1 00:00:14,160 --> 00:00:16,280 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday 2 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:19,079 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt 3 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:21,480 Speaker 1: Perrault at Sports Talk Matt to follow me on Twitter. 4 00:00:21,520 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 1: This podcast is always being brought to you by our 5 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:26,759 Speaker 1: friends at omastakes dot com. The Father's Day specials that 6 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:29,319 Speaker 1: got going on right now thirty dollars off with the 7 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:32,479 Speaker 1: promo code Juice for a qualifying order. More on those 8 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:36,800 Speaker 1: guys here in just one second. One oh in one yesterday, 9 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:39,880 Speaker 1: if you bet the money law sorry, the run line 10 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 1: for the Marlins, you went two to oh in one. 11 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:45,839 Speaker 1: That's when I went red. Sox got rained out, so 12 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: that is a wash literally, and then we got the 13 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 1: push eight. We got a good number closed at seven 14 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:54,440 Speaker 1: and a half, got the eight. Got the push on 15 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 1: the Astros winning the game six to two last night, 16 00:00:57,640 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 1: so against the Angels so one unofficially officially one to 17 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:06,040 Speaker 1: zero one. So we're up one point zero nine units 18 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:08,319 Speaker 1: because the Rockies came through and won that game on 19 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:11,080 Speaker 1: the money line. We got that right. All the steam 20 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:16,319 Speaker 1: came on the Royals. I don't know. Congratulations, I disagree 21 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:18,800 Speaker 1: with it. But it's been a good couple of weeks. 22 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: We've had a good three week run here trying to 23 00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:26,200 Speaker 1: complete our third consecutive winning week here on the Daily Juice. 24 00:01:26,360 --> 00:01:29,240 Speaker 1: So no basketball today. We do have Game one of 25 00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 1: the Stemley Cup Finals. Remember I have the exacta on 26 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:39,320 Speaker 1: Florida over the Golden Knights at forty forty eight and 27 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:41,839 Speaker 1: a half to one. I have a one unit bet 28 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:44,759 Speaker 1: one point three unit bets here officially on the Golden Knights, 29 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 1: just to win it. In a hedge situation, I'm gonna 30 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: betting a lot more. I got to figure out whether 31 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 1: I want to bet after game one, or if the 32 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: Knights win Game one and lose Game two, do I 33 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 1: bet it? Then I'm not exactly positive what I'm gonna 34 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 1: do the big bet. I've got the one point three 35 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: units in play already, but I'll have a big bet 36 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:05,920 Speaker 1: to hedge off of the forty eight and a half 37 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 1: to one at some point. For that reason, I don't 38 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:12,360 Speaker 1: have a play on the full game or a full total. 39 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,399 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go back to a good old standby. We've 40 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 1: had a lot of success with here so far on 41 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:19,800 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice. Here for the hockey bet, and I 42 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:23,519 Speaker 1: got two baseball plays. If you are going to keep 43 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 1: following the trend of fading the A's on the run line. 44 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 1: It's now nine and five, up three point twenty five units. 45 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 1: It's even money today. It was plus money yesterday. I 46 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:37,120 Speaker 1: got a factor that it actually it was plus money. 47 00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 1: It was plus one oh five. So I guess we're 48 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 1: up three point three units now on that. So it's 49 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 1: been a fun experiment and I've enjoyed it. And even 50 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: money now. So this hits again. We go up by four, 51 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:53,240 Speaker 1: you know, four point two three units on this, so 52 00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 1: we'll see this is the series. Though four nothing win 53 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: for the Marlins was pretty shocking. I thought two nothing 54 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 1: we might need. We got four nothing. A's cannot score. 55 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:05,120 Speaker 1: Their offense is so bad. More on them here in 56 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: just one second. But right now, Father's Day special is 57 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:09,920 Speaker 1: going on right now Omaha steaks dot com. 