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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast all Right,

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Speaker 1: here we.

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Speaker 2: Go fifteen cuny twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty twenty

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Speaker 2: five fifty and the kickers block the college football world.

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Speaker 3: Stundard, Oh my goodness, he stumbled, and football the latter

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Speaker 3: of turn a corner of the inside.

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Speaker 1: Don't you believe that?

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna table up the fail to night.

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Speaker 4: It's not the side of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 5: It's the side of the fight in the hall.

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Speaker 2: What's up the generation? Welcome you make Bets on Campus

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Speaker 2: podcast sent it by bet n GM. This is the

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Speaker 2: Week one college football betting recap and Monday Night preview.

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Speaker 2: I'm stucky, joining me as always. Colin Wilson, Colin are

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Speaker 2: you I don't even know how you're going to recover

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Speaker 2: from that pret so you were in last letter? Are

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Speaker 2: you celebrating a Florida state? When are you mourning your

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Speaker 2: LSU futures? Is LSU dead? What a weird?

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Speaker 6: Was?

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Speaker 7: What a it is?

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Speaker 2: Our game? Those two teams have to play on every

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Speaker 2: Sunday night going forward?

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Speaker 1: Well, I took the national championship on LSU Future mid January,

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Speaker 1: Like I mean, we're still working our way to the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl and two transfer portal windows later. I you know,

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Speaker 1: you and I both identified that the big gap in

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Speaker 1: this game was going to be the secondary of LSU,

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Speaker 1: you know, and I was absolutely in a pretzel because

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Speaker 1: you make a national championship bet in January, but then

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Speaker 1: you break down the game two weeks before and find

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Speaker 1: out that the one big gap on the team is

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Speaker 1: where they're going to be attacked. And that's exactly what

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Speaker 1: happened with Johnny Wilson last night. Keon Coleman's an absolute stud.

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Speaker 1: You know, I think it just got piled on at

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Speaker 1: the end. I wouldn't look at the final score, but

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Speaker 1: I mean, Florida State's better. I lined it again after

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Speaker 1: I adjusted the power rating. If I lined the game again,

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Speaker 1: I'd make it Florida State minus three and a half.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Florida State looked great, and there was a number

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Speaker 2: of drops. The officials were against them early too, so

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Speaker 2: it was a really impressive performance by the seminar. So

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Speaker 2: that's a little, you know, some things to obviously clean up,

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Speaker 2: and LSU has to figure out that secondary. Now, keep

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Speaker 2: in mind, it is early early in the season, and

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Speaker 2: this is the case every year in college football, but

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Speaker 2: especially now with all of the roster and coaching movement

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Speaker 2: in the off season, it's going to take some time

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Speaker 2: for some of these teams to gel when there's a

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Speaker 2: lot of new pieces. So we'll see how LSU can

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Speaker 2: come together before the start of SEC play, especially on

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Speaker 2: the defensive side of the ball. But you never want

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Speaker 2: to overreact to one week. Unfortunately, if you're looking to

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Speaker 2: builo on LSU, they played Grambling next week.

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Speaker 1: So Harolder's there. Harold Perkins was a non factor. LSU

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Speaker 1: was terrible when they got past the forty yard line

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Speaker 1: and there were three the average three points per possession

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Speaker 1: inside the forty as opposed to Florida State, which was

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Speaker 1: at four point seven. LSU should be happy over the

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Speaker 1: fact that they had more explosive drives than FSU. They

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Speaker 1: just couldn't convertny points. I mean they definitely moved the ball,

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Speaker 1: they just could not get any points. And I don't

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Speaker 1: know what happened to Haeryl Perkins complete no show.

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Speaker 2: Well, one of the things that happens when you are

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Speaker 2: constantly running you know you're a shotgun based offense, is

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Speaker 2: you play a really good team and then you get

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Speaker 2: into these short yarded situations, and you're playing teams with

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Speaker 2: a lot of speed and size, and it becomes a

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Speaker 2: lot hard because you're snapping the ball five you sneak

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Speaker 2: the ball. Here's here's what I'll say. It's my first

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Speaker 2: many rants this year on the quarterback sneaks. Look, I

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Speaker 2: get it. You run a shotgun based offense. You have

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Speaker 2: a quarterback who's used to taking the center right, taking

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Speaker 2: the snap from shotgun. It doesn't matter if you tell

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Speaker 2: the other team you're gonna sneak it, because that's how

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Speaker 2: much more successful that play is than you know, a

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Speaker 2: Reid option on fourth and one at the goal line.

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Speaker 2: Have a quarterback that is just a big quarterback, that

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Speaker 2: is just your sneak quarterback, and that's all he practices.

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Speaker 2: And you can even push him. You can, you can

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Speaker 2: bring in guys behind him and push him. It's amazing

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Speaker 2: the lack of sneaks at the college level. I bet

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Speaker 2: in ten years won't we will see sneaks ninety percent

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Speaker 2: at the time, especially if you can push like the

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Speaker 2: Eagles do. I digress for those new year, well for

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Speaker 2: those first of all, for those that are back again

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Speaker 2: for a seventh year, we recap the weekend talk about

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Speaker 2: some of our bets the marquee games. We do that

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Speaker 2: through a couple different avenues, but primarily through the voicemail

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Speaker 2: which our voicemail line, which you guys call into all

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Speaker 2: season nine to five to nine, bad beat and you yell, scream, bitch, moon, cry,

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Speaker 2: you name it, and we listen to you. Then talk

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Speaker 2: about the games. Any games you didn't get to that

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Speaker 2: we want to talk about, we will talk about. We'll

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Speaker 2: do best call, Worst called, bet, regret, little personal recaps,

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Speaker 2: talk about anything else that's on the mind. And then

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Speaker 2: including this week, we'll do Monday Night Football because we

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Speaker 2: have a game tonight. And then Colin will do a

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Speaker 2: segment which is new this year, which is a look

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Speaker 2: ahead segment, and we'll talk about some of the games

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Speaker 2: that jump out for those of you betting early on

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Speaker 2: in the week and hunting those openers out there. And

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Speaker 2: then we're recording this on Monday morning. Due to the

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Speaker 2: holiday schedule, we'll normally record this on Sunday morning. It'll

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Speaker 2: be out Sunday night, and then Colin Brett and myself

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Speaker 2: will continue to do the new BCS, which will be

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Speaker 2: out on Tuesday mornings. Mike and Mike do the group

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Speaker 2: of five, which is out Wednesdays, and then Colin and

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Speaker 2: I obviously will have the weekly previous later in the week,

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Speaker 2: and then we'll have our BBOC Live show on Saturday morning.

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Speaker 2: So that's some housekeeping there, especially for those of you

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Speaker 2: that are new. Welcome aboard. Let's have a big year, Colin.

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Speaker 2: Let's get things started and just jump right into these voicemails,

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Speaker 2: which our producer, the lovely Matt Mitchell tells me are

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Speaker 2: dominated by James Franklin. Unfortunately, you were on the raw

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Speaker 2: end of this deal. There were some horrific beats this week.

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Speaker 2: No one took knees. Does anyone remember what an even

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Speaker 2: last night with for totalbackers? I got screwed by this

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Speaker 2: on the UCF under I know you did too. There

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Speaker 2: were some horrible, horrible beats this. I mean, look UAB

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Speaker 2: going ninety nine yards no huddle against NCA and T

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Speaker 2: throwing it throwing a touchdown pass to cover with eight

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Speaker 2: seconds left. I mean cusmells On in the backup UCF

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Speaker 2: offense two for two going no huddle. What is going

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Speaker 2: on here? But lots of bad beats across the board.

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Speaker 2: We are officially back, so let's kick things off with

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Speaker 2: the voicemail and get to mister Franklin.

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Speaker 3: Bad Beats, back doors and miracle covers.

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Speaker 2: However you're feeling, we want to hear from you.

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Speaker 8: You have reached the.

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Speaker 2: Voicemail box of Big podcast The Guys Drunk.

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Speaker 1: But there we go leave a message after the bleep.

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Speaker 6: James Franklin is scum hunter with three seconds ago he

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Speaker 6: runs it up for him. Really inbred fan base.

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Speaker 9: Gosh, that's the worst one of my life.

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Speaker 6: Bob here, welcome back.

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Speaker 5: Rest in peace, Jimmy Buffett, scumbag, James Franklin. You there's

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Speaker 5: no reason you shouldn't take a knee. You rest in peace,

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Speaker 5: Jimmy Buffett.

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Speaker 10: Do James Franklin take a knee.

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Speaker 7: You I'm watching this live.

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Speaker 6: Get the stop, Get the stop.

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Speaker 7: Franklin, You classless, off.

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Speaker 11: You clone.

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Speaker 4: You just needed to take a knee. James Franklin, just

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Speaker 4: take a knee. That's all you had to do. Neil

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Speaker 4: Brown apologizes for calling a time out. Neil Brown apologized

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Speaker 4: for taking it off. We had a thing going. I

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Speaker 4: prepped you up all off season. I said you alish

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Speaker 4: to be the heisman.

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Speaker 6: Hey, uh me.

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Speaker 11: James Franklin is the coach of Penn State. I could

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Speaker 11: never forgive James Franklin for running a fake field goal

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Speaker 11: throwing the ball with his kicker on the one yard

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Speaker 11: line against Michigan. He's a disgrace until he punches it

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Speaker 11: in with six seconds lest meaningless touchdown to cover. Wow.

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Speaker 6: I still hate him, but thank.

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Speaker 3: You Colin Stucky Cody from Fargo. I am pick to

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Speaker 3: my stomach right now watching Penn State in West Virginia

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Speaker 3: and James Franklin that running the ball trying to cover

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Speaker 3: the spread for the alumni when he could have kneeled

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Speaker 3: it out. Are you hitting me? You, James frank go

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Speaker 3: back to Vanderbilt.

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Speaker 6: Colin is Stuckey, James Franklin up, mastermind covering the last

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Speaker 6: play the game like that. I doubted Hi, I'm not

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Speaker 6: gonna lie.

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Speaker 3: Doubted them.

