WEBVTT - Chip Stocks Fall on Possible China Curbs; NY Skies Set to Darken Again

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the

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<v Speaker 2>stories we're following today.

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<v Speaker 3>Karen, we begin with a selloff in chip stocks. In

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<v Speaker 3>Vidia is leading the declines, down more than four and

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<v Speaker 3>a half percent in early trading. It all comes after

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<v Speaker 3>a Wall Street Journal report saying Washington could soon close

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<v Speaker 3>loopholes in the sale of powerful chips to China.

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<v Speaker 4>We get details from Bloomberg's Doug Prisner.

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<v Speaker 5>The chips are those used to train AI models, and

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<v Speaker 5>the restrictions are aimed at containing China's technological rise, but

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<v Speaker 5>the move would clearly dent sales, and Vidia gets nearly

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<v Speaker 5>twenty percent of its revenue from China. Its chips are

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<v Speaker 5>vital to the development of generative AI models such as

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<v Speaker 5>chat GPT. This year and Vidia produced less capable chips

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<v Speaker 5>below thresholds requiring a license from the Commerce Department to

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<v Speaker 5>export to China or other countries of concern. But Washington

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<v Speaker 5>is now weighing action as soon as next month to

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<v Speaker 5>expand the curbs to include those lower powered semiconductors. In

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<v Speaker 5>New York, I'm Doug Krisnerberg Daybreak.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, Doug, thanks, and checking some other chip stocks this morning,

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<v Speaker 3>Advanced micro Devices is down three and a half percent,

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<v Speaker 3>Applied Materials is down one and a half percent. Intel

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<v Speaker 3>also down more than one percent.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, another major story we're following this morning, Nathan takes

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<v Speaker 2>us overseas. Bloomberg News has learned that UBS plans to

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<v Speaker 2>get more than half of the workforce and inherited from

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<v Speaker 2>credit suits. Bloombergsh and Aali Bosik says the job losses

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<v Speaker 2>will start next month.

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<v Speaker 6>The way that this will be done, according to people familiar,

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<v Speaker 6>is three rounds of job cuts this year, with the

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<v Speaker 6>first round expected by the end of July and two

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<v Speaker 6>more rounds tentatively planned for September and October. So certainly

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<v Speaker 6>through the end of the year there will be kind

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<v Speaker 6>of a lot of communication with staff, plus probably a

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<v Speaker 6>lot of conversations across Wall Street and global finance.

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<v Speaker 2>And Bloomberg and Aali Bosik says UBS intends to reduce

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<v Speaker 2>the total combined headcount by about thirty five thousand.

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<v Speaker 3>Staying in Europe, Karen, we're watching for news on the

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<v Speaker 3>economy and global monetary policy on this final day of

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<v Speaker 3>the European Central Bank four in Central Portugal. Speakers on

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<v Speaker 3>the agenda today include Fed Chair j Powell, ECB President

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<v Speaker 3>Christine Legard, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, and Bank

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<v Speaker 3>of Japan Governor Caswell Ueida.

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<v Speaker 2>Well back here in the US, Nathan, the economy is

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<v Speaker 2>also in focus. President Biden says he thinks the US

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<v Speaker 2>economy can avoid a recession in the coming months. Bloomberg's

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<v Speaker 2>Amy Morris has details from our ninety nine one newsroom

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<v Speaker 2>in Washington.

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<v Speaker 7>President Biden told donors that after economists have predicted a

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<v Speaker 7>recession for the past eleven months, he doesn't think it's

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<v Speaker 7>going to come, citing a strong labor market and his

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<v Speaker 7>efforts to tamp down inflation. National Economic Council Director and

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<v Speaker 7>former Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve Lyle Brainerd agrees,

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<v Speaker 7>we are.

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<v Speaker 2>Going to continue to see resilience against a backdrop of

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<v Speaker 2>what we have referred to as more stable economic growth.

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<v Speaker 7>Economic Council Chair Brainard made the comments as President Biden

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<v Speaker 7>is set to head to Chicago today, where he'll deliver

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<v Speaker 7>what the White House is calling a cornerstone address on

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<v Speaker 7>his ex economic policy, Bidenomics.

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<v Speaker 4>In Washington.

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<v Speaker 7>I Mamy Morris, Bloomberg Daybreak.

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<v Speaker 4>Thanks Amy.

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<v Speaker 3>Now let's get to the latest on Russia following last

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<v Speaker 3>week's failed Wagner Group mutiny. The brief rebellion against the

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<v Speaker 3>Russian government could boost the Biden administration's efforts to rally

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<v Speaker 3>more military support for Ukraine. White House Deputy Press Secretary

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<v Speaker 3>Olivia Dalton announced another half billion dollar draw down from

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<v Speaker 3>the Pentagon stockpiles yesterday.

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<v Speaker 8>This package includes key capabilities that will support Ukraine's counter

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<v Speaker 8>offensive operations, such as mind clearing equipment, armored vehicles, and

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<v Speaker 8>artillery rounds. It will also strengthen air defenses to help

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<v Speaker 8>Ukraine protect its people from rocket attacks.

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<v Speaker 3>Deputy Press Secretary Dalton says there has been strong bipartisan

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<v Speaker 3>support for Ukraine in the past. Sources tell Bloomberg News

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<v Speaker 3>the White House is expecting stronger commitments as well from

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<v Speaker 3>NATO allies when they meet next month in Lithuania.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, Nathan, another story we're following this morning brings us

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<v Speaker 2>to the skies of New York. That's smog which blanketed

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<v Speaker 2>skies in the Northeast earlier this month. Maybe coming back,

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<v Speaker 2>could we get the latest of the Bloomberg's John Tucker

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<v Speaker 2>in New York, John.

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<v Speaker 9>And Karen Air quality should reach unhealthy levels in Western

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<v Speaker 9>and Central New York today, and New York City will

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<v Speaker 9>be enveloped tomorrow. The city in the northeast tenth some

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<v Speaker 9>of the worst air quality in the world. Earlier this month,

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<v Speaker 9>when the smoke from Quebec forest fires swirled south, Governor

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<v Speaker 9>Conthy Hoko says, make no mistake about it. This is

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<v Speaker 9>the result of climate change.

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<v Speaker 1>We are truly the first generation to feel the real

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<v Speaker 1>effects of climate change, and.

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<v Speaker 2>We're also the last generation to do anything meaningful about it.

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<v Speaker 9>Large parts of Canada from coast to coast have been

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<v Speaker 9>burning for weeks, currently two hundred and fifty seven fires

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<v Speaker 9>of burning out of control. Now, if you think it's

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<v Speaker 9>an excuse to work from home, keep in mind that

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<v Speaker 9>modern office building filtration systems to a pretty good job

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<v Speaker 9>cleaning out harmful particulates. New York Out and John Tucker Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 4>Daybreak, John. Thanks.

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<v Speaker 3>While unhealthy air may stress you out, investors are also

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<v Speaker 3>waiting for bank stress tests this afternoon from the Federal Reserve.

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<v Speaker 4>We get more from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett.

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<v Speaker 10>It comes as regulators explore more stringent requirements on in

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<v Speaker 10>the aftermath of several lender collapses. Analysts largely expect banks

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<v Speaker 10>to sail through the tests, which examine how lenders would

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<v Speaker 10>hold up in a hypothetical severe global recession in which

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<v Speaker 10>US unemployment peaks at ten percent, commercial real estate prices

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<v Speaker 10>plunge forty percent, and the dollar surges against most major currencies.

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<v Speaker 10>In New York, Charlie Palett Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 2>Now.

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<v Speaker 3>Time to take a look at some of the other

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<v Speaker 3>stories making news in New York and around the world

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<v Speaker 3>with Bloomberg's Michael Barr.

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<v Speaker 4>Good morning, Michael, Good morning Nathan.

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<v Speaker 11>The travel night mayre drags on from severe weather. After

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<v Speaker 11>days of flight cancelations. More than one hundred flights already

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<v Speaker 11>are scrapped in the New York area today. It is

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<v Speaker 11>left travelers at Newark Airport frustrated.

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<v Speaker 4>Come on, this is like the Disney World Line from hell.

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<v Speaker 1>Here.

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<v Speaker 4>I feel gross.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like I want to cry, but I have

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<v Speaker 1>nothing left.

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<v Speaker 11>Some passings we're told they won't be able to reach

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<v Speaker 11>their destinations until next week. Daniel Penny, the man accused

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<v Speaker 11>in the May subway chocold death of Jordan Neely, will

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<v Speaker 11>be arranged day in New York. Penny's grand jury indictment

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<v Speaker 11>will be unsealed. Tuesday was primary day in New York City.

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<v Speaker 11>In a closely watched race, use of Salaam, the exonerated

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<v Speaker 11>Central Park five criminal justice reform activists, has won a

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<v Speaker 11>seat for the City Council in the ninth district. Salam

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<v Speaker 11>got close to fifty one percent of the vote, compared

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<v Speaker 11>to his closest competitor, State Assembly Member A Nis Dickens,

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<v Speaker 11>with just over twenty five percent. Salam replaces Kirsten Richardson Jordan,

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<v Speaker 11>who announced in May she would not seek reelection. In

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<v Speaker 11>Council District thirteen, incumbent Democrat Marjorie Velasquez easily won her

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<v Speaker 11>primary against three other challengers. However, the Republican primary challenger's

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<v Speaker 11>race is still too close to call, with Christy Mamorto

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<v Speaker 11>showing a slight lead over George Havnrik four percent. Brooklyn's

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<v Speaker 11>three was created through redistricting to reflect the area's majority

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<v Speaker 11>Asian population. Susan Shong won her Democratic primary with fifty

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<v Speaker 11>nine percent. However, the Republican primary too close to call,

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<v Speaker 11>with Ying Tan ahead of Vito Labella fifty two to

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<v Speaker 11>forty eight percent for Bronx District Attorney, Democratic incumbent Darcel

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<v Speaker 11>Clark easily won with more than seventy three percent of

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<v Speaker 11>the vote. For Queen's District Attorney, Democrat incumbent Melinda Katz

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<v Speaker 11>grab more than seventy one percent of the vote.

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<v Speaker 12>I believe a good government is good campaigning. I believe

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<v Speaker 12>you take the guns off the streets, the gangs off

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<v Speaker 12>the streets. You think of innovative ways to take care

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<v Speaker 12>of those are the stealing things from drug stores and

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<v Speaker 12>retail stores. I believe you do good government.

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<v Speaker 13>It's good campaigning.

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<v Speaker 11>Audio courtesy of q Ands. She'll run against Republican Michael

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<v Speaker 11>Mosa in November. Some mayor wal races were also watching.

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<v Speaker 11>In Yonker's Democratic incumbent My Expano easily won. In Mount Vernon,

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<v Speaker 11>Democratic incumbent Sean Patterson Howard beat Andre Waller seventy one

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<v Speaker 11>percent to twenty nine percent. Global News twenty four hours

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<v Speaker 11>a day, powered by more than twenty seven hundred journalist

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<v Speaker 11>and analysts in over one hundred and twenty countries. I'm

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<v Speaker 11>Michael Barrd. This is Bloomberg, Nathan.

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<v Speaker 3>Thanks Michael, time out for the Bloomberg Sports Update. Good morning,

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<v Speaker 3>John stash Out.

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<v Speaker 10>Good morning Nathan.

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<v Speaker 14>The Yankees were coming off two wins over one of

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<v Speaker 14>baseball's better teams. First play Texas, they went to Oakland

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<v Speaker 14>and then lost to a team that's on pace perhaps

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<v Speaker 14>have the worst season in baseball history. The A's were

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<v Speaker 14>twenty and sixty, but they topped the Yanks two to one,

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<v Speaker 14>with the only Yankee ue being a home run by

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<v Speaker 14>Josh Donaldson, former All Star with the A's. That's his

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<v Speaker 14>seventh homer. He only has two other hits at City Field.

