WEBVTT - What Actually Happened at COP26?

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome back to It Could Happen Here, the podcast about

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the problems and stuff that are happening and

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<v Speaker 1>how to maybe make them better. And speaking of the

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<v Speaker 1>problems that are happening and how to make them better.

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<v Speaker 1>Garrison Davis, Hi, Hello, that's so that's so weird, Segue.

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<v Speaker 1>I wanted to introduce this video telling you guys that

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<v Speaker 1>I just watched a movie that you should watch because

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<v Speaker 1>it's pretty rad and it's ties into all the things

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<v Speaker 1>we talked about. It's all the Pizza Gate massacred. It

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<v Speaker 1>is a micro budget under a hundred thousand dollars film

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<v Speaker 1>that looks great. They did a really good job with

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<v Speaker 1>the budget they had about UM an Alex Jones employee

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<v Speaker 1>type person and a mass shooter who go looking for

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<v Speaker 1>UH to try to solve the Pizza Gate things. Oh boy,

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<v Speaker 1>it is a an actually very nuanced and I think

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<v Speaker 1>deeply knowledgeable commentary on specifically like the Texan conspiracy scene.

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<v Speaker 1>Like it's a like film. They're Alex Jones character who's

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<v Speaker 1>played by a woman in this They film in the

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<v Speaker 1>original studio that he recorded in back and like the

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<v Speaker 1>filmmaker who did this gets like the culture in the area,

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<v Speaker 1>and kind of the relationship between the people who get

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<v Speaker 1>radicalized and do ship and the people who just profit

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<v Speaker 1>from it. It's a very good Um it's it is,

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<v Speaker 1>by the way, a grindhouse horror movie. Like whatever you're expecting.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not that it is, like it is an incredibly

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<v Speaker 1>gory grindhouse movie. Um, but it's it's pretty it's pretty fun.

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<v Speaker 1>What does that have to do with cup Nothing at all,

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<v Speaker 1>but it has a lot to do with it could

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<v Speaker 1>happen here because all right, well watch it anyway. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>this is that could happen here. I show about how

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<v Speaker 1>things are kind of falling apart and how we can

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<v Speaker 1>then maybe slow that down or prepare for the uncertain future. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>An episod it about cops, right, I mean, I mean

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<v Speaker 1>we are we are planning an episode on Washington State Patrol. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>But no, this is episode is a different a different

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<v Speaker 1>kind of cop about just as useful. Um So, in

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<v Speaker 1>the first five episodes of The Daily Show or season two,

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<v Speaker 1>which if you haven't listened to you should definitely listen

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<v Speaker 1>to those, as they kind of act as our show's

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<v Speaker 1>manifesto of sorts. But nevertheless, the first time episodes of

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<v Speaker 1>the scripted daily show put forth like a more like realistic,

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<v Speaker 1>non sugarcoated look at what climate change will bring if

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<v Speaker 1>we continue on our current course. Um, but not just

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<v Speaker 1>looking at the obvious environmental and extreme weather effects, but

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<v Speaker 1>also like the socio political effects. So when I was

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<v Speaker 1>helping Robert out with the research for those episodes, some

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<v Speaker 1>of the best indicators of like the mainstream conception of

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<v Speaker 1>the scientific, environmental and political status of climate change was

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<v Speaker 1>at the United Nations past uh I I PCC reports,

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<v Speaker 1>which is the inter Governmental Panel on Climate Change, and

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<v Speaker 1>the COP conferences. So during the first few weeks of

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<v Speaker 1>this past November, November one, the twenty six annual COP

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<v Speaker 1>conference took place in Glasgow. Um. And yeah, the name

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<v Speaker 1>of the conference is kind of a decent indication on

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<v Speaker 1>how useful these things actually are. But a COPS stands

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<v Speaker 1>for a Conference of the parties, And for almost three

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<v Speaker 1>decades they've been like the main international stage uh for

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<v Speaker 1>for countries and companies to discuss climate related information and

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<v Speaker 1>like they're alleged like goals. Um, so yeah, they're a

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<v Speaker 1>good indicator not onlike sometimes they do present actual good

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<v Speaker 1>science and like decent predictions, but they're often just like

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<v Speaker 1>a good indication of what kind of the mainstream people

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<v Speaker 1>think about what climate change is. And you know what

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<v Speaker 1>the people in power, how they are viewing it and

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<v Speaker 1>how urgent they think it's worth addressing versus how much

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<v Speaker 1>money they want to spend on it. So the most

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<v Speaker 1>notable COP in recent memory was in Paris COP twenty one.

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<v Speaker 1>This is kind of where the Paris Climate Accords were born. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>The commitment was to aim for one point five degrees

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<v Speaker 1>of warming and it was signed on by nearly all

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<v Speaker 1>major countries. Of course the US signed on, left then

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<v Speaker 1>resigned on. But anyway, under the Paris Agreement, countries committed

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<v Speaker 1>to bring forth like a national plans UH figuring figuring

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<v Speaker 1>out how they would reduce their emissions, but they would

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<v Speaker 1>do it like by themselves, and they would be called

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<v Speaker 1>n d c s or nationally determined contributions. And the

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<v Speaker 1>idea was for every five years countries would gather up

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<v Speaker 1>and present their current plans on the national stage. This

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<v Speaker 1>was what COPPY was going to be. Now, it was

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<v Speaker 1>delayed a year because of the pandemic, but COP twenty

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<v Speaker 1>SI was the time for countries to present their n

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<v Speaker 1>d c s on for like their updated versions on

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<v Speaker 1>their plans to reduce some missions. So most of the

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<v Speaker 1>NDCs got submitted before the conference and kind of led

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<v Speaker 1>the discussion of the conference. UM By like mid October, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>think about seventy of the countries or uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>states that signed on to the Paris Agreement submitted their

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<v Speaker 1>submitted their version of the NDCs and and and those

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<v Speaker 1>countries about a hundred and forty of them are responsible

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<v Speaker 1>for the majority of global emissions. So that that that

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<v Speaker 1>was what kind of led up to two COP twenty

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<v Speaker 1>six from happening. UM. And the the overarching aim of

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<v Speaker 1>the conference, according to UP president UM, when I try

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<v Speaker 1>to pronounce this name um outlock uh sharma UM. He

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<v Speaker 1>said that the the the idea for the conference was

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<v Speaker 1>to like keep alive Paris Agreements target to keep global

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<v Speaker 1>temperatures from rising above one point five degrees celsius above

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<v Speaker 1>pre industrial levels. So that was that was like the

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<v Speaker 1>goal of the conference going into it was to kind

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<v Speaker 1>of keep this idea of the Paris Climate Accords of

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<v Speaker 1>still being achievable. UM. And that's and that's not what

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<v Speaker 1>happened at the top twenties. UM. Now it's it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>important to kind of point out that the commitments laid

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<v Speaker 1>out in the Pairs Accords don't come close to limiting

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<v Speaker 1>global warming to one point five degrees, as it is

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<v Speaker 1>said in the accords. Like like they they acknowledge that, um,

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<v Speaker 1>which is what the kind of NDCs are for. But

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<v Speaker 1>even still those are just non those are those are

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<v Speaker 1>just non binding agreements. But anyway, so the cord the

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<v Speaker 1>accords and the restrictions and goals and well there's no restrictions,

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<v Speaker 1>it's just goals. The goals and them don't don't come

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<v Speaker 1>close to limiting to one point five degrees. And we've

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<v Speaker 1>already most likely shot way past the point of that

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<v Speaker 1>being in any way achievable. Um. But you know, we

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<v Speaker 1>can still limit things from being megabad like four degrees.

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<v Speaker 1>But we are we are already on a certain path.

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<v Speaker 1>So in in asking nations to set tougher targets by

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<v Speaker 1>next year for cutting climate warming emissions, the new agreement

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<v Speaker 1>at Glasgow acknowledge that the commitments that were in place

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<v Speaker 1>are inadequate and if rigorously followed, the new national pledges

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<v Speaker 1>so include the stuff including the Paras Accords and the

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<v Speaker 1>new Glasgow packed um and all of the individual like

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<v Speaker 1>uh n d c s. If all of those are followed,

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<v Speaker 1>the world is now on track for a two point

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<v Speaker 1>one to two point four degrees celsius of warming by

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<v Speaker 1>the end of the century. And that is the lower estimate.

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<v Speaker 1>As we'll see later on. Higher estimates were also um

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<v Speaker 1>shown at at the at the Glasgow conference. So we

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<v Speaker 1>have the the idea was to hopefully keep it to

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<v Speaker 1>one point five and already we're pushing at back by

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<v Speaker 1>almost a whole a whole degree if we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>like two point four. Um, so that that's that's like

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<v Speaker 1>the main one of the main impacts there is like

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<v Speaker 1>just totally kissing one point five goodbye, Like no what,

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<v Speaker 1>no one even is going to view that as a

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<v Speaker 1>possibility at this point. Huh. So, I don't know how

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<v Speaker 1>many people were still looking at that as really a goal.

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<v Speaker 1>Apparently some people of the planners of copy apparently were,

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<v Speaker 1>um but I mean, I know for us, we've we've

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<v Speaker 1>been aware of that, and I'm not sure how you know,

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<v Speaker 1>really what mainstream liberals were thinking before this, but hopefully

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<v Speaker 1>at the very least, maybe Cop twenty six made them

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<v Speaker 1>realize that maybe it's there's a there's kind of it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's made maybe worse than what you were thinking. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>But there there are other things did happen at at

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<v Speaker 1>Glasgow that are that are worth looking into. Um. So

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<v Speaker 1>the main quote unquote achievements of of the Glasgow Deal

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<v Speaker 1>besides like revisiting the emissions cutting plants to try to

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<v Speaker 1>keep stuff down, which of course we're you know, not

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<v Speaker 1>not not met in shot way past. Um, but there

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<v Speaker 1>we also had the first ever inclusion of a commitment

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<v Speaker 1>to limit coal use. Now, the way phrasing is gonna

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<v Speaker 1>work here is gonna be really interesting because the reason

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<v Speaker 1>why this deal got passed is because some very specific

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<v Speaker 1>shifts in their phrasing around coal use. Um. The other

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<v Speaker 1>thing that CAT that CAT twenty six tried to do

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<v Speaker 1>was increase financial help for so called developing countries and

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<v Speaker 1>provide funds and assistance for like climate disasters. So like

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<v Speaker 1>when when like extreme weather events happen, have a set

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<v Speaker 1>of funds uh set aside to help countries in these disasters. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>those are that that is a good idea, but as

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<v Speaker 1>we'll see later, the way COPY actually did it is

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<v Speaker 1>not actually doing it. It's like they're they're they're pushing there,

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<v Speaker 1>they're postponing this kind of goal, but they're just making

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<v Speaker 1>it a prospect. But back to coal. So, the Glasgow

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<v Speaker 1>Climate Pact was the first ever climate deal to explicitly

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<v Speaker 1>planned to reduce coal, which was a one one of

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<v Speaker 1>the worst, like fossil fuels for four greenhouse gasses UM

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<v Speaker 1>and and and coal really can be phased out. Coal

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<v Speaker 1>can be phased out by um electric power really easily.

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<v Speaker 1>It's it's it is the easiest one. UM. It's it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's way easier to phase out cold than it is,

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<v Speaker 1>uh natural gas or other um or sorry, let's see

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<v Speaker 1>the the the other main one. There's three. There's a coal,

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<v Speaker 1>natural gas, what's what's the last one? Regular gas? I

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<v Speaker 1>guess so yeah, yeah, petroleum based stuff. UM yeah, But

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<v Speaker 1>so the coals because coal is you mostly used for heat, um,

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<v Speaker 1>electrically generated heat is way is way easier than all

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<v Speaker 1>than those other two. So coal coal really should be

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<v Speaker 1>phased out as soon as possible. UM. But the commitments

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<v Speaker 1>to phase out coal that was introduced in earlier negotiations

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<v Speaker 1>UM led to some fighting, specifically among India and China,

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<v Speaker 1>who were in in strong opposition to the phrasing and

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<v Speaker 1>the actual constraints of of the deal UM. And a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of this is like the argument that like, if

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<v Speaker 1>these countries are still developing, it's not fair to them

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<v Speaker 1>to remove this resource when other developed nations had it,

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<v Speaker 1>so that that that's that's the thing. We see that

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<v Speaker 1>argument a lot around, like climate change stuff is like, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>you you're just gonna stop other countries from developing because

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<v Speaker 1>you you you got to get to this certain point

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<v Speaker 1>of being a successful like wealthy nation um. And like

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<v Speaker 1>you know with all this like an industrial development on

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<v Speaker 1>the back of fossil fuels and stuff. But then now

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<v Speaker 1>you're going to remove that opportunity for other countries. Now

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<v Speaker 1>there is there is UM a lot of stuff around

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<v Speaker 1>like the growth frameworks that address this issue and specific

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<v Speaker 1>fickly try to try to get um fossil fuel savings

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<v Speaker 1>like a decrease in emissions and be able to use

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<v Speaker 1>some of those gains to assist countries in getting stuff

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<v Speaker 1>set up to a decent standard of living UM. But

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<v Speaker 1>you know that that is going to be addressed on

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<v Speaker 1>a whole other scale around like capitalism and and how

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<v Speaker 1>countries intervened in other countries. That that's part of a

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<v Speaker 1>bigger political question but anyway, um, Indian China did not

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<v Speaker 1>like that, did not like the coal deal. Um. So

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<v Speaker 1>in the end, the countries did agree to phase down

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<v Speaker 1>coal rather than phase out coal. So that that that

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<v Speaker 1>is the phrase that they ended up using is phase down. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>The people weren't super happy about this. Uh. The Cutty

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<v Speaker 1>six president um Alec Sharma said that he was deeply

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<v Speaker 1>sorry for how these events unfolded. And like focus on

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<v Speaker 1>calls good. It's it's responsible for about of annual CEO

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<v Speaker 1>two emissions. But also like just focusing on cole leaves

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<v Speaker 1>of really big lack of discussion on oil and gas

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<v Speaker 1>like there's like those are also like very bad and

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<v Speaker 1>arguably we should be focusing on those a lot like

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<v Speaker 1>those are those are the main ones we should get

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<v Speaker 1>We should get rid of coal, yes, but if we

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<v Speaker 1>just focus on that, then there's a lot of other

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<v Speaker 1>stuff going on. So that is that is a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of coal talk. Uh, you know who also uses coal.

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<v Speaker 1>Our sponsors, we're entirely sponsored by Joe Manchin um big

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<v Speaker 1>friend of the pod. Thank you, thank you for always

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<v Speaker 1>having our back. Joe. Anyway, here's the ads and we

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<v Speaker 1>are back talking about copy and there is there's a

0:13:55.440 --> 0:13:58.599
<v Speaker 1>decent and there's stuff. Stuff did happen. So and I

0:13:58.720 --> 0:14:00.760
<v Speaker 1>know it is going to be more of a sign

0:14:00.840 --> 0:14:04.000
<v Speaker 1>C in numbers episode, but it is worth actually figuring

0:14:04.000 --> 0:14:07.679
<v Speaker 1>out what what happened there because everyone just kind of

0:14:08.000 --> 0:14:10.640
<v Speaker 1>had the perception like, oh, copy was a failure, because

0:14:10.720 --> 0:14:12.960
<v Speaker 1>yeah it was, um, but it's it's it is good

0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:15.720
<v Speaker 1>to know what actually is going on at things like

0:14:15.760 --> 0:14:18.880
<v Speaker 1>this because if we're gonna get some kind of you know,

0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:22.400
<v Speaker 1>liberal change, this is where it's going to happen. So

0:14:22.480 --> 0:14:24.120
<v Speaker 1>it is good to keep an eye on what these

0:14:24.120 --> 0:14:27.720
<v Speaker 1>types of people are thinking. So we we left off

0:14:27.840 --> 0:14:31.160
<v Speaker 1>on talking about how their plans to phase down coal,

0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:33.560
<v Speaker 1>and there was like a general lack of focus on

0:14:33.600 --> 0:14:36.720
<v Speaker 1>oil and gas. And it is interesting, um if you

0:14:37.640 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 1>So there was uh a group of activists led by

0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:47.040
<v Speaker 1>this UH I think I think it's like an NGO

0:14:47.360 --> 0:14:52.600
<v Speaker 1>called Global Witness. UM assessed the participant list published by

0:14:52.640 --> 0:14:55.280
<v Speaker 1>the u N at the start of the meeting and

0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:58.520
<v Speaker 1>they found that there was five hundred three people with

0:14:58.560 --> 0:15:02.600
<v Speaker 1>links to fossil fuel interests who were like accredited members

0:15:02.680 --> 0:15:07.160
<v Speaker 1>of the Climate Summit and so and they were like delicates.

0:15:07.280 --> 0:15:11.320
<v Speaker 1>So COP twenty six delegates associated with fossil fuels outnumbered

0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:15.120
<v Speaker 1>national delegate numbers for every other country, So there were

0:15:15.120 --> 0:15:19.440
<v Speaker 1>more people representing fossil fuel interests than there were representing

0:15:19.440 --> 0:15:25.880
<v Speaker 1>any individual country. So you're thinking, maybe maybe I wonder

0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:29.000
<v Speaker 1>why this stuff is not going too good. Oh, it's

0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:33.440
<v Speaker 1>because it's being run mostly by fossil fuel companies. That's

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:37.640
<v Speaker 1>that's uh huh. That's an interesting, interesting little thing there.

0:15:38.240 --> 0:15:42.400
<v Speaker 1>Um yeah. So the the other the other kind of

0:15:42.400 --> 0:15:47.040
<v Speaker 1>notable thing about copy is uh it uh it. It

0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:50.840
<v Speaker 1>led to a quote unquote breakthrough in the rules for

0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:55.240
<v Speaker 1>government led carbon markets. So this is the thing that

0:15:55.320 --> 0:15:58.960
<v Speaker 1>the neoliberals are really excited about, is this idea of

0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:02.600
<v Speaker 1>carbon markets, because it's a way to make more money

0:16:02.720 --> 0:16:06.440
<v Speaker 1>kind of off of removing carbon and just to create

0:16:06.480 --> 0:16:09.920
<v Speaker 1>a lot of red tape and bureaucracy around this idea

0:16:10.120 --> 0:16:13.080
<v Speaker 1>of lowering emissions. So I guess one of the ways

0:16:13.080 --> 0:16:15.560
<v Speaker 1>to describe carbon markets if you're kind of unfamiliar with

0:16:15.600 --> 0:16:21.360
<v Speaker 1>this idea, is that countries that do not meet their

0:16:21.400 --> 0:16:26.160
<v Speaker 1>emission reduction targets in their national climate pledges are like

0:16:26.760 --> 0:16:31.840
<v Speaker 1>penalized for this. Um. So, so countries that countries that

0:16:31.880 --> 0:16:34.520
<v Speaker 1>don't meet their emission targets or or want to just

0:16:34.600 --> 0:16:39.920
<v Speaker 1>pursue like less, less expansive emission cuts. What what what

0:16:40.040 --> 0:16:43.560
<v Speaker 1>this deal set out to do is that instead of

0:16:43.600 --> 0:16:49.680
<v Speaker 1>actually lowering emissions, they can purchase like emissions reduction tokens

0:16:49.720 --> 0:16:53.240
<v Speaker 1>and credits from other nations that have cut their emissions

0:16:53.360 --> 0:16:56.480
<v Speaker 1>more than the amount that they pledged. Uh so, like

0:16:56.600 --> 0:16:59.920
<v Speaker 1>by you know, moving to low carbon energy and various stuff.

0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:03.320
<v Speaker 1>So the turn of phrase that people were using to

0:17:03.480 --> 0:17:07.000
<v Speaker 1>discuss this to how you can like purchase purchase credits

0:17:07.040 --> 0:17:09.840
<v Speaker 1>to represent emissions that you didn't cut but wanted to,

0:17:10.400 --> 0:17:14.119
<v Speaker 1>is that this can potentially unlock trillions of dollars for

0:17:14.200 --> 0:17:19.040
<v Speaker 1>protecting forests, expending renewable energy, and other projects to combat

0:17:19.080 --> 0:17:23.199
<v Speaker 1>climate change. Um So, the idea here is that the

0:17:23.240 --> 0:17:25.960
<v Speaker 1>money used to purchase these credits is going to get

0:17:26.880 --> 0:17:31.160
<v Speaker 1>put into other things that will help fight climate change.

0:17:31.680 --> 0:17:35.199
<v Speaker 1>But all of this is non binding and speculative, and

0:17:35.240 --> 0:17:40.360
<v Speaker 1>it just furthers this whole carbon market concept, which I'm

0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:42.920
<v Speaker 1>not thrilled about. Um yeah, we should, we should do

0:17:42.960 --> 0:17:46.560
<v Speaker 1>like a full episode of carbon markets. But the thing,

0:17:46.720 --> 0:17:49.159
<v Speaker 1>so I I I this is, you know, this is

0:17:49.160 --> 0:17:52.880
<v Speaker 1>the thing I studied academically in college and is incredibly

0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:55.080
<v Speaker 1>important for everyone to understand that carbon markets are fake

0:17:55.119 --> 0:17:59.520
<v Speaker 1>and do not work at all. Ever, no one's gotten

0:17:59.520 --> 0:18:01.080
<v Speaker 1>a national into work, and no one's ever gott an

0:18:01.119 --> 0:18:05.120
<v Speaker 1>international one to work. Uh, implementation of carbon markets, Like

0:18:05.240 --> 0:18:07.560
<v Speaker 1>China had a big thing that they're gonna implemented carbon market.

0:18:07.760 --> 0:18:10.560
<v Speaker 1>Uh it was fake. It didn't work. Their carbon emission

0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:15.280
<v Speaker 1>still increase, very very like how fucky carbon markets can be.

0:18:15.520 --> 0:18:18.359
<v Speaker 1>So you get carbon credits if you're a business like

0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:23.679
<v Speaker 1>Tesla that makes no emission electronic vehicles, and Tesla for

0:18:23.920 --> 0:18:26.359
<v Speaker 1>a lot of its earlier history, made a significant chunk

0:18:26.359 --> 0:18:29.919
<v Speaker 1>of its profits selling carbon credits to polluting industries and

0:18:30.040 --> 0:18:33.040
<v Speaker 1>basically saying, you guys keep polluting, we got your back.

0:18:33.160 --> 0:18:35.920
<v Speaker 1>Like the fact that we're putting electric cars out onto

0:18:35.960 --> 0:18:38.199
<v Speaker 1>the street means you guys can keep admitting at the

0:18:38.200 --> 0:18:42.080
<v Speaker 1>same Well, like that's that's like literally how how kind

0:18:42.119 --> 0:18:46.160
<v Speaker 1>of the business can work. It's it's not the best

0:18:46.200 --> 0:18:49.600
<v Speaker 1>way to fix the problem. Yeah, So there was a

0:18:49.640 --> 0:18:52.720
<v Speaker 1>lot of a lot of talk was around carbon markets. Um,

0:18:52.760 --> 0:18:56.680
<v Speaker 1>because that's of course with the neil liberal establishment, neo

0:18:56.720 --> 0:19:00.320
<v Speaker 1>liberal englishment is going to focus on because is it.

0:19:00.320 --> 0:19:03.239
<v Speaker 1>It still is within their kind of worldview. Um, how

0:19:03.240 --> 0:19:05.880
<v Speaker 1>do we monetize the rot? Yeah, how do we how

0:19:05.880 --> 0:19:09.400
<v Speaker 1>do we make money off of the world ending? Um?

0:19:09.480 --> 0:19:11.119
<v Speaker 1>Which I guess we're going to see a lot more

0:19:11.160 --> 0:19:15.280
<v Speaker 1>of that uh in the next in the next few decades. Um.

0:19:15.359 --> 0:19:18.120
<v Speaker 1>The the other the other thing that they decided on is, uh,

0:19:18.359 --> 0:19:20.720
<v Speaker 1>next year there's gonna there's gonna be again. So there's

0:19:20.760 --> 0:19:24.399
<v Speaker 1>there's They decided to procrastinate, which is just a general

0:19:24.440 --> 0:19:29.080
<v Speaker 1>theme of COP conferences. We've been doing. It's what everyone's

0:19:29.119 --> 0:19:32.040
<v Speaker 1>been doing about plimate change since forever. So yeah, the

0:19:32.320 --> 0:19:35.840
<v Speaker 1>main thing they do is decide to procrastinate. Um. So

0:19:36.240 --> 0:19:39.119
<v Speaker 1>next year there's gonna be a U N committee to

0:19:39.280 --> 0:19:43.560
<v Speaker 1>report on progress towards delivering one billion dollar per year

0:19:44.119 --> 0:19:47.680
<v Speaker 1>in a promised climate funding. Uh. This was after rich

0:19:47.760 --> 0:19:51.240
<v Speaker 1>nations failed to deliver on the deadline four said funds

0:19:51.880 --> 0:19:54.359
<v Speaker 1>um and then financing is gonna be discussed again in

0:19:54.320 --> 0:19:58.879
<v Speaker 1>twenty four six at those conferences. Um. But this this

0:19:58.960 --> 0:20:02.159
<v Speaker 1>deal left a lot of more vulnerable nations who were

0:20:02.200 --> 0:20:06.160
<v Speaker 1>going to rely on this promised funding. Uh kind of

0:20:06.480 --> 0:20:09.320
<v Speaker 1>just they just left them without things. So the whole

0:20:09.320 --> 0:20:12.159
<v Speaker 1>idea was that like Yeah, we need this funding to

0:20:12.240 --> 0:20:16.200
<v Speaker 1>help people in these disasters and different losses and damages,

0:20:16.560 --> 0:20:20.359
<v Speaker 1>and to help, you know, start start making more um

0:20:20.520 --> 0:20:24.720
<v Speaker 1>renewable energy technology in lieu of doing tons of tons

0:20:24.800 --> 0:20:26.760
<v Speaker 1>of coal mining. And that's where this money was going

0:20:26.800 --> 0:20:30.800
<v Speaker 1>to get used for, and it's not happening. Um so

0:20:31.920 --> 0:20:36.600
<v Speaker 1>and this, this promise was initially made at a UN

0:20:37.359 --> 0:20:41.720
<v Speaker 1>conference on climate change and we're still we're still pushing

0:20:41.760 --> 0:20:45.680
<v Speaker 1>it back year by year. So this pledge is older

0:20:45.720 --> 0:20:49.919
<v Speaker 1>than I am. Yeah, it sure is. Another pledgement too,

0:20:49.960 --> 0:20:52.879
<v Speaker 1>as a nine to provide a hundred billion dollars to

0:20:53.080 --> 0:20:57.439
<v Speaker 1>emerging economies was supposed to be made. That also was missed.