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Customize your notifications by sport so 76 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:17,000 Speaker 1: you only receive alerts when for the bets that you 77 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:19,800 Speaker 1: you were interested in. You can even limit the alerts 78 00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:23,039 Speaker 1: to get only historical ROI positive markets of the better 79 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:25,839 Speaker 1: as you follow. Take advantage of these features and more 80 00:04:25,880 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 1: by downloading the Betting Pros app, by visiting Bettingpros dot com, 81 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:33,840 Speaker 1: slash apps, or by searching Betting Pros in the app store. Okay, 82 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: let's start with hockey and we'll get into baseball. Next, look, 83 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:42,919 Speaker 1: the Panthers have been off for a really long time. 84 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:48,359 Speaker 1: Sergeio Bobrovski has been unbelievable. He is the odds on 85 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:50,840 Speaker 1: favorite to win the Consmith. I don't think he's gonna 86 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: win it personally, okay, I think he's gonna have a 87 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 1: tough time. I had a friend of mine pull some 88 00:04:57,760 --> 00:05:03,040 Speaker 1: numbers for the the first period of game one of 89 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:07,520 Speaker 1: the Stanley Cup Finals, going back as far as two 90 00:05:07,560 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 1: thousand and six, how many goals gets scored in the 91 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 1: first game of the Stanley Cup Finals. If you look 92 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 1: at it and see when one team has been off 93 00:05:18,920 --> 00:05:21,559 Speaker 1: for more than a week the Panthers in this case, 94 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:25,040 Speaker 1: over one and a half goals has only happened three 95 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:28,800 Speaker 1: times two and one. Only three times have we seen 96 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 1: a team have a week off between playing the conference 97 00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:37,680 Speaker 1: finals into starting the Stanley Cup Finals two and one 98 00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:40,640 Speaker 1: since two thousand and six. But if you look at 99 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,280 Speaker 1: just how the first period has gone when these two 100 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:46,280 Speaker 1: teams are matched up with each other, the over one 101 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: and a half goals is nine and seven. We have 102 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:52,680 Speaker 1: Aiden Hill, who never thought is wildest dreams this season 103 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:54,919 Speaker 1: when it began he would be playing in the Cup finals. 104 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 1: And we have the real possibility of a rusty Cergivebrovsky. 105 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 1: I don't know who wins the game. I lean Vegas, 106 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:05,600 Speaker 1: but I want to watch this series. I want to 107 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:07,760 Speaker 1: watch how it's being called. I want to watch how 108 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 1: Jack Eichel's going to play in his first ever Cup finals. 109 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:12,919 Speaker 1: I want to watch how Vegas decides to guard and 110 00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 1: handle Matthew Kuchuk, how physical Vegas be. How many penalties 111 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:19,480 Speaker 1: is Vegas willing to take to go into the box. 112 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:23,919 Speaker 1: How's the PK for the Panthers? Can Vegas exploit that 113 00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:27,480 Speaker 1: at all? How's the PK for Vegas? Game One's a 114 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:30,560 Speaker 1: big deal to me as to how this series is 115 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:33,400 Speaker 1: going to get played. It feels like a seven game series. 116 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 1: It feels like a toss up. Okay, I'm going to 117 00:06:36,200 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 1: be on both sides. As I mentioned, I don't care 118 00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:41,040 Speaker 1: who wins. It's more fun if Vegas wins because I'm 119 00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:44,720 Speaker 1: here in Vegas. But officially one point one units minus 120 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:48,040 Speaker 1: one ten over one and a half goals in the 121 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:53,479 Speaker 1: first period, sloppy play, mistakes, rusty goaltenders could lead towards 122 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:56,960 Speaker 1: some offense. I do actually lean towards the under for 123 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:01,040 Speaker 1: the game three to two final, but I think it's 124 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:03,840 Speaker 1: a one to one score after one. I feel more 125 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:06,880 Speaker 1: confident on the first period than anything else. It's all 126 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet tied or one team up two to 127 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 1: nothing after one first period over one and a half 128 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: goals for one point one units. Now I want to 129 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: go back to the Rockies and the Royals. I lean 130 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:22,560 Speaker 1: towards the Royals to win the game today, but I'm 131 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 1: not laying mines one forty with the Royals. They suck. 132 00:07:25,480 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 1: Rockies suck too, but I'm not doing that with the Royals. 133 00:07:27,960 --> 00:07:30,200 Speaker 1: That's stupid, dumb. I think they do win the game, 134 00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 1: but I'm not interested in laying it. The total is 135 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 1: nine and a half. I am interested in that, okay. 136 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 1: Case at home is fifteen thirteen and one to the over. However, 137 00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:49,080 Speaker 1: the Rockies are nineteen and ten to the under on 138 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 1: the road. Nine runs got scored yesterday, so I'm under 139 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 1: nine and a half technically as a road dog, which 140 00:07:57,280 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 1: they are today. They are also nineteen and ten to 141 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:06,040 Speaker 1: the under after a win. Colorado won yesterday, they're fifteen 142 00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:10,240 Speaker 1: and nine to the under after a win. After a loss. 143 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 1: Kansas City is eighteen eighteen and two literally flat. I 144 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 1: think nine and a half is too many. I think 145 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 1: it's gonna be five to two, five, three, somewhere in 146 00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 1: that range. Here. I don't think we see a ten 147 00:08:25,320 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 1: run game between both teams. I'm gonna bet under nine 148 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:32,200 Speaker 1: and a half and minus one fifteen one point one, 149 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 1: five units down. I lean towards the Royals to win 150 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 1: the game, but I think we got decent enough pitchers 151 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 1: to hold on here, to hold the rope a little 152 00:08:41,760 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 1: bit and not have a complete ridiculousness. You know, six 153 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 1: nothing is fine by me here. Okay, let the Royals 154 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 1: score six and I mean, I don't mind Royals on 155 00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 1: the run line, but that's very scary given their record. 156 00:08:52,840 --> 00:08:55,880 Speaker 1: We talked about the record yesterday. The Royals are now 157 00:08:56,040 --> 00:08:59,120 Speaker 1: nine and twenty on the run line at home this year. 158 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 1: So oh wait, that was sorry, that was no. No, 159 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:04,079 Speaker 1: they're seven and twenty three on the run line at home. 160 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 1: That was the Marlins seven and twenty three, by the way, 161 00:09:07,240 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 1: on that so ye, And then one more bet. This 162 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:14,520 Speaker 1: is my request, because I am making the bet that 163 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 1: I'm gonna make every day until the middle of the month. 164 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:19,360 Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet against the A's on the run line 165 00:09:19,400 --> 00:09:21,360 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Marlins on the run line. It's 166 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:23,840 Speaker 1: even money, okay, But somebody said, when are you gonna 167 00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 1: start to follow your own advice and bet team totals 168 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:33,720 Speaker 1: for the A's. The Oakland A's have scored over three runs. 169 00:09:33,760 --> 00:09:37,679 Speaker 1: They've scored four runs one time, going back all the 170 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:42,200 Speaker 1: way to May sixteenth one time, basically when we started 171 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:46,959 Speaker 1: fading them, they've scored sixteen. They've scored over three and 172 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 1: a half runs at bet MGM at the time of 173 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:54,120 Speaker 1: taping over sorry, under three and a half runs was 174 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 1: minus one twenty five. That's too good, okay. You can 175 00:09:58,360 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 1: you can lay under two and a half if you 176 00:09:59,800 --> 00:10:02,679 Speaker 1: wan and take plus money. But I'll be okay with this. 177 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:05,599 Speaker 1: I'm gonna come in here and take under three and 178 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:10,439 Speaker 1: a half runs team total Oakland A's. Officially, I have 179 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:12,920 Speaker 1: a nonofficial bet on even money on the run line 180 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:16,079 Speaker 1: for Miami, but under three and a half runs at 181 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 1: minus one twenty five because Perez is going. This kid 182 00:10:19,040 --> 00:10:22,000 Speaker 1: is making his fifth start of the year. A's have 183 00:10:22,120 --> 00:10:24,679 Speaker 1: not seen this kid. This kid's been good. A two 184 00:10:24,760 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 1: point seventy nine ERA at home, a one ninety four 185 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:31,480 Speaker 1: opposing betting average at home and he's looked the part 186 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:35,280 Speaker 1: case twenty. He's young, but he's looked the part. I 187 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:37,559 Speaker 1: think this kid shuts down the offense. I'll expect the 188 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:39,559 Speaker 1: bullpen to come in and do bullpen type things for 189 00:10:39,640 --> 00:10:42,920 Speaker 1: the Marlins. Marlins very well might win a close scoring 190 00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:45,679 Speaker 1: one run game again. I lean towards the Marlins to 191 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 1: win again here. But it's the A's, so they're gonna 192 00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 1: lose every game. It's expensive to bet on the Marlins 193 00:10:51,840 --> 00:10:53,960 Speaker 1: on the money line, but not on the run line. 194 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 1: I will do it. I'm not expecting to hit this, 195 00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 1: to be quite honest, I think we'll start to lose 196 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:00,920 Speaker 1: these bets in this series, but for now I don't 197 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 1: care because I'm gonna take under three and a half 198 00:11:03,679 --> 00:11:06,880 Speaker 1: runs team total Oakland A's at minus one twenty five. 199 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:10,520 Speaker 1: All right, three bets for us here. Let's have another 200 00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:14,480 Speaker 1: good day, another winning day here on a Saturday. Over 201 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 1: one and a half goals first period Vegas and Florida 202 00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:22,280 Speaker 1: of the Semi Cup Finals Game one, under nine and 203 00:11:22,320 --> 00:11:25,760 Speaker 1: a half minus one fifteen for the Rockies and the Royals, 204 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:28,840 Speaker 1: and we are going with under three and a half 205 00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:32,280 Speaker 1: runs for the A's team total up against the Miami 206 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:36,199 Speaker 1: Marlins on the road at minus one twenty five. It's 207 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:38,160 Speaker 1: up a good Saturday. If I add anything, I'll let 208 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:40,959 Speaker 1: you know here Bettingpros dot com, slash Chat for the 209 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:44,679 Speaker 1: Discord Channel. We've got basketball tomorrow. Let's keep the Hot 210 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:47,079 Speaker 1: Street going with the NBA mis Matt Parold. Follow me 211 00:11:47,160 --> 00:11:49,560 Speaker 1: on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every morning, the Daily 212 00:11:49,640 --> 00:12:05,960 Speaker 1: Juice podcast being brought to you by Omaha Stakes dot Com.