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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in Lake Agains Live. It is Tuesday Night,

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Speaker 1: November ninth, Dear of Our Lord twenty twenty one. No

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Speaker 1: trophy November tonight. That's what the theme of the show

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Speaker 1: is because well they don't give them out in November,

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Speaker 1: although there's a lot of credit given out in November.

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Speaker 1: No trophy November. We will discuss in more detail coming up.

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Speaker 1: We are obviously jam packed. It's a Tuesday. We've got predictions.

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Speaker 1: We've got a JP pole tonight, We've got some comments

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Speaker 1: on buses to talk about, we've got pressure to talk about,

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Speaker 1: and we are high at top downtown Nashville, Tennessee to

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Speaker 1: do it all. As I said, we got some games

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Speaker 1: to predict tonight. We're gonna hit Texas A and m

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Speaker 1: O Mess. We're gonna be at Baylor this week. So

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma at Baylor, we're gonna discuss. Listen, Georgia football. I

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Speaker 1: wanted to hit this a little bit tonight. There's something

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Speaker 1: coming for them, opportunity namely, it's coming for them, but

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Speaker 1: there's something else in the mix. You're not picking it

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Speaker 1: up right now, and I don't think the flyover sort

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Speaker 1: of national college football apparatus is going to pick up

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Speaker 1: on it until or if it actually happens. So we're

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Speaker 1: going to discuss that tonight because we kind of want

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Speaker 1: to get ahead of the curve. I got two more

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Speaker 1: added best bets to add on to the Raman Noodle

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Speaker 1: Express and Man, some stuff that happened after we thought

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Speaker 1: we had the show together, director Colin, producer Jesse and I.

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Speaker 1: You know, we even talking all day. We felt like

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Speaker 1: we had a good, solid show. And then, as is

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Speaker 1: usually the case, when you feel like you've got the

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Speaker 1: show put together, some random, grainy, dark video on a

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Speaker 1: bus surfaces at like two thirty in the afternoon at

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Speaker 1: three thirty in the afternoon depending on time zone, and

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Speaker 1: you say, well, we got a new lead for the show.

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Speaker 1: So I'll tell you what I'm talking about in just

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Speaker 1: a second. If you haven't seen it, you've got to

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Speaker 1: make sure you're following on Twitter at Late Kick Josh.

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Speaker 1: You've got to make sure you're following on Instagram. Also

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Speaker 1: at Late Kick Josh. Today, for instance, we revealed on

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Speaker 1: the Twitter dot com that we are endorsing Will Anderson

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Speaker 1: for Heisman. This is a huge endorsement. This is like

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Speaker 1: in politics when you get the teamster on your side.

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Speaker 1: This is the endorsement that I cannot be convinced otherwise.

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Speaker 1: Davante Smith needed last year to win the Heisman. When

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Speaker 1: we endorsed Davonte Smith, that is when he spread his

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Speaker 1: wings and he started to fly. Ironically a Philadelphia Eagles player.

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Speaker 1: Now and this year, for the first time since I

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Speaker 1: can remember Colin, we are endorsing a defensive player. Look,

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Speaker 1: I think Will Anderson's the best college football player in

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Speaker 1: America right now, and so that's why we are endorsing

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Speaker 1: him now. We have remained mom on this, but as

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Speaker 1: of today we've seen enough. We need to see no more.

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Speaker 1: Will Anderson's our guy. Now. You need to understand something.

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Speaker 1: Just as we did with a DeVante Smith last year,

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Speaker 1: we were very neutral until we took a side, and

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Speaker 1: after we took aside, we defended him like he was

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Speaker 1: one of our children. So as of tonight and moving forward,

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Speaker 1: we will defend Will Anderson on this program as if

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Speaker 1: he is one of our own. Welcome to the fold,

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Speaker 1: Will Anderson. We have adopted you, and we will put

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Speaker 1: the entire might of this brand behind your Heisman campaign.

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Speaker 1: Probably gonna fall well short because you play on the

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Speaker 1: wrong side of the ball, but we're gonna try. Nonetheless,

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Speaker 1: the Late Kick Extra podcast is out today before I

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Speaker 1: dive into the show, and the reason why I want

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Speaker 1: to remind you even though judging by the charts, maybe

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Speaker 1: I don't need to, but I need to remind you

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Speaker 1: because there is a just a horrific, nightmarish travel story

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Speaker 1: that I don't have time on this particular show to

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Speaker 1: talk about, but I did on the Late Kick Extra podcast,

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Speaker 1: So make sure you check that out. We're right ahead

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Speaker 1: of Tom Brady's podcast right now, so as usual, you know,

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Speaker 1: the competition between Tom Brady and I, it's been ongoing

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Speaker 1: for a long time. It's just been something I've had

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Speaker 1: to deal with. Sometimes Tom gets the upper hand, sometimes

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Speaker 1: I get the upper hand. He's not so different, you know.

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Speaker 1: I would tell him that we're not so different, you

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Speaker 1: and I Tom. But the Late Kick Extra podcast includes

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Speaker 1: a really juicy couple of stories from this past weekend

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Speaker 1: in College Station, So check that out anywhere you get

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Speaker 1: your podcast. Let's dive into tonight's show, shall we. Bo

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Speaker 1: Davis is a defensive line coach at Texas. Texas is

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Speaker 1: not good at football right now. They can't finish games,

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Speaker 1: they can't close the second half to say they're live

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Speaker 1: and they keep blowing leads, and if you're a winner,

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Speaker 1: you don't like that. It doesn't really sit well. And

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Speaker 1: now they're struggling to try and make a bowl at Texas,

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Speaker 1: which is something that would have been unheard of just

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Speaker 1: a month ago when they were taking Oklahoma down to

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Speaker 1: the wire. Will things have gone sideways for Texas? Okay,

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Speaker 1: now that's not breaking news. We've seen that happen. But

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Speaker 1: after this last loss to Iowa State, you probably had

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Speaker 1: it go out of your mind once the broadcast ended.

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Speaker 1: It's thirty to seven. Shame on Texas. They were up

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Speaker 1: at the half. They blew a lead at half again,

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Speaker 1: same old song and dance, and then you go and

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Speaker 1: you watch other games. But here's the thing. In the

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Speaker 1: real world, if you're on that team, you got to

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Speaker 1: mope around your locker room, and you got to clean

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Speaker 1: things up, and you got to pack your stuff up,

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Speaker 1: and you got to get on the bus, and you

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Speaker 1: got to go to the airport and you got to

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Speaker 1: travel all night. And so that happened for Texas this weekend.

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Speaker 1: Now I'm going to play you in just a second

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Speaker 1: some audio and director Colin and producer Jesse have sweat

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Speaker 1: stains under both armpits of their shirts right now because

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Speaker 1: they had to feverishly work all afternoon to edit this video.

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Speaker 1: And the thing's only forty five seconds. So you ask,

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Speaker 1: what are they? I mean, are they talentless? Do they

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Speaker 1: not know what they're doing? Why would it Why did

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Speaker 1: it take so much effort an exertion of energy to

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Speaker 1: edit a video. Some of you've seen the video and

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Speaker 1: you know exactly what I'm talking about. For those of

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Speaker 1: you who haven't, and if you're listening on podcasts, you

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Speaker 1: won't lose an ounce of the effect here because it's

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Speaker 1: it's a video shot on a bus at night by

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Speaker 1: someone who is softer than Sharman, who shot this video,

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Speaker 1: by the way, pathetic. That's its own story that we'll

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Speaker 1: talk about in a second. But I'm gonna play for

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Speaker 1: you video and I want you to remember the context.

