1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,640 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here 2 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:08,560 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,719 Speaker 2: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 2: the studio ad staff, give you, guys, the best independent. 6 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 3: Coverage that is possible. 7 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,279 Speaker 2: If you like what we're all about, it just means 8 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:20,000 Speaker 2: the absolute world to have your support. 9 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:25,919 Speaker 3: But enough with that, let's get to the show. Good morning, everybody, 10 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:28,479 Speaker 3: Happy Thursday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. 11 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 3: What do we have, Crystal? 12 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: Indeed, we do many interesting topics to get to you 13 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:34,520 Speaker 1: this morning. So we did have some primaries this week 14 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:37,000 Speaker 1: and some kind of interesting results that we want to 15 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:39,600 Speaker 1: go through. Both in terms of the presidential level. Nikki 16 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:42,199 Speaker 1: Haley stilly still pulling a fair number of votes even 17 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:44,000 Speaker 1: though she's not in the race anymore. We got some 18 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:46,800 Speaker 1: interesting polls for Biden. We've got some interesting candidates that 19 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 1: are moving on to the general elections. We'll break all 20 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 1: of that down for you. We also have some innovative 21 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 1: ideas being floated over on Fox News about how Trump 22 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 1: may be able to foot that big five hundred million 23 00:00:59,080 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 1: dollar bill that he Owes, so you definitely want to 24 00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 1: stay tuned for that. The United States is slipping big 25 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 1: time in terms of the world happiness rankings, and it 26 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 1: is apparently mostly attributable to young people who are not 27 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 1: too happy about the direction of the country, their lives, 28 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 1: et cetera. So we'll look into what may be going 29 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 1: on there. Some big Joe Biden impeachment hearings yesterday illustrating 30 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:25,319 Speaker 1: the absolutely farcical nature of our politics all the way around, 31 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 1: so we'll show you some of the low lights from there. 32 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: It was bade one of the most embarrassing moments I've 33 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 1: ever seen in politics, to be honest with you, Well, 34 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 1: you definitely want to hang in there for that one. 35 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:38,919 Speaker 1: We also have the US with regards to Israel, reportedly 36 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 1: torn the Biden administration over whether to continue selling weapons 37 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 1: to Israel as it is increasingly undeniable that they're being 38 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 1: used in illegal ways and increasingly undeniable that they are 39 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 1: blocking humanitarian assistance. So we'll take a look at that 40 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 1: debate that is playing out. Also, we've got bb floating 41 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:02,120 Speaker 1: using that temporary port where building for ethnic cleansing, so 42 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 1: that's really great. Playwright Tony Kushner also speaking out backing 43 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 1: Jonathan Glazer and also calling out Israel's all out AsSalt 44 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 1: on gods and very noteworthy comments there. 45 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's going to be interesting. 46 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:14,639 Speaker 2: Before we get to any of that, we want to 47 00:02:14,639 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 2: thank everybody who's been signing up as we keep on teasing, 48 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 2: and I do promise it's coming very soon. We have 49 00:02:18,720 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 2: a big upgrade coming in our premium service where we 50 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:23,080 Speaker 2: really think everybody is going to enjoy it. You're going 51 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:25,239 Speaker 2: to want to get in now before we launch everything, 52 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:28,160 Speaker 2: so you get a fullsome first picture into what we're doing, 53 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:29,920 Speaker 2: and we're going to upgrade everything. We're going to make 54 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:32,120 Speaker 2: it a lot better and a lot easier. So go 55 00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:34,919 Speaker 2: ahead and sign up Breakingpoints dot com. In the meantime, 56 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 2: by the way, the emails issue, I believe it's mostly solved. 57 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 2: We are working on it and we will remain and 58 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:41,639 Speaker 2: keep you guys updated. 59 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:42,480 Speaker 3: So thank you to everybody. 60 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:45,080 Speaker 2: We're always thinking about you and about delivering the show. 61 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 2: So let's go ahead and start, as Chrystal said, with 62 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:49,839 Speaker 2: the primary, we have some interesting results out of two 63 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 2: very important states for the general election. 64 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:53,560 Speaker 3: Let's put it up there on the screen. 65 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:56,239 Speaker 2: First from Ohio, I guess a red state, but not 66 00:02:56,800 --> 00:02:59,280 Speaker 2: that long ago it was a blue state, also considered 67 00:02:59,320 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 2: Trump Country. Kind of the Trumpification of America really embodied 68 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 2: in the flip of Ohio from blue to red under 69 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:08,800 Speaker 2: his leadership. And though, what do we see, well, a 70 00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:10,240 Speaker 2: little bit of a warning sign and some of their 71 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 2: primary results. So, while Trump did win eight hundred and 72 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:15,799 Speaker 2: eighty nine thousand votes and racked up almost seventy nine 73 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 2: percent of the vote taking all of the delegates, Nikki 74 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:22,120 Speaker 2: Haley still somehow was able to get some fourteen percent 75 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:24,920 Speaker 2: of the vote, racking up some sixteen So what you 76 00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 2: can see is that between Hailey, DeSantis, Christy and Ramaswami, 77 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 2: you know, you had some about twenty percent or so 78 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:34,120 Speaker 2: people who voted in the GOP primary who decided not 79 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 2: to vote for Donald Trump. A friend of ours Ryan 80 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:40,120 Speaker 2: Gerdusky flags that this is roughly the same percentage that 81 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 2: Trump was pulling in two thousand and sixteen, after all 82 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 2: of the other candidates had dropped out in the primaries. 83 00:03:46,960 --> 00:03:49,720 Speaker 2: The noteworthy thing, though, is that he's already been president, 84 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 2: as opposed to the fact that he was a unknown 85 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 2: entity last time around. The same results actually in the 86 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 2: state of Florida. 87 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 3: If we can go ahead and put that up there. 88 00:03:57,320 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 2: What do we see, Well, Donald Trump again roughly same percentage, 89 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:04,480 Speaker 2: eighty one percent of the vote, but Nicki Haley fourteen, 90 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 2: Ron DeSantis three percent, and if you look overall, you 91 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:11,240 Speaker 2: have about nineteen percent or so of people who decided 92 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 2: to still come out and to vote against Trump. Some 93 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:15,920 Speaker 2: of the cope I've seen on this crystal is that 94 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 2: because of mailing votes, some of these people may have 95 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 2: sent in their ballots before Nicki Haley had dropped out 96 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:25,240 Speaker 2: of the race. That seems plausible, too reasonable to me. 97 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:29,400 Speaker 2: That said a twenty percent, that a twenty percent margin, 98 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 2: you're still winning overwhelmingly. It just gets to that question, 99 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 2: are these people going to come out? Are they going 100 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 2: to vote for Trump? In twenty twenty four now twenty 101 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 2: sixteen around this was a big question. A lot of 102 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:42,040 Speaker 2: those people did end up voting for Trump or they 103 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:44,599 Speaker 2: simply became Democrats, and then Trump was able to bring 104 00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 2: more white collar, white working class voters to come out 105 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 2: who'd never voted before to solidify his election this time around. 106 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 2: I do feel though, as if some of the Democratic 107 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:55,840 Speaker 2: purge of a lot of these white college educated voters 108 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:57,680 Speaker 2: already happened So these are people who are still in 109 00:04:57,760 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 2: the Republican Party, and it's a big question as to 110 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 2: whether he can keep that coalition together and still bring 111 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,160 Speaker 2: out some of those non traditional voters that would put 112 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:07,719 Speaker 2: him across the finish line in November. 113 00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:09,719 Speaker 1: I mean, I do think it's a warning sign in 114 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:12,159 Speaker 1: the same way that the sizeable uncommitted vote is a 115 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:14,640 Speaker 1: warning sign for Joe Biden. Like to the extent that 116 00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:17,800 Speaker 1: these people hadn't shipped in mail in ballots early back 117 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:20,320 Speaker 1: when there was still an ongoing primary fight, while Nikki 118 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:22,440 Speaker 1: Haley was still in the race. The fact that you 119 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 1: have people who turned up, like went through the trouble 120 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 1: to show up on election day and vote for someone 121 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 1: other than the guy who is already the presumptive nominee, 122 00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:35,480 Speaker 1: you have to see that as a form of protest. Now, yeah, 123 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:37,839 Speaker 1: the question remains, how many of these people are really 124 00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 1: even Republicans at this point. How many of these people 125 00:05:39,960 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 1: have already basically shifted to the Democrats in a realignment 126 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:45,360 Speaker 1: that has been ongoing since twenty sixteen. I think that's 127 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:48,359 Speaker 1: a really open question. I saw some exit polls that 128 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:52,200 Speaker 1: suggested that about half of the Nikki Haley voters in 129 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 1: these primaries said they're going to vote for Joe Biden. 130 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 1: Now those people who voted for Joe Biden last time around, 131 00:05:57,279 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 1: or they'd be able to voted for Donald Trump last 132 00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 1: time around. It's very difficult to say, but I do 133 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:03,679 Speaker 1: think that it is a bit of a warning sign 134 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 1: and something to pay attention to. Apparently it's not only 135 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 1: Nicky Haley voters, though, who aren't so sure about Donald 136 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:13,719 Speaker 1: Trump's campaign. Is Own Life giving a very interesting response 137 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 1: that was kind of amusing on the campaign trail when 138 00:06:16,480 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 1: she was asked whether or not she was going to 139 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:22,360 Speaker 1: be campaigning for Trump her husband this time around. The 140 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 1: stigg list to a is this Trump? 141 00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 4: Are you going to return to your campaign trail with 142 00:06:25,800 --> 00:06:26,279 Speaker 4: your husband? 143 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:30,599 Speaker 1: Stay tuned, Stay tuned. I'm gonna start using that, to 144 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 1: be honestly, someone asked me something that I don't really 145 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:33,320 Speaker 1: want to commit. 146 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 2: That was her classic when we covered the White House 147 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:38,640 Speaker 2: that she was the most impenetrable lady. We couldn't get 148 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 2: anything out of her really. Well, yeah, even at the 149 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 2: infamous be Best event, which I honestly I will never 150 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:46,480 Speaker 2: forget that being in the Rose Garden to watch that kickoff. 151 00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:49,400 Speaker 2: And I think especially because It had come right after 152 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 2: Trump had tweeted something about like Mika Brazinski's facelift God, 153 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,120 Speaker 2: and so everyone. 154 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:56,360 Speaker 3: In the White House Press Corps was like. 155 00:06:56,480 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 2: Missus Trump, like, how do you square you know your 156 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 2: anti bullying care with your husband something like that. 157 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:03,040 Speaker 3: She was so furious. 158 00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 2: I'll never forget it. It was one of the craziest 159 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:07,920 Speaker 2: moments that I was present for. But anyway, what can 160 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:11,240 Speaker 2: we learn from that? In terms of Missus Trump Milania, Well, 161 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 2: she does not seem very enthused about getting back on 162 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:16,280 Speaker 2: the campaign trail. Reportedly, she did not necessarily want her 163 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:18,920 Speaker 2: husband to run again. I mean, look, I was there. 164 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 2: She hated being first Lady. I honestly I felt bad 165 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:23,200 Speaker 2: for her. She never signed up for this. This is 166 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 2: not like many politicis' wives. You know, they're with them 167 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:29,320 Speaker 2: for years. To a certain extent, they know what they're 168 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 2: getting into. She married him when he was a billionaire playboy. 169 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 2: You know, she was there for the New York, Miami 170 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:36,880 Speaker 2: Palm beach lifestyle. She's like, I never signed up for 171 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 2: all this secret service and all this. She's like, I 172 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:41,760 Speaker 2: don't want to do the White House Christmas trees or 173 00:07:41,920 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 2: any of the other traditional first lady, you know, things 174 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:46,400 Speaker 2: that she was required to do when she was there. 175 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:48,800 Speaker 2: So in a certain way I felt bad for from 176 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 2: when we covered her at she did everything in her 177 00:07:53,240 --> 00:07:54,720 Speaker 2: power not to be at the White House. She didn't 178 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 2: want to move to Washington. She barely wanted to bring 179 00:07:56,640 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 2: Baron you know, here. She wanted to stay in a 180 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:00,440 Speaker 2: private school. By all accounts, she wanted to stay in 181 00:08:00,480 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 2: New York or she went to Florida as much as 182 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:04,800 Speaker 2: she possibly could. So she is not looking forward to 183 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 2: being back in the White House if she does need 184 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:08,360 Speaker 2: to be. And I'm not talking about politics, I'm saying 185 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 2: purely on a person le she hated it. 186 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:10,800 Speaker 3: She truly hated me. 187 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 1: I don't even know if she would this time around. 188 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 3: Even she may not. She may just stay in Florida. 189 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:17,720 Speaker 1: I mean, especially like the first time around, you kind 190 00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 1: of got to keep up appearances because you've got to. 191 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 1: You know, he's got a run for re election again, 192 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 1: et cetera. This time, you don't know, and baronish eighteen. Yeah, 193 00:08:24,600 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 1: and so he doesn't have to go to school, so 194 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 1: she could just Saron's graduated high school. It's an adult now. 195 00:08:28,640 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 1: So yeah, I would not be surprised if she stays 196 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 1: in Florida, and if we don't see a whole lot 197 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 1: of her on the campaign trail, because she doesn't seem 198 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:37,320 Speaker 1: particularly enthusiastic about it, I can't really blame her on 199 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:37,560 Speaker 1: that one. 200 00:08:37,640 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 2: Let's go to the next part though, about Biden and 201 00:08:40,040 --> 00:08:42,439 Speaker 2: about the general election. So there were some interesting signs, 202 00:08:42,440 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 2: and we always want to give the counter cases here 203 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:46,800 Speaker 2: because by all accounts, you know, I would say things 204 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 2: look as if they're going well for Trump, but there 205 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 2: have been some interesting movements in polls lately that we 206 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 2: would be remiss not to flag. Let's put this up 207 00:08:54,640 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 2: there please, on the screen. So this is a January 208 00:08:57,360 --> 00:09:02,319 Speaker 2: to February shift towards March. So in multiple different polling organizations, 209 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:05,280 Speaker 2: Emerson had Trump plus one in January February. 210 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:06,520 Speaker 3: Now it says Trump plus two. 211 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,840 Speaker 2: Keep in mind this is registered voters, not likely voters, 212 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:13,720 Speaker 2: where there is some interesting analysis about whether that's even correct. 213 00:09:13,840 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 2: Then you have others here Trump plus two to Biden 214 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:18,760 Speaker 2: plus two ipsos. You had Biden and Trump tied, now 215 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:21,760 Speaker 2: it's Biden plus two. You had KFF Kaiser Family Foundation, 216 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:24,600 Speaker 2: Trump plus four, now Biden plus three. Civics, you had 217 00:09:24,640 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 2: them tied Biden plus one, and then Florida Atlantic University 218 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 2: it was Trump plus four, now Biden plus two. That 219 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 2: last one. Let's keep in mind that's actually likely voters. 220 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 2: So that's actually probably the most noteworthy. Now what does 221 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:37,840 Speaker 2: this mean. I mean, it could mean anything. Trump is 222 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 2: still overwhelmingly leading Biden in the RCP polling average, and 223 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:44,200 Speaker 2: I mean that in terms of the average of the 224 00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:47,600 Speaker 2: last months or so of the polls. These are some 225 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:50,920 Speaker 2: more recent and interesting ones. But Chrystal, we have to 226 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 2: always remember that per our most recent elections, the polls 227 00:09:55,920 --> 00:10:00,920 Speaker 2: dramatically underestimated Democratic support. So we have to think that 228 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 2: even in these Trump numbers, and perhaps even in some 229 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 2: of this movement, that there isn't you know, a non 230 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:10,319 Speaker 2: baked in factor of a lot of white collar or sorry, 231 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 2: a lot of white collar democratic college educated voters who 232 00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 2: just come out and vote in numbers that we had 233 00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:20,320 Speaker 2: not seen previously, that clearly polls were not able to 234 00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:23,000 Speaker 2: catch up with in the same way that they underpolled 235 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 2: these white working class voters from twenty sixteen and in 236 00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 2: twenty twenty. 