WEBVTT - Conference Championship Breakdowns! 0:00:01.960 --> 0:00:06.760 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. 0:00:07.760 --> 0:00:12.040 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly 0:00:12.080 --> 0:00:16.080 source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and 0:00:16.120 --> 0:00:19.480 whatever stupid stuff they decide to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:19.560 --> 0:00:21.280 here's your host, Paul Chargion. 0:00:25.079 --> 0:00:27.800 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I am Paul Charchi and 0:00:27.840 --> 0:00:32.160 my co host today, the ailing Matt Harrison. 0:00:33.320 --> 0:00:37.520 Yeah, my knee pit is really Oh that's a throwback 0:00:37.640 --> 0:00:38.240 right there. 0:00:38.920 --> 0:00:41.479 Oh yeah, that's your showing your age if you get 0:00:41.520 --> 0:00:43.600 back to the knee pit. We haven't had a knee 0:00:43.600 --> 0:00:46.440 pit reference on this show. And what do you think, 0:00:46.600 --> 0:00:48.000 like ten years. 0:00:48.640 --> 0:00:50.919 It's been a while, but I heard you and uh, 0:00:51.479 --> 0:00:54.960 Paul Allen and Chad Greenway talking about Dennis Pitta today 0:00:55.040 --> 0:00:58.040 and it brought me all back to the Todd heat 0:00:58.120 --> 0:01:01.640 Memorial injury report, all that good times back then. 0:01:01.880 --> 0:01:05.200 The Todd Heap Memorial injury Report. That's how we started 0:01:05.200 --> 0:01:07.920 those episodes of Fantasy Football Weekly, back in the day 0:01:07.959 --> 0:01:11.039 when it was really hard to get injury information. So 0:01:11.040 --> 0:01:12.560 you're like, the first thing we got to get out 0:01:12.600 --> 0:01:15.800 of the way is who's healthy and who's not. Now, 0:01:16.080 --> 0:01:18.560 that's just not times have changed and. 0:01:18.600 --> 0:01:20.520 We figured out how to work it into the matchups, 0:01:20.520 --> 0:01:21.880 and yeah, take less time. 0:01:22.080 --> 0:01:24.080 I think that I think it is better this way 0:01:24.640 --> 0:01:26.880 that we've that we've done it. But we missed Todd Heap. 0:01:26.920 --> 0:01:29.039 I was always my intention to get Todd Heap on 0:01:29.120 --> 0:01:33.200 the show. But and we could probably get him now 0:01:33.240 --> 0:01:36.240 because what's Todd Heap doing? He'd probably enjoy the opportunity 0:01:36.280 --> 0:01:39.120 to come on the show, But well, you know what 0:01:39.160 --> 0:01:40.199 are we going to do with him now? 0:01:40.920 --> 0:01:42.720 He's probably in a hospital somewhere. 0:01:45.600 --> 0:01:48.600 Let's hope he's not dead somewhere with all the things 0:01:48.600 --> 0:01:51.200 that have gone wrong for him. And I hope he'd 0:01:51.200 --> 0:01:54.160 take it with a sense of humor to know that 0:01:54.480 --> 0:01:56.680 there was a show out there that named their injury 0:01:56.720 --> 0:01:58.080 report after Todd Heap. 0:01:58.960 --> 0:02:00.960 Who knows, he might be really angry about it. 0:02:01.360 --> 0:02:05.160 Could be, it could be. We're gonna have a ton 0:02:05.200 --> 0:02:07.680 of fun today, Matt. We're gonna break down the AFC 0:02:07.720 --> 0:02:10.560 and NFC championship games fantasy football weekly style with letter 0:02:10.560 --> 0:02:15.200 grades and all the players and see how see who 0:02:15.240 --> 0:02:17.359 we like, who we don't like, what kind of sleepers 0:02:17.400 --> 0:02:19.359 we can unveil a lot of ways you can put 0:02:19.360 --> 0:02:23.040 this to good use DFS betting. In some cases, you 0:02:23.080 --> 0:02:25.760 may sell fantasy leagues playoff fantasy leagues, so you can 0:02:25.840 --> 0:02:28.400 change rosters. I'm in one of those. We've got one 0:02:28.400 --> 0:02:30.040 of them ageeteen leagues dot Com, so there's a lot 0:02:30.040 --> 0:02:32.399 of different ways you could skin this cat. I want 0:02:32.400 --> 0:02:35.280 to start with the Eagles Commander's game. That's our first 0:02:35.480 --> 0:02:39.320 game on Sunday. And I think, if I'm correct about 0:02:39.320 --> 0:02:41.120 the scheduling on this, I haven't. I haven't looked at 0:02:41.160 --> 0:02:44.280 it a while, Matt. I think we're going mid afternoon 0:02:44.440 --> 0:02:47.320 for the first game and then prime time for the 0:02:47.360 --> 0:02:47.960 second game. 0:02:48.000 --> 0:02:52.240 Correct, Yeah, two pm Central time, so three pm Eastern 0:02:52.360 --> 0:02:53.120 is the first game. 0:02:53.280 --> 0:02:56.600 Got you? Got you? And that first game is Commander's Eagles. 