WEBVTT - Commercial Real Estate Back on Covid Merry-Go-Round

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. So a story

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<v Speaker 1>and Business Week magazine this week, it's about how landlords

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<v Speaker 1>from Tampa, Florida, to Memphis, Tennessee in Riverside, California have

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<v Speaker 1>been jacking up runts at record speeds. And they just

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<v Speaker 1>talk about multiple people applying, some renters forced to check

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<v Speaker 1>into hotels while they hunt after losing out too many times.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just one part of the massive real estate market

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<v Speaker 1>that we like to follow at Bloomberg. So too does

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<v Speaker 1>our next guest, and back with him, certainly a friend

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<v Speaker 1>of the show, Ketswig, president at s WWIG Equities of

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<v Speaker 1>real estate development and investment firm. They focus on commercial

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<v Speaker 1>and residential properties here on the East coast, on the

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<v Speaker 1>West coast, and Kent back with us on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>in New York. How are you? I am good, I'm good.

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<v Speaker 1>How are you doing? I'm doing well, trying to make

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<v Speaker 1>sense of you know, once again, I feel like I've

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<v Speaker 1>seen this movie before, and I know you and I

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<v Speaker 1>talk about it every time that there's a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>of a spike in numbers or a hotspot. When it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to COVID, we see IBM closing New York City

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<v Speaker 1>offices amid rosings in COVID nineteen cases. We see a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of companies rolling back bringing back workers to their offices.

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<v Speaker 1>What are you seeing and what are maybe the implications

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<v Speaker 1>kent when it comes to commercial real estate, Well, you

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<v Speaker 1>said it perfectly, you know, I feel like we're back

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<v Speaker 1>on the merry ground. Um. I thought we were coming

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<v Speaker 1>out of this certainly by labor Day. I thought that

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<v Speaker 1>the office population would be you know, very much filled

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<v Speaker 1>back in New York City. Um. I think what's happening

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<v Speaker 1>is it's just it's a slow entry back. Um, we're

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<v Speaker 1>certainly seeing rising occupancy. Um. New York is you know,

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<v Speaker 1>well over with one vaccine and and we're we're getting

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<v Speaker 1>more that way. So UM, you know it, this really,

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<v Speaker 1>this whole variant is a result, frankly, of the fact

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<v Speaker 1>that people aren't getting their vaccines. Um. And those people

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<v Speaker 1>who are not getting vaccines really are are are walking

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<v Speaker 1>weapons against you know, all of those who have been vaccinated,

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<v Speaker 1>all of humanity and against them selves. So it's incumbent

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<v Speaker 1>upon us as Americans, as a patriotic thing to do

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<v Speaker 1>is to get vaccinated, and that would put us in

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<v Speaker 1>a position where we can reopen in a much safer way. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, when you talk about you know, we're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>people come back though in terms of rising office vacancy.

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<v Speaker 1>How many offices there are still wide open? Nobody's there? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I meant rising off the office occupancy if I if

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<v Speaker 1>I said it wrong, I heard that we're still there.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's um, you know, we the occupancy is slowly rising,

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<v Speaker 1>is what I was trying to say. The look I

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<v Speaker 1>thought we would have been, you know, fifty six by now,

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<v Speaker 1>we're not. Um, it is getting that way, I think.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, we're sitting also in the last two weeks

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<v Speaker 1>of August going into Labor Day, so people are saying,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, there's a variant out there. The weather's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>still hot. I might as well wait till after Labor Day.

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to go into the Jewish holidays at that point,

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<v Speaker 1>and there'll be another reason not to come back. So, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's not moving as quickly certainly as we thought.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, masking is starting to become more prevalent again. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, temperature readers are out there, washing hands is certainly,

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<v Speaker 1>you know in Vogue again more so than it was. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think this is all all within our control

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<v Speaker 1>this time. The virus is the virus, and it's up

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<v Speaker 1>to us, as the citizens of America to become vaccinated. No,

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<v Speaker 1>that is how we will deal with the virus. And

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<v Speaker 1>it's a pretty simple thing, um. And it's and that's

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<v Speaker 1>that's what's going on right now is those who have

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<v Speaker 1>not are putting both the economy and human other humans

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<v Speaker 1>at risk. Well, Ken, and forgive me, you did say

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<v Speaker 1>slowly rising office occupancy. I just wrote it down wrong,

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<v Speaker 1>so you're you're spot on. I just want to give

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<v Speaker 1>credit where it's due, Um, present button did did um

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<v Speaker 1>call out the private sector and thank them for what

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<v Speaker 1>they are doing? Do you think the private sector heads

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<v Speaker 1>of companies are doing enough in terms of saying you

