1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,960 Speaker 1: Welcome to How the Money. I'm Joel and I am Att, 2 00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: and today we are talking prepping for a looming recession. 3 00:00:25,880 --> 00:00:28,320 Speaker 1: That's right, man, we are talking about what you should 4 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 1: do with a recession on the horizon. Could like the 5 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:35,599 Speaker 1: foreboding in my voice, the looming. Yeah, it's like you're 6 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 1: reading a kid's horse Boy. But so the prepping part 7 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 1: of it, it it makes me think back to recently we 8 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 1: talked with Nick Ma Julie and he talked a little 9 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:46,280 Speaker 1: bit about prepping. So he lives up in New York 10 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:48,560 Speaker 1: and as we're talking with him, he talked about keeping 11 00:00:48,560 --> 00:00:51,200 Speaker 1: some water on hand or like like a certain amount 12 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 1: of water like in his apartment, which is something I 13 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 1: guess I think I would do that. I guess if 14 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: I live there in New York City when there's you know, 15 00:00:57,840 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: like millions and millions of people packed into a very 16 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: very small geographic location, and then you have less room 17 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:04,760 Speaker 1: in your apartment to store. So you're like, what all 18 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:06,280 Speaker 1: that story? But you're right. He said he had a 19 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:10,959 Speaker 1: mask ahead of time when nobody else in New York. Yeah, 20 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:14,560 Speaker 1: So I'm like, man, respect like, major props to Nick 21 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:17,960 Speaker 1: for being slightly prepared. I mean, he's not like by 22 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:20,960 Speaker 1: any means an actual prepper where he's got meals or 23 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 1: anything like that. Like we don't even have I mean 24 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: we to know of we didn't get that far with him, 25 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:27,480 Speaker 1: but that's that's true. He's like in the walls, this 26 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 1: is where this is where I keep my zombe. You 27 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 1: want everyone to know where he keeps his can goods 28 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,959 Speaker 1: and all of his all of his gida. I could 29 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:37,520 Speaker 1: I think I've mentioned this before, but I feel like 30 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:40,039 Speaker 1: I could see himself getting into that a little bit. Um, 31 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:44,040 Speaker 1: not because I necessarily think it's something that's going to happen, 32 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:46,400 Speaker 1: but just because it seems kind of fun, you know, 33 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 1: just to be it's I mean, and we're gonna get 34 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 1: to this during this episode, but just to be able 35 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 1: to kind of flex your muscles a little bit and 36 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:54,680 Speaker 1: be like, Okay, if something were to happen, if it 37 00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 1: were all to potentially hit the fan, I would be prepared. Uh. 38 00:01:58,400 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna talk about when it comes to 39 00:01:59,880 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: a me not necessarily that everything is about completely good 40 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:05,680 Speaker 1: own hill, but that if it were to happen that 41 00:02:05,760 --> 00:02:08,520 Speaker 1: you would absolutely be prepared. That's what we're talking about today, 42 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 1: and specifically Joel's gonna give his take on as to 43 00:02:11,720 --> 00:02:14,120 Speaker 1: exactly when the recession is, it's gonna start, when it's 44 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:15,799 Speaker 1: gonna end. I'm gonna give you I've got my crystal 45 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:18,840 Speaker 1: ball out here, and i will give my predictions. Well no, 46 00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 1: but there are a lot of people who are giving 47 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: their predictions right right now, Mattain, and so I made 48 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:25,119 Speaker 1: us want to actually talk about this today because if 49 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 1: you read pay attention, if you read newspapers, if you 50 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:30,200 Speaker 1: are on Twitter or whatever, you've probably seen the R 51 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 1: words start popping up in your feed and you're like, uh, 52 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:35,400 Speaker 1: when where what? Huh? I thought things were going well 53 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: and with the economy, So what the heck are we 54 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: talking about a recession for? Well, we'll get into that 55 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:41,679 Speaker 1: in this episode. That's right, man. So we'll get to 56 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 1: all that here later on. But first, a quick little 57 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 1: story to share with listeners and our family. We are 58 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 1: looking at a new house, uh, and specifically we so 59 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 1: we put an offer in on this house. It got accepted, 60 00:02:52,600 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 1: So that means work technically under contract now at this 61 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:57,560 Speaker 1: point a feat in today's market, that islation. That is 62 00:02:57,639 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 1: very true. Um, However, here's where things gets sticky. That 63 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 1: thing didn't fully a praise, which is also not surprising 64 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 1: given you know the rapid increase in home prices that 65 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 1: we've seen here in Atlanta over the past year. We've 66 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 1: seen an average increase of twenty percent. Likely this particular 67 00:03:12,120 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 1: house has seen somewhat less of that. But regardless, it 68 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 1: didn't fully a praise, which means, you know where I'm 69 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:21,959 Speaker 1: gonna go with this. There's a gap there that you 70 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 1: gotta that you gotta come to the table more money exactly. Yeah, 71 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:27,280 Speaker 1: there's a gap between the twenty percent that I was 72 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:30,040 Speaker 1: that we were looking to put down, uh and what 73 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:32,040 Speaker 1: I have to put down now. So I thought we 74 00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 1: were gonna, you know, have to just come to the 75 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 1: table with a little bit more money. But then I 76 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 1: was talking with my lender and he specifically said that, hey, 77 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:39,960 Speaker 1: you could always consider p M I, and I was 78 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: just like, dude, private Morgan Insurance, not for me. Have 79 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: you listened to how the money that's for losers? Check 80 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 1: out my show? However, even though that's something that we 81 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:51,120 Speaker 1: wouldn't normally recommend, uh, this is a situation where I 82 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 1: realized that it could make sense because specifically it seemed 83 00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 1: like it was gonna make sense maybe for two reasons, 84 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 1: one of which I asked him to shop it around 85 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:00,640 Speaker 1: and he was able to find p m I that 86 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 1: was only going to cost sixty dollars a month, which 87 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 1: is pretty affordable. And then secondly, he said that they 88 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: would offer a lender credit, so they were going to 89 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:12,800 Speaker 1: chip in fift undred dollars towards closing costs, which that 90 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 1: would effectively pay for our p m I for two years. 91 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:19,120 Speaker 1: And so what that means is that at the end 92 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:21,599 Speaker 1: of that two years, then I'm gonna have to pay 93 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 1: for that p m I myself right basically out of 94 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 1: out of pocket. Uh, that's not a cost that has 95 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:29,600 Speaker 1: essentially kind of been subsidized. But by that point, there 96 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:32,200 Speaker 1: will be enough paid down on that balance to have 97 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:36,479 Speaker 1: reached that in equity threshold. And so in this case, 98 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:40,240 Speaker 1: I'm not necessarily even counting on the home appreciating even more. 99 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 1: It's just a matter of looking at the amortization schedule 100 00:04:43,320 --> 00:04:46,240 Speaker 1: and seeing that literally, like I think it's actually twenty 101 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 1: five months past when we might be set to purchase 102 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 1: the home, we will enter that territory. And so essentially 103 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 1: that means we're gonna be able to come to the 104 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:55,880 Speaker 1: table with a little bit less money. That's money that 105 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:58,479 Speaker 1: we will be able to continue to invest in the 106 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:01,000 Speaker 1: market or put towards other goals or other projects that 107 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 1: we might have in mind. So I wanted to share 108 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:05,479 Speaker 1: that because this is just one of those situations where 109 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:08,279 Speaker 1: the general rule of thumb like that we do often 110 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:10,800 Speaker 1: talk about here on the show doesn't necessarily apply. Yeah, 111 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:12,279 Speaker 1: it makes me think there are a lot of things 112 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 1: that we say on the show from time to time, 113 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 1: and we're we're talking to a wide range of people 114 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:18,360 Speaker 1: who are in a bunch of different circumstances, and we're 115 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:21,479 Speaker 1: giving our best advice, and that doesn't mean that that 116 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:25,320 Speaker 1: advice applies to every specific situation. It makes me think 117 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:28,120 Speaker 1: of we you know, we hate when people take out 118 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 1: loans for vehicles. Buying a new car and taking out 119 00:05:30,760 --> 00:05:33,359 Speaker 1: some sort of five six year loan. It's not ideal, 120 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:35,480 Speaker 1: and if it's an even longer loan, it's even worse. Right, 121 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:38,200 Speaker 1: But if you have the cash on hand to pay 122 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:40,520 Speaker 1: for that car and you can get a zero percent interest, right, well, 123 00:05:40,560 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 1: that that changes the game. That's basically like it's it's 124 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:44,960 Speaker 1: in my mind, is sort of like a credit card 125 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:48,159 Speaker 1: with a yearly statement, or like it's like, hey, this 126 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 1: statement doesn't actually hit for like two or three years, 127 00:05:51,160 --> 00:05:53,360 Speaker 1: and so our views are subject to change. We've recently 128 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:55,760 Speaker 1: talked about how our views have changed a little bit, 129 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:58,279 Speaker 1: at least when it comes to how those by now 130 00:05:58,400 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 1: pay later things work on on websites when you're checking out, 131 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 1: And the same is true for certain specific situations where 132 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 1: the numbers pan out differently than they normally do. So 133 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 1: p am I typically isn't sixty bucks a month. It's 134 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:11,320 Speaker 1: usually quite a bit more for most can be a 135 00:06:11,600 --> 00:06:14,120 Speaker 1: lot more, and not everyone gets offered a lender credit. Right, 136 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:16,600 Speaker 1: But if all the if it all lines up and 137 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:19,720 Speaker 1: the numbers make sense, then like a general piece of 138 00:06:19,760 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 1: advice that we do give, and like we would still give, 139 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:23,599 Speaker 1: we we don't we don't want you to pay an 140 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:26,640 Speaker 1: additional fee. Essentially, Like that's how I view p m I. 141 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:29,400 Speaker 1: It's just like man, even just the principle of it, 142 00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 1: I still don't like it. But at the end of 143 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 1: the day, when I look at the numbers, I'm saying 144 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:34,600 Speaker 1: to myself, oh, this actually makes a lot more sense 145 00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:37,320 Speaker 1: for me to go ahead and do this, even though 146 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: it's going to be difficult. I mean, I feel like 147 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:42,480 Speaker 1: I'm kind of confessing here on the podcast that I 148 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 1: will likely have p M I for the next couple 149 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 1: of years. I guess if we go through with buying 150 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:48,600 Speaker 1: this house the Scarlet letter, Matthew, that's what it feels like. 151 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:50,920 Speaker 1: But specifically, I'm willing to say that because at the 152 00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:53,160 Speaker 1: end of the day, what do the numbers show? And 153 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,599 Speaker 1: the numbers show that it makes sense for us to 154 00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:58,599 Speaker 1: go ahead and accept and eat this feed because essentially 155 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 1: it's getting paid for by the When I took out 156 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 1: a loan on my niece on Leaf, I felt like 157 00:07:02,480 --> 00:07:04,040 Speaker 1: a fraud. I was like, who am I? I've never 158 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 1: bought a new car, I've never had a car loan 159 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:08,480 Speaker 1: like I had, like some one of those existential moments, 160 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 1: like some cognitive business between what you've normally said but 161 00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 1: then versus what the reality is showing on the ground 162 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: with the number exactly. But when it comes down to it, 163 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 1: you gotta look at the numbers and you gotta look 164 00:07:17,920 --> 00:07:19,680 Speaker 1: at the reality, which is like, well, if you could 165 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: afford to buy that car anyway, and you can do 166 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 1: more productive things with that money than it's not a 167 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 1: bad idea. Yeah, it's exactly. You have to leave room 168 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 1: for that new once. So we have the money on 169 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: hand to where we could come to the table with 170 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 1: the full In this case, we're choosing not to similar 171 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 1: to just like you, like you could have paid cash 172 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 1: for that vehicle, but like you said, zero percent loan, 173 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:41,400 Speaker 1: Like that is something that is worth considering because okay, 174 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 1: what else could I do, especially to if you're going 175 00:07:43,160 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 1: to have that money set aside? Uh, you know, maybe 176 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 1: you're going to beef up your your reserves a little 177 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:49,560 Speaker 1: bit more, your emergency fund a little bit more. That 178 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 1: still keeps you in that strong position just in case 179 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 1: something were to happen that you could quickly eliminate that. 180 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 1: Oh the unique and quirky world of personal finance. There 181 00:07:57,240 --> 00:08:00,040 Speaker 1: are so many things to consider. But I'm glad you 182 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:01,960 Speaker 1: you shared one of those coqurks with us today because 183 00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:03,480 Speaker 1: it's something that I think we can we can all 184 00:08:03,520 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 1: learn from and apply to our personal situations. Absolutely. All right, 185 00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 1: let's move on. Let's mention the beer we're having on 186 00:08:08,040 --> 00:08:12,400 Speaker 1: today's episode. This one is called ironer all barish duncle. 187 00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:15,520 Speaker 1: I think I pronounced ever on. I might have mispronounced 188 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:17,800 Speaker 1: every single one of those words. Just now, No, you 189 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 1: got the Dunkle part right, Uh, well, this is a 190 00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:24,160 Speaker 1: Bavarian dark logger. We'll give our thoughts at the end 191 00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:27,240 Speaker 1: of the episode, but for now, Matt, we're talking prepping 192 00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:30,120 Speaker 1: for a looming recession. And when I was thinking about 193 00:08:30,160 --> 00:08:32,280 Speaker 1: this episode, I was, I was, I don't know. For 194 00:08:32,320 --> 00:08:34,720 Speaker 1: some reason, it made me think about backup actors. And 195 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:37,280 Speaker 1: I never actually really did any acting myself. Did you 196 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 1: Were you in the drama school place. I was not 197 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:42,080 Speaker 1: a drama kid. Okay, well, uh, it just made me 198 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 1: think that the person in that role, the person who 199 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:49,520 Speaker 1: is the backup actor, they have to they're the understudy, 200 00:08:49,559 --> 00:08:51,560 Speaker 1: and they have to be prepared like they were going 201 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:53,840 Speaker 1: to take the stage that night, right, like they're gonna 202 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 1: let's say they're preparing for the main role in like 203 00:08:56,880 --> 00:09:00,120 Speaker 1: a Shakespearean drama. You better prepare like you're actually you're 204 00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 1: going to be the person there on stage, even though 205 00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 1: the greater likelihood is that you're going to be sitting 206 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:09,720 Speaker 1: on the sidelines, right, And if you only halfway studied 207 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:11,679 Speaker 1: let's say the lines, so you didn't really put much 208 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 1: effort in at practice, then you're not going to be 209 00:09:14,080 --> 00:09:16,480 Speaker 1: ready to shine in case the lead actor gets sick. 210 00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:18,199 Speaker 1: Or injured. And so yeah, while there's a chance you 211 00:09:18,280 --> 00:09:20,480 Speaker 1: might never perform in front of a crowd on this 212 00:09:20,520 --> 00:09:23,520 Speaker 1: specific production, you better prepare like you're gonna be out 213 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:26,480 Speaker 1: there every single night four weeks to come. And so yeah, 214 00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:30,080 Speaker 1: I think of recession prepping the same way. You know, 215 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 1: are we gonna see a recession next year? Well, I 216 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 1: don't really know. There are predictions going around saying that 217 00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 1: we will, we might or might not when we see 218 00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:40,520 Speaker 1: one in the next five years, we could, um, But 219 00:09:40,559 --> 00:09:42,520 Speaker 1: whether we do or we don't, we still need to 220 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: prepare financially as though we're going to And just like 221 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:48,400 Speaker 1: that understudy, you want to make sure that you're ready 222 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 1: just in case, because yeah, flooding half your lines because 223 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:54,120 Speaker 1: you didn't prepare adequately, that sounds that sounds pretty stressful, exactly. Yeah. 224 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:56,200 Speaker 1: So the reason we're talking about this today again is 225 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:58,560 Speaker 1: because there's a good chance that you are hearing these rumblings, 226 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:00,280 Speaker 1: you know, these musings from the expert. It is out 227 00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:03,680 Speaker 1: there that we might be in for a bumpy economic ride. 228 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 1: I mean, not just the United States, the whole world 229 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:07,920 Speaker 1: just feeling this way. Deutsch Bank, they just put out 230 00:10:07,920 --> 00:10:10,800 Speaker 1: a warning that were likely to see a recession next year. 231 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:14,720 Speaker 1: In a recent Wall Street Journal survey of economists shows 232 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:18,080 Speaker 1: a massive upward trend in the number of folks who 233 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:21,240 Speaker 1: are predicting in upcoming recession. And it kind of reminds 234 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 1: me to you of the joke that economists have correctly 235 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:26,440 Speaker 1: predicted thirteen of the last four recession. If you call 236 00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:29,800 Speaker 1: them often enough, eventually you're gonna be right. Yeah, meaning that, 237 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:32,720 Speaker 1: like the R word, it just gets overused. Even still, 238 00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:35,319 Speaker 1: it is something worth talking about because one of the 239 00:10:35,360 --> 00:10:39,079 Speaker 1: current signs point directly to this possibility, and that's the 240 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:42,079 Speaker 1: inverting of the yield curve that happened recently. You might 241 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 1: have seen that in the financial headlines recently as well. 242 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:47,079 Speaker 1: UH and the FED it will continue to raise rates 243 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 1: in order to try and calm some of the inflation 244 00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:53,120 Speaker 1: we've been seeing. This adds more risk. But what is 245 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:54,800 Speaker 1: it that you need to do. That's what we're talking 246 00:10:54,800 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 1: about here today. We want to get granular on this topic. 247 00:10:57,640 --> 00:10:59,480 Speaker 1: We want to give some specific steps that you should 248 00:10:59,520 --> 00:11:01,839 Speaker 1: take in or to be prepared whether we enter a 249 00:11:01,840 --> 00:11:04,040 Speaker 1: recession territory in a month or maybe not even for 250 00:11:04,040 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 1: another decade. Who does that's right? So I think that 251 00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:10,679 Speaker 1: it's an important point to make, Matt that that we're 252 00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 1: not necessarily going into a recession. Right. There are all 253 00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:16,960 Speaker 1: these predictions, there are more headlines, there's more consensus around 254 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:19,160 Speaker 1: the idea that we might be closing in on a recession, 255 00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:21,200 Speaker 1: but it doesn't mean it does not guarantee that it's 256 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:23,600 Speaker 1: inevitable exactly, and so there's no need to freak out. 257 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:26,120 Speaker 1: That is not what this episode is trying to do 258 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:28,760 Speaker 1: is to get you to to freak out in stockpile 259 00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:31,360 Speaker 1: food for the next two years because you know, in 260 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 1: your root celler Nick mcjulie style, because he doesn't actually 261 00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:36,480 Speaker 1: do that. I think I gave him a hard time 262 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 1: on that episode too. I feel a little bad about that, 263 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:40,040 Speaker 1: but we had a good time. But yeah, while these 264 00:11:40,080 --> 00:11:42,800 Speaker 1: predictions are being thrown around like hotcakes, that's not that's 265 00:11:42,800 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 1: not really our jam. We're not going to make any 266 00:11:44,600 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 1: predictions here. We don't we don't know, we'll we'll claim uncertainty. 267 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:49,960 Speaker 1: But a friend of the show, former guest Morgan Housel, 268 00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:51,480 Speaker 1: he tweeted the other day and I thought this was 269 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:53,760 Speaker 1: just a brilliant way of saying he said, we're definitely 270 00:11:53,800 --> 00:11:56,120 Speaker 1: heading towards the recession. The only thing that's uncertain is 271 00:11:56,160 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 1: the timing, location, duration, magnitude, and policy response, and so 272 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 1: aside from all of those things, this will happen exactly. 273 00:12:04,679 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 1: So basically, yes, it will happen one of these days. 274 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:09,200 Speaker 1: It's just we don't know when, where, how it's going 275 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:11,440 Speaker 1: to come about. And it's still worth being prepared for 276 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 1: her because historically we do experience a recession every five 277 00:12:15,200 --> 00:12:17,800 Speaker 1: point nine years. And then that brings up the question, 278 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:19,600 Speaker 1: I guess, Matt, people like you've been using this word 279 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:22,000 Speaker 1: recession a lot now early on the show, what does 280 00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:24,040 Speaker 1: that mean? You know, we had to define terms when 281 00:12:24,040 --> 00:12:26,880 Speaker 1: we did crashes corrections in your Reaction episode, So let's 282 00:12:26,880 --> 00:12:29,120 Speaker 1: talk about that, because a recession is is when the 283 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:31,720 Speaker 1: economy hits a rough spot and stops growing and and 284 00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:34,320 Speaker 1: we're officially in recession territory when that happens for two 285 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 1: consecutive quarters or for six months total, and and you know, 286 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:39,719 Speaker 1: it's it's often that you don't know that you're in 287 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:41,960 Speaker 1: a recession in the middle of it. You you find 288 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:43,520 Speaker 1: out based on data at the end of it, and 289 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:46,679 Speaker 1: you can kind of extrapolate or assume or or predict, 290 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:49,240 Speaker 1: but it's hard to know really until the event is 291 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 1: actually is actually over. Yeah, you know, it's not unlike 292 00:12:51,480 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 1: someone trying to time the stock market, right, Like, so, 293 00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:55,800 Speaker 1: I remember having a conversation with a friend who is 294 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:59,080 Speaker 1: an investment advisor back in this is like yeah, nearly 295 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:02,079 Speaker 1: ten years ago, and after a couple of years of 296 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:05,200 Speaker 1: amazing growth, he was expecting for the market to significantly correct. 297 00:13:05,440 --> 00:13:07,720 Speaker 1: Like I don't specifically remember if he was saying that 298 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,240 Speaker 1: we should be expecting a bear market or anything like that, 299 00:13:10,280 --> 00:13:12,880 Speaker 1: but regardless, he was saying that he wasn't going to 300 00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:16,000 Speaker 1: be investing until things dropped back down. And you know, 301 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:19,280 Speaker 1: like maybe he was able to time the market perfectly 302 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:22,600 Speaker 1: back in steen when things corrected a little bit, when 303 00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:24,719 Speaker 1: the market was down like only about I think it 304 00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:27,160 Speaker 1: was about ten percent. But if you would have stopped 305 00:13:27,200 --> 00:13:30,160 Speaker 1: investing back in when when we were having this conversation, 306 00:13:30,200 --> 00:13:33,640 Speaker 1: you would have missed out on over growth during that period. 307 00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 1: You know, even if you had checked your you know, 308 00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 1: checked your your your rate of growth, uh, in the 309 00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:40,880 Speaker 1: midst of some of those little declines there. So like 310 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:42,400 Speaker 1: aside from that, you would have been up like thirty 311 00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:46,400 Speaker 1: and if you didn't even get in and you're still 312 00:13:46,400 --> 00:13:49,720 Speaker 1: waiting for that composing on on over, you know, like 313 00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:52,680 Speaker 1: hundreds of percents uh in in in growth. Uh And 314 00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:55,400 Speaker 1: so similar to the stock market, trying to time and 315 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:58,400 Speaker 1: to pinpoint exactly when a recession is about to hit 316 00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:01,080 Speaker 1: is a really difficult and ever, that's right. That's that's 317 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:04,760 Speaker 1: why you and I we don't want to prognosticate anything. One, 318 00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 1: we're not smart enough. And too, we don't think anybody 319 00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:09,760 Speaker 1: smart en run enough necessarily to do that. It's uh, 320 00:14:09,800 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 1: it's a fool's Errand but despite our inability to time 321 00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 1: a recession, in order to optimize things, we think that 322 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 1: folks should always treat their finances in a way that 323 00:14:18,880 --> 00:14:22,120 Speaker 1: that assumes that a recession could happen, and and you 324 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:25,280 Speaker 1: gotta treat it with respect. That's right. You gotta know that. Uh, 325 00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:28,640 Speaker 1: you make hay while the sunshines, right, realizing that negative 326 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:31,240 Speaker 1: things have the potential to arise in the future. And 327 00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:34,640 Speaker 1: that's because it's not just broad economic trends that impact 328 00:14:34,680 --> 00:14:38,000 Speaker 1: our finances. Right, the the economy might even keep roaring along, 329 00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:40,800 Speaker 1: but you might still experience what we would call a 330 00:14:40,840 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 1: personal recession. You could fall on hard times health wise 331 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 1: in your own life or or your spous or or 332 00:14:46,880 --> 00:14:49,480 Speaker 1: partner has some health issues that arise and you have 333 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:51,280 Speaker 1: to take time off of work to help care for them, 334 00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:54,120 Speaker 1: um some steep medical bills that you have to pay for, 335 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 1: or your monthly expenses might dramatically increase or or even 336 00:14:57,240 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 1: matt take with with rents going up across the country, 337 00:15:00,560 --> 00:15:02,600 Speaker 1: someone might have a personal recession where their rent went 338 00:15:02,640 --> 00:15:05,080 Speaker 1: up two dollars a month and they weren't prepared for that, 339 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:06,280 Speaker 1: and so these are the kind of thing that you 340 00:15:06,280 --> 00:15:09,400 Speaker 1: can payment. Exactly, that's a big increase in your monthly expenses. 341 00:15:09,440 --> 00:15:11,160 Speaker 1: And so these are the kind of things that it's 342 00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 1: it's not just a macro level recession that can impact you. 343 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:15,880 Speaker 1: It's all these micro things that happened along the way. 344 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:19,040 Speaker 1: You could lose your job, you know, effectively eliminating the 345 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:21,920 Speaker 1: majority of your income altogether. And so basically, you know, 346 00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 1: a personal recession that specifically affects you and your family 347 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:27,680 Speaker 1: could come at any time. And you know, even if 348 00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:30,640 Speaker 1: the American economy continues to crush, continues to cruise along, 349 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:33,280 Speaker 1: even if wages are up, unemployment is low, it's wise 350 00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:35,640 Speaker 1: to be prepared in your own life, in your own 351 00:15:35,680 --> 00:15:38,680 Speaker 1: family to make sure your personal finances already for whatever comes. 352 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:41,320 Speaker 1: That's right, But the question still remains, what should you 353 00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:44,480 Speaker 1: be doing in what ways should you be preparing for 354 00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 1: an upcoming recession, whether it happens in the next year 355 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 1: or the next ten years. We will get to all 356 00:15:49,720 --> 00:16:00,760 Speaker 1: of that right after this break. All right, we're back. 357 00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:04,120 Speaker 1: We're still talking about processions and the possibility that one 358 00:16:04,160 --> 00:16:06,440 Speaker 1: comes in the near future. There's a chance, there's a chance, 359 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 1: there's a definite chance. And it's like it's sort of like, hey, 360 00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 1: you're gonna die. It's like, oh my gosh, well, yeah, 361 00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:14,160 Speaker 1: I guess we all die eventually, right, Like it will 362 00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 1: happen at some point. We don't know when, we don't 363 00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 1: know how. Yeah, And we still want you to get 364 00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:21,400 Speaker 1: term life in church just in case, because even if 365 00:16:21,520 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 1: you're thirty two and you know, the actual aerial tables 366 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:30,240 Speaker 1: show and your current health standing shows that there's a 367 00:16:30,280 --> 00:16:32,720 Speaker 1: really it's a really really low percent unlikely. Yeah, it 368 00:16:32,760 --> 00:16:35,560 Speaker 1: will still happen, exactly, and so it's still still wants 369 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:37,720 Speaker 1: to prepare for it. So life in church would be yeah, 370 00:16:37,760 --> 00:16:40,080 Speaker 1: I think a similar sort of thing. And and there 371 00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:42,680 Speaker 1: is good news here, Matt. Before if we do enter 372 00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 1: recession territory. Fortunately, the American consumer, the American individual is 373 00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:51,000 Speaker 1: kind of in good standing financially. Overall, Americans are sitting 374 00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 1: pretty in a lot of ways. One is just to 375 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 1: say I have more cash on hand. Some estimates show 376 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:57,120 Speaker 1: that we've got two and a half trillion dollars in 377 00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 1: excess savings trillion with the T. Yeah, that's a lot 378 00:16:59,640 --> 00:17:02,840 Speaker 1: that bill and trillion that has been built up during 379 00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:05,760 Speaker 1: the pandemic thanks to stimulus payments and UH and just 380 00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:09,080 Speaker 1: people banking more of the money that comes in, and 381 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:12,120 Speaker 1: so saving sabit's really changed quite a bit during the pandemic, 382 00:17:12,520 --> 00:17:16,240 Speaker 1: which makes sense understandably. So the normal savings right in 383 00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:19,160 Speaker 1: the US, it's typically pitifully small, and so it's good 384 00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:21,159 Speaker 1: to see a little bit of a change in in 385 00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:24,320 Speaker 1: the savings direction. But for the time being, everyone it 386 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:26,360 Speaker 1: seems to be keeping that money stocked away. And then 387 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:29,239 Speaker 1: this bodes well for individuals and families. If you know, 388 00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:31,719 Speaker 1: an overall macro recession hits, or if a micro recession 389 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:34,880 Speaker 1: hits in your life, having cash on hand is key. 390 00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:37,000 Speaker 1: And it's good to know that if a storm does 391 00:17:37,080 --> 00:17:39,359 Speaker 1: kind of pop up on the horizon recession wise, that 392 00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:41,879 Speaker 1: people are mostly prepared, they got their umbrella out. For 393 00:17:41,920 --> 00:17:43,920 Speaker 1: a second, I thought you're gonna say, having cash on 394 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:47,240 Speaker 1: hand is king. They're gonna say king, which I don't 395 00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:49,840 Speaker 1: think that's something we've ever said. King. Cash is king 396 00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:54,240 Speaker 1: because cash is helpful. Cash is helpful, and sometimes, depending 397 00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:55,919 Speaker 1: on what you've got going on, having more cash on 398 00:17:56,000 --> 00:18:00,199 Speaker 1: hand is smart. But a lot of times oftentimes, uh, 399 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,160 Speaker 1: it seems that folks, you know, they've got too much 400 00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:04,119 Speaker 1: cash on hand and they're not investing those dollars. It 401 00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:06,280 Speaker 1: kind of just depends who you're talking to. But I 402 00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:09,520 Speaker 1: thought you're gonna say cash is king. But I mean, essentially, 403 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,280 Speaker 1: like we're talking about some of the different reasons why 404 00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:15,280 Speaker 1: you shouldn't be worried about a recession, uh that might 405 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:17,760 Speaker 1: be looming on the horizon. And and another one of 406 00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 1: those reasons, Joel, you just mentioned cash on hand, But 407 00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:23,160 Speaker 1: another reason too is that the unemployment rate it's almost 408 00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 1: at three and a half percent, which is essentially a 409 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:28,880 Speaker 1: fifty year low. Uh. There are still roughly about two 410 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:31,480 Speaker 1: jobs out there for everyone who is looking for a job. 411 00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:34,239 Speaker 1: And so yeah, you know, while the labor market it's 412 00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:37,360 Speaker 1: not perfect, it's kind of been a bright spot economically, 413 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:40,000 Speaker 1: and it's become easier for for a lot of folks 414 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:42,480 Speaker 1: to bounce to another job in order to earn more money, 415 00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:44,880 Speaker 1: or you know, even just to ask for a more 416 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 1: meaningful raise from their their current employer. At the very least, 417 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:51,119 Speaker 1: it means that most Americans can continue to count on 418 00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 1: a steady paycheck and obviously having that regular income it's 419 00:18:54,600 --> 00:18:57,640 Speaker 1: always a great thing, regardless if there's a recession coming 420 00:18:57,720 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 1: or not. Yeah, So, even if the economy cools off, 421 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:02,480 Speaker 1: it's well, maybe there's just one job opening for every 422 00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:04,959 Speaker 1: individual looking for a job. And so the economy has 423 00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:07,560 Speaker 1: been running so well that just a slowdown that we 424 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:10,560 Speaker 1: might experience might not even indicate a recession. It might 425 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:14,520 Speaker 1: just be indicate maybe a return to normal. Yeah. So 426 00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:17,679 Speaker 1: in another bright spot, mattes consumer demand. Right, So, you know, 427 00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:20,040 Speaker 1: one of the natural outcomes of lots of cash on 428 00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:21,560 Speaker 1: hand that I talked about just a minute ago and 429 00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:24,120 Speaker 1: more cash flowing into people's bank accounts, flowing into their 430 00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:26,119 Speaker 1: lives is is a willingness to spend more of the 431 00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 1: money that they've got in That demand is still hot 432 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:32,040 Speaker 1: for so many items. We're talking about houses, cars, travel, 433 00:19:32,560 --> 00:19:34,840 Speaker 1: you know, all of the demand in those sectors points 434 00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:36,800 Speaker 1: to the fact that demand is intense and and we're 435 00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:39,879 Speaker 1: not seeing signs of consumers curving their spending in in 436 00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:42,600 Speaker 1: big ways, not yet at least, And so in part 437 00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 1: this consumer demand we're seeing, it's this pent up demand 438 00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:48,600 Speaker 1: that's you know, finally able to be quenched because COVID 439 00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:50,960 Speaker 1: has dropped off a cliff and and travel for instance, 440 00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:53,399 Speaker 1: right this is an area that we we literally weren't 441 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:56,439 Speaker 1: able to spend on uh most of the past two years, 442 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:58,480 Speaker 1: and and so folks are itching to get back out there. 443 00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 1: They're spending their dollars that have been sitting idle in 444 00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:03,600 Speaker 1: savings accounts, and so I think there is a right 445 00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:06,000 Speaker 1: spot here that people have the cash on hand and 446 00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:08,240 Speaker 1: they are saving it, but they're also willing to spend 447 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:10,159 Speaker 1: on things that matter to them, and I think that 448 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:12,680 Speaker 1: bodes well for businesses right who are looking to hire 449 00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,600 Speaker 1: and the economy in general. The fact that there are dollars, 450 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:18,560 Speaker 1: that there is a thriving marketplace, that that people are 451 00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:22,080 Speaker 1: engaged in. The average American consumer has a significant amount 452 00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:24,520 Speaker 1: of optimism right now. Yeah, certainly seems like it's a 453 00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:27,080 Speaker 1: symptom that points to the health and the confidence that 454 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:31,320 Speaker 1: folks have with their financial situation. So we've highlighted the 455 00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:33,360 Speaker 1: strength of the economy, you know, the fact that things 456 00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:36,200 Speaker 1: are getting back to normal. Jobs are plentiful, spending is strong. 457 00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:38,960 Speaker 1: Let's talk about recessions and what it is that you 458 00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:41,520 Speaker 1: should be doing right now. Uh. You know, because of 459 00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:44,720 Speaker 1: the Fed's attempt to rain in inflation, we could see 460 00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:47,480 Speaker 1: slower growth, which which could halt this recovery that we're seeing. 461 00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 1: And so even though it remains anyone's guests as to 462 00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:53,360 Speaker 1: you know, what will actually happen and when that thing 463 00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 1: will happen, it's important to talk about what you should 464 00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:58,359 Speaker 1: be doing in order to prepare for a recession. So 465 00:20:58,400 --> 00:20:59,960 Speaker 1: the first thing that we want to talk about is 466 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:03,240 Speaker 1: shoring up your income. Specifically, we want you to firm 467 00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:05,880 Speaker 1: up your your position at your current job. So whether 468 00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:08,359 Speaker 1: that means you are working from home, whether you're working 469 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:11,119 Speaker 1: in person, you want to make yourself indispensable. You know, 470 00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:13,600 Speaker 1: if you feel like you're maybe a little off your 471 00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:16,480 Speaker 1: boss's radar, it's worth scheduling a chat to make sure 472 00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 1: that that you're living up to expectations, maybe even seeing hey, 473 00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:21,800 Speaker 1: what else could I take on? Like just kind of 474 00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:23,320 Speaker 1: getting on the radar seeing how it is that you 475 00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:25,240 Speaker 1: can step up, how you can take a lead in 476 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:28,480 Speaker 1: in future projects, because if a recession does come along 477 00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:30,359 Speaker 1: and you happen to work in an industry that gets 478 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:32,680 Speaker 1: hit hard, you want to be like the last person 479 00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:34,399 Speaker 1: on the chopping block, right like like you want to 480 00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:36,240 Speaker 1: be the person where that she's like, well, certainly, like 481 00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:38,040 Speaker 1: I can't get rid of Joel because of you know, 482 00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:42,640 Speaker 1: like Joel does this instead because he's really tall. Yeah, okay, 483 00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:44,240 Speaker 1: he's gonna reach the toilet paper in the break room 484 00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:48,400 Speaker 1: to exactly. That's what I'm good for. Yeah, you got 485 00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:50,960 Speaker 1: you gotta keep all those things in Mike. But um, yeah, 486 00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:53,120 Speaker 1: I think firming up your current job, matt Is makes 487 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,840 Speaker 1: a lot of sense. Making yourself indispensable. That's good advice. 488 00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:58,920 Speaker 1: And then another thing to do is is to try 489 00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:00,680 Speaker 1: to get a raise, um, to try to make more 490 00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:02,960 Speaker 1: money now so you can be banking more money in 491 00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:05,320 Speaker 1: the months ahead. And you know, I know that lots 492 00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:07,439 Speaker 1: of folks wish that pay bumps were just equal across 493 00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:09,200 Speaker 1: the board, that you didn't have to fight to get 494 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:11,320 Speaker 1: more money, that it was just kind of standard um 495 00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:13,400 Speaker 1: cost of living bumps plus a little more on top 496 00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:16,080 Speaker 1: of it. But the truth is that that's not the case, 497 00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:19,080 Speaker 1: and and the squeaky wheel gets the grease. And I'm 498 00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 1: not saying that you should wine and complain or pester 499 00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:22,960 Speaker 1: your boss for a raise, Like there's a way to 500 00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:24,800 Speaker 1: do this, and then there's a way that's going to 501 00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:28,239 Speaker 1: end up in you becoming actually the dispensable person at 502 00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:30,719 Speaker 1: your job by being too much of a complainer, but 503 00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:33,600 Speaker 1: pointing out the value that you're bringing to the table 504 00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:37,440 Speaker 1: and equating that to a reasonable increase in salary. It's 505 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:39,720 Speaker 1: crucial to make sure that you're not leaving money on 506 00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:43,640 Speaker 1: the table, especially in this environment where employees are incredibly valuable, 507 00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:47,439 Speaker 1: where the labor market is offering a premium for workers 508 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:49,879 Speaker 1: who fight for themselves, who speak up for themselves, this 509 00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:52,040 Speaker 1: is a great time to increase the amount of money 510 00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:54,160 Speaker 1: that you're making this right, Yeah, So, like the way 511 00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,040 Speaker 1: I like to view the world, or that I naturally 512 00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:58,399 Speaker 1: view the world is I agree, Like I feel like 513 00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 1: you shouldn't have to be this week wheel, right because 514 00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:03,800 Speaker 1: in like the perfect world, markets are like perfectly efficient, 515 00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:07,480 Speaker 1: people would recognize your accomplishments and reward you commensurate exactly, 516 00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:09,600 Speaker 1: So if like Hey, you are bringing more value to 517 00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:11,560 Speaker 1: your your boss or to your company, there should be 518 00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:14,720 Speaker 1: a perfect and equivalent rays to your salary. But the 519 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 1: fact is that's just not how the world actually works. 520 00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 1: Like it does make me think of the efficient market 521 00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:23,560 Speaker 1: hypothesis where it's just like all data is available and 522 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:26,280 Speaker 1: with the given data that more production is now happening 523 00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:29,400 Speaker 1: at X company, you should see a proper a proper race. 524 00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:32,000 Speaker 1: But the fact is you also have your boss or 525 00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:34,240 Speaker 1: your manager, because what they're trying to do is create 526 00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:36,840 Speaker 1: as an efficient of a company as possible as well. 527 00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:40,200 Speaker 1: And if they can keep you happy while keeping expenses low, 528 00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:42,760 Speaker 1: well then they win or not, you know, they don't win, 529 00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:44,680 Speaker 1: but like that then they're they're the ones doing a 530 00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:47,199 Speaker 1: really good job. And so I guess all that to say, 531 00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:50,160 Speaker 1: you do have to advocate for yourself and whether that's 532 00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:52,160 Speaker 1: you know, just being the squeaky wheel or finding other 533 00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,080 Speaker 1: ways to to kind of step up, that's what we 534 00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:55,920 Speaker 1: want to see folks do. Yeah, And so I think 535 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:57,919 Speaker 1: one one other thing when it comes to income, mac 536 00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:00,560 Speaker 1: because the first tip you mentioned was sure your income, 537 00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:03,199 Speaker 1: and I think another way to do that is to 538 00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:06,280 Speaker 1: diversify your income. So if we're talking about a recession 539 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:09,560 Speaker 1: on the horizon, or or even the possibility of you 540 00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 1: having a personal recession in your life. It's important to 541 00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:13,720 Speaker 1: make sure that not all of your money is coming 542 00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,000 Speaker 1: from one place. You know, one of our listeners they 543 00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:19,080 Speaker 1: recently sent us a message, um And and she said 544 00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:22,520 Speaker 1: that she's trying to actively monetize her hobbies right now, 545 00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:24,520 Speaker 1: if only to cut down on the costs of the 546 00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:26,840 Speaker 1: things that she loves to do. And I loved hearing 547 00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:29,640 Speaker 1: that mindset, Matt, that she's like she's even thinking about 548 00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,879 Speaker 1: in in just some of those hot hobby pursuits, that 549 00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:35,359 Speaker 1: she's like trying to make sure that she's not spending 550 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,399 Speaker 1: too much or that she's at least breaking even. But 551 00:24:37,520 --> 00:24:40,160 Speaker 1: having having those multiple streams of income is so helpful 552 00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:43,879 Speaker 1: when the economy is starting to contract. Like it always 553 00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:46,120 Speaker 1: sucks to lose your job, but it's way worse if 554 00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:47,800 Speaker 1: that's the only income you have, right if you don't 555 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:51,560 Speaker 1: have any other methods of making income, making money at 556 00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:54,080 Speaker 1: your disposal, if you are a one trick pony when 557 00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:56,120 Speaker 1: it comes to income, If if it literally only comes 558 00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:58,359 Speaker 1: from one place and that's your your w two job, 559 00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:01,520 Speaker 1: then we would say start thinking about that now, finding 560 00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:04,840 Speaker 1: other ways to not only save money, but potentially diversify 561 00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:07,120 Speaker 1: the way money comes into your life. That's a that's 562 00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:09,800 Speaker 1: a smart way to prepare for a recession. Absolutely, man. 563 00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:12,000 Speaker 1: That is why we're such huge fans of real estate. 564 00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:13,560 Speaker 1: We're not going to be the ones here that tells 565 00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:16,080 Speaker 1: you that you know small you know real estate investing, 566 00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:18,560 Speaker 1: that it's a purely passive endeavor. It does take a 567 00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:21,159 Speaker 1: little bit, a little bit of time, but way less 568 00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,439 Speaker 1: than anything else out there. And so this is one 569 00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:25,359 Speaker 1: of those areas where as you ramp up the amount 570 00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:27,520 Speaker 1: of capital, the amount of money that you're able to 571 00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:30,440 Speaker 1: put towards a side hustle, the less time that you're 572 00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:32,919 Speaker 1: having to to dedicate towards. I see it as like 573 00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:35,639 Speaker 1: the sliding scale. Like initially, a lot of times, like 574 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:38,280 Speaker 1: the thing that is available to anybody, it oftentimes requires 575 00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:40,399 Speaker 1: the most amount of time, right uh, And oftentimes it 576 00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:42,800 Speaker 1: doesn't require much money because there's a lot more folks 577 00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:44,760 Speaker 1: out there who have time than money. But then as 578 00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:47,280 Speaker 1: you kind of progress down that scale, the amount of 579 00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:49,680 Speaker 1: money that is going to be required of you increases, 580 00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:53,200 Speaker 1: and the amount of time can oftentimes be reduced. Ultimately, 581 00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:55,920 Speaker 1: you end up with just passively investing that money in 582 00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:58,399 Speaker 1: the market, which literally requires no time. It's just a 583 00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:01,080 Speaker 1: matter of getting that money in that investment and then 584 00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:03,119 Speaker 1: just seeing it grow from there. But obviously to to 585 00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:05,119 Speaker 1: be able to live off of that it requires a 586 00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:07,520 Speaker 1: lot more money. But so, you know, we're talking about 587 00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:09,360 Speaker 1: what to do during recession, and we kind of talked 588 00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:11,760 Speaker 1: about from the different ways that you can make sure 589 00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:15,120 Speaker 1: that you still have money flowing into your life. Let's 590 00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:17,680 Speaker 1: talk about your expenses, because when you are able to 591 00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 1: cut down your expenses, then you can keep money from 592 00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:23,399 Speaker 1: flowing out of your life, right And specifically, I want 593 00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:26,680 Speaker 1: to talk about holding off on some big purchases. And 594 00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:29,240 Speaker 1: so whether you know, we're talking about an expensive month 595 00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:32,760 Speaker 1: long European vocation, maybe if you're maybe you're really fancy 596 00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:35,480 Speaker 1: and you're thinking about buying a second home like either way, 597 00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:38,760 Speaker 1: making a big splash purchase like this that depletes your reserves, 598 00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,679 Speaker 1: it's it's not wise if you're worried that recession might 599 00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:44,880 Speaker 1: be on the horizon. Uh, And regardless of what's going 600 00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:46,800 Speaker 1: on with the economy, these are the types of expenses 601 00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:48,679 Speaker 1: that you want to make sure that you've carefully planned 602 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:52,080 Speaker 1: for and that you've performed your due diligence right not 603 00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:54,440 Speaker 1: only to make sure that you're getting the best deal possible, 604 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:55,919 Speaker 1: but also to make sure that this is an expense 605 00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:58,160 Speaker 1: that you can easily stomach. You want to be able 606 00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:02,000 Speaker 1: to absorb these types of expenses in in good or 607 00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:04,560 Speaker 1: in bad, in lean times or in fat times. Yeah. 608 00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:07,119 Speaker 1: I don't think we're saying cancel that plan vacation that 609 00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:09,480 Speaker 1: you have, but think, think long and hard, like do 610 00:27:09,560 --> 00:27:12,320 Speaker 1: you actually have the expendable income to take it? Yeah? 611 00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:14,080 Speaker 1: I mean it shouldn't push you to the brink, but 612 00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:16,600 Speaker 1: like your financials shouldn't be like just dangling by a 613 00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 1: thread were YouTube, you know, go forward with whatever it 614 00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:20,680 Speaker 1: is that you're thinking about. If you're taking money out 615 00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:22,320 Speaker 1: of your home equity line of credit or put it 616 00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:24,119 Speaker 1: on your credit card to pay for it, that's a 617 00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:26,679 Speaker 1: scary sign. And so we would say back away and 618 00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:29,400 Speaker 1: wait to take a vacation until you you can keep 619 00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 1: your emergency fund intact until you can you know, pay 620 00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,280 Speaker 1: pay for it with cash on hand. And you know, 621 00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 1: another another thing when it comes down to cutting down expenses, 622 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:39,159 Speaker 1: Matt is is to save more on the little stuff. 623 00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:41,359 Speaker 1: And it's funny. I'm kind of the guy who prefers 624 00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:43,240 Speaker 1: to get the big things right and then not really 625 00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:45,480 Speaker 1: sweat the small stuff. That's kind of my vibe. Um. 626 00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:47,879 Speaker 1: You know. For instance, we we only have one super 627 00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:50,640 Speaker 1: old car, and that means my transportation expenses are so low. 628 00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:53,080 Speaker 1: It allows me not have to not have to fixate 629 00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:54,720 Speaker 1: on the smaller things. And I'd like to live life 630 00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:58,399 Speaker 1: that way, because otherwise I would be constantly worried about, 631 00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:01,280 Speaker 1: you know, how much I'm spending with every single grocery 632 00:28:01,280 --> 00:28:03,359 Speaker 1: store trip, or whether I can afford that additional item 633 00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:05,679 Speaker 1: I want to put in my card. But it doesn't 634 00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:09,400 Speaker 1: mean that those small expenses don't matter. And so yeah, 635 00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,719 Speaker 1: if you have trouble with some of those small expenses 636 00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:14,080 Speaker 1: and you want to get back to focusing on them 637 00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:15,879 Speaker 1: a little bit better, there's this app that I was 638 00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:18,080 Speaker 1: recently made aware of called the flip app f L 639 00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:20,280 Speaker 1: I P P. Will link to it in the show notes, 640 00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:23,480 Speaker 1: And so it helps you see all the retailer flyers 641 00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:25,840 Speaker 1: in one place for that week, so that can help 642 00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:28,439 Speaker 1: you maybe make better grocery lists, shop the sales so 643 00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,200 Speaker 1: that you're not overspending on the little things. So you're 644 00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:34,119 Speaker 1: doing a better job planning out your budget. Specifically at 645 00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:36,480 Speaker 1: the grocery store, it's help with that, but there's flyers 646 00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:38,960 Speaker 1: to other businesses too, But being able to see that 647 00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:40,640 Speaker 1: and all in one place can help you make make 648 00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:43,440 Speaker 1: better plans. And really, when it comes down to it, yeah, 649 00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:46,440 Speaker 1: those small things do add up. So finding little ways 650 00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:49,360 Speaker 1: to save more at places that you shop regularly, we 651 00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:51,120 Speaker 1: would say, makes a lot of sense. Nice man, I 652 00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:53,040 Speaker 1: don't think we've ever heard of that one. Another way 653 00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:57,600 Speaker 1: that we can often hemorrhage money, UH is through debt payments. 654 00:28:57,760 --> 00:29:00,640 Speaker 1: And currently Americans say that they are going into more 655 00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:03,840 Speaker 1: debt than ever to pay for higher costs due to inflation. 656 00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:05,680 Speaker 1: And so we want to encourage folks to do your 657 00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:07,520 Speaker 1: best to only carry what what a lot of folks 658 00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:11,160 Speaker 1: will call good debts. Any debt is inherently bad, right 659 00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:14,680 Speaker 1: because you're having to pay interest to a lender. But 660 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:17,840 Speaker 1: there are certain expenses where it makes more sense, you know, 661 00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:19,880 Speaker 1: depending on what you're able to do without money, that 662 00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:22,800 Speaker 1: that you then free up. Specifically we're talking about like 663 00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:27,040 Speaker 1: a mortgage, uh, student loans, but not too many student loans. 664 00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:30,000 Speaker 1: I think that's a slippery slote for a lot of folks. 665 00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:33,000 Speaker 1: But if you have debt, uh specifically with a variable 666 00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:36,160 Speaker 1: interest rate, it's really important to start paying special attention 667 00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:38,680 Speaker 1: to those credit cards. They're often the biggest culprits here. 668 00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:41,360 Speaker 1: But the rate on your helock, your home equity line 669 00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:44,720 Speaker 1: of credit, it's gonna be heading north as well. But 670 00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,240 Speaker 1: we should be looking to pair back on the number 671 00:29:47,280 --> 00:29:50,080 Speaker 1: of you know, of these different debt obligations that we 672 00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 1: have now before recession hits, paying off debt it's almost 673 00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:57,080 Speaker 1: never a bad move, but with a recession potentially looming, 674 00:29:57,200 --> 00:30:00,280 Speaker 1: it makes even more sense now. Yeah, the one yeah, 675 00:30:00,280 --> 00:30:02,120 Speaker 1: I think I would say is just a low interest 676 00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:05,400 Speaker 1: rate mortgage and keeping more cash on hand just provides 677 00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,320 Speaker 1: you maybe more security, especially with inflation doing what it's 678 00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:11,280 Speaker 1: doing now, putting more money towards that three percent mortgage 679 00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:14,040 Speaker 1: makes very little sense. But for the most part, we're 680 00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:16,440 Speaker 1: not big fans of paying off your mortgage. If that's 681 00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:18,840 Speaker 1: something that especially that if you've acquired in the past 682 00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:21,280 Speaker 1: three years, or if you've refinanced in the past three years, 683 00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:25,000 Speaker 1: it's right, yeah, because it's still just incredibly low. And yeah, 684 00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:27,920 Speaker 1: you're you're actually not in a bad position given the 685 00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:29,360 Speaker 1: rate of inflation. That we've got going on in the 686 00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:32,400 Speaker 1: country right now. But it's those other debts you're right, Matt, like, 687 00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:35,800 Speaker 1: especially credit cards, hometically lines of credit. As those rates 688 00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,240 Speaker 1: go up, it's only going to make those debt payments 689 00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:40,440 Speaker 1: go up. And so getting on the ball now to 690 00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 1: start getting rid of your debt makes sense in advance 691 00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:45,480 Speaker 1: of a potential recession. And you know one other thing 692 00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:48,920 Speaker 1: that we would suggest everybody um do. It's like an exercise. 693 00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:51,000 Speaker 1: We would say that all how the Money Listeners should 694 00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,320 Speaker 1: have done is to create a bare bones budget. And 695 00:30:53,360 --> 00:30:58,760 Speaker 1: we've talked about that in depth actually back in episode two. Uh, 696 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:01,720 Speaker 1: you don't necessarily need to when you do this, to 697 00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:04,200 Speaker 1: cut your spending to the bone right now, right because 698 00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,160 Speaker 1: you're not currently in an emergency like we're not currently 699 00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:11,040 Speaker 1: in a recession. You haven't actually lost your job, hopefully. 700 00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:13,120 Speaker 1: And here's the thing, it's it's it's never a terrible 701 00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:14,920 Speaker 1: idea to cut back here and there, even when things 702 00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:17,840 Speaker 1: are going good, in order to accelerate your your path 703 00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:20,400 Speaker 1: towards financial freedom, to increase your savings, right, to be 704 00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:22,280 Speaker 1: able to put a little bit more aside in your 705 00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:25,000 Speaker 1: wrath or your four oh on k. But but at least, 706 00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:27,800 Speaker 1: that act of creating a bare bones budget and knowing 707 00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:30,160 Speaker 1: that you can implement it in order to decrease your 708 00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:32,840 Speaker 1: expenses at a moment's notice is smart. I think it. 709 00:31:32,840 --> 00:31:34,800 Speaker 1: It's such a cool tool because you might say, my 710 00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:38,000 Speaker 1: month expenses right now are tht but this bare bones 711 00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:42,200 Speaker 1: budget says I can get by on And so to 712 00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:44,200 Speaker 1: know that at a moment's notice you can switch over 713 00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:46,080 Speaker 1: to this other budget and save nine dollars a month. 714 00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:48,720 Speaker 1: You can switch to eco mode. It's it's exactly, it's 715 00:31:48,760 --> 00:31:50,760 Speaker 1: it's like eco mode for your car. You can switch 716 00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:52,360 Speaker 1: over there, start saving gas and you know it's not 717 00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:54,280 Speaker 1: gonna be as punchy and stuff like that. And obviously 718 00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:56,360 Speaker 1: you don't want to necessarily move over to that bare 719 00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:59,120 Speaker 1: bones budget unless you have to. But having it just 720 00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:01,760 Speaker 1: the just having created it and knowing that you can 721 00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:03,960 Speaker 1: do it provides so much peace of mind and and 722 00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,360 Speaker 1: just then the ability to to be able to thrive 723 00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:09,120 Speaker 1: if if a recession does come along, instead of continue 724 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:12,000 Speaker 1: to struggle and finding ways to pare down then in 725 00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:14,040 Speaker 1: the heat of the moment. And so I know specifically 726 00:32:14,080 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 1: that when I said eco mode, I'm sure you're thinking 727 00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:18,080 Speaker 1: about like an electric vehicle, like an actual EV. But 728 00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:22,080 Speaker 1: did you know, like there's some actual internal combustion engine cars, uh, 729 00:32:22,120 --> 00:32:25,600 Speaker 1: ice vehicles that would sometimes run on fewer cylinders than 730 00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:27,600 Speaker 1: it would be like a V eight that could run 731 00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:30,960 Speaker 1: on like my six cylinders, my sister cylinders maybe has 732 00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:32,600 Speaker 1: something something like a real sort of eco mode. I 733 00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:35,239 Speaker 1: don't know if it actually takes a cylinder down. I'm 734 00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:38,040 Speaker 1: sure that's more like the transmission where it's like, yeah, 735 00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:41,080 Speaker 1: it's less sporty or whatever. But there were literal like 736 00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:43,200 Speaker 1: I think Cadillac back in the day, they had cars, 737 00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:45,560 Speaker 1: they had engines that on the highway you could switch 738 00:32:45,560 --> 00:32:47,360 Speaker 1: it over and it would it would literally shut down 739 00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:48,880 Speaker 1: some of the cylinders. And so it's kind of like 740 00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:53,000 Speaker 1: a bare bones super fuel efficient way. But that's kind 741 00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:54,560 Speaker 1: of what we're talking about here, doing you know, with 742 00:32:54,560 --> 00:32:56,200 Speaker 1: with your money, because once you've got it up to speed, 743 00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:57,920 Speaker 1: it's like you don't really easy, you're just kind of 744 00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:00,920 Speaker 1: you're cruising along, you're keeping it going. Get It reminds 745 00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:02,600 Speaker 1: me too, like it makes me think of working out. 746 00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:04,680 Speaker 1: And so if I'm working out, like do I need 747 00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:07,160 Speaker 1: to be able to squat like hundreds of pounds? No, 748 00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:10,800 Speaker 1: but I know that I'm now capable of doing that. 749 00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:14,040 Speaker 1: And that's what a bare bones budget does. It lets 750 00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,760 Speaker 1: you know what you're capable of when the situation arises 751 00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:18,640 Speaker 1: that I do need to like move some furniture or 752 00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:20,840 Speaker 1: something like that, I know what I'm capable of. Right, 753 00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:23,040 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be more prepared. I'm gonna be less likely 754 00:33:23,080 --> 00:33:26,000 Speaker 1: to hurt myself too. But that's what we're talking about 755 00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:28,120 Speaker 1: with the with the bare bones budget here. That's right, 756 00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:29,760 Speaker 1: all right, But we gotta still talk about what to 757 00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:32,120 Speaker 1: do with your investments. That's something that people people want 758 00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:34,200 Speaker 1: to know ahead of time too, is like, well, do 759 00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:36,400 Speaker 1: I need to change my my investing style? Do I 760 00:33:36,440 --> 00:33:39,480 Speaker 1: need to you know, reallocate some of my money before 761 00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:41,760 Speaker 1: or if a recession hits. We'll we'll talk about that 762 00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:53,600 Speaker 1: right after this. All right, we're back and we are. 763 00:33:53,720 --> 00:33:55,760 Speaker 1: Let's let's continue talking about what you're gonna do with 764 00:33:55,800 --> 00:33:58,520 Speaker 1: your money. We're a recession to hit. Until you asked 765 00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:00,560 Speaker 1: this question, you post this question, but right for the break, 766 00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:03,280 Speaker 1: but let's go ahead and answer it. Because regardless of 767 00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,520 Speaker 1: what state the economy is in, we're always going to 768 00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:09,120 Speaker 1: invest the exact same way that we would normally. That 769 00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:13,560 Speaker 1: is specifically and widely diversified low cost index funds. Instead 770 00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:17,520 Speaker 1: of changing your investment allocation because a recession seems likely, 771 00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:20,759 Speaker 1: we would rather you have the right investment allocation. Now, 772 00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:23,960 Speaker 1: it's a good idea to know how much risk tolerance 773 00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:27,440 Speaker 1: uh you are comfortable with before a recession hits, so 774 00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:29,319 Speaker 1: that you don't buy, so that you don't sell in 775 00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:31,040 Speaker 1: a way that locks in your losses to where you 776 00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:32,520 Speaker 1: end up losing a lot of money. It's kind of 777 00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:34,440 Speaker 1: like going to a theme park and you're like, I'm 778 00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:36,440 Speaker 1: not sure if I like upside down roller coasters or not, 779 00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:38,319 Speaker 1: but you sit on one anyway, and then you freak out. 780 00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:41,000 Speaker 1: It's better to know your risk tolerance before you get 781 00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:43,640 Speaker 1: strapped in, like they have to forcibly remove you from 782 00:34:43,680 --> 00:34:45,879 Speaker 1: the ride. Well now, for it's as if you wrote 783 00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:47,759 Speaker 1: the roller coaster and then you have the option to 784 00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:51,360 Speaker 1: unbuckle or like hit some sort of a jack button, 785 00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:54,160 Speaker 1: and surely that would be you know, when you're on 786 00:34:54,160 --> 00:34:55,920 Speaker 1: the loop de loop or whatever, that would be a 787 00:34:56,040 --> 00:34:59,400 Speaker 1: terrible time to bail from the roller coaster. It's luckily 788 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:01,640 Speaker 1: that's not that's something you're capable of doing. But you 789 00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:03,799 Speaker 1: can do that with your investments, and that's that's kind 790 00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:05,440 Speaker 1: of a terrible thing and a lot of people do 791 00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:07,799 Speaker 1: end up doing that because they didn't prepare properly on 792 00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:10,600 Speaker 1: the front end. Yeah, they're not properly strapped in. Uh. 793 00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:13,560 Speaker 1: It reminds me something that a famous investor, Peter Lynch. 794 00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:15,560 Speaker 1: He he once said this, and that is that more 795 00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:18,320 Speaker 1: money has been lost by folks preparing for a recession 796 00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:21,000 Speaker 1: assuming that it was coming soon, then it was actually 797 00:35:21,040 --> 00:35:23,600 Speaker 1: lost because of the recession itself. And man, we we 798 00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:26,440 Speaker 1: feel that he is totally spot on here. Truly. It's 799 00:35:26,480 --> 00:35:29,080 Speaker 1: thinking that we can outsmart or get timey right on 800 00:35:29,120 --> 00:35:32,279 Speaker 1: shifting things around. Those are the bigger things at risk here. 801 00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:35,319 Speaker 1: Then the recession itself, at least in regards to our 802 00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:37,719 Speaker 1: specific investment. Makes me think of the story you told 803 00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:39,879 Speaker 1: earlier about your friend and he's like, I'm gonna wait 804 00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:42,400 Speaker 1: until the market takes a dip, and it's like, cool, 805 00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:45,160 Speaker 1: you can try and maybe you'll be successful, but most 806 00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:46,719 Speaker 1: of the time you're not. And most of the time 807 00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:49,719 Speaker 1: people like you said, with that Peter Lynch quote, lose 808 00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:52,480 Speaker 1: money because they're trying to outsmart. And yeah, I mean 809 00:35:52,520 --> 00:35:54,440 Speaker 1: a recession, while it might happen next year, and we 810 00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:56,840 Speaker 1: might see a correction in the market. And that's not 811 00:35:56,920 --> 00:35:59,040 Speaker 1: a bad thing that it's a buying opportunity for long, 812 00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:02,239 Speaker 1: long term buying hold investors. It's still not something that 813 00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:05,640 Speaker 1: you can actively anticipate. You kind of gotta keep going 814 00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:09,359 Speaker 1: the course recession or not. You know, over the long haul, 815 00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:11,759 Speaker 1: the market tends to go up more than it goes down. 816 00:36:11,920 --> 00:36:13,960 Speaker 1: This so you should continue to buy. And you mentioned 817 00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:15,600 Speaker 1: the word risk there just now, Matt, and and I 818 00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:18,520 Speaker 1: think that's another important part of this when it comes 819 00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:21,480 Speaker 1: to our investing strategy, is is finding ways to eliminate 820 00:36:21,680 --> 00:36:25,239 Speaker 1: unnecessary risk. And and now is the perfect time to 821 00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:29,160 Speaker 1: rethink whether or not you want to consider investing, let's say, 822 00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:32,960 Speaker 1: into any more speculative assets. Were typically comfortable with no 823 00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:36,520 Speaker 1: more than five percent of your overall portfolio in your 824 00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:40,080 Speaker 1: favorite company stock or uh, some cryptocurrency or even n 825 00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:42,319 Speaker 1: f T like if you if you happen to really 826 00:36:42,320 --> 00:36:44,879 Speaker 1: love a particular artist. But keeping it small, we would 827 00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:47,560 Speaker 1: say is crucial because some of those more volatile assets 828 00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:50,520 Speaker 1: very small, they could see wilder downward swings if a 829 00:36:50,560 --> 00:36:54,120 Speaker 1: recession comes along. Uh. It's been particularly easy to misjudge 830 00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:56,520 Speaker 1: your risk tolerance given the bull market that we've been 831 00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:59,160 Speaker 1: on for for more than a decade, especially if you're 832 00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:02,200 Speaker 1: a younger investor and you don't even remember remember the 833 00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:06,440 Speaker 1: downturn of the two two thousand nine two era, uh 834 00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:08,719 Speaker 1: and so vanguard, because what are you talking about. I've 835 00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:12,080 Speaker 1: only seen my investments go up dramatically in value over 836 00:37:12,120 --> 00:37:14,480 Speaker 1: the past twelve years. That's right. It's it's been easy 837 00:37:14,520 --> 00:37:16,960 Speaker 1: to think that, like, well, who saves money because investments 838 00:37:16,960 --> 00:37:19,080 Speaker 1: only go up all the time. But that's I feel 839 00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:22,480 Speaker 1: like it doesn't even register anymore because it happened so quickly. 840 00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:24,000 Speaker 1: It was such a blip. It was such a blip, 841 00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:26,840 Speaker 1: it was such a quick rebound that it's it's almost 842 00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:29,240 Speaker 1: as if and grated. A lot of that was artificially 843 00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:31,840 Speaker 1: imposed with lockdowns and just the fear of the virus, 844 00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:33,840 Speaker 1: But it's almost as if there was no lesson to 845 00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:36,919 Speaker 1: be learned there because of how quickly it did bounce back, 846 00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:39,719 Speaker 1: or how quickly the market specifically bounce. It's important to 847 00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:42,440 Speaker 1: know that that those downturns can and are often more 848 00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:44,840 Speaker 1: prolonged than that, like that that that short lived of 849 00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:47,560 Speaker 1: a downturn, I mean, that's the most rapid stock Parker 850 00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:50,400 Speaker 1: recovery we've had in the history, in the history of stocks. 851 00:37:50,560 --> 00:37:52,920 Speaker 1: And so Vanguard actually has this helpful quiz that you 852 00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:55,080 Speaker 1: can take to get more accurate idea of your own 853 00:37:55,160 --> 00:37:57,000 Speaker 1: risk tolerance. Will put that the link to that in 854 00:37:57,040 --> 00:37:58,440 Speaker 1: the show notes. But I think it's helpful. It's like 855 00:37:58,440 --> 00:38:01,400 Speaker 1: eleven questions. And I actually took the quiz, Matt. I 856 00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:03,279 Speaker 1: wanted to know, all right, what does Vandguard saying my 857 00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:05,359 Speaker 1: risk tolerance is? And and they were like, you should 858 00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,239 Speaker 1: probably be a hunter present invests in the stocks because 859 00:38:07,280 --> 00:38:09,160 Speaker 1: you're totally cool with the risk and they ask you 860 00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:11,600 Speaker 1: some really good questions and I was like, well, funny enough, Vanguard, 861 00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:15,279 Speaker 1: that's exactly my allocation. But interesting that you say that. 862 00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:17,759 Speaker 1: But you might find out by answering certain questions that 863 00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:21,479 Speaker 1: your risk tolerance is not as robust maybe as mine, 864 00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:24,319 Speaker 1: And so you might find that you should have a 865 00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:28,040 Speaker 1: different portfolio set up in advance of things getting rocky. 866 00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:30,879 Speaker 1: And and that's better right than hitting that inject button 867 00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:33,279 Speaker 1: in the middle of the roller coaster, lying uh to 868 00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,080 Speaker 1: strap on really before it even gets started. Man, that 869 00:38:36,120 --> 00:38:37,799 Speaker 1: makes me think of I think this is like a 870 00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:39,879 Speaker 1: prank video or something that was fed to me one time. 871 00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:42,600 Speaker 1: But it was this guy who got on a roller 872 00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:45,000 Speaker 1: coaster like next to a stranger. You know, like sometimes 873 00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:46,759 Speaker 1: you get partnered with somebody and you don't know who's 874 00:38:46,760 --> 00:38:49,600 Speaker 1: sitting next to you. And after they had strapped in, 875 00:38:49,719 --> 00:38:51,640 Speaker 1: you know, the things came down over their chests and 876 00:38:51,640 --> 00:38:54,919 Speaker 1: and like basically the roller coaster had launched, like maybe 877 00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:56,600 Speaker 1: it had like it started going up the like the 878 00:38:56,640 --> 00:38:59,279 Speaker 1: big ramp. The guy like reached into his pocket and 879 00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:02,440 Speaker 1: pulled out like this giant bolt. It was just like, 880 00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:04,640 Speaker 1: oh my gosh, what's this. And the guy next toe 881 00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:07,799 Speaker 1: just like completely started flipping up, which is kind of 882 00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:09,840 Speaker 1: a mean trick, but like that that's what I picture. 883 00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:11,560 Speaker 1: That's what I think of when you think about the 884 00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:14,239 Speaker 1: eject button, because that guy I wanted off before that 885 00:39:14,280 --> 00:39:16,560 Speaker 1: thing took that massive plummet, afraid that you know, his 886 00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:20,920 Speaker 1: restraints were going to be loosened. But you know, like 887 00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:24,920 Speaker 1: what we're talking about here basically is like some mental preparation, right, 888 00:39:25,120 --> 00:39:26,480 Speaker 1: Like if you know that you're the kind of person 889 00:39:26,520 --> 00:39:29,000 Speaker 1: who's likely going to make changes based on some of 890 00:39:29,000 --> 00:39:32,040 Speaker 1: these day to day news events or even like month 891 00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:34,880 Speaker 1: a month, right because recessions like it might last a while. 892 00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:37,959 Speaker 1: You need to make sure that you ingest a lot 893 00:39:38,040 --> 00:39:41,120 Speaker 1: less news. Uh. And if you aren't willing to stay 894 00:39:41,120 --> 00:39:43,400 Speaker 1: in the course despite the difficulty, you likely need to 895 00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:46,080 Speaker 1: make changes before a recession occurs so that you can 896 00:39:46,120 --> 00:39:49,399 Speaker 1: stay the course without wavering. But for most folks, though, 897 00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:52,280 Speaker 1: the best course of action, assuming that you are invested, 898 00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:55,360 Speaker 1: is probably in action. Right Like, just like with a 899 00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:57,600 Speaker 1: bare bones budget, you want to prepare. You went to 900 00:39:57,600 --> 00:39:59,800 Speaker 1: forecast what it might be like in the future, and 901 00:39:59,840 --> 00:40:01,600 Speaker 1: that what we're doing here with your investments. You want 902 00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:04,640 Speaker 1: to picture yourself. You're forecasting you, and you're saying to yourself, 903 00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:07,560 Speaker 1: if this world had happened, what would I do? Uh? 904 00:40:07,560 --> 00:40:09,520 Speaker 1: What kind of situation would I be in? You want 905 00:40:09,560 --> 00:40:11,880 Speaker 1: to place yourself mentally in the future and make sure 906 00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:15,040 Speaker 1: that you make the changes now while you your feet 907 00:40:15,080 --> 00:40:18,600 Speaker 1: are like firmly planted on ground that that you're comfortable 908 00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:20,280 Speaker 1: with you. It makes me think one of my friends, 909 00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:23,040 Speaker 1: Matt he for some reason, he has this obsession every 910 00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:24,680 Speaker 1: time he goes to a restaurant or something like that 911 00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:27,759 Speaker 1: he thinks, what happens if an active shooter shows up here? 912 00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:29,360 Speaker 1: And what am I going to do. What's my reaction 913 00:40:29,360 --> 00:40:31,440 Speaker 1: to be, what's the quickest route of escape? You're talking 914 00:40:31,480 --> 00:40:34,719 Speaker 1: about me? No, do you do that too? I mean 915 00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:36,839 Speaker 1: I think about it. I guess it's not something that like, 916 00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:38,200 Speaker 1: that's like one of the first things he does. He 917 00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:39,640 Speaker 1: makes a plan of actually, how would I get out 918 00:40:39,640 --> 00:40:40,920 Speaker 1: when I run out to the kitchen when I kick 919 00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:43,360 Speaker 1: open window. It's smart, but at the same time, like, 920 00:40:43,400 --> 00:40:46,640 Speaker 1: should it completely change your dyning experience? And hopefully that's 921 00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:49,560 Speaker 1: what you're getting to. It shouldn't change everything about your 922 00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:51,680 Speaker 1: your dyning experience. I think it's important to be aware 923 00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:53,239 Speaker 1: of that kind of thing. Well, it's something that never 924 00:40:53,320 --> 00:40:56,000 Speaker 1: crosses my mind, and so if it happened, I would 925 00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:58,200 Speaker 1: be my job would drop and I would have no 926 00:40:58,239 --> 00:41:00,319 Speaker 1: idea how to proceed. But but for him, at least, 927 00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:03,160 Speaker 1: like maybe it has gotten to an extreme level, but 928 00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:05,239 Speaker 1: at least he would have a plan. He would know 929 00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:06,480 Speaker 1: what to do, He would know what he was going 930 00:41:06,600 --> 00:41:10,279 Speaker 1: if if you know, things got Yeah, it's worth thinking through, 931 00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:12,719 Speaker 1: just in the same way it's worth thinking through you 932 00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:15,120 Speaker 1: know what a recession might be like and what it 933 00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:17,120 Speaker 1: might look like for your finances, you know, or your 934 00:41:17,160 --> 00:41:20,399 Speaker 1: investment portfolio to take a fifty percent plunge, Like, that's 935 00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:22,239 Speaker 1: where it's worth thinking through, even though you hope that 936 00:41:22,280 --> 00:41:25,239 Speaker 1: it obviously never happens, and it makes me think that, 937 00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:27,399 Speaker 1: but it doesn't at least prevent him from going out 938 00:41:27,440 --> 00:41:29,800 Speaker 1: to eat. He still goes, but he's always got a 939 00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:32,760 Speaker 1: plan to bust somebody up in the that it's necessary. 940 00:41:33,400 --> 00:41:35,520 Speaker 1: But it's like one of the last pieces of advices 941 00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:37,680 Speaker 1: we want to give on this episode is to don't 942 00:41:37,760 --> 00:41:40,600 Speaker 1: deviate from your larger plans. I think if that possibility 943 00:41:40,600 --> 00:41:43,120 Speaker 1: prevented him from going out to eat and enjoying his 944 00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:46,959 Speaker 1: conversation with his partner or his friends, yeah, that would 945 00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:49,080 Speaker 1: be tough. It's overtaking his life too much at that point. 946 00:41:49,160 --> 00:41:51,479 Speaker 1: And and so I think recessions they can cause people 947 00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:54,160 Speaker 1: to panic and to change up their strategy. But if 948 00:41:54,200 --> 00:41:56,560 Speaker 1: you're in the wealth building stage of your life, um 949 00:41:56,880 --> 00:41:59,200 Speaker 1: then continuing to save and invest the way that you 950 00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:01,799 Speaker 1: have been up until this point, it continues to make sense. 951 00:42:01,800 --> 00:42:04,920 Speaker 1: It continues to be the best path forward. Nothing is 952 00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:08,080 Speaker 1: ever certain for any of us in any given day. 953 00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:10,879 Speaker 1: No one was even talking about a recession just six 954 00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:14,040 Speaker 1: months ago. That was the farthest thing from economist minds 955 00:42:14,080 --> 00:42:16,839 Speaker 1: from any of our minds, but world events, they've they've 956 00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:19,880 Speaker 1: created some changes that have made a bumpy economic future 957 00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:22,719 Speaker 1: a little more likely, and that doesn't mean that it 958 00:42:22,960 --> 00:42:25,920 Speaker 1: should impact you in any meaningful way aside from the 959 00:42:25,920 --> 00:42:28,320 Speaker 1: things that we've talked about on this episode. And in fact, 960 00:42:28,600 --> 00:42:30,840 Speaker 1: if you could weather a recession well, you'll likely have 961 00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:33,960 Speaker 1: the ability to buy more stocks, to invest more at 962 00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:37,319 Speaker 1: depressed prices, which which helping you build wealth over the 963 00:42:37,360 --> 00:42:40,120 Speaker 1: long haul. So it's one of those things that this 964 00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:42,680 Speaker 1: potential shouldn't cause you to freeze up, shouldn't cause you 965 00:42:42,719 --> 00:42:45,360 Speaker 1: to panic. Have a plan, but don't let it necessarily 966 00:42:45,360 --> 00:42:48,200 Speaker 1: impact the things that you're doing already. Keep moving forward, 967 00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:51,640 Speaker 1: keep proceeding towards those goals that are already working towards. Exactly. 968 00:42:51,640 --> 00:42:53,640 Speaker 1: You don't want it to keep you from enjoying your 969 00:42:53,640 --> 00:42:56,720 Speaker 1: beer or enjoying your dinner out. Uh, I mean, ultimately, 970 00:42:56,760 --> 00:43:00,400 Speaker 1: preparing for a recession and just solid personal finance management 971 00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:02,560 Speaker 1: are very similar. In our book, it's wise to be 972 00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:06,160 Speaker 1: cognizant of these macro trends at play, but you also 973 00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:07,920 Speaker 1: don't want to live your life and fear that a 974 00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:10,480 Speaker 1: recession like that. It's just always lurking around the corner. 975 00:43:10,760 --> 00:43:13,280 Speaker 1: Like we said, there's always someone out there predicting doom 976 00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:15,640 Speaker 1: and gloom. I can name a few, actually, I think 977 00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:19,719 Speaker 1: what the guy Robert Kyosaki. He's predicting a recession every 978 00:43:19,760 --> 00:43:21,799 Speaker 1: single year, and you know what, maybe he'll be right 979 00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:24,200 Speaker 1: one of these years, but he's wrong so many times. 980 00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:26,080 Speaker 1: But if you listen to those naysayer voices, it's like 981 00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:28,080 Speaker 1: you're always gonna be looking around the corner and not 982 00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:29,920 Speaker 1: doing the things you need to be doing because of 983 00:43:30,040 --> 00:43:31,719 Speaker 1: the doom and gloom folks. And he's made a living 984 00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:33,360 Speaker 1: doing that, right, right, But the more debt that you 985 00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:36,400 Speaker 1: pay off, the more savings you accrue, the less likely 986 00:43:36,640 --> 00:43:39,239 Speaker 1: that you'll have cause to worry about any of this. Uh, 987 00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:41,719 Speaker 1: making more of an impact at your job, finding another 988 00:43:41,719 --> 00:43:43,719 Speaker 1: stream of income. These can also provide some peace of 989 00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:45,799 Speaker 1: mind as you sure up the amount of money that's 990 00:43:45,800 --> 00:43:48,239 Speaker 1: flowing into your life. It's just basically looking at all 991 00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:50,800 Speaker 1: the different you know, it's like a RESK risk assessment 992 00:43:51,000 --> 00:43:53,600 Speaker 1: session where you're sitting down and you're thinking, Okay, where's 993 00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:55,640 Speaker 1: my money coming from? All right, how do I make 994 00:43:55,640 --> 00:43:57,839 Speaker 1: sure that that's solid? Where does my money go? How 995 00:43:57,840 --> 00:43:59,840 Speaker 1: do I make sure to plug any of those leaks 996 00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:02,799 Speaker 1: or that I know if things were to hit the fan, 997 00:44:02,880 --> 00:44:04,960 Speaker 1: that I can plug up leaks in a certain way. Um, 998 00:44:05,040 --> 00:44:07,320 Speaker 1: and when it comes to my investing, is that within 999 00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:10,360 Speaker 1: a portfolio? Is that within an investment that can that 1000 00:44:10,440 --> 00:44:12,759 Speaker 1: I am comfortable with standing scenes some you know, some 1001 00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:15,680 Speaker 1: ups and downs, some of that volatility. That is what 1002 00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:17,799 Speaker 1: we've talked through today, and hopefully we've given you some 1003 00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:22,040 Speaker 1: good food for thoughts. As we may or they not. 1004 00:44:22,280 --> 00:44:25,600 Speaker 1: It's a recession, but hopefully this gives you a good 1005 00:44:25,640 --> 00:44:28,120 Speaker 1: framework to assess and to analyze what you should be 1006 00:44:28,120 --> 00:44:30,560 Speaker 1: doing with your money. Yeah, alright, one more analogy, one 1007 00:44:30,560 --> 00:44:33,080 Speaker 1: more example. It makes me think of all right, I 1008 00:44:33,080 --> 00:44:35,000 Speaker 1: went to got that going out to dinner scenario. We 1009 00:44:35,080 --> 00:44:38,600 Speaker 1: got the roller coaster, we got the understudy, um, we 1010 00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:41,000 Speaker 1: got the working out one. Let's keep going. We've got 1011 00:44:41,040 --> 00:44:43,359 Speaker 1: too many analogies during this episode. Now we need one more, 1012 00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:45,160 Speaker 1: and that's for sure, right that's here. Not enough. So 1013 00:44:45,239 --> 00:44:47,640 Speaker 1: this reminds me of just a couple of weeks ago. 1014 00:44:47,719 --> 00:44:50,080 Speaker 1: I got to go to the Master, the most prestigious 1015 00:44:50,120 --> 00:44:52,480 Speaker 1: golf tournament matt in your hometown with a buddy and 1016 00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:56,400 Speaker 1: it was super fun. But we were standing on whole fifteen. 1017 00:44:56,400 --> 00:44:57,759 Speaker 1: I was standing a whole fifteen with a couple of 1018 00:44:57,800 --> 00:45:01,680 Speaker 1: buds and a ball. A golf ball ended up five 1019 00:45:01,680 --> 00:45:04,319 Speaker 1: ft from where we were standing and in a pine 1020 00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:07,239 Speaker 1: straw or like actually in this like mud pile. So 1021 00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:09,120 Speaker 1: it was like not an ideal place to hit a shot. 1022 00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:10,920 Speaker 1: The guy, I don't want to go too far with 1023 00:45:10,920 --> 00:45:12,879 Speaker 1: this analogy, but he got to move. Move the ball 1024 00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:16,759 Speaker 1: actually a club length away. Yeah, I gotta drop. And 1025 00:45:16,760 --> 00:45:20,400 Speaker 1: and the planning that goes into these guys attacking the 1026 00:45:20,400 --> 00:45:22,960 Speaker 1: golf course, they're reading the green starre out there before 1027 00:45:23,200 --> 00:45:26,520 Speaker 1: the tournament even begins. He couldn't have predicted necessarily that 1028 00:45:26,560 --> 00:45:28,680 Speaker 1: he was he was gonna end up in this exact 1029 00:45:28,760 --> 00:45:30,920 Speaker 1: spot on the course, five ft from where I was 1030 00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:32,920 Speaker 1: standing while I was heckling him. No I wasn't. I 1031 00:45:32,920 --> 00:45:34,680 Speaker 1: wasn't heckling you don't. You're not supposed to that golf 1032 00:45:34,840 --> 00:45:37,320 Speaker 1: But so hitting it out of the pine straw towards 1033 00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:40,640 Speaker 1: the green, but he's still all of that other planning 1034 00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:44,440 Speaker 1: really came in handy. His shot was incredible, like it was. 1035 00:45:44,960 --> 00:45:47,080 Speaker 1: Everybody else would have hit fifty two branches on the 1036 00:45:47,080 --> 00:45:49,680 Speaker 1: way to the green. This guy somehow snaked it through everything. 1037 00:45:49,719 --> 00:45:52,160 Speaker 1: It was impressive, but it really is it's all that 1038 00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:55,200 Speaker 1: preparation that came in clutch in a moment of difficulty 1039 00:45:55,440 --> 00:45:57,279 Speaker 1: on the course for this guy. So I don't maybe 1040 00:45:57,280 --> 00:46:00,200 Speaker 1: it's not a great analogy. It's good. He practices, not 1041 00:46:00,239 --> 00:46:01,880 Speaker 1: hoping that he will end up in the rough or 1042 00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:04,120 Speaker 1: end up in some mud, but he practices. So that 1043 00:46:04,160 --> 00:46:06,439 Speaker 1: were that situation to arise, Like that's why you work 1044 00:46:06,480 --> 00:46:08,600 Speaker 1: on your whatever. I don't know what club you used. 1045 00:46:08,640 --> 00:46:10,560 Speaker 1: I wasn't there, but like that's why he used his wedge, 1046 00:46:10,640 --> 00:46:12,560 Speaker 1: you know, until like like where he was, he's used 1047 00:46:12,560 --> 00:46:13,719 Speaker 1: an iron man he would have to go like a 1048 00:46:13,760 --> 00:46:17,040 Speaker 1: hundred ninety yards through. Yeah, it was nuts, Like I 1049 00:46:17,080 --> 00:46:18,440 Speaker 1: don't know, a hundred nine yards or is that like 1050 00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:21,400 Speaker 1: a four iron something? Um? And so yeah, I mean 1051 00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:23,359 Speaker 1: that's not something you hope happens, but hopefully you have 1052 00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:26,160 Speaker 1: the skill and it's something that you've you've practiced and 1053 00:46:26,160 --> 00:46:28,560 Speaker 1: you've rehearsed in your mind to be able to tackle. 1054 00:46:28,719 --> 00:46:31,000 Speaker 1: But let's go ahead and shift gears and get back 1055 00:46:31,040 --> 00:46:33,280 Speaker 1: to the beer that you and I enjoyed during this episode. 1056 00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:36,680 Speaker 1: This was an alt battish dun cool. I think that's 1057 00:46:36,680 --> 00:46:39,080 Speaker 1: how the Germans say it, don't. I just kind of 1058 00:46:39,080 --> 00:46:41,120 Speaker 1: made that up, so I will say, so we've never 1059 00:46:41,160 --> 00:46:43,000 Speaker 1: talked about this before. This isn't so it's it's an 1060 00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:45,759 Speaker 1: alt beer. So that's what the alt bearish stands for. 1061 00:46:46,120 --> 00:46:47,799 Speaker 1: And some folks might know that my last name is 1062 00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:52,680 Speaker 1: alt mix, and in German alt means old and technically mix. 1063 00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:56,160 Speaker 1: So what we think the original spelling was m I 1064 00:46:56,280 --> 00:46:59,080 Speaker 1: K and a mick is up. From what I understand, 1065 00:46:59,200 --> 00:47:01,400 Speaker 1: it's a stage in the beer brewing process. And so 1066 00:47:01,480 --> 00:47:05,279 Speaker 1: if you combine alts, which is old to mick, I mean, 1067 00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:07,160 Speaker 1: what is that? How do you read that? I read 1068 00:47:07,160 --> 00:47:09,839 Speaker 1: that as old, ale and first, and I believe that 1069 00:47:09,920 --> 00:47:12,319 Speaker 1: like brewing beer is just my bones. That might be 1070 00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:17,040 Speaker 1: like my fourth career change my allegens of brewing beer. 1071 00:47:17,280 --> 00:47:19,799 Speaker 1: But this is an altar bearish. Obviously. This is from 1072 00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:23,120 Speaker 1: my dad's side. The Germans, um, I don't look very German, 1073 00:47:23,160 --> 00:47:25,560 Speaker 1: but I look a little bit more like a Korean 1074 00:47:25,840 --> 00:47:29,400 Speaker 1: from my mom's side. But but yeah, this is a dunkle. Technically, 1075 00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:31,839 Speaker 1: I guess this is a dark logger. But I want 1076 00:47:31,840 --> 00:47:33,680 Speaker 1: your thoughts on this one. Okay, well sorry, I just 1077 00:47:33,719 --> 00:47:34,960 Speaker 1: saw that. I don't know if you've ever had an 1078 00:47:34,960 --> 00:47:36,920 Speaker 1: alt beer on the show before, because I was like, 1079 00:47:36,920 --> 00:47:39,440 Speaker 1: we have, that's a European style. I appreciate the insight 1080 00:47:39,480 --> 00:47:41,080 Speaker 1: for everyone out there to your name a little bit 1081 00:47:41,080 --> 00:47:43,759 Speaker 1: of history there on the Old Man myth, the legend 1082 00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:45,759 Speaker 1: old Ale. I'm gonna call you old Man because you're 1083 00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:48,600 Speaker 1: old Man. So good man. Well, so this is a 1084 00:47:48,640 --> 00:47:50,279 Speaker 1: beer soum at that you and I we don't really 1085 00:47:50,360 --> 00:47:53,200 Speaker 1: drink very often. I thought it was refreshing. It was 1086 00:47:53,280 --> 00:47:56,200 Speaker 1: light but still flavorful. I think the dark Bavarian lagger 1087 00:47:56,440 --> 00:47:58,759 Speaker 1: is just kind of a clutch style, and it's it's 1088 00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:00,640 Speaker 1: one that I want to ingut more of. So this 1089 00:48:00,680 --> 00:48:02,720 Speaker 1: was a good example. It's kind of a classic example 1090 00:48:02,960 --> 00:48:04,840 Speaker 1: a brewery that's been doing it for a long time. 1091 00:48:05,000 --> 00:48:07,239 Speaker 1: But yeah, I dug it, what do you think? Yeah, totally, No, 1092 00:48:07,320 --> 00:48:08,719 Speaker 1: it was a great change of pace. This is, like 1093 00:48:08,920 --> 00:48:10,440 Speaker 1: you said, it's not a good it's not a style 1094 00:48:10,480 --> 00:48:12,719 Speaker 1: that we often have, but it was really good. It 1095 00:48:12,800 --> 00:48:15,400 Speaker 1: was novel in that sense. It wasn't the standard New 1096 00:48:15,440 --> 00:48:18,760 Speaker 1: England hazy I PA that we are often fond of having. 1097 00:48:19,640 --> 00:48:21,040 Speaker 1: But this is like one of the classic beers that 1098 00:48:21,080 --> 00:48:22,960 Speaker 1: you often see on the shelf and you're like, what 1099 00:48:23,120 --> 00:48:25,719 Speaker 1: is that? Just looks like some old generic European beer 1100 00:48:26,480 --> 00:48:29,240 Speaker 1: that's been around for hundreds of years blah blah blah, 1101 00:48:29,239 --> 00:48:31,920 Speaker 1: But it's actually good. I like that we're starting to 1102 00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:34,200 Speaker 1: we're not. It's not that we never branched out before. 1103 00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:36,600 Speaker 1: It's just that there were so many options surrounding us, 1104 00:48:36,640 --> 00:48:37,960 Speaker 1: and we're just like, Oh, I want to try this 1105 00:48:38,000 --> 00:48:40,600 Speaker 1: barrel edge sour. Oh I'm gonna try this, you know, 1106 00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:43,960 Speaker 1: Russian Imperial stout with cocoa nibs and chili peppers in it. 1107 00:48:44,200 --> 00:48:46,120 Speaker 1: But oftentimes it can be good to go back to 1108 00:48:46,120 --> 00:48:48,040 Speaker 1: some of the classics, and I think we've kind of 1109 00:48:48,040 --> 00:48:50,560 Speaker 1: been doing that a little bit more lately. But but yeah, 1110 00:48:50,560 --> 00:48:52,640 Speaker 1: I really enjoy this one, and we would recommend for 1111 00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:55,080 Speaker 1: folks who are maybe if you're first getting into beer, 1112 00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:57,759 Speaker 1: this would be a very approachable style, right because it's 1113 00:48:57,760 --> 00:49:01,200 Speaker 1: really multi If you like bread, uh, you know, like 1114 00:49:01,280 --> 00:49:03,200 Speaker 1: whole wheat bread has kind of got this dark flavor 1115 00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:05,960 Speaker 1: going on with this, I would totally recommend. Uh this 1116 00:49:06,320 --> 00:49:10,239 Speaker 1: einger a bearished uncle awesome. Yeah, I know this should 1117 00:49:10,239 --> 00:49:12,560 Speaker 1: be on the shelves pretty much wherever you would think, 1118 00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:15,640 Speaker 1: so it's a nationwide kind of a classic. I think 1119 00:49:15,640 --> 00:49:18,359 Speaker 1: that the Ironer has a few different beers that they brew, 1120 00:49:18,680 --> 00:49:21,160 Speaker 1: but early Doug this one, so all right, it was tasty. 1121 00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:23,080 Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for this episode. For folks who 1122 00:49:23,120 --> 00:49:25,399 Speaker 1: want the show notes for this episode, well you can 1123 00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:27,520 Speaker 1: find those up on our website at how to money 1124 00:49:27,560 --> 00:49:29,719 Speaker 1: dot com. That's right. So that's gonna be it for 1125 00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:32,919 Speaker 1: this episode until next time. Joel, best Friends Out, Best 1126 00:49:32,960 --> 00:49:33,759 Speaker 1: Friends Out,