WEBVTT - MLB Leading Off May 9th, 2024 EP. 808 0:00:05.840 --> 0:00:09.080 Welcome in, everybody to Fantasy Grows MLB. This is Leading 0:00:09.080 --> 0:00:11.000 Off Live, brought to you by BED three six five 0:00:11.320 --> 0:00:13.480 Bed five bucks get one hundred and fifty and bonus 0:00:13.480 --> 0:00:16.360 bets when you do at bet three sucks five only 0:00:16.600 --> 0:00:18.759 when you use the promo code leading Off. It's me 0:00:18.920 --> 0:00:21.520 Joey p that's the Welsh. It is the second time 0:00:21.520 --> 0:00:23.800 we're doing this because I didn't hit go live the 0:00:23.840 --> 0:00:25.919 first time because it's been that kind of day. And 0:00:25.960 --> 0:00:28.240 if you want to hear me rage, listen to Cleaning 0:00:28.320 --> 0:00:31.080 Up on the audio podcast yesterday. I think we finally 0:00:31.080 --> 0:00:33.600 got that all set regardless. I see all the Peanuts 0:00:33.600 --> 0:00:36.519 and the Cracker Jacks. Happy Paul Skeen's week, everybody, and 0:00:37.000 --> 0:00:40.519 don't forget tomorrow's show. You gotta join us live our 0:00:40.600 --> 0:00:43.199 special tribute to the Peanuts and Cracker Jacks. We'll be 0:00:43.240 --> 0:00:45.760 here live on the program for twenty thousand. If you 0:00:45.800 --> 0:00:49.640 thought that the Whigs were good, you ain't see nothing yet. Welsh, 0:00:49.760 --> 0:00:51.919 how's it going? You must be excited about calling that 0:00:52.000 --> 0:00:55.240 Paul Skeen's date. Pretty pretty sharp on your part. 0:00:55.440 --> 0:00:59.160 Come to me, my x men. I'm using my telekinetic 0:00:59.240 --> 0:01:03.279 powers to listen victory lapping is fun. Not gonna lie? 0:01:03.440 --> 0:01:05.720 Yeah, can I bottle that? Listen? 0:01:06.000 --> 0:01:11.039 Pleasen? Victory lapping is kind of fun. Definitely obnoxious two degrees. 0:01:11.200 --> 0:01:15.480 But when I call to the day, I'm definitely gonna 0:01:15.640 --> 0:01:19.200 be kind of stupid about it. But yes, it's the eleventh. 0:01:19.480 --> 0:01:21.800 We said, does he want to pitch on the road 0:01:21.840 --> 0:01:24.240 against the Cubs or at home? It always made sense. 0:01:24.319 --> 0:01:28.200 It was always always going to be the eleventh as 0:01:28.240 --> 0:01:30.200 he built up that pitching marker. Really, the only thing 0:01:30.240 --> 0:01:32.760 that didn't hit was him getting over eighty pitches in 0:01:32.800 --> 0:01:35.360 the last start. He only had like sixty something. He 0:01:35.480 --> 0:01:37.360 was a little bit more. He had a couple walks, 0:01:37.400 --> 0:01:39.880 gave up a home run his first one, But either way, 0:01:39.920 --> 0:01:43.000 they got that build up there. He's making his debut. 0:01:43.640 --> 0:01:46.360 This is what we've wanted, and I'm I'm I'm really 0:01:46.400 --> 0:01:50.360 excited about it. I have a little game. Let's play 0:01:50.600 --> 0:01:54.280 another prediction game. Get you know, get the magneto helmet officers, 0:01:55.120 --> 0:01:57.280 give me the line, give me the Paul Schiens line 0:01:57.480 --> 0:01:59.360 coming up against the Cubs. How far does he go? 0:01:59.640 --> 0:02:03.200 Strike outs, walks, and then after we should talk about 0:02:03.240 --> 0:02:05.520 his overall fantasy value. But let's do prediction game. 0:02:05.640 --> 0:02:10.040 I'm gonna go four and two thirds, seven strikeouts, no runs, 0:02:10.360 --> 0:02:13.400 two hits. That's where I'm gonna go, no walks. 0:02:12.919 --> 0:02:15.880 No walks. Okay, that's good. I'm it's funny you say that. 0:02:15.960 --> 0:02:21.720 I'm gonna go four innings, eight strikeouts, two earned runs, 0:02:22.400 --> 0:02:25.520 two walks. That's gonna be my line for Paul Skins. 0:02:25.560 --> 0:02:28.880 So the key here we both don't have him going five. 0:02:29.440 --> 0:02:32.639 Maybe he does, maybe he pushes that limit, but this 0:02:32.680 --> 0:02:35.160 is a guy that's probably gonna push up the pitch count. 0:02:35.240 --> 0:02:37.040 It's gonna, you know, throw a lot of high strikes. 