1 00:00:00,480 --> 00:00:04,680 Speaker 1: Welcome to zero, I am Akshatrati. This week, Europe's answer 2 00:00:04,800 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: to the green backlash. Five years ago, green parties celebrated 3 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 1: their best ever results in European elections. The headlines called 4 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 1: it a quiet revolution. It ushered in a new era 5 00:00:29,520 --> 00:00:33,159 Speaker 1: in the European Parliament, one where green issues got a 6 00:00:33,200 --> 00:00:37,199 Speaker 1: real hearing. As a result, the European Green Deal was 7 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:41,880 Speaker 1: approved in twenty twenty and big policies followed that. Work 8 00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 1: to put all of it in place is still going. 9 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 1: But today it's not easy being green anymore. With just 10 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 1: a month until European parliamentary elections, the Greens appeared to 11 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:57,400 Speaker 1: be polling far behind where they were in twenty nineteen. 12 00:00:58,160 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 1: Farmers protests are stalling the Green Deal, the cost of 13 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 1: living crisis is making the populist argument more attractive, and 14 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:09,679 Speaker 1: younger voters who Greens could count on previously are turning 15 00:01:09,680 --> 00:01:13,480 Speaker 1: to the far right in growing numbers. You could argue 16 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 1: this is how politics goes. It's a pendulum, but the 17 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: climate crisis is not. It only continues to get worse. 18 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: One person trying to fight the anti green tide is 19 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:28,840 Speaker 1: bas Icut. He's been a Dutch member of European Parliament 20 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 1: since two thousand and nine. In February, the European Green 21 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 1: Party picked him to be the party's lead candidate alongside 22 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 1: Terry reinkeer Germany's Green Map. Their job now is to 23 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 1: sell voters on the party's vision of a more equal 24 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 1: and ecological Europe. I caught up with bas in Brussels 25 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: at the European Parliament. He told me that despite the backlash, 26 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 1: the message that the Greens have about the long term 27 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:00,720 Speaker 1: is even more important today than it was five years ago. 28 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 1: So we talked about how exactly it is that he 29 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 1: can make a convincing case in a much changed political environment. 30 00:02:22,800 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 1: Welcome to the show biz. Thank you. Now I know 31 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 1: a CHEMISTR When I see one. I know you studied 32 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 1: chemistry and of course you are now leading the Greens 33 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:36,760 Speaker 1: Party into the European elections. Could you just talk us 34 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:39,680 Speaker 1: through how do you go from a chemistry degree to 35 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:40,680 Speaker 1: doing what you do now? 36 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:43,880 Speaker 2: Well, that has been a long journey, to be very honest. 37 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 2: So no, I think I've always been interested in environmental issues, 38 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 2: so to say so back in my youth, already my 39 00:02:53,480 --> 00:02:57,640 Speaker 2: dream job was going into one of these little greenpeace 40 00:02:57,720 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 2: votes and then blocking will hunters. Basically, that was my 41 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 2: first ideal dream. Then it turned out I'm not such 42 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 2: a hero, so probably I had to drop that idea 43 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 2: quite quickly, and I noticed that I can do something 44 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 2: with my head, so to say. So then I studied 45 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 2: and went into well, into the university, and then I thought, okay, 46 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:22,519 Speaker 2: what's probably the most complicated thing I can do, because 47 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:26,000 Speaker 2: if I can manage that, then probably the rest can 48 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:28,640 Speaker 2: only get easier. So that's when I decided to go 49 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:32,359 Speaker 2: for chemistry. I sometimes regretted that choice, by the way. 50 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 2: It was not always a pleasure, but the idea was 51 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:38,360 Speaker 2: always to end up in a job where I do 52 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 2: environmental research basically, and in the Netherlands, I ended up 53 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:45,560 Speaker 2: at an agency doing climate change research. So I really 54 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:50,160 Speaker 2: was a computer modeler, really nerdy stuff, and I really 55 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 2: like that. During my well, my research and my working period, 56 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:58,640 Speaker 2: I got more and more frustrated basically about the inaction 57 00:03:58,760 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 2: of politics, and that's led to a certain moment the 58 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 2: decision maybe I should, instead of getting old and cynical 59 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 2: and complain about politicians, maybe first tried on that side 60 00:04:09,720 --> 00:04:12,640 Speaker 2: before I get old and cynical. So that's how I 61 00:04:12,720 --> 00:04:13,680 Speaker 2: ended up in politics. 62 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 1: Basically well, Europe is gearing up for the parliamentary elections 63 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:22,680 Speaker 1: in June this year, you, along with Terry Renker, are 64 00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 1: set to lead the European Greens. Currently, the Greens hold 65 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: about seventy four seats in a seven hundred and fifty 66 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 1: seed parliament, and that's helped you push the climate agenda 67 00:04:33,120 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 1: to the center of European politics. The European Climate Law 68 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:41,280 Speaker 1: passed with the majority even though Greens did not support 69 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 1: because you thought it wasn't going far enough. And so 70 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:48,440 Speaker 1: you've clearly had a huge amount of success in pushing 71 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 1: other parties to build up to doing more on climate. Now, 72 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:56,800 Speaker 1: Poles do suggest that the Greens are set to take 73 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:59,600 Speaker 1: a beating. What do you think you need to do 74 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:02,479 Speaker 1: to turn the tide and perhaps even gain seats rather than, 75 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:04,479 Speaker 1: as the polls say right now, lose them. 76 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:08,239 Speaker 2: Well, first of all, I'm not too pessimistic yet about 77 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:11,960 Speaker 2: the elections. It's clearly it's going to be much more 78 00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 2: of an uphill battle than it was in twenty nineteen. 79 00:05:15,279 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 2: I do remember then in twenty nineteen we got questions 80 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 2: of journalists do you still need Greens for a green agenda? 81 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 1: Right? 82 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 2: So, I think there's always a question whether we are 83 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:27,480 Speaker 2: required or not. And back then I already said, well, 84 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:30,600 Speaker 2: you know, it's great to see many parties going for 85 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 2: green policies. I mean, we can only welcome that, of course, 86 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:37,880 Speaker 2: but that's usually with a lot of politicians day they 87 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 2: followed where the wind takes them, right, So and in 88 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:44,160 Speaker 2: twenty nineteen it was very clear those were climbing elections, 89 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:47,279 Speaker 2: so everyone was talking about climate and it was everyone's priority. 90 00:05:47,760 --> 00:05:50,040 Speaker 2: But then you already knew that when it's going to 91 00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:52,600 Speaker 2: get tough and the wind might be changing, then of 92 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:56,040 Speaker 2: course you need also Greens in the parliament that stay 93 00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:59,280 Speaker 2: on the course. So I think that's that's exactly the 94 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:01,840 Speaker 2: moment where we are now. So the wind has changed, 95 00:06:01,880 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 2: there is more resistance, and that requires Greens to maintain 96 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 2: this political agenda. What we started in twenty nineteen was 97 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:15,600 Speaker 2: of course a transformation of our entire economy. So basically 98 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:18,560 Speaker 2: we started the marathon in twenty nineteen and we are 99 00:06:18,640 --> 00:06:24,039 Speaker 2: now probably five kilometers down that marathon. The good news 100 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:27,440 Speaker 2: is that meanwhile the United States has joined the marathon 101 00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:30,440 Speaker 2: by throwing a lot of money. But so they do 102 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 2: it in their way, but they joined the race, and 103 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:36,480 Speaker 2: also China is more and more of course continuing and 104 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 2: really getting into this global green race. I would say, 105 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 2: so basically, we have a marathon, we started, we are 106 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 2: five kilometers down the road, and now some people are saying, oh, 107 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:48,880 Speaker 2: maybe let's take a break, let's take a pause, let's 108 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 2: push the pause button. That's a weird way if you 109 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:54,039 Speaker 2: want to win this race, right, So I think that's 110 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:56,799 Speaker 2: the moment where we are now, and what I would 111 00:06:56,839 --> 00:07:00,120 Speaker 2: hope and what I also expect is that some company 112 00:07:01,160 --> 00:07:03,719 Speaker 2: are now starting to get nervous as well and start 113 00:07:03,760 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 2: to speak out because I think the only future for 114 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 2: European industry if they really embrace this green innovative agenda. 115 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 2: So when they are starting this green deal and this race, 116 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 2: they should get nervous if Europe now after five years 117 00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:23,679 Speaker 2: is saying, oh, now we're going to change course, because 118 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:27,679 Speaker 2: it's exactly the unpredictability, the unclarity where Europe is going 119 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 2: that it has been and it still is one of 120 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:33,440 Speaker 2: the biggest problems for our European industry. So I think 121 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:36,000 Speaker 2: it needs to become clear this campaign that the green 122 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 2: agenda and what we Greens are fighting for is probably 123 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:41,960 Speaker 2: the best agenda for the future. Of our industry, and 124 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 2: that the Greens are the better ally of industry than 125 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:46,120 Speaker 2: what conservatives claim to be. 126 00:07:46,880 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 1: But let's look at the EU's largest economy, Germany. The 127 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 1: Green Party was voted in with a big mandate in 128 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:58,119 Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. However, given all that has happened since 129 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:02,040 Speaker 1: the Ukraine War, energy crisis, inflation, it's not been a 130 00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 1: great time to be in power, most recently that showing 131 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:09,920 Speaker 1: up in large amounts of the industrialization across the country. 132 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:13,480 Speaker 1: It's not green policies alone that can be blamed, but 133 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:18,280 Speaker 1: far right parties are certainly using it as ammunition to 134 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:22,560 Speaker 1: say this is what can happen across the EU if 135 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 1: climate warriors go too far. So you are saying that 136 00:08:27,920 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 1: it is the green agenda that will get European industries 137 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:36,120 Speaker 1: the future they need in the twenty first century. And yet, 138 00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: given we are seeing industry shut down, especially in Germany, 139 00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:46,080 Speaker 1: the powerhouse of European industry, how do you fight against 140 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:46,760 Speaker 1: that narrative? 141 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:50,880 Speaker 2: Well, I think by first making very clear that the 142 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:54,520 Speaker 2: closing down of industry in Germany is exactly because of 143 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 2: a lack of a green agenda or a very late 144 00:08:57,360 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 2: starting of the green agenda. Just too exam First of all, 145 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:05,240 Speaker 2: why is there such a problem with the German industry. 146 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 2: It's the energy prices. Where does that come from? The 147 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:11,880 Speaker 2: energy price? Of course, the inflation that we have seen 148 00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 2: on energy is mainly because of the high reliance of 149 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 2: the German economy on Russian gas. That was a political 150 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 2: decision by the Conservatives. I mean, I do remember that 151 00:09:24,559 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 2: during the election campaign. It was Anneleina Beerboch who was 152 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:33,600 Speaker 2: there sitting between two old gray men Lushet and Shoults, 153 00:09:33,760 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 2: and she was explaining the problem with nord Stream two, 154 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:41,680 Speaker 2: and she exactly explained. Basically, she predicted the future. She 155 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:44,680 Speaker 2: was explaining why nord Stream two was such a problem 156 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 2: and such a mistake. And you saw those two guys 157 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:49,839 Speaker 2: looking at her like, ah, little girl, we're going to 158 00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 2: explain your big politics one day, because you're totally wrong. 159 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:57,480 Speaker 2: So it was the Greens exactly warning for making your 160 00:09:57,520 --> 00:10:03,079 Speaker 2: economy vulnerable independent of a Russian dictator. Right now, that's 161 00:10:03,080 --> 00:10:06,079 Speaker 2: what happened, not in two was canceled. But of course 162 00:10:06,080 --> 00:10:11,120 Speaker 2: when your entire economy is built on Russian cheap gas 163 00:10:11,640 --> 00:10:14,719 Speaker 2: and that suddenly changes, then you need to adjust massively. 164 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:17,560 Speaker 2: I don't think any German government would have had an 165 00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:21,360 Speaker 2: easy job in doing this transition in a very fast way. 166 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:24,240 Speaker 2: If Greens would have been in power much longer before 167 00:10:24,720 --> 00:10:28,200 Speaker 2: this transition could have been prepped, could have been phased in. 168 00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:31,880 Speaker 2: Now suddenly you were forced, because of those circumstances to 169 00:10:32,040 --> 00:10:34,400 Speaker 2: do your transition in a very short while, with of 170 00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 2: course big consequences for energy. So that is a big 171 00:10:37,640 --> 00:10:40,680 Speaker 2: problem absolutely, But I wouldn't say that's a problem because 172 00:10:40,720 --> 00:10:42,920 Speaker 2: of green policies. I would say it's a problem because 173 00:10:42,920 --> 00:10:45,360 Speaker 2: of lack of green policies and heavy reliant on a 174 00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 2: fossil economy that turned out to be much more vulnerable 175 00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:51,440 Speaker 2: than the Conservatives said. The other example is the German 176 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:57,199 Speaker 2: car industry. The German car industry is of course very 177 00:10:57,240 --> 00:11:01,240 Speaker 2: proud of it. It's very strong and reliable cars, but 178 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:05,200 Speaker 2: has always been built on the combustion engine. They had 179 00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:08,840 Speaker 2: been relying on this combustion engine for a very long while, 180 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 2: even to the extent that when we were having some 181 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 2: policies to clean it up, to clean the diesel up, 182 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:17,000 Speaker 2: they decided to cheat on it instead of cleaning up 183 00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:20,559 Speaker 2: the diesel right diesel gate, and politicians were too weak 184 00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:22,880 Speaker 2: to act on that, so there was a kind of 185 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:26,719 Speaker 2: a false impression to the German car industry that they 186 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:29,840 Speaker 2: could do business as usual. For a very long while, 187 00:11:30,679 --> 00:11:35,200 Speaker 2: while the German car industry was basically a sleep in 188 00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:41,319 Speaker 2: its combustion engine, China was heavily investing in electrification, not 189 00:11:41,400 --> 00:11:44,839 Speaker 2: only in their batteries but also the entire supply chain, 190 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 2: so going to Africa, getting into its supply chain, relations 191 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:52,480 Speaker 2: with countries in Latin America, et cetera. So really classic 192 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:56,560 Speaker 2: industrial policy on the electric car. What do we see 193 00:11:56,600 --> 00:12:01,640 Speaker 2: now the biggest increase of exporting national cars China. So 194 00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:06,800 Speaker 2: again a lack of clear policies for innovation within Europe 195 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:09,480 Speaker 2: is now the price where the German car industry is 196 00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 2: suffering from. So I think what we see now is 197 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 2: that all these problems are coming together. So it's then, 198 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 2: of course a very nice narrative to blame the greens, 199 00:12:19,679 --> 00:12:21,960 Speaker 2: but I think you have to go into your analysis 200 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 2: and in the narrative behind it and see what went wrong, 201 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:27,280 Speaker 2: and then I think it's quite often a lack of 202 00:12:27,400 --> 00:12:30,680 Speaker 2: green policies that is now hitting the German industry. 203 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:34,720 Speaker 1: The far right parties have clearly a lot of fodder 204 00:12:34,840 --> 00:12:38,960 Speaker 1: right now to walk against green policies. The most recent 205 00:12:39,080 --> 00:12:45,040 Speaker 1: one that we've seen is farmers and agriculture. Now, let's 206 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:47,960 Speaker 1: just take the case of your home country, the Netherlands. 207 00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 1: The elections last year led to the far right party 208 00:12:51,559 --> 00:12:55,439 Speaker 1: under Gert Wilders winning the most number of seats, and 209 00:12:55,679 --> 00:12:58,480 Speaker 1: if I compress events just a little bit, because politics 210 00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:02,680 Speaker 1: can be complicated, one big reason for that electoral surprise 211 00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:07,000 Speaker 1: and huge loss for the leading center right party is 212 00:13:07,040 --> 00:13:12,200 Speaker 1: how the government handled deployment of some climate policies, specifically 213 00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 1: those tied to nitrogen emissions, that were brought up with 214 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:20,360 Speaker 1: little consultation with farmers, with very little time to actually 215 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 1: get the emissions reductions, leading to huge protests and change 216 00:13:26,480 --> 00:13:30,280 Speaker 1: in the mood of a whole country. Now those protests 217 00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:33,960 Speaker 1: have spread out across the EU. Why do you think 218 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 1: the far right has been able to capture the narrative 219 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:42,559 Speaker 1: on the continent that has led the world on climate action. Yeah? 220 00:13:42,679 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 2: No, And that's of course the one billion dollar question, 221 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:47,959 Speaker 2: to be very honest, because I do think that also 222 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:52,040 Speaker 2: in the agriculture story, there are very clear reasons why 223 00:13:52,040 --> 00:13:54,800 Speaker 2: indeed politics has failed, but quite often it has been 224 00:13:54,840 --> 00:13:59,959 Speaker 2: conservative politics. And if I may just on agriculture, very briefly, 225 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:02,480 Speaker 2: I think the biggest problem what we see there is 226 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:05,320 Speaker 2: that on the one hand, in our economic policies, we 227 00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 2: are forcing farmers to go to larger skill farming, partly 228 00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:13,280 Speaker 2: because of our subsidy system. You know, the more acres 229 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:16,000 Speaker 2: you have, the more money you get, So in that 230 00:14:16,280 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 2: subsidy system, they are pushing farmers to make themselves bigger. 231 00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:24,480 Speaker 2: But also in our anti economy model, where are the 232 00:14:24,520 --> 00:14:26,720 Speaker 2: profits in the food chain. The profits are not with 233 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:28,800 Speaker 2: the farmers. They are with the retailers. They are in 234 00:14:28,840 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 2: the financial sector. They are in the inputs right, so 235 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:34,520 Speaker 2: of chemicals and fertilizer. That's where the profits are so 236 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:37,920 Speaker 2: the big players. So for a farmer, in order to 237 00:14:37,960 --> 00:14:40,120 Speaker 2: get a little bit of the profit still enough to 238 00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:43,040 Speaker 2: feed their own family, they need to enlarge as well 239 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:45,720 Speaker 2: because the profits are not enough anymore, So you just 240 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:48,560 Speaker 2: produce more in order to reap some more profits. So 241 00:14:48,760 --> 00:14:52,440 Speaker 2: economically they are forced in large skilled farming. And then 242 00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:55,920 Speaker 2: comes in the green policies. The green policies are there 243 00:14:55,960 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 2: to address you need to deal with climate change, climate extremes, 244 00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 2: so you need more diversified agriculture. Then of course for biodiversity, 245 00:15:04,560 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 2: you need more nature inclusive agriculture. So all these kind 246 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:12,720 Speaker 2: of models are more small skill farming, more diverse, and 247 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:16,840 Speaker 2: less monocultures. So basically, the economic system is pushing the 248 00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 2: farm in a certain direction and the green policies are 249 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 2: pulling it in another direction. Then don't be surprised that 250 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:24,880 Speaker 2: the farmer at a certain moment feels like, but where 251 00:15:24,880 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 2: do I need to go now? I don't know anymore. 252 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 2: You're already with the back against the wall, and then 253 00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 2: you come up with new policies that are only making 254 00:15:30,800 --> 00:15:35,880 Speaker 2: it more complicated. I think then it's very easy for 255 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:39,520 Speaker 2: a politician that is pretending that there is a simple solution, 256 00:15:39,760 --> 00:15:42,760 Speaker 2: and a simple solution is all those politicians are lying 257 00:15:42,800 --> 00:15:44,720 Speaker 2: to you. We have a simple answer to you. You 258 00:15:44,760 --> 00:15:47,640 Speaker 2: can just stay on your model that your parents worked 259 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:49,960 Speaker 2: on and you don't have to change anything. That's a 260 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:53,000 Speaker 2: very appealing story. If I feel the pressure and with 261 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:55,720 Speaker 2: the back against the wall, I also would love to 262 00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:58,280 Speaker 2: have that story. I don't need to change. But I 263 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:01,400 Speaker 2: think it's a lie which is not helping any farmer 264 00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:04,680 Speaker 2: for the future either. So I think what our biggest 265 00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:07,680 Speaker 2: challenge is, and here comes the challenges that our answers 266 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 2: are usually long term future oriented, but also you need 267 00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 2: long answer like I'm giving now, whereas the counterpart is 268 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,040 Speaker 2: just saying it's all nonsense, it's rubbish, and you don't 269 00:16:19,040 --> 00:16:21,880 Speaker 2: need to change anything and you're free. That's so much 270 00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:24,960 Speaker 2: easier and so much more appealing if, certainly, if you 271 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:27,640 Speaker 2: are uncertain about your own future. And I think this 272 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:30,160 Speaker 2: is really going to be our biggest challenge, whether we 273 00:16:30,280 --> 00:16:34,600 Speaker 2: can break that simplistic narrative of a false romantic you know, 274 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:37,800 Speaker 2: back to the future, back to the past, and that 275 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:41,160 Speaker 2: we as Greens need to be more compelling in selling 276 00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:43,040 Speaker 2: our long term answers. 277 00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:47,360 Speaker 1: Basically, yeah, it is kind of surprising when I looked 278 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 1: at numbers. A third of the EU's budget is dedicated 279 00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:56,760 Speaker 1: to providing subsidies to farmers. That is a lot of money. 280 00:16:57,440 --> 00:17:00,880 Speaker 1: Of course, if the e succeeds at it's current climate 281 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:04,639 Speaker 1: plan by twenty forty, agriculture would account for the bulk 282 00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:10,400 Speaker 1: of the block screenous gas emissions. So if they are 283 00:17:10,440 --> 00:17:13,439 Speaker 1: currently believing the lies, and yet they have to be 284 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:17,480 Speaker 1: part of the solution to reduce emissions because without that 285 00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:20,439 Speaker 1: there is no way to net zero. How do you 286 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:23,400 Speaker 1: cut agricultural emissions without such a backlash. 287 00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 2: Well, that's not an easy question, right, But I do 288 00:17:27,600 --> 00:17:29,679 Speaker 2: think that the first thing you need to do is 289 00:17:29,760 --> 00:17:32,400 Speaker 2: being honest. I mean, and this is a lesson from 290 00:17:32,440 --> 00:17:35,639 Speaker 2: the Netherlands, right. So our problem was not climate, but 291 00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:37,680 Speaker 2: it was nitrogen. As you said, So we have too 292 00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:41,440 Speaker 2: many nutrients. We are basically importing nutrients from the rest 293 00:17:41,520 --> 00:17:44,600 Speaker 2: of the world through feed, and then we raise the 294 00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:48,800 Speaker 2: cattle and we keep the shit literally in our country, 295 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:52,000 Speaker 2: and we have an overload of our nutrients. And basically 296 00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:55,119 Speaker 2: that's our biggest problem. We are piling up nutrients in 297 00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:58,960 Speaker 2: our country. This was a model that we build upon 298 00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:02,159 Speaker 2: as Netherlands we have I've had quite some economic successes 299 00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 2: with it, but it was also environmentally unsustainable. We all 300 00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:08,679 Speaker 2: know that for more than twenty years, read all the 301 00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 2: reports that were there. However, politicians kept on promising the farmers, no, 302 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:17,960 Speaker 2: you'll be fine, we will work on innovation. We will 303 00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:22,000 Speaker 2: you know, all kinds of cleaning technologies. They will solve 304 00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:25,000 Speaker 2: the problem of too many nutrients. Where As, of course, 305 00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:26,640 Speaker 2: in the end you can put it to the left 306 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 2: to the right. In the end, there are too many 307 00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:32,240 Speaker 2: nutrients in our country. So something needs to give. But 308 00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:34,920 Speaker 2: the politicians never gave that message to the farmers. And 309 00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:39,280 Speaker 2: even worse, the farmers meanwhile were stimulated to get bigger, 310 00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:43,440 Speaker 2: to grow bigger. The banks were giving loans in order 311 00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:48,119 Speaker 2: they would even get into bigger farm settings, etc. So 312 00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:52,280 Speaker 2: increasing debt, more remore stock in this model, and politicians 313 00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:56,360 Speaker 2: promising that there would be no problem until the courts 314 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:59,320 Speaker 2: stepped in because at a certain moment you just have 315 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:01,879 Speaker 2: some law that you can't stretch them anymore. And then 316 00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:05,040 Speaker 2: it's the court saying, sorry, but now you're not allowed anymore. 317 00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:07,680 Speaker 2: And suddenly the farmers from one day to the other 318 00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 2: where not their model basically was called bankrupt. Then of 319 00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:15,359 Speaker 2: course all those farmers were like, but sorry, I indebted myself, 320 00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:18,639 Speaker 2: so what do I do now? So basically the lying 321 00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:22,639 Speaker 2: of politicians, the falls pretending that they don't need to change, 322 00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:26,200 Speaker 2: only increase the crisis we are having in the Netherlands, 323 00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:29,280 Speaker 2: not only environmentally, but certainly also for the state of 324 00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:32,879 Speaker 2: where farmers are now in the Netherlands. If now in Europe, 325 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:35,480 Speaker 2: we're going to make that same mistake on climate and 326 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:39,080 Speaker 2: basically the Commission, when they are now discussing their twenty 327 00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:43,080 Speaker 2: forty target agriculture is hardly mentioned it's kind of okay, 328 00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:46,880 Speaker 2: don't mention it. That's exactly making the same mistake as 329 00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:50,280 Speaker 2: we did in the Netherlands. By not mentioning it, by 330 00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:53,719 Speaker 2: not talking about it, the problem is not going away. 331 00:19:54,240 --> 00:19:58,320 Speaker 2: And this is my biggest warning also to farmers. You 332 00:19:58,520 --> 00:20:01,879 Speaker 2: may turn against the Greens because they are ready to 333 00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:05,119 Speaker 2: talk to you and say, hey, let's change the model 334 00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:07,720 Speaker 2: and how can we do that. But you probably have 335 00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:10,240 Speaker 2: a better ally with the Greens because they are willing 336 00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:12,960 Speaker 2: to talk about it now, and also put your subsidy 337 00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:16,840 Speaker 2: scheme towards it instead of politicians that are pretending that 338 00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:19,920 Speaker 2: there is no problem. They give you a false hope 339 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:22,720 Speaker 2: you can continue like it is. But then in five 340 00:20:22,840 --> 00:20:25,280 Speaker 2: ten years time, suddenly you will get the heart message 341 00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:29,280 Speaker 2: and then the change is much more complicated. And this 342 00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:32,439 Speaker 2: is really the biggest lessons for Europe on climate. Don't 343 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:35,159 Speaker 2: make the same mistake as we did in the Netherlands. 344 00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:41,040 Speaker 1: Europe has a head start in the climate RAITs, but 345 00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 1: the rest of the world is starting to catch up. 346 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:47,520 Speaker 1: After the break, Baz tells me how Europe can stay competitive. 347 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,879 Speaker 1: And by the way, if you like this episode, please 348 00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:52,760 Speaker 1: take a moment to rate or review the show on 349 00:20:52,840 --> 00:21:04,479 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts and Spotify. This is a worry that is 350 00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:07,919 Speaker 1: not just there in agriculture but all kinds of economic 351 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:13,199 Speaker 1: systems where people want an orderly transition. There is a 352 00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:16,240 Speaker 1: polluting technology and then there's a clean technology, and you 353 00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 1: want to move from the polluting to the clean and 354 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:22,880 Speaker 1: as smooth away as possible. That requires time. And so 355 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:26,639 Speaker 1: you're saying, because the Netherlands dragged its feet on trying 356 00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:30,159 Speaker 1: to deploy policies to reduce nitrogen emissions and then the 357 00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:34,760 Speaker 1: courts force them to suddenly bring those policies down, that's 358 00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:37,480 Speaker 1: what led to the Blackclash, and now if you do 359 00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:40,920 Speaker 1: the same thing with the twenty forty targets, the EU 360 00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:47,040 Speaker 1: could be facing a similar tragedy. Absolutely, But talking about 361 00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:51,840 Speaker 1: emissions is the hard part right now. It's the narrative 362 00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:55,280 Speaker 1: that if you fight for just the emissions, then you're 363 00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:59,440 Speaker 1: going to take our earnings away, our income away. It's 364 00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:02,560 Speaker 1: the narrative that is winning. So how do you break 365 00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:06,359 Speaker 1: the gridlock? You're making a logically smart point, but you 366 00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:08,680 Speaker 1: still need to be able to cut through and actually 367 00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:11,680 Speaker 1: have those conversations what will allow you to cut through. 368 00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:16,000 Speaker 2: But I think that's the classic part where if we 369 00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:20,680 Speaker 2: greens would only talk about emissions and reduction percentages, etc. 370 00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:23,960 Speaker 2: Indeed them are not cutting through. I think we also 371 00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:26,960 Speaker 2: need to talk about Okay, but how can we make 372 00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:30,159 Speaker 2: sure that the farmers can have an honors living. And 373 00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:33,159 Speaker 2: this is also by addressing the economic system. This is 374 00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:36,320 Speaker 2: also by addressing the problems in the entire food chain. 375 00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:40,520 Speaker 2: And this is also addressing the power position that retailers 376 00:22:40,560 --> 00:22:43,960 Speaker 2: are having right and until now. And it's those same 377 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 2: conservative politicians who are claiming I'm on your side. They 378 00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:52,119 Speaker 2: never dare to break the economic power of retailers and banks, 379 00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:54,760 Speaker 2: et cetera. And this is exactly why the Greens are 380 00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:58,240 Speaker 2: also always making it the very clear case a green 381 00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:01,880 Speaker 2: deal can only survive if it's a socially just green deal, 382 00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:03,960 Speaker 2: and for agriculture, I think it's a case in point, 383 00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:04,600 Speaker 2: very clearly. 384 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:08,280 Speaker 1: So one of the biggest reasons for Europe's success in 385 00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:12,520 Speaker 1: reducing emissions is down to the emissions trading system that's 386 00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 1: provided businesses with certainty about the direction of travel and 387 00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:21,199 Speaker 1: does incentivize them to cut emissions. So far, it's been 388 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:25,400 Speaker 1: focused on power production, on industries, aviation shipping. Now it's 389 00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:29,000 Speaker 1: set to expand to road transport and buildings. How do 390 00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:32,600 Speaker 1: you think agriculture could be brought into the emissions trading 391 00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:35,720 Speaker 1: system because that could prove to be one way in 392 00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:40,200 Speaker 1: which emissions are reduced in the most economically efficient. 393 00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:44,240 Speaker 2: I challenge you there because this mantra that it's the 394 00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:48,080 Speaker 2: ETS the cornerstone that is providing the success in the clarity. 395 00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:51,280 Speaker 2: This is exactly what I would like to challenge, because 396 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:55,000 Speaker 2: the only clarity that companies are having on ETS is Okay, 397 00:23:55,040 --> 00:24:01,520 Speaker 2: I will get less allowances in Europe. So yes, probably 398 00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:04,480 Speaker 2: we are going to meet the ETS targets for twenty forty, 399 00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:08,280 Speaker 2: which is zero emissions, because the allowances go to zero 400 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:12,239 Speaker 2: in twenty thirty nine. So you have that certainty, but 401 00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:14,800 Speaker 2: then you do not know exactly. But what does that 402 00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 2: mean for my business case? I might also leave Europe 403 00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:22,280 Speaker 2: because then within Europe you have zero emissions, but the 404 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:25,520 Speaker 2: industry is not in Europe anymore. And this is exactly 405 00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:28,760 Speaker 2: the problem by only relying on ETS. So it's very 406 00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:32,400 Speaker 2: good to give carbon pollution a price, but it's insufficient 407 00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:35,920 Speaker 2: to act. And I think the best example is energy, 408 00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:38,840 Speaker 2: because why are we so successful in our energy transition? 409 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:41,960 Speaker 2: Is that really because of ETS? The big steps in 410 00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 2: the energy transition were being made in the Zeros and 411 00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:49,480 Speaker 2: in the beginning of the twenty tens that's when the 412 00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:52,880 Speaker 2: real transition started and now we are all benefiting from that. 413 00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:56,880 Speaker 2: In that period, the ETS price was close to zero. 414 00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:59,639 Speaker 2: It was not the ETS price that was driving it. 415 00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:03,159 Speaker 2: It was policies on the renewable energy directive. It was 416 00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:07,159 Speaker 2: policies in Germany really, by the way, by Greens in 417 00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:12,040 Speaker 2: government in the nineties, by pushing for the renewable developments 418 00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:14,720 Speaker 2: that really made the price of renewable energy go down 419 00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:17,840 Speaker 2: to the levels we're talking we're seeing now. So it 420 00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:21,040 Speaker 2: was not ETS, it was policies on renewable energy that 421 00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 2: was driving that transition, and that was the most successful 422 00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:25,760 Speaker 2: policy I think we've had in Europe. 423 00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,280 Speaker 1: But one other way to argue for the ETS here 424 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:32,640 Speaker 1: is that the economic sectors that cannot move outside Europe 425 00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:35,960 Speaker 1: are the ones that would benefit most from an emissions 426 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:40,960 Speaker 1: trading system. Power production has to happen on this continent. 427 00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:44,159 Speaker 1: You can't be producing power in the US and then 428 00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:48,760 Speaker 1: transporting it to Europe. The same thing goes with agriculture. Yes, 429 00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:51,479 Speaker 1: you could import a bunch of food and that happened 430 00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:54,080 Speaker 1: doing that but a lot of the food will have 431 00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:57,560 Speaker 1: to be produced domestically for it to be price competitive, 432 00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:01,640 Speaker 1: And so isn't it a good case for the ads 433 00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:03,720 Speaker 1: to actually be applied to agriculture. 434 00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:07,040 Speaker 2: Well, I'm not necessarily saying that we don't need a 435 00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:10,960 Speaker 2: cer two price. My only debate here is if we're 436 00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:13,520 Speaker 2: only going to rely on a heer two price, we 437 00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:16,560 Speaker 2: will be doing insufficient. And that's the same with agriculture 438 00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:20,000 Speaker 2: because also there, yes, I do think that there is 439 00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:22,639 Speaker 2: an economic problem with the incentives we're giving but not 440 00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:25,879 Speaker 2: always giving the right incentives. So yes, a carbon price 441 00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:29,040 Speaker 2: could help there, but it will be insufficient, like it 442 00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:32,520 Speaker 2: is insufficient for our industry. Our industry doesn't only need 443 00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:34,159 Speaker 2: to know what the carbon price is going to be 444 00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:36,440 Speaker 2: in the future, and they also need to know what 445 00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:39,280 Speaker 2: kind of energy will there be, because it matters a 446 00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:42,520 Speaker 2: lot what kind of energy infrastructure will there be in 447 00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:45,199 Speaker 2: order that I know how my production process will look like. 448 00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:48,520 Speaker 2: So I'm very nervous and very negative about the future 449 00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:51,239 Speaker 2: of our industry. But that's because of the lack of 450 00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:53,840 Speaker 2: these kinds of policies, and that's where for me, green 451 00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:55,040 Speaker 2: industrial policy come in. 452 00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:58,040 Speaker 1: Heavy industry does have a challenge in front of it. Right, 453 00:26:58,040 --> 00:27:00,480 Speaker 1: if you're going to reduce emissions from steel or cement, 454 00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:04,000 Speaker 1: you have very few options, and those options are expensive, 455 00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:09,440 Speaker 1: especially where the technology is today. Agriculture is often considered 456 00:27:09,560 --> 00:27:13,000 Speaker 1: as a hard to abate sector, but if you look 457 00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:16,920 Speaker 1: at the solution set, it's actually much easier to try 458 00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:19,600 Speaker 1: and tackle emissions from agriculture, which could even become a 459 00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:22,439 Speaker 1: carbon sync. The very solutions to try and tackle some 460 00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:25,439 Speaker 1: of the biggest challenges that we face around biodiversity, around 461 00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:29,280 Speaker 1: soil are the solutions that will also reduce emissions, not 462 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 1: just emissions that are produced on the farm, but perhaps 463 00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 1: even make the farm carbon negative. And finally, unlike in 464 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:42,959 Speaker 1: the industry where subsidies or technology development weren't available, agriculture 465 00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:46,800 Speaker 1: already has so much that is being supported through subsidies 466 00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:51,000 Speaker 1: they could be redirected in a sensible way. So the 467 00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:54,280 Speaker 1: conversation around agriculture, it seems to me, has been made 468 00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:58,600 Speaker 1: to be perhaps considered too difficult, but it isn't. It's 469 00:27:58,840 --> 00:28:01,320 Speaker 1: just that it needs to be done in the right way. 470 00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:03,840 Speaker 1: That there needs to be a deadlock that has to 471 00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:06,080 Speaker 1: be broken, and once you do break it, you could 472 00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:07,960 Speaker 1: actually find solutions much faster. 473 00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:10,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, but I still coming back to the points of 474 00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:13,840 Speaker 2: how do farmers feel that they can have an honest 475 00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:17,200 Speaker 2: earning And this is now where subsidies are being seen 476 00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:20,679 Speaker 2: almost as something they have the right to because otherwise 477 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:24,560 Speaker 2: they don't earn enough. Right, So as long as that 478 00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:29,840 Speaker 2: feeling is there, talking about redirecting subsidies will just cause 479 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:34,080 Speaker 2: this protest. So I absolutely agree with you. I think 480 00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:36,600 Speaker 2: we can do much better things with our subsidies. 481 00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,360 Speaker 1: And if we look into the future, the twenty forty 482 00:28:39,360 --> 00:28:41,800 Speaker 1: climate targets that are not yet in law but are 483 00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 1: proposed to be ninety percent reduction relative to nineteen ninety 484 00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:52,160 Speaker 1: levels are according to science, still on the lower ambition side, 485 00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:56,400 Speaker 1: but according to where we are currently pretty ambitious. And 486 00:28:56,480 --> 00:29:00,000 Speaker 1: yet because of all these protests in Germany and Belgium 487 00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:05,040 Speaker 1: and France and well where or not, the farmer protests 488 00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:09,400 Speaker 1: have caused the European Commission to delete mentions of agriculture 489 00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:14,080 Speaker 1: in those targets. One of those deleted mentions is about 490 00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:17,480 Speaker 1: healthier diets and reducing meat consumption. Of course, it's not 491 00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:23,640 Speaker 1: said reduce meat consumption. It's a euphemistic phrase around alternative proteins. 492 00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:27,479 Speaker 1: But it's not a problem that's going away. So if 493 00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:29,840 Speaker 1: you think about it in the future, what must European 494 00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:34,000 Speaker 1: politicians do to even have a conversation with citizens about 495 00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:35,400 Speaker 1: changing diets. 496 00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:37,800 Speaker 2: Well, I would say this is exactly the discussion you 497 00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:40,240 Speaker 2: need to have. So by deleting it from a document, 498 00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:42,800 Speaker 2: that's one thing, right, And I mean, I think it's 499 00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:45,520 Speaker 2: a mistake, but okay, it's only a document, right. It 500 00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:47,520 Speaker 2: matters now what we're going to do in the next term, 501 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:49,840 Speaker 2: and that's why these elections in June are so crucial 502 00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:54,680 Speaker 2: because it determines basically how this decade we will steer 503 00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:57,440 Speaker 2: some of the changes that will take shape in the 504 00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:00,560 Speaker 2: thirties and forties, and will determine whether we will reach 505 00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:03,640 Speaker 2: climate neutrality as an economy yes or no. Soing the 506 00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,840 Speaker 2: coming five years are very fundamental there, and I think 507 00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:10,280 Speaker 2: in the agriculture system, but this is again also broader. 508 00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:16,280 Speaker 2: Politicians are always afraid to talk about consumption. So we 509 00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,360 Speaker 2: have a lot of technocratic politicians who love to talk 510 00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:23,120 Speaker 2: about pricing. That sounds very neutral. You're just price pollution 511 00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:25,520 Speaker 2: and it will all be solved, right, and we don't 512 00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:29,480 Speaker 2: need to do anything. Okay, then maybe on top we 513 00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:33,120 Speaker 2: do a policy for setting some standards, that's probably then 514 00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:36,280 Speaker 2: the max we can go. But we also know, for example, 515 00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:39,000 Speaker 2: in cars, again maybe we need to discuss a bit 516 00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:42,160 Speaker 2: of future on SUVs because otherwise, yes, it's great that 517 00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:44,560 Speaker 2: we are having more and more electric cars, but if 518 00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:47,800 Speaker 2: meanwhile we are going to have big electric cars, we 519 00:30:47,840 --> 00:30:51,800 Speaker 2: have a resource problem. So maybe we should talk about 520 00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:54,920 Speaker 2: the size of the cars. And with food, well, let's 521 00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:58,000 Speaker 2: be honest, we need to talk about our diets, not 522 00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:02,840 Speaker 2: only because of climate, also because of our health. Every 523 00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:05,440 Speaker 2: doctor will tell us that we have a two you know, 524 00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:09,320 Speaker 2: calorie full diet, so that it's not healthy either. So 525 00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:13,680 Speaker 2: maybe the combination of health, environment and our own sustainability, 526 00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:16,280 Speaker 2: we need to have these kind of discussions. But that 527 00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:19,760 Speaker 2: means that politicians need to get out of their comfort zone. 528 00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:22,680 Speaker 2: And probably this is the point where we as Greens 529 00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,479 Speaker 2: are more open to have those discussions out of your 530 00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:28,560 Speaker 2: comfort zone. But then, of course, in times when people 531 00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:31,800 Speaker 2: already feel a bit insecure and are not you know, 532 00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:36,520 Speaker 2: so positive about the future, then talking about what you eat, 533 00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:39,520 Speaker 2: how you eat, or get real and this is where 534 00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:42,200 Speaker 2: you know, extreme right is kind of you know, the 535 00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:45,040 Speaker 2: Greens want to take everything away from you. Even how 536 00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:47,880 Speaker 2: you eat well, then of course you get the reaction 537 00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:50,719 Speaker 2: that we're seeing. So I don't think that in this 538 00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:54,360 Speaker 2: campaign we will put consumption at the forefront of our campaign, 539 00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:57,640 Speaker 2: because it's quite suicidal in the current mood. But I 540 00:31:57,680 --> 00:32:00,880 Speaker 2: do think that we cannot escape these of discussions if 541 00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:03,080 Speaker 2: you look into the future, and I think that's something 542 00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:05,200 Speaker 2: where politicians need to be honest about as well. 543 00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:07,800 Speaker 1: Now, if you look at the history of the Greens, 544 00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:11,040 Speaker 1: for the longest time, you stood in the wings pushing 545 00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:15,120 Speaker 1: parties to take climate seriously. Over the past few years, 546 00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:18,560 Speaker 1: finally that case has sunk in, and the EU as 547 00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:21,400 Speaker 1: a whole has done more than most countries and most 548 00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:26,680 Speaker 1: regions to set out clear targets and clear policies, maybe 549 00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:30,800 Speaker 1: not the perfect policies, but at least some concrete policies. 550 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:33,920 Speaker 1: The rest of the world is starting to catch up. 551 00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:37,120 Speaker 1: You said it's a race. Now, China has already been 552 00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:40,360 Speaker 1: investing a ton in green technologies. The US is the 553 00:32:40,360 --> 00:32:45,880 Speaker 1: most recent entrant, with the US's Inflation Reduction Act. Now 554 00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,920 Speaker 1: it comes as hundreds of billions of dollars of tax credits. 555 00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:53,600 Speaker 1: It's all carrots, very little stick. But then the criticism 556 00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:56,120 Speaker 1: is the EU's Green deal is, on the other hand, 557 00:32:56,360 --> 00:33:00,560 Speaker 1: mostly stick very little carrots. That tension is starting to 558 00:33:00,560 --> 00:33:03,360 Speaker 1: play out with some green businesses choosing to go to 559 00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:05,920 Speaker 1: the US rather than scale up here in the EU. 560 00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:11,000 Speaker 1: What do you think EU's response should be to the IRA. 561 00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:15,200 Speaker 2: Well, I do think that. I mean, in general, it's 562 00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:17,960 Speaker 2: going to be difficult to rin this subsidy race, right, 563 00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:19,880 Speaker 2: I mean, that's a bit of a danger that we 564 00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:22,760 Speaker 2: will see a global subsidy race and then who throws 565 00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:26,440 Speaker 2: most of the money at it. But it's absolutely true 566 00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:30,640 Speaker 2: that Europe needs to develop an investment program because that's 567 00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:34,840 Speaker 2: basically the carrot we're talking about. But a European investment 568 00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:38,760 Speaker 2: program can only work if you also really have a 569 00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:43,400 Speaker 2: European industrial program, and that's our biggest problem right now. 570 00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:47,440 Speaker 2: We are still having twenty seven member states who think 571 00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:51,080 Speaker 2: they can have the luxury of looking at their own 572 00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:53,480 Speaker 2: industry and thinking, okay, what can I do now for 573 00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:57,080 Speaker 2: the future, and then you see what's happening right now. 574 00:33:57,120 --> 00:34:00,520 Speaker 2: Germany can throw most of its money at it, but 575 00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:04,560 Speaker 2: it's not helping anyone because we need to have European 576 00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:07,840 Speaker 2: strategy on it. And this is also for me very 577 00:34:07,840 --> 00:34:11,240 Speaker 2: clear that we are only going to develop a credible 578 00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:15,280 Speaker 2: carot for industry if there is a credible European strategy behind. 579 00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:18,040 Speaker 2: So it's not only money, it is also money, but 580 00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:20,920 Speaker 2: it's certainly and it starts much more with a European 581 00:34:20,960 --> 00:34:23,160 Speaker 2: strategy that is absolutely lacking up. 582 00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:26,200 Speaker 1: One place where solutions are being focused on, which is 583 00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:29,120 Speaker 1: to try and move the German auto industry to make 584 00:34:29,160 --> 00:34:33,080 Speaker 1: more electric cars, for example, or to try and figure 585 00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:36,359 Speaker 1: out how to deal with the US Inflation Reduction Act 586 00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:41,520 Speaker 1: and its huge amount of subsidies, is to create policies 587 00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:43,760 Speaker 1: that look to the rest of the world a little 588 00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:47,279 Speaker 1: bit protectionist. One of the ways is to do a 589 00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:52,359 Speaker 1: carbon border adjustment mechanism where you actually tax imports coming 590 00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:55,080 Speaker 1: from say China or India because they have higher carbon 591 00:34:55,160 --> 00:34:58,840 Speaker 1: intensity relative to the same product being produced here in Europe, 592 00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:01,520 Speaker 1: where the European producers as are paying a carbon price. 593 00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:06,320 Speaker 1: How do you think protectionism in a world that is 594 00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:09,360 Speaker 1: trying to deal with the global challenge is going to look? 595 00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:12,759 Speaker 1: And you know what must be done to ensure that 596 00:35:13,120 --> 00:35:16,359 Speaker 1: even as these policies are sensible and required, they're done 597 00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:21,000 Speaker 1: in a way that are politically acceptable around with your allies. 598 00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:23,440 Speaker 2: No I think that's a good question, because I do 599 00:35:23,480 --> 00:35:26,200 Speaker 2: think there needs to be found a new balance here 600 00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:29,120 Speaker 2: in kind of, you know, a global world where we 601 00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:31,560 Speaker 2: as a world are working together and getting to the 602 00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:34,399 Speaker 2: best technologies in the most efficient way wherever you are 603 00:35:34,480 --> 00:35:36,680 Speaker 2: in the world, and you are dependent of each other. 604 00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:40,200 Speaker 2: But at the same time, Europe has been quite naive 605 00:35:40,440 --> 00:35:43,480 Speaker 2: by thinking that the entire world is on its way 606 00:35:43,520 --> 00:35:46,680 Speaker 2: towards this global market, which is not the case. First 607 00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:49,160 Speaker 2: of all, the United States have never been dead. They 608 00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:53,800 Speaker 2: always claim to be this very liberalized country, but America 609 00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:56,440 Speaker 2: is totally not a liberal country. There, it's a very 610 00:35:56,480 --> 00:36:00,319 Speaker 2: protectionist country. But at the same time, also China is 611 00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:04,000 Speaker 2: of course always very very industrial policy, so it's making 612 00:36:04,239 --> 00:36:07,640 Speaker 2: clear that their older policies are kind of in the 613 00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:11,760 Speaker 2: line of creating these production chains where China can profit from. 614 00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:13,919 Speaker 2: And on top of that, you have a Russia who 615 00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:17,280 Speaker 2: is willing to misuse the power once they are having 616 00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:21,000 Speaker 2: power over you, be it with gas. So this shows 617 00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:23,440 Speaker 2: that the world is not a bright place and Europe 618 00:36:23,480 --> 00:36:25,879 Speaker 2: has been maybe a bit too naive and thinking that 619 00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:29,080 Speaker 2: we are in the direction of this globalized economy. I 620 00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:33,440 Speaker 2: think that deserves and requires rebalancing, and that means that 621 00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:37,840 Speaker 2: there will be some reshuring and some more protectionist policies 622 00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:39,960 Speaker 2: of Europe to make sure that the industry that we 623 00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:43,400 Speaker 2: want to maintain within Europe is also protected while we 624 00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:45,520 Speaker 2: are asking them to green and to innovate. 625 00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:50,280 Speaker 1: In twenty twenty three, EU countries spent about three hundred 626 00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:54,799 Speaker 1: and fifty billion dollars on all things energy transition. This 627 00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:59,040 Speaker 1: is every solar panel, winter turbine, electric car, This is 628 00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:03,919 Speaker 1: government spending, private spending. In the next decade, the EU 629 00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:06,919 Speaker 1: targets say that it will have to spend one point 630 00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:10,319 Speaker 1: six trillion dollars on its own between twenty thirty one 631 00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:13,600 Speaker 1: and twenty forty each year. That's how much the world 632 00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:16,840 Speaker 1: as a whole spent on the energy transition in twenty 633 00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:19,600 Speaker 1: twenty three. So what do you think that you can 634 00:37:19,640 --> 00:37:23,799 Speaker 1: specifically do over the next few years to increase investments 635 00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:24,800 Speaker 1: at the pace needed. 636 00:37:25,120 --> 00:37:27,160 Speaker 2: Well, I think there are two things. First of all, 637 00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:30,480 Speaker 2: we need a fundamental debate whether our public debt is 638 00:37:30,520 --> 00:37:34,799 Speaker 2: now really our biggest problem, and I tend to say 639 00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:37,480 Speaker 2: it's not our biggest problem. It's also very clear that 640 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:40,360 Speaker 2: if you look at the debt levels we're seeing in Europe, 641 00:37:40,640 --> 00:37:42,960 Speaker 2: they are still lower than what's there in Japan or 642 00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:45,839 Speaker 2: the United States, and even China is now increasing its 643 00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:48,279 Speaker 2: debt levels. So I think we have a bit of 644 00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:52,120 Speaker 2: an unhealthy obsession with lowering our public debt, which in 645 00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:56,960 Speaker 2: a time when we are basically restructuring our whole economy 646 00:37:56,960 --> 00:37:59,440 Speaker 2: in a couple of decades, and on the top of that, 647 00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:04,040 Speaker 2: we have a security challenge with a neighbor that is 648 00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:06,239 Speaker 2: willing to fight us, and on top of that we 649 00:38:06,320 --> 00:38:09,479 Speaker 2: have a very vulnerable Ukraine next to us that needs 650 00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:14,560 Speaker 2: a lot of money to rebuild the country. Basically, these 651 00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:18,200 Speaker 2: are really indeed trillions of euros that need to be found. 652 00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:21,239 Speaker 2: So if at the same time, then we're going to say, oh, 653 00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:23,600 Speaker 2: but we also need to cut our public debt, and 654 00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:26,319 Speaker 2: we need to we need to have the stability and 655 00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:29,440 Speaker 2: growth back to even tougher. That's one big problem we're 656 00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:32,000 Speaker 2: having which needs to change. That's on the one hand, 657 00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:35,760 Speaker 2: I think we need to reinvent the story on why 658 00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:38,640 Speaker 2: are public investments a good thing and not only a 659 00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:41,680 Speaker 2: bad thing. That's one part. The other part is of 660 00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:45,040 Speaker 2: course redirecting some of the bad spending that we're seeing. 661 00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:48,480 Speaker 2: We're still having hundreds of billions of fossil subsidies. So 662 00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:53,080 Speaker 2: while we are promoting a clean economy that is going 663 00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:57,920 Speaker 2: away from fossils, we are meanwhile still subsidizing fossils. That's 664 00:38:58,000 --> 00:39:01,960 Speaker 2: of course an untenable city cuation. And here we also 665 00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:05,400 Speaker 2: need to look at the redirecting of financial flows, where 666 00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:07,640 Speaker 2: a lot of money is still going in the wrong direction. 667 00:39:08,280 --> 00:39:11,279 Speaker 2: And I think that combination, that's a dual agenda that 668 00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:14,080 Speaker 2: we are needing right now. So in the end, it 669 00:39:14,160 --> 00:39:17,680 Speaker 2: really boils down to political will that is still there insufficiently, 670 00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:20,000 Speaker 2: and that brings me back to the point where maybe 671 00:39:20,080 --> 00:39:21,160 Speaker 2: greens are still needed. 672 00:39:22,360 --> 00:39:33,560 Speaker 1: Thank you, buzz, welcome me. Thank you for listening to Zero. 673 00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:36,040 Speaker 1: If you liked this episode, please take a moment to 674 00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:38,960 Speaker 1: rate or review the show on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. 675 00:39:39,640 --> 00:39:43,000 Speaker 1: Share this episode with a friend or with a recovering chemist. 676 00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:46,000 Speaker 1: You can get in touch at zero port at Bloomberg 677 00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:50,719 Speaker 1: dot Net. Zero's producer is Mighty lirau Oarty. Music is 678 00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:55,200 Speaker 1: composed by Wonderly Special Thanks to Kira Bendrim, John Aingeer, 679 00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:58,919 Speaker 1: and Alsia Clinton. I am Akshatrati back soon.