.080 like his pops from the Patriots back in the day. 0:13:14.240 --> 0:13:17.000 He can key against the quarterback and anticipate plays as 0:13:17.000 --> 0:13:19.000 they happen. It's a fun match up there with our 0:13:19.040 --> 0:13:21.880 wide receivers because to and because of how he excels 0:13:21.920 --> 0:13:24.160 in that same vein. It has been a rough year 0:13:24.200 --> 0:13:26.640 for Samuel Jr. Though This year forty of seventy a 0:13:26.720 --> 0:13:28.680 are teams throwing against him. That's actually a pretty good 0:13:28.880 --> 0:13:31.840 completion percentage, but six hundred and fifteen yards, six touchdowns 0:13:31.880 --> 0:13:34.160 in one pick. He's a quick twitch player out of 0:13:34.160 --> 0:13:35.920 four or four one and measure well and all the 0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:39.439 explosive testing metrics, albeit a three cone time in the 0:13:39.480 --> 0:13:43.080 fifties seven percentile, So not really the short area change 0:13:43.080 --> 0:13:46.120 of direction guy. You might think he can't play inside outside, 0:13:46.240 --> 0:13:49.280 but this defense asked so much of their corners, kind 0:13:49.280 --> 0:13:51.960 of like you see with the Denver Broncos, you know 0:13:52.120 --> 0:13:54.640 with passer Tan the second last year, like the way 0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:56.280 he came on as a rookie and playing that defense 0:13:56.360 --> 0:13:59.040 was so surprising. Similar with Houston Texans, like a lot 0:13:59.040 --> 0:14:01.199 of these Tampa two or Cover two type of defenses, 0:14:01.400 --> 0:14:03.120 there's just so much on the plate in terms of 0:14:03.120 --> 0:14:05.880 reading that curl flat that's seven route behind you, the 0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:08.679 you know tie down coming across, and split flow running backs. 0:14:08.840 --> 0:14:10.720 It's just a lot to keep your eyes active. And 0:14:10.760 --> 0:14:13.360 if that's the case against this offense, with with what 0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:16.079 it's designed to do, by creating certain levels of spacing 0:14:16.080 --> 0:14:19.360 and trench in the defense both vertically and horizontally, any 0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:21.800 bit of second guessing is going to be an issue, 0:14:21.880 --> 0:14:24.280 and that's we saw it work really in large part 0:14:24.320 --> 0:14:26.280 against the forty nis defense, it's probably the best in 0:14:26.320 --> 0:14:28.640 the NFL. We just you know, the quarterback didn't play 0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:30.800 his best game of the year, and he usually does 0:14:30.840 --> 0:14:32.960 play that well, so that's not a concern at all, 0:14:33.000 --> 0:14:35.280 but against this particular defense, to me, it's a good 0:14:35.280 --> 0:14:38.320 get right opportunity because a lot of thinking and processing 0:14:38.400 --> 0:14:42.000 is not a winning formula against these Dolphins wide receivers. Also, 0:14:42.040 --> 0:14:46.440 Michael Davis sixty eight yards and a touchdown allowed. He 0:14:46.520 --> 0:14:49.000 had a fun matchup with Davante Adams last week. He 0:14:49.080 --> 0:14:51.080 does a good job of limiting completions and that really 0:14:51.080 --> 0:14:53.080 popped off the tape when watching him. He just compete 0:14:53.120 --> 0:14:56.520 at every state step of the route. His relative athletics 0:14:56.520 --> 0:14:58.800 scorecard coming out of college was just five seven six, 0:14:59.080 --> 0:15:01.560 just a seven point three three cone and that does 0:15:01.560 --> 0:15:04.320 not bode well against really anybody in this Dolphin's offense. 0:15:04.320 --> 0:15:07.080 He had better success against bigger body guys and not 0:15:07.160 --> 0:15:09.920 as much against the speedy and shift you guys. Nonetheless, 0:15:10.080 --> 0:15:12.680 running good routes like Tygreek and Jalen Do makes it 0:15:12.760 --> 0:15:15.080 tough on a player with this physical skill set. He 0:15:15.120 --> 0:15:18.120 did run a four four, but his Verton Broad's measured 0:15:18.520 --> 0:15:22.200 well below the league average. In fact, the vert was 0:15:22.240 --> 0:15:26.280 in the two percent tile two percentile across all players 0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:28.840 measure going back to the nineteen eighties. He also measured 0:15:28.840 --> 0:15:31.600 in just the twenty seven percent tile intense splits. So 0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:33.400 how you get off the football? And this is why 0:15:33.440 --> 0:15:35.800 I think if they play any man coverage, this is 0:15:35.800 --> 0:15:37.840 the way to attack if you can get him isolated 0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:40.640 on the boundary or condensed. Watch out just the Detroit 0:15:40.680 --> 0:15:43.520 game for Jalen Waddle from that slot fade touchdown. He 0:15:43.600 --> 0:15:48.600 scored Bryce Callahan's opposite smaller corner five nine five pounds. 0:15:49.080 --> 0:15:51.360 He is super nimble. They really have a little bit 0:15:51.360 --> 0:15:53.280 of everything in this corner room, which makes for an 0:15:53.280 --> 0:15:57.680 intriguing matchup style. Right. His numbers are thirty one, forty 0:15:57.720 --> 0:16:00.200 eight yards, three touchdowns and three picks. I one if 0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:03.000 this is a chance for maybe Cedric Wilson to get 0:16:03.040 --> 0:16:05.520 some opportunities outside because he's a bigger slot and could 0:16:05.560 --> 0:16:08.320 potentially take advantage of some one on one downfoad openings 0:16:08.320 --> 0:16:10.760 if he gets manned up against a smaller cornerback or 0:16:10.880 --> 0:16:13.960 Mike Gasecki. However, with how much zone they run here, 0:16:13.960 --> 0:16:16.080 it's probably more likely the guy we've been seeing all year, 0:16:16.160 --> 0:16:18.800 Trent Sherfield, doing what he does best and finding sauce 0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:20.960 spots in the zones and making every catch you can 0:16:20.960 --> 0:16:23.640 possibly make. Tackling has not been a strong suit either, 0:16:23.680 --> 0:16:25.360 which is why I think Yak is going to come 0:16:25.360 --> 0:16:27.480 into play in this game from Miami. You guys know 0:16:27.520 --> 0:16:30.120 how I look at this each week. I always like 0:16:30.200 --> 0:16:32.440 our guys. It's been a struggle for the Chargers, and 0:16:32.480 --> 0:16:34.480 a big part of that is the pass rush has 0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:37.960 not been getting home nearly enough, especially on their butts packages. 0:16:38.280 --> 0:16:40.840 Of course, not having Joey Bosa hurts a lot. Now. 0:16:40.880 --> 0:16:44.360 That said, the only team that eclipse three yards against 0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:47.120 them passing was the Kansas City Chiefs, and that's obviously 0:16:47.160 --> 0:16:50.080 aided by allowing three teams to go over two hundred 0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:52.480 yards on the ground and eight of the twelve opponents 0:16:52.480 --> 0:16:54.760 to go over one fifty on the ground. It could 0:16:54.760 --> 0:16:56.760 be like the Houston game, though, where you expect a 0:16:56.800 --> 0:16:59.400 big rushing output against a bad run defense, but because 0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:02.120 they're committed stopping that, you get more on the back end. 0:17:02.160 --> 0:17:05.440 We'll see on the offensive line versus defensive line. No Bosa, 0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:09.760 no Christian Covington, no Antonio Johnson, no Merril Agbania. Five 0:17:09.840 --> 0:17:12.959 good defensive lineman on the I on the injury reserve. Currently, 0:17:13.200 --> 0:17:15.200 it's a front that runs a lot of rush games 0:17:15.200 --> 0:17:18.280 and tries to manufacture pressure through the system. I'm sure 0:17:18.359 --> 0:17:20.560 that thought was scaling that back a little bit when 0:17:20.600 --> 0:17:23.320 they landed Khalil Mack. But of course without Bosa, you're 0:17:23.359 --> 0:17:25.640 a little more limited on your four man rush options, 0:17:25.960 --> 0:17:27.879 and the games just haven't really stuck, like they're not 0:17:27.960 --> 0:17:31.040 hitting with you know, a rotating group of players because 0:17:31.040 --> 0:17:33.399 of the injuries. So that's kind of benefit for a 0:17:33.440 --> 0:17:37.359 Dolphins offensive line. They're twenty nine against the run, seventh 0:17:37.359 --> 0:17:39.359 against the past, the two things that really work together. 0:17:39.520 --> 0:17:41.520 Let's look at some numbers here, starting with the three 0:17:41.600 --> 0:17:46.640 primary edge defenders. Khalil Mack is around a n snaptaker, 0:17:47.080 --> 0:17:49.399 Kyle van Noy's not far off that, and Morgan Fox 0:17:49.440 --> 0:17:51.399 has been a great addition for that team, playing around 0:17:51.400 --> 0:17:54.080 three four, So the team snaps pressures and run stops 0:17:54.080 --> 0:17:56.320 for those guys. Mac thirty seven and twenty one. He's 0:17:56.320 --> 0:17:59.359 their best player there. Van Noy sixteen and thirteen and 0:17:59.359 --> 0:18:01.760 then the Morgan box again very good values signing twenty 0:18:01.840 --> 0:18:04.520 nine pressures and thirteen run stops. If Mac is against 0:18:04.560 --> 0:18:07.359 Torn Armstead, that's as good as it gets. Good on good. 0:18:07.600 --> 0:18:09.920 They move those guys around a lot, and Morgan Fox 0:18:09.960 --> 0:18:11.600 is Honestly, it's sort of the catalysts and how he 0:18:11.640 --> 0:18:14.760 plays his size and ability to move people really just 0:18:14.800 --> 0:18:18.359 with his bul rushing and physical prowess helps the rush games, 0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:20.320 and by his pressure numbers you can see that he's 0:18:20.359 --> 0:18:23.240 having success in that department as well. We've got to deal. 0:18:23.520 --> 0:18:24.960 We've got to be able to deal with Kyle van 0:18:24.960 --> 0:18:27.240 Noy one on one. His past rush tank isn't what 0:18:27.280 --> 0:18:28.800 it used to be, and you can get him in 0:18:28.840 --> 0:18:30.800 coverage as well. He's a gotta target in this game. 0:18:30.880 --> 0:18:32.520 As much as I love Van Noy's game for a 0:18:32.520 --> 0:18:34.240 long time, it's been a bit of a step back 0:18:34.280 --> 0:18:37.360 this season here with the Chargers inside, Sebastian Joseph Day 0:18:37.400 --> 0:18:40.360 is the key. He plays about sevent of the snaps 0:18:40.560 --> 0:18:42.840 and with how wide their splits are between nose and 0:18:42.840 --> 0:18:45.040 like a frequently used four technique where you kind of 0:18:45.040 --> 0:18:47.199 have two gaps in there and linebackers have to come 0:18:47.200 --> 0:18:49.640