1 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:08,000 Speaker 1: Hello, everybody, Welcome into the cycle, part two of the week. 2 00:00:08,039 --> 00:00:10,400 Speaker 1: I am Ryan, warmly joined as always by Mike Mayer. 3 00:00:10,400 --> 00:00:12,360 Speaker 1: If you missed Rounding the Bases, our first part of 4 00:00:12,400 --> 00:00:14,360 Speaker 1: the cycle each and every week, go ahead and check 5 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: that out on YouTube or audio or wherever you get 6 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:19,239 Speaker 1: your podcasts. We talked about a bunch of stuff, including 7 00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:22,160 Speaker 1: Pete Rose, We talked about Hosel Tuve, We talked about 8 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:24,480 Speaker 1: some guys were taking the l on, and also went 9 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 1: through our usual news and notes and injuries. So be 10 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 1: sure to go watch and or listen to that episode. 11 00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:33,559 Speaker 1: We're diving in now to our buys and cells. We'll 12 00:00:33,560 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: start with Bilos as we always do. Your favorite Bilo 13 00:00:37,640 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 1: is my two start pitcher that we're hoping does well 14 00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:43,600 Speaker 1: the rest of the week for my part of the competition. 15 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:46,559 Speaker 1: So for anybody who listened last week, then who that is? 16 00:00:46,920 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 1: But mayor for those who didn't listen last week, who 17 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 1: you got. 18 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 2: I'm going with Shane Boss and I wrote him up 19 00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 2: this week in the article if I can pull it 20 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 2: up wherever it is. But I just feel like he 21 00:00:57,040 --> 00:00:58,920 Speaker 2: has looked a lot better than what his numbers are 22 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 2: and this might be the perfect time to buy low 23 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:05,160 Speaker 2: on Shane bas Over his last three starts, he's seen 24 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 2: as ERA jump from two four six to five oh 25 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:10,680 Speaker 2: two thanks to allowing sixteen earned runs in twelve and 26 00:01:10,680 --> 00:01:13,840 Speaker 2: a half innings pitch. And while the recent results have 27 00:01:13,880 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 2: been really bad, I'm still a believer in Shaine Bas. 28 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 2: And when you kind of look under the hood, I 29 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 2: think there's a lot of encouraging underlying data. His fip X, 30 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:26,679 Speaker 2: fipsierra X c RA, they all paint a prettier picture. 31 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 2: They're all around like three three to four to three, 32 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:31,840 Speaker 2: most of them on that three like low threes range. 33 00:01:32,959 --> 00:01:35,119 Speaker 2: And then another thing I like to look at is 34 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:40,320 Speaker 2: expected batting average, expected slugging and really expected uh wOBA. 35 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:43,440 Speaker 2: They're all significantly better than his in his actual numbers there. 36 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 2: And so since he I think he's a really good 37 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 2: pitcher who's had a rough, you know, kind of a 38 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 2: rough streak to the point where his number, his numbers 39 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:53,560 Speaker 2: have you know, ballooned to an ugly spot. And I 40 00:01:53,600 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 2: think you can buy low on a pitcher who I 41 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:57,840 Speaker 2: think is still really good. 42 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 1: I clearly am willing to buy low on Boz because 43 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:05,880 Speaker 1: I picked him for my two Star Pitcher competition this week. 44 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 1: So I'm with you on him being you know, a 45 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:13,679 Speaker 1: better picture than he's shown and he so the guy 46 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:16,079 Speaker 1: I have weis I'll get to in a second. Is 47 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 1: it is I in my mind a buy low but 48 00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:20,360 Speaker 1: it's not a bye cheap. I think Boz is somebody 49 00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:24,080 Speaker 1: that you can maybe buy cheap depending on who their 50 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: manager is that currently has him on their roster. And 51 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 1: I would be very this is when I would be 52 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 1: very willing to buy low on and try to get 53 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:36,040 Speaker 1: onto my roster. So I'm with you. Where do you 54 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 1: have Boz rest of season? 55 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 2: Let's see where do I have Boz rest of season? 56 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:42,520 Speaker 2: Probably ahead of Jeffrey Springs. 57 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:44,920 Speaker 1: I think definitely should be ahead of it. 58 00:02:44,960 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 2: I have him forty six. Okay, it feels jack Jack Flowherty, 59 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 2: Sonny Gray, Max Meyer. 60 00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:00,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, it feels maybe like a touch hi, but it's 61 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:03,240 Speaker 1: definitely in the right range. I think. 62 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm bullish on him, so I think he'll be good. 63 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 2: Do you want to hear some of my potential trade 64 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:16,040 Speaker 2: targets people I'd I would never ask, so I'll just 65 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:17,800 Speaker 2: send it to you like we always do. Would you 66 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:26,960 Speaker 2: flip Ben Rice for Shane Boss? Yes, Brendan Donovan, Yes, 67 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 2: Isak parades. 68 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 1: A couple of home runs lately, so hard to get 69 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:36,720 Speaker 1: third basement. 70 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 2: I think. 71 00:03:41,240 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 1: That would be like that would be really dependent on 72 00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 1: my need if I need a picture versus you know, 73 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 1: a power hitting third basement. That that would be too 74 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: that would be too roster dependent for me to answer. 75 00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 2: Michael Bush, I think you'd rather have Boz Tyler ro'neil 76 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 2: your boy. 77 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 1: I want nothing to do with Tyler any That dude 78 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 1: hasn't had a good game since Opening Day. 79 00:04:05,040 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 2: I think you. I think you said he might be 80 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 2: the best hitter in baseball on opening Day. 81 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 1: Well he is on opening days, right? 82 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:14,720 Speaker 2: Yeah? What about your other boy, Jackson Holiday. 83 00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:18,680 Speaker 1: I'm buying in on Holiday kind of taking a step forward, 84 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:20,600 Speaker 1: and especially if they get rid of Hide and they 85 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 1: get a manager who will play him every day no 86 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 1: matter what, I would rather have Holiday. I think he's 87 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:26,160 Speaker 1: I don't think he's like an elite, elite guy, but 88 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:27,159 Speaker 1: I think he's taking a step. 89 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:29,120 Speaker 2: I can't wait till we do a show after they 90 00:04:29,120 --> 00:04:31,279 Speaker 2: fire him. We'll just have to dedicate rounding the bases 91 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 2: entirely to that. 92 00:04:32,520 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 1: I promise you, I don't care what time we're recording. 