1 00:00:01,960 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. 2 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:12,040 Speaker 2: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly 3 00:00:12,080 --> 00:00:16,080 Speaker 2: source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and 4 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 2: whatever stupid stuff they decide to drop into the show. Now, 5 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:21,280 Speaker 2: here's your host, Paul Chargion. 6 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I am Paul Charchi and 7 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:32,160 Speaker 1: my co host today, the ailing Matt Harrison. 8 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:37,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, my knee pit is really Oh that's a throwback 9 00:00:37,640 --> 00:00:38,240 Speaker 3: right there. 10 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:41,479 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that's your showing your age if you get 11 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:43,600 Speaker 1: back to the knee pit. We haven't had a knee 12 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:46,440 Speaker 1: pit reference on this show. And what do you think, 13 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 1: like ten years. 14 00:00:48,640 --> 00:00:50,919 Speaker 3: It's been a while, but I heard you and uh, 15 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:54,960 Speaker 3: Paul Allen and Chad Greenway talking about Dennis Pitta today 16 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 3: and it brought me all back to the Todd heat 17 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 3: Memorial injury report, all that good times back then. 18 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: The Todd Heap Memorial injury Report. That's how we started 19 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 1: those episodes of Fantasy Football Weekly, back in the day 20 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:11,039 Speaker 1: when it was really hard to get injury information. So 21 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 1: you're like, the first thing we got to get out 22 00:01:12,600 --> 00:01:15,800 Speaker 1: of the way is who's healthy and who's not. Now, 23 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 1: that's just not times have changed and. 24 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 3: We figured out how to work it into the matchups, 25 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 3: and yeah, take less time. 26 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 1: I think that I think it is better this way 27 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 1: that we've that we've done it. But we missed Todd Heap. 28 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:29,039 Speaker 1: I was always my intention to get Todd Heap on 29 00:01:29,120 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 1: the show. But and we could probably get him now 30 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 1: because what's Todd Heap doing? He'd probably enjoy the opportunity 31 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,120 Speaker 1: to come on the show, But well, you know what 32 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:40,199 Speaker 1: are we going to do with him now? 33 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 3: He's probably in a hospital somewhere. 34 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 1: Let's hope he's not dead somewhere with all the things 35 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 1: that have gone wrong for him. And I hope he'd 36 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 1: take it with a sense of humor to know that 37 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 1: there was a show out there that named their injury 38 00:01:56,720 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 1: report after Todd Heap. 39 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 3: Who knows, he might be really angry about it. 40 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 1: Could be, it could be. We're gonna have a ton 41 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 1: of fun today, Matt. We're gonna break down the AFC 42 00:02:07,720 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 1: and NFC championship games fantasy football weekly style with letter 43 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:15,200 Speaker 1: grades and all the players and see how see who 44 00:02:15,240 --> 00:02:17,359 Speaker 1: we like, who we don't like, what kind of sleepers 45 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:19,359 Speaker 1: we can unveil a lot of ways you can put 46 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 1: this to good use DFS betting. In some cases, you 47 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 1: may sell fantasy leagues playoff fantasy leagues, so you can 48 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 1: change rosters. I'm in one of those. We've got one 49 00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 1: of them ageeteen leagues dot Com, so there's a lot 50 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:32,399 Speaker 1: of different ways you could skin this cat. I want 51 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 1: to start with the Eagles Commander's game. That's our first 52 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: game on Sunday. And I think, if I'm correct about 53 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 1: the scheduling on this, I haven't. I haven't looked at 54 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 1: it a while, Matt. I think we're going mid afternoon 55 00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 1: for the first game and then prime time for the 56 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:47,960 Speaker 1: second game. 57 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 3: Correct, Yeah, two pm Central time, so three pm Eastern 58 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 3: is the first game. 59 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 1: Got you? Got you? And that first game is Commander's Eagles. 60 00:02:57,160 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 1: That is your game, Matt. Let's well, let's take it 61 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 1: away and maybe you can start where if you want. 62 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:05,920 Speaker 1: But I mean, the a story here for sure on 63 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:08,280 Speaker 1: the Commander's side is Jade and Daniels. 64 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 3: Why wouldn't we start with him? I mean, he's the 65 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:14,000 Speaker 3: top scoring fantasy player in the Fantasy in the playoffs, 66 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 3: so far, better than Lamar and Josh Allen and Stroud 67 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:20,079 Speaker 3: and Saquon and Derrick Henry, all those guys had two 68 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 3: games as well. He's seen this Eagles defense twice before, 69 00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 3: and Eagles defense that has faced the thirtieth best strength 70 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 3: of schedule this year, so maybe not. 71 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: The toughest matchups. 72 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 3: So when they met in Week sixteen, Daniels threw for 73 00:03:36,480 --> 00:03:40,120 Speaker 3: two hundred and fifty eight yards and five touchdowns, and 74 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 3: then he added eighty one yards on the ground on 75 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 3: nine carries, and then last week Stafford was Yeah, last 76 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:49,640 Speaker 3: week Stafford was able to throw for three twenty four 77 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 3: and two in snowy conditions. I don't know if I 78 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 3: trust this Eagles defense to be this like stone cold 79 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 3: lock that everybody seems to think it is, and it doesn't. 80 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 3: Seemed like the moment is too big for Jade and Daniels. 81 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 3: So I've got an A grade on him, and I 82 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:08,120 Speaker 3: think he's my favorite quarterback of the four going this 83 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 3: weekend in terms of. 84 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 1: Just like fantasy point potential. Yeah, I could. 85 00:04:12,480 --> 00:04:15,680 Speaker 3: I think the Eagle ranking all of them, he would 86 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:16,480 Speaker 3: be my number one. 87 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:21,360 Speaker 1: The Eagles secondary has been great, legitimately great. I could 88 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:24,040 Speaker 1: see I could see this being an all or nothing 89 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:28,240 Speaker 1: scenario for Jadon Daniels, But the five touchdowns last game 90 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:30,880 Speaker 1: is pretty telling you know. What we know is it 91 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:34,560 Speaker 1: won't be like the moment's too big for Jaden. 