1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney alongside 2 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:06,920 Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring 3 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along 4 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 1: with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets podcast 5 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:18,439 Speaker 1: called Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and 6 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:21,959 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. Well, our next guest 7 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:25,240 Speaker 1: is I'm gonna call the All Big ten team. Undergraduate 8 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:29,160 Speaker 1: degree from University of Wisconsin and then an MBA from Indiana, 9 00:00:29,200 --> 00:00:33,840 Speaker 1: Greg Han. He's the chief ce IO of Winthrop Capital Management. Greg, 10 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 1: we kind of got a FED yesterday that kind of 11 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 1: threw some I guess some uncertainty into this market. Is 12 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:42,559 Speaker 1: talking about maybe being a little bit more hawkish. What 13 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:44,840 Speaker 1: did you take away from yesterday's trading and then today's 14 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:47,480 Speaker 1: seemingly kind of rebound here on a risk on Look, 15 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,479 Speaker 1: what are your thoughts? Good old days? We're going back 16 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:52,880 Speaker 1: to the good old days because the Fed, the FED 17 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 1: needs to get in front of inflation. So I think 18 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 1: the posturing that we're hearing now is one that UM 19 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 1: represents UM more of the committee, the committee's views, and 20 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:06,039 Speaker 1: there's a little bit more hawkish um in reminding investors 21 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:07,559 Speaker 1: that hey, we we don't have to move in twenty 22 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 1: five basiness point increments UM. But there's been a reticence, 23 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:13,960 Speaker 1: especially with the labor challenges that we're going through last year, 24 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 1: to actually message that two investors. We heard a very 25 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,119 Speaker 1: clear message from the Fed yesterday. We're going to take 26 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 1: the steps necessary that we have to to uh to 27 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 1: to move retired, to control inflation. In in Paul, They're 28 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 1: gonna they're going to implode the economy to do it. 29 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,480 Speaker 1: That's basically what the messages that were. If we have 30 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 1: to push the economy into a recession, we'll do it. 31 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:36,679 Speaker 1: That was the message we took away. We were just 32 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 1: talking with our chief rate strategy, our Jersey, who's um, 33 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:42,560 Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure we will have a recession, he said. 34 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:44,560 Speaker 1: The question is just what kind of recession are we 35 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 1: looking at? In three what's your out what's your outlook? Yeah, yeah, 36 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 1: we've shifted. You know. It's funny because we plan. We 37 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: we lay these big plans out at the beginning of 38 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 1: the year, here's our investment themes. And sure enough we 39 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 1: get to March and Wisconsin is not in the sweet 40 00:01:57,800 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 1: sixteen and I got it, so I gotta change that. 41 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 1: We've got to change our outlook on the economy. Uh, 42 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:05,040 Speaker 1: it's it's it's it's it's a whole brutal. But that's 43 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 1: what That's what investing is. You just have to shift, 44 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:09,679 Speaker 1: you do the next right thing. You can't just stick 45 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:11,680 Speaker 1: to your plan and say, Okay, I gotta I'm gonna 46 00:02:11,720 --> 00:02:13,359 Speaker 1: just die on the hill on this. We've we've got 47 00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 1: to be flexible at move um and we saw that 48 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 1: with Amicron last year. Um it we are. We We 49 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 1: thought that we'd see this resurgence and growth, but the 50 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 1: variant really put muted any economic growth that we were expecting. 51 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:29,520 Speaker 1: We thought it would get pushed into this year, but 52 00:02:29,560 --> 00:02:34,520 Speaker 1: the Russian invasion of Ukraine is going to provide serious 53 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 1: dislocation for Europe. So we're going to see inflation, We're 54 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:38,919 Speaker 1: gonna see a slowdown in Europe. It's going to impact 55 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:42,240 Speaker 1: the United States. The real issue that we're trying to 56 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:46,079 Speaker 1: navigate now is what we've we've dealt with globalization for 57 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:49,839 Speaker 1: over three decades. We're seeing we think we're moving back 58 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:52,520 Speaker 1: to the period where we have trading block block countries, 59 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 1: where you've got trading arrangements between block countries and the 60 