93 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:36,840 Speaker 1: I will break out the tequila for that. 94 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 2: Episode, Lord Escuriel Boz and then last one Andy Pa 95 00:04:43,640 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 2: has Andy Pages. 96 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 1: I'm I like Boss more than I realized because I'm 97 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 1: answering him from almost all these I'll go, Boss. 98 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 2: I did. I kind of did a bunch of like 99 00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 2: Cell Highs, kind of like yeah, flip like like Pa 100 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 2: has Bush, Brendan Donovan, Ben Rice. I think you're also lies. 101 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 2: It's good to years. It's all I got. 102 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:11,000 Speaker 1: Kaul Reagan's who, like I said, I do think is 103 00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 1: a by low. Even if he's not a bye cheap, 104 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:14,919 Speaker 1: he's obviously still a very good pitcher that people know 105 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:16,680 Speaker 1: is good, and I'm not going to give him away 106 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:18,719 Speaker 1: for nothing. I think he is better than his numbers 107 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 1: have been this year. Particularly, the era and whip are 108 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 1: pretty elevated. It's a four to twenty era and his 109 00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 1: whip is one twenty three. The ra in particular, his 110 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:31,040 Speaker 1: expected era is two thirty one. That's almost two runs 111 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:33,800 Speaker 1: better than what we've gotten. The strikeouts have been there, right, 112 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:37,400 Speaker 1: those haven't gone anywhere. Sixty five in forty and two 113 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 1: thirds innings. The strikeout rate, I think it's yeah, it's 114 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:43,799 Speaker 1: ninety eight percentile on stat caast thirty eight percent. It's awesome. 115 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 1: The withfth rates really high, Like that's all great. His 116 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:48,800 Speaker 1: expected ERA is a full run lower than it was 117 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 1: a year ago, and yet his actual ERA is a 118 00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: full run higher than it was a year ago. That's 119 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 1: going to come down. There's been some bad luck kind 120 00:05:57,160 --> 00:06:00,719 Speaker 1: of mixed in there in terms of you know, it's 121 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 1: not a crazy number. The left on base rate has 122 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:05,039 Speaker 1: been a little down compared to last year. It's not 123 00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 1: like it's drastically changed, but it is a bit down. 124 00:06:07,760 --> 00:06:09,480 Speaker 1: You know, a lot of it is I really just 125 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:13,159 Speaker 1: think like bum block, Like his FIP is seventy seven 126 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 1: points lower than it was last year. Like, I think 127 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:19,599 Speaker 1: this is just bad sequencing of when he's been allowing 128 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 1: hits and home runs and I expect him to win 129 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: more games than he has so far. He's just won 130 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: two of his first eight starts. The walk rate is 131 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:31,920 Speaker 1: lower than it has ever been in his career. Like 132 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:34,599 Speaker 1: this to me, is it just still a really good pitcher. 133 00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:39,039 Speaker 1: This is a legitimate fantasy like Superstar Ace, who was 134 00:06:39,279 --> 00:06:43,840 Speaker 1: pitched merely like a very good sp two. So like, again, 135 00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 1: you're not getting him for cheap, clearly, But I think 136 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 1: you can buy lower than what I expect out of 137 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 1: him the rest of the season. Do you think that 138 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 1: that's crazy by me? Or I know sometimes I get 139 00:06:52,839 --> 00:06:55,240 Speaker 1: some hate on the comments for the people I pick here, 140 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:57,080 Speaker 1: even when I think I've made a pretty good case. 141 00:06:57,320 --> 00:06:58,919 Speaker 1: Do you think I've made the case for Reagans or 142 00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 1: is he too big? You name it again? Not saying cheap, 143 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:02,080 Speaker 1: just low. 144 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 2: I think if you can buy low, you should buy low, 145 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:07,880 Speaker 2: because I think everything you said is true. Also, three 146 00:07:07,920 --> 00:07:10,120 Speaker 2: seventy five babbit is not doing him any favors. That 147 00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 2: that ties right into that bad luck you were talking about. 148 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 2: I don't think you're like you said. I don't think 149 00:07:13,760 --> 00:07:16,760 Speaker 2: you're gonna get him very cheap, because I think any 150 00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 2: decent fantasy manager is going to look at those underlying numbers. 151 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:21,200 Speaker 2: They might not look as deep as you know, like 152 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 2: as we do, but like like you mentioned a couple 153 00:07:23,800 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 2: of these already, but you're a four two zero his 154 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:28,600 Speaker 2: fip X, fips here and x ERA are are all 155 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 2: like two two two two two five two three three 156 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:32,920 Speaker 2: two three run They're all two runs lower, all four 157 00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:36,720 Speaker 2: of them. And I think people are also going to 158 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 2: like those strikeouts when they look at the forty innings, 159 00:07:38,720 --> 00:07:42,000 Speaker 2: sixty five strikeouts, so you're not going to get them 160 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:43,960 Speaker 2: for cheap, like you said, But I think you can 161 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 2: potentially buy low depending especially if someone like you know, 162 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:50,160 Speaker 2: has a decent amount of pitching depth and could use 163 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 2: like some hitting. Maybe you know you would have to, 164 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 2: you know, pay up for a call Reagan's, but not 165 00:07:56,200 --> 00:07:58,920 Speaker 2: as much as you normally would. I'm gonna try and 166 00:07:59,000 --> 00:08:00,680 Speaker 2: scroll up our trade value chart to see if I 167 00:08:00,720 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 2: can not fit. 168 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 1: While you're doing that, I'll just kind of throw out 169 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 1: the idea of, like, do you think that the average 170 00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:09,320 Speaker 1: fantasy manager And I'm not saying the experts, I'm saying 171 00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:13,480 Speaker 1: the average fantasy manager values him as like a top 172 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:16,440 Speaker 1: five starting pitcher rest of season, because I have him 173 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:19,920 Speaker 1: fifth rest of season. I think Schooble, Skiings, Crochet, and 174 00:08:19,960 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 1: Wheeler are the only four pictures I would want ahead 175 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:25,000 Speaker 1: of him the rest of the way. Like Yamamoto has 176 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 1: been good, but like I kind of trust Reagan's a 177 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:28,960 Speaker 1: bit more in terms of like the elite strikeout numbers. 178 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 1: You never know what the Dodgers too, Like, there's no 179 00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:35,920 Speaker 1: picture I want more than Reagan's besides those kind of 180 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 1: elite four so I don't feel like most people are 181 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 1: valuing him as I feel like people are valuing him 182 00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:44,199 Speaker 1: as like maybe a top twelve guy rest of season, 183 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 1: not even maybe they probably a top twelve guy. But like, 184 00:08:46,280 --> 00:08:47,960 Speaker 1: the reason I'm including him is because I think that's 185 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:50,199 Speaker 1: even still too undervalued rest of season. 186 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 2: So you have him fifth. 187 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 1: Who's ahead of him Scooball, Skiings, Crochet, and Wheeler, which 188 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: is actually exactly what we have now. I don't know 189 00:08:58,160 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 1: about that order, but like, those are the four names, 190 00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:02,880 Speaker 1: and those are the four names in our consensus rest 191 00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:04,560 Speaker 1: of season rankings that are ahead of him too, But 192 00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:07,760 Speaker 1: I don't know that the I anticipated the average fantasy 193 00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:09,960 Speaker 1: manager is doing him a little bit lower than top five. 194 00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:13,439 Speaker 2: Okay, I have him at seven, but I have Yamamoto 195 00:09:13,600 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 2: and Strider. 196 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:18,200 Speaker 1: But I'm Yamamoto. I can go either way. Strider no 197 00:09:18,280 --> 00:09:20,280 Speaker 1: chance for me. I need to see him vacue healthy 198 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:22,960 Speaker 1: before I'm going to do that. But Yama Yamamoto, like 199 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:24,880 Speaker 1: I think you could, Yama Moto is undervalue too. He's 200 00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:27,199 Speaker 1: s P eleven and rest of season rankings. I think 201 00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:29,000 Speaker 1: you can make the case of Yamamoto for sure, but 202 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:31,280 Speaker 1: I'd prefer Reagans. 203 00:09:31,360 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 2: So let's see, let's find a trade match and see 204 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:38,600 Speaker 2: if you consider this, that's I wouldn't do that. I 205 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:41,480 Speaker 2: was gonna say, looking at the trade value charts, slightly 206 00:09:41,520 --> 00:09:43,600 Speaker 2: below value as Raphael Devers. But the third base is 207 00:09:43,640 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 2: so tough. You can't give up a third basement for 208 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 2: a picture right now. 209 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:49,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, unless you're like in some kind of keeper format 210 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:51,760 Speaker 1: where you happen to have two good third basemen and 211 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:55,080 Speaker 1: can afford to move on. But otherwise, yeah, what about 212 00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:57,319 Speaker 1: James Wood? But in a vacuum, I'd rather have Reagans? 213 00:09:58,040 --> 00:09:59,960 Speaker 2: What about James would curious case of James would? 214 00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 1: I do? Love me some James would? I would rather 215 00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 1: have Reagans though, and I love Wood Wyatt Langford. 216 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 2: Reagan's here's an interesting one. What about and I'll give 217 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 2: my thoughts after this. What about Akunya Ronald Kunya Junior? 218 00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:21,560 Speaker 1: Oh, Reagan's for sure, See, I unquestionably. 219 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:24,760 Speaker 2: It would be hard for me if if I drafted 220 00:10:24,960 --> 00:10:27,360 Speaker 2: Akunya and stashed him and I now I see the light, 221 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:28,840 Speaker 2: I see him coming back. I don't want to flip 222 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:29,199 Speaker 2: him now. 223 00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:33,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, But like he wasn't his like elite superstar self 224 00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 1: his first year back the last time he came off 225 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 1: of this injury. I wouldn't trade him for like an 226 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 1: SB two, But again I'm talking about like a top 227 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 1: five starting pitcher in fantasy. I would rather have Reagans 228 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:48,360 Speaker 1: like for sure than the question mark of Acunya. 229 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:50,760 Speaker 2: I was going to ask another one, but it's actually 230 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:52,520 Speaker 2: you're so high, so I don't want to say the 231 00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:54,320 Speaker 2: name and give away you're so high. And I also 232 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 2: assume if you're selling high on him and buying a 233 00:10:56,040 --> 00:10:57,800 Speaker 2: loon and called Reagans, you probably would. 234 00:10:57,640 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 1: Do that trade. Let's get into our cell highs now 235 00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:04,439 Speaker 1: and I'll just go first, Pete crow Armstrong. I would 236 00:11:04,480 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 1: one hundred percent sell him for Cole Riggans if I could. 237 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:09,360 Speaker 1: I think PCA is like a good player, Like obviously 238 00:11:09,400 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: we know he's a great defender. He's only twenty three, 239 00:11:11,760 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 1: so like you know, kind of taking a step forward 240 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 1: and breaking out is totally makes sense. I mean, last 241 00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:17,400 Speaker 1: year he had ten home runs twenty seven stolen bases. 242 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 1: This year he already has eleven home runs and thirteen 243 00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:23,679 Speaker 1: stolen bases. His batting average is about thirty points higher 244 00:11:23,679 --> 00:11:26,760 Speaker 1: than it was last year, so ops is almost eight fifty. 245 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:28,760 Speaker 1: Like just clearly taking a step forward, and I do 246 00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 1: think that's legitimate. I don't think the power surgey is legitimate. 247 00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:34,240 Speaker 1: I don't think he's going to be, you know, one 248 00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:36,439 Speaker 1: of the five best power hitters in baseball by the 249 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:39,679 Speaker 1: end of the season. You know, his expected slugging is 250 00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 1: five oh seven. It's not that much lower than his 251 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 1: slugging percentage. So like, you know, again, he's hitting the 252 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 1: ball well. His AVERAGECXI velosity's only ninety point four miles power. 253 00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:52,959 Speaker 1: He's chasing a ton first percentile chase straight forty two 254 00:11:53,520 --> 00:11:56,840 Speaker 1: point nine percent, and he's not walking at all four 255 00:11:56,880 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 1: point nine percent. He's just hitting the ball hard. I 256 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:02,440 Speaker 1: worry that's going to come back, come down to earth 257 00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:05,360 Speaker 1: a little, like the level to which he's impacting the ball, 258 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:07,440 Speaker 1: and then when the power numbers go away, you're gonna 259 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 1: get something that's better than he was last year. Like 260 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:12,920 Speaker 1: I think it's gonna get you thirty stolen bases that 261 00:12:13,280 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 1: maybe like two forty five, two fifty, maybe even higher 262 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:18,880 Speaker 1: than that if he continues a hot streak. But I 263 00:12:18,920 --> 00:12:20,280 Speaker 1: just don't think the horn like he's not going to 264 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:22,760 Speaker 1: hit thirty five home runs or whatever it is he's 265 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:26,200 Speaker 1: on pace for and I think I think enough people 266 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:27,840 Speaker 1: will look at him and say, you know, a former 267 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 1: first round pick, twenty three year old, he's breaking out. 268 00:12:30,920 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 1: This is a great guy. I want to, you know, 269 00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:34,440 Speaker 1: be invested in the rest of the way. Cubs are 270 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 1: a fun team. I think he can sell high on him. 271 00:12:37,320 --> 00:12:39,520 Speaker 2: The one the one good thing is the stolen bases though, 272 00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:41,240 Speaker 2: so that even when he slows down at the plate, 273 00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 2: he's see thirteen stone bases, which is nice. 274 00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:45,360 Speaker 1: He's a good play like I have built in Again, 275 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:47,040 Speaker 1: this is not a give away, give him away for 276 00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:50,640 Speaker 1: free type, unlike my Cell High last week. This is 277 00:12:50,679 --> 00:12:52,480 Speaker 1: not a give him away for free type of a 278 00:12:52,520 --> 00:12:54,439 Speaker 1: Cell High. But I do think you can sell high 279 00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:56,560 Speaker 1: because I think people would will look at that and say, wow, 280 00:12:56,559 --> 00:13:00,200 Speaker 1: he's double digit home runs and steals already halfway through May, 281 00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:02,560 Speaker 1: and a better batting average, and we know he's gonna 282 00:13:02,559 --> 00:13:05,800 Speaker 1: play every day because of the fielding, Like, I can 283 00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:08,160 Speaker 1: get a decent amount for him, and I would, I 284 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:10,280 Speaker 1: mean a billion percent him for Cole Reagan's. I would 285 00:13:10,280 --> 00:13:11,120 Speaker 1: trade that in a heartbeat. 286 00:13:11,240 --> 00:13:12,840 Speaker 2: You think you could get cal Reagan's for him? 287 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:15,120 Speaker 1: Probably not right, No, I don't, But since you threw 288 00:13:15,160 --> 00:13:16,600 Speaker 1: it out there on the last one. That's why I 289 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:19,080 Speaker 1: mentioned it. I don't think you get right. I would 290 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:22,280 Speaker 1: pair some I would pair something with Pete crow Armstrong 291 00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:24,160 Speaker 1: to get Reagan, so I would add to it to 292 00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 1: get him. 293 00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:28,719 Speaker 2: Yeah that's fair, And yeah, I think you would have 294 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:30,520 Speaker 2: to find the right manager who has a ton of 295 00:13:30,520 --> 00:13:34,880 Speaker 2: pitching and really needs speed power like Pete K. Armstrong. 296 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 2: The other thing with him is he's hitting the ball 297 00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 2: in the air a ton, which is fun when he's 298 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:40,600 Speaker 2: hitting home runs. But as soon as he starts not 299 00:13:40,640 --> 00:13:42,560 Speaker 2: hitting as many home runs, those are outs and his 300 00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 2: average is just going to plummet. 301 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 1: Yeah. His ground ball rate last year was forty two 302 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:49,480 Speaker 1: and a half. This year it's only twenty nine and 303 00:13:49,520 --> 00:13:52,760 Speaker 1: a half. And obviously the balls in the air have 304 00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:55,240 Speaker 1: made up for that difference. 305 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 2: Almost fifty six percent flyball rate, which is kind of nuts. 306 00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:05,080 Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, So he's my cell high. Who's your cell high? 307 00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:06,959 Speaker 1: And by the way, you just stole this from me? 308 00:14:07,600 --> 00:14:09,120 Speaker 2: I did. I ran it right back. I knew I 309 00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:11,520 Speaker 2: was running it right back. I actually mentioned Pete Armstrong 310 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 2: two or three weeks ago. I was so high too, 311 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 2: by the way, So we're just kind of trading. Although 312 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 2: I think he was like a bonus sell high. But 313 00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:22,800 Speaker 2: you mentioned Javier Bias last week is a cell high. 314 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:24,400 Speaker 2: I kind of pushed back on a little bit, saying, 315 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:26,280 Speaker 2: I don't know what you can get for him, But 316 00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 2: then he had an even better week, and now I 317 00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:30,160 Speaker 2: think you probably could get something for him. He had 318 00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 2: two three run homers the other night, including a walk 319 00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:37,640 Speaker 2: off one in extra innings, and his numbers. I was 320 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 2: actually one of the reasons I had this idea of 321 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:43,440 Speaker 2: like running it back with him as a cell high 322 00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:44,840 Speaker 2: is because I'm in a group chat in one of 323 00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 2: my leagues with a Tigers fan who swears this is legit. 324 00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 2: He's like, he passes the eye and I just send 325 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 2: him a screenshot of his like dark blue stat cast 326 00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:55,720 Speaker 2: page and he was like, I don't care what the 327 00:14:55,840 --> 00:14:58,480 Speaker 2: nerds say, like he passes the eye test for me, 328 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 2: Like he's back, and I'm like, all right, Like I 329 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:03,200 Speaker 2: wish I had him to trade for you, but of 330 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:05,000 Speaker 2: course he had already picked him up because he's a believer. 331 00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 2: I just think it's all smoking mirrors. It's all going 332 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:10,640 Speaker 2: to come crashing down to earth. It's not sustainable. I 333 00:15:10,680 --> 00:15:12,680 Speaker 2: don't think he's just suddenly turned back into a good 334 00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:15,520 Speaker 2: hitter that we haven't seen in five or six years. 335 00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 2: I mean, like part of it looking at underlining numbers 336 00:15:20,040 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 2: with him is that even when he was really good, 337 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:23,720 Speaker 2: his underlining numbers weren't that great. So it's not really 338 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 2: like an Apple's apples comparison, because when he was good, 339 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:28,920 Speaker 2: he was like kind of outperforming those bad metrics. But 340 00:15:29,400 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 2: what we've seen over the last few years are those 341 00:15:31,160 --> 00:15:34,360 Speaker 2: bad metrics, you know, coming to fruition. And I don't 342 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:36,400 Speaker 2: think he's just going to be great for the entire year. 343 00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:39,560 Speaker 2: I think this is just a hot streak, and I 344 00:15:39,640 --> 00:15:42,280 Speaker 2: think if you can sell him for anything, I would 345 00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:43,160 Speaker 2: for sure. 346 00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, you want to just go, like replay what I 347 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 1: said last week. I mean that's exactly I feel the same. 348 00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 1: Nothing has changed, even though he had another hot week changed. 349 00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:55,720 Speaker 2: I think you can get more from him now. 350 00:15:56,640 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, maybe you're Tigers. If you're in a league with 351 00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 1: the Tigers, San who believes it's legit, then maybe by 352 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 1: the way, just quickly because possibly news coming out of this, 353 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:10,760 Speaker 1: there was a very bad collision between Byron Bucks and 354 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:13,400 Speaker 1: Carlos Korea in the game against the Orioles a few 355 00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:17,480 Speaker 1: minutes ago. While we're recording this on Thursday. They like, 356 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 1: you know, Bucks and coming in on a pop up 357 00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 1: and they kind of like banged heads against each other. 358 00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:24,880 Speaker 1: It looked pretty bad. Carea left the game, Buston stayed in, 359 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:26,840 Speaker 1: But somebody keep an eye on just because we've talked 360 00:16:26,840 --> 00:16:29,360 Speaker 1: about our newsy notes in the last segment. So and 361 00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:32,480 Speaker 1: as as Kelly Kirby points out on Twitter, at least 362 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:35,520 Speaker 1: these aren't two notoriously injury prone players. 363 00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:37,360 Speaker 2: As well. 364 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:41,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, obviously hoping everything's O care there. You know, any 365 00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:44,040 Speaker 1: collision is scary, but especially banging heads like that is 366 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:47,120 Speaker 1: particularly not fun to see. I want to let everybody 367 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 1: know that if you're struggling with lineup decisions, our lineup 368 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:53,640 Speaker 1: assistant recommends optimal lineup suggestions to maximize your team's performance 369 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:56,280 Speaker 1: each day or week. Just sink your league for tailored 370 00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:59,000 Speaker 1: guidance based on your roster in league settings. Download the 371 00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:02,000 Speaker 1: Fantasy Baseball My play Book app or visit fantasypros dot 372 00:17:02,040 --> 00:17:05,080 Speaker 1: com slash MLB my Playbook to set your winning line 373 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 1: up today. Mayor let's go through our waivers picks here. 374 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:12,480 Speaker 1: I'll go first. Brooksley actually in this Twins game as well. 375 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 1: A couple of home runs lately. Obviously, his pedigree as 376 00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:18,560 Speaker 1: a former very high pick. Was he the fourth pick 377 00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:20,440 Speaker 1: overall six picks something like that, was in the top six, 378 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:23,399 Speaker 1: whatever year it was that he came out out of college, 379 00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:27,439 Speaker 1: very very available. Four percent of Yahoo, two percent on ESPN, 380 00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:31,679 Speaker 1: twenty three percent on CBS. This is less like Oh, 381 00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:34,200 Speaker 1: the underlying data says he's about to like bust through 382 00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:36,640 Speaker 1: in a big way and more. Just he's only twenty four. 383 00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:39,159 Speaker 1: He was the eighth pick in twenty twenty two. I 384 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:42,640 Speaker 1: was gonna say eighth pick nineven close, yeah, yeah, six 385 00:17:43,040 --> 00:17:43,520 Speaker 1: super off. 386 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:46,600 Speaker 2: I know this is why people don't think we like 387 00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:48,679 Speaker 2: each other, by the way, what. 388 00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:51,520 Speaker 1: Do you mean think that? They just they observe it. 389 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:54,080 Speaker 1: They recognize that we don't like each other to think, 390 00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:58,440 Speaker 1: you know, obviously like year two, like you know, didn't 391 00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:00,400 Speaker 1: have a full season last year. I I'm just kind 392 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:02,280 Speaker 1: of banking on the pedigree. I don't think he's going 393 00:18:02,320 --> 00:18:04,920 Speaker 1: to be a superstar or anything, but this low of 394 00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:08,320 Speaker 1: a roster percentage, if he is taking step forward, especially 395 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:09,800 Speaker 1: at third base. We just talked about how hard it 396 00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:12,280 Speaker 1: is to find somebody there. I'm interested in picking him 397 00:18:12,320 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 1: up and seeing if he maybe takes step forward here. 398 00:18:15,960 --> 00:18:17,440 Speaker 2: I don't have a ton of interest, to be honest 399 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:19,680 Speaker 2: with you, I know that he's a former first round 400 00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:22,040 Speaker 2: pick still very young. 401 00:18:24,119 --> 00:18:26,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know. I didn't. I did not have 402 00:18:26,119 --> 00:18:28,280 Speaker 1: a lot of good options this week for my favorite hitter. 403 00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:30,920 Speaker 1: I actually really struggled to pick one. And the fact 404 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:34,680 Speaker 1: that he plays third base is carrying some weight for me. 405 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:40,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, that certainly doesn't hurt. It's hard to He's an 406 00:18:40,800 --> 00:18:42,840 Speaker 2: interesting one because he was a former first round pick 407 00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 2: eighth overall, not sixth or fourth, but he he kind 408 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:50,920 Speaker 2: of flew through the minor leagues like pretty quickly. 409 00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:54,960 Speaker 1: And I think they expected that he was like supposed 410 00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:55,760 Speaker 1: to be a fast mover. 411 00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:58,480 Speaker 2: Well that's what I mean in that, Like for some 412 00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:00,320 Speaker 2: of these players, you can kind of look at like 413 00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 2: these full minor league seasons and kind of like see 414 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,640 Speaker 2: the progression of like, oh, like he earned his promotion here, 415 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:08,719 Speaker 2: he flew through so quickly, and like it's like he's 416 00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:10,720 Speaker 2: here's four games here, twenty five games here, thirty one 417 00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:15,600 Speaker 2: games here, and then like in twenty twenty three, across 418 00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:19,080 Speaker 2: multiple levels, one hundred and twenty five games, sixteen home run, 419 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:21,680 Speaker 2: seven stolen bases two seventy five hours. Like that's fine, 420 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:25,000 Speaker 2: but it's it's just like five games here, twenty five 421 00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:26,920 Speaker 2: games here, and it's kind of hard to see like 422 00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:30,000 Speaker 2: the full progression. So like maybe we just haven't seen 423 00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:31,720 Speaker 2: the best of Brooksley. And I'm just like looking down 424 00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:32,440 Speaker 2: on him too much. 425 00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:34,679 Speaker 1: I would bet we have not seen the best of him, 426 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 1: would be my guess. Yeah, his hard hit rate is 427 00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:39,159 Speaker 1: up like twenty percent compared to last year. It was 428 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:40,639 Speaker 1: it was like twenty four last year. I think it's 429 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:45,600 Speaker 1: like forty two this year. Okay, So again, he's very, 430 00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:48,520 Speaker 1: very free to go pick up plays a position where 431 00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:50,280 Speaker 1: you probably have a need. Unless you're one of a 432 00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:53,800 Speaker 1: couple of teams and is a former top prospect, you 433 00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:56,440 Speaker 1: could be taking a step forward. So I don't say 434 00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:58,359 Speaker 1: it with a ton of conviction, but I say that 435 00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:00,440 Speaker 1: I am interested and didn't have a lot of better options. 436 00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:02,639 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't want to talk you out of it. 437 00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:04,080 Speaker 2: If you like Brooksley, like Brooksley. 438 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:07,639 Speaker 1: His name is brooks and as an Ools fan, I 439 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:09,240 Speaker 1: gotta love anybody named brooks That's fair. 440 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:12,480 Speaker 2: It is kind of it gets into like kind of 441 00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:14,640 Speaker 2: like the philosophy of and I was gonna talk about 442 00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:16,119 Speaker 2: this with my pick too. Kind of the philosophy of 443 00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:18,560 Speaker 2: this of these like waiver wire pickups, because like sometimes 444 00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:20,760 Speaker 2: we are picking up a band aid and we just 445 00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 2: need someone to start. Other times it's like this is 446 00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:25,200 Speaker 2: a long term play, like if you can roster someone 447 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:27,159 Speaker 2: like maybe start him here, but like stash him and like, 448 00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:30,240 Speaker 2: hey has upside. Like there's kind of different philosophies for 449 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:32,119 Speaker 2: why you're picking someone up. It's not always just like 450 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:33,479 Speaker 2: this guy's great, pick them up right now. 451 00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:38,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's a fair kind of distinction to make. 452 00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:41,720 Speaker 2: Thank you. I appreciate saying that. 453 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:46,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, trying me nicer, Go ahead with your pick. 454 00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:48,840 Speaker 2: All right, they're gonna teae me up a little bit more. 455 00:20:49,240 --> 00:20:50,960 Speaker 1: Well, I was just like waiting for you to jump in. 456 00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 1: This is like you know, you've hosted plenty of times. 457 00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:56,359 Speaker 1: You can you can jump in now. We have a 458 00:20:56,440 --> 00:20:59,399 Speaker 1: rhythm here, all right. 459 00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:01,760 Speaker 2: If you watch our first video rounding the Bases, I 460 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:03,960 Speaker 2: mentioned Dalton Rushing was caught up by the Dodgers and 461 00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:06,320 Speaker 2: kind of getting into the philosophy of picking up players 462 00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:10,159 Speaker 2: on waivers. He is a top catching prospect, a top 463 00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:13,280 Speaker 2: prospect for the Dodgers, it's not, as we're mentioned in 464 00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:15,359 Speaker 2: the previous video, we're not sure he's gonna play every day. 465 00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:17,400 Speaker 2: He probably isn't gonna play every day, but he has 466 00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:19,680 Speaker 2: the kind of bat where he could be in the lineup, 467 00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:22,000 Speaker 2: not catching like there. He can play the outfield, he 468 00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:24,399 Speaker 2: can play for his base, he can catch, and so 469 00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:26,800 Speaker 2: he could potentially like catch two or three days a 470 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:28,920 Speaker 2: week and then be in the outfield a couple of 471 00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:31,000 Speaker 2: days a week. They have some injuries of Tiaskar, Hernandez, 472 00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:34,879 Speaker 2: Michael Confordo, Tommy Edmund, they're all hurt, so there are 473 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:38,480 Speaker 2: some bats there. Freddy Freeman is just like getting like 474 00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,360 Speaker 2: regular treatment on his ankle just to like be able 475 00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:44,680 Speaker 2: to walk. And he's he's the kind of like high 476 00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:48,520 Speaker 2: upside player, especially at the catcher position where you pick 477 00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:49,840 Speaker 2: him up now you kind of see how it goes 478 00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:51,600 Speaker 2: for a couple of weeks, because if he hits, he's 479 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:53,679 Speaker 2: gonna be he's gonna stay in the lineup, and if 480 00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:55,359 Speaker 2: he can hit as well as he did in the 481 00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:58,239 Speaker 2: minor leagues, it's a really good player to have at 482 00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:00,240 Speaker 2: your catcher position, whether it's in a one catcher or 483 00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:01,000 Speaker 2: two catcher league. 484 00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:05,600 Speaker 1: I already kind of shared my thoughts on rushing in 485 00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:08,160 Speaker 1: the Round of the Bases episode. But I'm a little 486 00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:11,840 Speaker 1: worried about playing time, but obviously super talented, great organization, 487 00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:14,440 Speaker 1: see what happens. They're probably worth a flyer, especially in 488 00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:17,200 Speaker 1: a two quarterback two quarterbacks says, I'm thinking about football 489 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:18,000 Speaker 1: two catcher league. 490 00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:21,040 Speaker 2: Rush. It's kind of like a nice quarterback name. I 491 00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:22,720 Speaker 2: could see that being like it, or maybe more of 492 00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:23,560 Speaker 2: like a running back name. 493 00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:26,480 Speaker 1: I guess well, rushing rushing quarterbacks are the cheat code 494 00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:29,160 Speaker 1: in fantasy football, so that's probably why I was thinking 495 00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:34,440 Speaker 1: of it. My favorite pitcher, Tomoyuki Sugano, the orioles uh, 496 00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:38,000 Speaker 1: he is pitching today while we were recording this and 497 00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:40,919 Speaker 1: two perfect innings to start, and then gave up back 498 00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:43,040 Speaker 1: to back home runs in the third, so you know, 499 00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:46,280 Speaker 1: not that fun there. He's thirty eight percent roster on Yahoo, 500 00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:49,000 Speaker 1: twenty four percent on ESPN, sixty eight percent on CBS, 501 00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:51,879 Speaker 1: so a lot higher there, but still you know, available. 502 00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:54,080 Speaker 1: And then obviously in the other one is very available. 503 00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,159 Speaker 1: I wanted to bring him up because early on in 504 00:22:57,240 --> 00:23:00,600 Speaker 1: the season he looked like pretty much unusable on fantasy 505 00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:05,040 Speaker 1: because of the lack of strikeouts. Those strikeouts have been 506 00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:09,880 Speaker 1: coming along then. The first five outings he had one, four, zero, 507 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:13,800 Speaker 1: three and one strikeouts. That's nine total. His last three 508 00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:16,520 Speaker 1: starts prior to today, which is still going on. Eight 509 00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:19,720 Speaker 1: strikeouts in five innings, four strikeouts and six innings. Five 510 00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:23,679 Speaker 1: strikeouts and seven and a third innings. That's seventeen strikeouts 511 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:27,480 Speaker 1: in just in nineteen and a third's innings. In those 512 00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:29,520 Speaker 1: three starts, he only gave up three combined earn run 513 00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 1: so it's really good the last three starts. One of 514 00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:35,119 Speaker 1: those starts was against the Yankees too. He is not 515 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:39,280 Speaker 1: a pitcher who walks anybody. His walk rate is ninety 516 00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:42,120 Speaker 1: second percentile. It's his four point four percent. The ERA 517 00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:45,160 Speaker 1: is under three. Again prior to today, he suspected ERA 518 00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,480 Speaker 1: is higher. So I do expect some regression on the 519 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:52,480 Speaker 1: RA front. But if he starts striking out people more 520 00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:55,920 Speaker 1: than he has been and is something close to a 521 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:59,400 Speaker 1: strikeout per inning, this is going to be a capable 522 00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:02,760 Speaker 1: fantasy starting pitcher for your roster. I don't know if 523 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:05,160 Speaker 1: the strikeouts are going to continue or not. We pretty 524 00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:08,320 Speaker 1: consistently don't have pictures that we love recommending in this segment. 525 00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:10,359 Speaker 1: But if I'm looking at a guy who already has 526 00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:12,680 Speaker 1: a LORI, which again I do think we'll go in 527 00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:15,240 Speaker 1: the other direction. And he's starting to strike up more 528 00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 1: as he's learning Major League baseball. Maybe you know, obviously 529 00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:21,440 Speaker 1: this is his first season on this side of the ocean. 530 00:24:22,520 --> 00:24:24,479 Speaker 1: I am interested in that. So what do you think 531 00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:25,120 Speaker 1: about Sugana? 532 00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:28,600 Speaker 2: I have very mixed feelings on Sugana for the reasons 533 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:32,520 Speaker 2: you mentioned the strikeout numbers. That's kind of who he 534 00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:36,240 Speaker 2: was in Japan too. In twenty twenty four one hundred 535 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,320 Speaker 2: and fifty six innings, only one hundred and eleven strikeouts 536 00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,880 Speaker 2: and pretty consistently well below a strike up er inning 537 00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:46,800 Speaker 2: unless you go back to like twenty twenty when he 538 00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:48,359 Speaker 2: struck out one hundred and thirty one one hundred and 539 00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:51,120 Speaker 2: thirty seven innings. But that's just kind of not his game. 540 00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,240 Speaker 2: He's just kind of a control pitch the contact pitcher. 541 00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:57,040 Speaker 2: I think that's also why some of his expected numbers 542 00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:59,880 Speaker 2: are much worse, like fip X, fipsierra x x Hera 543 00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:02,679 Speaker 2: are all in the fours. I think as long as 544 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:04,359 Speaker 2: he strikeout numbers are down and he's more of like 545 00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:07,160 Speaker 2: a pitch to contact kind of guy, those aspected numbers 546 00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:09,520 Speaker 2: are always going to be pretty like significantly worse just 547 00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:12,680 Speaker 2: because they do value strikeouts, and they value like because 548 00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:16,639 Speaker 2: the thought there is that the more the more player, 549 00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,879 Speaker 2: more batters you strike out, the less opportunity there is 550 00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:21,879 Speaker 2: for bad luck. That's kind of the thinking there. And 551 00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 2: so the more opportunity the ball goes into the field, 552 00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:26,840 Speaker 2: the more likely it is you're gonna have some bad luck, 553 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:28,800 Speaker 2: you know, in the grand scheme of things, the law 554 00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:33,320 Speaker 2: of large numbers. So I do wonder about the upside there, 555 00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:34,879 Speaker 2: but it's also hard to argue with guys at two 556 00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:38,120 Speaker 2: point seven to two era. I feel like he's probably 557 00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:40,000 Speaker 2: gonna be a matchup based guy. Like if you can 558 00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:41,879 Speaker 2: kind of stash him and start him when you want to, 559 00:25:42,040 --> 00:25:44,160 Speaker 2: and you know, sit him against the Dodgers and start 560 00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:46,920 Speaker 2: him against the Royals and you know, the Marlins and 561 00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:49,240 Speaker 2: the White Sox of the world, I think that will 562 00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:52,359 Speaker 2: be fine. I don't think he's someone I want. I 563 00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:54,440 Speaker 2: want to really like add to my team and have 564 00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:56,520 Speaker 2: him as someone I'm starting every week for every matchup, 565 00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:58,320 Speaker 2: because I think it can kind of blow up at 566 00:25:58,359 --> 00:25:58,880 Speaker 2: certain times. 567 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:01,560 Speaker 1: One of the players who hit a home run for 568 00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:05,440 Speaker 1: the Twins today is somebody named DeShawn Keirsey Junior, who 569 00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:07,399 Speaker 1: I'm going to be honest, I have never heard of before. 570 00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,520 Speaker 2: I heard of him this morning because I was placing 571 00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:13,880 Speaker 2: bets and I was I was on the betting pros 572 00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:18,800 Speaker 2: app looking at prop bets, and I was gonna like, 573 00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:20,800 Speaker 2: I look like expected value, and we'd have to get 574 00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:22,640 Speaker 2: him a betting conversation. We would look at expected value. 575 00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:24,639 Speaker 2: When he had really good expected value on the under 576 00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:27,880 Speaker 2: on his hits prop and I'm very happy I didn't 577 00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:29,560 Speaker 2: take it, because apparently you don't run. 578 00:26:29,760 --> 00:26:33,320 Speaker 1: We are siguana. Yeah, my interest in Seguana is entirely 579 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:37,760 Speaker 1: predicated on him striking out more batters lately, and the 580 00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:40,200 Speaker 1: idea of that may be continuing. If that does not continue, 581 00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:44,560 Speaker 1: then I don't think he'll be worthwhile. Who's your picture? 582 00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:48,840 Speaker 2: So my picture is similarly someone I'm not like, incredibly 583 00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:51,360 Speaker 2: confident in long term, but someone who's been pitching well lately, 584 00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:54,800 Speaker 2: and it's Hunter Dobbins. The other thing he's a picture 585 00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:57,840 Speaker 2: for the Red Sox. The other thing there is that 586 00:26:57,920 --> 00:26:59,520 Speaker 2: he has a two star pitcher this week. I love 587 00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:02,639 Speaker 2: targeting and two star pitchers. If I'm going to pick 588 00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:04,480 Speaker 2: up a picture on waivers. I love the opportunity to 589 00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:07,280 Speaker 2: kind of start them twice. He is home against the 590 00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:10,159 Speaker 2: Mets and then home against the Orioles, so like not 591 00:27:10,920 --> 00:27:12,840 Speaker 2: incredible matchups, but not like the I mean, obviously, like 592 00:27:12,920 --> 00:27:18,040 Speaker 2: the Mets are pretty good right now, but he has 593 00:27:18,200 --> 00:27:20,359 Speaker 2: a three point nine RA expected numbers are all pretty 594 00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:22,640 Speaker 2: a little bit lower than that. The Red Sox don't 595 00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:24,159 Speaker 2: have a lot going great for them right now, but 596 00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:27,399 Speaker 2: hundred Dobbins looks like a cromulent picture that Simptons reference 597 00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:31,360 Speaker 2: for you worm twenty seven two Thursday twenty three strikeouts, 598 00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:34,639 Speaker 2: so a little bit less than a strikeout perinning. Expected numbers. 