0:02:57.160 --> 0:03:00.760 That is your game, Matt. Let's well, let's take it 0:03:00.800 --> 0:03:03.160 away and maybe you can start where if you want. 0:03:03.200 --> 0:03:05.920 But I mean, the a story here for sure on 0:03:05.960 --> 0:03:08.280 the Commander's side is Jade and Daniels. 0:03:08.760 --> 0:03:10.720 Why wouldn't we start with him? I mean, he's the 0:03:10.760 --> 0:03:14.000 top scoring fantasy player in the Fantasy in the playoffs, 0:03:14.000 --> 0:03:17.560 so far, better than Lamar and Josh Allen and Stroud 0:03:17.600 --> 0:03:20.079 and Saquon and Derrick Henry, all those guys had two 0:03:20.120 --> 0:03:24.720 games as well. He's seen this Eagles defense twice before, 0:03:24.760 --> 0:03:28.320 and Eagles defense that has faced the thirtieth best strength 0:03:28.320 --> 0:03:30.200 of schedule this year, so maybe not. 0:03:30.680 --> 0:03:32.560 The toughest matchups. 0:03:33.720 --> 0:03:36.480 So when they met in Week sixteen, Daniels threw for 0:03:36.480 --> 0:03:40.120 two hundred and fifty eight yards and five touchdowns, and 0:03:40.160 --> 0:03:42.800 then he added eighty one yards on the ground on 0:03:42.960 --> 0:03:47.200 nine carries, and then last week Stafford was Yeah, last 0:03:47.200 --> 0:03:49.640 week Stafford was able to throw for three twenty four 0:03:49.800 --> 0:03:53.720 and two in snowy conditions. I don't know if I 0:03:53.760 --> 0:03:56.840 trust this Eagles defense to be this like stone cold 0:03:56.880 --> 0:04:00.000 lock that everybody seems to think it is, and it doesn't. 0:04:00.120 --> 0:04:02.520 Seemed like the moment is too big for Jade and Daniels. 0:04:02.520 --> 0:04:05.040 So I've got an A grade on him, and I 0:04:05.080 --> 0:04:08.120 think he's my favorite quarterback of the four going this 0:04:08.200 --> 0:04:09.720 weekend in terms of. 0:04:09.640 --> 0:04:12.040 Just like fantasy point potential. Yeah, I could. 0:04:12.480 --> 0:04:15.680 I think the Eagle ranking all of them, he would 0:04:15.720 --> 0:04:16.480 be my number one. 0:04:16.920 --> 0:04:21.360 The Eagles secondary has been great, legitimately great. I could 0:04:21.400 --> 0:04:24.040 see I could see this being an all or nothing 0:04:24.160 --> 0:04:28.240 scenario for Jadon Daniels, But the five touchdowns last game 0:04:28.320 --> 0:04:30.880 is pretty telling you know. What we know is it 0:04:30.880 --> 0:04:34.560 won't be like the moment's too big for Jaden. 0:04:34.360 --> 0:04:36.480 Dan definitely, because that kid is I think, definitely I 0:04:36.560 --> 0:04:39.560 shoot for the moon kind of guy. And his favorite 0:04:39.560 --> 0:04:43.560 target is Terry mclaur and Terry, who's been the top 0:04:43.560 --> 0:04:46.200 scoring wide receiver in the in the playoffs so far 0:04:46.279 --> 0:04:49.919 for Fantasy only, Nico Collins has more receptions than Terry 0:04:49.960 --> 0:04:52.719 in the playoffs, and I have a feeling that McLaurin 0:04:52.800 --> 0:04:56.520 will get one more reception to at least tie Nico 0:04:56.600 --> 0:05:00.559 Collins this week. McLaurin scored in seven of his last 0:05:00.600 --> 0:05:03.640 eight games, including the Week sixteen matchup against the Eagles, 0:05:03.680 --> 0:05:06.919 where he managed five catches sixty yards in a score. 