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Speaker 1: Texas has just been beaten soundly at Iowa State. They

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Speaker 1: are four and five at the time of this recording.

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Speaker 1: They're probably headed back to the airport and some folks

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Speaker 1: are taking it better than others. This is Texas defensive

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Speaker 1: line coach Bo Davis. Let's roll the tape. Ear muffs. Kids,

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Speaker 1: it's real.

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Speaker 2: Tell me you need to get in a print from book.

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Speaker 2: You want to go.

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Speaker 1: Game to me.

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Speaker 2: If you're thinking the game, get this book. I got

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Speaker 2: my last kick and you want to laugh, brail joke

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Speaker 2: and so of you this bill and we would have

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Speaker 2: laughed and joked.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Not a good trip back to Austin the other

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Speaker 1: night for some Texas players. Some took it harder than others.

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Speaker 1: Some didn't care enough to where they actually recorded a

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Speaker 1: coach telling a lot of folks on that bus and

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Speaker 1: the surrounding buses what needed to be said. Take away

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Speaker 1: from this. A lot of you asked what I thought

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Speaker 1: about it? Here's what I think college football or you

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Speaker 1: know what, let me just start over. Football in general

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Speaker 1: is a violent sport. It is hard to play. It

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Speaker 1: is a sport that is not made for everyone. Everyone

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Speaker 1: can watch it, not everyone can play it. It takes

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Speaker 1: a hard mentality and physically it's just hard. And even

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Speaker 1: though it's been sanitized for commercial use and it gets

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Speaker 1: really dressed up before it gets put out there for

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Speaker 1: public consumption, the sausage still has to be made and

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Speaker 1: behind the scenes, that kind of stuff occasionally leaks out

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Speaker 1: into the public. Occasionally the public gets the curtain peeled

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Speaker 1: and they get the sea back there. And I always

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Speaker 1: laugh because when these sorts of things occasionally leak out.

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Speaker 1: You know, the Orgeron video a couple of years ago,

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Speaker 1: this video of Bo Davis, you get one of two reactions.

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Speaker 1: There is no in between. You either get shock or

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Speaker 1: you get shrugged. The shocked people are the people who

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Speaker 1: probably didn't grow up in locker rooms. They probably didn't

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Speaker 1: play sports, and they have no idea that this world exists.

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Speaker 1: They just see the postgame interview where everyone's lovew and

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Speaker 1: everyone's speaking the talking points that have been pumped into

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Speaker 1: their head. They don't understand that's the real world, that's

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Speaker 1: the subculture, that's locker room that you're not supposed to

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Speaker 1: hear what you do here. The other side shrugs because

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Speaker 1: they did grow up in locker rooms and they are

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Speaker 1: competitors that are around that kind of environment a lot,

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Speaker 1: and they look at that and they listen to that,

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Speaker 1: and they say, is that it? I thought this was

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Speaker 1: a big deal. I was told about this video. All

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Speaker 1: I hear is what I used to hear on a

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Speaker 1: random Wednesday in high school. So that was Bo Davis

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Speaker 1: and that was his talk. Bo Davis came from Alabama.

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Speaker 1: Bo Davis is not used to losing. Bo Davis is

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Speaker 1: a winner. Here's the thing about winners. They can sniff

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Speaker 1: out a loser really quick. And here's the bad news.

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Speaker 1: Texas has got some losers in their locker room. I

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Speaker 1: didn't say it's a locker room full of losers. I

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Speaker 1: said Texas has got some losers in their locker room,

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Speaker 1: and winners sniff them out. And they got too many

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Speaker 1: of them there right now. They've got that mentality that

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Speaker 1: we've talked a lot about on this show, the winner

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Speaker 1: out there and the winning teams out there, if you

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Speaker 1: find a winning organization. They got a bunch of what

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Speaker 1: can I do for the team mentality in the locker

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Speaker 1: room at Texas. They got a whole lot of what

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Speaker 1: can Texas do for me in their locker room? And

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Speaker 1: it's painfully of me. It's that coaching staff saw it

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Speaker 1: when they walked in. The good news is I believe

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Speaker 1: that collection of coaches can get it right. I do

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Speaker 1: believe that that's good news. There is another side of

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Speaker 1: that coin. The bad news is I don't think they

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Speaker 1: can get it right with the folks in their locker

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Speaker 1: room currently, and I think they know that. And when

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Speaker 1: you got a coach screaming some of y'all need to

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Speaker 1: get in the transfer portal and a lot more colorful

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Speaker 1: language than that. That's not spontaneous, that's not off the cuff.

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Speaker 1: That's the kind of stuff they've been saying in their

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Speaker 1: meeting room amongst themselves for probably every day since they

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Speaker 1: got there, and did help the observation of the organization.

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Speaker 1: Here's the core issue, and this is going to be

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Speaker 1: an issue for a while for Sart. It's a process,

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Speaker 1: but at Texas and places like Texas, it's a process

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Speaker 1: that a lot of people are not going to have

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Speaker 1: time for because they've been misled. They've been misled quite frankly,

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Speaker 1: by recruiting rankings and a misinterpretation of what those recruiting

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Speaker 1: rankings mean. They think the pieces are there. That's why

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Speaker 1: they don't have patients, because they got told by their

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Speaker 1: favorite preview magazine, or they got told by the twenty

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Speaker 1: four to seven sports team talent composite that the talent's there,

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Speaker 1: and preview magazine culture told them they expects there and

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Speaker 1: he's got the pieces. He being Steve Sarkisan he's got

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Speaker 1: the pieces to work with and therefore it shouldn't take long. Guys, Well,

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Speaker 1: talent is not the only name of the game here.

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Speaker 1: You got to have it. Talent is a prerequisite. But

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Speaker 1: there's some other te's. There's toughness, they don't have it

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Speaker 1: at Texas. There's tenacity, they don't have it at Texas.

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Speaker 1: Then there's some other things like attention to detail, just

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Speaker 1: the entire mental aspect of the game, they don't have it.

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Speaker 1: You got some folks who focus on ball. You got

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Speaker 1: some folks who focus on brand. There are too many

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Speaker 1: brand types at Texas, not enough ball types. And you've

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Speaker 1: got to overturn that locker room. Now. You can start

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Speaker 1: to do it by the kids you bring in via recruiting,

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Speaker 1: and I'm sure that they're trying to do that, working

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Speaker 1: twenty five hours a day in order to try and

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Speaker 1: do that. You can also not so subtly force some

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Speaker 1: kids out and try and trim the fat via the

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Speaker 1: transfer portal. But the problem is that takes time. You

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Speaker 1: cannot do that week to week, month to month. That's

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Speaker 1: a year and a year thing. And right now they

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Speaker 1: are where they are, and bo Davis is looking around

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Speaker 1: and like I said, he came from working for Nick.

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Speaker 1: He came from a place at Alabama, and Start, for

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Speaker 1: that matter, has been at a place for a couple

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Speaker 1: of years at Alabama where if you lose a game,

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Speaker 1: scratch that, if you just failed to cover and you

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Speaker 1: win a game, the entire state's miserable the following week,

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Speaker 1: and I can guarantee you the football complex feels ten

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Speaker 1: times worse and it's like an existential crisis that you're

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Speaker 1: not going to go home and sleep until we get

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Speaker 1: this thing fixed because of and at Texas, you just

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Speaker 1: got lost after loss after lost, piling up, and you

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Speaker 1: got some folks in the locker room, okay with it.

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Speaker 1: To put a finer point on it, I'm not saying

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Speaker 1: everyone's smiling. I'm saying the moment that you accept anything

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Speaker 1: less than winning, you are a loser. By very definition,

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Speaker 1: you're a loser. You can't make it at this level,

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Speaker 1: and you can't make it at a place like Texas

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Speaker 1: under an administration like this one. And so that's standard.

