1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,320 Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:06,600 Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey p Joe Piezapia and today 3 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:08,520 Speaker 1: it's Friday. You know what that means. It's time to 4 00:00:08,560 --> 00:00:11,000 Speaker 1: talk about some props and to help me do it. 5 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:14,720 Speaker 1: Is this handsome young man here with the spectacles. It's 6 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:18,440 Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson, the prop prophet. Clearly things are going well here. 7 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:21,920 Speaker 1: After the show, he's going to push his glasses up 8 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,599 Speaker 1: to the very top and then get his maserati and 9 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:27,640 Speaker 1: drive off. Also joining us one of our favorite folks 10 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: here from fantasy pros. From Betting Pros. You know him 11 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 1: as the Welsh. It's Chris Welsh. Welsh. It's nice to 12 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: see you here on the Friday Prop Show. I know 13 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 1: you love the player props. It's great to have you 14 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:41,200 Speaker 1: on today. And I gotta ask you a question because 15 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:42,879 Speaker 1: I haven't talked to you since the forty nine ers 16 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 1: lost in Cleveland. Are you over it yet? 17 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 2: Oh? 18 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:46,080 Speaker 3: Not? 19 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 4: Now? I was in a good mood, right I've. 20 00:00:48,159 --> 00:00:48,960 Speaker 3: Been till you did that. 21 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:53,440 Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm not over it, but I'm over it. 22 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 3: You meaning a good moody, right, That's all? 23 00:00:57,400 --> 00:01:00,360 Speaker 1: I love that. Ericson brings the dad jokes constant and 24 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 1: he doesn't even have kids. He's still not even married 25 00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 1: yet he's engaged. I can't imagine how strong your dad 26 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 1: joke game is gonna be ericson in like three years 27 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 1: from now. It's something investable, I can tell you that. 28 00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 1: So we are gonna go through the prop market today 29 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 1: and boys, anytime touchdown scores as well, we're gonna talk 30 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 1: about those. I had one last night, man, I had 31 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 1: the over on the four and a half receptions on 32 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:24,479 Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara. Don't ask me why that number was four 33 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 1: and a half, but I had that with Rashid Shahed 34 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:32,040 Speaker 1: anytime touchdown score seven fifty plus seven fifty and Rashid's 35 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 1: she had made one of the great catches of all 36 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:35,679 Speaker 1: time and could not come down in the end zone. 37 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:37,959 Speaker 1: I was so sad the rest of the night. And 38 00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:39,679 Speaker 1: then they had that comeback and then it failed and 39 00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:42,319 Speaker 1: I was even sadder. But that's okay. It's time to 40 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:44,400 Speaker 1: go make some more money. That's what we're gonna do today. 41 00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 1: And just a reminder before we get go with the picks, 42 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: we've got that special offer going where if you have 43 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 1: yet to download the Betting pros app. Now's the time 44 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 1: to do it because when you do, you get a 45 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 1: few free days of the premium features. And that's great 46 00:01:57,720 --> 00:02:00,200 Speaker 1: because that'll take you right here through the weekend for 47 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:04,160 Speaker 1: football season. The NBA season is upon us too, so 48 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 1: you could start using it for multiple sports. You can 49 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 1: use the prop at cheat sheet, the prop At analyzer, 50 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 1: all the special tools at Betting Pros, and the premium 51 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 1: features that we offer here. So if you haven't already, 52 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 1: now's the time to do it. Make sure you download 53 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app. Make sure you check out some 54 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 1: of the bells and whistles on the premium feature too. 55 00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:23,640 Speaker 1: While it's free to you, and if you like him, 56 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:26,000 Speaker 1: of course you can go premium and don't forget it's 57 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 1: also like this show and drop a comment below and 58 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:32,080 Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel because when you do, you get 59 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:36,040 Speaker 1: an opportunity to win this bad boy an incredible Robert 60 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:41,440 Speaker 1: Tanyan autograph Jersey. No, no, don't adjust your television sets, 61 00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 1: your sell your device. Robert Tanyan Welsh Can you believe it? 62 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 1: We're giving the let's pair that with Bubba Franks. Maybe 63 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 1: Bubba Frank next week. We're giving that one away. But 64 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 1: you can win this jersey. All you gotta do is 65 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:54,959 Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel, drop a comment below. I told 66 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 1: you if you win, it makes an incredible gift to 67 00:02:56,919 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 1: any Packer fan friend of yours. It's a great for 68 00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 1: one of those what do I call that thing ericson 69 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 1: where they have is it the white elephant? Is that 70 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:05,760 Speaker 1: what they call that where you have the different presence 71 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:08,840 Speaker 1: going around and eventually everybody picks them wacky present. That's 72 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:10,400 Speaker 1: a great gift for well. 73 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 6: I mean, I don't know how Packer's fan is gonna 74 00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 6: feel if you give them a Bears Robert's funny. 75 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: That's the whole point of the humor. 76 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:19,840 Speaker 3: It's really trolling them. 77 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:23,560 Speaker 1: Yes, yes it is because it's funny, but again it 78 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 1: could be yours. For free free stuff is still free stuff. 79 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:29,400 Speaker 1: So well, let's start with you. You're the guests for today. 80 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:31,920 Speaker 1: Give us your first prop for week seven the NFL 81 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 1: that you are hot on. 82 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 4: I am playing the chalk of Chalk plays. 83 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 5: This is one of those We had a couple of 84 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 5: those last year where it's like you might not hit 85 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 5: it every single week, but if you bet this every 86 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 5: single week, you are gonna come out probably sixty five 87 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:48,360 Speaker 5: to seventy percent of the time. First up on my 88 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 5: prop this week, Beijon Robinson receiving yards twenty four and 89 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 5: a half. If this is under twenty eight, I'm gonna 90 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 5: play it probably every single week. Bijon has hit this 91 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 5: in five of six. The only time he didn't do 92 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:07,800 Speaker 5: it was when he caught his two balls against Houston 93 00:04:07,840 --> 00:04:11,119 Speaker 5: for twelve yards. He's had no less than four receptions 94 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 5: every single week he has had outside of the Houston game. 95 00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 5: Outside of the Houston game, he's had no less than 96 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:20,040 Speaker 5: five targets every single week. He smashes this one, and 97 00:04:20,080 --> 00:04:22,359 Speaker 5: they opened it up. They opened it up low again. 98 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:23,279 Speaker 4: Bucks. 99 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:26,599 Speaker 5: They're giving up on average six receptions and thirty five 100 00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:28,920 Speaker 5: yards to running backs. If you want to look at 101 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:32,720 Speaker 5: PFF projections, he has projected for twenty eight receiving yards. 102 00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:36,039 Speaker 4: I love Beijon. I'm also playing his rushing yards. 103 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:38,040 Speaker 5: I'm not gonna talk about it here today, but Bijon 104 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 5: receiving yards is the play you gotta play every single week. 105 00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 5: And I know that Erickson's got kind of another version 106 00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:47,280 Speaker 5: of this, but if they're gonna put it to us 107 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:49,919 Speaker 5: under that twenty five, under that twenty six, it is 108 00:04:49,960 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 5: an auto play and it is my favorite. 109 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:53,279 Speaker 1: Of the week. Love it. And like you said, he 110 00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 1: only missed this one time. That was against Houston and 111 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay defense tough against the run here, So 112 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 1: you want to get Bijon working in that passing game 113 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:04,480 Speaker 1: makes a ton of sense to me. Erickson, you're piggybacking 114 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:06,240 Speaker 1: this bad boy here when it comes to Bjean. How 115 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: are you doing it? 116 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:09,840 Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm just doing it on the reception side of things. 117 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:11,279 Speaker 6: Are they able to find it? Three and a half 118 00:05:11,279 --> 00:05:14,480 Speaker 6: reception that at plus money over on fan duel And 119 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:15,000 Speaker 6: that's what. 120 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:15,680 Speaker 3: I just love here. 121 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 6: I mean, he's projected for four point three receptions, he's 122 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:19,920 Speaker 6: five and one towards the over. Again, the only game 123 00:05:19,960 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 6: was that Texans game where they just didn't he didn't 124 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:25,359 Speaker 6: see the receiving uses that we've seen every other single week. 125 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 6: So again, Bijon is he leads the team in catch, 126 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:31,479 Speaker 6: he leads all running backs in catch as well. Before 127 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:34,360 Speaker 6: Alvin Kamara have had another twelve catch game last night. 128 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:39,240 Speaker 6: He's so involved in the passing game. And Ritter, I 129 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 6: think when you're looking at him on the road, like 130 00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:43,560 Speaker 6: he's gonna look for his checkdown option, Like if he's 131 00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 6: facing a Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that's getting pressure on him. 132 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:48,280 Speaker 6: If you just look at the quarterbacks when they faced 133 00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 6: Tampa Bay this year, their average depth of target has 134 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 6: gone down based on their career or their season long average. 135 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 3: So they dial up the blitz. The blitz is come in. 136 00:05:57,160 --> 00:05:58,720 Speaker 6: Desbie is going to look for his hot route and 137 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 6: it's probably gonna be Jehann Robinson, who ran forty five 138 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 6: routes last week. He is a running back. He ran 139 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:06,719 Speaker 6: forty five routes. I think he can catch four passes, 140 00:06:06,920 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 6: so I think he can. 141 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:10,040 Speaker 1: I think he can. I like it quite a bit 142 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 1: if you put these two things together. By the way, 143 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 1: you're getting plus one fifteen over on FanDuel. Maybe some 144 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:16,800 Speaker 1: other places to get it a little bit better, but 145 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:20,839 Speaker 1: good numbers there. We like that a lot. When you 146 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:23,640 Speaker 1: just casually threw in that Kamara thing again, what were 147 00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 1: they thinking when that number was four and a half. 148 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:27,720 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm an idiot. I should have laded he 149 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:29,400 Speaker 1: bet that one. I don't know what I was thinking. Yes, 150 00:06:29,480 --> 00:06:31,279 Speaker 1: that was the one thing last night on the Thursday 151 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 1: live stream that we loved Boga and I was like, look, 152 00:06:33,200 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 1: this is the lock of this game, and it did 153 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 1: get close last night. All right, so good. We're both 154 00:06:37,400 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 1: in on Beijeon, all three of us. I just bet 155 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:41,840 Speaker 1: it on betting pros right now. While we were talking, 156 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:43,840 Speaker 1: let's get to another one of your props for Week 157 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:45,320 Speaker 1: seven in the NFL Welsh What do you have? 158 00:06:45,960 --> 00:06:48,640 Speaker 5: All Right, We're gonna start getting nasty here, and I've 159 00:06:48,640 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 5: actually got a nastier take on this as well. I 160 00:06:50,760 --> 00:06:54,279 Speaker 5: am staying in this game, and I am going to 161 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:59,719 Speaker 5: Drake London, who I have railed on because Desmond Raiders 162 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:02,280 Speaker 5: stay and he has just been bad the whole year, 163 00:07:02,320 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 5: outside of the last two weeks where they've started throwing 164 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:07,200 Speaker 5: the ball more. And Drake London we have seen an 165 00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:10,560 Speaker 5: increase four straight weeks, we've seen a target increase over 166 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:13,679 Speaker 5: the last two He's had over two hundred yards receiving 167 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 5: and twenty one targets. The Bucks they give up big 168 00:07:18,080 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 5: against number one wideouts. For of the last five weeks, 169 00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 5: this prop would hit and they've given up at least 170 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 5: one hundred yards and six receptions to number one wide receivers. 171 00:07:28,760 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 5: For example, Week six, twelve receptions one hundred and twenty 172 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 5: four to a Monro Saint Brown just pulled up the 173 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 5: wrong ones and I got the rest of these guys 174 00:07:40,440 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 5: in here. 175 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:43,400 Speaker 4: But this is where it gets gross. 176 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 5: I am thinking about ladder betting Drake London this week, 177 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:53,000 Speaker 5: and I know it feels disgusting. Projections have him over 178 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:56,240 Speaker 5: this total, which is a low forty seven and a half. 179 00:07:56,280 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 5: I think it might have Eve moved to forty eight 180 00:07:57,760 --> 00:08:00,240 Speaker 5: and a half. You can get around almost three and 181 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:02,760 Speaker 5: a half to one on eighty plus yards this week, 182 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 5: and if you're going up against high target share, which 183 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 5: we've seen, that target share and the snap percentage and 184 00:08:09,640 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 5: the overall offensive percentage go to Drake Lyndon. 185 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 4: Also, if you want to. 186 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:16,280 Speaker 5: Talk about two wide receiver sets, no team uses only 187 00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 5: two wide receiver sets more than the Atlanta Falcons. I 188 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:21,800 Speaker 5: actually like to put bijon out at why they don't 189 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 5: bring in other wide receivers. So this is a first 190 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 5: target guy. I like Drake London receiving yards as the 191 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 5: easy prop. But I'm a little bit of a psychopath 192 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:35,080 Speaker 5: and I might jump in and take a ladder bedded 193 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:37,280 Speaker 5: maybe even just jump to the eighty yards and get 194 00:08:37,280 --> 00:08:39,480 Speaker 5: three to one on my money for Drake London this week. 195 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:41,960 Speaker 1: It's the reason I love you because you're a psychopath Welsh. 196 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:45,079 Speaker 1: All these years, all these years, all right back to you, Ericson, 197 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 1: Let's do something non Falcons related though. That's the one 198 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 1: thing I ask of you. 199 00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 3: Ericson, go, well, I'm gonna stick. I'm gonna stick. It 200 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 3: not be fun and bet unders here. 201 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 6: That's going to Josh Jacobs, who's basically been mister inefficient 202 00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 6: on the ground this year, averaging two point nine yards 203 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:02,840 Speaker 6: per carrysh Jacobs just not looking like himself from last year, 204 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:05,120 Speaker 6: but under seventy three and a half rushing yards here, 205 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:07,200 Speaker 6: And you're like, you must be asking me that, Erckson, like, 206 00:09:07,240 --> 00:09:08,360 Speaker 6: aren't they playing the Bears? 207 00:09:08,360 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 3: The Bear suck? 208 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 6: Like you got to play the running back against the Bear? 209 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 6: Is like, ah, well, the Bears run defense is actually 210 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:16,600 Speaker 6: pretty good. So they have not allowed a running backs 211 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 6: to pass board and seventy three yards against them at 212 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:20,520 Speaker 6: any point this season. 213 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:22,680 Speaker 3: They've allowed just three point five yards per carry. 214 00:09:22,840 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 6: You know, that's the same as the Cleveland Browns, who 215 00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 6: everyone looks at as the best defense in the NFL. 216 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 6: The Bears defense is really bad against running backs in 217 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:33,320 Speaker 6: a passing game, Like that's where you're going to see 218 00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 6: Josh Jacobs have his production, I think he could catch. 219 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:38,559 Speaker 6: I love his over on his receptions and his receiving yards, 220 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,360 Speaker 6: but when it comes to rushing, I want no part 221 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 6: of Josh Jacobs, and I want to bet the under 222 00:09:44,120 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 6: on one of the guys who's been one of the 223 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:49,760 Speaker 6: most inefficient running backs this year. He surpassed seventy yards 224 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:52,880 Speaker 6: one time this season, so it's seventy three and a half. 225 00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 6: It's just way too high based on the tough matchup. 226 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:58,000 Speaker 1: The other reason I love this one ericson is because 227 00:09:58,040 --> 00:10:01,280 Speaker 1: whenever you have backup quarterbacks playing, have guys who struggled 228 00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:03,120 Speaker 1: to convert third downs. It's one of the things actually 229 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:05,400 Speaker 1: that really you know, held back the Saints last night 230 00:10:05,440 --> 00:10:07,480 Speaker 1: at one point. I think they're one for eleven on 231 00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:09,320 Speaker 1: third down conversions in the game. I think I saw 232 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 1: that stat last night. 233 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:12,480 Speaker 3: Are you calling Derek Carr backup quarterback? 234 00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:14,199 Speaker 1: Don't start with me. We did this yesterday on the 235 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:16,559 Speaker 1: Fantasy Pro Show. Do not start with me. I will 236 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:19,679 Speaker 1: hit a guy with glasses, do not. Just because you 237 00:10:19,760 --> 00:10:23,920 Speaker 1: puts does not mean I won't come after you. But yes, 238 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:25,680 Speaker 1: on the YouTube channel if you're watching, he's got his 239 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:28,080 Speaker 1: glasses on. Today the contacts are still on order. They're 240 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 1: on back order. I don't know where they are. But 241 00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:33,720 Speaker 1: it's that inability to convert third downs where you take 242 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:36,959 Speaker 1: opportunities away from the offense, and less opportunities means less attempts. 243 00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:40,040 Speaker 1: Less attempts means potentially miss less yardage. So it's a 244 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 1: really smart under here. I like this one a lot. 245 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:45,080 Speaker 1: You know, it's Scott Bogmin's not here, so we can 246 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:47,720 Speaker 1: do unders today. It's fine, it's all good, all right, 247 00:10:47,800 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 1: let's go back to you whilst you also have somebody 248 00:10:50,480 --> 00:10:53,079 Speaker 1: here when it comes to the raid is and it's 249 00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 1: one of Derek Brown's favorite things this week that he's 250 00:10:55,200 --> 00:10:57,599 Speaker 1: giving to everyone. It's Mike mayerl Let's talk about it. 251 00:10:57,600 --> 00:10:59,280 Speaker 5: It is one thing I want to do on my 252 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:02,280 Speaker 5: absolute brain shut down for a second. I just want 253 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:04,280 Speaker 5: to add this because I screwed up my note on 254 00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 5: that Drake London won the number one wideouts. 255 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:08,160 Speaker 4: It was three of the last four weeks. 256 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:11,400 Speaker 5: AJ Brown over one hundred and thirty one, DJ Moore 257 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:13,559 Speaker 5: over one hundred and amno Saint Brown over one hundred 258 00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 5: and twenty four. That's three of the last four weeks 259 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:18,520 Speaker 5: against the number ones against the Bucks. That is where 260 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 5: my brain shut down because they screwed up my notes. 261 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:23,920 Speaker 5: But yes, Michael Mayer is one of my favorite bets 262 00:11:23,960 --> 00:11:26,920 Speaker 5: this week. They opened after this past week, and I know, 263 00:11:26,920 --> 00:11:29,319 Speaker 5: obviously Jimmy Garoppolo stuff is going to put into question. 264 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:33,000 Speaker 5: At twenty and a half receiving yards twenty and a half, 265 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 5: the Bears on average are giving up fifty five yards 266 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:39,560 Speaker 5: receiving to tight ends. Number one. Tight ends have beat 267 00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:43,320 Speaker 5: this total five of the last six weeks, thank you 268 00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:46,120 Speaker 5: very much. And Mayor has beat this two straight weeks 269 00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:49,080 Speaker 5: while seeing an increased target share. If you're also looking 270 00:11:49,160 --> 00:11:52,360 Speaker 5: at younger quarterbacks, the weird thing about this team is 271 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 5: all those wide receivers are safety net things like when 272 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:56,280 Speaker 5: you look at young quarterbacks, I think of tight ends. 273 00:11:56,320 --> 00:11:58,240 Speaker 5: I think, oh, tight ends are safety nets for these guys. 274 00:11:58,280 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 5: But so is Jacobe Myers and DeVante Adams and Josh 275 00:12:01,600 --> 00:12:03,960 Speaker 5: Jacobs is in a pretty good situation here. But it 276 00:12:04,040 --> 00:12:06,559 Speaker 5: doesn't take much for twenty and a half as they 277 00:12:06,600 --> 00:12:09,439 Speaker 5: are trusting Mayor, and I think you're also gonna have 278 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:12,560 Speaker 5: the defense more hyper focus. Even though Devanta Adams wants 279 00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:15,400 Speaker 5: the ball more. We can get this in one catch 280 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 5: Michael Mayer beating this. It's a great matchup. It's only 281 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 5: twenty and a half yards. It's an absolute smash for me. 282 00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:25,600 Speaker 1: Question for you Welsh, will DeVante Adams finish the year 283 00:12:25,640 --> 00:12:28,559 Speaker 1: as a Raider? I say no, ooh. 284 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:30,800 Speaker 5: I saw some rumors about my forty nine ers. Even 285 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:32,559 Speaker 5: looking at them, I'm not fair. 286 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:34,839 Speaker 1: They're rich getting richer in their own division. They're gonna 287 00:12:34,880 --> 00:12:37,319 Speaker 1: do that. I mean, I guess if you're not competing, I'm. 288 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:40,680 Speaker 5: Gonna say yes, he is, because I just think it's 289 00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:43,079 Speaker 5: really tough to trade. I mean, look at Jonathan Taylor. 290 00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:46,880 Speaker 5: Like Jonathan Taylor was absolute hissy fit and oh but. 291 00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:48,000 Speaker 4: He's injured in all this. 292 00:12:48,200 --> 00:12:51,040 Speaker 1: You know, running back State struggled there. There's some team 293 00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:53,600 Speaker 1: Kansay Chiefs could use an Alpha Dog wide receiver right 294 00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:55,760 Speaker 1: about now. That would be a difference maker for the 295 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:57,440 Speaker 1: Chiefs bringing DeVante Adams in that. 296 00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:00,199 Speaker 5: I mean, I think there's a possibilities there. I don't 297 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 5: think it'll happen, but I do think the division is Michael. 298 00:13:03,160 --> 00:13:05,400 Speaker 5: I think Michael Mayer will cash this in the first time. 299 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 1: My bad too. O Virgually of the forty nine ers 300 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:10,760 Speaker 1: called that's NFC West my all of us today, it's Friday. 301 00:13:10,800 --> 00:13:12,440 Speaker 1: You can tell our brains are well. 302 00:13:12,520 --> 00:13:15,000 Speaker 6: Davante So with Davante Adams, So do you think, okay, 303 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 6: here's a here's a trade. 304 00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:16,280 Speaker 3: Right. 305 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:18,560 Speaker 6: What if you're the Lions and you're like, hey, we'll 306 00:13:18,600 --> 00:13:21,600 Speaker 6: give you Jameson Williams straight up for Davante Adams. 307 00:13:21,600 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 3: I think you do that trade Lions. 308 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:26,400 Speaker 6: I think everybody would like they I mean, the Lions 309 00:13:26,400 --> 00:13:28,439 Speaker 6: want to win right now. The head Davante with im, 310 00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:29,839 Speaker 6: Oh my god, Like. 311 00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:31,840 Speaker 5: Do you imagine the Raiders too, They're like, wait a minute, 312 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:33,600 Speaker 5: we get three wide receiver. 313 00:13:33,760 --> 00:13:38,920 Speaker 1: Oh my god, they do love. That'd be amazing. But yeah, 314 00:13:39,000 --> 00:13:40,720 Speaker 1: that would be a tough one there training the forty 315 00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 1: nine ers. Look, I just I don't know, man, it's 316 00:13:43,000 --> 00:13:44,839 Speaker 1: again they're rich, getting so rich. But I mean I'm 317 00:13:44,840 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 1: going to put it against them. I mean, anything could 318 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:49,959 Speaker 1: happen at this point, certainly. I just don't think. It 319 00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:51,720 Speaker 1: just seems so unhappy there to me. 320 00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:53,480 Speaker 6: I'm just waiting for the Patriots to chade trade for 321 00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:56,040 Speaker 6: Jerry Judy because he's the worst trade four And if 322 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:57,040 Speaker 6: it's the brand. 323 00:13:57,559 --> 00:14:00,760 Speaker 1: Now I'm depressed on the show. All right, let's get 324 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:02,600 Speaker 1: to the next one of Erickson's picks. Before we do, 325 00:14:02,800 --> 00:14:06,320 Speaker 1: a reminder real quick, don't forget join that NFL contest 326 00:14:06,400 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot Com slash NFL contest. Make your picks worth something. 327 00:14:10,840 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 1: Don't just put them out there just for fun. Make 328 00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 1: sure you're logging them in Betting Pros. Go join our 329 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 1: NFL contest. Go click that community tab on the app, 330 00:14:18,400 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 1: and then go to NFL Contest the season long winner, 331 00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:24,360 Speaker 1: whoever is the best of the best wins of Jackson 332 00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:26,880 Speaker 1: Smith and jig but autograph Jersey. But we're also doing 333 00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 1: weekly prizes, monthly prizes, so you can join any time. 334 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:32,120 Speaker 1: Betting doesn't have enough to be legal in your state. 335 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:34,800 Speaker 1: Just make picks, have fun with us at NFL Contest. 336 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:37,200 Speaker 1: We're giving away swag to our Betting pro shops, to 337 00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:41,280 Speaker 1: our NFL shops here at Betting Pros and BP there's 338 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:45,160 Speaker 1: a there's a big Pod Energy T shirt that everyone's 339 00:14:45,200 --> 00:14:48,480 Speaker 1: just itching to get soon. So there you go again, Welsh. 340 00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:50,440 Speaker 1: Can you believe it? I'm still sour about this. I 341 00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: said this yesterday. Erickson got a T shirt before I 342 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:54,040 Speaker 1: got a T shirt and you got a T shirt. 343 00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: What the hell is going on here? 344 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:56,080 Speaker 4: You don't have a T shirt. 345 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,160 Speaker 1: No, I don't think so. I haven't seen hat. 346 00:14:58,240 --> 00:14:58,840 Speaker 4: I have hats. 347 00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 1: You have Welsh hats. You have Welsh hats. 348 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 4: Oh not Welsh halfs Oh what are you saying? That's 349 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 4: how you're talking about. 350 00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 1: Fantasy inspired by Ericsson? Like he has his own like clothing. 351 00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 3: Line, my own line, my own line of. 352 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 4: Swag by Ericsson, swag by Ericson. 353 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:17,280 Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the next one of your 354 00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:18,880 Speaker 1: picks here, Rickson, what do you have for Week seven? 355 00:15:19,480 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 6: I'm no fun, so I'm gonna go with another under here. 356 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:25,920 Speaker 6: Keanta Ingram running back for the Arizona Cardinals under ten 357 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:28,880 Speaker 6: and a half receiving yards. Now, you know, the whole 358 00:15:28,920 --> 00:15:31,920 Speaker 6: Amori Dimikado thing with with count Ingram was a whole 359 00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:35,520 Speaker 6: mess for fantasy football. But it's important to note that 360 00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:39,280 Speaker 6: De Mercado still played the majority of snaps in that game. 361 00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:42,200 Speaker 6: Count Ingram had one carry in the second half, he 362 00:15:42,200 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 6: played thirty seven percent of the snaps. Do you know why? 363 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 6: Because he's not involved in the passing game. He doesn't 364 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:50,080 Speaker 6: play on third downs, and that's when we see running 365 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 6: backs put up the majority of their receiving totals and 366 00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:56,720 Speaker 6: their receptions is usually on long down and distance and 367 00:15:56,760 --> 00:15:57,800 Speaker 6: on third downs. 368 00:15:57,920 --> 00:15:59,720 Speaker 3: So in a game where I think that the. 369 00:15:59,640 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 6: Cardinals gonna be trailing to the Seattle Seahawks playing on 370 00:16:02,640 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 6: the road, conta Ingram's and I have gonna be on 371 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 6: the field. 372 00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:07,120 Speaker 3: So how is he gonna get to ten and a 373 00:16:07,160 --> 00:16:07,920 Speaker 3: half receiving yards. 374 00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:11,360 Speaker 6: He's been forever a running back that's been two dimensional 375 00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 6: and an early down grinder. 376 00:16:12,640 --> 00:16:14,200 Speaker 3: That's what he was at Texas. It's what he's been 377 00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 3: in the NFL. 378 00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 6: And I was betting James Connor unders before he got 379 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:20,040 Speaker 6: hurt in the receiving game because De Marcado had a 380 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:22,840 Speaker 6: big role on third downs. That role has not gone away. 381 00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:25,680 Speaker 6: James Connor had his receiving prop at like six and 382 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:27,720 Speaker 6: a half count Ingrim' is at ten and a half 383 00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:30,280 Speaker 6: because he got eleven yards last week. That's the only 384 00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:33,160 Speaker 6: reason why there's no way he's gonna get even close 385 00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 6: to this in week seven. 386 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 3: On the under counta Ingram, I like. 387 00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:40,560 Speaker 1: It, So help me God, if de Marcado goes off, 388 00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:42,160 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lose my mind on something. 389 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:42,840 Speaker 3: He's gonna play. 390 00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:45,360 Speaker 1: I know he's gonna play so much, and he did 391 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:47,080 Speaker 1: nothing and if he goes on there and he goes up, 392 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 1: could you imagine everybody that And look, I'm one of them. 393 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:51,960 Speaker 1: I spent some money to try to get him thinking, Okay, 394 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:53,920 Speaker 1: this is gonna be the dude Ingram is not that interesting. 395 00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 1: And next thing you know, he does nothing. Now everybody 396 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:57,320 Speaker 1: drops him back to the way wire. He's on the 397 00:16:57,320 --> 00:16:59,480 Speaker 1: bench and he's gonna have fifteen points and I'm gonna 398 00:16:59,520 --> 00:17:00,840 Speaker 1: lose my mind. 399 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:02,960 Speaker 5: It'll be a ninety eight percent snap and he'll have 400 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:04,560 Speaker 5: like four carries and that'll. 401 00:17:04,280 --> 00:17:06,159 Speaker 4: Be absolutely nothing. 402 00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 1: We all die, all right, Welsh, save us from this madness. 403 00:17:09,760 --> 00:17:11,160 Speaker 1: Give us another pick for week seven. 404 00:17:12,119 --> 00:17:16,720 Speaker 5: Well, Brandon Ayuk, you are always our only hope. Receiving 405 00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:20,560 Speaker 5: yards over sixty five and a half. It's a little juice, 406 00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:22,720 Speaker 5: which I don't love. And I was kind of hoping 407 00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:25,480 Speaker 5: it was going to open a little bit lower as 408 00:17:25,480 --> 00:17:27,439 Speaker 5: it had been in previous weeks. But there's a reason 409 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,359 Speaker 5: it's not. Because against Minnesota, Vikings were giving up the 410 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:34,080 Speaker 5: fourth most receiving yards across the top three wide receivers 411 00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:37,320 Speaker 5: in the NFL, also giving up the most receptions to 412 00:17:37,320 --> 00:17:39,400 Speaker 5: wide receiver in the NFL. 413 00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:41,560 Speaker 4: The total They're ridiculous. 414 00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:43,879 Speaker 5: Also, the forty nine ers are in a spot. As 415 00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:46,640 Speaker 5: everybody knows, Deebo Samuel a little bit banged up, Christian 416 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:49,240 Speaker 5: McCaffrey a little bit banged up. They also need to 417 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 5: be more effective with Brock. Pretty Brock pretty clearly played 418 00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:53,680 Speaker 5: his worst. 419 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:54,000 Speaker 4: Game of the year. 420 00:17:54,280 --> 00:17:56,600 Speaker 5: But Brandon Ayuk has been the constant party I've been 421 00:17:56,840 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 5: very critical of in He just doesn't have a really 422 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:02,320 Speaker 5: great ability to check down. He kind of stares down 423 00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:04,400 Speaker 5: number ones. Maybe he can get to a second read, 424 00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:08,280 Speaker 5: but his number one is Brandon Ayu. Brandon Ayuk has 425 00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:11,160 Speaker 5: hit this total in three of six weeks. He's averaging 426 00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:14,680 Speaker 5: over eighteen yards per reception and has had at least 427 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,919 Speaker 5: four receptions in five of six games this year, So 428 00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:21,120 Speaker 5: you can do some simple math. Also, new change for him, 429 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:24,760 Speaker 5: fourth and a dot among wide receivers, and he leads 430 00:18:24,760 --> 00:18:27,720 Speaker 5: to San Francisco forty nine ers in yards after the catch. 431 00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:30,200 Speaker 5: That's something you would never expect. That's a debail thing. 432 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:33,480 Speaker 5: Four point two eight yards after the catch. This is 433 00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:36,800 Speaker 5: a great matchup. He's going to get littered with the targets. 434 00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:39,240 Speaker 5: It ain't going to kittle. They'll probably do some checkdown 435 00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:41,280 Speaker 5: stuff with Christian McCaffrey. I think it's going to be 436 00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:43,560 Speaker 5: a lot more throwing, and Ayuk is going to be 437 00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:45,000 Speaker 5: at the center of it. So, even though it is 438 00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:47,919 Speaker 5: a bigger total, sixty five and a half is a 439 00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:48,960 Speaker 5: smash for Brandon Ayuk. 440 00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:51,040 Speaker 1: Would you tease it Welsh to seventy and a half 441 00:18:51,080 --> 00:18:53,000 Speaker 1: or even seventy five? He can get it down to 442 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:55,880 Speaker 1: like plus one hundred or a minus one oh five 443 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:56,840 Speaker 1: kind of number. 444 00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,639 Speaker 5: I would, I think again pinning up and how dangerous 445 00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 5: I'm gonna look right now, how dangerous you want to live? 446 00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:05,399 Speaker 5: This might be something if you wanted to play an 447 00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:08,439 Speaker 5: alt line receiving yard, I would be pretty comfortable. I'm 448 00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:09,480 Speaker 5: gonna look here real quick. 449 00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:11,359 Speaker 1: Well, And the reason I say it too while you're 450 00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:13,080 Speaker 1: looking just to give you some time there is also 451 00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:16,240 Speaker 1: because we still are unsure about how healthy McCaffrey is 452 00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:18,399 Speaker 1: and what that looks like. So if more targets should 453 00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:21,160 Speaker 1: be available in this offense, that would be a fascinating 454 00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 1: one to walk in on the earlier side if you 455 00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:26,879 Speaker 1: like it, because this number might grow somewhere on Monday 456 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:28,679 Speaker 1: night if we get some weird news about McCaffrey over 457 00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:29,080 Speaker 1: the weekend. 458 00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:33,000 Speaker 5: Well, and also as far as like what he's done, 459 00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:34,720 Speaker 5: he's already had two games where he's gone over I 460 00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:36,680 Speaker 5: think it's on it's one hundred and forty eight yards 461 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:39,440 Speaker 5: one hundred and twenty nine yards. He's also gone over seventy. 462 00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:40,880 Speaker 5: So if you wanted to play the alt line, which 463 00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:43,879 Speaker 5: I'd be comfortable doing, seventy gets you almost even money. 464 00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:46,280 Speaker 5: But eighty is around one and a half to one, 465 00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:48,959 Speaker 5: ninety is two to one, and one hundred plus yards 466 00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:52,160 Speaker 5: is three to one. I really like that three to one. 467 00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:54,800 Speaker 5: I'm not officially saying this is ladder bet season or 468 00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:58,560 Speaker 5: anything like that, but I might jump in take his 469 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:02,080 Speaker 5: normal target, and then I might sprinkle a little bit 470 00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:04,040 Speaker 5: on that one hundred plus yards at three to one 471 00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:05,280 Speaker 5: because I think this is a great match. 472 00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,000 Speaker 1: You're not not saying it's ladder bets. 473 00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:09,359 Speaker 5: I'm not not saying, but I also said I'm not 474 00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:11,440 Speaker 5: not gonna ladder bet Drake London as well. 475 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:13,880 Speaker 4: So again, Psycho, let's. 476 00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:15,760 Speaker 1: Take all these double negatives and turn them into a positive. 477 00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:18,480 Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson, give me your number four pick for the week. 478 00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:22,560 Speaker 6: Here for week seven, going back to Puka ta Kua 479 00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:25,600 Speaker 6: over four and a half receptions, this was like the 480 00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:27,120 Speaker 6: one of the lines that stuck out to me the most. 481 00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,359 Speaker 6: And I was just looking at the player props with 482 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,800 Speaker 6: the prop cheat sheet over on Betting Pros, and I 483 00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:34,240 Speaker 6: was like, wait, four and a half receptions. Aren't they 484 00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 6: playing the Steelers like one of the worst secondaries in 485 00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:38,800 Speaker 6: the NFL? Didn't he have like a thirty three percent 486 00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:41,400 Speaker 6: target share last week? The reason his numbers were low 487 00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:44,440 Speaker 6: last week, it's because the Rams didn't throw the ball 488 00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:46,879 Speaker 6: in the entire second half of the game. 489 00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:48,280 Speaker 3: They just gave it to. 490 00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:51,280 Speaker 6: Kien Williams like thirty times against the Cardinals. Are like, well, 491 00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:52,960 Speaker 6: we're just gonna keep doing this, and then that's why 492 00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:56,159 Speaker 6: he had a disappointing game for the next three weeks. 493 00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 6: Exactly Sean McVay. But we gotta take advantage of it 494 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:06,800 Speaker 6: with somebody get pok Kua. So Pittsburgh has allowed over 495 00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:09,040 Speaker 6: two undid receiving yards per game to the wide receiver position. 496 00:21:09,040 --> 00:21:11,560 Speaker 6: At least one opposing receiver has gone for seventy plus 497 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:15,040 Speaker 6: yards against them every single game this year. Thirty yards 498 00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,879 Speaker 6: per completion allowed to the wide receiver position. So look again, 499 00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:21,320 Speaker 6: I talked about four catches for twenty six yards last week. 500 00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:23,040 Speaker 6: He did drop a touchdown, so you should have had 501 00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:25,640 Speaker 6: five catches. Last week, he still had a thirty three 502 00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:28,080 Speaker 6: percent target share. It goes to Nakula and it goes 503 00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:30,280 Speaker 6: to Cooper Cup. That's the only people that get the 504 00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:33,000 Speaker 6: ball in the Rams offense. So I think that this 505 00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 6: is such an easy over here over on the receptions 506 00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:37,399 Speaker 6: over on the receiving yards. Officially it's at four and 507 00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:40,119 Speaker 6: a half receptions at minus one fifty bed ATMGM. I 508 00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:41,919 Speaker 6: think that's just the safe to lock it in. But 509 00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:43,800 Speaker 6: if you want to tease it up a little bit 510 00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:45,960 Speaker 6: more alternate receiving yards, I got no problem with that. 511 00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:48,440 Speaker 6: I mean the projections, having Nakula for sixty five and 512 00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:52,240 Speaker 6: a half receiving yards five point eight receptions is his projection. 513 00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 3: His line's at four and a half, So this is 514 00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 3: an easy over for me. 515 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:57,000 Speaker 1: This is why you use the prop bet cheets sheet everybody, 516 00:21:57,000 --> 00:22:00,239 Speaker 1: because you can see the projections there next to the 517 00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:02,879 Speaker 1: best place to bet these numbers and where the overs 518 00:22:02,880 --> 00:22:05,040 Speaker 1: and the unders lie. I mean, it's it's literally the 519 00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:08,119 Speaker 1: cheat sheet, like we're telling you exactly here at betting pros, 520 00:22:08,680 --> 00:22:11,400 Speaker 1: where to bet it, what to bet it at, and 521 00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:13,560 Speaker 1: all you gotta do is just go ahead and bet it. 522 00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:16,399 Speaker 1: So again, this is easy stuff here. We're trying to 523 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:18,520 Speaker 1: help you, help us, help you by Jerry Maguire, That's 524 00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:20,359 Speaker 1: what I'm trying to do here. But the propet cheat 525 00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:22,560 Speaker 1: sheet is just it's the greatest thing. Well should I 526 00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:25,240 Speaker 1: use it? All year long? On the Baseball Show, every 527 00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:27,320 Speaker 1: single day we were using the prop bet cheat sheet. 528 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 1: It is your go to for sure. And I'm all 529 00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:33,119 Speaker 1: about this one too. And Pooka, I'm sure we'll come 530 00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:35,879 Speaker 1: up on the DFS Show today as well with debro 531 00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:38,040 Speaker 1: which again if you're looking for that on the YouTube side, 532 00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:39,760 Speaker 1: it's only on the audio side, you can go find 533 00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:42,600 Speaker 1: it there. But Cooper Cup is at at the very 534 00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:44,560 Speaker 1: top of the boarder wide receiver because there's no chase 535 00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:46,400 Speaker 1: this week. He's on a buy so Jefferson because he's 536 00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:48,280 Speaker 1: hurt like you have, I UK some of these bigger 537 00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:51,480 Speaker 1: name guys you know, on different slates. So Cooper Cup 538 00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,320 Speaker 1: is super expensive. Pooka is the fascinating pivot to me 539 00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:56,680 Speaker 1: because he is still very cheap and coming off a 540 00:22:56,760 --> 00:22:59,920 Speaker 1: quote unquote, as you put it, disappointing week ericson is 541 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:02,159 Speaker 1: the perfect opportunity to smash this week. I love it 542 00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:04,600 Speaker 1: all right, let's go to you Welsh. We still got 543 00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:06,920 Speaker 1: anytime touchdown callers, but you got one more pick for us. 544 00:23:07,280 --> 00:23:09,080 Speaker 1: Let's go. What do you have? 545 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,439 Speaker 5: Well, if you guys downloaded the Betting Pros app, you 546 00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:14,399 Speaker 5: know that you can follow all these beautiful gentlemen, you 547 00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:15,000 Speaker 5: can follow me. 548 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 4: As well, and you'll see some of the bets I've 549 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:17,240 Speaker 4: already talked about. 550 00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:20,320 Speaker 5: If you are following me bettingpros dot Com, slash app 551 00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:22,600 Speaker 5: or your app store download that you could see some 552 00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:24,200 Speaker 5: of these bets I've talked about. I have not put 553 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:26,879 Speaker 5: this bet. I'm about to tell you up and this one, 554 00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:30,840 Speaker 5: I just was inspired by Andre Rickson because Erickson loves 555 00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,120 Speaker 5: to be a downer. Every time I ever do a show, 556 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 5: He's like, I got like two or three unders, and 557 00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:35,040 Speaker 5: I'm like. 558 00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:36,679 Speaker 4: Oh my god, well how we play these unders? But 559 00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:37,200 Speaker 4: they work? 560 00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:39,760 Speaker 5: I was inspired by it by a running back that 561 00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:43,200 Speaker 5: I'm not into. This week, I'm taking the under rushing 562 00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:47,720 Speaker 5: yard prop for Jerome Ford. I am not a Jerome 563 00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:50,760 Speaker 5: Ford stand. It is fifty five and a half. He 564 00:23:50,800 --> 00:23:53,480 Speaker 5: has hit this twice, but I don't care about the 565 00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:55,800 Speaker 5: forty nine er thing. They stunk you're able to run 566 00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:57,359 Speaker 5: all over them. But what did we see in that game? 567 00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:01,160 Speaker 5: We saw an increase in Kareem and Kareem Hunt look 568 00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:04,960 Speaker 5: pretty good. They're gonna be more comfortable passing with Deshaun Watson. 569 00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:08,320 Speaker 5: But this is a tougher matchup against the Colts running backs. 570 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:12,280 Speaker 5: Against the Colts number one running backs have actually only 571 00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 5: beat this total. 572 00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:14,120 Speaker 4: Twice this year. 573 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:17,440 Speaker 5: It was Travis Eatien that did it and Kyron Williams, 574 00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:20,480 Speaker 5: and they've actually faced Etian twice and he only cashed 575 00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:21,160 Speaker 5: this twice. 576 00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:22,399 Speaker 4: I don't think. 577 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:26,440 Speaker 5: Jerome Ford, Jerome Ford's breakaway potential is worrisome about this, 578 00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:29,480 Speaker 5: but the Colts in general are a better run stopping 579 00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:33,520 Speaker 5: defense eighty six yards rushing on average with a team 580 00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:35,639 Speaker 5: that is split and is going to be comfortable passing 581 00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:37,960 Speaker 5: a little bit more. So give me the under on 582 00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:41,880 Speaker 5: Jerome Ford rushing yards fifty five and a half as 583 00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 5: my inspired Andrew Ericksson under Shade of the Day. 584 00:24:46,080 --> 00:24:48,720 Speaker 1: I love it and I agree with you one hundred percent. 585 00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:51,199 Speaker 1: Kareem Hunt looked better, and you also got that veteran 586 00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:55,160 Speaker 1: rest day on Wednesday, which tells me, get ready, kids, 587 00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:56,920 Speaker 1: you're gonna get more Kareem Hunt on Sunday. When you 588 00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:59,440 Speaker 1: start seeing stuff like that, ericson, give us one more 589 00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:01,320 Speaker 1: for the road here before we get to our touchdown 590 00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:02,160 Speaker 1: calls of the week. 591 00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:05,960 Speaker 6: Going to Christian Watson over forty nine and a half 592 00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:08,719 Speaker 6: receiving yards. And you know, the funny thing about this 593 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:10,520 Speaker 6: line is you can totally see where it comes from 594 00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:12,520 Speaker 6: because you look at Christian Watson. It's like, dude, he's 595 00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:15,680 Speaker 6: only gone over forty nine receiving yards in four games 596 00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:17,119 Speaker 6: in his NFL career two years. 597 00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:18,000 Speaker 3: In four games. 598 00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:21,399 Speaker 6: Every time he's gone over this number, he has ninety 599 00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:23,960 Speaker 6: receiving yards or more. So this is one of these 600 00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:26,280 Speaker 6: where he either is going to be finishing with like 601 00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:29,280 Speaker 6: thirty yards or he's going to be getting ninety yards. 602 00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:31,800 Speaker 6: So to me, it smells a lot like a ladder 603 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:34,480 Speaker 6: bet when it comes to Christian Watson because of the 604 00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:38,800 Speaker 6: matchup at play here against the Denver Broncos, who are 605 00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:41,920 Speaker 6: the worst team in terms of giving up explosive plays 606 00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:43,960 Speaker 6: like That's why I think the Chiefs struggled against them, 607 00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:47,960 Speaker 6: honestly playing Denver, because they don't have explosive playmakers the 608 00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:50,040 Speaker 6: Packers do, and all the Packers have been trying to 609 00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:53,439 Speaker 6: do all season is launch these deep balls to Jayden 610 00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:55,840 Speaker 6: Reid and to Romeo Dobbs, and Christian Watson just hasn't 611 00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:59,040 Speaker 6: worked out. This is where all that regression cashes in 612 00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:01,480 Speaker 6: in a big way coming off there bye week against 613 00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:03,720 Speaker 6: the Denver Broncos. I mean, Christian Watson had one hundred 614 00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:05,480 Speaker 6: and seventy seven air yards the last time he saw 615 00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:08,680 Speaker 6: him play. His average depth of target was twenty six 616 00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:11,760 Speaker 6: yards down the field. Like they want to launch the 617 00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:14,439 Speaker 6: ball with Christian Watson, and it's the perfect matchup for 618 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:16,600 Speaker 6: it to cash in. So I think Watson's gonna go 619 00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:18,480 Speaker 6: over one hundred yards in this game. For nine and 620 00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,640 Speaker 6: a half is way too low. I'm obsessed with Christian 621 00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:22,320 Speaker 6: Watson this week. 622 00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:25,760 Speaker 1: I am too Ericson and it is Ladder bed season 623 00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:28,399 Speaker 1: here with Kristian Watson. I'm with you one hundred percent. 624 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,359 Speaker 1: I've got it lined up right now as you were talking, 625 00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:33,159 Speaker 1: because this is where I wanted to go after you 626 00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:36,439 Speaker 1: were done. And if you bet it at fifty, at sixty, 627 00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:38,399 Speaker 1: at seventy plus, at eighty plus, at ninety plus, at 628 00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:40,720 Speaker 1: one hundred plus, right you put you can start with 629 00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:42,840 Speaker 1: two units on the you know the minus on the 630 00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:44,760 Speaker 1: fifty just to kind of lock in everything and cover 631 00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:46,960 Speaker 1: yourself a little bit. But if you do one unit 632 00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:50,840 Speaker 1: after that, it'll end up being somewhere around seventy units 633 00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:53,600 Speaker 1: and you'll get twice your money back there on that. 634 00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:55,239 Speaker 1: So also, that's a good one. 635 00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:55,919 Speaker 4: Let me throw this, and. 636 00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:00,600 Speaker 1: Just for s's and g's, you throw that anytime touchdown 637 00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:02,840 Speaker 1: score prop. On top of that, we have plus one 638 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:05,760 Speaker 1: eighty five, so that's another one to throw into that 639 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:06,600 Speaker 1: mix along with it. 640 00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:10,280 Speaker 5: Go ahead, well, I've thrown around a couple players. Drake London, 641 00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:13,720 Speaker 5: I really like. I like Brandon Ayuk this week. If 642 00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:17,840 Speaker 5: you decided to play the alt line for Brandon Ayuk 643 00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:21,920 Speaker 5: at eighty receiving yards, Christian Watson at eighty receiving yards 644 00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:24,680 Speaker 5: and Drake London at eighty receiving yards, you. 645 00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,400 Speaker 4: Could pair all three of those together. 646 00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:29,159 Speaker 5: For thirty two to one on your money to just 647 00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:31,680 Speaker 5: have a fun little event for the week of three 648 00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:34,040 Speaker 5: players that we'll like on the alt line. 649 00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:37,680 Speaker 1: Enjoy yourself, everybody, treat yourself yourself sweet or something nice 650 00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:40,920 Speaker 1: for yourself. All right, Welsh, give us your touchdown call 651 00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:41,840 Speaker 1: of the week. Where are you going? 652 00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:44,280 Speaker 5: Well, I'm gonna give you two. I'm gonna give you 653 00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:47,439 Speaker 5: my safer one. Who is going to be Aaron Jones, 654 00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:48,159 Speaker 5: who looks. 655 00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:49,440 Speaker 4: Spray in practice. He's back. 656 00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:52,640 Speaker 5: He scores touchdowns for this team, and the Denver Broncos 657 00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:54,800 Speaker 5: give up lots of them to running backs. How about 658 00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:58,560 Speaker 5: twelve touchdowns to running backs, eight rushing for receiving. Aaron 659 00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,000 Speaker 5: Jones plays it across the board, and it's even plus 660 00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:03,040 Speaker 5: money this week at one oh five. You don't get 661 00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:05,560 Speaker 5: plus money on Aaron Jones most times, but he's a 662 00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:06,520 Speaker 5: little bit banged. 663 00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:07,600 Speaker 4: Up for a deeper call. 664 00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:11,080 Speaker 5: Gonna throw out Rashi Rice, who is around two and 665 00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:13,320 Speaker 5: a half to one. I think it's plus two point thirty, 666 00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:16,760 Speaker 5: and he is the Chief's most targeted wide receiver in 667 00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:19,760 Speaker 5: the red zone. He's got seven targets, which is I 668 00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:22,560 Speaker 5: think in like the top twenty of red zone overall targets. 669 00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:25,439 Speaker 5: So they get in there, they look towards him. I know, 670 00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:28,360 Speaker 5: you guys might like somebody else in there, but Rice 671 00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:30,200 Speaker 5: is a little bit of my deeper play, but Aaron 672 00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:31,800 Speaker 5: Jones is my official I. 673 00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:34,120 Speaker 1: Look, it's not don't know if we like it. It's 674 00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:36,960 Speaker 1: just kind of it feels like, you know, you make 675 00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:39,560 Speaker 1: this trade for me. Carl Hardman and Ericson you were 676 00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:42,240 Speaker 1: saying before we started, you can feel that moment in 677 00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:46,360 Speaker 1: the broadcast, you me, Col Hardman, touchdown. What's old is 678 00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:48,200 Speaker 1: lew again like some stupid thing. 679 00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:50,680 Speaker 6: Eight games last year and he scored in half of them. 680 00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:52,959 Speaker 6: I never all read zone touchdowns. 681 00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:55,120 Speaker 1: And the number for him right now I'm looking on 682 00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 1: fandle it's not. 683 00:28:56,160 --> 00:28:58,960 Speaker 6: Even it'saw plus four hundred I think for any time 684 00:28:59,040 --> 00:29:01,920 Speaker 6: and then plus twenty five hundred for first touchdown. 685 00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:04,320 Speaker 1: Vandal doesn't even have him up yet, So keep an 686 00:29:04,360 --> 00:29:05,240 Speaker 1: eye on some of these others. 687 00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:06,360 Speaker 3: Get away fromhim to be active. 688 00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:09,120 Speaker 1: But I know, let me tell you it's gonna be 689 00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:11,080 Speaker 1: good times, all right, Erickson, give us another touchdown we 690 00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:13,400 Speaker 1: called besides Nicole Hardby. 691 00:29:14,320 --> 00:29:17,760 Speaker 6: In God God, when we trust, I'm going to Chris Godwin. Yeah, 692 00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:22,200 Speaker 6: the joke is the king of regression everything. You're looking 693 00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:24,280 Speaker 6: at players with the most receiving yards without a touchdown, 694 00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:26,080 Speaker 6: Chris Godwin. You're looking at players with the most red 695 00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:27,960 Speaker 6: zone targets without a touchdown, Chris Godwin. 696 00:29:28,040 --> 00:29:29,240 Speaker 3: Oh, he's checking off all the. 697 00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:31,120 Speaker 6: Boxes you're looking for when you look at the matchup 698 00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:34,479 Speaker 6: against the Atlanta Falcons. Where are they weakest in the slot? 699 00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:36,400 Speaker 6: You know, last week we get Curtis Samuel had a 700 00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,960 Speaker 6: really productive game against the Atlanta Falcons. So I love 701 00:29:40,040 --> 00:29:42,880 Speaker 6: Chris Godwin here in this particular matchup. De Alford's a 702 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:45,400 Speaker 6: bad cornerback, second in target and catches aloud from the 703 00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 6: slot this season, and when you look at it from 704 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:51,880 Speaker 6: a first touchdown perspective, the Atlanta Falcons offense cannot do 705 00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:53,760 Speaker 6: anything in the first half of games. They were one 706 00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:56,120 Speaker 6: of the worst offenses in the first half this season. 707 00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:59,480 Speaker 6: They've averaged like less than a field goal on offense 708 00:29:59,560 --> 00:30:02,400 Speaker 6: on the roa this season in the first half of games. 709 00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:04,640 Speaker 6: So I think the Buckeeers are gonna strike first, and 710 00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:05,160 Speaker 6: you know who. 711 00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:06,840 Speaker 3: It's gonna be. It's gonna be Chris Godwin. 712 00:30:07,040 --> 00:30:08,880 Speaker 6: Fun in the end zone and you're gonna be like, 713 00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:11,200 Speaker 6: here we go, plus one thousand first touchdown, Chris Godwin, 714 00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:11,560 Speaker 6: let's go. 715 00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:13,560 Speaker 1: You can do everything in that same game too. With 716 00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:15,480 Speaker 1: all the bijon stuff we talked about the top of 717 00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:21,520 Speaker 1: the show, Stuffy, I say good times just to recap everybody. 718 00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:24,520 Speaker 1: Whatever one's in on Godwin, Jones and Rushie Rice to 719 00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:27,400 Speaker 1: get in the end zone. Erickson's got Christian Watson forty 720 00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:29,280 Speaker 1: nine and a half receiving yards over Pooka four and 721 00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:31,400 Speaker 1: a half receptions over County Ingram under ten and a 722 00:30:31,440 --> 00:30:33,960 Speaker 1: half receiving yards, Jacob's under seventy three and a half 723 00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:37,120 Speaker 1: rushing yards, Bijon over three and a half receptions. Welsh 724 00:30:37,120 --> 00:30:40,840 Speaker 1: has Bijon at receiving yards over twenty four and a 725 00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:43,880 Speaker 1: half over on Drake London's forty seven and a half 726 00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:46,760 Speaker 1: receiving yards, Michael Mayer over on the twenty and a 727 00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:50,000 Speaker 1: half receiving yards over for Brandon Aiyuk at sixty five 728 00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:52,520 Speaker 1: and a half receiving yards and jrome Ford under on 729 00:30:52,560 --> 00:30:54,720 Speaker 1: the fifty five and a half. Well, she's great to 730 00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:56,400 Speaker 1: have you on the show today. Thanks for hanging out 731 00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:58,040 Speaker 1: with us. You can catch well. She'd doing all the 732 00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:00,640 Speaker 1: college football stuff here on the chick Pannel. He does 733 00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:03,160 Speaker 1: the Baseball Show with me too on our MLB channel, 734 00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:06,200 Speaker 1: So subscribe to that because before you know it, baseball 735 00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:08,600 Speaker 1: will be back in round February and we'll be there 736 00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:11,360 Speaker 1: in January doing more show, so go check that out 737 00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:14,480 Speaker 1: as well. Fantasypros dot com slash actually not even dot com, 738 00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:17,920 Speaker 1: it's the YouTube channel. It's Fantasy Pros MLB. That's what 739 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:19,720 Speaker 1: it is. Too many, too many things in my head. 740 00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:22,400 Speaker 4: That's too many things brains are trying. Just go with 741 00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:24,720 Speaker 4: the bets. Don't worry about all the other everyone worries about. 742 00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:27,080 Speaker 1: Like what I'm betting the Christian Watson ladder bed. That's 743 00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:28,960 Speaker 1: I'm doing it this week. I didn't think I would 744 00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:36,360 Speaker 1: find another one this quick after a chan. 745 00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:34,440 Speaker 3: Of wide receiver. 746 00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:36,320 Speaker 1: He is in a lot of ways. He is on 747 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,040 Speaker 1: that note, let's end on that. That'll do it for us, 748 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:40,880 Speaker 1: but the story of the game goes on for Andrew 749 00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:43,600 Speaker 1: Erickson and the Welsh I'm Joey p. We'll see you 750 00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:44,760 Speaker 1: next time. Kids. 751 00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:48,360 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. Follow us 752 00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:51,320 Speaker 2: on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and Instagram at 753 00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:54,880 Speaker 2: Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at 754 00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:56,800 Speaker 2: YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.