0:05:07.040 --> 0:05:10.599 But the problem is in Week eleven, McLaurin was almost 0:05:10.640 --> 0:05:14.160 blanked by the Eagles one catch, ten yards yep, and 0:05:14.320 --> 0:05:16.799 Philly is number three in the league and fewest yards 0:05:16.839 --> 0:05:20.200 allowed to perimeter receivers this season. I've got a be 0:05:20.440 --> 0:05:23.240 on McLaurin, but since it's an offseason show, I can 0:05:23.240 --> 0:05:24.240 give him a B minus. 0:05:24.279 --> 0:05:30.359 I think, ah, okay, look, you stepped up, you're sick, 0:05:30.760 --> 0:05:34.400 you're doing the show. Anyway, We're gonna give you this minus. 0:05:35.520 --> 0:05:39.800 All right, I think the sleeper here is Diami Brown, 0:05:40.120 --> 0:05:44.080 who is actually the Darius Slay slayer, and he's let 0:05:44.200 --> 0:05:47.120 lock go against Darius Slay in this one. According to 0:05:47.160 --> 0:05:53.200 Pro Football Focus, in thirty career receiving snaps against Darius Slay, 0:05:53.920 --> 0:05:58.039 Diami Brown is averaging three point seven yards per route run. 0:05:58.640 --> 0:06:02.279 It's pretty significant for that snap total. Yeah, and Brown 0:06:02.400 --> 0:06:06.360 is sneakily tied with McLaurin in receptions during the playoffs 0:06:06.360 --> 0:06:08.719 with eleven and has more yards than Terry. 0:06:08.920 --> 0:06:09.000 So. 0:06:10.080 --> 0:06:13.960 By the way, Danny Brown is only forty four on DraftKings, 0:06:13.960 --> 0:06:17.039 and he's kind of a nice contrarian play. I built 0:06:17.080 --> 0:06:20.320 some internal lineups over at fanball dot Com with with 0:06:20.400 --> 0:06:24.400 my coworkers there. I switched out McLaurin for Diami Brown 0:06:24.560 --> 0:06:29.840 and just took the cash discount. I'll throw a C 0:06:30.000 --> 0:06:32.159 grade on him, but it's probably closer to like a 0:06:32.200 --> 0:06:33.919 C plus grade for Diami Brown. 0:06:34.000 --> 0:06:37.200 You're really pushing the envelope, now, Yeah, See that was 0:06:37.200 --> 0:06:39.359 what I always fear. You do it one time and 0:06:39.400 --> 0:06:40.560 then the flood gets open. 0:06:41.200 --> 0:06:43.000 Yeah, see that's what happens. 0:06:42.760 --> 0:06:47.840 That's well. Now, it's the problem is, you guys can't 0:06:47.920 --> 0:06:50.560 just take the win. You have to expand it. 0:06:51.800 --> 0:06:57.000 I have regrets, all right, all right, Uh, the last 0:06:57.040 --> 0:07:00.119 receiver you might want to start as Zach Ertz. He's 0:07:00.160 --> 0:07:02.719 were on a team high three hundred and eighteen routes 0:07:02.760 --> 0:07:06.479 from the slot this season and thirty five percent of 0:07:06.520 --> 0:07:10.240 the Eagles receptions allowed this season. We're out of the slot. Okay, 0:07:10.280 --> 0:07:14.120 so you're looking at roughly one third of your target 0:07:14.160 --> 0:07:17.960 totals maybe going to zach Ertz in this game. We 0:07:18.040 --> 0:07:21.400 don't forget, by the way, Yes, absolutely a big revenge 0:07:21.440 --> 0:07:24.600 game in Philly. Scored in the first game, not in 0:07:24.640 --> 0:07:27.360 the second, so there's some opportunity for Ertz to cross 0:07:27.400 --> 0:07:30.440 the goal line in that revenge game. I like Ertz. 0:07:30.480 --> 0:07:33.280 I think he's my second favorite tight end. Play this weekend. 0:07:33.720 --> 0:07:37.760 He gets a B grade for me. And then I 0:07:37.760 --> 0:07:42.160 think the Brian Robinson Austin Eckler thing. This is super interesting. 0:07:43.720 --> 0:07:47.120 Robinson did absolutely nothing in the wild card round versus Tampa, 0:07:47.200 --> 0:07:50.080 but he was pretty steady last week in the Detroit game, 0:07:50.720 --> 0:07:54.800 fifteen carries, seventy seven yards, two touchdowns, which was fantastic. Yeah, 0:07:54.880 --> 0:07:58.480 five point one yards per carry. He was not targeted 0:07:58.520 --> 0:08:01.360 at all last week though, and I think that's because 0:08:01.400 --> 0:08:03.480 Austin Eckler's finally all the way healthy. 0:08:03.640 --> 0:08:07.080 Yeah, for sure, Eckler running Mike, He's healthy. He looks good. 0:08:07.880 --> 0:08:10.560 Yeah. He caught four of his eleven or four of 0:08:10.600 --> 0:08:13.400 his are sorry, he caught all four of his targets 0:08:13.760 --> 0:08:16.520 for forty one yards. That's an average of ten point 0:08:16.520 --> 0:08:18.960 three yards per catch, which is down from his season 0:08:19.000 --> 0:08:22.200 average of ten point five yards to catch, by the. 0:08:22.200 --> 0:08:25.880 Way, Yes, but that's actually by the way. Yeah. 0:08:25.920 --> 0:08:30.280 He leads running backs in the league in yards after 0:08:30.400 --> 0:08:33.200 catch per reception this year with eleven point nine. 0:08:33.480 --> 0:08:33.800 Wow. 0:08:33.840 --> 0:08:37.080 He's basically receiving the ball behind the line of scrimmage 0:08:37.240 --> 0:08:41.559 and scampering out for about twelve yards every time. It 0:08:41.679 --> 0:08:44.520 is only meeting with the Eagles. This season, Eckler had 0:08:44.559 --> 0:08:49.440 eight catches and eighty nine receiving yards. So I think 0:08:49.480 --> 0:08:52.840 that there's a possibility, and this is my boldest take 0:08:52.880 --> 0:08:56.560 of the weekend, Eckler might see more targets this weekend 0:08:56.840 --> 0:08:58.840 out of any player in both games. 0:08:59.040 --> 0:09:04.720 Wow. That's probably betable somehow somewhere, And you know, I 0:09:04.760 --> 0:09:08.480 bet the reception side is definitely betable, and I bet 0:09:08.520 --> 0:09:11.160 it definitely would I bet his odds enormous. 0:09:11.320 --> 0:09:13.839 I'll give Eckler a B grade here. Robinson gets a 0:09:13.880 --> 0:09:14.640 bench grade for me. 0:09:14.679 --> 0:09:14.920 Though. 0:09:15.200 --> 0:09:18.359 The Eagles have only allowed five running back rushing touchdowns 0:09:18.360 --> 0:09:20.920 on the season, so things will probably dry up and 0:09:20.920 --> 0:09:23.320 it will be more like he did against Tampa, which 0:09:23.440 --> 0:09:28.400 was not very good in the run game. Switch over 0:09:28.440 --> 0:09:31.760 to the Eagle side. Saquon Barkley is A. He's an 0:09:31.760 --> 0:09:36.120 A grade. He's the fantasy Fonsie. He's the fantasy Ardvark. 0:09:36.360 --> 0:09:39.160 He's the building block of anything you do in playoff Fantasy. 0:09:39.559 --> 0:09:43.880 You can't even fade him, no, like of the four 0:09:43.920 --> 0:09:46.079 teams left, he's the only running back that should be 0:09:46.080 --> 0:09:48.720 in one hundred percent of DFS lineups like he should 0:09:48.720 --> 0:09:51.360 do like you fade him, you're just playing with fire. 0:09:52.640 --> 0:09:56.520 In two games against Washington, the first one twenty eight 0:09:56.559 --> 0:09:59.120 touches one hundred and ninety eight yards and two scores, 0:10:00.080 --> 0:10:03.000 second one twenty nine touches one hundred and fifty yards 0:10:03.040 --> 0:10:07.600 and two scores. And Washington faced Detroit last week and 0:10:07.679 --> 0:10:10.600 Jamior Gibbs and Gibbs could have done whatever he wanted 0:10:10.600 --> 0:10:14.360 against the Commanders, and yeah, for so for reasons unknown, 0:10:15.040 --> 0:10:18.360 after averaging seven and a half yards per carry. Gibbs 0:10:18.440 --> 0:10:20.959 only had fourteen carries. He got one hundred and five 0:10:21.000 --> 0:10:23.880 yards and two scores. He added six catches for seventy yards. 0:10:24.400 --> 0:10:26.640 He could have done whatever he wanted and Detroit went 0:10:26.640 --> 0:10:31.800 away from him. Yeah, in situations, it's crazy. The Commander's 0:10:31.880 --> 0:10:36.040 defense ranked dead last in the league in average rushing 0:10:36.120 --> 0:10:38.680 yards before contact to running backs. 0:10:38.720 --> 0:10:41.520 Wow, So there's gonna be some room to work with. 0:10:42.240 --> 0:10:44.880 There's room to work with, and you're giving Saquon the ball. 0:10:45.200 --> 0:10:47.920 Thirty touches is in play for Saquon, and if the 0:10:47.960 --> 0:10:51.280 Eagles lose, it will be because they went away from 0:10:51.320 --> 0:10:52.200 Saquon in the run. 0:10:53.280 --> 0:10:54.920 It's uh, you know, and you may have heard this 0:10:54.960 --> 0:10:58.760 and listeners may already know it highest over under in 0:10:58.800 --> 0:11:02.560 the history of Vegas for rushing yards on a players 0:11:03.400 --> 0:11:06.040 over under. Depending on where you're looking, it's between one 0:11:06.080 --> 0:11:09.160 hundred and twenty six and one hundred and thirty yards. 0:11:09.200 --> 0:11:12.120 Wow. For Barkley, I think it's in play. 0:11:12.720 --> 0:11:14.760 It is in play, and I you know, it's funny. 0:11:15.480 --> 0:11:18.160 You can make a case that you should ladder it 0:11:18.400 --> 0:11:23.040 up from there because he obliterates this number from on 0:11:23.080 --> 0:11:26.720 a pretty regular basis. So there's there's still a scenario 0:11:26.760 --> 0:11:30.240 where not only does he go over the say one 0:11:30.320 --> 0:11:32.480 hundred and thirty yards, but he goes way over it 0:11:32.520 --> 0:11:34.440 and nobody nobody be shocked. 0:11:36.240 --> 0:11:37.960 So the key to the rest of this game, I 0:11:37.960 --> 0:11:42.000 think is Jalen Hurts. It changes everything you do in 0:11:42.080 --> 0:11:46.400 fantasy and betting depending on which Hurts is out there. Now. 0:11:46.400 --> 0:11:48.400 The last time he faced the Commanders, he got that 0:11:48.520 --> 0:11:51.920 concussion that knocked him out of the game and knocked 0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:55.960 the Eagles out of number one seed contention. He has 0:11:56.160 --> 0:11:59.480 managed one hundred and thirty one and one and twenty 0:11:59.480 --> 0:12:00.520 eight pass and. 0:12:00.520 --> 0:12:03.319 It's two games, right, I mean, everybody assumes that Hurts 0:12:03.400 --> 0:12:07.600 is hurt and more more than they're letting on because 0:12:08.120 --> 0:12:11.000 he doesn't look like himself and just the productivity is 0:12:11.040 --> 0:12:11.520 not there. 0:12:13.440 --> 0:12:17.559 Well, get this. Over the season, he's averaging only three 0:12:17.640 --> 0:12:21.480 point nine passing yards per dropback, and that's the lowest 0:12:21.679 --> 0:12:26.040 total of any quarterback to make the conference championship since 0:12:26.120 --> 0:12:29.360 Pro Football Focus started doing stats in two thousand and six. 0:12:29.600 --> 0:12:31.840 Wow, holy cow, look at that. 0:12:32.160 --> 0:12:35.560 So not a prolific passer here, and Hurts Week eleven 0:12:35.559 --> 0:12:38.680 win against Washington, he managed two or twenty one passing yards, 0:12:39.160 --> 0:12:41.240 did not throw a passing touchdown in that game, So 0:12:41.280 --> 0:12:44.240 I'm not feeling super confident in the Philly passing game overall. 0:12:44.280 --> 0:12:47.320 Here why you can still get some Hurts exposure going. 0:12:47.720 --> 0:12:50.040 He ran for thirty nine thirty nine yards in a 0:12:50.080 --> 0:12:52.600 score in the week eleven meeting, and he's ran thirteen 0:12:52.640 --> 0:12:55.240 times in the two playoff games for one hundred and 0:12:55.280 --> 0:12:57.760 six yards in a score. So the Eagles are throwing 0:12:57.800 --> 0:13:00.360 caution to the wind if he's if he's hurt about 0:13:00.400 --> 0:13:03.200 concussions or anything like that, they're not showing it. They're 0:13:03.240 --> 0:13:04.439 making them run still. 0:13:04.600 --> 0:13:06.520 And and you know what, why not? I mean, you know, 0:13:06.840 --> 0:13:09.360 at any loss is your last loss, you may as 0:13:09.360 --> 0:13:10.959 well run him, I think, Matt. 0:13:11.679 --> 0:13:14.320 Yeah, So I've got a C grade on Hurts. He's 0:13:14.320 --> 0:13:16.880 my least favorite quarterback of the four playing this weekend. 0:13:16.880 --> 0:13:19.400 But all it takes is a goal line push push 0:13:19.480 --> 0:13:21.280 or two and he's going to return value for you. 0:13:22.400 --> 0:13:26.199 Uh got aj Brown? He has three receptions over two 0:13:26.280 --> 0:13:30.959 playoff games, Yes, which is which is trailing Xavier Hutchinson, 0:13:31.280 --> 0:13:36.160 Anthony Miller, and DeMarcus Robinson in that department. He's tied 0:13:36.200 --> 0:13:41.760 with Olamide Zechias and Jalen Naylor in receptions in the playoffs. Oh, 0:13:41.800 --> 0:13:43.600 by the way, Jalen Naylor has been out. 0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:46.120 Of the playoffs, so that's right. 0:13:47.640 --> 0:13:51.599 And also aj Brown reading fine leatherbound books on the sideline, 0:13:51.720 --> 0:13:54.920 so we know he's talented. But we also need to 0:13:54.960 --> 0:13:57.559 realize that when the Eagles went on their crazy win streak, 0:13:57.600 --> 0:14:00.520 it's kind of when his targets dropped and he was 0:14:00.559 --> 0:14:03.280 the squeaky wheel for a little bit there and saw 0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:05.719 some action again for two games, but then it kind 0:14:05.720 --> 0:14:08.880 of went back to what it was before the game 0:14:08.960 --> 0:14:12.200 he was targeted the most this year was Week sixteen 0:14:12.240 --> 0:14:15.480 against Washington, where he saw fifteen targets in the game 0:14:15.520 --> 0:14:18.240 that Jalen Hurts got knocked out and the team lost 0:14:18.360 --> 0:14:21.080 that game, by the way, so he still has more 0:14:21.120 --> 0:14:23.720 targets than any other Eagles wide receiver in the playoffs, 0:14:23.760 --> 0:14:27.040 tied with Dallas Goddard at ten so far in the 0:14:27.080 --> 0:14:30.840 last two games. Problem is, the last seven games of 0:14:30.840 --> 0:14:35.360 the regular season, the Commanders only allowed seven touchdown passes total, 0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:39.480 and Goff only managed one last week in catchup mode 0:14:39.520 --> 0:14:43.520 and Baker had two. So we're looking at maybe one 0:14:43.680 --> 0:14:46.560 touchdown pass in the game for Hurts. I think that 0:14:46.680 --> 0:14:47.680 would be the safe bet. 0:14:47.760 --> 0:14:49.080 I think that is the safe bet. 0:14:49.920 --> 0:14:52.800 The odds are that it's Brown getting that, and the 0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:56.240 sportsbooks agree. Of all the receivers for the Eagles, he's 0:14:56.280 --> 0:15:00.360 plus one fifty five for at any time touchdown. Brown 0:15:00.440 --> 0:15:04.360 ranks second in Pro Football Focused grades when facing man coverage, 0:15:04.800 --> 0:15:08.000 and Washington runs the eighth most man coverage in the league. 0:15:08.120 --> 0:15:11.000 So it's like a Sea dart on Brown. But I 0:15:11.040 --> 0:15:15.680 don't feel great about it right now. Devanta Smith, he 0:15:15.760 --> 0:15:18.720 caught all of his eight playoff targets for seventy six yards, 0:15:18.760 --> 0:15:21.280 but he's been one of the strangest players to forecast 0:15:21.320 --> 0:15:24.880 since Halloween. Since Week ten, he's had six games under 0:15:24.920 --> 0:15:28.560 sixty yards and he's scored four times. But he's only 0:15:28.600 --> 0:15:31.880 had two games with double digit PPR points in that span. Yeah, 0:15:31.880 --> 0:15:35.400 which is crazy. He's just too volatile. I'm gonna leave 0:15:35.400 --> 0:15:38.240 DeVonta Smith on the bench, and then Dallas Goddard is 0:15:38.240 --> 0:15:39.080 the last guy. 0:15:39.120 --> 0:15:40.680 I like him here. I'll be interested to hear what 0:15:40.720 --> 0:15:41.080 you think. 0:15:42.280 --> 0:15:44.920 I got a C grade on Goddard comes in with 0:15:44.960 --> 0:15:47.880 a questionable tag, but he's gonna definitely play in this one. 0:15:48.600 --> 0:15:51.040 Tied for the target lead for the Eagles in the 0:15:51.040 --> 0:15:54.000 playoffs with ten he has scored. He sees a lot 0:15:54.000 --> 0:15:57.960 of targets when the opposing defense is blitzing. Goddard ranks 0:15:58.080 --> 0:16:03.240 eighth in the league amongst touchdowns in yards sorry amongst 0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:06.560 tight ends in yards per route run when facing the blitz, 0:16:07.040 --> 0:16:09.400 and Washington Blitz is at the sixth highest rate in 0:16:09.440 --> 0:16:12.080 the NFL. So it looks like there could be quite 0:16:12.080 --> 0:16:14.880 a few targets going his way. In the week eleven meeting, 0:16:14.920 --> 0:16:17.880 Goddard caught all five of his targets for sixty one yards. Yeah, 0:16:17.880 --> 0:16:22.240 it seems about where he's gonna be. I don't know 0:16:22.240 --> 0:16:24.000 if he can get much more than that, though, because 0:16:24.040 --> 0:16:25.920 Hurtz just doesn't throw the ball well. 0:16:26.080 --> 0:16:27.880 I still think if he's going to get into that 0:16:27.920 --> 0:16:33.760 five catch sixty yard range and maybe a forty chance 0:16:33.800 --> 0:16:35.640 of a touchdown, I think that's a B grade for 0:16:35.680 --> 0:16:36.240 a tight end. 0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:38.760 Okay, can I talk into it. He's still like zach 0:16:38.840 --> 0:16:44.320 Ertz more than Goddart. But I think I got got 0:16:44.480 --> 0:16:47.240 Art as my third ranked tight end this weekend, all right, 0:16:47.680 --> 0:16:50.840 So that's all I got On the Eagles and Commanders. 0:16:51.520 --> 0:16:54.200 My prediction is I think the Commanders pull this off. 0:16:54.920 --> 0:16:57.560 You're not alone, the betting public is hitting the Commander's 0:16:57.600 --> 0:17:03.240 money line pretty hard. And I think the Eagles just don't. 0:17:03.400 --> 0:17:05.640 The Eagles look like they're good at a lot of things. 0:17:05.640 --> 0:17:08.320 They just don't look dominating like you want them to. 0:17:08.720 --> 0:17:11.640 And the Commanders have overcome a lot to get here, 0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:14.960 and Jaden Daniels just has got the vibe of a 0:17:15.040 --> 0:17:18.639 winner that honestly, Jalen Hurts doesn't seem to have, even 0:17:18.680 --> 0:17:20.240 though he's won tons of games. 0:17:21.359 --> 0:17:23.480 Well, and if you think about the Eagles right now 0:17:23.680 --> 0:17:27.159 and all season, really, they've just there's just been doubts 0:17:27.200 --> 0:17:30.359 about the whole team all year. Nick sirianni Is, I 0:17:30.359 --> 0:17:32.280 mean they're talking about if he would have lost to 0:17:32.520 --> 0:17:35.440 the Rams last week, he would have been fired. Maybe 0:17:35.480 --> 0:17:37.919 if he loses to the Commanders this week, he's fired. 0:17:38.280 --> 0:17:41.600 It's possible. Yeah, And it seems like that locker room's 0:17:41.680 --> 0:17:45.160 kind of been kind of in dismay right now, and 0:17:45.840 --> 0:17:48.880 it just seems like the Commanders are the team of destiny. Also, 0:17:49.119 --> 0:17:52.640 their colors are in the Super Bowl logo, so well then, yeah, 0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:54.440 I like that we got that going and it works 0:17:54.480 --> 0:17:54.920 every year. 0:17:56.080 --> 0:17:58.119 If I got to just pick the winner, it would 0:17:58.119 --> 0:18:01.960 be I'm still on Philadelphia because of the defensive abilities 0:18:02.000 --> 0:18:05.760 they've got so much better than what the commanders have 0:18:05.800 --> 0:18:07.879 seen so far. But you know, we'll see and they, 0:18:07.920 --> 0:18:11.760 you know they they again. Five touchdowns by Jaden in 0:18:11.800 --> 0:18:14.439 the earlier matchups suggest that maybe the Eagles defense is 0:18:14.440 --> 0:18:17.280 and what we think they are. Let's take a quick 0:18:17.320 --> 0:18:20.760 break when we come back. Buffalo at Kansas City. Stay tuned, 0:18:27.960 --> 0:18:30.640 Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchie and Matt Harrison 0:18:30.680 --> 0:18:34.480 with you. You'll be back next week if you're alive, Matt, 0:18:34.520 --> 0:18:35.200 I mean, if you. 0:18:35.160 --> 0:18:39.240 Know, yeah, I'll be next week. We'll talk Super Bowl games, 0:18:39.480 --> 0:18:43.320 including my prop bet game, which will be live for 0:18:43.440 --> 0:18:45.440 sale somewhere online next week. 0:18:45.600 --> 0:18:50.680 Mysteriously ways to make an already great Super Bowl even 0:18:50.800 --> 0:18:53.880 better by adding by gamifying your Super Bowl. 0:18:53.960 --> 0:18:55.840 We love it absolutely. 0:18:56.320 --> 0:18:59.120 Buffalo in Kansas City is the evening game on Sunday Night. 0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:03.360 Of course, these teams have met regularly in the postseason, 0:19:03.480 --> 0:19:06.200 and they play each other in the regular season pretty often. 0:19:06.320 --> 0:19:10.879 Buffalo's won four straight regular season matches matchups between these teams, 0:19:11.160 --> 0:19:13.520 three of which were in Kansas City, so they have 0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:16.800 been able to win in Kansas City before, but they've 0:19:16.880 --> 0:19:21.240 lost three prost season meetings in the Allen Mahomes era, 0:19:21.600 --> 0:19:24.560 including that crazy twenty twenty two playoff game, which is 0:19:24.600 --> 0:19:27.200 one of the greatest games of all time. 0:19:28.040 --> 0:19:31.320 I think everybody's hoping for a repeat of that game. 0:19:31.880 --> 0:19:36.639 Maybe different outcome. Yes, yeah, you would really think that 0:19:36.680 --> 0:19:39.080 you could hold a lead when you're kicking off with 0:19:39.200 --> 0:19:41.680 thirteen seconds left by. 0:19:41.680 --> 0:19:42.879 Not the Buffalo Bills. 0:19:42.960 --> 0:19:45.840 Not the Bills. Not two years ago. When these teams 0:19:45.880 --> 0:19:48.680 met a week eleven, Buffalo won thirty to twenty one. 0:19:49.400 --> 0:19:51.720 Buffalo led it half and then never gave up the lead, 0:19:51.760 --> 0:19:54.280 but it was really closer than that nine point final 0:19:54.320 --> 0:19:56.960 score would suggest it was. The outcome is very much 0:19:56.960 --> 0:20:00.000 in doubt through most of the game. Current line Kansas City, 0:20:00.040 --> 0:20:02.280 he favored by one and a half. The weather is 0:20:02.320 --> 0:20:04.320 not gonna be much of a factor. It'll be chilly, 0:20:04.400 --> 0:20:10.399 but not cold, thirty eight degrees, no precipitation. So let's uh. 0:20:10.480 --> 0:20:16.560 I'm gonna start with my favorite Bills player, Khalil Shakir. 0:20:18.200 --> 0:20:20.879 I loved him in the preseason. He's had a nice season, 0:20:21.760 --> 0:20:25.320 targeted a career high twelve times in the earlier meeting. 0:20:25.400 --> 0:20:30.040 The week eleven meeting. Between these twelve times. Shakir usually 0:20:30.080 --> 0:20:32.120 catches pretty much everything you throw to him, although here 0:20:32.119 --> 0:20:34.480 he turned those twelve passes only into eight receptions in 0:20:34.480 --> 0:20:37.840 the earlier matchup. Now, importantly, he runs from the slot. 0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:43.000 He's gonna face off against slot cornerback Chamari Connor. He 0:20:43.160 --> 0:20:47.399 allows an eighty five percent catch rate on passes in 0:20:47.440 --> 0:20:51.480 his coverage. That is the worst completion percentage of any 0:20:51.600 --> 0:20:57.040 cornerback in the league. I love this matchup for Khalil Shakir. 0:20:57.640 --> 0:21:00.800 The only thing, the only reason I'm giving Khalil Shakir 0:21:00.880 --> 0:21:03.240 a B grade instead of an A grade is they 0:21:03.280 --> 0:21:06.560 don't target him in the end zone and he rarely scores. 0:21:06.840 --> 0:21:09.600 He has just four touchdowns on the season despite eighty 0:21:09.680 --> 0:21:13.720 eight receptions. He's my favorite of the Bills receivers. And 0:21:13.760 --> 0:21:15.639 then after that, I don't think there's a lot to 0:21:15.680 --> 0:21:19.840 do with Bills receivers. So you've got Shakir and then 0:21:20.800 --> 0:21:24.159 probably like one of the other receivers will have a 0:21:24.200 --> 0:21:28.000 good game. But it's Kean Coleman, Amari Cooper, mac Hollins, 0:21:28.000 --> 0:21:32.240 even Curtis Samuel last week, they all ran between ten 0:21:32.320 --> 0:21:35.920 and fourteen routes. That's just not enough. You know, they're 0:21:35.960 --> 0:21:38.040