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<v Speaker 14>Metts used the long ball.

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<v Speaker 9>One that's lined in the air at the left center

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<v Speaker 9>and deep Gleamer going back at the track at the

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<v Speaker 9>Wallie can't get it.

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<v Speaker 2>It's gone.

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<v Speaker 5>The home run.

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<v Speaker 14>Head to the party deck in front of a great

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<v Speaker 14>wall of pushing Brandon Nippo.

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<v Speaker 4>With an opposite field hall run his second Hall brun

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<v Speaker 4>of the game on WCBS.

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<v Speaker 14>Daniel Vogelback also homer, so did Francisco Lindor two hundredth

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<v Speaker 14>of his career. Mets over the Brewers seven to two.

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<v Speaker 14>It's just their sixth win in the last twenty two games.

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<v Speaker 14>And we'll see what Mets owner Steve Cohen has to

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<v Speaker 14>say this afternoon. He's holding a rare press conference in Anaheim.

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<v Speaker 14>The legend of showe Otani continues in an Angels win

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<v Speaker 14>web with the White Sox on the mound, O'tani gave

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<v Speaker 14>up just one run four heads, struck out ten at

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<v Speaker 14>the play two long home runs.

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<v Speaker 4>He leads the majors with twenty eight.

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<v Speaker 14>The Devils have acquired Tyler Tofole in a trade with Calgary.

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<v Speaker 14>He was their leading scorer. NBA free agency begains Saturday.

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<v Speaker 14>A lot of attentions being paid to Damian Lillard, not

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<v Speaker 14>a free agent, but will Portland trade the seven time

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<v Speaker 14>All Star. They met with Lillard yesterday said they are

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<v Speaker 14>committed to building a winning team around him, and that

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<v Speaker 14>Lillard has not asked for a trade. Ryan Mallett, star

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<v Speaker 14>quarterback at Arkansas then played for three NFL teams, has

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<v Speaker 14>died at thirty five, apparently drowned in the Gulf of Mexico.

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<v Speaker 4>We're Bloomberg Sports.

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<v Speaker 13>From coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco,

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<v Speaker 13>Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syrias Exam, the Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 13>Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com.

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<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Nathan Hager, and it is a tough morning for

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<v Speaker 3>chip stocks this morning, led by Nvidia following a report

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<v Speaker 3>that the Biden administration is looking to close the loopholes

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<v Speaker 3>that allow China to buy the chips that power artificial intelligence.

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<v Speaker 4>Let's bring in Alex Web for more on this.

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<v Speaker 3>Alex covers all things tech for US at Bloomberg News.

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<v Speaker 3>We should note, Alex that this is reporting from the

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<v Speaker 3>Wall Street Journal. But what are the loopholes that the

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<v Speaker 3>White House reportedly has its eye on here?

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<v Speaker 15>Yeah, so there was an initial round of rules that

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<v Speaker 15>tried to prevent bleeding edge chips that can be used

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<v Speaker 15>for AI applications from being sold into China. And in

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<v Speaker 15>terms of Nvidia, those are known as the A one

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<v Speaker 15>hundred range. So when in Vidia did quite agile league

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<v Speaker 15>quite quickly, they range called the eight hundred, which is

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<v Speaker 15>slightly lower power, and if you looked at the specifications

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<v Speaker 15>that were laid out by the government, they were then

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<v Speaker 15>allowed to be sold into China. So what, according to

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<v Speaker 15>the journals you state, is now being reported is that

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<v Speaker 15>these restrictions are going to be extended, so they will

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<v Speaker 15>cover those new A eight hundred chips and more than that,

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<v Speaker 15>even they will also be covering cloud operators. There is

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<v Speaker 15>a world where you can imagine that if you're a

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<v Speaker 15>Chinese company and you can't get the right technology inside China,

0:11:33.160 --> 0:11:36.720
<v Speaker 15>well then you might buy cloud capacity which is shored elsewhere,

0:11:36.760 --> 0:11:39.600
<v Speaker 15>perhaps you know, in the region, but operated by Google

0:11:39.720 --> 0:11:42.880
<v Speaker 15>or at Microsoft Azure or AWS to get around some

0:11:42.920 --> 0:11:44.760
<v Speaker 15>of those restrictions. And it seems as though they're going

0:11:44.800 --> 0:11:46.439
<v Speaker 15>to be closing that loophole as well.

0:11:46.679 --> 0:11:49.080
<v Speaker 3>And we're seeing the impact on the stock this morning,

0:11:49.080 --> 0:11:52.600
<v Speaker 3>investors thinking this could be a pretty tough for in Vidia,

0:11:52.880 --> 0:11:57.760
<v Speaker 3>given how sizable the Chinese market is for that chip maker.

0:11:57.800 --> 0:12:00.560
<v Speaker 3>What is the potential impact for chip makes and when

0:12:00.600 --> 0:12:03.760
<v Speaker 3>it comes to their bottom line here, I mean.

0:12:03.720 --> 0:12:05.480
<v Speaker 15>I think we've got to be careful not to overstated.

0:12:05.520 --> 0:12:07.480
<v Speaker 15>You must remember the of course, that in Vidia has

0:12:07.520 --> 0:12:10.880
<v Speaker 15>a very full valuation at the moment. It is the

0:12:10.880 --> 0:12:15.960
<v Speaker 15>most expensive chip stock in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, training

0:12:16.000 --> 0:12:19.679
<v Speaker 15>it close to fifty times its forward earnings. That means

0:12:19.720 --> 0:12:22.960
<v Speaker 15>that any indication that there might be restrictions to its

0:12:22.960 --> 0:12:25.080
<v Speaker 15>growth potential are obviously going to be taken with a

0:12:25.080 --> 0:12:29.160
<v Speaker 15>certain amount of skittishness by investors. When it comes to

0:12:29.200 --> 0:12:33.360
<v Speaker 15>in Vidia's total revenue, you know, China is it's actually

0:12:33.400 --> 0:12:39.559
<v Speaker 15>its third biggest market, representing about twenty one percent of sales,

0:12:39.600 --> 0:12:43.360
<v Speaker 15>behind Taiwan and of course the US. Some of the

0:12:43.440 --> 0:12:45.880
<v Speaker 15>end customers might actually, you know, so it's made in Taiwan,

0:12:45.920 --> 0:12:49.600
<v Speaker 15>it might ultimately be shipped to Taiwan in a different package, sorry,

0:12:49.600 --> 0:12:53.120
<v Speaker 15>to China, in a different package. It's really about limiting

0:12:53.160 --> 0:12:56.040
<v Speaker 15>the growth here. But as if you read the fantastic

0:12:56.160 --> 0:12:58.360
<v Speaker 15>artle by our colleagues and the most recent edition of

0:12:58.360 --> 0:13:01.880
<v Speaker 15>BusinessWeek profiling in video and the CEO Jensen one, there's

0:13:01.880 --> 0:13:04.120
<v Speaker 15>currently an eight month wait to be able to get

0:13:04.480 --> 0:13:08.080
<v Speaker 15>the bleeding Edge chips. So at least in the near term,

0:13:08.200 --> 0:13:11.760
<v Speaker 15>it doesn't look as though this would have any meaningful

0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:14.679
<v Speaker 15>effect on demand. The question then starts to be if

0:13:14.720 --> 0:13:17.199
<v Speaker 15>it affects it in the medium term, as you know,

0:13:17.880 --> 0:13:21.400
<v Speaker 15>US and European cloud capacity gets filled up.

0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:23.440
<v Speaker 3>Now, I guess that raises the question as well of

0:13:23.480 --> 0:13:26.199
<v Speaker 3>whether in Vidia could continue to shore up that sizeable

0:13:26.240 --> 0:13:29.920
<v Speaker 3>market it has in China even with these kinds of restrictions.

0:13:29.960 --> 0:13:32.599
<v Speaker 3>Is there a scenario that you could see that in

0:13:32.760 --> 0:13:36.160
<v Speaker 3>Vidia could try to hold on to that Chinese market.

0:13:37.520 --> 0:13:40.600
<v Speaker 15>I mean, they've clearly managed to find a way with

0:13:40.640 --> 0:13:45.959
<v Speaker 15>the previous rules to skirt the letter of the regulations.

0:13:46.720 --> 0:13:48.800
<v Speaker 15>You know, of course they did something that was entirely legal,

0:13:48.880 --> 0:13:53.120
<v Speaker 15>but they ultimately served up a chip that wasn't as good, right,

0:13:53.160 --> 0:13:56.640
<v Speaker 15>And then the question is, well, perhaps they can innovate

0:13:56.720 --> 0:13:59.400
<v Speaker 15>further and do something similar on those lines. Even so

0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:02.600
<v Speaker 15>would mean that China is not getting stuff that is

0:14:02.640 --> 0:14:06.160
<v Speaker 15>as good as what you know US cloud operators are

0:14:06.200 --> 0:14:09.560
<v Speaker 15>able to do at the moment, at any rate in

0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:12.360
<v Speaker 15>video are the only game in town and the only

0:14:12.400 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 15>others who are close the likes of AMD, they are

0:14:14.960 --> 0:14:18.840
<v Speaker 15>also covered by these restrictions. So the only solution from

0:14:18.840 --> 0:14:20.960
<v Speaker 15>a Chinese perspective is what can they come up with

0:14:21.000 --> 0:14:24.200
<v Speaker 15>some sort of domestic competitor. The answer might be yes,

0:14:24.280 --> 0:14:26.480
<v Speaker 15>but it's not going to be anytime soon. You're looking at,

0:14:26.640 --> 0:14:29.280
<v Speaker 15>you know, years and years out, because not only can

0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:31.560
<v Speaker 15>they not buy these chips, they can't buy the equipment

0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:34.960
<v Speaker 15>that's needed to make these chips, usually made by asmls.

0:14:35.000 --> 0:14:38.680
<v Speaker 15>So it's a tough challenge for China for in VideA.

0:14:39.280 --> 0:14:41.840
<v Speaker 15>It you know, might affect them around the edges, It

0:14:41.960 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 15>isn't the lion's share of their business.

0:14:43.920 --> 0:14:46.400
<v Speaker 3>About thirty seconds left here, Alex. But you mentioned the

0:14:46.480 --> 0:14:50.800
<v Speaker 3>restrictions on cloud leases that are reported in this Biden

0:14:50.840 --> 0:14:54.040
<v Speaker 3>administration strategy. I mean, that's the kind of thing that

0:14:54.080 --> 0:14:56.360
<v Speaker 3>could hit some of the biggest tech companies in the world.

0:14:58.000 --> 0:15:01.520
<v Speaker 15>Yes, but they aren't as big inside China as they

0:15:01.560 --> 0:15:03.440
<v Speaker 15>might be. And of course this is all new. This

0:15:03.520 --> 0:15:06.760
<v Speaker 15>is like green space for them, right. The AI processing

0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:09.120
<v Speaker 15>stuff is what they're adding. That's the way of bringing

0:15:09.120 --> 0:15:11.240
<v Speaker 15>new business in. It's not something they already have. So again,

0:15:11.280 --> 0:15:14.480
<v Speaker 15>it's a that's in their growth, not necessarily affecting the

0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:17.440
<v Speaker 15>businesses they already have, and that's the key issue at

0:15:17.480 --> 0:15:17.840
<v Speaker 15>the moment.

0:15:19.920 --> 0:15:22.840
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