WEBVTT - This is How Economic Crisis and Precarity Shaped the Millennial Generation

0:00:14.000 --> 0:00:17.759
<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast.

0:00:17.840 --> 0:00:22.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Allaway. Tracy, I always forget.

0:00:22.440 --> 0:00:25.840
<v Speaker 1>Are you a millennial? I knew, I knew this was

0:00:25.840 --> 0:00:27.960
<v Speaker 1>going to be the first question that you asked me

0:00:28.280 --> 0:00:32.200
<v Speaker 1>on this episode. I am, I believe what is known

0:00:32.240 --> 0:00:37.599
<v Speaker 1>as an elder millennial basically sort of on the cusp

0:00:37.920 --> 0:00:42.040
<v Speaker 1>of the millennial generation, depending on where you um define it.

0:00:42.120 --> 0:00:45.000
<v Speaker 1>But you know, if you define it as kids born

0:00:45.040 --> 0:00:47.879
<v Speaker 1>from the eighties onwards, I'm definitely there. And if you

0:00:47.920 --> 0:00:51.920
<v Speaker 1>define it as the children of baby boomers, I'm definitely there.

0:00:52.920 --> 0:00:55.600
<v Speaker 1>You're sorry, you're an older millennial. I'm I was born

0:00:55.600 --> 0:00:58.520
<v Speaker 1>in so I think I missed it by that definition.

0:00:58.720 --> 0:01:01.319
<v Speaker 1>But here's my question. Did you use Facebook when you're

0:01:01.320 --> 0:01:07.440
<v Speaker 1>in college? Yes, but only because only because our college

0:01:07.480 --> 0:01:10.720
<v Speaker 1>got it early. To me, that is the like, in

0:01:10.760 --> 0:01:15.600
<v Speaker 1>my view, that is the crucial dividing line between millennial

0:01:15.720 --> 0:01:18.640
<v Speaker 1>and Gen X because obviously, like so much of the

0:01:18.680 --> 0:01:21.920
<v Speaker 1>modern eras defined by you know, everything that the Internet

0:01:21.959 --> 0:01:24.000
<v Speaker 1>and social media and all that stuff, And I really

0:01:24.040 --> 0:01:27.040
<v Speaker 1>feel like if you didn't have Facebook get in college,

0:01:27.280 --> 0:01:28.920
<v Speaker 1>you're not a millennial. And if you did you are,

0:01:29.040 --> 0:01:32.640
<v Speaker 1>and so I guess you are and I'm not. Look,

0:01:32.680 --> 0:01:34.679
<v Speaker 1>we can go back and forth on the definitions. I

0:01:34.720 --> 0:01:37.240
<v Speaker 1>actually like the way you define it because I think

0:01:37.600 --> 0:01:41.560
<v Speaker 1>the Internet has been clearly so crucial to the experience

0:01:41.680 --> 0:01:44.240
<v Speaker 1>of a lot of millennials, and creating your own online

0:01:44.280 --> 0:01:48.840
<v Speaker 1>identity has been quite important as well. So it makes sense. Yes, Okay,

0:01:48.880 --> 0:01:53.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm a millennial, but I'm an older one. Yeah you're

0:01:53.280 --> 0:01:56.800
<v Speaker 1>still good. But beyond the Internet and beyond like the

0:01:56.800 --> 0:01:59.800
<v Speaker 1>way social media and all that is changing everything. One

0:02:00.000 --> 0:02:04.520
<v Speaker 1>of the sort of like persistent frameworks or tropes, sort

0:02:04.520 --> 0:02:08.840
<v Speaker 1>of themes that happens when people talk about millennials is

0:02:09.160 --> 0:02:13.120
<v Speaker 1>um the economic situation. And you hear a lot about

0:02:13.400 --> 0:02:17.040
<v Speaker 1>millennials being late to foreign families or by homes, that

0:02:17.160 --> 0:02:20.720
<v Speaker 1>their distrust of the stock market. Uh, the millennial generation

0:02:20.760 --> 0:02:23.440
<v Speaker 1>has sort of came of age, at least the sort

0:02:23.480 --> 0:02:26.400
<v Speaker 1>of middle to late millennials, during a period of labor

0:02:26.480 --> 0:02:30.560
<v Speaker 1>market procarity. So in addition to everything that we were

0:02:30.560 --> 0:02:33.040
<v Speaker 1>talking about with Facebook and all that, there really is

0:02:33.080 --> 0:02:36.560
<v Speaker 1>this sort of very big economic dimension to how we

0:02:36.600 --> 0:02:40.320
<v Speaker 1>talk about this generation. Right, so many millennials hit the

0:02:40.400 --> 0:02:43.160
<v Speaker 1>job market precisely at the wrong time, which would have

0:02:43.200 --> 0:02:46.720
<v Speaker 1>been after the two thousand eight financial crisis, and uh

0:02:47.160 --> 0:02:51.119
<v Speaker 1>have sort of had their entire labor market experience defined

0:02:51.240 --> 0:02:54.160
<v Speaker 1>by that. And of course you've seen all this tension

0:02:54.360 --> 0:02:58.760
<v Speaker 1>that's bubbling up between millennials and boomers characterized or crystallized,

0:02:58.800 --> 0:03:03.400
<v Speaker 1>I should say, the Okay, boomer movement now seems to

0:03:03.400 --> 0:03:05.200
<v Speaker 1>be a thing, a thing. You know what I think

0:03:05.280 --> 0:03:07.560
<v Speaker 1>is lame though, how millennials want to side with gen z.

0:03:07.639 --> 0:03:10.000
<v Speaker 1>It's like, come on, Momornials are all too It's like,

0:03:10.200 --> 0:03:15.480
<v Speaker 1>don't pretend your young anymore. Okay, okay, okay. But all

0:03:15.560 --> 0:03:18.760
<v Speaker 1>that being said, um so let's talk about the millennial

0:03:18.880 --> 0:03:21.679
<v Speaker 1>economic situation. But before we do, remember a couple of

0:03:21.720 --> 0:03:23.920
<v Speaker 1>weeks ago, or like maybe a month ago, we talked

0:03:24.000 --> 0:03:28.359
<v Speaker 1>to Karen Ho of the University of Minnesota about her

0:03:28.600 --> 0:03:33.360
<v Speaker 1>anthropological take on Wall Street. Yeah, the anthropologist who worked

0:03:33.360 --> 0:03:36.800
<v Speaker 1>at a at a major bank. Yeah. Well, I'm excited

0:03:36.880 --> 0:03:39.880
<v Speaker 1>because today we are speaking to another Karen Ho, the

0:03:39.960 --> 0:03:42.880
<v Speaker 1>other one. Uh, there's probably several more, but this is

0:03:42.920 --> 0:03:45.520
<v Speaker 1>the other really prominent one if you look online. And

0:03:45.680 --> 0:03:49.080
<v Speaker 1>so we'll odd lots. In a matter of like five

0:03:49.120 --> 0:03:51.840
<v Speaker 1>episodes will have spoken to two Karen Ho's, but this

0:03:51.880 --> 0:03:54.480
<v Speaker 1>time instead of talking about Wall Street, we're going to

0:03:54.560 --> 0:04:00.600
<v Speaker 1>talk about the economic and investing condition of the millennial generation. Yeah,

0:04:00.880 --> 0:04:03.080
<v Speaker 1>you wait for one Karen Home and then to come

0:04:03.080 --> 0:04:06.920
<v Speaker 1>along all at once? Yeah, all right, what's that would

0:04:06.920 --> 0:04:10.080
<v Speaker 1>further ado? Let's bring in uh Karen How she is

0:04:10.200 --> 0:04:12.680
<v Speaker 1>the She's a freelance writer. She's written a lot about

0:04:13.120 --> 0:04:17.120
<v Speaker 1>business cultural thing. She's also the editor of the Significant

0:04:17.160 --> 0:04:20.200
<v Speaker 1>Digits newsletter for five thirty eight. Karen, thank you very

0:04:20.279 --> 0:04:22.920
<v Speaker 1>much for joining us, Thanks for having me. You're aware

0:04:22.920 --> 0:04:25.720
<v Speaker 1>of the other Karen Home before this, right, like how

0:04:25.800 --> 0:04:28.400
<v Speaker 1>much that I get a lot of her emails and

0:04:28.760 --> 0:04:32.160
<v Speaker 1>so I literally have her email address bookmarked and I

0:04:32.520 --> 0:04:36.120
<v Speaker 1>have to remind people constantly are you asking for? You know?

0:04:36.200 --> 0:04:38.560
<v Speaker 1>The people have told me that they're like, I love

0:04:38.600 --> 0:04:40.640
<v Speaker 1>your book, and I was like, I'm not that person.

0:04:41.000 --> 0:04:44.679
<v Speaker 1>And so it was really funny when Laura, your producer,

0:04:44.680 --> 0:04:46.320
<v Speaker 1>reached out to me, I was like, are you sure

0:04:46.400 --> 0:04:48.560
<v Speaker 1>you want to talk to me because there's this other

0:04:48.680 --> 0:04:52.200
<v Speaker 1>Karen Home that's a big expert on wallst. And She's like, yes, yes,

0:04:52.240 --> 0:04:54.560
<v Speaker 1>I want to talk to you. So I was really

0:04:54.560 --> 0:04:56.840
<v Speaker 1>thrilled and I've been friends with Joe for a couple

0:04:56.880 --> 0:04:59.039
<v Speaker 1>of years, so it was a great opportunity to come

0:04:59.080 --> 0:05:01.760
<v Speaker 1>and chat about something that I a topic that I

0:05:01.800 --> 0:05:04.279
<v Speaker 1>hold really near and dear to my heart. Did she

0:05:04.320 --> 0:05:06.920
<v Speaker 1>ever get your emails? I don't think she's ever told

0:05:06.960 --> 0:05:09.520
<v Speaker 1>me that, but um, I think there has been one

0:05:09.560 --> 0:05:11.719
<v Speaker 1>time where I emailed her and I was like, I

0:05:11.760 --> 0:05:13.480
<v Speaker 1>get a lot of your fan mail. I just want

0:05:13.520 --> 0:05:17.120
<v Speaker 1>you to know that. So before we start out, do

0:05:17.200 --> 0:05:21.880
<v Speaker 1>we have our definition of millennials roughly correct? Like? What

0:05:22.000 --> 0:05:24.760
<v Speaker 1>is the group the generational group that aren't that we

0:05:24.800 --> 0:05:27.280
<v Speaker 1>are talking about here? I think both of you are

0:05:27.320 --> 0:05:30.160
<v Speaker 1>correct in that I would say the upper tier of

0:05:30.800 --> 0:05:33.040
<v Speaker 1>the current age of I would say an older millennial

0:05:33.080 --> 0:05:36.279
<v Speaker 1>is around thirty eight. Any older than that I would consider,

0:05:37.800 --> 0:05:39.119
<v Speaker 1>you know what I mean? You know it's like thirty

0:05:39.160 --> 0:05:42.039
<v Speaker 1>eight because under the definition of like you said using

0:05:42.279 --> 0:05:47.400
<v Speaker 1>Facebook in undergrad I would say especially, And then I

0:05:47.400 --> 0:05:51.400
<v Speaker 1>would say the youngest millennials I would say are maybe

0:05:52.680 --> 0:05:55.159
<v Speaker 1>twenty eight, because anything younger than that it's a totally

0:05:55.200 --> 0:05:57.880
<v Speaker 1>different circumstance when it comes to the labor market and

0:05:58.000 --> 0:06:00.240
<v Speaker 1>in terms of the age of their parents. And I say,

0:06:00.279 --> 0:06:03.160
<v Speaker 1>my I have boomer parents, but they had me very

0:06:03.240 --> 0:06:05.280
<v Speaker 1>very lately. You know, my mother was almost forty when

0:06:05.320 --> 0:06:08.040
<v Speaker 1>she had my younger sister, and so like when we

0:06:08.080 --> 0:06:11.880
<v Speaker 1>talk about generations as defined by economics, the older generations

0:06:11.880 --> 0:06:14.520
<v Speaker 1>has much longer spans than the way that we are

0:06:14.520 --> 0:06:17.000
<v Speaker 1>defining Gen Z, and even the generation after gen Z

0:06:17.120 --> 0:06:19.880
<v Speaker 1>it's much much narrower. And I always find that really

0:06:19.920 --> 0:06:22.920
<v Speaker 1>interesting because there's no consistency in terms of the time

0:06:22.960 --> 0:06:26.400
<v Speaker 1>period between these generations. Yeah, it's interesting to think about, Like,

0:06:26.440 --> 0:06:31.920
<v Speaker 1>if you're Gen Z, you've basically, unlike millennials, your entire

0:06:32.040 --> 0:06:35.480
<v Speaker 1>working career has been economic expansion. You have that. If

0:06:35.480 --> 0:06:39.640
<v Speaker 1>you're twenty eight or twenty six or younger, you graduated

0:06:39.680 --> 0:06:41.960
<v Speaker 1>in the last I don't know, four or six years,

0:06:42.000 --> 0:06:46.920
<v Speaker 1>Like it's basically been economic expansion that whole time. Maybe

0:06:46.960 --> 0:06:49.960
<v Speaker 1>not the best labor market, but not terrible. But Millennials

0:06:49.960 --> 0:06:53.680
<v Speaker 1>are really in large part facebook aside by the sort

0:06:53.680 --> 0:06:57.880
<v Speaker 1>of like long stretch of economic procarity. Absolutely, how is

0:06:57.920 --> 0:07:02.160
<v Speaker 1>that to find the generation interview? So having personally graduated

0:07:02.400 --> 0:07:07.400
<v Speaker 1>undergrad in that generation has entirely started in the whole

0:07:07.440 --> 0:07:11.440
<v Speaker 1>everything from your graduating into the market where they're freezes

0:07:11.520 --> 0:07:14.440
<v Speaker 1>there are mass layoffs on Wall Street and in Bays Street.

0:07:14.640 --> 0:07:17.960
<v Speaker 1>And the problem is right now, so you are starting

0:07:18.000 --> 0:07:21.400
<v Speaker 1>at at a place where the compound interest racks up

0:07:21.440 --> 0:07:23.360
<v Speaker 1>in the period where you're supposed to see your career

0:07:23.880 --> 0:07:26.760
<v Speaker 1>rapidly increase. You know, whether it be in terms of earnings,

0:07:26.760 --> 0:07:29.600
<v Speaker 1>whether it be in terms of income potential, UM, you know,

0:07:29.680 --> 0:07:32.400
<v Speaker 1>future investment decisions, even in terms of even the way

0:07:32.400 --> 0:07:34.840
<v Speaker 1>that you date, right the way that you spend money

0:07:34.880 --> 0:07:39.080
<v Speaker 1>while dating, and then you're making long term plans for uh,

0:07:39.120 --> 0:07:43.080
<v Speaker 1>investing in real estate, having a family, or even um.

0:07:43.120 --> 0:07:45.640
<v Speaker 1>If you're in a job that is automatically doesn't include

0:07:45.640 --> 0:07:49.400
<v Speaker 1>a pension, or doesn't include an investment opportunities, or doesn't

0:07:49.400 --> 0:07:51.360
<v Speaker 1>even have benefits, then you can't set aside the money

0:07:51.400 --> 0:07:53.120
<v Speaker 1>that you need in the long term to take care

0:07:53.160 --> 0:07:58.440
<v Speaker 1>of things like your health or for retirement. So can you,

0:07:58.680 --> 0:08:01.920
<v Speaker 1>um give a bit more detail on that statement? So

0:08:02.040 --> 0:08:06.800
<v Speaker 1>what exactly is the job market or the employment benefits

0:08:06.840 --> 0:08:10.440
<v Speaker 1>that most millennials have encountered, and how did they differ

0:08:10.640 --> 0:08:15.360
<v Speaker 1>from generations previously. I think the millennial generation is much

0:08:15.400 --> 0:08:18.760
<v Speaker 1>more hyper aware of the jobs that we've seen a

0:08:18.760 --> 0:08:22.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of economic coverage of the gig economy or or

0:08:22.040 --> 0:08:25.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, you have these really tenuous circumstances where you're

0:08:25.400 --> 0:08:28.840
<v Speaker 1>essentially given full time hours without any benefits or permanancing.

0:08:29.200 --> 0:08:31.240
<v Speaker 1>You know, if you are laid off, there's no such

0:08:31.280 --> 0:08:33.360
<v Speaker 1>thing as severance, or you know, a period where you

0:08:33.400 --> 0:08:36.800
<v Speaker 1>have health benefits for a week or two, and then there's,

0:08:36.840 --> 0:08:41.400
<v Speaker 1>like I said, no defined contributions to pensions or investments,

0:08:41.880 --> 0:08:46.760
<v Speaker 1>and there's no offset for or contribution to health and

0:08:47.120 --> 0:08:50.600
<v Speaker 1>health insurance or other benefits. And so all of those

0:08:50.600 --> 0:08:53.880
<v Speaker 1>costs are put on the millennials themselves, everything from you know,

0:08:54.000 --> 0:08:56.680
<v Speaker 1>basic things like gym memberships all the way to health

0:08:56.679 --> 0:08:59.080
<v Speaker 1>savings plans. They don't get any of those cumulative benefits

0:08:59.120 --> 0:09:03.720
<v Speaker 1>from stable employment and uh financial security. And then on

0:09:03.800 --> 0:09:05.679
<v Speaker 1>top of that, you know, this is the start I

0:09:05.720 --> 0:09:08.680
<v Speaker 1>would say, of a very noticeable year over year increase

0:09:08.720 --> 0:09:13.360
<v Speaker 1>in terms of the cost of education and health, especially

0:09:13.440 --> 0:09:16.400
<v Speaker 1>in the United States, but in other countries as well,

0:09:16.640 --> 0:09:19.160
<v Speaker 1>where you're seeing I think from the period in which

0:09:19.200 --> 0:09:21.079
<v Speaker 1>I graduated, and I checked this right before coming in

0:09:21.600 --> 0:09:23.880
<v Speaker 1>just in Canada, which you know has a much higher

0:09:24.000 --> 0:09:27.040
<v Speaker 1>tax base and is seen as a much more affordable place,

0:09:27.200 --> 0:09:30.720
<v Speaker 1>yet higher education, the cost of tuition at the undergraduate

0:09:30.800 --> 0:09:33.439
<v Speaker 1>level for a domestic tuition has risen anywhere from thirty

0:09:33.480 --> 0:09:37.360
<v Speaker 1>to in ten years. So one of the things that's

0:09:37.400 --> 0:09:40.520
<v Speaker 1>become something of a trope is this notion of millennials

0:09:40.559 --> 0:09:47.160
<v Speaker 1>as entitled, ungrateful workers in the office. Is it possible

0:09:47.440 --> 0:09:50.280
<v Speaker 1>that instead of just being you know, spoiled and entitled,

0:09:50.559 --> 0:09:53.040
<v Speaker 1>that what a lot of them are actually asking for

0:09:53.120 --> 0:09:56.880
<v Speaker 1>are things that the previous generation was given without asking

0:09:56.920 --> 0:10:00.840
<v Speaker 1>for explicitly, I'm always really interested in question those statements

0:10:00.840 --> 0:10:03.200
<v Speaker 1>and the specific of those statements in terms of what

0:10:03.360 --> 0:10:06.880
<v Speaker 1>is entitlement when it comes to circumstances, because I think

0:10:06.960 --> 0:10:10.160
<v Speaker 1>even in terms of the conversation regarding treatment of women

0:10:10.160 --> 0:10:13.200
<v Speaker 1>in the workforce, you know, some of those demands or

0:10:13.280 --> 0:10:15.680
<v Speaker 1>requests in terms of we would like to not be

0:10:15.840 --> 0:10:18.440
<v Speaker 1>sexually harassed at work, we would like equal pay, we

0:10:18.440 --> 0:10:21.920
<v Speaker 1>would like to consider, you know, policies regarding maternity leave.

0:10:22.200 --> 0:10:25.800
<v Speaker 1>The people making those policy decisions and workplace, you know,

0:10:25.920 --> 0:10:29.720
<v Speaker 1>employment decisions can argue that these are entitlements or or

0:10:29.760 --> 0:10:33.000
<v Speaker 1>attitudes of entitlements, but it's also in terms of what

0:10:33.040 --> 0:10:36.240
<v Speaker 1>we know the demands that millennials are asking for in

0:10:36.320 --> 0:10:41.120
<v Speaker 1>terms of things like contracts that are very clear regarding diversity,

0:10:41.160 --> 0:10:44.560
<v Speaker 1>pay gaps. Uh, you know, severance if someone is laid off,

0:10:44.880 --> 0:10:48.640
<v Speaker 1>especially in industries where layoffs are incredibly common and have

0:10:48.760 --> 0:10:52.319
<v Speaker 1>happened in huge waves. I'm really interested in who defines

0:10:52.400 --> 0:10:55.520
<v Speaker 1>these entitlements, like who are the financial writers, who are

0:10:55.840 --> 0:10:58.720
<v Speaker 1>who is saying these statements in the press and saying

0:10:58.720 --> 0:11:01.960
<v Speaker 1>these millennials are entitled. It's usually you know, people who

0:11:02.000 --> 0:11:04.200
<v Speaker 1>feel like they have been mistreated in the workforce, and

0:11:04.200 --> 0:11:06.720
<v Speaker 1>that mistreatment needs to continue to happen. You know that

0:11:06.760 --> 0:11:10.000
<v Speaker 1>they survived that mistreatment to get to where they are. Uh.

0:11:10.040 --> 0:11:13.959
<v Speaker 1>And there's a level of Stockholm syndrome that they survived

0:11:13.960 --> 0:11:16.439
<v Speaker 1>a kind of hazing for for lack of a better term,

0:11:16.800 --> 0:11:21.480
<v Speaker 1>and there's this fear that they didn't survive that mistreatment

0:11:21.880 --> 0:11:24.800
<v Speaker 1>for their own benefit, and you know that there's a

0:11:24.880 --> 0:11:28.760
<v Speaker 1>duty to continue that. Going back to is you point

0:11:28.760 --> 0:11:31.679
<v Speaker 1>out there's all these costs. There's a sort of too

0:11:31.720 --> 0:11:34.040
<v Speaker 1>a couple from an economic standpoint, There's a couple of

0:11:34.080 --> 0:11:36.560
<v Speaker 1>things that, as you put it, have characterized this generation.

0:11:36.600 --> 0:11:40.240
<v Speaker 1>There's the financial procarity, the labor market, and then also

0:11:40.600 --> 0:11:43.880
<v Speaker 1>just all these added costs that have been put onto

0:11:44.040 --> 0:11:48.000
<v Speaker 1>millennials in terms of healthcare, paying for their education and

0:11:48.040 --> 0:11:50.880
<v Speaker 1>so forth. And what I'm curious about, and what I'm

0:11:50.920 --> 0:11:53.920
<v Speaker 1>always trying to wrap my head around, is to what

0:11:54.080 --> 0:11:58.400
<v Speaker 1>degree does this change financial behavior? Is such that even

0:11:58.440 --> 0:12:01.280
<v Speaker 1>if one is in the position where they're able to

0:12:01.320 --> 0:12:04.360
<v Speaker 1>build up savings, even if they're in the position where

0:12:04.679 --> 0:12:07.480
<v Speaker 1>they have a good paying job they could easily cover

0:12:07.520 --> 0:12:12.200
<v Speaker 1>their rent, etcetera, that changes their willingness to say invest

0:12:12.360 --> 0:12:15.920
<v Speaker 1>or they're spending decisions because there's so much uncertainty. If

0:12:15.960 --> 0:12:18.600
<v Speaker 1>they have a health crisis, then that will cause their

0:12:18.840 --> 0:12:21.720
<v Speaker 1>um you know, that will deplete their savings, and it's

0:12:21.760 --> 0:12:24.720
<v Speaker 1>sort of unwillingness to make the same like sort of

0:12:24.760 --> 0:12:29.040
<v Speaker 1>savings and investment choices of someone from a previous generation

0:12:29.320 --> 0:12:32.160
<v Speaker 1>who may have also been in the same economic situation.

0:12:32.600 --> 0:12:34.840
<v Speaker 1>I think you're starting to see a lot of mimicking

0:12:35.080 --> 0:12:37.680
<v Speaker 1>that unfortunately happened on Wall Street and this hyper focus

0:12:37.679 --> 0:12:41.199
<v Speaker 1>on the short term gains. I mean, there's endless jokes

0:12:41.240 --> 0:12:44.400
<v Speaker 1>regarding self care and the millennial spending on self care

0:12:44.600 --> 0:12:48.680
<v Speaker 1>or tourism. You know, all these derogatory statements regarding how

0:12:48.760 --> 0:12:52.280
<v Speaker 1>much millennials spend on eating out or coffees and things

0:12:52.280 --> 0:12:54.600
<v Speaker 1>like that. But I think it's a reflection of what

0:12:54.720 --> 0:12:56.840
<v Speaker 1>has happened on Wall Street for decades, which is this

0:12:56.920 --> 0:13:00.640
<v Speaker 1>hyper focus on the short term gains and in it

0:13:00.679 --> 0:13:04.280
<v Speaker 1>benefits rather than long term sustainability. And so if Wall

0:13:04.280 --> 0:13:06.400
<v Speaker 1>Street is teaching this to everyone that is really about

0:13:06.480 --> 0:13:10.520
<v Speaker 1>quarterly returns, and we're an earning seasons right now, then

0:13:10.720 --> 0:13:13.559
<v Speaker 1>why would the millennial generation be inclined to think anything

0:13:13.600 --> 0:13:17.520
<v Speaker 1>differently when everything is about cost of good sold, right

0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:20.040
<v Speaker 1>And it's the same thing when you think about reducing

0:13:20.040 --> 0:13:22.240
<v Speaker 1>your expenses, you know, on a day to day basis,

0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:25.319
<v Speaker 1>if I'm hyper focused on reducing my expenses, then I'm

0:13:25.320 --> 0:13:28.800
<v Speaker 1>going to think about not necessarily, you know, rather than

0:13:28.840 --> 0:13:31.440
<v Speaker 1>setting aside money because I need that money to reduce

0:13:31.480 --> 0:13:34.080
<v Speaker 1>my expenses right now. So I think that that's one

0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:35.920
<v Speaker 1>of the things that I think has been a big

0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:39.120
<v Speaker 1>picture trend that people really forget these are financial lessons

0:13:39.120 --> 0:13:41.840
<v Speaker 1>because financial literacy is not necessarily a core component and

0:13:41.880 --> 0:13:44.360
<v Speaker 1>say high school and middle school education, especially in the

0:13:44.400 --> 0:13:47.080
<v Speaker 1>United States, you know, where else are you getting these

0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:49.400
<v Speaker 1>financial lessons? And then I also want to remind people

0:13:49.440 --> 0:13:53.800
<v Speaker 1>that for better for worse, like reducing pay inequality, especially

0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:57.640
<v Speaker 1>among women and visible minorities, increases the cost of good sold.

0:13:57.840 --> 0:14:01.839
<v Speaker 1>Like there's no inclination if Wall Street is not inclined

0:14:02.280 --> 0:14:05.400
<v Speaker 1>to reduce these pay gaps and increase you know, say,

0:14:05.840 --> 0:14:09.760
<v Speaker 1>employee satisfaction or with these benefits, because that is not

0:14:10.160 --> 0:14:13.480
<v Speaker 1>what corporate finance teaches in NBA programs, because it increases

0:14:13.520 --> 0:14:16.400
<v Speaker 1>cost of good sold. And that's something like when I

0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:20.280
<v Speaker 1>was really listening to U Karen's episode regarding the ethnography

0:14:20.360 --> 0:14:22.720
<v Speaker 1>of Wall Street, especially prior to the crash, like right now,

0:14:23.040 --> 0:14:26.920
<v Speaker 1>this hyper focus, especially in tech, right especially when you're

0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:30.800
<v Speaker 1>incentivizing paying people in stock rather than in money that

0:14:30.800 --> 0:14:32.840
<v Speaker 1>they can take home right away in their salaries and

0:14:32.840 --> 0:14:35.720
<v Speaker 1>benefits they're going to incentivize, like I said, also these

0:14:35.720 --> 0:14:39.960
<v Speaker 1>short term behaviors that reduce expenses and uh. And also

0:14:40.000 --> 0:14:42.440
<v Speaker 1>they're going to make decisions that are not necessarily in

0:14:42.520 --> 0:14:45.160
<v Speaker 1>the long term interests of both themselves and then the corporation.

0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:06.200
<v Speaker 1>I definitely feel like one of the big I'm not

0:15:06.280 --> 0:15:09.400
<v Speaker 1>sure if it's political per se, but one of the

0:15:09.440 --> 0:15:11.760
<v Speaker 1>big things that we know about sort of younger generations,

0:15:11.760 --> 0:15:15.400
<v Speaker 1>whether it's millennial or maybe gen z as well, is

0:15:15.400 --> 0:15:19.600
<v Speaker 1>a significant focus and concern about climate and climate change

0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:22.800
<v Speaker 1>more than previous generations, and something I've always wondered about

0:15:22.840 --> 0:15:25.760
<v Speaker 1>and I'm curious your take on it is, does the

0:15:25.800 --> 0:15:29.520
<v Speaker 1>sense of impending doom that is a growing, a growing

0:15:29.560 --> 0:15:33.920
<v Speaker 1>sense I think among many people in your view change behaviors,

0:15:33.960 --> 0:15:36.400
<v Speaker 1>and that if someone says, like, Okay, well, you know,

0:15:36.600 --> 0:15:39.840
<v Speaker 1>you invest in this four oh one K and maybe

0:15:39.840 --> 0:15:43.320
<v Speaker 1>your twenty five, and you retire at sixty, so it's like, Okay,

0:15:43.320 --> 0:15:45.560
<v Speaker 1>you're not gonna be able to touch it for forty years.

0:15:46.160 --> 0:15:49.200
<v Speaker 1>Put backs out your four oh one K. I'm curious

0:15:49.200 --> 0:15:52.800
<v Speaker 1>whether this growing sense of climate doom in your view

0:15:52.920 --> 0:15:56.160
<v Speaker 1>changes the calculus about whether even a forty year weight

0:15:56.520 --> 0:16:00.200
<v Speaker 1>on an investment vehicle is makes sense. I think it's

0:16:00.280 --> 0:16:04.480
<v Speaker 1>one of several factors. I think, even before our understanding

0:16:04.520 --> 0:16:08.840
<v Speaker 1>of how climate change will affect the likelihood that this

0:16:08.920 --> 0:16:11.480
<v Speaker 1>generation will be able to retire or or set these

0:16:11.520 --> 0:16:14.000
<v Speaker 1>benchmarks for how much of their income they're supposed to

0:16:14.040 --> 0:16:17.920
<v Speaker 1>set aside for various investments, there's the basic fact that

0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:21.160
<v Speaker 1>there is still the day to day of like credit

0:16:21.160 --> 0:16:25.560
<v Speaker 1>card bills, student loans, your monthly rent, buying basic groceries.

0:16:25.760 --> 0:16:28.600
<v Speaker 1>Those are still day to day concerns or monthly concerns

0:16:28.680 --> 0:16:32.400
<v Speaker 1>long before investments that millennials are trying to stay above

0:16:32.480 --> 0:16:36.720
<v Speaker 1>water for. And unfortunately, like credit card companies do not

0:16:36.920 --> 0:16:40.160
<v Speaker 1>care about the impending climate crisis. They care if you

0:16:40.200 --> 0:16:42.520
<v Speaker 1>are late on your credit card payments or your student

0:16:42.520 --> 0:16:45.720
<v Speaker 1>loan payments, right like Navigant does not care if you

0:16:45.800 --> 0:16:49.400
<v Speaker 1>are anxious through the roof and are trying to pay

0:16:49.480 --> 0:16:52.360
<v Speaker 1>out of pocket for therapy or medications in order to

0:16:52.440 --> 0:16:55.480
<v Speaker 1>deal with, you know, this climate crisis. They care if

0:16:55.520 --> 0:16:58.320
<v Speaker 1>you're making your student loan payments on time for an

0:16:58.440 --> 0:17:01.080
<v Speaker 1>education that is right now very difficult to get a

0:17:01.200 --> 0:17:03.840
<v Speaker 1>job for. I read a report this morning from CNBC

0:17:03.920 --> 0:17:06.680
<v Speaker 1>talking about the inverted deal curve. You know, all these

0:17:06.680 --> 0:17:10.639
<v Speaker 1>economic indicators are saying right now people are girding themselves

0:17:10.640 --> 0:17:15.199
<v Speaker 1>for a recession. So millennials, regardless of even thinking about retirement,

0:17:15.240 --> 0:17:16.919
<v Speaker 1>they're just worried about the fact that if they can

0:17:17.000 --> 0:17:19.840
<v Speaker 1>even get a new job or keep their current job

0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:23.560
<v Speaker 1>right now, Like, the problem is this generation is burdened

0:17:23.600 --> 0:17:27.920
<v Speaker 1>by so many other legitimate concerns in regards to these

0:17:28.000 --> 0:17:31.679
<v Speaker 1>economic factors, and if they'll be able to afford getting married,

0:17:31.800 --> 0:17:34.520
<v Speaker 1>buying a home having children. Right. There was another report

0:17:34.600 --> 0:17:36.879
<v Speaker 1>over the weekend from the New York Times estimating the

0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:39.679
<v Speaker 1>cost of a child at two hundred thousand dollars. You know,

0:17:39.760 --> 0:17:41.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm at the perfect age where I have to consider

0:17:42.359 --> 0:17:44.760
<v Speaker 1>egg freezing or you know, if I'm going to use

0:17:44.760 --> 0:17:47.800
<v Speaker 1>that money for a work visa, like all of these things,

0:17:48.359 --> 0:17:52.080
<v Speaker 1>and so there's that combination. But it's just unfortunately another

0:17:52.640 --> 0:17:55.359
<v Speaker 1>thing on top of the pile in terms of climate change.

0:17:55.400 --> 0:17:57.280
<v Speaker 1>But I think that's a huge concern. It's just like

0:17:58.040 --> 0:18:01.040
<v Speaker 1>I've seen several jokes on Twitter saying, do I really

0:18:01.080 --> 0:18:03.840
<v Speaker 1>have to put aside money for retirement? Like who knows

0:18:04.000 --> 0:18:06.040
<v Speaker 1>if if we're even going to have a planet, if

0:18:06.080 --> 0:18:08.479
<v Speaker 1>everyone's trying to boost up and go to Mars, if

0:18:08.640 --> 0:18:11.760
<v Speaker 1>all the rich people are investing in Mars, one ticket,

0:18:12.359 --> 0:18:15.800
<v Speaker 1>gotta gotta save up for a ticket to mark Um.

0:18:15.840 --> 0:18:18.040
<v Speaker 1>I feel kind of bad asking this question because you

0:18:18.119 --> 0:18:21.439
<v Speaker 1>just laid out a whole host of economic anxieties for millennials.

0:18:21.480 --> 0:18:25.160
<v Speaker 1>But I'm curious it does the bowl market that we've

0:18:25.160 --> 0:18:28.879
<v Speaker 1>basically seen for the past ten years in stocks and

0:18:28.920 --> 0:18:32.639
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of other assets, does that factor into or

0:18:32.760 --> 0:18:37.880
<v Speaker 1>offset any of the reluctance of millennials to actually invest,

0:18:37.960 --> 0:18:41.400
<v Speaker 1>because year after year after year, for the most part,

0:18:41.920 --> 0:18:44.919
<v Speaker 1>have they just invested in an index fund PEG to

0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:48.040
<v Speaker 1>the SMP five hundred, they would have made a decent return.

0:18:48.200 --> 0:18:51.440
<v Speaker 1>Is there not a sort of fear of missing out

0:18:52.160 --> 0:18:55.920
<v Speaker 1>among some millennials or are they just so overwhelmed with

0:18:56.200 --> 0:18:59.560
<v Speaker 1>their other economic needs that it doesn't even come into play.

0:19:00.440 --> 0:19:02.520
<v Speaker 1>So I preface this by saying, I'm the child of

0:19:02.560 --> 0:19:05.320
<v Speaker 1>two bankers who worked for TD for twenty years each.

0:19:05.560 --> 0:19:07.880
<v Speaker 1>I am literally the perfect example of someone who grew

0:19:07.960 --> 0:19:11.320
<v Speaker 1>up with financial literacy from birth. If you're saying, you know,

0:19:11.359 --> 0:19:14.560
<v Speaker 1>with the bull market, I was, I chose an industry.

0:19:14.640 --> 0:19:18.520
<v Speaker 1>Unfortunately that I was not given the breathing room to

0:19:18.600 --> 0:19:21.720
<v Speaker 1>continue to either have a savings cushion or add to

0:19:21.760 --> 0:19:24.439
<v Speaker 1>that savings cushion during the period of the bull market.

0:19:24.560 --> 0:19:26.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, to invest in the bull market, you have

0:19:26.600 --> 0:19:29.600
<v Speaker 1>to have capital in order to put in and if

0:19:29.640 --> 0:19:33.159
<v Speaker 1>we've seen continuously, the millennial generation does not have this

0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:36.360
<v Speaker 1>excess capital either. They could not access the loans. They

0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:40.280
<v Speaker 1>were either discriminated against, especially if there were women and minorities,

0:19:40.400 --> 0:19:43.719
<v Speaker 1>for accessing these loans for mortgages, personal finance or they

0:19:43.720 --> 0:19:47.480
<v Speaker 1>were charged significantly more for car loans and education and

0:19:47.760 --> 0:19:51.359
<v Speaker 1>personal finance loans. Then there's the fact that they started

0:19:51.359 --> 0:19:53.880
<v Speaker 1>off with education loans and they couldn't immediately pay them

0:19:53.920 --> 0:19:56.639
<v Speaker 1>off in the first five to ten years following graduation

0:19:56.680 --> 0:19:59.440
<v Speaker 1>the same way that previous generations could, even with gen

0:19:59.640 --> 0:20:02.200
<v Speaker 1>X is experience of their own recession, right with the

0:20:02.240 --> 0:20:04.800
<v Speaker 1>dot com boone in the nineties. Then there's also the

0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:07.159
<v Speaker 1>fact that you're just like crawling yourself out of that

0:20:07.240 --> 0:20:10.320
<v Speaker 1>hole over and over again. And so even the bullmarket,

0:20:10.359 --> 0:20:13.840
<v Speaker 1>it's really about watching which organizations continue to look for

0:20:13.880 --> 0:20:18.960
<v Speaker 1>efficiencies and either crawling back pay raises or in terms

0:20:19.000 --> 0:20:22.480
<v Speaker 1>of new hiring or even benefits. Right there was continuous

0:20:22.760 --> 0:20:26.320
<v Speaker 1>union busting or in terms of reducing the portion of

0:20:26.359 --> 0:20:30.320
<v Speaker 1>benefits everything from define pension plans and to find benefits

0:20:30.440 --> 0:20:33.120
<v Speaker 1>or even the contributions that they were making too four

0:20:33.160 --> 0:20:36.639
<v Speaker 1>O one case, and the Canadian and UK equivalents imagined

0:20:36.720 --> 0:20:40.240
<v Speaker 1>someone listening to this, maybe their gen X, not me,

0:20:40.800 --> 0:20:43.040
<v Speaker 1>but you know someone maybe they're a little older gen X,

0:20:43.160 --> 0:20:47.040
<v Speaker 1>or maybe they're a boomer, and the millennials, it's like, yeah,

0:20:47.200 --> 0:20:49.439
<v Speaker 1>there's all this stuff that's been difficult for them, But

0:20:49.520 --> 0:20:52.640
<v Speaker 1>we had our own difficulty. You we had like inflation

0:20:52.720 --> 0:20:55.320
<v Speaker 1>in the seventies, we were terrified of the Cold War

0:20:55.600 --> 0:20:57.719
<v Speaker 1>and we had to duck and cover, and we were

0:20:57.760 --> 0:21:01.800
<v Speaker 1>worried about a nuclear bomb annihilated the world. They would say, like,

0:21:01.840 --> 0:21:04.280
<v Speaker 1>we had all kinds of things, you know, we had

0:21:04.280 --> 0:21:06.840
<v Speaker 1>our own issues, We had our own college costs to

0:21:06.880 --> 0:21:09.679
<v Speaker 1>deal with whatever it is. What are the sort of

0:21:09.800 --> 0:21:12.600
<v Speaker 1>data points that you look at, They would say, yes,

0:21:12.760 --> 0:21:17.280
<v Speaker 1>of course every generation has its anxieties, but substantively, this

0:21:17.359 --> 0:21:20.119
<v Speaker 1>is how why millennials like really did start deeper in

0:21:20.400 --> 0:21:23.880
<v Speaker 1>a whole than other generations. So I think going back

0:21:23.920 --> 0:21:27.880
<v Speaker 1>to the subject of capital um and capital investments, so

0:21:28.280 --> 0:21:30.000
<v Speaker 1>to go back to the Boomer generation and even to

0:21:30.040 --> 0:21:32.959
<v Speaker 1>a small degree, Gen X, the boomers could access capital,

0:21:33.560 --> 0:21:36.199
<v Speaker 1>whether it be through wealth building, through real estate, and

0:21:36.240 --> 0:21:40.520
<v Speaker 1>as well in terms of there's intellectual capital through education,

0:21:40.680 --> 0:21:45.120
<v Speaker 1>those definitive costs, and remember using the concept of compound interest,

0:21:45.640 --> 0:21:49.159
<v Speaker 1>they were able to benefit in a multi decade experience

0:21:49.160 --> 0:21:51.719
<v Speaker 1>in the way that the millennials will never have. And

0:21:51.760 --> 0:21:55.040
<v Speaker 1>the Cold War is a real concern, right like nuclear

0:21:55.240 --> 0:21:57.600
<v Speaker 1>disaster is a real concern. The problem is it's the

0:21:57.640 --> 0:22:00.000
<v Speaker 1>millennial generation that has to deal with you know, say

0:21:59.880 --> 0:22:02.200
<v Speaker 1>the toxic pool of waste right now in the Marshall

0:22:02.200 --> 0:22:05.679
<v Speaker 1>Islands that could be uncovered due to climate change, and

0:22:05.840 --> 0:22:07.879
<v Speaker 1>gen Z to a larger degree will also have to

0:22:07.880 --> 0:22:11.120
<v Speaker 1>deal with this. And so it's the wealth that boomers,

0:22:11.200 --> 0:22:14.119
<v Speaker 1>especially white boomers in several countries, have been able to

0:22:14.119 --> 0:22:17.159
<v Speaker 1>build up and benefit from compound interest, whether it be

0:22:17.240 --> 0:22:23.080
<v Speaker 1>through capital investments in property and in uh financial investments.

0:22:23.400 --> 0:22:25.800
<v Speaker 1>They had the excess capital in order to invest in

0:22:25.840 --> 0:22:28.600
<v Speaker 1>the bowl market over the last decade and benefit from

0:22:28.640 --> 0:22:32.200
<v Speaker 1>those gains. And then they were able to also benefit

0:22:32.240 --> 0:22:34.560
<v Speaker 1>from the low cost of education, right like my mother

0:22:34.640 --> 0:22:38.200
<v Speaker 1>talks about going to university for the cost of a car.

0:22:39.040 --> 0:22:41.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, in the United States now the cost of

0:22:41.520 --> 0:22:45.119
<v Speaker 1>a car is one semester's tuition, not including room and board.

0:22:45.400 --> 0:22:48.280
<v Speaker 1>So I think about that. And then there's also physical

0:22:48.320 --> 0:22:51.000
<v Speaker 1>and mental anxiety and the long term effects. Right we

0:22:51.119 --> 0:22:54.320
<v Speaker 1>know right now that their studies showing millennials will suffer

0:22:54.840 --> 0:22:56.600
<v Speaker 1>both in the short and long term in terms of

0:22:56.600 --> 0:22:59.040
<v Speaker 1>healthcare costs because of all of these cumulative factors that

0:22:59.080 --> 0:23:01.680
<v Speaker 1>we've outlined. So also have to plan to spend both

0:23:01.840 --> 0:23:04.119
<v Speaker 1>in the short and long term on these on dealing

0:23:04.200 --> 0:23:08.280
<v Speaker 1>with these issues, whether it be heart issues, health issues

0:23:08.440 --> 0:23:13.360
<v Speaker 1>right and possibly cancers and other long term illnesses, all

0:23:13.400 --> 0:23:16.199
<v Speaker 1>of those combinations combined, there's definitely going to be a

0:23:16.200 --> 0:23:18.320
<v Speaker 1>lot of issues. But even when it comes to boomer healthcare,

0:23:18.359 --> 0:23:21.000
<v Speaker 1>there's gonna there's gonna be much more capital for them

0:23:21.040 --> 0:23:24.600
<v Speaker 1>to say, retrofit their homes or go into long long

0:23:24.680 --> 0:23:28.480
<v Speaker 1>term care facilities, and also to buy the things that

0:23:28.520 --> 0:23:32.600
<v Speaker 1>they need. Even when there is income disparities. They're going

0:23:32.640 --> 0:23:34.760
<v Speaker 1>to be able to access Social Security in a way

0:23:34.760 --> 0:23:38.399
<v Speaker 1>that the millennial generation has totally written off. I'm actually

0:23:38.440 --> 0:23:41.640
<v Speaker 1>really interested in that last point. But real quickly, would

0:23:41.640 --> 0:23:44.160
<v Speaker 1>you say that you and your peers just assumed that

0:23:44.200 --> 0:23:46.880
<v Speaker 1>Social Security isn't going to be there when you retire.

0:23:47.880 --> 0:23:50.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, we've stopped assuming that we're going to have pensions.

0:23:50.400 --> 0:23:53.720
<v Speaker 1>Like the joke is like but its like but no,

0:23:53.840 --> 0:23:56.640
<v Speaker 1>what like? I mean, theoretically, the law says you're paying

0:23:56.720 --> 0:23:59.480
<v Speaker 1>into this trust fund. It's kind of made up. But

0:23:59.560 --> 0:24:03.240
<v Speaker 1>the law as it stands says that you'll get this

0:24:03.320 --> 0:24:07.000
<v Speaker 1>money out of every paycheck. But in your view, do

0:24:07.000 --> 0:24:08.640
<v Speaker 1>you think people are just like, yeah, it's not gonna

0:24:08.680 --> 0:24:11.359
<v Speaker 1>be there. So the problem with social security and the

0:24:11.400 --> 0:24:13.800
<v Speaker 1>way that it's funding, you know, I'm really I look

0:24:13.840 --> 0:24:16.439
<v Speaker 1>at a lot of economic indicators every day, everything from

0:24:16.440 --> 0:24:19.320
<v Speaker 1>the replacent rate, like if you're having fewer kids, if

0:24:19.520 --> 0:24:22.240
<v Speaker 1>people every generation continues to have fewer kids based on

0:24:22.240 --> 0:24:25.600
<v Speaker 1>the projected cost of everything from educating and feeding them

0:24:25.640 --> 0:24:28.280
<v Speaker 1>and you know, making sure that they're still alive, then

0:24:28.280 --> 0:24:31.000
<v Speaker 1>there's also the effect of Social Security. I think it's

0:24:31.040 --> 0:24:33.080
<v Speaker 1>also just like you know, like the minimum wage has

0:24:33.119 --> 0:24:36.879
<v Speaker 1>an increase in Stily two thousand and nine, and you know,

0:24:36.920 --> 0:24:39.439
<v Speaker 1>there was a report recently that shows people who are

0:24:39.480 --> 0:24:41.680
<v Speaker 1>earning less than fifteen dollars an hour, if they try

0:24:41.720 --> 0:24:44.120
<v Speaker 1>to get a new job, it's very difficult for them

0:24:44.160 --> 0:24:45.920
<v Speaker 1>to ascend to a job that will pay them more

0:24:45.920 --> 0:24:49.920
<v Speaker 1>than fifteen dollars an hour. So there's incredible wage stagnation

0:24:50.000 --> 0:24:53.440
<v Speaker 1>among a generation. Not just millennials, but millennials are highly

0:24:53.480 --> 0:24:58.240
<v Speaker 1>affected by this lack of basically mobility in the ability

0:24:58.280 --> 0:25:00.800
<v Speaker 1>to rise to the middle class on a a stable,

0:25:00.880 --> 0:25:04.719
<v Speaker 1>long term basis. So this procarity just precludes you from

0:25:04.720 --> 0:25:07.560
<v Speaker 1>setting aside money both that the government needs but also

0:25:07.640 --> 0:25:10.960
<v Speaker 1>that these individuals need on a long term basis, So

0:25:11.200 --> 0:25:15.399
<v Speaker 1>just zooming out a little bit. You're talking about, well,

0:25:15.480 --> 0:25:19.440
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned union busting earlier, and you're talking about a vastly,

0:25:19.880 --> 0:25:25.760
<v Speaker 1>vastly different um both work and personal situation for millennials

0:25:25.760 --> 0:25:29.520
<v Speaker 1>today versus what their parents experienced when they sort of

0:25:29.560 --> 0:25:32.440
<v Speaker 1>came of age in the workforce. What do you think

0:25:32.520 --> 0:25:36.679
<v Speaker 1>change sort of economically or in society or in the

0:25:36.720 --> 0:25:41.560
<v Speaker 1>way corporations operate. That's a really big question. Sorry, but

0:25:41.640 --> 0:25:45.000
<v Speaker 1>like something must have happened, right, So there's a culture

0:25:45.440 --> 0:25:49.520
<v Speaker 1>in which, unfortunately, I think there's a generation I would

0:25:49.560 --> 0:25:53.320
<v Speaker 1>say that lean's libertarian or conservative in terms of everything

0:25:53.400 --> 0:25:57.199
<v Speaker 1>from how things are taxed. There was a huge withdrawal

0:25:57.240 --> 0:26:01.600
<v Speaker 1>of public funding towards education in especially in many specific states,

0:26:01.640 --> 0:26:04.760
<v Speaker 1>but across the United States, for better for worse. It

0:26:04.840 --> 0:26:06.960
<v Speaker 1>was hyper focus on the individual. It's like you're not

0:26:07.040 --> 0:26:09.600
<v Speaker 1>working hard enough, you're not doing enough to save personally.

0:26:10.080 --> 0:26:13.960
<v Speaker 1>So it made system disparities much greater, especially among genders

0:26:13.960 --> 0:26:17.200
<v Speaker 1>and minorities, which are growing groups in the United States

0:26:17.240 --> 0:26:21.440
<v Speaker 1>through immigration and through birthrates. Right, Like we know birthrates

0:26:21.600 --> 0:26:26.639
<v Speaker 1>very wildly between different ethnicities. Like I really think the

0:26:27.200 --> 0:26:32.720
<v Speaker 1>rise of personal finances, individualizing systemic factors and saying you

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:35.720
<v Speaker 1>are not saving enough of your own personal income regardless

0:26:35.720 --> 0:26:38.800
<v Speaker 1>of these systemic factors that are preventing you from earning

0:26:38.800 --> 0:26:41.320
<v Speaker 1>more at work or setting aside these funds. You know,

0:26:41.400 --> 0:26:43.800
<v Speaker 1>things that other countries have taken care of for them,

0:26:44.040 --> 0:26:47.280
<v Speaker 1>whether it be child care or uh, you know, the

0:26:47.320 --> 0:26:50.320
<v Speaker 1>cost of going to the hospital or paying for higher education,

0:26:50.920 --> 0:26:53.399
<v Speaker 1>or even in terms of the way that costs have

0:26:53.480 --> 0:26:56.600
<v Speaker 1>been privatized. And what is the government's priority. I think

0:26:56.600 --> 0:26:59.480
<v Speaker 1>it's really about, like I said, going back to the

0:26:59.560 --> 0:27:02.320
<v Speaker 1>philosoph view of thinking and the culture of thinking about

0:27:02.359 --> 0:27:06.960
<v Speaker 1>the short term and and then especially the rapid focus,

0:27:07.160 --> 0:27:10.120
<v Speaker 1>especially in the last decade that the other Karen talked

0:27:10.160 --> 0:27:12.840
<v Speaker 1>about on Wall Street. It's it's really about what can

0:27:12.880 --> 0:27:16.639
<v Speaker 1>you get so that your latest quarters results increase the

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:19.520
<v Speaker 1>share price on the market. You know, it's actually it

0:27:19.520 --> 0:27:22.679
<v Speaker 1>would be so it's so ridiculous kind of but you

0:27:22.680 --> 0:27:26.159
<v Speaker 1>guys would have been a good joint. No, seriously, because

0:27:26.160 --> 0:27:28.480
<v Speaker 1>so much of like what her point was that like

0:27:28.720 --> 0:27:31.480
<v Speaker 1>the sort of internal culture of the banks then has

0:27:31.560 --> 0:27:34.720
<v Speaker 1>the sort of like outward manifestation. And now I feel

0:27:34.760 --> 0:27:37.080
<v Speaker 1>like you're talking about the outward side of it. And

0:27:37.160 --> 0:27:40.239
<v Speaker 1>so even though it's kind of random that maybe one

0:27:40.320 --> 0:27:42.159
<v Speaker 1>day we should have another one where you're both on

0:27:42.240 --> 0:27:44.960
<v Speaker 1>at the same time, because I feel like there's a

0:27:44.960 --> 0:27:47.080
<v Speaker 1>lot of what you're both saying that are kind of

0:27:47.119 --> 0:27:50.719
<v Speaker 1>like the same story from a different perspective. Before we

0:27:50.720 --> 0:27:53.239
<v Speaker 1>wrap up, I'm curious, like, in your view, is this

0:27:53.320 --> 0:27:55.960
<v Speaker 1>whole too big to dig out of? Like, if they,

0:27:56.160 --> 0:28:00.520
<v Speaker 1>let's say, the expansion, the economic recovery were continue to

0:28:00.520 --> 0:28:02.439
<v Speaker 1>go on, and the labor market were to continue to

0:28:02.480 --> 0:28:06.240
<v Speaker 1>be you know, three point six percent unemployment pretty good

0:28:06.520 --> 0:28:10.360
<v Speaker 1>if that were to continue, could eventually this whole will

0:28:10.359 --> 0:28:11.960
<v Speaker 1>be dug out of? Or do you think that the

0:28:12.080 --> 0:28:16.560
<v Speaker 1>sort of economic traumas that were unique and specific to

0:28:16.640 --> 0:28:20.160
<v Speaker 1>this generation, plus the burden of various debts, the sort

0:28:20.200 --> 0:28:25.119
<v Speaker 1>of gouging that we see in healthcare and education really

0:28:25.320 --> 0:28:29.840
<v Speaker 1>basically guarantees that a permanent scar has been left on

0:28:29.880 --> 0:28:34.239
<v Speaker 1>the one generation essentially last forever on that happy Now.

0:28:34.760 --> 0:28:36.760
<v Speaker 1>I think it's really about what's going to happen in

0:28:37.480 --> 0:28:39.720
<v Speaker 1>that's going to determine a lot of what's going to

0:28:39.800 --> 0:28:42.560
<v Speaker 1>change or not change, because there is right now no

0:28:42.760 --> 0:28:45.880
<v Speaker 1>incentive or no motivation for a lot of these organizations

0:28:45.880 --> 0:28:48.720
<v Speaker 1>and corporations to change their behavior. Right in terms of

0:28:48.960 --> 0:28:51.840
<v Speaker 1>the tax cuts, basically, so far, the reporting shows that

0:28:51.920 --> 0:28:54.800
<v Speaker 1>none of the organizations have really reinvested the money that

0:28:54.840 --> 0:28:57.840
<v Speaker 1>they supposedly saved on taxes, right. They just continue to

0:28:57.880 --> 0:29:01.160
<v Speaker 1>either give that out to shareholders or attain it um

0:29:01.200 --> 0:29:04.200
<v Speaker 1>as cash on hand. Then there's the problem in regards

0:29:04.240 --> 0:29:08.760
<v Speaker 1>to digging out of the whole requires specific government policies

0:29:08.760 --> 0:29:11.560
<v Speaker 1>like raising the minimum wage. You know, I was shocked

0:29:11.560 --> 0:29:14.520
<v Speaker 1>to see that there are exemptions I think in Montana

0:29:14.640 --> 0:29:18.040
<v Speaker 1>and Georgia for minimum wages lower than I think five

0:29:18.120 --> 0:29:21.160
<v Speaker 1>dollars and fifteen cents. In Montana it's four dollars. And

0:29:21.200 --> 0:29:24.280
<v Speaker 1>then you know, we have an increasing number of people

0:29:24.320 --> 0:29:28.960
<v Speaker 1>who are participating in a gig economy that is paying widely,

0:29:29.280 --> 0:29:32.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, exploitive rates for everything. I think it's really

0:29:32.800 --> 0:29:35.760
<v Speaker 1>about looking at the systems that are pushing people to

0:29:36.240 --> 0:29:38.240
<v Speaker 1>need this money. You know, I thought the report on

0:29:38.280 --> 0:29:42.040
<v Speaker 1>mechanical turking was horrifying in terms of what people felt

0:29:42.040 --> 0:29:43.680
<v Speaker 1>like they had to do in order to pay for

0:29:44.400 --> 0:29:50.120
<v Speaker 1>basic medical prescriptions, um like saving insulin. It's really about, unfortunately,

0:29:50.160 --> 0:29:53.320
<v Speaker 1>what are the priorities of governments, Because corporations are not

0:29:53.360 --> 0:29:56.280
<v Speaker 1>being incentivized, like I said, doing things like investing in

0:29:56.760 --> 0:30:01.080
<v Speaker 1>reducing pay gaps or even tuition incentives that increases cocks

0:30:01.120 --> 0:30:05.040
<v Speaker 1>and expenses and on their balance sheets. That looks bad, right,

0:30:05.040 --> 0:30:07.240
<v Speaker 1>because it looks bad for a net income, it looks

0:30:07.240 --> 0:30:13.040
<v Speaker 1>bad for quarterly results. And unfortunately, it's treated very differently

0:30:13.120 --> 0:30:15.880
<v Speaker 1>than if you got like a government fine for violating

0:30:15.920 --> 0:30:19.800
<v Speaker 1>privacy issues. Karen, thank you very much for joining us.

0:30:19.800 --> 0:30:37.280
<v Speaker 1>That was awesome. Thanks so much. Perspective Karen Tracy, I

0:30:37.360 --> 0:30:40.720
<v Speaker 1>really I wasn't kidding. We we should have or we

0:30:40.760 --> 0:30:43.920
<v Speaker 1>should at some point have a podcast with the two

0:30:44.000 --> 0:30:46.600
<v Speaker 1>Karen's at the same time, because I really did feel

0:30:46.640 --> 0:30:51.440
<v Speaker 1>like her. This Karen's perspective was almost exactly what the

0:30:51.520 --> 0:30:54.400
<v Speaker 1>other Karen was talking about in terms of that culture

0:30:54.400 --> 0:30:58.120
<v Speaker 1>of Wall Street then manifesting into culture of corporations, then

0:30:58.160 --> 0:31:01.360
<v Speaker 1>bleeding down into the culture of employees and other people

0:31:01.360 --> 0:31:05.400
<v Speaker 1>who live in this world today. Right, I would totally

0:31:05.480 --> 0:31:10.000
<v Speaker 1>agree with you. They're surprisingly in sync. And what this

0:31:10.160 --> 0:31:13.320
<v Speaker 1>Karen was talking about was basically the societal impact of

0:31:13.360 --> 0:31:17.080
<v Speaker 1>all that short termism on Wall Street. One thing that

0:31:17.200 --> 0:31:20.959
<v Speaker 1>really struck me was this idea of compound interest between

0:31:20.960 --> 0:31:24.240
<v Speaker 1>generations as well, because one thing you often hear nowadays

0:31:24.320 --> 0:31:27.720
<v Speaker 1>is that, you know, millennials are complaining now, but eventually,

0:31:27.840 --> 0:31:31.120
<v Speaker 1>and this is quite dark, but it is sadly true.

0:31:31.360 --> 0:31:34.000
<v Speaker 1>Eventually the baby boomers are going to die and there

0:31:34.120 --> 0:31:39.040
<v Speaker 1>could be this big transfer of capital slash wealth to

0:31:39.280 --> 0:31:42.520
<v Speaker 1>their children, and at that point millennials will have some

0:31:42.640 --> 0:31:45.400
<v Speaker 1>capital to play around with. But of course, as Karen

0:31:45.440 --> 0:31:49.000
<v Speaker 1>pointed out, they've already missed out on decades of actually

0:31:49.160 --> 0:31:53.360
<v Speaker 1>doing something with that capital. I also think it's interesting

0:31:53.600 --> 0:31:58.040
<v Speaker 1>because this concept of labor market procarity or economic procarity,

0:31:58.080 --> 0:32:01.240
<v Speaker 1>I think for millennials in particul there's actually been like

0:32:01.280 --> 0:32:04.560
<v Speaker 1>a double whammy because there's one there's like the deep

0:32:04.640 --> 0:32:08.320
<v Speaker 1>economic cycle, so that we had the Great Recession, and

0:32:08.360 --> 0:32:12.240
<v Speaker 1>we've had a pretty weak labor market for a long time,

0:32:12.840 --> 0:32:17.160
<v Speaker 1>particularly in this country, So that lends itself to economic

0:32:17.240 --> 0:32:21.080
<v Speaker 1>procarity because the job markets not that great. Compounded with

0:32:21.320 --> 0:32:24.360
<v Speaker 1>or added on to that, we have these new modes

0:32:24.440 --> 0:32:28.959
<v Speaker 1>of labor, expectations of the gig economy, other things, in

0:32:29.000 --> 0:32:31.840
<v Speaker 1>which even in a good economy, even when the job

0:32:31.880 --> 0:32:35.719
<v Speaker 1>market is robust, there are these changing expectations about how

0:32:35.800 --> 0:32:40.120
<v Speaker 1>much permanent unemployer owes an employee and so forth, And

0:32:40.160 --> 0:32:43.200
<v Speaker 1>so I really think that, like there's the cyclical aspect

0:32:43.280 --> 0:32:46.520
<v Speaker 1>to procarity, that's the ups and downs of the GDP

0:32:46.720 --> 0:32:50.320
<v Speaker 1>and the unemployment rate, and then there's the structural aspect

0:32:50.320 --> 0:32:52.840
<v Speaker 1>of labor market procarity, which is just the nature of

0:32:52.840 --> 0:32:57.200
<v Speaker 1>work seems to be changing. And it really feels like millennials,

0:32:57.560 --> 0:33:00.680
<v Speaker 1>unlike any other generation, just got hit with two different

0:33:00.760 --> 0:33:03.200
<v Speaker 1>kinds of recarity at the same time. Yeah, I would

0:33:03.200 --> 0:33:05.880
<v Speaker 1>also say it's it's even a triple whammy because you

0:33:05.920 --> 0:33:09.080
<v Speaker 1>also have the impact of sort of starting your career

0:33:09.200 --> 0:33:13.240
<v Speaker 1>immediately after the financial crisis, when people really weren't certain

0:33:13.720 --> 0:33:17.120
<v Speaker 1>what investing was or what the market was going to

0:33:17.200 --> 0:33:19.800
<v Speaker 1>look like. And then at the same time, you're sort

0:33:19.800 --> 0:33:24.080
<v Speaker 1>of struggling to gather together enough money to actually put

0:33:24.400 --> 0:33:27.320
<v Speaker 1>in a four oh one K or any type of

0:33:27.360 --> 0:33:32.720
<v Speaker 1>financial asset, and you're watching stocks hit new highs basically

0:33:32.760 --> 0:33:35.600
<v Speaker 1>every year, and you're worried that you're coming in at

0:33:35.640 --> 0:33:38.400
<v Speaker 1>exactly the end of the bull market. And I mean,

0:33:38.440 --> 0:33:40.280
<v Speaker 1>you and I both know that for the past eight

0:33:40.360 --> 0:33:42.040
<v Speaker 1>years people have been talking about the end of the

0:33:42.040 --> 0:33:44.600
<v Speaker 1>bull market. And I think it's really really hard for

0:33:44.640 --> 0:33:48.240
<v Speaker 1>people to get over that initial experience and actually dip

0:33:48.480 --> 0:33:52.200
<v Speaker 1>into the market. Oh totally. Everyone always thinks that the

0:33:52.280 --> 0:33:54.920
<v Speaker 1>moment they get in is going to be the peak.

0:33:55.240 --> 0:33:57.120
<v Speaker 1>And then I think the one other thing, and I

0:33:57.160 --> 0:34:01.600
<v Speaker 1>think this is like a ongoing worse sending trend in

0:34:01.680 --> 0:34:06.000
<v Speaker 1>American economy, which is just these crucial sectors of the

0:34:06.040 --> 0:34:11.720
<v Speaker 1>economy I think are getting driven by oligopoly and rent seeking,

0:34:11.760 --> 0:34:16.560
<v Speaker 1>and so whether it's universities, whether it's healthcare, whether it's rent,

0:34:17.120 --> 0:34:20.959
<v Speaker 1>you have these entrenched, powerful forces that are really sort

0:34:21.000 --> 0:34:23.200
<v Speaker 1>of I think in a lot of people's just kind

0:34:23.200 --> 0:34:26.040
<v Speaker 1>of making a mockery of capitalism and free markets, where

0:34:26.080 --> 0:34:29.520
<v Speaker 1>prices are just getting worse. As Karen put it, like

0:34:29.840 --> 0:34:33.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, uh now one semester of college basically costs

0:34:33.239 --> 0:34:35.520
<v Speaker 1>as much as a car as opposed to a whole education.

0:34:35.880 --> 0:34:38.240
<v Speaker 1>It is getting worse. It is these things are getting

0:34:38.280 --> 0:34:42.920
<v Speaker 1>more expensive. Healthcare is getting more unaffordable by leaps and

0:34:42.920 --> 0:34:46.080
<v Speaker 1>bounds every year, in part because these industries are just

0:34:46.160 --> 0:34:51.160
<v Speaker 1>like so broken and u arguably so corrupt, so lots

0:34:51.200 --> 0:34:54.319
<v Speaker 1>of bad things or in Amazon that's able to sort

0:34:54.360 --> 0:34:58.200
<v Speaker 1>of exert enormous downward pressure on wages. And what's actually

0:34:58.400 --> 0:35:01.680
<v Speaker 1>really worrying is that a lot of policymakers are only

0:35:01.760 --> 0:35:05.839
<v Speaker 1>just beginning to scratch the surface of these dynamics. And

0:35:06.080 --> 0:35:09.000
<v Speaker 1>I know at Jackson Hole last year, people were talking

0:35:09.000 --> 0:35:13.160
<v Speaker 1>a lot about monopsony, which was sort of the technical term.

0:35:13.200 --> 0:35:15.600
<v Speaker 1>I guess for a lot of these dynamics. We haven't

0:35:15.600 --> 0:35:18.960
<v Speaker 1>really heard that much since then. No, but I guess,

0:35:19.080 --> 0:35:21.640
<v Speaker 1>you know Karen mentioned, and I think a lot of

0:35:21.640 --> 0:35:24.719
<v Speaker 1>the question for policy perspective is like, you know, the

0:35:24.800 --> 0:35:27.120
<v Speaker 1>true no trend can last forever. So are we going

0:35:27.160 --> 0:35:29.040
<v Speaker 1>to find a way as a country to sort of

0:35:29.320 --> 0:35:31.160
<v Speaker 1>curb some of these trends or is it going to

0:35:31.320 --> 0:35:34.719
<v Speaker 1>like all break one day and some huge revolution and cataclysm.

0:35:34.800 --> 0:35:37.920
<v Speaker 1>So that's something investor should think about. Okay, On that

0:35:37.960 --> 0:35:41.400
<v Speaker 1>happy note. On that note, this has been This has

0:35:41.400 --> 0:35:45.040
<v Speaker 1>been another episode of the Odd Lots podcast. I'm Joe Wisenthal.

0:35:45.120 --> 0:35:49.040
<v Speaker 1>You can follow me on Twitter at the Stalwart and

0:35:49.160 --> 0:35:51.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me on Twitter at

0:35:51.960 --> 0:35:55.400
<v Speaker 1>Tracy Alloway. And you should follow our guests on Twitter.

0:35:55.560 --> 0:35:59.200
<v Speaker 1>She's at Karen k Ho and be sure to follow

0:35:59.200 --> 0:36:03.440
<v Speaker 1>our producer on Twitter, Laura Carlson. She's at Laura M. Carlson,

0:36:03.880 --> 0:36:08.359
<v Speaker 1>and check out all of Bloomberg's podcasts on Twitter at podcasts.

0:36:08.560 --> 0:36:09.320
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening.