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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Sunday morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Peralt. You can follow me on

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Speaker 2: Twitter at sports Doc Matt every single morning, including Sundays.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to Championship Sunday, everybody on bettingpros dot Com, brought

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Speaker 2: to you by bet MGM. Al Right, Well, as I

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Speaker 2: said last night, the only I only had two units

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Speaker 2: in play, so if everything went to crap, I only

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Speaker 2: would lose two units. Well, everything went to crap, and

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Speaker 2: I added a half a unit win in hockey on

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Speaker 2: the Discord channel, so that wasn't horrible. But overall it's

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Speaker 2: down what one and a half units on the day

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Speaker 2: one four? I don't know what that would wind up

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Speaker 2: being one and five for the day, So not great

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Speaker 2: for the record, but not a lot of money lost.

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Speaker 2: It was a lot of craziness, a lot of as

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Speaker 2: I told you the podcast yesterday, was a little bit

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Speaker 2: of rational, a little bit crazy. Congratulated Dustin Poorier, I mean,

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Speaker 2: just an incredible performance. And Connor McGregor's run in the

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Speaker 2: UFC is pretty much over in terms of big time

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Speaker 2: fights in the one fifty five division, or maybe he

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Speaker 2: goes to one seventy, but maybe he fights Nate Diez

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Speaker 2: again for a trilogy fight or something like that. But

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Speaker 2: in terms of wearing hardware around his waist, that's it.

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Speaker 2: And credit Porier. Credit everybody who said that Poorier was

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Speaker 2: live to win the fight. I disagreed.

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Speaker 1: I thought that the power for Connor in the first round.

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Speaker 1: You saw it.

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Speaker 2: He clipped him a couple of times, and Connor, for

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Speaker 2: whatever reason, didn't go full bore. I guess he was

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Speaker 2: concerned that if you didn't get get him out of there,

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Speaker 2: he wasn't going to be able to with Stan a

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Speaker 2: five round fight. Who's conserving his energy? And he was

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Speaker 2: not checking the leg kicks. I mean, I was kind

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Speaker 2: of crazy, but he just kept on getting kicked in

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Speaker 2: the leg, kicked in the leg, and you know, basically

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Speaker 2: halfway through that second round or right to start the

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Speaker 2: second round, Connor.

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Speaker 1: Couldn't stand and that was it. And then Poortier went

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Speaker 1: to work. Huge win. Congratulations to him.

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Speaker 2: The thing that did, I mean, the Dan Hooker bet

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Speaker 2: was way wrong. I'm actually kind of happy that Michael

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Speaker 2: Chandler performed like that. That was incredible. Way underestimated that

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Speaker 2: guy's power. And his abilities, and that was impressive to

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Speaker 2: see him do what he did to Dan Hooker, and

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Speaker 2: then I mean Rodriguez doing what she did to Amanda Ebus.

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Speaker 2: I was really kind of like, come on, am I

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Speaker 2: going to lose a parlay on a plus twelve hundred

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Speaker 2: outcome And it didn't happen, So that was fine. I

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Speaker 2: was hoping to get to the Hooker fight with the

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Speaker 2: chance to bet on Chandler and to kind of just

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Speaker 2: hedge on it, but that didn't happen. So look, this

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Speaker 2: is why I don't bet parlays. This is why no

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Speaker 2: one should bet parlay's. It's a great example of as

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Speaker 2: to why what happens when you throw a half a

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Speaker 2: unit down and you hope for plus one fifty odds

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Speaker 2: and you lose. Right, Look, it's gambling and fighting. It's

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Speaker 2: it's really hard to bet on gambling. But you know,

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Speaker 2: the day itself, we had the over from Montreal and

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Speaker 2: Vancouver for a half unit. That was great, we got that,

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Speaker 2: we really needed it. But basketball, unfortunately, the one unit

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Speaker 2: we had it in play for basketball, Alabama wins, but

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Speaker 2: they don't cover the line plunged from eleven to nine.

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Speaker 2: They win by eight, so they don't they win, but

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Speaker 2: their cover streak comes to an end. Creighton and Yukon

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Speaker 2: had an incredible last ten minutes. If they'd played the

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Speaker 2: last ten minutes the way they played the you know,

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Speaker 2: they played the last ten minutes the same way they

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Speaker 2: played the whole If they played the last ten minutes

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Speaker 2: the whole half of what I'm trying to say, we

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Speaker 2: would have hit it easily. And unfortunately it got to

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Speaker 2: fifty seven and the number was sixty four for the

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Speaker 2: first half over for the Creighton Blue Jays and Yukon.

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Speaker 2: So we lose that, unfortunately by seven points. So that

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Speaker 2: was one unit being down. And then the parlay does

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Speaker 2: not hit, Connor does not win, and Connor does not.

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Speaker 1: Get a first round knockout.

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Speaker 2: So those are the losses there, and so one and

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Speaker 2: a half units down on a Saturday, All of that

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Speaker 2: kind of doesn't really matter to me all that much,

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Speaker 2: because are the seventy bucks I threw away on the

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Speaker 2: ESPN broadcast because I had to watch the fight on

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Speaker 2: my phone because it wouldn't work on any of my

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Speaker 2: TVs and ESPN. Plus, this was the fear when the

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Speaker 2: UFC went to a streaming service.

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Speaker 1: This was the concern.

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Speaker 2: The concern was it was not going to be able

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Speaker 2: to handle when a monster event happens in all over

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Speaker 2: the globe, everyone's trying to grab hold of the stream

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Speaker 2: and the streaming service can't handle the intensity, the desire

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Speaker 2: and the demand from the world, and so watching that

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Speaker 2: fight on my phone was not what I wanted to do.

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Speaker 2: I'm really angry about it. So fine, I lost one

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Speaker 2: and a half units whatever, but the seventy bucks that

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Speaker 2: I have coming back to me, I'm going to fight

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Speaker 2: that with ESBN Plus.

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Speaker 1: And I think it's just really ridiculous that you.

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Speaker 2: Try to buy an event, and I'm sure they're gonna

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Speaker 2: come at me and say, well, you watched it on

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Speaker 2: you know, you watched it on your phone, so you

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Speaker 2: saw it. But that's not how I wanted to watch

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Speaker 2: the fight. I want to watch it on my big

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Speaker 2: screen TV with my surround sound, and I want to

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Speaker 2: watch it the way I expect to watch an event.

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Speaker 2: So I don't know what happens with that, but it's

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Speaker 2: you know, it's probably seventy bucks.

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Speaker 1: That I lit on fire. But I'm really not happy

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Speaker 1: with what happened with that.

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Speaker 2: So not happy with the picks, obviously, but I'm really

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Speaker 2: not happy with what happened here for the free ESPN Plus,

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Speaker 2: and it's just, you know, it's technology.

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Speaker 1: It's unfortunate.

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Speaker 2: But they they got to figure that out going forward,

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Speaker 2: because there's a big fight coming down the pike. I

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Speaker 2: think Francis and Ghanu against John Jones. If and Ghano

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Speaker 2: wins over Steve A. Miocicch like I think he's going

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Speaker 2: to with the Heavyweight Championship John Jones fighting in July,

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Speaker 2: they better rectify by then because that fight that will

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Speaker 2: be an insane, insane The biggest pay per view card

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Speaker 2: in UFC history will be that heavyweight championship fight with

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Speaker 2: John Jones against Francistan Ghanu.

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Speaker 1: I I hope. I like Stipe a a lot, I

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Speaker 1: really do.

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Speaker 2: I just I want Francis to win that fight, and

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Speaker 2: then I want Francis against John Jones, like, let's go,

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Speaker 2: let's let's go. I really want to see those two

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Speaker 2: guys fights. So really good stuff. Okay, So welcome to

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Speaker 2: Championship Sunday. So we got two games today, obviously, right

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Speaker 2: AFC NFC Championship games. I have been so cold here

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Speaker 2: with my bets. I only have two plays. Okay, it's

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Speaker 2: all I've got. One's a teaser and one is just

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Speaker 2: a parlay, and it could very well be wrong. And

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Speaker 2: I'm just going to you know, I'm I'm not gonna

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Speaker 2: bet on I'm not gonna bet on being right. But essentially,

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Speaker 2: if I'm wrong about the parlay, I'm right on the

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Speaker 2: teaser most likely. So I'm kind of hedging a little bit.

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Speaker 2: I'm hoping to go too and two, two and oh,

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Speaker 2: but I might go one and one. I'll explain here

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Speaker 2: in a second what I've what I've bet here. I

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Speaker 2: bet these numbers on Friday. Here we are on a Sunday,

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Speaker 2: Sunday morning, and remember we have one unit going in

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Speaker 2: the live stream. I got four prop bets that I

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Speaker 2: have bet that I will give to you guys coming

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Speaker 2: up here this morning on the live stream on YouTube.

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Speaker 2: It is on YouTube at eleven am Eastern time eight

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Speaker 2: am Pacific time on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. We'll

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Speaker 2: talk for thirty minutes forty five minutes. I mean, we'll

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Speaker 2: just go until kind of everyone kind of peters out

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Speaker 2: a little bit for questions and in line movements and

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Speaker 2: what There's not going to be a lot of line movements.

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Speaker 2: We'll see about who's active and who is not any

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Speaker 2: surprises that maybe out there you can run your bets

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Speaker 2: by me as to what you think is going to

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Speaker 2: happen and what we hope is going to happen coming

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Speaker 2: up here.

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Speaker 1: But it's a.

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Speaker 2: It's an interesting day for me because I'm so I'm

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Speaker 2: kind of turtling, and I just kind of want to

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Speaker 2: watch the games and enjoy the games because at this

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Speaker 2: point in the season, the numbers are so sharp, and

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Speaker 2: you know, it's been just a funny year where normally

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Speaker 2: if you're at home for a championship game with fans

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Speaker 2: and stands, it's a monster advantage for you. Then you got,

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Speaker 2: you know, guys dealing with injuries, and obviously the Patrick

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Speaker 2: Mahomes story. What's Mahomes' is toad looking like? Forget the head,

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Speaker 2: I want to over the toe. The toe is a

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Speaker 2: bigger deal in the head. The head's done, Okay, forget

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Speaker 2: about the head.

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Speaker 1: He's fine.

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Speaker 2: What's the toe? And can he move? Can he run around?

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Speaker 2: If the toe is fine? I think Mahomes will put

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Speaker 2: up some big numbers, but he's going to his defense

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Speaker 2: is going to stop a really tough Bill's offense, and

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Speaker 2: that Bill's offense is humming right now. I think those

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Speaker 2: sixteen thousand fans are going to make a big difference.

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Speaker 2: Sixteen thousand fans at Arrowhead. That is a large number

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Speaker 2: at Arrowhead Stadium, which by the way, they don't need

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Speaker 2: COVID nineteen tests negative tests to get in.

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Speaker 1: I hate that, I really really do. Look what happened

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Speaker 1: with Michigan.

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Speaker 2: The University of Michigan has stopped their entire athletic department

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Speaker 2: for two weeks. All sports have stopped, including their basketball team,

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Speaker 2: which has been red hot. Two weeks stoppage for all

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Speaker 2: athletics at Michigan due to COVID nineteen. I do not

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Speaker 2: like what they're doing in Arrowhea, But regardless, here they

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Speaker 2: go now with a chance for a stadium full of

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Speaker 2: fans yelling and screaming, making it hard on the Bills

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Speaker 2: offense coming up on third and longs and whatnot, silent counts.

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Speaker 2: Maybe for the first time those types of things that

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Speaker 2: Bills are on the road. This time, the Bills aren't

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Speaker 2: at home, so that's definitely a disadvantage for the Buffalo Bills.

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Speaker 1: But let me tell.

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Speaker 2: You about the offer that you guys know about with

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Speaker 2: bet MGM going today es for the games coming up today,

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Speaker 2: You've got one dollar money line to place on either

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Speaker 2: team any of the four teams. If a touchdown gets scored,

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Speaker 2: you are going to win one hundred dollars in free

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Speaker 2: bets thanks to bet MGM. This is now active in Michigan.

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Speaker 2: If you're in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Tennessee, Iowa, Michigan,

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Speaker 2: West Virginia, this offer is available to you with the

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Speaker 2: promo code Juice one hundred. When you sign up and

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Speaker 2: make your first bet, Juice one one hundred one dollar

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Speaker 2: bet money line bet.

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Speaker 1: One hundred bucks.

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Speaker 2: Any team scores either team scored touchdown in the game,

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Speaker 2: you wage draw on one dollar money on the wager

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Speaker 2: you win one hundred bucks in free wagers. You must

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Speaker 2: be physically located in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Tennessee, Iowa, Michigan,

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Speaker 2: and West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: You must be twenty one years or older. Please gamble responsibly.

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Speaker 2: Gambling problem called one hundred and five to two to

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Speaker 2: two forty seven hundred in Colorado, Nevada, one hard gambler

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Speaker 2: in New Jersey, in West Virginia or one hundred and

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Speaker 2: nine with it in Indiana, Okay. So here's how I'm

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Speaker 2: playing today. By the way, I like my props. We

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Speaker 2: have four prop bets coming up. I'll give you guys

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Speaker 2: on the live stream, but I like the prop best today,

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Speaker 2: and then we're going to play a money line.

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Speaker 1: Plus one forty is where I got it. Now.

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Speaker 2: It may be it may have changed by time you

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Speaker 2: guys get it. But I got it at plus one forty.

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Speaker 2: Packers win, Chiefs win, and I'm not worrying about point spreads. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Packers wins, a Packer win, a Chief win. I'm binding

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Speaker 2: the two two best teams in the NFL, two number

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Speaker 2: one seeds, both are at home. You get plus one forty.

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Speaker 2: That's what I got you can get. I saw as

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Speaker 2: high as plus five plus one fifty five on Thursday.

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Speaker 2: I bet a plus one forty. But now we'll see

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Speaker 2: where the money line wind up going. You may get

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Speaker 2: worse odds or better odds, but just a two leg

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Speaker 2: money line parlay Chiefs, Packers. Okay, not going to overthink it,

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Speaker 2: not going to get too crazy with it. Just they win,

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Speaker 2: win in advance, both one seeds. Okay, can the Bills win? Yes,

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Speaker 2: one hundred percent. The Bills can win this game. So

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Speaker 2: here's what I'm doing with the Parol two team teaser.

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Speaker 2: That's fifteen to nine on the year. This will be

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Speaker 2: maybe the last time we do this, because I might

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Speaker 2: do it in the Super Bowl, but it will have

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Speaker 2: to be.

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Speaker 1: A same game teaser obviously.

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Speaker 2: But I am taking the total where I took the

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Speaker 2: total at fifty one and a half and I pulled

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Speaker 2: it down to forty five and a half for the

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Speaker 2: Bucks and the Packers, and I'm taking the over, and

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Speaker 2: then I gave the Bills plus three. I gave them nine,

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Speaker 2: so Bills plus nine minus one twenty five two leg teaser,

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Speaker 2: the Bills plus nine and the over forty five and

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Speaker 2: a half points for the Packers and the Bucks. The

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Speaker 2: reasoning behind that is this, I think we're gonna see

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Speaker 2: a lot of offense. Okay, I think Aaron Rodgers and

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Speaker 2: Tom Brady are gonna put up a lot of points.

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Speaker 2: I don't think either one of these guys. This is

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Speaker 2: a heavyweight fight. These defenses are at a massive disadvantage.

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Speaker 2: I do not see like a twenty two to eighteen

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Speaker 2: twenty two seventeen. I don't see a game like that

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Speaker 2: here between these two guys. I think this is gonna

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Speaker 2: be like a thirty four to twenty eight type of game,

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Speaker 2: and I just think you're gonna see a lot of

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Speaker 2: points being put up, and I think neither defense is

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Speaker 2: all that great.

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Speaker 1: I think the Chiefs win.

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Speaker 2: But of the four teams that I feel the best about,

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs amazingly enough, the champs I'm the most worried about.

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Speaker 2: They've got the most questions. They are at home, but

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Speaker 2: they are just not putting teams away. In the Buffalo

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Speaker 2: Bills have the team that can come from behind and

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Speaker 2: beat the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: They're one hundred percent.

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Speaker 2: I could see Buffalo with the football down three, driving

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Speaker 2: the field, scoring a game winning touchdown, and having a

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Speaker 2: huge celebration at Aerwhood Stadium, and it's Packers Bills, and

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Speaker 2: the Packers win it all all right. For my five

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Speaker 2: to one Packers win it all bet that I made

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Speaker 2: a couple of weeks ago, the Bills beating the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: is the best scenario for me to be right about

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Speaker 2: the Packers winning at all. The Packers will beat the

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Speaker 2: Buffalo Bills. I can't say the same thing about the

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Speaker 2: Packers beating the Casey Chiefs, but I think Kansas City

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Speaker 2: will find a way, because I also can see that

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Speaker 2: Buffalo Bills defense not stopping the Chiefs, and I can

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Speaker 2: see the Chiefs in a tie game like it's twenty

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Speaker 2: eight twenty eight or thirty one thirty one, and the

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Speaker 2: you know, a bad decision by Sean McDermott, or he

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Speaker 2: punts the football and gives the ball to his defense

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Speaker 2: for some reason, and Kens City goes down the field

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Speaker 2: and they get a game winning field goal and they

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Speaker 2: win by three, and so everything pushes. Okay, I can

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Speaker 2: easily see that happening with the Bills, and uh, with

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Speaker 2: the Bills and the Chiefs. So my hope is that

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs win and the Bills cover. So the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: winning by ten or more kills my teaser. Okay, that's

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Speaker 2: the danger. Okay, if Kansas City wins by ten or more,

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Speaker 2: then the TEASER's dead. And then if the Bucks beat

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Speaker 2: the Packers, the parlay's dead. And I'm oher in too,

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Speaker 2: and I'm down two units. Both these bets are one unit,

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Speaker 2: by the way, full unit bets. So is this a

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Speaker 2: little bit kind of I mean, can I go oh

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Speaker 2: in too?

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Speaker 1: Yes?

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Speaker 2: Have I been ice cold in January? I haven't been

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Speaker 2: ice cold, but I've been pretty bad. I've been bleeding

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Speaker 2: losing mone I've had one winning week I believe it

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Speaker 2: is here in the month of January so.

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Speaker 1: Far, and it's not wasn't like up big. It was

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Speaker 1: up a little.

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Speaker 2: So you know, I'm one and two on the weeks,

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Speaker 2: so hasn't been a great start. I've given a whole

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Speaker 2: lot back in the NFL. Like you guys know, i

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Speaker 2: was up about eleven units in the NFL, and I've

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Speaker 2: given back way more than half of that so far

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Speaker 2: over the last couple of weeks.

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Speaker 1: In the playoffs, I've been bad.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gun shy, like a part of me wants

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Speaker 2: to take the Packers to win, Like I think there's

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Speaker 2: a chance the Packers could wind up winning by ten points.

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Speaker 2: If you listen to Dan Harris and I on our

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Speaker 2: podcast together that you can go find on on wherever

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Speaker 2: YouTube as well the video of it.

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Speaker 1: You know, we both.

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Speaker 2: Agreed that the likelihood of a ten point or more

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Speaker 2: win for the Packers is pretty good. And so that's

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Speaker 2: why I'm not teasing the Bucks up. That's why I'm

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Speaker 2: not doing the plus nine plus nine. Everyone's gonna do that, Okay,

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Speaker 2: Everyone's teaser is plus nine plus nine the books are

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Speaker 2: gonna need or plus nine and a half and plus

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Speaker 2: nine the books need one of the two favorites to

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Speaker 2: win by double digits. I don't see the Chiefs winning

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Speaker 2: by double digits over over the Bills. Could happen, okay,

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Speaker 2: and I could be wrong, but that's fine because then

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Speaker 2: I hopefully the Packers win and the Chiefs win by ten,

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Speaker 2: so get I go one in one. But I think

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Speaker 2: it's far more likely that the Packers win by double

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Speaker 2: digits and Brett Favre lights that team on fire and

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Speaker 2: gets revenge for what happened in the first meeting between

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Speaker 2: those two teams earlier this year. And DeVante Adams is

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Speaker 2: a big day and BS is a big day. You know,

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Speaker 2: they run the ball well enough to you know, keep

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Speaker 2: the defense honest. So that's how I'm approaching these games.

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Speaker 2: Just two plays. I'll have props coming up in the

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Speaker 2: live stream at eleven am Eastern time on our YouTube channel.

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Speaker 2: But I'm just going one unit, one teaser moneyline parlay

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Speaker 2: Chiefs Packers plus one forty and one unit teaser Chiefs Sorry,

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Speaker 2: Bills plus nine forty five and a half in the

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Speaker 2: over teasing, the total down to forty five and a

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Speaker 2: half and taking the over for the Bucks and the packers.

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Speaker 2: I will talk to you on our live stream coming

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Speaker 2: up here eleven o'clock in the morning eleven am eight

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Speaker 2: am Pacific time on our YouTube channel for props, plays

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Speaker 2: and more conversations. Thank you for listening, Thank you for

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Speaker 2: interacting on the discord chat. We had fun watching the

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Speaker 2: fights together and complaining and whining about ESPN.

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Speaker 1: Together on the discord chat last night. That was fun.

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Speaker 1: It was enjoyable.

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Speaker 2: Fights didn't go my way, but hey, that's fighting, that's betting,

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Speaker 2: and we live to bet another day. Talk to you

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Speaker 2: coming up today for the AFC and NFC Championship games,

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Speaker 2: and I'm smoking my first pork shoulder today. We'll give

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Speaker 2: you some pictures in the discord on my first ever

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Speaker 2: smoking of a pork shoulder today here at the Perrault

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Speaker 2: Household while we watch football games coming up today.

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Speaker 1: We are live.

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Speaker 2: We're live coming up at eleven o'clock. But we are

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Speaker 2: back every morning right here on the Daly Juice brought

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Speaker 2: to you by BETMGM on bettingpros dot com.