237 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:30,960 Speaker 1: I mean, if you dig into the polling data for 238 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 1: what it's worth, there are some really interesting numbers about 239 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 1: registered voters versus likely voters, non voter, people who haven't 240 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 1: voted before, but who are saying I am going to 241 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:46,400 Speaker 1: vote this time around favor Trump by like twenty three points, right, 242 00:10:46,800 --> 00:10:48,840 Speaker 1: So there's a huge question mark. First of all, is 243 00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 1: it accurate, because that's always worth that people say levels 244 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:52,600 Speaker 1: given the misses that we've seen. 245 00:10:52,760 --> 00:10:52,960 Speaker 3: Right. 246 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 1: Second of all, Okay, these are people that haven't voted, 247 00:10:55,400 --> 00:10:57,760 Speaker 1: but are they actually going to vote this time around? 248 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:00,520 Speaker 1: Because when you look at the universe of people who 249 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 1: have voted before, that universe tends to favor Joe Biden. 250 00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:07,600 Speaker 1: And that's what you're sort of referencing, is these this 251 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:11,840 Speaker 1: group of voters, these like college educated, mostly white voters, 252 00:11:11,880 --> 00:11:14,320 Speaker 1: they are like the most reliable, especially older, They're the 253 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 1: most reliable voters. Like clockwork. They show up every single election. 254 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:21,079 Speaker 1: You can really count on them, and they have overwhelmingly 255 00:11:21,080 --> 00:11:25,120 Speaker 1: shifted into the Democratic parties camp, giving them an edge, 256 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:28,200 Speaker 1: especially in things like the special elections that we've been tracking, 257 00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:31,480 Speaker 1: especially in like the midterms. Now, a presidential election cycle 258 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 1: is very different because obviously you're going to have your 259 00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:37,280 Speaker 1: highest level of turnout there, So who actually shows up? 260 00:11:37,640 --> 00:11:40,600 Speaker 1: What is the real universe of voters that we're going 261 00:11:40,640 --> 00:11:43,400 Speaker 1: to be looking at on election day that polsters need 262 00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:46,360 Speaker 1: to be tracking and you know, seeing what direction they're 263 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:49,640 Speaker 1: going in. So that's one piece. The reason why I 264 00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 1: wanted to highlight some of these numbers is because you know, 265 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:55,280 Speaker 1: you have to take any one poll with a grain 266 00:11:55,320 --> 00:11:57,520 Speaker 1: of salt. This is not so much to look at 267 00:11:57,520 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 1: the absolute overall, you know, towards Biden, but what is 268 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:05,160 Speaker 1: the movement over the past month. And if you see 269 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 1: a variety of polls that show some positive movement towards Biden, 270 00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:11,400 Speaker 1: then you have to ask what's going on there, because 271 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 1: it's unlikely that all of the polls have the same 272 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 1: error in the direction of Biden over that time period. 273 00:12:17,520 --> 00:12:21,040 Speaker 1: There's a few potential explanations. One is that you know, 274 00:12:21,080 --> 00:12:23,480 Speaker 1: we've had more Trump legal news and it's reminding people 275 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 1: of you know, all of the chaos, the things that 276 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:28,959 Speaker 1: they really don't like about Donald Trump. That's one possibility. 277 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 1: Another possibility is some of the improvement that we've seen 278 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:35,720 Speaker 1: in things like consumer sentiment that takes some time to 279 00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:39,080 Speaker 1: filter through to the politics, is actually starting to filter 280 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 1: through people While or nobody here is saying the economy 281 00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:43,720 Speaker 1: is amazing I want to say that the sense that 282 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:46,600 Speaker 1: there's some improvement may be starting to show up and 283 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:49,040 Speaker 1: reflect in Biden poll numbers. That's kind of the most 284 00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 1: hopeful outcome for him and his team, and I think 285 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:55,960 Speaker 1: it's plausible, certainly possible. The other possibility is that he 286 00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:59,040 Speaker 1: did do himself at least some temporary favors with a 287 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:04,120 Speaker 1: not disaster stress state of the Union appearance, and that 288 00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:07,200 Speaker 1: is helping to shift things in his direction. But you know, 289 00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:09,320 Speaker 1: all of those things. It could be a combination of 290 00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:11,400 Speaker 1: those things. It could be a one off fluke, it 291 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:13,520 Speaker 1: could be we're looking at a very different situation when 292 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:17,360 Speaker 1: all posters move to likely voter models. There's a million 293 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:19,320 Speaker 1: question marks around this, but I did think it was 294 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 1: enough of a trend to take note that at least 295 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:24,920 Speaker 1: over the past couple of months, there has been a 296 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 1: little bit of movement towards Joe Bide that his team 297 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:30,680 Speaker 1: has to be like, you know, really cheering for and 298 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:32,839 Speaker 1: holding on to for all it's worth. At this point, 299 00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:33,880 Speaker 1: let's go to the next one. 300 00:13:33,920 --> 00:13:35,680 Speaker 2: This is also about the candidates, because this is going 301 00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:37,880 Speaker 2: to be a big question actually in some of these candidates. 302 00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 2: You see the big tests of what the major issues 303 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:43,280 Speaker 2: will be so the AP police about Bernie Moreno. As 304 00:13:43,280 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 2: we can see, Bernie Moreno was the Ohio victor of 305 00:13:47,480 --> 00:13:50,199 Speaker 2: the GOP primary. He will go on to face Shared 306 00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 2: Brown in the general election. Now, Shared Brown has long 307 00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:56,640 Speaker 2: been kind of a what canary. I guess he's been 308 00:13:56,760 --> 00:14:00,320 Speaker 2: very different than a lot of the other National Democratic parties, 309 00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 2: very pro union, a lot of people who do vote 310 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:06,800 Speaker 2: Trump always traditionally at higher approval rating in the state. 311 00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:08,600 Speaker 2: What I think is going to be the big question 312 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:11,760 Speaker 2: mark about Moreno, who Trump backed as opposed to another 313 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:14,360 Speaker 2: candidate was endorsed by Ohio Governor Mike Dwine. 314 00:14:14,400 --> 00:14:15,439 Speaker 3: It's about abortion. 315 00:14:15,559 --> 00:14:17,320 Speaker 2: Because I was going back and I was looking so 316 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 2: Bernie Moreno was still not exactly clear where he stands 317 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 2: on abortion. He's made comments in the past it seemed 318 00:14:23,800 --> 00:14:26,480 Speaker 2: to be he would be okay with a national abortion band. 319 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:28,840 Speaker 2: I think he's going to have to clarify that language 320 00:14:28,840 --> 00:14:32,600 Speaker 2: with no exceptions exactly. Most importantly in terms of Ohio politics, 321 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:35,440 Speaker 2: remember Crystal, they had that referendum that came forward. 322 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 3: That was one where both Moreno and. 323 00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:41,520 Speaker 2: The Ohio Republican Party were on the wrong side of 324 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:44,960 Speaker 2: that winning issue. So we can see that shared Brown 325 00:14:45,160 --> 00:14:48,600 Speaker 2: is going to lean heavily into abortion messaging. And I 326 00:14:48,640 --> 00:14:52,400 Speaker 2: think that Brown himself is already a very strong candidate. 327 00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:55,760 Speaker 2: This is a man who has you know, stood astride. 328 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 2: Like a lot of national trends, he has been very 329 00:14:58,240 --> 00:15:03,760 Speaker 2: pro union, very pro tariffs, for example on Chinese goods, 330 00:15:03,960 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 2: pro worker in a much more traditional sense of the past. 331 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:10,040 Speaker 2: And he was able to set himself apart from the 332 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 2: National Democratic Party even on with Biden. You know, he's 333 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 2: clashed with him a couple of times on several of 334 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 2: these issues, kind of going aside on the issue of neoliberals. 335 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:20,560 Speaker 2: So he kind of has that going for I mean, 336 00:15:20,560 --> 00:15:22,640 Speaker 2: he has a good image I think within the state 337 00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 2: as I understand it. So then if you add on 338 00:15:25,560 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 2: all of these voters who came out on abortion, I 339 00:15:28,520 --> 00:15:31,560 Speaker 2: do think that this could be a real test for him, 340 00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,320 Speaker 2: because we can't forget that while Ohio went Trump by 341 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:37,040 Speaker 2: some eight points in twenty twenty four, actually increased his 342 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 2: vote margin there is that they still did come out 343 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:43,640 Speaker 2: for the pro host pro choice side in that latest 344 00:15:43,680 --> 00:15:45,080 Speaker 2: referendum that happened to the state. 345 00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 1: You know, I need to go back and look at 346 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 1: where Bernie Marino was and what he had to say 347 00:15:52,120 --> 00:15:55,119 Speaker 1: about that referendum, because that could end up being significant 348 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:58,000 Speaker 1: into the context of this race. As you're bringing it up, 349 00:15:58,160 --> 00:16:00,200 Speaker 1: you know, I just pulled up the polls that have 350 00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 1: Brown versus Marino head to head. They favor Brown at 351 00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:07,600 Speaker 1: this point plus four plus six, plus five plus two. Now, 352 00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:11,320 Speaker 1: these are not overwhelming margins, and none of these polls 353 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 1: is Shared Brown over fifty percent, which has to be 354 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:17,600 Speaker 1: a concern if you're a Democrat in a state that 355 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:21,320 Speaker 1: has increasingly trended towards the right. So I don't think 356 00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 1: there's any doubt Shared Brown has the fight of his 357 00:16:23,760 --> 00:16:28,920 Speaker 1: life on his hands. Now, Democrats think they got the 358 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:33,320 Speaker 1: candidate they wanted in Bernie Moreno. In fact, Schumer's pack 359 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 1: spent I believe millions of dollars. 360 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:36,120 Speaker 3: Yes, they did. 361 00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:40,000 Speaker 1: Backing Bernie Moreno, running these ads that are like, oh, 362 00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 1: he's too conservative for a he he's too close to Trump, 363 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 1: knowing that that could actually boost him in the context 364 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:49,200 Speaker 1: of a Republican primary. So they very much thought that 365 00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:52,520 Speaker 1: he is the most beatable candidate. Is that the case, 366 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:55,280 Speaker 1: I genuinely don't know. I mean, the comments on abortion 367 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 1: are probably the biggest issue for him. There's also this 368 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:03,640 Speaker 1: questionable report that came out just before the primary, like 369 00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:06,240 Speaker 1: literally the day before the primary. The ape you reported 370 00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:08,760 Speaker 1: that in two thousand and eight, someone with access to 371 00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 1: his work email account created a profile on an adult 372 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:14,560 Speaker 1: website seeking men for one on one sex. The ap, 373 00:17:14,840 --> 00:17:18,199 Speaker 1: though couldn't definitively confirm, is created by him himself. His 374 00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:21,240 Speaker 1: lawyer set a former intern had created the account as 375 00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:26,000 Speaker 1: a juvenile prank. So there's whatever that is going on. 376 00:17:26,160 --> 00:17:27,919 Speaker 1: But I agree with you, Zack. I think the bigger 377 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:32,160 Speaker 1: issue is his abortion comments and other somewhat extreme comments 378 00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:34,080 Speaker 1: that he made in the context of trying to win 379 00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:37,080 Speaker 1: a Republican primary. He's also not a politician, so we've 380 00:17:37,080 --> 00:17:39,560 Speaker 1: seen the way that you know, he's he's sort of 381 00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:43,480 Speaker 1: untested in that way. It's also possible Democrats have some 382 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:45,880 Speaker 1: additional dirt on him that we haven't learned about yet, 383 00:17:45,920 --> 00:17:47,639 Speaker 1: and that's why they were so eager to push him 384 00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:50,280 Speaker 1: forward as the candidate. But in other ways, I do 385 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 1: think he's kind of dangerous for them. I mean, he 386 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:55,480 Speaker 1: is cut from a similar cloth as Trump in terms 387 00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:57,960 Speaker 1: of being this like, you know, not that Trump really 388 00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:01,720 Speaker 1: was self made, but self made businessman image he does 389 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:04,240 Speaker 1: have this sort of populist positioning that, especially in a 390 00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:08,240 Speaker 1: state like Ohio, could work out well. So in any case, 391 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:12,240 Speaker 1: Democrats placed a big bet. Two point seven million dollars 392 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:15,000 Speaker 1: I just saw was the amount that they spent to 393 00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:18,680 Speaker 1: elevate this guy. They got the candidate they wanted, Let's 394 00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:19,719 Speaker 1: see how it works out for them. 395 00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:21,639 Speaker 2: It was funny for me to watch because this is 396 00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:24,399 Speaker 2: a time when you have Jay Vance and Trump on 397 00:18:24,440 --> 00:18:27,440 Speaker 2: the same side as Chuck Schumer, both kind of thinking 398 00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:29,919 Speaker 2: that they are he is the most selectable candidate. I 399 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,160 Speaker 2: do agree with you if I were them, you're playing 400 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:35,120 Speaker 2: with fire here. I mean, you don't know. Look, last time, 401 00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:37,080 Speaker 2: I think they are all riding high. And this is 402 00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:39,520 Speaker 2: the problem with politics. Everything is recency biased. They are 403 00:18:39,560 --> 00:18:43,080 Speaker 2: all riding high off of backing the Doug Mastrianos of 404 00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:45,800 Speaker 2: the world and others from twenty twenty two. Now, don't 405 00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:47,920 Speaker 2: get me wrong, it definitely worked out like that. They 406 00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:49,959 Speaker 2: were right and I was wrong. I didn't think that 407 00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 2: was a very proven strategy. But you know, it's always 408 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 2: a roll of the dice whenever it comes to people 409 00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:57,199 Speaker 2: who are actually voting. So what if it ends up 410 00:18:57,240 --> 00:18:59,160 Speaker 2: You know another thing, I was thinking about, is about 411 00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:01,120 Speaker 2: the Senate Republican majority. 412 00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:02,439 Speaker 3: Something that's come out of nowhere. 413 00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:05,399 Speaker 2: Christle is Larry Hogan in Maryland who's running for Senate 414 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:07,760 Speaker 2: and he's actually leading in all the polls. That's a 415 00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:10,520 Speaker 2: plus one in the GOP category. So let's say that 416 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:14,040 Speaker 2: Bernie Moreno here wins and takes out a Democrat, and 417 00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 2: then let's look around the map and listen Kerry Lake. 418 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:18,480 Speaker 2: She may have lost once, she could win again. 419 00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:19,280 Speaker 3: We don't know. 420 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:22,440 Speaker 2: She could beat what's the same, Reuben Diego. It could 421 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:25,440 Speaker 2: come down to our percentage point. That's another Democratic seat, 422 00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:28,159 Speaker 2: you know, or I guess independent, whatever cinema is today 423 00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:30,400 Speaker 2: that goes in the Republican category. Now we're talking about 424 00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:33,560 Speaker 2: fifty three, maybe fifty four, fifty five seats for the 425 00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:36,320 Speaker 2: Republicans that are in the Senate. That is a very 426 00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:39,600 Speaker 2: very very different governing coalition than any time that we 427 00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:42,840 Speaker 2: saw under Trump in his first term around. So these 428 00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 2: are all things where they should be very careful and considered. 429 00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:49,399 Speaker 2: That said, because there's not a lot of daylight between 430 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:51,840 Speaker 2: a lot of the Ohio Republicans on abortion, I do 431 00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:53,360 Speaker 2: think that any of them were going to get hit 432 00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 2: with this no matter what, and it'll be a great 433 00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:58,040 Speaker 2: test actually for that abortion standard of twenty twenty two. 434 00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:00,920 Speaker 2: And in some of the referendums Issue one, I did 435 00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:02,480 Speaker 2: look it up. He was on the side of Issue one. 436 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:05,200 Speaker 2: He came out pretty forcefully for the pro life side 437 00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:07,919 Speaker 2: there and obviously they lost pretty big at the ballot box. 438 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:11,199 Speaker 2: Whether that's going to carry over into the general like 439 00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:12,560 Speaker 2: we always say, who the hell. 440 00:20:12,440 --> 00:20:15,239 Speaker 1: Knows problems for him? I think I'm also I mean, 441 00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:18,080 Speaker 1: Sharon Brown is not a usually strong politician. He's probably 442 00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 1: one of the only Democrats that could credibly win the 443 00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:24,520 Speaker 1: state at this point. That being sent again, it's different 444 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:27,240 Speaker 1: at a state level versus a federal level, and so 445 00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:29,840 Speaker 1: is the fact his you know, the way people feel 446 00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 1: about him locally. Is that enough to overcome what has 447 00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:37,400 Speaker 1: become a completely toxic Democratic brand in the state of Ohio. 448 00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:39,760 Speaker 1: I will also say that, you know, some of the 449 00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:43,040 Speaker 1: Biden things that did get past, like the Chips Bill, 450 00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:47,399 Speaker 1: the infrastructure bill, some of the push towards evs and 451 00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:51,359 Speaker 1: you know, increase opening new manufacturing facilities. With regards to that, 452 00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:54,359 Speaker 1: Ohio has been one of the states that has disproportionately 453 00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:57,400 Speaker 1: benefited shared Brown is really running a campaign to tie 454 00:20:57,520 --> 00:21:02,280 Speaker 1: himself to that increase in jobs in the state. And also, 455 00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:05,400 Speaker 1: I mean he's always been extremely pro labor, even when 456 00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:08,720 Speaker 1: that was like not cool, he really stood by unions. 457 00:21:08,800 --> 00:21:11,240 Speaker 1: That's very popular in the state of Ohio. It is 458 00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:13,160 Speaker 1: very I used to live there. It is a very 459 00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:16,399 Speaker 1: populous state and kind a little bit different than the 460 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:19,640 Speaker 1: more country club Republican brand that may dominate in other places. 461 00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:22,920 Speaker 1: So we'll see. I think chery Brown is planning to 462 00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:27,239 Speaker 1: run his campaign basically on abortion rights and jobs and 463 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,080 Speaker 1: commitment to working people. That is a combination that has 464 00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:31,920 Speaker 1: certainly worked well for him in the past. As I said, 465 00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,080 Speaker 1: Democrats think that they got the right candidate that they 466 00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:35,600 Speaker 1: have the best shot of beating, and. 467 00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:37,520 Speaker 2: We will see what happens on a line that is 468 00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:40,800 Speaker 2: hands down the best campaign he could run. I think 469 00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:43,440 Speaker 2: he's the only guy who could possibly win, But as 470 00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:44,879 Speaker 2: you said, it is still going to be a very, 471 00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:47,439 Speaker 2: very tough election on the issue of candidates as well. 472 00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:49,920 Speaker 2: Let's go to this next one, Mark Robinson. We talked 473 00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:52,280 Speaker 2: about him previously. There was a question about whether he'd 474 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:55,760 Speaker 2: quoted what was it Hitler or not. I will defend him. 475 00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,639 Speaker 2: Having read the full context, of the quote. I do 476 00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:01,000 Speaker 2: believe that he was neared by the media that said 477 00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:05,240 Speaker 2: mister Robinson, I would in general epstein from quoting mister Hitler. 478 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:08,720 Speaker 2: That's just a general per piece of advice. As they 479 00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:11,400 Speaker 2: right here. Mark Robinson has quote has a long history 480 00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:14,720 Speaker 2: of inflammatory statements. He has called for waiving weaving conservative 481 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:18,119 Speaker 2: religious beliefs into the fabric of the government. Robinson has 482 00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:20,520 Speaker 2: kind of been it's kind of hard to like a 483 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:23,880 Speaker 2: firebrand almost. Yeah, like firebrand is probably the best way 484 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:26,000 Speaker 2: to say. I've been familiar with him for a while. 485 00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:28,240 Speaker 3: Seem to kind of bubble up in the state. Yeah, 486 00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:30,720 Speaker 3: just I always like to track like who's. 487 00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:34,640 Speaker 2: Going viral amongst the right wing, the right wing kind 488 00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,520 Speaker 2: of video ecosystem, because you know, they go on to 489 00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:40,960 Speaker 2: win elections and then now our primaries and now he's 490 00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:43,959 Speaker 2: going to face you know, and a major test in 491 00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:47,680 Speaker 2: North Carolina. North Carolina is another very interesting one here 492 00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:51,320 Speaker 2: because what we have is the gubernatorial race. Now North 493 00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:54,800 Speaker 2: Carolina at the federal level has been largely. 494 00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:55,879 Speaker 3: Willing to go Republican. 495 00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:57,720 Speaker 2: We know, I think was Obama won the state in 496 00:22:57,720 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 2: two thousand and eight, but at the gubernatorial the state level, 497 00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:02,639 Speaker 2: the attorney general and all that, Crystal, they don't have 498 00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:04,760 Speaker 2: really a problem, you know, electing democrats. 499 00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:06,840 Speaker 1: The democratic governor right now, exactly so, And. 500 00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,199 Speaker 2: What isn't he facing the state the attorney general in 501 00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:12,160 Speaker 2: the right, I'm not sure, But my point is that 502 00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:15,960 Speaker 2: at the state level they don't have a problem electing Democrats. 503 00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:18,000 Speaker 2: So if that is where it will be a big 504 00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:20,479 Speaker 2: question too, because you know, for all the talk here 505 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:23,160 Speaker 2: on the show about federal politics and all that, listen, 506 00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:24,200 Speaker 2: I'm not saying it doesn't matter. 507 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:24,880 Speaker 3: It certainly does. 508 00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:27,000 Speaker 2: But at a gubernatorial level, the state stuff, I mean, 509 00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 2: this all matters a lot too. Yeah, And so for 510 00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:33,080 Speaker 2: North Carolina it's always been in that purplish category. And 511 00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:36,359 Speaker 2: for Biden you need everything you can possibly get. And 512 00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:40,280 Speaker 2: this is the case too, where like, okay, interesting are 513 00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:42,679 Speaker 2: these people who are totally endorsed by mag and all that. 514 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:45,640 Speaker 2: How are they going to do in an actual election 515 00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 2: against a very cookie cutter, normal Democrat in the state. 516 00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:50,800 Speaker 3: That's a question as well. 517 00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:55,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, and how do the wildest characters that they nominate 518 00:23:55,440 --> 00:24:00,399 Speaker 1: in these primaries translate over into the overall normal person 519 00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:04,480 Speaker 1: impression of the Republican Party, Because in a lot of ways, 520 00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:07,120 Speaker 1: This was the biggest problem in the twenty twenty two midterms. 521 00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:09,640 Speaker 1: It's not that the Democrats were so amazing or they 522 00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:12,680 Speaker 1: were you know, voters were super excited about Joe Biden 523 00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:17,400 Speaker 1: and his party, but they looked at characters like Doug Mastriano, 524 00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:19,520 Speaker 1: and they looked at a lot of the other candidates 525 00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:22,000 Speaker 1: that came out of those primaries, who, by the way, 526 00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:24,880 Speaker 1: by and large, were backed by Donald Trump, and they 527 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:28,679 Speaker 1: were repulsed in many instances, so that seats like the 528 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:33,000 Speaker 1: ones in Pennsylvania, which were eminently winnable for Republicans, became, 529 00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:35,720 Speaker 1: you know, not to use what is apparently now a 530 00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:37,199 Speaker 1: very controversial term bloodbath for. 531 00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:42,080 Speaker 2: Republicans, Hey don't, don't go advocating for violence. 532 00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:46,520 Speaker 1: Yeah. So, in any case, I think that's why these 533 00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:49,800 Speaker 1: two individuals, Bernie Marino, but even more to the point 534 00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,680 Speaker 1: Mark Robinson, who listen, you can say the other quotes 535 00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:55,040 Speaker 1: were taken out of context. There's plenty to work with 536 00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 1: their for this man saying really wild and out of 537 00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:03,720 Speaker 1: the mainstream things. He also has extremely fringed positions visa 538 00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:05,680 Speaker 1: the abortion, which he has worn on his sleeve and 539 00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:08,040 Speaker 1: has no interest in walking away from, which will be 540 00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:10,320 Speaker 1: anathema to a lot of people in a state like 541 00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:12,720 Speaker 1: North Carolina where these issues you know, obviously, at the 542 00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:16,399 Speaker 1: state level, this is an incredibly present and important issue 543 00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:18,479 Speaker 1: for a whole lot of voters. So that to me 544 00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:21,520 Speaker 1: is the question is do Republicans once again do themselves 545 00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:24,920 Speaker 1: in by nominating these types of candidates who not only 546 00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:29,360 Speaker 1: impact those specific races that should be completely winnable for Republicans, 547 00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:32,239 Speaker 1: but really stain the whole party in this sort of 548 00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:34,199 Speaker 1: like these are a bunch of fringe wackos that we 549 00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:35,080 Speaker 1: want nothing to do with. 550 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:37,320 Speaker 2: Kind of a way, the other thing I'm paying attention to, 551 00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:41,080 Speaker 2: we don't have an alman for this Pennsylvania. Remember David McCormick, 552 00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:43,760 Speaker 2: who was defeated by doctor Oz. He's very likely going 553 00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:46,120 Speaker 2: to bet Hedge FUNDUS, former Hedge fund guy who worked 554 00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:48,280 Speaker 2: for Ray Dalio, who's one of the biggest sellouts to 555 00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:49,399 Speaker 2: China and American history. 556 00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:51,720 Speaker 3: Secondary it certainly shouldn't be important. 557 00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:55,720 Speaker 2: And my big test for him is he always said 558 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:58,200 Speaker 2: I could have beat John Fetterman, which I don't believe, 559 00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:00,720 Speaker 2: and now he's going up against Bob Kay. So this 560 00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:03,280 Speaker 2: is also a test on the other side of can 561 00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:08,480 Speaker 2: the traditional normy Republican actually farewell against let's say a 562 00:26:08,520 --> 00:26:12,359 Speaker 2: traditional normy Democrat like Bob Casey in the overall general elections. 563 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:13,920 Speaker 3: So I'm actually watching that race very closely. 564 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:16,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, because this is a non MAGA person and you know, 565 00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:20,320 Speaker 2: his whole case was I'm a throwback to Mitt Romney type. 566 00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:22,800 Speaker 2: It's like, well, can the Pat Toomey type Republicans still 567 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:24,040 Speaker 2: win in the state of Pennsylvania. 568 00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:25,360 Speaker 3: That's gonna be a big question as well. 569 00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:28,400 Speaker 1: And interestingly, Pennsylvania has been one of the swing states 570 00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:31,160 Speaker 1: where Joe Biden has held up better for whatever reasons 571 00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:35,520 Speaker 1: than other swing states according the Bowling. Thanks, Joe's got 572 00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:40,080 Speaker 1: to prove for him, all right. We have some interesting 573 00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:43,760 Speaker 1: developments interesting on the Trump legal front. So, as we 574 00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:49,280 Speaker 1: covered previously, Trump has been unable despite extraordinary efforts of 575 00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:52,760 Speaker 1: going to thirty different insurance companies to secure the half 576 00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:56,000 Speaker 1: a billion dollar bond that he needs to be able 577 00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:59,480 Speaker 1: to put down in this case of his civil fraud 578 00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:02,560 Speaker 1: suit and judgment that went against him for nearly that 579 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:06,040 Speaker 1: amount of money. So this has led to a variety 580 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:09,240 Speaker 1: of Fox News personalities floating all kinds of ideas for 581 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:12,919 Speaker 1: how he could potentially come up with this money, and 582 00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:14,159 Speaker 1: you know, I don't want to make light of it 583 00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:17,560 Speaker 1: because obviously it's an extraordinary sum of money. It could 584 00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:22,240 Speaker 1: genuinely lead to some of his premier New York properties 585 00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:25,520 Speaker 1: being seized by the state because he does not have 586 00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:28,320 Speaker 1: the cash in the bank, because who does to cover 587 00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 1: half a billion dollars. So here we have to start 588 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:36,680 Speaker 1: with Larry Kudlow asking Kevin O'Leary if he might personally 589 00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:39,240 Speaker 1: float this amount of money to Donald Trump with sigles 590 00:27:39,280 --> 00:27:39,560 Speaker 1: into that. 591 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:42,800 Speaker 5: Kevin O'Leary, I think this is where it's going to go. 592 00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:43,160 Speaker 4: Now. 593 00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:46,440 Speaker 5: I was wondering, if he can't get to the Supreme Court, 594 00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:48,639 Speaker 5: will you loan on the four hundred and sixty million, 595 00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:52,200 Speaker 5: you know, just to help in order to protect America's name. 596 00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:53,800 Speaker 3: Think about that would get. 597 00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:56,080 Speaker 4: The bond he was able to get the ninety plus 598 00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:59,720 Speaker 4: million from Chubb. Yeah, it's I don't know of a 599 00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:01,600 Speaker 4: bok on more than ninety million. 600 00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:03,000 Speaker 6: I don't recall one. 601 00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:06,280 Speaker 4: And so you need cash to back up the bond insurance. 602 00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:11,440 Speaker 4: And so now we're talking about the terminology of seizing 603 00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:18,639 Speaker 4: assets that actually that's foreign language to an American investor. 604 00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:22,399 Speaker 4: They want due process, they want the appeal that sounds 605 00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 4: like Venezuela, sounds like Cuba. It's a really bad look 606 00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:28,240 Speaker 4: for New York. But I think it's going to beyond 607 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:34,200 Speaker 4: New York now. Bipartisan participants and financial services managers are 608 00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:38,479 Speaker 4: not okay with this and getting very uncomfortable. And I think, 609 00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:41,760 Speaker 4: whether it's a Supreme Court that provides the adult supervision, 610 00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:47,480 Speaker 4: whether it's somebody else we desperately need for this kid's party, 611 00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:49,040 Speaker 4: for the adults to get home. 612 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,720 Speaker 1: So notably does not respond directly to Larry. I don't 613 00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:54,680 Speaker 1: think he's good for that half a billion dollars. 614 00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:56,480 Speaker 3: So no, I think he's probably good for it. I 615 00:28:56,520 --> 00:28:57,280 Speaker 3: think he just don't well. 616 00:28:57,320 --> 00:28:58,959 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think he's going to pony it up, 617 00:28:59,000 --> 00:28:59,440 Speaker 1: is what I mean. 618 00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:01,120 Speaker 2: I got a soft spot for Kevin. He's got a 619 00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:03,040 Speaker 2: great watch collection. He does a lot of good watch 620 00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:05,440 Speaker 2: sho He's got a great He's got a lot of 621 00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:08,000 Speaker 2: good watch content on YouTube, if you're interested. 622 00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:09,760 Speaker 1: I don't know who really. 623 00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:11,480 Speaker 3: Right. 624 00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:13,720 Speaker 1: That's really all I know about it. I will come 625 00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:16,280 Speaker 1: out hard for Trump recently. Is that the idea he's 626 00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:17,120 Speaker 1: like a business guy. 627 00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:20,240 Speaker 2: I like he was saying he's attacking it from the 628 00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:22,720 Speaker 2: I've never seen a bond kind of thing he's he 629 00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:26,680 Speaker 2: likes to speak out about, like, yeah, exactly like business finance. 630 00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:29,120 Speaker 2: I know it has done a lot of business in 631 00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:30,760 Speaker 2: New York. So I'm not gonna, you know, go after 632 00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:33,200 Speaker 2: his analysis there or whatever. All I would say is, uh, 633 00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:35,880 Speaker 2: I think it is interesting that even his richest and 634 00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:38,800 Speaker 2: wealthiest I wouldn't call him a backer here. Also, I 635 00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:41,200 Speaker 2: do think Kevin is Canadian, so that that's important. 636 00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:43,320 Speaker 3: They though, are while they. 637 00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:46,000 Speaker 2: Made to cry the decision, I've seen others Joe Lonsdale 638 00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:49,400 Speaker 2: and others who are talking about this very very wealthy individuals. 639 00:29:49,680 --> 00:29:50,960 Speaker 3: Nobody yet, though, is. 640 00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:53,800 Speaker 2: Willing to actually pay the fine for the man, and 641 00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:54,720 Speaker 2: that seems important. 642 00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:58,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I would just say with regards to his analysis, 643 00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:00,800 Speaker 1: you know, maybe we're not used to seeing people who 644 00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:02,800 Speaker 1: are at that level of you know, the top point 645 00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:06,360 Speaker 1: one percent of wealth, seeing that lians put on their 646 00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:09,000 Speaker 1: accounts and assets sees. But this is a very common 647 00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:11,600 Speaker 1: occurrence for you know, ordinary people who you know, get 648 00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:13,760 Speaker 1: behind on jobs, aboard or bed behind. 649 00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:14,200 Speaker 3: All taxes or where. 650 00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:16,960 Speaker 1: I mean, that's very commonplace. So it's not like, oh 651 00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:20,280 Speaker 1: my god, this has never happened before. This is venezuela tax, 652 00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:22,760 Speaker 1: you know, back toaxes. All these sorts of things can 653 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,840 Speaker 1: result in lians being put on your accounts, or your 654 00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:28,600 Speaker 1: pay being garnished, or your assets being seized, et cetera. 655 00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:29,640 Speaker 1: So this is not that's true. 656 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:32,360 Speaker 2: You know, credit card companies garnish people wages all the time. 657 00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:33,920 Speaker 2: All they have to do is take your take you 658 00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:36,000 Speaker 2: to court and they can put Yeah they can literally 659 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:37,560 Speaker 2: it only takes them a year and they can actually 660 00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:39,440 Speaker 2: take money out of your paycheck yeh, which is crazy 661 00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:39,880 Speaker 2: in my opinion. 662 00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:40,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's all of it. 663 00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:45,240 Speaker 1: Indeed. Okay, So just to underscore what is actually going 664 00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:47,160 Speaker 1: on here, because again I don't want to make light 665 00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:49,680 Speaker 1: of it. It is a huge amount of money. It 666 00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:53,440 Speaker 1: is really significant to Trump himself. Let's put this up 667 00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:57,680 Speaker 1: on the screen from the AP. So this article goes 668 00:30:57,720 --> 00:31:01,120 Speaker 1: into yes, it is a very real possibility on the 669 00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:05,120 Speaker 1: table that New York could seize Trump's assets. They say, 670 00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:06,960 Speaker 1: if Trump isn't able to pay, the state could levy 671 00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:09,560 Speaker 1: and sell his assets. Lean is real property garnish anyone 672 00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:13,840 Speaker 1: who owes him money. According to a Syracuse University law professor, 673 00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:17,600 Speaker 1: potential targets could include properties like his Trump Tower, Penthouse, 674 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:21,880 Speaker 1: Wall Street office building, and golf courses. Letitia James's office 675 00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:24,440 Speaker 1: could also seek permission to drain Trump's bank accounts and 676 00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:28,400 Speaker 1: investment portfolios, or sell off other assets like his planes, helicopters, 677 00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:30,960 Speaker 1: or even his golf carts. They go on to say 678 00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:33,680 Speaker 1: seizing assets is a common legal tactic when someone cannot 679 00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:37,160 Speaker 1: access enough cash to pay a civil penalty. Now, Trump 680 00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:41,600 Speaker 1: does still have some avenues of appeal, and Letitia James 681 00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:44,600 Speaker 1: has not yet indicated how aggressive she's going to be 682 00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:47,680 Speaker 1: in moving to make good on this payment that is 683 00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:50,320 Speaker 1: currently owed. So a lot of things that are up 684 00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:53,240 Speaker 1: in the air there. Let's skip over the next one 685 00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:56,760 Speaker 1: and go to our next Fox News personality with an 686 00:31:56,800 --> 00:32:00,440 Speaker 1: innovative idea for how Trump may be able to pay 687 00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:05,360 Speaker 1: this judgment amount. Laura Ingram says, maybe he should crowdsource 688 00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:08,800 Speaker 1: it and ask his supporters to fund this half a 689 00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:11,120 Speaker 1: billion dollar judgment. Let's take a listen to that. 690 00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:15,880 Speaker 7: A friend texted me today and said Trump should crowd 691 00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:18,880 Speaker 7: fund this fine. Like if I think it's like one 692 00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:22,320 Speaker 7: million supporters each gave him four hundred and fifty dollars 693 00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:26,280 Speaker 7: that would cover the fine. But in the meantime, what 694 00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:29,000 Speaker 7: are his options here in emergency to stay from a 695 00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:29,640 Speaker 7: federal court? 696 00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:30,360 Speaker 3: Where does he go? 697 00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:32,240 Speaker 1: So what do you think of that? When Soger, should 698 00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:36,560 Speaker 1: he go to his supporters to crowd fund this this judgment? 699 00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:37,320 Speaker 3: This one. 700 00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:40,120 Speaker 2: Look, I have no problem with people asking rich people 701 00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:43,120 Speaker 2: for money, but asking Trump supporters for money that really. 702 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:43,680 Speaker 3: Pisses me off. 703 00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:47,280 Speaker 2: And you know, especially these box news people. Laura herself 704 00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:49,840 Speaker 2: is incredibly wealthy. I mean, she's been in the conservative 705 00:32:50,120 --> 00:32:53,680 Speaker 2: like media complex for decades now. From what I heard, 706 00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:55,720 Speaker 2: she's done very very well. It's like, okay, you shell 707 00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:58,920 Speaker 2: it out then, Like, don't be asking grandma's and grandpa's 708 00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:02,280 Speaker 2: on Social Security to pay for Trump's four hundred and 709 00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:05,240 Speaker 2: fifty million dollars pond. That actually makes me very upset 710 00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:07,880 Speaker 2: because the problem is it goes back to stop the 711 00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:11,200 Speaker 2: steal and all the money some two hundred and fifty 712 00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:13,560 Speaker 2: million dollars that was raised on the backs of people. 713 00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:16,280 Speaker 3: Listen, it is their money. They can do as they wish. 714 00:33:16,360 --> 00:33:19,240 Speaker 2: But you know, Trump was like, the election was stolen, 715 00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:21,680 Speaker 2: I need you to support me, and they gave him 716 00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:24,000 Speaker 2: a quarter billion and he didn't spend any of it 717 00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:26,120 Speaker 2: on his elections. He ended up spending it on his 718 00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:29,600 Speaker 2: Save America pack and in some cases paying for his reelection. 719 00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:32,800 Speaker 3: I legally, he can do as he pleases. I don't 720 00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:33,440 Speaker 3: think that's right. 721 00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:35,200 Speaker 2: I don't think it's right to be asking, you know, 722 00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:37,479 Speaker 2: a bunch of boomers mailing in checks and all these 723 00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:39,640 Speaker 2: who may believe in Donald Trump. And in this case, 724 00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:41,960 Speaker 2: it wouldn't even be a campaign or election related. It 725 00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:43,800 Speaker 2: would be literally related. 726 00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:44,800 Speaker 3: To his own personal finances. 727 00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:48,560 Speaker 2: And I understand the investigation and all that obviously is political, 728 00:33:48,600 --> 00:33:51,920 Speaker 2: but to have it be his personal benefit, it's not right, 729 00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:54,360 Speaker 2: you know. So look, you want to ask your wealthy people, fine, 730 00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:55,840 Speaker 2: but don't be asking normal folks. 731 00:33:56,040 --> 00:33:59,840 Speaker 1: Co stein completely and they really have been so exploited. 732 00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:02,840 Speaker 1: Trump has tapped these people dry number one, to the 733 00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:07,600 Speaker 1: to the extent that you know, other Republican candidates have 734 00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:11,399 Speaker 1: really struggled with grassroots fundraising because Trump has just hit 735 00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:15,600 Speaker 1: these lists over and over and over again. And that's 736 00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:18,440 Speaker 1: becoming a problem now for him increasingly, where there just 737 00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:23,960 Speaker 1: isn't enough money among his sizeable grassroots base to continue 738 00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 1: to you know, fully fund his campaign, let alone the 739 00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:29,520 Speaker 1: legal bills that he's been able to you know, pay 740 00:34:29,520 --> 00:34:32,080 Speaker 1: with political money as well. And then you also have 741 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:36,440 Speaker 1: you know, the build the Wall people. Oh yeah, people 742 00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:39,520 Speaker 1: who are out there like raising money from Trump supporters, 743 00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:43,000 Speaker 1: claiming they're investing in some currency that's going to come 744 00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:45,680 Speaker 1: become legal tender when Trump is realized. I mean, so 745 00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:49,280 Speaker 1: much nonsense and grift has been directed to these people. 746 00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:52,000 Speaker 1: This is the last thing that needs to happen. And 747 00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:54,600 Speaker 1: I think your point as well said, if Laura wants to, 748 00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:57,880 Speaker 1: you know, put up a few million towards Trump's legal bills, 749 00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:00,800 Speaker 1: she and some of her rich friends should feelsolutely free 750 00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:05,120 Speaker 1: to do that. Put the last element up here be 751 00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:09,000 Speaker 1: five from the New York Post. It's the New York Post, 752 00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:12,880 Speaker 1: so take it for what it's worth. But they have 753 00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:16,160 Speaker 1: some report from inside the Trump camp of how he 754 00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:21,439 Speaker 1: is considering his options, and they said increasingly, one thing 755 00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:24,560 Speaker 1: that they're you know, very seriously considering and maybe even 756 00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:29,200 Speaker 1: leaning towards, is simply doing nothing, letting the deadline for 757 00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:33,560 Speaker 1: posting this bond pass and putting the ball in New 758 00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:37,239 Speaker 1: York Attorney General Letitia James's court to decide if she's 759 00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:40,320 Speaker 1: going to actually seize Trump's bank accounts or buildings, including 760 00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:43,680 Speaker 1: Trump Tower, of course, Trump Tower famously where he declared 761 00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:46,440 Speaker 1: his twenty sixteen presidential run, where he famously has his 762 00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:51,359 Speaker 1: own personal penthouse. And the thinking is number one, again, 763 00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:54,200 Speaker 1: you're sort of putting the onus on her. I think 764 00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:56,400 Speaker 1: Trump probably it doesn't say this in the article, but 765 00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:58,640 Speaker 1: probably feels he can use this to some sort of 766 00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:02,160 Speaker 1: political effect, and then they feel confident that through the 767 00:36:02,200 --> 00:36:05,520 Speaker 1: appeals process, this amount at least may get knocked down 768 00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:10,560 Speaker 1: and then he could regain those assets. Now there's actually 769 00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:14,960 Speaker 1: no guarantees in that regard, because if Trump Tower, let's say, 770 00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:18,040 Speaker 1: get seized and sold off in a fire sale, the 771 00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:21,839 Speaker 1: state doesn't owe Trump Tower back to Trump. They just 772 00:36:21,960 --> 00:36:25,040 Speaker 1: owe the amount of money that they obtain from Trump 773 00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:28,920 Speaker 1: Tower back to Trump. But according to the New York Post, 774 00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:32,480 Speaker 1: at least this is an avenue that he is seriously considering, 775 00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:35,279 Speaker 1: which would be you know, a real wild development in 776 00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:38,040 Speaker 1: terms of politics. In this man's whole brand is based 777 00:36:38,080 --> 00:36:42,040 Speaker 1: on his iconic brand, and you know, his name being 778 00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:45,280 Speaker 1: plastered on these buildings, Trump Tower being the most famous 779 00:36:45,640 --> 00:36:48,000 Speaker 1: of all his all of his properties. So that's why 780 00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:50,520 Speaker 1: this truly is an extraordinary development that we're dragging here. 781 00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:52,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly, I mean if he does. 782 00:36:52,080 --> 00:36:54,640 Speaker 2: If she does take it, it will be very politically 783 00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:57,319 Speaker 2: and financially significant. For also, I think he lives there, 784 00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:00,360 Speaker 2: or at least maintained. I mean, he has that famous penthouse. 785 00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:02,120 Speaker 1: Mostly in Florida, now though I think I. 786 00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:04,200 Speaker 2: Know he's a Florida resident. But you know, with these 787 00:37:04,320 --> 00:37:06,760 Speaker 2: rich folks, they do six months in one day or whatever, 788 00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:09,480 Speaker 2: the houses everywhere. From what I know, he had a 789 00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:11,840 Speaker 2: penthouse apartment there, the famous one, like I said, with 790 00:37:11,840 --> 00:37:14,080 Speaker 2: the gold toilet, the marble worthy. 791 00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:16,279 Speaker 1: Of Well, that penthouse was probably what got him in 792 00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:20,160 Speaker 1: trouble here too, because he wildly for some loan estimate 793 00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:23,319 Speaker 1: inflated like the square footage and how much it would 794 00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:25,760 Speaker 1: be were I mean, I'm talking bout a ridiculous factor. 795 00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:27,799 Speaker 1: It wasn't even close. So this was one of the 796 00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:31,520 Speaker 1: issues that they went after him for. Let's go and 797 00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:33,920 Speaker 1: put this last piece up on the screen. B three 798 00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:37,759 Speaker 1: with regard to the Georgia case, So, as we told 799 00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:42,279 Speaker 1: you previously, there had been a question over whether there 800 00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:47,960 Speaker 1: was a disqualifying conflict of interest with Fanny Willis and 801 00:37:48,200 --> 00:37:51,279 Speaker 1: her former at least lover who had been brought on 802 00:37:51,360 --> 00:37:53,560 Speaker 1: as a special prosecutor and earned hundreds of thousands of 803 00:37:53,640 --> 00:37:56,560 Speaker 1: dollars with regards to the prosecution of this case. So 804 00:37:56,600 --> 00:38:00,520 Speaker 1: the decision came down from this judge that, no, it 805 00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:02,920 Speaker 1: didn't rise completely to the level of conflict of interest, 806 00:38:03,000 --> 00:38:05,320 Speaker 1: but this was enough of a problem that one or 807 00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:08,560 Speaker 1: the other of them needed to resign. He resigned. Fanny 808 00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:11,720 Speaker 1: Willis is still in place, but Trump is now, according 809 00:38:11,760 --> 00:38:17,160 Speaker 1: to this report, able to appeal that ruling. So I'll 810 00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:19,040 Speaker 1: read you a little bit of what Acio says here. 811 00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:22,720 Speaker 1: They say, the judge overseeing former President Trump's Georgia election 812 00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:26,360 Speaker 1: subversion case granted a pathway Wednesday for Trump to appeal 813 00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:29,279 Speaker 1: his decision to allow Fulton County District Attorney Fanny Willis 814 00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:32,160 Speaker 1: to remain at the helm of the prosecution. Why it matters, 815 00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:34,680 Speaker 1: they say. By granted a certificate of immediate review, Fulton 816 00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:38,560 Speaker 1: County Judge Scott McAfee enabled Trump's lawyers to appeal the 817 00:38:38,600 --> 00:38:41,240 Speaker 1: decision to the Georgia Court of Appeals before the start 818 00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:45,640 Speaker 1: of a trial. McAfee's granted the defense's requests for a review. 819 00:38:45,719 --> 00:38:47,560 Speaker 1: Note in the court filing that other matters related to 820 00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:50,480 Speaker 1: the case will go forward as planned, so it's not 821 00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:54,920 Speaker 1: like everything stops while this review is being conducted. But 822 00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:59,239 Speaker 1: nevertheless a win for Trump and another crack at being 823 00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:02,799 Speaker 1: able to low or even completely undermine this case or 824 00:39:02,840 --> 00:39:05,400 Speaker 1: get Also, Fanny willis removed from the case, so that 825 00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:07,279 Speaker 1: is you know, significant development for him. 826 00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:10,399 Speaker 2: Yeah, very because the appeal up a it takes more 827 00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:11,880 Speaker 2: time be for Fanny Willis. 828 00:39:11,920 --> 00:39:14,040 Speaker 3: This is going to kick it to the appellate court 829 00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:14,600 Speaker 3: and all of this. 830 00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:17,800 Speaker 2: Remember, even if Trump would eventually get convicted, this is 831 00:39:17,840 --> 00:39:20,840 Speaker 2: all going to matter even more on appeal again, because 832 00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:22,520 Speaker 2: it's not like Trump is going to run out of money. 833 00:39:22,560 --> 00:39:24,319 Speaker 2: So from what I understand, this is just going to 834 00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:26,800 Speaker 2: lengthen it, you know, even more significantly and publicly. It 835 00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:30,440 Speaker 2: still remains a blow to her in the overall investigation. 836 00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:33,120 Speaker 2: Not to mention the fact that even if she does 837 00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:35,560 Speaker 2: survive this, don't forget, she still has to re grand 838 00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:39,040 Speaker 2: jury six specific reco charges before she's able to bring 839 00:39:39,080 --> 00:39:42,040 Speaker 2: them in her trial against Trump. Specifically that one relating 840 00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:43,960 Speaker 2: to the perfect phone. Well, I don't know how many 841 00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:45,560 Speaker 2: perfect phone calls her up. This was one of the 842 00:39:45,640 --> 00:39:48,919 Speaker 2: perfect phone, one of the most perfect. 843 00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:51,280 Speaker 1: Let's talk about happiness. 844 00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:54,680 Speaker 2: Let's talk about happiness and does it even exist in 845 00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:56,920 Speaker 2: Moore here in the United States, and to what extent, 846 00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:59,160 Speaker 2: let's go and pull this up there on the screen. 847 00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:02,920 Speaker 2: There was a very report here from Yahoo News, and 848 00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:05,640 Speaker 2: it was a write up specifically about how the American 849 00:40:05,719 --> 00:40:09,719 Speaker 2: dream now costs three point four million dollars, and the 850 00:40:09,800 --> 00:40:12,640 Speaker 2: overall way that they arrived at that math was that 851 00:40:12,719 --> 00:40:17,200 Speaker 2: between marriage, two kids, homes, healthcare, cars, and education and 852 00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:20,840 Speaker 2: estimated three point four five million dollars over the course 853 00:40:21,120 --> 00:40:24,520 Speaker 2: of a lifetime. A new Investipedia study has found this 854 00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:27,400 Speaker 2: is from December of twenty twenty three, but has actually 855 00:40:27,440 --> 00:40:30,000 Speaker 2: been readjusted now at this point. They say that the 856 00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:33,040 Speaker 2: cost of raising children, in particular just two to the 857 00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:35,560 Speaker 2: age of eighteen now totals five hundred and seventy six 858 00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:38,760 Speaker 2: eight hundred and ninety six dollars. That the lifetime costs 859 00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:41,840 Speaker 2: currently with the ten percent down payment on average and 860 00:40:41,880 --> 00:40:45,040 Speaker 2: a thirty year fixed rate mortgage of approximately seven percent, 861 00:40:45,080 --> 00:40:47,640 Speaker 2: which is where we're at right now, is eight. 862 00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:48,600 Speaker 3: Hundred thousand dollars. 863 00:40:48,880 --> 00:40:51,480 Speaker 2: That's actually possibly the most stunning part to me because 864 00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:55,120 Speaker 2: it really shows us where how the massive impact of 865 00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:59,920 Speaker 2: interest rates can affect this car purchases lifetime on average, 866 00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:01,120 Speaker 2: in how people are spending. 867 00:41:01,160 --> 00:41:02,600 Speaker 3: It's about two. 868 00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:05,439 Speaker 2: Hundred and seventy thousand dollars, another very very significant chunk. 869 00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:08,400 Speaker 2: But let me tell you, guys, the one that hurts 870 00:41:08,440 --> 00:41:11,480 Speaker 2: more than any of this in the breakdown is average 871 00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:16,040 Speaker 2: family premium cost thirty nine years of annual for a 872 00:41:16,040 --> 00:41:21,120 Speaker 2: family of four, nine hundred and thirty four thousand dollars 873 00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:24,880 Speaker 2: out of cost ahurance, just for health insurance, out of pocket. 874 00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:27,040 Speaker 3: And the craziest part. 875 00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:29,440 Speaker 2: Is that doesn't even include the hospital birth that they 876 00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:31,800 Speaker 2: list here at the top right, which is fifty seven hundred, 877 00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:34,200 Speaker 2: because that's what people are paying out of their damn deductibles. 878 00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:36,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, so that doesn't that doesn't actually include your medical 879 00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:38,120 Speaker 1: That is just your premium. 880 00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:42,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, just the premium, not medicalbuts so insane. It's funny 881 00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:47,480 Speaker 2: because retirement in this is less than a lifetime health 882 00:41:47,480 --> 00:41:50,960 Speaker 2: insurance cost. That is what outraged me actually most about this. 883 00:41:51,080 --> 00:41:53,000 Speaker 2: The top line figure. You know, we can debate and 884 00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:54,680 Speaker 2: spend some time on that, and a lot of this 885 00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:56,480 Speaker 2: is fungible, like you can, you know, you can buy 886 00:41:56,520 --> 00:41:58,680 Speaker 2: cheaper cars, you can buy a smaller house, you can 887 00:41:58,760 --> 00:42:00,680 Speaker 2: choose to go to state college and all that, but 888 00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:03,120 Speaker 2: you really can't choose to not have health insurance in 889 00:42:03,120 --> 00:42:05,799 Speaker 2: this country. That's one of the most fixed costs in 890 00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:08,879 Speaker 2: this entire thing. It is the single biggest chunk of 891 00:42:08,920 --> 00:42:13,279 Speaker 2: your overall lifetime of your overall lifetime expenses. And what 892 00:42:13,320 --> 00:42:15,960 Speaker 2: do we know is that this currently is just based 893 00:42:15,960 --> 00:42:18,960 Speaker 2: on twenty eighteen to twenty twenty costs. There's actually been 894 00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:23,000 Speaker 2: an inflation, huge inflation in health insurance costs. Health insurance 895 00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:27,239 Speaker 2: costs inflation far outstrips and normal CPI inflation. And I 896 00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:29,480 Speaker 2: haven't even mentioned food and cost of living and all this, 897 00:42:29,560 --> 00:42:32,200 Speaker 2: so the likely number is probably higher. So the point 898 00:42:32,239 --> 00:42:34,399 Speaker 2: of all this is just that the cost has gone 899 00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,279 Speaker 2: significantly up from where it was previously. And then lo 900 00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:40,640 Speaker 2: and behold, it turns out that the US has slid 901 00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:43,920 Speaker 2: down on the ranking of overall national happiness. Let's go 902 00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:47,200 Speaker 2: and put this up there on the screen Finland for 903 00:42:47,239 --> 00:42:49,360 Speaker 2: some reason, we'll talk about this in a second. Let 904 00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:51,800 Speaker 2: me focus on the US part at least right now. 905 00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:54,680 Speaker 2: The US has now slipped from the top twenty of 906 00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:59,160 Speaker 2: nations in overall happiness. But what they is particularly noteworthy 907 00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:02,640 Speaker 2: is that in side of the report, what we find 908 00:43:02,840 --> 00:43:07,080 Speaker 2: is that it is largely attributable to young people. It's 909 00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:09,520 Speaker 2: that the people who are over the age of thirty, 910 00:43:10,080 --> 00:43:13,879 Speaker 2: their overall happiness ranking has not really gone and by 911 00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:16,719 Speaker 2: the way, this is all self reported. Their overall happiness 912 00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:19,319 Speaker 2: ranking has either remained static or has gone up, but 913 00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:23,400 Speaker 2: that the drop in the young happiness has actually slid 914 00:43:23,480 --> 00:43:26,120 Speaker 2: all of the US below the top twenty for the 915 00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:27,399 Speaker 2: first time in quite a long time. 916 00:43:27,480 --> 00:43:31,680 Speaker 1: So they surveyed one hundred and forty three countries. The 917 00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:34,640 Speaker 1: unhappiest country, by the way, is Afghanistan, which we obviously 918 00:43:34,680 --> 00:43:38,280 Speaker 1: had a significant handan way to go, guys, the US 919 00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:42,360 Speaker 1: ranked tenth for people who are sixty and older they 920 00:43:42,400 --> 00:43:46,960 Speaker 1: still feel pretty good about things, but sixty second for 921 00:43:47,080 --> 00:43:53,480 Speaker 1: people under thirty, sixty second for people under thirty. They 922 00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:57,040 Speaker 1: quote an economist in one report who said, I have 923 00:43:57,239 --> 00:44:00,440 Speaker 1: never seen such an extreme change talking about the drop 924 00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:03,400 Speaker 1: in happiness among younger people. This has all happened in 925 00:44:03,440 --> 00:44:06,920 Speaker 1: the last ten years. It's mainly in English language countries. 926 00:44:07,000 --> 00:44:10,000 Speaker 1: There isn't this drop among young people in the world 927 00:44:10,160 --> 00:44:13,400 Speaker 1: as a whole. And this report I looked at also 928 00:44:13,800 --> 00:44:17,000 Speaker 1: talk to a young person who was not feeling too happy, 929 00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:19,640 Speaker 1: who said, listen, we have less to look forward to 930 00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:21,640 Speaker 1: in the future, there's going to be climate change though 931 00:44:21,680 --> 00:44:23,560 Speaker 1: effect the way we live. There's less of a clear 932 00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:26,160 Speaker 1: cut trajectory for our life paths because for so long 933 00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:28,880 Speaker 1: it was so easy just to know you could get married, 934 00:44:29,280 --> 00:44:32,040 Speaker 1: have your two point five kids, pay for your house. 935 00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:36,680 Speaker 1: Now that path is a lot more closed. And going 936 00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:39,200 Speaker 1: back to some of those components that make up the 937 00:44:39,320 --> 00:44:43,440 Speaker 1: three point five million dollars that you need just to 938 00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:46,800 Speaker 1: do the basics of the like you know, middle class 939 00:44:46,840 --> 00:44:51,480 Speaker 1: American dream life. Have a house, go to college, get married, 940 00:44:51,920 --> 00:44:57,640 Speaker 1: have kids, be able to retire, have health insurance. Those pieces, 941 00:44:57,680 --> 00:45:02,520 Speaker 1: those core components have go on up in price wildly 942 00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:05,799 Speaker 1: over the past several decades. So you know, we've talked 943 00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:08,719 Speaker 1: a lot about inflation in terms of near term cost 944 00:45:08,800 --> 00:45:12,280 Speaker 1: of living. Those things and obviously incredibly important. But part 945 00:45:12,320 --> 00:45:16,080 Speaker 1: of why you see this overall trajectory of people saying 946 00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:19,200 Speaker 1: we're on the wrong path, of people saying the American 947 00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:22,560 Speaker 1: dream is no longer reality, of young people feeling so 948 00:45:22,680 --> 00:45:25,520 Speaker 1: depressed about the current stage with their lives and their 949 00:45:25,520 --> 00:45:30,520 Speaker 1: possibility for the future, is that long term massive price 950 00:45:30,600 --> 00:45:36,600 Speaker 1: spike in education, healthcare, and housing that has made life 951 00:45:36,920 --> 00:45:39,840 Speaker 1: so much more precarious for younger generations. 952 00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:42,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, so again, I mean just to be sixty second. 953 00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:45,759 Speaker 2: Some of the countries that beat us our Guatemala, Bulgaria, 954 00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:48,480 Speaker 2: and Saudi Arabia, which is pretty crazy, especially Saudi Arabia, 955 00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:50,040 Speaker 2: because if you're a female in Saudi Arabia, you don't 956 00:45:50,040 --> 00:45:52,480 Speaker 2: even have any rights and it's like you're happier than 957 00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:54,080 Speaker 2: people are here in America. 958 00:45:54,120 --> 00:45:55,279 Speaker 3: That doesn't sound right. 959 00:45:55,760 --> 00:45:58,960 Speaker 2: Well, look what we can glean from this is that 960 00:45:59,080 --> 00:46:01,880 Speaker 2: I think almost all that comes back to housing, and 961 00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:03,880 Speaker 2: that is one of those just because housing is the 962 00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:05,640 Speaker 2: biggest expense you're going to make in your entire life. 963 00:46:05,680 --> 00:46:07,400 Speaker 2: So if you're not able to make that, you're going 964 00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:11,360 Speaker 2: to do well well, yes, whenever, So housing and healthcare, 965 00:46:11,719 --> 00:46:13,960 Speaker 2: I guess housing because it's the biggest upfront costs you're 966 00:46:13,960 --> 00:46:15,359 Speaker 2: going to make in your entire life, right in terms 967 00:46:15,400 --> 00:46:18,040 Speaker 2: of the largest purchase. Unable to say for that. That 968 00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:21,520 Speaker 2: is what delays marriage people having kids. America is one 969 00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:23,760 Speaker 2: of the very few countries in the world where people 970 00:46:23,840 --> 00:46:27,600 Speaker 2: report having to having wanting more children than they're able 971 00:46:27,640 --> 00:46:30,480 Speaker 2: to afford. In some countries like Japan and others, it's 972 00:46:30,520 --> 00:46:32,200 Speaker 2: not like that they don't have the money to have kids. 973 00:46:32,239 --> 00:46:34,760 Speaker 2: They just genuinely don't want to have children. But America 974 00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:37,200 Speaker 2: is one of those places where people want to have 975 00:46:37,280 --> 00:46:39,920 Speaker 2: two point two between two point five kids, which is 976 00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:42,520 Speaker 2: replacement rate, and so they just simply can't afford it. 977 00:46:42,600 --> 00:46:45,040 Speaker 2: And we just read everybody the numbers there, and they 978 00:46:45,040 --> 00:46:47,279 Speaker 2: feel it would be irresponsible or they wouldn't be able 979 00:46:47,280 --> 00:46:49,359 Speaker 2: to have a reasonable quality of life if they were 980 00:46:49,400 --> 00:46:51,680 Speaker 2: able to do so. I've always found that very very 981 00:46:51,680 --> 00:46:53,960 Speaker 2: sad statistic, because it's one of those where that's the 982 00:46:54,000 --> 00:46:55,920 Speaker 2: exact reason why people are supposed to work hard. It's 983 00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:58,040 Speaker 2: not supposed to can have nice cars or whatever. It's 984 00:46:58,040 --> 00:47:01,000 Speaker 2: supposed to you know, be able to raise kids, have family. 985 00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:03,240 Speaker 2: That's largely where you're going to derive the vast majority 986 00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:04,680 Speaker 2: of happiness in your life. 987 00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:07,480 Speaker 3: And there's reams of data to back all of that up. 988 00:47:07,680 --> 00:47:10,480 Speaker 2: The problem that we can see inside of this is 989 00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:13,920 Speaker 2: both from the very very early level, and this is 990 00:47:13,960 --> 00:47:16,720 Speaker 2: where I'm curious too, what you Yeah, everyone keeps blaming 991 00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:19,319 Speaker 2: social media, but I'm like, you know, I just think 992 00:47:19,360 --> 00:47:22,920 Speaker 2: social media is a reflection of what people accurately feel. 993 00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:25,799 Speaker 2: It's not TikTok, Instagram reels and other things that go 994 00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:29,880 Speaker 2: viral about people being unable to afford life. That's not 995 00:47:30,040 --> 00:47:32,640 Speaker 2: a fake circumstance, like in my opinion, It goes viral 996 00:47:32,680 --> 00:47:37,840 Speaker 2: and it gets shared because people can resonate with the 997 00:47:37,840 --> 00:47:40,799 Speaker 2: themes and you know kind of what people are talking about. 998 00:47:40,920 --> 00:47:42,879 Speaker 2: There's a big debate right now as to whether it's 999 00:47:43,040 --> 00:47:45,920 Speaker 2: causal in terms of social media, but I still genuinely 1000 00:47:45,920 --> 00:47:48,200 Speaker 2: believe that it's very just reflective of what the actual 1001 00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:49,080 Speaker 2: living conditions are. 1002 00:47:49,200 --> 00:47:51,640 Speaker 1: I mean, when you look at the fact that young 1003 00:47:51,680 --> 00:47:55,239 Speaker 1: people around the world have social media yea all seeing 1004 00:47:55,239 --> 00:47:58,839 Speaker 1: this precipitous decline and how they feel about, you know, 1005 00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:02,360 Speaker 1: their life and level of happiness, I think is you know, 1006 00:48:02,719 --> 00:48:06,319 Speaker 1: pretty decent proof in your interaction. I mean, I would 1007 00:48:06,360 --> 00:48:09,440 Speaker 1: be remiss if I didn't point out that consistently places 1008 00:48:09,480 --> 00:48:13,600 Speaker 1: like Finland, the other Nordic countries, you know, Denmark, Iceland 1009 00:48:13,719 --> 00:48:16,120 Speaker 1: is another one that does well on these happiness rankings. 1010 00:48:16,160 --> 00:48:18,480 Speaker 1: These are all social democracies where things like you're not 1011 00:48:18,520 --> 00:48:20,040 Speaker 1: going to be paying a million bucks over the course 1012 00:48:20,080 --> 00:48:21,880 Speaker 1: of your lifetime for health insurance. You're going to have 1013 00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:24,920 Speaker 1: healthcare universally, it's not going to be something that you 1014 00:48:25,200 --> 00:48:28,640 Speaker 1: worry about. They have more of a solid social safety net. 1015 00:48:29,120 --> 00:48:31,960 Speaker 1: We're subsidies in terms of you know, housing, making housing 1016 00:48:32,000 --> 00:48:34,359 Speaker 1: more affordable, and paying more attention to that as well. 1017 00:48:34,480 --> 00:48:36,560 Speaker 1: So I don't think it's an accident that those are 1018 00:48:36,600 --> 00:48:40,080 Speaker 1: consistently the places where people self report the highest levels 1019 00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:43,000 Speaker 1: of happiness. I also think we'd be remiss if we 1020 00:48:43,040 --> 00:48:47,319 Speaker 1: didn't point out that part of this catastrophic decline for 1021 00:48:47,520 --> 00:48:51,320 Speaker 1: young people and self reparded happiness also coincides with COVID, 1022 00:48:51,520 --> 00:48:55,120 Speaker 1: and you know, we know that that had a tremendous 1023 00:48:55,160 --> 00:48:59,759 Speaker 1: impact on levels of anxiety and overall mental health for 1024 00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:03,799 Speaker 1: young Americans. So you know, I don't think that I 1025 00:49:03,800 --> 00:49:06,319 Speaker 1: don't think we can ignore that piece as well, even 1026 00:49:06,400 --> 00:49:08,640 Speaker 1: as I do think that these long term economic trends 1027 00:49:08,680 --> 00:49:11,520 Speaker 1: are incredibly significant in terms of how people feel about 1028 00:49:11,520 --> 00:49:13,080 Speaker 1: the direction of their own lives in the direction of 1029 00:49:13,080 --> 00:49:13,480 Speaker 1: the country. 1030 00:49:13,560 --> 00:49:13,759 Speaker 8: Yeah. 1031 00:49:13,760 --> 00:49:15,360 Speaker 2: No, that's how a good point. I hadn't thought about that. 1032 00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:17,200 Speaker 2: I think you're absolutely right. Okay, this is the only 1033 00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:19,640 Speaker 2: thing about Finland. I've been in Finland, Man, Finland is 1034 00:49:19,960 --> 00:49:23,560 Speaker 2: dark as hell. People there are not smiling. I'm just 1035 00:49:23,680 --> 00:49:26,680 Speaker 2: not sure I buy it. Like, maybe they self report happiness, 1036 00:49:26,719 --> 00:49:30,480 Speaker 2: but from having traveled all the Nordic countries. These are 1037 00:49:30,520 --> 00:49:32,880 Speaker 2: some of the most like closed off folks that you 1038 00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:35,440 Speaker 2: will ever see in your entire life. They even they 1039 00:49:35,520 --> 00:49:37,719 Speaker 2: joke about it about how Americans are too smiley and 1040 00:49:37,719 --> 00:49:39,719 Speaker 2: they talk all the time, and so I'm like, are 1041 00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:42,120 Speaker 2: you guys really that happy? Like, be honest, lave us 1042 00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:44,000 Speaker 2: in the comments. Also, the food, let's all be real, 1043 00:49:44,040 --> 00:49:45,839 Speaker 2: there's not a scrap of flavor in any of the food. 1044 00:49:45,880 --> 00:49:49,960 Speaker 1: That's the power of social democracy. What overcome bad food, 1045 00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:52,400 Speaker 1: oh terrible climate. 1046 00:49:52,080 --> 00:49:54,840 Speaker 3: Botten fish, goulash all day long in. 1047 00:49:54,840 --> 00:49:57,600 Speaker 1: The winter, That's how powerful social democracy is. 1048 00:49:57,680 --> 00:50:01,279 Speaker 2: At no I would say there is some argument about 1049 00:50:01,280 --> 00:50:03,040 Speaker 2: that though, Chrysal about whether we could even have So, 1050 00:50:03,120 --> 00:50:05,520 Speaker 2: I mean, this is a more important question kind. 1051 00:50:05,360 --> 00:50:06,480 Speaker 3: Of relates back to immigration. 1052 00:50:06,719 --> 00:50:10,239 Speaker 2: But you know, these are very highly homogenous societies where look, 1053 00:50:10,239 --> 00:50:11,920 Speaker 2: what are the real differences when you all look the 1054 00:50:11,920 --> 00:50:13,000 Speaker 2: same talk the same language. 1055 00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:15,560 Speaker 3: You have very very low levels of immigration in. 1056 00:50:15,600 --> 00:50:18,680 Speaker 2: Terms of their tax and capital, in terms of their 1057 00:50:19,120 --> 00:50:22,200 Speaker 2: innovation and all that. What's the last thing Finland really invented. 1058 00:50:22,239 --> 00:50:24,680 Speaker 2: So I'm not going to put it down and say 1059 00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:27,480 Speaker 2: that that's not a worthy model. The question is, can 1060 00:50:27,520 --> 00:50:31,320 Speaker 2: it ever actually succeed in a country of three hundred 1061 00:50:31,640 --> 00:50:32,799 Speaker 2: thirty million. 1062 00:50:32,719 --> 00:50:35,520 Speaker 1: Because we have social security. It's one of the most 1063 00:50:35,680 --> 00:50:39,080 Speaker 1: it is one of the most successful and popular universal 1064 00:50:39,080 --> 00:50:42,440 Speaker 1: social safety net programs in history. And I would argue 1065 00:50:42,600 --> 00:50:49,000 Speaker 1: the exact counter that when you have the level of rapacious, predatory, 1066 00:50:49,560 --> 00:50:54,920 Speaker 1: state captured capitalism that creates this zero sum seeming game 1067 00:50:55,440 --> 00:50:59,759 Speaker 1: and high stakes, that's exactly what exacerbates and opens up 1068 00:50:59,760 --> 00:51:06,280 Speaker 1: an opportunity for unscrupulous, self serving politicians to stoke these divides, 1069 00:51:06,640 --> 00:51:09,720 Speaker 1: where if you have a social safety net where people 1070 00:51:10,000 --> 00:51:14,200 Speaker 1: feel more secure and more stable, then they're less susceptible 1071 00:51:14,239 --> 00:51:17,399 Speaker 1: to those type of divide and conquer tactics which are 1072 00:51:17,440 --> 00:51:20,800 Speaker 1: so effective and so ever present in terms of our politics. 1073 00:51:20,800 --> 00:51:22,840 Speaker 2: I don't even disagree. It's more just a question of 1074 00:51:22,920 --> 00:51:25,280 Speaker 2: like what is America like? For example, the largest company 1075 00:51:25,280 --> 00:51:27,480 Speaker 2: in Finland by market cap is like forty two billion. 1076 00:51:27,560 --> 00:51:30,680 Speaker 3: Like that's a freaking joke, Like this. 1077 00:51:30,560 --> 00:51:33,400 Speaker 1: Is not a country's because they have free healthcare. 1078 00:51:33,560 --> 00:51:35,480 Speaker 2: No, I have no idea why. I don't even think 1079 00:51:35,520 --> 00:51:37,400 Speaker 2: it's necessarily because they have free healthcare. There's a lot 1080 00:51:37,440 --> 00:51:40,360 Speaker 2: of crappy European countries that also have very very little business. 1081 00:51:40,719 --> 00:51:43,960 Speaker 2: My only question is about America is a very dynamic country. 1082 00:51:44,040 --> 00:51:47,440 Speaker 2: Make a lot of money here. People like entrepreneurialism. It's 1083 00:51:47,480 --> 00:51:50,000 Speaker 2: a huge country. There's three hundred and thirty million people, 1084 00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:52,720 Speaker 2: people from all over the world. We have very different ideas, 1085 00:51:52,760 --> 00:51:55,040 Speaker 2: we have very you know, finished politics. I'm not one 1086 00:51:55,120 --> 00:51:57,760 Speaker 2: hundred percent familiar, but as I understand it in general, 1087 00:51:57,800 --> 00:51:59,560 Speaker 2: the way that ours functions and the way that we 1088 00:51:59,640 --> 00:52:02,040 Speaker 2: kind of go at it like that, it doesn't really 1089 00:52:02,080 --> 00:52:04,520 Speaker 2: exist in the same way in a lot of these places. 1090 00:52:04,560 --> 00:52:07,000 Speaker 2: I don't know though, whether that's because of our economics 1091 00:52:07,080 --> 00:52:10,160 Speaker 2: or not. Right so, even in times of high economic prosperity. 1092 00:52:10,360 --> 00:52:14,520 Speaker 2: I was looking this fascinating graph. The top earning cities 1093 00:52:14,520 --> 00:52:18,480 Speaker 2: in America in nineteen forty nine were like Cleveland, Detroit. 1094 00:52:18,520 --> 00:52:22,000 Speaker 2: It was all in the American heartland from industrial manufacturing 1095 00:52:22,000 --> 00:52:24,360 Speaker 2: from the post World War two era, and I was 1096 00:52:24,360 --> 00:52:27,480 Speaker 2: thinking about how different of a country it was whenever 1097 00:52:27,520 --> 00:52:30,040 Speaker 2: the richest people in America were also the people who 1098 00:52:30,080 --> 00:52:33,239 Speaker 2: actually produced stuff. This is all just kind of me 1099 00:52:33,680 --> 00:52:35,719 Speaker 2: trying to wrap my head around whether any of this 1100 00:52:35,920 --> 00:52:37,520 Speaker 2: is even possible in America. 1101 00:52:37,640 --> 00:52:37,759 Speaker 8: Like that. 1102 00:52:38,080 --> 00:52:40,520 Speaker 3: I lived in Denmark. It's a tiny ass little country. 1103 00:52:40,640 --> 00:52:42,160 Speaker 3: They don't have a lot of people there, I. 1104 00:52:42,200 --> 00:52:44,400 Speaker 1: Mean, but also ignorre in the fact that like the 1105 00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:47,520 Speaker 1: time period in American history when probably we had the 1106 00:52:47,600 --> 00:52:51,960 Speaker 1: highest levels of self reported happiness was during the New 1107 00:52:52,040 --> 00:52:55,000 Speaker 1: Deal and when you had you know, and partly this 1108 00:52:55,160 --> 00:52:57,880 Speaker 1: was just because of post World War two global circumstances 1109 00:52:57,920 --> 00:53:00,600 Speaker 1: that we overwhelmingly benefited from. But you had a middle 1110 00:53:00,600 --> 00:53:04,520 Speaker 1: class that was expanded, expanding, you had people who felt 1111 00:53:04,560 --> 00:53:07,520 Speaker 1: like they were able to, you know, achieve the American dream, 1112 00:53:07,640 --> 00:53:09,600 Speaker 1: and this idea of we're able to work hard and 1113 00:53:09,600 --> 00:53:14,200 Speaker 1: we're able to get ahead was more present and seemed 1114 00:53:14,280 --> 00:53:16,960 Speaker 1: more realistic. And you know, the numbers in terms of 1115 00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:18,880 Speaker 1: the cost of housing then versus now, the cost of 1116 00:53:18,880 --> 00:53:21,920 Speaker 1: healthcare then versus now, the cost of education then versus 1117 00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:24,399 Speaker 1: now also bear that out, not to mention the way 1118 00:53:24,440 --> 00:53:28,640 Speaker 1: that wages have not even come close to keeping up 1119 00:53:29,000 --> 00:53:34,000 Speaker 1: with the increased productivity of the American worker. So you know, 1120 00:53:34,200 --> 00:53:36,480 Speaker 1: of course we can. That's why I'm not advocating. You're 1121 00:53:36,520 --> 00:53:39,080 Speaker 1: right that there's a balance, right, you don't want to 1122 00:53:39,120 --> 00:53:43,480 Speaker 1: lose that creative spark and that innovation that at its best, 1123 00:53:43,600 --> 00:53:46,360 Speaker 1: we all, you know, have so much pride in as Americans. 1124 00:53:46,360 --> 00:53:47,759 Speaker 1: You don't want to lose that. That's why I'm not 1125 00:53:47,840 --> 00:53:52,000 Speaker 1: like out here asking for communists. That's why I think 1126 00:53:52,040 --> 00:53:55,840 Speaker 1: social democracy is, you know, has proven to be a 1127 00:53:55,880 --> 00:53:59,680 Speaker 1: good balance of some of those competing priorities of making 1128 00:53:59,680 --> 00:54:02,759 Speaker 1: sure our everybody's good, especially in a wealthy, prosperous society, 1129 00:54:03,120 --> 00:54:07,640 Speaker 1: but also allowing for innovation, creativity, and that like you know, 1130 00:54:07,840 --> 00:54:10,400 Speaker 1: fruitful hum that we again at our best get here 1131 00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:10,760 Speaker 1: in Amaya. 1132 00:54:10,760 --> 00:54:11,080 Speaker 3: That's her. 1133 00:54:11,200 --> 00:54:13,240 Speaker 2: One thing we should steal from the Fins is sauna. 1134 00:54:13,680 --> 00:54:19,239 Speaker 2: Finished saunas are awesome. I hate oh man, no, hey, everybody, anyway. 1135 00:54:19,680 --> 00:54:22,400 Speaker 1: I listen. I'm a sweaty person to start with. I 1136 00:54:22,440 --> 00:54:24,840 Speaker 1: don't need a frickingsonna. That's like my worst nightmare. 1137 00:54:24,920 --> 00:54:26,480 Speaker 3: So no, but the Finish model is great. 1138 00:54:26,600 --> 00:54:28,160 Speaker 2: So you get hot and you get cold, you get 1139 00:54:28,160 --> 00:54:29,120 Speaker 2: hot and you get cold again. 1140 00:54:29,680 --> 00:54:31,640 Speaker 3: It's a lot of fun. If you ever go to Finland, 1141 00:54:31,640 --> 00:54:32,720 Speaker 3: I highly recommend Fins. 1142 00:54:32,760 --> 00:54:34,439 Speaker 1: You can keep that, you can keep that out part 1143 00:54:34,440 --> 00:54:35,080 Speaker 1: to yourself. 1144 00:54:37,640 --> 00:54:40,440 Speaker 2: At the same time, yesterday there was a major hearing 1145 00:54:40,560 --> 00:54:44,200 Speaker 2: here in Washington about the Biden impeachment, and it pretty 1146 00:54:44,239 --> 00:54:47,160 Speaker 2: much went off the rails in every respect that you 1147 00:54:47,160 --> 00:54:50,560 Speaker 2: can possibly imagine the Democratic side on the Republican side, 1148 00:54:50,719 --> 00:54:52,480 Speaker 2: some of the things that we did not learn, but 1149 00:54:52,520 --> 00:54:54,320 Speaker 2: there were at least some good sound bites that we 1150 00:54:54,360 --> 00:54:57,759 Speaker 2: could show you. First and foremost was Tony Bobolinski, the 1151 00:54:57,800 --> 00:55:01,840 Speaker 2: infamous Hunter Biden business is so see it testifying sparring 1152 00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:04,279 Speaker 2: with some of the members of Congress on the Democratic side. 1153 00:55:04,440 --> 00:55:05,600 Speaker 3: Let's take a listen at. 1154 00:55:05,440 --> 00:55:08,920 Speaker 9: The same people preaching this mantra know better they continue 1155 00:55:08,960 --> 00:55:12,800 Speaker 9: to lie directly to the American people without hesitation and remorse. 1156 00:55:14,480 --> 00:55:14,719 Speaker 3: Rep. 1157 00:55:14,840 --> 00:55:19,080 Speaker 9: Dan Goldman and Jamie Rasking, both lawyers, and mister Goldman, 1158 00:55:19,080 --> 00:55:21,720 Speaker 9: a former prosecutor with the SDN Y from New York, 1159 00:55:22,080 --> 00:55:24,160 Speaker 9: will continue to lie today in this yearing and then 1160 00:55:24,200 --> 00:55:27,319 Speaker 9: go straight to the media to tell more lies. Hunter 1161 00:55:27,360 --> 00:55:31,120 Speaker 9: Biden's defense attorney, Abbey Loll, weaponizes letters to Congress to 1162 00:55:31,200 --> 00:55:35,320 Speaker 9: try to smear my name, mister Chairman, the cold art facts, 1163 00:55:35,520 --> 00:55:38,440 Speaker 9: Miss Chairman. In an attempt to save his powerfully connected 1164 00:55:38,480 --> 00:55:42,000 Speaker 9: client and his father. I challenged mister Lowell to make 1165 00:55:42,040 --> 00:55:44,799 Speaker 9: those claims on national television so he can be held 1166 00:55:44,800 --> 00:55:46,000 Speaker 9: accountable for his lies. 1167 00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:51,400 Speaker 10: God order uh, mister Bobski, mister Boblisky, please proceed place, proceed, 1168 00:55:51,440 --> 00:55:53,640 Speaker 10: apologize for the disruption from the minority. 1169 00:55:53,719 --> 00:55:56,960 Speaker 11: Okay, well me and mister chairman save his time. But 1170 00:55:57,440 --> 00:55:59,360 Speaker 11: he called members of this committee liars. And I just 1171 00:55:59,400 --> 00:56:01,920 Speaker 11: want to know whether the order and decorum requirements of 1172 00:56:01,920 --> 00:56:05,640 Speaker 11: House Rule eleven apply to witnesses appearing before the committee. 1173 00:56:08,400 --> 00:56:09,759 Speaker 11: Does it apply or does it not? 1174 00:56:14,719 --> 00:56:17,560 Speaker 10: There's decorum from the members We've asked for that. There's 1175 00:56:17,600 --> 00:56:20,200 Speaker 10: no language that I'm aware of pretending to a witness. 1176 00:56:20,280 --> 00:56:20,560 Speaker 8: Thank you. 1177 00:56:20,800 --> 00:56:23,520 Speaker 3: That was a good taste, Crystal what the whole day 1178 00:56:23,640 --> 00:56:26,360 Speaker 3: was like. But look, listen, Bubba Liskey. 1179 00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:29,080 Speaker 2: We've known about him since what twenty twenty he did 1180 00:56:29,120 --> 00:56:31,760 Speaker 2: the Tucker Cross an interview back in Fox if everybody 1181 00:56:31,800 --> 00:56:34,320 Speaker 2: wants to remember, his claims have been wide out there 1182 00:56:34,560 --> 00:56:36,759 Speaker 2: to see. This is part of the problem with this 1183 00:56:37,040 --> 00:56:41,040 Speaker 2: overall hearing is almost all the information has been publicly 1184 00:56:41,080 --> 00:56:43,839 Speaker 2: available now for two years. And I'm not saying it's 1185 00:56:43,840 --> 00:56:46,279 Speaker 2: not even important, but they have not been able to 1186 00:56:46,360 --> 00:56:50,160 Speaker 2: prove from there and a smoking gun of a monetary 1187 00:56:50,160 --> 00:56:53,160 Speaker 2: connection between Hunter Biden and between Joe Biden, even with 1188 00:56:53,160 --> 00:56:55,319 Speaker 2: the subpoena power and all the others that have come 1189 00:56:55,360 --> 00:56:57,440 Speaker 2: to light. The best that they have been able to 1190 00:56:57,480 --> 00:57:00,640 Speaker 2: find are the irs whistleblowers that came forward that's resulted 1191 00:57:00,680 --> 00:57:03,279 Speaker 2: in tax investigation against Hunter, but they have not been 1192 00:57:03,320 --> 00:57:05,719 Speaker 2: able to put a name on a single wire transfer. 1193 00:57:05,840 --> 00:57:07,520 Speaker 2: I mean, Crystal we were talking about, I mean in 1194 00:57:07,560 --> 00:57:10,920 Speaker 2: a certain sense too. Look, the information is there. Hunter 1195 00:57:11,200 --> 00:57:15,359 Speaker 2: is blatantly and outrageously corrupt. He benefited off of his 1196 00:57:15,400 --> 00:57:18,200 Speaker 2: father's name. Whether his dad profited or not, it's not 1197 00:57:18,240 --> 00:57:20,640 Speaker 2: one hundred percent certain. He definitely knew about it, and 1198 00:57:20,680 --> 00:57:23,520 Speaker 2: he definitely lied about some of his previous interactions. 1199 00:57:23,560 --> 00:57:25,120 Speaker 3: That seems to be the best that we're going to 1200 00:57:25,160 --> 00:57:25,640 Speaker 3: get out of this. 1201 00:57:25,840 --> 00:57:26,080 Speaker 8: Yeah. 1202 00:57:26,160 --> 00:57:28,160 Speaker 1: The other witness, by the way, was some dude who's 1203 00:57:28,320 --> 00:57:31,439 Speaker 1: serving time in Alabama prison for securities frauds. So that's 1204 00:57:31,520 --> 00:57:36,840 Speaker 1: what live honest was No. Jason galanis another former associate 1205 00:57:36,840 --> 00:57:39,560 Speaker 1: of Hunter Biden, you know, gives you a sense of 1206 00:57:39,560 --> 00:57:42,640 Speaker 1: the type of characters he was doing business with, which. 1207 00:57:42,440 --> 00:57:44,280 Speaker 3: Is bad as well. It's definitely bad. 1208 00:57:44,160 --> 00:57:46,800 Speaker 1: Which is that. I mean, Look, there's a lot going 1209 00:57:46,840 --> 00:57:50,400 Speaker 1: on here. No one would welcome a genuine investigation into 1210 00:57:50,520 --> 00:57:53,120 Speaker 1: corruption that goes across, you know, on both sides of 1211 00:57:53,120 --> 00:57:56,800 Speaker 1: the aisle, more than myself. I entirely welcome the notion 1212 00:57:56,960 --> 00:58:01,480 Speaker 1: of taking serious the idea of corruption, even if because 1213 00:58:01,480 --> 00:58:04,840 Speaker 1: the Supreme Court has ruled that actual illegal corruption is 1214 00:58:04,880 --> 00:58:08,040 Speaker 1: so incredibly narrow, even if it doesn't meet that standard, 1215 00:58:08,680 --> 00:58:11,240 Speaker 1: it doesn't mean that we shouldn't know and care about 1216 00:58:11,600 --> 00:58:14,360 Speaker 1: the fact that Hunter Biden and James Biden these other 1217 00:58:14,440 --> 00:58:17,440 Speaker 1: characters were trading on the Biden name and basically, you know, 1218 00:58:17,560 --> 00:58:20,960 Speaker 1: promising Joe Biden access and giving Joe Biden access in 1219 00:58:21,040 --> 00:58:24,680 Speaker 1: certain documented instances doesn't mean we shouldn't care about it. 1220 00:58:25,040 --> 00:58:27,000 Speaker 1: But a couple of things have happened here. I mean, 1221 00:58:27,040 --> 00:58:30,000 Speaker 1: first of all, the Republicans are always completely hypocrites because 1222 00:58:30,040 --> 00:58:32,720 Speaker 1: they don't care when it's Jared Kushner and Trump, or 1223 00:58:32,760 --> 00:58:35,760 Speaker 1: Trump and live golf for these other entanglements, or taking 1224 00:58:35,800 --> 00:58:37,720 Speaker 1: money into his hotel or whatever. They don't give a shit. 1225 00:58:37,880 --> 00:58:41,760 Speaker 1: So they're obviously hypocritical, and so they their claims don't 1226 00:58:41,800 --> 00:58:46,320 Speaker 1: have a lot of They don't feel particularly weighty when 1227 00:58:46,320 --> 00:58:50,400 Speaker 1: the hypocrisy is so blatant. That's number one. Number two, 1228 00:58:51,360 --> 00:58:56,680 Speaker 1: because they made such extraordinary and unproven claims about Joe 1229 00:58:56,680 --> 00:59:01,760 Speaker 1: Biden directly getting cash that have never born out, they 1230 00:59:01,800 --> 00:59:04,800 Speaker 1: set the bar extremely high for themselves, and you know, 1231 00:59:04,920 --> 00:59:07,520 Speaker 1: even I think, by their own standards, are completely failing 1232 00:59:07,560 --> 00:59:10,760 Speaker 1: to meet that bar. Another thing that I would say 1233 00:59:10,800 --> 00:59:14,680 Speaker 1: here is, you know, I perhaps it would be a 1234 00:59:14,680 --> 00:59:18,040 Speaker 1: better world if this was the number one public concern 1235 00:59:18,200 --> 00:59:23,040 Speaker 1: about Joe Biden. But this isn't even the top issue. 1236 00:59:23,080 --> 00:59:26,520 Speaker 1: That if Republicans are just looking at political gain to 1237 00:59:26,640 --> 00:59:28,720 Speaker 1: press means of you Joe Biden, like, you know what 1238 00:59:28,760 --> 00:59:31,720 Speaker 1: the problems are. You know that the biggest one of 1239 00:59:31,760 --> 00:59:33,880 Speaker 1: them is just that people feel like he's too freaking 1240 00:59:33,960 --> 00:59:36,560 Speaker 1: old and they're not sure that he can handle another 1241 00:59:36,600 --> 00:59:39,760 Speaker 1: four years. They're not really buying the idea that he's 1242 00:59:39,880 --> 00:59:44,560 Speaker 1: the head of some elaborate, corrupt crime family. And it 1243 00:59:44,640 --> 00:59:47,280 Speaker 1: is a little dissonant with the other messaging about him 1244 00:59:47,280 --> 00:59:49,760 Speaker 1: being too old and too infirm, which I think lands 1245 00:59:49,800 --> 00:59:52,680 Speaker 1: more with what people are experiencing and their biggest concerns 1246 00:59:52,680 --> 00:59:54,960 Speaker 1: about Joe Biden. At this point, Let's just say if 1247 00:59:54,960 --> 00:59:57,880 Speaker 1: corruption was the number one issue in this campaign, I'm 1248 00:59:57,880 --> 00:59:59,800 Speaker 1: not sure that would go well for Donald Trump either. 1249 01:00:01,000 --> 01:00:03,000 Speaker 1: In addition to you know, all the rest of what 1250 01:00:03,040 --> 01:00:04,880 Speaker 1: I've laid out here, so it is kind of farcical. 1251 01:00:04,920 --> 01:00:06,600 Speaker 1: I mean, I think, sorry you to tell me because 1252 01:00:06,600 --> 01:00:08,320 Speaker 1: you're more in touch with this. It seems like even 1253 01:00:08,360 --> 01:00:11,000 Speaker 1: the Republican base is kind of frustrated with the lack 1254 01:00:11,040 --> 01:00:13,160 Speaker 1: of their there in terms of these hearings and their 1255 01:00:13,240 --> 01:00:16,720 Speaker 1: lack of inability to actually directly prove those links and 1256 01:00:16,800 --> 01:00:20,040 Speaker 1: find that smoking gun given what was promised to them 1257 01:00:20,040 --> 01:00:20,720 Speaker 1: at the beginning of it. 1258 01:00:20,800 --> 01:00:22,440 Speaker 2: Well, I can play this out of order, guys, if 1259 01:00:22,480 --> 01:00:23,960 Speaker 2: we could go ahead and play D three, that kind 1260 01:00:24,000 --> 01:00:25,640 Speaker 2: of hits home what you're talking about. This is a 1261 01:00:25,760 --> 01:00:29,120 Speaker 2: Newsmax host who's getting very upset with Jim Jordan being like, hey, guys, 1262 01:00:29,360 --> 01:00:30,840 Speaker 2: when is this actually going to go somewhere. 1263 01:00:30,880 --> 01:00:31,560 Speaker 3: Let's take a listen. 1264 01:00:31,720 --> 01:00:33,760 Speaker 12: Is impeachment the next step or are you going to 1265 01:00:33,800 --> 01:00:35,880 Speaker 12: hold a vote on the House floor. I know it's 1266 01:00:35,960 --> 01:00:38,960 Speaker 12: up to Mike Johnson, but the Margins congressman you lost, 1267 01:00:39,040 --> 01:00:42,920 Speaker 12: Kevin McCarthy, ken Buck left last week, George Santos was ousted. 1268 01:00:43,280 --> 01:00:45,960 Speaker 12: Unless you get Democratic votes, this is going to be 1269 01:00:46,080 --> 01:00:49,000 Speaker 12: real tough. So it kind of seems like you're chasing 1270 01:00:49,000 --> 01:00:51,160 Speaker 12: your tail at this point because this is not going 1271 01:00:51,200 --> 01:00:51,920 Speaker 12: to go anywhere. 1272 01:00:52,600 --> 01:00:54,600 Speaker 10: No fair question, and we you know, we got a 1273 01:00:54,640 --> 01:00:57,080 Speaker 10: small majority. Everyone understands that not just on this issue, 1274 01:00:57,080 --> 01:00:59,320 Speaker 10: but on a host of issues. Our job is under 1275 01:00:59,360 --> 01:01:02,040 Speaker 10: the Constitution is to do oversight of the executive branch. 1276 01:01:02,240 --> 01:01:04,240 Speaker 10: We are doing that, We're going to continue to do that. 1277 01:01:04,240 --> 01:01:07,400 Speaker 10: There's no time limit in the Constitution on how long 1278 01:01:07,440 --> 01:01:08,600 Speaker 10: you can do an investigation. 1279 01:01:08,840 --> 01:01:12,000 Speaker 2: So as you can see, the Newsmax host was not 1280 01:01:12,120 --> 01:01:14,520 Speaker 2: very happy there with mister Jordan. He's like, hey, what's 1281 01:01:14,600 --> 01:01:16,680 Speaker 2: actually going on. I do think some of the Republican 1282 01:01:16,720 --> 01:01:18,919 Speaker 2: base feels that way, and this is part of the issue. 1283 01:01:18,920 --> 01:01:21,000 Speaker 3: I do think over promising was a big one. 1284 01:01:21,280 --> 01:01:22,800 Speaker 2: A lot of it comes back to I think a 1285 01:01:22,800 --> 01:01:24,880 Speaker 2: lot of it is just deep frustration that people are 1286 01:01:24,920 --> 01:01:28,240 Speaker 2: not willing to take the Hunter Biden laptop story more seriously. 1287 01:01:28,280 --> 01:01:30,480 Speaker 3: And look, I don't even necessarily disagree. 1288 01:01:30,480 --> 01:01:32,320 Speaker 2: I think it should have gotten its due, you know, 1289 01:01:32,480 --> 01:01:35,360 Speaker 2: at the time, in terms of actually talking about the 1290 01:01:35,400 --> 01:01:37,960 Speaker 2: corruption allegations. But the truth is that this has now 1291 01:01:38,040 --> 01:01:41,120 Speaker 2: been before the American people now for quite some time, 1292 01:01:41,520 --> 01:01:45,360 Speaker 2: and it seems, unfortunately, maybe because of the Trump factor, 1293 01:01:45,480 --> 01:01:47,480 Speaker 2: maybe because they haven't been able to prove a direct 1294 01:01:47,480 --> 01:01:49,680 Speaker 2: thing with Biden, that it has not been able to 1295 01:01:49,680 --> 01:01:53,480 Speaker 2: actually penetrate anything beyond kind of the Fox News ecosystem. 1296 01:01:53,640 --> 01:01:55,800 Speaker 2: On the other side of the coin, though, Crystal is 1297 01:01:56,080 --> 01:01:59,480 Speaker 2: mister Jared Moskowitz. This is a Democratic congressman, and this 1298 01:01:59,520 --> 01:02:02,240 Speaker 2: is a continue strategy, right, is to tie any of 1299 01:02:02,280 --> 01:02:05,640 Speaker 2: these questions into Russigate, into trying to saying that you're 1300 01:02:05,640 --> 01:02:08,480 Speaker 2: some sort of Putin puppet. Here is the Democratic congressman 1301 01:02:08,600 --> 01:02:13,280 Speaker 2: who is donning a Vladimir Putin mask ahead of the hearing, 1302 01:02:13,400 --> 01:02:16,680 Speaker 2: trying to talk to reporters and saying that James Comber, 1303 01:02:16,680 --> 01:02:18,800 Speaker 2: the head of the committee, is in Putin's pocket. 1304 01:02:18,840 --> 01:02:23,040 Speaker 3: Let's take a listen. 1305 01:02:23,320 --> 01:02:25,720 Speaker 13: I just came to James Cohmer. 1306 01:02:25,280 --> 01:02:27,680 Speaker 2: For taking all of our intelligence and using it in 1307 01:02:27,680 --> 01:02:28,240 Speaker 2: the committee. 1308 01:02:28,880 --> 01:02:32,160 Speaker 8: Maybe he can come see the technology in our grocery stores. 1309 01:02:32,200 --> 01:02:33,960 Speaker 3: Thank you for Tosmans against two neighbors. 1310 01:02:34,040 --> 01:02:34,600 Speaker 8: Kind of mature. 1311 01:02:35,720 --> 01:02:38,680 Speaker 2: So he's got the Putin aller reed Max there, I 1312 01:02:38,680 --> 01:02:39,400 Speaker 2: hate everything. 1313 01:02:39,560 --> 01:02:41,240 Speaker 3: It's got to be one of the more humility things. 1314 01:02:41,480 --> 01:02:44,320 Speaker 1: What a healthscapers, What a healthscape of a political system? 1315 01:02:44,360 --> 01:02:47,320 Speaker 1: This is like, how embarrassing? This was why I was 1316 01:02:47,360 --> 01:02:51,280 Speaker 1: so like distraught the idea that Paul Manifort was going 1317 01:02:51,320 --> 01:02:54,120 Speaker 1: to be brought back onto Trump can be because it's 1318 01:02:54,200 --> 01:02:57,160 Speaker 1: just I mean, the russigates. It just never ends. Are 1319 01:02:57,200 --> 01:02:59,920 Speaker 1: you a child wearing a putin mask? 1320 01:03:00,160 --> 01:03:00,760 Speaker 3: What do you do? 1321 01:03:00,840 --> 01:03:03,439 Speaker 1: Even some of the mainstream reporters there were like, isn't 1322 01:03:03,480 --> 01:03:04,480 Speaker 1: this a little immature? 1323 01:03:04,920 --> 01:03:09,440 Speaker 2: Know anything, This is a little immature. I'm like, yeah, definitely. Anyway, 1324 01:03:09,560 --> 01:03:12,080 Speaker 2: So that was the main result. Doesn't seem like it's 1325 01:03:12,120 --> 01:03:14,400 Speaker 2: going to go much further. I know that there's been 1326 01:03:14,440 --> 01:03:18,120 Speaker 2: a vote or whatever on the impeachment investigation, I know 1327 01:03:18,160 --> 01:03:20,040 Speaker 2: within the House of Representatives, but unless they come up 1328 01:03:20,040 --> 01:03:21,760 Speaker 2: with someone soon, this is probably going to be the 1329 01:03:21,800 --> 01:03:23,200 Speaker 2: high water mark of the overall thing. 1330 01:03:25,760 --> 01:03:27,640 Speaker 1: All Right, We've got a lot of developments to get 1331 01:03:27,680 --> 01:03:30,160 Speaker 1: to with regard to Israel, and especially with regards to 1332 01:03:30,640 --> 01:03:34,280 Speaker 1: the Biden administration's response to Israel. So let's put this 1333 01:03:34,320 --> 01:03:37,760 Speaker 1: first piece up on the screen. A report from Haretz 1334 01:03:38,560 --> 01:03:43,040 Speaker 1: that the Biden administration is supposedly split on whether or 1335 01:03:43,120 --> 01:03:47,080 Speaker 1: not to suspend arm sales to Israel ahead of what 1336 01:03:47,120 --> 01:03:51,200 Speaker 1: they're describing as a deadline on Sunday. Now that deadline 1337 01:03:51,280 --> 01:03:55,120 Speaker 1: has to do with this letter that the Biden administration 1338 01:03:55,200 --> 01:04:00,200 Speaker 1: was pressured into requiring Israel to sign certifying that they 1339 01:04:00,200 --> 01:04:02,480 Speaker 1: are going to use these weapons and are using these 1340 01:04:02,520 --> 01:04:06,960 Speaker 1: weapons in accordance with international law, and that they are 1341 01:04:07,000 --> 01:04:10,960 Speaker 1: not blocking humanitarian aid. In other words, that it is 1342 01:04:11,000 --> 01:04:15,520 Speaker 1: actually legal for the US to send to continue these 1343 01:04:15,640 --> 01:04:18,560 Speaker 1: arm sales, because to do so if they are blocking 1344 01:04:18,640 --> 01:04:21,120 Speaker 1: humanitarian aid or if they are not, which we've all 1345 01:04:21,200 --> 01:04:23,040 Speaker 1: seen the reality of what's going on there, if they 1346 01:04:23,040 --> 01:04:26,080 Speaker 1: are not abiding by international law, that is illegal under 1347 01:04:26,120 --> 01:04:30,800 Speaker 1: our own laws. So they sent the letter from Yoav Gland, 1348 01:04:30,840 --> 01:04:33,120 Speaker 1: the Defense Minister of Israel. They sent the letter saying, yes, 1349 01:04:33,120 --> 01:04:35,160 Speaker 1: of course, we're following the law as blah blah blah, 1350 01:04:35,200 --> 01:04:39,200 Speaker 1: and now the US has to certify that that is 1351 01:04:39,320 --> 01:04:41,919 Speaker 1: the case. So let me lead read you a little 1352 01:04:41,960 --> 01:04:45,160 Speaker 1: bit of this report. They say that Secretary of State 1353 01:04:45,200 --> 01:04:49,400 Speaker 1: Anthony Blincoln, who is planning to visit Israel tomorrow, has 1354 01:04:49,480 --> 01:04:54,280 Speaker 1: until Sunday to approve Israel's stance. That stance was delivered 1355 01:04:54,320 --> 01:04:57,400 Speaker 1: earlier this week to the US ambassador in Israel, Jack 1356 01:04:57,520 --> 01:05:01,040 Speaker 1: lou Or. The US will immediately susp and weapons transfers 1357 01:05:01,040 --> 01:05:05,400 Speaker 1: to its close. Ally, we've already had some fallout around 1358 01:05:05,440 --> 01:05:09,440 Speaker 1: the world of other countries that have already suspended weapons 1359 01:05:09,440 --> 01:05:11,480 Speaker 1: shipments in different regards. So we had a group of 1360 01:05:11,560 --> 01:05:14,600 Speaker 1: Danish non governmental organizations that said last week they would 1361 01:05:14,640 --> 01:05:17,280 Speaker 1: sue Denmark in a bid to end that country's arms 1362 01:05:17,360 --> 01:05:20,840 Speaker 1: exports to Israel. They cited concerns about crimes against Palestine civilians. 1363 01:05:21,320 --> 01:05:24,120 Speaker 1: Last month, a Dutch court ordered the Netherlands to stop 1364 01:05:24,160 --> 01:05:26,880 Speaker 1: exporting parts for F thirty five viighter jets to Israel, 1365 01:05:26,960 --> 01:05:30,160 Speaker 1: citing concerns the parts were being used to violate international law. 1366 01:05:30,520 --> 01:05:36,240 Speaker 1: Officials from three State Department bureaus Democracy, Human Rights and Labor, Population, 1367 01:05:36,320 --> 01:05:39,560 Speaker 1: Refugees and Migration, and the Office of Global Criminal Justice, 1368 01:05:39,560 --> 01:05:42,640 Speaker 1: as well as USAID have all accordinated to this report 1369 01:05:42,720 --> 01:05:46,760 Speaker 1: expressed deep skepticism about the idea that Israel is in 1370 01:05:46,800 --> 01:05:51,200 Speaker 1: fact in compliance. Israel's failure to allow surge of humanitarian 1371 01:05:51,200 --> 01:05:54,400 Speaker 1: assistance into Gaza, they say, despite repeated commitments, remain a 1372 01:05:54,480 --> 01:05:58,480 Speaker 1: key driver of pessimism. And they also have an interesting 1373 01:05:58,600 --> 01:06:01,240 Speaker 1: quote here from Schumer that I wanted to take note of. 1374 01:06:01,560 --> 01:06:04,360 Speaker 1: In an interview with The Times, he added that without 1375 01:06:04,640 --> 01:06:07,840 Speaker 1: US support, Israel's future could well be over, which I 1376 01:06:07,880 --> 01:06:11,960 Speaker 1: thought was kind of extraordinary, given you know, Schumer's overwhelming 1377 01:06:12,040 --> 01:06:16,160 Speaker 1: past commitment to the state of Israel. So Sager, I 1378 01:06:16,160 --> 01:06:18,040 Speaker 1: don't know if this is real if there really is 1379 01:06:18,080 --> 01:06:20,400 Speaker 1: a schism here, if there really are people who are 1380 01:06:20,480 --> 01:06:25,200 Speaker 1: at a high level pushing for not certifying Israel's letter 1381 01:06:25,280 --> 01:06:29,080 Speaker 1: and commitment and actually suspending weapons sales. But if they 1382 01:06:29,120 --> 01:06:31,840 Speaker 1: did go in that direction, which again I will believe 1383 01:06:31,840 --> 01:06:34,880 Speaker 1: what I see because we've seen the unconditional support that's 1384 01:06:34,880 --> 01:06:37,400 Speaker 1: been provided thus far. But if they did go in 1385 01:06:37,400 --> 01:06:39,520 Speaker 1: that direction, there's no doubt that would be quite significant. 1386 01:06:39,600 --> 01:06:41,120 Speaker 2: I think what they would do, and this would be 1387 01:06:41,160 --> 01:06:43,880 Speaker 2: the smart play, is you would try to push for 1388 01:06:43,920 --> 01:06:46,520 Speaker 2: a ceasefire, and then you would do it post cease fire, 1389 01:06:46,880 --> 01:06:49,600 Speaker 2: after they don't necessarily need it, perhaps as a pressure 1390 01:06:49,680 --> 01:06:54,600 Speaker 2: valve to try and say that you should not recontinue hostilities. 1391 01:06:54,600 --> 01:06:57,040 Speaker 2: There was an interesting quote you found, Crystal in this 1392 01:06:57,120 --> 01:06:59,200 Speaker 2: mother Jones piece. I was actually really struck by it. 1393 01:06:59,200 --> 01:07:00,960 Speaker 2: If we can put it up there on the screen. 1394 01:07:01,040 --> 01:07:03,720 Speaker 2: It was actually a quote from a retired Israeli major general. 1395 01:07:03,800 --> 01:07:07,400 Speaker 2: It's fuck Bricktel's Mother Jones quote. All of our missiles, 1396 01:07:07,440 --> 01:07:10,560 Speaker 2: the ammunition, the precision guided bombs, all the airplanes and bombs, 1397 01:07:10,640 --> 01:07:13,600 Speaker 2: it's all from the US. The minute they turn off 1398 01:07:13,640 --> 01:07:17,520 Speaker 2: the tap, you can't keep fighting. You have no capability. 1399 01:07:17,600 --> 01:07:20,520 Speaker 2: This is more significant than I had thought, because I 1400 01:07:20,600 --> 01:07:23,960 Speaker 2: had thought that the Israelis had more native capacity than 1401 01:07:23,960 --> 01:07:26,680 Speaker 2: I had understood. But what they lay out is that 1402 01:07:26,920 --> 01:07:30,920 Speaker 2: while the Israelis do have let's say, artillery shells, unguided 1403 01:07:30,920 --> 01:07:33,680 Speaker 2: bombs and all of that, all of their precision munitions 1404 01:07:33,720 --> 01:07:36,440 Speaker 2: actually do come from the US, and that some of 1405 01:07:36,480 --> 01:07:39,520 Speaker 2: these dumb bombs in quote unquote largely their use has 1406 01:07:39,520 --> 01:07:41,920 Speaker 2: come either from running dry and not having yet been 1407 01:07:41,960 --> 01:07:44,760 Speaker 2: replenished by America's I didn't realize that so much of 1408 01:07:44,800 --> 01:07:47,800 Speaker 2: the high tech capacity of the IDF is actually backed 1409 01:07:47,880 --> 01:07:49,240 Speaker 2: by America. I knew it was some, and I knew 1410 01:07:49,280 --> 01:07:51,320 Speaker 2: it was significant, but I didn't say didn't think it 1411 01:07:51,360 --> 01:07:53,400 Speaker 2: was quote all of our missiles, all of the ammunition, 1412 01:07:53,520 --> 01:07:55,440 Speaker 2: all of the bombs, all of the airplanes is all 1413 01:07:55,440 --> 01:07:56,000 Speaker 2: from the US. 1414 01:07:56,160 --> 01:07:59,600 Speaker 1: Yeah. And I mean, so the idea that oh, we 1415 01:07:59,600 --> 01:08:02,480 Speaker 1: can't really Israel's a sovereign country, even if we did 1416 01:08:02,520 --> 01:08:04,800 Speaker 1: cut off weapons shipments, it wouldn't really make that big 1417 01:08:04,800 --> 01:08:07,680 Speaker 1: of a difference. That's just not true. And even if 1418 01:08:07,680 --> 01:08:10,720 Speaker 1: it were true, it still would behoove us to try 1419 01:08:11,200 --> 01:08:14,720 Speaker 1: to put pressure on Israel to end this absolute onslaught 1420 01:08:15,040 --> 01:08:20,040 Speaker 1: that has killed at least thirty thousand Palestinians and has 1421 01:08:20,160 --> 01:08:24,439 Speaker 1: led to overwhelming levels of you know, imminent famine and 1422 01:08:24,640 --> 01:08:28,439 Speaker 1: actual deaths from starvation now in at least about two 1423 01:08:28,520 --> 01:08:33,559 Speaker 1: dozen cases. And so that's what this administration is facing. 1424 01:08:33,560 --> 01:08:35,880 Speaker 1: They were sort of pressured by a group of senators 1425 01:08:36,320 --> 01:08:40,880 Speaker 1: into forcing Israel to issue this certification. And now in 1426 01:08:40,920 --> 01:08:43,879 Speaker 1: the face of we've been getting months, for months reports 1427 01:08:43,920 --> 01:08:47,120 Speaker 1: about you know, potential levels of famine, potential levels of starvation, 1428 01:08:47,240 --> 01:08:49,960 Speaker 1: et cetera. We've just gotten a few more that have 1429 01:08:50,040 --> 01:08:53,280 Speaker 1: gone into specifics about the way that Israel is using 1430 01:08:53,280 --> 01:08:56,240 Speaker 1: starvation as a weapon of war. And we also have 1431 01:08:56,840 --> 01:09:01,040 Speaker 1: the images of young children and babies who are literally 1432 01:09:01,200 --> 01:09:04,439 Speaker 1: starving to death. Now and we've you know, come to 1433 01:09:04,479 --> 01:09:07,599 Speaker 1: this point of pathetic desperation where the US is now 1434 01:09:07,920 --> 01:09:11,120 Speaker 1: air dropping in aid as if into some hostile territory 1435 01:09:11,200 --> 01:09:13,880 Speaker 1: rather than territory that is basically you know, completely run 1436 01:09:13,920 --> 01:09:17,679 Speaker 1: by our supposed ally and floating this boondoggle port situation. 1437 01:09:17,840 --> 01:09:20,400 Speaker 1: More on that in a moment, but you know, it's 1438 01:09:20,439 --> 01:09:22,559 Speaker 1: come to the point where even Sectuary of State Anthony 1439 01:09:22,600 --> 01:09:27,439 Speaker 1: Blincoln has to acknowledge the reality of the starvation that 1440 01:09:27,520 --> 01:09:30,000 Speaker 1: is unfolding on the ground. Take a listen to what 1441 01:09:30,080 --> 01:09:31,680 Speaker 1: he had to say recently. 1442 01:09:31,360 --> 01:09:36,960 Speaker 6: According to the most respected measure of these things, one 1443 01:09:37,040 --> 01:09:41,320 Speaker 6: hundred percent of the population in Gaza is at severe 1444 01:09:41,439 --> 01:09:46,000 Speaker 6: levels of acute food insecurity. That's the first time an 1445 01:09:46,120 --> 01:09:51,880 Speaker 6: entire population has been so classified. We also see again 1446 01:09:52,200 --> 01:09:55,719 Speaker 6: according to in this case the United Nations, one hundred 1447 01:09:55,760 --> 01:10:00,120 Speaker 6: percent the totality of the population is in need of humanatranus. 1448 01:10:00,560 --> 01:10:04,519 Speaker 1: So how, Sagar, do you say something like that one 1449 01:10:04,600 --> 01:10:07,840 Speaker 1: hundred percent of the population Gauzes at severe levels of 1450 01:10:07,880 --> 01:10:12,280 Speaker 1: acute food insecurity. How can you possibly say and acknowledge 1451 01:10:12,840 --> 01:10:16,519 Speaker 1: that reality and then turn around and certify that, oh, 1452 01:10:16,560 --> 01:10:19,720 Speaker 1: Israel is allowing humanitarian aid and Israel's in compliance with 1453 01:10:19,960 --> 01:10:23,160 Speaker 1: our loss. They may well do it. Like I said, 1454 01:10:23,160 --> 01:10:25,040 Speaker 1: I'll believe it when I see it with regards them 1455 01:10:25,080 --> 01:10:29,759 Speaker 1: taking any real action against Israel versus just these rhetorical shifts. 1456 01:10:30,200 --> 01:10:33,040 Speaker 1: But it seems to me that you know, it's very 1457 01:10:33,040 --> 01:10:37,200 Speaker 1: difficult to clean their incompliance with our laws and deserving 1458 01:10:37,240 --> 01:10:40,800 Speaker 1: of these weapons sales when you have an entire population 1459 01:10:40,920 --> 01:10:44,200 Speaker 1: for the first time that is at severe levels of 1460 01:10:44,240 --> 01:10:47,760 Speaker 1: acute food insecurity, and in certain instances actually starving to death. 1461 01:10:47,840 --> 01:10:50,639 Speaker 3: Yeah, it was interesting that this happened with Canada. 1462 01:10:50,680 --> 01:10:52,479 Speaker 2: Let's go and put this up there please on the 1463 01:10:52,600 --> 01:10:56,559 Speaker 2: screen where they say that Canadians will actually be stopping armsale, well, 1464 01:10:56,600 --> 01:11:00,479 Speaker 2: at least consideration. This is from the Foreign Minister. There 1465 01:11:00,520 --> 01:11:03,160 Speaker 2: was actually a non binding motion that had passed through 1466 01:11:03,200 --> 01:11:06,120 Speaker 2: parliament that called on them to do so. Very significant 1467 01:11:06,160 --> 01:11:09,879 Speaker 2: for a couple of reasons. Obviously, Canada is not Western European. 1468 01:11:10,200 --> 01:11:14,000 Speaker 2: Most importantly, though NATO member somebody that, especially with the 1469 01:11:14,000 --> 01:11:18,640 Speaker 2: Trudeau administration, has cooperated pretty significantly with the Biden administration 1470 01:11:18,680 --> 01:11:21,040 Speaker 2: and does demonstrate as well kind of a split in 1471 01:11:21,080 --> 01:11:24,760 Speaker 2: the overall Western posture towards Israel. Even if there's some 1472 01:11:24,840 --> 01:11:28,040 Speaker 2: crazy anti Semitism laws or whatever on the books in Europe, 1473 01:11:28,080 --> 01:11:30,559 Speaker 2: those governments are handling this very very differently than we are. 1474 01:11:30,760 --> 01:11:34,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, it is noteworthy, not because of the overall amount 1475 01:11:34,360 --> 01:11:36,960 Speaker 1: of the arm sales coming from Canada. They're not that 1476 01:11:37,080 --> 01:11:40,840 Speaker 1: significant a player in that regard, but still that such 1477 01:11:40,880 --> 01:11:43,360 Speaker 1: a close ally of ours would basically, you know, look 1478 01:11:43,360 --> 01:11:45,840 Speaker 1: at the situations that we can't do this any longer. 1479 01:11:45,880 --> 01:11:48,880 Speaker 1: That is obviously noteworthy. So we'll see where that goes. 1480 01:11:48,960 --> 01:11:51,160 Speaker 1: I just also have to note that it's not like 1481 01:11:51,600 --> 01:11:55,160 Speaker 1: we've just stood by while Israel does these things. I mean, 1482 01:11:55,200 --> 01:11:58,760 Speaker 1: we have helped them with the starvation policy, in particular 1483 01:11:59,560 --> 01:12:04,439 Speaker 1: by at their request, immediately defunding UNRA, which is the 1484 01:12:04,560 --> 01:12:09,040 Speaker 1: number one aid organization on the ground, and we did 1485 01:12:09,080 --> 01:12:13,440 Speaker 1: that on the day that the ICJ ruling came down, acknowledging, 1486 01:12:13,479 --> 01:12:15,559 Speaker 1: you know, it's plausible in South Africa as a decent 1487 01:12:15,680 --> 01:12:19,080 Speaker 1: enough case to continue this pursuit of whether or not 1488 01:12:19,160 --> 01:12:23,600 Speaker 1: Israel is in fact committing genocide. So we haven't just 1489 01:12:24,360 --> 01:12:28,360 Speaker 1: been observers here, We've been active participants in this horror 1490 01:12:28,439 --> 01:12:31,559 Speaker 1: that's unfolding of using starvation as a weapon of war, 1491 01:12:32,040 --> 01:12:37,200 Speaker 1: total collective punishment of the entire, entire civilian population. And 1492 01:12:37,200 --> 01:12:40,759 Speaker 1: by the way, since that ICJ ruling came down, which 1493 01:12:41,400 --> 01:12:44,439 Speaker 1: no did not call for a ceasefire, but called on 1494 01:12:44,600 --> 01:12:48,040 Speaker 1: Israel to cease any actions that are contributing to this 1495 01:12:48,160 --> 01:12:52,160 Speaker 1: finding a potential plausible genocide, that the number of AID 1496 01:12:52,160 --> 01:12:56,920 Speaker 1: trucks and the amount of AID entering has actually fallen dramatically. 1497 01:12:57,479 --> 01:13:01,640 Speaker 1: And you also have now Israel, over the objections of 1498 01:13:01,720 --> 01:13:05,360 Speaker 1: the US, targeting some of the people who've been really 1499 01:13:05,439 --> 01:13:09,360 Speaker 1: key in distributing the aid on the ground, and specifically 1500 01:13:09,840 --> 01:13:13,880 Speaker 1: Gaza police officers. Now they'll say, oh, well they're Hamas. Yeah, 1501 01:13:13,880 --> 01:13:16,639 Speaker 1: because Hamas was the government. But the US had asked 1502 01:13:16,680 --> 01:13:20,160 Speaker 1: them to stop targeting these civil society workers who are 1503 01:13:20,200 --> 01:13:23,320 Speaker 1: critical for helping to distribute what little aid is getting in, 1504 01:13:23,479 --> 01:13:25,559 Speaker 1: and that has not happened. In fact, if anything, they 1505 01:13:25,560 --> 01:13:29,599 Speaker 1: have stepped up the targeting of those individuals on top 1506 01:13:29,640 --> 01:13:31,559 Speaker 1: of of course, you know the massacres that we've seen, 1507 01:13:31,600 --> 01:13:34,920 Speaker 1: like the Flower massacre, of directly targeting starving Gazans who 1508 01:13:35,000 --> 01:13:37,760 Speaker 1: are going to try to obtain what aid they can. 1509 01:13:38,200 --> 01:13:41,759 Speaker 1: There was an extraordinary report in the Washington Post summed 1510 01:13:41,800 --> 01:13:45,719 Speaker 1: up you know, quite well, I think by Dave DeCamp 1511 01:13:45,800 --> 01:13:47,960 Speaker 1: of anti war dot com. Great website by the way, 1512 01:13:48,080 --> 01:13:51,680 Speaker 1: like libertarian or right leaning anti war website that I 1513 01:13:51,760 --> 01:13:54,040 Speaker 1: highly recommend to you guys regards to where you are 1514 01:13:54,040 --> 01:13:55,880 Speaker 1: on the political spectrum. Let's go ahead and put this 1515 01:13:55,960 --> 01:13:58,120 Speaker 1: up on this screen, and I'll read Dave's assessment of 1516 01:13:58,160 --> 01:14:01,040 Speaker 1: the Washington Post report, which really was quite stunning. So 1517 01:14:01,160 --> 01:14:04,559 Speaker 1: this Washing Post report attempted to go back to October 1518 01:14:04,600 --> 01:14:07,360 Speaker 1: seventh and basically look at how we ended up, the 1519 01:14:07,479 --> 01:14:09,880 Speaker 1: US ended up in the place it is now and 1520 01:14:10,560 --> 01:14:14,240 Speaker 1: at this point undeniable and manifest failures of the Biden 1521 01:14:14,280 --> 01:14:19,200 Speaker 1: administration's policy to say nothing about its immorality. So Dave writes, 1522 01:14:20,160 --> 01:14:24,000 Speaker 1: Biden administration officials knew back in October October twenty seventh, 1523 01:14:24,040 --> 01:14:27,679 Speaker 1: to be specific, that Israel was bombing buildings in Gaza 1524 01:14:27,720 --> 01:14:31,880 Speaker 1: without having solid intelligence that they were military targets, and 1525 01:14:31,960 --> 01:14:36,080 Speaker 1: continue to provide full support for Israeli military operations anyway, 1526 01:14:36,520 --> 01:14:40,479 Speaker 1: So we knew October twenty seventh. We knew that Israel 1527 01:14:40,560 --> 01:14:44,200 Speaker 1: was indiscriminately bombing without solid intelligence. And yet you remember 1528 01:14:44,240 --> 01:14:47,080 Speaker 1: the language and the rhetoric and the policy support that 1529 01:14:47,160 --> 01:14:49,920 Speaker 1: was Levy behind Israel at that point and continues to 1530 01:14:49,960 --> 01:14:52,000 Speaker 1: be to this day. Let me just continue reading this, guys, 1531 01:14:52,160 --> 01:14:54,000 Speaker 1: they say. The report said that a briefing took place 1532 01:14:54,000 --> 01:14:56,439 Speaker 1: at the White House on October twenty seventh, three weeks 1533 01:14:56,439 --> 01:14:59,679 Speaker 1: into that brutal Israeli military campaign, due to the Sheer 1534 01:14:59,680 --> 01:15:03,080 Speaker 1: Distry production in Gase, it was clear Israel was bombing 1535 01:15:03,120 --> 01:15:06,840 Speaker 1: the strip indiscriminately. And a report that we covered extensively 1536 01:15:06,880 --> 01:15:09,120 Speaker 1: here from Plus nine seven to two magazine published in 1537 01:15:09,160 --> 01:15:13,839 Speaker 1: November revealed Israel was actually intentionally hitting civilian targets. Israeli 1538 01:15:13,840 --> 01:15:16,280 Speaker 1: intelligence sources told nine seven to two that Israel targeted 1539 01:15:16,320 --> 01:15:20,679 Speaker 1: what it called power targets, which includes civilian infrastructure such 1540 01:15:20,680 --> 01:15:23,959 Speaker 1: as high rise apartment buildings, banks, universities, other public buildings. 1541 01:15:24,280 --> 01:15:27,200 Speaker 1: The sources said the Israeli military would also approve strikes 1542 01:15:27,200 --> 01:15:30,080 Speaker 1: that killed large numbers of civilians in an attempt to 1543 01:15:30,120 --> 01:15:34,760 Speaker 1: target one Hamas member. Biden officials also acknowledged during that 1544 01:15:34,800 --> 01:15:37,960 Speaker 1: October twenty seventh meeting that Israel had no clear plan 1545 01:15:38,080 --> 01:15:40,720 Speaker 1: on how to defeat Hamas. So think about that. They 1546 01:15:40,800 --> 01:15:44,280 Speaker 1: knew that this idea of while we're hunting Hamas was bullshit. 1547 01:15:44,479 --> 01:15:47,599 Speaker 1: From the early days of this war. Quote, we never 1548 01:15:47,720 --> 01:15:50,800 Speaker 1: had a clear sense that the Israelis had a definable 1549 01:15:50,840 --> 01:15:54,160 Speaker 1: and achievable military objective, a source familiar with the meaning 1550 01:15:54,240 --> 01:15:57,040 Speaker 1: told the Post. Quote, from the very beginning, there's been 1551 01:15:57,080 --> 01:15:59,559 Speaker 1: a sense of US not knowing how the Israelis were 1552 01:15:59,600 --> 01:16:02,120 Speaker 1: going to do what they said they were going to do. 1553 01:16:02,479 --> 01:16:05,519 Speaker 1: US Intel has acknowledged since that Hamas is not going away. 1554 01:16:05,720 --> 01:16:08,160 Speaker 1: The annual Threat Assessment that was released publicly by the 1555 01:16:08,160 --> 01:16:10,519 Speaker 1: Office of the Director of National Intelligence that we also 1556 01:16:10,560 --> 01:16:13,519 Speaker 1: covered here on Breaking Points this month said Israel quote 1557 01:16:13,560 --> 01:16:16,639 Speaker 1: probably will face lingering armed resistance from Hamas four years 1558 01:16:16,640 --> 01:16:19,400 Speaker 1: to come. Despite the lack of a realistic goal and 1559 01:16:19,479 --> 01:16:23,160 Speaker 1: massive civilian casualties, President Biden still continues to provide unconditional 1560 01:16:23,160 --> 01:16:26,720 Speaker 1: military aid for the slaughter. Since October seventh, his administration 1561 01:16:26,760 --> 01:16:32,519 Speaker 1: has approved over one hundred armstels for Israel. So bottom line, 1562 01:16:33,320 --> 01:16:36,599 Speaker 1: they knew, they knew the hunt for Hamas was bullshit. 1563 01:16:37,080 --> 01:16:41,200 Speaker 1: They knew civilians were being targeted from the very early days, 1564 01:16:41,439 --> 01:16:44,280 Speaker 1: and it did not stop them from shipping one hundred 1565 01:16:44,320 --> 01:16:49,919 Speaker 1: different times one hundred weapons sales, voting down vetoing UNC's 1566 01:16:50,000 --> 01:16:55,320 Speaker 1: fire resolutions, providing overwhelming diplomatic cover and support and rhetorical 1567 01:16:55,320 --> 01:16:59,240 Speaker 1: support to Israel. And one last thing soccer that was 1568 01:16:59,280 --> 01:17:02,960 Speaker 1: not in that particular report about this Washington Post piece, 1569 01:17:03,000 --> 01:17:06,000 Speaker 1: but that was also very noteworthy with regard to the 1570 01:17:06,120 --> 01:17:10,520 Speaker 1: raid on Al Shifa that you'll recall the Biden administration 1571 01:17:10,720 --> 01:17:14,720 Speaker 1: greenlit and that very day when they came out and said, oh, 1572 01:17:14,720 --> 01:17:17,799 Speaker 1: we agree with the Israeli intelligence with regard to Al Shifa, 1573 01:17:17,880 --> 01:17:20,480 Speaker 1: and we think that there is this command and control 1574 01:17:20,720 --> 01:17:24,000 Speaker 1: Hamas node under the hospital that was the very day 1575 01:17:24,400 --> 01:17:27,479 Speaker 1: that the first raid of Al Shifa occurred. Well, Senator 1576 01:17:27,560 --> 01:17:31,040 Speaker 1: Chris van Holland, in this Washington Post piece, who had 1577 01:17:31,040 --> 01:17:35,360 Speaker 1: received a classified briefing about that US intelligence on Al Shifa, said, 1578 01:17:35,439 --> 01:17:39,080 Speaker 1: quote there were important and subtle differences between what Biden 1579 01:17:39,120 --> 01:17:42,960 Speaker 1: officials were saying publicly and what the intelligence actually showed quote. 1580 01:17:43,320 --> 01:17:45,880 Speaker 1: I did find there to be some disconnect between the 1581 01:17:45,880 --> 01:17:50,120 Speaker 1: administration's public statements and the classified findings. In other words, 1582 01:17:50,640 --> 01:17:55,080 Speaker 1: the Biden administration lied on behalf of Israel about what 1583 01:17:55,160 --> 01:17:59,679 Speaker 1: our intelligence said about that supposed never proven Hamas command 1584 01:17:59,680 --> 01:18:02,960 Speaker 1: and control in order to give Israel the green light 1585 01:18:02,960 --> 01:18:04,880 Speaker 1: to go ahead and bread that hospital. That has led 1586 01:18:04,920 --> 01:18:07,880 Speaker 1: to numerous this point, I couldn't even say how many 1587 01:18:08,080 --> 01:18:11,559 Speaker 1: hospital raids, including we've just had our fourth rate of 1588 01:18:11,680 --> 01:18:13,479 Speaker 1: Alshifa that we covered this week. 1589 01:18:13,760 --> 01:18:15,760 Speaker 2: I encourage people to go and read this entire thing. 1590 01:18:15,800 --> 01:18:18,559 Speaker 2: It's very well written. John Hudson, one of the reporters 1591 01:18:18,560 --> 01:18:20,160 Speaker 2: on there, is a very good guy. He covers the 1592 01:18:20,200 --> 01:18:22,880 Speaker 2: State Department has for a long time. It's a very 1593 01:18:22,920 --> 01:18:26,160 Speaker 2: excellent piece because it outlines exactly why there's so much 1594 01:18:26,160 --> 01:18:29,080 Speaker 2: of a disconnect between public and private outside of the 1595 01:18:29,080 --> 01:18:32,040 Speaker 2: political the overall strategy that they are now acknowledging his 1596 01:18:32,120 --> 01:18:35,200 Speaker 2: failure is that the bear hug strategy allows you to 1597 01:18:35,280 --> 01:18:37,760 Speaker 2: be close if you back somebody up, and that will 1598 01:18:37,800 --> 01:18:40,559 Speaker 2: then let them listen to you because you're holding them 1599 01:18:40,560 --> 01:18:42,960 Speaker 2: close and you're actually sticking with them, as opposed to 1600 01:18:43,120 --> 01:18:45,639 Speaker 2: if you criticize them from the outset, then they're going 1601 01:18:45,680 --> 01:18:47,759 Speaker 2: to they're not going to listen to you from the beginning. 1602 01:18:47,800 --> 01:18:49,960 Speaker 2: But what they demonstrate in the piece is that a 1603 01:18:49,960 --> 01:18:52,280 Speaker 2: step by step by step by step is that the 1604 01:18:52,280 --> 01:18:54,679 Speaker 2: bear hug, even with the bear hug, was being taken 1605 01:18:54,680 --> 01:18:57,080 Speaker 2: in advantage of by the Israeli side, but was not 1606 01:18:57,200 --> 01:18:59,799 Speaker 2: being listened to, and that in the end what happened 1607 01:18:59,840 --> 01:19:02,640 Speaker 2: is a Biden himself ends up looking foolish. One of 1608 01:19:02,680 --> 01:19:04,599 Speaker 2: the ways you can really see that right now is Netta, 1609 01:19:04,920 --> 01:19:07,680 Speaker 2: who just losing it over Schumer. I mean, apparently it's 1610 01:19:07,720 --> 01:19:11,400 Speaker 2: been berating him behind the behind the scenes Netsa who 1611 01:19:11,400 --> 01:19:14,960 Speaker 2: actually addressed the Senate Republican conference this morning, which by 1612 01:19:15,000 --> 01:19:16,680 Speaker 2: the way, John Fetterman asked to sit in and on. 1613 01:19:16,760 --> 01:19:20,000 Speaker 2: But oh my god, that's a whole other separate conversations. 1614 01:19:21,720 --> 01:19:26,040 Speaker 2: In that meeting, he berated Chuck Schumer and allied himself 1615 01:19:26,040 --> 01:19:28,599 Speaker 2: even more with the Republican Party. And you know, let's 1616 01:19:28,600 --> 01:19:31,639 Speaker 2: be honest, it's not like Schumer called for anything substantively different. 1617 01:19:31,840 --> 01:19:34,440 Speaker 2: So my only point is that the bear Hug strategy 1618 01:19:34,640 --> 01:19:37,679 Speaker 2: is met with the same contempt at an analytical policy 1619 01:19:37,800 --> 01:19:41,920 Speaker 2: level brass tacks as opposed to the same critical level 1620 01:19:42,040 --> 01:19:45,080 Speaker 2: and withholding the only thing they do seem at least, 1621 01:19:45,120 --> 01:19:47,799 Speaker 2: the only thing they really seem to understand is actual strength, 1622 01:19:47,800 --> 01:19:50,240 Speaker 2: which has not yet been tried by any administration, by 1623 01:19:50,240 --> 01:19:51,639 Speaker 2: any real political entity. 1624 01:19:51,439 --> 01:19:54,240 Speaker 1: In the US, not for a while anyway, not certainly 1625 01:19:54,240 --> 01:19:59,320 Speaker 1: not under this administration. Let's get to this next piece, 1626 01:19:59,320 --> 01:20:04,320 Speaker 1: which is incredibly significant with regard to this port boondoggle situation. 1627 01:20:04,720 --> 01:20:08,679 Speaker 1: Put this up on the screen, so Beebe is apparently floating, Hey, 1628 01:20:08,720 --> 01:20:10,400 Speaker 1: you know what, we could use that port for a 1629 01:20:10,400 --> 01:20:13,160 Speaker 1: little ethnic cleansing so that Gozins could leave. Let me 1630 01:20:13,280 --> 01:20:16,799 Speaker 1: read this tweet specifically, Nott Yahoo in the Forid Affairs 1631 01:20:16,800 --> 01:20:19,120 Speaker 1: Committee in Israel said, we are looking at how to 1632 01:20:19,120 --> 01:20:22,240 Speaker 1: distribute the aid and gaza through non local entities because 1633 01:20:22,280 --> 01:20:25,080 Speaker 1: Hamas failed the attempts to distribute it through local entity. 1634 01:20:25,120 --> 01:20:28,200 Speaker 1: Of course, this is bullshit. But anyway, put that aside, 1635 01:20:28,200 --> 01:20:31,200 Speaker 1: private companies are also being investigated. This is all because 1636 01:20:31,200 --> 01:20:34,280 Speaker 1: they are defunding unrun trying to destroy. As far as 1637 01:20:34,280 --> 01:20:37,680 Speaker 1: the State of Israel is concerned, there is no obstacle 1638 01:20:38,000 --> 01:20:41,760 Speaker 1: for the Gosins to leave. Maybe even the port they 1639 01:20:41,840 --> 01:20:45,000 Speaker 1: are building could be used for this, but there are 1640 01:20:45,000 --> 01:20:47,599 Speaker 1: no countries in the world that are ready to receive 1641 01:20:47,640 --> 01:20:51,960 Speaker 1: them yet, countries not super excited about participating in your 1642 01:20:52,120 --> 01:20:55,639 Speaker 1: ethnic cleansing plan here. But Sager, this comes I don't 1643 01:20:55,640 --> 01:20:58,440 Speaker 1: know if you saw this, you probably did mis reports 1644 01:20:58,479 --> 01:21:02,479 Speaker 1: that as much as Biden floated this port situation as 1645 01:21:02,560 --> 01:21:05,720 Speaker 1: like his idea and this great humanitarian assistance to the 1646 01:21:05,720 --> 01:21:10,000 Speaker 1: Palestinian civilians, the idea actually came from the Israelis and 1647 01:21:10,040 --> 01:21:14,719 Speaker 1: from Netanyahu himself. So this gives you some insight into 1648 01:21:14,800 --> 01:21:18,880 Speaker 1: why they were keen for us to build this temporary 1649 01:21:18,880 --> 01:21:20,800 Speaker 1: port which is going to take months, which is going 1650 01:21:20,840 --> 01:21:22,960 Speaker 1: to take somewhere around one thousand US service members who 1651 01:21:23,000 --> 01:21:25,360 Speaker 1: were going to put at risk untold amount of dollars 1652 01:21:25,439 --> 01:21:27,519 Speaker 1: and is not even going to come close to solving 1653 01:21:27,640 --> 01:21:30,920 Speaker 1: the problem, which is the fact that babies are starving to. 1654 01:21:30,880 --> 01:21:32,360 Speaker 3: Death right now today, that's what they want. 1655 01:21:32,400 --> 01:21:34,559 Speaker 2: They want us to take them, they want us to 1656 01:21:34,600 --> 01:21:36,519 Speaker 2: be responsible for occupying for. 1657 01:21:36,720 --> 01:21:38,160 Speaker 3: I mean, remember the Wall Street Journal. 1658 01:21:38,160 --> 01:21:40,479 Speaker 2: They wrote a whole article they were like, hey, America, 1659 01:21:40,600 --> 01:21:43,200 Speaker 2: you guys should take all these refugees from Gaza and 1660 01:21:43,200 --> 01:21:44,280 Speaker 2: then we'll figure it out. 1661 01:21:44,320 --> 01:21:44,519 Speaker 5: You know. 1662 01:21:44,600 --> 01:21:47,960 Speaker 2: You this are literal members of the Kanesset who wrote 1663 01:21:47,960 --> 01:21:50,280 Speaker 2: this openly and they said that we should occupy the 1664 01:21:50,320 --> 01:21:52,680 Speaker 2: place and that we should take responsibility for them. 1665 01:21:52,680 --> 01:21:54,120 Speaker 3: That's what pisses me off the most about this. 1666 01:21:54,160 --> 01:21:57,160 Speaker 2: It's not even humanitarian because, as he said, people are 1667 01:21:57,240 --> 01:22:00,000 Speaker 2: either starving, We're not helping in the future, we're footing 1668 01:22:00,040 --> 01:22:02,760 Speaker 2: a bill, our people are at risk. It's a boondoggle, 1669 01:22:02,840 --> 01:22:05,640 Speaker 2: and it's just helping at least in the interim, you know, 1670 01:22:05,760 --> 01:22:08,920 Speaker 2: kind of helping accomplish their overall strategy. So the whole 1671 01:22:08,960 --> 01:22:11,600 Speaker 2: thing is just totally ridiculous. And what again does it 1672 01:22:11,680 --> 01:22:13,640 Speaker 2: say about a prime minister who is willing to just 1673 01:22:13,640 --> 01:22:16,200 Speaker 2: say this out in the open, about how hey, maybe 1674 01:22:16,200 --> 01:22:18,280 Speaker 2: you guys can take them or you can facilitate her. 1675 01:22:18,439 --> 01:22:20,280 Speaker 2: It's like, what, we're going to ship people out on 1676 01:22:21,000 --> 01:22:24,960 Speaker 2: US navy vessels to wear on your behalf, Like no, no, no, no, no, 1677 01:22:25,240 --> 01:22:26,800 Speaker 2: that's not how this is going to go. 1678 01:22:27,000 --> 01:22:30,519 Speaker 1: Well, well, but it may well. 1679 01:22:31,439 --> 01:22:32,680 Speaker 3: We're up to me, I would say, no. 1680 01:22:32,920 --> 01:22:37,200 Speaker 1: Yeah. At the same time, the level of contempt that's 1681 01:22:37,240 --> 01:22:41,639 Speaker 1: being telegraphed from this administration towards people who have who 1682 01:22:41,680 --> 01:22:44,200 Speaker 1: are many and who are a majority of Joe Biden's 1683 01:22:44,400 --> 01:22:46,160 Speaker 1: orders by the way, at this point, who have issues 1684 01:22:46,200 --> 01:22:49,679 Speaker 1: with their policy is really broad taking. Here's Koreean Jean Pierre. 1685 01:22:49,840 --> 01:22:52,000 Speaker 1: Just look at her affect. Listen to the answer, but 1686 01:22:52,040 --> 01:22:54,559 Speaker 1: also look at her affect while she is fielding this 1687 01:22:54,680 --> 01:22:57,439 Speaker 1: question about people who have objections to Joe Biden's policy 1688 01:22:57,439 --> 01:22:59,160 Speaker 1: of unconditional support of Israel, Takalism. 1689 01:23:00,120 --> 01:23:03,960 Speaker 14: Stinnian American, Arab American, and Muslim organizations that the White 1690 01:23:03,960 --> 01:23:06,840 Speaker 14: House reached out to for a meeting this week rejected 1691 01:23:06,960 --> 01:23:07,640 Speaker 14: the invitation. 1692 01:23:08,200 --> 01:23:10,439 Speaker 1: So what is the White House strategy on this? And 1693 01:23:10,520 --> 01:23:13,240 Speaker 1: are there plans for the President to directly engage with 1694 01:23:13,280 --> 01:23:14,120 Speaker 1: these communities. 1695 01:23:14,840 --> 01:23:18,120 Speaker 14: So look, the President, as you know, has had an 1696 01:23:18,120 --> 01:23:23,160 Speaker 14: opportunity to meet with members of that community not too 1697 01:23:23,200 --> 01:23:26,919 Speaker 14: long ago, leaders of that community, the our American community, 1698 01:23:26,960 --> 01:23:31,120 Speaker 14: the Muslim American community, not too long ago. And so 1699 01:23:32,280 --> 01:23:34,840 Speaker 14: look what I will say is We understand that this 1700 01:23:34,880 --> 01:23:37,040 Speaker 14: is a difficult time, that this is a painful time. 1701 01:23:37,439 --> 01:23:41,920 Speaker 14: We understand that the events of October seventh, that you know, 1702 01:23:42,360 --> 01:23:46,160 Speaker 14: that killed more than twelve hundred, twelve hundred souls, right, 1703 01:23:46,200 --> 01:23:48,559 Speaker 14: took more than twelve hundred souls in Israel and also 1704 01:23:48,640 --> 01:23:53,880 Speaker 14: took Helmas, the terrorist organization also as we know, took 1705 01:23:53,880 --> 01:23:57,519 Speaker 14: Costage more than two hundred people. And what that led to, 1706 01:23:58,200 --> 01:23:59,960 Speaker 14: that war that led to is incredibly pained. 1707 01:24:00,360 --> 01:24:01,120 Speaker 3: We understand that. 1708 01:24:01,479 --> 01:24:04,040 Speaker 1: So, I mean, this response was so bad on so 1709 01:24:04,120 --> 01:24:07,599 Speaker 1: many levels. First of all, she's practically rolling her eyes. 1710 01:24:08,000 --> 01:24:12,439 Speaker 1: And keep in mind, again, fifty percent of Joe Biden 1711 01:24:12,520 --> 01:24:16,200 Speaker 1: twenty twenty voters think this is a genocide. Fifty percent, okay, 1712 01:24:16,240 --> 01:24:17,920 Speaker 1: and that was, by the way, that poll is now, 1713 01:24:18,000 --> 01:24:19,519 Speaker 1: you know, at least a month old. I would be 1714 01:24:19,600 --> 01:24:22,080 Speaker 1: very curious what the numbers are at this point, given 1715 01:24:22,280 --> 01:24:26,400 Speaker 1: what we've seen unfold. She's flipping through the paper as 1716 01:24:26,400 --> 01:24:29,839 Speaker 1: she can barely be bothered. She looks bored, she's annoyed. 1717 01:24:29,960 --> 01:24:32,639 Speaker 1: Like I said, she's practically rolling her eyes, and then 1718 01:24:32,680 --> 01:24:36,760 Speaker 1: she can't even offer anything about you know, how they 1719 01:24:36,760 --> 01:24:39,320 Speaker 1: take this series out, they're going to win people back? 1720 01:24:40,040 --> 01:24:44,520 Speaker 1: She can't offer anything even a word about Palestinian civilian 1721 01:24:44,760 --> 01:24:48,360 Speaker 1: death and that loss of life and how it's wholly unacceptable. So, 1722 01:24:48,920 --> 01:24:52,400 Speaker 1: like I said, the level of content that continues to 1723 01:24:52,439 --> 01:24:54,880 Speaker 1: be telegraphed here is just really wild. 1724 01:24:55,200 --> 01:24:56,519 Speaker 3: It's very odd. I think. 1725 01:24:56,680 --> 01:24:58,519 Speaker 2: Look, I think that the eye roll just comes from 1726 01:24:58,520 --> 01:25:00,000 Speaker 2: They're like they don't want to deal with this anymore. 1727 01:25:00,200 --> 01:25:01,679 Speaker 3: They're just like, we want this to go away. 1728 01:25:01,800 --> 01:25:03,840 Speaker 2: We don't want to talk about it, we don't want 1729 01:25:03,840 --> 01:25:07,160 Speaker 2: this to be a problem for us. And that's I 1730 01:25:07,200 --> 01:25:10,920 Speaker 2: think one thing that the Israelis and the Biden administration, 1731 01:25:11,040 --> 01:25:14,240 Speaker 2: all of them have underestimated is that these clips are 1732 01:25:14,240 --> 01:25:18,320 Speaker 2: not local, like they go viral, and that moment went. 1733 01:25:18,320 --> 01:25:19,360 Speaker 3: Very, very viral. 1734 01:25:19,439 --> 01:25:21,960 Speaker 2: I think for the exact reasons that you're talking. Part 1735 01:25:21,960 --> 01:25:24,200 Speaker 2: of the reason why we've highlighted here was because it 1736 01:25:24,280 --> 01:25:27,240 Speaker 2: was because of the indifference, and they just don't seem 1737 01:25:27,600 --> 01:25:30,479 Speaker 2: to understand where that disconnect is, especially for their voters, 1738 01:25:30,520 --> 01:25:31,920 Speaker 2: and that's where it's becoming a political problem. 1739 01:25:32,040 --> 01:25:34,960 Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely, So the last piece we wanted to put 1740 01:25:35,040 --> 01:25:35,720 Speaker 1: up here because this. 1741 01:25:35,720 --> 01:25:37,720 Speaker 3: Is relevant to this hilarious I want to this. 1742 01:25:37,479 --> 01:25:41,799 Speaker 1: Whole conversation about like Israel so upset about Chuck Schumer 1743 01:25:41,960 --> 01:25:44,960 Speaker 1: interv meddling in their domestic politics. All right, put this 1744 01:25:45,080 --> 01:25:48,760 Speaker 1: up on the screen. Hawret's reports on an Israeli influence 1745 01:25:48,880 --> 01:25:54,080 Speaker 1: operation that directly targeted US lawmakers with regards to Hamas 1746 01:25:54,160 --> 01:25:58,240 Speaker 1: and unrespecifically. The subhead here says, hundreds of fake accounts 1747 01:25:58,240 --> 01:26:03,120 Speaker 1: amplified three mysterious quote unquote news sites to advance Israeli interest. 1748 01:26:03,360 --> 01:26:08,960 Speaker 1: Their target US Democratic lawmakers. The number one target, by 1749 01:26:08,960 --> 01:26:12,960 Speaker 1: the way of this influence operation apparently was Richie Torres. 1750 01:26:13,280 --> 01:26:18,160 Speaker 1: But you know, very interestingly, the majority of the posts 1751 01:26:18,200 --> 01:26:21,640 Speaker 1: were targeted not just at Democratic lawmakers or even just 1752 01:26:21,720 --> 01:26:25,200 Speaker 1: at you know, insane pro Israel acts like Richie Torres. 1753 01:26:25,479 --> 01:26:29,240 Speaker 1: It was actually targeted very specifically at black democratic lawmakers 1754 01:26:29,479 --> 01:26:32,360 Speaker 1: because there was this, you know, the senses borne out 1755 01:26:32,439 --> 01:26:34,280 Speaker 1: by if you look at who was signed on to 1756 01:26:34,360 --> 01:26:38,920 Speaker 1: cease fire proposals, especially from early on, there's a disproportionate 1757 01:26:39,000 --> 01:26:42,960 Speaker 1: number of Black Democrats who were backing these proposals. You 1758 01:26:43,040 --> 01:26:47,360 Speaker 1: have a historic connection to the Palestinian cause among black 1759 01:26:47,479 --> 01:26:51,400 Speaker 1: communities and civil rights activists in particular, so that was 1760 01:26:51,560 --> 01:26:55,120 Speaker 1: a serious focus. They say that over five hundred different 1761 01:26:55,120 --> 01:26:58,320 Speaker 1: avatars were found on three social networks. They pushed out 1762 01:26:58,320 --> 01:27:01,360 Speaker 1: posts with almost identical war wording links to what fake 1763 01:27:01,479 --> 01:27:05,400 Speaker 1: reporter call it. That's the outlet that actually originally identified 1764 01:27:05,439 --> 01:27:09,120 Speaker 1: this influence operation. The three main assets in this influence 1765 01:27:09,160 --> 01:27:12,720 Speaker 1: operation were these fake news websites, Unfold Magazine, Non Agenda, 1766 01:27:12,760 --> 01:27:15,479 Speaker 1: and the Moral Alliance. There's a very strong suggestion in 1767 01:27:15,520 --> 01:27:17,200 Speaker 1: this report, though they don't come right out and say 1768 01:27:17,200 --> 01:27:19,559 Speaker 1: it that it was being run by the Israeli government directly. 1769 01:27:19,800 --> 01:27:22,080 Speaker 1: We don't have one hundred percent proof of that. But again, 1770 01:27:22,120 --> 01:27:24,400 Speaker 1: like I said, strong suggestion, and to the point of 1771 01:27:24,400 --> 01:27:26,439 Speaker 1: what I was saying, some eighty five percent of all 1772 01:27:26,479 --> 01:27:29,200 Speaker 1: the American politicians whose accounts were targeted with such content 1773 01:27:29,240 --> 01:27:32,920 Speaker 1: were Democrats. Ninety percent of them were African Americans according 1774 01:27:32,960 --> 01:27:37,240 Speaker 1: to that analysis, and Richie Torres was targeted most. So 1775 01:27:37,640 --> 01:27:40,720 Speaker 1: very interesting. So oh, they would never meddle in our politics. Now, 1776 01:27:40,800 --> 01:27:42,639 Speaker 1: I want to say, like the posts they were making, 1777 01:27:42,720 --> 01:27:44,320 Speaker 1: I'm not saying they were particular. 1778 01:27:44,080 --> 01:27:45,719 Speaker 3: No, they weren't good, but they were doing. 1779 01:27:45,600 --> 01:27:48,519 Speaker 1: Effective or influential. Some of them even didn't even make sense. 1780 01:27:48,520 --> 01:27:51,920 Speaker 1: It'd be like an avatar with a white, middle aged 1781 01:27:51,920 --> 01:27:54,920 Speaker 1: looking dude who's like as a black woman, I feel 1782 01:27:54,960 --> 01:27:57,280 Speaker 1: blah blah blah. So it's not like it was like 1783 01:27:57,439 --> 01:28:00,720 Speaker 1: really well done or I think particularly impactful. But I 1784 01:28:00,760 --> 01:28:03,120 Speaker 1: also would point to saga. Remember the ADL was having 1785 01:28:03,160 --> 01:28:04,920 Speaker 1: a meltdown, we played some of the audio that got 1786 01:28:05,000 --> 01:28:08,280 Speaker 1: leaked about their TikTok problem, and there's this whole freak 1787 01:28:08,320 --> 01:28:10,960 Speaker 1: out about social media and how the young people are 1788 01:28:11,160 --> 01:28:13,679 Speaker 1: you know, pro Palestine or in their words, quote unquote 1789 01:28:13,680 --> 01:28:16,479 Speaker 1: pro Haamas. So I do wonder if this was like 1790 01:28:16,520 --> 01:28:20,479 Speaker 1: a direct reaction to that to try to combat the 1791 01:28:21,240 --> 01:28:24,960 Speaker 1: you know, the pro Palestinian sense on social media, especially 1792 01:28:24,960 --> 01:28:25,559 Speaker 1: among young people. 1793 01:28:25,680 --> 01:28:26,559 Speaker 3: I think it's possible. 1794 01:28:26,600 --> 01:28:28,600 Speaker 2: I don't know necessarily though, If that's what they're I 1795 01:28:28,640 --> 01:28:30,920 Speaker 2: think it's just a classic influence op, and they're going 1796 01:28:30,960 --> 01:28:32,559 Speaker 2: after the people that think. 1797 01:28:32,479 --> 01:28:32,880 Speaker 3: What they do. 1798 01:28:33,000 --> 01:28:36,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, this is just what they Dosad Israelis, like I said, 1799 01:28:36,760 --> 01:28:40,559 Speaker 2: they're the most notorious spies and like internal metalers here 1800 01:28:40,560 --> 01:28:42,479 Speaker 2: in the US by an alleged US ally. 1801 01:28:42,560 --> 01:28:44,759 Speaker 3: So anyway, I think it falls in the traditional playbook. 1802 01:28:45,280 --> 01:28:47,559 Speaker 1: All Right, we have an update for you on those 1803 01:28:47,960 --> 01:28:51,960 Speaker 1: Jonathan Glazer comments at the Oscars that came in for 1804 01:28:52,160 --> 01:28:55,120 Speaker 1: quite a bit of controversy. Let's go and put this 1805 01:28:55,240 --> 01:29:01,400 Speaker 1: up on the screen. So in reaction to the Glazer comments, 1806 01:29:01,439 --> 01:29:03,559 Speaker 1: you know, he was the filmmaker made zone of interest 1807 01:29:03,600 --> 01:29:06,720 Speaker 1: that's actually about the Holocaust. He himself is Jewish, and 1808 01:29:06,760 --> 01:29:11,480 Speaker 1: he said that he rejected the weaponization of his Jewishness 1809 01:29:11,520 --> 01:29:15,200 Speaker 1: and of the Holocaust in order to justify, you know, 1810 01:29:15,320 --> 01:29:18,840 Speaker 1: things that he believes should be unjustifiable. So they say, 1811 01:29:18,920 --> 01:29:23,000 Speaker 1: according to Variety, over one thousand Jewish creatives and professionals 1812 01:29:23,000 --> 01:29:26,479 Speaker 1: have now denounced Jonathan Glazers Zone Oscar speech in an 1813 01:29:26,479 --> 01:29:31,200 Speaker 1: open letter. Oh really, Well, it turns out that this 1814 01:29:31,360 --> 01:29:34,679 Speaker 1: open letter, it's just a form. It's a Google form, 1815 01:29:34,760 --> 01:29:37,160 Speaker 1: and you can see this in the community note, which 1816 01:29:37,200 --> 01:29:39,120 Speaker 1: is actually rather helpful. Here they say the letters a 1817 01:29:39,120 --> 01:29:41,240 Speaker 1: simple Google form. It does not confirm or ask for 1818 01:29:41,360 --> 01:29:44,240 Speaker 1: proof that the signers are Jewish creatives or professionals. One 1819 01:29:44,320 --> 01:29:46,880 Speaker 1: of the signers listed by Variety is a sag after 1820 01:29:47,040 --> 01:29:51,760 Speaker 1: member named River to the Sea. So apparently, you know, 1821 01:29:51,800 --> 01:29:54,599 Speaker 1: the original version of this letter had something like four 1822 01:29:54,640 --> 01:29:56,479 Speaker 1: hun or fifty names after it. After it got some 1823 01:29:56,479 --> 01:29:59,479 Speaker 1: publicity suddenly and just shot up to over one thousand 1824 01:29:59,520 --> 01:30:03,680 Speaker 1: purported the Jewish creatives and professionals, but some significant doubts 1825 01:30:03,960 --> 01:30:07,679 Speaker 1: about whether these are actual people who had an actual problem, 1826 01:30:07,800 --> 01:30:10,960 Speaker 1: and certainly whether they are Jewish creatives in Hollywood. Also, 1827 01:30:11,200 --> 01:30:13,800 Speaker 1: just as a note, apparently not a lot of big 1828 01:30:13,880 --> 01:30:17,640 Speaker 1: names signed on to this letter denouncing Jonathan Glazer, but 1829 01:30:17,920 --> 01:30:20,920 Speaker 1: I don't want to downplay the fact. I do think 1830 01:30:21,000 --> 01:30:25,120 Speaker 1: this could potentially his outspoken criticism which did become very 1831 01:30:25,160 --> 01:30:28,840 Speaker 1: controversial and was also lied about and misconstrued intentionally by 1832 01:30:28,880 --> 01:30:31,240 Speaker 1: a lot of dishonest actors. This could be a problem 1833 01:30:31,240 --> 01:30:33,639 Speaker 1: for his career. I don't think there's any doubt about 1834 01:30:33,640 --> 01:30:36,479 Speaker 1: that in terms of what the future may hold for him. 1835 01:30:36,520 --> 01:30:39,000 Speaker 1: I'm sure he knew that going into making these comments 1836 01:30:39,080 --> 01:30:41,599 Speaker 1: as well, because we've seen people in Hollywood lose their 1837 01:30:41,680 --> 01:30:44,400 Speaker 1: jobs for speaking out on behalf of Palestipians. 1838 01:30:44,520 --> 01:30:47,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, Tony Kushner, our producer Griffin found this. If people 1839 01:30:47,120 --> 01:30:49,920 Speaker 2: aren't familiar, he wrote Lincoln, he wrote Munich. He's been 1840 01:30:49,960 --> 01:30:52,599 Speaker 2: a Spielberg kind of collaborator. He's one of the more 1841 01:30:52,680 --> 01:30:55,679 Speaker 2: high profile people. I saw him speak once actually in college. 1842 01:30:55,760 --> 01:30:58,880 Speaker 2: He's the playwright. He did Angels of America. He actually 1843 01:30:58,880 --> 01:31:01,240 Speaker 2: spoke out on Glazier's half, and some of the comments 1844 01:31:01,240 --> 01:31:02,560 Speaker 2: were interesting let's says. 1845 01:31:02,479 --> 01:31:07,160 Speaker 13: The idea that you know, in the blowback after Jonathan 1846 01:31:07,160 --> 01:31:16,080 Speaker 13: Glazer's really sort of unimpeachable, irrefutable statement at the. 1847 01:31:16,000 --> 01:31:18,800 Speaker 1: Oscars, you identified with what he said, of. 1848 01:31:18,800 --> 01:31:22,839 Speaker 13: Course, I mean, who doesn't. What he's saying is so simple. 1849 01:31:23,120 --> 01:31:28,040 Speaker 13: He's saying, jewishness, Jewish identity, Jewish history, the history of 1850 01:31:28,040 --> 01:31:31,240 Speaker 13: the Holocaust, the history of Jewish suffering, must not be 1851 01:31:31,439 --> 01:31:36,200 Speaker 13: used in a campaign as an excuse for a project 1852 01:31:36,280 --> 01:31:40,720 Speaker 13: of dehumanizing or slaughtering other people. This is a misappropriation 1853 01:31:41,439 --> 01:31:44,720 Speaker 13: of what it means to be a Jew, but the 1854 01:31:44,760 --> 01:31:50,280 Speaker 13: Holocaust meant and he rejects that. Who doesn't agree with that? 1855 01:31:51,280 --> 01:31:54,439 Speaker 13: What kind of person thinks that what's going on now 1856 01:31:55,240 --> 01:31:58,599 Speaker 13: in Gaza is acceptable? And if you find yourself saying 1857 01:31:58,840 --> 01:32:01,240 Speaker 13: out loud and in public, oh, it's fine with me 1858 01:32:01,680 --> 01:32:07,639 Speaker 13: what they're doing because you feel that it's the only 1859 01:32:07,840 --> 01:32:13,000 Speaker 13: choice for you, because you're a Jew, is to defend 1860 01:32:13,120 --> 01:32:17,679 Speaker 13: everything that Israel does you know, Shame on you. 1861 01:32:17,960 --> 01:32:20,040 Speaker 2: I thought it was interesting just because he's a big 1862 01:32:20,320 --> 01:32:22,120 Speaker 2: he's a big player in Hollywood. So for him to 1863 01:32:22,160 --> 01:32:24,720 Speaker 2: come out and say something like this Spielberg collaborator and 1864 01:32:24,720 --> 01:32:26,120 Speaker 2: all that you're gonna have to pay attention. 1865 01:32:26,240 --> 01:32:29,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, Producer Griffin, he's like our most famous American playwright. 1866 01:32:30,439 --> 01:32:30,760 Speaker 1: We take. 1867 01:32:30,840 --> 01:32:32,479 Speaker 3: Like I said, I think he's an interesting guy. I saw. 1868 01:32:32,520 --> 01:32:33,920 Speaker 3: I went to go see him speak just because he 1869 01:32:33,960 --> 01:32:35,240 Speaker 3: wrote Lincoln, and he's. 1870 01:32:35,120 --> 01:32:39,120 Speaker 2: A very very very learning man, very well kind of 1871 01:32:39,320 --> 01:32:41,759 Speaker 2: crafted in his thoughts and the way he puts stuff 1872 01:32:41,760 --> 01:32:42,240 Speaker 2: down to paper. 1873 01:32:42,280 --> 01:32:44,960 Speaker 3: I've always found kind of an inspiration as a writer, he. 1874 01:32:44,920 --> 01:32:47,920 Speaker 1: Also said, and you could see that on the screen. 1875 01:32:48,400 --> 01:32:50,040 Speaker 1: He went on to say that what was happening in 1876 01:32:50,120 --> 01:32:52,960 Speaker 1: Gaza looked a lot like ethnic cleansing to him. So again, 1877 01:32:53,080 --> 01:32:56,439 Speaker 1: these are, you know, really noteworthy comments. And I think 1878 01:32:56,479 --> 01:33:00,240 Speaker 1: speaks to this conversation too about anti Semitism, because is 1879 01:33:00,439 --> 01:33:06,240 Speaker 1: you know, the idea that being a Jewish person requires 1880 01:33:06,280 --> 01:33:09,759 Speaker 1: you to support Israel, requires you to support everything Israel 1881 01:33:09,840 --> 01:33:12,479 Speaker 1: is doing and what Israel is all about. I think 1882 01:33:12,520 --> 01:33:16,200 Speaker 1: painting any sort of ethnic or religious group with that 1883 01:33:16,280 --> 01:33:19,920 Speaker 1: brought a brush. I mean, that's inherently bigoted to say 1884 01:33:19,960 --> 01:33:24,000 Speaker 1: you have to associate yourself with this ethnic cleansing in 1885 01:33:24,000 --> 01:33:26,600 Speaker 1: his words that's being carried out here. You know, I 1886 01:33:26,640 --> 01:33:30,640 Speaker 1: think that is truly anti Semitic, and that gets to 1887 01:33:30,720 --> 01:33:34,080 Speaker 1: some comments that our former president Donald Trump had to 1888 01:33:34,120 --> 01:33:37,120 Speaker 1: make about Jewish people and how they should be viewing 1889 01:33:37,280 --> 01:33:40,400 Speaker 1: this conflict, dictating to them what should define their Jewishness. 1890 01:33:40,479 --> 01:33:41,280 Speaker 1: Let's take a listen to that. 1891 01:33:41,400 --> 01:33:44,560 Speaker 3: Why do the Democrats hate Biby and Netanyahu? 1892 01:33:45,600 --> 01:33:48,439 Speaker 8: I actually think they hate Israel. Yes, I don't think 1893 01:33:48,479 --> 01:33:51,000 Speaker 8: they hate it. I think they hite Israel. And the 1894 01:33:51,040 --> 01:33:54,880 Speaker 8: Democrat Party hates Israel. Any Jewish person that votes for 1895 01:33:55,000 --> 01:34:00,639 Speaker 8: Democrats hates their religion, They hate everything of about Israel, 1896 01:34:01,120 --> 01:34:03,800 Speaker 8: and they should be ashamed of themselves because Israel would 1897 01:34:03,800 --> 01:34:04,480 Speaker 8: be destroyed. 1898 01:34:04,600 --> 01:34:10,040 Speaker 1: Any Jewish person that votes for Democrats hates their religion. 1899 01:34:10,439 --> 01:34:13,479 Speaker 1: Think about that, and that's the polar opposite of what, 1900 01:34:13,600 --> 01:34:18,680 Speaker 1: For example, Tony Kushner was saying that his Jewishness requires 1901 01:34:18,760 --> 01:34:21,880 Speaker 1: him to speak out against what is being done to 1902 01:34:22,479 --> 01:34:27,759 Speaker 1: Palestinian civilians in the name of him and other Jewish people. 1903 01:34:28,240 --> 01:34:31,839 Speaker 1: So it reminded me so much of the Joe Biden. 1904 01:34:32,080 --> 01:34:34,200 Speaker 1: If you don't vote for me, then you ain't black. 1905 01:34:34,400 --> 01:34:38,599 Speaker 1: It reminded me so much of that that Donald Trump 1906 01:34:38,680 --> 01:34:42,960 Speaker 1: thinks he can dictate to Jewish people what their religion 1907 01:34:43,080 --> 01:34:45,360 Speaker 1: is all about and how they if they vote for 1908 01:34:45,400 --> 01:34:47,880 Speaker 1: a Democrat then they must hate their religion. I mean 1909 01:34:47,880 --> 01:34:48,840 Speaker 1: that is disgusting. 1910 01:34:48,920 --> 01:34:50,679 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think it's right, but it's actually 1911 01:34:50,720 --> 01:34:53,160 Speaker 2: become more of a popular talking point amongst a lot 1912 01:34:53,160 --> 01:34:55,320 Speaker 2: of conservative Jews. I've seen a lot of people like 1913 01:34:55,439 --> 01:34:59,240 Speaker 2: JPod John put Herrits, Josh Hammer and others who have 1914 01:34:59,360 --> 01:35:03,160 Speaker 2: kind of normal this within the conservative Jewish community where 1915 01:35:03,200 --> 01:35:08,200 Speaker 2: they are inextricably linking Israel, the war in Gaza, criticism 1916 01:35:08,240 --> 01:35:10,680 Speaker 2: of that and trying to not excommunicate per se. 1917 01:35:10,720 --> 01:35:12,719 Speaker 3: I don't think it exists in Judaism, but it's. 1918 01:35:12,520 --> 01:35:15,639 Speaker 2: More like you are not adhering to the tenets of 1919 01:35:15,680 --> 01:35:18,200 Speaker 2: like who we are and what is described in the 1920 01:35:18,240 --> 01:35:21,400 Speaker 2: religion if you don't, if you vote for the Democratic Party, 1921 01:35:21,439 --> 01:35:23,960 Speaker 2: I believe you. Hammer said that outright and explicitly. So 1922 01:35:24,000 --> 01:35:25,320 Speaker 2: I think that is where a lot of this is 1923 01:35:25,320 --> 01:35:27,519 Speaker 2: coming from for Trump, is they're like, hey, you should 1924 01:35:27,720 --> 01:35:28,040 Speaker 2: push this. 1925 01:35:28,120 --> 01:35:29,960 Speaker 3: And I've seen a lot of this internal. 1926 01:35:29,600 --> 01:35:33,120 Speaker 2: Policing, you know, in the Jewish community very recently where 1927 01:35:33,200 --> 01:35:37,000 Speaker 2: you know, Schumer his act was very controversial where it 1928 01:35:37,120 --> 01:35:39,200 Speaker 2: kind of split some of the way that they think 1929 01:35:39,240 --> 01:35:41,639 Speaker 2: and talk about Israel. And I think Trump is trying 1930 01:35:41,640 --> 01:35:44,240 Speaker 2: to like glom onto that and trying to bring some 1931 01:35:44,360 --> 01:35:46,519 Speaker 2: of that energy into the Republican Party. I mean, listen, 1932 01:35:46,560 --> 01:35:48,920 Speaker 2: on a rhetorical level, I think it's crazy and outrageous. Like, 1933 01:35:49,080 --> 01:35:51,479 Speaker 2: you know, nobody. It is not the job of anyone 1934 01:35:51,760 --> 01:35:54,639 Speaker 2: except for people in their religion, and even then they 1935 01:35:54,640 --> 01:35:56,360 Speaker 2: don't as far as I understand it, there is no 1936 01:35:56,400 --> 01:35:57,599 Speaker 2: pope or whatever in duties. 1937 01:35:57,960 --> 01:36:00,240 Speaker 3: So you people figure that shit out for yourself. There's 1938 01:36:00,240 --> 01:36:01,240 Speaker 3: more my question. 1939 01:36:02,439 --> 01:36:05,360 Speaker 1: You know, there was a poll that found a majority 1940 01:36:05,439 --> 01:36:08,760 Speaker 1: of Jewish American support to cease fire, A majority of 1941 01:36:08,840 --> 01:36:09,759 Speaker 1: Jewish American support. 1942 01:36:10,280 --> 01:36:11,839 Speaker 3: Most Jewish Americans are libs. 1943 01:36:11,960 --> 01:36:18,120 Speaker 1: Like that's the I mean, here's the thing too. There's 1944 01:36:18,200 --> 01:36:23,000 Speaker 1: been obviously a very warranted conversation about anti Semitism. There's 1945 01:36:23,000 --> 01:36:26,479 Speaker 1: also been an unwarranted conversation about anti Semitism, you know, 1946 01:36:27,160 --> 01:36:30,360 Speaker 1: being invented in any criticism of Israel being considered an 1947 01:36:30,360 --> 01:36:35,479 Speaker 1: antismitic et cetera, et cetera, and anti Semitism is never justified, 1948 01:36:35,520 --> 01:36:37,880 Speaker 1: It's never acceptable. I just want to you know that 1949 01:36:38,040 --> 01:36:41,200 Speaker 1: this is not to justify anything, but if you are 1950 01:36:41,200 --> 01:36:45,400 Speaker 1: requiring all Jews to be associated with what the Israeli 1951 01:36:45,439 --> 01:36:50,439 Speaker 1: government is doing right now, starving two million people ethnic 1952 01:36:50,600 --> 01:36:54,680 Speaker 1: wanting to ethnically cleanse those people, plausibly committing a genocide 1953 01:36:54,760 --> 01:36:57,559 Speaker 1: against those people, and you want to tie every Jew 1954 01:36:57,600 --> 01:37:01,040 Speaker 1: in the world to those policies and say that's what 1955 01:37:01,160 --> 01:37:05,320 Speaker 1: makes you Jewish, That's the defining character of your Jewishness 1956 01:37:05,800 --> 01:37:09,200 Speaker 1: is to be associated with this state that is acting 1957 01:37:09,280 --> 01:37:13,000 Speaker 1: in the most morally outrageous ways you can possibly imagine. 1958 01:37:13,840 --> 01:37:18,360 Speaker 1: It is almost inevitable, again, not justifying, it is almost inevitable. 1959 01:37:18,400 --> 01:37:22,400 Speaker 1: That is going to lead to an increase in anti Semitism, 1960 01:37:22,439 --> 01:37:26,479 Speaker 1: that is going to make Jews around the world less safe. 1961 01:37:26,680 --> 01:37:29,200 Speaker 1: So that's part of why I find the reaction to 1962 01:37:29,280 --> 01:37:31,240 Speaker 1: Jonathan Glazers speech. So discussiing is part of why I 1963 01:37:31,280 --> 01:37:34,920 Speaker 1: find Donald Trump's comments here. So discussing this conflation of 1964 01:37:35,520 --> 01:37:40,479 Speaker 1: Jewishness with unconditional support for Israel. I mean, this is 1965 01:37:40,520 --> 01:37:45,360 Speaker 1: not the way Israelis think about things, you know, you know, 1966 01:37:45,479 --> 01:37:48,040 Speaker 1: they certainly don't think that their Jewishness is defined by 1967 01:37:48,080 --> 01:37:51,400 Speaker 1: supporting friggin Benjamin Netanyato. I can tell you that much 1968 01:37:51,400 --> 01:37:54,320 Speaker 1: based on the polls now, there is a very high 1969 01:37:54,360 --> 01:37:56,559 Speaker 1: and very disturbing level of support for what is being 1970 01:37:56,600 --> 01:37:59,679 Speaker 1: done in Gaza by the Israeli public. But to say 1971 01:37:59,680 --> 01:38:03,479 Speaker 1: that you were you are defined in your Jewishness by 1972 01:38:03,520 --> 01:38:06,360 Speaker 1: your level of support for whatever it is the Israeli 1973 01:38:06,400 --> 01:38:09,040 Speaker 1: government is going to do, or even commitment to the 1974 01:38:09,080 --> 01:38:11,879 Speaker 1: State of Israel, you know, in the Zionist project itself. 1975 01:38:12,080 --> 01:38:15,599 Speaker 1: I just find that absolutely disgusting, wrong, and like I said, 1976 01:38:15,640 --> 01:38:20,280 Speaker 1: I think inevitably actually makes Chews less safe and lifts 1977 01:38:20,280 --> 01:38:22,679 Speaker 1: the level of anti Semitism here in our real world. 1978 01:38:22,800 --> 01:38:25,679 Speaker 2: That's the point our friend Daryl Cooper has been making 1979 01:38:25,880 --> 01:38:26,760 Speaker 2: very consistently. 1980 01:38:26,800 --> 01:38:29,280 Speaker 3: He's like, listen, if you want it this way, well. 1981 01:38:28,960 --> 01:38:31,080 Speaker 2: Then you know you are going to be by and 1982 01:38:31,160 --> 01:38:35,080 Speaker 2: large actually increasing the amount of aggregate anti Semitism in 1983 01:38:35,120 --> 01:38:37,200 Speaker 2: the world. I would also say this, you know, you 1984 01:38:37,280 --> 01:38:40,200 Speaker 2: can't be saying dual loyalty is anti semitic if you 1985 01:38:40,320 --> 01:38:43,320 Speaker 2: also are accepting a frame of dual loyalty. 1986 01:38:43,400 --> 01:38:47,559 Speaker 1: That's true, demanding actually true, You're actually demanding it, right. 1987 01:38:48,200 --> 01:38:51,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a whole other conversation, and that is why 1988 01:38:52,000 --> 01:38:54,160 Speaker 2: you know, I know it's controversial, but I think it 1989 01:38:54,240 --> 01:38:58,479 Speaker 2: is the most most poignant part and is one on 1990 01:38:58,600 --> 01:39:01,120 Speaker 2: the American right, which nobody wants to touch with a 1991 01:39:01,160 --> 01:39:04,800 Speaker 2: ten foot poll, and yet is so obvious with so 1992 01:39:04,960 --> 01:39:08,600 Speaker 2: many commentators. I'll just leave it at that that it 1993 01:39:08,680 --> 01:39:11,920 Speaker 2: is supposedly off bounds, but it's like they're the ones 1994 01:39:11,960 --> 01:39:15,120 Speaker 2: also internally trying to enforce the exact same standard. So 1995 01:39:15,160 --> 01:39:17,280 Speaker 2: you can't call it anti semitic and then say it's 1996 01:39:17,280 --> 01:39:20,559 Speaker 2: anti semitic not to adhere to that standard in their 1997 01:39:20,560 --> 01:39:21,160 Speaker 2: own community. 1998 01:39:21,240 --> 01:39:22,679 Speaker 3: So anyway, that's a whole. 1999 01:39:22,439 --> 01:39:24,360 Speaker 2: Other conversation, I guess. Indeed, all right, thank you guys 2000 01:39:24,400 --> 01:39:27,000 Speaker 2: for watching. We really appreciate it. As we said, sign 2001 01:39:27,040 --> 01:39:29,559 Speaker 2: up for premium if you can. Breakingpoints dot Com big 2002 01:39:29,800 --> 01:39:31,840 Speaker 2: upgrade in the service. If anything breaks over the weekend, 2003 01:39:31,880 --> 01:39:33,599 Speaker 2: we'll bring it to you. Otherwise, we've got some content. 2004 01:39:33,760 --> 01:39:38,640 Speaker 3: We'll see you all next week.