92 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:36,480 Speaker 3: Dan definitely, because that kid is I think, definitely I 93 00:04:36,560 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 3: shoot for the moon kind of guy. And his favorite 94 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:43,560 Speaker 3: target is Terry mclaur and Terry, who's been the top 95 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 3: scoring wide receiver in the in the playoffs so far 96 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:49,919 Speaker 3: for Fantasy only, Nico Collins has more receptions than Terry 97 00:04:49,960 --> 00:04:52,719 Speaker 3: in the playoffs, and I have a feeling that McLaurin 98 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 3: will get one more reception to at least tie Nico 99 00:04:56,600 --> 00:05:00,559 Speaker 3: Collins this week. McLaurin scored in seven of his last 100 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:03,640 Speaker 3: eight games, including the Week sixteen matchup against the Eagles, 101 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:06,919 Speaker 3: where he managed five catches sixty yards in a score. 102 00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:10,599 Speaker 3: But the problem is in Week eleven, McLaurin was almost 103 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:14,160 Speaker 3: blanked by the Eagles one catch, ten yards yep, and 104 00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:16,799 Speaker 3: Philly is number three in the league and fewest yards 105 00:05:16,839 --> 00:05:20,200 Speaker 3: allowed to perimeter receivers this season. I've got a be 106 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 3: on McLaurin, but since it's an offseason show, I can 107 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 3: give him a B minus. 108 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:30,359 Speaker 1: I think, ah, okay, look, you stepped up, you're sick, 109 00:05:30,760 --> 00:05:34,400 Speaker 1: you're doing the show. Anyway, We're gonna give you this minus. 110 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 3: All right, I think the sleeper here is Diami Brown, 111 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:44,080 Speaker 3: who is actually the Darius Slay slayer, and he's let 112 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 3: lock go against Darius Slay in this one. According to 113 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:53,200 Speaker 3: Pro Football Focus, in thirty career receiving snaps against Darius Slay, 114 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:58,039 Speaker 3: Diami Brown is averaging three point seven yards per route run. 115 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:02,279 Speaker 3: It's pretty significant for that snap total. Yeah, and Brown 116 00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 3: is sneakily tied with McLaurin in receptions during the playoffs 117 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:08,719 Speaker 3: with eleven and has more yards than Terry. 118 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:09,000 Speaker 2: So. 119 00:06:10,080 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 3: By the way, Danny Brown is only forty four on DraftKings, 120 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:17,039 Speaker 3: and he's kind of a nice contrarian play. I built 121 00:06:17,080 --> 00:06:20,320 Speaker 3: some internal lineups over at fanball dot Com with with 122 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 3: my coworkers there. I switched out McLaurin for Diami Brown 123 00:06:24,560 --> 00:06:29,840 Speaker 3: and just took the cash discount. I'll throw a C 124 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:32,159 Speaker 3: grade on him, but it's probably closer to like a 125 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:33,919 Speaker 3: C plus grade for Diami Brown. 126 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:37,200 Speaker 1: You're really pushing the envelope, now, Yeah, See that was 127 00:06:37,200 --> 00:06:39,359 Speaker 1: what I always fear. You do it one time and 128 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:40,560 Speaker 1: then the flood gets open. 129 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, see that's what happens. 130 00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:47,840 Speaker 1: That's well. Now, it's the problem is, you guys can't 131 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 1: just take the win. You have to expand it. 132 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 3: I have regrets, all right, all right, Uh, the last 133 00:06:57,040 --> 00:07:00,119 Speaker 3: receiver you might want to start as Zach Ertz. He's 134 00:07:00,160 --> 00:07:02,719 Speaker 3: were on a team high three hundred and eighteen routes 135 00:07:02,760 --> 00:07:06,479 Speaker 3: from the slot this season and thirty five percent of 136 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:10,240 Speaker 3: the Eagles receptions allowed this season. We're out of the slot. Okay, 137 00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:14,120 Speaker 3: so you're looking at roughly one third of your target 138 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:17,960 Speaker 3: totals maybe going to zach Ertz in this game. We 139 00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 3: don't forget, by the way, Yes, absolutely a big revenge 140 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:24,600 Speaker 3: game in Philly. Scored in the first game, not in 141 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 3: the second, so there's some opportunity for Ertz to cross 142 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 3: the goal line in that revenge game. I like Ertz. 143 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 3: I think he's my second favorite tight end. Play this weekend. 144 00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 3: He gets a B grade for me. And then I 145 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:42,160 Speaker 3: think the Brian Robinson Austin Eckler thing. This is super interesting. 146 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:47,120 Speaker 3: Robinson did absolutely nothing in the wild card round versus Tampa, 147 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 3: but he was pretty steady last week in the Detroit game, 148 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 3: fifteen carries, seventy seven yards, two touchdowns, which was fantastic. Yeah, 149 00:07:54,880 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 3: five point one yards per carry. He was not targeted 150 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 3: at all last week though, and I think that's because 151 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:03,480 Speaker 3: Austin Eckler's finally all the way healthy. 152 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure, Eckler running Mike, He's healthy. He looks good. 153 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 3: Yeah. He caught four of his eleven or four of 154 00:08:10,600 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 3: his are sorry, he caught all four of his targets 155 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:16,520 Speaker 3: for forty one yards. That's an average of ten point 156 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:18,960 Speaker 3: three yards per catch, which is down from his season 157 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 3: average of ten point five yards to catch, by the. 158 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:25,880 Speaker 1: Way, Yes, but that's actually by the way. Yeah. 159 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 3: He leads running backs in the league in yards after 160 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:33,200 Speaker 3: catch per reception this year with eleven point nine. 161 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:33,800 Speaker 1: Wow. 162 00:08:33,840 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 3: He's basically receiving the ball behind the line of scrimmage 163 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:41,559 Speaker 3: and scampering out for about twelve yards every time. It 164 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:44,520 Speaker 3: is only meeting with the Eagles. This season, Eckler had 165 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 3: eight catches and eighty nine receiving yards. So I think 166 00:08:49,480 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 3: that there's a possibility, and this is my boldest take 167 00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 3: of the weekend, Eckler might see more targets this weekend 168 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:58,840 Speaker 3: out of any player in both games. 169 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:04,720 Speaker 1: Wow. That's probably betable somehow somewhere, And you know, I 170 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:08,480 Speaker 1: bet the reception side is definitely betable, and I bet 171 00:09:08,520 --> 00:09:11,160 Speaker 1: it definitely would I bet his odds enormous. 172 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:13,839 Speaker 3: I'll give Eckler a B grade here. Robinson gets a 173 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 3: bench grade for me. 174 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 2: Though. 175 00:09:15,200 --> 00:09:18,359 Speaker 3: The Eagles have only allowed five running back rushing touchdowns 176 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 3: on the season, so things will probably dry up and 177 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:23,320 Speaker 3: it will be more like he did against Tampa, which 178 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:28,400 Speaker 3: was not very good in the run game. Switch over 179 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 3: to the Eagle side. Saquon Barkley is A. He's an 180 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:36,120 Speaker 3: A grade. He's the fantasy Fonsie. He's the fantasy Ardvark. 181 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:39,160 Speaker 3: He's the building block of anything you do in playoff Fantasy. 182 00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 3: You can't even fade him, no, like of the four 183 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:46,079 Speaker 3: teams left, he's the only running back that should be 184 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 3: in one hundred percent of DFS lineups like he should 185 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 3: do like you fade him, you're just playing with fire. 186 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:56,520 Speaker 3: In two games against Washington, the first one twenty eight 187 00:09:56,559 --> 00:09:59,120 Speaker 3: touches one hundred and ninety eight yards and two scores, 188 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:03,000 Speaker 3: second one twenty nine touches one hundred and fifty yards 189 00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:07,600 Speaker 3: and two scores. And Washington faced Detroit last week and 190 00:10:07,679 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 3: Jamior Gibbs and Gibbs could have done whatever he wanted 191 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:14,360 Speaker 3: against the Commanders, and yeah, for so for reasons unknown, 192 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:18,360 Speaker 3: after averaging seven and a half yards per carry. Gibbs 193 00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:20,959 Speaker 3: only had fourteen carries. He got one hundred and five 194 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 3: yards and two scores. He added six catches for seventy yards. 195 00:10:24,400 --> 00:10:26,640 Speaker 3: He could have done whatever he wanted and Detroit went 196 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 3: away from him. Yeah, in situations, it's crazy. The Commander's 197 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:36,040 Speaker 3: defense ranked dead last in the league in average rushing 198 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:38,680 Speaker 3: yards before contact to running backs. 199 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:41,520 Speaker 1: Wow, So there's gonna be some room to work with. 200 00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 3: There's room to work with, and you're giving Saquon the ball. 201 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 3: Thirty touches is in play for Saquon, and if the 202 00:10:47,960 --> 00:10:51,280 Speaker 3: Eagles lose, it will be because they went away from 203 00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:52,200 Speaker 3: Saquon in the run. 204 00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:54,920 Speaker 1: It's uh, you know, and you may have heard this 205 00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 1: and listeners may already know it highest over under in 206 00:10:58,800 --> 00:11:02,560 Speaker 1: the history of Vegas for rushing yards on a players 207 00:11:03,400 --> 00:11:06,040 Speaker 1: over under. Depending on where you're looking, it's between one 208 00:11:06,080 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty six and one hundred and thirty yards. 209 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:12,120 Speaker 3: Wow. For Barkley, I think it's in play. 210 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 1: It is in play, and I you know, it's funny. 211 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:18,160 Speaker 1: You can make a case that you should ladder it 212 00:11:18,400 --> 00:11:23,040 Speaker 1: up from there because he obliterates this number from on 213 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:26,720 Speaker 1: a pretty regular basis. So there's there's still a scenario 214 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 1: where not only does he go over the say one 215 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:32,480 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty yards, but he goes way over it 216 00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 1: and nobody nobody be shocked. 217 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:37,960 Speaker 3: So the key to the rest of this game, I 218 00:11:37,960 --> 00:11:42,000 Speaker 3: think is Jalen Hurts. It changes everything you do in 219 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 3: fantasy and betting depending on which Hurts is out there. Now. 220 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:48,400 Speaker 3: The last time he faced the Commanders, he got that 221 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 3: concussion that knocked him out of the game and knocked 222 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:55,960 Speaker 3: the Eagles out of number one seed contention. He has 223 00:11:56,160 --> 00:11:59,480 Speaker 3: managed one hundred and thirty one and one and twenty 224 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 3: eight pass and. 225 00:12:00,520 --> 00:12:03,319 Speaker 1: It's two games, right, I mean, everybody assumes that Hurts 226 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:07,600 Speaker 1: is hurt and more more than they're letting on because 227 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 1: he doesn't look like himself and just the productivity is 228 00:12:11,040 --> 00:12:11,520 Speaker 1: not there. 229 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:17,559 Speaker 3: Well, get this. Over the season, he's averaging only three 230 00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 3: point nine passing yards per dropback, and that's the lowest 231 00:12:21,679 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 3: total of any quarterback to make the conference championship since 232 00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 3: Pro Football Focus started doing stats in two thousand and six. 233 00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:31,840 Speaker 1: Wow, holy cow, look at that. 234 00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:35,560 Speaker 3: So not a prolific passer here, and Hurts Week eleven 235 00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:38,680 Speaker 3: win against Washington, he managed two or twenty one passing yards, 236 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:41,240 Speaker 3: did not throw a passing touchdown in that game, So 237 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:44,240 Speaker 3: I'm not feeling super confident in the Philly passing game overall. 238 00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:47,320 Speaker 3: Here why you can still get some Hurts exposure going. 239 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:50,040 Speaker 3: He ran for thirty nine thirty nine yards in a 240 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 3: score in the week eleven meeting, and he's ran thirteen 241 00:12:52,640 --> 00:12:55,240 Speaker 3: times in the two playoff games for one hundred and 242 00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:57,760 Speaker 3: six yards in a score. So the Eagles are throwing 243 00:12:57,800 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 3: caution to the wind if he's if he's hurt about 244 00:13:00,400 --> 00:13:03,200 Speaker 3: concussions or anything like that, they're not showing it. They're 245 00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:04,439 Speaker 3: making them run still. 246 00:13:04,600 --> 00:13:06,520 Speaker 1: And and you know what, why not? I mean, you know, 247 00:13:06,840 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 1: at any loss is your last loss, you may as 248 00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:10,959 Speaker 1: well run him, I think, Matt. 249 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, So I've got a C grade on Hurts. He's 250 00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 3: my least favorite quarterback of the four playing this weekend. 251 00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 3: But all it takes is a goal line push push 252 00:13:19,480 --> 00:13:21,280 Speaker 3: or two and he's going to return value for you. 253 00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:26,199 Speaker 3: Uh got aj Brown? He has three receptions over two 254 00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:30,959 Speaker 3: playoff games, Yes, which is which is trailing Xavier Hutchinson, 255 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:36,160 Speaker 3: Anthony Miller, and DeMarcus Robinson in that department. He's tied 256 00:13:36,200 --> 00:13:41,760 Speaker 3: with Olamide Zechias and Jalen Naylor in receptions in the playoffs. Oh, 257 00:13:41,800 --> 00:13:43,600 Speaker 3: by the way, Jalen Naylor has been out. 258 00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 1: Of the playoffs, so that's right. 