0:20:57.880 --> 0:20:59.800
<v Speaker 1>Um and it was It was designed to help nations

0:21:00.080 --> 0:21:02.560
<v Speaker 1>adapt to climate effects and make the transition to clean energy.

0:21:03.160 --> 0:21:07.520
<v Speaker 1>Um and uh. The copp six president said that around

0:21:07.600 --> 0:21:14.680
<v Speaker 1>five billion will be mobilized by so cool. Thanks for

0:21:14.760 --> 0:21:18.240
<v Speaker 1>saying those numbers, which mean nothing. It's fun. It's fun

0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:20.159
<v Speaker 1>how you can just talk and say things and it

0:21:20.200 --> 0:21:23.280
<v Speaker 1>doesn't actually matter. It's It's one of the things that's

0:21:23.280 --> 0:21:25.439
<v Speaker 1>so frustrating about this is trying to get a handle

0:21:25.480 --> 0:21:29.520
<v Speaker 1>on like how how a lot of these solutions are

0:21:29.560 --> 0:21:31.600
<v Speaker 1>supposed to work so like one of the articles if

0:21:31.640 --> 0:21:34.159
<v Speaker 1>you're trying to actually if you're not just taking our

0:21:34.200 --> 0:21:36.000
<v Speaker 1>word for it, which you never should, and trying to

0:21:36.040 --> 0:21:39.560
<v Speaker 1>research like carbon credits and carbon markets and like how

0:21:39.600 --> 0:21:42.280
<v Speaker 1>they might work or might help. Like one of the

0:21:42.320 --> 0:21:44.960
<v Speaker 1>articles you're going to come across is an article in

0:21:45.080 --> 0:21:48.200
<v Speaker 1>Nature dot org called making Carbon Markets Work for Faster

0:21:48.280 --> 0:21:51.560
<v Speaker 1>Climate Action. And this is very much obviously from so

0:21:51.560 --> 0:21:53.680
<v Speaker 1>it's pretty it's pretty recent, and it's not at all

0:21:54.000 --> 0:21:56.560
<v Speaker 1>a climate denial piece. It's it's just kind of laying

0:21:56.600 --> 0:21:59.480
<v Speaker 1>out a case for how carbon markets could be very

0:21:59.520 --> 0:22:04.040
<v Speaker 1>effective of at reducing emissions. But you have to grapple

0:22:04.080 --> 0:22:05.480
<v Speaker 1>the whole time you're looking at this with the fact

0:22:05.560 --> 0:22:10.960
<v Speaker 1>that like they they haven't that that global global emissions

0:22:11.000 --> 0:22:13.239
<v Speaker 1>are still shoo and they provide a number of like

0:22:14.520 --> 0:22:17.240
<v Speaker 1>options for how this could work. And it's one of

0:22:17.240 --> 0:22:20.160
<v Speaker 1>those things where I'm not gonna say it's impossible. I'm

0:22:20.160 --> 0:22:22.120
<v Speaker 1>certainly not an expert on this, and you can read

0:22:22.119 --> 0:22:25.920
<v Speaker 1>through the article um if you want, but it's it's

0:22:25.960 --> 0:22:28.960
<v Speaker 1>certainly certainly think the thing you can say right now

0:22:29.119 --> 0:22:31.760
<v Speaker 1>is that carbon markets have not led to a global

0:22:31.840 --> 0:22:35.280
<v Speaker 1>decrease in emissions because we we have not had emissions

0:22:35.280 --> 0:22:37.480
<v Speaker 1>decrease other than that little dip we had when a

0:22:37.520 --> 0:22:42.359
<v Speaker 1>covid uh did it's it's sweet little dance. Yeah, that

0:22:42.560 --> 0:22:46.199
<v Speaker 1>one month where we could actually see the sky again. Yeah,

0:22:46.280 --> 0:22:49.760
<v Speaker 1>that was pretty rad um. But yeah, there's there's I mean,

0:22:49.840 --> 0:22:51.520
<v Speaker 1>you you can check that article out for kind of

0:22:51.560 --> 0:22:55.080
<v Speaker 1>the pro carbon markets case. It all seems I mean,

0:22:55.080 --> 0:22:57.119
<v Speaker 1>one of the things that's frustrating to me about it

0:22:57.160 --> 0:23:01.240
<v Speaker 1>is it all it's all like, yeah, uh, here's how

0:23:01.359 --> 0:23:04.240
<v Speaker 1>it might work if you know, everybody got on board

0:23:04.359 --> 0:23:07.840
<v Speaker 1>the Paris Climate Agreement and also all of this worked ideally,

0:23:08.520 --> 0:23:10.360
<v Speaker 1>But there's there just doesn't seem to be a lot

0:23:10.400 --> 0:23:14.520
<v Speaker 1>of I I just don't see any evidence that like

0:23:14.680 --> 0:23:18.639
<v Speaker 1>they've shown that this is actually likely to be helpful. Um.

0:23:18.640 --> 0:23:21.240
<v Speaker 1>It's more just like yeah, this, this could this could

0:23:21.240 --> 0:23:25.359
<v Speaker 1>work if if we do these other things, um, which

0:23:25.400 --> 0:23:27.320
<v Speaker 1>is frustrating. That's like all all of the kind of

0:23:27.359 --> 0:23:29.480
<v Speaker 1>ship that you get at at at COP twenty six

0:23:29.520 --> 0:23:32.200
<v Speaker 1>where it's like, yeah, I guess theoretically, if you were

0:23:32.200 --> 0:23:33.919
<v Speaker 1>to do that, or if that were to work the

0:23:33.920 --> 0:23:35.600
<v Speaker 1>way you're saying, or if that were to work with

0:23:35.600 --> 0:23:38.880
<v Speaker 1>the assumption that like all these other factors don't grow

0:23:38.920 --> 0:23:41.840
<v Speaker 1>over this period of time than than this might help.

0:23:41.960 --> 0:23:46.800
<v Speaker 1>But we also know what's happened with emissions and global

0:23:46.840 --> 0:23:50.159
<v Speaker 1>attempts to reduce climate change um which is not to

0:23:50.200 --> 0:23:54.000
<v Speaker 1>say that like like emissions in the United States, like

0:23:54.040 --> 0:23:55.680
<v Speaker 1>there have been there's been a lot that's been done

0:23:55.680 --> 0:23:58.440
<v Speaker 1>to curb emissions from the United States. Now, the thing

0:23:58.480 --> 0:24:00.359
<v Speaker 1>that's often left out of like the discuss should have

0:24:00.680 --> 0:24:03.800
<v Speaker 1>these different things and how they impacted our emissions is like, well,

0:24:03.840 --> 0:24:06.120
<v Speaker 1>a lot of those emissions got pushed off to other

0:24:06.200 --> 0:24:08.320
<v Speaker 1>countries that are now making the things that we were

0:24:08.359 --> 0:24:10.880
<v Speaker 1>making for I. Yes, So like that that's the big

0:24:10.880 --> 0:24:13.359
<v Speaker 1>thing when people argue against the growth and they're like, no,

0:24:13.480 --> 0:24:16.000
<v Speaker 1>you can. You can still keep growing your economy while

0:24:16.400 --> 0:24:20.080
<v Speaker 1>lowering emissions, and like, yeah, one country can, but we

0:24:20.119 --> 0:24:22.359
<v Speaker 1>still want the stuff, so we're just moving it to

0:24:22.480 --> 0:24:26.360
<v Speaker 1>other countries to produce, so like we're not actually lowering

0:24:26.400 --> 0:24:28.560
<v Speaker 1>it on a global level. You can lower you can

0:24:28.560 --> 0:24:31.400
<v Speaker 1>lower it on like an individual country level, but not

0:24:31.600 --> 0:24:34.160
<v Speaker 1>totally globally because we still want to consume the thing.

0:24:34.680 --> 0:24:36.679
<v Speaker 1>This is one of the single most frustrating things about

0:24:36.800 --> 0:24:39.720
<v Speaker 1>talking to people aball climate change is that Okay. You know,

0:24:39.720 --> 0:24:40.920
<v Speaker 1>if you if you talk to the sort of Neil

0:24:41.040 --> 0:24:43.760
<v Speaker 1>Book Carmon market people, right, if you talk about literally

0:24:43.800 --> 0:24:46.639
<v Speaker 1>anything else, right, the only thing they ever talked about

0:24:46.680 --> 0:24:48.680
<v Speaker 1>is how the entire world is interconnected, how the entire

0:24:48.720 --> 0:24:51.480
<v Speaker 1>economies and connected, how we're more interconnected than ever. And

0:24:51.520 --> 0:24:55.480
<v Speaker 1>then the moment you start talking about climate change, they go, oh, well,

0:24:55.480 --> 0:24:57.840
<v Speaker 1>it's all the individual country, individual country, individual country. The

0:24:57.840 --> 0:24:59.800
<v Speaker 1>economy is not connected at all. It's all about the

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:02.040
<v Speaker 1>visual policy makers some country. It's like, no, it's not

0:25:02.440 --> 0:25:05.800
<v Speaker 1>the it's it's about like all all of the like

0:25:05.840 --> 0:25:09.479
<v Speaker 1>the the the the the emissions are foreign direct investment driven. Right,

0:25:09.600 --> 0:25:11.200
<v Speaker 1>it's about it's a it's about's about what it's about

0:25:11.200 --> 0:25:15.760
<v Speaker 1>where investment money is going. And you cannot and you

0:25:15.760 --> 0:25:17.840
<v Speaker 1>know this, this is this is why COP and somebody's like,

0:25:17.840 --> 0:25:19.679
<v Speaker 1>this is why it doesn't work. And even though it's

0:25:19.680 --> 0:25:21.399
<v Speaker 1>the only framework that could work, right, you have to

0:25:21.440 --> 0:25:23.520
<v Speaker 1>have an international response that has to be coordinated. It

0:25:23.560 --> 0:25:26.959
<v Speaker 1>has to be working across national lines because again that's

0:25:27.000 --> 0:25:30.960
<v Speaker 1>how the economystem works. But it doesn't because a state's

0:25:31.280 --> 0:25:34.000
<v Speaker 1>individual states can't and will not ever solve this and

0:25:34.040 --> 0:25:37.240
<v Speaker 1>then be COP is like, Okay, so here's here's your

0:25:37.280 --> 0:25:39.600
<v Speaker 1>international framework. But also we're just gonna have you know,

0:25:39.720 --> 0:25:42.800
<v Speaker 1>the actual the the the actual international framework is going

0:25:42.840 --> 0:25:45.200
<v Speaker 1>to be just essentially hammered up by a bunch of

0:25:45.240 --> 0:25:48.840
<v Speaker 1>fossil fuel companies. And so it's just you know, it's

0:25:48.880 --> 0:25:51.720
<v Speaker 1>it's the worst of both worlds. I mean, it's and

0:25:51.800 --> 0:25:55.160
<v Speaker 1>it you can see, there's there's some kind of acknowledgement

0:25:55.320 --> 0:25:58.359
<v Speaker 1>at the fact that this is an international problem in

0:25:58.359 --> 0:26:01.240
<v Speaker 1>in like the basic idea of of carbon markets, which

0:26:01.280 --> 0:26:05.600
<v Speaker 1>includes the idea that like, um, you can companies that

0:26:05.600 --> 0:26:08.560
<v Speaker 1>that emit emit lesson, don't use up their carbon budget

0:26:08.600 --> 0:26:10.520
<v Speaker 1>can like sell carbon credits and you can do this

0:26:10.600 --> 0:26:14.040
<v Speaker 1>across international lines. And like if we hold if we

0:26:14.119 --> 0:26:18.399
<v Speaker 1>hold companies to different like emission standards internationally based on

0:26:18.440 --> 0:26:21.119
<v Speaker 1>things like the Paris Climate Agreement, then that will cause

0:26:21.200 --> 0:26:24.520
<v Speaker 1>the carbon credit system to work better. Um, there's that

0:26:24.560 --> 0:26:27.479
<v Speaker 1>acknowledgement that it is an international problem. But again I

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:31.320
<v Speaker 1>just don't I don't see I don't see evidence that

0:26:31.359 --> 0:26:34.399
<v Speaker 1>it's working, and they like none of the evidence that

0:26:34.440 --> 0:26:38.160
<v Speaker 1>I've read makes it seem like there's a very good

0:26:38.200 --> 0:26:40.120
<v Speaker 1>case that this is going to at the very least

0:26:40.119 --> 0:26:41.840
<v Speaker 1>that this is going to provide the kind of emissions

0:26:41.840 --> 0:26:45.760
<v Speaker 1>productions that are necessary to forestall the worst case scenarios

0:26:45.800 --> 0:26:48.879
<v Speaker 1>that are coming. Um. And if we're gonna be again,

0:26:48.920 --> 0:26:51.760
<v Speaker 1>to be completely intellectually honest here, we can talk about

0:26:51.840 --> 0:26:55.440
<v Speaker 1>d growth all day long. UM. I have a similar

0:26:55.480 --> 0:26:58.000
<v Speaker 1>problem with that that I do to a lot of

0:26:58.000 --> 0:27:02.880
<v Speaker 1>these the different kind of targets that Copy six introduced,

0:27:02.960 --> 0:27:06.720
<v Speaker 1>stuff like carbon markets, where it's like, I don't I

0:27:06.760 --> 0:27:11.240
<v Speaker 1>don't see that solving the problem either. It's like a

0:27:11.320 --> 0:27:14.240
<v Speaker 1>theoretical it's it's yeah, if we were to get people

0:27:14.280 --> 0:27:17.679
<v Speaker 1>to if if we've gotten people on board with deep growth,

0:27:17.720 --> 0:27:21.000
<v Speaker 1>then you've already fundamentally shifted the very nature of global

0:27:21.040 --> 0:27:24.520
<v Speaker 1>society um. And also the way in which Americans and

0:27:24.600 --> 0:27:28.320
<v Speaker 1>people in other Western nations like conceived of economics at

0:27:28.320 --> 0:27:32.399
<v Speaker 1>a fundamental level. UM. And so it's it's one thing

0:27:32.440 --> 0:27:36.440
<v Speaker 1>to say that like, yeah, if people accepted that and

0:27:36.440 --> 0:27:39.639
<v Speaker 1>and got on board with a lifestyle that is not

0:27:39.720 --> 0:27:42.840
<v Speaker 1>based on this this kind of capitalist notion of endless growth,

0:27:42.880 --> 0:27:45.639
<v Speaker 1>of ever increasing extraction from the world in order to

0:27:45.680 --> 0:27:50.399
<v Speaker 1>create value, UM, then we could we could actually stop

0:27:50.440 --> 0:27:52.119
<v Speaker 1>emitting at the kind of levels that are going to

0:27:52.200 --> 0:27:55.680
<v Speaker 1>lead to these horrible consequences. Um, the question is like,

0:27:56.000 --> 0:27:59.480
<v Speaker 1>I don't see, I don't see you you can are

0:27:59.680 --> 0:28:02.000
<v Speaker 1>I think you can argue that de growth is more

0:28:02.080 --> 0:28:06.480
<v Speaker 1>realistic in that, Yes, that would absolutely work as opposed

0:28:06.520 --> 0:28:08.720
<v Speaker 1>to carbon credits and other things where it's like, well

0:28:08.760 --> 0:28:11.600
<v Speaker 1>theoretically it might work if they do all this other stuff. Yeah,

0:28:11.680 --> 0:28:16.320
<v Speaker 1>it does. It does revolve on the cultural notion of

0:28:16.520 --> 0:28:20.879
<v Speaker 1>America and the West completely changing. Um, it's a big

0:28:20.880 --> 0:28:23.200
<v Speaker 1>it's a big ask, you know. Yeah, And I mean

0:28:23.200 --> 0:28:26.920
<v Speaker 1>like there is there's smaller steps, like totally like reorganizing

0:28:26.920 --> 0:28:29.480
<v Speaker 1>how cities work so we do not use cars, uh,

0:28:29.720 --> 0:28:33.440
<v Speaker 1>like like like re redoing a public transportation like sector

0:28:33.840 --> 0:28:36.960
<v Speaker 1>uh in you know, um, making like making like a

0:28:37.000 --> 0:28:39.840
<v Speaker 1>cellar panels and a renewable energy I required part of

0:28:39.880 --> 0:28:41.840
<v Speaker 1>like city infrastructure. Right there, there's a there's a lot

0:28:41.840 --> 0:28:45.120
<v Speaker 1>of ways to push us towards that thing, but there's

0:28:45.120 --> 0:28:47.120
<v Speaker 1>not one thing we can do right because it is

0:28:47.200 --> 0:28:50.280
<v Speaker 1>in large parts of cultural change stuff. Stuff will help

0:28:50.320 --> 0:28:53.760
<v Speaker 1>with emissions, like if we if we redesign cities around

0:28:53.760 --> 0:28:56.560
<v Speaker 1>public transportation and make it so stuff is not as

0:28:56.600 --> 0:28:58.320
<v Speaker 1>as far apart, and yeah, that that's going to help

0:28:58.360 --> 0:29:00.840
<v Speaker 1>lower emissions if we if we require are all these

0:29:00.840 --> 0:29:03.920
<v Speaker 1>other types of renewable energy projects to be built into

0:29:04.280 --> 0:29:07.760
<v Speaker 1>buildings and added on to our current cities, and yeah,

0:29:07.800 --> 0:29:10.760
<v Speaker 1>that that is going to help lower emissions. But you know,

0:29:10.920 --> 0:29:13.760
<v Speaker 1>there's there's not one one big step that we can

0:29:13.760 --> 0:29:16.400
<v Speaker 1>all do at the same time. And I think that

0:29:16.400 --> 0:29:19.240
<v Speaker 1>that's I don't know. I'm of two minds about it.

0:29:19.320 --> 0:29:22.760
<v Speaker 1>One part of me says that's absolutely the most intelligent

0:29:22.800 --> 0:29:25.880
<v Speaker 1>way to go about it is focusing on things like

0:29:26.520 --> 0:29:29.520
<v Speaker 1>reducing the use of like like like really all ending

0:29:29.600 --> 0:29:33.480
<v Speaker 1>car culture in cities, because it's not even a reduction thing.

0:29:33.520 --> 0:29:36.680
<v Speaker 1>It has to be like that that has to die. Um.

0:29:36.680 --> 0:29:39.120
<v Speaker 1>But we're a lot closer to that than ending the

0:29:39.200 --> 0:29:45.720
<v Speaker 1>idea of like, uh, capitalism, yes, because they're at number

0:29:45.760 --> 0:29:49.080
<v Speaker 1>one one, because there are capitalists, very capitalist countries that

0:29:49.200 --> 0:29:51.440
<v Speaker 1>have that do not have a car culture, that like

0:29:51.680 --> 0:29:53.880
<v Speaker 1>stopped that and that actually like had one at one

0:29:53.880 --> 0:29:57.280
<v Speaker 1>point and then reworked there. So that's that's and that

0:29:57.360 --> 0:30:00.160
<v Speaker 1>would Yeah, that is a significant that's probably go that

0:30:00.200 --> 0:30:03.720
<v Speaker 1>would probably lead to larger emissions reductions than any kind

0:30:03.720 --> 0:30:07.440
<v Speaker 1>of carbon credit system could ever lead to. UM. I

0:30:07.520 --> 0:30:11.080
<v Speaker 1>also and So yeah, I think that that's on an

0:30:11.080 --> 0:30:13.840
<v Speaker 1>objective level. Yeah, that's it's smart to focus on stuff

0:30:13.840 --> 0:30:18.240
<v Speaker 1>like that, where you're all you are arguing for reducing growth,

0:30:18.880 --> 0:30:21.360
<v Speaker 1>but you're also arguing and for like, hey, your life

0:30:21.400 --> 0:30:23.360
<v Speaker 1>will be more pleasant if you live in a city

0:30:23.400 --> 0:30:26.120
<v Speaker 1>where you can walk everywhere and you're not at risk

0:30:26.160 --> 0:30:29.080
<v Speaker 1>of getting run down by you know, two ton trucks

0:30:29.120 --> 0:30:31.960
<v Speaker 1>anytime you cross the street, and like you're not dealing

0:30:31.960 --> 0:30:34.920
<v Speaker 1>with smog and pollution and horrible like hour and a

0:30:34.960 --> 0:30:39.360
<v Speaker 1>half long communes on these crowded, nightmare highways. Um. But

0:30:39.440 --> 0:30:44.880
<v Speaker 1>it's also it's still incrementalist. You know, we we are

0:30:44.960 --> 0:30:47.360
<v Speaker 1>we are talking here, we are kind of like walking

0:30:47.400 --> 0:30:52.160
<v Speaker 1>through here, Um, all of the best incremental solutions and

0:30:52.160 --> 0:30:54.680
<v Speaker 1>and what is the most realistic of those? Um. And

0:30:54.840 --> 0:30:56.560
<v Speaker 1>I think that's fine. I think that's kind of where

0:30:56.600 --> 0:30:59.880
<v Speaker 1>we have to be because that is what's most likely

0:31:00.000 --> 0:31:02.840
<v Speaker 1>to actually happen to make the problem better. Um. But

0:31:02.920 --> 0:31:05.360
<v Speaker 1>it is we have to acknowledge it is incremental, Like

0:31:05.400 --> 0:31:10.360
<v Speaker 1>we're not we're not solving It would be very arrogant

0:31:10.360 --> 0:31:12.760
<v Speaker 1>to say, like, here's how we solve this problem once

0:31:12.760 --> 0:31:14.480
<v Speaker 1>and for all. You know, I just want to I

0:31:14.480 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 1>think sometimes when you talk about stuff like deep growth,

0:31:16.800 --> 0:31:19.200
<v Speaker 1>you can get into this, you can kind of it

0:31:19.240 --> 0:31:21.400
<v Speaker 1>can come across as if you're trying to like simplify,

0:31:21.480 --> 0:31:23.480
<v Speaker 1>like and if we do this, like it will be perfect.

0:31:23.640 --> 0:31:25.960
<v Speaker 1>Like now, this would be like the hardest thing. That's

0:31:26.920 --> 0:31:28.880
<v Speaker 1>that's like saying we have to confix it by all

0:31:29.080 --> 0:31:33.760
<v Speaker 1>doing a revolution. It's like it's it's not okay, okay, cool, yeah,

0:31:33.800 --> 0:31:37.640
<v Speaker 1>I mean yeah, But anyway, we have to do some

0:31:37.680 --> 0:31:39.640
<v Speaker 1>ads and then we'll be back to finish up kind

0:31:39.640 --> 0:31:42.520
<v Speaker 1>of their closing expectations on Copy six and the other

0:31:42.600 --> 0:31:56.120
<v Speaker 1>kind of things happening in the periphery. Um, here's ads. Okay,

0:31:56.280 --> 0:31:58.560
<v Speaker 1>we are back and we're talking about kind of what

0:31:58.640 --> 0:32:00.960
<v Speaker 1>happened towards the end of COP twenty six. So we

0:32:01.000 --> 0:32:03.360
<v Speaker 1>already kind of discussed how the deal was made, what

0:32:03.400 --> 0:32:06.280
<v Speaker 1>was in the deal, what things were talked about. Um,

0:32:06.320 --> 0:32:07.920
<v Speaker 1>now we're kind of going to talk about, you know,

0:32:08.080 --> 0:32:12.520
<v Speaker 1>the other kind of closing thoughts around it. Um in

0:32:12.520 --> 0:32:14.280
<v Speaker 1>in in. In the lead up to to cut to

0:32:14.320 --> 0:32:20.160
<v Speaker 1>play six, the United States Special Presidential Climate Envoy John Kerry,

0:32:20.200 --> 0:32:22.280
<v Speaker 1>who's like he's supposed to be like our climate guy.

0:32:22.640 --> 0:32:24.680
<v Speaker 1>Um he he also said the goal of the something

0:32:24.720 --> 0:32:26.959
<v Speaker 1>it was to it was to you know, hope that

0:32:27.000 --> 0:32:29.240
<v Speaker 1>we can limit stuff to one point in five degrees.

0:32:29.640 --> 0:32:31.720
<v Speaker 1>And you know he he called this the last best

0:32:31.720 --> 0:32:34.320
<v Speaker 1>hope for the world to get its act together. But

0:32:34.520 --> 0:32:37.040
<v Speaker 1>by the time Cutty six came to the end, his

0:32:37.320 --> 0:32:40.480
<v Speaker 1>language and attitude had kind of changed. Um after after

0:32:40.520 --> 0:32:43.760
<v Speaker 1>two weeks of debate and negotiation, his his final remarks

0:32:43.800 --> 0:32:46.400
<v Speaker 1>reflected the kind of the points we've been talking about,

0:32:46.720 --> 0:32:50.600
<v Speaker 1>how um and and and said, like like the government

0:32:50.680 --> 0:32:53.800
<v Speaker 1>energy policy is currently in place around the world are

0:32:53.840 --> 0:32:57.960
<v Speaker 1>projected to result in about two point seven degrees celsius

0:32:58.040 --> 0:33:02.000
<v Speaker 1>of warming above pre industrial levels, and government pledges to

0:33:02.080 --> 0:33:05.000
<v Speaker 1>cut climate emissions would limit warming to two point four

0:33:05.440 --> 0:33:09.360
<v Speaker 1>uh if they are met. So that's the again, we're

0:33:09.400 --> 0:33:12.880
<v Speaker 1>just launching way past this like mythical fantasy of of

0:33:12.960 --> 0:33:16.840
<v Speaker 1>one point five degrees. And the other scary things is

0:33:16.840 --> 0:33:19.080
<v Speaker 1>that we're getting a lot, a lot closer to large

0:33:19.080 --> 0:33:23.000
<v Speaker 1>scale feedback loops. Uh. Feedback loops are things like once

0:33:23.080 --> 0:33:25.960
<v Speaker 1>we have reached a certain degree of warming, environmental effects

0:33:26.000 --> 0:33:30.200
<v Speaker 1>will be triggered that will cascade and produce like exponential

0:33:30.240 --> 0:33:33.239
<v Speaker 1>growth in warming. This is like a this it's not

0:33:33.360 --> 0:33:36.560
<v Speaker 1>purely theoretical, but it is mostly stuff that we still

0:33:36.600 --> 0:33:39.000
<v Speaker 1>probably can prevent, and we really need to get on

0:33:39.000 --> 0:33:42.040
<v Speaker 1>it like a sap, because once these things start happening,

0:33:42.080 --> 0:33:44.720
<v Speaker 1>they are very hard to reverse. One of the biggest

0:33:44.720 --> 0:33:47.600
<v Speaker 1>ones that are that are already being affected is photosynthesis

0:33:47.600 --> 0:33:51.360
<v Speaker 1>by plants on land and how that is decreasing its

0:33:51.360 --> 0:33:55.240
<v Speaker 1>ability to suck up carbon um. About of our annual

0:33:55.280 --> 0:34:00.240
<v Speaker 1>carbon emissions are removed by the air by photosynthesis um

0:34:00.240 --> 0:34:02.760
<v Speaker 1>and the rest of which are dissolved in the ocean,

0:34:02.800 --> 0:34:06.000
<v Speaker 1>causing ocean acidification or that you just hang around in

0:34:06.000 --> 0:34:09.280
<v Speaker 1>the atmosphere, which causes you know, a bigger thermal blanket.

0:34:09.760 --> 0:34:12.520
<v Speaker 1>So uh, photos that this is has like a thermal

0:34:12.560 --> 0:34:16.480
<v Speaker 1>maximum beyond which carbon can only be taken so much

0:34:16.520 --> 0:34:19.480
<v Speaker 1>of it in and then the process which by plants

0:34:19.600 --> 0:34:23.200
<v Speaker 1>give off carbon and water actually increases. And we are

0:34:23.239 --> 0:34:26.320
<v Speaker 1>already at that point in a in a lot of places,

0:34:26.960 --> 0:34:28.960
<v Speaker 1>and we are we are at that we we achieve

0:34:29.040 --> 0:34:32.279
<v Speaker 1>the warming required to get to that point a few

0:34:32.320 --> 0:34:35.760
<v Speaker 1>times throughout the past decade. So land based carbon uptake

0:34:35.840 --> 0:34:38.680
<v Speaker 1>is projected to decline by nearly fifty percent as early

0:34:38.719 --> 0:34:42.640
<v Speaker 1>as and and these effects have not been included in

0:34:42.760 --> 0:34:46.680
<v Speaker 1>any of the you know, published pathways leading to lower

0:34:47.080 --> 0:34:50.160
<v Speaker 1>like lower degrees of warming. UM. And again this isn't,

0:34:50.200 --> 0:34:52.920
<v Speaker 1>this isn't just as speculative. Like the biggest example of

0:34:52.960 --> 0:34:54.680
<v Speaker 1>this that we can like point to is like the

0:34:54.719 --> 0:34:58.880
<v Speaker 1>Amazon rainforest. How that is now a net emitter because

0:34:58.920 --> 0:35:01.840
<v Speaker 1>it is no longer sucking up enough carbon to offset

0:35:01.840 --> 0:35:05.160
<v Speaker 1>the amount of carbon and actually shoots out. So we

0:35:05.239 --> 0:35:08.640
<v Speaker 1>need to stop deforestation to keep planting more trees essentially

0:35:09.040 --> 0:35:12.480
<v Speaker 1>because that that sucks. And also just as a general

0:35:12.560 --> 0:35:15.720
<v Speaker 1>kind of indicator of the cascading effects that are happening,

0:35:16.400 --> 0:35:18.520
<v Speaker 1>and we are we're still on the path for kind

0:35:18.560 --> 0:35:20.640
<v Speaker 1>of large, large scale disasters in a lot of places

0:35:20.640 --> 0:35:26.319
<v Speaker 1>around the world. UM. The it's around ninet of the

0:35:26.360 --> 0:35:30.680
<v Speaker 1>Earth's land area is in pretty pretty dire of risk

0:35:31.040 --> 0:35:33.759
<v Speaker 1>on our current emission pathway of the Marshall Islands and

0:35:33.800 --> 0:35:38.160
<v Speaker 1>all dol VI's UM, Vietnam, Southeast Asia, Middle East, parts

0:35:38.200 --> 0:35:42.399
<v Speaker 1>of North Africa, and Central America. UM. Overall, around one

0:35:42.520 --> 0:35:45.560
<v Speaker 1>third of the land humans occupied are predicted to either

0:35:45.800 --> 0:35:48.560
<v Speaker 1>drowned by by sea level rise or became or become

0:35:48.600 --> 0:35:50.200
<v Speaker 1>too hot for human life. Just by the end of

0:35:50.200 --> 0:35:54.319
<v Speaker 1>this century alone, So that that will cause you know, migration,

0:35:54.440 --> 0:35:56.759
<v Speaker 1>panics and wars and all, like a whole bunch of

0:35:56.880 --> 0:35:59.120
<v Speaker 1>bad things that we can we can limit that, Like,

0:35:59.120 --> 0:36:02.359
<v Speaker 1>that is something that we need to limit now, and

0:36:02.400 --> 0:36:05.080
<v Speaker 1>if we don't, it's still it's still happening. So these

0:36:05.080 --> 0:36:07.359
<v Speaker 1>are the other kind of things talked about at the end.

0:36:08.000 --> 0:36:13.000
<v Speaker 1>Um So that was kind of copy as a whole. Um.

0:36:13.040 --> 0:36:14.799
<v Speaker 1>The one last thing I want to mention is just

0:36:14.880 --> 0:36:19.440
<v Speaker 1>how evil Facebook is. Um so kind of kind of

0:36:19.440 --> 0:36:24.000
<v Speaker 1>an aside, but um, Facebook's vice president of Global Affairs

0:36:24.600 --> 0:36:31.440
<v Speaker 1>UH talked um and about Facebook's efforts to combat climate misinformation.

0:36:31.880 --> 0:36:35.400
<v Speaker 1>UM as the Glasgow somewhat began. But as this was happening,

0:36:35.680 --> 0:36:38.839
<v Speaker 1>conservative media, let's like Newsmax or we're running ads on

0:36:38.880 --> 0:36:42.600
<v Speaker 1>Facebook calling a global global warming a hoax, gaining hundreds

0:36:42.600 --> 0:36:45.040
<v Speaker 1>of thousands of views, stuff like you know Canadas so

0:36:45.120 --> 0:36:48.480
<v Speaker 1>One's and Daily Wire, we're spreading climate misinformation. But and

0:36:48.560 --> 0:36:51.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, as as Facebook is bragging about its ability

0:36:51.480 --> 0:36:55.759
<v Speaker 1>to to combat misinformation around climate change. UM. The UK

0:36:55.880 --> 0:36:59.800
<v Speaker 1>based think tank Influence Map, which identified misleading Facebook ads

0:37:00.080 --> 0:37:05.200
<v Speaker 1>UH from several media outlets. UM A round copy also

0:37:05.200 --> 0:37:08.640
<v Speaker 1>found that fossil field companies and lobbying groups spent half

0:37:08.640 --> 0:37:12.320
<v Speaker 1>a million dollars on political and social issue Facebook ads

0:37:12.440 --> 0:37:16.440
<v Speaker 1>during the summit, resulting in over twenty two million impressions,

0:37:16.480 --> 0:37:20.560
<v Speaker 1>including content that promoted environmental effects under what we would

0:37:20.600 --> 0:37:24.240
<v Speaker 1>call like green washing stuff like you know, the American

0:37:24.280 --> 0:37:27.799
<v Speaker 1>Petroleum Institute putting up putting an ad out over like

0:37:27.840 --> 0:37:30.600
<v Speaker 1>a natural landscape as it like touts its efforts to

0:37:30.680 --> 0:37:34.000
<v Speaker 1>tackle climate change. Um, so all all of that kind

0:37:34.000 --> 0:37:36.960
<v Speaker 1>of stuff. So I just think it's really dumb because

0:37:37.239 --> 0:37:40.920
<v Speaker 1>Facebook breaks about its ability to combat climate misinformation as

0:37:41.000 --> 0:37:44.680
<v Speaker 1>its running ads saying climate changes the hoax and then

0:37:44.960 --> 0:37:48.799
<v Speaker 1>doing generally green green washing is more common, but still

0:37:48.840 --> 0:37:51.960
<v Speaker 1>it's frustrating. Um and yeah, just there's a note like

0:37:52.000 --> 0:37:53.719
<v Speaker 1>we talked about this in the Facebook it as it's

0:37:53.719 --> 0:37:56.200
<v Speaker 1>a bastards that dropped recently. But like the number one

0:37:56.239 --> 0:37:59.640
<v Speaker 1>spreader right now of climate disinformation on Facebook is bright Bart,

0:37:59.719 --> 0:38:02.200
<v Speaker 1>which a lot of the Facebook papers have gone on too.

0:38:02.239 --> 0:38:06.200
<v Speaker 1>Like the extreme lengths, Facebook executives went to keep bright

0:38:06.280 --> 0:38:08.600
<v Speaker 1>Bart as one of their like trusted news partners and

0:38:08.640 --> 0:38:11.160
<v Speaker 1>continue putting their stuff out to a huge audience because

0:38:11.160 --> 0:38:13.400
<v Speaker 1>it goes very viral. It was good for engagement on

0:38:13.440 --> 0:38:17.360
<v Speaker 1>the platform, and that's the decision. Facebooks like whatever they say.

0:38:17.400 --> 0:38:19.399
<v Speaker 1>This is like when we when we're talking about car

0:38:19.520 --> 0:38:23.000
<v Speaker 1>carbon credits, when we're talking about like the different proposed solutions,

0:38:23.280 --> 0:38:25.040
<v Speaker 1>I'll do a bit of waffling because I don't want

0:38:25.040 --> 0:38:27.160
<v Speaker 1>to come across as too certain about what the right

0:38:27.640 --> 0:38:29.839
<v Speaker 1>way to go forward is. When it comes to how

0:38:29.880 --> 0:38:34.120
<v Speaker 1>Facebook has handled climate disinformation, it's very black and white. Um,

0:38:34.239 --> 0:38:37.440
<v Speaker 1>they enabled it for direct profit and they talked about it,

0:38:37.560 --> 0:38:40.320
<v Speaker 1>and people within the company were like, Hey, we're deliberately

0:38:40.400 --> 0:38:44.480
<v Speaker 1>enabling climate change misinformation in order to make more money. Um,

0:38:44.520 --> 0:38:48.000
<v Speaker 1>it's a it's a it's a very easy case to make. Yeah.

0:38:48.080 --> 0:38:51.360
<v Speaker 1>So that wraps up my uh my report back on

0:38:51.520 --> 0:38:54.160
<v Speaker 1>cop I know a lot of a lot of stuff

0:38:54.320 --> 0:38:56.040
<v Speaker 1>was like those are there's a lot of headlines like

0:38:56.120 --> 0:38:58.840
<v Speaker 1>before the somebody even ended, before the deal was even finalized,

0:38:58.880 --> 0:39:02.120
<v Speaker 1>I was like, twenty is a failure, which is like yes,

0:39:02.320 --> 0:39:04.960
<v Speaker 1>but I think I think it is worth actually really

0:39:05.040 --> 0:39:07.400
<v Speaker 1>learning what happens at these things, because I think we

0:39:07.440 --> 0:39:10.240
<v Speaker 1>have this idea that they're like some like mythic secret

0:39:10.320 --> 0:39:13.040
<v Speaker 1>gathering of people to discuss plans, and it's like no,

0:39:13.160 --> 0:39:15.920
<v Speaker 1>like you can actually like see everything they're talking about,

0:39:15.920 --> 0:39:17.480
<v Speaker 1>like it's it's all out in the open, like you

0:39:17.520 --> 0:39:20.200
<v Speaker 1>can actually see what what the plans are. It doesn't

0:39:20.200 --> 0:39:23.040
<v Speaker 1>need to be all shrouded in it doesn't need be

0:39:23.040 --> 0:39:26.200
<v Speaker 1>like shrouded in mystery. So I just wanted to give

0:39:26.239 --> 0:39:28.920
<v Speaker 1>people like a rundown on what the actual people in power,

0:39:29.000 --> 0:39:31.719
<v Speaker 1>how they're discussing climate change, and what their expectations are,

0:39:32.160 --> 0:39:34.760
<v Speaker 1>and how you know, expectations have you know, the past

0:39:34.800 --> 0:39:37.759
<v Speaker 1>five years have risen by basically a degree, right, because

0:39:37.800 --> 0:39:41.160
<v Speaker 1>like we're like we can do one point five, and

0:39:41.200 --> 0:39:44.399
<v Speaker 1>now we're like we can do two point five. So

0:39:44.600 --> 0:39:46.920
<v Speaker 1>that is what we've done in five years. That's what's happened.

0:39:47.239 --> 0:39:53.120
<v Speaker 1>And that's what justifies the kind of blanket pessimism about

0:39:53.160 --> 0:39:56.080
<v Speaker 1>anything coming from COP twenty six, about anything being suggested

0:39:56.080 --> 0:39:59.400
<v Speaker 1>by like a state actor and international organization, which is

0:39:59.440 --> 0:40:02.799
<v Speaker 1>that like we've all watched the last twenty years, like

0:40:02.960 --> 0:40:05.319
<v Speaker 1>they've said a lot of great stuff about what could work.

0:40:05.360 --> 0:40:08.120
<v Speaker 1>It's like that Nature article about like okay, well, like

0:40:08.200 --> 0:40:10.200
<v Speaker 1>you've got a bunch of math here arguing about how

0:40:10.239 --> 0:40:12.760
<v Speaker 1>it might work. But we've got the last twenty years

0:40:12.920 --> 0:40:15.920
<v Speaker 1>of policies to snay but it probably won't. Right. But

0:40:15.960 --> 0:40:18.239
<v Speaker 1>it's almost certainly not going to work, right, So we

0:40:18.239 --> 0:40:22.080
<v Speaker 1>we can say, like, yeah, theoretically this might be helpful,

0:40:22.120 --> 0:40:25.719
<v Speaker 1>but like, realistically nothing, everything you guys have argued about

0:40:25.760 --> 0:40:29.719
<v Speaker 1>in the same way has been a miserable failure pretty much. Well,

0:40:30.080 --> 0:40:32.799
<v Speaker 1>that that wraps it up for us. Uh. You can

0:40:32.840 --> 0:40:36.399
<v Speaker 1>follow the show on Twitter and apparently Instagram. Um at

0:40:36.440 --> 0:40:39.960
<v Speaker 1>Happen Here pod and cool sid Media. We got a

0:40:40.000 --> 0:40:43.279
<v Speaker 1>new cool Stone Media show dropping soon. Uh, Mega Corp.

0:40:43.480 --> 0:40:46.319
<v Speaker 1>That's pretty exciting. Yeah, check it out. It's about how

0:40:46.560 --> 0:40:49.960
<v Speaker 1>we love Amazon and you should pay the money. I

0:40:50.000 --> 0:40:53.719
<v Speaker 1>don't think that's what it's about, but anyway, Yeah, so

0:40:54.000 --> 0:40:58.799
<v Speaker 1>buy some carbon offsets from Amazon and with that. With that,

0:40:58.840 --> 0:41:04.480
<v Speaker 1>we're closing the show. Happen It Could Happen Here as

0:41:04.480 --> 0:41:07.200
<v Speaker 1>a production of cool Zone Media. For more podcasts from

0:41:07.200 --> 0:41:10.160
<v Speaker 1>cool Zone Media, visit our website cool zone media dot com,

0:41:10.280 --> 0:41:12.040
<v Speaker 1>or check us out on the I Heart Radio app,

0:41:12.040 --> 0:41:15.400
<v Speaker 1>Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to podcasts. You can

0:41:15.440 --> 0:41:18.120
<v Speaker 1>find sources for It Could Happen Here, updated monthly at

0:41:18.120 --> 0:41:21.400
<v Speaker 1>cool Zone Media dot com slash sources. Thanks for listening