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Speaker 1: This is straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up

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Speaker 1: straight Fire, fam, It's me Jason McIntyre. Straight Fire for Friday,

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Speaker 1: December seventeenth. In my l a people. Oh what a

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Speaker 1: cut punch. Thursday night football A classic, a damn classic.

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Speaker 1: And the Churches and Chiefs have a hell of a

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Speaker 1: rivalry budding. And for the Chargers to lose that game

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Speaker 1: in overtime, Oh my goodness, listen, so much happening in

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Speaker 1: this game. I told Rob G will carve out an

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Speaker 1: hour break it down in granular fashion. He said, bro,

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Speaker 1: we don't. We're not doing an hour long podcast. I

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Speaker 1: mean that's what you could give this game. Chargers blow

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Speaker 1: it in overtime, and they blew this game. Let's be clear,

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Speaker 1: there's no doubt about it. The Chargers blew this. It's

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Speaker 1: on Brandon Staley. Okay, There's a difference between being aggressive

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Speaker 1: and being stupid, and Brandon Staley was stupid and overly aggressive.

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Speaker 1: It was all kinds are wrong. We're gonna get into it.

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Speaker 1: I just want to say this real quick. At the outset,

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Speaker 1: Justin Herbert is the man. Now. I've been gassing him

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Speaker 1: up on this podcast. Rob G likes to poke fun

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Speaker 1: at me and say that I love Jimmy Garoppolo man.

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Speaker 1: Justin Herbert, that guy's incredible. He is phenomenal without his

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Speaker 1: left tackle. Everybody's like, oh my gosh, this this kid Pipkins,

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Speaker 1: this back up. Oh he's a turnstyle. Um. Justin Herbert

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Speaker 1: was not sacked. All he did was go up and

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Speaker 1: down the field against the Chargers. He never got the

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Speaker 1: ball in overtime and the Chiefs win the game because

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes lit up the Charger secondary. Uh, Jared Cook,

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Speaker 1: I'm not Jared Cook. We'll get the Jared Cook in

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Speaker 1: a second. Um. Tyreek Hill was phenomenal. The route running

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Speaker 1: was I mean, it looks like Tyreek Hill is a problem.

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Speaker 1: What we know that. And Travis Kelsey, who is on

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Speaker 1: my fantasy team. I'm playing a guy, um who used

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Speaker 1: to be a comment or at the Big League and

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Speaker 1: we kind of stayed in touch. He bet me by

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Speaker 1: fifty in the final week of the regular season. We

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Speaker 1: have a re match this week in the playoffs, and

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Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey hung thirty one on him, including the game winner. Listen,

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Speaker 1: I said this on social media. Like George Kittle, last

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Speaker 1: week was unbelievable for the forty nine. Everybody clear, George

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Speaker 1: Kettle is the best title in the league. Kelsey, he's

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Speaker 1: out washed, but he's like the wrong side of thirty, Like,

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Speaker 1: come on, it's kittle and Travis Kelsey said, I'll just

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Speaker 1: you know, catch ten passes on thirteen targets for a

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Speaker 1: buck ninety one and two scores. No, it was. It

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Speaker 1: was a great game, But I think we have to

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Speaker 1: start with Brandon's daily and what the hell he's doing. Okay,

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Speaker 1: this is not the money badger is your kicker? Okay,

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Speaker 1: they they've cycled through many bad kickers. But the fact

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Speaker 1: that he's afraid to use his kicker in the first

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Speaker 1: half when the Chiefs were getting just getting rolled. Without

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Speaker 1: Chris Jones on that defense, they have nothing. I mean, honestly,

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Speaker 1: the Chargers ran for a bucket two Justin Jackson just

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Speaker 1: peeling off ten fifteen yard carries at a clip. Eckler

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Speaker 1: who was not clearly he had a nice game, but

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Speaker 1: as you noticed, not a weapon really in the past game.

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Speaker 1: Only four targets for twenty three yards he was. That's clear.

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Speaker 1: They still rush for one. So they're moving the ball

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Speaker 1: at will, and then you get into the red zone

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Speaker 1: and again I'm all for being aggressive, but this is

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Speaker 1: not black jack, where you kind of memorize when to

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Speaker 1: hit and when to pass and when you know, like

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Speaker 1: there is a book in black jack, it's the strategy

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Speaker 1: you memorize that you go there. You know, everybody knows

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Speaker 1: that this is different. This does not have to be

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Speaker 1: all gas, no brakes all the time. But Brent, that

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Speaker 1: Britain Staley is doing that. So opening drive, right after

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Speaker 1: that monster kickoff return, they get into the red zone

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Speaker 1: justin Herbert incomplete on third and you're like, all right,

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Speaker 1: well kick, get the field goal, get the good start.

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Speaker 1: You know, I got that huge kick return, got the

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Speaker 1: momentum so far. Popping at a bunch of friends of

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Speaker 1: the game. I was on multiple text chains with charger

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Speaker 1: stands and everybody's excited. And then you throw the past

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Speaker 1: to or Ham should have been caught. You're like, oh,

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Speaker 1: good decision. And then he drops it, hits his head

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Speaker 1: on the turf, gets knocked out, gets carted out. That

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Speaker 1: was a kind of scary. Yeah, I've never seen someone

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Speaker 1: with no contact get knocked out like that, and but

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Speaker 1: you know, obviously his health was primary. And then you

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Speaker 1: remember a couple of seconds later, oh yeah, that's right.

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Speaker 1: That was fourth down. Um, Chiefs go down and get

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Speaker 1: a touchdown. So then justin Herbert throws the pick, the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs get the field goal, and you're like, oh, jeez,

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Speaker 1: damn it, Chargers have no chance. And Herbert wakes up

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Speaker 1: and mose down the field. Uh touchdown, touchdown, Chargers in

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Speaker 1: total control. And then you have the Mahomes fumble late

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Speaker 1: in the first half, and this was you know, the

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Speaker 1: part him in completion. I was fine going for that,

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Speaker 1: but I do want to remind people these aren't the

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Speaker 1: old Chiefs of the last three years, where that offense

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Speaker 1: is unstoppable and you absolutely have to score touchdowns. They're

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Speaker 1: winning with defense and the offense had been struggling. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's okay to kick field goals sometimes. So we're late

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Speaker 1: in the half, okay, Mahomes fumbles, you drive down inside

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Speaker 1: the five times winding down, you know that there's really

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Speaker 1: no point in going for it on fourth because guess what,

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Speaker 1: even if you fail, they don't have to go ninety

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Speaker 1: nine yards because it's the end of the half. So

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Speaker 1: take the three points, take the automatic field goal, go

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Speaker 1: into half, up a touchdown, extra momentum, right, you've now

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Speaker 1: scored on three straight drives. You've got field goal, touchdown, touchdown.

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Speaker 1: He goes for it and Herbert's passed to Keenan Island,

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Speaker 1: no go, nine close. It's like that felt deflating. Of course,

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Speaker 1: She's come out and score. And then it happens kind

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Speaker 1: of again, although this puts it in the red zone.

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Speaker 1: It's like fourth and two and they go to Jared Cook,

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Speaker 1: no go And by the way, Jared Cook, right before

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Speaker 1: the half had dropped the clear touchdown. Go look up

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Speaker 1: that video on on social media. It's pretty bad for both.

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Speaker 1: The ball is a little high, but it's in both

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Speaker 1: of Cook's hands. He starts to make his move and

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Speaker 1: the ball just kind of pops out. He's like, I

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Speaker 1: don't I don't know why he's allergic Stanley Brandon's daley

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Speaker 1: to field goals. Fourth and two with the Chiefs kick

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Speaker 1: the damn field goal, right kick? What's wrong with the

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Speaker 1: field goal? What I mean, like, I know, you want

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Speaker 1: to be the smartest guy and the coolest guy, and

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Speaker 1: the numbers they do this. I'm not gonna be bash analytics, dude,

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Speaker 1: but there's nothing wrong with taking three points on occasion.

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Speaker 1: So anyways, they get the ball back, fumble Chiefs and

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Speaker 1: my Homes through the interception, and from there it gets

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Speaker 1: absolutely bonkers. Um and of course it ends with Herbert.

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Speaker 1: Uh you know they get the ball back after the

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Speaker 1: Mahomes touchdown, and there's a there's a tiny window, right

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Speaker 1: they got a buck sixteen with two time outs. And

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Speaker 1: I don't know if this was on Herbert or the

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Speaker 1: offensive play calling, but and Rob again, I'm watching it

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Speaker 1: in the car. We did this family thing, and I'm

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Speaker 1: watching The technology is incredible. I'm watching the drive and

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Speaker 1: on every play, Herbert's trying to throw the ball Rob,

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Speaker 1: like twenty five yards down the field. He's trying to

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Speaker 1: split two defenders in the sideline to Cook. I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's a great pass. It's like bro three yards in

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Speaker 1: a cloud or dust, there's a middle ground between runs

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Speaker 1: and then chuck it for everything. I mean, it was

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Speaker 1: third and fifteen and he airs out like a fifty

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Speaker 1: yard bomb to Keenan Allen could have been p I

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Speaker 1: I'm all for trying that, but why not trying to

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Speaker 1: like move the ball down the field and getting field

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Speaker 1: goal range. Rob. I was a little disheartened, and almost

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Speaker 1: everything Brandon's Daley did on Thursday night. I was live

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Speaker 1: tweeting during the game. You know, I don't understand when,

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Speaker 1: whenever this happened, that taking three points was like something

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Speaker 1: to be embarrassed about, Like taking points on the board

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Speaker 1: is something that should be frowned upon. Now I know

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Speaker 1: that the analytics car I don't mean to come down

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Speaker 1: to analytics people, because I know there's time in a

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Speaker 1: place where everything and it does have his place in sports. However,

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Speaker 1: like you said, sports are not strictly a numbers game.

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Speaker 1: There is a human element to these things. There's something

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Speaker 1: to be said about the fact that, like you mentioned

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Speaker 1: number one, you're you're running the ball down their throat.

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Speaker 1: That's number one. Number two. Up until last night, the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs offense had not scored more than twenty points on

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Speaker 1: anybody outside the Raiders in two months. Okay, I don't

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Speaker 1: know what you were thinking. Like a part of me

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Speaker 1: thinks that it wasn't just him being aggressive. Maybe he

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Speaker 1: was scared. Maybe he had this idea that the twenty

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Speaker 1: nineteen Chiefs were gonna come flying out, you know, in

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Speaker 1: this game, and that's gonna happen. Because everything that they

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Speaker 1: did was no risk, a no biscuit and It's kind

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Speaker 1: of funny when you go back to the Anthony Lynn

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Speaker 1: Chargers and they were a team that was very conservative,

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Speaker 1: play really ugly games, and they barely loose. This team,

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Speaker 1: and we've seen it already a couple of times this year,

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Speaker 1: opposite end of it. They're super aggressive, always going for it,

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Speaker 1: and they still barely lose. It's like, why can't you

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Speaker 1: just accept the fact alright, acknowledge the fact that your

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Speaker 1: team is loaded, you have a stud quarterback, You're able

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Speaker 1: to run the ball fairly well even without, you know,

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Speaker 1: Alton Neck with a little bank up. Bigas don't really

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Speaker 1: pretty well except that do enough to get the win.

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Speaker 1: Who cares what it looks like and move on. Fox

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Speaker 1: Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation.

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Speaker 1: Catch all of our shows at Fox sports Radio dot

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Speaker 1: com and within the I Heart Radio app. Search f

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Speaker 1: s R to listen live. The division was really on

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Speaker 1: the line there, and I think, again he's a first

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Speaker 1: year head coach, but the overly aggressive stuff, I mean,

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Speaker 1: they went for it on fourth down five times. This

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Speaker 1: is a crazy stet. The last forty nine teams to

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Speaker 1: produce at least three turnovers on downs. I'm it's failure

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Speaker 1: on fourth quarter, have now lost like at some point

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Speaker 1: kicked the damn field goal again. I'm not gonna be

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Speaker 1: that guy because I know it's gonna get a lot

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Speaker 1: of pick up if you just go out and shout

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Speaker 1: analytics people are idiots that those are the people that

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Speaker 1: you know cut through because they're saying asinine stuff, and

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go there. That's dumb. There is a

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Speaker 1: middle ground. I know middle is not sexy, but middle

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Speaker 1: is accurate and smart. And if Staley kicks a couple

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Speaker 1: of field goals there, I think. I'm sorry, guys, I

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Speaker 1: think the Chargers come out on top. He he blew

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Speaker 1: this game for them. Now he's a first year head coach.

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Speaker 1: Herbert kept him in it. The defense, obviously, UH is

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Speaker 1: still not up to snuff, and the secondary needs major work.

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Speaker 1: But again, this is a Chargers team. I think there's

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Speaker 1: still a little ahead of schedule and all is not

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Speaker 1: lost for the Chargers. They do have the Texans next week.

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Speaker 1: Then they have two divisional games against the Broncos and

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Speaker 1: Rob G's Raiders. So I'm sorry, I'm gonna go ahead

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Speaker 1: and give them the win next week to put them

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Speaker 1: in nine and six and I think in the a

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Speaker 1: f C there probably gonna need one more win over

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Speaker 1: Broncos are Raiders and that should get them in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Um again, things could get chaotic this weekend. Uh, something

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Speaker 1: wild might happen. I don't know, um what could could

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Speaker 1: the could the Broncos lose? Is there a chance of

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Speaker 1: Broncos lose to the Bengals? That feels like a playoff

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Speaker 1: elimination game. We'll get to the best bet later in

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Speaker 1: the in the pod. But uh, the cults are charging hard.

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Speaker 1: What happens Colts Patriots? What's gonna happen with that one?

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Speaker 1: Like if the Colts lose, I'm a good luck getting in.

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Speaker 1: Bills are not losing to Carolina, but that game is

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Speaker 1: at the very end of best bet. Uh, Cleveland Browns

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Speaker 1: need some help the COVID COVID Cleveland Browns. Um. So

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Speaker 1: the FC is still wide open. But oh man, I

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Speaker 1: just feel bad for the Chargers, don't you, Rob. I

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Speaker 1: know you're a Raiders fancy, but they've come just so

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Speaker 1: damn close, and to see them screwed up, Like like

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Speaker 1: you said, Anthony Lynn, last year was the ultra conservative.

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Speaker 1: It was punting is for pathetic afraid coaches, and now

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Speaker 1: like the polar opposite is true. We're going on everything.

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Speaker 1: We're just gonna go and again, like it's like in life, right, Um,

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Speaker 1: I want to have I love steak man. We by

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Speaker 1: the way, we went to a restaurant Thursday night and

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Speaker 1: my son now loves steak. And of course you know

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Speaker 1: he's like me, uh, small on the smaller side, uh

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Speaker 1: as a young kid. And so we got a meeting steak.

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Speaker 1: He loves it. So everywhere we go he's like, I'll

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Speaker 1: take the filet, and you know, I'm trying to point

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Speaker 1: out to him, dude, Um, you're getting the most expensive

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Speaker 1: thing on the menu. You know you realize that. And

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Speaker 1: you've also got to eat a balanced diet. You gotta

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Speaker 1: eat the vegetables. You can't just seat the filet and

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Speaker 1: leave the green beans there. You can't not touch the asparagus. Balance.

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Speaker 1: And I feel like that's what the Chargers need right now.

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Speaker 1: They need to balance out this super aggressive We've got

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Speaker 1: to go on everything versus hey man, it's okay to

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Speaker 1: take the field goal now. I I'm sure And I

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Speaker 1: don't know if Brandon Daley will at this. In the

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Speaker 1: earlier meeting with the Chiefs. If you guys remember tied

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Speaker 1: at twenty four late in the game, and what does

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Speaker 1: he do on I think it was let me let

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Speaker 1: me check. I think it was fourth and nine, UM,

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Speaker 1: with like thirty seconds left, and he's like, I I

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Speaker 1: ain't kicking a field goal, I'm going for it. And

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Speaker 1: I wonder, again, that was early in the season. Let's see. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it was fourth and nine at the thirty five and

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Speaker 1: the past was incomplete, but there was DP. I now,

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Speaker 1: I wonder if Staley remembers that the d P I

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Speaker 1: uh looks like it was on Baker. I don't I'm

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Speaker 1: trying to think Rob. I don't know if you know

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Speaker 1: who it wasn't Sneed who was out there with um

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Speaker 1: Keenan Allen on that third down bomb? Was it? I

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Speaker 1: don't think so. I don't even think Sneed play. Uh.

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Speaker 1: So I wonder if Stale is you know what, we

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Speaker 1: were regressive in that game. It paid off by the

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Speaker 1: way they went for it twice on fourth the fourth

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Speaker 1: and four and instead of kicking after a false start,

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Speaker 1: they still went for it. And I wonder if that

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Speaker 1: kind of emboldened him early in the year. Hey, it's

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Speaker 1: going to be in our DNA. Now we've seen this

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Speaker 1: with the Baltimore Ravens. They've got what is it the

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Speaker 1: it is the Johns Hopkins PhD guy on the sideline

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Speaker 1: or the Yale guy, whatever it is, who's telling him, hey,

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Speaker 1: this is what the book says. And they went from

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Speaker 1: on fourth down. His excuse was, I didn't trust our

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Speaker 1: secondary given the injuries. Fine, whatever, didn't work out. But

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna grave dance on analytics because I like

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Speaker 1: to be aggressive. I just think this one cost daley

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Speaker 1: and hopefully it doesn't cost them a playoffs bot Rob. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: And you know, real quick as I know're gonna get

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Speaker 1: to the best bet two things, I'm might have to

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Speaker 1: analytics either and and it what makes it so frustrating

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Speaker 1: is they're ultra aggressive. Don't kick the field goals, don't

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Speaker 1: pay off whatever, like that's already in the past. Late

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Speaker 1: in the game, they score the touchdown to go up

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Speaker 1: by seven. If you're really into analytics like that, it

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Speaker 1: says you go for two to make it a nine

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Speaker 1: point game because kicking the field goal leaves it at

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Speaker 1: one possession, you know what I mean. So that's so,

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Speaker 1: so they follow it all game and then you get

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Speaker 1: to a point where actually, legitimately one percent makes sense,

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Speaker 1: and then you don't do it. And and this is

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Speaker 1: my whole argument, I guess it is. It reminds me

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Speaker 1: so much of those Dan Tony Houston Rockets teams where

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Speaker 1: they over was it miss straight. I understand that the

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Speaker 1: math says three is better than two. I understand that

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Speaker 1: the math says you have a better chance of getting

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Speaker 1: a first down with Justin Herbert and fourth and two

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Speaker 1: than just kicking the field goal. I totally get that. However,

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Speaker 1: when you're in a situation where you're jumper is not

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Speaker 1: falling in basketball, or you're going against the team that

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Speaker 1: you've been pretty much pounding the entire night, just take

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Speaker 1: just get the easy bucket, get the way jumper is okay,

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Speaker 1: exact act a basket. Do something to get you snapped

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Speaker 1: out of the funk. Anybody knows if you've played basketball

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Speaker 1: and you've missed seven threes in a row, yeah you're

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Speaker 1: gonna keep shooting, but it's maybe a decent idea to

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Speaker 1: take one different shot just to get a change, get

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Speaker 1: something going through the hoop. Sometimes, if I missed a

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Speaker 1: bunch in a row, you know we lose and pick

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Speaker 1: up and I have to sit out. I will just

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Speaker 1: go while the other games going on, I'll just go

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Speaker 1: over to the hoop and just start putting it through

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Speaker 1: the basket, like just small bank shots right in there.

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Speaker 1: Let me just see what it looks like going through

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Speaker 1: the hoop. I don't want to say it's that psychological

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. I haven't played in the NFL, um

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Speaker 1: but I something about that game just eat me up,

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Speaker 1: Like why aren't we kicking here? And I say we

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Speaker 1: because listen, I'm in l A now. I kind of

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Speaker 1: root for the Chargers in the ramps. All right, so

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Speaker 1: it's a tough one for the Chargers. Chiefs, for my money,

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Speaker 1: are the best team in the a f C, and

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Speaker 1: I think they'll take the number one seed when the

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Speaker 1: Colts beat the Patriots on Saturday. All right, let's get

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Speaker 1: to the best bet here. NFL Week fifteen. Fox Sports

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Speaker 1: Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation.

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Speaker 1: Catch all of our shows at Fox sports Radio dot

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00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:51,320
Speaker 1: com and within the I Heart Radio app search f

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Speaker 1: s R to listen live. The only thing better than

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Speaker 1: sitting on your couch watching the game. Please make money

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Speaker 1: while you do it. Here's your best bet all right,

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Speaker 1: it's time for the best bet here on straight fire

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Speaker 1: and unequivocally, this is the hardest week to get down

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Speaker 1: on the NFL that the reasons are obvious. COVID is

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Speaker 1: wrecking the league. It feels like every hour or two

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Speaker 1: you're getting new reports on who's added to the list.

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Speaker 1: This is awful. Some of the lines have moved. I

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Speaker 1: think I'm guessing that we've never seen anything like this

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Speaker 1: Cleveland Vegas line movement. So Cleveland, remember, was at large

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Speaker 1: as a seven point favorite on what Sunday after the

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Speaker 1: games Sunday night, Vegas this morning, is now favored by

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Speaker 1: three and a half. That's a ten and a half

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Speaker 1: point swing because I think like nine starters on Cleveland

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Speaker 1: are out due to COVID, and for all I know,

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Speaker 1: they might try to push the game back, but the

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Speaker 1: problem is where are you going to push it to

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Speaker 1: Because the Browns playing next Saturday on Christmas Day against

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Speaker 1: the Packers, and you cannot have that game messed with

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Speaker 1: national TV audience some day, you know, they want to

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Speaker 1: encroach on the NBA's turf. NBA historically has been a

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Speaker 1: big Christmas Day that's like the official, unofficial start of

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Speaker 1: the season. And you've got a big marquee game with

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Speaker 1: the Browns and um Baker Mayfield and playoff push against

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, who's probably the m v P. You can't

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Speaker 1: have that game messed up. So I don't think they're

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Speaker 1: I think they're gonna make the Browns play. I did

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Speaker 1: read somewhere where you need a minimum of forty three

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Speaker 1: players to play, which is criminally low. I don't know

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Speaker 1: how you're doing offense, defense, and special teams. Guys get

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Speaker 1: hurt during the game. And obviously the big news Thursday

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Speaker 1: was case Keenum, who was gonna start for Baker because

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Speaker 1: Baker's on the COVID list. Case Keenum now as on

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Speaker 1: the COVID list. And Nick Mullins, the practice squad guy

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Speaker 1: who is legendary for being in San Francisco and starting

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Speaker 1: and looking good for Shanahan. He's now gonna get to

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Speaker 1: start and listen, Obviously, Nick Bollins is not a bad quarterback. UM.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how she's been in the system. But

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Speaker 1: this is a guy who last through an NFL pass

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Speaker 1: last season. He has not attempted one this season. UM,

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Speaker 1: he played, Oh, he started a bunch of games last

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Speaker 1: year for UH for the Niners and it did not

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Speaker 1: really go particularly well. Um, he had a good run,

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Speaker 1: but that was it. They drafted Trey uh, Trey Lance

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Speaker 1: and they have the trade Lance Jimmy g Show. So

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Speaker 1: Mullins then gets scooped up by the Browns and you

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Speaker 1: know he's gonna make his debut at home against the

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Speaker 1: Raiders in the what's gonna be called the Covid Gate. Uh,

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Speaker 1: it is really crazy. I obviously can't give out picks

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Speaker 1: for games like that. Um, so here's what I'll do.

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Speaker 1: As you guys know, and I talked about this every

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Speaker 1: day on the pod. So if you just tune in

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Speaker 1: Friday looking for the picks so you can make some money,

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Speaker 1: you know you missed out. These are the games that

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Speaker 1: I bet earlier, uh in the week. So the first

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Speaker 1: one I bet was Kansas City by three. Um well

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Speaker 1: that was Sunday night, Kansas City by three. Okay, that

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Speaker 1: game is done. Eagles four and a half, Bengals plus one.

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Speaker 1: That's moved to now Bengals plus three. So I thought

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Speaker 1: I was getting in a good number early and it

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Speaker 1: hasn't quite gone my way. We got to check the

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Speaker 1: injury report Friday. It's not looking good for the Bengals,

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Speaker 1: but I also have a piece of the over. Uh

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Speaker 1: in that game. Um, not as strong of a position.

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Speaker 1: I really thought the Bengals were the side. I think

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Speaker 1: it's not as good now. Five days later, Um, Atlanta

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Speaker 1: Falcons plus eight and a half. I got a good

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Speaker 1: number from Fox. So I have like a research guy

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Speaker 1: who at Fox we can hit up with any questions

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Speaker 1: and he'll just like dig around and see what he

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Speaker 1: can find. So I asked him about teams coming off

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Speaker 1: overtime games, because there are four and you know, the Bills, Bucks,

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Speaker 1: and then the Niners, Bengals, and this is kind of

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Speaker 1: sort of interesting. So home teams following an overtime loss

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Speaker 1: fifteen twenty eight and three against the spread. So you

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Speaker 1: go home after a hard fought loss that was in overtime.

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Speaker 1: Remember the fifth quarter essentially two thousand, two thousand and seventeen.

401
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:21,639
Speaker 1: Overtime used to be longer. So you can make it

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Speaker 1: that what you will. Fifty and three not great, doesn't

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Speaker 1: apply to the Bengals, does apply to the Buffalo Bills? Okay? Um,

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Speaker 1: oh no, I'm sorry it doesn't, because that's that would

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Speaker 1: be home favorite. Sorry, home favorites. The Buffalo Bills following

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Speaker 1: an overtime game thirty five forty nine and three. Not good,

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Speaker 1: not good at all. Now, Uh, San Francisco forty niners

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Speaker 1: are also favored against Atlanta. So I was able to

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Speaker 1: get that. I said, you know what, interesting, let me

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Speaker 1: just take a gander. Let me just take a flyer

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Speaker 1: in Atlanta. Right. Uh, familiarity Shanahan used to be in

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Speaker 1: Atlanta is a little overvalued if you look at their team.

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Speaker 1: My gosh, are so beat up both sides of the ball.

414
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Speaker 1: Atlanta shockingly still in the playoff hunt. And this is

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Speaker 1: one of those games where you could easily easily see

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Speaker 1: San Francisco saying, man, we just got a huge win

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Speaker 1: over Cincinnati. Um, looking good for the playoffs. Um, we've

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Speaker 1: got we've got a tough schedule the rest of the way.

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Speaker 1: We gotta face the Titans, Uh Texans rams, Um, let's

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Speaker 1: just get out of it. Let's just beat this bad

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Speaker 1: Atlanta team, and let's just get You know, it's tough

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Speaker 1: to get up for Atlantic because they stink. There's just

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Speaker 1: not a good team to watch. So I took Atlanta

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00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 1: plus eight and a half. I gotta be honest, I

425
00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:35,359
Speaker 1: don't love that I you know, I have futures on

426
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:38,200
Speaker 1: the Niners, so I'm really into San friend this season,

427
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,040
Speaker 1: are rooting for them. I got Steelers plus one and

428
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:42,360
Speaker 1: a half. That's looking like a good number. I don't

429
00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 1: need to read off all the awesome UH Pittsburgh Steelers stats,

430
00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:51,920
Speaker 1: but Mike Tomlin as an underdog at home twelve three

431
00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:54,639
Speaker 1: and two against the spread. He's really good. UM and

432
00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 1: a crazy stat the Pittsburgh Steelers with extra rest. You know,

433
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:02,959
Speaker 1: they played Thursday last five years, fourteen and one straight up.

434
00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:05,240
Speaker 1: They're underdogs here. So I like the Steelers. They're gonna

435
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:07,680
Speaker 1: be in my content one of my contest places for sure. Obviously,

436
00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:11,160
Speaker 1: all of this is unless crazy Madness comes out Saturday

437
00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:13,919
Speaker 1: morning with COVID. UH Steelers will definitely be in the

438
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:18,000
Speaker 1: contest for me. Eagles line has ballooned out on on

439
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:21,000
Speaker 1: that game. UM, teasers are the way to go this week.

440
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,879
Speaker 1: I was able to tease Miami down to one and

441
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:26,639
Speaker 1: a half, Dallas to three, San fr into one and

442
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,919
Speaker 1: a half, Tampa to three. Four teen teaser Right now,

443
00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:32,000
Speaker 1: that's not popular at that's too many teams. Come on,

444
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:33,680
Speaker 1: you got to have so much, so many things go right.

445
00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:35,719
Speaker 1: I'm just telling you, guys, if you've been following teasers

446
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:38,159
Speaker 1: this year have been tremendous. Uh. The other bets, I

447
00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:40,359
Speaker 1: made a couple of bowl games. Oh the one bowl

448
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:44,280
Speaker 1: game I have this weekend. Uh. Ohto tu bowl games,

449
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:46,880
Speaker 1: I have Marshal plus four and a half. I don't

450
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:50,399
Speaker 1: know why about that. B y U minus seven could

451
00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:52,760
Speaker 1: not really articulate why I have that as well either,

452
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:56,000
Speaker 1: But there are algorithms, you guys know. I got a

453
00:23:56,040 --> 00:23:59,800
Speaker 1: couple of buddies who made a machine, um propped up everything.

454
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:02,600
Speaker 1: They call it the machine, and UM, they're spending out

455
00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:04,720
Speaker 1: college basketball picks all the time. I don't give those

456
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:07,679
Speaker 1: out because it's still early in the season. Um. But

457
00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:11,200
Speaker 1: back to the NFL the uh, I got the Jags

458
00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:14,800
Speaker 1: at minus three and also minus three and a half.

459
00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 1: Nobody's gonna like that play. That's fine, I don't really care. Um,

460
00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:20,480
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Jags. They will win this game. You're

461
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:22,959
Speaker 1: gonna take that to the bank. Um. So those are

462
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:26,159
Speaker 1: the ones I'm really committed to right now, I'm just

463
00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:27,720
Speaker 1: looking at the board. I don't know what else is

464
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:30,280
Speaker 1: gonna come out on COVID. Like, listen, I loved Miami

465
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,200
Speaker 1: and this jail and waddle. Javan Holland, like Javon Holland

466
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,399
Speaker 1: has been maybe this second or third best player on

467
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:37,320
Speaker 1: that defense, the young kid out of Oregon, and now

468
00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:39,040
Speaker 1: he's on the COVID list. Jail and waddle is the

469
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:42,080
Speaker 1: security blanket for two. Like, Jets are not good, I

470
00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:44,760
Speaker 1: get it, but there's a scenario where two or throws

471
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:46,280
Speaker 1: a pick six or something, and all of a sudden,

472
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 1: it's like, oh, the Jets are frisky and Jets pulled

473
00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 1: this out. Um, Dallas Giants. I really like Dallas to

474
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:58,120
Speaker 1: win in all my teasers for sure under three Um.

475
00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:00,240
Speaker 1: And what the last one I'll talk about is the

476
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:05,520
Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers Baltimore game. I think I mentioned on

477
00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:10,359
Speaker 1: yesterday's pod. But Baltimore signing Josh Jackson Josh Johnson, sorry,

478
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:14,080
Speaker 1: Josh Johnson off the Jets practice squad to be their

479
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:17,160
Speaker 1: emergency quarterback. It's kind of a tell. Usually if you're

480
00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:20,520
Speaker 1: fishing off other teams practice squads, you're doing that because

481
00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 1: you don't have certainty that your quarterbacks playing. And this

482
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,520
Speaker 1: happened to the Ravens a couple of weeks ago. Lamar

483
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 1: was ill. Lamar was ill? Is he gonna play? And

484
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:30,879
Speaker 1: then like the morning of it's like, all right, we're

485
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:34,320
Speaker 1: gonna go with Huntley in Chicago. Huntley pulls it out.

486
00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:37,159
Speaker 1: In the end, they get the win. Huntley by the

487
00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:39,160
Speaker 1: way to and O against the spread, filling in last

488
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,320
Speaker 1: week against the Brown's got the cover, and then the

489
00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:45,880
Speaker 1: lucky win against the Bears. But I can totally see

490
00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:47,639
Speaker 1: them saying, you know, we've got a revenge game against

491
00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:51,679
Speaker 1: the Bengals next week with real divisional implications, and if

492
00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:55,399
Speaker 1: Lamar gets hurt like our season's toast, why don't we

493
00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:57,320
Speaker 1: let his ankle heel and then we'll have him at

494
00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:00,000
Speaker 1: full strength of the Bengals next week in a game

495
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 1: aim that we're gonna badly need, probably to get to

496
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:07,080
Speaker 1: the playoffs. Now, obviously this game is Sunday, um Packers Ravens,

497
00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:09,200
Speaker 1: And I know people are gonna say NFL teams don't

498
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,760
Speaker 1: think like that. If the Bengals go out and lose

499
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:15,320
Speaker 1: Saturday against Denver, I think that changes the calculates. Hey,

500
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:19,000
Speaker 1: Lamar five, do we try him out there to face

501
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:21,600
Speaker 1: the Packers? Do do we do that at home? Or

502
00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:24,320
Speaker 1: do we save him for the rematch against the Bengals,

503
00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:28,680
Speaker 1: which is on the road in a game we're gonna need. Um,

504
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:31,119
Speaker 1: it's gonna be an interesting scenario. I will say. If

505
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:34,919
Speaker 1: you're looking for a double digit dog to nibblon the

506
00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:39,720
Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers. I don't like it, but every square I

507
00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:44,120
Speaker 1: know on Planet Earth loves Buffalo. I'm looking at Carolina.

508
00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:47,000
Speaker 1: I'm hoping it keeps going higher. I don't like Carolina

509
00:26:47,040 --> 00:26:49,960
Speaker 1: at all. Cam Newton, p J. Walker, give you a break. Uh.

510
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:52,000
Speaker 1: You can see Buffalo just smashing them like they do

511
00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:54,320
Speaker 1: to bad teams. But Caroline is the team i'd look at.

512
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:57,120
Speaker 1: I didn't say bet yet, I said look at leading

513
00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:58,840
Speaker 1: up to the game. All right, guys, it's been another

514
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,720
Speaker 1: great week here on the Pod. We'll be back next week.

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00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:02,720
Speaker 1: Talk Jail Monday,