1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:03,080 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to play 2 00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 1: short bets. This be Joey P. Joe P is a 3 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 1: pia and it's time to talk DFS four Week fourteen 4 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:09,440 Speaker 1: in the NFL. And to help me do it, of course, 5 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: Debro Derek Brown, the King of Bros. We are talking 6 00:00:12,280 --> 00:00:14,239 Speaker 1: football here as we always do, and don't forget to 7 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 1: go to fantasypros dot com slash optimizer so you can 8 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: optimize up to one hundred and fifty lineups at one time. 9 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: What a joy it is to be alive. You can 10 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:24,279 Speaker 1: take those lineups, uploading a FanDuel up on them to DK, 11 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:26,880 Speaker 1: send him his Christmas cards. You can do all kinds 12 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:29,480 Speaker 1: of amazing things. Maybe not that last one, I don't know. 13 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 1: But we've got a full slate of games here for 14 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:35,320 Speaker 1: us to break down today, and certainly, thank goodness, we 15 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:37,000 Speaker 1: don't have to talk about the Pittsburgh New England game 16 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:40,479 Speaker 1: because that's on Thursday. All right, Let's get to the 17 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:42,559 Speaker 1: first one here on the slate. The total for this 18 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:46,520 Speaker 1: one is Atlanta Falcons Tampa Bay Buccaneers at forty one, 19 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 1: forty and a half in some other spots. Now, look, 20 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 1: you know last time these two teams met, Bijon had 21 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:54,840 Speaker 1: a headache. Now could he possibly be a headache for 22 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers debro in this contest? And do 23 00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:00,240 Speaker 1: you want to go in on anything Falcons or Tampa 24 00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 1: Bay in this contest? Yeah? 25 00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 2: Man, Look, I actually have a lot of interest in 26 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 2: Bejon in this spot. And part of this comes down 27 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 2: to Tampa Bay's run defense kind of falling off a 28 00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 2: cliff man like since week eight, seventh lowest stuff rate, 29 00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 2: eighth highest miss tackles allowed per attempt rate. So there's 30 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 2: definitely a lot of entry because we still haven't seen 31 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:21,160 Speaker 2: Joey unless I missed it, man, we haven't seen this 32 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:24,479 Speaker 2: this blow up game from Bjon Robinson like a thirty 33 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:27,800 Speaker 2: burger where he goes like, you know, scores two touchdowns, 34 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 2: runs for a buck, twenty catches five balls. We haven't 35 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 2: seen that, and I think we see that before the 36 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:35,039 Speaker 2: end of the season. So I got a lot of 37 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:37,320 Speaker 2: interest in Bjon Robinson. And on the other side, man, 38 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:39,680 Speaker 2: like you can interest me in Rashad White too, like 39 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:40,760 Speaker 2: he's getting. 40 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:43,120 Speaker 1: A lot of volume Atlanta. If you look at all 41 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: of the different. 42 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:47,120 Speaker 2: Metrics for Atlanta's run defense, they're not great like twelfth 43 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 2: lowest stuff rate, twelve highest missile tackles per attempt rate. 44 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 2: The only thing that they continue to do is to 45 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 2: keep running backs from scoring touchdowns. But we know eventually 46 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:00,240 Speaker 2: in one or two weeks that's gonna regress back to 47 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 2: the mean. So Rashad White, b Jeon Robinson like talking 48 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 2: about these running backs. They're the first plays for me 49 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 2: out of this game. And I think you can go 50 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:10,920 Speaker 2: to either way if you want to game stack this, 51 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 2: that's fine. Mike Evans is the next guy that I'll 52 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 2: talk about here, because Mike Evans just keeps doing Mike 53 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:19,399 Speaker 2: Evans things, like he's got three games this year where 54 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 2: he's he's surpassed one hundred and forty receiving yards. Last 55 00:02:22,320 --> 00:02:24,920 Speaker 2: time they played the Falcons, he turned Ajterrell into his 56 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 2: I mean, he was basically aj Trell's daddy. He walked 57 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:30,640 Speaker 2: in down the field, scored a long touchdown. And aj 58 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:32,760 Speaker 2: Trell might not even play in this game. He's dealing 59 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:36,519 Speaker 2: with a concussion. And so if aj Trell is out 60 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:40,360 Speaker 2: Mike Evans versus backups sh you can interest me in 61 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:43,080 Speaker 2: that man and the other ancillary pieces like Drake London 62 00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:44,400 Speaker 2: and large field tournaments. 63 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:45,200 Speaker 1: I get it. 64 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 2: I don't know if the ceiling is. 65 00:02:46,440 --> 00:02:49,240 Speaker 1: NECESSI there, No, I don't get it. 66 00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 2: The last guy I'll mention here is Kate Oughton, because 67 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 2: Caate Aughten has shown the ability of like in the 68 00:02:56,440 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 2: matchup is right. Kate Otton is in play and the 69 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:02,959 Speaker 2: Atlantas fifth most Fantasy points per game, third most receiving 70 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 2: arts per game to tight ends. So if you do 71 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 2: want to say save some salary, you want to play Bijon, 72 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 2: you want to run it back on the other side, 73 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 2: Kate Totten is a really inexpensive piece, and he's already 74 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:13,960 Speaker 2: shown he. 75 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: Can get you twenty points. 76 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 2: He's done that before this year, So it's a nice 77 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:18,960 Speaker 2: little mini to save some cash if. 78 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:21,080 Speaker 1: You want to play Bejeon thirty one hundred for Kadot 79 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:23,400 Speaker 1: and Olron DraftKings. By the way, the Bejeon price on 80 00:03:23,440 --> 00:03:25,800 Speaker 1: both sites has gone down by a thousand low bucks. 81 00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 1: We got way way too low, way too reactionary, based 82 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 1: off what could have been a better game against the Jets. 83 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 1: It was a little disappointing. Cela VI. Let's move on 84 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 1: Panthers at Saints. I don't know how you want to 85 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: attack this one, because we're gonna get Winston and we're 86 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:41,160 Speaker 1: gonna get Bryce Young. I mean, maybe this is an 87 00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:43,760 Speaker 1: opportunity for the Saints defense and being a sneaky play 88 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 1: this week. Perhaps the total for this game is just 89 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 1: thirty eight, so a little underwhelming there. The one piece 90 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 1: that I think you can't live without the number two 91 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:54,040 Speaker 1: running back over on Fantasy Pros this week in the consensus, 92 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:55,640 Speaker 1: and that's Alvin Kamara, who I think is going to 93 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:57,840 Speaker 1: go for one hundred and fifty all purpose against Carolina. 94 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 1: I think he is just going to absolutely crush this defense. 95 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 1: What do you think here about my Kamara love? 96 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:05,200 Speaker 2: I'm not against him, man, because again we talk about 97 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:09,080 Speaker 2: breakout games and Kamara has had the games where it 98 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 2: was a few weeks ago and I was I was 99 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 2: touting Kamara and I'm like, okay, and then he went 100 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 2: through and he had the twenty to twenty five touches 101 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 2: things lined up. He just didn't get the touchdowns. And 102 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:20,040 Speaker 2: now that we saw like last week, he scores two touchdowns. 103 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 2: If he's gonna get the goal line work, Kamara is 104 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:25,280 Speaker 2: absolutely in play, and especially if he's not gonna be popular, 105 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:28,279 Speaker 2: then I think that you have to have some interest 106 00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 2: in Kamara. Now, is he gonna make my single entry 107 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:32,720 Speaker 2: in my three max teams? Maybe not, But if you're 108 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:35,119 Speaker 2: running five to ten lineups, I think he's definitely in play. 109 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 2: The other guy I want to talk about here, and 110 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 2: I don't have any I don't really don't have a 111 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:41,039 Speaker 2: lot of love for any of these past game options. 112 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:44,719 Speaker 2: Joey like Adam Thielen, No, that time has passed. Chris 113 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:49,159 Speaker 2: Alave catching balls from Jameis Winston. No, because Carolina Secondary 114 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:50,720 Speaker 2: has been a little bit better. 115 00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 1: It's the mingo, the mingo, h o babo, That's what 116 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 1: it is. It's mingo time you like it or not. 117 00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: I don't like it. I don't like it. I want 118 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 1: to take a guess at what his price is. It's 119 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:04,479 Speaker 1: thirty five hundred. If you're looking for a way to 120 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 1: get Kamara in your lineup in DK, that's the way 121 00:05:06,640 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 1: to offset it, because Kamara is super expensive this week 122 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 1: on both sides, eight two hundred on DK is nine 123 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 1: k on Fandle. 124 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:16,160 Speaker 2: The only other guy I'll bring up here, I'll let 125 00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:19,160 Speaker 2: you go the mingo route. I like to prefer to 126 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:21,039 Speaker 2: keep my baby, and my baby in this game is 127 00:05:21,080 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 2: Chewba Hubbard. You saw Chewba Hubbard get all the work 128 00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 2: he got twenty five freaking carries Joey like going over 129 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:30,279 Speaker 2: one hundred rushing yards. There is no Miles Sanders like 130 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 2: he's proof he's gone whatever. And the Saints. 131 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: You can run on this team since week eight. 132 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:37,720 Speaker 2: Seventh highest explosive run rate, second highest charge of the 133 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 2: contact per attempt. Hubbard is a guy that I think 134 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:44,440 Speaker 2: is gonna go overlooked, and I like him, especially looking 135 00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:45,839 Speaker 2: at the price point on both sides. 136 00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 1: All right, let's continue on to the next contest. Here. 137 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:51,280 Speaker 1: We have got the Houston Texans and the New York Jets. 138 00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 1: I like the Houston Texans defense this week. Let me 139 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 1: just put it to you that way. Look, obviously you 140 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 1: can theoretically run the ball in the Jets. The weather 141 00:05:58,000 --> 00:05:59,240 Speaker 1: might be an issue in this game, too, so you 142 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 1: might have to. Already, three is the numbers. So the 143 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:05,040 Speaker 1: totals not very encouraging. Tank Dell isn't there. Secondary is 144 00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:07,159 Speaker 1: good for the Jets, that's their lone bright spot. But 145 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 1: I do feel like this team is just imploding on itself. 146 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 1: Watching Robert Solid do a press conference is like watching 147 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 1: somebody do a eulogy. It's real right now. But in 148 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 1: terms of value, you look c J. Stroud, I don't 149 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:20,360 Speaker 1: think he's my favorite quarterback of the week. In terms 150 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:22,800 Speaker 1: of ROI this game is kind of a fade for 151 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 1: me overall. I know you could make a case for Peers, 152 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:27,040 Speaker 1: you can make a case for Singletary. The problem is, 153 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 1: I don't know which one I want to make a 154 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:28,320 Speaker 1: case for. 155 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:30,000 Speaker 2: Actually, I don't want to can make a case for 156 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 2: either one of them. Man, the most appealing piece for 157 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:36,560 Speaker 2: me is Nico Collins. Dude. And I understand the secondary, 158 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:39,000 Speaker 2: and I get Sauce Carter, and I get DJ Reid, 159 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:41,719 Speaker 2: and I understand all of that. Dude, we just saw 160 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:45,480 Speaker 2: Nico Collins absolutely roast what we walked into that week 161 00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:49,000 Speaker 2: thinking was a good Denver secondary. Patrick's Ertanny sees half 162 00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 2: the game and he absolutely just mosses him over and 163 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:55,960 Speaker 2: over again, like Nico Collins. For everybody out there, last week, 164 00:06:56,240 --> 00:07:00,719 Speaker 2: no tank Dell. Nico Collins got a forty two percent target, 165 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:04,800 Speaker 2: chair Man, Like, if we take the matchup outside of that, 166 00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 2: if Nico Collins was playing, like say, a neutral matchup, 167 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:11,120 Speaker 2: considering what Nico Collins did last week, would you have 168 00:07:11,400 --> 00:07:12,760 Speaker 2: huge interest in him this week? 169 00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:16,920 Speaker 1: Joey. Uh, it's a good question. Look, I think Nico 170 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:19,880 Speaker 1: is a fine wide receiver and I don't have a 171 00:07:19,880 --> 00:07:21,680 Speaker 1: problem as an Apple play this week against him. But 172 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 1: the total is the only thing holding me back there. Yeah, 173 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:25,920 Speaker 1: to be honest, Yeah, and that's that's the whole Honestly. 174 00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:27,840 Speaker 1: I think it's just like the Jets. I can't see 175 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: pushing the total. That's the problem. Like, and I just 176 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:33,680 Speaker 1: think that offense is so bad that they just can 177 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 1: run the football sneak away with a victory and just 178 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:37,120 Speaker 1: kind of run back to Houston here. 179 00:07:37,360 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 2: I think that's definitely possible. The pushback I'll give on 180 00:07:40,280 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 2: that didn't We just see both teams, like the Texans, Like, 181 00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:46,720 Speaker 2: when we have this offense, we know CJ. Stroud can 182 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:48,800 Speaker 2: light anybody up. I mean shit, he just did it 183 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 2: versus Denver. If he can light anybody else, we know 184 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 2: where the target volume is gonna go now, Like Tank 185 00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 2: Dell is out, Noah Brown's back, but he didn't even 186 00:07:57,040 --> 00:07:59,560 Speaker 2: garner a lot of targets. Dalton Schultz is banged up, 187 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 2: he could get t like what twelve to fourteen targets. 188 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 2: I mean basically, Nico Collins is like playing Tank Dell 189 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 2: from previous weeks when Nko was out, Tank Dell was 190 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 2: getting twelve to fourteen targets. 191 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 1: Man, Nah, I hear you, man, I hear you all 192 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 1: r let's go to the next one year. This game's 193 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: got a much better total and I like the over 194 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 1: for it. On top of it, the Cincinnati Bengals will 195 00:08:18,480 --> 00:08:20,720 Speaker 1: host the Indianapolis Colts. Forty four is the number for 196 00:08:20,800 --> 00:08:22,880 Speaker 1: this one. I don't know what Jake Browning we're gonna get, 197 00:08:22,920 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 1: but it sounds fun to me. He is a cheap 198 00:08:24,920 --> 00:08:28,360 Speaker 1: quarterback still, so is Gardner. Minshew Michael Pittman is the 199 00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:31,280 Speaker 1: gift that keeps on giving. Jamar Chase is viable again 200 00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:33,720 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, so this one looks to be 201 00:08:33,840 --> 00:08:36,439 Speaker 1: potentially fun. And then, of course, Zach Moss. All the 202 00:08:36,520 --> 00:08:39,559 Speaker 1: Zach Moss last week turned out to be very disappointing, 203 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:41,480 Speaker 1: and I'm sure people will run the other direction, but 204 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:43,360 Speaker 1: I don't think they should. I think this is the 205 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 1: time to double down. 206 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:46,199 Speaker 2: This is the time to double down if we get 207 00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:49,040 Speaker 2: the flop flag game. Basically everybody was in on Zack Moss. 208 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 2: He was uber chalk like, probably the most rostered player 209 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:55,640 Speaker 2: out of the entire DFS season so far, Joey like 210 00:08:55,640 --> 00:08:58,080 Speaker 2: we He's the only guy so far this year that 211 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 2: I've seen get up to like fifty five sixty percent. 212 00:09:01,559 --> 00:09:04,520 Speaker 2: So if everybody's like I got burned, not going back there, 213 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:07,080 Speaker 2: then yeah, give me all the Zach Moss man like 214 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:10,079 Speaker 2: on DK for his workload. He's still too damn cheap. 215 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:14,280 Speaker 2: I love this game. I think both quarterbacks are in play. 216 00:09:14,360 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 2: You saw Jake Brownie come out and look fantastic, and 217 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:22,959 Speaker 2: the cold secondary is fairly similar to Jacksonville. They're not good. 218 00:09:23,240 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 2: You could play Browning, you could play Minshew. This is 219 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:27,040 Speaker 2: one of the games that I have a lot of 220 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 2: intrigue about, just game stacking the hell out of this one. 221 00:09:29,920 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 2: Enjoy because we know where the ball goes man Like, 222 00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:35,320 Speaker 2: both of these teams run out three to four tight ends, 223 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:37,719 Speaker 2: so you can knock off the tight ends. Tight Ends 224 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 2: are not even in play in this game, but Minshew, Browning, Moss, 225 00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:45,280 Speaker 2: Mixon is okay in large field tournaments. Like if you 226 00:09:45,280 --> 00:09:48,440 Speaker 2: were stacking with Gardner and bringing him back, that's fine. 227 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 2: But the way that I like to go with this 228 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:53,840 Speaker 2: game is honestly, go Gardner, go Zack Moss. Michael Pittman 229 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 2: if you wanted to throw Josh downs on there, I 230 00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:59,440 Speaker 2: get it, but I think Pittman has a monster game 231 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:04,320 Speaker 2: Like this dude is just soaking up so much volume 232 00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:07,880 Speaker 2: it's ridiculous. So, I mean, the other part about this, 233 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:10,239 Speaker 2: Joey is you don't even have to play the quarterbacks. 234 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:10,920 Speaker 1: You could just. 235 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 2: Block off the indie offense, play Moss, play Pittman, and 236 00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 2: bring and have a bring back on the other side, 237 00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 2: which would either be Chase, who I love. 238 00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:22,559 Speaker 1: What I'm doing. I'm doing Moss Pittman with Chase on 239 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 1: the other side. Now, I do like playing the quarterbacks 240 00:10:24,520 --> 00:10:27,200 Speaker 1: because it allows me to get more runs so cheap 241 00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:29,400 Speaker 1: too that I want. Well, here's the other question. Do 242 00:10:29,480 --> 00:10:31,880 Speaker 1: you take the extreme discount with Browning or do you 243 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:33,640 Speaker 1: take the medium discount with Minshew. 244 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:36,680 Speaker 2: I think you take the extreme discount with Browning, especially 245 00:10:36,720 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 2: if you're gonna play Chase, because Chase. For Chase to 246 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 2: get there, Browning is gonna have to get there too. 247 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:46,160 Speaker 2: And if that's the case, you get to save all 248 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:48,320 Speaker 2: of this. And then right now I'm waiting for I 249 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:50,600 Speaker 2: haven't seen projections yet, but I'm telling you right now, 250 00:10:51,160 --> 00:10:54,960 Speaker 2: Gardner Minshew is gonna be popular. This week, and I 251 00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:57,640 Speaker 2: don't think that Jake Browning will be I think he'll 252 00:10:57,640 --> 00:11:00,280 Speaker 2: be fine, Like, he'll be five to ten percent. Ever 253 00:11:00,840 --> 00:11:03,600 Speaker 2: in that realm of quarterback roster percentage where you're just 254 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 2: like and it doesn't matter. So for me, give me 255 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 2: the savings on Browning and I'm just gonna single stacking 256 00:11:08,960 --> 00:11:11,880 Speaker 2: with Chase and bring back Zach Moss and Pittman, and 257 00:11:11,920 --> 00:11:14,280 Speaker 2: you're gonna get most of, if not maybe all, the 258 00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:15,160 Speaker 2: points from this game. 259 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:17,559 Speaker 1: All right. Next one is Baltimore, Los Angeles. There could 260 00:11:17,559 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 1: be some weather in this one. To forty and a 261 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:21,960 Speaker 1: half is the number we saw a lot more Keaton 262 00:11:22,040 --> 00:11:25,640 Speaker 1: Mitchell last time. We saw the Baltimore Ravens here, which 263 00:11:25,679 --> 00:11:28,360 Speaker 1: begs that question too, all right, is that a change 264 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:31,319 Speaker 1: that we're getting in this backfield potentially? Now when you're 265 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:33,880 Speaker 1: looking at the price here for him, it's just fifty 266 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:37,000 Speaker 1: nine hundred over on FanDuel over on Draftkins. I'll check 267 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 1: the price for him too because he's just forty nine hundred. 268 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 1: So it's a little bit of a leap of faith here. 269 00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 1: You like Baltimore coming off the buy, but I mean 270 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:46,600 Speaker 1: to me, this is a game where Baltimore should really 271 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:49,240 Speaker 1: kick the crap out of this team. They're just much 272 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 1: better than the Rams. The Rams are traveling for a 273 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:55,160 Speaker 1: one o'clock game across the country. There's a whole slow reasons, 274 00:11:55,679 --> 00:11:57,400 Speaker 1: and not to mention the offensive line I think is 275 00:11:57,400 --> 00:11:58,760 Speaker 1: a problem right now for the Rams. So I think 276 00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:01,280 Speaker 1: the Ravens defense is very much in play. But is 277 00:12:01,320 --> 00:12:02,800 Speaker 1: it time to make that pivot to Mitchell? 278 00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:06,240 Speaker 2: I love this game to go over the total, and 279 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 2: I know that might surprise people considering like, Okay, it's 280 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:12,840 Speaker 2: the Ravens. The way that I look at this game, Joey, 281 00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:16,840 Speaker 2: you have two definitive defenses that we know what they 282 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:18,920 Speaker 2: are good at and what they are not good at. 283 00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:22,520 Speaker 2: The Rams are a pass funnel, through and through and through. 284 00:12:22,600 --> 00:12:25,760 Speaker 2: You cannot run versus the Rams. Anybody that played Jerome 285 00:12:25,840 --> 00:12:29,400 Speaker 2: forward last week you found that out. Okay, So I'm 286 00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 2: not in on any of the Baltimore running backs, but 287 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:34,880 Speaker 2: I am sure as hell in on Lamar Jackson. Man. 288 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:38,480 Speaker 2: He has had a few down weeks, and a lot 289 00:12:38,520 --> 00:12:42,319 Speaker 2: of this comes down to those were opportunities where they 290 00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:44,080 Speaker 2: could give the ball to Gust, they could give the 291 00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 2: ball to Keaton Mitchell. They were good rushing matchups as well, 292 00:12:47,200 --> 00:12:50,320 Speaker 2: so Lamar's ceiling was not there. Baltimore is not gonna 293 00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:52,520 Speaker 2: be able to run the freaking ball man. This is 294 00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:54,800 Speaker 2: a spot where we could see in Lamar Jackson. If 295 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:59,360 Speaker 2: the Rams and I think they can push Baltimore, we 296 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:02,439 Speaker 2: could see Jackson go nuclear. And I love him in 297 00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:06,320 Speaker 2: this slate man like because again this game, it's easy 298 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 2: to see where the funnels are. It is you attack 299 00:13:09,280 --> 00:13:12,400 Speaker 2: Baltimore on the ground, so you play Kyron Williams. And 300 00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:14,559 Speaker 2: for everybody out there that is like, really, can you 301 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 2: run on Baltimore? Okay, here's some knowledge for you. Since 302 00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:21,480 Speaker 2: week eight, the eighth lowest stuff rate, the fifth highest 303 00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:25,679 Speaker 2: miss tackles per attempt, the sixth highest yards per carry 304 00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:29,840 Speaker 2: allowed to gap runs. Kyron Williams has sixty seven percent 305 00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 2: of his runs on gap runs. That is five yards 306 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:37,880 Speaker 2: per carry they are allowing on gap runs. Kyraen Williams 307 00:13:37,920 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 2: is gonna get all the freaking volume. Nobody's gonna play 308 00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 2: him because they see Baltimore that he's playing. And I'm saying, 309 00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 2: give it all to me, give me all the Kyron 310 00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:51,040 Speaker 2: Williams this week, and I want to play Lamar and 311 00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:54,520 Speaker 2: his stacking options are all cheap Joey like, yeah, Zay's 312 00:13:54,640 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 2: very cheap. 313 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 1: That is cheap. Theays super cheap. Isaiah likely is super cheap. 314 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:02,360 Speaker 2: You can tight ends have had have feasted versus the 315 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 2: Rams the other guy, and I know this is your boy, 316 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:07,439 Speaker 2: and I'm gonna bring him up here because we got 317 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:08,320 Speaker 2: to talk about him. 318 00:14:08,559 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 1: I really like. 319 00:14:09,400 --> 00:14:10,880 Speaker 2: Odell Beckham Junior this week. 320 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:14,640 Speaker 1: Man, I swear I've read long enough. It's week fourteen. 321 00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:15,559 Speaker 1: Here we are. 322 00:14:15,640 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 2: Okay, this is beautiful. You want to hear the case 323 00:14:17,360 --> 00:14:19,560 Speaker 2: of why I'm going to talk you into him. 324 00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 1: Okay, you don't even need to, but I want to 325 00:14:21,760 --> 00:14:23,120 Speaker 1: be talked into it. Okay, let's go. 326 00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:26,640 Speaker 2: Odell Beckham has been a thirty two to thirty three 327 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:30,000 Speaker 2: percent snap player over the last three games. They're coming 328 00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:32,840 Speaker 2: off the by He's not on the injury report for 329 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:35,600 Speaker 2: the first time this year. Man, he's gonna get a 330 00:14:35,640 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 2: snap bump. He's less than four k on DK if 331 00:14:39,280 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 2: you look at the coverage matchup as well, the Rams 332 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 2: since Week nine have had the eleventh highest single high rate, 333 00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:50,640 Speaker 2: so sixty one percent of their snaps. Beckham versus single 334 00:14:50,800 --> 00:14:53,520 Speaker 2: high has a twenty four percent target per route run 335 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:57,680 Speaker 2: rate has two point seven yards per route run and 336 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 2: he leads the freaking team and end Z on time 337 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:03,080 Speaker 2: and nobody's gonna playhim. Baby. So if you play Lamar, 338 00:15:03,400 --> 00:15:06,480 Speaker 2: you can double stack Lamar if he goes nuclear, you 339 00:15:06,520 --> 00:15:09,480 Speaker 2: could play either Zay or Odell, or if you want 340 00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:11,240 Speaker 2: to go to the super cheap stack, which is my 341 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 2: preferred method, Isaiah likely and Odell and Lamar and run 342 00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:16,200 Speaker 2: it back with Kyron. 343 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 1: Move on, Move on. So you're confident that, like, you 344 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,240 Speaker 1: know that what we saw last time we saw Isaiah 345 00:15:21,280 --> 00:15:24,040 Speaker 1: likely he had six targets four catches for forty. I 346 00:15:24,080 --> 00:15:26,520 Speaker 1: mean that that's a decent floor there, especially the decent 347 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 1: floor for the price. That's a decent thing. 348 00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:30,480 Speaker 2: Like him or Aughten Moore for a cheat tight end 349 00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:34,040 Speaker 2: this week, I like likely likely. It's likely for me 350 00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 2: because I think two things. Oughton's gonna come in more popular. 351 00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:40,120 Speaker 2: There's a lot of other ways that that game can go. 352 00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 2: Baltimore is gonna have to score their their touchdowns this 353 00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:47,240 Speaker 2: week through the air, and to me, it's it's more 354 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 2: narrow because look at the Bucks offense. Mike Evans could 355 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:53,280 Speaker 2: get it, Chris Godwin could get it for Shad White 356 00:15:53,280 --> 00:15:55,520 Speaker 2: can also have a good day There's just so many 357 00:15:55,520 --> 00:15:58,040 Speaker 2: more paths to them scoring touchdowns than what I see 358 00:15:58,040 --> 00:15:58,640 Speaker 2: for Baltimore. 359 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the next game here 360 00:16:01,160 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 1: Detroit and Chicago. Jared goff outside, let's go give me 361 00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:08,000 Speaker 1: the Bears defense. That's right, I said it. Min's salary 362 00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:10,080 Speaker 1: over on Fandel, go for it. I already liked them 363 00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:12,560 Speaker 1: to win this game, so why not a couple turnovers, 364 00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:15,040 Speaker 1: some wacky stuff here. I love Jamiir gibbson this game. 365 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 1: I love Dj Moore in this game. Jamiir Gibbs is 366 00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 1: the perfect guy against Chicago. They struggle with running backs 367 00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:22,800 Speaker 1: to catch the ball on the backfield, So Gibbs is 368 00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:24,400 Speaker 1: that one big piece to me that I'm willing to 369 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 1: pay up for in this one. And again I'm going 370 00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:28,400 Speaker 1: opo here. I like the Bears in this game. The 371 00:16:28,400 --> 00:16:31,280 Speaker 1: Troy Lions defense just keeps giving up so many big 372 00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:33,360 Speaker 1: plays and so many points his last few weeks, and 373 00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:34,920 Speaker 1: I don't see them being able to stop it right now. 374 00:16:34,920 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 1: Bears coming off of buy I think they got a 375 00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:38,840 Speaker 1: little confidence after that big win on the road in Minnesota. 376 00:16:38,920 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 1: I like the Bears in this one. So how do 377 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:42,600 Speaker 1: you see this game that is now forty three and 378 00:16:42,640 --> 00:16:43,760 Speaker 1: a half in most spots. 