Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.
Speaker 2: A single best idea and first of all, thank you
Speaker 2: for staying with us over it. Just to the cacophony
Speaker 2: of newsflow. I don't remember the last quiet day. It's
Speaker 2: out there somewhere ten days ago or so, but every
Speaker 2: day has just been literally we're blowing up the show
Speaker 2: in real time. We did that today with a five
Speaker 2: four Supreme Court decision, and on we will go. Eric
Speaker 2: Molla leading our coverage there. We's got like four or
Speaker 2: five interns helping out, but I'll tell you it's twenty
Speaker 2: four to seven to just try to emphasize and wait,
Speaker 2: what the ducks are? We were advantaged today. Bob Michael
Speaker 2: showed up driving all of mister Diamond's fixed income effort
Speaker 2: at JP Morgan. Hugely important job and with a great
Speaker 2: team around him. Bob Michael had a lot to say,
Speaker 2: and particularly the tariff impact in all of this killing
Speaker 2: the economy.
Speaker 3: A month ago, everyone and the market looked at taris
Speaker 3: as an impulse to hire inflation. Today they're looking at
Speaker 3: it as a drag on growth. The material one. I
Speaker 3: tend to look at taris as economy killers. So yeah,
Speaker 3: you got a price shock higher. But that's going to
Speaker 3: dial down aggregate final demand. And that's what I think
Speaker 3: the FED will be focusing on. They're going to be
Speaker 3: laser focused on the labor market. They're going to see
Speaker 3: if businesses and households retrench.
Speaker 2: Bob Michael there in the summary of his coupon discussion
Speaker 2: was these are attractive yields, grabbed them. Now. He didn't
Speaker 2: say so much extenduration, but just we're back to some
Speaker 2: form of normal bond market that we knew ages ago.
Speaker 2: We heard that from others today as well. With great
Speaker 2: presidential perspective from the Kennedy School of Harvard and now
Speaker 2: at Yale School of Management, got to Makunda joined us.
Speaker 2: His book Picking Presidents is really interesting. It's a twisted
Speaker 2: book about how we go about our process. He of
Speaker 2: course listened to the Joint Session speech last night. He
Speaker 2: was really quite heated about some of the items the
Speaker 2: President spoken.
Speaker 4: I used ginormous on a daily basis and classhops, so
Speaker 4: it's definitely Yale work. It is huge. The tariffs are
Speaker 4: going to hit and then I'll just sort of know.
Speaker 4: We just heard both the President yesterday and then the
Speaker 4: Secretary today proclaiming that Trump was going to balance the budget.
Speaker 4: I mean, like like watching the we we all know
Speaker 4: that's not actually going to happen. Like that, that's insurd
Speaker 4: that that's that's the exactly the opposite of what he did.
Speaker 4: But the plans that the Republicans are talking about involved
Speaker 4: huge cuts to medicaid as essentially not that's not a
Speaker 4: forecast is it is the only way to make the
Speaker 4: arithmetic work, and arithmetic yields no man. So given those consequences,
Speaker 4: the distributional effects that these are going to be very large,
Speaker 4: and the low income voters who Trump remarkably captured in
Speaker 4: twenty twenty four for the sort of the first time
Speaker 4: in the history of the Republican Party, they're the ones
Speaker 4: who are going to take this in the teeth harder
Speaker 4: than anybody else.
Speaker 2: Professor mccunde of Yale University. We'll keep this short. Today's busy, busy, busy.
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