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<v Speaker 1>want to come more, or you're gonna be a customer,

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<v Speaker 1>this is what you need to do. Um? Yes, I

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<v Speaker 1>could we do more always, But I think that the

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<v Speaker 1>private sector has responded very very intelligently and quickly and

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<v Speaker 1>rather boldly. You know, UM, I know for our companies,

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<v Speaker 1>we've required a vaccine absolutely or you have to take

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<v Speaker 1>a COVID test at least twice a week within twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four hours and show UM that you have a negative test. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm pushing towards not even allowing that and just

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<v Speaker 1>saying if you're not vaccinated, you just can't come into

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<v Speaker 1>the office. UM. Fortunately for most of my companies, everybody

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<v Speaker 1>has been vaccinated UM. And I commend those people and

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<v Speaker 1>they're honoring themselves as well as as the rest of

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<v Speaker 1>our humanity in America. UM. But I think I do

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<v Speaker 1>think the businesses have responded quite well to that. And

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<v Speaker 1>that's what it takes, you know, it's if we need

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<v Speaker 1>to implore and to all the people to get this vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>Is there a dislocation? I think you and I have

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<v Speaker 1>talked about this before, and I think one of the

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<v Speaker 1>things that has been so surprising is that we haven't

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<v Speaker 1>seen more problems in the commercial real estate as more,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, as people have stayed home. Is there some

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<v Speaker 1>dislocation coming UH on a larger scale. Kent that that

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<v Speaker 1>you're anticipating and just got about forty five and then

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<v Speaker 1>we'll come back and talk some more perfect question. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>The answer is possibly yes, UM. And and the reason

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<v Speaker 1>is is because for the first time really UM in

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<v Speaker 1>our country's history. Potentially, we have a we have a

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<v Speaker 1>we have a shortage of workers. Um people are finding

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<v Speaker 1>some people are finding that they'd rather take a lot

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<v Speaker 1>less pay and sit at home, not have to commute,

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<v Speaker 1>not have to buy clothing for work, and they think

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<v Speaker 1>that they can work for home. That potentially portends a

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<v Speaker 1>a a slowdown maybe in some of the office uh

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<v Speaker 1>leasing that has occurred in the past. But I would

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<v Speaker 1>say that's more Class B and C space than it

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<v Speaker 1>would be Class A space. Alright, great, great response. Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>sit tight, Kent. We're gonna come back and talk some more.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to talk a little bit about crypto the

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<v Speaker 1>ald because I know you guys have been moving into

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<v Speaker 1>that and with a stable coin specifically. And I also

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<v Speaker 1>want to talk a little bit about maybe local politics.

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<v Speaker 1>We are talking about Ken Swig, he is president of

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<v Speaker 1>Swig Equities with us on the phone from New York City.

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<v Speaker 1>Will continue that conversation in just a moment. Let's get

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<v Speaker 1>back to our guest. Ken Swig, president at Swig Equity,

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<v Speaker 1>is a real estate development and investment firm. They've got

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<v Speaker 1>properties on the eastern West Coast. He's still with us

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone in New York City. Hey, hey Ken,

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<v Speaker 1>when you hear like Macy's, I mean they're on a

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<v Speaker 1>tear this year at least the equity trade here. How

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<v Speaker 1>do you think about retail going forward? What really stays

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<v Speaker 1>with us? Especially after a year and a half or

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen so much of a move to the upside

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<v Speaker 1>in e commerce, Yet you still have somebody like Amazon

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<v Speaker 1>who says, wait a minute, we still need also we're

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<v Speaker 1>interested in opening up large retail. Well, it's it's interesting

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<v Speaker 1>retail itself. Um, you know, I like to say it's

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<v Speaker 1>you know what what Einstein said about matter, right, It's

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<v Speaker 1>it's neither created nor destroyed. It's merely changes its form.

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<v Speaker 1>So retail is clearly changing its form. But in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of popularity, um, you know, people are still buying things

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<v Speaker 1>um all over I think that, Um, it's just you

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<v Speaker 1>know it, the big box users have such realized that

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<v Speaker 1>they don't need to have that kind of space in

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<v Speaker 1>you know, very very expensive locations in order to perform

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<v Speaker 1>well and sell their goods and services. So, um, you

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<v Speaker 1>know there are form changes. You know, industrial was used

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<v Speaker 1>to be we used to call industrials really now just

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<v Speaker 1>an extension of retail. Um. So people are still shoppings,

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<v Speaker 1>people are still buying. I was talking to UM, a

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<v Speaker 1>company of Vashon Constantine the other day and and unbelievable,

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<v Speaker 1>their sales are so dramatically better over in the middle

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<v Speaker 1>of COVID. So um, you know, people are buying very

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<v Speaker 1>very expensive watches to wear at home. But but nonetheless

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<v Speaker 1>they were so UM. It's it's it's an interesting period

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<v Speaker 1>of time. Yeah, it's interesting in the luxury space are

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<v Speaker 1>We talked to a watchmaker, to a seller of watches,

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<v Speaker 1>one of the luxury, the high end too, and they said,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, basically you'd get into a virtual store and

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<v Speaker 1>you would be showing watches a seller to some customer.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's how they did it, and it worked. And

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<v Speaker 1>who would have thought a few years ago that they

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<v Speaker 1>would do and be able to sell something that sells

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<v Speaker 1>for thousands of dollars, you know, virtually, but they did it. Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>I want to switch gears a little bit if I can. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>Let's talk a little bit about the crypto world, because

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<v Speaker 1>you guys are developing a new cryptocurrencies. It's a stable coin,

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<v Speaker 1>it's backed by a physical asset. We're talking about gold.

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<v Speaker 1>How is that going and where are you in that process. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>it's not. While it appears a lot like a stable coin,

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<v Speaker 1>we cannot define ourselves quite that way. Okay, don't um,

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<v Speaker 1>But how is it going? It's going very well? We

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<v Speaker 1>um we uh. We actually have a coin that we

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<v Speaker 1>took over and the coin had some problems and trading discrepancy,

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<v Speaker 1>so we basically closed it down and we're re issuing

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<v Speaker 1>a brand new cone with gold backing and giving a

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<v Speaker 1>free coin to everybody who had a legitimate coin ownership

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<v Speaker 1>prior to the trading this proprieties um, and it's going well.

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<v Speaker 1>Where One of the unique things about us is that

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<v Speaker 1>we're based in the United States and the coin is

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<v Speaker 1>Dignity Gold UM. But we're basing the United States. We're

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<v Speaker 1>open and transparent of who owns it. Our attorneys are

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<v Speaker 1>in the United States, the gold is in the United States.

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<v Speaker 1>We've got gold backing, um, you know, with a lean

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<v Speaker 1>on on on the mind where the gold rests. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>We're voluntarily going in and filing with the SEC for us.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's it's a very different way of going about

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<v Speaker 1>doing it. And in fact, we will also be paying

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<v Speaker 1>a dividend because we're setting up an investment fund that

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<v Speaker 1>that is linked with with the coin and pledging some

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<v Speaker 1>of the dividends UM that are you know, profits will

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<v Speaker 1>be paid at a dividend to the coin holder. So

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<v Speaker 1>help me out here, because it is it is so

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<v Speaker 1>different from like the other cryptocurrencies that are out there.

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<v Speaker 1>So who do you see actually buying it? Is? Is

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<v Speaker 1>it correct and that it's going to be available at

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<v Speaker 1>the end of the year or what's the timeline on

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<v Speaker 1>this UM, Well, it'll it should be publicly traded, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>at the end of the year. It's not an initial

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<v Speaker 1>coin offering because it's just we're issuing coins to people

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<v Speaker 1>who had a previous one. UM. But the part of

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<v Speaker 1>what I think we're looking at is the different thing

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<v Speaker 1>that the dig the digital currency is in fact the

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<v Speaker 1>digital currency. I think what we're doing is we're taking

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<v Speaker 1>business practices that make sense UM in terms of governance,

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of SEC regulation and and and review uh

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of real backing attorneys, etcetera, and then applying

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<v Speaker 1>it into the digital currency world because frankly, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there some two eight digital currencies that are out there.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of it, you know, are out there in

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<v Speaker 1>the wild wild west of the world. UM where you

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<v Speaker 1>don't know who owns them. You don't know the trading platforms,

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<v Speaker 1>you can't find anybody around. They're they're all decentralized. Um

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<v Speaker 1>and and you know, it's it's an odd thing to

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<v Speaker 1>go buy a company that you don't really know what

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<v Speaker 1>it does. It doesn't perform, it doesn't make money, etcetera.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's the greater fool theory that if you you

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<v Speaker 1>buy it and somebody else will pay more. This this

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<v Speaker 1>has business practices with gold backing and and procedures and policies,

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<v Speaker 1>and it will be linked to a fund with dividends

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<v Speaker 1>being paid. So it's kind of blending good business, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>from from the old world, if you will, into the

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<v Speaker 1>digital currency world. We've learned a lot since you learned

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<v Speaker 1>about cryptocurrencies from your son. No, seriously, it's a lot. Um. Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>you just got a couple of minutes left. Here are

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit under that New York politics. I know

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<v Speaker 1>you're backing Eric Adams. You are all in on him.

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<v Speaker 1>Tell us about what you think the city needs right

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<v Speaker 1>now as a leader. Well, we need leadership and and

0:11:48.360 --> 0:11:51.600
<v Speaker 1>and and one of the reasons I'm backing Erica Adams

0:11:51.720 --> 0:11:54.720
<v Speaker 1>is is he happened to be, in my opinion, the

0:11:54.840 --> 0:11:58.000
<v Speaker 1>right person certainly at the right time. Um. He could

0:11:58.000 --> 0:12:00.760
<v Speaker 1>walk into the police force, um having been there for

0:12:00.800 --> 0:12:04.040
<v Speaker 1>twenty two years as a captain, and talk to the

0:12:04.080 --> 0:12:07.480
<v Speaker 1>police as one of them, and and and be able

0:12:07.520 --> 0:12:10.240
<v Speaker 1>to look and say, you know, nobody's there's no human

0:12:10.280 --> 0:12:13.040
<v Speaker 1>group on earth that's perfect. So we have to recognize

0:12:13.040 --> 0:12:16.040
<v Speaker 1>our weaknesses and we have to you know, overcome them, etcetera.

0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:19.319
<v Speaker 1>And he's doing it with respect and understanding. At the

0:12:19.360 --> 0:12:22.080
<v Speaker 1>same time, he can walk into the black community and

0:12:22.120 --> 0:12:24.839
<v Speaker 1>other communities here and say, look, you know, not only

0:12:24.880 --> 0:12:26.840
<v Speaker 1>do I understand the community, and I have grown up

0:12:26.880 --> 0:12:29.920
<v Speaker 1>in New York and I understand your issues. I was

0:12:29.960 --> 0:12:31.800
<v Speaker 1>also beaten up by the police at one point in

0:12:31.840 --> 0:12:34.600
<v Speaker 1>my life, and I joined them to make changes. So

0:12:34.640 --> 0:12:37.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm not looking to ostracize people. I'm looking to, you know,

0:12:37.679 --> 0:12:40.760
<v Speaker 1>to to to work from within. And I think that's

0:12:40.760 --> 0:12:42.800
<v Speaker 1>a very unique plant. He knows where all the street

0:12:42.800 --> 0:12:45.640
<v Speaker 1>corners are, he knows where all where people live, he

0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:48.480
<v Speaker 1>knows where the communities are, he knows and he takes

0:12:48.480 --> 0:12:53.360
<v Speaker 1>a very logical business practice, you know, uh viewpoint of

0:12:53.360 --> 0:12:56.160
<v Speaker 1>of how to run the city, which through a business

0:12:56.160 --> 0:12:57.920
<v Speaker 1>point of view. Well, that's gonna ask you just thirty

0:12:57.960 --> 0:13:00.640
<v Speaker 1>seconds quick. I mean, this is a city, the Wall

0:13:00.640 --> 0:13:03.679
<v Speaker 1>Street community, the financial community, the business community. Is he

0:13:03.800 --> 0:13:05.640
<v Speaker 1>going to be sympathetic to it in your view, the

0:13:05.679 --> 0:13:09.880
<v Speaker 1>investment community, just quickly, quickly. The answer is yes, but

0:13:10.160 --> 0:13:11.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm saying it in a different way. He's going to

0:13:11.960 --> 0:13:14.880
<v Speaker 1>be sensitive to the New York City population as a whole,

0:13:15.160 --> 0:13:18.040
<v Speaker 1>which is a blend of all of the component parts

0:13:18.080 --> 0:13:20.360
<v Speaker 1>of us. So he's leading all of us, he's not

0:13:20.440 --> 0:13:23.280
<v Speaker 1>leading fractions of us. And he can walk in and

0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:25.640
<v Speaker 1>people and will listen to him. They don't have to

0:13:25.679 --> 0:13:27.880
<v Speaker 1>agree with him all the time, but they'll listen because

0:13:27.960 --> 0:13:30.400
<v Speaker 1>he is one of us in so many different ways.

0:13:30.840 --> 0:13:34.200
<v Speaker 1>And that is leadership with an understanding, and that's what

0:13:34.280 --> 0:13:36.160
<v Speaker 1>we need. All right. On that note, we're going to

0:13:36.240 --> 0:13:38.079
<v Speaker 1>say goodbye, Kent, thank you so much. To be well.

0:13:38.200 --> 0:13:40.800
<v Speaker 1>Ket Swigg, he is president of Swig Equities. On the

0:13:40.800 --> 0:13:42.280
<v Speaker 1>phone from New York City,