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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast, part of the Action

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Speaker 1: Network and proudly presented by BET three six five, the

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Speaker 1: world's favorite sports book brand. I am Chad Millman, Chief

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Speaker 1: Content Officer of the Action Network. I am joined as

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Speaker 1: I am for every episode where we are live on YouTube,

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Speaker 1: live on AMP, so you can send your questions in.

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Speaker 1: I love the interaction we got from listeners last week

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Speaker 1: before the draft. People asking questions on YouTube, people asking

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Speaker 1: questions on app. The chats are open, send them in.

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Speaker 1: I am joined by my bff, my companion, my compadre

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Speaker 1: professional better from Hawaii. As we speak, mister Sime and Hunter.

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Speaker 2: Hello so wy then hello lot Chat. What a weekend

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Speaker 2: for Philadelphia sports.

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Speaker 3: Becrouss the draft, James Harden won US a playoff game,

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Speaker 3: and Boston has choked away everything. It's just if you

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Speaker 3: hate Northeast sports, it's a good time.

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Speaker 2: I hate New York number one.

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Speaker 3: I definitely hate New York the most New York teams.

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Speaker 3: But Boston's right there. Boston. The Tom Brady curse is

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Speaker 3: alive and well, no championships is twenty eighteen. Let's keep

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Speaker 3: that streak going.

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Speaker 1: Well, look, you're bringing up the Bruins and the Celtics. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: the Celtics were recording this on Tuesday. Choked last night

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Speaker 1: against the Joel and bed Less Sixers watched the game

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Speaker 1: was a great game James Harden forty five, including the

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Speaker 1: Daggers game winning three at the end of the game

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Speaker 1: over Horford and of course the Bruins. We're going to

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Speaker 1: talk about the NHL with Michael Leeboff, our hockey betting analyst,

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Speaker 1: host of Line Change, the Action Network hockey betting podcast Dude.

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Speaker 1: Back to back choke jobs at TD Garden by.

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Speaker 2: Boston teams so good.

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Speaker 1: You know what's interesting? Tell me if you feel this,

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Speaker 1: Like obviously, I'm from Chicago and grew up hating the Knicks.

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Speaker 1: Grew up, you know, moved to New York in the

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Speaker 1: nineties when the Bulls Knicks rivalry was at at zenith.

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Speaker 1: And the problem is, I find Jalen Brunson and Josh

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Speaker 1: Hart to be so likable as players, and I want

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Speaker 1: to root for them, and so I don't hate the

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Speaker 1: Knicks as much as I used to.

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Speaker 2: It's because you're not on Twitter anymore.

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Speaker 3: If you go on Twitter after a Knicks win, Chad,

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Speaker 3: that will be cured so quick. These fans win one game,

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Speaker 3: it's as if they won the championship. So Knicks fans, Yes,

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Speaker 3: they have likable players, but their fans are still the worst.

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Speaker 3: They still think the world cares about the Knicks. I mean,

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Speaker 3: one of the dumbest things I saw was I mean

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Speaker 3: it might have been Stephen A. Smith, so I don't

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Speaker 3: want to judge it too hard, but it was him

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Speaker 3: saying that Jimmy Butler wasn't gona be able to show

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Speaker 3: up because the game was in the Garden.

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Speaker 2: As if that matters, right, It like blows my mind.

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Speaker 2: They're like, well, it's the mecca.

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Speaker 3: It's like the mecca of what good basketball in the eighties,

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Speaker 3: so it always correct.

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Speaker 2: My people are like, well, I don't know.

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Speaker 3: If you can call the New York and play where

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Speaker 3: the Knicks play, it's a it's a different feeling in

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Speaker 3: that stadium. It's clearly not I think the heat dominated

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Speaker 3: that game one. So hopefully the Nicks get knocked down

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Speaker 3: round too, like they always do. Chat and we can

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Speaker 3: get back to you know, good NBA talking, said, I've

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Speaker 3: happen to talk about the New York Knicks all the time.

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Speaker 1: Well, look, the NBA right now is amazing and we're

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Speaker 1: gonna be talking about NBA in future podcasts, but we

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Speaker 1: are going to talk like I said about NHL today. Also,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna have to review the draft because the Eagles dominated.

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Speaker 1: Howie was playing chess when everybody else was playing checkers.

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Speaker 1: How this guy ends up with this much talent in

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Speaker 1: the draft. We're definitely gonna talk about that with Brandon Anderson,

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Speaker 1: who was all over the draft and since then has

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Speaker 1: been all over what to do with the Rookie of

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Speaker 1: the Year for defense, Rookie of the Year for offense,

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Speaker 1: some season win totals, bets that he's already made based

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Speaker 1: on the draft. Amazing draft, Like the draft has gotten

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Speaker 1: so good. The fact that draft has drawn six million

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Speaker 1: viewers or more across the various networks. NBA games aren't

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Speaker 1: drawing that in the playoffs when you have the biggest

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Speaker 1: stars in the game plan. It's phenomenal reminder. The Favorites

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Speaker 1: Podcast is probably presented by BET three six five, the

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna say it again, you guys have heard us

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Speaker 1: time today, last minute tickets lows price guaranteed. Simon, we

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Speaker 1: were talking about the Bruins oak job in years past.

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Speaker 1: One of the guests who has tickled you the most,

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Speaker 1: who has made you the happiest, has been our hockey analyst,

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Speaker 1: host of Line Change, the Action Network hockey betting podcast,

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Speaker 1: Michael Leeboff. Leeboff, Let's get into it. Brother Bruins' best

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Speaker 1: season in hockey history. Losing the first round. They are

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Speaker 1: just losing the first round. They're up three to one

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Speaker 1: in the series. They lose in overtime in Game seven

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Speaker 1: at home. Put this in context for us.

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Speaker 4: First of all, it's really nice to see Simon and

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Speaker 4: his beautiful shiny glow from Hawaii. Aloha, Simon. Yeah, this

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Speaker 4: is what happens in hockey. Though, the kind of guffawing

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Speaker 4: after the series was kind of funny because if you

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Speaker 4: looked at the pre series odds, Florida was plus two

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Speaker 4: fifty to win. So if people were going to call

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Speaker 4: this one of the biggest all time upsets in sports history,

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Speaker 4: that would mean that we'd have to go back and

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Speaker 4: talk about the Arizona Coyotes. You know, when they're plus

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Speaker 4: two fifty every night, and they beat the Dallas Stars

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Speaker 4: on a random Tuesday in February. Be like, what was

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Speaker 4: that the biggest upset in sports history?

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Speaker 2: Too?

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Speaker 4: The Panthers are a good team, they won the President's

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Speaker 4: Trophy last year.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it was.

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Speaker 4: It was a choke job more than I think, you know,

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Speaker 4: monumental upset and completely blew the bracket wide open. But

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Speaker 4: I think now that kind of news has come out

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Speaker 4: about the Bruins and the injuries that some of their

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Speaker 4: players were dealing with. Patrese Bergeron had a herniated disk

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Speaker 4: in his back. The goaltender Linis Almark was battling through

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Speaker 4: an injury too after his ves in a season. So

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Speaker 4: that's what ends up happening in the playoffs. It's just

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Speaker 4: like it's a war of attrition. And so I'm not, like,

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Speaker 4: you know, on the floor shocked. But it definitely was

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Speaker 4: amusing for a lot of people. My wife is a

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Speaker 4: Bruins fan, so it was not amusing for her. I

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Speaker 4: had to watch that game with her and be a

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Speaker 4: good husband and console her. She does not do after

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Speaker 4: the Islanders lose. In fact, to me, after the Islanders

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Speaker 4: got eliminated, I hate them. They ruined your life, you know,

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Speaker 4: if you're way too nice.

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Speaker 3: So they blew a three to one lead, and they

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Speaker 3: had a lead in Game six with a mint to go.

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Speaker 2: It was a joke.

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Speaker 4: It was a stunning comeback. But the upset pre series

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Speaker 4: upset was like like a random Tuesday night in April

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Speaker 4: when the Anaheim Ducks beat the Vegas Golden Knights.

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Speaker 2: Well, I love the shit on Boston. So which one

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Speaker 2: is worst?

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Speaker 3: The Flyers coming back down three to zero or them

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Speaker 3: choking this up three to one? The best NHL team ever?

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Speaker 4: I think it's this one. Yeah, you know, they did

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Speaker 4: rewrite the record books during the regular season, you know,

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Speaker 4: and that's now as you're if you're a Boston fan, like,

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Speaker 4: how do you look back on this this season with

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Speaker 4: like a smile on your face? Like that's pretty tough.

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Speaker 4: These all these players are going to go except awards

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Speaker 4: in a in a few weeks. The goaltender Lenaslmrko win

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Speaker 4: the VESNA. The coach Jim Montgomery is gonna win the

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Speaker 4: Coach of the Year, and like it's very reminiscent to

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Speaker 4: the to what the Tampa Bay Lightney did a couple

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Speaker 4: of seasons ago when they set the record and then

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Speaker 4: got swept by the Columbus Blue Jas in round one.

