Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to Fantasy Grows MLB. This is Leading
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Speaker 1: Joey p that's the Welsh. It is the second time
Speaker 1: we're doing this because I didn't hit go live the
Speaker 1: first time because it's been that kind of day. And
Speaker 1: if you want to hear me rage, listen to Cleaning
Speaker 1: Up on the audio podcast yesterday. I think we finally
Speaker 1: got that all set regardless. I see all the Peanuts
Speaker 1: and the Cracker Jacks. Happy Paul Skeen's week, everybody, and
Speaker 1: don't forget tomorrow's show. You gotta join us live our
Speaker 1: special tribute to the Peanuts and Cracker Jacks. We'll be
Speaker 1: here live on the program for twenty thousand. If you
Speaker 1: thought that the Whigs were good, you ain't see nothing yet. Welsh,
Speaker 1: how's it going? You must be excited about calling that
Speaker 1: Paul Skeen's date. Pretty pretty sharp on your part.
Speaker 2: Come to me, my x men. I'm using my telekinetic
Speaker 2: powers to listen victory lapping is fun. Not gonna lie?
Speaker 1: Yeah, can I bottle that? Listen?
Speaker 2: Pleasen? Victory lapping is kind of fun. Definitely obnoxious two degrees.
Speaker 2: But when I call to the day, I'm definitely gonna
Speaker 2: be kind of stupid about it. But yes, it's the eleventh.
Speaker 2: We said, does he want to pitch on the road
Speaker 2: against the Cubs or at home? It always made sense.
Speaker 2: It was always always going to be the eleventh as
Speaker 2: he built up that pitching marker. Really, the only thing
Speaker 2: that didn't hit was him getting over eighty pitches in
Speaker 2: the last start. He only had like sixty something. He
Speaker 2: was a little bit more. He had a couple walks,
Speaker 2: gave up a home run his first one, But either way,
Speaker 2: they got that build up there. He's making his debut.
Speaker 2: This is what we've wanted, and I'm I'm I'm really
Speaker 2: excited about it. I have a little game. Let's play
Speaker 2: another prediction game. Get you know, get the magneto helmet officers,
Speaker 2: give me the line, give me the Paul Schiens line
Speaker 2: coming up against the Cubs. How far does he go?
Speaker 2: Strike outs, walks, and then after we should talk about
Speaker 2: his overall fantasy value. But let's do prediction game.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go four and two thirds, seven strikeouts, no runs,
Speaker 1: two hits. That's where I'm gonna go, no walks.
Speaker 2: No walks. Okay, that's good. I'm it's funny you say that.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go four innings, eight strikeouts, two earned runs,
Speaker 2: two walks. That's gonna be my line for Paul Skins.
Speaker 2: So the key here we both don't have him going five.
Speaker 2: Maybe he does, maybe he pushes that limit, but this
Speaker 2: is a guy that's probably gonna push up the pitch count.
Speaker 2: It's gonna, you know, throw a lot of high strikes.
Speaker 2: There's gonna be a lot of fastballs in there. Might
Speaker 2: walk a few, but it's gonna be a fun early
Speaker 2: dominant performance. And I saw someone in the chat bring
Speaker 2: up the ultimate idea that Paul Skin's value has never
Speaker 2: been more high than this start coming up. But do
Speaker 2: you agree with it?
Speaker 1: On it? Look at this? Would you trade Paul Skins
Speaker 1: for medals? And in a.
Speaker 2: Second and missis seven minute?
Speaker 1: Yes, I'll look everybody in the chat, give us your
Speaker 1: prediction for Paul Skean's line on Saturday. We want to
Speaker 1: see what she's again. I say four and two thirds
Speaker 1: seven strikeouts, two hits, no earned runs, no walks. That's
Speaker 1: what I think. It's gonna be a very good performance
Speaker 1: from him.
Speaker 2: And let's see if we can get like a full
Speaker 2: prediction here. But so with that, like if that trade
Speaker 2: is out there, yeah, he trade ball Skins for Matt Olsen,
Speaker 2: But do you believe that this is the ultimate point
Speaker 2: of trade value because a draft you mean, yeah, yeah,
Speaker 2: oh yeah, of course, this is redraft dynasty. I think
Speaker 2: it's a whole nother ball game. You're not touching that stuff.
Speaker 2: But here's why I say this as well, and maybe
Speaker 2: this feeds to him. Our dear friend Scott White posed
Speaker 2: this question yesterday of saying, is Paul Skins already like
Speaker 2: a top twenty five starting pitcher in ranks? I've got
Speaker 2: him in that general range. I just did my redraft
Speaker 2: rest of season update that's on. It's a part of
Speaker 2: the Fantasy pros algorithm and stuff. But like, do you
Speaker 2: believe that he is already at top twenty five? Because
Speaker 2: where I'm going with this is if you think the
Speaker 2: upside is there, he's going to pitch the rest of
Speaker 2: the year, We're gonna see the strikeouts, he's gonna work
Speaker 2: into that top twenty five and continue to go. Trading
Speaker 2: him at top twenty five SP right now actually really
Speaker 2: wouldn't work, but because I think he is going to
Speaker 2: overperform that. But if you don't, you think he might
Speaker 2: have some struggles. And you know, sometimes a fast ball
Speaker 2: gets a little bit flattened out, he doesn't go deep
Speaker 2: into games, he doesn't go five. Then this would be
Speaker 2: if he's valued at a top twenty five SP. So
Speaker 2: really this is kind of building. Do you think this
Speaker 2: is getting out of the Paul Skeens business in redraft
Speaker 2: right now? I think it's by optimizing.
Speaker 1: The trade value. I think, just like I've been saying
Speaker 1: with the Garrett Cole thing, it's it's I can only see.
Speaker 1: I guess he's so many negative outcomes, whether it be limitations,
Speaker 1: whether it be getting shut down, whether it be an injury.
Speaker 1: I mean, how often we see guys are throwing one
Speaker 1: hundred miles an hour and everything looks spectacular. We get
Speaker 1: all excited and next saying, you know, oh, he felt
Speaker 1: up in his elbow. I mean, how many times we
Speaker 1: have to be beat over the head with this. I'm
Speaker 1: excited for it. Don't get me wrong, I see a
Speaker 1: lot of people trolling in the chat too. Two innings,
Speaker 1: five earned, four homers, like, oh, don't be jerks, it's
Speaker 1: not to be that. If it is, how hilarious is
Speaker 1: that going to be. I don't think it's going to
Speaker 1: be that.
Speaker 2: I don't This is not gonna be that fun with
Speaker 2: the hate of the you know, the production on the
Speaker 2: prospects as of late.
Speaker 1: But to your point, it's it's hard to it's hard
Speaker 1: not to say this is peak of redraft cell value
Speaker 1: for schemes because people will be frustrated because he might
Speaker 1: not get a lot of quality starts because you know,
Speaker 1: of depending, you're not gonna go lost six innings, you
Speaker 1: know what I mean, So path to the win becomes less.
Speaker 1: So in roto formats, I think it's an interesting conversation,
Speaker 1: especially because you know he has to be dominant in
Speaker 1: order to maintain those really good peripherals in points leagues
Speaker 1: where you're looking for strikeouts and if you can get
Speaker 1: into the fifth inning, maybe get you that w okay.
Speaker 1: But it is a very tricky thing. I think it's
Speaker 1: a very format related question as well. But would you
Speaker 1: rather have Jared Jones or Skiings rest the season?
Speaker 2: Jered Jones. I would say that, why noation?
Speaker 1: But why well?
Speaker 2: I think Jared Jones has already proved to be able
Speaker 2: to get that pitch count, even if it's a little
Speaker 2: bit lower. Like he his fastball has been unhittable. He
Speaker 2: is pushing into the fifth and sixth inning. He has
Speaker 2: built up those innings. My slight problem with Paul Skeins
Speaker 2: is the big thing that was coming out of the
Speaker 2: draft was the fastball shape. Like he's dominated the miners.
Speaker 2: They don't know what to do with it. But you're
Speaker 2: gonna have the best hitters in the world that are
Speaker 2: going to be up there. He's gonna have to command
Speaker 2: that at every spot. He's gonna have to learn to
Speaker 2: have some innings where he doesn't drive counts. This is
Speaker 2: a big strikeout pitcher. We saw this with Strider. Sometimes
Speaker 2: Strider would have some of those innings where he struck
Speaker 2: out eight, but he could only go into the fourth
Speaker 2: inning because this is what he does. He's a big
Speaker 2: strikeer and this is who Paul Skeins is. So what
Speaker 2: I'm worried about is Paul Skins getting up into one
Speaker 2: hundred plus pitches early on, being able to get into
Speaker 2: the fifth and sixth inning. I don't think they won't
Speaker 2: let him do it, but they have slow rolled this
Speaker 2: process that I don't know. I think it's a possibility
Speaker 2: with some of his secondary stuff. If he's not having big,
Speaker 2: massive command numbers, he might have a little bit of
Speaker 2: a struggle. But at the same time, based on you
Speaker 2: would say Jared Jones Top twenty five sp rest of season, right.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Well here's the other question too, what's the weather
Speaker 1: in Chicago?
Speaker 2: This we the weather outside is weather?
Speaker 1: Weather?
Speaker 2: Just last week? Oh you got that reference that you
Speaker 2: know what.
Speaker 1: Forget you their Marshall All Time great movie for you,
Speaker 1: that's one of their favorite quotes from that movie too.
Speaker 2: No, that's that's welcome to Colinwood. The weather outside is weather.
Speaker 1: Well, I know Paul Rudd in forgetting Sarah Marshall's.
Speaker 2: No, you're right, you're right. No that I'm thinking of
Speaker 2: a different line. Yeah, that is Paul Rudd.
Speaker 1: The weather outside is weather. It looks like Sunday seventy
Speaker 1: four degrees in Chicago. Saturday was actually sixty one degrees,
Speaker 1: so not too bad. You know, It's Chicago sometimes can
Speaker 1: be a little you know, rough weather wise, so that
Speaker 1: could enter into it. But look, I think we we're
Speaker 1: talking about schemes here. We're all excited. This is good
Speaker 1: for baseball. I wish it was not on a Saturday,
Speaker 1: to be honest with you, I wish it was like
Speaker 1: on a you know, like a third. I wish it
Speaker 1: was tonight, like Thursday night, standalone game. That would have
Speaker 1: been like, so attacker, we're gonna all like get excited
Speaker 1: to watch it. Today is always trickier with you know,
Speaker 1: events and things like that. But there's more things going
Speaker 1: on than just Paul Skins.
Speaker 2: Now there's not you want to see it my one.
Speaker 1: So to oh oh face another home run for Juan Soda.
Speaker 1: Let's go Aaron Judge at a home run General Stanley
Speaker 1: even at all run, everybody was going I told you
Speaker 1: the team totally guess it was born half of the Yankees.
Speaker 1: He's card nine runs, nine See, he's a good day.
Speaker 2: That Stanton home run. That's the most ridiculous. I was
Speaker 2: just talking to you about watching happy Gilmore again after
Speaker 2: a long time, the most happy Gilmour like swing. Just
Speaker 2: he hits it across his body. Saw hundred Yeah. In
Speaker 2: the chat, one hundred and nineteen point nine, as it's described,
Speaker 2: one of my favorite terms, by the way, a pismissal.
Speaker 2: That thing was just that thing was crazy. He's so
Speaker 2: not good at baseball, though, and it's just that's what
Speaker 2: he does. I saw someone be like, how does he
Speaker 2: do that? Because that's what he does. He's just a lumberjack.
Speaker 2: He just it was ever heard that. But that's tremendous
Speaker 2: that year plus ks. Yesterday Chris Paddock ten strikeouts. Amazing
Speaker 2: again with the Marlins, but still Chris Sale. We said
Speaker 2: we were looking forward to that start. Ten strikeouts against
Speaker 2: the Red Sox. So there you going. Dylan Cease not
Speaker 2: to be outdone. Twelve strikeouts. I gotta say Cese was
Speaker 2: a guy that was not.
Speaker 1: Really in on when he was a White Sox, and
Speaker 1: then when he got traded to the Padres, I had
Speaker 1: some buyer's remorse that I didn't have more shares. And
Speaker 1: I gotta tell you, Dylan Cease has been fantastic this
Speaker 1: year for the Padres. Absolutely brilliant. Eanduran struck out one
Speaker 1: batter in a scoreless night, so good on him. Jordan
Speaker 1: Montgomery a good bounce back after a bad outing last time.
Speaker 1: Two runs, seven hits over seven and the Rays activated
Speaker 1: Taj Bradley put Peppio on the il, so we'll see
Speaker 1: how he does. It looks like Friday against the Yankees
Speaker 1: is gonna be the Bradley start. Just for fun. Alex Bregman,
Speaker 1: my boy, dropped to the six spot in the Astros order. Fan.
Speaker 1: I would just buy. He's not a one ninety five
Speaker 1: hitter with a two seventy five OBP with a two
Speaker 1: sixty slogging. He's just not He's not so by just buy.
Speaker 2: Who would you rather have rest of season? Alex Bregman
Speaker 2: or Chris Morrell.
Speaker 1: Alex Bregman, Stop stop Chris. Alex Bregman has come on, dude,
Speaker 1: He's got like six years of productivity. I know it's
Speaker 1: been varying, but Chris Morrell doesn't have one full season
Speaker 1: that sniffs what Alex Bragman's capable of. It's a bad
Speaker 1: months on.
Speaker 2: It'll be this year.
Speaker 1: It'll be this year.
Speaker 2: This will be the one where.
Speaker 1: Because he's so old and all of a sudden, it
Speaker 1: just makes sense. Trash cans right about now.
Speaker 2: Backman so overrated, he had the one great You see,
Speaker 2: this is the problem.
Speaker 1: I was the one pounding the trash can about the
Speaker 1: overratedness of Alex Bragman back in the day when everybody
Speaker 1: was going nuts, and then all of a sudden, post
Speaker 1: the scandal, everybody was out on Alex Bragman so much
Speaker 1: to the guy that I had to become the defender
Speaker 1: of Alex Bregman, which makes me unhappy. But here we
Speaker 1: are also unhappy Tyler Black because he got sent down
Speaker 1: to Nashville because our guy, Christian Yelich went out. Our guy,
Speaker 1: he's just a guy, came back and that's a good
Speaker 1: thing there. So he is back for the Milwaukee Brewers.
Speaker 1: We certainly need some help on offense, but of course
Speaker 1: the rookie lookie is not the only thing you get
Speaker 1: on Thursdays. You get a lot more because it's time,
Speaker 1: ladies and gentlemen for prospecting with the Welsh. Look at that.
Speaker 1: There's Tom Hanks and a beard putting a pick axe
Speaker 1: through the Welsh's head and Welsh's kind of indifferent to it.
Speaker 1: He's like, whatever, man, it's just another day at the office.
Speaker 1: So Welsh, this is the time where we dig into
Speaker 1: the prospect Watch here the guys down on the farm
Speaker 1: who are going to make an impact on fantasy baseball.
Speaker 1: So what do you have for the people, where do
Speaker 1: you want to start today?
Speaker 2: Well, we do have four names that we're going to
Speaker 2: talk about. The prospect articles available over on Fantasy Pros
Speaker 2: if you guys want to go and check that out now.
Speaker 2: I think there's eight nine names on there. But we
Speaker 2: also I deepen the list of prospects to watch. So
Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you a couple at the end, just
Speaker 2: a couple names to throw out that you should put
Speaker 2: on your watch list. There are more names that we're
Speaker 2: going to talk about that are on your stash list.
Speaker 2: But I wanted to ask one question because we had
Speaker 2: some graduates. We had a really good week last week.
Speaker 2: We obviously Paul Skeen's coming off that list, Christian Scott
Speaker 2: came off the list in coll Manzardo, who made his debut.
Speaker 2: I wanted to get your take before we jump into
Speaker 2: anything here of the overall prospect failure that's been going on,
Speaker 2: people losing their mind about everyone. Commns Art has got
Speaker 2: to come up. We gotta get him up. Then he
Speaker 2: has like five strikeouts in the first couple. He's struggling.
Speaker 2: He's got a sixty percent k percentage to start off
Speaker 2: hitting one twenty five. Do you hold Kyle Manzardo or
Speaker 2: do you kick him to the curb.
Speaker 1: Well, look, if you're a shallow league, I think it's different.
