WEBVTT - Bills By The Numbers: AFC East Still Up For Grabs? Latest Super Bowl Odds

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome into Bills by the Numbers, where we let the

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<v Speaker 1>stats tell you where the Bills are at. We're presented

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<v Speaker 1>by FanDuel make every moment more. Coming up the ESPN

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<v Speaker 1>Football Power Index. As Buffalo in some interesting spots in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of projected record and odds to win the Super Bowl,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll investigate is it premature to dismiss the AFC East Race?

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<v Speaker 1>Steve has quizzed on Bill's playoff history, and we'll have

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<v Speaker 1>our one burning question.

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<v Speaker 2>We have officially reached crunch time.

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<v Speaker 1>What did you make a good decision? Joining us here

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<v Speaker 1>on Bills by the Numbers. He is Bill's Wall of

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<v Speaker 1>Famer Steve Tasker on Bill's play by playman Chris Brown,

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<v Speaker 1>and down the stretch. We come here in the twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty five regular season, four games to play in a

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<v Speaker 1>gigantic head to head matchup with the AFC East Division leader,

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<v Speaker 1>the Patriots in New England. Buffalo two games back of

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<v Speaker 1>New England with the week fifteen game in Foxborough and

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<v Speaker 1>three to play after that. Before we get to the

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<v Speaker 1>division race, Steve, we want to share with the ESPN

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<v Speaker 1>Football Power Index thinks of the current NFL landscape. It

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<v Speaker 1>has the rams atop the power Index as the strongest

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<v Speaker 1>team with a month left in the season. After that,

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<v Speaker 1>believe it or not, are the Chiefs, Packers, Lions, Seahawks.

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<v Speaker 1>To round out the top five. Buffalo comes in at seventh.

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<v Speaker 1>We should note Buffalo is the top ranked AFC team

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<v Speaker 1>currently in a playoff position. When it comes to projections

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<v Speaker 1>for the rest of the slate, the team expected to

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<v Speaker 1>finish with the best record is New England at thirteen

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<v Speaker 1>and four, followed by Denver, the Rams, Seattle, and the Bills.

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<v Speaker 1>Buffalo projected at about twelve and five. It's like eleven

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<v Speaker 1>point seven and five point whatever. If that projection plays out,

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<v Speaker 1>Buffalo would be the top wild card seed and they

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<v Speaker 1>would go to Pittsburgh, who are projected to win the

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<v Speaker 1>division in the AFC.

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<v Speaker 2>North at nine and eight. Thoughts on that possible matchup, Steve.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm okay with it.

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<v Speaker 2>I like it.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, we match up well with them. They'll have a

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<v Speaker 3>chip on their shoulder because of the way the Bills

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<v Speaker 3>handled them in their building the last time, two hundred

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<v Speaker 3>and forty nine rushing yards. They're gonna come out with

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<v Speaker 3>a chip on their shoulder and I would anticipate that

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<v Speaker 3>being a really physical attitude game. But the Bills are

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<v Speaker 3>the better team and you got to go in thinking

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<v Speaker 3>that and believe in Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>ESPN Analytics gives the Bills a ninety seven percent chance

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<v Speaker 1>to make the playoffs as they prepare for their Week

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<v Speaker 1>fifteen matchup with the Patriots. They give them just a

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen and a half percent chance to win the division,

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<v Speaker 1>which seems higher than we've initially seen projective.

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<v Speaker 3>Aslow as it is, it seems high.

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<v Speaker 1>We've calculated that if the Bills win their last four games,

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<v Speaker 1>including Sunday at New England obviously, in the Patriots lose

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<v Speaker 1>one o their game to a division opponent, either the

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<v Speaker 1>Jets in Week seventeen or the Dolphins in Week eighteen,

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<v Speaker 1>Buffalo could win their sixth straight division title. The other

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<v Speaker 1>scenario is if the Patriots lose three of their last four,

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<v Speaker 1>Buffalo could go three and one in their final four games,

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<v Speaker 1>provided one of those wins being against the Patriots, and still.

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<v Speaker 2>Win the division. So it's possible, but.

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<v Speaker 1>Probably unlikely, knowing New England has won ten in a

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<v Speaker 1>row coming into this weekend. But should the division title

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<v Speaker 1>hopes beshelled, Steve I.

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<v Speaker 3>Would say yes only because of it, not that it

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<v Speaker 3>couldn't happen. But because you've got bigger fish to fry around,

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<v Speaker 3>you gotta win this game, all right. Your goals have

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<v Speaker 3>shrunken from winning the Super Bowl, winning the AFC Championship

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<v Speaker 3>Division all that down to its game by game because

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<v Speaker 3>now a large measure of what you need to happen

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<v Speaker 3>is out of your control. So you can't think about it.

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<v Speaker 3>You got to win this game and then reevaluate after

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<v Speaker 3>everybody else in the league settles in their win loss column.

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<v Speaker 3>It's about tomorrow and then the next day. So you

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<v Speaker 3>don't you stop thinking about the division title unless you

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<v Speaker 3>had a chance to sew it up, so to speak.

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<v Speaker 3>Right now, you've got to continue to stack wins because

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<v Speaker 3>of the landscape. Everyone is so close at the top

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<v Speaker 3>of that that's the conference. You can't get caught up

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<v Speaker 3>in stuff you can't control, and right now the division's

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<v Speaker 3>out of your control.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and that's the rub, right because I think the

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<v Speaker 1>general consensus is the Bills just have to keep on winning.

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<v Speaker 1>Pick your head up at the end and see where

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<v Speaker 1>you are. There's a very good you know, it's like

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<v Speaker 1>a ninety seven percent chands you're going to the playoffs,

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<v Speaker 1>So that much is known, but you have to keep

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<v Speaker 1>winning to ensure that. And then secondarily you can think about, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>as New England slipped up, you know, a couple of

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<v Speaker 1>weeks from now, whatever have they slipped up?

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<v Speaker 2>Is the door open now? You can worry about that then.

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<v Speaker 1>But more importantly, the wild card race is tightly packed

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<v Speaker 1>as well, so you still control your own destiny in

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<v Speaker 1>that aspect, and because of that, you have to keep winning.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's priority one right now. Just keep on

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<v Speaker 1>winning and hope it's good enough to if not win

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<v Speaker 1>the division, be the top wild card seed and play

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<v Speaker 1>the weakest division winner. So we'll have to see what happens.

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<v Speaker 1>It's interesting though, because coach McDermott has said in the

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<v Speaker 1>past with respect to the playoffs, win your division first

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<v Speaker 1>because that guarantees you a home playoff game. Obviously that

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<v Speaker 1>has fallen out of their control. To your point, Steve,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know that winning the division should be dismissed,

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<v Speaker 1>especially if they win this week, to delay a division

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<v Speaker 1>title for New England, because if New England wins, it's over.

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<v Speaker 2>They win the division.

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<v Speaker 1>But I gotta believe there's a little added motivation this

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<v Speaker 1>week to not let that be a hat and T

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<v Speaker 1>shirt game for the Patriots.

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<v Speaker 3>Sure, but yeah, secondarily, you gotta win a period.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, if you win anyway, if.

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<v Speaker 3>You lose, you may be the seven seed this week

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<v Speaker 3>and you're playing one of the best pass rushes in

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<v Speaker 3>the league next week and you got the World champions

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<v Speaker 3>in a week after that.

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<v Speaker 2>You have to win. Yeah, you have to win.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's whether the whether it was the division title

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<v Speaker 3>or the Patriots or not, you'd still have to This

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<v Speaker 3>is a game too where you've seen this team once

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<v Speaker 3>this year. They're a little bit of a different team

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<v Speaker 3>now than they were in Week five, as are the Bills,

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<v Speaker 3>so it's gonna be a little bit different matchup, completely

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<v Speaker 3>different venue obviously as well. Yeah, if you want to

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<v Speaker 3>have any semblance of having some control over your own destiny,

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<v Speaker 3>you gotta win.

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<v Speaker 1>ESPN Analytics has the Bills with the third best odds

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<v Speaker 1>to make the divisional playoff at fifty four and a

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<v Speaker 1>half percent, behind only Denver and New England on the

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<v Speaker 1>AFC side of the ledger, and the third best odds

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<v Speaker 1>to make the AFC Title game, again behind Denver in

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<v Speaker 1>New England, but it's.

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<v Speaker 2>Not by much.

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<v Speaker 1>Denver with a forty percent chance to reach the AFC Championship,

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<v Speaker 1>New England with a thirty four percent chance, followed by

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<v Speaker 1>Buffalo at thirty percent. Knowing the Bills in one of

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<v Speaker 1>those scenarios is probably playing at Denver or at New England.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you have a preference, because there is the argument

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<v Speaker 1>about how hard it is to play a team the

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<v Speaker 1>third time, namely New England.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I might rather go on the road to Denver

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<v Speaker 3>rather than New England again. Playing a team for the

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<v Speaker 3>third times difficult. And Denver hasn't seen this team, and

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<v Speaker 3>they have played against a quarterback like this one.

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<v Speaker 2>Well not since last year's wildcard playoff.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, so they would they'd be up against It would

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<v Speaker 3>be different for them this run game. Denver's defense is

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<v Speaker 3>very good. But playing out in Denver, to be're honest,

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<v Speaker 3>I think the weather would be better in Denver than

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<v Speaker 3>it would be in New England. They get could be

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<v Speaker 3>they get three hundred and thirty days of sunshine in Denver.

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<v Speaker 3>It'd be altitude. But that they're sports science, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>will take care of that. I like the Denver matchup better.

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<v Speaker 3>Bo Knicks is not in the MVP race, Drake may is.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that's what was gonna be the difference maker for me.

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<v Speaker 1>Bo Nicks has had trouble putting points on the board

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<v Speaker 1>for his offense on a consistent basis. There might be

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<v Speaker 1>some weeks where they make enough plays and they score

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<v Speaker 1>twenty four twenty seven points, but there are other weeks

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<v Speaker 1>where they're barely and struggling to get to twenty and

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<v Speaker 1>their defense has bailed them out because it's so good

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<v Speaker 1>at keeping opponents off the scoreboard. I think I would

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<v Speaker 1>be inclined to take that. Not only that Denver's defense,

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<v Speaker 1>if there is a soft underbelly, they have been victimized

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<v Speaker 1>to a great degree by backs and tight ends in

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<v Speaker 1>the passing game. And with the evolution of Buffalo's offense

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<v Speaker 1>here down the stretch and seeing backs and tight ends

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<v Speaker 1>playing more prominent roles in Buffalo's passing game, I kind

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<v Speaker 1>of like that matchup a little bit better than I

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<v Speaker 1>would playing New England a third time this season. As

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<v Speaker 1>for odds to make the Super Bowl, ESPN Analytics has

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<v Speaker 1>Buffalo with the second best odds to reach the ultimate

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<v Speaker 1>game in the AFC, behind only Denver, which is at

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<v Speaker 1>twenty two percent. Buffalo at sixteen and a half percent

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<v Speaker 1>to reach the Super Bowl. What do you make of

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<v Speaker 1>seeing them rated there?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, surprise, there's been some conversation now with if Lamar Jackson,

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<v Speaker 3>Pat Mahomes and Joe Burrow are out of the playoffs,

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<v Speaker 3>you'll have the best player in the tournament.

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<v Speaker 2>But Buffalo always does.

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<v Speaker 3>There's only three games this year you can have even

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<v Speaker 3>a conversation about where the guys as good as the

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<v Speaker 3>guy you've got. It's Mahomes, it's Burrow, and it's Lamar Jackson,

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<v Speaker 3>and he beat he went three to zero against him.

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<v Speaker 3>But as we've seen in the playoffs, having the best

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<v Speaker 3>player isn't always the trump card. Yeah, you've got to

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<v Speaker 3>have more than just one guy, even if it is

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<v Speaker 3>the quarterback. You gotta have more guys helping him. You

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<v Speaker 3>got to have more guys that make plays. You gotta

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<v Speaker 3>have more guys that are elevating. But having said that, yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>I get why they like Buffalo, and it's because of

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<v Speaker 3>the guy taking snaps and secondarily they can run the ball.

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<v Speaker 3>So it's hard to bet against teams like that, particularly

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<v Speaker 3>a team that's proven over the course of a long

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<v Speaker 3>season that it is consistent and unless you keep a

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<v Speaker 3>lid on it, it will get you and Bills have

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<v Speaker 3>done it.

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<v Speaker 1>I think part of the reason they're rated this high

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<v Speaker 1>is because some of those other elite quarterbacks it's looking

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<v Speaker 1>more and more like they're not gonna be in the tournament,

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<v Speaker 1>and because of the drop off from Josh to the

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<v Speaker 1>other quarterbacks that will be in on the AFC side

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<v Speaker 1>of the Ledger, I think that's why the analytics people

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<v Speaker 1>have this number for Buffalo to make the Super Bowl

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<v Speaker 1>at sixteen and a half percent. That's higher than I

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<v Speaker 1>can remember it being in previous years. Last year, when

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<v Speaker 1>they were thirteen and four, it wasn't that high, But

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<v Speaker 1>it's because there were other teams like the Chiefs in

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<v Speaker 1>the tournament. So it's really interesting to see that number

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<v Speaker 1>as high as it is, and I wonder if it's

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<v Speaker 1>because some of those other teams were used to seeing

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<v Speaker 1>in the postseason may not be there.

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<v Speaker 3>We still have four games to play as well, so

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<v Speaker 3>there's a lot at this point. Last season, at that point,

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<v Speaker 3>Joe Burrow looked like he was going to make a

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<v Speaker 3>run at the playoffs, right, So yeah, it's a different

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<v Speaker 3>atmosphere and it may change twice over the next four weeks.

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<v Speaker 1>When it comes to winning the Super Bowl. Buffalo again

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<v Speaker 1>has the second best odds among AFC teams, again behind Denver.

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<v Speaker 1>Broncos are given a ten percent chance, Bills an eight

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<v Speaker 1>percent chance.

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<v Speaker 2>The NFC teams, though, in.

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<v Speaker 1>Terms of odds, are way ahead Rams at eighteen point

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<v Speaker 1>one percent, Packers at nine point six, Seahawks at eight

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<v Speaker 1>point eight. How hard is it to see that far

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<v Speaker 1>down the road, knowing how much has to happen between

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<v Speaker 1>now and then.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, projections are nice.

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<v Speaker 3>Projections are nice. But the difference is that the Broncos

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<v Speaker 3>and the Bills have more significant flaws than apparently the

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<v Speaker 3>Seahawks and the Rams and the Packers do both. All

0:12:18.200 --> 0:12:22.160
<v Speaker 3>of those teams, Rams, Packers, Seahawks have defenses that are

0:12:22.160 --> 0:12:25.800
<v Speaker 3>playing at a higher level than Buffalo's is and their

0:12:25.840 --> 0:12:28.600
<v Speaker 3>offenses the Seahawks, Packers, and Rams are playing better than

0:12:28.640 --> 0:12:34.600
<v Speaker 3>the Broncos offense. So those three NFC teams seem more

0:12:34.679 --> 0:12:39.319
<v Speaker 3>well rounded than the either the Bills or the Broncos

0:12:39.360 --> 0:12:42.839
<v Speaker 3>at this point, And at this point I don't know why.

0:12:43.040 --> 0:12:45.800
<v Speaker 3>But at this point I don't know. Perhaps it's because

0:12:45.800 --> 0:12:48.320
<v Speaker 3>of their weak schedule they played. Nobody has that much

0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:51.680
<v Speaker 3>faith in the New England Patriots to overcome a really

0:12:51.679 --> 0:12:56.720
<v Speaker 3>good team. So I think I see why. You know,

0:12:56.800 --> 0:13:00.680
<v Speaker 3>the the NFC teams are given the edge there by far,

0:13:01.040 --> 0:13:06.280
<v Speaker 3>it's because they're more well rounded and those teams have

0:13:06.360 --> 0:13:10.520
<v Speaker 3>been tested more often than the Patriots, the Broncos Patriots

0:13:10.520 --> 0:13:11.160
<v Speaker 3>of the Broncos.

0:13:11.320 --> 0:13:14.040
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I do find it interesting. I almost feel like

0:13:14.920 --> 0:13:17.000
<v Speaker 1>there has been a little bit of a power shift

0:13:17.040 --> 0:13:22.839
<v Speaker 1>between the conferences. The NFC used to be the team

0:13:22.880 --> 0:13:26.000
<v Speaker 1>with one, two, maybe three teams that could realistically get

0:13:26.040 --> 0:13:30.400
<v Speaker 1>to the Super Bowl, and really when you kind of

0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:33.080
<v Speaker 1>got down to brass tacks, you can only see one

0:13:33.200 --> 0:13:35.679
<v Speaker 1>or two maybe, And now I think there's three or

0:13:35.720 --> 0:13:38.719
<v Speaker 1>four players that could legitimately make the Super Bowl on

0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:41.800
<v Speaker 1>the NFC side, and all of them might be stronger

0:13:41.800 --> 0:13:44.920
<v Speaker 1>than whoever represents the AFC, because it seems as though

0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:48.560
<v Speaker 1>the AFC teams, even some of the best ones in

0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:53.280
<v Speaker 1>terms of record, have some flaws, flaws that could cost

0:13:53.320 --> 0:13:57.320
<v Speaker 1>them in the ultimate game. So it just two years

0:13:57.360 --> 0:14:01.280
<v Speaker 1>ago the AFC was the power conference by far, and

0:14:01.320 --> 0:14:04.439
<v Speaker 1>I think we're seeing a shift to some degree. And

0:14:04.760 --> 0:14:08.160
<v Speaker 1>that's what makes it interesting to see the Bills as

0:14:08.200 --> 0:14:10.800
<v Speaker 1>the current sixth seed in the AFC playoff picture with

0:14:10.880 --> 0:14:13.480
<v Speaker 1>some of the best odds among AFC clubs to win

0:14:13.520 --> 0:14:17.000
<v Speaker 1>the whole Enchilada. Does it illustrate to you how wide

0:14:17.000 --> 0:14:19.680
<v Speaker 1>open the AFC seems to be this year.

0:14:20.000 --> 0:14:23.400
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you've got team, and Buffalo is probably as big

0:14:23.440 --> 0:14:26.280
<v Speaker 3>a culprit of this as anybody. They dropped some games

0:14:26.280 --> 0:14:28.880
<v Speaker 3>they shouldn't have dropped, most notably to the Miami Dolphins

0:14:28.880 --> 0:14:31.040
<v Speaker 3>and the New England Patriots. They turned it over three

0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:34.600
<v Speaker 3>times of their own volition. Against the Patriots, Keon just

0:14:34.720 --> 0:14:37.960
<v Speaker 3>drops it inside the fifteen yard line of the Bills.

0:14:38.080 --> 0:14:40.320
<v Speaker 3>It takes away an opportunity for Josh Allen the offense

0:14:40.360 --> 0:14:42.520
<v Speaker 3>to move it and also gives points right away to

0:14:42.560 --> 0:14:44.920
<v Speaker 3>the Patriots, which they take advantage of and the game

0:14:44.920 --> 0:14:47.280
<v Speaker 3>they win in a last second field goal. That kind

0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:50.200
<v Speaker 3>of stuff happened in Miami. The Bills go down and

0:14:50.320 --> 0:14:56.440
<v Speaker 3>absolutely show up flat, did not play well and didn't

0:14:56.440 --> 0:14:59.360
<v Speaker 3>even look like the same team, and lost by double

0:14:59.400 --> 0:15:02.440
<v Speaker 3>digits to a bad Dolphins team, or at least at

0:15:02.480 --> 0:15:07.480
<v Speaker 3>that moment they were bad. So that's why the AFC

0:15:07.640 --> 0:15:09.800
<v Speaker 3>is wide open. You've got teams like Buffalo who just

0:15:10.240 --> 0:15:12.440
<v Speaker 3>can't get it together on a week to week basis.

0:15:12.640 --> 0:15:16.160
<v Speaker 3>Save the New England Patriots, and I still believe there's

0:15:16.160 --> 0:15:19.760
<v Speaker 3>some narrative out there that Drake May is a beneficiary

0:15:19.800 --> 0:15:24.040
<v Speaker 3>of a Josh McDaniel's ability to manipulate an offense from

0:15:24.080 --> 0:15:26.240
<v Speaker 3>the bench with a good with at least a.

0:15:26.200 --> 0:15:29.240
<v Speaker 1>Passion giving on as much pre snap information as possible.

0:15:29.280 --> 0:15:33.040
<v Speaker 3>So he's Josh McDaniels as much deserves as much credit

0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:35.320
<v Speaker 3>as the success of Drake May, as Drake May does

0:15:35.400 --> 0:15:40.200
<v Speaker 3>well in that narrative. So they're not giving Drake May

0:15:40.640 --> 0:15:43.560
<v Speaker 3>the credit for carrying that team with solid play as

0:15:43.560 --> 0:15:46.000
<v Speaker 3>they are other teams. So you take you chop off

0:15:46.000 --> 0:15:48.280
<v Speaker 3>the Patriots, you chop off Josh Allen the Bills because

0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:52.920
<v Speaker 3>they're too inconsistent. That drops everybody down, because the Baltimore

0:15:52.960 --> 0:15:55.520
<v Speaker 3>Ravens are nowhere to be found, the Kansas City Chiefs

0:15:55.560 --> 0:15:57.920
<v Speaker 3>are nowhere to be found.

0:15:58.640 --> 0:16:01.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's a wash more inconsistent than the Bills are.

0:16:01.560 --> 0:16:01.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:16:02.040 --> 0:16:05.200
<v Speaker 3>So you look at the conference that all the the

0:16:05.200 --> 0:16:08.040
<v Speaker 3>most notable teams that we had huge expectations at the

0:16:08.040 --> 0:16:14.360
<v Speaker 3>beginning of the season and they're riding roller coasters. Yeah,

0:16:14.400 --> 0:16:16.880
<v Speaker 3>it's easy to see that the more consistent and well

0:16:16.960 --> 0:16:19.640
<v Speaker 3>rounded teams are in the NFC this year, even if

0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:22.640
<v Speaker 3>their quarterbacks aren't as good, with the exception of Matt Stafford.

0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:26.640
<v Speaker 1>Who's probably the leader in the clubhouse for NFL MVP.

0:16:27.320 --> 0:16:30.000
<v Speaker 1>We turn our attention now to the Numbers game, where

0:16:30.040 --> 0:16:33.480
<v Speaker 1>Steve will be quizzed on Bills playoff history.

0:16:34.040 --> 0:16:38.560
<v Speaker 2>Let's do it. Question number one, there are.

0:16:38.480 --> 0:16:42.760
<v Speaker 1>Three Bills players who hold the record for most interceptions

0:16:42.960 --> 0:16:46.880
<v Speaker 1>in a playoff game. Two of them were your teammates.

0:16:47.400 --> 0:16:50.360
<v Speaker 1>Can you name two of those three Bills players?

0:16:50.400 --> 0:16:52.720
<v Speaker 2>Mark Kelso, it is not Mark.

0:16:54.600 --> 0:16:55.440
<v Speaker 3>Henry Jones.

0:16:55.880 --> 0:17:03.160
<v Speaker 1>It is not Henry Jones.

0:17:05.880 --> 0:17:09.600
<v Speaker 3>Uh, Nate Odams, no one, Nate Well, I have no

0:17:09.680 --> 0:17:10.040
<v Speaker 3>idea that.

0:17:10.200 --> 0:17:13.800
<v Speaker 1>Come on, It's two interceptions. That's the record in a

0:17:13.840 --> 0:17:17.600
<v Speaker 1>single playoff game. Then you think of two teammates who

0:17:17.640 --> 0:17:20.280
<v Speaker 1>had two interceptions in a playoff game.

0:17:20.400 --> 0:17:21.920
<v Speaker 3>Please be no.

0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:27.560
<v Speaker 1>Here.

0:17:27.640 --> 0:17:33.199
<v Speaker 2>You just pull out a roster. Yeah, I thought this

0:17:33.359 --> 0:17:39.600
<v Speaker 2>was going to be a layup. Jeff Burris, not Jeff Burrs.

0:17:40.320 --> 0:17:43.440
<v Speaker 1>So I'll give you the non teammate of yours, which

0:17:43.560 --> 0:17:45.879
<v Speaker 1>I didn't expect you to get because I wouldn't have

0:17:45.880 --> 0:17:49.399
<v Speaker 1>gotten it either, Bill Simpson in nineteen eighty one against

0:17:49.440 --> 0:17:54.639
<v Speaker 1>the Jets. The other one was in nineteen ninety hold

0:17:54.640 --> 0:18:00.879
<v Speaker 1>on against the Raiders. Oh, Darryl Tally, Daryl Talley who

0:18:00.960 --> 0:18:03.679
<v Speaker 1>had two picks there? And the other one was in

0:18:03.760 --> 0:18:12.280
<v Speaker 1>nineteen ninety two against the Chiefs John Hagy.

0:18:13.080 --> 0:18:15.720
<v Speaker 2>It was Kirby Jackson. Oh, who had two.

0:18:15.800 --> 0:18:16.919
<v Speaker 3>I wouldn't have gotten Kirby.

0:18:17.800 --> 0:18:20.680
<v Speaker 2>Good for him, though, good for him. Question number two,

0:18:21.359 --> 0:18:26.919
<v Speaker 2>who has the longest run from scrimmage in team playoff history?

0:18:29.000 --> 0:18:29.639
<v Speaker 3>Josh Allen?

0:18:29.800 --> 0:18:31.800
<v Speaker 2>That is correct. It is Josh Allen.

0:18:31.520 --> 0:18:33.959
<v Speaker 3>Two yards against the Pittsburgh Steelers browning. And I've been

0:18:33.960 --> 0:18:36.360
<v Speaker 3>having the conversation. Everybody was saying, yeah, Josh is forty

0:18:36.400 --> 0:18:38.720
<v Speaker 3>yard touchdown, it's the longest of his career, and we're like, oh, no,

0:18:38.840 --> 0:18:41.520
<v Speaker 3>it's not longest in the regular longest in the regular season.

0:18:41.560 --> 0:18:44.479
<v Speaker 3>But that doesn't That's not his career, So shut up

0:18:44.480 --> 0:18:45.720
<v Speaker 3>with that, Come on, get it right.

0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:51.200
<v Speaker 1>Question number three, who has the most touchdown receptions.

0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:52.960
<v Speaker 2>In a playoff game and team playoff.

0:18:52.560 --> 0:18:54.080
<v Speaker 3>History for the Bill Andre Reid.

0:18:54.960 --> 0:18:55.840
<v Speaker 2>He was incorrect.

0:18:55.840 --> 0:18:58.760
<v Speaker 1>Really he had three in the comeback game. But someone's

0:18:58.760 --> 0:19:02.040
<v Speaker 1>done him one better, Stevie Johnson.

0:19:02.480 --> 0:19:03.399
<v Speaker 2>Not Stevie Johnson.

0:19:03.400 --> 0:19:04.560
<v Speaker 1>He never made the playoffs.

0:19:05.960 --> 0:19:06.440
<v Speaker 2>Poor guy.

0:19:08.119 --> 0:19:11.960
<v Speaker 1>Eric Moles not Eric Moles, although he has the record

0:19:12.000 --> 0:19:14.240
<v Speaker 1>for most receiving yards in a playoff game with two

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:19.040
<v Speaker 1>hundred and forty in Miami at ninety nine wildcard James Lofton.

0:19:19.560 --> 0:19:21.399
<v Speaker 2>Not James Lofton. It's more recent than that.

0:19:21.480 --> 0:19:27.080
<v Speaker 3>Steve oh Oh, Gabe Davis, Gabe Davis four against the

0:19:27.160 --> 0:19:31.080
<v Speaker 3>Chiefs in twenty twenty one. That was dumb. I should

0:19:31.119 --> 0:19:31.439
<v Speaker 3>have got that.

0:19:31.480 --> 0:19:32.119
<v Speaker 2>Don't beat yourself.

0:19:32.200 --> 0:19:33.000
<v Speaker 3>I should have got that.

0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:37.080
<v Speaker 1>And question number four, who has the longest kick return

0:19:37.160 --> 0:19:39.439
<v Speaker 1>in a playoff game in Bill's team history?

0:19:42.160 --> 0:19:42.200
<v Speaker 2>Me?

0:19:43.119 --> 0:19:48.040
<v Speaker 1>That is correct, kids, you sixty seven yards against the

0:19:48.160 --> 0:19:51.440
<v Speaker 1>Raiders that I didn't score on in nineteen ninety four.

0:19:51.760 --> 0:19:54.919
<v Speaker 2>Guy pushed me on, Oh, that's really cold. If I

0:19:54.920 --> 0:19:57.000
<v Speaker 2>could find it, if I could get the ball out,

0:19:57.000 --> 0:19:59.400
<v Speaker 2>I couldn't there. All right, Well, I'm glad you got

0:19:59.400 --> 0:20:02.119
<v Speaker 2>that one. I would have been a little worried. It

0:20:02.200 --> 0:20:03.360
<v Speaker 2>might have been catastrophic.

0:20:03.680 --> 0:20:07.520
<v Speaker 3>Get that one hot, and that one that's you'd had

0:20:07.560 --> 0:20:09.480
<v Speaker 3>to come up with a new buzzer for that one.

0:20:09.600 --> 0:20:10.600
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it would have been.

0:20:10.640 --> 0:20:13.480
<v Speaker 1>I think it might have just been that old trumpet

0:20:13.520 --> 0:20:17.919
<v Speaker 1>wmwomp oh yeah, or a wampwamp. Bill's fans get in

0:20:17.960 --> 0:20:20.359
<v Speaker 1>on the action with FanDuel America's number one sportsbook. Just

0:20:20.400 --> 0:20:22.560
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0:20:22.560 --> 0:20:24.720
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0:20:24.760 --> 0:20:27.240
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0:20:27.280 --> 0:20:30.200
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0:20:30.240 --> 0:20:32.080
<v Speaker 1>partner of the Buffalo Bills.

0:20:32.080 --> 0:20:35.959
<v Speaker 2>Time now for our one burning question.

0:20:36.680 --> 0:20:39.240
<v Speaker 1>We've seen the Bills passing game struggle to get major

0:20:39.280 --> 0:20:41.840
<v Speaker 1>production from their receivers this season, but we have seen

0:20:41.920 --> 0:20:44.960
<v Speaker 1>some big games of late in the passing attack from

0:20:44.960 --> 0:20:48.800
<v Speaker 1>the backs and tight ends. Could making consistent use of

0:20:48.880 --> 0:20:52.560
<v Speaker 1>them in the passing game make Buffalo a more well

0:20:52.680 --> 0:20:55.680
<v Speaker 1>rounded offense down the stretch and into the playoffs.

0:20:55.720 --> 0:20:56.399
<v Speaker 2>Well, absolutely.

0:20:56.800 --> 0:20:59.800
<v Speaker 3>If you've got a group of if that's where you

0:20:59.800 --> 0:21:01.760
<v Speaker 3>want to focus, you're passing game, and you become good

0:21:01.760 --> 0:21:03.760
<v Speaker 3>at it, be good at it.

0:21:03.840 --> 0:21:03.919
<v Speaker 1>Go.

0:21:05.080 --> 0:21:07.080
<v Speaker 3>Teams are going to have to contend with it, and

0:21:07.200 --> 0:21:09.359
<v Speaker 3>they'll come up with new ways, in different ways to

0:21:09.840 --> 0:21:12.600
<v Speaker 3>combat it, and you'll have to have answers, but they

0:21:12.640 --> 0:21:14.679
<v Speaker 3>have to have answers for you. If you're good at it,

0:21:14.720 --> 0:21:17.240
<v Speaker 3>that's what add it to the recipe. You've got to

0:21:17.480 --> 0:21:22.240
<v Speaker 3>use it to win games. And if having haws, knocks

0:21:22.320 --> 0:21:25.560
<v Speaker 3>and kincad on the field a lot more, with two backs,

0:21:25.640 --> 0:21:28.680
<v Speaker 3>one back, whatever the combination it is, you got to

0:21:28.720 --> 0:21:32.000
<v Speaker 3>do it. And this last game certainly showed that if

0:21:32.040 --> 0:21:35.320
<v Speaker 3>you do have a deficiency in covering a certain element

0:21:35.320 --> 0:21:37.880
<v Speaker 3>of an offense, they've got the horses to take advantage

0:21:37.880 --> 0:21:39.720
<v Speaker 3>of it. So yeah, absolutely, and I don't have a

0:21:39.720 --> 0:21:41.879
<v Speaker 3>problem with it at all. No, it doesn't make you

0:21:42.480 --> 0:21:44.800
<v Speaker 3>less of a good offense. It doesn't make nothing. It

0:21:44.800 --> 0:21:47.200
<v Speaker 3>doesn't say anything about your ability to win games. It's

0:21:47.280 --> 0:21:47.760
<v Speaker 3>just different.

0:21:48.320 --> 0:21:51.880
<v Speaker 1>I would like to see now what happened last week

0:21:52.440 --> 0:21:54.919
<v Speaker 1>happened against the defense that is given up more production

0:21:55.000 --> 0:21:56.919
<v Speaker 1>to tight ends than any other team in the league.

0:21:57.560 --> 0:21:59.639
<v Speaker 1>But the backs were involved too. You know, you had

0:21:59.640 --> 0:22:02.400
<v Speaker 1>the lead out passed the cook that went up the sideline,

0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:04.480
<v Speaker 1>set up first in goal, and there was another one

0:22:04.520 --> 0:22:07.679
<v Speaker 1>down the right sideline that unfortunately.

0:22:08.720 --> 0:22:09.800
<v Speaker 2>Came back on a penalty.

0:22:10.080 --> 0:22:14.679
<v Speaker 1>But all that being said, I want to see how

0:22:14.720 --> 0:22:17.560
<v Speaker 1>that approach works against a better defense like New England

0:22:17.560 --> 0:22:20.160
<v Speaker 1>this weekend, for example, Can you have the same tight

0:22:20.280 --> 0:22:22.720
<v Speaker 1>end slash running back success in the passing game against

0:22:22.720 --> 0:22:26.520
<v Speaker 1>the defense that's, you know, a high quality unit like

0:22:26.560 --> 0:22:30.520
<v Speaker 1>the Patriots, similar to what you saw last week against

0:22:30.520 --> 0:22:32.760
<v Speaker 1>the Bengals. They did it against a bad defense. Now

0:22:32.800 --> 0:22:35.880
<v Speaker 1>let's see if it's fruitful against a better, more well

0:22:35.960 --> 0:22:36.639
<v Speaker 1>rounded defense.

0:22:36.640 --> 0:22:39.880
<v Speaker 3>I'll say that it certainly lured the Bills into giving

0:22:39.880 --> 0:22:42.920
<v Speaker 3>it a try. I don't know that there are other

0:22:42.960 --> 0:22:47.080
<v Speaker 3>teams who have tight ends that are as productive as Knox,

0:22:47.160 --> 0:22:50.000
<v Speaker 3>Kincaid and Hawes or versative or yeah, and both in

0:22:50.040 --> 0:22:54.760
<v Speaker 3>the run and the pass. So yeah, I'm saying, let's

0:22:54.840 --> 0:22:56.720
<v Speaker 3>flesh that part of our offense out a little bit.

0:22:56.720 --> 0:22:58.200
<v Speaker 3>See if we can get some more production out of it,

0:22:58.320 --> 0:23:00.800
<v Speaker 3>either splitting those guys out and going in running the

0:23:00.800 --> 0:23:03.439
<v Speaker 3>football out of a condensed formation, or then when they

0:23:03.480 --> 0:23:06.600
<v Speaker 3>start to go heavy, spread them out and match their

0:23:07.720 --> 0:23:10.520
<v Speaker 3>defensive personnel with a little bit more of a spread

0:23:10.720 --> 0:23:12.680
<v Speaker 3>formation if they go heavy.

0:23:12.840 --> 0:23:17.200
<v Speaker 1>Our closing figure deals with touchdown production in the passing game.

0:23:17.520 --> 0:23:21.639
<v Speaker 1>To dovetail off the topic we were just discussing, Shakir,

0:23:22.119 --> 0:23:27.119
<v Speaker 1>Coleman and Shavers have accounted for nine receiving touchdowns this season.

0:23:27.560 --> 0:23:32.159
<v Speaker 1>Dalton Kinkaid, Dawson, Knox, Jackson, Hawes have also accounted for

0:23:32.359 --> 0:23:35.240
<v Speaker 1>nine receiving touchdowns this season, and when you compare those

0:23:35.280 --> 0:23:39.280
<v Speaker 1>three receivers to Buffalo's three tight ends, the Bills tight

0:23:39.359 --> 0:23:42.919
<v Speaker 1>ends have scored the same number of touchdowns on thirty

0:23:43.000 --> 0:23:47.520
<v Speaker 1>five fewer receptions one hundred and five catches for the

0:23:47.520 --> 0:23:51.040
<v Speaker 1>three receivers, just seventy for the tight ends. It makes

0:23:51.080 --> 0:23:57.280
<v Speaker 1>you wonder where Buffalo's highest scoring efficiency might lie going forward.

0:23:57.880 --> 0:23:59.320
<v Speaker 2>Something to think about.

0:23:59.119 --> 0:24:01.639
<v Speaker 3>It is, but I'll say this, it's a function two

0:24:02.000 --> 0:24:04.320
<v Speaker 3>of their ability to move the football on the ground

0:24:04.320 --> 0:24:06.920
<v Speaker 3>efficiently with the running game and stay on the field.

0:24:06.960 --> 0:24:10.280
<v Speaker 3>Their time of possession is still a thing. They still

0:24:10.280 --> 0:24:13.040
<v Speaker 3>possessed the ball a ton, and they get down into

0:24:13.080 --> 0:24:15.879
<v Speaker 3>the red zone a bunch, and that means big targets

0:24:16.359 --> 0:24:20.240
<v Speaker 3>tight windows. We saw this last week two touchdowns to

0:24:20.320 --> 0:24:24.160
<v Speaker 3>the tight ends. Haws and Kincaid. Tight Ends are hard

0:24:24.240 --> 0:24:27.920
<v Speaker 3>to handle down there for smaller dbs, so it makes

0:24:27.960 --> 0:24:29.560
<v Speaker 3>a lot of sense that when they get down there,

0:24:29.880 --> 0:24:31.040
<v Speaker 3>they're throwing to the big guys.

0:24:31.840 --> 0:24:32.439
<v Speaker 2>That'll do it.

0:24:32.480 --> 0:24:35.200
<v Speaker 1>For this episode, be sure to subscribe on whatever podcast

0:24:35.240 --> 0:24:37.639
<v Speaker 1>platform you use so you know when our next episode

0:24:38.200 --> 0:24:41.040
<v Speaker 1>is released, or watch us on the Bills YouTube channel,

0:24:41.040 --> 0:24:42.679
<v Speaker 1>Because when you need to know about the Bills, you

0:24:42.800 --> 0:24:45.560
<v Speaker 1>need to check bills by the numbers, received task around

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<v Speaker 1>Chris Brown, thanks for listening, well, catch you next time.

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<v Speaker 2>Everybody