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 1: w t O is almost neutered if we if major 61 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 1: countries have establish UM privileged trading relationships, so that that 62 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:06,799 Speaker 1: may be one of the consequences of the last four 63 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 1: years of trade issues with China and now with with 64 00:03:10,639 --> 00:03:14,400 Speaker 1: what we're doing with russ all right, So with that backdrop, Greg, 65 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:17,639 Speaker 1: what's an investor to do when this rising interest rate 66 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 1: and inflation environment? Where do you go? Hold on? So 67 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:23,680 Speaker 1: this is this is this is because you have to 68 00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: just be patient and hold on. We've had We've got 69 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 1: to remind it. Look, we've had three great years in 70 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:32,080 Speaker 1: the sp average returns an SP of over the last 71 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 1: three years. We're giving some of it back cashes and 72 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 1: an asset class. So we actually are allocated to cash 73 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 1: just to just to be transitional. UM. These are near 74 00:03:41,840 --> 00:03:44,920 Speaker 1: term issues. Yes, cash is not keeping up with inflation. 75 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:47,440 Speaker 1: We get that, we know that, but it's right now, 76 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:50,120 Speaker 1: it's not meant to it's it's there to preserve capital. 77 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 1: At the end of the day, this is a stock 78 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 1: pickers market, so we want to sure that we're in 79 00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 1: good companies that have good revenue drivers. And UM fixed 80 00:03:58,320 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 1: income is getting a lot more interesting with two and 81 00:04:01,640 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 1: you know twenty on the tenure that that starts to 82 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:08,680 Speaker 1: make a lot of sense. Now, um, whether they actually 83 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 1: push whether the FET actually does push it higher. Yeah, 84 00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:17,679 Speaker 1: I mean, what do you think about that? That? Uh? 85 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 1: Right now we're looking at two thirty seven fifty two 86 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:23,480 Speaker 1: if you can believe it, just because it continues to soar, 87 00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 1: and that's true really across the curve. How high do 88 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 1: we get on the tenure? So we I mean we 89 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 1: we uh, we thought two would be a buffer just 90 00:04:35,880 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 1: just to get us to this point. I we don't 91 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:42,159 Speaker 1: see it going over three percent. The short end is 92 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 1: going to go higher. But I think that the posturing 93 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:47,159 Speaker 1: the economy will break. And then if if I don't 94 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 1: think the Fed's really going to risk that, um there 95 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 1: to really to We think the mistakes that the FED 96 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:55,159 Speaker 1: is going to do is they'll stop it doing just 97 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:57,600 Speaker 1: the next right thing, which was the pattern in the 98 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 1: nineteen seventies with the Federal Reserve really postponed really Curtailian inflation. 99 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:04,600 Speaker 1: It was only going far enough that it had to 100 00:05:04,600 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 1: to get control for that moment and it just kept 101 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 1: building up in the system. We think the same thing 102 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 1: is going to happen this time. Is the fed's not 103 00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:16,720 Speaker 1: going to do enough because we will it will be 104 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:19,440 Speaker 1: politically unpopular. And who buys the tenure here? When you 105 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:24,719 Speaker 1: get more for buying threes, fives and sevens. You know 106 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 1: who says I want to seven and at ten when 107 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 1: you can get two four at seven. Doesn't make any sense? Well, 108 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: the sad, the sad answer to that is that a 109 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:37,800 Speaker 1: lot of four oh one case and index funds are 110 00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 1: are our peg to the to the aggregate index, which 111 00:05:41,839 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 1: is required to buy the tenure. So I knew before 112 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 1: I asked the question, but I am sorry, no, no, 113 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 1: I get it. Yeah, it just seems um if you 114 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:53,760 Speaker 1: break it down to the most elementary terms, it doesn't 115 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:56,000 Speaker 1: make a lot of sense. But yeah, all right, Greg, 116 00:05:56,440 --> 00:05:58,719 Speaker 1: we appreciate you coming on here, Greg han Cee, I 117 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:01,880 Speaker 1: O Winthrop cap All Management giving us his thoughts on 118 00:06:01,920 --> 00:06:04,880 Speaker 1: the market. And again, seems like a consensus is kind 119 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 1: of building here for some type of recessionary environment. That's 120 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 1: kind of new, I mean in