0:02:37.080 --> 0:02:39.200 There's gonna be a lot of fastballs in there. Might 0:02:39.280 --> 0:02:42.519 walk a few, but it's gonna be a fun early 0:02:42.639 --> 0:02:45.320 dominant performance. And I saw someone in the chat bring 0:02:45.400 --> 0:02:49.080 up the ultimate idea that Paul Skin's value has never 0:02:49.160 --> 0:02:51.760 been more high than this start coming up. But do 0:02:51.800 --> 0:02:52.519 you agree with it? 0:02:52.600 --> 0:02:54.359 On it? Look at this? Would you trade Paul Skins 0:02:54.360 --> 0:02:55.480 for medals? And in a. 0:02:55.639 --> 0:02:57.440 Second and missis seven minute? 0:02:57.560 --> 0:03:00.440 Yes, I'll look everybody in the chat, give us your 0:03:00.480 --> 0:03:03.160 prediction for Paul Skean's line on Saturday. We want to 0:03:03.200 --> 0:03:05.440 see what she's again. I say four and two thirds 0:03:05.440 --> 0:03:09.640 seven strikeouts, two hits, no earned runs, no walks. That's 0:03:09.680 --> 0:03:11.480 what I think. It's gonna be a very good performance 0:03:11.480 --> 0:03:11.919 from him. 0:03:12.400 --> 0:03:13.799 And let's see if we can get like a full 0:03:13.840 --> 0:03:17.359 prediction here. But so with that, like if that trade 0:03:17.400 --> 0:03:20.160 is out there, yeah, he trade ball Skins for Matt Olsen, 0:03:20.480 --> 0:03:25.120 But do you believe that this is the ultimate point 0:03:25.200 --> 0:03:28.679 of trade value because a draft you mean, yeah, yeah, 0:03:28.720 --> 0:03:30.799 oh yeah, of course, this is redraft dynasty. I think 0:03:30.800 --> 0:03:32.880 it's a whole nother ball game. You're not touching that stuff. 0:03:33.200 --> 0:03:35.280 But here's why I say this as well, and maybe 0:03:35.320 --> 0:03:37.880 this feeds to him. Our dear friend Scott White posed 0:03:37.920 --> 0:03:40.720 this question yesterday of saying, is Paul Skins already like 0:03:40.720 --> 0:03:43.240 a top twenty five starting pitcher in ranks? I've got 0:03:43.320 --> 0:03:45.280 him in that general range. I just did my redraft 0:03:45.600 --> 0:03:48.000 rest of season update that's on. It's a part of 0:03:48.000 --> 0:03:51.200 the Fantasy pros algorithm and stuff. But like, do you 0:03:51.400 --> 0:03:54.400 believe that he is already at top twenty five? Because 0:03:54.400 --> 0:03:55.720 where I'm going with this is if you think the 0:03:55.800 --> 0:03:57.320 upside is there, he's going to pitch the rest of 0:03:57.360 --> 0:03:59.960 the year, We're gonna see the strikeouts, he's gonna work 0:04:00.040 --> 0:04:03.040 into that top twenty five and continue to go. Trading 0:04:03.200 --> 0:04:06.440 him at top twenty five SP right now actually really 0:04:06.440 --> 0:04:09.160 wouldn't work, but because I think he is going to 0:04:09.200 --> 0:04:11.800 overperform that. But if you don't, you think he might 0:04:11.840 --> 0:04:14.320 have some struggles. And you know, sometimes a fast ball 0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:16.160 gets a little bit flattened out, he doesn't go deep 0:04:16.160 --> 0:04:19.719 into games, he doesn't go five. Then this would be 0:04:20.000 --> 0:04:22.279 if he's valued at a top twenty five SP. So 0:04:22.400 --> 0:04:24.920 really this is kind of building. Do you think this 0:04:25.000 --> 0:04:27.560 is getting out of the Paul Skeens business in redraft 0:04:27.600 --> 0:04:30.720 right now? I think it's by optimizing. 0:04:30.040 --> 0:04:33.600 The trade value. I think, just like I've been saying 0:04:33.600 --> 0:04:36.920 with the Garrett Cole thing, it's it's I can only see. 0:04:37.640 --> 0:04:40.719 I guess he's so many negative outcomes, whether it be limitations, 0:04:40.760 --> 0:04:42.600 whether it be getting shut down, whether it be an injury. 