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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game.

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Speaker 2: Do us proud read a lot? They're all for running again.

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Speaker 2: So smoothe so sweet.

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Speaker 1: Splendid, sixting, just glorious execution.

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Speaker 3: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four

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Speaker 3: thousand percent of the time. How shot with that shop

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Speaker 3: of mind.

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Speaker 1: But buddy, and that's why you see your beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 2: Look at his movements the.

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Speaker 3: Most dangerous amount of the planet.

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Speaker 2: Nobody picture them.

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Speaker 4: Shut up. I'm trying.

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Speaker 1: For all they've left to Wanda, wide eyed, drilled.

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Speaker 2: Piffuge, How old earth pig that happens?

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Speaker 4: Hello everyone, and welcome back to World Cup Edition, a

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Speaker 4: wonderful the soccer betting show from the Action Network. My

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Speaker 4: name is Michael li Eba, joining me as always my friend,

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Speaker 4: my co hosts, my colleagues Anthony de Bundo and BJ Cunningham.

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Speaker 4: But before I bring in those two gentlemen to ti

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Speaker 4: a bo on what has been a marvelous journey through

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Speaker 4: the World Cup, A reminder that wonder goal is presented

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Speaker 4: to you by Bet three six five, the world's favorite

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Speaker 4: sportsbook brand. Sign Up now with promo code Action to

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Speaker 4: get BET three six fives exclusive sign up offer in

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Speaker 4: New Jersey, Colorado. Bet one dollar on any game, get

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Speaker 4: two hundred three BJ Anthony the World Cup finals here

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Speaker 4: and as we all knew it would be two teams.

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Speaker 4: We might have called them frauds half a dozen times

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Speaker 4: throughout this tournament, but that just goes to show you

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Speaker 4: how this goes. Argentina and France will meet Messi versus

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Speaker 4: Babe Graisman versus the world. Argentinas plus one eighty Francis

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Speaker 4: plus one eighty the draws plus two hundred on the

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Speaker 4: three way line. It's a pick them straight, pick them

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Speaker 4: on the two advanced line BJ. This is not how

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Speaker 4: it normally goes. Usually it's you know, we don't see

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Speaker 4: pick thems in tournament finals, and here we are. What

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Speaker 4: do you have to say about the betting odds for

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Speaker 4: Argentina and France.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I would make France ever so slight favorite, actual

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Speaker 1: them and projected at minus one twenty four to lift

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Speaker 1: the trophy. But instead, Michael, I'm gonna go more to

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Speaker 1: the totals market. I like over two goals at minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty. I think both these defenses have shown some

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Speaker 1: vulnerabilities throughout this tournament, and now they have to face

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Speaker 1: you know, these are two of the best attacking teams

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Speaker 1: throughout the world. Obviously have two of the best players

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Speaker 1: in the world as well. But let's first start with Argentina.

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Speaker 1: So what they've done a great job, especially against Croatias.

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Speaker 1: They were able to create a lot of numerical advantages

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Speaker 1: over to one side of the pitch or overloads and

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Speaker 1: essentially the right or to the left side of the pitch,

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Speaker 1: which is allow their fullbacks do a lot of overlapping

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Speaker 1: runs or they're able to switch the play and hit

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Speaker 1: the other fall back in a lot of wide areas.

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Speaker 1: It's why Croaisha I had to go back to a

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Speaker 1: back five to help on the other side of that

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Speaker 1: the pitch to help out with those long balls. And

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Speaker 1: that's great and it's worked in this tournament. But let's

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Speaker 1: be honest, Argentina has had a pretty easy road to

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Speaker 1: get to this final. And if we look at the

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Speaker 1: teams that they've faced, the teams that have scored against them,

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Speaker 1: it's been Australia, it's been Poland, or excuse me, it's

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Speaker 1: been Australia, it's been Saudi Arabia, and it's been the Netherlands.

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Speaker 1: And what are those three teams have in common. They're

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Speaker 1: quick strike, counter attacking teams. The teams that haven't scored

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Speaker 1: against them Mexico, Poland and Croatia are very slow build

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Speaker 1: up style teams. And now we're facing France, who is,

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Speaker 1: like we've said, very very passive, defensively essentially waiting for

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Speaker 1: you to lose the ball and then just quick strike

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Speaker 1: counter attacks and transition.

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Speaker 2: They're the best in the world at doing it. So

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Speaker 2: the fact that.

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Speaker 1: Argentina hasn't seen this yet and if they want to

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Speaker 1: create those type of numerical overloads and bring their fullbacks

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Speaker 1: that far up the pitch, that's going to leave a

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Speaker 1: lot a lot of space for the best player in

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Speaker 1: the world and killing Mbape to work down the flanks

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Speaker 1: and nimble as well on the right side of the pitch,

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Speaker 1: on the flip side.

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Speaker 2: France, I mean, they've looked very, very vulnerable.

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Speaker 1: They allow a lot of space in the middle of

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Speaker 1: the pitch, and especially against Morocco, what you saw is

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Speaker 1: that since France scored early, Morocco said all right, we're

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Speaker 1: going to take more chances, going try to go es

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Speaker 1: centrally through the middle of the pitch.

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Speaker 2: We're not just going to try to swing the.

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Speaker 1: Ball out wide and get it to Ziek or Boofall

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Speaker 1: or Achimi and just use you know, the best players.

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Speaker 1: But we're going to try to go es centilly and

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Speaker 1: it actually worked. They got past the first line of

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Speaker 1: pressure and they pulled France out of position quite a

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Speaker 1: few times, and that's why they are able to create

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Speaker 1: over one expected goal. France has allowed five expected goals

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Speaker 1: throughout the knockout stage. And what has Argentina also done

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Speaker 1: is they pulled Lionel Messi out to be more central

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Speaker 1: in the pitch, and that draws a lot of defenders.

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Speaker 1: You see the photos on Twitter all the time where

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Speaker 1: there's five defenders standing around Messi. Well, what's going to

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Speaker 1: happen if Argentina is able to play through the pitch centrally,

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Speaker 1: which if Morocco was able to do it, I'm pretty

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Speaker 1: sure Argentina's gonna be able to do it as well.

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Speaker 1: So I think both these defenses have some vulnerabilities. These

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Speaker 1: are obviously still two of the best attacking teams in

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Speaker 1: the world, and this is just a really, really really

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Speaker 1: deflated total. I mean only over two at minus one twenty.

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Speaker 1: I get it, like people are gonna say it's a final.

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Speaker 1: It's nervous, it's tense, but what have we seen throughout

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Speaker 1: this World Cup? Once the first col goes in all

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Speaker 1: hell bracelesse. If France scores first year, they're gonna be

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Speaker 1: able to sit back and they're gonna be able to

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Speaker 1: counter with more open space than it would be at

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Speaker 1: an even game state. And if Argentina scores first, well,

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Speaker 1: then France can't play defensive and they actually have to

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Speaker 1: come out and they actually have to do something I'm

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Speaker 1: not comfortable with doing, which is pressing. So I think

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Speaker 1: this game is going to kind of go off the

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Speaker 1: rails once get that first goal. And I do project

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Speaker 1: two point six goals for this game, so I do

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Speaker 1: like the value on over two goals at minus one twenty.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you.

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Speaker 4: I think that this is going to be a little

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Speaker 4: bit back and forth France and Croatia. I think everyone

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Speaker 4: expected I want to be pretty, you know, low scoring

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Speaker 4: the last final and ends up four to two. And

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Speaker 4: I think stylistically I like the advantage for France. That's

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Speaker 4: why I like a bet on France minus one ten

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Speaker 4: to lift the trophy. Think about what where Messi is

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Speaker 4: going to operate. You said it right in the middle

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Speaker 4: of the pitch. Well, Antoine Griesman has been maybe the

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Speaker 4: best player in the tournament. Him and chew AMENI should

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Speaker 4: at least be able to mute him a little bit,

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Speaker 4: to contend with Messi a little bit. And it is

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Speaker 4: oversimplifying it say it's Messi versus Boppe, but on the

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Speaker 4: other hand, like you can get at Argentina on the wings.

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Speaker 4: All due respect to Molina, but you know, I think

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Speaker 4: would all say that Mbope should have the advantage there,

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Speaker 4: and even on the other side too, like Dumbele and

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Speaker 4: and Boppe being able to stretch the pitch and and

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Speaker 4: Dheru to be able to work in the middle. Like

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Speaker 4: I think that the stylistic advantage is all kind of

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Speaker 4: point to France in a really tight matchup. So when

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Speaker 4: you're trying to figure out the margins are so fine,

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Speaker 4: so you're trying to figure out where can I Why

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Speaker 4: should I bet France? I think it's it's like styles

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Speaker 4: make fights kind of argument where they should be able

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Speaker 4: to contend with Messi. They should be able to win

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Speaker 4: the battle in the midfield, or at least battle in

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Speaker 4: the midfield with him, and out wide there's gonna be

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Speaker 4: a ton of success. I think for Imbab, for Indiballe,

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Speaker 4: they should be able to get the ball into the middle.

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Speaker 4: For for Jiu, I like both both of these teams.

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Speaker 4: I think the defenses are are wash. That we've seen

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Speaker 4: that they both can.

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Speaker 2: Get at, we get at.

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Speaker 4: Like you said that, the path for Argentine has been

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Speaker 4: very kind, very very kind. Uh. And the only teams

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Speaker 4: you know, when we've talked about their wobbles, it's been

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Speaker 4: they had a major one against Saudi Arabia, they got

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Speaker 4: the ball behind the defense. They had a major wobble

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Speaker 4: against the Netherlands, same thing like once they started to

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Speaker 4: try to attack and get up the back line of Argentina,

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Speaker 4: that had success. So I just don't think they've seen

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Speaker 4: an attack like this yet. They haven't seen a player

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Speaker 4: like in Bape yet. I would like to, you know,

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Speaker 4: needle this Argentina defense one more time and take my

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Speaker 4: medicine once again against this team, Anthony. I think the

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Speaker 4: only game I didn't bet against Argentina in this entire

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Speaker 4: tournament the opener Saudi Arabia. What do you have to

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Speaker 4: say here, Argentina France to win it all.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I've kind of been going back and forth on

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Speaker 5: the game itself, and I kind of think, you know,

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Speaker 5: Argentina has probably the edge as this game progresses, because

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Speaker 5: I think they have more depth and they do have the.

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Speaker 3: Slightly better defense. But I certainly agree.

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Speaker 5: I mean, both these defenses coming to this tournament a

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Speaker 5: little bit overrated, and they've both played to that at

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Speaker 5: this point and so far. And Bja mentioned the two

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Speaker 5: point six projected goals, the total sitting at two, and

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Speaker 5: you're kind of getting the World Cup Final tax that

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Speaker 5: gets applied to a match like this where both managers

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Speaker 5: don't want to lose, both managers, both teams are going

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Speaker 5: to play more conservatively, conservatively than would a normal match.

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Speaker 5: But I think there's avenue success for both of these attacks.

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Speaker 5: And for Argentina it's the fact that they're going to

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Speaker 5: have a ton of possession. France is gonna let them

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Speaker 5: have the ball, and that is a very dangerous situation

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Speaker 5: if you're gonna let Argentina has progressed the ball into

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Speaker 5: the final third and let Messi get touches out just

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Speaker 5: outside the penalty area. And if you look back at

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Speaker 5: who France has played, you could even go to somebody

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Speaker 5: like Onahi from Morocco Zielinski from.

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Speaker 3: Poland, Jude Bellingham for England.

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Speaker 5: All of those players were able to find a ton

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Speaker 5: of space just outside of the penalty area, and none

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Speaker 5: of those players are anywhere near the quality of Lionel Messi,

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Speaker 5: so I think that Argentina attack will be very effective.

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Speaker 5: Also in Boppe, not doing any defensive work on the

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Speaker 5: left means that Di Maria Messi and you know, whether

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Speaker 5: it's a Kuna overlapping on the right or whoever they

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Speaker 5: end up putting over there, should be able to create

201
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Speaker 5: similar overloads up the French left against Tayo Hernandez, which

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Speaker 5: I think is another avenue for Argentina to have success.

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Speaker 5: We saw Onnahi Ziek and Hakimi causing a ton of

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Speaker 5: problems for France there until tam came on for Drew

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Speaker 5: and then he was doing more defensive work and kind

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Speaker 5: of filled that hole. I think that's an area where

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Speaker 5: Argentina has a major advantage going forward. But like you

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Speaker 5: guys said, Argentina has not faced an attack of the

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Speaker 5: quality of this France team. I mean, look at their games.

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Speaker 5: I mean they played the Croatia side that really hadn't

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Speaker 5: looked great at all going forward this entire tournament, had

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Speaker 5: one impressive showing against Canada, but hadn't really created much.

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Speaker 5: A lot of what they had done was good defending

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Speaker 5: and last ditch defending the Dutch who created nothing for

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Speaker 5: an hour, but the Dutch who also looked pretty lackluster

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Speaker 5: in every match this tournament except for the match against

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Speaker 5: the United States, of course. And then you know, even

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Speaker 5: to the group stage, Poland to Mexico, two teams that

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Speaker 5: we were not particularly high on coming into this group. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 5: they're conceding two to Saudi Arabia, So there are red

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Speaker 5: flags for Argentina here. And I just think that both

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Speaker 5: defenses are overvalued. And I've been saying that all tournament.

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Speaker 5: France has been conceding goals, Argentina has been conceding goals.

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Speaker 5: I still think it's a little too low, so I'm

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Speaker 5: gonna play over to with DJ. And I also like

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Speaker 5: both teams to score again. I really felt like Morocco

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Speaker 5: should have got one in Wednesday's semi final, and still

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Speaker 5: not sure how they didn't score against this French defense.

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Speaker 3: But the holes will.

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Speaker 5: Get exposed again, and like Michael said, one goal sends

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Speaker 5: everything in the hey chaos of course it could be

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Speaker 5: zero zero for an hour, but I think there's gonna

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Speaker 5: be a lot of high event chances in this match

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Speaker 5: at both ends.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's a good live betting game for

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Speaker 4: an over two as well, because you know those first

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Speaker 4: fifteen to twenty minutes come by and is zero zero.

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Speaker 4: Everyone's gonna just assume that this thing's going to be

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Speaker 4: a one first first to score wins and like we've

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Speaker 4: been saying all tournament, these knockout games, they just get

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Speaker 4: thrown it to chaos as soon as one finds the

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Speaker 4: back of the net. And I mean that even happened

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Speaker 4: in France and Morocco. France goes ahead, and sure Morocco

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Speaker 4: doesn't score or France doesn't get another one till much later,

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Speaker 4: but there were chances and both at both ends. So

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Speaker 4: just another thing to keep in mind. And of course

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Speaker 4: we have to wrap up World Cup coverage with the

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Speaker 4: third place match bone Vyage to Morocco to Croatia. But

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Speaker 4: before we sell them off into the sunset, they'll meet

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Speaker 4: for the bronze medal. Croatia is plus one thirty five

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Speaker 4: on the three way line, Morocco two to one. The

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Speaker 4: draws plus two forty to lift the medal. To lift

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Speaker 4: the bronze medal, Croatia minus one thirty eight Morocco plus

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Speaker 4: one ten. Let's real quick about this one, BJ. What

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Speaker 4: are your thoughts here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean we have a rematch, right.

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Speaker 1: This is a second straight World Cup where we've had

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Speaker 1: a rematch from a group stage in the third place match,

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Speaker 1: and this match had a whole lot of nothing going

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Speaker 1: on on it. It was very early in the morning,

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Speaker 1: so I'm guessing that many people saw it, but it

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Speaker 1: was a zero zero draw. There was only point nine

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Speaker 1: expectacles total, created twenty nine penalty box touches and five

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Speaker 1: shots in the penalty box. And in that match, Morocco

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Speaker 1: did not look like the Moroccan team that we've seen

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Speaker 1: throughout the knockout stage.

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Speaker 2: They were very poor in their build up play.

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Speaker 1: They actually had a couple high turnovers that where Kroasha

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Speaker 1: actually created their biggest chances. Outside of that, Kroasha didn't

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Speaker 1: really do much. What they really tried to do was

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Speaker 1: get the ball in between the lines against Morocco and

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Speaker 1: then get the ball out wide.

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Speaker 2: And that's fine.

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Speaker 1: But Croatia, like we've seen throughout this World Cup, they

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Speaker 1: just don't have guys who can just dribble, pass defenders

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Speaker 1: and go create chances. And so if Morocco is going

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Speaker 1: to sit back and play very very compact once again,

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Speaker 1: I find it very hard to believe that Croatia is

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Speaker 1: going to create a ton of chances. And I mean

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Speaker 1: they're the kings of expect not turn to not turning

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Speaker 1: final third possession into any type of chance. I mean,

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Speaker 1: in this match, they had a one point two to

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Speaker 1: five expected threat and they only were able to get

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Speaker 1: point five expected goals off of it. Morocco, I mean,

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Speaker 1: what they're going to do, what they did in the

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Speaker 1: first one, is they just they lived on the wings.

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Speaker 1: They got the ball to Masarawi and a Kimmi and

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Speaker 1: twenty five of their twenty six entries into the final

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Speaker 1: third came from the wide flanks. So they're probably going

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Speaker 1: to do something like that once again. But I mean,

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Speaker 1: let's be honest. Morocco has created over one expected gole

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Speaker 1: in two matches throughout this entire tournament, so they haven't

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Speaker 1: and the best offense, so this total and the both

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Speaker 1: team to score is very very inflated. So I like

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Speaker 1: bolt team to score No. Which is currently sitting up

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty five. I do projected at minus one

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Speaker 1: oh five, so I get it like the stakes aren't

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Speaker 1: as high, so teams might play a little bit more open,

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Speaker 1: But I don't buy that. I think third place actually

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Speaker 1: matters to both of these teams. So I think we

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Speaker 1: just get in a nice inflated total from a match

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Speaker 1: we already saw where really nothing happens.

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Speaker 2: So I like bolteam to score No. A plus one

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Speaker 2: twenty five.

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Speaker 4: How can you not bet Morocco one last time? We

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Speaker 4: can't let them get away from that betting it again.

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Speaker 4: I like them on the three way line plus two hundred.

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Speaker 4: I think a lot of people will buy into the

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Speaker 4: narrative that the game means more to Morocco than it

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Speaker 4: does to Croatia. I know that you can make an

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Speaker 4: argument this is it for Modrich and Parisitch, and they'll

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Speaker 4: want to win one last one for themselves, for the Giffer,

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Speaker 4: for the Gipper, for the Gaffer, for the Gipper, whatever

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Speaker 4: you want to say. But I mean, this would be

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Speaker 4: the first time, it's already been the first time we've

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Speaker 4: seen an African and Arab country into the semi finals.

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Speaker 4: This would be the first time one wins a medal

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Speaker 4: at the World Cup. This Morocco team, there's something about

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Speaker 4: it there, you know, very cohesive unit. Their manager, I

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Speaker 4: think is a pretty good motivator. So we can buy

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Speaker 4: into all that narrative. But we can also say that

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Speaker 4: Morocco has been the better team in this tournament, but

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Speaker 4: than Croatia, and I don't know if it's particularly close.

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Speaker 4: You look at what they did in the I mean,

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Speaker 4: Morocco won the group that they were both in. They

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Speaker 4: did draw, but it was the first match. Then all

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Speaker 4: of a sudden, Morocco was shot out of a cannon.

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Speaker 4: And they will think about the path that they went

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Speaker 4: through compared we just talked about the Argentina path. Morocco

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Speaker 4: to get to the semi final. Belgium, Croatia, Canada, Spain,

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Speaker 4: Portugal and they got to the semi final and then

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Speaker 4: they gave France all hell like this is a This

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Speaker 4: was a really good team and I just don't see

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Speaker 4: them wilting in a in a mattress because it's a

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Speaker 4: third place match. I think Morocco is the better team.

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Speaker 4: There's more to play for here. We will, you know,

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Speaker 4: be very sad when Luka Modris hangs up the checkered

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Speaker 4: shirt for the last time. But it really seems like

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Speaker 4: a banger and just a reminder that the money that

340
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Speaker 4: you win on the third place match betting on Morocco

341
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Speaker 4: will be just as green as the money that you

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Speaker 4: win following Anthony's both team to score in the World

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Speaker 4: Cup final. Anthony the Atlas Lions one last time, right, Yeah.

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Speaker 5: It's got to be you know, going back to the

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Speaker 5: first match of this tournament, the first show we did,

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Speaker 5: we talked about how I mentioned Morocco is my best

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Speaker 5: bet against Croatia. Remember that line, Croatia was minus one ten.

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Speaker 5: Now they're plus one thirty. So you are getting a

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Speaker 5: pretty solid adjustment in the market.

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Speaker 3: To how good Morocco has been.

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Speaker 5: But I'm not sure it's gone far enough because you

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Speaker 5: talked about Croati's path again, we are about two or

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Speaker 5: three Lukaku sitters away from them not even getting out

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Speaker 5: of the group. In Belgium advancing, we were a very

355
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Speaker 5: poor finishing display and a heroic goalkeeping display by Brazil

356
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Speaker 5: and Lavakovich from them being out in the quarterfinals. And

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Speaker 5: then you know, you mentioned the semifinals. But if you

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Speaker 5: think France and Argentina are even teams and yes, the

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Speaker 5: stylistic matchup is different if you think they're even teams.

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Speaker 5: The Argentina Croatian match with a hell of a lot

361
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Speaker 5: less competitive than the Morocco and France match, where Morocco

362
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Speaker 5: looked like they were very close to getting back into it.

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Speaker 5: Croatia never looked like they had a real chance to score.

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Speaker 5: So I think that there's a clear evidence that Morocco

365
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Speaker 5: is the better team. They're the one question mark and

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Speaker 5: the one concern that I have. Morocco players were getting injured.

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Speaker 5: Masarai went off, a guard went off, so I went off.

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Speaker 5: So we're gonna look at a pretty makeshift back line

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Speaker 5: for the Moroccans. But again, Croatia is not the team

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Speaker 5: to really exploit them, to really test them with elite

371
00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:40,880
Speaker 5: attacking play, and Croatia is the kings of defensive possession,

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Speaker 5: the kings of keeping the ball and doing nothing with

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Speaker 5: it and having the ball, and so this won't be

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Speaker 5: quite like Morocco France, where Morocco actually had the majority

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Speaker 5: of the possession, which is something we talked about.

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Speaker 3: This will be more like traditional Morocco.

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Speaker 5: We're gonna sit deep, We're gonna let you have the ball,

378
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Speaker 5: We're gonna look the counter, but I just think this

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Speaker 5: Croatian defense continues to be overrated and hasn't been very

380
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Speaker 5: good alter tournament, and I think that they could get

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Speaker 5: exposed here.

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Speaker 3: So I agree higher variance game. I'll take Morocco as well.

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Speaker 4: All right, So BJ is on the over in Argentina

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Speaker 4: and France, Anthony both teams to score.

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Speaker 3: I like France.

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Speaker 4: Then BJ's on the under in the third place match,

387
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Speaker 4: Anthony on Morocco, and that's how we'll leave it.

388
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Speaker 3: Anthony, you can find if you can find possession props.

389
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Speaker 5: I love Argentina overs in the in the final, and

390
00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:27,640
Speaker 5: also a good live betting opportunity. Whoever goes down look

391
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Speaker 5: to play the other team coming back. I don't trust

392
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Speaker 5: either of these defenses holding a lead against pressure, and

393
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Speaker 5: I think there could be some problems for both both

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Speaker 5: defenses in that situation.

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Speaker 4: A nice little party gifts for Anthony going into the

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Speaker 4: holiday season. Yeah, that wraps up our World Cup coverage.

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Speaker 2: It's been a blast.

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Speaker 4: I won't say it's been pain free. It's been a

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Speaker 4: lot of pain. But we thank you for watching and

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Speaker 4: listening along this whole time, and we will see you

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Speaker 4: again back on the Wonder Gool Podcast channel back to

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Speaker 4: our regularly programmed Wonder Goal Podcast for a Boxing Day

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Speaker 4: episode that will come out on Thursday, December the twenty second,

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Speaker 4: and we'll preview the return of the Premier League the

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Speaker 4: day after Christmas. Except for b J Cuningham and Anthony

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Speaker 4: dubundo I, Michel Leebof wishing you happy holidays, happy World

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Speaker 4: Cup Final day and we will see you before Boxing Day.

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Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

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Speaker 5: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

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Speaker 5: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler