1 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:09,320 Speaker 1: Welcome back to It Could Happen Here, the podcast about 2 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:12,880 Speaker 1: you know, the problems and stuff that are happening and 3 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: how to maybe make them better. And speaking of the 4 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:17,279 Speaker 1: problems that are happening and how to make them better. 5 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:25,080 Speaker 1: Garrison Davis, Hi, Hello, that's so that's so weird, Segue. 6 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: I wanted to introduce this video telling you guys that 7 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,560 Speaker 1: I just watched a movie that you should watch because 8 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:32,159 Speaker 1: it's pretty rad and it's ties into all the things 9 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:36,839 Speaker 1: we talked about. It's all the Pizza Gate massacred. It 10 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 1: is a micro budget under a hundred thousand dollars film 11 00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: that looks great. They did a really good job with 12 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 1: the budget they had about UM an Alex Jones employee 13 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 1: type person and a mass shooter who go looking for 14 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 1: UH to try to solve the Pizza Gate things. Oh boy, 15 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:59,959 Speaker 1: it is a an actually very nuanced and I think 16 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:06,959 Speaker 1: deeply knowledgeable commentary on specifically like the Texan conspiracy scene. 17 00:01:06,959 --> 00:01:10,240 Speaker 1: Like it's a like film. They're Alex Jones character who's 18 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 1: played by a woman in this They film in the 19 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 1: original studio that he recorded in back and like the 20 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: filmmaker who did this gets like the culture in the area, 21 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 1: and kind of the relationship between the people who get 22 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:24,959 Speaker 1: radicalized and do ship and the people who just profit 23 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 1: from it. It's a very good Um it's it is, 24 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:31,520 Speaker 1: by the way, a grindhouse horror movie. Like whatever you're expecting. 25 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:34,240 Speaker 1: It's not that it is, like it is an incredibly 26 00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:38,400 Speaker 1: gory grindhouse movie. Um, but it's it's pretty it's pretty fun. 27 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 1: What does that have to do with cup Nothing at all, 28 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:43,039 Speaker 1: but it has a lot to do with it could 29 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:49,600 Speaker 1: happen here because all right, well watch it anyway. Um, 30 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 1: this is that could happen here. I show about how 31 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 1: things are kind of falling apart and how we can 32 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:59,560 Speaker 1: then maybe slow that down or prepare for the uncertain future. Um. 33 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:02,480 Speaker 1: An episod it about cops, right, I mean, I mean 34 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: we are we are planning an episode on Washington State Patrol. Um. 35 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 1: But no, this is episode is a different a different 36 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 1: kind of cop about just as useful. Um So, in 37 00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:18,919 Speaker 1: the first five episodes of The Daily Show or season two, 38 00:02:19,080 --> 00:02:21,079 Speaker 1: which if you haven't listened to you should definitely listen 39 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:23,800 Speaker 1: to those, as they kind of act as our show's 40 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 1: manifesto of sorts. But nevertheless, the first time episodes of 41 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 1: the scripted daily show put forth like a more like realistic, 42 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 1: non sugarcoated look at what climate change will bring if 43 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: we continue on our current course. Um, but not just 44 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:42,640 Speaker 1: looking at the obvious environmental and extreme weather effects, but 45 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:46,520 Speaker 1: also like the socio political effects. So when I was 46 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 1: helping Robert out with the research for those episodes, some 47 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 1: of the best indicators of like the mainstream conception of 48 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:57,560 Speaker 1: the scientific, environmental and political status of climate change was 49 00:02:57,760 --> 00:03:02,200 Speaker 1: at the United Nations past uh I I PCC reports, 50 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 1: which is the inter Governmental Panel on Climate Change, and 51 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 1: the COP conferences. So during the first few weeks of 52 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 1: this past November, November one, the twenty six annual COP 53 00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: conference took place in Glasgow. Um. And yeah, the name 54 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: of the conference is kind of a decent indication on 55 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 1: how useful these things actually are. But a COPS stands 56 00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:31,360 Speaker 1: for a Conference of the parties, And for almost three 57 00:03:31,400 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 1: decades they've been like the main international stage uh for 58 00:03:36,000 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 1: for countries and companies to discuss climate related information and 59 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:44,600 Speaker 1: like they're alleged like goals. Um, so yeah, they're a 60 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 1: good indicator not onlike sometimes they do present actual good 61 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 1: science and like decent predictions, but they're often just like 62 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 1: a good indication of what kind of the mainstream people 63 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 1: think about what climate change is. And you know what 64 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 1: the people in power, how they are viewing it and 65 00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 1: how urgent they think it's worth addressing versus how much 66 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 1: money they want to spend on it. So the most 67 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: notable COP in recent memory was in Paris COP twenty one. 68 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:19,160 Speaker 1: This is kind of where the Paris Climate Accords were born. Uh. 69 00:04:19,240 --> 00:04:22,040 Speaker 1: The commitment was to aim for one point five degrees 70 00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:24,599 Speaker 1: of warming and it was signed on by nearly all 71 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 1: major countries. Of course the US signed on, left then 72 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:33,039 Speaker 1: resigned on. But anyway, under the Paris Agreement, countries committed 73 00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 1: to bring forth like a national plans UH figuring figuring 74 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,240 Speaker 1: out how they would reduce their emissions, but they would 75 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 1: do it like by themselves, and they would be called 76 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 1: n d c s or nationally determined contributions. And the 77 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 1: idea was for every five years countries would gather up 78 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:54,280 Speaker 1: and present their current plans on the national stage. This 79 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:56,919 Speaker 1: was what COPPY was going to be. Now, it was 80 00:04:56,960 --> 00:04:59,799 Speaker 1: delayed a year because of the pandemic, but COP twenty 81 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 1: SI was the time for countries to present their n 82 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:07,359 Speaker 1: d c s on for like their updated versions on 83 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:10,800 Speaker 1: their plans to reduce some missions. So most of the 84 00:05:10,880 --> 00:05:14,360 Speaker 1: NDCs got submitted before the conference and kind of led 85 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 1: the discussion of the conference. UM By like mid October, Uh, 86 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: think about seventy of the countries or uh, you know, 87 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 1: states that signed on to the Paris Agreement submitted their 88 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:29,840 Speaker 1: submitted their version of the NDCs and and and those 89 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,680 Speaker 1: countries about a hundred and forty of them are responsible 90 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 1: for the majority of global emissions. So that that that 91 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:40,359 Speaker 1: was what kind of led up to two COP twenty 92 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:44,960 Speaker 1: six from happening. UM. And the the overarching aim of 93 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:50,280 Speaker 1: the conference, according to UP president UM, when I try 94 00:05:50,320 --> 00:05:55,240 Speaker 1: to pronounce this name um outlock uh sharma UM. He 95 