1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,760 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. 2 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:05,760 Speaker 2: All right, here we go. 3 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:13,400 Speaker 1: Every pitch is your pitch, The greatest show on dirt. 4 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:26,880 Speaker 2: Deep te Pael play back that God Show. Now they 5 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 2: can add college baseball to their trophy case and welcome 6 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 2: to the Big Bets on Campus College Baseball Edition. Officially 7 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:40,960 Speaker 2: second week into the postseason. With the Super Regionals coming up, 8 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:46,199 Speaker 2: we have shaved sixty four teams down to sixteen, and 9 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 2: I am joined by my podcast partner, as always, Brad 10 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:54,080 Speaker 2: Audraine at Real Brad Audrain, who was an animal last week. 11 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 2: Took Go miss, he took Arkansas. He took so many 12 00:00:57,840 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 2: winners last week. I couldn't even keep up with it. 13 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 2: I'm over here with a coastal and a Grand Canyon 14 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 2: trying to play long shot. Nice tarted by Coastal there 15 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:07,280 Speaker 2: in the end, but I didn't get there. Brad, you 16 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 2: are red hot. What is your take besides your hot 17 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:14,760 Speaker 2: take on what Stillwater Umpire crew was, what's your what's 18 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:16,400 Speaker 2: your big take from the regional weekend? 19 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 1: You know, the more postseason college baseball that I watch 20 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 1: over the years, you realize that they just throw teams 21 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:28,640 Speaker 1: under the bus man. You get a you get a Miami. 22 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:32,280 Speaker 1: Who who's got an Arizona and Old Miss in their bracket? 23 00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: Who who may both have been better than Miami. Actually, 24 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 1: but Miami played Virginia Tech and you and Seymour times 25 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:45,920 Speaker 1: they you know, it could just be difficult, but it was. 26 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,000 Speaker 1: It was a lot of fun. There were there were 27 00:01:48,040 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 1: There are a lot of good teams out there. It 28 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:54,880 Speaker 1: was fun watching Southern Miss win and and move on 29 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 1: even past LSU. I missed on Auburn, you know I didn't. 30 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:01,920 Speaker 1: I didn't pick all SEC teams. I know anybody that's 31 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 1: up there listing probably thinks all I do is pick 32 00:02:04,160 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 1: SEC teams. But I didn't get the OU over Florida. 33 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 1: That made me feel good too, But man, it's hard. 34 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 1: They're hard to pick. And the teams that can bat 35 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: and pitch and play defense, as we've said every every week, 36 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 1: they're the ones that continue moving on because it takes 37 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:23,640 Speaker 1: all three. You know, it's not just one. He can't 38 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:26,040 Speaker 1: can't get away with just one. Even even if you're 39 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:28,960 Speaker 1: the best in the country at hitting, you have to 40 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: be able to pitch otherwise you're gonna run into another 41 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 1: offensive juggernaut. At some point. 42 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:35,520 Speaker 2: I think everybody should be aware of that. I mean, 43 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 2: last weekend was just an offensive bonanza, especially in Stillwater. 44 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:42,239 Speaker 2: The razorback bats finally woke up. But then again, I 45 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 2: could say the same thing about Missouri State, who had 46 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 2: Oklahoma State down ten to zero before Oklahoma State came 47 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:48,960 Speaker 2: back and won that game in a game that I 48 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 2: think forty nine runs were scored, So. 49 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 1: He was twelve. That's neither here or there. They still 50 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:55,799 Speaker 1: kill twelve another. 51 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, but I think, you know, I think totals, 52 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 2: I've already seen the open lines for the Friday Saturday 53 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 2: games that are starting. Totals are really down. They're probably 54 00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:07,280 Speaker 2: going to take a lot of oversteam. In my opinion, 55 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:10,079 Speaker 2: I think pitching is going to be at a premium 56 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 2: this weekend, so there could be some sneaky unders in here. 57 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 2: So let's talk about the Super Regionals real quick. There's 58 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 2: eight of them. There's sixteen teams. In case you're unfamiliar 59 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 2: with what happens, it's a best two out of three. 60 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 2: This thing could be done in two games. It's not 61 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 2: going to be the marathon that last week was. Yes, 62 00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:30,240 Speaker 2: every game was five six hours long. I felt like 63 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:31,959 Speaker 2: I was on like a James Bond T and T 64 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 2: marathon run or it's a certain Thanksgiving when I was 65 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 2: in college. But no, this weekend, two games, it could 66 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:41,160 Speaker 2: be over best two out of three, and there's only 67 00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 2: eight super regionals, and we're going to start off with 68 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 2: the top team in the nation. Of course, the Tennessee volunteers, 69 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 2: who I can't tell you, Brad how hard I was 70 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 2: cheering for Campbell taking a lead. Put a little bit 71 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 2: of scare on them in game two. I can't tell 72 00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 2: you how much I was shocked that Georgia Tech had 73 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 2: a lead. But ultimately in the end Tennessee scored ten 74 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 2: runs and the top of the ninth through two games 75 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:07,840 Speaker 2: to come back and win those games, making them a 76 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:10,920 Speaker 2: great live bet. Now they're taking on a Notre Dame 77 00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 2: team that, frankly was anchored by John Michael bertrand he 78 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:17,280 Speaker 2: was their game one starter. He closed in the last 79 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:20,279 Speaker 2: game for them. Notre Dame has nobody else to pitch 80 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:23,919 Speaker 2: besides John Michael Bertrand I know Notre Dame was playing 81 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 2: with a chip on their shoulder last week after not 82 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:29,280 Speaker 2: getting a regional. This number, I know it opened up 83 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:32,920 Speaker 2: around minus you know, three forty ish. I think that 84 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:35,720 Speaker 2: that is an extremely low line because when you look 85 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:37,520 Speaker 2: at Tennessee as a whole, no matter if they throw 86 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 2: Tidwell or Burns or Dollander, it doesn't matter who they throw, 87 00:04:41,160 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 2: they have an advantage. John Bertrand is the only Notre 88 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:47,159 Speaker 2: Dame pitcher that maybe can hang with Tennessee's pitching staff. 89 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:49,120 Speaker 2: And then when you look at the hitting, realize that 90 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 2: Notre Dame scored only eleven runs in three games last week. Brad, 91 00:04:52,760 --> 00:04:54,680 Speaker 2: I don't think this is going to fly. I think 92 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:57,000 Speaker 2: this number should be way over the three hundreds. I 93 00:04:57,040 --> 00:04:59,360 Speaker 2: would still buy it at minus four hundred, minus five hundred, 94 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:01,080 Speaker 2: and I think if you can find a prop on 95 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:03,160 Speaker 2: Tennessee to win two oh minus one and a half 96 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 2: for the series, I think you should take it. Do 97 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 2: you have any differing opinions on that? 98 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 1: I'm throwing in right now. I'm gonna try to get 99 00:05:09,640 --> 00:05:14,599 Speaker 1: a couple three gay parlays going, and I'm definitely rolling 100 00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:17,280 Speaker 1: with minus one and a half minus one fifty five 101 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:21,039 Speaker 1: for Tennessee. You know one and a half runs. Have 102 00:05:21,120 --> 00:05:22,920 Speaker 1: they ever won a game by one run? I don't 103 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:27,160 Speaker 1: you know. Maybe I recall no off it didn't be 104 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:31,400 Speaker 1: kimble about one, but but no, they've Notre Dame. They 105 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:35,320 Speaker 1: showed up last weekend in a very soft regional and 106 00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:37,479 Speaker 1: they didn't get their own. Basically, the n C Double 107 00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:43,159 Speaker 1: A gave them, gave they hosted away from home. So yeah, no, 108 00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:46,760 Speaker 1: Tennessee's gonna take this one. And I don't think they 109 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:49,599 Speaker 1: like the Irish over there in Knoxville anyways. So yeah, 110 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:53,679 Speaker 1: you know, have there. They're gonna be mean and angry 111 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:56,359 Speaker 1: and it'll be a fun series to watch. But I 112 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:58,680 Speaker 1: think Tennessee probably probably win that one in two. 113 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:01,159 Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know, I'm looking at the odds right now. 114 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:03,599 Speaker 2: DraftKings got them up first. It opened up about minus 115 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 2: three forty on Notre Dame, I believe. I sent out 116 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 2: a tweet and I said, yeah, I'd buy that price. 117 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 2: That's up to minus four hundred. As we're recording here 118 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:12,600 Speaker 2: on a Wednesday. I expect that thing to probably at 119 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:14,919 Speaker 2: the minus five hundred by the time this series starts. 120 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:18,040 Speaker 2: If you wanted to bet under two and a half 121 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:20,839 Speaker 2: total games in this series, it would be minus one seventy. 122 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 2: So there is your prop right there. If you don't 123 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 2: think Notre Dame can win a game, I don't think 124 00:06:25,960 --> 00:06:30,160 Speaker 2: they can. Brad doesn't think that they can plus one fifty. 125 00:06:30,240 --> 00:06:32,080 Speaker 2: You and I talked about this while we were in 126 00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:35,080 Speaker 2: the Cosmo months ago. Tennessee is now back to plus 127 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:38,040 Speaker 2: one fifty to win the College World Series. We're still 128 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 2: not biting on that, right, correct me if I'm wrong. 129 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 2: The strength of schedule that's outside the top fifty, I 130 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:45,680 Speaker 2: think showed up when Campbell and Georgia Tech gave them 131 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:47,440 Speaker 2: some You know, I know, Tennessee came back, but at 132 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:50,640 Speaker 2: least they showed that Tennessee can bleed. Right, the Von 133 00:06:50,760 --> 00:06:52,279 Speaker 2: Drago is bleeding, don't you think? 134 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:57,600 Speaker 1: I mean they can bleed. Here's the deal. It's baseball, 135 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 1: so not always at baseball, but it's eighteen year olds 136 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:06,280 Speaker 1: playing baseball. So there's no guarantees in this game. And 137 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 1: as we've as we've seen one number one overall seed, 138 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:13,920 Speaker 1: there is one in Omaha in the last twenty years 139 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:18,160 Speaker 1: or something. So I'm not guaranteeing that Tennessee is, you know, 140 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 1: gonna take this thing and sweep everybody all the way 141 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:25,119 Speaker 1: to the end. However, I don't believe in Notre Dame. 142 00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 1: If Notre Dame had hosted at home and they had 143 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:31,920 Speaker 1: hosted a team like Arkansas as opposed to Oklahoma State, 144 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 1: and I'm just using Arkansas as an example, but let 145 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:36,800 Speaker 1: me go through here. You know, if they had hosted 146 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:41,800 Speaker 1: at East Carolina or hosted an Old miss or a 147 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:44,320 Speaker 1: Stanford or Connecticut, I think Notre Dame would have lost 148 00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:47,320 Speaker 1: that series as well. So so yeah, I don't think 149 00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:50,560 Speaker 1: that they're the team to knock them out. But yes, 150 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 1: Tennessee is capable of being beat and you catch them 151 00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 1: on the right day. 152 00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:58,640 Speaker 2: Absolutely yeah, So we'll keep our eyes wep, but it's 153 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:01,040 Speaker 2: not going to happen this weekend. So Brad and I 154 00:08:01,080 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 2: both love under two and a half total games minus 155 00:08:03,840 --> 00:08:06,920 Speaker 2: one seventy here and by the way, the opening lines, 156 00:08:06,960 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 2: the Friday night lines on this series have opened, and 157 00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 2: Tennessee is minus three hundred. We don't know if it's 158 00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:13,840 Speaker 2: Blade Tidwell, we don't know if it's going to be Burns, Dollander, 159 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 2: Drew Beam. It doesn't matter. That number should not be 160 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:18,200 Speaker 2: minus three hundred. It should be up around minus four 161 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 2: to fifty or higher. We're going to pivot over to 162 00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 2: the Greenville super Regional. This is the nine and number 163 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:29,920 Speaker 2: nine Texas going to number eight East Carolina. Of course, 164 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:33,520 Speaker 2: the winner of this will be slotted in Omaha against Tennessee. 165 00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 2: As we project Brad To me, this is a pretty 166 00:08:38,160 --> 00:08:42,320 Speaker 2: easy handicap in my opinion. Pete Hansen is always the 167 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:45,360 Speaker 2: first pitcher for Texas on Friday, Lucas Gordon is going 168 00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 2: to be the picture on Saturday, and if they have 169 00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:51,200 Speaker 2: to go to their third options for whoever, Game three 170 00:08:51,240 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 2: is going to be, that is where East Carolina can 171 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:57,120 Speaker 2: beat them. So the handicap for me on this was, Hey, 172 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:00,320 Speaker 2: East Carolina is offense one hundred ninety six than on 173 00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:02,920 Speaker 2: base one hundred and fifteenth and slugging outside the top 174 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:06,439 Speaker 2: one hundred homers per nine. Yeah, they got through last weekend. 175 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:09,319 Speaker 2: Let's remember this is a program that's making their seventh 176 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 2: super Regional in program history and they've never made it 177 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:15,160 Speaker 2: to Omaha. And I don't think that they can beat Texas. 178 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 2: Texas didn't even sweat last weekend. I would be shocked 179 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:21,559 Speaker 2: if this thing got to a third game. I project 180 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 2: Pete Hansen for Texas to be about minus three forty. 181 00:09:25,000 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 2: I project Lucas Gordon on Saturday, I'd be about minus 182 00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 2: two twenty against CJ. Mayhew of East Carolina. Brad Am, 183 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 2: I just is there too much Longhorn love that I 184 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:35,040 Speaker 2: got going on here. A team that's going to be 185 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 2: a future SEC team here. I just can't get over 186 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 2: the fact they're top five and slugging, and they moved 187 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 2: into the top position in the nation in defensive field percentage. 188 00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 2: I think this is the long Horns all the way, Colin. 189 00:09:46,720 --> 00:09:51,839 Speaker 1: I think this is Texas's series. East Carolina has been 190 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:55,880 Speaker 1: a good story they I mean, they looked good last weekend. 191 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:58,360 Speaker 1: It was a battle with Coastal, but I gotta go 192 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 1: Long Horns. Texas tried and true. Give me that a 193 00:10:03,000 --> 00:10:06,120 Speaker 1: long time program. They're not going to be scared about 194 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:08,720 Speaker 1: being on the road. I can't even figure out why 195 00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 1: they're on the road, you know, I think Vince double A, 196 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 1: I don't know why they see this thing. However the 197 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:18,800 Speaker 1: hell they want to because there's no repercussions. There's nobody, 198 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 1: you know, in basketball or whatever. You got big conferences 199 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:26,320 Speaker 1: coming down on them saying, hey, look, you know, we're 200 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:29,280 Speaker 1: not going to support you anymore if you keep screwing 201 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 1: around in Cuba. But in baseball, nobody gives a shit, 202 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 1: so they just kind of carry on. It's crazy. 203 00:10:36,760 --> 00:10:40,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, some of these regions last weekend were overloaded with talents, 204 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:42,960 Speaker 2: some of them were pretty empty. I think the one 205 00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:45,520 Speaker 2: thing you want to look out for with East Carolina 206 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:48,760 Speaker 2: is the pitch count on Carter Spivey. He's easily their 207 00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:50,680 Speaker 2: blue guy out of the bullpen. He came in through 208 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:55,000 Speaker 2: five innings and just lit up the scoreboard. I would 209 00:10:55,000 --> 00:10:57,800 Speaker 2: just keep an eye on when Carter Spivey because if 210 00:10:57,840 --> 00:11:01,480 Speaker 2: they use him more than say seventy to eighty pitches 211 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 2: and Friday or Saturday, and they do make it to Saturday, 212 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:07,000 Speaker 2: that's gonna be tough. So but this is Texas all 213 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 2: the way for us. Minus one seventy is still on 214 00:11:09,559 --> 00:11:12,079 Speaker 2: the board as we record this. If you you know, 215 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 2: I'm gonna have a peace out on Action Network that 216 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:17,720 Speaker 2: projects all the starting pitcher matchups that gets translated into 217 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:20,079 Speaker 2: a series price, and my series price on this is 218 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 2: Texas minus two forty. So go out there and buy 219 00:11:22,840 --> 00:11:25,120 Speaker 2: yourself some long horns. We're gonna stay in the state 220 00:11:25,160 --> 00:11:28,439 Speaker 2: of Texas. We're gonna move into the five to twelve matchup. 221 00:11:28,600 --> 00:11:31,040 Speaker 2: Twelve always beats the five, right, Get Texas A and 222 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:34,920 Speaker 2: m as the host with Brad States is a stadium 223 00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:38,240 Speaker 2: that seats thirty five people. They're gonna take on Louisville 224 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:41,040 Speaker 2: from the ACC and you know, let me talk about 225 00:11:41,040 --> 00:11:43,040 Speaker 2: the pitching matchups here. We're gonna start on Friday, Garrett 226 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:46,040 Speaker 2: Smeltz gonna start for Louisville against Micah Dallas, the fifth 227 00:11:46,120 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 2: year transfer coming in for A and M. I've got 228 00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:52,079 Speaker 2: that line at minus one ten Saturday, Nathan Detmer of 229 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 2: Texas A and M against Jared Polden of Louisville. I've 230 00:11:54,040 --> 00:11:57,400 Speaker 2: got that Louisville minus one thirty. Sunday, Carson Lagette for 231 00:11:57,440 --> 00:12:00,199 Speaker 2: Louisville against Ryan Prager of Texas A and M. I've 232 00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:02,120 Speaker 2: got that Texas A and M minus one oh five. Brad, 233 00:12:02,160 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 2: I don't have a single one of these games projected 234 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:06,640 Speaker 2: out of minus one thirty. You know, this is a 235 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:08,520 Speaker 2: thing where I think it's a coin flip all the way. 236 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:12,000 Speaker 2: Series price for me projects to be a coin flip. 237 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 2: So I want to take the plus money on the board. 238 00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:17,280 Speaker 2: That plus money right now is Louisville at plus one twenty. 239 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 2: They were plus one ten. A and M has taking 240 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:21,920 Speaker 2: some steam since I wrote my article yesterday. You have 241 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 2: an opinion on this because Louisville can hit lights out. 242 00:12:25,400 --> 00:12:27,080 Speaker 2: I'm not sure if Texas A and M. I had 243 00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:29,839 Speaker 2: a neutral site, would have in a firepower on offense 244 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:30,200 Speaker 2: to hang. 245 00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:34,600 Speaker 1: If this series was being played at Louisville, I might 246 00:12:34,760 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 1: roll with Louisville. But I did watch Louisville play a 247 00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:42,520 Speaker 1: lot of baseball against Virginia Tech, and I think I 248 00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:45,440 Speaker 1: saw him play one of their series. You know, it's 249 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:47,600 Speaker 1: a hard one. It's probably the best matchup on the 250 00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:50,079 Speaker 1: board this week, to be honest with you. That also, 251 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:53,280 Speaker 1: I mean I guess ouv Tech and Arkansas you'd see 252 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 1: are good as well, And so it's old miss. There's 253 00:12:55,440 --> 00:12:58,080 Speaker 1: a lot of good baseball this weekend, but this is 254 00:12:58,120 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 1: one where you've got a very good team out of 255 00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 1: the ACC and a very good team out of the SEC. 256 00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 1: And there's about drastic differences. I mean all three of 257 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:12,480 Speaker 1: these pitchers for both squads, I mean they could all throw. 258 00:13:12,720 --> 00:13:15,600 Speaker 1: So as far as betting goes, this is a very 259 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:18,560 Speaker 1: difficult one. If you can get anything at a good price, 260 00:13:19,200 --> 00:13:22,600 Speaker 1: take it. The opening line for Friday Night's game for 261 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:26,160 Speaker 1: Louisville plus one thirty five A and M minus one 262 00:13:26,240 --> 00:13:31,119 Speaker 1: seventy five. So clearly it has jumped for the original discussion, 263 00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:34,319 Speaker 1: Probably Louisville's the bet there, But I truly think man 264 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:40,160 Speaker 1: with that at home. That stadium, I've never said thirty 265 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:42,319 Speaker 1: five maybe I said it seems like it seats thirty 266 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:45,960 Speaker 1: five hundred, But they're the loudest thirty five hundred people. Now, 267 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 1: I think it's like eight thousand or something, seven thousand, 268 00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 1: but it they are very loud, and it's not a 269 00:13:55,040 --> 00:13:58,040 Speaker 1: fun place to play. So Louisville probably hadn't seen that 270 00:13:58,160 --> 00:14:00,800 Speaker 1: yet all season. I know, how do they think they've 271 00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:03,520 Speaker 1: been in some real battles with v Tech and you 272 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:05,719 Speaker 1: and CED whatever else. But let me tell you. You 273 00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:08,120 Speaker 1: know they thought they were in trouble with Miami, but no, 274 00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:11,840 Speaker 1: this is not Alex Rodriguez Ballpark. Blue Belt means business 275 00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:16,560 Speaker 1: and those guys are allowed. So you know, better bring 276 00:14:16,559 --> 00:14:20,240 Speaker 1: your big boy pants, Cardinals, because it's going to get 277 00:14:20,280 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 1: serious there. 278 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:23,720 Speaker 2: So if you're playing just numbers alone and you don't 279 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:25,720 Speaker 2: care about stats, or you don't care about narrative, you 280 00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:28,680 Speaker 2: don't care about home field advantage, Louisville plus one ten 281 00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:31,240 Speaker 2: has a little bit of value. I think plus one 282 00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:33,280 Speaker 2: twenty is out there too. If you want to know 283 00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:35,800 Speaker 2: how tight this series is going to be. The over 284 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:38,040 Speaker 2: under on two and a half games in this series 285 00:14:38,120 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 2: is evenly lyned at minus one fifteen on both sides, 286 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:44,120 Speaker 2: so Vegas doesn't even you know, I'm sorry, oddsmakers don't 287 00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 2: even know. It's a coin flip on whether this thing 288 00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:48,760 Speaker 2: goes three games. If there's an X factor in this 289 00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:51,520 Speaker 2: and you're looking to bet on Sunday, that name is 290 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 2: Jacob palaceh for Texas A and M. I mean, he's 291 00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:55,520 Speaker 2: the one that's come in and just been lights out 292 00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:56,480 Speaker 2: for them out of the bullpen. 293 00:14:57,600 --> 00:15:01,000 Speaker 1: He's every night about A and M. Is if they 294 00:15:01,040 --> 00:15:04,320 Speaker 1: have one bad outing from a pitcher, Palace is going 295 00:15:04,400 --> 00:15:08,880 Speaker 1: to come in and dominate any you can't hit him. 296 00:15:08,920 --> 00:15:11,320 Speaker 1: I mean when he comes in, he goes Bob Innings. 297 00:15:11,320 --> 00:15:15,760 Speaker 1: I mean it changes everything. Having a picture like that, 298 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 1: it could turn a three game series like that, because 299 00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:22,760 Speaker 1: you think you got to their starting pitcher and then 300 00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:25,640 Speaker 1: this guy comes in and next thing you know, you're 301 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 1: dealing with somebody who's even better. And he was the 302 00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 1: number one X factor I saw basically all season regular Sea, 303 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 1: and I. 304 00:15:34,400 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 2: Think people should realize if you're gonna bet on this series, 305 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:38,640 Speaker 2: we think it's a coin foot all the way. But 306 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:41,320 Speaker 2: if you see Jacob Palace for Texas A and M. 307 00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 2: His pitch count is fifty on Friday. His pitchcount is 308 00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:48,840 Speaker 2: fifty on Saturday. Or maybe it's greater heading into Sunday. 309 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 2: That may be a weapon that Texas A and M 310 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:53,720 Speaker 2: doesn't have, So monitor Jacob Palace's pitch count. Let's go 311 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:57,000 Speaker 2: ahead and move on to Blacksburg super Regional English Field, 312 00:15:57,040 --> 00:15:59,640 Speaker 2: which is my I believe that NASA should be launching 313 00:15:59,640 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 2: the rock to the moon from there, just a ton 314 00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:06,960 Speaker 2: of runs. Oh, you defeats Florida, They're gonna head on 315 00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:08,960 Speaker 2: up to play Virginia Tech. See if they can wipe 316 00:16:08,960 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 2: out one of the strongest teams in the ACC. You know, 317 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:15,360 Speaker 2: this is one of those things where I project this 318 00:16:15,440 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 2: Virginia Tech minus two fifty and I just see too 319 00:16:18,200 --> 00:16:21,360 Speaker 2: many advantages from a statistical standpoint. You know, Virginia Tech 320 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:24,600 Speaker 2: is top twenty in fielding percentage. Oklahoma is around one hundred. 321 00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:27,520 Speaker 2: Virginia Tech is top five, and home runs per nine. 322 00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:30,040 Speaker 2: I mean that is some pop in the bat. Oklahoma 323 00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:32,280 Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty second home runs per nine. It's 324 00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:35,600 Speaker 2: just not instant offense. Oklahoma is all about getting guys 325 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 2: on base and forcing pitchers to do bad things. Can 326 00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 2: you do that against Virginia Tech? You can? And I 327 00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:44,160 Speaker 2: actually think Oklahoma should be favored in that Friday matchup 328 00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:46,440 Speaker 2: with Jake Bennett. He should be minus two thirty against 329 00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:48,800 Speaker 2: Drew Hackenberger. If you want to betting deliverable on this 330 00:16:49,480 --> 00:16:53,960 Speaker 2: right now, Oklahoma's plus one fifteen in the opener. You know, 331 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:56,520 Speaker 2: I think that should be You know, that's a huge 332 00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 2: Jake Bennett bett for me, but you know this is 333 00:16:59,040 --> 00:17:02,000 Speaker 2: a series where I got to play the numbers. I 334 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:04,159 Speaker 2: think Virginia Tech should be minus two to fifty based 335 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:06,399 Speaker 2: on the fact of what David Sandlin is for Oklahoma. 336 00:17:06,600 --> 00:17:09,040 Speaker 2: Griffin Green will have the advantage over him, and then 337 00:17:09,080 --> 00:17:12,320 Speaker 2: Ryan Metts will have an advantage over Kate Horton. But overall, Brad, 338 00:17:12,560 --> 00:17:15,879 Speaker 2: this is English field. You are not surviving English field 339 00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:19,680 Speaker 2: unless you have an offense that can instantly put balls 340 00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:22,399 Speaker 2: over walls. And that's what Virginia Tech can do and 341 00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 2: that's not what Oklahoma can do. And I can't back 342 00:17:24,840 --> 00:17:27,119 Speaker 2: an Oklahoma team that's one hundred and thirty second and 343 00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 2: staff Era. 344 00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:30,280 Speaker 1: It's hard to argue with you on that. There's no 345 00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:34,160 Speaker 1: numbers to justify. There's no numbers to justify Oklahoma being 346 00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:36,639 Speaker 1: where they are right now. To be honest with you, 347 00:17:37,119 --> 00:17:40,879 Speaker 1: they've been on this streak. And have they hit a 348 00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:43,320 Speaker 1: little bit better than what their numbers were previously, yes. 349 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:47,320 Speaker 1: Have they pitched a little bit better, yes, But the 350 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:50,280 Speaker 1: numbers don't justify where they are. They've been playing very 351 00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:52,880 Speaker 1: good baseball, you know, they, like you said, they've been 352 00:17:52,920 --> 00:17:55,320 Speaker 1: getting them on base. You know, do you get hit 353 00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 1: by pitch? Do you do you take walks? All these things? 354 00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:02,240 Speaker 1: I think Virginia Tech is not the team that you 355 00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:05,840 Speaker 1: want to try to sneak by like that. Florida was 356 00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:09,440 Speaker 1: a good target for what Oklahoma had been doing. Virginia 357 00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:13,960 Speaker 1: Tech is kind of like Oklahoma State in that you 358 00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:17,600 Speaker 1: don't get to wait around and hope they beat themselves. 359 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 1: You have to beat them because they're going to be 360 00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:24,120 Speaker 1: on the board, They're going to score runs, and at 361 00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:26,639 Speaker 1: some point you have to do the same. Now, you 362 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:30,200 Speaker 1: scored runs a couple of times in Gainesville, but I 363 00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:32,840 Speaker 1: don't think this is their weekend. I'm rolling Virginia Tech 364 00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:33,360 Speaker 1: on this one. 365 00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:35,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you there, So we're gonna ahead 366 00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:36,919 Speaker 2: and move on from there. I mean, again, this is 367 00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:40,160 Speaker 2: another one where oddsmakers have opened up the over under 368 00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 2: on two and a half games in this series of 369 00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:45,240 Speaker 2: minus one fifteen both ways, it could go three. If 370 00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:48,200 Speaker 2: Bennett doesn't get it done for OU on Friday night, 371 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,119 Speaker 2: then it's lights out. This will be two games, But 372 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 2: I do think it's a pretty good chance at Oklahoma 373 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:56,760 Speaker 2: wins game one and Virginia Tech comes roaring back. Let's 374 00:18:56,840 --> 00:18:58,800 Speaker 2: move on to the other side of what will be 375 00:18:58,840 --> 00:19:01,840 Speaker 2: the Omaha bracket. These teams, these games were about to mention, 376 00:19:02,320 --> 00:19:05,440 Speaker 2: we'll start on Saturday, Game two will be on Sunday, 377 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:07,800 Speaker 2: and then the finale, if it's needed, it'll be on Monday. 378 00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:11,760 Speaker 2: We're gonna start with to me was a bet that 379 00:19:11,840 --> 00:19:14,760 Speaker 2: I had to make right out of the gate. Number two, 380 00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:18,719 Speaker 2: Stanford against Yukon. You know, there's some controversy about Yukon 381 00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:22,080 Speaker 2: winning beating Maryland, about that running in the baseline and 382 00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:24,320 Speaker 2: the and the runner running over the you know, the 383 00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:27,760 Speaker 2: Yukon I think first baseman h him getting thrown out. 384 00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:30,240 Speaker 2: Maryland got robbed of the regional even though the score 385 00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:31,840 Speaker 2: was ten to eight and there's only one guy on. 386 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,280 Speaker 2: You know, I don't know. Yukon is one of the 387 00:19:35,280 --> 00:19:38,520 Speaker 2: best pitching teams in the Nation, their top five in 388 00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 2: er staff Era, their top five in staff Whip, and 389 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:45,600 Speaker 2: when I look at these projections for these guys, you know, 390 00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:48,440 Speaker 2: Austin Peterson for Yukon and Pac Alligher for Yukon going 391 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:53,280 Speaker 2: on Saturday and Sunday. These are monster monster pitchers. And frankly, 392 00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:55,399 Speaker 2: I think Stanford is a little bit weak. I mean 393 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:57,720 Speaker 2: they're eighty eighth and on base percentage, they can't really 394 00:19:57,760 --> 00:20:00,680 Speaker 2: harass you. They do have pop in the BA, although 395 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:02,600 Speaker 2: I didn't see a lot of it this past weekend 396 00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:04,679 Speaker 2: except in games where it didn't really matter and they 397 00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:09,359 Speaker 2: piled on. They can pitch, but Brad, I am I 398 00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:12,200 Speaker 2: just drinking too much kool aid from a Yukon team 399 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:16,000 Speaker 2: that won a regional and then Maryland fans booed them 400 00:20:16,119 --> 00:20:20,040 Speaker 2: out of the building onto their team bus. Or is 401 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:24,000 Speaker 2: this pitching for the Huskies extremely for real and cannot 402 00:20:24,040 --> 00:20:27,159 Speaker 2: just win this but maybe do some you know, do 403 00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 2: some damage in Omaha. 404 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:35,879 Speaker 1: Well winning at Maryland who absolutely had no business getting 405 00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:38,719 Speaker 1: a hosting a regional in the first place. Here that 406 00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:41,680 Speaker 1: Maryland fans, yes, you're the Big ten, not the ACC. 407 00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:46,160 Speaker 1: You had no business hosting a regional. Yukon traveled right 408 00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:49,959 Speaker 1: down the road beat Maryland. I don't care how they 409 00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:53,960 Speaker 1: did it. They're pitching, they're pitching. Loo's really good in 410 00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:59,040 Speaker 1: that series, but Maryland is not good. So going to 411 00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:01,960 Speaker 1: the West Coast, I don't I don't think you're crazy. 412 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:05,439 Speaker 1: I think that you are. You're onto something with Yukon. 413 00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:09,320 Speaker 1: I wish they weren't playing Stanford. I think Stanford's a 414 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:11,600 Speaker 1: solid team. I think it's hard to win there. 415 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:12,400 Speaker 2: Yeah. 416 00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,359 Speaker 1: Uh, and the way that they the way they came back, 417 00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:19,520 Speaker 1: I can't understand how. I read some article on D 418 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:21,920 Speaker 1: one Baseball where they were acting like it was like 419 00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:25,680 Speaker 1: miracle on thirty fourth Street that Stanford won that ball game, 420 00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:29,639 Speaker 1: and it was like you're down two or something in 421 00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:33,639 Speaker 1: the Texas State at home. The real miracle was that 422 00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:38,120 Speaker 1: Texas State was ahead of you. Yeah, So I mean 423 00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:42,560 Speaker 1: I kind of want to roll with Yukon here as well. Yeah, However, 424 00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:46,960 Speaker 1: they're gonna have to be tough because I just don't 425 00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:49,640 Speaker 1: think Stanford is an easy place to win, and I do. 426 00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:54,520 Speaker 1: They're just Stanford's solid across the board. So so Yukon's 427 00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:56,959 Speaker 1: going to have to hit a little bit better than 428 00:21:57,000 --> 00:22:00,320 Speaker 1: probably what they've been hitting and what time are those ames? 429 00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:02,840 Speaker 1: Because I noticed it out on the west coast. Man. 430 00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,720 Speaker 1: It is such a big, bigger difference. At night, you 431 00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:08,480 Speaker 1: get that moisture in the air out there and the 432 00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:11,040 Speaker 1: balls just die. But in the morning they fly. 433 00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:15,040 Speaker 2: So yeah, I currently stated Yukon Stanford is going to 434 00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:17,920 Speaker 2: go Saturday night. It looks like I'm reading seven thirty pm. 435 00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:18,480 Speaker 2: Who knows that? 436 00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:21,280 Speaker 1: That's yeah? We get ten am in Chapel Hill. By 437 00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:24,879 Speaker 1: the way, how about that? Great? Yeah, I don't know 438 00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:27,200 Speaker 1: the Little League baseball in CAA. 439 00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:29,679 Speaker 2: So let me throw some cold water on my numbers 440 00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:32,000 Speaker 2: and almost spreadsheet work I did to get here. I 441 00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:36,159 Speaker 2: actually make this number Stanford minus three ninety based on 442 00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:39,720 Speaker 2: the starting pitcher projections, so this number should be more 443 00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:42,480 Speaker 2: around Yukon plus three hundred. Now this hasn't moved, and 444 00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:45,440 Speaker 2: the time that odds first opened up on Tuesday to 445 00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:47,639 Speaker 2: the time you and I are recording this now, the 446 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,240 Speaker 2: Stanford line is still minus three ten. Yukon is still 447 00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:52,680 Speaker 2: plus two forty. And you'll see over at action networer 448 00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:54,520 Speaker 2: dot com, I say, you know, put a half unit 449 00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:58,240 Speaker 2: on Yukon and uh, you know, if you see it rise, 450 00:22:58,240 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 2: if you see that plus two forty turn into a three. 451 00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,200 Speaker 2: Throw another half unit on it. Now, I think maybe 452 00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:06,720 Speaker 2: maybe you'll agree with me on this. Do you think 453 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:09,760 Speaker 2: that over two and a half games in this series 454 00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:11,920 Speaker 2: at plus one point fifteen is something you would play 455 00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:13,200 Speaker 2: between Yukon and Stanford. 456 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:15,880 Speaker 1: Yes, I do. I think that that will probably definitely 457 00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:19,959 Speaker 1: go to three games. However, I've got this trash Beentley 458 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:24,000 Speaker 1: Arkansas website that I'm working with here, and no, I 459 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:28,240 Speaker 1: don't get that option. All I've got is Connecticut plus 460 00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:29,080 Speaker 1: one fifty five. 461 00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:29,360 Speaker 2: Yeah. 462 00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:30,000 Speaker 1: Thanks Bentley. 463 00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:33,920 Speaker 2: If you are listening out there, everybody in the state 464 00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:36,960 Speaker 2: of Arkansas needs a better betting app than what they've 465 00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:39,000 Speaker 2: got out there. So any of the big boys please 466 00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,120 Speaker 2: come to the state of Arkansas. All right, let's move 467 00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:43,360 Speaker 2: on to the Chapel Hill Superregional. You and I could 468 00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:47,840 Speaker 2: go forever on this right North Carolina, Arkansas. Obviously you 469 00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:50,399 Speaker 2: have the read and I don't because I didn't well, 470 00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:52,119 Speaker 2: I didn't think Oklahoma State was good enough to win 471 00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:55,480 Speaker 2: the regional. I didn't think Arkansas well, losing their last 472 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:57,920 Speaker 2: two series of the year against Alabama and Vanderbilt, showing 473 00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:01,480 Speaker 2: up to Hoover two and out going on home looked lifeless. 474 00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:03,760 Speaker 2: Dave van Horn wasn't there. We don't know if he's sick, 475 00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:06,000 Speaker 2: got covid, or got the shits. We don't know what 476 00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:08,720 Speaker 2: the hell's going on with this team. They show up 477 00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:12,560 Speaker 2: and lan Zilly's hitting home runs, lan Zilly's getting tagged 478 00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:15,680 Speaker 2: in the stomach, and fights are almost breaking out. We got, 479 00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,639 Speaker 2: you know, Hagen Smith getting some terrible calls, but then 480 00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:21,800 Speaker 2: coming in in the game finale and just absolutely ripping 481 00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:25,320 Speaker 2: through the Stillwater lineup, including Rock Regio finally getting that 482 00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:27,480 Speaker 2: kid to take a strikeout and go back to the 483 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:31,560 Speaker 2: dugout and grab some wood on the bench. Brad, this series, 484 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:34,440 Speaker 2: to me was really hard to predict. Connor Nolan's gonna 485 00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,000 Speaker 2: go first against Max Carlson. I make that North Carolina 486 00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:39,640 Speaker 2: minus one forty five. They're actually the underdog right now. 487 00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:42,320 Speaker 2: On that Saturday game at ten am Sunday, I got 488 00:24:42,320 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 2: Brandon Schaffer for North Carolina against Hagen Smith, our lefty freshman. 489 00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:49,800 Speaker 2: I project North Carolina minus one ninety five in that game. 490 00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:53,080 Speaker 2: And then if needed on Monday, Jackson Wiggins, can he 491 00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:57,080 Speaker 2: please locate for Arkansas going up against Connor Beaver North Carolina. 492 00:24:57,160 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 2: I project that in North Carolina minus one thirty. I 493 00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:04,080 Speaker 2: said this earlier on another show today, Brad, and I'm 494 00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:05,840 Speaker 2: going to repeat this and I'll let you take it away. 495 00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:10,000 Speaker 2: When Hagen Smith and Jackson Wiggins are locating, we can 496 00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:12,840 Speaker 2: win the College World Series. When Hagen Smith and Jackson 497 00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:16,600 Speaker 2: Wiggins are not locating and their era that is about 498 00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,119 Speaker 2: a five, and their fit which is about a five 499 00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:22,840 Speaker 2: starts to show up, anyone of the final fifteen teams 500 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:25,480 Speaker 2: can beat Arkansas. Do you agree with that assessment. 501 00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,440 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna put Jackson Wiggins in the same category 502 00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:32,560 Speaker 1: as hagen Smith. Jackson Wiggins throws a straight fastball, right. 503 00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:37,160 Speaker 1: It's not healthy for a pitcher, not because he's gonna 504 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:38,919 Speaker 1: hurt his arm, because the ball is going to go 505 00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:44,320 Speaker 1: for the damn fence. He throws like Vermilion. Hagen Smith, however, 506 00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:48,040 Speaker 1: has so much run on his fastball that it looks 507 00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:51,399 Speaker 1: like a slider most times. That is the kind of 508 00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:54,639 Speaker 1: pitch that can take you a long way in baseball. 509 00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 1: And he needs to just keep his head on his shoulders, honestly, 510 00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:03,119 Speaker 1: because it is have to always locate quite like he 511 00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:06,320 Speaker 1: wants it to. It's just that he can't hit. Players 512 00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:11,359 Speaker 1: don't hit batters and then when things go wrong, Dave, 513 00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:14,520 Speaker 1: do not pull him in the first inning because two 514 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:18,280 Speaker 1: men are on base, like they've they've let Ramage give 515 00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:21,040 Speaker 1: up eight home runs and we got to sit here 516 00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:25,320 Speaker 1: and watch him continue to pitch. But Hagen Smith is 517 00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:29,240 Speaker 1: not like Wiggins, Wiggins Wiggins is. I just don't trust 518 00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:29,879 Speaker 1: Wiggins at all. 519 00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:31,840 Speaker 2: Right now, we don't locate, That's what I'm saying. 520 00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:33,880 Speaker 1: I don't know he can't, but it wouldn't even matter 521 00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:37,520 Speaker 1: if he could, because his whole deal is based on 522 00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:40,600 Speaker 1: this ninety nine to one hundred mile an hour pitch 523 00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:45,040 Speaker 1: that teams that are good can smoke. They kill it 524 00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:47,800 Speaker 1: every single time when he locates. 525 00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:50,080 Speaker 2: And North Carolina to nine. 526 00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:53,200 Speaker 1: So yeah, no, and I'm not, but I'm What we 527 00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:56,879 Speaker 1: need is Evan Taylor to locate. We need Evan Taylor 528 00:26:56,920 --> 00:27:00,920 Speaker 1: to locate. We need Hagen Smith to become on the mound. 529 00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:06,000 Speaker 1: When need Connor, Connor and Nolan to show up. Morris, Yes, 530 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:09,560 Speaker 1: we need tons of Zach Morris. Oh my gosh, Bayside baby, 531 00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:14,239 Speaker 1: I mean give you the whole gang. Winn't wake up 532 00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:16,399 Speaker 1: in the Morland and the lung ands on the loan. 533 00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:19,640 Speaker 1: I don't think I'll ever make it on time. By 534 00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:22,000 Speaker 1: the time I got my buck set, I give myself 535 00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 1: a look at the board just in time to see 536 00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:28,679 Speaker 1: the bus time. It's all right because I'm saved by 537 00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:32,639 Speaker 1: the Zach Morris. I was so impressed with Zach Morris 538 00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:36,720 Speaker 1: by the way. I've not been kind to him the 539 00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:40,480 Speaker 1: last two years. This season I have, but but Zach Morris, man, 540 00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:44,280 Speaker 1: I've been loved like he saved us. I think that 541 00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:48,000 Speaker 1: our bullpen is strong enough to where whatever Jackson Wiggins 542 00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:51,800 Speaker 1: does is not gonna matter. What we need is Hagen Smith, 543 00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:55,000 Speaker 1: Connor Nolan to show up and the bats have to 544 00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,000 Speaker 1: come and they have to get They have to show 545 00:27:57,040 --> 00:28:00,560 Speaker 1: that energy they maybe they needed. They needed Lens getting 546 00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:03,320 Speaker 1: punched in the gut over at first base, they needed 547 00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:07,480 Speaker 1: those umpires call them trash, and having a head coach 548 00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:10,440 Speaker 1: that won't stick up for them and won't won't put 549 00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:14,000 Speaker 1: anybody in the right spots like Dave van horn uh 550 00:28:14,560 --> 00:28:17,560 Speaker 1: something to make them come together on the field, because 551 00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:21,040 Speaker 1: they've they've been so dead out there all season. And 552 00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:24,800 Speaker 1: I feel a lot better about Arkansas this weekend than 553 00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:29,160 Speaker 1: I did last because Oklahoma States offense was I mean, 554 00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:33,480 Speaker 1: it was exhausting to go up against all day long, 555 00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:36,320 Speaker 1: and I know you would seas really good, but I 556 00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:40,520 Speaker 1: think you would see really hot and then they hit 557 00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:44,560 Speaker 1: pretty well at home. But they remind me, yeah, somewhe 558 00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:47,240 Speaker 1: in Miami. It's just Miami wasn't wasn't hot at the 559 00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:49,160 Speaker 1: right time, and you and see was. But then next 560 00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:53,160 Speaker 1: thing you know, there's seasons on the line against Virginia Commonwealth. 561 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:56,520 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not sure that that's the team that 562 00:28:57,520 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 1: needed to doc you knock you down a peg. You 563 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,960 Speaker 1: and see Virginia Commonwealth at home. I mean, I get it, 564 00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:05,280 Speaker 1: you're in the AEC, so you got to host. But 565 00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:08,280 Speaker 1: I don't trust him, man, I do. I put them 566 00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:11,640 Speaker 1: in the same category as as I did Miami last weekend. 567 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:13,400 Speaker 1: So that's kind of where I stand with it. And 568 00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:15,480 Speaker 1: I know that I'm a homer. I can't help it, 569 00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:19,040 Speaker 1: but it's because I watch a lot, so I got 570 00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:21,520 Speaker 1: to pull for them. But I do believe that this 571 00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:25,720 Speaker 1: Arkansas team is more talented, maybe than some were giving 572 00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:30,719 Speaker 1: credit for because our seating and our head coach sucks. 573 00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:35,440 Speaker 2: All right, So Brad is being objective there, and I 574 00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:36,800 Speaker 2: think a couple of notes that I want to throw 575 00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:40,480 Speaker 2: in from a numbers perspective, North Carolina starters are better 576 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:44,160 Speaker 2: than Arkansas starters, but when it comes to bullpens, it's Arkansas. 577 00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,560 Speaker 2: From a team ERA, a team FIP, a team whip, 578 00:29:47,280 --> 00:29:49,920 Speaker 2: all of that. Keep in mind North Carolina. Yes, they're 579 00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:52,440 Speaker 2: the AEC champions. Yes, North Carolina was one of the 580 00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:53,840 Speaker 2: hottest teams coming to the regionals. 581 00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:57,200 Speaker 1: OH season champions, hold on tournament. 582 00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:01,600 Speaker 2: Yes, ACC tournament champions. But let me let me remind 583 00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:06,240 Speaker 2: everybody North Carolina nine and fourteen against RPI top twenty 584 00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 2: five teams. And I know Brad's ready to say, wait, 585 00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:11,240 Speaker 2: Arkansas's not a top twenty five RPI team. So North 586 00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:15,320 Speaker 2: Carolina at damn RPI again, Huh. North Carolina has had 587 00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:17,960 Speaker 2: some North Carolina's had some issues against the top ranked 588 00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:20,600 Speaker 2: teams in the in the country. So I think, really, 589 00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:23,880 Speaker 2: if Arkansas can get Schaefer to go deep, if they 590 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:26,600 Speaker 2: can get Carlson to go deep, they're gonna win this thing. 591 00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:28,400 Speaker 2: I don't even know what to make of a ten 592 00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:31,800 Speaker 2: am start on Saturday. That's crazy. But Connor Nolan's like, 593 00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 2: what eighty five years old. He was a quarterback for 594 00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:36,720 Speaker 2: US in the Beilama era, So it's probably lunchtime for him. 595 00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:40,520 Speaker 1: He'll probably he closed. Yeah, you know, he closes freshman 596 00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:44,000 Speaker 1: season in twenty sixteen, and then he closed last game 597 00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:46,560 Speaker 1: for US. Dave thought it was a good idea to 598 00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:49,480 Speaker 1: put him in for the save opportunity instead of our 599 00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 1: freshman closer. He's aces who lost his nerve after he 600 00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:56,760 Speaker 1: lost his save opportunity. H God, David Horn. 601 00:30:56,920 --> 00:31:00,000 Speaker 2: Can you Connor Nolan's been around at the University of Arkansas. 602 00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:02,280 Speaker 2: He's been enrolled through three presidents. Can you believe that? 603 00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,160 Speaker 1: I can? He's been here a really long time, you know. 604 00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:12,120 Speaker 1: I mean, I like the guy, you know, I support him, 605 00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:14,800 Speaker 1: But we're not going to miss him that bad. He's 606 00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:17,320 Speaker 1: you know, he starts on Friday night, but he's not 607 00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:18,280 Speaker 1: a Friday night starter. 608 00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:20,720 Speaker 2: Yeah. Well that's gonna be Haggen Smith spot next year. 609 00:31:20,800 --> 00:31:24,880 Speaker 2: Let's move on to the Hattiesburg Super Regional. Uh, this 610 00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:26,440 Speaker 2: one to me, I think Brad and I are going 611 00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:29,200 Speaker 2: to completely disagree here. Ole miss red hot out of 612 00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:34,320 Speaker 2: the SEC, A team that we thought in April was dead, 613 00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:37,200 Speaker 2: dead in the water and SEC they were struggling to 614 00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:41,040 Speaker 2: make the SEC tournament. Now they're gonna go to Hattiesburg 615 00:31:41,120 --> 00:31:44,160 Speaker 2: against the Southern Miss team that just fought off LSU 616 00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:47,400 Speaker 2: and all of LSU's fans coming to Hattiesburg. Now in 617 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,480 Speaker 2: state Old Miss, everybody in that state gets to travel 618 00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:53,080 Speaker 2: to Hattiesburg to try to support the rebels for the 619 00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:57,360 Speaker 2: SEC side. Brad this to me, I cannot get over 620 00:31:58,040 --> 00:32:01,600 Speaker 2: how great Southern Myths pitching staff is. Tanner Hall. I've 621 00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:06,360 Speaker 2: got him well above Dylan de Lucia in game one, 622 00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:09,760 Speaker 2: I got Hurst and Waldrip in Game two minus two 623 00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:12,080 Speaker 2: thirty over one hundred Elliott for Old Miss. And if 624 00:32:12,080 --> 00:32:14,280 Speaker 2: this goes to a game three, Derek Diamond's numbers have 625 00:32:14,360 --> 00:32:17,680 Speaker 2: been bad. I mean we're talking maybe you're gonna get 626 00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:19,960 Speaker 2: three or four innings, and he's he's got an ERA 627 00:32:20,120 --> 00:32:21,880 Speaker 2: of about five to five and a fifth even higher 628 00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:25,000 Speaker 2: than that. Then there's Hunter Riggins of Southern Miss, who 629 00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:27,320 Speaker 2: may be the best starting pitcher out of all of these. 630 00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:30,680 Speaker 2: I can't get over the starting pitching in this. Like 631 00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:33,600 Speaker 2: I said about Yukon, Yukon being top five and Team 632 00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:36,720 Speaker 2: ERA Team Whip, Southern Miss is second in the nation 633 00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:39,520 Speaker 2: of both those categories. They also have a road RPI 634 00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:41,600 Speaker 2: of eight, so they are battle tests, so they're not 635 00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:43,960 Speaker 2: on the road here, and pay attention to park factors 636 00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:46,000 Speaker 2: here because this is going to be a big pitching matchup. 637 00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:48,960 Speaker 2: Southern miss is also zero point seventy five and park 638 00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:52,160 Speaker 2: factors meaning they didn't score in many runs at home 639 00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:54,520 Speaker 2: at all. In conference play, they scored a ton more 640 00:32:54,520 --> 00:32:58,080 Speaker 2: on the road. I love Southern Missus fielding percentage of 641 00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:00,880 Speaker 2: twenty six against Old Misses outside the top one hundred. 642 00:33:01,440 --> 00:33:04,000 Speaker 2: I really have problems with Old Missus obp. You know, 643 00:33:04,040 --> 00:33:06,720 Speaker 2: sitting around one hundred and forty sixth Ole miss can 644 00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:08,920 Speaker 2: hit the long ball, They've got the pop in the 645 00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,680 Speaker 2: bat to get those big ones. And tim Elko is 646 00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:14,400 Speaker 2: on fire more than anyone in the nation in any 647 00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:18,160 Speaker 2: lineup right now. But I'm gonna go with Southern Missus pitching. Brad, 648 00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:19,800 Speaker 2: You go ahead, come back at that. 649 00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:24,800 Speaker 1: You're not crazy. You're looking at this like it's science, 650 00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:29,880 Speaker 1: and you know, I can't blame a guy that wants 651 00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:34,520 Speaker 1: to come in with reason. But the one factor that 652 00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:40,040 Speaker 1: we're not bringing into some of this is the bullpens 653 00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:46,200 Speaker 1: and depth. And while yes, the start all three starters 654 00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:48,560 Speaker 1: for Southern Myths are better than all three starters for 655 00:33:48,640 --> 00:33:51,360 Speaker 1: Old miss there's really no doubt about that if it 656 00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:54,120 Speaker 1: weren't for Tennessee being out there, Southern Miss would be 657 00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:57,080 Speaker 1: the best pitching team in the country by far. But 658 00:33:57,320 --> 00:34:01,440 Speaker 1: they happen to come into this weird team in Knoxville 659 00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:04,680 Speaker 1: that you know, hits and pitches better than everybody else 660 00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:08,040 Speaker 1: in the country. So I was very pressed with Southern 661 00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:08,960 Speaker 1: Miss last weekend. 662 00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:09,359 Speaker 2: Uh. 663 00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:15,960 Speaker 1: That was probably the best baseball played throughout an entire series. 664 00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:19,160 Speaker 1: Those final games, the final games with LSU and so 665 00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:20,440 Speaker 1: missed from awesome. 666 00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:21,400 Speaker 2: Uh. 667 00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:24,360 Speaker 1: And I think that this is going to be super 668 00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:26,560 Speaker 1: exciting for those I mean, I don't ever want to 669 00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:29,480 Speaker 1: go to Hattiesburg, Mississippi. I'm pretty sure I've been there 670 00:34:29,520 --> 00:34:31,239 Speaker 1: on my way to Florida, and I don't ever want 671 00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:34,120 Speaker 1: to go again, just because it was hot and I 672 00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:37,640 Speaker 1: can't imagine there's that much to do. But if you 673 00:34:38,520 --> 00:34:42,279 Speaker 1: live in Mississippi, you gotta go, you know, Like I mean, 674 00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:47,720 Speaker 1: this is this is some great local two Mississippi teams 675 00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:50,960 Speaker 1: going head to head. What are the odds? In CFA 676 00:34:51,040 --> 00:34:53,759 Speaker 1: thought there was zero points zero percent chance that Old 677 00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:56,200 Speaker 1: Miss was going to come out of a rod park 678 00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:59,040 Speaker 1: down there in Miami going up against Southern Miss. So 679 00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:03,279 Speaker 1: I him sticking to my guns. When I picked this 680 00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:06,640 Speaker 1: thing from the start, I had Old Miss beating Southern 681 00:35:06,640 --> 00:35:11,600 Speaker 1: Miss in this this exact situation. I'm not sure if 682 00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:15,040 Speaker 1: if if Southern Miss was playing, it was an East 683 00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:17,600 Speaker 1: Coast team or a West Coast team. I don't know 684 00:35:17,640 --> 00:35:21,640 Speaker 1: that Old Miss have magic to do it again. But 685 00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:25,239 Speaker 1: because they're it's gonna be like half and half man. 686 00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:28,919 Speaker 1: You know, the fans there, I can't imagine. I'm sure 687 00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:32,880 Speaker 1: there's more Old Miss fans Haddiesburg, Mississippi than their Southern Miss. 688 00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:35,160 Speaker 1: I don't know. Look, I know Brett Farvo went there, 689 00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:38,839 Speaker 1: but outside of that, better at going on. So I'm 690 00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:40,719 Speaker 1: gonna go with Old Miss. I'm gonna go with I'm 691 00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:43,160 Speaker 1: gonna go with the bigger bats. I'm gonna go with Gonzales, 692 00:35:43,160 --> 00:35:46,640 Speaker 1: made out Love and that the shortstops name. That dude 693 00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:50,320 Speaker 1: is is the most talented. He's the big best prospect 694 00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:53,879 Speaker 1: in the entire series. And I don't know, it's it's 695 00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:56,200 Speaker 1: hard to come up with all the reasons, but I'm 696 00:35:56,239 --> 00:35:58,840 Speaker 1: gonna roll a bullpen. I'm gonna roll with strength of schedule, 697 00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:01,400 Speaker 1: uh and go that route. 698 00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:04,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, And you know, I us have just having a 699 00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:07,400 Speaker 2: disagreement here the odds right now are Southern Miss minus 700 00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:10,160 Speaker 2: one twenty. That's taken ten cents of juice since it 701 00:36:10,239 --> 00:36:13,920 Speaker 2: opened up. Ole Miss at minus won ten, and the 702 00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:16,719 Speaker 2: over on this game this thing going over two and 703 00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:19,560 Speaker 2: a half games in the series is minus one forty. Odds. 704 00:36:19,560 --> 00:36:23,719 Speaker 2: Makers completely expect this thing to go yeah into the 705 00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:26,480 Speaker 2: final game. And really the key to this is the 706 00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:29,319 Speaker 2: Southern Mis pitching. All three of them are capable of 707 00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:32,319 Speaker 2: throwing complete game shutouts. Can they avoid the long ball 708 00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:35,040 Speaker 2: of Ole Miss him Elko. We're gonna find out because 709 00:36:35,080 --> 00:36:37,359 Speaker 2: park Factor says it's really hard to get balls over 710 00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:39,399 Speaker 2: the fence here. Ole Miss is one of the best 711 00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:41,359 Speaker 2: home run hitting teams in the nation, so we'll see 712 00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:43,600 Speaker 2: how that plays out. We're gonna split our bets there. 713 00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:46,600 Speaker 2: And finally, we are going to end with a team 714 00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:50,400 Speaker 2: that I love every week every week. I think it 715 00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:52,920 Speaker 2: is our eighth podcast, Brad. I can't get over how 716 00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:56,080 Speaker 2: much I love Oregon State. I almost had egg in 717 00:36:56,080 --> 00:36:58,360 Speaker 2: my face. I cannot believe that they had to go 718 00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:02,480 Speaker 2: into an additional game in which Cooper Jurpy had to 719 00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:04,520 Speaker 2: save it come in for two innings. I'm glad the 720 00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:06,839 Speaker 2: Nation Final. I finally saw twitter chatter. I finally saw 721 00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:09,520 Speaker 2: the people that I follow on Twitter start saying, whoever 722 00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:12,279 Speaker 2: this Cooper Jerpy guy is, He's electric, He's amazing. Yes, 723 00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:15,400 Speaker 2: we've known that forever. He is the best pitcher in 724 00:37:15,440 --> 00:37:19,040 Speaker 2: this series. Maybe, I mean, let's talk about Southern Misson Tennessee, 725 00:37:19,400 --> 00:37:21,680 Speaker 2: Oregon State. Cooper Jerpy may be the best pitcher left 726 00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,279 Speaker 2: out of everything, So let's talk about the odds here. 727 00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:27,399 Speaker 2: Saturdays start for this. I think that helps because Cooper 728 00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:29,840 Speaker 2: Jerpy closed out the two innings to win the regionals, 729 00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,520 Speaker 2: so now he gets five days of rest, which should 730 00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:35,120 Speaker 2: be enough for him to go. Trace Bright of Auburn 731 00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:37,880 Speaker 2: going up against Cooper Jerpy on Saturday. I think Oregon 732 00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:41,520 Speaker 2: State should be minus nine hundred in that game. Obviously, 733 00:37:41,600 --> 00:37:43,720 Speaker 2: if you have an account in some of these places 734 00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:47,879 Speaker 2: where Game one odds are up right now, or Oregon 735 00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:51,279 Speaker 2: State is listed at minus one sixty five, that numbers 736 00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:53,960 Speaker 2: should be way higher. With Cooper Jurpy going after that, 737 00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:57,080 Speaker 2: we got Jacob Finnings Oregon State going up against Joseph Gonzales. 738 00:37:57,120 --> 00:37:59,440 Speaker 2: I got Oregon State minus two seventy there, and then 739 00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:02,000 Speaker 2: I project Mason Burnett for Auburn going up again Jacob 740 00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:05,880 Speaker 2: Mattz and Orgon sab and minus two seventy in that one. 741 00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:08,319 Speaker 2: In total, that gives a series price of eighty nine 742 00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:13,440 Speaker 2: percent to Oregon State, making this a slam of the 743 00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:16,160 Speaker 2: minus one fifty five number that is posted out there. 744 00:38:17,040 --> 00:38:19,560 Speaker 2: And you know, I mean, just to go a little 745 00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:22,120 Speaker 2: bit on about Auburn why I don't like Auburn this 746 00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:24,800 Speaker 2: weekend brand They had one of the highest park factors 747 00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:27,279 Speaker 2: at home of any team in the nation outside of 748 00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:29,719 Speaker 2: maybe Virginia Tech at English Field where everything just takes off. 749 00:38:30,600 --> 00:38:34,600 Speaker 2: Auburn and Sonny Dshara and Bobby Pierce absolutely lit up 750 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:36,640 Speaker 2: the scoreboard when they were at home. When they were 751 00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:39,319 Speaker 2: on the road, they only scored sixty six percent of 752 00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:42,440 Speaker 2: the runs that they scored on the road during conference play. 753 00:38:42,760 --> 00:38:46,319 Speaker 2: They're just a different team away from home. You know, 754 00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:49,080 Speaker 2: I don't even know what to say. You know, the 755 00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:51,920 Speaker 2: Tigers are a different team on the road. They shouldn't 756 00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:54,440 Speaker 2: have been a regional host in the first place. You know, 757 00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:57,040 Speaker 2: I think the Auburn pitching staff is going to have 758 00:38:57,080 --> 00:38:59,640 Speaker 2: a problem. You know with these hitters of Oregon State, 759 00:38:59,719 --> 00:39:02,359 Speaker 2: who are extremely good at obp They're not really big 760 00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:04,439 Speaker 2: home run hitters, but their top twenty and getting on base, 761 00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:07,640 Speaker 2: and that can cause a lot of defensive issues. I'm 762 00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:09,880 Speaker 2: taking Oregon State here. You know, if you want to 763 00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:13,160 Speaker 2: hedge after a Cooper Jervy start on the second game 764 00:39:13,200 --> 00:39:16,040 Speaker 2: on Sunday, you can. But I think this Oregon State 765 00:39:16,080 --> 00:39:18,920 Speaker 2: minus one fifty five is playable up to minus two 766 00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:19,520 Speaker 2: twenty five. 767 00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:23,759 Speaker 1: Oh, I'm glad we get to finally agree on on one. 768 00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:25,480 Speaker 1: Just right down in the middle of this one's This 769 00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:29,520 Speaker 1: was not close. Auburn has been raking right, but you, 770 00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:33,839 Speaker 1: like you said, their park factor is huge, and they're 771 00:39:33,880 --> 00:39:36,680 Speaker 1: playing in Oregon State. It's a long way, long way 772 00:39:36,719 --> 00:39:39,839 Speaker 1: across the country, and you're going up a team up 773 00:39:39,840 --> 00:39:42,520 Speaker 1: against a team that is just solid. I mean, they're 774 00:39:42,600 --> 00:39:45,440 Speaker 1: good at pretty much everything. You don't hit a lot 775 00:39:45,480 --> 00:39:48,839 Speaker 1: of home runs, but that usually means that you don't 776 00:39:48,840 --> 00:39:51,160 Speaker 1: get a lot of home runs in their ballpark either, 777 00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:55,239 Speaker 1: And Auburn kind of wins with with home runs here 778 00:39:55,280 --> 00:39:58,440 Speaker 1: and there. Another their home runs per game is like 779 00:39:58,440 --> 00:40:01,319 Speaker 1: eightieth or some of the i'mis you. I watched them 780 00:40:01,360 --> 00:40:03,799 Speaker 1: win a lot of laid games, but knocking one out. 781 00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:06,600 Speaker 1: So they may have one of the best hitters in 782 00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:09,320 Speaker 1: the game. But I think we're looking at a team 783 00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:13,120 Speaker 1: that is solid across the board. I trust Oregon State 784 00:40:13,560 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 1: outside of the SEC. I think Oregon State is the 785 00:40:16,080 --> 00:40:19,799 Speaker 1: best best baseball team I've seen all season, and really 786 00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:22,480 Speaker 1: just outside of Tennessee. I mean, I predict that we're 787 00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:24,960 Speaker 1: going to look at Oregon State. I thought for a 788 00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:27,160 Speaker 1: little while it might be Stanford and Tennessee in the 789 00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:30,000 Speaker 1: finals and uh in Omaha. But I think we're looking 790 00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:32,360 Speaker 1: at Oregon State Tennessee, and I kind of hope we 791 00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:34,319 Speaker 1: get it because I think that would be the best 792 00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:38,920 Speaker 1: best baseball played. So yeah, same same page. And the 793 00:40:39,040 --> 00:40:40,640 Speaker 1: bets are out there. I mean the bets are out 794 00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:43,600 Speaker 1: there for for this, because I mean I'm looking at it. 795 00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:47,040 Speaker 1: I just actually made a bet on Oregon State a 796 00:40:47,080 --> 00:40:51,200 Speaker 1: few minutes ago. Minus minus one and a half runs 797 00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:55,560 Speaker 1: plus one fifteen. Yeah, you give me plus one and 798 00:40:55,560 --> 00:40:58,719 Speaker 1: a half runs. You you have if you win, you 799 00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:01,200 Speaker 1: have to win by one, so one and a half. 800 00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:04,680 Speaker 1: Why are we going to change minus one ninety to 801 00:41:05,560 --> 00:41:09,360 Speaker 1: plus one point fifteen by giving me a half run? Yeah, 802 00:41:09,480 --> 00:41:12,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna trust I'm gonna trust uh the Beavers here. 803 00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:14,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I agree with you, so let's go 804 00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:16,080 Speaker 2: ahead and recap, and then I'll ask you one question 805 00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:18,440 Speaker 2: before we get off the podcast for the super Regional 806 00:41:18,960 --> 00:41:21,840 Speaker 2: breakdown here. So Brad and I are both on Tennessee. 807 00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:25,000 Speaker 2: We think it ends in two games. I am on Texas, 808 00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:29,160 Speaker 2: Brad is on Texas. We don't think that, uh, you know, 809 00:41:29,239 --> 00:41:32,360 Speaker 2: East Carolina, who's hosting, can get past Pete Hanson and 810 00:41:32,440 --> 00:41:34,800 Speaker 2: Lucas Gordon through the first two games of the series. 811 00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:39,160 Speaker 2: That would immediately slot Texas in against Tennessee up in 812 00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:43,359 Speaker 2: Omaha after that college station. Brad likes Texas A and M. 813 00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,640 Speaker 2: I'm going with the value play at Louisville plus one 814 00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:48,880 Speaker 2: ten only because it's plus money. We both think that 815 00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:51,400 Speaker 2: this is a complete coin flip, and that Jacob Palace 816 00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:53,000 Speaker 2: is the Texas A and M pitcher that you need 817 00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:56,200 Speaker 2: to watch Virginia Tech and Oklahoma. There's just too much 818 00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:59,200 Speaker 2: pop in Virginia Tech's bat. We both agree there, all right, 819 00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:01,719 Speaker 2: So I've been a take Yukon to beat Stanford out there, 820 00:42:01,719 --> 00:42:04,840 Speaker 2: Brad's gonna take Stanford, but we both agree that taking 821 00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:06,640 Speaker 2: this series to go over two and a half games 822 00:42:06,840 --> 00:42:10,080 Speaker 2: is the play here. After that, down at the Chapel Hill, 823 00:42:10,120 --> 00:42:13,200 Speaker 2: Super Regional. Brad's gonna go with the Hogs. I'm gonna 824 00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:15,359 Speaker 2: go with North Carolina because I think it's got about 825 00:42:15,360 --> 00:42:17,640 Speaker 2: twenty cents of run on it, because the starting pitchers 826 00:42:17,680 --> 00:42:20,120 Speaker 2: are better. But like I said before, if Hagen Smith 827 00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:23,040 Speaker 2: is locating, if some of our pitchers are locating, our 828 00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:24,920 Speaker 2: bullpen is better, we can win the series. We can 829 00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:26,680 Speaker 2: beat anybody if Hagan Smith is pitching the way he 830 00:42:26,680 --> 00:42:30,279 Speaker 2: did the other night Hattiesburg Regional. I am on the 831 00:42:30,320 --> 00:42:33,839 Speaker 2: Southern Miss side. Brad is gonna go against me on 832 00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:36,800 Speaker 2: the Old Miss side. And then finally we both agree 833 00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:38,919 Speaker 2: on Oregon State. All right, Brad, Out of the four 834 00:42:39,040 --> 00:42:41,400 Speaker 2: that you like that I just named, because they're on 835 00:42:41,440 --> 00:42:43,319 Speaker 2: the other side of the bracket from Tennessee, I'm not 836 00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:46,600 Speaker 2: even gonna entertain the teams up top that are in 837 00:42:46,640 --> 00:42:51,000 Speaker 2: Tennessee's bracket. Omaha, give me somebody out of your bracket 838 00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:54,359 Speaker 2: in the bottom. That would be Oregon State going up 839 00:42:54,360 --> 00:42:57,200 Speaker 2: against Old Miss, and then the other one would be 840 00:42:57,360 --> 00:43:01,160 Speaker 2: Arkansas going up against Stanford. Give me one of those 841 00:43:01,200 --> 00:43:04,720 Speaker 2: four teams to meet Tennessee in the College World Series Final. 842 00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:09,440 Speaker 1: Oregon State. Oregon State is the They're just solid. Me 843 00:43:09,680 --> 00:43:11,959 Speaker 1: it's hard to hard to beg as a team that's 844 00:43:12,480 --> 00:43:16,480 Speaker 1: got the pitching, defensive, fielding. I like their coaching. I'm 845 00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:19,400 Speaker 1: rolling with the Beavers to see Tennessee in the final. 846 00:43:20,040 --> 00:43:24,800 Speaker 1: Sorry Hoggs, you've got it's a coaching mismatch when Oregon 847 00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:27,319 Speaker 1: State plays Arkansas. All there is to. 848 00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:31,799 Speaker 2: It more love for Dave van Horn. Okay, so let's 849 00:43:31,840 --> 00:43:33,920 Speaker 2: end on this. This is Brad and I. I think 850 00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:35,279 Speaker 2: seventh or eighth week in a row, Brad and I 851 00:43:35,280 --> 00:43:38,120 Speaker 2: have brought you a college baseball podcast. We've been avoiding 852 00:43:38,160 --> 00:43:40,920 Speaker 2: Oregon State futures every week because the price has always 853 00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:42,719 Speaker 2: been nine to one or ten to one. There's never 854 00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,440 Speaker 2: been any value on it. Right now, Oregon State, who 855 00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:47,560 Speaker 2: is going to win their regional against Auburn, a team 856 00:43:47,600 --> 00:43:49,280 Speaker 2: that can't play on the road and can't hit homers 857 00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:52,200 Speaker 2: on the road. They're gonna win, They're gonna be advanced, 858 00:43:52,239 --> 00:43:53,920 Speaker 2: and they're going to be in the bracket on the 859 00:43:53,960 --> 00:43:58,120 Speaker 2: opposite side of Tennessee. And to me, that has value. 860 00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:01,239 Speaker 2: I'm going to join Brad Beaver's nine to one. I 861 00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:03,080 Speaker 2: think they're gonna be in the College World Series final 862 00:44:03,120 --> 00:44:05,840 Speaker 2: against Tennessee. We'll see what happens there when Cooper Jerpes 863 00:44:05,880 --> 00:44:08,719 Speaker 2: gets his hand on some of those volunteers, and you know, 864 00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:12,080 Speaker 2: we'll see what happens there. That is going to do it. Brad, 865 00:44:12,160 --> 00:44:14,040 Speaker 2: are you ready for I'm gonna leave you with one 866 00:44:14,120 --> 00:44:16,239 Speaker 2: last thing. You're ready for a ten am start time? 867 00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:20,000 Speaker 2: Some some bloody Mary's and eggs and kegs for for 868 00:44:20,080 --> 00:44:21,640 Speaker 2: North Carolina Arkansas. You're ready to go? 869 00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:24,360 Speaker 1: I mean it's hard to It's hard to find out 870 00:44:24,880 --> 00:44:27,760 Speaker 1: people to party with at ten am for a college 871 00:44:27,840 --> 00:44:32,080 Speaker 1: baseball game. I mean, I don't even know who to 872 00:44:32,120 --> 00:44:35,799 Speaker 1: call a complain to. Yeah, embarrassing, but yes, if you 873 00:44:36,280 --> 00:44:39,160 Speaker 1: if you want to come to Fanville, absolutely, I actually 874 00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:43,200 Speaker 1: have tickets to Chapel Hill, but I'm selling them. 875 00:44:43,320 --> 00:44:44,840 Speaker 2: Yeah. Well, I tell you what you know, if I 876 00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:47,920 Speaker 2: wasn't writing or playing golf with my wife, I would 877 00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:49,360 Speaker 2: take that fight with you and I'd be drinking with 878 00:44:49,400 --> 00:44:52,040 Speaker 2: you during the entire game. But yeah, woopig suie. I 879 00:44:52,080 --> 00:44:55,160 Speaker 2: hope my bet loses on that. For Brad at Real 880 00:44:55,200 --> 00:44:59,120 Speaker 2: Brad Audrain and Colin at Underscore Calling One, please read 881 00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:03,080 Speaker 2: the full super Regional preview over at Actionnetwork dot com. 882 00:45:03,520 --> 00:45:08,120 Speaker 2: We will be back next week potentially the last podcast. 883 00:45:08,200 --> 00:45:10,880 Speaker 2: We might have another one before the College World Series Final, 884 00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:14,439 Speaker 2: but College World Series Omaha starts next week. We will 885 00:45:14,440 --> 00:45:17,200 Speaker 2: be back to give that to you. Until then, we'll 886 00:45:17,200 --> 00:45:27,480 Speaker 2: see you on the road to Omaha.