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Speaker 1: That's one guy that's used to a standard that's a

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Speaker 1: lot higher than the one that most people think they

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Speaker 1: need to meet at Texas. Bo Davis love him loved

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Speaker 1: him at Alabama, and Bo Davis is a guy who

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Speaker 1: had the game taken away from it for a little

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Speaker 1: while through things that were his own doing. To be

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Speaker 1: perfectly clear, I'm not painting Bo Davis as a victim.

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Speaker 1: What I am painting him as is Pate State material.

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Speaker 1: Bo Davis can come coach for Pate State anytime. The

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Speaker 1: Frates could use a guy like Bo Davis, so could Texas.

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Speaker 1: Texas needs a whole lot more of that. And to

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Speaker 1: anyone who knows anything about who recorded that video, you

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Speaker 1: can reach out to me anonymously. I would love to know.

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Speaker 1: I know some people out there think the person who

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Speaker 1: recorded that is no longer in the house anymore. To

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Speaker 1: begin with, I don't know that. I have no clue.

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Speaker 1: I have not seen the forensics on that, but I

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Speaker 1: sure would love to know. So if you know, I'll

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Speaker 1: keep up between us. The dms were open on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at late kick, Josh, I'd love to hear what you

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Speaker 1: have to say on that, So go Bo Davis. That's

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Speaker 1: what I'm saying. We stand with Bo on this program,

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Speaker 1: and I would imagine Academy Sports does, although I have

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Speaker 1: not spoken to them about this, so let's not take

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Speaker 1: this as a tacit endorsement of everything that came out

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Speaker 1: of Bo Davis's mouth. But I guess, through the transitive

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Speaker 1: sponsorship rule, if Academy stands with us and we stand

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Speaker 1: with Bo Davis, I can't imagine they hate it. So

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Speaker 1: let me just put it that way. Now, As for

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Speaker 1: what I'm actually supposed to tell you, do you know

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Speaker 1: that the weather's changing outside? Did you know that? I

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Speaker 1: know that even though we cannot, for the life of

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Speaker 1: us find a way to turn the air conditioner down

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Speaker 1: in this very studio, if we step outside or open

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Speaker 1: a window, we've got all the cool air we need.

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Speaker 1: What does that mean? Well, if you dress like a

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Speaker 1: hobo like me, nothing, But if you're a normal person,

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Speaker 1: like I'm told the majority of our audience is, you

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Speaker 1: need long sleeves, you need jackets, you need sweaters, and

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Speaker 1: they've got into Academy Sports and Outdoors. Don't be spending

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Speaker 1: two hundred dollars on stuff that you don't really need

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Speaker 1: and don't really feel like you look great in anyway.

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Speaker 1: Just go spend what you need, do it at Academy,

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Speaker 1: help the show out, help our friends at Academy Sports

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Speaker 1: and Outdoors, and buy stuff you actually care about, with

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Speaker 1: brands you actually believe in, and you know you actually

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Speaker 1: have some emotion invested into on instead of whatever else

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Speaker 1: you're gonna try and put under your Christmas tree this fall,

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Speaker 1: in this winter. Look, Academy Sports and Outdoors. I tell

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Speaker 1: you every time we speak to each other, they have

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Speaker 1: taken care of this show above and beyond what even

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Speaker 1: I thought possible when they initiated contact with us several

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Speaker 1: months ago. So we will go over the cliff for

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Speaker 1: them because they've gone over the cliff for us, And

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Speaker 1: it's kind of a partnership here to where it's just

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Speaker 1: understood with our audience. I'm not going to shove forty

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Speaker 1: seven different brands down your throat. There's one, and that's it.

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Speaker 1: We cut it off. We cut the spict off after one.

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Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors. If you need your tailgating supplies met,

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Speaker 1: if you got some things on that list for Saturday

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Speaker 1: that haven't been checked off yet, Academy Sports and Outdoors,

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Speaker 1: and if you can't get there in person. This is

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Speaker 1: the beauty of it down here. There's an Academy on

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Speaker 1: every street corner. Maybe if you live in where we're

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Speaker 1: gonna go tonight, Casper, Wyoming. Yeah, first time I think

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Speaker 1: that we've ever been there. Maybe there's not one in Casper,

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Speaker 1: but you got internet in Casper, and Academy dot Com

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Speaker 1: is there for you. And at that point, let ups

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Speaker 1: or FedEx take care of the rest. So Academy Sports

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Speaker 1: and Outdoors your one stop shop for literally everything you

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Speaker 1: could ever need. If I know our audience like I

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Speaker 1: think I do, let's continue. We got some games to

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Speaker 1: predict coming up. We've also got some best bets to

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Speaker 1: add to the Roman Nonudle Express. Feel really good, guys,

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Speaker 1: feeling really good after last week, new strategy, new results.

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Speaker 1: I like where we are. But let's talk about Georgia

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Speaker 1: for a second. There's some stuff changing with Georgia. You

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Speaker 1: may look around and say, doesn't look like it's changing.

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Speaker 1: To me, looks like they started off dominant and then

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Speaker 1: they continue to be dominant, and from what I can tell,

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Speaker 1: they're still dominant. Yeah, that's true. That's not what I'm

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Speaker 1: talking about. I'm not talking about the results on the field.

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Speaker 1: But there's something building the undercurrent of the program, not

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Speaker 1: the part of the program. Maybe that, like I said,

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Speaker 1: the flyover, national college football media types recognize and talk

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Speaker 1: about a lot, but if you're on the ground, you know,

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Speaker 1: if you're in Acworth, Georgia tonight, or you're at a

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Speaker 1: waffle house down in Vidalia tomorrow morning, this is the

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Speaker 1: kind of stuff you talk about. And what you're probably

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Speaker 1: talking about is this is our best shot we've ever

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Speaker 1: had to win a national championship. And you know what,

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Speaker 1: as the folks in Yda, Ellia and Acworth tend to be,

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Speaker 1: you're right, You're absolutely right about that. And you know

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Speaker 1: what that equals. It equals pressure, and there is pressure

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Speaker 1: immense in nature building around the Georgia program, even though,

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Speaker 1: like I said, the flyover national types don't realize it

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Speaker 1: right now, but there's more pressure on Kirby Smart right

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Speaker 1: now than you could ever imagine. Kirby Smart already tends

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Speaker 1: to be wound a little tighter than most. And so

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Speaker 1: when you look at him right now and they're an

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Speaker 1: overwhelming number one and they're blowing folks out, yet he

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Speaker 1: still looks like he's about to freak out at any

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Speaker 1: second on the sideline, Wells number one, it's cause he's different,

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Speaker 1: which you have to be. Number two, it's because he

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Speaker 1: knows exactly what I'm saying right now is true. He

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Speaker 1: puts it on himself. Those coaches put it on themselves.

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Speaker 1: It seems weird, though, what I'm saying right now, and

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Speaker 1: I know it does. It seems weird if you're just

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Speaker 1: a casual college football fan and you don't follow Georgia

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Speaker 1: any closer than just watching them on Saturday, and then

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Speaker 1: you watch him next Saturday, but you don't keep up

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Speaker 1: with him during the week. Sounds like I'm talking negative

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Speaker 1: about the program. I'm not talking negative about Georgia at all.

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Speaker 1: This is not a negative. As I've said many times before,

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Speaker 1: it's such a privilege to be able to coach under

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Speaker 1: this kind of pressure. I mean, this guy on this

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Speaker 1: monitor over here that we are apparently fortunate enough to

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Speaker 1: have now that we didn't used to have at the

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Speaker 1: old place, he gets that. I mean, he wouldn't want

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Speaker 1: to trade places with anyone else right now. That's not

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Speaker 1: a negative. Pressure's not a negative. It's a negative when

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Speaker 1: you're like sark at Texas right now. There is no

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Speaker 1: postseason pressure. You know, there's pressure to make a bowl

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Speaker 1: game over there. This is pressure to win a title. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Kirby Smart's all about that. That's why he took the job.

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Speaker 1: That's why they hired him. There. That's not a negative.

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Speaker 1: What I'm just trying to reemphasize to you is there

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Speaker 1: are some positives out there that are illusions, but they

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Speaker 1: can play mind games with you. And what I'm talking

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Speaker 1: about is this you think about where Georgia football is

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Speaker 1: and has been for several weeks now, because weeks turned

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Speaker 1: the months, and the weeks have now turned. The months

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Speaker 1: with Georgia started out where they opened against Clemson right

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Speaker 1: and Clemson was favored. So Georgia hasn't even been favored

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Speaker 1: in every game they've played this year, but they beat

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Speaker 1: Clemson and defensively, it was an emphatic performance, and so

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Speaker 1: they beat Clemson. Ever since then, they've been up there.

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Speaker 1: They've been either two or one in most polls, and

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Speaker 1: now they're number one. So Georgia starts to get a

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Speaker 1: lot of credit after that Clemson win, and over the

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Speaker 1: next several weeks they climb to number two or number

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Speaker 1: one in most polls, and then the weeks turned to

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Speaker 1: a couple of months, and you get blowouts and then

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Speaker 1: you get some players being added to award watch lists

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Speaker 1: and you get a lot of love. Like I said

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Speaker 1: in the polls. And then here come the playoff rankings,

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Speaker 1: and we've got love in the playoff rankings, and people

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Speaker 1: are not only telling us we're number one, but they're

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Speaker 1: talking about how big a gap there is between Georgia

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Speaker 1: and then the rest of the country. All that's happening

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Speaker 1: right now. Nothing about that's bad inherently, But you got

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Speaker 1: your Bowl projections coming out. Georgia's gonna play this team

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Speaker 1: in the semi final. They'll play this team in the

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Speaker 1: national championship. Here's the mind game that plays on you.

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Speaker 1: If you're not careful, it makes you feel like you've

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Speaker 1: accomplished something. It's not worth anything. I don't care if

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Speaker 1: that is ten gallons of water that just got poured

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Speaker 1: out of a giant bucket. There's a hole in the

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Speaker 1: bottom of the apparatus that is used to receive the liquid.

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Speaker 1: You don't have anything. Nothing got caught. At the end

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Speaker 1: of the day, bullt projections aren't worth anything. You don't

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Speaker 1: win anything because of that. They don't give you a

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Speaker 1: trophy for being ranked number one in October. But the

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Speaker 1: mind game comes into play when all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: you get to December and you realize, wait a second.

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Speaker 1: It feels like there's been so much positivity, But I

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Speaker 1: just realized something. We're playing Alabama this Saturday, and even

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Speaker 1: though I think there's a big gap, and even though

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Speaker 1: everyone's told me that there's a big gap between US

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Speaker 1: and Bama, we're favored by four and a half. That

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Speaker 1: number doesn't look big. Guys, what if we lose Saturday?

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Speaker 1: Or here's the worst one, what if you get in

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Speaker 1: a semi final game against Ohio State and you lose.

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Speaker 1: Do you realize how quickly and how violently things change

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Speaker 1: around the Georgia program and the perception of Kirby Smart,

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Speaker 1: how quickly and violently it changes, Because all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: you go from thinking we've never had a season with

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Speaker 1: this many accolades heaped on top of us and this

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Speaker 1: many positives spoken about us. You go from that to,

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Speaker 1: over the span of four quarters and three and a

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Speaker 1: half hour hours, realizing this team accomplished less than the

428
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:06,600
Speaker 1: twenty seventeen team did. For all the special nature that

429
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,400
Speaker 1: we thought this team had, it accomplished less. So that's

430
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:12,160
Speaker 1: how quickly this can change, And that's how little all

431
00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:14,560
Speaker 1: the stuff that's adding up in the regular season matters.

432
00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:16,840
Speaker 1: George is doing what they're supposed to right now. But

433
00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:19,360
Speaker 1: they're taxiing. You know, if you're at the airport, they

434
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:20,919
Speaker 1: pull you away from the gate, you don't just go

435
00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,119
Speaker 1: up in the air. You taxi for a little while

436
00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:24,960
Speaker 1: and you get in line and you wait your turn.

437
00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:27,680
Speaker 1: But eventually, when you got those bright white stripes on

438
00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:29,879
Speaker 1: the runway and you see them under you, you know

439
00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:32,439
Speaker 1: what that means. It means you're clear for takeoff. And

440
00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:35,680
Speaker 1: when they open up those throttles full speed and you're

441
00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:38,760
Speaker 1: on that runway, you're just sitting there and everything's got

442
00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:40,960
Speaker 1: to work because at that point you're going too fast.

443
00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:42,920
Speaker 1: You can't slow down, and you're about to take off

444
00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:45,000
Speaker 1: and you just hope everything's in place and the nuts

445
00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:47,160
Speaker 1: and bolts are in place and those wings and flaps

446
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:50,760
Speaker 1: are at the proper angles, or else well you crash.

447
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:52,880
Speaker 1: I don't want to speak that into existence. I fly

448
00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:55,760
Speaker 1: a whole lot, but that's what would happen. Look, come December,

449
00:20:55,840 --> 00:20:57,600
Speaker 1: they're going to open that throttle up. There is no

450
00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:00,960
Speaker 1: more taxiing, there are no more pretend acts. It's time

451
00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:02,840
Speaker 1: to play for the real trophy. And that's still a

452
00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:05,560
Speaker 1: few weeks away. But unlike the other things that are

453
00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:07,920
Speaker 1: kind of fantasy world, and it really doesn't matter. It's

454
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:10,200
Speaker 1: not tangible. There's nothing in your trophy case because of that.

455
00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:13,239
Speaker 1: Here's reality. When you get to that point, you get

456
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:15,679
Speaker 1: to the playoffs, there's no more margin for error. And

457
00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:17,760
Speaker 1: the reality is Georgia is currently in a forty one

458
00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,520
Speaker 1: year national title drop. And the reality is they are

459
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,640
Speaker 1: ripe with talent in a year that's never been more

460
00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:26,439
Speaker 1: tailor made for them to win a national championship. And

461
00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:29,720
Speaker 1: they know it. Everyone from Valdosta to Clayton, they know

462
00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 1: it there. I'm from Georgia, My home is Georgia. I

463
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,359
Speaker 1: know good and well what people are thinking there. Everyone

464
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:39,879
Speaker 1: believes it's their year. How do you argue with that? Nationally,

465
00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:42,960
Speaker 1: everyone believes it's Georgia's year. And that's all well and good.