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Speaker 12: Penn State playoff team, championship team plus what twenty five

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Speaker 12: and a half you have, Colin gosh it?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so for those of you that didn't catch the

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Speaker 2: game and then all that Colin Chare's thoughts. Penn State

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Speaker 2: was a twenty twenty and a half point favorite against

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Speaker 2: West Virginia and they were up thirty one to fifteen.

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Speaker 2: West Virginia clearly within the number, and Penn State runs

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Speaker 2: it in with six seconds to go from the five

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Speaker 2: yard line. You got anything here.

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Speaker 1: The game played out exactly how I handicapped it. West

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Speaker 1: Virginia was above national average and standard down success rate

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Speaker 1: running the ball. They were below national average and passing downs. Actually,

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Speaker 1: they weren't good at all, twenty five percent success rate

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Speaker 1: in passing downs. Drew Roler was great over three hundred.

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Speaker 2: Pass which I was happy to say.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, a bunch of touchdowns. We knew that there wouldn't

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Speaker 1: be an answer for that. But the whole handicap was

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Speaker 1: West Virginia will have an avenue to run the ball

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Speaker 1: and be successful, and they did. They had more methodical

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Speaker 1: drives than Penn State, and that the defense would do

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Speaker 1: enough and the clock would burn out. It played out

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Speaker 1: perfectly on the handicap until Neil Brown decided to call

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Speaker 1: his last time out, which pissed James Franklin off and

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Speaker 1: decided to shove it in. So I don't know where stuck.

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Speaker 1: We move off analytics and get into well this coach

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Speaker 1: is this, and this coach is this? Where you were

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Speaker 1: going to call them assholes or I don't know what

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Speaker 1: you want to do how you handicap what happened at

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Speaker 1: the end of the game. But you people wave in

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Speaker 1: your Penn State minus twenty one flags on Twitter afterwards.

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Speaker 1: You should be a shamed be yourself.

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Speaker 2: I mean, James Franklin as an asshole. I think everyone

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Speaker 2: knows that. For multitude of reasons. You can you can

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Speaker 2: google some of them. Some very questionable things he's done,

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Speaker 2: not just off the field with disciplinary stuff. But we

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Speaker 2: won't get into all of that, but yeah, he The

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Speaker 2: betting on college sports is a very unique roller coaster

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Speaker 2: that those who just bet professional sports do not have

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Speaker 2: to endure. Right, So, if you bet on the NBA

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Speaker 2: and your team is down seven with four seconds to

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Speaker 2: go and you're catching eight, you're good in college You

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Speaker 2: might fail in the NFL. If you have a dog

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Speaker 2: catching eight and you're down seven with thirty seconds to

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Speaker 2: go and the other teams at the one, you're good,

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Speaker 2: they're gonna take a knee. There's no one running it

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Speaker 2: up in the NFL right line right falling down. In

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Speaker 2: college football, well it depends on the coach. You're not good,

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Speaker 2: and you might have some teams that are running. I

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Speaker 2: remember Laptech died this to running Harry up to try

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Speaker 2: and get Snaps off, which is going to lead us

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Speaker 2: into Gus Malzahan, who could have taken a knee and

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Speaker 2: decided not to multiple times to run it up on

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Speaker 2: lowly Kent State. So let's get into to keep going.

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Speaker 2: By the way, James Franklin can totally redeem himself by

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Speaker 2: winning the national title.

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Speaker 13: Yes, and can take Yes, Collin Stuck, Josh from Long Island,

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Speaker 13: Gus Malazon and Trent Gilfur. Gus, you're running plays with

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Speaker 13: twenty five seconds left from the play cock up forty

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Speaker 13: three points. These they know the spread, they know the total.

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Speaker 13: You cannot convince me otherwise. Trent Pilfer, because he was

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Speaker 13: lucky enough to get a Division one power five job decides,

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Speaker 13: you know what, let me do something good for the boosters.

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Speaker 4: And try and go nine nine yards in.

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Speaker 13: Less than three minutes to cover the spread.

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Speaker 6: You piece the.

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Speaker 13: Trent Golfer, you are now mortal enemy number one.

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Speaker 11: I got Guilford in Strankland, both in the same week.

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Speaker 1: Last was it you want to talk about UCF and

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Speaker 1: then I guess you may be Yeah.

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Speaker 2: By the way, Penn State, A couple anoother note is

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Speaker 2: that you know I was curious to see, you know,

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Speaker 2: two of the questions that I had going in obviously,

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Speaker 2: and we're talking about for them to be a potential

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Speaker 2: national title Collex twall playoff contender. We obviously knew they

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Speaker 2: were going to be a good team, but can they

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Speaker 2: take that next step? You know, part of the reason

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Speaker 2: for our Penn State features is we have some other questions,

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Speaker 2: especially with the other top teams at quarterback, and Penn

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Speaker 2: State has those same questions with Drew Aller, who you know,

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Speaker 2: while very highly touted, we haven't seen a lot from them,

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Speaker 2: so there's there's questions there, just like some of the

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Speaker 2: other top teams in the country. I was very press

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Speaker 2: with how he looked. And also seeing Lambert Smith have

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Speaker 2: a big game is big because they need someone to

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Speaker 2: be that number one and clear go to receiver, and

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Speaker 2: you know, you see him right off the bat with

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Speaker 2: a long seventy yard touchdown. Would have liked to see

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Speaker 2: a little bit more explosiveness from the rushing attack, right

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Speaker 2: you have these two freshman backs last year that come

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Speaker 2: back and what was their longest run ten ten eleven yards?

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Speaker 2: I think not much. I would like to see a

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Speaker 2: little bit more explosiveness there so, and then you know,

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Speaker 2: regarding some of the other top Michigan's offensive line and

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Speaker 2: rushing attack is worth watching. They just couldn't really get

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Speaker 2: anything going on the ground, which is semi concerning against Eco,

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Speaker 2: even if they were loading the box. But JJ McCarthy

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Speaker 2: did look really good, which is something to watch. So

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Speaker 2: a lot of these things very it's hard to judge.

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Speaker 2: You're playing inferior competition and it's only one week and

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Speaker 2: it's a small sample size. Speaking of which, a lot

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Speaker 2: of the talk this week was of CLV or you'll

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Speaker 2: see that a lot on Twitter or closing line value.

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Speaker 2: I got destroyed on any bets that I had closing line.

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Speaker 2: I went oh and seven against the spread if I

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Speaker 2: beat the market across the key number and pregame wagers

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Speaker 2: eight and two if I didn't. But here's the thing.

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Speaker 2: It's seven bets, and I think most of them were

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Speaker 2: the wrong side, even the UCF under like there was

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Speaker 2: a couple of picks and turnovers in the red zone.

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Speaker 2: But that's okay. It's a small sample size. I see

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Speaker 2: people like I gotta fade. You know these line moves,

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Speaker 2: and I have the data going back twenty five years.

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Speaker 2: If you beat the market across a key number in

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Speaker 2: college football by three or more points, you are sixty

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Speaker 2: seven percent since two thousand against the spread, and even

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Speaker 2: if you bet it that those moves after they moved,

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Speaker 2: you're basically flipping coins. This week it didn't work out.

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Speaker 2: It's okay, you're you know, if you're you're beating the

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Speaker 2: market across a key number over a long period of time,

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Speaker 2: you're gonna be okay. Don't tilt. It's not everything. The

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Speaker 2: market's definitely less efficient in week one. There's all so

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Speaker 2: you know, these lines are out for months. You have

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Speaker 2: services that release places. Everyone's looking at kind of the

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Speaker 2: same stuff, so there's a lot of groupthink and these

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Speaker 2: lines move and there's a lot of uncertainty. Earlier in

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Speaker 2: the year, you beat the market across the key number,

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Speaker 2: you lose. It sucks, but move on. Don't tilt. It's

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Speaker 2: a long season. Ucf under did suck though, and there

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Speaker 2: was a couple other games like that, but mainly I

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Speaker 2: pushed around money for week zero Week one. Kind of any

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Speaker 2: thoughts that you want to add there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I went ten to ten on the app and

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Speaker 1: then on our BBOC Live show. Just if we're going

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Speaker 1: to get the best call, worst call. I mean, the

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Speaker 1: best call by far was Washington like being able to

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Speaker 1: diagnose what Boise was going to be offensively trying to

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Speaker 1: keep tailing Green in the pocket, making him a pocket passer,

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Speaker 1: Like none of it was good. Washington rolled, So I

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Speaker 1: mean that's definitely best call. But I mean from the

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Speaker 1: live show perspective, the Penn State cover wiped me there.

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Speaker 1: And then I took UCLA minus fifteen on the Live

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Speaker 1: show and you know they one by fourteen.

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Speaker 2: He taunted the hook all week. I don't care about

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Speaker 2: that hook. I don't care about that and then it

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Speaker 2: got you devastating pick late McMurphy got got screwed on

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Speaker 2: the Live Show two with UMAs first half they miss

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Speaker 2: a field goal at the end, and then pick six

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Speaker 2: to start the second.

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Speaker 1: Half, right like like week one is always a fact

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Speaker 1: finding adventure and then we if I remember right, usually

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Speaker 1: week two, Week three, week four. You know it's we

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Speaker 1: know the identities, We see where the public narrative is,

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Speaker 1: and we see like in the analytics, we know their

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Speaker 1: true identity. So I mean, if you can get out

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Speaker 1: week one, I think pushing money around, it's great if

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Speaker 1: you're positive, but if you're just pushing money around. At

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Speaker 1: least we now have one twelfth of the story on

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Speaker 1: these teams.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, sort of a survival week hate whenever I don't

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Speaker 2: have a big week, but there's gonna happen. We're gonna.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna have I promise there's a weekend coming soon

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Speaker 2: where I'm just gonna get crushed. And if you got crossed,

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Speaker 2: put it behind you. There's nothing you can do, can't

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Speaker 2: what are you gonna What are you gonna do? Dwelling

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Speaker 2: on the fact that you lost, You already lost it.

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Speaker 2: Don't let it impact your future wagering decisions. Regroup, let

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Speaker 2: it go and move on.

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Speaker 14: Uh.

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Speaker 2: For my best call, I will go. Uh, let's see.

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Speaker 2: I know my worst call was North Texas. I don't

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Speaker 2: care how much I beat the market by, but they

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Speaker 2: got destroyed by the backup. Cal's quarterback got hurt and.

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Speaker 1: Sam Jacksons in not good and then when Ben Finley

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Speaker 1: came in bonkers.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think we have a call coming up on

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Speaker 2: that of someone talking about the North Texas defense. No

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Speaker 2: one thought, didn't we didn't think the North Texas defense

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Speaker 2: was gonna be good, didn't think the Cal offense was

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Speaker 2: gonna be that goodpcial with their backup and thought North

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Speaker 2: Texas could get more done. So I'll throw that out

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Speaker 2: as worst call. I'll say best call was how about

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Speaker 2: U l N U l M money line from the

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Speaker 2: podcast The money Line Dogs that got that got me

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Speaker 2: to catch the round robin dog catch our first round

351
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Speaker 2: robin Barren like a couple dollars. We went three or

352
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Speaker 2: five because Toledo Houston prayer fourth down, which was awful

353
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Speaker 2: against Illinois. But it is what it is. And then

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Speaker 2: that regret M I know mine, I'll say across the

355
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Speaker 2: board it was you know, because if we're gonna do

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Speaker 2: a stock down, stock up, I tweeted about this stock

357
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Speaker 2: down is Big twelve and we have to talk about Dion.

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Speaker 2: Great call on the over there, because one of my

359
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Speaker 2: bet regrets is not that I didn't bet that under.

360
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Speaker 2: I was thinking about the under and that would have

361
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Speaker 2: been a major bet regret. So I'm glad you catched

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Speaker 2: the over there. I didn't end up getting involved, which

363
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Speaker 2: I was happy to see. But what a debut for

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Speaker 2: Dion and Colorado and that I the numbers that they

365
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Speaker 2: put up on TCU. But the Big twelve because Colado

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Speaker 2: is not the Big Twelve. Yet, the Big twelve sees

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Speaker 2: TCU go down as three touchdown favorites. They see Baylor.

368
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Speaker 2: A lot of people were talking about Baylor losing to

369
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Speaker 2: your Texas State boys and the new offense there as

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Speaker 2: four touchdown favorites, I mean, and then then you know,

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Speaker 2: you know, obviously Texas Tech goes down, is two touchdown

372
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Speaker 2: favorites to at Wyoming. Multiple three teams go down. One

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Speaker 2: is two touchdown favorites, one is three touchdown favorites, and

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Speaker 2: one and then you know you have BYU attempting to

375
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Speaker 2: play football against Sam Houston State. Let's never speak of

376
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Speaker 2: that game ever again. But an awful day for the

377
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Speaker 2: Big twelve. I think there might be some good by

378
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Speaker 2: low spots on some of these Big twelve teams, which

379
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Speaker 2: we'll talk about later in the week. But my bet

380
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Speaker 2: regret is doubting a lot of these Pac twelve teams

381
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Speaker 2: and some of the hires that they had Stanford included

382
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Speaker 2: the offense that Stanford through out there night and day.

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Speaker 2: From what we've seen out of Stanford in the past

384
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Speaker 2: couple of years, I went zero and three fade in

385
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Speaker 2: the Pac twelve. It doesn't who cares how much CLV

386
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Speaker 2: I got, Washington State waxed, Colorado State, cal waxed, North Texas,

387
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Speaker 2: and Stanford convincing cover against Hawaii. Those offenses in new

388
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Speaker 2: you know, for the most part, new offenses way ahead

389
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Speaker 2: of where I thought they would be at this time.

390
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Speaker 2: The Pac twelve went undefeated and for the most part,

391
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Speaker 2: except sadly, except for your UCLA boys by the hook,

392
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Speaker 2: covered every game, even Oregon State dju change of scenery.

393
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Speaker 2: He looked great, So stock up on the PAC twelve.

394
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Speaker 2: That regret for me is doubting a lot of those

395
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Speaker 2: offenses and hires because I definitely got burnt there.

396
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm glad the Stanford offen came to play. That

397
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Speaker 1: was watching Ashton Daniels the other night on the island.

398
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Speaker 1: Stanford is going to be a lot of fun to watch.

399
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Speaker 1: I took over sixty nine and a half the opener

400
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Speaker 1: with USC and Stanford the way Troy Taylor in the

401
00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:14,119
Speaker 1: pace that he wants to run, and you're gonna give

402
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Speaker 1: Caleb Williams. I don't know thirteen possessions in this game.

403
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Speaker 1: I don't generally tell people run to the seventies and

404
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Speaker 1: hit the over, but I don't see a reason why

405
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Speaker 1: you dig an under on this game. Consider the way

406
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Speaker 1: Troy Taylor wants to play games, I think I'll just

407
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Speaker 1: throw my bet regret in real quick. As we're kind

408
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Speaker 1: of pilot on the big twelve, I should have bet Oklahoma.

409
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Speaker 1: I mean that, knowing that they've heard everything and they're

410
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Speaker 1: pissed off, and the talent they have, and considering the

411
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Speaker 1: direction that Arkansas State continues to go, you know, which

412
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Speaker 1: is backwards, that should have been an easy play. So

413
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Speaker 1: I'll do bet regret on Oklahoma. I didn't make that

414
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Speaker 1: mistake this week. Hit the opener, They've already steamed up.

415
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Speaker 1: I would take him to eighteen. I think we should

416
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Speaker 1: go back and talk about Colorado though, like do I

417
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Speaker 1: know that you and I there is gonna be the

418
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Speaker 1: huge focus Colorado Nebraska, but suck. The hardest thing for

419
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Speaker 1: me was I had Nebraska minus ten projected against Colorado,

420
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Speaker 1: and now I have Colorado minus three and a half.

421
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Speaker 1: I don't think I've ever taken a fourteen to fifteen

422
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Speaker 1: point jump. I know you go crazy on week one.

423
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Speaker 1: I'll move things six points, seven points, eight points of

424
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Speaker 1: a quarterbacks involved for me to move this much, I

425
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Speaker 1: was thinking to myself, I must be crazy. And what's

426
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Speaker 1: funny is I actually hit the market too. I made

427
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Speaker 1: it minus three and a half and it kind of

428
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Speaker 1: floated out there for a while. But I think my

429
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Speaker 1: line of thinking is stuck. Is there's always a team

430
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Speaker 1: that I can't quantify in the math. I can't catch

431
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Speaker 1: up to them from against the spread. What I saw

432
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Speaker 1: from Colorado with my eyeballs was explosive and in the

433
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Speaker 1: box score they tripled the national average and explosive drive.

434
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Speaker 1: I saw some methodical some some longer drives out there.

435
00:23:41,640 --> 00:23:44,960
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, they doubled the methodical drive percentage of national average.

436
00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:49,800
Speaker 1: They were fantastic everywhere. Their entire receiving core is explosive

437
00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:52,199
Speaker 1: and they're going to give everybody a problem. Dylan Edwards

438
00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:55,120
Speaker 1: is an animal, Travis Hunter is an animal, Xavier Weaver,

439
00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:58,040
Speaker 1: Jimmy Horn, it goes down the list. So what I'm

440
00:23:58,040 --> 00:23:59,840
Speaker 1: saying is suck. I think it's justified that I moved

441
00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 1: them fourteen points. I do not want to be behind

442
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:04,240
Speaker 1: on this Colorado train, and I'm betting them. I'm just

443
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:06,359
Speaker 1: gonna make the statement here, I'm betting them every week

444
00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:07,399
Speaker 1: until I lose money.

445
00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:10,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's gonna be They're a tough team to figure out.

446
00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:15,120
Speaker 2: Was so much change, right, Like it's a complete blow

447
00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:18,640
Speaker 2: up and start over, from the staff to the players.

448
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 2: I was lower on TCU than the market. I regret

449
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,399
Speaker 2: obviously not playing Colorado, but it was hard for me

450
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:27,320
Speaker 2: to really, Like I said on the podcast, if anyone

451
00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:31,080
Speaker 2: knows what to expect with this Colorado team in week one,

452
00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,320
Speaker 2: they're lying to you. And they were a big uncertainty.

453
00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 2: I was worried about the offensive line, which actually held

454
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:41,680
Speaker 2: up fairly well. And I have a lot of respect

455
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:47,919
Speaker 2: for that TCU defense and especially their defensive coordinator. But

456
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:52,000
Speaker 2: for the numbers that Colorado put up. We'll talk about

457
00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:54,600
Speaker 2: them and Nebraska later in this week more in depth.

458
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 2: But yeah, Travis Hunter, it's some Charles Woodson vies, but

459
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:03,760
Speaker 2: playing eighty snaps at corner and sixty at wide receiver and.

460
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 1: You can't do that all season, canny, not against pack

461
00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:06,800
Speaker 1: twelve offenses.

462
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:11,280
Speaker 2: We'll see. It was definitely an impressive performance. And then

463
00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:17,919
Speaker 2: obviously Dionne talk that ship, backed it up, brought you know,

464
00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:23,280
Speaker 2: brought on all of them, and yeah, he deserves to

465
00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:25,520
Speaker 2: be able to talk that top down. Again, it's only

466
00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:28,879
Speaker 2: one game, so you never want to completely overreact, but

467
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:32,399
Speaker 2: you don't want to get left behind, So that's the

468
00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 2: that's where the art comes in. There's always art and

469
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:39,600
Speaker 2: science when it comes to sports betting, especially early in

470
00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:43,480
Speaker 2: the year. So your biggest adjustments from a power ratings

471
00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:47,760
Speaker 2: perspective are going to come early in the year. That's

472
00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:50,399
Speaker 2: when you learn the most. This is true in any

473
00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:53,880
Speaker 2: in every sport, so you want to make your biggest adjustments,

474
00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:57,480
Speaker 2: but you also don't want to overreact. So it's only

475
00:25:57,480 --> 00:25:59,959
Speaker 2: a one game sample size, so that's where there are

476
00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:04,640
Speaker 2: comes in. Okay, do I do I think this team

477
00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:07,000
Speaker 2: is way better than the market? I'm gonna I'm gonna

478
00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:09,560
Speaker 2: take a shot here and really adjust this team. And

479
00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:12,119
Speaker 2: then you know, in case b you might say, you

480
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:14,080
Speaker 2: know what, it's only one game. So that's where the

481
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:16,399
Speaker 2: art comes in. So it'll be curious to see what

482
00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:18,680
Speaker 2: the market does with that line. I bet there's going

483
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:23,280
Speaker 2: to be some significant disagreement across the board. But Shador

484
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:27,520
Speaker 2: Sanders thirty eight or forty seven five ten, four touchdowns,

485
00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:35,560
Speaker 2: no interceptions, impressive opening season win for Colorado. Before we go.

486
00:26:35,560 --> 00:26:38,200
Speaker 8: Any further, as a reminder, Big Bets on Campus is

487
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:41,520
Speaker 8: presented by bet MGM, so get it on the action

488
00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:45,520
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492
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Speaker 8: BETMGM dot com for terms and conditions.

493
00:27:00,359 --> 00:27:04,240
Speaker 15: Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, at Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigansissippi, Nevada,

494
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:07,879
Speaker 15: New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington,

495
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:10,560
Speaker 15: d C, West Virginia, Wyoming, or Ontario only. Must be

496
00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:12,639
Speaker 15: twenty one or older to wager nineteen or older in

497
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,040
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498
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:18,080
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499
00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:20,719
Speaker 15: site credit free bets expire seven days from missions. Excludes

500
00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 15: Michigan dissociated persons. Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem call one

501
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:26,840
Speaker 15: hundred next step in Arizona one one hundred and five

502
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:30,879
Speaker 15: two two four seven zero zero In Colorado, DC, Kansas, Louisiana, Nevada, Wyoming,

503
00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:33,440
Speaker 15: or Virginia one eight hundred twenty seven zero seven to

504
00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:35,959
Speaker 15: one one seven for confidential help in Michigan one eight

505
00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 15: hundred gambler in Indiana, Maryland, New Jersey or West Virginia.

506
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:42,119
Speaker 15: One eight hundred bets off in Iowa. One hundred nine

507
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,040
Speaker 15: eight one zero zero two three. In Puerto Rico, call

508
00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:47,400
Speaker 15: eight seven seven eight hope and Why, or text hope

509
00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:49,960
Speaker 15: and Why. In New York, called texts the Tennessee Redline

510
00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:52,320
Speaker 15: at twenty one hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine,

511
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:54,520
Speaker 15: or call one eight eight eight seven seven seven ninety

512
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:56,600
Speaker 15: six ninety six in Mississippi. In Ontario, if you have

513
00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:58,840
Speaker 15: questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you,

514
00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:01,399
Speaker 15: please contact Connects Ontario at one eight six six five

515
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:03,080
Speaker 15: three one two six year zero to speak to an

516
00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:05,720
Speaker 15: advisor free charge. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii,

517
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:08,399
Speaker 15: and Utah and other states were prohibited. Promotional offers not

518
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:13,400
Speaker 15: available in THEVATA in New York. All right, let's jump

519
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 15: right back in and get through the rest of these voicemails.

520
00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:19,280
Speaker 12: Adam in La I bitch last week and this week

521
00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:23,679
Speaker 12: I'm giving props props to Colin and stuck fan Dion

522
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:26,400
Speaker 12: has earned the right to brag all week.

523
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 13: It's a hell of a win.

524
00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:30,480
Speaker 16: But man, you guys just nailed it.

525
00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 4: Say over and the team total, which I got in

526
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:35,679
Speaker 4: late at forty one ahead.

527
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:37,879
Speaker 7: Ship it.

528
00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:38,719
Speaker 2: Listen.

529
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 6: I know when you gamble, you're supposed to take the spreads,

530
00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:43,800
Speaker 6: you know, minus twenty one on DCU.

531
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:44,520
Speaker 9: Do it.

532
00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 6: I didn't think they were going to cover that, but

533
00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 6: do it. I just decided to put it in a

534
00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:52,080
Speaker 6: moneyline parlay four legs hit. It comes out a TCU

535
00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:54,360
Speaker 6: minus a thousand. I'm gon why I put it in there.

536
00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:58,520
Speaker 6: And they came and beat Colorado at home after going

537
00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:04,080
Speaker 6: to the Natty. Are you kidding me? What a joke? Tfu? Legit?

538
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:06,520
Speaker 6: Just what's the National Championship? And then lose it home

539
00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:10,640
Speaker 6: to Colorado who has a JV team. Colorado's win told

540
00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:13,240
Speaker 6: three and now I cannot believe it. They just ruined

541
00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:17,000
Speaker 6: my day. I hate college football. I'm done with it. Goodbye.

542
00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:21,600
Speaker 1: Don't put minus one thousand favorites and moneyline parlays unless

543
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:24,560
Speaker 1: it's like Georgia against the mac Don't don't do that.

544
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:28,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, try to avoid parlays if you want to. Obviously,

545
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:30,800
Speaker 2: there's a lot of betters out there that are just

546
00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 2: recreational betters. You want to throw in your long shot,

547
00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:37,600
Speaker 2: that's fine, but you're going to be a lot better

548
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 2: of a better if you get parlays straight parlays out

549
00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:44,400
Speaker 2: of your life. And just keep this in mind if

550
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:46,840
Speaker 2: you are going to do that, because I know a

551
00:29:46,840 --> 00:29:49,320
Speaker 2: lot of you still will a team like you know,

552
00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:51,800
Speaker 2: for example, this week you have tculeaning three touchdowns. They're

553
00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:54,880
Speaker 2: playing a team with a lot of uncertainty, right, Like

554
00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:56,800
Speaker 2: we just talked about, who knows what Colorado is going

555
00:29:56,840 --> 00:29:59,640
Speaker 2: to be. Same thing with Baylor, right, bail are huge

556
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:02,040
Speaker 2: favor playing a team with a lot of uncertainty, brand

557
00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:05,200
Speaker 2: new scheme. That's what you want to look for in

558
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:08,720
Speaker 2: a potential money line underdog. That is not when there's

559
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:11,000
Speaker 2: a lot of uncertainty early in the season. Those are

560
00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:14,280
Speaker 2: the big favorites that you certainly want to avoid. So

561
00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:17,800
Speaker 2: if you're gonna go down that path, don't throw in

562
00:30:18,520 --> 00:30:20,320
Speaker 2: the big favorite at the very end. That's not really

563
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:22,320
Speaker 2: going to improve your payoff, But especially if it's a

564
00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:24,120
Speaker 2: game with a lot of uncertainty early in the season.

565
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:27,960
Speaker 12: Moving on, I mean, thank god it's one thirty am

566
00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:30,760
Speaker 12: and no one else is awake to watch this Hawaii

567
00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:34,200
Speaker 12: team completely embarrass themselves. The only good thing I maybe

568
00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:37,720
Speaker 12: see about this team is the quarterback the kids, running

569
00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 12: for his life the whole night because the line is

570
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,520
Speaker 12: getting blown off the ball. He has no time to throw.

571
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:45,320
Speaker 12: D Lin's non existent no pass rush ever, going for

572
00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:49,480
Speaker 12: two for no reason. Oh the penalties. This team is

573
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:54,080
Speaker 12: less disciplined than my daughter's kindergarten class. It's just so embarrassing.

574
00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:55,760
Speaker 12: And you know what, for the rest of the year,

575
00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:58,120
Speaker 12: this team should start games after one thirty am. I

576
00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:02,400
Speaker 12: don't want to watch this team ever. Against suck Hawaii.

577
00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:09,600
Speaker 12: Here I am fourth and school Hawai and I guess

578
00:31:09,600 --> 00:31:15,440
Speaker 12: only under and I guess Hawaii course I got. Oh

579
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:19,840
Speaker 12: my god, Oh my god, Hawaii sucks so bad. Oh

580
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:25,120
Speaker 12: my god, god, Hawaii plus eight cel the Hawaii.

581
00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:26,280
Speaker 6: Bye.

582
00:31:26,920 --> 00:31:28,520
Speaker 2: Look, they're one on one against the spread. They look

583
00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:30,600
Speaker 2: good and then didn't look good. I think you had

584
00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 2: a great call there. By the way, that the with

585
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:36,600
Speaker 2: Hawaii being potentially deflated, a lot going on in their

586
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:39,960
Speaker 2: home state, the schedule didn't do them any favors. They play,

587
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:43,040
Speaker 2: you know, they get a lightning delay and play finish

588
00:31:43,120 --> 00:31:46,360
Speaker 2: up really late on Saturday night in Nashville, against Vandy

589
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:51,160
Speaker 2: have to fly what seven, I don't know, seven thousand

590
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:57,840
Speaker 2: miles from Nashville to Honolulu for a short week like see,

591
00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:02,520
Speaker 2: then they're playing again on Friday night. And meanwhile, Stanford

592
00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:04,320
Speaker 2: is you know, sitting at home resting. They have a

593
00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:08,160
Speaker 2: shorter flight, a shorter trip, and haven't played yet. And

594
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:12,080
Speaker 2: that trend again, teams playing I got burnt on it twice,

595
00:32:12,480 --> 00:32:14,800
Speaker 2: teams playing their first game against teams that played in

596
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:20,160
Speaker 2: Week zero. That film, rest and prep advantage showed out again.

597
00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:22,640
Speaker 2: It's all did Oregon State too against San Jose State

598
00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:26,200
Speaker 2: four and one against the spread now fifty nine thirty

599
00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:31,680
Speaker 2: three against the spread over the past twenty years backing

600
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:34,200
Speaker 2: teams at play. You know, it's still only sample size

601
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:38,400
Speaker 2: of about one hundred games, not huge, but there's some

602
00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:41,120
Speaker 2: logic behind it, so something to keep in mind in

603
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:44,280
Speaker 2: the future. But yeah, Hawaii definitely looked a little deflated

604
00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:48,400
Speaker 2: right right from the start. But credit that Stanford offense.

605
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 2: They needed a jolt. I mean, their offense was the

606
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:55,120
Speaker 2: stalist in college football. Go out, make a make a

607
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:59,600
Speaker 2: higher from the FCS ranks and the you know, have

608
00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:02,840
Speaker 2: a frize quarterback start. We didn't. We don't know who

609
00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:05,040
Speaker 2: was going to be the quarterback. Everything looked great.

610
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:08,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean when you look at the advanced box score,

611
00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 1: these guys, I think the first thing that comes to

612
00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:14,120
Speaker 1: my mind is is how bad is Vanderbilt. Stanford was

613
00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:16,840
Speaker 1: able to get eight tackles for loss for forty nine yards.

614
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:20,360
Speaker 1: They were all over Braden Schagar. He didn't have any interceptions.

615
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:22,600
Speaker 1: That's that is one good thing about Hawaii. They weren't

616
00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:25,440
Speaker 1: as explosive. But at the same time, you know, I mean,

617
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:28,440
Speaker 1: Puffel Ashlock had thirteen targets. He caught eight of them

618
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 1: for one hundred and fourteen. I mean, there's still a

619
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:32,640
Speaker 1: little bit explosive. The problem is there's just too much

620
00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:34,600
Speaker 1: pressure on Sagar. And when you go to the advanced

621
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:38,200
Speaker 1: box score, Stanford, who went as fast as possible, had

622
00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:41,280
Speaker 1: three of eleven explosive drives, three of eleven methodical drives,

623
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 1: more than half of their drives. Six of their eleven

624
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:47,520
Speaker 1: drives had two plus first downs. That Stanford offense can move.

625
00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:49,760
Speaker 1: The answer we had so many questions about what Troy

626
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:52,360
Speaker 1: Tayler was going to do with his personnel, and the

627
00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:57,280
Speaker 1: answer is is that they're tight end. Benjamin Eurosek ash Daniels.

628
00:33:57,360 --> 00:34:00,520
Speaker 1: Good luck. If you can't cover tight ends, Stanford's gonna

629
00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:02,280
Speaker 1: get points on you, and I'm gonna take overs until

630
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:03,240
Speaker 1: we don't catch them.

631
00:34:03,560 --> 00:34:08,120
Speaker 2: Stanford, Uh, making a case along with Iowa's tight end.

632
00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:13,880
Speaker 2: You shout out to you, zach Ertz, Kobe Fleener and

633
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:17,360
Speaker 2: now you're a second one others. But he looks like

634
00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:20,600
Speaker 2: he's going to be potentially the first tight end taking

635
00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:24,560
Speaker 2: off the board. About that's out of Rock Bowers potentially. Ah,

636
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 2: but yeah, very very very strong first showing for Stanford.

637
00:34:28,160 --> 00:34:29,279
Speaker 2: All right, let's finish these up.

638
00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:32,239
Speaker 17: Hey Colin, Hey suck, just calling in to call about

639
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:37,480
Speaker 17: what an absolute poverty college Boston College Eagles is first

640
00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:40,239
Speaker 17: game of the year in Chestnut Hill and they lay

641
00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:43,880
Speaker 17: an absolute stinker. I mean, I guess the only saving

642
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:46,640
Speaker 17: grace is that like what eight fans showed up to

643
00:34:46,680 --> 00:34:49,919
Speaker 17: watch the game and just then blow it to eight

644
00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:54,960
Speaker 17: year super senior Rocky Lombardi. Just what an absolute disgrace?

645
00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:58,200
Speaker 1: How great was the MAC this weekend? On the road? Covering?

646
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 2: Were they good?

647
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:05,120
Speaker 1: Toledo covered and.

648
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:09,560
Speaker 2: Covered and I you covered, minam Ohio didn't, Central Michigan didn't,

649
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:14,120
Speaker 2: All State didn't. A mixed bag bowling, green will depending

650
00:35:14,120 --> 00:35:18,319
Speaker 2: on the number you got. But yeah, Boston College. Yeah,

651
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:25,160
Speaker 2: but Akron, who unfortunately didn't get the win. They were close.

652
00:35:26,120 --> 00:35:28,919
Speaker 2: Akrons keeps getting closer, they keep losing these one possession games.

653
00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:32,440
Speaker 2: I'll see you Akron fans. But at disappointing loss for

654
00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:35,520
Speaker 2: Boston College in overtime. Another horrible beat there if you

655
00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:38,799
Speaker 2: had the under. Nothing worse than losing an under that

656
00:35:39,080 --> 00:35:40,920
Speaker 2: just looked like it was never in doubt and then

657
00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:44,120
Speaker 2: it goes to overtime and sneaks over the total. But

658
00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:46,760
Speaker 2: big win for Northern Illinois who didn't really do much.

659
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:51,240
Speaker 2: I mean, the Boston College defense did all that they could,

660
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:56,560
Speaker 2: but just it's the offense is there's just no explosiveness

661
00:35:56,640 --> 00:35:56,920
Speaker 2: at all.

662
00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:03,840
Speaker 1: And well it was defense. Yeah, Northern Onlinois scored on

663
00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:06,640
Speaker 1: every trip past the forty yard line. Boston Collin, it's

664
00:36:06,680 --> 00:36:07,480
Speaker 1: just ola.

665
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:11,319
Speaker 2: And yeah, it might be the the writing might be

666
00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:13,200
Speaker 2: on the wall for the end of the half the

667
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:15,840
Speaker 2: era with that loss. So we'll see where BC goes.

668
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:20,279
Speaker 10: But moving on, Hey stuck, kay Colin, I don't know.

669
00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:26,320
Speaker 10: It's eight o'clock on this Saturday. Boise State team total over.

670
00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:31,280
Speaker 9: Twenty one and a half. I mean nineteen points thirteen

671
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 9: left in the third, taling Green shouldn't be playing at

672
00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:39,239
Speaker 9: Boise State, he couldn't start at Idaho State. Then the

673
00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:41,960
Speaker 9: last drive of the game, total skies. I mean, you

674
00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:47,280
Speaker 9: got the backup QBN Washington playing prevat fourth and six

675
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 9: from the ten and he runs a two yard two

676
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:54,759
Speaker 9: be drawl. I hope Boise Steak goes winless in conference.

677
00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:59,000
Speaker 18: Not much to say here, Colin, but Wisconsin stays being

678
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:04,480
Speaker 18: Wisconsin disappointing from day one to the last week. Who

679
00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:08,360
Speaker 18: even cares any more about them? Golly Tyler from.

680
00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:13,000
Speaker 7: Texas Baylor favor Randa, sure, little respect to your program.

681
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:16,759
Speaker 7: You're in twenty seven point favorite and you aren't competitive

682
00:37:16,800 --> 00:37:20,359
Speaker 7: with Texas State. Have little respect. It's just horrible. And

683
00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:22,879
Speaker 7: I will be calling back when they beat Utah next

684
00:37:22,880 --> 00:37:25,000
Speaker 7: week because that's just how it goes.

685
00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:29,640
Speaker 1: So sure, So yeah, I would say Baylor being seven

686
00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:33,280
Speaker 1: point dogs at home trappy, We'll see.

687
00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:37,400
Speaker 2: That is just how it goes. Uh. But yeah, what

688
00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:41,040
Speaker 2: Poise State was a disaster as we kind of predicted

689
00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:45,040
Speaker 2: a lot of defensive holes and that offensive coordinator change.

690
00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:46,560
Speaker 2: They got a good quick there.

691
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:50,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, Texas State scored on every possession inside the forty.

692
00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:52,719
Speaker 1: Baylor's defense has not improved whatsoever, even though we've had

693
00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:57,760
Speaker 1: a change of defensive coordinator. You know, they did stuff

694
00:37:57,840 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 1: sixteen of thirty eight runs from Texas State, which is

695
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:02,040
Speaker 1: well above national average, but it was the passing downs

696
00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:04,840
Speaker 1: where they just absolutely got torched. Fifty three percent success

697
00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:08,920
Speaker 1: rate for Texas State in passing downs, twenty percent above

698
00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:14,160
Speaker 1: national average, so remarkable. The defense hasn't improved it all

699
00:38:14,200 --> 00:38:14,640
Speaker 1: for Baylor.

700
00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, And in regards to Utah, I mean you want

701
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:21,359
Speaker 2: to keep it in mind. I mean Wisconsin getting Beth

702
00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:24,560
Speaker 2: with Scots they won by twenty one. Throw another a

703
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:28,640
Speaker 2: game in the into the CLV bonfire there. I fortunately

704
00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:32,319
Speaker 2: didn't get Wisconsin under twenty four like you did when

705
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:34,880
Speaker 2: we were talking about it. Line got away from me,

706
00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:39,080
Speaker 2: so then I didn't end up betting it. And it goes,

707
00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:41,640
Speaker 2: it closes at twenty nine and I showed no more

708
00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:43,640
Speaker 2: value in it and then they don't cover. So I

709
00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:46,360
Speaker 2: got saved there because I liked it like you under

710
00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:49,759
Speaker 2: at twenty four or below. But you know, there was

711
00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:53,399
Speaker 2: some there's a lot of changes in Wisconsin's another team,

712
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:56,040
Speaker 2: just the complete changes there. Sometimes there's going to be

713
00:38:56,080 --> 00:38:58,200
Speaker 2: some growing pains earlier. Sometimes teams are going to be

714
00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:02,080
Speaker 2: ahead of the curve early on. But yeah, it was

715
00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:05,439
Speaker 2: unfortunate that Wisconsin couldn't get to the window for those

716
00:39:05,600 --> 00:39:08,480
Speaker 2: especially that got the good number early on. But that's

717
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:10,799
Speaker 2: just the way it goes. Just he didn't move on

718
00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:12,000
Speaker 2: all right, let's finish up.

719
00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:16,279
Speaker 14: This is Adam, your friend in Rehobt Beach, Jelaware. Just

720
00:39:16,520 --> 00:39:20,320
Speaker 14: curious how all your guys are doing with your North

721
00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:26,520
Speaker 14: Texas tickets considering literally everyone in the Action Network said,

722
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:29,040
Speaker 14: oh yeah, if they're not going to cover, they're at

723
00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:33,000
Speaker 14: least going to win outright. And then all I'm seeing

724
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:36,279
Speaker 14: as I'm at work checking on the app, it's just

725
00:39:36,719 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 14: how marching up and down the field at will, scoring

726
00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:45,680
Speaker 14: at will. Just curious, how do you guys feel about

727
00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:48,600
Speaker 14: that one? Love you guys very much. Didn't really help

728
00:39:48,640 --> 00:39:49,560
Speaker 14: me out this week.

729
00:39:50,080 --> 00:39:52,959
Speaker 1: Well, I mean Ben Finley twenty four or thirty four

730
00:39:53,120 --> 00:39:56,880
Speaker 1: one TD two hundred and seventy nine yards. My handicap

731
00:39:56,960 --> 00:40:00,560
Speaker 1: was that Sam Jackson couldn't play quarterback now and that

732
00:40:00,640 --> 00:40:03,319
Speaker 1: offense was pretty stagnant until Ben Finley took over, and

733
00:40:03,360 --> 00:40:05,320
Speaker 1: then they went absolutely nuts and Jade not by the

734
00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:07,320
Speaker 1: way twenty yards one hundred and eighty eight nine point

735
00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:09,560
Speaker 1: four per carry, and saying he had a couple.

736
00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:11,040
Speaker 2: Of explosive fronts. I mean, no one, no one. I

737
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:13,680
Speaker 2: don't think anyone expected the North Texas defense to be

738
00:40:13,680 --> 00:40:16,360
Speaker 2: any good. But I mean, they suck. But I expected

739
00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:20,200
Speaker 2: North Texas offense to be better. And my thoughts were

740
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:22,120
Speaker 2: in their game. We already covered it earlier. I thought

741
00:40:22,160 --> 00:40:24,680
Speaker 2: they would cover, which is why I bet them, but

742
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:27,680
Speaker 2: they didn't. I was wrong. I will be wrong millions

743
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:30,879
Speaker 2: of times throughout the rest of my life. But yeah,

744
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:32,480
Speaker 2: sadly we couldn't get that under the window. All right,

745
00:40:32,520 --> 00:40:34,680
Speaker 2: Moving on for a while, I shout out Rehoboth Beach

746
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:38,840
Speaker 2: and uh spent many a summers in nearby Dewey.

747
00:40:39,560 --> 00:40:45,680
Speaker 19: I'm here watching this absolute despicable performance from North Texas.

748
00:40:45,920 --> 00:40:50,040
Speaker 19: Y'all were all this week and they come out here

749
00:40:50,239 --> 00:40:53,560
Speaker 19: and they can't make a tackle. They look like a

750
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:57,440
Speaker 19: pee week football team on defense. They're not even given effort.

751
00:40:57,640 --> 00:41:01,439
Speaker 19: This is despicable. You should be a barrister yourself, call

752
00:41:01,520 --> 00:41:03,040
Speaker 19: yourself a culturable expert.

753
00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:04,200
Speaker 6: I'm just kidding.

754
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:07,120
Speaker 19: I love the show boys, love the picks, but this

755
00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:10,000
Speaker 19: one I hammered it, and it's hammered me back. We

756
00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:12,400
Speaker 19: have to be better.

757
00:41:12,560 --> 00:41:24,520
Speaker 16: In North Texas, Colorado, State USF You math great week one.

758
00:41:24,880 --> 00:41:28,360
Speaker 16: Glad I place these bets early because Dan that closing

759
00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:33,839
Speaker 16: line value really made up different Oly. What a great

760
00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:35,160
Speaker 16: weekend to start the year.

761
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:38,879
Speaker 2: All right. I would say, you know, by the way,

762
00:41:38,960 --> 00:41:41,320
Speaker 2: like I said, the closing my value on some of

763
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:44,239
Speaker 2: these it's one week. That's like if a favorites have

764
00:41:44,280 --> 00:41:47,600
Speaker 2: a big week and you're like, I'm never betting underdogs again.

765
00:41:48,160 --> 00:41:50,080
Speaker 2: I promise you that if you beat the clothes in

766
00:41:50,120 --> 00:41:55,279
Speaker 2: the market over time, you especially across key numbers, you're

767
00:41:55,360 --> 00:41:58,840
Speaker 2: gonna hit sixty to sixty five percent against the spread,

768
00:41:58,920 --> 00:42:01,040
Speaker 2: but you need a huge samples. Sometimes doesn't work out.

769
00:42:01,400 --> 00:42:04,400
Speaker 2: Sometimes you're gonna get beat by the market across the

770
00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:07,240
Speaker 2: key number, have the worst number and cover it happens.

771
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:09,759
Speaker 2: Don't over react one week. Keep that in mind. I

772
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:12,920
Speaker 2: would rate the voicemails this week a one out of ten.

773
00:42:13,040 --> 00:42:15,520
Speaker 2: You guys can be better than this. It was very

774
00:42:15,600 --> 00:42:17,239
Speaker 2: not a lot of now get I get it. Like

775
00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:19,359
Speaker 2: the biggest game was last night. There wasn't any any

776
00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:25,719
Speaker 2: of the ranked matchups, just the energy, the humor. It

777
00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:28,239
Speaker 2: wasn't there, So no Caller of the Week. I'll give

778
00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:30,279
Speaker 2: away prizes in the future, but I know you guys

779
00:42:30,280 --> 00:42:32,640
Speaker 2: are just getting warmed up when we start slow Week one.

780
00:42:32,719 --> 00:42:35,560
Speaker 2: It's not that exciting. It was slate, so we got

781
00:42:35,560 --> 00:42:39,239
Speaker 2: a little couple jabs in there. But I know you guys.

782
00:42:39,280 --> 00:42:41,879
Speaker 2: I know you guys can do better. So we'll see

783
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:45,240
Speaker 2: next week. Maybe I'll double up the prize for Caller

784
00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:49,359
Speaker 2: of the Week, but we'll we'll get better as the

785
00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:52,120
Speaker 2: season goes on, as I'm sure you guys will on

786
00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:58,839
Speaker 2: the voicemails, all right, Colin, anything else? You know, there

787
00:42:58,880 --> 00:43:02,080
Speaker 2: wasn't a lot of more key games, so I don't

788
00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:04,640
Speaker 2: really have much else to talk about. Well, like I said,

789
00:43:04,640 --> 00:43:07,319
Speaker 2: we'll be back later in the week. We'll cover the

790
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:15,399
Speaker 2: entire Week two slate for Saturday, some a lot more

791
00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:19,360
Speaker 2: marquee matchups, and we'll learn even more this upcoming week.

792
00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:21,680
Speaker 2: We'll obviously be watching the market keep an eye on

793
00:43:21,680 --> 00:43:25,040
Speaker 2: the Action Network app for any bets that we put in.

794
00:43:25,280 --> 00:43:27,640
Speaker 2: But any other games that you wanted to touch on

795
00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:28,440
Speaker 2: that we didn't get to.

796
00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:31,600
Speaker 1: No, not from week one. I think I think we

797
00:43:31,920 --> 00:43:33,800
Speaker 1: definitely have enough of a resume to go ahead and

798
00:43:33,840 --> 00:43:36,960
Speaker 1: start piecing together. Week two, Alabama Texas is going to

799
00:43:36,960 --> 00:43:39,440
Speaker 1: be fired. Nebraska Colorado might be even bigger. I can't

800
00:43:39,480 --> 00:43:42,279
Speaker 1: believe I'm saying that about two teams that might not

801
00:43:42,320 --> 00:43:44,799
Speaker 1: even make a ball. But I don't know who gets

802
00:43:44,840 --> 00:43:48,080
Speaker 1: more hoopla this week, Dionn and corn or Alabama and Texas.

803
00:43:48,080 --> 00:43:48,520
Speaker 1: We'll see.

804
00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:51,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, we do have to talk about the game tonight,

805
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:57,160
Speaker 2: Clemson and Duke. Duke is a thirteen point home underdog

806
00:43:57,440 --> 00:43:59,959
Speaker 2: total sitting at fifty five and a half against clem.

807
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:06,120
Speaker 2: One of the biggest coordinator changes of the offseason took

808
00:44:06,160 --> 00:44:13,200
Speaker 2: place in Clemson with Debo, you know, going outside of

809
00:44:13,239 --> 00:44:17,400
Speaker 2: his house and bringing in Garrett Riley from TCU to

810
00:44:17,520 --> 00:44:20,719
Speaker 2: jumpstart that offense. We saw a lot of other offenses

811
00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:25,480
Speaker 2: across the country benefit from some coordinator changes. Clemson is

812
00:44:25,520 --> 00:44:33,920
Speaker 2: hoping for the same. Duke meanwhile, a massive improvement last year.

813
00:44:34,480 --> 00:44:39,160
Speaker 2: Talk about reaping the benefits from a coaching change. Mike

814
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:43,920
Speaker 2: Galko comes in and they had a tremendous season in

815
00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:47,800
Speaker 2: his first year in Drham. They did get pretty damn

816
00:44:47,840 --> 00:44:51,560
Speaker 2: fortunate across the board. If you dig into some of

817
00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:54,960
Speaker 2: the advanced metrics, the turnovers, the close games, so they're

818
00:44:54,960 --> 00:44:59,120
Speaker 2: definitely there's certainly a potential negative regression candidate. But there's

819
00:44:59,160 --> 00:45:02,920
Speaker 2: no question that the defense improved. I mean this was

820
00:45:02,920 --> 00:45:07,240
Speaker 2: a sieve, an absolute sieve two years ago. Team couldn't

821
00:45:07,239 --> 00:45:10,400
Speaker 2: stop a nosebleed. And there's also no question that they

822
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:14,319
Speaker 2: have a very talented quarterback in Riley Leonard. I will

823
00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:17,120
Speaker 2: note that one of his key receivers, Eli Pankell, he's out,

824
00:45:17,360 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 2: probably for the season. I think that's a bigger loss

825
00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:24,160
Speaker 2: than many are talking about. This game is very hard

826
00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:26,480
Speaker 2: to predict because it's, Okay, what is the Clemson offense?

827
00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:28,440
Speaker 2: How long is it going to take to get up

828
00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:31,759
Speaker 2: the speed? Big changes Obviously, I think we both agree

829
00:45:31,800 --> 00:45:35,360
Speaker 2: that it's a net positive. I expect the Clemson defense

830
00:45:35,440 --> 00:45:40,400
Speaker 2: overall to be better. I trust Elco in that defense. Ultimately,

831
00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:44,759
Speaker 2: over fifty five, I kind of lean under here, what

832
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:45,239
Speaker 2: do you say?

833
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:47,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you. Actually I was thinking first

834
00:45:47,400 --> 00:45:50,560
Speaker 1: half under, second half over. And the reason for that

835
00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:53,480
Speaker 1: is two of the biggest havoc makers and the top

836
00:45:53,520 --> 00:45:56,840
Speaker 1: two tacklers, and Darius Joyner and Shaka Hayward, they're not

837
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:59,839
Speaker 1: returning to this Dukee defense and they provided eleven PB

838
00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:02,359
Speaker 1: use and eight tackles for loss, So you're losing a

839
00:46:02,520 --> 00:46:05,960
Speaker 1: large chunk of havoc. Can they be replaced? Sure? From

840
00:46:06,040 --> 00:46:07,120
Speaker 1: game one? I'm not sure.

841
00:46:07,200 --> 00:46:07,319
Speaker 6: Now.

842
00:46:07,320 --> 00:46:09,200
Speaker 1: The other thing that bothers me on the Clemson side

843
00:46:09,440 --> 00:46:11,280
Speaker 1: is that Garrett Riley is going to go four wide

844
00:46:12,000 --> 00:46:14,439
Speaker 1: verts down the field with a heavy running attack. Well,

845
00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:16,359
Speaker 1: that kind of leads me into first half under because

846
00:46:16,360 --> 00:46:20,240
Speaker 1: he's gonna start off wanting to run with MafA and

847
00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:22,320
Speaker 1: and Shipley and that you know, that's Duke's gonna have

848
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:24,399
Speaker 1: to contend with that in the box. I'm not sure

849
00:46:24,440 --> 00:46:27,680
Speaker 1: we see Garrett Riley taking shots down field until maybe

850
00:46:27,680 --> 00:46:28,960
Speaker 1: we get to the third quarter or at least a

851
00:46:29,000 --> 00:46:31,680
Speaker 1: couple possessions. Because one thing that I've had questions with

852
00:46:32,120 --> 00:46:36,960
Speaker 1: is this receiving core for Clemson. Like who is number four? Right?

853
00:46:37,120 --> 00:46:39,360
Speaker 1: I mean it's like, I know Antonio Williams is a stapler,

854
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:42,719
Speaker 1: I know Bo Collins is a staple here. But after that,

855
00:46:42,800 --> 00:46:46,200
Speaker 1: who's lining up in you know, vertical number three and

856
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:48,400
Speaker 1: number four? I don't know? And so I like the

857
00:46:48,400 --> 00:46:51,239
Speaker 1: first half under here, either the second half over or

858
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:52,839
Speaker 1: maybe a live over. But that's the way that I'm

859
00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:53,279
Speaker 1: going to look.

860
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:55,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm still not sold. I look up. We both

861
00:46:55,200 --> 00:46:57,480
Speaker 2: love Riley, but I'm still not sold on this Clemson

862
00:46:57,800 --> 00:47:00,840
Speaker 2: wide receiver room for either from from a depth and

863
00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:06,680
Speaker 2: just overall elite talent standpoint. So I think I might

864
00:47:06,760 --> 00:47:10,560
Speaker 2: dabble with the under here and if necessary, hopefully someone

865
00:47:10,719 --> 00:47:15,960
Speaker 2: takes a goddamn knee if need be, Holy Moly, all right,

866
00:47:16,000 --> 00:47:19,840
Speaker 2: that'll do it for the first couple of segments. Colin

867
00:47:20,080 --> 00:47:25,919
Speaker 2: is gonna finish us up with a week two look

868
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:29,520
Speaker 2: ahead segment talking about some of the lines that he likes.

869
00:47:29,560 --> 00:47:32,440
Speaker 2: It's very I'm always intrigued. That's a new season to

870
00:47:32,600 --> 00:47:38,400
Speaker 2: watch the market and how when some of these things open,

871
00:47:38,600 --> 00:47:41,600
Speaker 2: how much more efficient it gets. And it's sort of

872
00:47:41,719 --> 00:47:44,879
Speaker 2: also like the FCS market that's always changing, is coming

873
00:47:44,920 --> 00:47:47,440
Speaker 2: out later and later. There's a lot of copying that

874
00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:51,400
Speaker 2: goes on out there when it comes to odds making,

875
00:47:51,520 --> 00:47:53,640
Speaker 2: So who's going to be first to market and then

876
00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:56,719
Speaker 2: usually see a lot of the same lines then pop

877
00:47:56,840 --> 00:47:59,680
Speaker 2: up elsewhere. But the market's always going to be changing

878
00:48:00,120 --> 00:48:02,319
Speaker 2: of it is driven by people, right, So you take

879
00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 2: take a look at the Action Network app. And we

880
00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:09,920
Speaker 2: started this seven years ago from engineers who left Yahoo

881
00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:12,440
Speaker 2: to start this event, you know, and you see a

882
00:48:12,480 --> 00:48:15,040
Speaker 2: bunch of other pick tracking apps out there, you know,

883
00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:19,600
Speaker 2: with awful UI and and you know, YadA YadA, but eventually.

884
00:48:19,560 --> 00:48:21,400
Speaker 1: Allowing their experts to de lead plays.

885
00:48:22,600 --> 00:48:27,120
Speaker 2: Eventually, the eventually those things will get better and the

886
00:48:27,160 --> 00:48:31,240
Speaker 2: market continues. Then there's competition. The market continues to evolve

887
00:48:31,320 --> 00:48:35,440
Speaker 2: and get more efficient, and it's uh, there's a lot

888
00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:38,520
Speaker 2: of parallels to many different industries, but always watching to

889
00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:40,759
Speaker 2: see how much more efficient some of these openers get.

890
00:48:40,960 --> 00:48:44,719
Speaker 2: And definitely one of the most fascinating side stories for

891
00:48:44,840 --> 00:48:48,480
Speaker 2: me going into any sports season. But Colin is gonna

892
00:48:48,680 --> 00:48:51,120
Speaker 2: finish us up, finish us out with some of his

893
00:48:51,160 --> 00:48:53,560
Speaker 2: look aheads, and we will be back. Like I said, Brett,

894
00:48:53,640 --> 00:48:57,640
Speaker 2: Colin and I more laid back show for those new

895
00:48:57,760 --> 00:49:01,239
Speaker 2: the new BCS. We do some trivia, talk about some futures,

896
00:49:01,280 --> 00:49:03,640
Speaker 2: and if there is any midweek college football, we'll cover

897
00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:06,840
Speaker 2: it on that show that'll be out every Tuesday morning

898
00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:10,160
Speaker 2: starting next week. And like I said before, Mike and

899
00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:12,400
Speaker 2: Mike with the Group of five preview, make sure you

900
00:49:12,480 --> 00:49:14,080
Speaker 2: check those guys out to do a tremendous job. A

901
00:49:14,120 --> 00:49:17,600
Speaker 2: little shorter episode thirty to forty five minutes, and then

902
00:49:17,600 --> 00:49:20,120
Speaker 2: Colin and I will be back later in the week

903
00:49:20,480 --> 00:49:24,799
Speaker 2: with an in depth preview for week two. It's time

904
00:49:24,840 --> 00:49:29,680
Speaker 2: for me to go get cracking. Don't forget about the

905
00:49:29,920 --> 00:49:35,240
Speaker 2: NFL preview, the Action Network podcast with myself and Chris Raybond.

906
00:49:35,320 --> 00:49:38,080
Speaker 2: A lot of other great content there as well. So

907
00:49:38,120 --> 00:49:42,319
Speaker 2: we'll have our first NFL preview out Thursday morning. This

908
00:49:42,920 --> 00:49:45,960
Speaker 2: week two college fortball preview will be out Friday morning.

909
00:49:46,600 --> 00:49:51,960
Speaker 2: We are in full swing. Hope everyone had a wonderful

910
00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:55,279
Speaker 2: Labor Day weekend. If you lost some money, let it go.

911
00:49:55,480 --> 00:49:58,480
Speaker 2: It's a long season, no need to tilt. Let's have

912
00:49:58,520 --> 00:50:00,080
Speaker 2: a huge season. It's time for me to go on

913
00:50:00,160 --> 00:50:02,640
Speaker 2: some winners column. Take us home.

914
00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:05,439
Speaker 1: All right, guys, let's have our look aheadline for week two.

915
00:50:05,600 --> 00:50:08,040
Speaker 1: This is being recorded on Monday, so when I cite

916
00:50:08,040 --> 00:50:10,439
Speaker 1: the lines, they'll probably move by the time this comes out.

917
00:50:11,160 --> 00:50:12,920
Speaker 1: But I'm going to try to do this every Sunday.

918
00:50:13,360 --> 00:50:15,560
Speaker 1: Put together what I'm putting in the app, what I'm

919
00:50:15,600 --> 00:50:17,960
Speaker 1: putting money on early, where I expect the line to go.

920
00:50:18,520 --> 00:50:20,400
Speaker 1: And I think first we have to start off with Colorado.

921
00:50:20,480 --> 00:50:22,080
Speaker 1: I did take a money line number on them. I

922
00:50:22,080 --> 00:50:23,920
Speaker 1: would take it up to minus one thirty. This is

923
00:50:23,920 --> 00:50:25,520
Speaker 1: going to dip, and the problem is that you're gonna

924
00:50:25,520 --> 00:50:27,640
Speaker 1: get a lot of pro action that says there's no

925
00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:29,680
Speaker 1: way Colorado should be moved this much. So you're going

926
00:50:29,719 --> 00:50:31,760
Speaker 1: to see three and a halves and fours get pounded

927
00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:34,000
Speaker 1: by sharps, and you're going to see public money come

928
00:50:34,000 --> 00:50:35,360
Speaker 1: in at the end of the week and just pile

929
00:50:35,400 --> 00:50:38,520
Speaker 1: in on this Colorado team. So where this game ultimately

930
00:50:38,600 --> 00:50:42,720
Speaker 1: lands is kind of a mystery with Nebraska and Colorado

931
00:50:42,760 --> 00:50:46,239
Speaker 1: because we're all still trying to get our bearings on

932
00:50:46,280 --> 00:50:48,200
Speaker 1: how good Colorado is. Now. I am not going to

933
00:50:48,239 --> 00:50:50,600
Speaker 1: fade them. I think that they're way too explosive. We'll

934
00:50:50,600 --> 00:50:52,280
Speaker 1: see what they can do in the trench, because Nebraska

935
00:50:52,320 --> 00:50:54,160
Speaker 1: is actually pretty good in the trench against Minnesota. But

936
00:50:54,200 --> 00:50:55,799
Speaker 1: I will take Colorado on a pick. I would take

937
00:50:55,840 --> 00:50:58,120
Speaker 1: it to minus one thirty. Looks like right now as

938
00:50:58,120 --> 00:51:00,480
Speaker 1: I'm recording this, there's some minus two and a halves there,

939
00:51:01,600 --> 00:51:04,279
Speaker 1: So I would take that probably to three if you're

940
00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:06,919
Speaker 1: going to beat Colorado this week. After that, I did

941
00:51:06,960 --> 00:51:10,800
Speaker 1: take a Purdue Virginia Tech under fifty one and a half.

942
00:51:10,960 --> 00:51:13,600
Speaker 1: As I'm recording this were down to fifty to fifteen

943
00:51:13,560 --> 00:51:16,359
Speaker 1: and a half out there. There's a lot of precipitation

944
00:51:16,480 --> 00:51:19,760
Speaker 1: and win coming to the East coast. In the Midwest

945
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:22,440
Speaker 1: two in the parts of Kansas there's going to be

946
00:51:22,440 --> 00:51:24,399
Speaker 1: some rain. And then also in Faate but there's gonna

947
00:51:24,400 --> 00:51:26,160
Speaker 1: be some rain too, So keep your eyes open on

948
00:51:26,200 --> 00:51:28,960
Speaker 1: the forecast this week, especially things that are on the

949
00:51:28,960 --> 00:51:30,960
Speaker 1: East coast, all the way up and down from Massachusetts

950
00:51:30,960 --> 00:51:32,680
Speaker 1: down to Florida, there should be a lot of rain

951
00:51:32,719 --> 00:51:34,280
Speaker 1: and some winds, So keep an eye on the totals

952
00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:36,799
Speaker 1: there after that Syracuse so they don't have to worry

953
00:51:36,800 --> 00:51:39,399
Speaker 1: about it. They're playing in a dome that number. As

954
00:51:39,400 --> 00:51:41,919
Speaker 1: I am sitting here speaking, I took it last night

955
00:51:41,960 --> 00:51:43,520
Speaker 1: twenty and a half. It's already up to twenty three,

956
00:51:43,600 --> 00:51:46,640
Speaker 1: twenty four. This is a game I make twenty six.

957
00:51:46,719 --> 00:51:49,600
Speaker 1: Western Michigan not looking good in their open or whatsoever.

958
00:51:50,360 --> 00:51:52,960
Speaker 1: They're going to have some serious issues here containing the

959
00:51:53,040 --> 00:51:55,680
Speaker 1: Syracuse offense that looked elite. I know it was against

960
00:51:55,719 --> 00:51:59,960
Speaker 1: a cupcake FFCF school, but Syracuse offense didn't have any

961
00:52:00,080 --> 00:52:03,080
Speaker 1: apps and available yards. Another one that we're going to

962
00:52:03,120 --> 00:52:06,280
Speaker 1: look at is Florida Atlantic I took it at minus

963
00:52:06,280 --> 00:52:07,719
Speaker 1: four and a half. It's a number that I would

964
00:52:07,760 --> 00:52:10,480
Speaker 1: take all the way up to double digits. Floridatlantic minus

965
00:52:10,520 --> 00:52:15,080
Speaker 1: eleven going up against Ohio. Ohio looked just dreadful in

966
00:52:15,120 --> 00:52:18,879
Speaker 1: their game this past weekend against FCS No, you know,

967
00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 1: no roarckaround. It's going to be tough for their offense

968
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:24,240
Speaker 1: to keep going. Casey Thompson had five tds in the opener,

969
00:52:24,560 --> 00:52:26,960
Speaker 1: so that's going to be trouble for an Ohio defense

970
00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:31,200
Speaker 1: that struggled with Long Island having multiple methodical drives. So

971
00:52:32,440 --> 00:52:35,560
Speaker 1: definitely Florida Atlantic. I would take that up to double digits.

972
00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:37,840
Speaker 1: Oh you I took it minus thirteen and a half.

973
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:39,400
Speaker 1: That's been whacked. I would take it all the way

974
00:52:39,440 --> 00:52:41,000
Speaker 1: up to eighteen. Looks like we're saying at sixteen and

975
00:52:41,000 --> 00:52:43,799
Speaker 1: a half. I would still take that against smu here

976
00:52:44,719 --> 00:52:47,720
Speaker 1: and then Minnesota going up Againstastern Michigan. Eastern Michigan allowed

977
00:52:47,760 --> 00:52:51,920
Speaker 1: Howard to have above average success rate in passing plays.

978
00:52:52,040 --> 00:52:54,560
Speaker 1: That is not going to be good against Minnesota, who

979
00:52:54,600 --> 00:52:58,719
Speaker 1: as you saw, they struggled offensively. I think you know

980
00:52:59,160 --> 00:53:02,520
Speaker 1: Ethan aliac mannis found his wide receivers at the end,

981
00:53:02,600 --> 00:53:04,440
Speaker 1: you saw what Daniel Jackson there with a big highlight

982
00:53:04,440 --> 00:53:07,359
Speaker 1: against Nebraska once they figured out that passing offense more,

983
00:53:07,480 --> 00:53:10,320
Speaker 1: Minnesota will get more explosive. But that's a good combination

984
00:53:10,360 --> 00:53:14,560
Speaker 1: against Eastern Michigan really struggled to contain explosive passing from Howard.

985
00:53:15,280 --> 00:53:18,400
Speaker 1: So look at that there. And then finally Stanford and

986
00:53:18,680 --> 00:53:20,600
Speaker 1: USC I took it over sixty nine and a half.

987
00:53:20,640 --> 00:53:23,000
Speaker 1: That's up to seventy two early here in the market.

988
00:53:23,080 --> 00:53:27,080
Speaker 1: I don't see room for that to stop. I would

989
00:53:27,120 --> 00:53:30,760
Speaker 1: certainly venture to say that you would want to possibly

990
00:53:30,800 --> 00:53:33,239
Speaker 1: get this as low as you can, but I don't

991
00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:36,080
Speaker 1: see this stopping. From an over perspective, I would see

992
00:53:36,080 --> 00:53:39,520
Speaker 1: this eclipsing seventy three, maybe touching seventy four. There's no

993
00:53:39,560 --> 00:53:41,520
Speaker 1: stop to where this line is going to go. Stanford

994
00:53:41,600 --> 00:53:43,200
Speaker 1: USC probably going to be the fastest game of the

995
00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:45,160
Speaker 1: week and the most points scored of the week. And

996
00:53:45,160 --> 00:53:47,479
Speaker 1: then finally the last one. I love yukon this week

997
00:53:47,480 --> 00:53:49,960
Speaker 1: to upset Georgia State got him at plus three and

998
00:53:49,960 --> 00:53:52,360
Speaker 1: a half. I'd expect that number to keep on coming down.

999
00:53:52,600 --> 00:53:55,800
Speaker 1: Georgia State struggled big time with Rhode Island. Rhode Island

1000
00:53:55,840 --> 00:53:59,080
Speaker 1: had multiple explosive drives and methodical drives. They had nine

1001
00:53:59,160 --> 00:54:02,960
Speaker 1: explosive pass against the Georgia State defense. I love you

1002
00:54:03,000 --> 00:54:06,080
Speaker 1: con here. Make it a pick Joseph Fanano. I expect

1003
00:54:06,160 --> 00:54:08,040
Speaker 1: him to have just a day getting behind the Georgia

1004
00:54:08,040 --> 00:54:09,839
Speaker 1: State defensive. Rhode Island can do it and have nine

1005
00:54:09,920 --> 00:54:13,040
Speaker 1: explosive passes. I expect Ukon to be able to do

1006
00:54:13,080 --> 00:54:14,640
Speaker 1: the same. All right, that's it for your look at

1007
00:54:14,680 --> 00:54:17,800
Speaker 1: market report on week two. Good luck, all right, Thanks Colin.

1008
00:54:18,000 --> 00:54:22,440
Speaker 2: Did want to jump in and remind everyone to make

1009
00:54:22,440 --> 00:54:27,080
Speaker 2: sure you subscribe, unsubscribe, subscribe, leave a review. Five star reviews.

1010
00:54:27,080 --> 00:54:28,680
Speaker 2: They really help us out. I saw a bunch of

1011
00:54:28,719 --> 00:54:29,080
Speaker 2: you guys.

1012
00:54:29,080 --> 00:54:29,359
Speaker 1: Do it.

1013
00:54:29,560 --> 00:54:32,480
Speaker 2: You're on the list for a giveaway. We'll do a

1014
00:54:32,520 --> 00:54:35,840
Speaker 2: bunch of giveaways probably next week or so, but I

1015
00:54:35,840 --> 00:54:38,279
Speaker 2: appreciate all of you. Really helps us out, especially early

1016
00:54:38,320 --> 00:54:41,160
Speaker 2: in the season. If you've already left a review, are

1017
00:54:41,280 --> 00:54:43,919
Speaker 2: your friend or your mom, your wife, your sister's phone

1018
00:54:43,920 --> 00:54:47,000
Speaker 2: and leave another one. Doesn't matter what you say. Can

1019
00:54:47,040 --> 00:54:48,879
Speaker 2: curse out James Franklin as long as it's a five

1020
00:54:48,920 --> 00:54:51,799
Speaker 2: star review. Does really help us out. Thanks to our

1021
00:54:51,800 --> 00:54:54,200
Speaker 2: sponsor BETEMGM. Thanks as always to Colin, thanks of course

1022
00:54:54,200 --> 00:54:56,839
Speaker 2: to all of you, and don't forget about our audio

1023
00:54:56,920 --> 00:54:59,439
Speaker 2: video producers on the back of their tremendous job. We

1024
00:54:59,640 --> 00:55:02,640
Speaker 2: will catch y'all later in the week. Cheers.

1025
00:55:03,000 --> 00:55:03,720
Speaker 1: Peace Out.

1026
00:55:15,560 --> 00:55:19,000
Speaker 12: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1027
00:55:19,400 --> 00:55:22,240
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1028
00:55:22,520 --> 00:55:25,120
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1029
00:55:25,239 --> 00:55:26,040
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler