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Speaker 1: The Volume. All right, welcome to Hoops Tonight. Here at

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Speaker 1: the Volume, Happy Tuesday, everybody. Round one coverage of the

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Speaker 1: NBA Playoffs Here on Hoops Tonight is brought to you

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Speaker 1: by Chase Freedom Unlimited. How do you cash back? So

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Speaker 1: last night, like I promised, I didn't get a chance

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Speaker 1: to break down keat Bucks, and I wanted to kind

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Speaker 1: of rewatch the film to see if there was anything

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Speaker 1: specific that stood out to me that was problematic for

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Speaker 1: the Bucks. Got a chance to do that this morning.

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Speaker 1: So this morning, we're just gonna focus on the current

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Speaker 1: predicament that the number one overall seed the Milwaukee Bucks

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Speaker 1: find themselves in, as well as Jimmy Butler and yet

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Speaker 1: another magnificent playoff performance, you guys know the Joe before

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Speaker 1: we get started. Subscribe to the Volumes YouTube channel so

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Speaker 1: you don't miss any more of our videos. Follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at Underscore Jason LT. And for whatever reason

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Speaker 1: you guys miss these shows and you can't get back

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Speaker 1: over to YouTube to finish, don't forget. You can find

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Speaker 1: them wherever you get your podcasts. Under Hoops Tonight, all right,

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Speaker 1: let's talk some basketball. So you know I have these

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Speaker 1: overarching basketball philosophies that I talked about a lot on

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Speaker 1: the show and one of the big ones, and you

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Speaker 1: guys have probably seen this in the way that I

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Speaker 1: rank players. But generally speaking, when I've ranked players, like

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Speaker 1: in our big player rankings that we did this summer,

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Speaker 1: I've had centers pretty far down the list. Right Like,

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Speaker 1: I got a lot of people mad at me because

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Speaker 1: I had jokitchen Embiid at seven and eight on my

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Speaker 1: list this summer, although I probably have both of them

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Speaker 1: a little higher now, But there's a reason why I

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Speaker 1: felt that way. Most of the guards around the league

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Speaker 1: I have pretty far down my list, with exception of

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Speaker 1: Steph Curry, who's literally the biggest guard anomaly in NBA history.

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Speaker 1: When you're ranking all time great NBA players, it's a

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Speaker 1: bunch of Fords and centers, and Steph Curry he's the

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Speaker 1: outlier that kind of proves the rules, so to speak.

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Speaker 1: But the guys that I typically have at the top

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Speaker 1: of the list typically are bigger, stronger players that are

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Speaker 1: either that either have a physical advantage in height or

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Speaker 1: a physical advantage in strength, that can score from every

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Speaker 1: spot on the floor, can do so on and off

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Speaker 1: the ball, and can create shots for their teammates consistently.

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Speaker 1: That's always the type of player that I have up there.

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Speaker 1: That's why I've always thought very highly of Lebron James,

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Speaker 1: That's why I've always thought very highly of Luka Doncic.

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Speaker 1: That's why I've thought very highly of Kevin Durant over

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Speaker 1: the years. That's why I've always thought very highly of

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Speaker 1: Giannis and Tenna Komba. That specific archetype of player has

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Speaker 1: always been the guy that I think is most valuable

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Speaker 1: in the NBA, especially when you get to the postseason.

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Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler is an interesting kind of case study on

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Speaker 1: that conversation because, for whatever reason, he's never been considered

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Speaker 1: in that as schalon and it really just comes down

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Speaker 1: to regular season production. Like Jimmy made a joke last night,

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Speaker 1: He's like, you know, playoff Jimmy's not really a thing.

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Speaker 1: I'd just be hooping. Well, yeah, but there's a gap.

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Speaker 1: The reality is is Jimmy goes from being somewhere around

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Speaker 1: the fifteenth best player in the league during the regular season,

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Speaker 1: and then you put him in a playoff series and

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Speaker 1: he can play just as well as the best players

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Speaker 1: in the league. That was an unbelievable performance last night,

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Speaker 1: one of the best playoff performances I have ever seen.

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Speaker 1: I have to really think about it to rank that

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Speaker 1: sort of thing. Maybe that's something we could do over

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Speaker 1: the summer. But for whatever reason, like that's just a

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Speaker 1: level that he can reach at that stage that a

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Speaker 1: lot of his peers can't. And like I said, it's

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Speaker 1: not the first time. I think he had two forty

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Speaker 1: point games in the twenty twenty NBA Finals last year

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Speaker 1: against the Celtics and the Conference finals, had a bunch

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Speaker 1: of big games surrounded by some bad games, but he

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Speaker 1: was dealing with some injuries, but he had some big games,

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Speaker 1: including having a three that could have sent them to

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Speaker 1: the NBA Finals. Now, if you ask me, Jason, why

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Speaker 1: is it that you think that Jimmy is able to

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Speaker 1: elevate his game on this stage in a way that

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Speaker 1: some of his peers can't. I think generally speaking, that

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Speaker 1: archetype of player has success elevating their game. I think

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Speaker 1: you consistently see the Luka Doncic types, the Lebron James types,

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Speaker 1: the Kevin Durant types, the Giannis types, the Kawhi Leonards,

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Speaker 1: the Jimmy Butler's, those big forwards that have a great

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Speaker 1: mix of offensive skill in playmaking and physical advantages. You

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Speaker 1: see that player go up level because that is the

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Speaker 1: most valuable. And there's bunch of specific reasons why. First

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Speaker 1: of all, it is much more difficult to account for

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Speaker 1: a star player from the standpoint of defensive attention with

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Speaker 1: a live dribble twenty five feet from the basket than

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Speaker 1: it is operating closer to the rim, where everything's generally

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Speaker 1: more contested. Point being, it's easier to double a yokic

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Speaker 1: or an embid effectively than it is to do so

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Speaker 1: with a guy with a live dribble operating from the perimeter.

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Speaker 1: And when you combine the act that he can hit

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Speaker 1: pull up jump shots, and like, here's the deal, Like

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Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler shot twenty eight percent on pull up threes

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Speaker 1: this year, and generally speaking in his career, that's been

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Speaker 1: a shot he's been super inefficient at. But like he

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Speaker 1: just has the ability to I don't through sheer force

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Speaker 1: of will. Maybe I don't know, but for whatever reason,

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Speaker 1: he just suddenly has the ability to knock that type

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Speaker 1: of shot down when the stage is big as that

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Speaker 1: specific jump shooting dynamic kind of reminds me of Dwayne Wade.

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Speaker 1: Dwayne Wade was another guy that was a really inconsistent

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Speaker 1: jump shooter, but man in big playoff games, he always

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Speaker 1: just seemed to make some big ones. I think confidence

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Speaker 1: is a huge part of jump shooting, and I think

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Speaker 1: guys like that that are filled with an unwavering sense

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Speaker 1: of confidence seem to be in a rhythm more frequently

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Speaker 1: than other players do. And confidence is a big part

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Speaker 1: of rhythm. But for whatever reason, they're just able to

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Speaker 1: dig down and make those shots. And why that's important

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Speaker 1: is again, like, what makes Jimmy Butler such a devastating

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Speaker 1: playoff player, in my opinion, is a combination of a

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Speaker 1: bunch of factors. One, he has legitimate three level scoring

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Speaker 1: on that stage. Regardless of whether or not he has

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Speaker 1: it in the regular season, he has it on this stage.

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Speaker 1: He can hit pull up threes off the bounce. He

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Speaker 1: can hit jab step threes when you play off of him,

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Speaker 1: when he gets lower in pick and roll, he can

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Speaker 1: hit pull up fifteen footers. He can hit floaters in

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Speaker 1: the lane. He can finish in traffic at the rim.

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Speaker 1: He can draw fouls effectively. You put a smaller defender

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Speaker 1: on him, he can put Drew Holliday on his backside

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Speaker 1: and back him down and hit post up fadeaways over

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Speaker 1: both shoulders or hook shots over both shoulders. He's got

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Speaker 1: great footwork. He can play off the ball in transition,

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Speaker 1: ducins under the rim. He's got a lot of that.

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Speaker 1: Lebron James like, oh, I got a smaller defender on me,

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Speaker 1: let me just duck in real quick and call for

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Speaker 1: the basketball. I'm gonna get a basket or a foul.

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Speaker 1: And then when you combine that with his playmaking, which

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Speaker 1: has always been a super underrated element of his skill set,

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Speaker 1: it suddenly turns him into one of the most effective

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Speaker 1: playoff players that we have in the league. He's also

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Speaker 1: just a big, strong athlete. Generally speaking, players that thrive

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Speaker 1: in physicality end up going up a level when we

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Speaker 1: get to the postseason. I don't know. I think it's

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Speaker 1: a coincidence that Austin Reeves, for instance, is succeeding in

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Speaker 1: the postseason. He's a player that plays with a great

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Speaker 1: deal of physicality in the regular season. Lebron James and

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Speaker 1: Anthony Davis big strong athletes, their skill sets have almost

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Speaker 1: completely abandoned them in this playoff series. When it comes

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Speaker 1: down to jump shooting and beating people off the dribble

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Speaker 1: and things like that. But they're just big and strong

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Speaker 1: and they can have a great deal of impact there.

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Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler is a player that thrives in physicality, so

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Speaker 1: his impact goes up a level. I don't know why

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Speaker 1: it is that it's not there in the regular season.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if it's just and for the record,

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Speaker 1: Jimmy's a great regular season player. He's just not you know,

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Speaker 1: twenty seven to seven and seven, which is generally what

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Speaker 1: you get from the other big ford superstars in the league.

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Speaker 1: He's just a tier below that in the regular season,

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Speaker 1: which is going to perpetually keep him in that ten

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Speaker 1: to fifteen range. For the record, there's some legitimacy to

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Speaker 1: that fact, like him being that type of kind of

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Speaker 1: coast a little bit in the regular season type of

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Speaker 1: player actually does lead to seating issues and you know,

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Speaker 1: putting yourself in a predicament where you have to go

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Speaker 1: on the road to Milwaukee in the first round to

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Speaker 1: try to win a series. Now, mind you, there was

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Speaker 1: a lot going on from a roster construct standpoint with Miami,

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Speaker 1: but he's not the floor raising eighty two game MVP

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Speaker 1: level superstar. But then you put him in a playoff

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Speaker 1: series and he can play just as well as those guys.

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Speaker 1: This is no longer just a coincidence. This is no

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Speaker 1: longer oh, he got hot a couple of times. This

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Speaker 1: is a career resume now from Jimmy Butler, of him

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Speaker 1: going up a level and being one of the most

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Speaker 1: devastating playoff players in the league. I had so much

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Speaker 1: fun watching him last night. It kind of felt somewhat

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Speaker 1: of a crowning achievement, so to speak, and the best

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Speaker 1: way other than winning a championship. And he may never

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Speaker 1: win a championship, especially if he can't find himself on

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Speaker 1: a roster with a little bit more talent. But this

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Speaker 1: is a big part of why, you know, as much

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Speaker 1: as winning is the ultimate goal and it should be

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Speaker 1: the framework with which we evaluate these guys. The at

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Speaker 1: the end of the day, Jimmy is a winner. He's

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Speaker 1: every bit as much of a winner as some of

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Speaker 1: the guys around the league that do have championships, and

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Speaker 1: I hope he gets credit for that. Looking at the

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Speaker 1: series in particular, you know, I said before Game four,

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Speaker 1: I said that I didn't think there was any reason

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Speaker 1: to worry for Milwaukee until Giannis, for whatever reason, had

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Speaker 1: to miss a game, and then they announced he's gonna

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Speaker 1: play in game four, and now they're legitimately is a

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Speaker 1: reason to worry. Not because I don't think Milwaukee's the

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Speaker 1: better team. I still think Milwaukee's a better team. It's

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Speaker 1: just the reality of their predicament now that their margin

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Speaker 1: for error is gone. This is what happened in this series.

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Speaker 1: The Giannis goes down with an injury in Game one,

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee kind of is flattened. As a result, they lose.

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Speaker 1: Then without Yanis, they beat the shit out of the

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Speaker 1: Heat in game two, Game three. Mike Budenholzer in the staff,

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Speaker 1: I would imagine look around and they said, hey, we

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Speaker 1: can beat them without Yannis. Let's buy him some extra rest,

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Speaker 1: let's go play. But you end up losing. Okay whatever,

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Speaker 1: Giannis comes back, They're up twelve with six minutes left

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Speaker 1: on the road. The Bucks played more than well enough

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Speaker 1: to win this game. Now here's the thing, and this

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Speaker 1: is the reality of what happens when you make a

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Speaker 1: decision like sitting Yannis in game three, you cut into

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Speaker 1: your margin for air. Why is margin for air important?

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Speaker 1: Because in basketball games, any sort of variance can happen.

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Speaker 1: Right For instance, in that fourth quarter run, I watched

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Speaker 1: it again this morning. They're up twelve. You know, Miami

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Speaker 1: made a lot of characteristically difficult shots. The run started.

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Speaker 1: Bam Adepayo hits a pull up jump shot. That's you know,

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Speaker 1: Bam Aebio is not typically a guy that you expect

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Speaker 1: to just dribble up the floor and beat you off

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Speaker 1: the dribble and make a jump shot. But he did

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Speaker 1: good for the band. Very next possession, another pull up

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Speaker 1: jump shot from Jimmy Butler. Now, there was one tactical

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Speaker 1: thing that was hurting Miami that will or that was

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Speaker 1: hurting Milwaukee that will get to in a second, where

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Speaker 1: they got a couple of really good looks on specifically

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Speaker 1: an and one from Jimmy Butler. And then there was

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Speaker 1: another play where he got downhill. I can't remember exactly

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Speaker 1: what it was, but I think he finished at the

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Speaker 1: rim twice during that stretch against this specific tactical issue

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Speaker 1: for Milwaukee that we'll talk about in a second. But

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Speaker 1: outside of that, it was all pull up jump shots.

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Speaker 1: Jimmy pull up jump at the foul line, Bam pull

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Speaker 1: up jumper at the foul line, Caleb Martin a contested

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Speaker 1: jab step three in the corner with Giannis's hand in

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Speaker 1: his face, and then Jimmy Butler, who shot twenty eight

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Speaker 1: percent on pull up threes this year, makes back to

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Speaker 1: back highly difficult pull up threes off the bounce. That's

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Speaker 1: what look chances are, same shot diet, you probably win,

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Speaker 1: right Like Jannis missed a short, little hook shot in

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Speaker 1: the lane in the final minute when they were down

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Speaker 1: one that would have given them the lead. Yan has

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Speaker 1: just missed it. You know that shot missed, and Jimmy

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Speaker 1: made pull up threes again. That's where the margin for

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Speaker 1: error comes in. You have to account for the fact

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Speaker 1: that on any given night, the other team can just

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Speaker 1: make some shots that they don't normally make, and you

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Speaker 1: can miss some shots that you normally make, and you

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Speaker 1: can lose. I'm not trying to take credit away from Miami.

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Speaker 1: They earned that win. My point is is like they

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Speaker 1: also shot above their shot quality down the stretch. For

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Speaker 1: forty two minutes. Milwaukee was clearly the better team in

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Speaker 1: Miami's home arena, and they were up twelve, and normally,

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Speaker 1: if you're up three to zero or you're up two

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Speaker 1: to one. You drive home and you're like, nah, they

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Speaker 1: got us. You know they beat us. Congratulations. You know,

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Speaker 1: you build margin for error by having a lead in

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Speaker 1: the series. My favorite example of this from last year

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Speaker 1: was Bucke or Heat Celtics. If you guys remember the

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Speaker 1: Celtics went into Miami beat the Heat in game five,

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Speaker 1: so they bought themselves a three to two lead. Game

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Speaker 1: six was this crazy bam ad a Bio game. Remember

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Speaker 1: I think he had thirty something and bam Ade Bio like,

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Speaker 1: say what you want about him. He's not the guy

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Speaker 1: that goes and gets you thirty. He's just not. But

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Speaker 1: he went and got thirty in game six, and the

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Speaker 1: Heat stole a game. But because they had a lead,

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Speaker 1: they bought themselves the margin for air to weather that storm,

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Speaker 1: and then they went into Miami and beat them in

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Speaker 1: game seven. That's kind of the way I see this

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Speaker 1: sort of thing. You went down to one, and then

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Speaker 1: you got the crazy pull up shooting Jimmy Butler game,

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Speaker 1: which was always on the table, and now you're down

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Speaker 1: three to one. Now as of right now, the Bucks

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Speaker 1: are an eleven point favorite, I think in game five,

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Speaker 1: so they're probably gonna win This is why I said,

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Speaker 1: like last night, I was gonna be looking at FanDuel

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Speaker 1: odds for when for whether or not Milwaukee can win

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Speaker 1: the series, because like it really is as simple. You

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Speaker 1: go home and you beat the Heat, which you're gonna

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Speaker 1: be a double digit favit, you are a double digit favorite.

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Speaker 1: You should win that game, right, So now it's three

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Speaker 1: to two. Then you go back to Miami and you're

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Speaker 1: probably gonna be a four or five point favorite in

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Speaker 1: that game. That doesn't mean you can't win. That's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a difficult or that doesn't mean you're going to win.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be a very difficult game. But if Milwaukee

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Speaker 1: goes into Miami in Game six and plays Milwaukee Bucks

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Speaker 1: basket for forty eight minutes, they should win. They have

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Speaker 1: more talent. Not only does this Miami team have is

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Speaker 1: not only is this Miami team devoid of size, but

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Speaker 1: they're down two additional shot creators in Tyler Harrow and

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Speaker 1: Victor Oladipo. Now, they've been getting a lot of contributions elsewhere.

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Speaker 1: We talked about the Caleb Martin shot. Kyle Lowry was

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Speaker 1: freaking outrageous defensively down the stretch of this game containing

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Speaker 1: Chris Middleton switching on to Drew Holliday to get a

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Speaker 1: key strip and stop at the end. Like, I didn't

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Speaker 1: think Milwaukee's offense was that bad down the stretch. They

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Speaker 1: really did get good looks. The only two plays I

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Speaker 1: didn't like was the play where Drew Holliday isolated Kyle

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Speaker 1: Lowry and got stripped, and then there was another play

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Speaker 1: where they turned it over at the half court line

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Speaker 1: when Jimmy got the dunk to put them up one.

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Speaker 1: Other than that, Milwaukee ran pretty damn good offense down

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Speaker 1: the stretch. But Chris Middleton missed two pull up jump

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Speaker 1: shots that are like good looks for him, like higher

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Speaker 1: percentage shots for him than some of the pull up

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Speaker 1: jumpers that Miami made. There was a wide open three

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Speaker 1: for Pat Connaton in the left corner on a kickout

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Speaker 1: I believe from Giannis if I remember correctly, that was

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Speaker 1: dead on and just rattled in and out. You know,

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00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:12,720
Speaker 1: Giannis misses the little hook shot in the lane. The

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00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:17,520
Speaker 1: Bucks played well. They just lost, which is something that

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Speaker 1: can happen in any one game sample size. But I

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00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:22,840
Speaker 1: was looking at I was like, okay, if this is

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Speaker 1: if they got If the Bucks become a significant underdog.

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Speaker 1: I'd like to bet them, because it's just I would

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Speaker 1: put the odds of this series at about a coin

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Speaker 1: flip right now. I think there's about a fifty percent

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Speaker 1: chance that Miami wins one of the next two games,

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Speaker 1: and I think there's about a fifty percent chance that

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Speaker 1: the Bucks just win three straight. So if I could

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Speaker 1: find the odds to make that a worthwhile bet, I

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Speaker 1: would take it. But it turns out I think Milwaukee's

315
00:16:46,640 --> 00:16:49,080
Speaker 1: only like plus one twenty, which is pretty close to

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00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,880
Speaker 1: a coin flip anyway, and not really a good enough

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00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:54,880
Speaker 1: number in my opinion to bet. But it's not over

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Speaker 1: for the Bucks, however. They are now at a point

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Speaker 1: where they have absolutely zero margin for air. They absolutely

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Speaker 1: have to play forty eight minutes forty eight minutes forty

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Speaker 1: eight minutes of championship level Bucks basketball because now they

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Speaker 1: cannot afford to be beaten by variants. They need to

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Speaker 1: play ten to fifteen points better than the heat every

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Speaker 1: night to avoid whatever could crazy could happen. One last

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Speaker 1: thing I wanted to talk about was the Jimmy Butler problem.

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Speaker 1: So we did a show yesterday in the morning, our

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Speaker 1: Chase three points segment where we talked about the key

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Speaker 1: adjustments for a bunch of these series, and the main

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Speaker 1: one that I talked about was for this series was

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Speaker 1: Giannis has to guard Jimmy. He, like Drew Holliday, is

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Speaker 1: simply not bothering him. They started running a Jimmy was

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Speaker 1: really trying to attack Chris Middleton, and one of the

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Speaker 1: tactical things that I didn't like was like, Okay, yeah,

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Speaker 1: Chris Middleton is going to struggle a little bit in

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Speaker 1: that matchup compared to Drew. Like There was a play

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Speaker 1: where they got a switch down the stretch where Jimmy

337
00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:04,919
Speaker 1: drove into Chris Middleton's chest and drew a foul and

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00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:06,520
Speaker 1: made it got an had one, but it was a

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00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:10,880
Speaker 1: tough shot and at least it was heavily contested and

340
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Speaker 1: against their set defense. There were two additional plays down

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Speaker 1: the stretch where they tried to hedge and recover and

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00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:20,600
Speaker 1: as a result they gave up driving lanes. There was

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Speaker 1: one where on the left wing where Jimmy calls for

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00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:29,479
Speaker 1: the ball screen, gets Chris Middleton to hedge out, and

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Speaker 1: then as Chris Middleton is recovering, he runs into Drew

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Speaker 1: Holiday and Jimmy gets a clear driving lane to the

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Speaker 1: left and makes a kickout pass to Caleb Martin on

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Speaker 1: the right wing, who had just made a three, and

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Speaker 1: he makes a three. It's a wide open three for

350
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Speaker 1: a shooter that was in rhythm and hot, specifically because

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Speaker 1: they tried to hedge and recover with Chris Middleton and

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Speaker 1: instead of just switching and having Jimmy have to actually

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Speaker 1: beat Chris Middleton off the dribble, he got a wide

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Speaker 1: open driving lane because Chris botched the hedge and recover

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Speaker 1: and Drew ran into it on the first pull up

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Speaker 1: three that Jimmy Butler made, same thing Chris Middleton brought

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Speaker 1: up into the screen. He hedges in that gap between

358
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Speaker 1: when he's recovering and before Drew Holliday can come up.

359
00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:13,479
Speaker 1: Jimmy steps into a pretty good look from three at

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Speaker 1: the top of the key, so he's having plenty of

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Speaker 1: success against Drew. Everything that he's doing with Drew to

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Speaker 1: attack Chris is causing problems. Get Giannis involved. He's wasted elsewhere.

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Speaker 1: Jimmy is not being bothered by Giannis and help at all.

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Speaker 1: But maybe, just maybe, if you have Giannis just hawk

365
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Speaker 1: him all game long, you can slow him down. The

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Speaker 1: dude's shooting like sixty percent in the series, and nobody

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Speaker 1: on your roster can guard him except for the guy

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Speaker 1: that I think might be the best defensive player in

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Speaker 1: the league, which is Yannis. You gotta try. Yeah, it's

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Speaker 1: a lot to ask. Yeah, he's hurt, clearly heard. I

371
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Speaker 1: had a lot of Heat fans in my comments yesterday, like, oh,

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Speaker 1: you said, there's no chance the Heat can beat if

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Speaker 1: Yannis plays every game in this series. They're up three

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Speaker 1: to one right now. That's that's just a fact in

375
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Speaker 1: my opinion. Like, Yah, Yannis when he's healthy on the

376
00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:18,199
Speaker 1: Bucks in particular, makes them way better than the Heat.

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Speaker 1: Credit to the Heat, credit to Jimmy. I'm not trying

378
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Speaker 1: to take away from it at all. In general, the

379
00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:25,560
Speaker 1: playoffs are a war of attrition. It's about who survives it.

380
00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:27,400
Speaker 1: Saw Nick Wright on Fox Sports the other day talking

381
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Speaker 1: about how, you know, oh, the Warriors have been so

382
00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:33,800
Speaker 1: lucky with injuries. I mean, yeah, they've had some luck.

383
00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:36,880
Speaker 1: But like every NBA Finals is a war of attrition,

384
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Speaker 1: it just simply is. The Celtics made it to the

385
00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:42,280
Speaker 1: finals last year in large part because Chris Middleton was

386
00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:46,520
Speaker 1: gone in the Milwaukee Bucks series, that's just what happened, Right,

387
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:49,840
Speaker 1: The Warriors got to play a Nuggets team down two

388
00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:53,960
Speaker 1: of their top three players, Like it's it's part of

389
00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:58,119
Speaker 1: the deal. The year before, in twenty twenty one, the

390
00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:01,640
Speaker 1: Milwaukee Bucks got a lot of injury luck along the way.

391
00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:05,520
Speaker 1: That's that's just what happened. They got to play a

392
00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:08,880
Speaker 1: really flawed Suns team in the finals. In twenty twenty,

393
00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:13,800
Speaker 1: the Lakers Steph Curry, Kevin Durant on their couches not playing.

394
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:19,200
Speaker 1: Bam Adebayo hurts his shoulder. Goran Drodgits pulls his groin

395
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:21,200
Speaker 1: or whatever. I think it was plantar fasci itis. I

396
00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:22,960
Speaker 1: can't remember exactly what it is, but he had an injury,

397
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Speaker 1: like every year, twenty nineteen, Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson get hurt,

398
00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:32,520
Speaker 1: twenty eighteen, Chris Paul gets hurt twenty seventeen, Kawhi Leonard

399
00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:36,600
Speaker 1: gets hurt twenty sixteen. Like it's just it's a war

400
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,840
Speaker 1: of attrition. So I'm not trying to take away from

401
00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:42,600
Speaker 1: what Miami did, but like, my prediction was based on

402
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:45,920
Speaker 1: the fact that Giannis would play the series and be healthy.

403
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:49,880
Speaker 1: But it's it's not over. I'd say, like I said,

404
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:52,080
Speaker 1: I'm thinking it's about a fifty to fifty shot right now.

405
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 1: If I had to gun to my head pick, I'm

406
00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 1: gonna stick with the Bucks. But just because I haven't

407
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:01,560
Speaker 1: seen anything specifically skimly that leads me to believe that

408
00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:05,040
Speaker 1: Miami's better, they just they just they wield themselves to

409
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,520
Speaker 1: a big win yesterday. It reminds me a little bit

410
00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:09,440
Speaker 1: of the two thousand and six series between the Suns

411
00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:13,480
Speaker 1: and the Lakers, where through four games, Kobe's clearly the

412
00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:15,840
Speaker 1: best player, just like Jimmy's been clearly the best player

413
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:19,000
Speaker 1: through four games, and through heroics by Kobe Bryant in

414
00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:21,680
Speaker 1: Game four and heroics by Jimmy Butler in Game four,

415
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:24,639
Speaker 1: they take a three to one lead. But you know

416
00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:26,879
Speaker 1: what happened. The Sun's won game five, and then they

417
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:29,399
Speaker 1: won Game six, and then they won game seven, and

418
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:31,040
Speaker 1: that's certainly on the table for the Bucks. It's not

419
00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:33,680
Speaker 1: a lot of Bucks fans like saying, ship everyone off.

420
00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:36,240
Speaker 1: Only Giannis gets to stay. Time to mix up the roster,

421
00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:38,160
Speaker 1: and this roster has some flaws. They're a little bit old,

422
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,639
Speaker 1: they're a little bit slow, but they're also huge, outstanding

423
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:44,440
Speaker 1: defensively and have a pretty decent amount of offensive skill,

424
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:47,440
Speaker 1: and there is no team around the league that is perfect,

425
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:50,440
Speaker 1: so the grass isn't always greener. On the other side,

426
00:22:50,480 --> 00:22:52,159
Speaker 1: you might make a bunch of roster shifts and be

427
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:55,840
Speaker 1: a worst team next year. This is not over. The

428
00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,359
Speaker 1: Bucks are still in this. But credit to Jimmy, credits

429
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 1: to the heat. Like I said in that last playing game,

430
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:07,320
Speaker 1: was it against Chicago. I think I was rooting for

431
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:10,239
Speaker 1: Miami to win because I thought they would give a

432
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:13,679
Speaker 1: better fight till Milwaukee, and they certainly have lived up

433
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:15,960
Speaker 1: to that. All right, guys, that's all I have for today.

434
00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,880
Speaker 1: We are all three games tonight are double digit favorites.

435
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:23,040
Speaker 1: I just actually placed a little moneyline parlay on all three.

436
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,639
Speaker 1: I think it pays out like one to two, So

437
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:29,240
Speaker 1: you know, you bet ten dollars, you get five back.

438
00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:33,080
Speaker 1: I just did those games. I think I think you'll

439
00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:36,800
Speaker 1: see Atlanta, in particular, will fold. The Clippers just simply

440
00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:40,720
Speaker 1: don't have enough offensive skill. Minnesota. Denver's the one that's

441
00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:42,880
Speaker 1: kind of up in the air because in the last

442
00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:46,960
Speaker 1: in Game four and in Game two, Minnesota gave Denver

443
00:23:47,040 --> 00:23:49,280
Speaker 1: a lot of issues, so they certainly have a chance.

444
00:23:49,320 --> 00:23:51,920
Speaker 1: But this is a long grind, and we're trying to

445
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 1: find handfuls of, you know, a night here, a night

446
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:57,160
Speaker 1: there where I can actually hang out with my wife

447
00:23:57,200 --> 00:23:59,400
Speaker 1: a little bit. So we're going to take tonight off

448
00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 1: and then we will be back for just a wild

449
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:06,800
Speaker 1: slate of games on Wednesday night. As always, I sincerely

450
00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 1: appreciate you guys, and I'll see you on Wednesday. The

451
00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:30,600
Speaker 1: volume