Speaker 1: I think you can kick guys to the curb. Like
Speaker 1: Jackson Holliday comes up, he doesn't perform, you can kick
Speaker 1: him to the curve. It's a shallow league, there'll be
Speaker 1: a chance to get him back or what have you.
Speaker 1: But I think this is this is kind of an
Speaker 1: overall r of arching issue where we talk about prospects
Speaker 1: and patience. It comes with patients, whether it be baseball
Speaker 1: or there'd be football. I remember a couple years ago,
Speaker 1: everybody lost their mind because you were excited about the
Speaker 1: running backs, and then the second half of the year, all
Speaker 1: those running backs one people championships if you wait, even
Speaker 1: Jamior Gibbs last year. Right in the baseball world too,
Speaker 1: it's such a long season where you have to think
Speaker 1: of it the same. You have to think of it
Speaker 1: as like, well, if they come up in April or
Speaker 1: in May and they struggle, it's not the last chance
Speaker 1: for them. If you're in deeper leagues and I think
Speaker 1: you got a hold. I always say this too when
Speaker 1: a prospect gets called up, if you can flip them
Speaker 1: for a player that you know is very steady and solid.
Speaker 1: Like if Kyle Manzardo came up and you could flip
Speaker 1: him for Alex Bregman, who has a track record of
Speaker 1: being good, I'd make that trade in the second Why
Speaker 1: because there's a track record telling me this guy's having
Speaker 1: a bad month. But overall, I know what the numbers
Speaker 1: are gonna be when I look at the back of
Speaker 1: the baseball card, So I treat the shallow league versus
Speaker 1: a deeper league differently. And if there's keeper implications, that
Speaker 1: has to enter into it. Two. But you're just regular
Speaker 1: old redraft leagues. You have to be patient. You're in
Speaker 1: a twelve team mix league. I think you have to
Speaker 1: be patient if you made these investments. However, I think
Speaker 1: when you get to June first is when you start
Speaker 1: to lose patience, and then it's okay to get back
Speaker 1: in there because that's a third of the season done.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I would well said across the board talking
Speaker 2: in redraft terms, of course, for most of these guys
Speaker 2: that the reason you get into the world of stashing.
Speaker 2: My idea hopefully is that you are stashing these players
Speaker 2: in a way that they are not meant to be
Speaker 2: right into your starting roster. They have a starting roster
Speaker 2: set and these are more bench players, because what we
Speaker 2: see is these guys come up and people make these
Speaker 2: big decisions, Hey should I cut You know, well, now
Speaker 2: you can cut Christian and Karnassia and Strand, but people
Speaker 2: like should I cut Strand? To do this, to make
Speaker 2: these moves with players that are not affecting your starting roster,
Speaker 2: it's easier to stomach some of the early difficulties. And
Speaker 2: we've seen some of that with Mansarto, but has hit skills.
Speaker 2: They're up there, they're going to get there. Who cares
Speaker 2: about two games? Also positive, they're talking about working him
Speaker 2: in the outfield a little bit. So stay patient if
Speaker 2: you can, and make roster moves and make room for
Speaker 2: these players in a way that they are not desperately
Speaker 2: a part of your starting lineup where you're screwed if
Speaker 2: they struggle, because guess what prospects are going to struggle
Speaker 2: a little bit early on. So let's talk about the
Speaker 2: main crew here, and we will start with Junior Camonaro,
Speaker 2: who I know we've talked a ton about a couple
Speaker 2: notes on Junior Camonaro. He has a hit in every
Speaker 2: game in May so far, at least as I wrote
Speaker 2: my article. He also had a two run, two home
Speaker 2: run game which was on May first, which is great.
Speaker 2: Hitting three fifteen six homers in the minors so far,
Speaker 2: he has been solid. Here's one of the most interesting
Speaker 2: things to add in. And somebody posted this, I think
Speaker 2: it was in one of our slacks or whatever, but
Speaker 2: the Rookie of the Year odds changed dramatically on Junior
Speaker 2: Camonaro today went from like twenty two hundred to twelve hundred.
Speaker 2: That that seems very very telling. While there's been that
Speaker 2: article that's been out there about the Rays are going
Speaker 2: to hold him back, I'm gonna give you a prediction
Speaker 2: date again just for funzies here, because someone said after
Speaker 2: my Paul Schemes prediction, they said, now do Junior Camonaro.
Speaker 2: My Junior Camonaro is May twenty fourth. There's a home game,
Speaker 2: it's after a day off, that offense needs it. The
Speaker 2: Rays are future. I keep repeating myself, Yes, the Rays
Speaker 2: may hold him back. We don't know what they're gonna do.
Speaker 2: But Camonaro continues to play really, really well. He's not
Speaker 2: striking out a bunch the homers are going. He's getting
Speaker 2: lots of hits, hitting every game in May. So I'm
Speaker 2: going to make a prediction of May twenty fourth. But
Speaker 2: pay attention to those rookie odds because why would those.
Speaker 1: Change Because on Sunday I made a point about I said,
Speaker 1: there's two guys we did the rookie odds on sportscript
Speaker 1: and on the TV show, I said, look, there's two
Speaker 1: guys you have to worry about right now whose odds
Speaker 1: have actually gone up way enormously, like off the charts.
Speaker 1: Skeens and camon Aro both started out pretty low when
Speaker 1: they didn't make the team out of spring, odds went crazy,
Speaker 1: and I literally just talked about both of them, and
Speaker 1: literally both of them in the last twenty four hours
Speaker 1: have pushed completely back to where they opened almost So
Speaker 1: that's pretty interesting there.