259 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:51,599 Speaker 3: And also aj Brown reading fine leatherbound books on the sideline, 260 00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:54,920 Speaker 3: so we know he's talented. But we also need to 261 00:13:54,960 --> 00:13:57,559 Speaker 3: realize that when the Eagles went on their crazy win streak, 262 00:13:57,600 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 3: it's kind of when his targets dropped and he was 263 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:03,280 Speaker 3: the squeaky wheel for a little bit there and saw 264 00:14:03,360 --> 00:14:05,719 Speaker 3: some action again for two games, but then it kind 265 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:08,880 Speaker 3: of went back to what it was before the game 266 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:12,200 Speaker 3: he was targeted the most this year was Week sixteen 267 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 3: against Washington, where he saw fifteen targets in the game 268 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:18,240 Speaker 3: that Jalen Hurts got knocked out and the team lost 269 00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:21,080 Speaker 3: that game, by the way, so he still has more 270 00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:23,720 Speaker 3: targets than any other Eagles wide receiver in the playoffs, 271 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:27,040 Speaker 3: tied with Dallas Goddard at ten so far in the 272 00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:30,840 Speaker 3: last two games. Problem is, the last seven games of 273 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:35,360 Speaker 3: the regular season, the Commanders only allowed seven touchdown passes total, 274 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:39,480 Speaker 3: and Goff only managed one last week in catchup mode 275 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:43,520 Speaker 3: and Baker had two. So we're looking at maybe one 276 00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:46,560 Speaker 3: touchdown pass in the game for Hurts. I think that 277 00:14:46,680 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 3: would be the safe bet. 278 00:14:47,760 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 1: I think that is the safe bet. 279 00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:52,800 Speaker 3: The odds are that it's Brown getting that, and the 280 00:14:52,840 --> 00:14:56,240 Speaker 3: sportsbooks agree. Of all the receivers for the Eagles, he's 281 00:14:56,280 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 3: plus one fifty five for at any time touchdown. Brown 282 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:04,360 Speaker 3: ranks second in Pro Football Focused grades when facing man coverage, 283 00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:08,000 Speaker 3: and Washington runs the eighth most man coverage in the league. 284 00:15:08,120 --> 00:15:11,000 Speaker 3: So it's like a Sea dart on Brown. But I 285 00:15:11,040 --> 00:15:15,680 Speaker 3: don't feel great about it right now. Devanta Smith, he 286 00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:18,720 Speaker 3: caught all of his eight playoff targets for seventy six yards, 287 00:15:18,760 --> 00:15:21,280 Speaker 3: but he's been one of the strangest players to forecast 288 00:15:21,320 --> 00:15:24,880 Speaker 3: since Halloween. Since Week ten, he's had six games under 289 00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 3: sixty yards and he's scored four times. But he's only 290 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,880 Speaker 3: had two games with double digit PPR points in that span. Yeah, 291 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:35,400 Speaker 3: which is crazy. He's just too volatile. I'm gonna leave 292 00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 3: DeVonta Smith on the bench, and then Dallas Goddard is 293 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:39,080 Speaker 3: the last guy. 294 00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:40,680 Speaker 1: I like him here. I'll be interested to hear what 295 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:41,080 Speaker 1: you think. 296 00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:44,920 Speaker 3: I got a C grade on Goddard comes in with 297 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:47,880 Speaker 3: a questionable tag, but he's gonna definitely play in this one. 298 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:51,040 Speaker 3: Tied for the target lead for the Eagles in the 299 00:15:51,040 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 3: playoffs with ten he has scored. He sees a lot 300 00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 3: of targets when the opposing defense is blitzing. Goddard ranks 301 00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 3: eighth in the league amongst touchdowns in yards sorry amongst 302 00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:06,560 Speaker 3: tight ends in yards per route run when facing the blitz, 303 00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 3: and Washington Blitz is at the sixth highest rate in 304 00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:12,080 Speaker 3: the NFL. So it looks like there could be quite 305 00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:14,880 Speaker 3: a few targets going his way. In the week eleven meeting, 306 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:17,880 Speaker 3: Goddard caught all five of his targets for sixty one yards. Yeah, 307 00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 3: it seems about where he's gonna be. I don't know 308 00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:24,000 Speaker 3: if he can get much more than that, though, because 309 00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:25,920 Speaker 3: Hurtz just doesn't throw the ball well. 310 00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 1: I still think if he's going to get into that 311 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:33,760 Speaker 1: five catch sixty yard range and maybe a forty chance 312 00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 1: of a touchdown, I think that's a B grade for 313 00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:36,240 Speaker 1: a tight end. 314 00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:38,760 Speaker 3: Okay, can I talk into it. He's still like zach 315 00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:44,320 Speaker 3: Ertz more than Goddart. But I think I got got 316 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:47,240 Speaker 3: Art as my third ranked tight end this weekend, all right, 317 00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 3: So that's all I got On the Eagles and Commanders. 318 00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:54,200 Speaker 3: My prediction is I think the Commanders pull this off. 319 00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:57,560 Speaker 1: You're not alone, the betting public is hitting the Commander's 320 00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:03,240 Speaker 1: money line pretty hard. And I think the Eagles just don't. 321 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:05,640 Speaker 1: The Eagles look like they're good at a lot of things. 322 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:08,320 Speaker 1: They just don't look dominating like you want them to. 323 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:11,640 Speaker 1: And the Commanders have overcome a lot to get here, 324 00:17:11,800 --> 00:17:14,960 Speaker 1: and Jaden Daniels just has got the vibe of a 325 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:18,639 Speaker 1: winner that honestly, Jalen Hurts doesn't seem to have, even 326 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:20,240 Speaker 1: though he's won tons of games. 327 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:23,480 Speaker 3: Well, and if you think about the Eagles right now 328 00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:27,159 Speaker 3: and all season, really, they've just there's just been doubts 329 00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:30,359 Speaker 3: about the whole team all year. Nick sirianni Is, I 330 00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:32,280 Speaker 3: mean they're talking about if he would have lost to 331 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:35,440 Speaker 3: the Rams last week, he would have been fired. Maybe 332 00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:37,919 Speaker 3: if he loses to the Commanders this week, he's fired. 333 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:41,600 Speaker 3: It's possible. Yeah, And it seems like that locker room's 334 00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:45,160 Speaker 3: kind of been kind of in dismay right now, and 335 00:17:45,840 --> 00:17:48,880 Speaker 3: it just seems like the Commanders are the team of destiny. Also, 336 00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:52,640 Speaker 3: their colors are in the Super Bowl logo, so well then, yeah, 337 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:54,440 Speaker 3: I like that we got that going and it works 338 00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:54,920 Speaker 3: every year. 339 00:17:56,080 --> 00:17:58,119 Speaker 1: If I got to just pick the winner, it would 340 00:17:58,119 --> 00:18:01,960 Speaker 1: be I'm still on Philadelphia because of the defensive abilities 341 00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:05,760 Speaker 1: they've got so much better than what the commanders have 342 00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:07,879 Speaker 1: seen so far. But you know, we'll see and they, 343 00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:11,760 Speaker 1: you know they they again. Five touchdowns by Jaden in 344 00:18:11,800 --> 00:18:14,439 Speaker 1: the earlier matchups suggest that maybe the Eagles defense is 345 00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:17,280 Speaker 1: and what we think they are. Let's take a quick 346 00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:20,760 Speaker 1: break when we come back. Buffalo at Kansas City. Stay tuned, 347 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:30,640 Speaker 1: Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchie and Matt Harrison 348 00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:34,480 Speaker 1: with you. You'll be back next week if you're alive, Matt, 349 00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:35,200 Speaker 1: I mean, if you. 350 00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:39,240 Speaker 3: Know, yeah, I'll be next week. We'll talk Super Bowl games, 351 00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:43,320 Speaker 3: including my prop bet game, which will be live for 352 00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:45,440 Speaker 3: sale somewhere online next week. 353 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:50,680 Speaker 1: Mysteriously ways to make an already great Super Bowl even 354 00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:53,880 Speaker 1: better by adding by gamifying your Super Bowl. 355 00:18:53,960 --> 00:18:55,840 Speaker 3: We love it absolutely. 356 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:59,120 Speaker 1: Buffalo in Kansas City is the evening game on Sunday Night. 357 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:03,360 Speaker 1: Of course, these teams have met regularly in the postseason, 358 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:06,200 Speaker 1: and they play each other in the regular season pretty often. 359 00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:10,879 Speaker 1: Buffalo's won four straight regular season matches matchups between these teams, 360 00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:13,520 Speaker 1: three of which were in Kansas City, so they have 361 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:16,800 Speaker 1: been able to win in Kansas City before, but they've 362 00:19:16,880 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 1: lost three prost season meetings in the Allen Mahomes era, 363 00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:24,560 Speaker 1: including that crazy twenty twenty two playoff game, which is 364 00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:27,200 Speaker 1: one of the greatest games of all time. 365 00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:31,320 Speaker 3: I think everybody's hoping for a repeat of that game. 366 00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:36,639 Speaker 1: Maybe different outcome. Yes, yeah, you would really think that 367 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:39,080 Speaker 1: you could hold a lead when you're kicking off with 368 00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:41,680 Speaker 1: thirteen seconds left by. 369 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:42,879 Speaker 3: Not the Buffalo Bills. 370 00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:45,840 Speaker 1: Not the Bills. Not two years ago. When these teams 371 00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:48,680 Speaker 1: met a week eleven, Buffalo won thirty to twenty one. 372 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:51,720 Speaker 1: Buffalo led it half and then never gave up the lead, 373 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:54,280 Speaker 1: but it was really closer than that nine point final 374 00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:56,960 Speaker 1: score would suggest it was. The outcome is very much 375 00:19:56,960 --> 00:20:00,000 Speaker 1: in doubt through most of the game. Current line Kansas City, 376 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 1: he favored by one and a half. The weather is 377 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 1: not gonna be much of a factor. It'll be chilly, 378 00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:10,399 Speaker 1: but not cold, thirty eight degrees, no precipitation. So let's uh. 379 00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:16,560 Speaker 1: I'm gonna start with my favorite Bills player, Khalil Shakir. 380 00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:20,879 Speaker 1: I loved him in the preseason. He's had a nice season, 381 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 1: targeted a career high twelve times in the earlier meeting. 382 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 1: The week eleven meeting. Between these twelve times. Shakir usually 383 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,120 Speaker 1: catches pretty much everything you throw to him, although here 384 00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 1: he turned those twelve passes only into eight receptions in 385 00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,840 Speaker 1: the earlier matchup. Now, importantly, he runs from the slot. 386 00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:43,000 Speaker 1: He's gonna face off against slot cornerback Chamari Connor. He 387 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:47,399 Speaker 1: allows an eighty five percent catch rate on passes in 388 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:51,480 Speaker 1: his coverage. That is the worst completion percentage of any 389 00:20:51,600 --> 00:20:57,040 Speaker 1: cornerback in the league. I love this matchup for Khalil Shakir. 390 00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:00,800 Speaker 1: The only thing, the only reason I'm giving Khalil Shakir 391 00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:03,240 Speaker 1: a B grade instead of an A grade is they 392 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:06,560 Speaker 1: don't target him in the end zone and he rarely scores. 393 00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:09,600 Speaker 1: He has just four touchdowns on the season despite eighty 394 00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:13,720 Speaker 1: eight receptions. He's my favorite of the Bills receivers. And 395 00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:15,639 Speaker 1: then after that, I don't think there's a lot to 396 00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:19,840 Speaker 1: do with Bills receivers. So you've got Shakir and then 397 00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:24,159 Speaker 1: probably like one of the other receivers will have a 398 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:28,000 Speaker 1: good game. But it's Kean Coleman, Amari Cooper, mac Hollins, 399 00:21:28,000 --> 00:21:32,240 Speaker 1: even Curtis Samuel last week, they all ran between ten 400 00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:35,920 Speaker 1: and fourteen routes. That's just not enough. You know, they're 401 00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:38,040 Speaker 1: shuffling these guys in and out. I mean, Shakir's on 402 00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:40,840 Speaker 1: the field a lot. The other four are just rotating 403 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:42,720 Speaker 1: in and route and ten to fourteen routes is not 404 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:47,120 Speaker 1: enough to make any of them fantasy bankable. Whoever does 405 00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:50,159 Speaker 1: run on the outside, which will primarily be Cooper and 406 00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:54,720 Speaker 1: Coleman and Hollins two, I guess they will get a 407 00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:57,879 Speaker 1: big dose of Trent McDuffie and Jalen Watson, who are 408 00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:01,360 Speaker 1: both above average guys. Mcduffy held Nico Collins in check, 409 00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:03,359 Speaker 1: and he's way better than all of those guys. So 410 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:07,240 Speaker 1: we've got bench grades on all the other receivers. What 411 00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:12,680 Speaker 1: about Dalton Kincaid, you might be asking, Matt, what about 412 00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:14,920 Speaker 1: Dalton Kincaid? Charge, Oh, well, let me tell you about 413 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:17,880 Speaker 1: Dalton Kincaid. You know, I think he's a C grade 414 00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 1: viable starter because the Chiefs have struggled against tight ends 415 00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:23,800 Speaker 1: all year, allowing the second most receptions and the most 416 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 1: yards to tight ends. Frustratingly, though, Kinkaid and Knocks split 417 00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:33,360 Speaker 1: playing time basically right down the middle, with almost identical 418 00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:40,040 Speaker 1: average snaps and routes. Run Kincaid invisible for basically three weeks, 419 00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:42,920 Speaker 1: but he does average a more respectable four catches per 420 00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:48,119 Speaker 1: game throughout the rest of the year. So in a pinch, 421 00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:50,720 Speaker 1: it's only there's only four games. There's not many tight 422 00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:52,680 Speaker 1: ends to work with here. I guess you will throw 423 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:58,240 Speaker 1: a C grade on Dalton Kincaid. So where does us 424 00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:02,920 Speaker 1: leave us with Josh, you may be wondering. Over Allen's 425 00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:09,399 Speaker 1: last seven meetings, Steve Spagnolo has been unable to stop 426 00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:14,040 Speaker 1: Allen's rushing, averaging fifty eight rushing yards and zero point 427 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 1: seven rushing touchdowns per game, and that includes four rushing 428 00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:19,760 Speaker 1: touchdowns in his most recent three games against Kansas City. 429 00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:22,400 Speaker 1: I love Josh Allen on the ground here. And if 430 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,159 Speaker 1: you look at what some mobile quarterbacks have done to 431 00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:29,960 Speaker 1: Kansas City lately Week eighteen, Bo Nicks forty seven rushing yards. 432 00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:34,639 Speaker 1: Week seventeen, Russell Wilson fifty five rushing yards. So and 433 00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:36,840 Speaker 1: on the season, the Chiefs saw the fifth most quarterback 434 00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:39,720 Speaker 1: rushing yards. So I believe this is a really nice 435 00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:44,960 Speaker 1: running game for Josh Allen here through the air, I'm 436 00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:47,800 Speaker 1: less optimistic as usually heard. I've only got the B 437 00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:51,399 Speaker 1: grade on Khalil Shakir and a C grade on Dalton 438 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:53,920 Speaker 1: Kinkaid and bench grades and everybody else. And he's thrown 439 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:57,359 Speaker 1: exactly and only one touchdown in three straight games against 440 00:23:57,440 --> 00:24:00,440 Speaker 1: Kansas City, so I don't love him through the air here. 441 00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:04,680 Speaker 1: Kansas City's coming off an eight sack game, I believe, Yeah, 442 00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:07,000 Speaker 1: eight sack game of c. J. Stroud, which will not 443 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 1: happen again here. But still, you know, Josh Allen's mobility 444 00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:13,800 Speaker 1: will help make sure that. In fact, he's been sacked 445 00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,520 Speaker 1: zero and zero times in his last two games against 446 00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:19,560 Speaker 1: the Chiefs, so I think his offensive line will hold 447 00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:21,840 Speaker 1: up just fine here. I've still got the A grade 448 00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:23,399 Speaker 1: on Josh Allen because of the rushing. 449 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:28,640 Speaker 3: So no, do you think that people are downplaying how 450 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,720 Speaker 3: good the Chiefs defense has been this year simply because 451 00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:32,880 Speaker 3: they're sick of the Chiefs. 452 00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:37,560 Speaker 1: Well, the attention is always going to be Patrick Mahomes, right, 453 00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:41,400 Speaker 1: But the reason that they won all the games they 454 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:44,480 Speaker 1: won sixteen and one in the regular is their defense. 455 00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:47,680 Speaker 1: The defense was the was way I think way better. 456 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,439 Speaker 1: Well in that way, was better than their offense was 457 00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:53,679 Speaker 1: throughout the course of the season, my opinion. Let's go 458 00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,280 Speaker 1: to Kansas City side. I've got one A grade for you, 459 00:24:56,560 --> 00:25:01,200 Speaker 1: Travis Kelcey, Matt. We got playoff Kelsey last week. Eight targets, 460 00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:03,879 Speaker 1: seven catches, one hundred and seventeen yards, and a touchdown, 461 00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:08,880 Speaker 1: looking nothing like the Travis Kelcey who struggled to put 462 00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:12,280 Speaker 1: up just, you know, really modest scoring through most of 463 00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:16,600 Speaker 1: the year. I think he scored in three games during 464 00:25:16,600 --> 00:25:18,480 Speaker 1: the regular season. Does that sound right, man? 465 00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:19,119 Speaker 2: Yeah? 466 00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:23,080 Speaker 1: I think it was. So the Bills shut down Kelsey 467 00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:27,480 Speaker 1: in the week eleven meeting, but what happened was because 468 00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:30,359 Speaker 1: they were putting so much attention on Kelsey. Noah Gray 469 00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:33,560 Speaker 1: got two touchdowns in that game. And I think they'll 470 00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:37,320 Speaker 1: play Kelsey more straight up because now they've proved. Chiefs 471 00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:39,000 Speaker 1: proved they can go to Noah Gray if they need to. 472 00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:42,920 Speaker 1: So I think they play Kelsey straight up and good 473 00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:46,720 Speaker 1: titands generally have success against the Bills. Sam Laporter recently, 474 00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:50,160 Speaker 1: Hunter Henry recently, Tyler Conklin last week as they likely, 475 00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:53,760 Speaker 1: and Mark Andrews had good games. So I've still got 476 00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:56,880 Speaker 1: the eight ground and Kelsey. But man, as he looks slow, Matt, 477 00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:58,600 Speaker 1: he has lost a step for sure. 478 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:02,800 Speaker 3: I think that if you're in the kind of playoff 479 00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:05,080 Speaker 3: league where you set a lineup every week, and if 480 00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:07,639 Speaker 3: you're not near the front or your way behind. I 481 00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:10,760 Speaker 3: think the Noah Gray angle is super interesting here because 482 00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:13,480 Speaker 3: I think people will just be completely off of him 483 00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:16,240 Speaker 3: because he didn't do anything in the playoff game last week. 484 00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:19,800 Speaker 3: He's got that track record, and I think that they 485 00:26:19,800 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 3: trust him. I think that he's one of the two 486 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:26,280 Speaker 3: or three most trustworthy receivers on Kansas City right now, 487 00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:28,280 Speaker 3: and I like him as a dart throw. 488 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:31,399 Speaker 1: So I love that you brought this up, and I'll 489 00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:34,280 Speaker 1: do use that as my transition. How could Noah Gray 490 00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:39,240 Speaker 1: be like the second most trustworthy receiver? Well, the wide 491 00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:42,840 Speaker 1: receivers for Kansas City last week, only Xavier Worthy caught 492 00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:49,600 Speaker 1: a pass. All the rest were zero receptions. Unbelievable. Hopkins, 493 00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:57,119 Speaker 1: Brown Smith, Schuster, Watson. They're all low volume, touchdown dependent 494 00:26:57,359 --> 00:26:59,840 Speaker 1: guys who give you virtually nothing if they don't score. 495 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:03,800 Speaker 3: If I had to receivers past their prime. 496 00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:07,000 Speaker 1: Yeah right. In many cases, if I had to pick one, 497 00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:09,080 Speaker 1: I'd go DeAndre Hopkins and just hope that he can 498 00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:12,359 Speaker 1: like box somebody out at the end zone. But that's 499 00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:15,479 Speaker 1: but they're all on the bench for this one and 500 00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:17,240 Speaker 1: I and you're right. If it came down to Noah 501 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:19,240 Speaker 1: Gray or any of those guys. I think I'd be 502 00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:22,560 Speaker 1: perfectly happy going with Noah Gray. Let's use that as 503 00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:25,320 Speaker 1: an opportunity to talk about Xavior Worthy. This is the 504 00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:31,359 Speaker 1: one chief receiver you could actually start. Worthy is an 505 00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:33,359 Speaker 1: interesting guy because he's got the four to two speed 506 00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,560 Speaker 1: MATT so he's super super fast, and we want to 507 00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:41,600 Speaker 1: think that that speed will unlock deep downfield touchdowns. But 508 00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:45,160 Speaker 1: it doesn't. It hasn't been. He's not getting receptions, he's 509 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:50,359 Speaker 1: not getting anything downfield. Since week eleven, they totally changed 510 00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:53,440 Speaker 1: the route tree for Worthy and it's all short stuff. 511 00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:59,399 Speaker 1: Since week eleven, Worthy he's got thirty nine receptions thirty 512 00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:03,679 Speaker 1: six of the thirty nine or from nine yards or less. 513 00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:09,120 Speaker 3: So he's a short, dink and dunk receiver that they 514 00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:11,520 Speaker 3: want to try to set loose with the speed. 515 00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:16,080 Speaker 1: Huh, that is it? Get this? Since week thirteen, Xavier 516 00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:23,440 Speaker 1: Worthies average distance of target is four yards, that's his 517 00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:29,159 Speaker 1: average catch is four yards. That's it. And Buffalo allows 518 00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:31,720 Speaker 1: the fourth shortest air yards per target, just six point 519 00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:36,520 Speaker 1: nine yards. So for Worthy it's all short stuff, bubble screens, slants, 520 00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:39,520 Speaker 1: stuff like that that they're trying to turn They're hoping 521 00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 1: he'll break into long, long games, but he usually doesn't. 522 00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:45,200 Speaker 1: I've just got the C grade on Xavier Worthy. Also 523 00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:48,800 Speaker 1: speaking of the passing game, Samaj p rid could be 524 00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:51,120 Speaker 1: a sneaky play now. 525 00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,360 Speaker 3: I heard you talking about your love of Samaj p 526 00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:55,560 Speaker 3: Ryan earlier today. 527 00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:58,640 Speaker 1: Yes, I liked p Rid in last week did not 528 00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:02,280 Speaker 1: come through, But this isn't even more a hopeful uh moment. 529 00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:05,440 Speaker 1: The Bills allowed the most running back receptions, the most 530 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:08,240 Speaker 1: running back receiving yards, and the second most running back 531 00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:13,840 Speaker 1: receiving touchdowns. Samajp RAN's betting line is over under eight 532 00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:17,680 Speaker 1: and a half yards receiving. I like him here. He's 533 00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:22,560 Speaker 1: the designated receiving back for the Bills. I don't know 534 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:25,920 Speaker 1: what the designation actually is. We say designated a lot, 535 00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:27,800 Speaker 1: but there is no actual designation. 536 00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:31,720 Speaker 3: Well, churches, Isaiah Pachecko dead. 537 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:34,880 Speaker 1: I guess he's dead. I was wrong. I don't have 538 00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:38,520 Speaker 1: my Phonsie sounder on this. I had assumed they were 539 00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:43,840 Speaker 1: saving him up for a big playoff push like last year, 540 00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:47,680 Speaker 1: where they powered through the playoffs largely on the legs 541 00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:52,600 Speaker 1: of Isaiah Pachecko. Nope, that isn't apparently not gonna be 542 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:53,360 Speaker 1: the case. 543 00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:55,600 Speaker 3: He must not be healthy. 544 00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:59,760 Speaker 1: Kareem Hunt is getting more usage than Pachecko, although it's 545 00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:02,680 Speaker 1: not very reliable usage and he's not running very well. 546 00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:05,800 Speaker 1: But Hunt has scored in three straight games, not counting 547 00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:09,080 Speaker 1: the Week eighteen game which they rest, and he's basically 548 00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:11,800 Speaker 1: paced Pacheco out in short down a distance workload, which 549 00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:14,120 Speaker 1: is shocking to me. Pachecko was always really good and 550 00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:18,040 Speaker 1: short down and distance stuff. Buffalo's run defense much improved lately, 551 00:30:18,360 --> 00:30:20,800 Speaker 1: but they've also played some really bad run defense run 552 00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:23,400 Speaker 1: offenses in recent weeks, like Denver and New England and 553 00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:26,720 Speaker 1: the Jets. But still I can get you to a 554 00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:29,920 Speaker 1: C grade on Kareem Hunt, I can't on Pachecko. Pachecko's 555 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:34,200 Speaker 1: it's just a loss here. Just nine six and five 556 00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:37,960 Speaker 1: rushing attempts the last three weeks for Isaiah Pachecko. It's 557 00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:40,560 Speaker 1: all going the wrong way right now. That leaves us 558 00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 1: with Patrick Mahomes B grade. I've got an A grade 559 00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:50,520 Speaker 1: on on Travis Kelce and then just like C grades 560 00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 1: on a couple of receiving options. That's there's just not 561 00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:56,360 Speaker 1: a lot of great matchups I like for his receivers. Now, 562 00:30:56,400 --> 00:30:59,640 Speaker 1: Mahomes did get three touchdowns in the Week eleven matchup, 563 00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:03,160 Speaker 1: and the Bill secondary has had some lapses. Andy Reid 564 00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:06,760 Speaker 1: always likes to attack the slot. Every receiver runs from 565 00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:09,200 Speaker 1: the slot in his offense, and he does like to 566 00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:11,480 Speaker 1: pound the slot. And the Bills have got their slot 567 00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:14,240 Speaker 1: cornerback is the worst of their three starting cornerbacks, Taron 568 00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:19,000 Speaker 1: Johnson not county Week eighteen. Without their starters, the Bills 569 00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:21,760 Speaker 1: have allowed multiple passing touchdowns and eight to the last ten. 570 00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:24,840 Speaker 1: I think Patrick Mahomes is in the two touchdown range 571 00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:28,000 Speaker 1: and that feels like a B grade. Who do you winning? 572 00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:29,160 Speaker 1: Who do you have winning that game? 573 00:31:30,320 --> 00:31:33,800 Speaker 3: I think the Chiefs win that one too. I did 574 00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:37,800 Speaker 3: see a nice stat from PFF Mahomes eighth highest graded 575 00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:42,640 Speaker 3: quarterback against two high coverage looks and the Bills defense 576 00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:46,200 Speaker 3: runs the fourth most too high coverage. 577 00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:50,400 Speaker 1: In the NFL. All right, that's another angle for Patrick Mahomes. 578 00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:53,840 Speaker 1: Is he known for playing well in the playoffs? Does 579 00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:55,960 Speaker 1: he have a track record for playing well in the playoffs. 580 00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:58,840 Speaker 3: I think he's been in an AFC championship game or two. 581 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:00,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think he has. I think he has. I 582 00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:04,880 Speaker 1: want only I have. I don't have any any quibble 583 00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:08,520 Speaker 1: with Patrick Mahomes with the Chiefs. Other than the fact 584 00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:12,160 Speaker 1: that the commercials are incessant. I Andy Reid and Patrick 585 00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:16,719 Speaker 1: Mahomes are on my TV every game that I watch constantly. 586 00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:17,920 Speaker 1: It's my only quibble. 587 00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:21,000 Speaker 3: You don't like fumble Ruskie do. 588 00:32:24,760 --> 00:32:27,720 Speaker 1: I had to go there? Yeah? Sorry, But I'm rooting 589 00:32:27,760 --> 00:32:29,760 Speaker 1: for the Bills because the you know, the fan base, 590 00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:32,880 Speaker 1: they've been you know, they've been languishing forever. I would 591 00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:34,800 Speaker 1: like to see a I'd like to see a new 592 00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:38,040 Speaker 1: team get in. I'd like to see just you know, 593 00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:40,680 Speaker 1: give some other teams, you know, reasons to think that 594 00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:42,360 Speaker 1: they can go to the super Bowl. And I hate 595 00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:45,440 Speaker 1: that Josh Allen keeps getting sort of this loser tag 596 00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:47,200 Speaker 1: like he can't he's not good enough to get his 597 00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:49,320 Speaker 1: teams over the hump. I'd like to see him do 598 00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:52,000 Speaker 1: that in the way that Yeah, I mean young Ones 599 00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:53,880 Speaker 1: did and yeah, and Manning did. 600 00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:56,480 Speaker 3: I think if Josh Allen is to get there, it's 601 00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:59,720 Speaker 3: because of him, because they don't really have the weapons 602 00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:02,160 Speaker 3: around him, like Stefan Diggs and some of the other 603 00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:05,920 Speaker 3: weapons that they've had in the past that are surrounding him. 604 00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:09,320 Speaker 3: And I don't particularly think that the Bills coaching staff 605 00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:13,280 Speaker 3: is absolutely outstanding and just knocking the socks off everybody. 606 00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:17,000 Speaker 3: So that's where I think Kansas City just has all 607 00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:19,360 Speaker 3: of the the advantages here. I think they have a 608 00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:22,800 Speaker 3: better defense. I think their coaching staff knows what they're doing, 609 00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:25,160 Speaker 3: and I think Mahomes is ready for the moment. And 610 00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:28,680 Speaker 3: if Josh Allen does it, it's going to be because 611 00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:30,800 Speaker 3: Josh Allen is playing on the planet. 612 00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:33,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, and he might be though. I mean this year 613 00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:38,800 Speaker 1: he's been a better quarterback than Patrick Mahomes absolutely, yeah, 614 00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:41,040 Speaker 1: And I want to think that he is going to 615 00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:43,520 Speaker 1: not sing. He doesn't have to single handedly go win 616 00:33:43,520 --> 00:33:46,680 Speaker 1: this game, but he's gonna have a huge part in it. Yeah, 617 00:33:46,760 --> 00:33:48,600 Speaker 1: if only, if only for the narrative, and I think 618 00:33:48,640 --> 00:33:50,760 Speaker 1: it'd be great for Josh. And how about this for 619 00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:55,600 Speaker 1: Bill's fans, They've raised one hundred thousand dollars from Mark 620 00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:59,520 Speaker 1: Andrews charity. Would Eagle fans have ever done this? 621 00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:05,720 Speaker 3: Matt No Bills fans notoriously awesome fans, even though they're 622 00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:07,240 Speaker 3: throwing themselves through tables. 623 00:34:07,560 --> 00:34:07,800 Speaker 1: Yep. 624 00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:11,360 Speaker 3: They they've they've always been, uh you know the ones 625 00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:13,719 Speaker 3: that have been there, like when the Damar Hamlin thing 626 00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:14,319 Speaker 3: came down. 627 00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:15,120 Speaker 2: Uh. 628 00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:18,400 Speaker 3: No, one was pounding the table harder for them than 629 00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:21,440 Speaker 3: those Bills fans, just making sure that everything was going right. 630 00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:25,040 Speaker 3: I seem to remember a punter having an issue a 631 00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:27,399 Speaker 3: few years back where the Bills fans were all over 632 00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:27,839 Speaker 3: that too. 633 00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:33,160 Speaker 1: They're they're great, didn't they a few years ago? Didn't 634 00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:37,560 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow like beat an opponent for them that got 635 00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:39,759 Speaker 1: the Bills into the playoffs and then they pounded a 636 00:34:39,800 --> 00:34:41,560 Speaker 1: bunch of money at Joe Burrow's charity? 637 00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:42,520 Speaker 2: Is that? 638 00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:43,040 Speaker 3: Is that? 639 00:34:43,200 --> 00:34:48,000 Speaker 1: I think that happened as well, like two three years ago. Listeners, 640 00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:49,239 Speaker 1: listeners will correct me on that. 641 00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:55,320 Speaker 3: I believe all right, I've got commanders and chiefs, and 642 00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:56,920 Speaker 3: it sounds like you have Bills and Eagles. 643 00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:03,439 Speaker 1: Yeah, I've got Bill's Eagles, so we're we can't both 644 00:35:03,520 --> 00:35:04,040 Speaker 1: be right here. 645 00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:09,680 Speaker 3: No, it'll be an interesting pod next week when we 646 00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:11,279 Speaker 3: return to talk about it. 647 00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:14,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll look forward to that for sure. Thanks for listening, everybody. 648 00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:17,160 Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly will be back next week as well. 649 00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:22,280 Speaker 1: Thank you Matt for stepping up despite a nasty case 650 00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:28,560 Speaker 1: of whooping cough. Sure we'll go with it, ye whooping cough. Yes, 651 00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:32,839 Speaker 1: with a little chlamydia sprinkled in God. 652 00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:33,320 Speaker 3: I hope not. 653 00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:38,239 Speaker 1: I have a lot of explaining to do. We'll talk 654 00:35:38,280 --> 00:35:41,600 Speaker 1: to you, We'll talk to you next week. Everybody. Fantasy 655 00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:45,280 Speaker 1: Football Weekly is a production of iHeartRadio. For more podcasts 656 00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:49,240 Speaker 1: from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever 657 00:35:49,360 --> 00:35:50,800 Speaker 1: you listen to your favorite shows.