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Speaker 2: Stame Golie Bobrovski, Man, that's yeah, that is okay.

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Speaker 4: Your former former flyer.

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Speaker 2: I got yeah.

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Speaker 1: I love what Simon gets, like, starts pulling out his

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Speaker 1: legit sports fandom when we're in non NFL times, like

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Speaker 1: when you're going deep on hockey. That's when I remember

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Speaker 1: what a sports fan you are.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I a psycho. Chet, I'm a psycho.

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Speaker 1: You're a total psycho. Michael Leboff, the host of Line Change,

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Speaker 1: the hockey betting podcast for the Action Network. I know

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Speaker 1: how much you hate the Toronto Maple Leafs. For those

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Speaker 1: who don't know John Taveres, who was a longtime Islander,

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Speaker 1: Mike Leboff, who lives for the Islanders, has season tickets

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Speaker 1: to the Islanders, really hates John Taveres for leaving the

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Speaker 1: Islanders and going to his hometown team, the Toronto Maple Leafs.

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Speaker 1: Now they have advanced for the first time since two

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Speaker 1: thousand and four, they're playing the Panthers. How do you

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Speaker 1: feel about the Maple Leafs? How will they handle the Panthers?

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Speaker 4: Oh? Yeah, I hate them obviously. I hate John Tavaras

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Speaker 4: and basically everything that the Maple Leiefs stand for. I

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Speaker 4: think the way Simon described Knicks and Knicks fans kind

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Speaker 4: of reminds me of Maple Leafs fans. It's like, they've

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Speaker 4: won one playoff series in two thousand and four despite

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Speaker 4: having more resources or as they say in Canada, resources

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Speaker 4: at their disposal than any other team, because they are

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Speaker 4: the richest team in the league and one playoff series win,

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Speaker 4: and yeah, it's a big deal. Like I know some

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Speaker 4: good Maple Leaf fans, and they deserve to be happy

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Speaker 4: that they want a playoff round for the first time

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Speaker 4: in their adult life. But it's being painted as this

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Speaker 4: like monumental underdog story when they have one of the

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Speaker 4: most talented teams in the league and they have more

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Speaker 4: money than anybody. They're able to pay like coaches and

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Speaker 4: analytics staff and all that stuff more than anybody else,

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Speaker 4: so they should be much better than they are. But

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Speaker 4: they act like they're the scrappy underdog story. But the

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Speaker 4: opposite is obviously true. And now, yeah, now they play

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Speaker 4: Florida and the Islanders have alliances with other fan bases,

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Speaker 4: the Montreal Canadians and New York Islanders, of course is

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Speaker 4: one of the most famous in and all sports. It's

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Speaker 4: very much like Fdr and Churchill and Joseph Stalin. I

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Speaker 4: would say, like, you know, we we'll get to our

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Speaker 4: ship later, but but like right now, we need to

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Speaker 4: we need to all unite to defeat this this common enemy.

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Speaker 4: And so right now the Florida Panthers are are very

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Speaker 4: much in that picture from from Yalta with me. I'll

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Speaker 4: be Fdr. Simon is of course British, so he could

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Speaker 4: be Winston Churchill and Florida Panthers Nation they'll be Stalin

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Speaker 4: here and we'll take care of what we need to

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Speaker 4: take care of later down the line, but right now

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Speaker 4: they need to defeat the bad guys.

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Speaker 5: The beautiful seaside town of Yata was the setting for

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Speaker 5: the latest and greatest confidence of the Big Three, The Kremlin,

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Speaker 5: God's March Past and true Red arm his style. After

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Speaker 5: being inspected by mister Chutchill and President.

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Speaker 1: Roosevelt, the enemy of your enemy is just.

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Speaker 4: Your friend exactly.

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Speaker 3: Now you of all the teams remaining, you have a

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Speaker 3: team that it's your favorite bet or your favorite long shot.

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Speaker 2: Left.

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Speaker 3: That's all the crack and are still twenty to one

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Speaker 3: to win the Cup, even though he just took down Colorado.

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Speaker 3: Is there any teams that stand out to you like that?

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Speaker 4: If you're gonna bit Seattle, I would just bet their

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Speaker 4: goalie Philip Grubauer to win the con smythe He's like

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Speaker 4: eighty to one, one hundred to one. You could probably

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Speaker 4: find out there because if they if they win the

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Speaker 4: Stanley Cup, it's because he's maintaining the level. He was

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Speaker 4: terrible for them for the first two seasons and all

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Speaker 4: of a sudden, as goalies do, just got really hot.

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Speaker 4: And if he keeps that level up for the next

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Speaker 4: few series and plays them to a very surprising Stanley Cup,

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Speaker 4: I think he'd rather be holding an eighty to one

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Speaker 4: ticket on him or a hundred to one ticket on

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Speaker 4: him rather than the twenty to one. I think that

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Speaker 4: the Oilers, just in their series in general against Vegas,

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Speaker 4: will have some value. Vegas looked good against Winnipeg, but

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Speaker 4: I think that was more about Winnipeg just being an

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Speaker 4: absolute mess. Their coach. Rick Bonus, former Islander coach from

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Speaker 4: nineteen ninety seven, fact about Bones he coached to win

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Speaker 4: with peg Jets in nineteen eighty nine for one season

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Speaker 4: and then recoat and now, as you know, traveled bounced

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Speaker 4: around the league and came full circle to them thirty

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Speaker 4: three years later, so you know, hats off to Rick,

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Speaker 4: but he completely pasted his star players in his postgame presser,

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Speaker 4: which if it was like an NBA thing, I think

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Speaker 4: people would still be talking about it even though it

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Speaker 4: was a week ago, because he just called them all

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Speaker 4: out and said that they were disgusting, which I felt

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Speaker 4: was great. But Winnipeg was a mess in that series,

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Speaker 4: so I think Vegas looked really good by default, and

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Speaker 4: Edmonton is just flying series favorite despite not having homemice advantage.

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Speaker 4: But they're they're pretty cheap favorite on the road in

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Speaker 4: these two games, and I like, I'll probably be betting

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Speaker 4: them with both and then going over to the East

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Speaker 4: the Panthers. Similarly, like if I would try to find

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Speaker 4: the biggest number you can on Matthew Kuchuk to win

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Speaker 4: the Consmith Award if and that's playoff MVP. Our producer

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Speaker 4: Matt Mitchell wanted me to remind me that people listening

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Speaker 4: might not know what the cons smythe Trophy means, but

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Speaker 4: it means playoff MVP. I think other sports just call

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Speaker 4: it playoff MVP, which tells you everything you need to

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Speaker 4: know about hockey. But yeah, Matthew could chuck. If they

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Speaker 4: go far, it's going to be because of him. I

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Speaker 4: think he's interesting. And then the Hurricanes and Devils, I

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Speaker 4: would just pick like a long shot series. Bet like

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Speaker 4: to lead this series in goal scorers. Step On Nason

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Speaker 4: for Carolina is interesting. He's twenty eight to one because

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Speaker 4: there's not gonna I don't think there's gonna be much

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Speaker 4: scoring in there, so it could take like three or

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Speaker 4: four and you could walk out of it there with

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Speaker 4: a pretty ticket in your pocket. But yeah, That's where

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Speaker 4: I'm sitting right now. But mostly I'm just praying to

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Speaker 4: God that the Panthers can beat the main beliefs.

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Speaker 1: All right, leave off, there's a lot of hockey that

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Speaker 1: to be played. I know we got to watch the

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Speaker 1: Maple Leafs, but we're all going to root against them

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Speaker 1: with all of our heroes as part of the Alta

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Speaker 1: Conference Alliance, and uh, you know, God speed to all

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Speaker 1: of us.

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Speaker 5: A crime on confidence has resulted in many great decisions

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Speaker 5: fall the field shot.

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Speaker 2: God speed.

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Speaker 4: Hopefully we can stop them, because I just won't be

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Speaker 4: around anymore. Simon was talking about some random Pacific islands

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Speaker 4: before we be hopped on here, and I'll have to

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Speaker 4: pick one out for myself to go live on and

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Speaker 4: I never watch another second of sports again, Simon.

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Speaker 1: One of my favorite memories of Leaboff on the podcast

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Speaker 1: is him sitting alone by a creek with his dog,

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Speaker 1: listening to something on his phone in a stranger's backyard

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Speaker 1: because he was so upset about the Islanders.

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Speaker 4: After the Islanders got eliminated this time around, I sat

303
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Speaker 4: in my car put on some Fleetwood Mac.

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Speaker 2: For a while.

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Speaker 4: It was pouring rain, so sounds like signs of growth.

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Speaker 4: You know, I'm not thinking about chumping into a freezing

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Speaker 4: cold lake anymore. It's just sitting in my car.

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Speaker 1: Never change my greave Off. Thanks for coming on the

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Speaker 1: favorite podcast. Michael Leeboff, the host of Line Change, the

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Speaker 1: hockey betting podcast for the Action Network. We got to

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Speaker 1: move on. We got to get to the NFL Draft.

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Speaker 1: We got to get to the NFL Draft. Brandon Anderson,

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Speaker 1: who was all over it before the draft started and

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Speaker 1: then has been all over it since the draft started,

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Speaker 1: with just phenomenal insights. Brandon, you had an article that

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Speaker 1: came out in which you talked about Rookie of the Year, defense, offense,

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Speaker 1: all that kind of stuff. I want you to break

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Speaker 1: it down. But over the past couple of years, you've

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Speaker 1: written a lot about these awards. Give me your favorite

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Speaker 1: stat that indicates what could be leading signal into how

321
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Speaker 1: you should derive value from betting on offensive Rookie of

322
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Speaker 1: the Year.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, there's one go to stat here. It's the draft slot.

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Speaker 6: It's the guy that gets taken near the top of

325
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Speaker 6: the draft. I know it's kind of boring, but here's

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Speaker 6: the number. Last nineteen seasons, sixteen offensive rookie of the

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Speaker 6: year we're drafted in the first round. That's eighty four percent.

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Speaker 2: But it's better.

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Speaker 6: Fifteen out of the nineteen were top twelve picks and

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Speaker 6: that's just offense. Remember some of those picks our defense too,

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Speaker 6: So we're basically narrowing the field down to like five, six,

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Speaker 6: seven dudes before the season ever started. It's opportunity. We

333
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Speaker 6: are saying, Hey, you're going to a bad team that

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Speaker 6: had a hyph draft pick, and we're going to have

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Speaker 6: opportunity for you to play right away.

336
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Speaker 2: And by the way, we want you to look good.

337
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Speaker 6: We're invested in you, so we're just going to keep

338
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Speaker 6: feeding you carries and opportunities, and that's really how Ricky

339
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Speaker 6: year usually goes.

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Speaker 2: That held last year as well.

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Speaker 1: We got a lot to break down here, Fellas Simon.

342
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Speaker 1: We talked so much in the draft about Bryce Young,

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Speaker 1: not Bryce Young going number one and how that would

344
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Speaker 1: impact you. But then the draft, like in the last

345
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Speaker 1: few hours, got even crazier than it had in the

346
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Speaker 1: forty eight hours before that. Describe the inbound you were

347
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Speaker 1: getting and how you were managing the flow of information

348
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Speaker 1: to try to take advantage in the final hours before

349
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Speaker 1: the draft.

350
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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think we talked a little bit on the

351
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Speaker 3: show that it's it's a tougher year. A lot of

352
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Speaker 3: the teams up top were pretty tight lipped, you know,

353
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Speaker 3: like some of these organizations are really being smart about

354
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Speaker 3: not really leaking stuff, and other organizations don't even care.

355
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Speaker 3: I mean, I heard Alanta was taking Robinson.

356
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Speaker 2: Two weeks ago.

357
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Speaker 3: So that was one of those bets where it's like

358
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Speaker 3: I kept telling people take them top ten. We were like,

359
00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:17,840
Speaker 3: do you know something, and it's like, yeah, we know,

360
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Speaker 3: Atlanta has told everyone around they're gonna take him at

361
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Speaker 3: eight if he's there. So there's a couple of teams

362
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Speaker 3: like that, they'll leak it right away. There's other teams

363
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Speaker 3: that are really tight lips. So we did our show

364
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Speaker 3: eleven am Eastern, which was five am my time, and

365
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Speaker 3: I was getting text chat but nothing really concrete, right,

366
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Speaker 3: nothing that was really like telling me exactly what was

367
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Speaker 3: going to happen. Then, sure enough, at eleven thirty, I

368
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Speaker 3: text from a really smart scout that said Bryce Young

369
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Speaker 3: going one, Houston going QB at two, and I text

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Speaker 3: him right back way way what QB?

371
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Speaker 2: No response.

372
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Speaker 3: Not even five minutes later, I get another text from

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Speaker 3: a guy, Hey, Houston's going quarterback at two. I don't

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Speaker 3: think it's gonna be your guy though. My guy, as

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Speaker 3: Chad knows, is Anthony Richardson. So my first thought was like, okay,

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Speaker 3: it's not Anthony Richardson. That means there's two options. It's

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Speaker 3: either Will Levis or CJ.

378
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Speaker 2: Strout.

379
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Speaker 3: Now, little did I know half these teams that have

380
00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:10,240
Speaker 3: Will Levis even in their top fifteen, like that was

381
00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:12,479
Speaker 3: all smoke screens, that was all pure and media driven.

382
00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:14,920
Speaker 3: I didn't know that. I'MI like everyone else here where.

383
00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:18,160
Speaker 3: It's like, I think Will Levis is terrible. It doesn't

384
00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:20,119
Speaker 3: matter what I think if an NFL team loves him,

385
00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:24,479
Speaker 3: this kid's a top pick. So you know, I'm pretty sure.

386
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Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure. I tweeted it out. I tweeted out

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Speaker 3: that Houston was talking about taking a QBA two. CJ

388
00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:34,160
Speaker 3: was plus like four to fifty, plus four hundred. I'm

389
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Speaker 3: not saying just because of my tweet, the line started

390
00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:39,840
Speaker 3: to moving. But not even hour later, CJ was minus

391
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Speaker 3: four hundred to be the first quarterback taken. So this

392
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:44,960
Speaker 3: was an hour before the draft started. We saw that

393
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Speaker 3: smart money came in. They got they got the same

394
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Speaker 3: news I did. By the time the draft started, I

395
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Speaker 3: think CJ was up to minus two thousand, and then

396
00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:54,639
Speaker 3: you know, Bryce Seung went one. All of a sudden,

397
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Speaker 3: he was up to minus forty thousand CJ. So that

398
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Speaker 3: was one of those that they were keeping a tight lip,

399
00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:02,040
Speaker 3: but it did leak. He got a nice penny down

400
00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:03,679
Speaker 3: on a chat. But it was one of those where

401
00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:05,760
Speaker 3: I really I couldn't help that. I lost a lot

402
00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:08,399
Speaker 3: of money. Bryce Shung, I'm not gonna lie. So unfortunately

403
00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:13,480
Speaker 3: the books they limit. Again, I all the messages I get,

404
00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:16,680
Speaker 3: people were saying, like, what do you know? I try

405
00:20:16,760 --> 00:20:18,680
Speaker 3: not to shoot on these mock drafters so hard because

406
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Speaker 3: it's literally what they do for a living. But Mel Kiper,

407
00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:24,520
Speaker 3: a guy who's no one's more tuned in right than

408
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Speaker 3: Mel Kuiper.

409
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Speaker 2: This guy literally lives for mocks. It's all he does.

410
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Speaker 3: He had one pick right, people, it was Bryce Young.

411
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Speaker 3: That was the only thing he got right in his

412
00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:36,359
Speaker 3: entire mock. Todd McShay another guy all locked in. He

413
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:38,960
Speaker 3: got four picks right, including Bryce Schung in the first round.

414
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Speaker 2: Right. So that's why I try to tell people every year.

415
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Speaker 2: It's like, I hate it.

416
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Speaker 3: It's it's brutal because I'm trying to tell people to

417
00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:47,840
Speaker 3: think outside the box and they're just like, well this

418
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Speaker 3: everyone's mock is saying that number two they're going Will Anderson.

419
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Speaker 2: So I would say that was the toughest part of

420
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Speaker 2: the draft chat.

421
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Speaker 3: I'm trying to tell people that a quarterback was going

422
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Speaker 3: at two, and I had to deal with an hour

423
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Speaker 3: people saying, who the hell are you? What the hell

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Speaker 3: do you know? There's nothing a game there. I just

425
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Speaker 3: put it out there because I told you, Chad, if

426
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Speaker 3: I ever get info, I'll put it out there. Like

427
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Speaker 3: if I get good info that I trust, I'll always

428
00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:10,239
Speaker 3: put out there, just because I think people realize at

429
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Speaker 3: this point, if I send you out a number, I've

430
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Speaker 3: already bet it, Like I already had my runners at

431
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Speaker 3: the books. I bet that number for fifteen minutes before

432
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Speaker 3: I put out there that I thought the QB was

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Speaker 3: going to two. So yes, I'm going to make my

434
00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:22,640
Speaker 3: profit off it, but I'll also give out the best

435
00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:24,000
Speaker 3: of the number to the people once I get it.

436
00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:27,120
Speaker 3: So that was a fun draft, Chad. All the movement,

437
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:28,720
Speaker 3: I mean, we have plenty of time to talk about

438
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:32,320
Speaker 3: all of it. Houston one of the worst run organizations

439
00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:35,560
Speaker 3: in all of football, and I think anyone would have

440
00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:38,240
Speaker 3: a brand could realize that you're trading up a first

441
00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:41,240
Speaker 3: round pick to get a d N They're idiots, Chad.

442
00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:44,080
Speaker 3: So that was one of those drafts that was really fun.

443
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:46,040
Speaker 3: And it's fun where if you're a nerd like me

444
00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:47,520
Speaker 3: and you have a draft board and you have the

445
00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:50,760
Speaker 3: numbers back and everything, it's like CJ Trout for the

446
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:54,800
Speaker 3: Houston smart pick, trading back up an unprotected first round

447
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:56,960
Speaker 3: pick on a team that is projected to be the

448
00:21:57,040 --> 00:22:00,360
Speaker 3: number two pick next year. Chad, It's oh, it makes

449
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:03,479
Speaker 3: you lose your damn mind. So I came with your

450
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:05,920
Speaker 3: Andocon's take on it, just because I see he's got

451
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:09,160
Speaker 3: him for Defensive Rookie of the Year. I love the idea,

452
00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:11,120
Speaker 3: but he's probably like me where it's just like Houston,

453
00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:14,160
Speaker 3: what the hell are we doing? You guys were making

454
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:17,240
Speaker 3: the right moves and then you kind of screwed up Arizona.

455
00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:19,440
Speaker 3: To me, I don't know, Brandon has win in the draft.

456
00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 3: I think Arizona won this year's draft. It's either them

457
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:24,480
Speaker 3: or I know it's kind of a homer pick to say,

458
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 3: the Bears with Chad, but I love what the Bears

459
00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:29,640
Speaker 3: did too, But Arizona to me, setting up for the future.

460
00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:31,280
Speaker 3: Who knows that they're gonna do with Kyler Murray. But

461
00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:32,840
Speaker 3: right now, if they could get the one to two

462
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,600
Speaker 3: pick next year, holy shit, Chad, that is such a

463
00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:38,040
Speaker 3: haul for what they gave up. So a really really

464
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,480
Speaker 3: fun draft this year, and it's what one of the

465
00:22:40,560 --> 00:22:42,800
Speaker 3: highest ratings we've ever had for a draft. It's just

466
00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:45,720
Speaker 3: it's not gonna change. It's gonna keep getting crazier and

467
00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:47,720
Speaker 3: crazer as the years ago. Along Chat, So I do

468
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:48,280
Speaker 3: I love the.

469
00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:51,600
Speaker 1: Draft, Brandon, give us your take, give us a breakdown here.

470
00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:54,800
Speaker 6: Yeah, but I think Simon, I think you nailed the

471
00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:58,920
Speaker 6: Houston thing. I was flabbergasted at that trade. And it's

472
00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 6: not about Will Anderson and it's not about CJ. Strott.

473
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:02,480
Speaker 2: I love both of.

474
00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:06,360
Speaker 6: Them, absolutely want to add these guys. Actually think Houston

475
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:09,600
Speaker 6: will I think they're both floor razers. I think Houston's

476
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:11,879
Speaker 6: going to be better this year, in part because they

477
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,200
Speaker 6: know we have their first or third round pick next year,

478
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:15,879
Speaker 6: so there's no reason to tank. They're just going to

479
00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,480
Speaker 6: go try to win. You know, Demiko o'rians wants to

480
00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:21,520
Speaker 6: establish them winning culture now in Stroud, I thought was

481
00:23:21,520 --> 00:23:24,480
Speaker 6: the highest floor quarterback in the draft. Will Anderson, I

482
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:26,320
Speaker 6: think most people, a lot of people thought was the

483
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 6: top defender. Good players, no arguments about them being worth

484
00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 6: a draft pick. But man, you trade your whole basically

485
00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:35,679
Speaker 6: your next year's draft and a bunch of stuff this

486
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:38,919
Speaker 6: year to move up for a DM like you basically

487
00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:41,240
Speaker 6: got to be Aaron Donald, to be to be that

488
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:44,679
Speaker 6: valuable of a defender, to give everything that way. So

489
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 6: sneaky too. That Arizona, you know they got the new GM,

490
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:53,280
Speaker 6: all of their scouting was still last the old crew,

491
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 6: you know, like it's I think Arizona was like, you

492
00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:58,399
Speaker 6: know what, let's just punt as much of this as

493
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:01,640
Speaker 6: we can into the future, and let's get my guys in,

494
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:04,199
Speaker 6: get the scouting in, get my team in, let's have

495
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:05,919
Speaker 6: a whole year to get ready for this in what

496
00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:08,199
Speaker 6: most people think will be a better draft. And of

497
00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:11,760
Speaker 6: course we got Caleb Williams. We should be available. Arizona

498
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:14,480
Speaker 6: now has two really good lottery tickets and they may

499
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:16,919
Speaker 6: well end up. I don't think they'll be first and second,

500
00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:19,960
Speaker 6: because again, Houston isn't going to have any incentive to lose,

501
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:23,359
Speaker 6: but Arizona sure is. I already took a look at

502
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,240
Speaker 6: that Arizona under for next year. At five and a half,

503
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:29,399
Speaker 6: Arizona is a race on its own to the bottom,

504
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,119
Speaker 6: I think. So they definitely looked like the favorite to

505
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 6: take go number one. Chicago had a hard time with

506
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:40,720
Speaker 6: Chicago only because we'll get to the Eagles. But man,

507
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 6: the Bears had the number one pick, made a trade down,

508
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:48,080
Speaker 6: fine decision. They got the deal, you know, weeks before,

509
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:50,719
Speaker 6: many weeks before the draft. And then the guy that

510
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 6: people were thinking, well, maybe Jalen Carter, could he be

511
00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:55,480
Speaker 6: the number one pick? And who I think maybe is

512
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,199
Speaker 6: the most talented player in the draft falls into their

513
00:24:58,320 --> 00:24:59,320
Speaker 6: lap right there.

514
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 2: He's just right there.

515
00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:03,040
Speaker 6: At number nine. You got all the stuff out of

516
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:06,680
Speaker 6: the trade and Jalen Carter and then they gave him away.

517
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:09,400
Speaker 6: And look, it's hard. It's hard being on this side.

518
00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:12,240
Speaker 6: I have less information, of course than you need the evaluators,

519
00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 6: and there's you know, off field stuff with him. There's

520
00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:17,320
Speaker 6: a lot of reasons why you maybe do or don't

521
00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:21,399
Speaker 6: want him. But I thought the Eagles, who were the

522
00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:25,520
Speaker 6: most talented team, the talented roster in the NFL, they

523
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:27,439
Speaker 6: got the most talented player in the draft, and they

524
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:29,439
Speaker 6: paid a fourth round pick to move up one spot

525
00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:32,480
Speaker 6: for him. They got Nolan Smith at the end of

526
00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:35,280
Speaker 6: the first round that a lot of mock drafts had

527
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:39,119
Speaker 6: going at that pick, a number ten. So we're basically

528
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:42,679
Speaker 6: we've all watched college football the last couple of years,

529
00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:46,040
Speaker 6: and Georgia has this historically great defense that is just

530
00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:49,439
Speaker 6: dominating everyone in Philadelphi. He's like, all right, cool, we'll

531
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:51,840
Speaker 6: just draft them all of them. Let's have all the

532
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:55,080
Speaker 6: Georgia guys. They got the corner later, they literally have

533
00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:57,960
Speaker 6: like four guys off of the defensive front now, And

534
00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 6: I thought Eagles had a huge draft and definitely our

535
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:04,200
Speaker 6: team that was just going to keep building on what

536
00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:04,800
Speaker 6: they're already doing.

537
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:05,160
Speaker 2: Well.

538
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:12,560
Speaker 1: All right, Brandon, you mentioned looking at the Cardinals under Simon.

539
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,120
Speaker 1: You and I were on did a taping for Green

540
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:18,359
Speaker 1: Dot Daily that'll be on at three o'clock today, Action

541
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:23,760
Speaker 1: Network HQ on YouTube preview for people. Simon you first

542
00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:29,000
Speaker 1: a futures bet you've made based on I would call

543
00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 1: it acquisition season movement that included free agency in the draft.

544
00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I try to not better right after the

545
00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:39,280
Speaker 3: draft just because I think, like most people, e motions

546
00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:41,439
Speaker 3: are running high. But this one I couldn't pass on,

547
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:43,200
Speaker 3: just because I thought the number would be moving. And

548
00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:45,320
Speaker 3: that's the Bengals of the under eleven and a half.

549
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:47,439
Speaker 3: I thought the number would move as soon as lamar

550
00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:49,399
Speaker 3: Re signed. I thought that number would drop to eleven,

551
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:50,240
Speaker 3: maybe ten and a half.

552
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 2: It just hasn't.

553
00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:53,840
Speaker 3: The public loves the Bengals. They're a really fun story.

554
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:57,439
Speaker 3: Then the draft actually did happen. I thought Pittsburgh got

555
00:26:57,440 --> 00:26:59,280
Speaker 3: a great draft. I mean, to me, they answered a

556
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:01,920
Speaker 3: lot of problems have across that team. They've they've addressed

557
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 3: those issues. To me through the draft and then you

558
00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:05,919
Speaker 3: look at the Browns, we expect them to better. So

559
00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:11,159
Speaker 3: Lamar coming back, Brown's being better. Pittsburgh improving eleven and

560
00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:13,400
Speaker 3: a half is very, very rich for a Bengals team

561
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:15,320
Speaker 3: that had a lot of good breaks last year. Right,

562
00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 3: they weren't the best thing in their division. The Ravens

563
00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:20,360
Speaker 3: were clearly gonna win that divisionuntil Lamar went down. Then

564
00:27:20,320 --> 00:27:23,360
Speaker 3: they were able to catch up to them. Yes, Joe

565
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:25,840
Speaker 3: Burrow is incredible. They have an incredible team, but they

566
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:27,400
Speaker 3: have a lot of stuff coming up right now where

567
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:29,720
Speaker 3: they're about to pay Joe Burrow. So I agree with

568
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,040
Speaker 3: people this is probably their last real year to make

569
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:34,720
Speaker 3: a run. But it's such a tough division. We've seen

570
00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:36,560
Speaker 3: it time to time again. Then North is just a

571
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 3: brutally tough division. I can't see them getting to eleven

572
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:41,920
Speaker 3: wins chat. That's just really rich. So the fact that

573
00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:44,480
Speaker 3: it's eleven and a half, I love that. Under I

574
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:46,320
Speaker 3: know it's up to minus one twenty in most books.

575
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:48,199
Speaker 3: Now i'd still take it. I'd take it down at

576
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:50,159
Speaker 3: ten and a half. To me, that's where it should

577
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 3: be now that division settled in Now there is no

578
00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 3: easy game for them, right, they were first in their

579
00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:57,720
Speaker 3: division means we're going to play a first play schedule. Now,

580
00:27:57,720 --> 00:27:59,719
Speaker 3: their division is much much better than it was last year.

581
00:27:59,920 --> 00:28:03,040
Speaker 3: No Watson sitting out, there's no Kenny Picker rookie quarterback,

582
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:05,840
Speaker 3: there's no Lamar being hurt for half the season. It's

583
00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:07,960
Speaker 3: it's really really tough to see them getting back to

584
00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:10,359
Speaker 3: that number in just such a tough division. So to me,

585
00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:12,119
Speaker 3: that was the first bet I made after the draft.

586
00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:14,960
Speaker 3: I'm here, you know, I hear multiple people talk about

587
00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:16,840
Speaker 3: it's too early to be betting these kind of things.

588
00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:19,359
Speaker 3: That's a number i'd have to bet now because I

589
00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:21,000
Speaker 3: do think it's going to drop. I think most pros

590
00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:23,119
Speaker 3: are in a bett. So to me grabbing eleven and

591
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:25,680
Speaker 3: a half, I know it's early, people, but that's a good,

592
00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,480
Speaker 3: good little undertotal to bet right now at this point.

593
00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:28,680
Speaker 2: Of the year.

594
00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:33,479
Speaker 1: Well, Brandon, your one of your favorite bets is a

595
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:37,919
Speaker 1: compliment and probably impacts what Simon is talking about. So

596
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:38,760
Speaker 1: give that one away.

597
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 6: Yeah, I like the Ravens over Our sponsor bet three

598
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:44,720
Speaker 6: six five right now has the Ravens team total at

599
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 6: eight and a half. Now you're gonna pay the juice

600
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:49,320
Speaker 6: it's minus one sixty. But are you kidding me? Eight

601
00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:51,880
Speaker 6: and a half that like that's a five hundred season.

602
00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:55,040
Speaker 6: Have we watched the Ravens For the last fifteen years?

603
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:58,720
Speaker 6: John Harbaugh's team has won eight or more games fourteen

604
00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 6: out of fifteen seasons. So by default the floor is

605
00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:04,520
Speaker 6: we need one win for the rest of the season.

606
00:29:04,840 --> 00:29:07,320
Speaker 6: And by the way, a bunch of those years we'll

607
00:29:07,360 --> 00:29:09,720
Speaker 6: only have sixteen games, so that's another game he could

608
00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:12,280
Speaker 6: have won and maybe gets the extra one. So nine

609
00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:14,680
Speaker 6: or more wins eleven of those seasons, ten or more

610
00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:17,440
Speaker 6: and nine of the seasons out of fifteen. Look, Lamar

611
00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:20,680
Speaker 6: Jackson is back, Rashat Bateman should be healthy. They signed

612
00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 6: Odell Beckham junior Jay Flowers was on like every mock draft.

613
00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:28,360
Speaker 6: He's the guy that fit Baltimore's scheme perfectly. They've got

614
00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:30,520
Speaker 6: i think the best one to two tight end punch

615
00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:33,760
Speaker 6: in the league, Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely and Todd

616
00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:36,800
Speaker 6: Monkin the new offensive coordinator. I'm excited to see what

617
00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:40,320
Speaker 6: can he do. He's had some high flying offenses, and

618
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:41,960
Speaker 6: I gotta be honest, I was just kind of getting

619
00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:45,120
Speaker 6: sick of the old Lamar Jackson offense doing everything, So

620
00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:47,920
Speaker 6: I'm excited to see what they do. Roquan Smith, we

621
00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:50,080
Speaker 6: got a full year of him there, and Marcus Williams

622
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:53,000
Speaker 6: at safety. I just feel like I still know if

623
00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:55,760
Speaker 6: I trust the Ravens in the playoffs, but in the

624
00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:59,000
Speaker 6: regular season, the formula has proven they're gonna keep winning games.

625
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:01,240
Speaker 6: Eight and a half is a crazy line to me.

626
00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:03,440
Speaker 6: Nine and a half has some books. I still like

627
00:30:03,520 --> 00:30:06,040
Speaker 6: that as well, but it's hard for me to see

628
00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,120
Speaker 6: a world where they don't get to double digit wins. Look,

629
00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:11,840
Speaker 6: Tyler Hunley got five starts last year. They still hit

630
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:14,800
Speaker 6: ten wins. They still got there. Sorry for the Tyler

631
00:30:14,840 --> 00:30:17,600
Speaker 6: Huntley slander. The man is a pro bowler after all.

632
00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,640
Speaker 6: But look, even the fact that they have Huntley is

633
00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,880
Speaker 6: valuable because if and when Lamar does miss a little time,

634
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 6: bring in your pro bowler and you're still going to

635
00:30:26,120 --> 00:30:28,440
Speaker 6: keep on rolling like they have. So I like the

636
00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:31,440
Speaker 6: Ravens over. I like the Eagles over. I mentioned them

637
00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:36,040
Speaker 6: as well. Just two very high floor, proven teams. You

638
00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:40,760
Speaker 6: got coaching, you got the trenches, you got defense, special teams.

639
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 6: All those things just make for very stable teams. And

640
00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:47,080
Speaker 6: I'm willing to pay the price now because the floor

641
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:49,560
Speaker 6: is just so so safe with both of them.

642
00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:54,080
Speaker 1: All right, So what's interesting is Simon, you mentioned the Bengals.

643
00:30:54,720 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 1: You touched on the Steelers, Brandon, you mentioned the Ravensteelers.

644
00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 1: Right now, the Steelers over plus eight and a half

645
00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:10,600
Speaker 1: plus one hundred at bed three six five. We love

646
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:15,840
Speaker 1: betting the Steelers and their win totals that Tomlin I

647
00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 1: can't I can't remember, Matt Mitchell. Can you tell me

648
00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:22,920
Speaker 1: what did the Steelers finish last year? But I'm pretty

649
00:31:22,960 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 1: sure in.

650
00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:26,120
Speaker 2: Last year seven and a half, so you hit the over.

651
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:29,400
Speaker 1: Yes, right, they had eight wins last year, so Mike

652
00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:32,920
Speaker 1: Tomlin has never finished below five hundred or in this

653
00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:36,360
Speaker 1: case since the seventeen game season, below eight wins. So

654
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:38,840
Speaker 1: they're at eight and a half with Kenny Pickett at

655
00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:42,360
Speaker 1: a full season. Huge huge fan of Kenny Pickett, Kenny Baller,

656
00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:46,320
Speaker 1: and they had a really good draft, like eight and

657
00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:48,000
Speaker 1: a half at plus one hundred. I don't know how

658
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:50,960
Speaker 1: you're not betting that. Another one that I think we

659
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:57,200
Speaker 1: should point out Jacksonville Jaguars ten and a half at

660
00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:03,560
Speaker 1: bet three six five plus one on the over, Simon,

661
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:08,080
Speaker 1: give me a Jags opinion? And why would it be

662
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:12,360
Speaker 1: plus money to bet the Jags over ten and a

663
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:16,880
Speaker 1: half wins, knowing they're in a division with Tennessee and

664
00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:20,520
Speaker 1: a combination of Ryan Tannehillard will Levis the Colts and

665
00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:26,480
Speaker 1: a combination of Anthony Richardson or Gardner Minshew and the

666
00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:31,160
Speaker 1: Texans and a rookie quarterback and a team who may

667
00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:33,120
Speaker 1: be better but is still really an experience with a

668
00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:33,560
Speaker 1: new coach.

669
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:35,760
Speaker 2: I'll say this all the top.

670
00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:38,680
Speaker 3: I'm too close to it where any pro is going

671
00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 3: to take this under it, And I just can't do

672
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:41,120
Speaker 3: it with the Jaguars.

673
00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:42,240
Speaker 2: I love the Jaguars.

674
00:32:42,280 --> 00:32:43,520
Speaker 3: I mean and Chat were all in on the Jags

675
00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:45,880
Speaker 3: last year. They were by far my biggest hit for

676
00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:49,600
Speaker 3: divisional bets last year. And Calvin Ridley's joining this team now,

677
00:32:49,680 --> 00:32:50,800
Speaker 3: like they shouldn't be better.

678
00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 2: Everything about should be better.

679
00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:54,240
Speaker 3: So it's one of those where it sucks like I

680
00:32:54,280 --> 00:32:56,440
Speaker 3: want to take this under Chat, so damn bad.

681
00:32:56,960 --> 00:32:58,760
Speaker 2: I just can't do it. Like I don't see where

682
00:32:58,760 --> 00:32:59,680
Speaker 2: the regression's coming from.

683
00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:03,280
Speaker 3: I thought last year they had all those growing pains, right,

684
00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 3: they started out really well.

685
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:05,840
Speaker 2: I think they're two and one to start the year.

686
00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:07,880
Speaker 3: They came up to the Philly they lost that game

687
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:10,000
Speaker 3: to the Eagles during a real bad rains to him,

688
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:12,080
Speaker 3: and they just went on this real bad tails and

689
00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:14,520
Speaker 3: of shit, they just sucked for about a month and

690
00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:16,760
Speaker 3: a half. I lost a ton of money and they

691
00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:19,640
Speaker 3: figured it out. Ducks steered the ship. Yeah, we got

692
00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:21,520
Speaker 3: some help from Tennessee literally land an egg toward the

693
00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:22,400
Speaker 3: end of the year last year.

694
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 2: But that's what you wanted a young team.

695
00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:26,240
Speaker 3: You want them to steer the ship right, figure it out,

696
00:33:26,400 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 3: make the playoffs, win their division. That's a huge stepping

697
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:32,840
Speaker 3: stone for especially a young team like this. So I

698
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:34,240
Speaker 3: want to tell people to take the under. I just

699
00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 3: can't do it. To me, this is a good, good over,

700
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:37,960
Speaker 3: Like I got them right there at that number. This

701
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:40,040
Speaker 3: is they swar a number by the books. I have

702
00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 3: them at ten wins. I got to see this schedule.

703
00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:43,400
Speaker 3: I'm sure I could get them up to eleven, but

704
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 3: this is exactly where I have them. So I want

705
00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:48,120
Speaker 3: to say I lean towards the under. It's like a

706
00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:49,959
Speaker 3: ninety nine percent chance I'm gonna take their over. I

707
00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:52,160
Speaker 3: just I love this team. I love the coaching staff,

708
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 3: I love what they're building there. So Chad, you nailed

709
00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:56,720
Speaker 3: them to have that division. But there's just so much

710
00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:58,280
Speaker 3: the love with this Jacksonville team.

711
00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:05,280
Speaker 1: Simon, we're instituting a new label, a new theory, a

712
00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 1: new tag. We're gon we're gonna call it the Howie

713
00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:16,160
Speaker 1: Roseman Bed. Where you see something, don't overthink it, don't

714
00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:21,120
Speaker 1: get cute, make the obvious call. He's got Jalen Carter

715
00:34:21,960 --> 00:34:25,719
Speaker 1: sitting there, the opportunity to trade up to get him.

716
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:29,600
Speaker 1: He's got Nolan Smith sitting there. He's got all these

717
00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:33,080
Speaker 1: talented guys that teams are walking away from because they

718
00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:35,200
Speaker 1: haven't put in the infrastructure to be able to support

719
00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:37,799
Speaker 1: a guy who's coming back from bad injury, a guy

720
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,239
Speaker 1: who's got off the field problems, but a locker room

721
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:43,360
Speaker 1: that is really, really strong and contains people that this

722
00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:45,560
Speaker 1: guy has played with before who can vouch for his character.

723
00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:47,440
Speaker 3: Like, that's why I just want to say, that's why

724
00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:48,880
Speaker 3: I thought it was smart that Bear's passed him.

725
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:50,759
Speaker 2: I don't think the Bears had the infrastructure for him.

726
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 1: You know what, you know what's interesting? A uh be

727
00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:58,000
Speaker 1: with me, be my be my how We Roseman Buddy

728
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:02,560
Speaker 1: and Matt Mitche can you please confirm via slack or

729
00:35:02,640 --> 00:35:05,719
Speaker 1: voice that we will have a Howie Roseman better the week.

730
00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:08,960
Speaker 1: It's so obvious, it makes so much sense. Let's not

731
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:11,920
Speaker 1: overthink it. It's too good to be true, because it

732
00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:14,440
Speaker 1: is true. Because we are not going to be the

733
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 1: people that get too smart. We're just going to be

734
00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:19,480
Speaker 1: the people who make the right call and play chess

735
00:35:19,760 --> 00:35:21,920
Speaker 1: when it doesn't require anything more than that.

736
00:35:22,520 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 2: Love it sounds.

737
00:35:23,800 --> 00:35:31,160
Speaker 1: Great, okay, long text Chane with the Chicago folks during

738
00:35:31,160 --> 00:35:37,280
Speaker 1: the draft, we decided that we were glad the Bears

739
00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:39,719
Speaker 1: traded out of the position to have to make the

740
00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:42,440
Speaker 1: choice on Jalen Carter because at the end of the day,

741
00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:46,279
Speaker 1: we got to protect justin field more than anything, and

742
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:48,120
Speaker 1: I don't want these guys to be in a position

743
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:50,719
Speaker 1: where it's a hard call drafting a guy who could

744
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:53,680
Speaker 1: be a character issue and need to anchor the defense

745
00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:57,920
Speaker 1: both literally and figuratively when he's not ready to do that.

746
00:35:58,040 --> 00:36:01,000
Speaker 1: The Bears don't have the locker room make to port

747
00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 1: this kind of risk. Whereas offensively, you just got to

748
00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:08,040
Speaker 1: protect justin fields. It's all that matters in the NFL.

749
00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:11,120
Speaker 1: Nothing else is going to matter. You can have the

750
00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:14,040
Speaker 1: best defense in the world. If you're not protecting justin fields,

751
00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:17,200
Speaker 1: you might as well as be starting over so couldn't

752
00:36:17,239 --> 00:36:19,960
Speaker 1: agree more with you on that. Here's a question that

753
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:24,600
Speaker 1: came in from one of our listeners. All things be equal,

754
00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:29,040
Speaker 1: when is the optimal time to bet an NFL future

755
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 1: at the open? Is it pre draft? Is it training camp?

756
00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:37,360
Speaker 1: Immediately post draft? Simon, you started to touch on this,

757
00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:41,399
Speaker 1: so let Brandon weigh in first. Here, when is your

758
00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:44,400
Speaker 1: favorite time or optimal time to bet an NFL future?

759
00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:47,440
Speaker 6: I mean, I think it's just whenever the number is

760
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 6: right right. The optimal time is just whenever I get

761
00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:53,799
Speaker 6: the price that I want it. And I think, to

762
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:57,920
Speaker 6: put that in perspective, most of the time, if I'm

763
00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:01,200
Speaker 6: betting an NFL future right now in May, and it's

764
00:37:01,280 --> 00:37:03,919
Speaker 6: going to have to wait to cash for over half

765
00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:06,920
Speaker 6: a year, most of the time, I am not looking

766
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:09,000
Speaker 6: to bet to me favorites right now. I'm looking to

767
00:37:09,000 --> 00:37:12,200
Speaker 6: bet a long shot. Because when I bet a future,

768
00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:14,239
Speaker 6: of the idea is give me the number that I

769
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 6: can't get later on. This is the number, this is

770
00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:20,359
Speaker 6: the value A plus two thousand and four thousand, or

771
00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:21,600
Speaker 6: you know, it doesn't have to be that. If it's

772
00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:23,759
Speaker 6: a division better something, we probably won't get too long

773
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,560
Speaker 6: of those numbers. But give me the number that I

774
00:37:26,640 --> 00:37:29,080
Speaker 6: can't get later on. How do I know, Well, that's

775
00:37:29,080 --> 00:37:30,640
Speaker 6: where you have to do your work and look ahead.

776
00:37:30,680 --> 00:37:32,719
Speaker 6: If it's in the season, give me the number that

777
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:35,719
Speaker 6: I can bet week four because hm, Week five, six,

778
00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:38,239
Speaker 6: and seven pretty soft schedule. This team's about to go

779
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:40,040
Speaker 6: on a little bit of a run here. Give me

780
00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 6: the price now. I can't get this price a month

781
00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:45,359
Speaker 6: from now if my ticket is right. So I think

782
00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:49,720
Speaker 6: it depends if I'm betting. Somebody asks me on Twitter,

783
00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:52,000
Speaker 6: I really like the Eagles and the forty nine ers

784
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:53,040
Speaker 6: in the in the NFC.

785
00:37:53,080 --> 00:37:54,120
Speaker 2: I think the NFC is weak.

786
00:37:54,160 --> 00:37:56,440
Speaker 6: I think those are the top two teams. I can

787
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:59,720
Speaker 6: bet both of them right now, and I think basically

788
00:37:59,760 --> 00:38:02,040
Speaker 6: a lot in what would be effectively be something like

789
00:38:02,080 --> 00:38:03,920
Speaker 6: a minus two hundred doing the NFC.

790
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:04,919
Speaker 2: What do you think.

791
00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:08,080
Speaker 6: I like the process, I like the idea. I think

792
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:10,399
Speaker 6: the Eagles and Niners absolutely are the top two teams

793
00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:14,120
Speaker 6: in the NFC. However, one year ago, right now, who

794
00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:15,520
Speaker 6: would I have thought was the top two teams in

795
00:38:15,520 --> 00:38:20,440
Speaker 6: the NFC. Probably like the Packers and the Buccaneers, not

796
00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:22,720
Speaker 6: the two teams that came to the end of the season.

797
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:24,959
Speaker 6: It's a long year. There's a lot of injuries, there's

798
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:27,759
Speaker 6: a lot that changes, So why am I going to

799
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,000
Speaker 6: lock in on the two favorites at the short number

800
00:38:30,080 --> 00:38:32,160
Speaker 6: right now? You've got to play the numbers we can

801
00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:34,120
Speaker 6: get them. There's a really good chance I can just

802
00:38:34,160 --> 00:38:37,279
Speaker 6: get that Eagles ticket or that Niners ticket during the year.

803
00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:39,560
Speaker 6: I can probably get a better price after a couple

804
00:38:39,560 --> 00:38:42,880
Speaker 6: game losing streak, or after a big Cowboys win or

805
00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:46,680
Speaker 6: something like that. So I think, to me, it's the

806
00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:48,680
Speaker 6: further out you are, the more time you have to

807
00:38:48,680 --> 00:38:51,399
Speaker 6: be patient. You have to run and get that ticket in.

808
00:38:51,560 --> 00:38:53,359
Speaker 6: Get the ticket in if you can't get a better

809
00:38:53,440 --> 00:38:56,040
Speaker 6: number later of My offensive Rookie of the Year is

810
00:38:56,080 --> 00:38:58,480
Speaker 6: a choice for that. But otherwise I think you're playing

811
00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:00,600
Speaker 6: the calendar and kind of playing where are you expecting

812
00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:01,040
Speaker 6: us to go?

813
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:05,560
Speaker 3: Simon, Yeah, I'm one of those where it's like, if

814
00:39:05,600 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 3: I'm gonna lock my mone up for a year, I

815
00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:09,520
Speaker 3: want to get crazy long shut out. So last year

816
00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:11,279
Speaker 3: we talked about it. My first bet I made as

817
00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:13,320
Speaker 3: soon as just landed. My first bet was a Jaguars

818
00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:15,560
Speaker 3: a one hundred and fifty to one. This year was

819
00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:17,960
Speaker 3: the Bears a one hundred to one. It's just I

820
00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:20,000
Speaker 3: like to bet teams people perceive to be the worst

821
00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:23,480
Speaker 3: teams that have a first or second year quarterback with

822
00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:26,040
Speaker 3: a ton of money, and like, it's literally no secret people.

823
00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:28,480
Speaker 3: I do it every year and we always talk about it.

824
00:39:28,520 --> 00:39:30,839
Speaker 3: This is how you make these really nice plays when

825
00:39:30,880 --> 00:39:32,919
Speaker 3: you hedge out. We had the Bengals three years ago,

826
00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:35,279
Speaker 3: we had the Jaguars last year. I think the Bears

827
00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:37,920
Speaker 3: will be that team this year of a team that's

828
00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:40,319
Speaker 3: up and coming, a ton of draft capital, a ton

829
00:39:40,320 --> 00:39:42,480
Speaker 3: of money to spend, and then they do that all right.

830
00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:44,800
Speaker 3: They spend the money, they make the good draft picks,

831
00:39:45,040 --> 00:39:46,200
Speaker 3: and they put you in a position that you're just

832
00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:48,279
Speaker 3: gonna hedge out. So do I actually think the Bears

833
00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:51,360
Speaker 3: going to Super Bowl this year? Hell no, the odds

834
00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:53,520
Speaker 3: of that are so slim. But do I think they

835
00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:55,600
Speaker 3: can win their division and then get a home game

836
00:39:55,640 --> 00:39:58,560
Speaker 3: in the first round, and you know, maybe then they

837
00:39:58,560 --> 00:40:00,920
Speaker 3: get another home game because the team gets upset. That's

838
00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:02,839
Speaker 3: what you're looking for. You're looking for positions to hedge

839
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:06,239
Speaker 3: out of. So I'm right there with Brandon. It's like,

840
00:40:06,280 --> 00:40:09,000
Speaker 3: if I'm gonna be tie my money up all off season,

841
00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:11,200
Speaker 3: I need big odds. I'm not taking any ten to

842
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:14,399
Speaker 3: ones we talked about last year, Chad. I literally gave

843
00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:16,720
Speaker 3: out the Chiefs at eleven toh one the week before

844
00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:19,200
Speaker 3: the season started. You would have got worse odds if

845
00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 3: you had bet it at any other point during the

846
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:23,719
Speaker 3: whole offseason. But by the time this season got kicked off,

847
00:40:24,120 --> 00:40:26,440
Speaker 3: the Denver hype was at its highest level. The Chargers

848
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:28,879
Speaker 3: hype was at the highest level. That's when you get

849
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:31,200
Speaker 3: some good value on these high picks. So if you

850
00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:34,080
Speaker 3: liked the Eagles after this draft, you missed the boat.

851
00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:34,319
Speaker 2: Right.

852
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:36,279
Speaker 3: People have been betting at all night the Eagles won

853
00:40:36,320 --> 00:40:38,120
Speaker 3: the draft, people came and they bet that. I think

854
00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:40,000
Speaker 3: it was at plus nine hundred. Now it's downd to

855
00:40:40,040 --> 00:40:41,719
Speaker 3: eight to fifty eight hundred of most books for them

856
00:40:41,760 --> 00:40:43,840
Speaker 3: to win it all you missed the number. So to me,

857
00:40:44,520 --> 00:40:47,440
Speaker 3: the high high ones like that just don't do it. People, wait, wait,

858
00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:50,919
Speaker 3: wait on the high high odds, because again I don't

859
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:52,279
Speaker 3: hate it that your betting the Eagles at eight to

860
00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:54,520
Speaker 3: one to win the Super Bowl. It's just better to

861
00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:56,160
Speaker 3: have one hundred to one or eighty to one ticket

862
00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:58,400
Speaker 3: on the Bears. All during the off season. It is

863
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:00,839
Speaker 3: the tire money up on Eagles. Where the Eagles. Who

864
00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:02,520
Speaker 3: knows what can happen in the regular season. If Dallas

865
00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:05,040
Speaker 3: wins that division, aren't we gonna get better odds and

866
00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:06,120
Speaker 3: the Eagles come playoff time.

867
00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:08,080
Speaker 2: So to me, that's why you don't really tie up

868
00:41:08,120 --> 00:41:09,839
Speaker 2: that money. Now at this point, people.

869
00:41:10,680 --> 00:41:18,080
Speaker 1: All right, whip around time h one name each offensive

870
00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:21,400
Speaker 1: Rookie of the Year, Defensive Rookie of the year, Simon,

871
00:41:21,560 --> 00:41:23,160
Speaker 1: give me your one name for each.

872
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:26,319
Speaker 3: Sure I went Anthony Richardson for Offensive Rookie of the Year.

873
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:29,160
Speaker 3: I just I just love the spotty landed and I

874
00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:31,040
Speaker 3: love the Colts. I know he's got Minshew ahead of him,

875
00:41:31,080 --> 00:41:32,919
Speaker 3: which I think that's why we're getting such good odds

876
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:33,279
Speaker 3: on him.

877
00:41:33,320 --> 00:41:35,719
Speaker 2: But the fact that Jonathan Taylor should bounce.

878
00:41:35,520 --> 00:41:36,920
Speaker 3: Back if there's such a down year and he has

879
00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:40,200
Speaker 3: Pittman on the outside, that's the best win now spot

880
00:41:40,239 --> 00:41:42,799
Speaker 3: for any rookie quarterback I can think of. So to me,

881
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:44,480
Speaker 3: I like that odds. And then for defensive Rookie of

882
00:41:44,480 --> 00:41:46,640
Speaker 3: the Year. I know it's kind of boring, but I

883
00:41:46,719 --> 00:41:48,600
Speaker 3: just love Jalen carter Man. If this kick can come

884
00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:50,759
Speaker 3: in with the right mindset, if the Eagles make him

885
00:41:50,920 --> 00:41:51,880
Speaker 3: a go to player.

886
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:54,280
Speaker 2: His upside is out of this world.

887
00:41:54,360 --> 00:41:56,080
Speaker 3: Like I don't know if anyone watches tape, but it's

888
00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:57,759
Speaker 3: one of those where if your team drafts a guy,

889
00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:00,360
Speaker 3: all you do draft players just watch never amount of

890
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:01,799
Speaker 3: film on a guy. And I just can't get over

891
00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:04,200
Speaker 3: holland talent, how curly talented he is. Already knew he

892
00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:05,440
Speaker 3: was the best player in the draft. I had him

893
00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:07,920
Speaker 3: as my number one player, but holy shit, man, j

894
00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:11,320
Speaker 3: Dalen Carter with that defense, I just love the position

895
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:15,160
Speaker 3: he's in, So to me, he's got great upside. I'm

896
00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:16,200
Speaker 3: not in love with that as much as I am

897
00:42:16,239 --> 00:42:18,320
Speaker 3: with the Richardson one. The Richardson one makes more sense,

898
00:42:18,360 --> 00:42:21,080
Speaker 3: but again it's it's a tough, tough class. But there's

899
00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:22,319
Speaker 3: just a lot of guys are at the top of

900
00:42:22,320 --> 00:42:24,520
Speaker 3: the defensive side that could easily win this award.

901
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:29,920
Speaker 6: Brandon Yeah, Offensive Rookie of the Year. I love Bjeon Robinson.

902
00:42:30,000 --> 00:42:32,080
Speaker 6: I bet him the night of the draft. I looked

903
00:42:32,080 --> 00:42:34,200
Speaker 6: for the odds the moment that the pickup made we

904
00:42:34,239 --> 00:42:36,799
Speaker 6: knew it was coming. But here are some things that

905
00:42:36,840 --> 00:42:40,720
Speaker 6: googled when Jon Robinson officially went to the Falcons. Hey, Google,

906
00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:43,319
Speaker 6: what's the rookie rushing record as a rookie ever led

907
00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:45,960
Speaker 6: the league in rushing yards? Like these are things I

908
00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:48,279
Speaker 6: think long shots, but I think there are things that

909
00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:51,839
Speaker 6: could be in play. Arthur Smith is the Derrick Henry guy.

910
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:54,279
Speaker 6: Arthur Smith takes dudes off the street and turns him

911
00:42:54,280 --> 00:42:58,560
Speaker 6: into five yards per carry players. So Tyler Aljier Cordero Patterson,

912
00:42:58,600 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 6: I'm a Vikings fan.

913
00:42:59,560 --> 00:42:59,799
Speaker 2: Guys.

914
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:01,920
Speaker 6: He was a failed receiver from a decade ago and

915
00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:04,239
Speaker 6: now he's just apparently like a good NFL running back.

916
00:43:04,640 --> 00:43:07,759
Speaker 6: Jon Robinson is awesome, and he's going to get three

917
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:10,279
Speaker 6: hun plus touches and then gets the fifteen hundred plus

918
00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:12,960
Speaker 6: yards probably double digit touchdowns. He's going to be a

919
00:43:12,960 --> 00:43:16,239
Speaker 6: feature in that offense. Richardson probably my second pick there,

920
00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:19,400
Speaker 6: but I still love Bijon. It was plus four to

921
00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:21,880
Speaker 6: fifty draft night. I still see some plus three fifties

922
00:43:21,880 --> 00:43:24,399
Speaker 6: out there. To me, this is a Polo bon Caro

923
00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:26,880
Speaker 6: NBA type guy where it just he's going to be

924
00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:30,040
Speaker 6: I think the clear favorite as we go forward fantasy football.

925
00:43:30,080 --> 00:43:32,640
Speaker 6: He's a first round pick and not near the end

926
00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:34,040
Speaker 6: of the round either. He's just going to be a

927
00:43:34,040 --> 00:43:38,319
Speaker 6: workhorse right away. Defensively, my pick here is boring, but

928
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:41,000
Speaker 6: it's because it needs to be. Every defensive rookie of

929
00:43:41,040 --> 00:43:43,719
Speaker 6: the Year this century has been a top thirty nine pick,

930
00:43:43,960 --> 00:43:46,560
Speaker 6: every single one of them. Twenty out of twenty three

931
00:43:46,640 --> 00:43:50,479
Speaker 6: first round picks, nineteen of them top fifteen picks since

932
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:54,239
Speaker 6: twenty ten, five were top three picks. That's where I'm going.

933
00:43:54,440 --> 00:43:57,280
Speaker 6: Only one defender in the top three. Give me Will Anderson.

934
00:43:57,400 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 6: I see a plus five hundred out there. I loved

935
00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:02,400
Speaker 6: Jalen Carter. I think he will have a big impact,

936
00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:06,800
Speaker 6: but voters like stats, voters like sacks, and Will Anderson

937
00:44:07,160 --> 00:44:10,799
Speaker 6: is going to get the sacks. He had. Favorites win

938
00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:13,320
Speaker 6: this awards. Seven of the last eleven defensive Rookie of

939
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 6: the Year started the year plus nine hundred or shorter.

940
00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:19,680
Speaker 6: So I think Anderson fits the profile really well. He's

941
00:44:19,719 --> 00:44:22,919
Speaker 6: gonna get plenty of playing time, Timiko Ryan's gonna scheme

942
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:26,160
Speaker 6: him up and get him some good looks. So look, guys,

943
00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:28,759
Speaker 6: I'm normally the long shot guy, but I'm on the

944
00:44:28,760 --> 00:44:31,239
Speaker 6: favorites today. I guess I'm taking the favorites. So I

945
00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:33,239
Speaker 6: got the favorite each spot. I just think they're the

946
00:44:33,320 --> 00:44:36,440
Speaker 6: right pick. And Rookie of the Year. We know that

947
00:44:36,520 --> 00:44:38,239
Speaker 6: when you go near the top of the draft, it's

948
00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:40,080
Speaker 6: because you're the best player and you're gonna get a

949
00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:42,880
Speaker 6: lot of chances, and betting the favorites for these awards

950
00:44:42,920 --> 00:44:43,719
Speaker 6: is the right way to go.

951
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:47,000
Speaker 2: And I'll say this my favorite thing I didn't happen

952
00:44:47,000 --> 00:44:47,560
Speaker 2: at the draft.

953
00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:49,600
Speaker 3: There was a ton of drama going on by the

954
00:44:49,640 --> 00:44:52,600
Speaker 3: scenes of Atlanta was going to trade for Tannehill.

955
00:44:52,719 --> 00:44:53,600
Speaker 2: That was a real thing.

956
00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:56,359
Speaker 3: Tennessee was in gift Tannehill too Atlanta and they're gonna

957
00:44:56,400 --> 00:44:58,359
Speaker 3: move up to that eighth spot. They couldn't make an

958
00:44:58,400 --> 00:45:00,719
Speaker 3: they couldn't work out the money. SA thinking happen Kyler

959
00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:03,160
Speaker 3: Murray and Atlanta. Apparently there was a deal in place

960
00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:06,399
Speaker 3: for the Cardinals and Atlanta. They're gonna send Kyler Murray

961
00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:09,080
Speaker 3: to it to Atlanta for draft picks and they're gonna

962
00:45:09,080 --> 00:45:11,160
Speaker 3: take some money on It didn't work out, obviously, but

963
00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:12,319
Speaker 3: I love that Atlanta's trying to.

964
00:45:12,320 --> 00:45:13,040
Speaker 2: Do stuff here. Right.

965
00:45:13,040 --> 00:45:14,480
Speaker 3: They have all the weapons there, they just don't have

966
00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:16,759
Speaker 3: the quarterback. Who knows what could happen in the middle

967
00:45:16,760 --> 00:45:18,759
Speaker 3: of the season, right with all everything going on. I'll

968
00:45:18,840 --> 00:45:21,040
Speaker 3: keep down on people's radar. Atlanta is a sleepy team

969
00:45:21,080 --> 00:45:23,319
Speaker 3: this year, Atlanta, and if they get a Tannehill, they

970
00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:24,440
Speaker 3: get a Kyler Murray, that's.

971
00:45:24,280 --> 00:45:25,960
Speaker 2: Definitely a team in that division. I could easily steal

972
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:27,879
Speaker 2: that division. So that's a team We're gonna be talking

973
00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:29,480
Speaker 2: about a lot this year. I'm sure, Chad.

974
00:45:29,760 --> 00:45:31,960
Speaker 1: Well, we do every year because we're nothing if we're

975
00:45:31,960 --> 00:45:37,239
Speaker 1: not in Atlanta. Te podcast Brandon Anderson. Great stuff on

976
00:45:37,280 --> 00:45:40,120
Speaker 1: the draft, great stuff post draft, great stuff on the NBA.

977
00:45:41,120 --> 00:45:45,759
Speaker 1: You can hear them freaking everywhere all over the Action Network.

978
00:45:45,960 --> 00:45:49,200
Speaker 1: As a reminder, the Favorite Podcast is proudly presented by

979
00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:52,160
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980
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981
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985
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986
00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:19,560
Speaker 1: I am Chad Molman. My co host and BFF is

987
00:46:19,719 --> 00:46:25,320
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988
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989
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990
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