0:04:42.720 --> 0:04:44.240 I mean, how often we see guys are throwing one 0:04:44.279 --> 0:04:46.280 hundred miles an hour and everything looks spectacular. We get 0:04:46.279 --> 0:04:47.800 all excited and next saying, you know, oh, he felt 0:04:47.920 --> 0:04:50.039 up in his elbow. I mean, how many times we 0:04:50.080 --> 0:04:52.080 have to be beat over the head with this. I'm 0:04:52.120 --> 0:04:53.920 excited for it. Don't get me wrong, I see a 0:04:53.960 --> 0:04:56.440 lot of people trolling in the chat too. Two innings, 0:04:56.480 --> 0:04:59.760 five earned, four homers, like, oh, don't be jerks, it's 0:04:59.760 --> 0:05:02.279 not to be that. If it is, how hilarious is 0:05:02.279 --> 0:05:03.560 that going to be. I don't think it's going to 0:05:03.600 --> 0:05:03.800 be that. 0:05:04.400 --> 0:05:06.039 I don't This is not gonna be that fun with 0:05:06.120 --> 0:05:09.479 the hate of the you know, the production on the 0:05:09.480 --> 0:05:10.400 prospects as of late. 0:05:10.480 --> 0:05:13.920 But to your point, it's it's hard to it's hard 0:05:13.960 --> 0:05:16.599 not to say this is peak of redraft cell value 0:05:16.640 --> 0:05:20.360 for schemes because people will be frustrated because he might 0:05:20.400 --> 0:05:22.480 not get a lot of quality starts because you know, 0:05:22.520 --> 0:05:24.880 of depending, you're not gonna go lost six innings, you 0:05:24.960 --> 0:05:27.240 know what I mean, So path to the win becomes less. 0:05:27.279 --> 0:05:30.040 So in roto formats, I think it's an interesting conversation, 0:05:30.160 --> 0:05:33.320 especially because you know he has to be dominant in 0:05:33.400 --> 0:05:36.159 order to maintain those really good peripherals in points leagues 0:05:36.160 --> 0:05:38.320 where you're looking for strikeouts and if you can get 0:05:38.320 --> 0:05:40.760 into the fifth inning, maybe get you that w okay. 0:05:41.200 --> 0:05:43.040 But it is a very tricky thing. I think it's 0:05:43.080 --> 0:05:46.200 a very format related question as well. But would you 0:05:46.279 --> 0:05:48.159 rather have Jared Jones or Skiings rest the season? 0:05:48.440 --> 0:05:51.039 Jered Jones. I would say that, why noation? 0:05:51.160 --> 0:05:52.120 But why well? 0:05:52.160 --> 0:05:55.159 I think Jared Jones has already proved to be able 0:05:55.240 --> 0:05:57.400 to get that pitch count, even if it's a little 0:05:57.440 --> 0:06:00.760 bit lower. Like he his fastball has been unhittable. He 0:06:00.880 --> 0:06:03.360 is pushing into the fifth and sixth inning. He has 0:06:03.400 --> 0:06:07.760 built up those innings. My slight problem with Paul Skeins 0:06:08.040 --> 0:06:10.080 is the big thing that was coming out of the 0:06:10.160 --> 0:06:13.159 draft was the fastball shape. Like he's dominated the miners. 0:06:13.160 --> 0:06:14.440 They don't know what to do with it. But you're 0:06:14.480 --> 0:06:16.000 gonna have the best hitters in the world that are 0:06:16.000 --> 0:06:17.760 going to be up there. He's gonna have to command 0:06:17.800 --> 0:06:21.320 that at every spot. He's gonna have to learn to 0:06:21.360 --> 0:06:23.720 have some innings where he doesn't drive counts. This is 0:06:23.760 --> 0:06:27.240 a big strikeout pitcher. We saw this with Strider. Sometimes 0:06:27.560 --> 0:06:29.640 Strider would have some of those innings where he struck 0:06:29.640 --> 0:06:31.840 out eight, but he could only go into the fourth 0:06:31.880 --> 0:06:34.400 inning because this is what he does. He's a big 0:06:34.440 --> 0:06:36.719 strikeer and this is who Paul Skeins is. So what 0:06:36.800 --> 0:06:40.600 I'm worried about is Paul Skins getting up into one 0:06:40.680 --> 0:06:43.640 hundred plus pitches early on, being able to get into 0:06:43.640 --> 0:06:45.480 the fifth and sixth inning. I don't think they won't 0:06:45.560 --> 0:06:48.000 let him do it, but they have slow rolled this 0:06:48.160 --> 0:06:51.120 process that I don't know. I think it's a possibility 0:06:51.120 --> 0:06:54.200 with some of his secondary stuff. If he's not having big, 0:06:54.279 --> 0:06:56.640 massive command numbers, he might have a little bit of 0:06:56.640 --> 0:06:59.040 a struggle. But at the same time, based on you 0:06:59.040 --> 0:07:02.360 would say Jared Jones Top twenty five sp rest of season, right. 