00:05:55,760 --> 00:05:58,159 Speaker 1: said that the the the idea for the conference was 96 00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 1: to like keep alive Paris Agreements target to keep global 97 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: temperatures from rising above one point five degrees celsius above 98 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:13,000 Speaker 1: pre industrial levels. So that was that was like the 99 00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 1: goal of the conference going into it was to kind 100 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 1: of keep this idea of the Paris Climate Accords of 101 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:22,000 Speaker 1: still being achievable. UM. And that's and that's not what 102 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:25,479 Speaker 1: happened at the top twenties. UM. Now it's it's it's 103 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:28,960 Speaker 1: important to kind of point out that the commitments laid 104 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 1: out in the Pairs Accords don't come close to limiting 105 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:35,160 Speaker 1: global warming to one point five degrees, as it is 106 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 1: said in the accords. Like like they they acknowledge that, um, 107 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:41,240 Speaker 1: which is what the kind of NDCs are for. But 108 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:43,720 Speaker 1: even still those are just non those are those are 109 00:06:43,720 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 1: just non binding agreements. But anyway, so the cord the 110 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:51,280 Speaker 1: accords and the restrictions and goals and well there's no restrictions, 111 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:53,600 Speaker 1: it's just goals. The goals and them don't don't come 112 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 1: close to limiting to one point five degrees. And we've 113 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:58,839 Speaker 1: already most likely shot way past the point of that 114 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:02,159 Speaker 1: being in any way achievable. Um. But you know, we 115 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 1: can still limit things from being megabad like four degrees. 116 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:08,679 Speaker 1: But we are we are already on a certain path. 117 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 1: So in in asking nations to set tougher targets by 118 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 1: next year for cutting climate warming emissions, the new agreement 119 00:07:17,960 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: at Glasgow acknowledge that the commitments that were in place 120 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:27,040 Speaker 1: are inadequate and if rigorously followed, the new national pledges 121 00:07:27,280 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 1: so include the stuff including the Paras Accords and the 122 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 1: new Glasgow packed um and all of the individual like 123 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 1: uh n d c s. If all of those are followed, 124 00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: the world is now on track for a two point 125 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 1: one to two point four degrees celsius of warming by 126 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 1: the end of the century. And that is the lower estimate. 127 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 1: As we'll see later on. Higher estimates were also um 128 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:54,680 Speaker 1: shown at at the at the Glasgow conference. So we 129 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 1: have the the idea was to hopefully keep it to 130 00:07:57,360 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 1: one point five and already we're pushing at back by 131 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 1: almost a whole a whole degree if we're going to 132 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:06,200 Speaker 1: like two point four. Um, so that that's that's like 133 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 1: the main one of the main impacts there is like 134 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:12,480 Speaker 1: just totally kissing one point five goodbye, Like no what, 135 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 1: no one even is going to view that as a 136 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:22,840 Speaker 1: possibility at this point. Huh. So, I don't know how 137 00:08:22,840 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 1: many people were still looking at that as really a goal. 138 00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 1: Apparently some people of the planners of copy apparently were, 139 00:08:30,240 --> 00:08:32,880 Speaker 1: um but I mean, I know for us, we've we've 140 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:35,560 Speaker 1: been aware of that, and I'm not sure how you know, 141 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:41,079 Speaker 1: really what mainstream liberals were thinking before this, but hopefully 142 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:43,520 Speaker 1: at the very least, maybe Cop twenty six made them 143 00:08:43,520 --> 00:08:47,079 Speaker 1: realize that maybe it's there's a there's kind of it's 144 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:50,560 Speaker 1: it's made maybe worse than what you were thinking. Um. 145 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,600 Speaker 1: But there there are other things did happen at at 146 00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 1: Glasgow that are that are worth looking into. Um. So 147 00:08:57,480 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 1: the main quote unquote achievements of of the Glasgow Deal 148 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:04,920 Speaker 1: besides like revisiting the emissions cutting plants to try to 149 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:07,880 Speaker 1: keep stuff down, which of course we're you know, not 150 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:11,080 Speaker 1: not not met in shot way past. Um, but there 151 00:09:11,240 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 1: we also had the first ever inclusion of a commitment 152 00:09:14,880 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 1: to limit coal use. Now, the way phrasing is gonna 153 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:21,400 Speaker 1: work here is gonna be really interesting because the reason 154 00:09:21,440 --> 00:09:24,359 Speaker 1: why this deal got passed is because some very specific 155 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 1: shifts in their phrasing around coal use. Um. The other 156 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:31,120 Speaker 1: thing that CAT that CAT twenty six tried to do 157 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:36,480 Speaker 1: was increase financial help for so called developing countries and 158 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:40,640 Speaker 1: provide funds and assistance for like climate disasters. So like 159 00:09:40,760 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 1: when when like extreme weather events happen, have a set 160 00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 1: of funds uh set aside to help countries in these disasters. Now, 161 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: those are that that is a good idea, but as 162 00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 1: we'll see later, the way COPY actually did it is 163 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 1: not actually doing it. It's like they're they're they're pushing there, 164 00:09:57,440 --> 00:10:00,360 Speaker 1: they're postponing this kind of goal, but they're just making 165 00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:05,200 Speaker 1: it a prospect. But back to coal. So, the Glasgow 166 00:10:05,240 --> 00:10:07,880 Speaker 1: Climate Pact was the first ever climate deal to explicitly 167 00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 1: planned to reduce coal, which was a one one of 168 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:16,400 Speaker 1: the worst, like fossil fuels for four greenhouse gasses UM 169 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:19,280 Speaker 1: and and and coal really can be phased out. Coal 170 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:22,720 Speaker 1: can be phased out by um electric power really easily. 171 00:10:22,760 --> 00:10:26,439 Speaker 1: It's it's it is the easiest one. UM. It's it's 172 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:28,600 Speaker 1: it's it's way easier to phase out cold than it is, 173 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:33,960 Speaker 1: uh natural gas or other um or sorry, let's see 174 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:38,120 Speaker 1: the the the other main one. There's three. There's a coal, 175 00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 1: natural gas, what's what's the last one? Regular gas? I 176 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:48,760 Speaker 1: guess so yeah, yeah, petroleum based stuff. UM yeah, But 177 00:10:48,800 --> 00:10:52,600 Speaker 1: so the coals because coal is you mostly used for heat, um, 178 00:10:52,640 --> 00:10:56,640 Speaker 1: electrically generated heat is way is way easier than all 179 00:10:56,800 --> 00:10:59,480 Speaker 1: than those other two. So coal coal really should be 180 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 1: phased out as soon as possible. UM. But the commitments 181 00:11:02,760 --> 00:11:06,400 Speaker 1: to phase out coal that was introduced in earlier negotiations 182 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 1: UM led to some fighting, specifically among India and China, 183 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 1: who were in in strong opposition to the phrasing and 184 00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:21,240 Speaker 1: the actual constraints of of the deal UM. And a 185 00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 1: lot of this is like the argument that like, if 186 00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:26,840 Speaker 1: these countries are still developing, it's not fair to them 187 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 1: to remove this resource when other developed nations had it, 188 00:11:30,679 --> 00:11:32,079 Speaker 1: so that that that's that's the thing. We see that 189 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:34,960 Speaker 1: argument a lot around, like climate change stuff is like, oh, 190 00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:37,960 Speaker 1: you you're just gonna stop other countries from developing because 191 00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:40,839 Speaker 1: you you you got to get to this certain point 192 00:11:41,040 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 1: of being a successful like wealthy nation um. And like 193 00:11:45,520 --> 00:11:48,719 Speaker 1: you know with all this like an industrial development on 194 00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:51,800 Speaker 1: the back of fossil fuels and stuff. But then now 195 00:11:51,840 --> 00:11:54,079 Speaker 1: you're going to remove that opportunity for other countries. Now 196 00:11:54,080 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 1: there is there is UM a lot of stuff around 197 00:11:56,760 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 1: like the growth frameworks that address this issue and specific 198 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 1: fickly try to try to get um fossil fuel savings 199 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: like a decrease in emissions and be able to use 200 00:12:07,960 --> 00:12:11,360 Speaker 1: some of those gains to assist countries in getting stuff 201 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:14,240 Speaker 1: set up to a decent standard of living UM. But 202 00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:16,360 Speaker 1: you know that that is going to be addressed on 203 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 1: a whole other scale around like capitalism and and how 204 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 1: countries intervened in other countries. That that's part of a 205 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 1: bigger political question but anyway, um, Indian China did not 206 00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:28,320 Speaker 1: like that, did not like the coal deal. Um. So 207 00:12:28,480 --> 00:12:32,520 Speaker 1: in the end, the countries did agree to phase down 208 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:36,080 Speaker 1: coal rather than phase out coal. So that that that 209 00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:41,080 Speaker 1: is the phrase that they ended up using is phase down. Um. 210 00:12:41,160 --> 00:12:45,679 Speaker 1: The people weren't super happy about this. Uh. The Cutty 211 00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:49,439 Speaker 1: six president um Alec Sharma said that he was deeply 212 00:12:49,520 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 1: sorry for how these events unfolded. And like focus on 213 00:12:53,440 --> 00:12:56,959 Speaker 1: calls good. It's it's responsible for about of annual CEO 214 00:12:56,960 --> 00:13:01,319 Speaker 1: two emissions. But also like just focusing on cole leaves 215 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:05,000 Speaker 1: of really big lack of discussion on oil and gas 216 00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 1: like there's like those are also like very bad and 217 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:10,240 Speaker 1: arguably we should be focusing on those a lot like 218 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:12,960 Speaker 1: those are those are the main ones we should get 219 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:14,280 Speaker 1: We should get rid of coal, yes, but if we 220 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:17,320 Speaker 1: just focus on that, then there's a lot of other 221 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:20,840 Speaker 1: stuff going on. So that is that is a lot 222 00:13:20,880 --> 00:13:25,880 Speaker 1: of coal talk. Uh, you know who also uses coal. 223 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:34,480 Speaker 1: Our sponsors, we're entirely sponsored by Joe Manchin um big 224 00:13:34,520 --> 00:13:37,560 Speaker 1: friend of the pod. Thank you, thank you for always 225 00:13:37,600 --> 00:13:51,080 Speaker 1: having our back. Joe. Anyway, here's the ads and we 226 00:13:51,160 --> 00:13:55,400 Speaker 1: are back talking about copy and there is there's a 227 00:13:55,440 --> 00:13:58,599 Speaker 1: decent and there's stuff. Stuff did happen. So and I 228 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:00,760 Speaker 1: know it is going to be more of a sign 229 00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:04,000 Speaker 1: C in numbers episode, but it is worth actually figuring 230 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:07,679 Speaker 1: out what what happened there because everyone just kind of 231 00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:10,640 Speaker 1: had the perception like, oh, copy was a failure, because 232 00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:12,960 Speaker 1: yeah it was, um, but it's it's it is good 233 00:14:12,960 --> 00:14:15,720 Speaker 1: to know what actually is going on at things like 234 00:14:15,760 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 1: this because if we're gonna get some kind of you know, 235 00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:22,400 Speaker 1: liberal change, this is where it's going to happen. So 236 00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 1: it is good to keep an eye on what these 237 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:27,720 Speaker 1: types of people are thinking. So we we left off 238 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:31,160 Speaker 1: on talking about how their plans to phase down coal, 239 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 1: and there was like a general lack of focus on 240 00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 1: oil and gas. And it is interesting, um if you 241 00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:44,200 Speaker 1: So there was uh a group of activists led by 242 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:47,040 Speaker 1: this UH I think I think it's like an NGO 243 00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:52,600 Speaker 1: called Global Witness. UM assessed the participant list published by 244 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:55,280 Speaker 1: the u N at the start of the meeting and 245 00:14:55,320 --> 00:14:58,520 Speaker 1: they found that there was five hundred three people with 246 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:02,600 Speaker 1: links to fossil fuel interests who were like accredited members 247 00:15:02,680 --> 00:15:07,160 Speaker 1: of the Climate Summit and so and they were like delicates. 248 00:15:07,280 --> 00:15:11,320 Speaker 1: So COP twenty six delegates associated with fossil fuels outnumbered 249 00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:15,120 Speaker 1: national delegate numbers for every other country, So there were 250 00:15:15,120 --> 00:15:19,440 Speaker 1: more people representing fossil fuel interests than there were representing 251 00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 1: any individual country. So you're thinking, maybe maybe I wonder 252 00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:29,000 Speaker 1: why this stuff is not going too good. Oh, it's 253 00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:33,440 Speaker 1: because it's being run mostly by fossil fuel companies. That's 254 00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:37,640 Speaker 1: that's uh huh. That's an interesting, interesting little thing there. 255 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:42,400 Speaker 1: Um yeah. So the the other the other kind of 256 00:15:42,400 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 1: notable thing about copy is uh it uh it. It 257 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:50,840 Speaker 1: led to a quote unquote breakthrough in the rules for 258 00:15:51,160 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 1: government led carbon markets. So this is the thing that 259 00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:58,960 Speaker 1: the neoliberals are really excited about, is this idea of 260 00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 1: carbon markets, because it's a way to make more money 261 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:06,440 Speaker 1: kind of off of removing carbon and just to create 262 00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:09,920 Speaker 1: a lot of red tape and bureaucracy around this idea 263 00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:13,080 Speaker 1: of lowering emissions. So I guess one of the ways 264 00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:15,560 Speaker 1: to describe carbon markets if you're kind of unfamiliar with 265 00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:21,360 Speaker 1: this idea, is that countries that do not meet their 266 00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 1: emission reduction targets in their national climate pledges are like 267 00:16:26,760 --> 00:16:31,840 Speaker 1: penalized for this. Um. So, so countries that countries that 268 00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:34,520 Speaker 1: don't meet their emission targets or or want to just 269 00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:39,920 Speaker 1: pursue like less, less expansive emission cuts. What what what 270 00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:43,560 Speaker 1: this deal set out to do is that instead of 271 00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 1: actually lowering emissions, they can purchase like emissions reduction tokens 272 00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:53,240 Speaker 1: and credits from other nations that have cut their emissions 273 00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 1: more than the amount that they pledged. Uh so, like 274 00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:59,920 Speaker 1: by you know, moving to low carbon energy and various stuff. 275 00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 1: So the turn of phrase that people were using to 276 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 1: discuss this to how you can like purchase purchase credits 277 00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:09,840 Speaker 1: to represent emissions that you didn't cut but wanted to, 278 00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:14,119 Speaker 1: is that this can potentially unlock trillions of dollars for 279 00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:19,040 Speaker 1: protecting forests, expending renewable energy, and other projects to combat 280 00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:23,199 Speaker 1: climate change. Um So, the idea here is that the 281 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:25,960 Speaker 1: money used to purchase these credits is going to get 282 00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:31,160 Speaker 1: put into other things that will help fight climate change. 283 00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:35,199 Speaker 1: But all of this is non binding and speculative, and 284 00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:40,360 Speaker 1: it just furthers this whole carbon market concept, which I'm 285 00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:42,920 Speaker 1: not thrilled about. Um yeah, we should, we should do 286 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 1: like a full episode of carbon markets. But the thing, 287 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:49,159 Speaker 1: so I I I this is, you know, this is 288 00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:52,880 Speaker 1: the thing I studied academically in college and is incredibly 289 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 1: important for everyone to understand that carbon markets are fake 290 00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 1: and do not work at all. Ever, no one's gotten 291 00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 1: a national into work, and no one's ever gott an 292 00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:05,120 Speaker 1: international one to work. Uh, implementation of carbon markets, Like 293 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:07,560 Speaker 1: China had a big thing that they're gonna implemented carbon market. 294 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:10,560 Speaker 1: Uh it was fake. It didn't work. Their carbon emission 295 00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:15,280 Speaker 1: still increase, very very like how fucky carbon markets can be. 296 00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:18,359 Speaker 1: So you get carbon credits if you're a business like 297 00:18:18,440 --> 00:18:23,679 Speaker 1: Tesla that makes no emission electronic vehicles, and Tesla for 298 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:26,359 Speaker 1: a lot of its earlier history, made a significant chunk 299 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:29,919 Speaker 1: of its profits selling carbon credits to polluting industries and 300 00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 1: basically saying, you guys keep polluting, we got your back. 301 00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:35,920 Speaker 1: Like the fact that we're putting electric cars out onto 302 00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:38,199 Speaker 1: the street means you guys can keep admitting at the 303 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:42,080 Speaker 1: same Well, like that's that's like literally how how kind 304 00:18:42,119 --> 00:18:46,160 Speaker 1: of the business can work. It's it's not the best 305 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:49,600 Speaker 1: way to fix the problem. Yeah, So there was a 306 00:18:49,640 --> 00:18:52,720 Speaker 1: lot of a lot of talk was around carbon markets. Um, 307 00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:56,680 Speaker 1: because that's of course with the neil liberal establishment, neo 308 00:18:56,720 --> 00:19:00,320 Speaker 1: liberal englishment is going to focus on because is it. 309 00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:03,239 Speaker 1: It still is within their kind of worldview. Um, how 310 00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:05,880 Speaker 1: do we monetize the rot? Yeah, how do we how 311 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:09,400 Speaker 1: do we make money off of the world ending? Um? 312 00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:11,119 Speaker 1: Which I guess we're going to see a lot more 313 00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:15,280 Speaker 1: of that uh in the next in the next few decades. Um. 314 00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:18,120 Speaker 1: The the other the other thing that they decided on is, uh, 315 00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:20,720 Speaker 1: next year there's gonna there's gonna be again. So there's 316 00:19:20,760 --> 00:19:24,399 Speaker 1: there's They decided to procrastinate, which is just a general 317 00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:29,080 Speaker 1: theme of COP conferences. We've been doing. It's what everyone's 318 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:32,040 Speaker 1: been doing about plimate change since forever. So yeah, the 319 00:19:32,320 --> 00:19:35,840 Speaker 1: main thing they do is decide to procrastinate. Um. So 320 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:39,119 Speaker 1: next year there's gonna be a U N committee to 321 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:43,560 Speaker 1: report on progress towards delivering one billion dollar per year 322 00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:47,680 Speaker 1: in a promised climate funding. Uh. This was after rich 323 00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:51,240 Speaker 1: nations failed to deliver on the deadline four said funds 324 00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:54,359 Speaker 1: um and then financing is gonna be discussed again in 325 00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:58,879 Speaker 1: twenty four six at those conferences. Um. But this this 326 00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:02,159 Speaker 1: deal left a lot of more vulnerable nations who were 327 00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:06,160 Speaker 1: going to rely on this promised funding. Uh kind of 328 00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:09,320 Speaker 1: just they just left them without things. So the whole 329 00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:12,159 Speaker 1: idea was that like Yeah, we need this funding to 330 00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:16,200 Speaker 1: help people in these disasters and different losses and damages, 331 00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:20,359 Speaker 1: and to help, you know, start start making more um 332 00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:24,720 Speaker 1: renewable energy technology in lieu of doing tons of tons 333 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 1: of coal mining. And that's where this money was going 334 00:20:26,800 --> 00:20:30,800 Speaker 1: to get used for, and it's not happening. Um so 335 00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:36,600 Speaker 1: and this, this promise was initially made at a UN 336 00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:41,720 Speaker 1: conference on climate change and we're still we're still pushing 337 00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:45,680 Speaker 1: it back year by year. So this pledge is older 338 00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:49,919 Speaker 1: than I am. Yeah, it sure is. Another pledgement too, 339 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,879 Speaker 1: as a nine to provide a hundred billion dollars to 340 00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:57,439 Speaker 1: emerging economies was supposed to be made. That also was missed. 341 00:20:57,880 --> 00:20:59,800 Speaker 1: Um and it was It was designed to help nations 342 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:02,560 Speaker 1: adapt to climate effects and make the transition to clean energy. 343 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:07,520 Speaker 1: Um and uh. The copp six president said that around 344 00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:14,680 Speaker 1: five billion will be mobilized by so cool. Thanks for 345 00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:18,240 Speaker 1: saying those numbers, which mean nothing. It's fun. It's fun 346 00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:20,159 Speaker 1: how you can just talk and say things and it 347 00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:23,280 Speaker 1: doesn't actually matter. It's It's one of the things that's 348 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:25,439 Speaker 1: so frustrating about this is trying to get a handle 349 00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:29,520 Speaker 1: on like how how a lot of these solutions are 350 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:31,600 Speaker 1: supposed to work so like one of the articles if 351 00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:34,159 Speaker 1: you're trying to actually if you're not just taking our 352 00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:36,000 Speaker 1: word for it, which you never should, and trying to 353 00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:39,560 Speaker 1: research like carbon credits and carbon markets and like how 354 00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:42,280 Speaker 1: they might work or might help. Like one of the 355 00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:44,960 Speaker 1: articles you're going to come across is an article in 356 00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:48,200 Speaker 1: Nature dot org called making Carbon Markets Work for Faster 357 00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 1: Climate Action. And this is very much obviously from so 358 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:53,680 Speaker 1: it's pretty it's pretty recent, and it's not at all 359 00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 1: a climate denial piece. It's it's just kind of laying 360 00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 1: out a case for how carbon markets could be very 361 00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:04,040 Speaker 1: effective of at reducing emissions. But you have to grapple 362 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:05,480 Speaker 1: the whole time you're looking at this with the fact 363 00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:10,960 Speaker 1: that like they they haven't that that global global emissions 364 00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,239 Speaker 1: are still shoo and they provide a number of like 365 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:17,240 Speaker 1: options for how this could work. And it's one of 366 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:20,160 Speaker 1: those things where I'm not gonna say it's impossible. I'm 367 00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:22,120 Speaker 1: certainly not an expert on this, and you can read 368 00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:25,920 Speaker 1: through the article um if you want, but it's it's 369 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:28,960 Speaker 1: certainly certainly think the thing you can say right now 370 00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:31,760 Speaker 1: is that carbon markets have not led to a global 371 00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:35,280 Speaker 1: decrease in emissions because we we have not had emissions 372 00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:37,480 Speaker 1: decrease other than that little dip we had when a 373 00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:42,359 Speaker 1: covid uh did it's it's sweet little dance. Yeah, that 374 00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:46,199 Speaker 1: one month where we could actually see the sky again. Yeah, 375 00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:49,760 Speaker 1: that was pretty rad um. But yeah, there's there's I mean, 376 00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 1: you you can check that article out for kind of 377 00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:55,080 Speaker 1: the pro carbon markets case. It all seems I mean, 378 00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:57,119 Speaker 1: one of the things that's frustrating to me about it 379 00:22:57,160 --> 00:23:01,240 Speaker 1: is it all it's all like, yeah, uh, here's how 380 00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:04,240 Speaker 1: it might work if you know, everybody got on board 381 00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: the Paris Climate Agreement and also all of this worked ideally, 382 00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:10,360 Speaker 1: But there's there just doesn't seem to be a lot 383 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:14,520 Speaker 1: of I I just don't see any evidence that like 384 00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 1: they've shown that this is actually likely to be helpful. Um. 385 00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:21,240 Speaker 1: It's more just like yeah, this, this could this could 386 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:25,359 Speaker 1: work if if we do these other things, um, which 387 00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:27,320 Speaker 1: is frustrating. That's like all all of the kind of 388 00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:29,480 Speaker 1: ship that you get at at at COP twenty six 389 00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:32,200 Speaker 1: where it's like, yeah, I guess theoretically, if you were 390 00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:33,919 Speaker 1: to do that, or if that were to work the 391 00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:35,600 Speaker 1: way you're saying, or if that were to work with 392 00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:38,880 Speaker 1: the assumption that like all these other factors don't grow 393 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:41,840 Speaker 1: over this period of time than than this might help. 394 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:46,800 Speaker 1: But we also know what's happened with emissions and global 395 00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:50,159 Speaker 1: attempts to reduce climate change um which is not to 396 00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:54,000 Speaker 1: say that like like emissions in the United States, like 397 00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:55,680 Speaker 1: there have been there's been a lot that's been done 398 00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:58,440 Speaker 1: to curb emissions from the United States. Now, the thing 399 00:23:58,480 --> 00:24:00,359 Speaker 1: that's often left out of like the discuss should have 400 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:03,800 Speaker 1: these different things and how they impacted our emissions is like, well, 401 00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:06,120 Speaker 1: a lot of those emissions got pushed off to other 402 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:08,320 Speaker 1: countries that are now making the things that we were 403 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:10,880 Speaker 1: making for I. Yes, So like that that's the big 404 00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:13,359 Speaker 1: thing when people argue against the growth and they're like, no, 405 00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:16,000 Speaker 1: you can. You can still keep growing your economy while 406 00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:20,080 Speaker 1: lowering emissions, and like, yeah, one country can, but we 407 00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:22,359 Speaker 1: still want the stuff, so we're just moving it to 408 00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:26,360 Speaker 1: other countries to produce, so like we're not actually lowering 409 00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:28,560 Speaker 1: it on a global level. You can lower you can 410 00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:31,400 Speaker 1: lower it on like an individual country level, but not 411 00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:34,160 Speaker 1: totally globally because we still want to consume the thing. 412 00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:36,679 Speaker 1: This is one of the single most frustrating things about 413 00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 1: talking to people aball climate change is that Okay. You know, 414 00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:40,920 Speaker 1: if you if you talk to the sort of Neil 415 00:24:41,040 --> 00:24:43,760 Speaker 1: Book Carmon market people, right, if you talk about literally 416 00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:46,639 Speaker 1: anything else, right, the only thing they ever talked about 417 00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:48,680 Speaker 1: is how the entire world is interconnected, how the entire 418 00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,480 Speaker 1: economies and connected, how we're more interconnected than ever. And 419 00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:55,480 Speaker 1: then the moment you start talking about climate change, they go, oh, well, 420 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,840 Speaker 1: it's all the individual country, individual country, individual country. The 421 00:24:57,840 --> 00:24:59,800 Speaker 1: economy is not connected at all. It's all about the 422 00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:02,040 Speaker 1: visual policy makers some country. It's like, no, it's not 423 00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:05,800 Speaker 1: the it's it's about like all all of the like 424 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:09,479 Speaker 1: the the the the the emissions are foreign direct investment driven. Right, 425 00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:11,200 Speaker 1: it's about it's a it's about's about what it's about 426 00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:15,760 Speaker 1: where investment money is going. And you cannot and you 427 00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:17,840 Speaker 1: know this, this is this is why COP and somebody's like, 428 00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:19,679 Speaker 1: this is why it doesn't work. And even though it's 429 00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:21,399 Speaker 1: the only framework that could work, right, you have to 430 00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:23,520 Speaker 1: have an international response that has to be coordinated. It 431 00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:26,959 Speaker 1: has to be working across national lines because again that's 432 00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:30,960 Speaker 1: how the economystem works. But it doesn't because a state's 433 00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:34,000 Speaker 1: individual states can't and will not ever solve this and 434 00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:37,240 Speaker 1: then be COP is like, Okay, so here's here's your 435 00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:39,600 Speaker 1: international framework. But also we're just gonna have you know, 436 00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,800 Speaker 1: the actual the the the actual international framework is going 437 00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:45,200 Speaker 1: to be just essentially hammered up by a bunch of 438 00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:48,840 Speaker 1: fossil fuel companies. And so it's just you know, it's 439 00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,720 Speaker 1: it's the worst of both worlds. I mean, it's and 440 00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:55,160 Speaker 1: it you can see, there's there's some kind of acknowledgement 441 00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:58,359 Speaker 1: at the fact that this is an international problem in 442 00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:01,240 Speaker 1: in like the basic idea of of carbon markets, which 443 00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:05,600 Speaker 1: includes the idea that like, um, you can companies that 444 00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,560 Speaker 1: that emit emit lesson, don't use up their carbon budget 445 00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:10,520 Speaker 1: can like sell carbon credits and you can do this 446 00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:14,040 Speaker 1: across international lines. And like if we hold if we 447 00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:18,399 Speaker 1: hold companies to different like emission standards internationally based on 448 00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:21,119 Speaker 1: things like the Paris Climate Agreement, then that will cause 449 00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:24,520 Speaker 1: the carbon credit system to work better. Um, there's that 450 00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:27,479 Speaker 1: acknowledgement that it is an international problem. But again I 451 00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:31,320 Speaker 1: just don't I don't see I don't see evidence that 452 00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:34,399 Speaker 1: it's working, and they like none of the evidence that 453 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:38,160 Speaker 1: I've read makes it seem like there's a very good 454 00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:40,120 Speaker 1: case that this is going to at the very least 455 00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:41,840 Speaker 1: that this is going to provide the kind of emissions 456 00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:45,760 Speaker 1: productions that are necessary to forestall the worst case scenarios 457 00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:48,879 Speaker 1: that are coming. Um. And if we're gonna be again, 458 00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:51,760 Speaker 1: to be completely intellectually honest here, we can talk about 459 00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:55,440 Speaker 1: d growth all day long. UM. I have a similar 460 00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 1: problem with that that I do to a lot of 461 00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:02,880 Speaker 1: these the different kind of targets that Copy six introduced, 462 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,720 Speaker 1: stuff like carbon markets, where it's like, I don't I 463 00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:11,240 Speaker 1: don't see that solving the problem either. It's like a 464 00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:14,240 Speaker 1: theoretical it's it's yeah, if we were to get people 465 00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:17,679 Speaker 1: to if if we've gotten people on board with deep growth, 466 00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:21,000 Speaker 1: then you've already fundamentally shifted the very nature of global 467 00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,520 Speaker 1: society um. And also the way in which Americans and 468 00:27:24,600 --> 00:27:28,320 Speaker 1: people in other Western nations like conceived of economics at 469 00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:32,399 Speaker 1: a fundamental level. UM. And so it's it's one thing 470 00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:36,440 Speaker 1: to say that like, yeah, if people accepted that and 471 00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:39,639 Speaker 1: and got on board with a lifestyle that is not 472 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:42,840 Speaker 1: based on this this kind of capitalist notion of endless growth, 473 00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:45,639 Speaker 1: of ever increasing extraction from the world in order to 474 00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:50,399 Speaker 1: create value, UM, then we could we could actually stop 475 00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:52,119 Speaker 1: emitting at the kind of levels that are going to 476 00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:55,680 Speaker 1: lead to these horrible consequences. Um, the question is like, 477 00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:59,480 Speaker 1: I don't see, I don't see you you can are 478 00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:02,000 Speaker 1: I think you can argue that de growth is more 479 00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:06,480 Speaker 1: realistic in that, Yes, that would absolutely work as opposed 480 00:28:06,520 --> 00:28:08,720 Speaker 1: to carbon credits and other things where it's like, well 481 00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:11,600 Speaker 1: theoretically it might work if they do all this other stuff. Yeah, 482 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:16,320 Speaker 1: it does. It does revolve on the cultural notion of 483 00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:20,879 Speaker 1: America and the West completely changing. Um, it's a big 484 00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:23,200 Speaker 1: it's a big ask, you know. Yeah, And I mean 485 00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:26,920 Speaker 1: like there is there's smaller steps, like totally like reorganizing 486 00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:29,480 Speaker 1: how cities work so we do not use cars, uh, 487 00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:33,440 Speaker 1: like like like re redoing a public transportation like sector 488 00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:36,960 Speaker 1: uh in you know, um, making like making like a 489 00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:39,840 Speaker 1: cellar panels and a renewable energy I required part of 490 00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:41,840 Speaker 1: like city infrastructure. Right there, there's a there's a lot 491 00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:45,120 Speaker 1: of ways to push us towards that thing, but there's 492 00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:47,120 Speaker 1: not one thing we can do right because it is 493 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:50,280 Speaker 1: in large parts of cultural change stuff. Stuff will help 494 00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:53,760 Speaker 1: with emissions, like if we if we redesign cities around 495 00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:56,560 Speaker 1: public transportation and make it so stuff is not as 496 00:28:56,600 --> 00:28:58,320 Speaker 1: as far apart, and yeah, that that's going to help 497 00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:00,840 Speaker 1: lower emissions if we if we require are all these 498 00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:03,920 Speaker 1: other types of renewable energy projects to be built into 499 00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:07,760 Speaker 1: buildings and added on to our current cities, and yeah, 500 00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:10,760 Speaker 1: that that is going to help lower emissions. But you know, 501 00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,760 Speaker 1: there's there's not one one big step that we can 502 00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:16,400 Speaker 1: all do at the same time. And I think that 503 00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:19,240 Speaker 1: that's I don't know. I'm of two minds about it. 504 00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:22,760 Speaker 1: One part of me says that's absolutely the most intelligent 505 00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:25,880 Speaker 1: way to go about it is focusing on things like 506 00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:29,520 Speaker 1: reducing the use of like like like really all ending 507 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:33,480 Speaker 1: car culture in cities, because it's not even a reduction thing. 508 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:36,680 Speaker 1: It has to be like that that has to die. Um. 509 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:39,120 Speaker 1: But we're a lot closer to that than ending the 510 00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:45,720 Speaker 1: idea of like, uh, capitalism, yes, because they're at number 511 00:29:45,760 --> 00:29:49,080 Speaker 1: one one, because there are capitalists, very capitalist countries that 512 00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:51,440 Speaker 1: have that do not have a car culture, that like 513 00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:53,880 Speaker 1: stopped that and that actually like had one at one 514 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:57,280 Speaker 1: point and then reworked there. So that's that's and that 515 00:29:57,360 --> 00:30:00,160 Speaker 1: would Yeah, that is a significant that's probably go that 516 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:03,720 Speaker 1: would probably lead to larger emissions reductions than any kind 517 00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:07,440 Speaker 1: of carbon credit system could ever lead to. UM. I 518 00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:11,080 Speaker 1: also and So yeah, I think that that's on an 519 00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,840 Speaker 1: objective level. Yeah, that's it's smart to focus on stuff 520 00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:18,240 Speaker 1: like that, where you're all you are arguing for reducing growth, 521 00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,360 Speaker 1: but you're also arguing and for like, hey, your life 522 00:30:21,400 --> 00:30:23,360 Speaker 1: will be more pleasant if you live in a city 523 00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,120 Speaker 1: where you can walk everywhere and you're not at risk 524 00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 1: of getting run down by you know, two ton trucks 525 00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:31,960 Speaker 1: anytime you cross the street, and like you're not dealing 526 00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:34,920 Speaker 1: with smog and pollution and horrible like hour and a 527 00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:39,360 Speaker 1: half long communes on these crowded, nightmare highways. Um. But 528 00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:44,880 Speaker 1: it's also it's still incrementalist. You know, we we are 529 00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:47,360 Speaker 1: we are talking here, we are kind of like walking 530 00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 1: through here, Um, all of the best incremental solutions and 531 00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:54,680 Speaker 1: and what is the most realistic of those? Um. And 532 00:30:54,840 --> 00:30:56,560 Speaker 1: I think that's fine. I think that's kind of where 533 00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:59,880 Speaker 1: we have to be because that is what's most likely 534 00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:02,840 Speaker 1: to actually happen to make the problem better. Um. But 535 00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:05,360 Speaker 1: it is we have to acknowledge it is incremental, Like 536 00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:10,360 Speaker 1: we're not we're not solving It would be very arrogant 537 00:31:10,360 --> 00:31:12,760 Speaker 1: to say, like, here's how we solve this problem once 538 00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:14,480 Speaker 1: and for all. You know, I just want to I 539 00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:16,760 Speaker 1: think sometimes when you talk about stuff like deep growth, 540 00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:19,200 Speaker 1: you can get into this, you can kind of it 541 00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:21,400 Speaker 1: can come across as if you're trying to like simplify, 542 00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:23,480 Speaker 1: like and if we do this, like it will be perfect. 543 00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:25,960 Speaker 1: Like now, this would be like the hardest thing. That's 544 00:31:26,920 --> 00:31:28,880 Speaker 1: that's like saying we have to confix it by all 545 00:31:29,080 --> 00:31:33,760 Speaker 1: doing a revolution. It's like it's it's not okay, okay, cool, yeah, 546 00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:37,640 Speaker 1: I mean yeah, But anyway, we have to do some 547 00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:39,640 Speaker 1: ads and then we'll be back to finish up kind 548 00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:42,520 Speaker 1: of their closing expectations on Copy six and the other 549 00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:56,120 Speaker 1: kind of things happening in the periphery. Um, here's ads. Okay, 550 00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:58,560 Speaker 1: we are back and we're talking about kind of what 551 00:31:58,640 --> 00:32:00,960 Speaker 1: happened towards the end of COP twenty six. So we 552 00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:03,360 Speaker 1: already kind of discussed how the deal was made, what 553 00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:06,280 Speaker 1: was in the deal, what things were talked about. Um, 554 00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:07,920 Speaker 1: now we're kind of going to talk about, you know, 555 00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:12,520 Speaker 1: the other kind of closing thoughts around it. Um in 556 00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:14,280 Speaker 1: in in. In the lead up to to cut to 557 00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:20,160 Speaker 1: play six, the United States Special Presidential Climate Envoy John Kerry, 558 00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:22,280 Speaker 1: who's like he's supposed to be like our climate guy. 559 00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:24,680 Speaker 1: Um he he also said the goal of the something 560 00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:26,959 Speaker 1: it was to it was to you know, hope that 561 00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:29,240 Speaker 1: we can limit stuff to one point in five degrees. 562 00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:31,720 Speaker 1: And you know he he called this the last best 563 00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:34,320 Speaker 1: hope for the world to get its act together. But 564 00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:37,040 Speaker 1: by the time Cutty six came to the end, his 565 00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:40,480 Speaker 1: language and attitude had kind of changed. Um after after 566 00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:43,760 Speaker 1: two weeks of debate and negotiation, his his final remarks 567 00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,400 Speaker 1: reflected the kind of the points we've been talking about, 568 00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:50,600 Speaker 1: how um and and and said, like like the government 569 00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:53,800 Speaker 1: energy policy is currently in place around the world are 570 00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:57,960 Speaker 1: projected to result in about two point seven degrees celsius 571 00:32:58,040 --> 00:33:02,000 Speaker 1: of warming above pre industrial levels, and government pledges to 572 00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:05,000 Speaker 1: cut climate emissions would limit warming to two point four 573 00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:09,360 Speaker 1: uh if they are met. So that's the again, we're 574 00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:12,880 Speaker 1: just launching way past this like mythical fantasy of of 575 00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:16,840 Speaker 1: one point five degrees. And the other scary things is 576 00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:19,080 Speaker 1: that we're getting a lot, a lot closer to large 577 00:33:19,080 --> 00:33:23,000 Speaker 1: scale feedback loops. Uh. Feedback loops are things like once 578 00:33:23,080 --> 00:33:25,960 Speaker 1: we have reached a certain degree of warming, environmental effects 579 00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:30,200 Speaker 1: will be triggered that will cascade and produce like exponential 580 00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:33,239 Speaker 1: growth in warming. This is like a this it's not 581 00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:36,560 Speaker 1: purely theoretical, but it is mostly stuff that we still 582 00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:39,000 Speaker 1: probably can prevent, and we really need to get on 583 00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:42,040 Speaker 1: it like a sap, because once these things start happening, 584 00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:44,720 Speaker 1: they are very hard to reverse. One of the biggest 585 00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:47,600 Speaker 1: ones that are that are already being affected is photosynthesis 586 00:33:47,600 --> 00:33:51,360 Speaker 1: by plants on land and how that is decreasing its 587 00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:55,240 Speaker 1: ability to suck up carbon um. About of our annual 588 00:33:55,280 --> 00:34:00,240 Speaker 1: carbon emissions are removed by the air by photosynthesis um 589 00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:02,760 Speaker 1: and the rest of which are dissolved in the ocean, 590 00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:06,000 Speaker 1: causing ocean acidification or that you just hang around in 591 00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:09,280 Speaker 1: the atmosphere, which causes you know, a bigger thermal blanket. 592 00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:12,520 Speaker 1: So uh, photos that this is has like a thermal 593 00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:16,480 Speaker 1: maximum beyond which carbon can only be taken so much 594 00:34:16,520 --> 00:34:19,480 Speaker 1: of it in and then the process which by plants 595 00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:23,200 Speaker 1: give off carbon and water actually increases. And we are 596 00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:26,320 Speaker 1: already at that point in a in a lot of places, 597 00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:28,960 Speaker 1: and we are we are at that we we achieve 598 00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:32,279 Speaker 1: the warming required to get to that point a few 599 00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:35,760 Speaker 1: times throughout the past decade. So land based carbon uptake 600 00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:38,680 Speaker 1: is projected to decline by nearly fifty percent as early 601 00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:42,640 Speaker 1: as and and these effects have not been included in 602 00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:46,680 Speaker 1: any of the you know, published pathways leading to lower 603 00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:50,160 Speaker 1: like lower degrees of warming. UM. And again this isn't, 604 00:34:50,200 --> 00:34:52,920 Speaker 1: this isn't just as speculative. Like the biggest example of 605 00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:54,680 Speaker 1: this that we can like point to is like the 606 00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:58,880 Speaker 1: Amazon rainforest. How that is now a net emitter because 607 00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:01,840 Speaker 1: it is no longer sucking up enough carbon to offset 608 00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:05,160 Speaker 1: the amount of carbon and actually shoots out. So we 609 00:35:05,239 --> 00:35:08,640 Speaker 1: need to stop deforestation to keep planting more trees essentially 610 00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:12,480 Speaker 1: because that that sucks. And also just as a general 611 00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:15,720 Speaker 1: kind of indicator of the cascading effects that are happening, 612 00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:18,520 Speaker 1: and we are we're still on the path for kind 613 00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:20,640 Speaker 1: of large, large scale disasters in a lot of places 614 00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:26,319 Speaker 1: around the world. UM. The it's around ninet of the 615 00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:30,680 Speaker 1: Earth's land area is in pretty pretty dire of risk 616 00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:33,759 Speaker 1: on our current emission pathway of the Marshall Islands and 617 00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:38,160 Speaker 1: all dol VI's UM, Vietnam, Southeast Asia, Middle East, parts 618 00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:42,399 Speaker 1: of North Africa, and Central America. UM. Overall, around one 619 00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,560 Speaker 1: third of the land humans occupied are predicted to either 620 00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:48,560 Speaker 1: drowned by by sea level rise or became or become 621 00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:50,200 Speaker 1: too hot for human life. Just by the end of 622 00:35:50,200 --> 00:35:54,319 Speaker 1: this century alone, So that that will cause you know, migration, 623 00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:56,759 Speaker 1: panics and wars and all, like a whole bunch of 624 00:35:56,880 --> 00:35:59,120 Speaker 1: bad things that we can we can limit that, Like, 625 00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:02,359 Speaker 1: that is something that we need to limit now, and 626 00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:05,080 Speaker 1: if we don't, it's still it's still happening. So these 627 00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:07,359 Speaker 1: are the other kind of things talked about at the end. 628 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:13,000 Speaker 1: Um So that was kind of copy as a whole. Um. 629 00:36:13,040 --> 00:36:14,799 Speaker 1: The one last thing I want to mention is just 630 00:36:14,880 --> 00:36:19,440 Speaker 1: how evil Facebook is. Um so kind of kind of 631 00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:24,000 Speaker 1: an aside, but um, Facebook's vice president of Global Affairs 632 00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:31,440 Speaker 1: UH talked um and about Facebook's efforts to combat climate misinformation. 633 00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:35,400 Speaker 1: UM as the Glasgow somewhat began. But as this was happening, 634 00:36:35,680 --> 00:36:38,839 Speaker 1: conservative media, let's like Newsmax or we're running ads on 635 00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:42,600 Speaker 1: Facebook calling a global global warming a hoax, gaining hundreds 636 00:36:42,600 --> 00:36:45,040 Speaker 1: of thousands of views, stuff like you know Canadas so 637 00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:48,480 Speaker 1: One's and Daily Wire, we're spreading climate misinformation. But and 638 00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:51,440 Speaker 1: you know, as as Facebook is bragging about its ability 639 00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:55,759 Speaker 1: to to combat misinformation around climate change. UM. The UK 640 00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:59,800 Speaker 1: based think tank Influence Map, which identified misleading Facebook ads 641 00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:05,200 Speaker 1: UH from several media outlets. UM A round copy also 642 00:37:05,200 --> 00:37:08,640 Speaker 1: found that fossil field companies and lobbying groups spent half 643 00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:12,320 Speaker 1: a million dollars on political and social issue Facebook ads 644 00:37:12,440 --> 00:37:16,440 Speaker 1: during the summit, resulting in over twenty two million impressions, 645 00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:20,560 Speaker 1: including content that promoted environmental effects under what we would 646 00:37:20,600 --> 00:37:24,240 Speaker 1: call like green washing stuff like you know, the American 647 00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:27,799 Speaker 1: Petroleum Institute putting up putting an ad out over like 648 00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:30,600 Speaker 1: a natural landscape as it like touts its efforts to 649 00:37:30,680 --> 00:37:34,000 Speaker 1: tackle climate change. Um, so all all of that kind 650 00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,960 Speaker 1: of stuff. So I just think it's really dumb because 651 00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:40,920 Speaker 1: Facebook breaks about its ability to combat climate misinformation as 652 00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:44,680 Speaker 1: its running ads saying climate changes the hoax and then 653 00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:48,799 Speaker 1: doing generally green green washing is more common, but still 654 00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:51,960 Speaker 1: it's frustrating. Um and yeah, just there's a note like 655 00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:53,719 Speaker 1: we talked about this in the Facebook it as it's 656 00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:56,200 Speaker 1: a bastards that dropped recently. But like the number one 657 00:37:56,239 --> 00:37:59,640 Speaker 1: spreader right now of climate disinformation on Facebook is bright Bart, 658 00:37:59,719 --> 00:38:02,200 Speaker 1: which a lot of the Facebook papers have gone on too. 659 00:38:02,239 --> 00:38:06,200 Speaker 1: Like the extreme lengths, Facebook executives went to keep bright 660 00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:08,600 Speaker 1: Bart as one of their like trusted news partners and 661 00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:11,160 Speaker 1: continue putting their stuff out to a huge audience because 662 00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:13,400 Speaker 1: it goes very viral. It was good for engagement on 663 00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:17,360 Speaker 1: the platform, and that's the decision. Facebooks like whatever they say. 664 00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:19,399 Speaker 1: This is like when we when we're talking about car 665 00:38:19,520 --> 00:38:23,000 Speaker 1: carbon credits, when we're talking about like the different proposed solutions, 666 00:38:23,280 --> 00:38:25,040 Speaker 1: I'll do a bit of waffling because I don't want 667 00:38:25,040 --> 00:38:27,160 Speaker 1: to come across as too certain about what the right 668 00:38:27,640 --> 00:38:29,839 Speaker 1: way to go forward is. When it comes to how 669 00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:34,120 Speaker 1: Facebook has handled climate disinformation, it's very black and white. Um, 670 00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:37,440 Speaker 1: they enabled it for direct profit and they talked about it, 671 00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:40,320 Speaker 1: and people within the company were like, Hey, we're deliberately 672 00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:44,480 Speaker 1: enabling climate change misinformation in order to make more money. Um, 673 00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:48,000 Speaker 1: it's a it's a it's a very easy case to make. Yeah. 674 00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:51,360 Speaker 1: So that wraps up my uh my report back on 675 00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:54,160 Speaker 1: cop I know a lot of a lot of stuff 676 00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:56,040 Speaker 1: was like those are there's a lot of headlines like 677 00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:58,840 Speaker 1: before the somebody even ended, before the deal was even finalized, 678 00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:02,120 Speaker 1: I was like, twenty is a failure, which is like yes, 679 00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:04,960 Speaker 1: but I think I think it is worth actually really 680 00:39:05,040 --> 00:39:07,400 Speaker 1: learning what happens at these things, because I think we 681 00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:10,240 Speaker 1: have this idea that they're like some like mythic secret 682 00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:13,040 Speaker 1: gathering of people to discuss plans, and it's like no, 683 00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:15,920 Speaker 1: like you can actually like see everything they're talking about, 684 00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:17,480 Speaker 1: like it's it's all out in the open, like you 685 00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:20,200 Speaker 1: can actually see what what the plans are. It doesn't 686 00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:23,040 Speaker 1: need to be all shrouded in it doesn't need be 687 00:39:23,040 --> 00:39:26,200 Speaker 1: like shrouded in mystery. So I just wanted to give 688 00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:28,920 Speaker 1: people like a rundown on what the actual people in power, 689 00:39:29,000 --> 00:39:31,719 Speaker 1: how they're discussing climate change, and what their expectations are, 690 00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:34,760 Speaker 1: and how you know, expectations have you know, the past 691 00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:37,759 Speaker 1: five years have risen by basically a degree, right, because 692 00:39:37,800 --> 00:39:41,160 Speaker 1: like we're like we can do one point five, and 693 00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:44,399 Speaker 1: now we're like we can do two point five. So 694 00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:46,920 Speaker 1: that is what we've done in five years. That's what's happened. 695 00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:53,120 Speaker 1: And that's what justifies the kind of blanket pessimism about 696 00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:56,080 Speaker 1: anything coming from COP twenty six, about anything being suggested 697 00:39:56,080 --> 00:39:59,400 Speaker 1: by like a state actor and international organization, which is 698 00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:02,799 Speaker 1: that like we've all watched the last twenty years, like 699 00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:05,319 Speaker 1: they've said a lot of great stuff about what could work. 700 00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:08,120 Speaker 1: It's like that Nature article about like okay, well, like 701 00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:10,200 Speaker 1: you've got a bunch of math here arguing about how 702 00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,760 Speaker 1: it might work. But we've got the last twenty years 703 00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:15,920 Speaker 1: of policies to snay but it probably won't. Right. But 704 00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:18,239 Speaker 1: it's almost certainly not going to work, right, So we 705 00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:22,080 Speaker 1: we can say, like, yeah, theoretically this might be helpful, 706 00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:25,719 Speaker 1: but like, realistically nothing, everything you guys have argued about 707 00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:29,719 Speaker 1: in the same way has been a miserable failure pretty much. Well, 708 00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:32,799 Speaker 1: that that wraps it up for us. Uh. You can 709 00:40:32,840 --> 00:40:36,399 Speaker 1: follow the show on Twitter and apparently Instagram. Um at 710 00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:39,960 Speaker 1: Happen Here pod and cool sid Media. We got a 711 00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:43,279 Speaker 1: new cool Stone Media show dropping soon. Uh, Mega Corp. 712 00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:46,319 Speaker 1: That's pretty exciting. Yeah, check it out. It's about how 713 00:40:46,560 --> 00:40:49,960 Speaker 1: we love Amazon and you should pay the money. I 714 00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:53,719 Speaker 1: don't think that's what it's about, but anyway, Yeah, so 715 00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:58,799 Speaker 1: buy some carbon offsets from Amazon and with that. With that, 716 00:40:58,840 --> 00:41:04,480 Speaker 1: we're closing the show. Happen It Could Happen Here as 717 00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:07,200 Speaker 1: a production of cool Zone Media. For more podcasts from 718 00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:10,160 Speaker 1: cool Zone Media, visit our website cool zone media dot com, 719 00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:12,040 Speaker 1: or check us out on the I Heart Radio app, 720 00:41:12,040 --> 00:41:15,400 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to podcasts. You can 721 00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:18,120 Speaker 1: find sources for It Could Happen Here, updated monthly at 722 00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:21,400 Speaker 1: cool Zone Media dot com slash sources. Thanks for listening