Speaker 2: Bringing back up James Wood again, you got to remember,
Speaker 2: when we're doing these segments, you're gonna have guys that
Speaker 2: are going to be turned back over. So if anything,
Speaker 2: it's important to come back to them and see how
Speaker 2: they've been performing. Because James would when I talk about
Speaker 2: prospects to Stash, I do think we're getting to a
Speaker 2: more difficult range of levels of how much do you
Speaker 2: put into these players. I believe Cameron Arow and Wood
Speaker 2: are the tippy top where you can sacrifice pieces on
Speaker 2: the roster of the guys it's a little bit tougher
Speaker 2: to do. James Wood is that player that I would
Speaker 2: do it with. He's hitting three thirty nine in the year,
Speaker 2: four homers, eight stolen bases. On May eighth, put up
Speaker 2: a two home run game. A fun fact, by the way,
Speaker 2: all four homers have come in two games so far
Speaker 2: this year that he's had, but hitting three eighty five
Speaker 2: on the month. And if it wasn't for Jacob Young,
Speaker 2: that's you know, playing center field ceiling bases at the
Speaker 2: front of that lineup, I think he would be up there.
Speaker 2: So they got to make that soon, that move here
Speaker 2: in the very near future. But he is the only
Speaker 2: other guy that I would put into that space where
Speaker 2: I'm really going to like burn roster spots from the
Speaker 2: other two that are important as far as the stash
Speaker 2: world goes. Kobe Mayo, who we've talked about a ton.
Speaker 2: His average is dropped down to three zho one, but
Speaker 2: he's got eleven homers, which is third in the miners
Speaker 2: right now. Which is crazy, but he has been struggling
Speaker 2: in May. He's hitting under two hundred four of his
Speaker 2: six games in May, multi strikeout performances, So I think
Speaker 2: he's going to be kind of built to like an
Speaker 2: infield injury, someone that's not in the outfield, and then
Speaker 2: a rollas Martinez has been the other big one we've
Speaker 2: been all worrying about or wondering when he's gonna come.
Speaker 2: He has not slowed down. He's hitting two ninety four
Speaker 2: with nine homers on the year, and he's hitting two
Speaker 2: ninety two with two more homers in May. The low
Speaker 2: strikeout rate I think has been one of the biggest
Speaker 2: beneficiaries to him. And this is just about the Blue
Speaker 2: Jays making the move of like Cavin Bigio off the
Speaker 2: main roster. So once they do that, he will be up.
Speaker 2: And then finally Joe. My prospects to watch list has
Speaker 2: gotten way deeper for everybody. So these are guys to
Speaker 2: pay attention to. It's ten deep. I'm gonna throw a
Speaker 2: couple at you. Will Warren with the Yankees, he should
Speaker 2: be the number one guy if they suffer any injury
Speaker 2: in that rotation. He's been solid. Max Munsey, yes, another
Speaker 2: Max Monsey with the A's is in Triple A. I
Speaker 2: know it's another one of them, and I wish you
Speaker 2: would go buy a.
Speaker 1: Different weather for Christmas and you already have that sweater
Speaker 1: and you go, oh.
Speaker 2: Great, Maxim, this will look good again. Maxwell Munsei. The
Speaker 2: interesting thing. They brought up Jacob Wilson, who's just drafted.
Speaker 2: He's already a Triple A. I think he would be better,
Speaker 2: but I think they'll give a shot to Max Munsey.
Speaker 1: First.
Speaker 2: Drell Hernees just suffered an injury on the eel, so
Speaker 2: they might look to him. And finally, Adrian del Castillo
Speaker 2: with the Diamondbacks. He's a catcher. I wonder if they
Speaker 2: play him in other spot. He's hitting like three p
Speaker 2: forty in a right now six home. He's been awesome.
Speaker 2: He's a guy that could get a look soon. Usually
Speaker 2: the watch guys are probably more injury based players. But
Speaker 2: those are some prospects for you guys to get in
Speaker 2: your brains. If you're gonna start stashing and making some.
Speaker 1: Moves, get them prospects in your brains. Every single Thursday
Speaker 1: with prospecting. With the Welsh, that's Chris Welsh. Maybe someday
Speaker 1: we'll get that pickax out your head and then maybe
Speaker 1: start making some better liugh decisions. All right, Welsh, we
Speaker 1: promised this yesterday on the show, and our amazing graphics
Speaker 1: professional Ethan has it for us. So Welsh and I
Speaker 1: were talking about the decline of Tim Anderson and what
Speaker 1: it looks like. Well, here's what it looks like.
Speaker 2: I'm well, dabadi baba da da body.
Speaker 1: So explain for the lay person what we're seeing here
Speaker 1: on the YouTube channel right now with this Tim Anderson
Speaker 1: Baseball Savant page.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, So this is the visualization of one of
Speaker 2: the worst of the worst players in baseball. You don't
Speaker 2: even need to do a full breakdown to see that.
Speaker 2: All of it's about Even the bluemen are just shocked
Speaker 2: right now. His seasonal stats are bad, but over on
Speaker 2: the right hand side, whether people like it or not,
Speaker 2: these are the percentile ranks in baseball from Baseball Savant,
Speaker 2: and you'll see things like expected stats, expected batting average
Speaker 2: that's the seventh percentile, worst percentile of the league. You'll
Speaker 2: see average exit velocity, you'll see barrel percentage, literally one
Speaker 2: of the worst. Every single thing that he does is
Speaker 2: one of the worst in baseball. It's actually astonishing to
Speaker 2: look at that list and that whole visualization there, and
Speaker 2: whether you care about baseball savon or whatever, certain things
Speaker 2: or certain stats, whatever, everything is bad. He doesn't walk,
Speaker 2: one of the worst. He strikes out too much, one
Speaker 2: of the worst. He is one of the worst chasers
Speaker 2: in baseball. That thing is incredible. Dad Daba da.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was from beef. Tim Anderson is terrible at
Speaker 1: baseball gen Carlo Stanton quote.
Speaker 2: That's like, it's like the Michael Scott, Michael.
Speaker 1: Jordan, Yeah, I mean Tim Anderson. Hovey Baya is also
Speaker 1: like that. That's a that's a good one too. Who's
Speaker 1: stolen more money Hovey Baya. So he really is the
Speaker 1: big winner. I think at the end of the day,
Speaker 1: some more news and notes to get through three up
Speaker 1: and three down, we'll do this quick. Confordo three for
Speaker 1: four with a dinger yesterday. He has had a great season.
Speaker 1: Kyle Bradish another a good outing for him. Didn't get
Speaker 1: the w unfortunate, but nine strikeouts and five innings one run.
Speaker 1: Barcelo Zuna not one, but two home runs will get
Speaker 1: to the home run board in just a second. Everybody.
Speaker 1: Craig Kimbrel third blown save. Kind of mentioned the other
Speaker 1: day maybe one of these prospects has to go for
Speaker 1: another closer. Might happen, I don't know. Nick Pivetta was
Speaker 1: not good in his return five earned runs. He was
Speaker 1: unfortunately beating his brains by the Atlanta Braves. And Chris
Speaker 1: Sale and Jack Lder did more. Jack Lider thing six runs,
Speaker 1: four earned, three strikeouts. So Jack Lighter kind of welsh.
Speaker 1: Feels like he's exactly who I thought he was, and
Speaker 1: I have the spent zero fab chasing him. I was
Speaker 1: not buying the turnout you know we had. You were,
Speaker 1: you were pretty optimistic. I feel like when it came
Speaker 1: to Jack Lder, I was very pessimistic. Well, I was
Speaker 1: optimistic because and I'm like, I don't think he is.
Speaker 2: I still actually think he's evolving. I just think it's
Speaker 2: gonna be a slow run. It's a guy that doesn't
Speaker 2: throw enough strikes more predictable.
Speaker 1: How how slow?
Speaker 2: Well, because he got he absolutely got destroyed in the
Speaker 2: first start. He was perfect in the first inning, destroyed
Speaker 2: in the second, great in the third inning, destroyed in
Speaker 2: the fourth. He's not a redraft guy. Okay, back to
Speaker 2: your point, I was optimistic there could be some value
Speaker 2: in redraft this year. There ain't, but I do think
Speaker 2: we'll be talking about Jack Lder in a year or two,
Speaker 2: in a maybe even in like a Dylan Sees type
Speaker 2: of way, a guy that you know, you can have
Speaker 2: a game where he strikes out nine and is good,
Speaker 2: and then he has another the old Dylan Cees like
Speaker 2: from the last year or two in the White Sox
Speaker 2: was not good, was not very good at all. He
Speaker 2: might kind of be in that space. Maybe McKenzie Gore.
Speaker 2: He might be kind of like a Gore, which is
Speaker 2: never gonna be more than streamable. But yeah, I mean
Speaker 2: I was just optimistic because like you saw massive change
Speaker 2: from him, but it ain't great.
Speaker 1: He's no Mason Miller, that's for sure. Baby. That guy's been.
Speaker 2: On the My dear good friend Justin Steele has a
Speaker 2: new podcast that he was doing with the Barstool guys
Speaker 2: and he had Mason Miller on and they told Mason
Speaker 2: Miller that he had a negative FIP and he was
Speaker 2: Mason Miller was like, I didn't even know that was possible.
Speaker 2: Like they all had this conversation and Justin Steele didn't
Speaker 2: even know it was possible to have a negative. It's
Speaker 2: a it's a pretty good clip where Steele and Mason
Speaker 2: Miller are just laughing about having a negative because Justin
Speaker 2: was like I thought it was like E RA where
Speaker 2: it just stops at zero. It's like, he's so good
Speaker 2: it went into the negative.
Speaker 1: It's like, it's like, why why don't you take some
Speaker 1: more runs? I just take some more runs.
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly.
Speaker 1: He's the first guy ever who can score runs for
Speaker 1: his own team wallpitching.
Speaker 2: He's a run thief.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 2: Actually, wouldn't that be amazing to you?
Speaker 1: That's what a minus one is. That's that's why that's absurd.
Speaker 1: It's stupid, that's dumb. Is come, here's the injuries? Yeah.
Speaker 1: P Fairbanks another minor league rehab star for him. Pepio
Speaker 1: I mentioned earlier on the I L the contusion like
Speaker 1: I OL for the contusion Edward Cabrera on the fifteen
Speaker 1: day L with the right shoulder impingement. We said that
Speaker 1: was gonna happen. Brax and Garrett's gonna get the start.
Speaker 1: So Garrett in, Bradley in if they're on the way,
Speaker 1: rewire go pick them up. Blake Snell making a minor
Speaker 1: leg rehabit start at single a on Sunday, Chas McCormick
Speaker 1: and Jose your Cueedie working their way back for the Astros.
Speaker 1: The Giants put hore So Layer in the ten day
Speaker 1: Il retroactive to May fifth with a shoulder strain, Sean
Speaker 1: Murphy working his way back, and Christian Encarnacion Strand hits
Speaker 1: the IL with the right owner styloid fracture. I've never
Speaker 1: heard of a styloid fracture. How's your styloid, by the way, Well,
Speaker 1: I don't know.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna have to get it checked out.
Speaker 1: Tennessee. I remember you sprained your styloid, but it was well,
Speaker 1: you know.
Speaker 2: Those flights and stuff like that. Your styloid can flare
Speaker 2: up a little bit.
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what. You sprained a styloid waiting to
Speaker 1: claim your seat for Southwest. You should see the anxiousness
Speaker 1: on Welsh's face during that whole deboom.
Speaker 2: Well, when I was coming back, we were we were
Speaker 2: actually going to play a football game. We just like
Speaker 2: took over this field, all of us at Fantasy Pros,
Speaker 2: and I like was sitting there. Everyone was trying to
Speaker 2: do stuff and I was waiting for the minute I
Speaker 2: could jump on to instantly upgrade my seat or try
Speaker 2: to get my thing. Then I didn't and I had
Speaker 2: to instantly upgrade. Like all I cared about on that
Speaker 2: Football Sports day was upgrading my seat on Southwest.
Speaker 1: Which and all you care about today because this Thursday
Speaker 1: is the best Bets of the Day with Joey p
Speaker 1: and the Welsh. Make sure you're using Bet three sixty
Speaker 1: five for all of your wages and wagering of all sports.
Speaker 1: Bet five bucks get one hundred and fifteen bonus best
Speaker 1: when you do, but only when you use that promo
Speaker 1: code leading off at Bet three sixty five Welsh. It's
Speaker 1: a really light slate today, and I know this comes
Speaker 1: out a little later for people too. There's a lot
Speaker 1: of day games. So next week I've got a little
Speaker 1: audio short podcast coming up on Betting Pros where I
Speaker 1: do a look at the you know, uncle Joey looks
Speaker 1: at you know, the big board for the futures because
Speaker 1: Joey Futures is a real thing. But there are three
Speaker 1: things I just want to preview on that. The first
Speaker 1: one is Gunner Henderson al MVP at plus five hundred. Again,
Speaker 1: this award's gonna go to somebody who is on a
Speaker 1: team that's gonna be extraordinarily good with a high wind total.
Speaker 1: I still think Julio was in this mix. I still
Speaker 1: love that Julio number getting bigger and bigger and bigger.
Speaker 1: But the Gunner Henderson one's getting smaller. Plus five hundred.
Speaker 1: It's a good time to get him. Bryce Harper plus
Speaker 1: twelve hundred. I'm pounding the table for the Phillies. You
Speaker 1: know this Welsh so I have not won but two
Speaker 1: Phillies wagers here. I love this Harper number of plus twelve.
Speaker 1: I know he is not the first or second guy
Speaker 1: on the board right now for the National League, I
Speaker 1: still think he can get there. And Zach Wheeler National League,
Speaker 1: Cy Young plus two twenty. It's hard to see a
Speaker 1: lot of competition. When Strider went down, it kind of
Speaker 1: became open season. In these first five weeks of the
Speaker 1: season or six weeks of the season so far, Zach
Speaker 1: Wheeler has just been the guy and it seems like
Speaker 1: he's in the best spot to potentially continue to be
Speaker 1: this good. So at two to one right now, it's
Speaker 1: an interesting time to get in again. April. I don't
Speaker 1: like to chase too much. I'm looking for value, not
Speaker 1: the guys at the top of the board necessarily, but
Speaker 1: Wheeler is one of those guys right now that just
Speaker 1: makes a lot of sense to me. Welsh, when you
Speaker 1: look at the top of the board, what do you
Speaker 1: see right now? From a Thursday betting standpoint, and you're
Speaker 1: a little more granular today, I'm a little bit more
Speaker 1: five thousand feet.
Speaker 2: We're gonna turn the bad boy around here. Oh it's
Speaker 2: on a Thursday betting. Here it is all dusty and stuff,
Speaker 2: But on a Thursday betting, we're gonna turn that hat
Speaker 2: around because we got to lock in on Thursday because
Speaker 2: there are less and some people are gonna miss out
Speaker 2: on some of these because, like you said, we've got
Speaker 2: games that are gonna be starting up right as we
Speaker 2: get out. So my top bed of the day Cleveland
Speaker 2: and the White Sox through the first five four and
Speaker 2: a half runs, I'm going under White Socks are literally
Speaker 2: the worst in first five scoring this season. Now Cleveland
Speaker 2: is actually in the top five, but we've seen Eric
Speaker 2: Fetty kind of be a monster so far early this season.
Speaker 2: I also like Ben Lively with Cleveland, so Fetti Lively,
Speaker 2: it seems like a weird combination. Bad offense from the
Speaker 2: White Sox. I'm going under four and a half runs
Speaker 2: in that one. Next up, I'm going back to Keaton
Speaker 2: win Who I know. Keaton Winn got lit up a
Speaker 2: little bit in his last start growing up against the
Speaker 2: Colorado Rockies. You can get his strikeouts over four and
Speaker 2: a half at minus one twenty two. This is why
Speaker 2: I like it. The Rockies have the second highest chase
Speaker 2: rate in all of baseball and the third highest chase
Speaker 2: rate against righties. Win throws lots of splitters, and I
Speaker 2: think they are going to be chasing through that sucker,
Speaker 2: especially coming off of that bad performance. So I like
Speaker 2: Win on the strikeout number. And then I'm gonna go
Speaker 2: with the Angels through the first five. I'm gonna take
Speaker 2: the money line right around minus one ten. They got
Speaker 2: reddebt meers on the mound, so I'm gonna back read debtmers.
Speaker 2: Hopefully the Angels have got the lead through the first five.
Speaker 2: Those are my bets. I might even have one or
Speaker 2: two more. You can follow at bettingpros dot com slash
Speaker 2: Welsh betting pro. Right there, bettingpros dot com slash Joe
Speaker 2: if you guys want to follow all of our bets.
Speaker 2: I gotta clean my hat here, but we did turn
Speaker 2: it around, so it means we mean business today.
Speaker 1: Business today, over the top bets and of course make
Speaker 1: sure you're using betting pros app download that bad boy
Speaker 1: sink your sportsbooks for free and start betting smarter, not harder.
Speaker 1: That is the best bets of the day for Thursday. Welsh,
Speaker 1: It's time to look at the home run board today,
Speaker 1: So let's get a look at that because somebody's got
Speaker 1: another one. Oh it's me. I'm at twelve. But look
Speaker 1: I keep falling down. I keep getting the home runs
Speaker 1: and I keep falling down the board because all these
Speaker 1: other maniacs continue to just crush it. Sclarp still at
Speaker 1: the top with Pazzi both at fifteen, so I'm still
Speaker 1: three behind the leader board. Welsh is still trying to
Speaker 1: get to double digits, but he's oh so close. So Welsh,
Speaker 1: that being said, where are you going for your home
Speaker 1: run call today?
Speaker 2: I know, just it's like I get one and everybody
Speaker 2: else does, and I just keep being one off from it.
Speaker 2: I am actually gonna go against my team today. This
Speaker 2: is going to be happening here in just a second.
Speaker 2: Give me Ellie de la Cruz up against Slade CHACONI
Speaker 2: think Ellie is going to drop a big one today.
Speaker 2: So Ellie of the De La Cruzes is going to
Speaker 2: be my home run call.
Speaker 1: Ellie of the New Hampshire Dela Cruizes. I believe. Yeah, Yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna let it ride again because you know,
Speaker 1: really yeah, because I'm just a jerk this week and
Speaker 1: I got the Otani homer, I let it ride. It
Speaker 1: didn't work. I got the Sodo homer. I'm gonna try
Speaker 1: to let it ride. See how that works, see how
Speaker 1: that goes for because I know it infuriates people when
Speaker 1: I picked the same guy two days in a row,
Speaker 1: and it's gonna piss him off even more if I'm right. Again,
Speaker 1: feels good, Welsh feels good. But one Sodo man, how
Speaker 1: good has that guy been for the Yankees? Talk about
Speaker 1: I mean, you.
Speaker 2: Want to talk about betting al al MVPs.
Speaker 1: I mean yeah, but again, but the problem is again,
Speaker 1: Judge is there, and he is a massive in more
Speaker 1: ways than one presence, But the feeling of a player
Speaker 1: going to the Yankee specifically and having such a positive
Speaker 1: impact on that team as a whole, just not not
Speaker 1: even just on the field, but even off like It
Speaker 1: is an electric situation there right now in the New
Speaker 1: York area with soda like it is crazy, Like they
Speaker 1: love this guy.
Speaker 2: I think he's leading in like every offensive County sat.
Speaker 1: They're gonna have to back up the truck old school
Speaker 1: Yankee style if they want to keep him, because he
Speaker 1: is doing everything the right way. And my goodness, the
Speaker 1: number one thing you could do right now is a
Speaker 1: new Yankee has killed the Astros, and he has killed
Speaker 1: the Astros this year, like you want to get yourself
Speaker 1: like back in the day it used to be beat
Speaker 1: the hell out of the Red Sox. You do that,
Speaker 1: Yankee fans are gonna love you. He's beating the hell
Speaker 1: out of the Astros. Yankee fans are loving this. So
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a good time. Make sure you joined
Speaker 1: the home Run to Call contest as well over on
Speaker 1: our discord fansboros dot com slash chat. It is free
Speaker 1: to join and fun to play, So go ahead and
Speaker 1: do that, because the winner is getting that Vladimir Guerrero
Speaker 1: autographed bat And if I get it, canna break it
Speaker 1: over my leg like bo Jackson, throw it into the few.
Speaker 2: You think you could, You think you could break a bat?
Speaker 1: Of your leg without hurting myself.
Speaker 2: I think you break your siloid.
Speaker 1: I mean I could do it, like against a tree.
Speaker 1: I think I could swing it hard enough to break it.
Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, yeah, sure if I could not,
Speaker 2: everybody I.
Speaker 1: Think is strong enough to do that. Like that's hard,
Speaker 1: but I think I could do it. I got the
Speaker 1: bat speed still. Yeah, I told you, Welsh, you get
Speaker 1: me out there on the get me out there on
Speaker 1: the batting practice. Old man can still swing the bat
Speaker 1: a little bit, still swing.
Speaker 2: In the bat. Get me out on that old batting
Speaker 2: practice and I'll do some baton.
Speaker 1: There you go. End on this note from the chat.
Speaker 1: Juan Soto is a perfect Yankee, cocky, talented and a
Speaker 1: little crazy that certainly it sounds a lot like me.
Speaker 1: Sounds a lot like me. All right, great stuff today
Speaker 1: from Welsh obviously with the Prospects stuff as always, and
Speaker 1: that's always going to be on the YouTube channel, so
Speaker 1: if you ever miss it live you want to go
Speaker 1: back and watch it again, it's up there too in
Speaker 1: its own segment. You can check that out as well.
Speaker 1: You can also follow us on all the social media
Speaker 1: platforms too, Fantasy Pros, MLB. Yeah, that'll do. It for us,
Speaker 1: but the story of the game goes on for the Welsh.
Speaker 1: I'm Joey Ping. We'll see you next time. Kids Tomorrow
Speaker 1: on Friday twenty k celebration, be there. Give it