0:07:03.000 --> 0:07:05.680 Yeah, Well here's the other question too, what's the weather 0:07:05.760 --> 0:07:06.400 in Chicago? 0:07:06.920 --> 0:07:09.880 This we the weather outside is weather? 0:07:10.000 --> 0:07:10.280 Weather? 0:07:11.080 --> 0:07:13.800 Just last week? Oh you got that reference that you 0:07:13.840 --> 0:07:14.360 know what. 0:07:14.440 --> 0:07:16.520 Forget you their Marshall All Time great movie for you, 0:07:17.440 --> 0:07:20.320 that's one of their favorite quotes from that movie too. 0:07:20.520 --> 0:07:23.760 No, that's that's welcome to Colinwood. The weather outside is weather. 0:07:24.200 --> 0:07:28.040 Well, I know Paul Rudd in forgetting Sarah Marshall's. 0:07:27.760 --> 0:07:29.600 No, you're right, you're right. No that I'm thinking of 0:07:29.640 --> 0:07:31.200 a different line. Yeah, that is Paul Rudd. 0:07:31.720 --> 0:07:35.720 The weather outside is weather. It looks like Sunday seventy 0:07:35.760 --> 0:07:39.239 four degrees in Chicago. Saturday was actually sixty one degrees, 0:07:39.320 --> 0:07:42.240 so not too bad. You know, It's Chicago sometimes can 0:07:42.280 --> 0:07:43.960 be a little you know, rough weather wise, so that 0:07:44.280 --> 0:07:46.000 could enter into it. But look, I think we we're 0:07:46.000 --> 0:07:48.480 talking about schemes here. We're all excited. This is good 0:07:48.520 --> 0:07:51.240 for baseball. I wish it was not on a Saturday, 0:07:51.280 --> 0:07:52.800 to be honest with you, I wish it was like 0:07:52.840 --> 0:07:54.600 on a you know, like a third. I wish it 0:07:54.640 --> 0:07:57.120 was tonight, like Thursday night, standalone game. That would have 0:07:57.120 --> 0:07:59.040 been like, so attacker, we're gonna all like get excited 0:07:59.080 --> 0:08:01.320 to watch it. Today is always trickier with you know, 0:08:01.440 --> 0:08:03.600 events and things like that. But there's more things going 0:08:03.600 --> 0:08:04.560 on than just Paul Skins. 0:08:04.720 --> 0:08:07.560 Now there's not you want to see it my one. 0:08:07.400 --> 0:08:11.680 So to oh oh face another home run for Juan Soda. 0:08:11.760 --> 0:08:14.440 Let's go Aaron Judge at a home run General Stanley 0:08:14.440 --> 0:08:16.920 even at all run, everybody was going I told you 0:08:17.120 --> 0:08:19.040 the team totally guess it was born half of the Yankees. 0:08:19.040 --> 0:08:23.240 He's card nine runs, nine See, he's a good day. 0:08:23.640 --> 0:08:29.880 That Stanton home run. That's the most ridiculous. I was 0:08:29.920 --> 0:08:32.319 just talking to you about watching happy Gilmore again after 0:08:32.360 --> 0:08:34.840 a long time, the most happy Gilmour like swing. Just 0:08:35.200 --> 0:08:38.120 he hits it across his body. Saw hundred Yeah. In 0:08:38.160 --> 0:08:41.440 the chat, one hundred and nineteen point nine, as it's described, 0:08:41.480 --> 0:08:43.880 one of my favorite terms, by the way, a pismissal. 0:08:44.000 --> 0:08:48.440 That thing was just that thing was crazy. He's so 0:08:49.040 --> 0:08:51.800 not good at baseball, though, and it's just that's what 0:08:51.920 --> 0:08:53.360 he does. I saw someone be like, how does he 0:08:53.440 --> 0:08:56.760 do that? Because that's what he does. He's just a lumberjack. 0:08:56.880 --> 0:08:59.720 He just it was ever heard that. But that's tremendous 0:09:00.400 --> 0:09:04.760 that year plus ks. Yesterday Chris Paddock ten strikeouts. Amazing 0:09:04.840 --> 0:09:07.320 again with the Marlins, but still Chris Sale. We said 0:09:07.320 --> 0:09:10.360 we were looking forward to that start. Ten strikeouts against 0:09:10.360 --> 0:09:12.720 the Red Sox. So there you going. Dylan Cease not 0:09:12.880 --> 0:09:15.880 to be outdone. Twelve strikeouts. I gotta say Cese was 0:09:15.880 --> 0:09:16.480 a guy that was not. 0:09:16.440 --> 0:09:17.920 Really in on when he was a White Sox, and 0:09:17.960 --> 0:09:20.400 then when he got traded to the Padres, I had 0:09:20.400 --> 0:09:23.200 some buyer's remorse that I didn't have more shares. And 0:09:23.240 --> 0:09:27.440 I gotta tell you, Dylan Cease has been fantastic this 0:09:27.520 --> 0:09:30.640 year for the Padres. Absolutely brilliant. Eanduran struck out one 0:09:30.679 --> 0:09:32.480 batter in a scoreless night, so good on him. Jordan 0:09:32.480 --> 0:09:35.320 Montgomery a good bounce back after a bad outing last time. 0:09:35.320 --> 0:09:38.520 Two runs, seven hits over seven and the Rays activated 0:09:38.559 --> 0:09:42.720 Taj Bradley put Peppio on the il, so we'll see 0:09:42.760 --> 0:09:45.120 how he does. It looks like Friday against the Yankees 0:09:45.200 --> 0:09:48.319 is gonna be the Bradley start. Just for fun. Alex Bregman, 0:09:48.440 --> 0:09:52.520 my boy, dropped to the six spot in the Astros order. Fan. 0:09:52.600 --> 0:09:54.640 I would just buy. He's not a one ninety five 0:09:54.720 --> 0:09:56.839 hitter with a two seventy five OBP with a two 0:09:56.920 --> 0:10:00.600 sixty slogging. He's just not He's not so by just buy. 0:10:00.920 --> 0:10:04.000 Who would you rather have rest of season? Alex Bregman 0:10:04.080 --> 0:10:04.800 or Chris Morrell. 0:10:05.040 --> 0:10:11.200 Alex Bregman, Stop stop Chris. Alex Bregman has come on, dude, 0:10:11.200 --> 0:10:14.679 He's got like six years of productivity. I know it's 0:10:14.720 --> 0:10:17.440 been varying, but Chris Morrell doesn't have one full season 0:10:17.480 --> 0:10:20.240 that sniffs what Alex Bragman's capable of. It's a bad 0:10:20.320 --> 0:10:21.160 months on. 0:10:21.480 --> 0:10:22.240 It'll be this year. 0:10:22.320 --> 0:10:22.959 It'll be this year. 0:10:23.120 --> 0:10:24.120 This will be the one where. 0:10:24.200 --> 0:10:25.920 Because he's so old and all of a sudden, it 0:10:26.000 --> 0:10:28.880 just makes sense. Trash cans right about now. 0:10:28.920 --> 0:10:33.240 Backman so overrated, he had the one great You see, 0:10:33.520 --> 0:10:34.400 this is the problem. 0:10:34.480 --> 0:10:37.080 I was the one pounding the trash can about the 0:10:37.160 --> 0:10:40.480 overratedness of Alex Bragman back in the day when everybody 0:10:40.559 --> 0:10:42.720 was going nuts, and then all of a sudden, post 0:10:42.800 --> 0:10:45.480 the scandal, everybody was out on Alex Bragman so much 0:10:45.520 --> 0:10:47.240 to the guy that I had to become the defender 0:10:47.240 --> 0:10:50.200 of Alex Bregman, which makes me unhappy. But here we 0:10:50.240 --> 0:10:53.640 are also unhappy Tyler Black because he got sent down 0:10:53.679 --> 0:10:57.760 to Nashville because our guy, Christian Yelich went out. Our guy, 0:10:57.840 --> 0:11:00.560 he's just a guy, came back and that's a good 0:11:00.600 --> 0:11:02.640 thing there. So he is back for the Milwaukee Brewers. 0:11:02.640 --> 0:11:05.640 We certainly need some help on offense, but of course 0:11:05.679 --> 0:11:07.240 the rookie lookie is not the only thing you get 0:11:07.280 --> 0:11:09.400 on Thursdays. You get a lot more because it's time, 0:11:09.480 --> 0:11:13.640 ladies and gentlemen for prospecting with the Welsh. Look at that. 0:11:13.679 --> 0:11:16.880 There's Tom Hanks and a beard putting a pick axe 0:11:16.920 --> 0:11:19.160 through the Welsh's head and Welsh's kind of indifferent to it. 0:11:19.200 --> 0:11:21.760 He's like, whatever, man, it's just another day at the office. 0:11:21.760 --> 0:11:23.679 So Welsh, this is the time where we dig into 0:11:23.720 --> 0:11:25.760 the prospect Watch here the guys down on the farm 0:11:25.800 --> 0:11:27.880 who are going to make an impact on fantasy baseball. 0:11:27.880 --> 0:11:29.160 So what do you have for the people, where do 0:11:29.200 --> 0:11:30.040 you want to start today? 0:11:30.360 --> 0:11:32.760 Well, we do have four names that we're going to 0:11:32.800 --> 0:11:35.400 talk about. The prospect articles available over on Fantasy Pros 0:11:35.400 --> 0:11:36.920 if you guys want to go and check that out now. 0:11:36.960 --> 0:11:39.840 I think there's eight nine names on there. But we 0:11:40.000 --> 0:11:42.719 also I deepen the list of prospects to watch. So 0:11:42.720 --> 0:11:44.720 I'm gonna give you a couple at the end, just 0:11:44.760 --> 0:11:46.280 a couple names to throw out that you should put 0:11:46.280 --> 0:11:48.280 on your watch list. There are more names that we're 0:11:48.280 --> 0:11:50.240 going to talk about that are on your stash list. 0:11:50.520 --> 0:11:52.320 But I wanted to ask one question because we had 0:11:52.320 --> 0:11:54.439 some graduates. We had a really good week last week. 0:11:54.600 --> 0:11:57.600 We obviously Paul Skeen's coming off that list, Christian Scott 0:11:57.640 --> 0:12:00.959 came off the list in coll Manzardo, who made his debut. 0:12:01.400 --> 0:12:03.240 I wanted to get your take before we jump into 0:12:03.280 --> 0:12:08.360 anything here of the overall prospect failure that's been going on, 0:12:08.559 --> 0:12:11.880 people losing their mind about everyone. Commns Art has got 0:12:11.920 --> 0:12:15.160 to come up. We gotta get him up. Then he 0:12:15.200 --> 0:12:18.079 has like five strikeouts in the first couple. He's struggling. 0:12:18.160 --> 0:12:20.360 He's got a sixty percent k percentage to start off 0:12:20.440 --> 0:12:25.440 hitting one twenty five. Do you hold Kyle Manzardo or 0:12:25.480 --> 0:12:26.600 do you kick him to the curb. 0:12:27.320 --> 0:12:29.560 Well, look, if you're a shallow league, I think it's different. 0:12:29.559 --> 0:12:30.920 I think you can kick guys to the curb. Like 0:12:30.960 --> 0:12:33.440 Jackson Holliday comes up, he doesn't perform, you can kick 0:12:33.559 --> 0:12:34.920 him to the curve. It's a shallow league, there'll be 0:12:34.920 --> 0:12:36.640 a chance to get him back or what have you. 0:12:36.640 --> 0:12:39.400 But I think this is this is kind of an 0:12:39.440 --> 0:12:43.280 overall r of arching issue where we talk about prospects 0:12:43.320 --> 0:12:47.040 and patience. It comes with patients, whether it be baseball 0:12:47.120 --> 0:12:48.760 or there'd be football. I remember a couple years ago, 0:12:48.760 --> 0:12:50.480 everybody lost their mind because you were excited about the 0:12:50.559 --> 0:12:52.360 running backs, and then the second half of the year, all 0:12:52.400 --> 0:12:54.480 those running backs one people championships if you wait, even 0:12:54.520 --> 0:12:56.920 Jamior Gibbs last year. Right in the baseball world too, 0:12:56.960 --> 0:12:59.480 it's such a long season where you have to think 0:12:59.520 --> 0:13:00.840 of it the same. You have to think of it 0:13:00.840 --> 0:13:02.400 as like, well, if they come up in April or 0:13:02.440 --> 0:13:05.040 in May and they struggle, it's not the last chance 0:13:05.040 --> 0:13:06.480 for them. If you're in deeper leagues and I think 0:13:06.480 --> 0:13:09.920 you got a hold. I always say this too when 0:13:09.920 --> 0:13:12.120 a prospect gets called up, if you can flip them 0:13:12.120 --> 0:13:14.520 for a player that you know is very steady and solid. 0:13:14.559 --> 0:13:16.880 Like if Kyle Manzardo came up and you could flip 0:13:16.960 --> 0:13:18.959 him for Alex Bregman, who has a track record of 0:13:19.040 --> 0:13:21.360 being good, I'd make that trade in the second Why 0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:24.160 because there's a track record telling me this guy's having 0:13:24.200 --> 0:13:25.960 a bad month. But overall, I know what the numbers 0:13:26.000 --> 0:13:27.040 are gonna be when I look at the back of 0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:29.720 the baseball card, So I treat the shallow league versus 0:13:29.720 --> 0:13:32.720 a deeper league differently. And if there's keeper implications, that 0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:34.959 has to enter into it. Two. But you're just regular 0:13:35.000 --> 0:13:37.480 old redraft leagues. You have to be patient. You're in 0:13:37.480 --> 0:13:39.520 a twelve team mix league. I think you have to 0:13:39.520 --> 0:13:42.200 be patient if you made these investments. However, I think 0:13:42.240 --> 0:13:44.320 when you get to June first is when you start 0:13:44.360 --> 0:13:46.960 to lose patience, and then it's okay to get back 0:13:47.000 --> 0:13:48.880 in there because that's a third of the season done. 0:13:49.040 --> 0:13:52.600 Yeah, and I would well said across the board talking 0:13:52.640 --> 0:13:55.440 in redraft terms, of course, for most of these guys 0:13:55.800 --> 0:13:59.160 that the reason you get into the world of stashing. 0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:02.720 My idea hopefully is that you are stashing these players 0:14:02.760 --> 0:14:04.520 in a way that they are not meant to be 0:14:04.679 --> 0:14:06.839 right into your starting roster. They have a starting roster 0:14:06.880 --> 0:14:09.680 set and these are more bench players, because what we 0:14:09.720 --> 0:14:11.719 see is these guys come up and people make these 0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:14.560 big decisions, Hey should I cut You know, well, now 0:14:14.559 --> 0:14:16.640 you can cut Christian and Karnassia and Strand, but people 0:14:16.679 --> 0:14:19.120 like should I cut Strand? To do this, to make 0:14:19.160 --> 0:14:22.840 these moves with players that are not affecting your starting roster, 0:14:23.520 --> 0:14:27.200 it's easier to stomach some of the early difficulties. And 0:14:27.240 --> 0:14:29.760 we've seen some of that with Mansarto, but has hit skills. 0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:32.800 They're up there, they're going to get there. Who cares 0:14:32.840 --> 0:14:35.840 about two games? Also positive, they're talking about working him 0:14:35.840 --> 0:14:39.000 in the outfield a little bit. So stay patient if 0:14:39.040 --> 0:14:41.800 you can, and make roster moves and make room for 0:14:41.840 --> 0:14:45.080 these players in a way that they are not desperately 0:14:45.440 --> 0:14:48.280 a part of your starting lineup where you're screwed if 0:14:48.320 --> 0:14:50.880 they struggle, because guess what prospects are going to struggle 0:14:50.880 --> 0:14:53.360 a little bit early on. So let's talk about the 0:14:53.440 --> 0:14:56.680 main crew here, and we will start with Junior Camonaro, 0:14:56.720 --> 0:14:59.080 who I know we've talked a ton about a couple 0:14:59.160 --> 0:15:01.840 notes on Junior Camonaro. He has a hit in every 0:15:01.960 --> 0:15:04.200 game in May so far, at least as I wrote 0:15:04.240 --> 0:15:07.240 my article. He also had a two run, two home 0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:09.560 run game which was on May first, which is great. 0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:12.640 Hitting three fifteen six homers in the minors so far, 0:15:13.040 --> 0:15:15.800 he has been solid. Here's one of the most interesting 0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:18.320 things to add in. And somebody posted this, I think 0:15:18.320 --> 0:15:20.640 it was in one of our slacks or whatever, but 0:15:21.120 --> 0:15:25.240 the Rookie of the Year odds changed dramatically on Junior 0:15:25.280 --> 0:15:29.320 Camonaro today went from like twenty two hundred to twelve hundred. 0:15:29.800 --> 0:15:32.600 That that seems very very telling. While there's been that 0:15:32.760 --> 0:15:35.360 article that's been out there about the Rays are going 0:15:35.440 --> 0:15:37.840 to hold him back, I'm gonna give you a prediction 0:15:38.000 --> 0:15:40.680 date again just for funzies here, because someone said after 0:15:40.720 --> 0:15:43.320 my Paul Schemes prediction, they said, now do Junior Camonaro. 0:15:43.560 --> 0:15:48.280 My Junior Camonaro is May twenty fourth. There's a home game, 0:15:48.600 --> 0:15:52.000 it's after a day off, that offense needs it. The 0:15:52.160 --> 0:15:55.440 Rays are future. I keep repeating myself, Yes, the Rays 0:15:55.480 --> 0:15:57.920 may hold him back. We don't know what they're gonna do. 0:15:57.960 --> 0:16:01.160 But Camonaro continues to play really, really well. He's not 0:16:01.200 --> 0:16:03.560 striking out a bunch the homers are going. He's getting 0:16:03.600 --> 0:16:06.000 lots of hits, hitting every game in May. So I'm 0:16:06.040 --> 0:16:07.800 going to make a prediction of May twenty fourth. But 0:16:07.840 --> 0:16:11.040 pay attention to those rookie odds because why would those. 0:16:11.120 --> 0:16:13.240 Change Because on Sunday I made a point about I said, 0:16:13.240 --> 0:16:15.960 there's two guys we did the rookie odds on sportscript 0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:18.880 and on the TV show, I said, look, there's two 0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:20.560 guys you have to worry about right now whose odds 0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:23.760 have actually gone up way enormously, like off the charts. 0:16:24.080 --> 0:16:26.600 Skeens and camon Aro both started out pretty low when 0:16:26.600 --> 0:16:29.160 they didn't make the team out of spring, odds went crazy, 0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:31.200 and I literally just talked about both of them, and 0:16:31.280 --> 0:16:33.160 literally both of them in the last twenty four hours 0:16:33.200 --> 0:16:36.160 have pushed completely back to where they opened almost So 0:16:36.160 --> 0:16:37.400 that's pretty interesting there. 0:16:37.760 --> 0:16:39.800 Bringing back up James Wood again, you got to remember, 0:16:39.800 --> 0:16:41.480 when we're doing these segments, you're gonna have guys that 0:16:41.560 --> 0:16:43.200 are going to be turned back over. So if anything, 0:16:43.200 --> 0:16:45.840 it's important to come back to them and see how 0:16:45.840 --> 0:16:48.760 they've been performing. Because James would when I talk about 0:16:48.760 --> 0:16:51.240 prospects to Stash, I do think we're getting to a 0:16:51.320 --> 0:16:53.840 more difficult range of levels of how much do you 0:16:53.840 --> 0:16:56.040 put into these players. I believe Cameron Arow and Wood 0:16:56.240 --> 0:16:59.000 are the tippy top where you can sacrifice pieces on 0:16:59.040 --> 0:17:02.120 the roster of the guys it's a little bit tougher 0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:04.280 to do. James Wood is that player that I would 0:17:04.320 --> 0:17:06.320 do it with. He's hitting three thirty nine in the year, 0:17:06.400 --> 0:17:09.760 four homers, eight stolen bases. On May eighth, put up 0:17:09.760 --> 0:17:11.800 a two home run game. A fun fact, by the way, 0:17:12.800 --> 0:17:14.960 all four homers have come in two games so far 0:17:15.040 --> 0:17:18.320 this year that he's had, but hitting three eighty five 0:17:18.400 --> 0:17:20.600 on the month. And if it wasn't for Jacob Young, 0:17:20.880 --> 0:17:23.280 that's you know, playing center field ceiling bases at the 0:17:23.280 --> 0:17:25.080 front of that lineup, I think he would be up there. 0:17:25.160 --> 0:17:27.359 So they got to make that soon, that move here 0:17:27.359 --> 0:17:30.200 in the very near future. But he is the only 0:17:30.240 --> 0:17:32.520 other guy that I would put into that space where 0:17:32.520 --> 0:17:35.560 I'm really going to like burn roster spots from the 0:17:35.640 --> 0:17:38.040 other two that are important as far as the stash 0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:40.800 world goes. Kobe Mayo, who we've talked about a ton. 0:17:40.840 --> 0:17:43.399 His average is dropped down to three zho one, but 0:17:43.440 --> 0:17:46.200 he's got eleven homers, which is third in the miners 0:17:46.280 --> 0:17:48.439 right now. Which is crazy, but he has been struggling 0:17:48.480 --> 0:17:51.199 in May. He's hitting under two hundred four of his 0:17:51.280 --> 0:17:55.480 six games in May, multi strikeout performances, So I think 0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:58.119 he's going to be kind of built to like an 0:17:58.320 --> 0:18:00.959