599 00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 2: Like I said, the ERA three point nine expected numbers 600 00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:39,240 Speaker 2: are all about half wrong lower than that get in 601 00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:44,000 Speaker 2: that ballpark. Strike represent is nineteen point three, swing percentage 602 00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:47,200 Speaker 2: is eleven point eight. And like I said, he's not 603 00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:48,760 Speaker 2: going to like light the world on fire, but he 604 00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:51,040 Speaker 2: just seems like a serviceable pitcher right now that I'm 605 00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:54,840 Speaker 2: willing to stream in the short term. And the bonus 606 00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:57,359 Speaker 2: name that I included is Brian Baale, another Red Sox pitcher. 607 00:27:57,440 --> 00:27:58,879 Speaker 2: Not that I want to just like target the Red 608 00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:01,560 Speaker 2: Sox pitching staff because there are certainly better ways to 609 00:28:01,560 --> 00:28:03,760 Speaker 2: spend your time than targeting the Red Sox pitching staff. 610 00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:06,480 Speaker 2: But he's recently come back off the after his starting 611 00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:09,400 Speaker 2: season on the IL and looks pretty good. He looks 612 00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:13,200 Speaker 2: pretty sharp. He's gotten some bad luck, although if you 613 00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:14,920 Speaker 2: look at his suspect numbers, they would argue he's gotten 614 00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:16,639 Speaker 2: some good luck. But just from like watching him with 615 00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:19,119 Speaker 2: the eye test, you know, his his stuff looks sharp 616 00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:22,920 Speaker 2: despite what the strikeout numbers are for him. And he's 617 00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:27,240 Speaker 2: someone that I think is he's pretty widely available, and 618 00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:28,879 Speaker 2: you know, like you said, it's kind of hard to 619 00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:31,560 Speaker 2: pick names in this in this segment sometimes, but I 620 00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:34,359 Speaker 2: think he's someone who has some upside ress this season. So, 621 00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,479 Speaker 2: like similar Togano, I don't know that I would want 622 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:39,240 Speaker 2: to pick him up and start him every week right away, 623 00:28:39,280 --> 00:28:41,480 Speaker 2: but I do want to pick him up and stash 624 00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:44,200 Speaker 2: him if I can. He pitches at home against the 625 00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:48,280 Speaker 2: Orioles this week. So two pitchers, I think that could 626 00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:50,400 Speaker 2: like fill out the back end of your staff if 627 00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:52,360 Speaker 2: you need kind of warm bodies and endings. 628 00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:56,480 Speaker 1: There. I'm up against it on time, So go ahead 629 00:28:56,480 --> 00:28:58,800 Speaker 1: and quickly run through these deep league targets, all right. 630 00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:01,320 Speaker 2: So deep league targets, Eric Fetty, Jamison to some of 631 00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:03,719 Speaker 2: these names we mentioned in recent weeks, but they're still available, 632 00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:08,920 Speaker 2: still contributing. So Eric Fetty, Jamison, Tyone, Jake Myers, Miguel 633 00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:11,960 Speaker 2: Anduhar someone I've I have it in a deep league 634 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:14,000 Speaker 2: that I keep kind of like trying to get rid of, 635 00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:15,880 Speaker 2: and I keep realizing he's the best option that I 636 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,520 Speaker 2: have and he's doing fine third base in outfield eligible. 637 00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:19,680 Speaker 2: So if you're in a deep league and need a 638 00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:21,960 Speaker 2: warm body, mcgul and Hahr has been valuable for me. 639 00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:25,280 Speaker 2: Max Kepler, Ryan McMahon, who we've talked about a few 640 00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:26,720 Speaker 2: times on the show, we have a few shares. He's 641 00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:29,840 Speaker 2: not He's had an awful season, but the last week 642 00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:32,120 Speaker 2: and a half starways been really hot. So if you 643 00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:34,200 Speaker 2: can pick him back up, He's a third baseman who's 644 00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:35,120 Speaker 2: a contributing right now. 645 00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:35,800 Speaker 1: J T. 646 00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:37,720 Speaker 2: Ginn is coming off the IL. He has a two 647 00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:39,440 Speaker 2: start week, but one of them is against the Phillies. 648 00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:40,760 Speaker 2: So I'm not sure if you want to really get 649 00:29:40,800 --> 00:29:43,440 Speaker 2: into bed with that, but someone that I do like 650 00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:45,360 Speaker 2: that has some good stuff. You know, if you can 651 00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:47,479 Speaker 2: kind of only started for one start or just dash him. 652 00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:50,640 Speaker 2: I like J T. Gin Walker re Bueller is coming 653 00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:52,920 Speaker 2: off the I off the IL again. Not something I 654 00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:54,960 Speaker 2: want to standard I want to, not someone I want 655 00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:56,720 Speaker 2: to target in the standard league, but in a deeper league. 656 00:29:57,040 --> 00:29:59,000 Speaker 2: Walker Bueller is an arm for you. And then Ben 657 00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:02,000 Speaker 2: Brown as a two start week this week at the Marlins, 658 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 2: and then add the Brits. 659 00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:06,560 Speaker 1: All right, we'll go ahead and wrap up this segment there. 660 00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,040 Speaker 1: Be sure to stick around later in the weekend for 661 00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:12,120 Speaker 1: our pitching segment where we're talking about some streamers and 662 00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:14,120 Speaker 1: our two start pitcher competition. And if you missed it, 663 00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:16,320 Speaker 1: be sure to check out our running the Basis segment 664 00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,000 Speaker 1: as well. For Mayor, I'm Ryan Warmlin. Thanks for tuning in. 665 00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:21,360 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Thanks for listening to the 666 00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:24,720 Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast. If you love the show, 667 00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:27,080 Speaker 1: the best freeway to support us is by leaving a 668 00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:32,040 Speaker 1: positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify, follow us on x, Instagram, 669 00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:35,080 Speaker 1: and TikTok at Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our YouTube 670 00:30:35,160 --> 00:30:38,200 Speaker 1: channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB