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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Thursday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parralt.

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Speaker 1: How are you guys here on this Thursday morning bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com where you find the podcast always being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM. The offer is above me

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Speaker 1: on the YouTube video ten dollars to win one hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty dollars on any event. Use at promo code

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Speaker 1: Juice one fifty at betmgm or betmgm dot com. A

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Speaker 1: couple of guys actually used that yesterday and sent me

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Speaker 1: a couple of dms on Twitter saying, Hey, I got

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Speaker 1: my free one fifty and that's great. I've got my

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Speaker 1: free one fifty when I went to Jersey, I got

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Speaker 1: my free one fifty as well. I have one hundred

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Speaker 1: of it still going with the Patriots to win the

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Speaker 1: AFC East, probably not. Belichick win Coach of the Year,

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Speaker 1: probably not. But that's what we use, right. Never use

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Speaker 1: a free wager. It's plus money Patriot or plus one

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Speaker 1: ten Belichicks plus three fifty. It's a great use of

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Speaker 1: the free wagers that you're given. Never lay juice on

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Speaker 1: any of those. As the advice we always give you

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Speaker 1: with your free bets, whomever is giving you free bets.

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Speaker 1: Never lay juice on a free wager, a free roll,

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Speaker 1: whatever they want to call it. All right, So last

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Speaker 1: night one in one, no real harm. The Creton game

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Speaker 1: comes in easy. We had CLV Society Baby, which is

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Speaker 1: a new tagline from my Twitter account, hashtag CLV Society.

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Speaker 1: So we got one thirty two. The number closed at

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Speaker 1: one twenty seven and a half for Creighton and Villanova.

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Speaker 1: Jase couldn't hit the broadside of a barn easy in

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Speaker 1: on the under Jay's get blown out. So they blew

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Speaker 1: out Nova in Omaha. Nova blows out Creighton in Philadelphia.

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Speaker 1: We'll see if those two teams get together in New

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Speaker 1: York for the rubber match, maybe in the Big East

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Speaker 1: Tournament Bitdbe's Final, something along those lines. So coming down

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Speaker 1: to earth moment a little bit there for the creaton

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Speaker 1: Blue Jays, I still like Nova. Somebody sent me a

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Speaker 1: message on on the Discord channel and said, hey, we

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Speaker 1: have two units riding on Nova to win the Big East.

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Speaker 2: Yep, I never do that.

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Speaker 1: I never lay two units, but I did hear because

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Speaker 1: I was that confident about confident about Villanova winning the

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Speaker 1: Big East and.

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Speaker 2: They're starting to come into form now.

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Speaker 1: They didn't look great early in the year, a couple

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Speaker 1: of bad losses, but now they're starting this week, they've

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Speaker 1: put together three very good wins. They're starting to look

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Speaker 1: like Villanova. They're rebounding, they're playing outstanding defense, they're protecting

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Speaker 1: the rim. Three point shot wasn't falling last night, but

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Speaker 1: didn't really matter because the Jays couldn't do anything. So

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Speaker 1: I still like Villanova. I still like Jay Wright to

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Speaker 1: win the Big East regular season, so we'll.

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Speaker 2: Follow that bet. Obviously, it's a pretty.

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Speaker 1: Large wager that we've got rolling there on Villanova, so

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Speaker 1: nice win for them.

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Speaker 2: Under comes in one in one day.

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Speaker 1: Officially, Okay, you're gonna hate these plays today. All right,

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Speaker 1: this is our first Thursday since September without a football

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Speaker 1: game to bet on.

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Speaker 2: Yuck. That stinks. So I'm going to go light today.

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Speaker 2: I may go back to player props. I don't know.

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Speaker 2: We may have something in the Discord channel a little

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Speaker 2: bit later on.

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Speaker 1: I may jump in on that, but for the most part,

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Speaker 1: we're heading towards a gigantic Saturday, Sunday Monday for football,

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Speaker 1: so I don't want to get too exposed. I don't

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Speaker 1: want to cool off entirely. You know, we're thirty three

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Speaker 1: sixteen and one now over the last fifteen days, so

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Speaker 1: we've had a very good fifteen day stretch half a

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Speaker 1: month when we're going, you know, thirty two fifteen and

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Speaker 1: thirty two sixteen and one, that's incredible. So thirty three

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Speaker 1: sixteen in one. So I'm not going to go crazy

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Speaker 1: here knowing that we're going to be heavily committed on Saturday,

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Speaker 1: heavily committed on Sunday, and then heavily committed on Monday.

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Speaker 2: With our last college football bet of the year.

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Speaker 1: College football has been extremely good to us, by the way,

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Speaker 1: let me look and see real quick here on our

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Speaker 1: college football record in college football in twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 1: We ended twenty twenty one with a record in college

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Speaker 1: football of seventy and fifty three. That's fifty seven percent.

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Speaker 1: We were up nine point two three units. But I

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Speaker 1: don't think that's entirely accurate because I don't know. Let's see,

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Speaker 1: college football is six and oh? Oh, that's why? How

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Speaker 1: about that? College football? Dan Harris just updiitting this college

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Speaker 1: football is six and oh in twenty twenty two, I

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Speaker 1: didn't realize that we're undefeated in college football.

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Speaker 2: In twenty twenty two, Is that right?

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Speaker 1: We're up two point seven to three units there, So

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Speaker 1: we're up nine point two three and two or nine

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Speaker 1: point two and two point seven, so up twelve units

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Speaker 1: here in college football. It's been a monster saving grace

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Speaker 1: because we're up twelve units in college football and we

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Speaker 1: are down in the NFL. We are down what for

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Speaker 1: twelve units in the NFL. So we're up twelve units

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Speaker 1: in college football, we're down twelve units in the NFL. Like,

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Speaker 1: that's just the way things go. You're either red hot

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Speaker 1: in one and you suck in the other. The miracle

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Speaker 1: year will be when we're hot in both. That'll be

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Speaker 1: the miracles when we're red hot in both of these.

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Speaker 1: But Nope, not been a good NFL year. It's been

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Speaker 1: a great college football season. We got one more game

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Speaker 1: to go here with Georgia and Alabama on Monday night.

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Speaker 1: But so I got two bets for you, two basketball bets,

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Speaker 1: one in the NBA and one in college basketball.

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Speaker 2: Let's start with the NBA.

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Speaker 1: The Knicks hosting the Celtics, Okay, so Boston last night

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Speaker 1: at home. They lose a really bad game to San

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Speaker 1: Antonio ninety nine to ninety seven. The total in that

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Speaker 1: game was two twenty three and when under by twenty

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Speaker 1: seven points. On two days ago, the Knicks played at

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Speaker 1: home to Indiana one oh four ninety four twoh five

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Speaker 1: and a half comes under by seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: In the last ten games for the New York Knicks,

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Speaker 1: the under is four in the over is four and

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Speaker 1: six in the last five. It's one in four in

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Speaker 1: the last six, it's one in five. On the year,

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Speaker 1: the New York Knicks are sixteen and twenty two to

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Speaker 1: the over. The Boston Celtics are sixteen and twenty one

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Speaker 1: to the over. On the road, Boston is seven eleven

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Speaker 1: and one to the over, and the Knicks are eight

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Speaker 1: and eleven to.

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Speaker 2: The over at home.

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Speaker 1: These are under teams playing with Boston on the end

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Speaker 1: of on the second leg of a back to back.

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Speaker 1: I don't like the way Boston's playing. I don't want

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Speaker 1: to like the way Boston is scoring. I mean, okay,

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Speaker 1: so you might go they they scored one twenty three

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Speaker 1: against Phoenix, You're like, okay, maybe they changed things around.

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Speaker 1: But they followed that up with an overtime five point

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Speaker 1: win over Orlando, where they only scored one hundred and

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Speaker 1: sixteen points against a really bad defensive team in Orlando.

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Speaker 1: Against the Clippers, they scored eighty two points. Against the Timberwolves.

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Speaker 1: They scored one hundred and three points against Milwaukee. This

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Speaker 1: scored one hundred and thirteen points. I mean, Boston's offense

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Speaker 1: is just a nemic. Same thing can be said for

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Speaker 1: the Knicks. The Knicks don't score one hundred and four

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Speaker 1: against Indiana, one hundred and five against Toronto, eighty against

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma City, or ninety four against Detroit, ninety six against Minnesota,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and one against Atlanta. The total for this

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Speaker 1: game is two to eleven. All right, I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: ahead and guess that we get again closing line value

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Speaker 1: here on this. My guess is this number is going down,

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Speaker 1: straight down, eight, two oh nine, somewhere in that range

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Speaker 1: as a closing number. We may need every single point

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Speaker 1: to get here, but I'm not trusting Boston on back

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Speaker 1: to be I don't think New York is a team

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Speaker 1: that plays up tempo at home. Boston is in desperate

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Speaker 1: need of a win. Boston just needs to try to

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Speaker 1: figure out what the heck is going on with their team.

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Speaker 1: They're eighteen eighteen and one right now against the spread.

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Speaker 1: New York is seventeen and twenty one. This game is

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Speaker 1: a pick at the time of tape. Boston on the road,

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Speaker 1: they're ten to eight and one to the against the spread,

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Speaker 1: so maybe you can lean Boston a little bit.

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Speaker 2: At home. The Knicks are seven and twelve at home.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so I lean Boston, But Boston's on the second

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Speaker 1: of a back to back, so I don't want to

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Speaker 1: back the Celtics here. Knicks always play hard when Boston

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Speaker 1: comes into town. I'm just going to expect a typical

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Speaker 1: grinder of a basketball game. Both teams score in the

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Speaker 1: upper nineties, and we go under Boston at the Knicks

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Speaker 1: under two eleven. That number is available at DraftKings right

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Speaker 1: now at the time of taping. Min's one ten for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit. Celtics Knicks under too eleven basketball

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Speaker 1: And I've been looking up and down at this slate

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Speaker 1: trying to find a play that I like, and the

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Speaker 1: only game I can really circle in on right now,

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Speaker 1: and maybe there'll be others I'll add on the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: The links underneath me here on YouTube Iowa at Wisconsin.

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin's laying two and a half right now against the Hawkeyes,

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Speaker 1: who have been pretty good this year against the spread,

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Speaker 1: three and one on the road against the spread, nine

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Speaker 1: and five overall, Wisconsin eight and five against the spread.

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Speaker 1: They are three and four at home, but they're seven

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Speaker 1: and three against the spread over the last ten games.

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Speaker 1: Same thing for Iowa. Big wins for Wisconsin. They got

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Speaker 1: a big win over Perdue on the road. They won

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Speaker 1: by five, catching twelve and a half points. They lost

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Speaker 1: to Ohio State by eighteen, catching five, but they beat

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Speaker 1: Indiana laying four and a half. They won by five.

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Speaker 1: They beat Marquette laying six and a half, winning by thirteen.

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Speaker 1: They have They lost to Providence by five, laying five

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Speaker 1: and a half. They beat Houston. It was plus eight

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Speaker 1: catching eight points against Houston. They won that game outright.

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Speaker 1: So they've had some pretty big wins. It really has

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Speaker 1: helped their resume. But whenever you're talking about Wisconsin, you're

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Speaker 1: talking about defense right to the over Iowa ten to

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Speaker 1: three and one. What is surprising is Wisconsin being eight

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Speaker 1: and five to the over in the last three games. Perdue,

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Speaker 1: Illinois State, and Nickel State have all gone over but

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Speaker 1: the totals were one thirty nine and a half, one

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Speaker 1: thirty seven, and one thirty three. When you start getting

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Speaker 1: into a little bit higher totals, you wonder about Wisconsin's

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Speaker 1: ability to score. Iowa is the number one scoring offense

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Speaker 1: in the first half. Okay, keep that in mind here

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Speaker 1: for this bet. Iowa is three to zero to one

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Speaker 1: over the last four games, three one in one over

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Speaker 1: the last five.

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Speaker 2: To the over, they're two and two.

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Speaker 1: Though on the road to the over, this Iowa team

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Speaker 1: likes to one, likes to shoot. Wisconsin's the exact opposite.

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Speaker 1: If you look at kempom in terms of adjusted tempo,

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Speaker 1: Iowa is ranked twenty third overall by kempom and they're

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Speaker 1: also coming in at sixty first with adjusted tempo at thirtieth.

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin comes in on kempom and they're two hundred and

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Speaker 1: eighty seventh for adjusted tempo.

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Speaker 2: They still play very, very slow.

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Speaker 1: And knowing that Iowa is bringing in a high powered offense,

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Speaker 1: and knowing that Iowa wants to get up and down

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Speaker 1: and shoot, you'd think that Wisconsin is going to take

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Speaker 1: the air out of the ball even more effective field

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Speaker 1: goal percentage fifty four point seven for Iowa. That's thirty

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Speaker 1: first best. But Iowa has lost basically to every good team.

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Speaker 2: They have played.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you look at Iowa's record against the quality

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Speaker 1: opponents and it's not very impressive in terms of like

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Speaker 1: who they've played. Right, so they I mean they beat

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Speaker 1: Virginia okay, but they lost to Purdue, they lost to Illinois,

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Speaker 1: they lost to Iowa State. Nothing else is they beat

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Speaker 1: Maryland by five, Western Illinois Utah State is a good win.

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Speaker 1: I guess Alabama State, NC Central. I just don't know

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Speaker 1: how good Iowa really is, to be frank And with

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Speaker 1: that stated, I wonder when they play a quality team

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Speaker 1: and they play a team that knows how to put

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Speaker 1: the clamps down on them, I really wonder what we're

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Speaker 1: looking at.

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Speaker 2: I mean, against Purdue, the game went under.

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Speaker 1: Against Illinois, the game went over by eighteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: But against Iowa State, the game went under by twenty five.

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Speaker 1: They scored fifty three on the road against Iowa State,

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Speaker 1: and I think this game is going to be very similar.

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Speaker 1: The Iowa State line was one fifty one from a total.

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Speaker 1: This number is one forty seven. We're going under Wisconsin

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Speaker 1: at home against Iowa under one forty seven. It's pretty boring, okay,

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Speaker 1: I'll give it to you. Not the most exciting of nights.

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Speaker 1: We're going to be cheering for no points in two

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Speaker 1: games tonight. But that's just kind of where I am here,

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Speaker 1: and I don't I don't hate it. I actually really

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Speaker 1: do like both these bets a lot here. Iowa at

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin under one forty seven, Boston at New York under

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Speaker 1: two to eleven, both those bets for a half a unit.

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Speaker 1: We're just going with one unit in play here today

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Speaker 1: for us on a Thursday. No football that stinks. Mine's

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Speaker 1: Matt Parol's follow me on Twitter at sports doc Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each every morning it's the Deal Juice podcast, always being

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