Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation,
Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now,
Speaker 1: here's your host, Paul. It's Fantasy Football Weekly. I am
Speaker 1: Paul Charchy In. My co host as usual is Brian Johnson.
Speaker 1: Great to be with you, Brian. What is one of
Speaker 1: these days Matt d or Scott Fish. Yeah, Scott's already
Speaker 1: has already called out a future show that he intends
Speaker 1: to be on. We are breaking down all eight divisions
Speaker 1: over the next eight weeks, fantasy style, looking forward, not backwards.
Speaker 1: You already know what happened last year. We're gonna call
Speaker 1: all of the offseason moves and just tell you how
Speaker 1: we project each team's offense performing and specifically who for
Speaker 1: every team, who is the riskiest player at current ADP
Speaker 1: and who is the player with the most upside at
Speaker 1: his current d ADP. We'll do that for every team,
Speaker 1: and Fish has already called out NFC East Sylvia for that.
Speaker 1: Hopefully Matt will be joining us for a future show
Speaker 1: as well. No one wants to call out the a
Speaker 1: f C East. That's what we have right here, but
Speaker 1: it's getting more exciting. The a f C East has
Speaker 1: always been like notoriously almost boring from a fantasy perspective
Speaker 1: over the last ten years. It has because you know,
Speaker 1: the Jets didn't even count, the Dolphins didn't count, can't
Speaker 1: count most years now. Look and even the Patriots outside
Speaker 1: of you know that Randy Moss year was fun back
Speaker 1: in oh seven, pretty was gronk, you know, Okay, but
Speaker 1: like Garrett Blonde had that fifteen touchdown season like three
Speaker 1: years ago, there was always like two guys though it
Speaker 1: was never like the whole offense blew up. Really anyway,
Speaker 1: let's begin with the FC East and the Miami Dolphins. Brian,
Speaker 1: let's sell. Let's get an overview of the season. Head
Speaker 1: coach Brian Flores makes his return and I believe it's
Speaker 1: his third year at least third years head coach. But
Speaker 1: now there are not one, but two new offensive coordinators.
Speaker 1: They have co coordinators Eric uh Studesville, who is the
Speaker 1: running back coach, and George Godzi, who was the tight
Speaker 1: end coach for Miami last year. Will uh tag team
Speaker 1: the offensive coordinator uh duties for the Dolphins who last year, well,
Speaker 1: it was really a tale of two quarterbacks, right. They
Speaker 1: started with Brian Fitzpatrick and then they pivoted to To
Speaker 1: which we weren't too keen on that move at the time,
Speaker 1: and the offense suffered as a result. Really uh. They
Speaker 1: finished the Dolphins in twenty three yards per game with
Speaker 1: nine in points per game. Not awful, uh points per game,
Speaker 1: but really once to it took over. The rookie struggles
Speaker 1: were evident with him and that that offense just took
Speaker 1: it kind of went on a downward spiral. But they
Speaker 1: were pretty balanced. They passed the ball percent of the
Speaker 1: time that was uh in the league, so nineteen as
Speaker 1: in you know, fewest pass attempts per game, passing played
Speaker 1: percentage and uh, and they ran the ball forty two
Speaker 1: percent of the time, which ranked fourteenth. So kind of
Speaker 1: a balance offense and kind of what I'm expecting this year.
Speaker 1: Um that the big names that people are drafting on
Speaker 1: Miami starting with the highest ADP Miles Gaskin, will full Order,
Speaker 1: Mike CASSICKI, DeVante Parker, Jalen Waddle, and then then the
Speaker 1: aforementioned to um. Uh yeah, it's I like the receivers.
Speaker 1: I like the receivers as a whole. But pick if
Speaker 1: I said, Brian, tell me right now which receiver is
Speaker 1: going to lead the team in fantasy points. It's hard
Speaker 1: to It's hard to say that authoritatively. Yeah, it definitely is.
Speaker 1: And uh And for that reason, Will Fuller my riskiest
Speaker 1: player on the Dolphins based on ADP. He's right around
Speaker 1: wide receiver thirty three right now, going before guys who
Speaker 1: I think I like a lot more than Will Fuller
Speaker 1: and Deebo Samuel, Jerry Judy, even former teammate Brandon Cooks,
Speaker 1: despite the quarterback situation. I like the volume that Cooks
Speaker 1: is going to see in Houston. Uh, Curtis Samuel, even
Speaker 1: going after Will Fuller, only seventy vacated targets from Miami
Speaker 1: from last year, and the most notable departure is Isaiah Ford,
Speaker 1: which is not notable. So it's a very crowded wide
Speaker 1: receiver room now with Fuller into they drafted Jalen Waddle.
Speaker 1: Davante Parker's still there, very good wide receiver. So you
Speaker 1: have three good receivers and a total unknown a quarterback.
Speaker 1: We both agree to a looked pedestrian last year. Now
Speaker 1: Here's what worries me, not will you get better? Hear too,
Speaker 1: almost certainly. But what worries me most Brian is too
Speaker 1: didn't show me the sparks of greatness. You know, I
Speaker 1: I don't need everybody to have the Justin Herbert record
Speaker 1: setting rookie year. But when you are a first round quarterback,
Speaker 1: who um who was he picked five overall? I expect
Speaker 1: sometimes for your passing to splash off the page, even
Speaker 1: in completions. I mean, just things that that make me go, oh,
Speaker 1: there's some special talent in that arm. I just didn't
Speaker 1: see it. And you could take this either way good
Speaker 1: or bad. He to essentially admitted he wasn't ready last year.
Speaker 1: He didn't study up enough and he just the game
Speaker 1: was way too fast for him. That that can be alarming.
Speaker 1: That it also can be, you know, a wake up call.
Speaker 1: So what We'll see how it goes. But when it
Speaker 1: comes to, like you said, pegging the top wide receiver,
Speaker 1: who knows I'm taking the cheapest one, which is Devonte Parker.
Speaker 1: He's going after Jalen Waddle and we even like they
Speaker 1: got Mike Asiki too, who's gonna soak up targets? Lynn
Speaker 1: Bowden Bowden. He's they want to get the ball in
Speaker 1: his hands. So I don't see a ton of volume
Speaker 1: for any of these receivers. So I'm out on Will
Speaker 1: Fuller at wide receiver thirty five winter. And you're buying
Speaker 1: on Davante Parker, Well, he's not the high upside. Okay,
Speaker 1: all right? Who is the highest upside? It's got gasking
Speaker 1: Baby right now. RB getting way under drafted in my opinion,
Speaker 1: Like he's going after James Robinson, Travis E t N.
Speaker 1: I want no part of that. And in the draft
Speaker 1: best ball this year? Uh going after Kareem Hunt? Are
Speaker 1: you able? But even guys going way earlier Josh Jacobs,
Speaker 1: David Montgomery not liking them as much as I like
Speaker 1: Miles Gaskon, who didn't get a toner run last year,
Speaker 1: but when he did he looked really good. And he
Speaker 1: not only can run the ball, he can catch the ball.
Speaker 1: He led all running backs in yards per reception nine
Speaker 1: and a half, and again only had like a hundred
Speaker 1: and forty carries, not even two hundred touches, but forty
Speaker 1: one catches and half the season's work, and and again
Speaker 1: about half the carries of a bell cow running back.
Speaker 1: He was fifteen in evaded tackles is good and I
Speaker 1: was holding my breath all throughout the draft, all throughout
Speaker 1: free agency period. He could drink. The one guy in
Speaker 1: the seventh round don't even know his name, not worried
Speaker 1: about him. But Gaskin's got a clear role to starting
Speaker 1: running back duties for the Dolphins, and it or there's
Speaker 1: top fifteen running back potential and Gaskin, So I'm all
Speaker 1: in there. And there aren't many running backs. There's only
Speaker 1: probably ten work course running backs in the NFL and
Speaker 1: maybe not even ten. Uh, Gaskin shapes up to be
Speaker 1: one of them for as long as he's healthy. And
Speaker 1: that contributed to why we didn't see as much of
Speaker 1: Gaskin last year. It would have liked to. We need
Speaker 1: to stay healthy. But that offense figures to be more
Speaker 1: dynamic this year too. It will get better and Gaskins
Speaker 1: should have more opportunity than he had last season. And
Speaker 1: I'm kind of with you on buying on ad for
Speaker 1: Miles Gaskin. Let's go to the Patriots. Brian Um. What
Speaker 1: a cluster this was last year. You already know that
Speaker 1: Um and the offseason quote improvements that they made, don't
Speaker 1: give me a lot of confidence that this is going
Speaker 1: to be a materially better offense. Now, Cam Newton was
Speaker 1: historically feeble as a passer. Last year's starting fifteen games
Speaker 1: and throwing eight touchdowns, which is turned back the clock
Speaker 1: to nineteen thirties era passing. It was horrible. Um, it
Speaker 1: is unclear who the starting quarterback will be when the
Speaker 1: season opens, but it's not unclear in my mind who
Speaker 1: it will be by the time it ends. It'll be
Speaker 1: Mac Jones. Now, Bill Belichick had to pivot and ended
Speaker 1: up throwing the ball the second fewest times in the
Speaker 1: NFL because Cam Newton was so bad as a passer
Speaker 1: and his receivers were so inept um And I just
Speaker 1: touched on the receiving aspect of the tape, Like I
Speaker 1: cannot get over the fact that the Titans got Julio
Speaker 1: Jones for a second round pick, which it is a
Speaker 1: great a great you for Atlanta, really, but know where
Speaker 1: you're going with this mohammed for a second round pick
Speaker 1: by the Patriots. It's like really one of the worst
Speaker 1: trade anyway. Yeah, So that, knowing that the receivers are
Speaker 1: so bad, the teams splurged on wide receivers, but the
Speaker 1: moves they made I think are absurd. They're tied up
Speaker 1: thirty six million dollars in Nelson Aglar and Kendrick Borne,
Speaker 1: two players whose previous teams didn't even try to keep them.
Speaker 1: And I think from just a fantasy standpoint, Al is
Speaker 1: like a wide receiver four, and Born as like a
Speaker 1: wide receiver five. Dark throw and that's it. And and
Speaker 1: if and if Cam Newton's the starter at the season,
Speaker 1: I don't know that I'm drafted. I don't know that
Speaker 1: I draft either one at any stage of the draft. No,
Speaker 1: I find someone else would be more interested in than
Speaker 1: probably easily the two best receivers on the team are
Speaker 1: both height ends. Johnny Smith and Hunter Henry both got
Speaker 1: fat contracts totaling eighties seven million dollars for players at
Speaker 1: the same position. Optimists will hope for a return of
Speaker 1: the twenty eleven season of Brady to Gronk and Hernandez,
Speaker 1: when they total twenty two hundred yards and twenty four touchdowns.
Speaker 1: When I looked that up, I'm like, oh my god,
Speaker 1: I'd forgotten now potent that was. That is an insane
Speaker 1: level of tight end productivity. Yeah, um, and it gives
Speaker 1: you some of like a best case scenario. But the
Speaker 1: problem is Mac Jones isn't Tom Brady, and Jonny Smith
Speaker 1: and Hunter Henry aren't Gronk or Hernandez in part because
Speaker 1: they're alive. So those guys are There's gonna be a
Speaker 1: ton of two tight end sets, and the problem for
Speaker 1: fantasy owners is going to be this. I think I
Speaker 1: don't think both guys are gonna get fed like Gronk
Speaker 1: and Hernandez both got fed in that one season in eleven. Instead,
Speaker 1: I think it's going to be in any given week,
Speaker 1: one of the two will probably have a good game,
Speaker 1: and good luck guessing which guy is coming. You know
Speaker 1: a lot of times, well, Hunter Henry is already hurt
Speaker 1: by the way. That helps, And you know, I like
Speaker 1: Johnny Smith more. And we'll talk about this a minute. Um.
Speaker 1: Oftentimes on Fantasy Football Weekly, we will identify a good
Speaker 1: tight end matchup, will be like, hey this, you know
Speaker 1: this defense is really struggling in tight ends. They got
Speaker 1: slow linebackers. Whatever the problem is. Now, even if we
Speaker 1: identify a good matchup, it's gonna be very hard to
Speaker 1: tell you this is a john who Smith game versus
Speaker 1: this is a Hunter Henry game. So I think that's
Speaker 1: going to be a an area of real frustration for
Speaker 1: fantasy owners. The running game is convoluted as always, and
Speaker 1: maybe even worse this year than most years. Damian Harris
Speaker 1: was quietly effective last season for the Patriots, the average
Speaker 1: five yards per carry, which I think is probably better
Speaker 1: than most listeners realize. Optimists would say that Jones will
Speaker 1: keep Cam Newton on the bench, which would mean that
Speaker 1: Harris can get the goal line work that went to
Speaker 1: Newton last year. But the problem then, even if that happens,
Speaker 1: is the team drafted Remandra Stevenson in the fourth round
Speaker 1: and he's a bulldozer. He's built perfectly for goal line work.
Speaker 1: So Damian Harris as a big back who who could
Speaker 1: get goal line work, I can't tell you that Romandra
Speaker 1: Stevenson isn't gonna get that. Stevenson seems like he's going
Speaker 1: to be the guy we went into detail on him
Speaker 1: a few weeks ago. Yeah, I just you know, maybe
Speaker 1: as a rookie he won't get a lot of time. Um,
Speaker 1: but if he does, if he's gonna get time anywhere,
Speaker 1: the goal line could be the spot because he's built
Speaker 1: so well for it. Uh. James White found note takers
Speaker 1: in free agency and ended up returning to the Patriots.
Speaker 1: He was incredibly ineffective last year with Cam Newton. You're
Speaker 1: hope and drafting James White is that Mac Jones will
Speaker 1: throw a bunch of underneath dump off stuff to a safe,
Speaker 1: close target in James White. But again, we don't know
Speaker 1: who's going to start the season at this point. Just
Speaker 1: gross all around, so gross. Lastly, Sony Michelle is a
Speaker 1: cut candidate. I know he's got first round pedigree, but
Speaker 1: there's based on his his running over the past couple
Speaker 1: of seasons, there's a chance he's not even on the roster. Alright.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about the riskiest player at his current ADP.
Speaker 1: I think it's Hunter Henry. He's got a seventh round ADP.
Speaker 1: He's tight end eight. I thought you're gonna say, all um, well, um,
Speaker 1: he's going four rounds earlier than John new Smith, who
Speaker 1: the team likes so much better they gave him a
Speaker 1: contract that's fifty percent higher than Hunter Henry's. People have
Speaker 1: this all backwards. John new Smith is the preferred tight
Speaker 1: end of the two. I'm with him. People are drafting
Speaker 1: him in the wrong order and separated by four rounds.
Speaker 1: You can get Jonas Smith in the eleventh round Bacon ADP.
Speaker 1: That's a new brainer. The player with the most upside
Speaker 1: compared to his current ADP really nobody but um take
Speaker 1: Mac Jones basically undrafted, going off the board as quarterback
Speaker 1: thirty eight in round seventeen. He could start as early
Speaker 1: as Week one, and he's got a lot of dump
Speaker 1: off targets. As I mentioned James White, Johnna Smith, Hunter,
Speaker 1: Henry Underneath, there's some there's some dump off opportunities for him.
Speaker 1: Super flex leagues, you could go Mac Jones. Was Stevenson
Speaker 1: in consideration for your upside player? He could just he
Speaker 1: might not see the field this year. I don't know.
Speaker 1: I just I you know, it's such a convoluted deep backfield.
Speaker 1: I worry, but I I thought Stevenson looked very good
Speaker 1: in college, and I like I like the upside that
Speaker 1: he brings. Quite content not having any Patriots on roster
Speaker 1: this year or next year. Let's take a break. When
Speaker 1: we come back, let's talk about the Jets and the
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills. Both offenses could be better, even the Bills.
Speaker 1: We'll talk about that when we come back. Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 1: Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchia, Brian Johnson with you.
Speaker 1: We're breaking down the four teams of the a f
Speaker 1: C East Fantasy Style with previews of the season. And
Speaker 1: with now we go to the New York Jets, who
Speaker 1: can't be worse last year, they can only get better. Uh,
Speaker 1: new head coach and Robert Sala, the former San Francisco
Speaker 1: forty Niners defensive coordinator, and the new offensive coordinator Mike Lafleur,
Speaker 1: also from San Francisco. Not the offensive coordinator though, or
Speaker 1: he wasn't the offensive coordinator, he was the passing coordinator
Speaker 1: was his official title. He couldn't handle the run and
Speaker 1: complicated today they really limited his scope to passing. But yeah,
Speaker 1: the Jets last year dead last in yards per game
Speaker 1: two and seventy nine points per game fifteen, just absolutely awful.
Speaker 1: For whatever reason, they actually leaned towards the run more
Speaker 1: they were and run played percentage and pass play percentage.
Speaker 1: But it's a whole new era in in York right now,
Speaker 1: New Jersey, I should say, Uh, there's Joe Flacco. Is
Speaker 1: Joe Flacco still there? Well, hopefully we won't see Joe Flacco,
Speaker 1: won't see Sam Donald. It's the Zach Wilson Show now.
Speaker 1: And they invested a lot in rookies Elijah Moore at
Speaker 1: wide receiver, running back, Michael Carter. It's it's it's essentially
Speaker 1: a brand new team and uh, but it feels like
Speaker 1: a team even though they ran more last year, it
Speaker 1: feels like they're gonna leaned towards the past more this year,
Speaker 1: investing in Zack Wilson, Elijah More, UH went out and
Speaker 1: signed Corey Davis, Jamison Crowder. I don't know what's gonna
Speaker 1: happen with Crowder. I think there's some good landing spots
Speaker 1: for him if they do decide to try to trade him.
Speaker 1: But when the new offensive coordinator is a former passing
Speaker 1: coordinator had no say in the run run game, something
Speaker 1: tells me, Uh, they're gonna be throwing the ball more.
Speaker 1: And for that reason, I'm my riskiest player based on
Speaker 1: a DP is Michael Carter, who UH rookie running back.
Speaker 1: By the way, that the highest drafted Jet based on
Speaker 1: a DP right now, it kind of makes sense he
Speaker 1: made He'd be the Jed I'd want to have. He
Speaker 1: does it at RB thirty seven. Um, he's he's lumped
Speaker 1: in with the David Johnson's, A J Dillon's Damien Harris.
Speaker 1: We just talked about James Conner. Uh, a running back
Speaker 1: I like a lot more than all those guys from
Speaker 1: the Bills, who will talk about very shortly. But Carter
Speaker 1: looks great, No tis as of right now. From what
Speaker 1: I've heard and the competition, it's not great, but there
Speaker 1: is competition in Tevin Coleman, Ty Johnson, who looked all right. Well,
Speaker 1: Michael Perrine looked all right. Still to me, I'm out
Speaker 1: on Carter. The Jets did not run the ball well
Speaker 1: last year. Of course they were riding Frank Gore and
Speaker 1: Adam Gaze. I mean, it's just you're freed of the
Speaker 1: shackles of Adam Gaze. I just think everybody thinks that
Speaker 1: even last even the players are coming back from last year,
Speaker 1: will be better, that young offensive line is going to
Speaker 1: be better, and um, and well, I don't and I
Speaker 1: certainly wouldn't want to invest in the passing game with
Speaker 1: a new rookie quarterback making his first start. Probably don't
Speaker 1: want to, um, but I'm willing to. I'm willing to
Speaker 1: roll the dice on on a running back who flashed
Speaker 1: last year. That line's gotta get a lot better, though,
Speaker 1: you know we we say it all the time. You
Speaker 1: can love the running back as much as you want,
Speaker 1: but if if the hogs in front of them aren't moving,
Speaker 1: the moving the pile. And last year was a big
Speaker 1: problem for the Jets. Later ranked thirty. Their offensive line
Speaker 1: was overalled by Pro Football Focus. UH. Their running backs
Speaker 1: average just one point one yards per carry before contact.
Speaker 1: Pertempt that in the NFL. Very bad, but they did. Uh.
Speaker 1: The Jets did trade up UH and drafted Elijah Vera
Speaker 1: Tucker with the fourteenth overall pick. So hopefully the line
Speaker 1: in the last year. So I think the line does
Speaker 1: get better. I do too, but I'm still I think
Speaker 1: people maybe Michael Carter, I'm not seeing more than a
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty, hundred and seventy five carry. I think
Speaker 1: he's in the two fifty right. He feels real. Keyshawn
Speaker 1: Vaughny to me right now from last year where people
Speaker 1: were overreacting to Keyshawn Vaughn saying he's gonna be the guy.
Speaker 1: Nobody thought Van was as talented as Carter was. VA
Speaker 1: was going wait first round and rookie drafts this time
Speaker 1: last year. Yeah, that kills, but anyway we can disagree there, yeah,
Speaker 1: we will. There is upside with Carter, but I want
Speaker 1: to I just want to see what he's got first,
Speaker 1: and just what the whole teams in general. I think
Speaker 1: they're gonna be behind a lot and throwing more than running.
Speaker 1: But anyway, that's my downside guy, the upside guy. We're
Speaker 1: banking on Jamison Crowder leaving town. Right at least I am.
Speaker 1: I feel like at this point, I don't know. I'm
Speaker 1: not gonna You can feel free to say that I
Speaker 1: am so as of right now. And while Crowder was
Speaker 1: still a Jet, you can get Elijah more way on
Speaker 1: the cheap. But if Crowder leaves town, Elijah more is
Speaker 1: the wide receiver I want for the Jets, especially considering
Speaker 1: he's going. I don't know why Corey Davis is the
Speaker 1: first wide receiver going off the board by the way,
Speaker 1: white receiver Party nine. It should be Denzel Mims, whose
Speaker 1: wide receiver fifth nine, and then More is down to
Speaker 1: wide receiver sixties seven. But I'll take the cheapest jet basically,
Speaker 1: and uh, I don't blame you for that approach. And
Speaker 1: if I'm gonna invest in the jet, I'm gonna do
Speaker 1: it at the cheapest rate possible. And uh, we've touted
Speaker 1: more over the past couple of months when we were
Speaker 1: analyzing rookies. Loved the dog piss celebration. One of the
Speaker 1: greatest things I've ever seen. But as an actual football player, uh,
Speaker 1: elite level talent. And I know it's a new offense
Speaker 1: with a new head coach and a new offensive coordinator
Speaker 1: slash passing coordinator, but Crowder was the guy last year
Speaker 1: and more just feels like the safest wide receiver and
Speaker 1: based on ADP he's all going. Elijah more Man. The
Speaker 1: the O t A reports on him are very positive.
Speaker 1: And uh, again, Crowder's got to leave town. But uh,
Speaker 1: if he does, and I expect he does, so, I'm
Speaker 1: maybe it should just by Crowder, you know, well he
Speaker 1: would he would have been he would have been the
Speaker 1: well yeah, well that's a almost a whole another topic, right,
Speaker 1: But if Crowder stays on the Jets, he would be
Speaker 1: my highest upside play easily. Let's pivot to the Buffalo Bills,
Speaker 1: our fourth and final team, as we break down the
Speaker 1: one projections for the nfc A f C East. You
Speaker 1: already know that Josh Allen took a massive step forward
Speaker 1: last year. The Bill's offense is crafted almost entirely around
Speaker 1: his unique abilities, and they are unique. Buffalo average thirty
Speaker 1: points per game double with the Jets just did as
Speaker 1: you mentioned, fifteen per game. Josh Allen would have been
Speaker 1: the most prevalent quarterback on Championship one quarterback rosters last year,
Speaker 1: or even two quarterbacks, just based on where you got him,
Speaker 1: and he took a huge step forward. UM, there's little
Speaker 1: reason to think this year will be any different for
Speaker 1: Josh Allen. He will probably be every bit as effective
Speaker 1: and maybe more. Allen through the sixth most passes and
Speaker 1: had the second most quarterback rushes, which combined to give
Speaker 1: him the second most plays of all quarterbacks. There's nothing
Speaker 1: like opportunity in fantasy football. More than talent. Your players
Speaker 1: need opportunity. We're going to touch up talk a touch
Speaker 1: touch on this very subject. In a few minutes. Alan
Speaker 1: had so much opportunity touching the ball second most plays
Speaker 1: of all quarterbacks. UM. I'll note that this as well.
Speaker 1: Mitch true Whisky is his backup and I like it.
Speaker 1: I like it when a mobile quarterback has another mobile
Speaker 1: quarterback behind him because you don't have to recraft the offense.
Speaker 1: Nothing needs to change. They can still run most of
Speaker 1: the same plays. It won't be as effective. I'm not
Speaker 1: saying that Mitch Drubisky there he is. That's the extended
Speaker 1: version hold on. I am not saying sad Trombone Sky
Speaker 1: is as good as Josh Allen. But I do like
Speaker 1: the notion that they have a high end backup quarterback,
Speaker 1: so that if you do draft a Steffon Diggs, remember
Speaker 1: this passing game. Um, you're not. You know, you still
Speaker 1: have some confidence knowing that if anything happens Josh Allen,
Speaker 1: you have plausible quarterbacking with that most generous my life
Speaker 1: from compared to most backups. Mr Beski is pretty good.
Speaker 1: All right. Stepan Dix was the team's work course last year.
Speaker 1: You already know that led the NFL and receptions lead
Speaker 1: in yards. He returns as the alpha receiver and could
Speaker 1: replicate all that success from last year and maybe and
Speaker 1: probably even improve on last year's modest eight touchdowns. Now
Speaker 1: for the rest of the receivers, they lost John Brown,
Speaker 1: they brought in Emmanuel Sanders. Apparently they decided to go
Speaker 1: with Sanders reliability as opposed to Brown speed. But the
Speaker 1: big question mark and the fascinating player out of this
Speaker 1: group to me is Gabriel Davis. We talked about him
Speaker 1: a bit last week. Does he make the big jump
Speaker 1: in productivity in this his second year? Why he might?
Speaker 1: Last year? From weeks twelve to seventeen. Last year, six
Speaker 1: weeks he averaged three catches, fifty four yards and almost
Speaker 1: a touchdown per game. That was good enough to be
Speaker 1: wide receiver thirty in that final third of the season.
Speaker 1: Last year, he did disappear in the playoffs, But and
Speaker 1: I was a rookie, maybe it hit the wall or whatever.
Speaker 1: Um So I like Gabriel Davis to make him move forward.
Speaker 1: And he's being vastly under drafted. I believe we talked
Speaker 1: about it last week. I think he's a great guy
Speaker 1: to target for a second year jump. And I as
Speaker 1: much as as much as as Diggs deserves every one
Speaker 1: of the passes he got last year, I don't think
Speaker 1: they want Stefan Diggs necessarily lead the NFL in targets
Speaker 1: and receptions. I think they would like to even that
Speaker 1: out a little bit in Gabriel Davis would be the
Speaker 1: guy they would do it with no tight end of
Speaker 1: note here, Dawson Knox comes back. They had a Jacob Holister.
Speaker 1: Don't care. Let's go to the running backs. And by
Speaker 1: the way, Gabriel Davis one less touchdowns last how about
Speaker 1: that they just had seven digs at eight So yeah,
Speaker 1: ton of ups ei, there a ton of upside. Uh.
Speaker 1: Zack mosson Devin Singletary simply didn't get enough work to
Speaker 1: be reliable fantasy factors last year. Get this, they averaged
Speaker 1: eight carries and nine carries per game. That's it. But again,
Speaker 1: Zack Moss very slow start to the year, injured, yep,
Speaker 1: we'll talk more about him in justice. I need, I
Speaker 1: need to feel good about Zack Moss because I'm gonna
Speaker 1: rise Zack mosson Miles gask into the promised landlist year
Speaker 1: in our Empire League. I need it. That is a
Speaker 1: do the opposite approach that I that I endorse. Singletary
Speaker 1: is a known commodity as in my mind, a barely
Speaker 1: adequate runner with decent hands. And that's all Singletary brings
Speaker 1: to the game. So very blocked yep. Um he does
Speaker 1: not score really ever, So Singletary doesn't help fantasy owners there.
Speaker 1: And I think there's a scenario here. We'll talk about it.
Speaker 1: In a second. As for Moss, he enters his second
Speaker 1: year plenty of room to improve. So let's talk about
Speaker 1: the riskiest player at his current ADP. Stefon Diggs is
Speaker 1: going off the board at wide receiver three. Now, Diggs
Speaker 1: is great, um, but he's coming off a career year
Speaker 1: in which the team couldn't get any production from any
Speaker 1: running back and there couldn't get any production from any
Speaker 1: receiver except him. I feel like in many ways he's
Speaker 1: just gotten nowhere to go but down in terms of
Speaker 1: total usage for Diggs UM. And as I mentioned, Gabriel
Speaker 1: Davis could improve significantly and siphon off a lot of
Speaker 1: work from Diggs. And just why do you receiver three
Speaker 1: is just so high? I think he's the riskiest of
Speaker 1: the Bills that you could select. And then uh, Cole
Speaker 1: Beasley was significantly dinged for at least a quarter of
Speaker 1: the season at the tail end of the season last year.
Speaker 1: And not that we like Emmanuel Sanders really, but he
Speaker 1: is in town and he's there. Basically, even if he's
Speaker 1: just a chain mover, he could siphon off more targets
Speaker 1: than John Brown did. It was never healthy, and so
Speaker 1: there there is UM. I just I am by no
Speaker 1: means predicting a bad season for Stefan Diggs, But why
Speaker 1: receiver three is really saying you think he's going to
Speaker 1: do what he did last year was he finished his
Speaker 1: roughly wide receiver five most leagues and get even better
Speaker 1: this year. And you're you're paying. You're paying the premium
Speaker 1: this year, paying the premium. The last year was the
Speaker 1: time to get in on that. You should have bought
Speaker 1: the dip last year. Don't buy that rip this year.
Speaker 1: I'm with you. The player with the most upside compared
Speaker 1: to his current ADP is Zack Moss Round nine ADP
Speaker 1: wide receiver forty. He is a year two runner who
Speaker 1: was hamstrung last year by injury, a lack of touches.
Speaker 1: Just the eight carries program which I mentioned earlier, and
Speaker 1: Josh Allen's remarkable eleven carries from inside the five. Most quarterbacks,
Speaker 1: even the rushing quarterbacks. At some point they start dialing
Speaker 1: that back and if Zack Moss, who is a big
Speaker 1: body back, if he can prove himself effective at the
Speaker 1: goal line early in the season, I could see Josh
Speaker 1: Allen dropping from eleven carries inside the five down to
Speaker 1: six five carries inside the five because Zach Moss can
Speaker 1: do it, and that's some pounding they could take off
Speaker 1: their quarterback. Alan's a big dude, But those hits you
Speaker 1: don't want. We saw Cam Newton taking those hits early
Speaker 1: on in his career and uh, and eventually they took
Speaker 1: that away from him. They did until Belichick brought it
Speaker 1: back last year. Now, Um, the other factor here is
Speaker 1: that single Tarry is just not that good. So there's
Speaker 1: a real chance here that Singletary becomes an afterthought in
Speaker 1: this offense, and Zach Moss, if he's good enough, ends
Speaker 1: up getting eight carries a game that could go to
Speaker 1: fifteen carries, sixteen carries, seventeen carries a game, and he
Speaker 1: could really be a true lead back and Singletary could
Speaker 1: just be changing a base guy catching three or four
Speaker 1: passes a game, running the ball three or four times
Speaker 1: a game, and the rest of the rush is going
Speaker 1: to Zack Moss. So I believe he's got the most upside. Now,
Speaker 1: you know, we need things to happen for all that
Speaker 1: to come to fruition, including Zack Moss needs to play better. Um,
Speaker 1: but they could work out that way. Yeah, Zack Moss
Speaker 1: is going to be a guy that's always gonna be
Speaker 1: moved over into my queue once we hit like round
Speaker 1: seven eight in any format. Really like, yeah, I got
Speaker 1: even though you already invested in Zack Moss in in
Speaker 1: Dynasty and Empire leagues, you want more Zack Moss. Yeah,
Speaker 1: RB forty right now, Like you said, it feels low easy,
Speaker 1: top twenty four running back potential in that offense. Now,
Speaker 1: I was the leader of the Zack Moss cheerleading squad
Speaker 1: last year and that blew up in my face. But
Speaker 1: you know that. But at ADP forty. You know, last
Speaker 1: year you had to pay a DP twenty five to
Speaker 1: get Zack Moss or ADP thirty to pay his Zac Moss.
Speaker 1: Now you get him at a big discount after a
Speaker 1: disappointing rookie season. He didn't suck. He doesn't suck his football.
Speaker 1: He does right, So there's that. Uh. Thank you for
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Speaker 1: to that as well. Thanks for listening, everybody. We'll be
Speaker 1: back next week for the a f C North. Will
Speaker 1: be breaking down the a f C North next next week,
Speaker 1: including my disdain and nervousness for the Steelers offense. It's
Speaker 1: coming next week. Stay tuned for that. Everybody, talk to
Speaker 1: you then bye bye. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production
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