379 00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 2: I said at the beginning of the week, and I'll 380 00:16:45,880 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 2: say it again, This total doesn't make any sense to me. 381 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 2: I'm gonna keep I bet the over immediately when it opened, 382 00:16:51,800 --> 00:16:54,440 Speaker 2: and now you see it just continually kind of inching 383 00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:57,040 Speaker 2: up as the week goes along. And we've already seen 384 00:16:57,080 --> 00:17:00,400 Speaker 2: this play out, Joe, Like, go back two weeks, we've 385 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:01,360 Speaker 2: seen this play out. 386 00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:04,440 Speaker 1: Justin Fields was close to having a monster day. 387 00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:08,119 Speaker 2: DJ Moore went for almost twenty three Fantasy points versus this. 388 00:17:08,640 --> 00:17:12,600 Speaker 2: All you have to do. It's easy, baby, Play Justin Fields, 389 00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:14,919 Speaker 2: stack him with DJ Moore, you run it back. On 390 00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:18,400 Speaker 2: the Detroit side, you can play anybody from Jamiir Gibbs, 391 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:21,440 Speaker 2: Sammy ball Game or Aman Ross, Saint Brown, all three 392 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:24,160 Speaker 2: of those guys. We know where the freaking ball goes 393 00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:27,240 Speaker 2: in this offense. It's not a good rushing matchup, so 394 00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:30,119 Speaker 2: I'm not playing David Montgomery. But like you talked about, 395 00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:33,160 Speaker 2: Detroit is going to have to move the ball through 396 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:36,000 Speaker 2: the air, and again we know where the ball goes. 397 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:39,840 Speaker 2: So any one of those three Lions, play Fields, play Dj. 398 00:17:39,760 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 1: Moore and move on. 399 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:42,639 Speaker 2: Man. I love this game. This is another game that 400 00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:45,200 Speaker 2: I think could absolutely shoot out. 401 00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:48,280 Speaker 1: Oh I think it is. And I like the Bears 402 00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:50,320 Speaker 1: side of that for the victory. And there's so many 403 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:52,159 Speaker 1: different combinations in this game too, Like you know, if 404 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 1: you want to go on, I'm on Raleigh, Canada. Like 405 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:55,760 Speaker 1: Cole Comet, I think is a guy in play. I 406 00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:57,600 Speaker 1: love Dj Moore in this game. As I said before, 407 00:17:57,640 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 1: but one hundred yards. 408 00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:03,399 Speaker 2: Baby fields on the ground. Man, if he had a 409 00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:06,160 Speaker 2: better day passing, he'd have broken the slate last time 410 00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:06,560 Speaker 2: they played. 411 00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:08,120 Speaker 1: Trying to remember was that his first game? 412 00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:09,800 Speaker 2: That was his first game, first game. 413 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:12,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, see, I think we're a little bit in the 414 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:15,840 Speaker 1: better spot here, especially by got a lot to prove. 415 00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:18,119 Speaker 1: This is him playing for his future. Man, I keep 416 00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 1: saying that, but like this stuff matters. Next game on 417 00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:23,679 Speaker 1: the slate, Jacksonville Cleveland. I don't how much of this 418 00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:26,879 Speaker 1: one matters Cleveland defense certainly in play low total thirty 419 00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:29,040 Speaker 1: and a half. I know Trevor Lawrence got a limited 420 00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:32,320 Speaker 1: practice in some regard today. I think Jacksonville's nuts. If 421 00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:34,520 Speaker 1: they throw him out here Cleveland, I think Miles Garrett 422 00:18:34,560 --> 00:18:36,919 Speaker 1: is going to kill him. This is you've got to 423 00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:38,840 Speaker 1: take the l here. This is a questionable game for 424 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:40,760 Speaker 1: you anyway. If you're Jacksonville, you have to be thinking 425 00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:42,280 Speaker 1: about long term in the playoffs and the health of 426 00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:46,120 Speaker 1: your franchise quarterback here, So I expect to see Bethard 427 00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:50,040 Speaker 1: playing that will of course crush this total even more 428 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:53,760 Speaker 1: potentially no Kirk for this game. I mean on the 429 00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:56,040 Speaker 1: other side too, Elijah Moore is that piece that to me, 430 00:18:56,480 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 1: So twelve targets last week. I know it wasn't efficient, 431 00:18:58,760 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 1: the only caught four of them, but I don't care. 432 00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:02,920 Speaker 1: I think there's a big potential day here for Elijah Moore. 433 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:04,400 Speaker 1: So that's a piece that I'm in on. What are 434 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:06,159 Speaker 1: you in on with Cleveland and Jacksonville? 435 00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:09,480 Speaker 2: I threw this out on our Matchup show or not? 436 00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:13,320 Speaker 2: The Matchup Show starts it with Warm and Erickson. Do 437 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:15,440 Speaker 2: you know off the top of your head what Elijah 438 00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:19,080 Speaker 2: Moore's a dot was last week? Joey, it's I'm blow. 439 00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:24,119 Speaker 1: Your damn mind. Twenty one point five is higher than 440 00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:28,879 Speaker 1: higher than it's been all year five, dude. Like I 441 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:30,879 Speaker 1: was like, I saw that right at the primer and 442 00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:34,280 Speaker 1: I was like, oh, dear Lord, that's amazing. So yeah, 443 00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:36,440 Speaker 1: Elijah Moore is my favorite piece out of this game. 444 00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:38,879 Speaker 2: But I think that with the low total, I'm not 445 00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:41,520 Speaker 2: gonna get too wacky with this game. I am interested 446 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:44,600 Speaker 2: in some of the cheap parts. On the brown side, 447 00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:47,080 Speaker 2: Elijah Moore, I like him a lot. I also like 448 00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:49,840 Speaker 2: Jerome Ford a good bit because something I highlighted in 449 00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:53,000 Speaker 2: last week's primer was that the Jacksonville run defense has 450 00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:56,160 Speaker 2: not been as good as when they started out the season. 451 00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:58,520 Speaker 2: If you look over their last few games, so since 452 00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 2: Week eight, fifth highest starts per carry five point one 453 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 2: yards per carry to gap runs. That's fifty three percent 454 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:07,320 Speaker 2: of Ford's carry volume. So on the Browns, it's easy, 455 00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:11,160 Speaker 2: it's dron Ford, it is Elijah Moore. On the Jaguars side, 456 00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:14,200 Speaker 2: I mean, look, you're telling me CJ. Bethard's playing that 457 00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:17,640 Speaker 2: automatically takes Calvid Ridley's A Jones out of the mix. 458 00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:20,280 Speaker 2: Evan Ingram is out of the mix because that is 459 00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:23,520 Speaker 2: the best defense in the NFL versus tight ends. The 460 00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:26,480 Speaker 2: one name and I'm not getting Chasey here, Joe, but 461 00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:28,159 Speaker 2: the one name that makes a lot of sense to 462 00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,639 Speaker 2: me in this game because it's the one spot you 463 00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:34,040 Speaker 2: can attack the secondary and if we're looking for salary relief. 464 00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 2: It's Parker Washington. He's gonna play the Christian Kirk role 465 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:41,240 Speaker 2: Cleveland versus slot wide receivers fifteenth and PPR points per target. 466 00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 2: They've allowed the twelfth most receiving yards to opposing slot 467 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,800 Speaker 2: wide receivers. I mean, he's just free access to this, 468 00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:49,160 Speaker 2: to this game. And honestly, if you wanted to play 469 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,520 Speaker 2: this game, like okay, it's an ugly, it's gross game, 470 00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:54,119 Speaker 2: you can play Parker Washington and Elijah Moore save a 471 00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:57,359 Speaker 2: ton of cash. Both those guys go for fifteen to 472 00:20:57,400 --> 00:21:00,239 Speaker 2: seventeen DK points and your loving life all right. 473 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:02,639 Speaker 1: Next one on the slate here to get to is 474 00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,520 Speaker 1: Seattle and San Fran. Last time san Fran put a 475 00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 1: hurt and on the Seattle Seahawks. Now Seattle showed us 476 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:10,960 Speaker 1: up with DK last week against Dallas. That was fun. 477 00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:13,520 Speaker 1: The total for this one is forty seven. Ayuk is 478 00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 1: the big piece that stands out to me, is still 479 00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:17,399 Speaker 1: a value. He's still a good return on investment. I 480 00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:19,240 Speaker 1: know last week was the debo game. I think people 481 00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:21,159 Speaker 1: will chase that. Ayuk is the guy to me that 482 00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:23,880 Speaker 1: I want in this game. Now we've talked about something. Look, 483 00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:26,280 Speaker 1: there's two hot, high profile games here four o'clock this one, 484 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:28,080 Speaker 1: and obviously Buffalo in Kansas City, which we'll get to 485 00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:30,320 Speaker 1: in a second. Are you going in on these two 486 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 1: or high profile games with San fran endless late, or 487 00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,520 Speaker 1: are you fading them a little bit in favor of 488 00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:37,080 Speaker 1: some of these other ones that we've already talked about, 489 00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:39,320 Speaker 1: like Chicago Detroit and Indianapolis Cincinnati. 490 00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:41,320 Speaker 2: I'm going in on them, but the reason I'm going 491 00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:43,439 Speaker 2: in on them is because the way that the numbers 492 00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:46,520 Speaker 2: are telling me, I'm playing these games differently than what 493 00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:48,000 Speaker 2: I think the field is going to do. 494 00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:51,840 Speaker 1: Joe, Okay, okay, let's hear about it. Oh, here for it. 495 00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:56,200 Speaker 2: Seattle and San Francisco. Christian McCaffrey, we've only seen one 496 00:21:56,280 --> 00:21:58,520 Speaker 2: game this whole entire season where he has gone just 497 00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:01,920 Speaker 2: absolutely bonker dude. We could get that there, We could 498 00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:04,679 Speaker 2: get that here. We absolutely could. The last time he 499 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:08,720 Speaker 2: played the Seattle of the Seattle run defense, twenty four touches, 500 00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty nine total yards, two scores, and 501 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:15,080 Speaker 2: that's without Seattle pushing them at all. If Gino Smith 502 00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,840 Speaker 2: can be chef Geno like we saw last week versus 503 00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:19,080 Speaker 2: the freaking Cowboys. 504 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,800 Speaker 1: You can't tell me he can't do that versus the 505 00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:22,479 Speaker 1: forty nine ers. 506 00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 2: If you could do it to the Cowboys, you can 507 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:26,720 Speaker 2: do it to the forty nine ers if he can 508 00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:30,560 Speaker 2: push them. We could see CMC have a monster slate 509 00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:33,240 Speaker 2: breaking type of game. And I know that's okay with's 510 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:36,639 Speaker 2: nine k or whatever you're if you're playing CMC, that's 511 00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:39,360 Speaker 2: what you're playing for anyway, because if you get you twenty, 512 00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:42,480 Speaker 2: if he gets you twenty five, you're not happy, not 513 00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:45,600 Speaker 2: unless all the other cheap running backs fail this week. 514 00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 2: So I think this is the game where CMC could 515 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:51,000 Speaker 2: go out and just break the damn slate on the 516 00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:54,880 Speaker 2: Seattle side. No, let me stay on the San Francisco side. 517 00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:56,359 Speaker 1: Yeah, but I mean, here's the thing you talking about 518 00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 1: breaking the slate, right, I'm looking at all the returns 519 00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:01,640 Speaker 1: on investment on CMC. You had the forty five point 520 00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 1: d against Arizona yep on fandle. The other one was 521 00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:09,000 Speaker 1: obviously against Seattle where he had twenty eight points. But really, 522 00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:11,680 Speaker 1: you know, when you have that ten to five salary, 523 00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:13,800 Speaker 1: you know you've got to put up a thirty burger basically. 524 00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:16,520 Speaker 1: And it's only been like two times where that's happened. 525 00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:18,840 Speaker 1: I'm fading CMC on that. I just think he's I 526 00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:22,320 Speaker 1: think he's too tough to get the other wide receivers 527 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:23,719 Speaker 1: that I want this week. I think you're really going 528 00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:25,720 Speaker 1: to be chasing points with CMC. Like I get it 529 00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:28,560 Speaker 1: from us. I get it from a cash game standpoint, 530 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:30,720 Speaker 1: like you're locking it in twenty five, okay, But from 531 00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:33,440 Speaker 1: a tournament standpoint, I think it makes it really hard 532 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 1: to get some of the other pieces because there's a 533 00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:35,880 Speaker 1: lot of have and have not often. 534 00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:38,640 Speaker 2: I'm not saying I'm not saying he's a lot, but 535 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:41,119 Speaker 2: he be one of the players that, like Kyra and 536 00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:44,200 Speaker 2: Williams a few weeks und breaks late, he's a half 537 00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:44,919 Speaker 2: to have one. 538 00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:47,159 Speaker 1: Hundred percent right, You're one hundred percent right. He could be. 539 00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:49,000 Speaker 1: But the other thing I keep looking at is like, 540 00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:52,400 Speaker 1: if he's not, he hurts you because with all these 541 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:56,040 Speaker 1: backup quarterbacks playing, it becomes really tough to find offense. 542 00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:58,960 Speaker 1: It's not like there's as many outs as there are usually. 543 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:01,600 Speaker 2: I think that's the point of no and that's totally 544 00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:04,480 Speaker 2: fair man, And I think CMC is in play. I'm 545 00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:06,080 Speaker 2: not going to say that he's a lock button play 546 00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:08,960 Speaker 2: I am going to get exposure to him. But staying 547 00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:11,880 Speaker 2: on the San Francisco side, I'm with you on Ayuk. 548 00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:16,040 Speaker 2: We didn't see the volume Deebo has been crushing. And 549 00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:18,040 Speaker 2: I'm not saying that Debo can't continue to do it 550 00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:20,560 Speaker 2: because he's also getting a little bit of the rushing utility, 551 00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:22,960 Speaker 2: like he's had rushing scores. See. That's the other part 552 00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:25,320 Speaker 2: that I want to throw out here. Deebo Samuel has 553 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:28,560 Speaker 2: had rushing touchdowns in three of the last four games. 554 00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:32,080 Speaker 2: What happens if those rushing touchdowns went to see him 555 00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 2: see instead of going to Deebo Samuel, But. 556 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 1: What happened if they what happens if that trend continues, 557 00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:40,800 Speaker 1: then again that could too. It could. I'm betting and 558 00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:41,520 Speaker 1: playing CMC. 559 00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 2: I'm betting that that trend, if it moves anywhere, it 560 00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:48,119 Speaker 2: either goes to Brandon Ayuk in the past game, or 561 00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:50,640 Speaker 2: it goes to Christian McCaffrey and instead of McCaffrey going 562 00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:54,000 Speaker 2: for two touchdowns, he goes for three touchdowns or four touchdowns, 563 00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:56,359 Speaker 2: And if that happens, he breaks the slate. But on 564 00:24:56,440 --> 00:25:00,760 Speaker 2: Seattle side, man, it is so freaking clear and absolute present. 565 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:04,080 Speaker 2: Tyler Lockett is my one of my favorite plays. Like 566 00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:05,800 Speaker 2: he's a top three play on this slate for me. 567 00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:10,400 Speaker 2: I absolutely love him. We've seen the breakout game from 568 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,959 Speaker 2: Jackson Smith and Jigba. We've seen DK Metcalf go absolute 569 00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:17,520 Speaker 2: ham and the reason Tyler Lockett's due man And it's 570 00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:19,639 Speaker 2: not just the fact that Okay, I canna say like 571 00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:21,600 Speaker 2: he's had a bunch of down games, he's due for 572 00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:23,879 Speaker 2: a blow up. The other part about this is the 573 00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:29,680 Speaker 2: freaking numbers line up. So since Week twelve, the forty 574 00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:31,840 Speaker 2: nine ers over the last two weeks, basically they have 575 00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:34,960 Speaker 2: utilized two highest safeties at the seventh highest rate on 576 00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:38,840 Speaker 2: fifty six percent of their snaps since week eight. So, basically, 577 00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:41,440 Speaker 2: looking at the last few weeks with DK, a fully 578 00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:46,840 Speaker 2: integrated JSN and Lockett playing since week eight against Too High, 579 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:50,280 Speaker 2: Tyler Lockett is a twenty two percent target chair, a 580 00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:54,919 Speaker 2: forty five percent air yard share, and he leads the 581 00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:57,919 Speaker 2: freaking team in a thirty percent first read chair. He 582 00:25:58,200 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 2: is their weapon versus Too High, and anybody stacking this 583 00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:06,359 Speaker 2: damn game is not going to look at Tyler Lockett first. 584 00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:09,520 Speaker 2: I promise you they're gonna either click on Jayson, They're 585 00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:12,639 Speaker 2: gonna click on DK Metcalf. Tyler Lockett is gonna be 586 00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:15,000 Speaker 2: sub ten percent this week, and when he goes for 587 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 2: thirty points, thank me. 588 00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:20,480 Speaker 1: Okay, I will. I'll make this easy for you. Las Vegas, 589 00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:23,199 Speaker 1: Minnesota forty and a half. I'm a hard pass on 590 00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:26,040 Speaker 1: this game. It's got too many outcomes for me, and 591 00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:30,400 Speaker 1: I don't like it. Jeff Jefferson returns. That's intriguing, But again, 592 00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:31,840 Speaker 1: I don't know what it is with Dobbs. Isn't good? 593 00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:34,159 Speaker 1: Is it not good? Is Jefferson really one hundred percent? 594 00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:37,760 Speaker 1: To me? Dude? This is one where I don't like o'connelly. 595 00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:40,080 Speaker 1: Other side, Dobbs has not been great in these last 596 00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:43,080 Speaker 1: two games. So this one I'm out. But maybe I'm wrong. 597 00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:44,160 Speaker 1: What do you think about this one? 598 00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:45,960 Speaker 2: I think that if you're gonna play this game, you 599 00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:50,040 Speaker 2: single stack Dobbs with Justin Jefferson. We've seen top five 600 00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:52,639 Speaker 2: upside on a weekly basis, like from Dobbs. We know 601 00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,600 Speaker 2: that like he can do that, and I'm gonna let 602 00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:57,600 Speaker 2: so I'm gonna let the field kind of tell me 603 00:26:57,800 --> 00:27:00,000 Speaker 2: what to do with this game. If Dobbs is gonna 604 00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:03,840 Speaker 2: overlooked and Justin Jefferson is not popular, then I will 605 00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:07,359 Speaker 2: single stack Dobbs and Jefferson and move on from the game. 606 00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:10,080 Speaker 2: But if they come in popular, or if we see 607 00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:13,520 Speaker 2: Justin Jefferson like in that fifteen to twenty percent range, 608 00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:16,080 Speaker 2: which he could easily get to because people love playing 609 00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:18,919 Speaker 2: Justin Jefferson, then I'm probably just gonna exit out and 610 00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:21,920 Speaker 2: I'll get my spike weeks from other receivers. 611 00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:25,720 Speaker 1: Buffalo case four to twenty five Eastern forty nine is 612 00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:27,680 Speaker 1: the number for this game. It's a very high total. 613 00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:29,320 Speaker 1: The question is does it live up to the hype. 614 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:31,359 Speaker 1: I feel like Buffalo needs this game more than Casey, 615 00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:33,720 Speaker 1: Like this is them, this is their last gasp, and 616 00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:37,080 Speaker 1: I like that. That means I like Alan, I like 617 00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:39,520 Speaker 1: digs with Alan. Obviously that's the way to go. And 618 00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:42,120 Speaker 1: then the flip side of this game, like the struggle Bus, 619 00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:45,280 Speaker 1: is still the same. It's trying to figure out, you know, 620 00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:47,760 Speaker 1: do we run Patrick mahomes by himself? Do we fade 621 00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:50,080 Speaker 1: him because of the price. This game is tricky for 622 00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 1: me d because I keep seeing all this value in 623 00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:54,320 Speaker 1: these other spots and I can't find ways to work 624 00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:57,000 Speaker 1: it in despite the very high total. That makes sense 625 00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:59,399 Speaker 1: to me, so I think Alan Digs of the stack 626 00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,040 Speaker 1: I like, and after that I just kind of look 627 00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:01,439 Speaker 1: past it. 628 00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:03,920 Speaker 2: But maybe you see something I don't due this game, 629 00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:07,040 Speaker 2: and I feel like this game is this game the 630 00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:08,879 Speaker 2: way that I wrote it up in the primer looks 631 00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:11,280 Speaker 2: so crystal clear to me. It's almost like kind of 632 00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:13,439 Speaker 2: scaring me, because when I looked at the numbers for 633 00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:16,560 Speaker 2: this game, Kansas City, if you've noticed over the last 634 00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:19,440 Speaker 2: few weeks, Kansas City has been struggling as a pass defense. 635 00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:22,640 Speaker 2: A lot of that comes down to every corner not 636 00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:27,520 Speaker 2: named Lagerious Snead has been terrible with a capital T 637 00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:31,119 Speaker 2: god awful. So you're telling me Lagerius Snead has been 638 00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:36,040 Speaker 2: shadowing the entire year and he's been doing extremely well. Okay, 639 00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:38,920 Speaker 2: Digs is off the board, Bye bye Diggs. I'm playing 640 00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:43,480 Speaker 2: Josh Allen. I think Buffalo steam rolls the Kansas City 641 00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,760 Speaker 2: Chiefs in this one, and the stack makes so much 642 00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:50,440 Speaker 2: freaking sense. It's ridiculous. Man. So Kansas City has been 643 00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:53,920 Speaker 2: bad for Kinkaid, isn't it. It's not Kinkaid. It's gay. 644 00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:58,080 Speaker 2: Oh it's Gabe Davis. Baby, it's gay Davis Weeks. 645 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,000 Speaker 1: I'm telling you the hard set telling. It's Davis Week. 646 00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:02,320 Speaker 2: Okay, well let me sell you on it. 647 00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:04,880 Speaker 1: Well, he has beating up Kansas City in the past. 648 00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:05,600 Speaker 1: We all know that. 649 00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:08,560 Speaker 2: We all know that. And the thing about it is is, 650 00:29:09,040 --> 00:29:13,600 Speaker 2: so if Sneid is on Diggs and we've seen Snead shadow, 651 00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:17,080 Speaker 2: he's shadowed basically every top receiver over the last few weeks. 652 00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,560 Speaker 2: The two corners that have been playing in tandem on 653 00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:23,360 Speaker 2: the outside that Gabe Davis will see a ton it's 654 00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:26,920 Speaker 2: Joshua Williams who's allowing a sixty six percent catch rate 655 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:30,000 Speaker 2: one nineteen pass rating, and Jalen Watson. Oh, look at 656 00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:34,240 Speaker 2: that sixty percent catch rate one seventeen pass rating. Kansas 657 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:36,920 Speaker 2: City has been terrible versus deep balls. We know where 658 00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:40,360 Speaker 2: who's the d ball person in this offense. It's Gabe Davis. Baby. 659 00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:42,000 Speaker 2: And the other thing I'm gonna throw out with you, 660 00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:45,200 Speaker 2: it's a double stack josh Allen Week, it's Goo Gabe Davis, 661 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:50,240 Speaker 2: and it's Go Khalil Shakir And the reason you need 662 00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:53,240 Speaker 2: to love him this week Joey. Kansas City Chiefs since 663 00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:56,240 Speaker 2: Week eight have given up the third most PPR points 664 00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:59,440 Speaker 2: per target to opposing slot wide receivers Trent McDuffie, their 665 00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:02,800 Speaker 2: slot co seventy percent catch right, one oh four pass rating. 666 00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:06,520 Speaker 2: Shakir versus Kansas City, who play a lot of too 667 00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:10,320 Speaker 2: high his last five games versus too high two point 668 00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:13,040 Speaker 2: eight eight yards per route run. Do you want to 669 00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:16,680 Speaker 2: know who, also, since Shakir became a full time player 670 00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:19,760 Speaker 2: in this offense, who leads this team in deep targets? Yeah, 671 00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:23,280 Speaker 2: it's Gabe Davis's number one. Khalil Shakir is number two. 672 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:26,320 Speaker 1: There you go, all right, cheap guys there too, probably 673 00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 1: low rostered. Also, I'm sure we'll just go run to 674 00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:32,040 Speaker 1: different last one game, Baby, I love it. 675 00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:32,560 Speaker 2: It's true. 676 00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:35,720 Speaker 1: Maybe this one's not gonna be popular. It's the Chargers 677 00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:38,080 Speaker 1: at home against Denver. I like the Denver defense in 678 00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:41,479 Speaker 1: this one way the Chargers offensive played. Recently, Brandon Staley 679 00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:44,440 Speaker 1: making comments about changing up and shaking up the backfield 680 00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:49,239 Speaker 1: as if somehow getting Josh Kelly carries or who I mean, 681 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:51,840 Speaker 1: who else is there to it's Sidezeckler. It's Kelly is. 682 00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:56,160 Speaker 2: Skiller, who's basically not been freaking season. He runs like 683 00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:58,720 Speaker 2: a five forty that'll work out well. Forty four and 684 00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:00,040 Speaker 2: a half is the number for the. 685 00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:02,880 Speaker 1: Well actually forty three and a half or forty four 686 00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:04,640 Speaker 1: as the number for this one over on betting pros. 687 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:08,200 Speaker 1: So look, I mean this one on paper, Russell should 688 00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:09,880 Speaker 1: be able to have a decent day. I'm sure he'll 689 00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:11,560 Speaker 1: be low rostered. But again, he's kind of in that 690 00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:13,640 Speaker 1: middle ground where it's like either you go to the 691 00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:15,760 Speaker 1: Minshews and Brownings of the world or you go up 692 00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:17,480 Speaker 1: to the Josh Allens and Fields of the world. That's 693 00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:19,600 Speaker 1: kind of where lamar. So to me, this is another 694 00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,320 Speaker 1: game that just has very little appeal. So Sutton again, 695 00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:24,600 Speaker 1: because Sutton every week. Yeah, that's the only thing I 696 00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:24,920 Speaker 1: can say. 697 00:31:25,360 --> 00:31:28,560 Speaker 2: And I think Sutton is gonna be extremely popular this 698 00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:30,720 Speaker 2: week because everybody's gonna see the Chargers. They know their 699 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:34,360 Speaker 2: secondary is not good. They see Courtland Sutton scoring touchdowns 700 00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:36,800 Speaker 2: every single week. He had a damn good game versus 701 00:31:36,840 --> 00:31:39,720 Speaker 2: the Texans. Who's the guy we talked about last week, Joey, 702 00:31:39,720 --> 00:31:41,600 Speaker 2: And I told you I was not on him. He 703 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:44,320 Speaker 2: was popular. Everybody's talking about, Oh, he's gonna score touchdowns, 704 00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:46,760 Speaker 2: blah blah blah blah. I'm telling you right now, it's 705 00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:50,160 Speaker 2: Javonte Williams week. Dude, that is exactly what it is. 706 00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:53,320 Speaker 2: Javonte Williams has not scored a freaking rushing touchdown the 707 00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:58,000 Speaker 2: entire damn year since Week eight. This Chargers is vaunted. 708 00:31:58,200 --> 00:32:02,720 Speaker 2: Chargers run defense Week eight tenth high six plosive run rate, twelve, 709 00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:05,440 Speaker 2: highest charts of to contact per a tempt third most 710 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:11,880 Speaker 2: their top three, and other different various tackle breaking metrics. 711 00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:13,160 Speaker 2: Javonte Williams. 712 00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:14,200 Speaker 1: This is the game. 713 00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:16,840 Speaker 2: Where everybody's gonna say, oh, well, look at Russ because 714 00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:19,120 Speaker 2: of the Chargers. Oh well, look at Sutton because he 715 00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:21,080 Speaker 2: just had a good game, and oh it's the Chargers. 716 00:32:21,480 --> 00:32:24,040 Speaker 2: This is the game where Javonte Williams goes out, gets 717 00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:26,240 Speaker 2: twenty to twenty five carries and scores twice. 718 00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:27,960 Speaker 1: All right, there you have it, everybody. Make sure you 719 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,520 Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app And if you do and 720 00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:33,280 Speaker 1: you have it already for the first time, iOS people, 721 00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:35,920 Speaker 1: you get an opportunity for three free days of premium. 722 00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:38,320 Speaker 1: Go ahead and subscribe to our YouTube channel to drop 723 00:32:38,320 --> 00:32:40,360 Speaker 1: a comment there because you just might win a one 724 00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:44,000 Speaker 1: year free premium upgrade to the Betting Pros product as well, 725 00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:46,640 Speaker 1: which is stunningly good. So go take advantage of all 726 00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:48,880 Speaker 1: the fun things over here on Betting Pros. That'll do 727 00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:50,320 Speaker 1: it for us, but the story of the game goes 728 00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:53,080 Speaker 1: on for Derek Brown. I'm Joey P. We'll see you 729 00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:53,560 Speaker 1: next time. 730 00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:54,040 Speaker 2: Kids. 731 00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:57,360 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 732 00:32:57,440 --> 00:32:59,720 Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 733 00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:03,200 Speaker 3: by giving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 734 00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:06,160 Speaker 3: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 735 00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:08,080 Speaker 3: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 736 00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:09,560 Speaker 2: Also subscribe to our 737 00:33:09,600 --> 00:33:12,440 Speaker 3: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.