466
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:45,560
Speaker 1: As long as it becomes Georgia's year, it will be

467
00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,040
Speaker 1: the stuff of legend. The guy who finally wins a

468
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:50,800
Speaker 1: national title at Georgia for the first time since a

469
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:53,760
Speaker 1: lot of our audience has been alive will be an

470
00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:57,560
Speaker 1: instant legend there. I'm just telling you. If it doesn't

471
00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:00,400
Speaker 1: happen this year and those folks are convinced as am

472
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:02,640
Speaker 1: I that this could very well be the best shot

473
00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 1: they've ever had, and maybe, for all we know, will

474
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:07,120
Speaker 1: ever have to win a national championship with the rest

475
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:10,359
Speaker 1: of the landscape void of other elite teams. You have

476
00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:13,360
Speaker 1: never seen the perception of a program and a head

477
00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:16,879
Speaker 1: coach so violently shift in the snap of a finger,

478
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:19,560
Speaker 1: like it would if they were to go down in

479
00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:21,840
Speaker 1: the playoff. So I'm not saying that to be negative. Again,

480
00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:23,880
Speaker 1: it's a privilege to get to this level to deal

481
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:27,119
Speaker 1: with that pressure. But you cannot imagine the pressure on

482
00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 1: Kirby Smart and Georgia right now. It feels so calm,

483
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:33,159
Speaker 1: feels so serene. You're watching them just cruise and you

484
00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 1: can't tell, but underneath they know it. In the state

485
00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:38,080
Speaker 1: of Georgia, they feel it right now. So it is

486
00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:40,480
Speaker 1: going to be white knuckle city when they get to

487
00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:42,480
Speaker 1: the SEC Championship game and then really when they get

488
00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:44,960
Speaker 1: in the college football playoff, because they'll be there regardless

489
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:48,879
Speaker 1: unless complete disaster strikes between now and then. You have

490
00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:52,440
Speaker 1: never seen a program under more pressure than the Georgia program.

491
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:56,479
Speaker 1: Will become playoff time. For the sake of my hometown brethren,

492
00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:58,440
Speaker 1: I hope they get it. Done. I really do, because

493
00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:01,760
Speaker 1: the alternative, I'd probably just stay in Nashville for a while.

494
00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:04,399
Speaker 1: I probably just wouldn't even go home. Let's continue. We've

495
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:07,480
Speaker 1: got some big games this weekend. We are looking forward

496
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 1: to this. So we've been to a couple of places

497
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,440
Speaker 1: a couple of times on the Renaissance Tour this year.

498
00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:15,160
Speaker 1: We have not been to Waco, Texas, and that's where

499
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:19,160
Speaker 1: we're headed this Saturday. Oklahoma headed to Waco to face Baylor.

500
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 1: Last time I was in Waco, it was not something

501
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 1: to write home about. I had a blowout on I

502
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,680
Speaker 1: thirty five. But this time things are going to be better.

503
00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:28,399
Speaker 1: I already got a hook up with one of you.

504
00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:31,080
Speaker 1: One of you fine folks have come through, and so

505
00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:33,560
Speaker 1: we are going to rectify the rental car nightmare situation.

506
00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:36,159
Speaker 1: One of our friends at Enterprise has come through in Dallas,

507
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,560
Speaker 1: so we're not worried about that, and I'm having them

508
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:41,240
Speaker 1: triple check the tires before we ever head out of Dallas.

509
00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:44,239
Speaker 1: But we're gonna be in Waco Saturday. Find someone who

510
00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:46,400
Speaker 1: loves you half as much as we love the Big

511
00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:49,280
Speaker 1: noon kickoff on Fox. I love it. I love it

512
00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:52,119
Speaker 1: disproportionate to pretty much anything else in my life. And

513
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,640
Speaker 1: that's what time this game kicks off Saturday, eleven am

514
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:57,840
Speaker 1: Local time, noon Eastern. It's the first time we will

515
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:01,639
Speaker 1: have seen Oklahoma since they into the bye week. And

516
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:03,600
Speaker 1: so what has the talk been around there? Well, I

517
00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 1: guarantee you it's probably had a lot to do with

518
00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:09,160
Speaker 1: starting fast. You know, Texas they struggle in the second half.

519
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:12,800
Speaker 1: Oklahoma's been struggling in first half. Difference is they got

520
00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:14,680
Speaker 1: the horsepower to rev the engine in the second half

521
00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:16,360
Speaker 1: and they can actually take a lead and come from

522
00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:20,040
Speaker 1: behind and win against maybe some more inferior teams. Well, Baylor,

523
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:24,400
Speaker 1: you know, Baylor offensively poses about as balanced a threat

524
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:27,680
Speaker 1: as Oklahoma has seen so far this year. Baylor. Meanwhile,

525
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:29,600
Speaker 1: you know you talk about the external on the Oklahoma

526
00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 1: side of things. Baylor, this qualifies them as being in

527
00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:36,160
Speaker 1: wounded animal mode. They went to TCU last week. TCU

528
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:40,880
Speaker 1: threw everything, including the actual kitchen sink from Gary Patterson's house.

529
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:43,040
Speaker 1: They threw it all at Baylor. They got a thirty

530
00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:45,760
Speaker 1: to twenty eight win I believe was the final. Baylor

531
00:24:46,080 --> 00:24:49,440
Speaker 1: equals wounded animal mode. Oklahoma coming out of the by

532
00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:51,919
Speaker 1: do they stumble like Alabama did? Last week, or do

533
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:53,840
Speaker 1: they get shot out of the cannon a couple of

534
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:56,560
Speaker 1: external factors. I don't really know how to quantify what

535
00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:58,560
Speaker 1: that means, but just a couple of externals to keep

536
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:01,760
Speaker 1: an eye on. Here's problem number one for Baylor. Their

537
00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:04,760
Speaker 1: secondary is vulnerable. We saw it last week against TCU,

538
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:07,359
Speaker 1: and we also know that for some of the flaws

539
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,719
Speaker 1: this Oklahoma team has, it's probably the best core of

540
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 1: receivers and combined with quarterback that Baylor will have seen

541
00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:18,440
Speaker 1: or will see all year. And that doesn't necessarily spell doom,

542
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:20,119
Speaker 1: but it does mean you've got to execute at a

543
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:22,240
Speaker 1: really high level, a much higher level, especially in the

544
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,639
Speaker 1: back end than you did last week against TCU. But

545
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:28,479
Speaker 1: also makes it imperative for Oklahoma to take advantage of that.

546
00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:30,800
Speaker 1: And that goes back to what I talked about the

547
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:33,200
Speaker 1: theme having to be around this program. The fast start.

548
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,479
Speaker 1: Got to have a fast start, because if you've got

549
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:38,680
Speaker 1: a vulnerable secondary, but your receivers aren't really torching them

550
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:40,920
Speaker 1: and you're not really making big explosive plays through the air,

551
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:44,840
Speaker 1: it doesn't really matter. That's just a vulnerability you didn't expose.

552
00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:47,680
Speaker 1: Here's the big problem as I see it for Oklahoma

553
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:50,919
Speaker 1: outside of Oklahoma State, which is probably the best defense

554
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:53,280
Speaker 1: in the Big Twelve right now outside of the Cowboys.

555
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:57,000
Speaker 1: Baylor's move the ball pretty consistently against every other defense

556
00:25:57,000 --> 00:25:59,840
Speaker 1: they've played. And as much as we're talking about vulnerability

557
00:25:59,880 --> 00:26:01,919
Speaker 1: on the back end for Baylor, you can fill in

558
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:04,000
Speaker 1: that same blank, but you can put the Oklahoma Sooner's

559
00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:07,280
Speaker 1: logo there. I won't say just as vulnerable. I won't

560
00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:10,640
Speaker 1: say it's an apples to apples, but relatively speaking, that's

561
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:13,359
Speaker 1: where Oklahoma can be had to. It almost makes me

562
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:16,920
Speaker 1: lean towards an over here. The totals at sixty two,

563
00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:19,520
Speaker 1: sixty two and a half. There it is on the

564
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 1: bottom of the screen. I don't do a whole lot

565
00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:24,160
Speaker 1: of totals. I feel like I may move on this one.

566
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:25,919
Speaker 1: And if we move, obviously we want it before it

567
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:27,960
Speaker 1: gets to sixty four, a very key number in totals.

568
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,679
Speaker 1: A couple of good running backs for Baylor, couple of

569
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:33,479
Speaker 1: good wide receivers going to be a really balanced attack,

570
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:36,879
Speaker 1: so both have to have it an imperative fast start.

571
00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:40,320
Speaker 1: But the other thing is, remember last week. I go

572
00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:42,359
Speaker 1: back to this because I think it's really huge. Remember

573
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:44,960
Speaker 1: last week when we talked about Alabama coming out of

574
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,679
Speaker 1: the bye week, and we talked about how hey, for

575
00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:50,760
Speaker 1: better or for worse, this product Bama puts on the field,

576
00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:53,680
Speaker 1: albeit against LSU at the time we thought an inferior opponent.

577
00:26:54,040 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 1: We're going to know a lot about what they're made

578
00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:57,879
Speaker 1: of and what their consistency will be down the stretch

579
00:26:57,880 --> 00:26:59,760
Speaker 1: based off what we see in this game. Well Bama

580
00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:02,880
Speaker 1: was the other night Nick Saban himself said that team

581
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:05,400
Speaker 1: didn't look like Alabama in a lot of areas. Well.

582
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:08,159
Speaker 1: Now Lincoln Riley gets his shot at Oklahoma. They know

583
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:11,440
Speaker 1: that they've underachieved relative to their standard, but they still

584
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:14,160
Speaker 1: got a zero in the lost column, and so they

585
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:15,720
Speaker 1: get to go down here. They're not making them play

586
00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:19,040
Speaker 1: at night. They get Baylor in the opportune time for Oklahoma.

587
00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,800
Speaker 1: They get them really really early in the day, and

588
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:25,360
Speaker 1: this starts a stretch that will define Oklahoma season. It's

589
00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:29,879
Speaker 1: probably the four I'm going to say four toughest defensive

590
00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:32,439
Speaker 1: tests that this offense will have faced all year, and

591
00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:35,760
Speaker 1: that Caleb Williams will have faced all year. They're going

592
00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:39,720
Speaker 1: to Baylor facing Dave Randa, and he's defense. He's defense.

593
00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:42,720
Speaker 1: You're facing Dave Randa and his defense. You've got to

594
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:45,520
Speaker 1: take on Iowa State next week, one of the best

595
00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 1: defensive programs in the Big Twelve. You've then got to

596
00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:51,159
Speaker 1: go to Oklahoma State and face pound for pound what

597
00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:53,159
Speaker 1: I think is the best defense in the Big Twelve.

598
00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:54,679
Speaker 1: Then you're probably going to get one of them in

599
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:57,840
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve title game. I have my doubts that

600
00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:00,520
Speaker 1: Oklahoma can go four and zero against that stretch. It's

601
00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 1: gonna be tough to go three and one against that stretch.

602
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:05,399
Speaker 1: I'm just putting it out there, so they've got it

603
00:28:05,480 --> 00:28:07,200
Speaker 1: to do. Let me just put it that way. Let's

604
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,640
Speaker 1: take a look at what the model thinks here. Oklahoma

605
00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:12,360
Speaker 1: is a five and a half point favorite at Caesar's

606
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:15,639
Speaker 1: right now, and the model looks at this, and the

607
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:18,800
Speaker 1: model thinks still a little low. The model likes Oklahoma.

608
00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:22,000
Speaker 1: It has Oklahoma minus seven. So I went back and

609
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:25,200
Speaker 1: forth a couple times on this, and I ended up

610
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:27,560
Speaker 1: going with the model here, and I think it's gonna

611
00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:29,480
Speaker 1: be a late situation. Don't think it's a pull away

612
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:32,280
Speaker 1: early situation, but I do think there's a little extra

613
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:34,800
Speaker 1: flex on the back end of this game for Oklahoma

614
00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:37,560
Speaker 1: to where it's kind of a dogfight, but there are

615
00:28:37,680 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 1: enough margins on the sooner side of things to where

616
00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:42,719
Speaker 1: they win it and then they end up covering, kind

617
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 1: of like a seven or a ten point game something

618
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:46,800
Speaker 1: like that. So I'm gonna take Oklahoma to win. I'm

619
00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:49,320
Speaker 1: gonna take Oklahoma to cover, but it's not a game

620
00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 1: I'm gonna put my money on because I don't have

621
00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:54,320
Speaker 1: confidence in Oklahoma like that yet. And I also fully

622
00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:57,800
Speaker 1: respect what Baylor will be capable of Saturday again, being

623
00:28:57,800 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 1: in the aforementioned wounded animal mode go to be a

624
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,640
Speaker 1: fun game to be at though McClain Stadium, first time

625
00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 1: we've ever been there. Looking forward to it. Another game

626
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:07,200
Speaker 1: that I wanted to hit right quick tonight, and then

627
00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:08,760
Speaker 1: we're gonna do best bets and then we're gonna get

628
00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:11,600
Speaker 1: out of here. Man, those fools aren't even releasing the

629
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:15,480
Speaker 1: playoff rankings until after the show tonight. Horrible programming decision

630
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:17,960
Speaker 1: for ESPN. Horrible. I don't know when these folks are

631
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:21,480
Speaker 1: gonna realize. Do like Texas, if you're gonna leak an

632
00:29:21,520 --> 00:29:24,120
Speaker 1: explictive laden video, do it early so we can get

633
00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:26,120
Speaker 1: it on the show. Don't do it at nine o'clock

634
00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 1: at night like Dan Mullen. The other night, Dan Mullen

635
00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 1: did the worst thing in the world. You may think, oh,

636
00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:32,959
Speaker 1: getting blown out by South Carolina is the worst thing

637
00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:34,560
Speaker 1: in the world. No, the worst thing in the world

638
00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:36,680
Speaker 1: is waiting for us to get off air and then

639
00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:40,640
Speaker 1: firing Todd Grantham, fire the coaches. I don't have a

640
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:43,480
Speaker 1: problem with it. Whatever, just do it. Just have respect

641
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:45,800
Speaker 1: for the show, please, just have respect for the show

642
00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:47,719
Speaker 1: enough to get rid of guys who should have been

643
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 1: gone quite a while ago at four o'clock in the afternoon.

644
00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:52,000
Speaker 1: I just don't get what's so hard about it? All right,

645
00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:54,480
Speaker 1: I digress. Let's get back on track here, Texas A

646
00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 1: and M on the road right after beating Auburn, and

647
00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 1: Texas A and M is going to Ole Miss this week.

648
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:03,480
Speaker 1: This is a seven o'clock Eastern time kickoff on ESPN.

649
00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 1: Remember we were this close is close to Texas A

650
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 1: and M totally grabbing control of the SEC West last week.

651
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:15,400
Speaker 1: And I still don't think half the people realize. It's

652
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:18,400
Speaker 1: like when you read in the paper for all a

653
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,360
Speaker 1: dozen of you that still read the paper, or if

654
00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:23,120
Speaker 1: you look online or you see an article that says, hey,

655
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:26,240
Speaker 1: FYI a couple of days ago, a comment passed with

656
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:28,360
Speaker 1: the next number of miles of Earth and you didn't

657
00:30:28,360 --> 00:30:31,120
Speaker 1: even know about it. I think still a lot of

658
00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:34,840
Speaker 1: you don't realize. Had LSU held on to beat Alabama,

659
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:37,440
Speaker 1: had they scored in one of fifteen chances they had

660
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:39,840
Speaker 1: the other night and beat Alabama, A and M would

661
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,360
Speaker 1: control the West. That's how close we were. A and

662
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 1: M still has a shot. Bama's got to lose one

663
00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:46,520
Speaker 1: more game, and if A and M wins out, then

664
00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:49,680
Speaker 1: they go to Atlanta. Here is not the problem, but

665
00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:52,920
Speaker 1: here's the issue. It's not going to be easy because

666
00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:54,640
Speaker 1: you're looking on your screen right now, and if you're not,

667
00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:57,160
Speaker 1: let me just inform you. Texas A and M's less

668
00:30:57,200 --> 00:31:00,240
Speaker 1: than a field goal favorite Saturday against Old missus be

669
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,600
Speaker 1: a tough game. So if they keep winning, it's possible.

670
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:05,280
Speaker 1: Who knows. If Ole misskeeps winning, anything's possible. But I'm

671
00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:08,480
Speaker 1: really interested to see how Texas or Tech Texas A

672
00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:10,720
Speaker 1: and M uses last week. That's the kind of game

673
00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:13,760
Speaker 1: that Auburn game in the past, that we've seen teams

674
00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:16,760
Speaker 1: use as a springboard, and I felt it felt it

675
00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:18,840
Speaker 1: afterwards around A and M. In this kind of week,

676
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:21,840
Speaker 1: I felt it around the program. I think Jimbo Fisher

677
00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:24,880
Speaker 1: exited that game with a little more confidence maybe than

678
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:26,760
Speaker 1: they had entering it. I think they felt good out

679
00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:28,280
Speaker 1: of the bye, so forget about after the game. I

680
00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:30,600
Speaker 1: think they were confident before the game, But I also

681
00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:33,320
Speaker 1: felt some synergy. I think you don't have to have

682
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 1: been there. I think you watched it on TV even

683
00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:38,400
Speaker 1: you felt some synergy building around that program. So what

684
00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 1: I want to know about A and M as it

685
00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:42,400
Speaker 1: relates to the Old Miss game, is will last week's

686
00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:47,400
Speaker 1: offensive game plan work this Saturday. To be clear, last

687
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 1: week A and M had to do the bare minimum offensively.

688
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:52,640
Speaker 1: They ran the ball well. I think that makes three

689
00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:55,680
Speaker 1: consecutive games where they've had over two hundred yards rushing.

690
00:31:56,320 --> 00:31:59,440
Speaker 1: No one even scored an offensive touchdown last week. Defense

691
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:02,080
Speaker 1: was the name of the game for Texas A and

692
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 1: M last week, and they just did enough offensively. Just

693
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:09,080
Speaker 1: don't make the crippling mistakes offensively. Well, Listen, if you're

694
00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:12,080
Speaker 1: gonna shut Old Miss down like Alabama did earlier this year,

695
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:14,080
Speaker 1: then that's great and you can afford to play that

696
00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 1: way again. But I think we need to take a

697
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,960
Speaker 1: little bit closer look at what Alabama was able to do,

698
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:21,040
Speaker 1: because on the surface, you may think, well, if Bama

699
00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 1: did it, we got the better defense than them this year.

700
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:26,600
Speaker 1: So if they executed that blueprint against Ole Miss, certainly

701
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:28,720
Speaker 1: we should be in the realm of at least being

702
00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:31,280
Speaker 1: able to put up something like that too. Well, it

703
00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:34,040
Speaker 1: depends on how Old Miss starts the game, because if

704
00:32:34,040 --> 00:32:37,200
Speaker 1: you remember the context of that Alabama first half shut

705
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 1: out of Old Miss, they had two things go their way,

706
00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:42,760
Speaker 1: or they forced two things to go their way. Number one,

707
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:45,000
Speaker 1: Ole Miss going forward on fourth down several times and

708
00:32:45,040 --> 00:32:48,000
Speaker 1: BAMA not allowing it. That's number one, and then number

709
00:32:48,000 --> 00:32:51,480
Speaker 1: two BAMA made them pay for it with explosive plays

710
00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:54,480
Speaker 1: through the air. Offensively, I don't doubt that A and

711
00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:57,280
Speaker 1: M is capable of standing tall on third and fourth

712
00:32:57,320 --> 00:33:00,479
Speaker 1: down against Ole Miss. Sometimes that stuff has some variants

713
00:33:00,520 --> 00:33:02,600
Speaker 1: about it over the course of one game, but I

714
00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:05,360
Speaker 1: don't doubt they can do that. What I do wonder

715
00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 1: is if they can take advantage and you turn on

716
00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:09,719
Speaker 1: this game and it's thirteen or seventeen to nothing Old

717
00:33:09,760 --> 00:33:12,160
Speaker 1: Miss early in the game, or thirteen seventeen to nothing,

718
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:14,920
Speaker 1: A ANDM. Have they taken the early lead, because if

719
00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:17,640
Speaker 1: you do that, then obviously you're having it shape up

720
00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 1: as that kind of game. What you don't want to

721
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:22,360
Speaker 1: see is you don't want to see Ole Miss happen

722
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:24,800
Speaker 1: to convert on a couple of those early fourth downs,

723
00:33:24,840 --> 00:33:27,640
Speaker 1: which they absolutely could do in a given game just

724
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:29,840
Speaker 1: one or two plays. There's no way to forecast how

725
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 1: that's going to go. And if they do that and

726
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:34,600
Speaker 1: they pop you early and it's them up ten or

727
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:38,120
Speaker 1: fourteen to three, then you're having to ask Zach Calzada,

728
00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:39,840
Speaker 1: and you're having asked that offense to do something you

729
00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:41,680
Speaker 1: didn't have to ask him to do last week. To me,

730
00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 1: that's the great unknown about this entire game. Who has

731
00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:47,560
Speaker 1: to play out of their comfort zone more? And if

732
00:33:47,600 --> 00:33:49,800
Speaker 1: it's A and M, I'm not telling you they can't

733
00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 1: do it. I'm just telling you if they end up

734
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:53,280
Speaker 1: winning that kind of game, it would have been for

735
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:56,440
Speaker 1: much different reasons than we saw last week. I've had

736
00:33:56,440 --> 00:34:00,479
Speaker 1: an internal fight all day with myself and with the model,

737
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:03,840
Speaker 1: because the Model and I disagree hard on this thing.

738
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:07,240
Speaker 1: In fact, I actually sent our guys, I sent producer

739
00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:10,759
Speaker 1: Jesse my pick on this game earlier today, and then

740
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:12,799
Speaker 1: I flipped on it, and I texted them like an

741
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:14,279
Speaker 1: hour ago. I don't even know if we got the

742
00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:16,279
Speaker 1: graphic made, but I'm going to tell you what it is.

743
00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:17,959
Speaker 1: So let's take a look at what the model thinks.

744
00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:21,759
Speaker 1: First off, the model is drunk on old Miss. The

745
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,759
Speaker 1: model just loves ole Miss. So the current line is

746
00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:26,920
Speaker 1: A and M minus two and a half. The model

747
00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:29,680
Speaker 1: just flat out rejects it. It just spit on it.

748
00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:32,320
Speaker 1: It thinks the wrong team is favored. The model actually

749
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:34,719
Speaker 1: has ole Miss winning by two and a half. It's

750
00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 1: closer to three. Actually I put two and a half,

751
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:39,720
Speaker 1: but it's closer to three. The model has ole Miss

752
00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:42,759
Speaker 1: at over a seventy percent cover probability, which is an

753
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:44,759
Speaker 1: astronomically high number for this late in the year in

754
00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:47,839
Speaker 1: a conference game. And I'm telling you, I just disagree.

755
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:50,799
Speaker 1: I really think that what's happening. Let me explain why

756
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:53,279
Speaker 1: I disagree. Not just flipping a coin here. What I

757
00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:56,600
Speaker 1: think is happening is I think that our model is

758
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,000
Speaker 1: ingesting what Texas A and M has been early in

759
00:34:59,000 --> 00:35:00,480
Speaker 1: the year. That's all it has to do. Go on,

760
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:03,800
Speaker 1: and what I'm about to say is born out of gut,

761
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:05,920
Speaker 1: and it is born out of intuition. I don't have

762
00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,399
Speaker 1: numbers to back this up. I really feel like there's

763
00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:10,319
Speaker 1: some synergy with this A and M team right now,

764
00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:12,960
Speaker 1: and I also feel like what they were, which is

765
00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:15,239
Speaker 1: again the data cluster that is taken into account by

766
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:17,640
Speaker 1: this model, I don't necessarily know if that's the best

767
00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:19,840
Speaker 1: representation of the team they're going to put on the

768
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:22,560
Speaker 1: field this Saturday. Also, this is the time of year

769
00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:25,480
Speaker 1: where depth becomes a lot more paramount and while we

770
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:28,360
Speaker 1: do factor that into the model, I don't know if

771
00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 1: it's quantified quite to the degree when you stackle these

772
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:32,719
Speaker 1: things on top of each other that it should be.

773
00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:35,279
Speaker 1: So I do think the right team is favored. And

774
00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:39,400
Speaker 1: whereas earlier today I lazily sent producer Jesse and director

775
00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:42,800
Speaker 1: Colin old Miss will win, let's just pick old Miss.

776
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 1: I was riding the model. I'm going to argue the model.

777
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 1: I'm going to backhand the model. It's been really good

778
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:50,279
Speaker 1: to us. I normally lose these battles, but I got

779
00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:52,120
Speaker 1: to go with what I actually think is going to happen.

780
00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:53,560
Speaker 1: I think Texas A and M is going to win,

781
00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 1: and I think Texas A and M is going to

782
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:58,640
Speaker 1: cover Saturday. And if they do that, keeps the pressure

783
00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:03,360
Speaker 1: immensely on Alabama, and it keeps this bright marquee around

784
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,759
Speaker 1: the Iron Bowl coming up later in November. So I'm

785
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:08,160
Speaker 1: going to take Texas, A and M to win. The

786
00:36:08,160 --> 00:36:10,359
Speaker 1: model disagrees, one of us is going to be right,

787
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:12,840
Speaker 1: and I can assure you we have just set this

788
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:15,200
Speaker 1: prediction up to where, no matter what, the show will

789
00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:18,200
Speaker 1: be able to claim credit. Speaking of games though, that

790
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:19,880
Speaker 1: we are going to bet on. And thank you, by

791
00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:22,839
Speaker 1: the way, if you're watching live, let's just say hi,

792
00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 1: there we go, let you know the show's live. There.

793
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:27,560
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at two more added best bets

794
00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:29,040
Speaker 1: on the Rama Noudle Express, and then we'll get out

795
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:31,359
Speaker 1: of here. So I've already given you four of them

796
00:36:31,520 --> 00:36:34,480
Speaker 1: to reiterate. Central Michigan minus three. I think that game

797
00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:36,799
Speaker 1: is tomorrow night, so make sure you get on that

798
00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:39,319
Speaker 1: one because you don't want to wait and then, like

799
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:41,480
Speaker 1: last week, miss our first two winners like some of

800
00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:44,799
Speaker 1: you did. I got some very sad emails. So Central

801
00:36:44,840 --> 00:36:46,759
Speaker 1: Michigan minus three, that's tomorrow night. The rest of these

802
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,239
Speaker 1: games on Saturday, Penn State at pick. You could even

803
00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 1: get Penn State plus one right now, So we love it.

804
00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:54,960
Speaker 1: Either way. Obviously, Texas Tech plus ten, there's some ten

805
00:36:54,960 --> 00:36:56,960
Speaker 1: and a half's out there, so take that one. Miami

806
00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:58,799
Speaker 1: minus two and a half. We like it at three.

807
00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:01,480
Speaker 1: We wanted it to a half for obvious reasons. But

808
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:03,120
Speaker 1: those are the four we've already been on. Here are

809
00:37:03,160 --> 00:37:05,360
Speaker 1: the two new ones just released on Twitter in the

810
00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:07,279
Speaker 1: last few hours. You already got these if you're on

811
00:37:07,320 --> 00:37:11,359
Speaker 1: Twitter at late kick Josh, Central Florida plus seven and

812
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:14,800
Speaker 1: a half. At SMU, we are taking the Golden Knights,

813
00:37:14,920 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 1: the Fighting Gus Malson's getting seven and a half and

814
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:20,480
Speaker 1: for the third consecutive week and we're two and oh

815
00:37:20,560 --> 00:37:23,120
Speaker 1: so far doing it. We're taking East Carolina this time,

816
00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:25,920
Speaker 1: they're giving us some points. They're at Memphis. East Carolina

817
00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:29,239
Speaker 1: plus six. So East Carolina plus six, Central Florida plus

818
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:31,319
Speaker 1: seven and a half, Miami minus two and a half,

819
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:34,480
Speaker 1: Texas Tech plus ten, Penn State pick and Central Michigan

820
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:38,359
Speaker 1: minus three. Thank you so much for watching. I'm gonna

821
00:37:38,360 --> 00:37:39,880
Speaker 1: go get in a much cooler room than the one

822
00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:42,279
Speaker 1: I'm in right now, and I'm gonna check out what

823
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:45,759
Speaker 1: these playoff rankings look like. Tonight and I had I

824
00:37:45,800 --> 00:37:48,279
Speaker 1: had a long kind of I guess, for lack of

825
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:51,080
Speaker 1: a better term, diatribe about this on the Late Kick

826
00:37:51,080 --> 00:37:54,279
Speaker 1: Extra podcast this morning, and the question was good, I'm

827
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 1: not gonna reiterate it now you can go listen to it.

828
00:37:56,160 --> 00:37:59,800
Speaker 1: But the question was how come we watch these ranking shows?

829
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:03,719
Speaker 1: And so often the committee member claims that there's all

830
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:06,359
Speaker 1: this data and criteria behind it, but then when they're

831
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:09,239
Speaker 1: pressed for an explanation, they just say, oh, it'll work

832
00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:11,920
Speaker 1: itself out. Well, that's not a valid explanation for why

833
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,280
Speaker 1: a team is where they are in this very moment.

834
00:38:14,680 --> 00:38:16,399
Speaker 1: And I have a theory on that, and I laid

835
00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:18,279
Speaker 1: it out on the podcast this morning, So I would

836
00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:20,560
Speaker 1: encourage you to go listen to that. It's available anywhere

837
00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:22,560
Speaker 1: you get your podcast, and hey, for that matter, this

838
00:38:22,600 --> 00:38:25,080
Speaker 1: show will be available in that podcast feed tomorrow morning.

839
00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:26,839
Speaker 1: So thank you so much for watching. Make sure you're

840
00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:29,759
Speaker 1: following Twitter and Instagram at lead kick Josh, and subscribe

841
00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:32,040
Speaker 1: to the channel. Why don't you while you're here, seventy

842
00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:34,840
Speaker 1: eight percent of you are still unsubscribed. It's free, so

843
00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:36,799
Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel. We got to go, We got

844
00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:38,959
Speaker 1: to get out of here. For producer Jesse, for director Colin,

845
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:41,880
Speaker 1: I'm Josh Pape, thanks so much for watching, have yourselves

846
00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 1: a great rest of your evening and God bless