Atlanta, Wilson, certainly since 121 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 1: Jerome Powell went out with Constant Hunter yesterday and said, 122 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 1: you know, the buck stops here. By the way, we 123 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:22,279 Speaker 1: should wish Gregg and Wisconsin best of luck for next year. 124 00:06:22,640 --> 00:06:26,359 Speaker 1: We should yeah, okay, there's a basketball tournament every year. Okay, good, alright, 125 00:06:26,400 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 1: the duke invitation when I call it. You know, I 126 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:36,720 Speaker 1: got my uh my last car that I had to 127 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:38,599 Speaker 1: sell because I was moving back here and you can't 128 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 1: um import German cars from into the US. I made 129 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:46,320 Speaker 1: twenty five percent. I drove it for two years, I 130 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 1: put thirty thousand miles on it, and I made profit. 131 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:52,680 Speaker 1: Nice when I sold it. He's good for you. It's 132 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 1: the only time I've ever made money on a vehicle. 133 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:57,400 Speaker 1: Car trader. All right, let's see you can put some 134 00:06:57,400 --> 00:06:59,160 Speaker 1: money in the stock market today. You do pretty well. 135 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 1: The SMPS up one percent and as DAGs up. Robert Teeter, 136 00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:05,320 Speaker 1: head of Investment Policy and Strategy Group of Silver Cress 137 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 1: Asset Management, joins us. Robert, I'm not sure if I 138 00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:11,120 Speaker 1: should go into the used car business or stick with 139 00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 1: my stock portfolio. What do you tell on your clients, Well, 140 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 1: both have been pretty compelling over the over the past 141 00:07:17,080 --> 00:07:19,840 Speaker 1: year or so. That's that on the on the grain 142 00:07:19,880 --> 00:07:22,680 Speaker 1: spreader and the US autos are pretty interesting. But I 143 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 1: do think some of the youth thouto sales are slowing 144 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 1: down a little bit, so I'd say stick with stocks. 145 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 1: This has been a pretty challenging environment. But we do 146 00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:32,680 Speaker 1: think there's a strong undercurrent of earnings growth that's likely 147 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 1: to lead the way towards gains over the next year 148 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:38,120 Speaker 1: or two. But is that I mean, with double digit 149 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 1: inflation surely on the way um and a FED that 150 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:48,200 Speaker 1: is now ready to hike fifty basis points at multiple meetings, 151 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:52,440 Speaker 1: are you not concerned that this economic growth is going 152 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 1: to slow to a halt. Well, I think that's that's 153 00:07:56,160 --> 00:07:58,559 Speaker 1: been part of the challenge that markets have been working 154 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 1: through here with this choppiness of late, which has been 155 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 1: that there is a deceleration in growth. But I'm not 156 00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:06,320 Speaker 1: in the camp of of recession. I do think there's 157 00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 1: strong underlying growth to come, partly driven by COVID recovery 158 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:12,680 Speaker 1: and jobs recovery, and so I do think that will continue. 159 00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:14,280 Speaker 1: And while you will get a bit of the the 160 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:17,520 Speaker 1: energy cost tax on consumers that might slow the top 161 00:08:17,560 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 1: line rate of growth a little bit, there is still 162 00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 1: strong earnings growth and companies have been navigating this economy 163 00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: very well to deliver on those earnings in the in 164 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 1: the face of a lot of challenges in the past years. 165 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 1: My concern is just this, Robert, that we have a 166 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 1: federal reserve um. Now, I don't want to use the 167 00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:37,280 Speaker 1: term hell bent, but I can't think of a less 168 00:08:37,280 --> 00:08:40,760 Speaker 1: aggressive than would go for that one. Hell bent on 169 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 1: slowing demand at the same time, we're about to see 170 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 1: a bounce back in production and then inventories. Right, Yeah, 171 00:08:50,280 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 1: I do think that's right. I think that some of 172 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:55,480 Speaker 1: the comments by pal I think have been incorporated or 173 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:58,640 Speaker 1: or evaluated in a in a fairly optimistic way, and 174 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 1: that's what we're seeing in terms of the the green 175 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:03,600 Speaker 1: on the screen today because he has become and communicated 176 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:06,959 Speaker 1: and appropriately serious message against inflation. And so I think 177 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:09,480 Speaker 1: that that burst of activity that we had from from 178 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:12,319 Speaker 1: post COVID has led to a lot of the inflation. 179 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:14,960 Speaker 1: I think he's committed to fighting that now. But I 180 00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:17,120 Speaker 1: do think that part of the outcome of him being 181 00:09:17,160 --> 00:09:20,319 Speaker 1: a bit stronger is that you won't see inflation expectations 182 00:09:20,360 --> 00:09:22,960 Speaker 1: in the outer years continue to rise, and that I 183 00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:26,559 Speaker 1: think will be positive for investors and for valuations. So, Robert, 184 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:30,319 Speaker 1: you mentioned profitability earnings a couple of times. How concerned 185 00:09:30,400 --> 00:09:36,400 Speaker 1: argue about inflation pressuring profit margins in corporate America. Yeah, 186 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 1: I do think that's the that's the really important question, 187 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:41,320 Speaker 1: and I think in some areas it will pressure a bit. Um. 188 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 1: We've been of the mind that this market has been 189 00:09:43,760 --> 00:09:46,319 Speaker 1: one where you need to be very highly selective. Uh. 190 00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 1: It lends itself very well, we think to stock selection 191 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:52,320 Speaker 1: because different companies are are having different degrees of success 192 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 1: in managing through those supply chain problems and labor cost issues. 193 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:57,880 Speaker 1: By and large, when we've looked at the Russell one thousand, 194 00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:01,719 Speaker 1: overall margins have been very strong, improving somewhat, but it's 195 00:10:01,760 --> 00:10:04,320 Speaker 1: not a uniform picture beneath the surface, and so we 196 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:07,320 Speaker 1: do think it's important to focus your opportunities on where 197 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:11,199 Speaker 1: companies are managing to the problems and delivering on earnings. Yeah. 198 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:13,920 Speaker 1: And like we've been seeing today, if they deal with 199 00:10:13,960 --> 00:10:17,679 Speaker 1: the supply chain issues, well they are rewarded. Um. Who 200 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:21,680 Speaker 1: do you think is best positioned? Yeah, Well, we think 201 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:25,320 Speaker 1: that the technology sector, which is seen consistently strong earnings 202 00:10:25,320 --> 00:10:27,200 Speaker 1: and actually seen estimates go up a bit at the 203 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:29,720 Speaker 1: beginning of this year. UM, is one area. I do 204 00:10:29,760 --> 00:10:32,199 Speaker 1: think there are some segments in consumer, even though consumer 205 00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 1: earning estimates have come down a bit, there's still pretty 206 00:10:34,800 --> 00:10:37,320 Speaker 1: strong consumer demand in some areas, and then I think 207 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:39,320 Speaker 1: a few of the cyclical areas might still have a 208 00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:41,720 Speaker 1: few innings left of growth. So we think it's important 209 00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 1: to be diversified here and again really focus on which 210 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:46,520 Speaker 1: companies are getting the job done at the micro level. 211 00:10:46,559 --> 00:10:48,440 Speaker 1: And I think that's really the theme here. Macro has 212 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:50,439 Speaker 1: been dominating, and we think it's going to shift back 213 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:54,640 Speaker 1: to micro micro. UM. When I think growth, I guess 214 00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 1: I've just been conditioned over the last ten or twenty 215 00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:01,640 Speaker 1: years to think tech but cantect reform in a rising 216 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:04,480 Speaker 1: interest rate environment? I think it can. I think the 217 00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:07,280 Speaker 1: classic wisdom, like you say, is rates higher is not 218 00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:10,360 Speaker 1: necessarily good for multiples, and I think that's true. Um. However, 219 00:11:10,400 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 1: we have to consider the starting point as well, so 220 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 1: rates are still pretty low. Pre COVID we were around 221 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:17,960 Speaker 1: two percent. Two thousand eighteen, we were around three percent. 222 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 1: We're in the mid twos now. We think that could 223 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:22,480 Speaker 1: drift a little bit higher. UM. I think multiples can 224 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:24,840 Speaker 1: handle that as long as we have this runway for 225 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:27,280 Speaker 1: growth in front of us. In terms of outlook for earnings, 226 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 1: and again, earnings estimates have been going up in some 227 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:31,920 Speaker 1: some sectors and so we think that will help support 228 00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:36,880 Speaker 1: multiple So also alright, so um, in terms of fixed income, 229 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:39,920 Speaker 1: what do you say just stay away? Well, we stay 230 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:42,320 Speaker 1: stay conservative. So not a lot of duration, so not 231 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:44,760 Speaker 1: a lot of interest rate risk. Be very careful on 232 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 1: the credit selection side. It's not an environment to be 233 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 1: scraping for a few extra basis points here and there. 234 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 1: Use fixed income for what it's meant to be safe 235 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:53,959 Speaker 1: and secure a part of your portfolio that if you 236 00:11:54,000 --> 00:11:56,480 Speaker 1: hold it to maturity, it delivers at par and helps 237 00:11:56,480 --> 00:11:59,400 Speaker 1: protect you against some of the chop inequities. All Right, Robert, 238 00:11:59,400 --> 00:12:01,439 Speaker 1: thank you so much for joining us. I really appreciate 239 00:12:01,480 --> 00:12:05,080 Speaker 1: your perspective there, Robert Teeter, he's head of Investment Policy 240 00:12:05,080 --> 00:12:11,839 Speaker 1: and Strategy Group at Silver Crest Asset Management. Kind of 241 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:14,840 Speaker 1: up and down Lexington Avenue here in midtown, a lot 242 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:18,360 Speaker 1: of empty stores, big stores, big box stores, smaller stores, 243 00:12:18,400 --> 00:12:20,560 Speaker 1: and really gets you thinking about not just in New 244 00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:23,360 Speaker 1: York City, but just kind of across the United States, 245 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:27,280 Speaker 1: how this commercial and industrial real estate markets gonna play 246 00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:29,440 Speaker 1: out here. Fortunately, have an expert here you can walk 247 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:32,280 Speaker 1: us through with John Macy's, the CEO of I r 248 00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:35,040 Speaker 1: G Industrial. John love to get your just your thirty 249 00:12:35,080 --> 00:12:38,840 Speaker 1: thousand foot overview of how the last two years have 250 00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 1: impacted the commercial industrial real estate space here in the US. Sure, 251 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 1: the last two years on the industrial space has been 252 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:53,440 Speaker 1: pretty spectacular. Rates have risen virtually every market in the country. 253 00:12:53,679 --> 00:12:57,240 Speaker 1: Some of the major markets are up thirty even thirty 254 00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:01,800 Speaker 1: most even through the smaller more minor markets, and industrial 255 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:07,559 Speaker 1: are up about So although we're seeing inflation affecting us, 256 00:13:07,640 --> 00:13:11,800 Speaker 1: it's primarily in being able to rehab buildings that we 257 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 1: bought or new construction where it's more expensive to build 258 00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:20,720 Speaker 1: as well, it's taking longer. Particularly one issue we face 259 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:23,080 Speaker 1: is we get tenants that are ready to move into 260 00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 1: our buildings, but we can't deliver the building because some 261 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:30,199 Speaker 1: of our delays due to supply constraints are six months 262 00:13:30,200 --> 00:13:34,120 Speaker 1: even nine months and everyone standing on the sidelines waiting 263 00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:36,440 Speaker 1: for the materials to come in so we can fix 264 00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:41,480 Speaker 1: them up. Otherwise, rental rates are up significantly, and there 265 00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:46,280 Speaker 1: there still is a large difference between office space and 266 00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:49,600 Speaker 1: industrial space. I mean, we could talk about office space 267 00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:54,559 Speaker 1: for you know, extensively, but we're primarily in the industrial sector. 268 00:13:54,960 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 1: So how do you differentiate those two. Yeah, office space 269 00:13:58,679 --> 00:14:02,520 Speaker 1: are primarily for people who are service providers or other 270 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 1: office people who actually go to an office and have 271 00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:08,959 Speaker 1: office space primarily in either in the major cities or 272 00:14:09,040 --> 00:14:18,240 Speaker 1: suburban office where industrial space is big, large spaces. Trucking, manufacturing, distribution, 273 00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:22,680 Speaker 1: e commerce rates are usually a lot cheaper for industrial 274 00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:27,080 Speaker 1: space than they are for office. There's fewer jobs, um, 275 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 1: and it's more for storage or for manufacturing. Big difference 276 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:33,960 Speaker 1: between the two. John, is there industrial I mean, is 277 00:14:33,960 --> 00:14:38,120 Speaker 1: there a geographical impact on your business? Are you seeing 278 00:14:38,120 --> 00:14:40,600 Speaker 1: greater growth and everybody seems like everybody's going down to 279 00:14:40,680 --> 00:14:42,440 Speaker 1: Texas and Florida? Is that what you're seeing demand for 280 00:14:42,440 --> 00:14:45,800 Speaker 1: industrial space? Or is industrial space pretty much across the board? 281 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:50,600 Speaker 1: I'm going to say industrial spaces across the board. However, 282 00:14:50,640 --> 00:14:54,560 Speaker 1: there are certain markets that are significantly stronger than others. 283 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 1: And I'd have to say the greater Seattle area, San Francisco, 284 00:14:58,280 --> 00:15:02,160 Speaker 1: Bay area, Lost Angeles, and the Inland Empire and then 285 00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 1: probably central Jersey right outside of New York or the 286 00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:08,800 Speaker 1: Rights industrial And I see all those trucks there are 287 00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:11,320 Speaker 1: millions of them, prime trucks, and these warehouses right along 288 00:15:11,320 --> 00:15:16,320 Speaker 1: the must have a huge amount of pull there. Yeah, 289 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:20,360 Speaker 1: so it's interesting, John, I mean is this Does you 290 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 1: know Amazon come to you and say I need a 291 00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:26,320 Speaker 1: warehouse in Central Jersey? Is that how it works? Amazon 292 00:15:26,400 --> 00:15:28,640 Speaker 1: does wanted to the things. They either buy the land 293 00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 1: and build their own or they go find a great 294 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:33,840 Speaker 1: location and they work a deal with a developer to 295 00:15:33,920 --> 00:15:37,680 Speaker 1: build their their brand new, state of the art warehouse. 296 00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:40,880 Speaker 1: And we've done both. We've sold some land to them 297 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:45,960 Speaker 1: that they've built on, and we've also um uh at 298 00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:48,120 Speaker 1: least some of our land that we built for them. 299 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:51,320 Speaker 1: But most of what they want is the best, brand new, 300 00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 1: best location, the best, and they're willing to pay for it. 301 00:15:55,080 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 1: But there's a lot of other people out there besides Amazon. 302 00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:01,880 Speaker 1: There's a lot of on shoring. We're manufacturing is coming back, 303 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:05,680 Speaker 1: so a lot of our properties, particularly in the Midwest 304 00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:10,840 Speaker 1: in Ohio, Indiana, Illinois and Michigan area. I mean, a 305 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:14,240 Speaker 1: lot of manufacturing going on that's been really really stable 306 00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 1: for us. So I and I wonder if you see, 307 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:21,320 Speaker 1: you know, in commercial in office space. Um I was 308 00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:23,240 Speaker 1: reading this morning on the Bloomberg that it used to 309 00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:27,400 Speaker 1: be Manhattan had eleven percent of all of the national 310 00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:30,120 Speaker 1: office square footage, which is just massive. If you think 311 00:16:30,160 --> 00:16:32,440 Speaker 1: about it. But that's not going to be the same 312 00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 1: going forward as the concern. You know, as people um 313 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:39,600 Speaker 1: gravitate more well away from the urban centers for for 314 00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:43,360 Speaker 1: office work into the suburbs. Do you see that kind 315 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 1: of shift with industrial space as well. No, not really. 316 00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:50,640 Speaker 1: I mean what we are seeing though, is that there's 317 00:16:50,680 --> 00:16:54,400 Speaker 1: a greater demand for the better locations. Before people were 318 00:16:54,400 --> 00:16:57,680 Speaker 1: willing to drive an extra half hour hour outside of 319 00:16:57,680 --> 00:17:01,760 Speaker 1: the major urban area. Uh. Consider during the truck expenses 320 00:17:01,800 --> 00:17:04,520 Speaker 1: of driving the trucks and gas was not a big deal. 321 00:17:04,840 --> 00:17:07,280 Speaker 1: Now it is a bigger deal. Therefore, they're willing to 322 00:17:07,320 --> 00:17:10,119 Speaker 1: pay more money and higher rents in order to be 323 00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:14,360 Speaker 1: closer to the urban inner areas. It's through what's commonly 324 00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:17,439 Speaker 1: referred to his last mile. So, John, interest rates are 325 00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:20,200 Speaker 1: going up, maybe pretty dramatically. How does that impact your business? 326 00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 1: It certainly does. Interest rates going up. I mean, our 327 00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 1: cost to capital is a critical element of what we do. Um, 328 00:17:28,359 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 1: we know interest rates are going up. Matter of fact, 329 00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:33,560 Speaker 1: the yield curve is flattened a bit, which is never 330 00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:36,359 Speaker 1: great for the economy. But generally, if you have a 331 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 1: good quality building, two percent three percent interest rates are 332 00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:44,000 Speaker 1: traditionally very very low rates, we should be able to 333 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:47,679 Speaker 1: make it through even as as rates increase. But what 334 00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:52,720 Speaker 1: also happens is as interest rates increase, cap rates often increase, 335 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:56,000 Speaker 1: and when a capitalization rate increases, the value of the 336 00:17:56,080 --> 00:18:00,800 Speaker 1: property declines. So it's it's cyclical. Have been through about 337 00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 1: four or five major cycles. Hopefully we're not having another 338 00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:07,919 Speaker 1: one right now. Interest rates is definitely a factor in 339 00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:11,439 Speaker 1: our business. Now on the other side is inflation goes up, 340 00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:15,479 Speaker 1: um cost the goods goes up, rents go up, so 341 00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:17,680 Speaker 1: you just have to hope that the two balance out 342 00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:20,359 Speaker 1: each other. Right, Hey, John, thanks so much for joining us. 343 00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:23,320 Speaker 1: Really appreciate it. John May, CEO of I r G Industrial. 344 00:18:28,040 --> 00:18:32,240 Speaker 1: I want to get to our next guest, Valerie Iakovenko Uh, 345 00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:36,719 Speaker 1: founder and CEO of Drone you A based in Ukraine. Valerie, 346 00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:39,359 Speaker 1: thank you so much for taking the time UH to 347 00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:41,960 Speaker 1: call in and share some time with us talk to 348 00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:45,200 Speaker 1: us about your company Drone you A, what is it 349 00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:48,800 Speaker 1: and how has your company been impacted by the last 350 00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:52,639 Speaker 1: month with the invasion of Ukraine by Russia. Let's are 351 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:55,879 Speaker 1: to be with you today. Um and actually is a 352 00:18:55,960 --> 00:19:00,080 Speaker 1: drowning company. Is the technological company, the robotics company that 353 00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:03,960 Speaker 1: was supposed to work only in industrial spheres, using drones 354 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:08,800 Speaker 1: and robots to help our manufacturing possibilities, to be smarter, 355 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:13,080 Speaker 1: more efficient, to grow more food on Ukrainian fields, to 356 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:18,840 Speaker 1: get better yields, to provide more safer work experience for 357 00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 1: any industrial employee. But when the work started, almost everything changed. 358 00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:30,639 Speaker 1: Before it was we were like collaborating with officials with 359 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:35,159 Speaker 1: Minister of Defense, with different police, UH departments, etcetera. It 360 00:19:35,280 --> 00:19:38,000 Speaker 1: was a part of our business. But right now it's 361 00:19:38,080 --> 00:19:42,440 Speaker 1: multiplied several I think, I think hundreds times since all 362 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:45,800 Speaker 1: our tension. And this is about not only us, this 363 00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:49,960 Speaker 1: is about every Ukrainian person. So everybody may be clear. 364 00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:56,080 Speaker 1: You make drones that were typically mostly recreational or industrial. 365 00:19:56,720 --> 00:19:59,240 Speaker 1: You were working a little bit with m police, but 366 00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:03,480 Speaker 1: none military, Harry, and now you've been drawn in to 367 00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:07,840 Speaker 1: the fight to try and beef up Ukrainian intelligence. This 368 00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:12,040 Speaker 1: is correct, and this is about all all companies and 369 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:16,880 Speaker 1: all specialists on Ukrainian market. UH. Since we need intelligence, 370 00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:20,920 Speaker 1: see needs, since we need to find enemy troops, everybody 371 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:24,399 Speaker 1: is joining forces to help with intel, to file with 372 00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:28,800 Speaker 1: to help with surveillance, finding enemy troops, find an enemy tanks, 373 00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:33,080 Speaker 1: finding there were sons of Suborteurs group all around Ukraine. 374 00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:36,040 Speaker 1: This is not about only frontline in Ukraine or some 375 00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:39,800 Speaker 1: special regions. This is about everywhere. Drones are right now 376 00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 1: as working as a tool uh to provide intelligence to 377 00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:49,160 Speaker 1: our Minister of Defense and to defend our country. So 378 00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:52,919 Speaker 1: Valley give us a sense of the drone force in 379 00:20:53,119 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 1: Ukraine right now. Does Ukraine have enough drones or does 380 00:20:57,119 --> 00:21:01,040 Speaker 1: it need more? And where would you get them? First 381 00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:03,480 Speaker 1: of all, you have to understand that there are two 382 00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:06,280 Speaker 1: types of drones that are being used right now in Ukraine. 383 00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:10,440 Speaker 1: The first one is small hobby like looking like drones 384 00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:13,560 Speaker 1: that you can purchase actually in almost every r sistore 385 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 1: and they are useful. You're useful to provide information for 386 00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 1: the military and defensive military operations in Ukraine. But and 387 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:24,639 Speaker 1: there are a lot of them, like thousands of drones 388 00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:28,200 Speaker 1: are working right now for the Ministry of Defense purposes 389 00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 1: to provide intelligence. And the second part of drones is 390 00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:36,880 Speaker 1: like military drones that was designed to provide strikes from 391 00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,960 Speaker 1: the sky not only ice, but also some kind of 392 00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:45,160 Speaker 1: power to make an action against Russian military troops that 393 00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:49,679 Speaker 1: are invading Russia. Ukrainian peaceful cities. So basically the second 394 00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:54,480 Speaker 1: part is mostly well well known by barracts. The Turkish 395 00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:58,960 Speaker 1: drones that are being supplied to Ukraine, and there are 396 00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:03,520 Speaker 1: a lot of them, but there are not enough to 397 00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 1: cover all necessity of Ukrainian defense. We need more drones, 398 00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:12,760 Speaker 1: all kinds of drones and surveillance and hope be like, yes, 399 00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:16,400 Speaker 1: we need them. We are in lack of termal imagery 400 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:21,639 Speaker 1: cameras and termal imagery drones to help our defenders and 401 00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:25,639 Speaker 1: during the night. But of course we need more intelligent 402 00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:31,280 Speaker 1: weapons in Ukraine to provide defense and strikes to the 403 00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:35,400 Speaker 1: troops that are stayed here or are taking us. Basically, 404 00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:39,360 Speaker 1: how value, how is the war going right now? How 405 00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:44,000 Speaker 1: is the defense effort shaping up? How have the Russian aggressors? 406 00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:50,639 Speaker 1: How far have they progressed? Firs fall uh all, you 407 00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:54,119 Speaker 1: know that all ideas of Russian from Russian side was 408 00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:57,119 Speaker 1: to make a blitz creek to conquer Ukraine in just 409 00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 1: days for several hours. But there is almost the month 410 00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 1: during start after the start of the war and Ukrainians 411 00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:09,280 Speaker 1: are not going anywhere. But it will defend our own country. 412 00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:13,920 Speaker 1: We will defend our land and no matter what is happening, 413 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:17,280 Speaker 1: we will stay on our land and defend. Right now, 414 00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:23,560 Speaker 1: Russia is in fronting in country in extremely high um 415 00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:28,560 Speaker 1: like defense potentials from Ukrainian soldiers and even Ukrainian citizens 416 00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:32,679 Speaker 1: since nobody wants Russian peace as they called it on 417 00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:37,240 Speaker 1: Ukrainian land. So uh, there is a defense. But unfortunately 418 00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:40,640 Speaker 1: there are no safe places in Ukraine no matter which 419 00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:45,920 Speaker 1: region you are staying. Uh. Rockets are coming all over Ukraine, 420 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:50,560 Speaker 1: in every city in every region, since we don't have 421 00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:54,800 Speaker 1: like a close sky upon Ukraine, so there are no 422 00:23:55,000 --> 00:24:00,640 Speaker 1: safe houses, no safe cities. You have. We here every 423 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:04,880 Speaker 1: day at least three times the sirens that are asking 424 00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:07,840 Speaker 1: us to go underground because the strike is coming on. 425 00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:11,080 Speaker 1: And this is happening everywhere on all teratory of Ukraine. 426 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:15,720 Speaker 1: If we are going down to to to to to 427 00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:20,560 Speaker 1: defend against possible miss missile strikes from Russia to Ukraine. 428 00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:26,520 Speaker 1: About ground forces of Russia, well there is always bottles, 429 00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:31,760 Speaker 1: but intensity of it has lowered. But we have really 430 00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:36,480 Speaker 1: high risk areas such is varrieable that our archive and 431 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:41,320 Speaker 1: those cities are being suffered from the strikes from the 432 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:44,520 Speaker 1: Russian side, that it's actually destroying the city almost to 433 00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:47,760 Speaker 1: the ground. Well, we are afraid. What what what? What's 434 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 1: the feeling in Ukraine about how this may progress? This 435 00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:54,320 Speaker 1: it's going to be a siege type of situation. Are 436 00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:56,520 Speaker 1: you guys preparing for the long term? What's the feeling 437 00:24:56,560 --> 00:25:00,520 Speaker 1: within Ukraine? Uh? First of all all you have to 438 00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:04,359 Speaker 1: understand that every Ukrainian things that this work is one 439 00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:08,400 Speaker 1: right now, we we won this world. We didn't we 440 00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:12,119 Speaker 1: we didn't didn't die it, we didn't gone anywhere. We 441 00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:16,520 Speaker 1: understand that right now we are just burging the most uh, 442 00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:21,560 Speaker 1: the better conditions from Russia side, unfortunately, because they just 443 00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:25,119 Speaker 1: have to leave and leave Ukrainian territories to Ukraine. But 444 00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:30,280 Speaker 1: unfortunately the Russia doesn't have the possibility to do this. 445 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:35,399 Speaker 1: I think that this work will will come over since 446 00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:40,359 Speaker 1: the Russia as empire will self destruct. We we have 447 00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:44,760 Speaker 1: showed to the world that Russia is not power so 448 00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:49,640 Speaker 1: powerful it was they was like pretending to be uh, 449 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:54,119 Speaker 1: and Russians from inside they started to see that actually uh, 450 00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:59,400 Speaker 1: the aggressor they not Ukraine, that we are just defended defended. 451 00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,040 Speaker 1: Now the more Christian freedom and this is not a 452 00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:04,919 Speaker 1: war between Darsia and Ukraine. This is a war between 453 00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:10,280 Speaker 1: civilized war the Euros, Russia A thank you very much 454 00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:13,040 Speaker 1: forgiving us your time. We really appreciate it. I wish 455 00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:16,760 Speaker 1: we had some more time at Vallee Covenko. Thanks for 456 00:26:16,800 --> 00:26:20,320 Speaker 1: listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe and 457 00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:24,400 Speaker 1: listen to interviews of Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform 458 00:26:24,440 --> 00:26:27,760 Speaker 1: you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter at Matt 459 00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:31,600 Speaker 1: Miller three. On Fall Sweeney, I'm on Twitter at pt 460 00:26:31,760 --> 00:26:34,760 Speaker 1: Sweeney Before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide 461 00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:35,640 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg Radio